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0:02
This is Masters in Business with
0:04
Barry Ridholts on Boomberg Radio.
0:07
This week. I was privileged to travel to the
0:09
University of Chicago to the Booth School
0:11
of Business, where I got to sit down
0:13
with Eugene Fama, Nobel Laureate,
0:16
Chicago Booth School of Business UM,
0:18
founder of the Efficient Market hypothesis,
0:22
creator of effectively the
0:24
three, five and seven UH
0:26
Fama French factor model, basically
0:30
the father of modern finance. I don't know how else
0:32
to describe him, along
0:35
with his best student,
0:37
David Booth, co founder of
0:39
Dimensional Funds, the person that
0:42
the Booth School of Business is named after.
0:45
What can I tell you? I flew out to Chicago.
0:48
UH basically went to the
0:51
Booth School of Business at the University of Chicago
0:54
where they were celebrating this
0:56
relationship that both Fama
0:59
and Booth have had for literally
1:01
fifty years. I got to sit
1:04
down with the two of them for an hour in front
1:06
of about five people in the audience,
1:08
including a lot of students from the Boost
1:10
School as well as other
1:12
notables who were in attendance. And
1:15
Fama is notoriously press shy.
1:18
He does not do a whole lot of
1:20
UM interviews with the media.
1:23
This was just a delight. I can't begin
1:25
to say how just awesome
1:28
he was. He's a provocateur.
1:31
He likes to say things that are very much,
1:33
um contrarian. He's a little bit
1:36
you know, if Farma was on Twitter,
1:38
he would be a troll. He loves to tweak
1:40
people, especially his buddy and
1:42
fellow Nobel laureate Richard Taylor. Uh.
1:45
He was busting his jobs about
1:48
behavioral finance, basically
1:50
saying it's all just pushed back to the efficient
1:52
market hypothesis. Uh. David Booth,
1:54
also very insightful, had a lot of things
1:56
to say. There's obviously a tremendous
1:59
amount of respect at between the two of
2:01
these guys. I could babble
2:03
about my experience in Chicago
2:05
for hours, but rather than do that, why
2:08
not just say my conversation
2:11
with Eugene Vama and David Booth.
2:14
There is so much material to cover.
2:16
We're gonna keep this to about four
2:18
hours. We'll take a break for dinner, and
2:21
then we'll finish up before midnight. Um.
2:24
So I really don't have to introduce
2:26
either of these gentlemen, but let me just
2:29
put a little more flesh on the bones
2:31
of what what the Dean started
2:33
with. Obviously, Jean is best
2:36
known for not only the efficient market hypothesis,
2:39
but his research on portfolio theory,
2:41
asset pricing, the Fama French
2:43
factor models. He is recipient
2:47
of the Nobel Prize in
2:49
in Economics, and I like the
2:51
sentence that the Nobel group
2:54
used quote for stuff for
2:56
his work showing quote stock price
2:58
movements are impossible to predict
3:00
in the short term and that new information
3:03
effects prices almost immediately, which
3:06
means markets are efficient. David
3:09
co founded Dimensional with another University
3:11
of Chicago alum, Rex Sinquefeld
3:14
in one The firm now
3:16
employees four hundred people
3:18
who helped manage five hundred and seventy
3:21
nine billion dollars over
3:23
the twenty years ending in twenty
3:25
eighteen. Eight of
3:27
dimensionals equity and fixed income funds
3:30
beat their benchmark the rest
3:32
of the industry just seventeen
3:35
and that's based on much of the work
3:38
that Professor Fama did.
3:41
So so let's jump into the history
3:44
um of both Gene and David and see
3:46
where it goes. Jeane, during
3:48
your last I feel weird calling you Gene.
3:50
It really should be Professor Farma, shouldn't it Um?
3:54
During your last year toughs. You worked
3:56
for Professor Harry Ernst who
3:59
had a light gig running
4:01
a stock market forecasting
4:03
service, and you did research
4:06
for him. What sort of work did you
4:08
do with this stock
4:10
forecasting research? I was
4:13
devising schemes to beat the market, and
4:16
how did that work out? Worked out fine? And
4:20
on the data that I fitted to didn't
4:22
work out fine on the whole load sample never
4:25
did So that was a lesson that
4:28
data judging continn of things that aren't really
4:30
there. And how did
4:32
that research into forecasting the
4:34
stock market impact your thinking
4:37
about whether or not the market could be be well?
4:40
When I came here to Chicago,
4:43
uh, research on asset
4:46
prices had again to get
4:48
going in really serious way, and
4:51
many people were interested in the question
4:53
of how well stock prices adjusted
4:55
to new information. Put
4:58
in context, they always say it started
5:00
because of computers. Before
5:04
really didn't have a serious computer too
5:06
do data analysis on. And with the coming
5:08
of computers, statisticians
5:11
economists were they
5:13
had a new toy too to play with and stock
5:16
stock prices were easily available, so
5:18
that was one of the first things they started to study.
5:21
And then immediately the economists said, well,
5:23
how do we expect prices to behave if
5:26
the world was working properly, in other words,
5:28
if markets were efficient. They weren't using that term,
5:31
but that's what they were after, and
5:33
they were all kinds of theories
5:35
proposed. They had lots of
5:37
shortcomings to them, and
5:39
a little bit of time we came to the
5:42
efficient market hypothesis. And
5:45
you were in your senior year Toughs.
5:47
You had applied here, but you never
5:49
heard back from the school. Is this an urban legend
5:51
or is this true? So
5:54
what happened? I called? I
5:57
called in uh the Dina
5:59
students toff at Keff answered,
6:02
that wouldn't happen today. The school is so
6:04
much bigger. The dean students doesn't even have a telephone.
6:07
Way too important for that. So
6:10
he answered the phone. We chatted for a while and he said,
6:12
well, I hate to tell you, but we don't have any
6:14
record of your application. So what kind of
6:16
grades do you have at Toughs? And I said
6:18
pretty much a lazy. He said, well, we
6:21
have a scholarship for someone from Toughs. Do you want
6:23
it? And
6:25
then that's how that's how I ended up at the University
6:28
of Chicago. So
6:30
so you come here as a student you're you're
6:32
finishing your work. Eventually, Martin
6:34
Miller says to you, Hey, do you want to stick
6:37
around and keep doing the sort of research you're
6:39
doing? Is that how you became a
6:41
professor here? Yeah?
6:43
I was. I had offers
6:46
that some other places, um,
6:48
but lots of the places
6:50
turned me down. They said it was to Chicago. I
6:54
don't know what that meant actually, but
6:59
but uh, it was very
7:01
rare to hire somebody from your ound
7:03
PhD program onto the
7:05
faculty. They're only gonna one or two before
7:08
there. So, David, you had
7:10
a somewhat different experience. You grow
7:12
up in Kansas, you get a b a in economics
7:15
and a master's from the University of Kansas.
7:17
What made you decide to come to Chicago.
7:20
Well, I did a little bit of reading um
7:23
in finance um and
7:27
um my had a finance professor
7:29
there that gotten his PhD here,
7:31
and he said, finances
7:34
exploding really emerging
7:36
as an academic discipline. It's
7:39
really one of the the epicenters is
7:41
clearly Chicago. And
7:43
so I thought, well, I, God, I should be fun, maybe
7:46
be a professor. So I applied here. Uh.
7:49
Um, Yeah, I started
7:51
to stay, took jeans class my very first
7:54
class, and is was the Dean Correct?
7:56
Was that literally fifty years ago? Fifty
8:00
years ago this fall? It was. Yeah,
8:02
it was the first year
8:05
that Chicago had a football team in thirty
8:07
four years. And
8:10
you had written about your experience taking
8:13
a class with Gene. You called it um
8:16
life changing and transformative.
8:19
In what ways was it life changing? Well?
8:21
Life changing led
8:24
to a career. I mean, I can't have much
8:26
of a bigger change than that, but
8:28
it's um life changing.
8:30
And then I think everybody
8:33
here probably UM, I would like to think
8:35
of themselves UM
8:37
having a public purpose. At the end of it
8:39
all, when you get to be my age, you want
8:42
to look back and I think somehow the world
8:44
was better off for your having been here.
8:47
And so these ideas
8:49
that were coming out, you know, the
8:51
essence of efficient markets, it was already
8:55
well developed. He had already coined the term
8:58
UM. And you just said, this is
9:00
enormously useful. If you look at the way
9:03
money was managed fifty years ago, people
9:05
are getting ripped off. I mean, fees were way
9:07
too high. You know, the commissions were
9:09
fixed by the government, uh at about
9:12
ten times what they are today, and uh
9:14
we forth it's free today.
9:17
So it's a lot more
9:19
than ten x yeah. Yeah, yeah,
9:21
So it's um. I think there
9:23
was a spirit of that
9:26
we can improve people's lives, you
9:28
know, a real purpose to all of
9:30
this. Gene um
9:33
more on the research side, and I've
9:36
thought my role in all this would be
9:38
more on the application of
9:40
the ideas. So you become
9:43
Jane's teaching assistant. How
9:45
did that come about? I
9:47
always I always picked the student
9:49
in the class in the previous year
9:51
to be the teachers good student. It's
9:54
the best of the class. You
9:57
don't have to laugh at that. I mean, so
10:02
best student, professor
10:04
Farmers teaching assistant. Why not a career
10:07
in academia. Well, first
10:10
off, I realized I could never compete with gene
10:12
I mean when you're at the top of the
10:14
mountain. Um.
10:16
But it's really something. It caused
10:19
me to reflect and you know, really internally
10:21
and what what am I about? What do I enjoy?
10:24
And I
10:27
I just saw this as a great opportunity to go out
10:29
to apply all these ideas people
10:31
were developing. Every new paper coming
10:33
out was a landmark paper. It was it
10:35
was all brand new stuff, and uh,
10:38
none of them was being applied. So we're
10:40
gonna come back to the application very
10:42
shortly. But you mentioned that
10:44
all these new ground baking, groundbreaking
10:47
papers were coming out. Professor
10:50
Farmer, your doctoral thesis in four
10:53
was the behavior of stock market
10:55
prices, And this sentence
10:58
jumps right off the page quote
11:00
chart reading, though perhaps an interesting
11:03
pastime, is of no real
11:05
value to the stock market investor. So
11:08
this gets published in the Journal of Business in
11:10
nine. What sort
11:12
of pushback do you get to the general
11:14
concept that UM
11:17
charts are of no use past market
11:21
walk is of no future predictability
11:24
to what happens going forward. You got a
11:26
lot of a lot of pushback from the professionals.
11:29
The academics looked at the data, looked
11:31
at what people were saying, what they were
11:33
showing, and adopted it right away.
11:35
I mean, there was no prospect among the
11:37
academics. Really, it's really the beginning
11:39
of I mean, if you had to summarize
11:43
really impact of all this is UM
11:46
what was going on in Chicago then really
11:48
changed the way people think about
11:51
investing. And that's really been the theme,
11:54
and Jen has changed the way people think
11:56
about investing more than that's that's
11:58
the pre and post law line, pre FAMA
12:01
and post Fauma there's a
12:03
ce change. I don't like the postframa
12:06
business meaning
12:12
meaning post publication of
12:14
your way. So
12:17
we not only have your doctoral thesis,
12:19
we have the efficient market paper.
12:22
We have the FAMA French three factor
12:24
paper. There are a number of very
12:27
very influential papers that
12:29
David, if I'm hearing you correctly, you're
12:32
saying that changed the
12:34
firmaments of finance forever, changing
12:36
it forever and for the better. I mean,
12:38
I get particularly, and there's
12:43
among students there's this kind of antipathy
12:45
towards finance and economics, you know,
12:48
and they don't realize how much
12:51
UH finance has changed
12:53
for the better. People's lives have been
12:55
improved by these ideas in this research,
12:58
lower fees, better of risk control, and
13:01
so forth. So
13:03
so let's let's compare
13:05
then and now a little more specifically,
13:08
and we'll start by talking efficient markets.
13:11
Back in the days when active managers
13:13
were dominant, inefficiencies
13:15
could still be easily found, as
13:17
could to percent fees. Professionals
13:20
didn't believe markets were efficient. They
13:23
thought they were kind of sort of eventually
13:25
efficient. I doubt many
13:28
of them would say that today, what
13:30
do you think has changed to bring
13:32
so many people over to the efficient market
13:34
theory, well, the
13:37
accumulation of of performance
13:40
evidence. So back then there wasn't
13:42
there was no real evidence on how these
13:44
people did. Uh. And one
13:47
of the first papers was like Jensen's thesis,
13:49
which studied
13:51
new toral funds for the previous
13:53
twenty five years and so that
13:56
basically they weren't beating the market. Uh.
13:59
And now we know
14:01
on hindsight that in fact that has
14:03
to be true that active
14:06
management is a zero sum game before
14:09
cost because they don't
14:11
they can't win from the passive managers because the
14:13
passive people hold cap weight portfolios.
14:15
They don't, they don't overweight and underweight
14:18
in response to what the active people do.
14:20
So if there's anybody underweighting and
14:22
overweighting, there has to be another active manager on
14:25
the other side doing the opposite,
14:27
which means if one wins, the other loses some
14:30
of those is zero before
14:32
costs
14:37
arithmetic of active management. He
14:39
calls it the arithmetic because it is arithmetic.
14:42
It's not a proposition. It has to
14:44
be true for everyone, or there's an offsetting
14:46
loose. So what
14:48
about technology, how does that impact
14:51
how fast information
14:53
makes its way into prices? It
14:55
should make it better, Uh,
14:58
but you know, truth is, prices
15:01
are so volatile. Markets
15:04
have always looked really efficient. They
15:06
don't look anymore efficient than they
15:08
and they ever have with the introduction of
15:10
all the technology. So
15:13
if information is spread much
15:15
more quickly now than it was fifty
15:17
years ago because you have so many sources and
15:19
they're so quick, but you
15:22
can't really see in the data that that's
15:24
had a quantum effect on
15:26
the adjustment of crisis to information. So
15:30
we may not be able to see it explicitly in
15:32
the data. But when we look at
15:34
things like hedge fund performance, they
15:37
did very well before the financial crisis,
15:40
since then not as well. We
15:42
look at the money flows away from
15:45
expensive active towards
15:47
inexpensive passive, it
15:49
sounds like lots of investors
15:51
are voting with their dollars that, hey,
15:54
the market is efficient and we can't beat it.
15:57
Doesn't it seem like technology is dry
16:00
having some of that Because there
16:02
used to be information asymmetries. There
16:05
used to be inefficiencies that a
16:07
savvy manager might have been able to
16:09
find. It sounds like it's even harder
16:11
to find those inefficiencies today
16:14
than thirty years ago. Um,
16:16
Hey, you have better information than I
16:18
do because you're saying,
16:21
so it's always looked, it's always
16:23
been that, it's always been zero
16:25
sum game. I've been in the business
16:28
now almost fifty years, and every
16:30
year people say, next year is gonna be the stockpickers
16:32
stockpickers market? Well Gene saying
16:34
is it's arithmetically impossible.
16:38
So so let's talk a little bit about index
16:41
funds. Gene. You introduced
16:43
David when he is finishing
16:46
his NBA and wants to go out into the world of
16:49
work, to John McGowan over at Wells
16:51
Fargo, where they were developing
16:53
as an institutional product, the
16:56
first index fund. What
16:58
made you think that that was a good fit for
17:01
for David mac
17:03
mcclown, who was in charge
17:05
of the Wells Fargo unit, came to
17:08
well the seminars we did here for business people,
17:10
we didn't twice a year, the Center for
17:12
Research and Security Prices were in seminars for
17:15
interested business people and Mac
17:17
came to all of them
17:19
and he seemed very you
17:22
know, into the new stuff. And
17:24
so when it came down the David
17:26
said, I see what you do, but I don't want to do it as
17:30
an academic. So I called
17:32
Mac and said, I have a really good student
17:35
here if you've got a place him and he did.
17:38
So what was your experience like it? Wells Fargo
17:40
working on that index one, Well, there was a terrific
17:43
experience, great exposure. I
17:46
learned the importance of a
17:49
client work. I mean investment
17:51
businesses part technology
17:53
or investment science, and it's part
17:56
client work. And as
18:00
I've told Jean, you know, I studied finance
18:02
for two years, I've been studying client
18:05
work at the last
18:08
you know. And that was we uh, we
18:11
were so naive about dealing
18:15
with clients and what they would be interested in, and
18:18
we were so pumped up, jazzed up about
18:20
the ideas. Somehow, um,
18:24
we missed the mark and actually my
18:26
group got it was unsuccessful,
18:29
we got shut down, but they were um,
18:32
the other parts of the bank kept it going. And
18:34
now that little
18:37
project we started end up as
18:39
through various hands, is now a big part
18:41
of black Rock. So so let's
18:44
that's right. It eventually ended up going to Barclays
18:46
and then black Rock bis them and now I shares
18:49
I think they're coming up on six or seven
18:51
trillion dollars not to not too
18:54
shabby. Um, but let's talk
18:56
about the application of
18:58
genes theories to the practice
19:01
of working with clients post
19:03
Wells far ago. You decide to open
19:07
the small microcap fund out
19:09
of your second bedroom in an apartment
19:11
in Brooklyn. Tell us how you
19:13
applied Professor Farmers research
19:16
to that microcap fund. Well,
19:18
the first thing is, UM, we decided
19:21
UM not to have UH
19:24
around the portfolio like an index fund,
19:26
even though at first we call it an index
19:28
fund because it's very similar to indexing.
19:31
With the final step being UM
19:34
that we don't trade UH
19:37
market on clothes like many index funds
19:39
do. UM. And what that means
19:41
is we were we would be trading
19:43
stocks throughout the day. Well, that
19:45
created a lot of skepticism, particularly
19:48
among academics, because you're going to the
19:50
marketplace. You know, you don't have any
19:52
undiscounted information. People
19:55
on the other side of your trade, largely institutions,
19:57
think they know a lot about the stock. You
20:00
know, why won't they just rip your eyes out when
20:02
you're trading. That's a that's a quite
20:04
legitimate question. Uh. Well,
20:07
I mean that the answer is there a lot of things you can do
20:10
to use the energy of markets and the power
20:12
of markets to your advantage. It
20:14
turns out, for example, if we want
20:16
to buy a stock. Let's say, um,
20:20
they have an institution wants to sell
20:22
it. Their anxiety is greater than ours,
20:24
so we can use that their interest
20:27
in trying to do a quick trade
20:30
to our advantage and protect
20:32
ourselves. And there's you know, plenty
20:34
of information now floating
20:36
out about the stock that you can use to protect
20:39
yourself. But that wasn't known back then.
20:41
It was just we had a belief in markets,
20:43
belief and and how they work based
20:46
on what we studied here and
20:48
said, look, we think we can go out
20:50
and trade these stocks and not uh
20:53
not get killed that there were
20:56
two pieces done here and it's
20:59
most stuck turns and
21:01
most of the academics said, well,
21:03
it looks good in terms of the
21:05
crisp historical data, but in fact,
21:08
if you try to trade it, you're going to get swamped
21:10
by trading costs. Uh. And
21:13
that was the so called market micro struct
21:15
just stuff. And then we figured
21:17
out what we found out what dimensional
21:19
was, No, he really didn't have to pay those
21:21
big bit ast spreads that you were seeing. You
21:24
could go fewer, was patient trader.
21:26
You could do better with the prices,
21:28
so we could deliver this small stuff premium.
21:32
But previous to that, people weren't
21:35
believes what the academics
21:37
learned was the market micro structure stuff was
21:40
garbage. Basically they didn't really understand.
21:43
Interesting. Um, what we
21:45
learned about clients along the way, which was seeing
21:48
in our
21:50
initial clients were all large, largest
21:53
pension funds, essentially insurance companies
21:55
around the world, and they
21:57
weren't hopening the stocks of small companies. So
22:00
really the pitch we got into
22:03
all this stuff, but we hadn't even easier
22:05
argument, which was, look, you ought to hold
22:07
stocks of large companies and small, and
22:09
you're not holding small, so we'll get you access
22:12
to small. So that was the really
22:14
the sales pitch that put us on the
22:16
map. And so that sales pitch starts
22:18
to take off and dimensional operating
22:21
out of your apartment gets bigger. There's
22:23
kind of an urgent urban legend that
22:26
you called New York Telephone to have them
22:28
add six phone lines and they
22:30
refused. They thought you were running a bookie joy.
22:33
Is that remotely true? Yeah, this was about
22:35
the kind of at the bottom
22:37
of Brooklyn Heights, uh, bottom
22:40
of its history. It's so
22:44
we started on a shoe string and we ran the
22:46
portfolio. Was the first portfolio manager running
22:49
out of my spare bedroom. So I knew
22:51
we needed more phone lights. So
22:53
I called up New
22:56
York Telephone, which was a telephone company
22:58
at the time. So the need, you
23:00
know, uh some telephone lines
23:02
and I know six or eight or whatever, and
23:05
they thought it was a bookie, so they wouldn't give me the lines.
23:07
So I had to call up the Treasure of New York tell say,
23:10
can you send some people down here and give me
23:12
some telephone lines. And they
23:15
went around the whole block and found that there were
23:17
six lines available available
23:20
and the whole block that based on their
23:22
equipment, and they said, okay, you can have those
23:25
six lines. And that's how we got started. And
23:28
the punch line is he becomes a client.
23:30
Yeah, yeah, right, New York that was a clickly became
23:32
a clie down. So so
23:35
from from day one, Gene
23:37
is a board member of Dimensional
23:39
Funds. From the day it launches, well
23:42
even before I mean, we have
23:44
the idea to start the firm. Uh
23:47
uh. My first
23:49
call it was to Gene say, look, you
23:51
know, it's been ten years since I
23:53
was in school. We uh,
23:56
there's been a lot of research, you know, we we needed
23:59
we needed to have access to you
24:01
know, new research and thinking. And
24:04
would you be on the you know, one of the
24:06
founders and and uh and
24:08
and be our list you know, our our
24:10
eyes in terms of research.
24:13
And he agreed to do that right away. Who
24:15
else did you recruit from GSP?
24:18
Well, eventually we found out we had
24:20
to have We wanted to create a mutual fund,
24:22
and a mutual fund has to have an
24:25
independent board of directors. So
24:27
Rex and I went over the Business School, walked
24:30
into Martin Miller's office. They
24:32
still teach mollarble deiply on the theaters, don't take
24:34
Yeah, okay, Uh.
24:37
So Martin was there. We said to you know, he
24:39
added a YadA small company fund need independent
24:41
directors and um and said,
24:43
oh sure. And I walked out the
24:46
door and down the hall and Myron Schulz
24:48
was coming out of his office. I gol Myron, he
24:52
had the YadA. See Gene's
24:55
point. Business school was
24:57
a lot smaller then, and having been to the
24:59
pH d program, I got to know
25:01
the faculty pretty well. So Myron
25:04
uh agreed to join, and so
25:06
on and so forth. So in fact,
25:08
until recently, all the independent directors
25:11
of the mutual fund, our mutual
25:13
fund be Uh have taught at Chicago,
25:16
so his his business partner, Reck Singfield,
25:19
was in my class as well. He
25:21
was really the first one to put out an index
25:24
one, wasn't he? No, No, it was but
25:29
but Rex. Actually that
25:31
was when I was his teaching consistent. He took uh
25:35
jeans class. And Rex was always
25:38
uh one of these pain in the neck as a teaching
25:40
consistant students because he was interested
25:42
in everything you know. I'm
25:44
so Jean. You
25:46
moved pretty easily back and forth
25:49
between academic theory and
25:51
real world application of
25:54
theories. Not
25:57
a lot of people were able to bridge that gap between
25:59
academics. Well I hadn't. I hadn't been able to
26:01
bridge it either until Dimentcino
26:03
came along. But here
26:05
it is. It's forty years later, and you seem
26:07
to continue to be right because he Uh.
26:10
The reason they couldn't just because one,
26:13
it's hard to shut me up. I don't take a party line
26:15
too too too easily. And
26:18
he didn't. Ever, He
26:21
and Rex never said would you please
26:23
do this? What they said was, you do what you
26:25
do and we'll figure out if we can use
26:27
any of it. And that fits in
26:29
with the way I work so frequently
26:34
he would come in and say, look, get
26:36
get ready to make a presentation for our clients. They go,
26:39
you know, I don't know what your clients are gonna want to hear this. I
26:41
go, look, Jane, you know, say what's on your
26:43
mind. It's been controls my department, you
26:45
know. And that seems to have worked out.
26:48
So what was your involvement
26:50
with the investment committee in the
26:52
early days of dimensional um?
26:55
Were you participating actively
26:57
in it? Were you managing it? What were you doing?
27:00
Well? I was doing this back and forth
27:02
with the research stuff. But then
27:05
they started a fixed
27:07
income fund based on fixed income research
27:10
they had done in the seventies, and
27:13
they said, do you want to come in and trade it for a
27:15
day? And I said, sure, I remember traded
27:17
anything. So
27:20
I went in. I know how much money did we? Here were ten million
27:22
dollars from somebody and I managed
27:24
to buy twenty million dollars of bonds and
27:28
that was a big problem. Actually, so
27:31
waitwa, Gene Fama day
27:33
trader. I just want
27:36
to make sure that that was the last day.
27:40
But I couldn't see the problem,
27:46
that's right. Um, So you introduce
27:49
the Fama French paper on value
27:53
dimensional funds, introduce as a US large
27:56
value and you are small value. In
27:58
ninety three on another farm of
28:00
French paper leads to international
28:03
value coming out in that
28:06
paper won a Graham and Dot Award of Excellence.
28:09
Was there anyone else trying to apply
28:11
this sort of academic research to
28:13
either investing theory
28:16
or the creation of investable products
28:19
on the market? There they're always kind of um.
28:23
Departments of big banks and people were kind
28:25
of playing around with it. But we were
28:27
the only ones willing to stand up and say, um,
28:31
this is what we believe and this is
28:33
what we think you ought to do. Um.
28:35
Now they're we have all the
28:37
quant managers out there. We got tons of people
28:40
uh uh out there, you
28:42
know, trying to apply the same data.
28:44
And back then we basically were at In
28:47
fact, I often go around and show people
28:49
thirty year track record on the various funds
28:51
UM and
28:53
I go, you know, we had a lot of competition
28:55
back then, but they don't seem nobody seems
28:58
to have a thirty year track record.
29:02
They did not survive long enough to So
29:05
let me fast forward, um a couple
29:08
of decades to the mid two thousand's.
29:10
In two thousand and eight, David Booth
29:12
made the largest donation ever given
29:14
to a business school, which
29:16
has been called a transformational
29:19
gift. Tell us about your
29:21
thinking. What made you decide in
29:23
the middle of the financial crisis
29:25
to say, I know, I want
29:27
to make a donation to my alma
29:30
mater. Well, it was I'm kind
29:32
of ties into the story I was talking about earlier. I
29:34
mean, what, Uh, it got
29:36
to be the stage where it was time to pay back, and
29:39
um, I
29:41
mean I wouldn't been anywhere
29:43
without Chicago. So
29:46
I said, I wanted to give a big chunk of what
29:48
I have and uh, um,
29:52
this was a mix of stocks and cash,
29:54
Is that correct? And it was actually,
29:57
Um, I didn't have a lot of cash at
29:59
that time. It was because
30:02
we just recently
30:05
started to accumulate the money big
30:07
enough to but I had stock in
30:09
the firm, and so I gave him
30:11
basically ownership of a
30:14
big chunk of the of the stock that I
30:16
had, and they were
30:18
willing to take a bit on that. And
30:20
it turned up to be a convet and that
30:23
that comes with a dividend which continues
30:25
to pay its way to uh to
30:28
booth. Were you at all
30:30
concerned that you were right in the middle of
30:32
a financial crisis giving
30:34
ownership of a financial firm. A
30:37
lot of firms did not make it
30:39
through the financial crisis. Yeah, maybe it ties
30:41
in with the earlier question about what I learned
30:43
from here about markets and how they work,
30:46
and you have to kind of keep in the
30:48
depth of the financial crisis. It kind
30:50
of had to keep reminding people. You know,
30:52
markets are where buyers and sellers come together
30:55
and in a voluntary transaction, both sides
30:57
of a trade have to feel like they have a good
30:59
they got a deal, or they don't trade. They don't trade.
31:02
So you know, there's a lot of trading volume activity
31:04
and a lot of well known investors
31:06
investing, and it's just you
31:08
know, one of those UM. It
31:11
was comfortable those markets were functioning the way
31:13
they ought to function. Sometimes
31:15
they go up, sometimes they go down. Gene,
31:17
how did David's gift impact the
31:19
Graduate School of Business? Huh,
31:22
it was. It was
31:25
a big lot of cash flow that was not
31:27
there beforehand, so it
31:31
gave rise to lots of research centers.
31:34
I think you made everybody feel
31:36
as if the future is more or
31:38
less assured. UM
31:40
and the university also got a
31:43
pretty good take out of itself, as
31:45
they always do, so
31:48
David, you tell a charming story
31:51
about sitting with the dean and
31:53
you It wasn't your intention for this
31:55
originally to be a naming gift. They
31:57
seem to have brought that up to you. Can you you
32:00
right know? I said I wanted for
32:02
the reasons I outlined, I wanted to make a
32:04
gift a big part of what I have, um,
32:07
and so this is what I want to do. And
32:10
the Dean, Ted Snyder at the time, said we
32:13
were looking to have a naming gift
32:15
from the business School. This is a lot better deal than
32:17
that what we're looking for, So we'll
32:19
name the school after you. Okay,
32:22
whatever you know. So
32:28
since then the school has continued to
32:30
grow in in both reputation
32:32
and number of students and the offerings
32:35
here. Um. And then fast
32:37
forward, uh, five years after
32:39
that, Jane gets a phone
32:42
call from Sweden. Let's talk
32:44
a little bit about that. What was your
32:46
experience like, Uh, did the
32:48
phone call manage to reach you? Tell us? Tell
32:51
us what that was like? Well, they think
32:53
they call it early the morning
32:57
Stockholm time, which is
32:59
really really in the in here. It thinks about five or six
33:01
o'clock. So I
33:03
don't know. You never expect to get it, because a lot
33:05
of people could qualify to to get
33:07
it when you get it. Somehow, Pete
33:10
they the people he somehow had
33:12
I guess or whatever. I don't know why, because they were
33:15
newspaper people at my door ten
33:18
minutes later after after
33:20
the call and they wanted to come in my house.
33:25
I said, no way, you're
33:28
class. Well, I had a class that morning, and
33:31
you don't. You don't get a special dispensation when
33:34
you could.
33:36
But I had never missed the class in all the years
33:38
I've been teaching in fifty years. Yeah, I
33:40
wasn't gonna start now, so when
33:42
I wasn't gonna let anybody in because the kids
33:44
in the class were paying a lot of money to take that course,
33:48
So no way I wanted people from the outside
33:50
disturbing it. So, David,
33:52
you ended up going to Stockholme with
33:55
Jeane. What what was that experience like? Um,
33:59
well, of course, being Chicago
34:01
trained, I've been to the ceremony
34:03
before with when when Myron and Bob
34:05
Martin got there Nobel, So you
34:07
know it's you're kind of used to this of you so
34:12
third times of charm. Yeah, so
34:16
the uh so, I I said
34:18
to Jane, give me a night, uh to
34:20
organize something special. So I
34:23
talked to Abba has
34:25
a museum in Stockholm that they just
34:28
opened, and I talked them into running me out
34:30
the museum for the evening.
34:32
So Jeane, you know, he has four
34:34
kids and that time about eight grandkids and
34:37
they're all u big music
34:39
fans and so the Abbe
34:41
Museum has a lot of u um um
34:45
things you can do to have fun and um.
34:47
One of them is a big stage with a scrim on
34:49
it and with four Abba
34:52
musicians singing with a microphone
34:54
right in the middle, and so you it looks like
34:56
you're singing with them. And so I looked, so
34:58
this went on. They were the kids, The kids went wild.
35:00
I looked over Jeane like and Sally, and
35:03
I could see that they were they were having
35:05
fun. So it made it special for me.
35:08
So the whole thing some people have described
35:10
as surreal. What was your the
35:13
day of the day after So they
35:15
had a big event here of the school, really
35:18
big event, I mean news
35:20
and everything. The circles
35:24
around the building, we're all full of students
35:26
um. And the next day
35:29
the Nobel people have a camera committee there
35:32
following me across the
35:34
Harper Center, the big
35:36
hum in the middle, and students
35:38
are working on on the sides, and we
35:41
worked down the middle. Nobody looks up. So
35:45
we get to the other side, and the television
35:47
guy says, nobody looked up when I said, this
35:50
is the University of Chicago. If they had to look
35:52
up every time I nobil fries when I walked right,
35:54
get nothing done. And
35:58
and to show you how true that
36:00
is, David Booth and Gene
36:03
and I get an elevator on
36:05
four to come down here, and a student
36:07
gets in wearing headphones, turns
36:09
around, doesn't say a word to either of you, and
36:12
the four of us wrote down in silence. He was completely
36:14
oblivious to who was in the elevator
36:17
with him. So I'm always fascinated
36:19
by that sort of stuff. So
36:22
so let's let's talk a little
36:24
bit about um some other
36:26
things that you've written about, and the
36:28
two of you have applied. One
36:30
of the quotes of Professor Farmers that I enjoy
36:33
is quote, why is anyone
36:36
even reading Wall Street Research? Unquote?
36:39
So I have to ask you, why do people
36:41
read Wall Street Research? I
36:43
don't know. It's
36:47
it's businessman's pornography, basically
36:49
business based pornography. It's
36:52
not the real thing. It's
36:55
not the real thing. Okay.
36:58
Um, so
37:03
let's talk a little bit about value. I'm gonna
37:05
try and realist. Let's
37:08
talk about value and growth. Value
37:11
has a tendency to go through these longer
37:13
periods where growth is beating
37:15
it. And over the past decade it's
37:17
been if you weren't in big cap
37:20
us growth, um,
37:22
you were underperforming. Everything has
37:24
been um the SMP five
37:26
hundred. When we look at emerging markets, we
37:28
look at small cap, we look at value. Heaven
37:31
forbid, you're an emerging market small cap
37:33
value. It's been terrible. What
37:36
sort of lessons should investors take
37:38
from this extended period of growth
37:40
growth beating value? Well, the
37:43
question they want to ask is as
37:45
value dead? Okay,
37:47
let's Kennan.
37:50
I actually were reading a paper on this at the
37:52
moment. But the bottom line
37:54
is there's so much volatility in these
37:56
premiums that you can't tell if the premium
37:59
is teamed or not. It may
38:01
have changed, it may not. You just can't tell
38:03
us. Let's see a wholl within the range of
38:05
chance experience that the
38:07
poor return experiences well within the
38:10
range of chance over the time that's
38:12
that it's occurred. So you really can't
38:14
say anything. So
38:16
so there have been other periods
38:19
of time where value is done poorly.
38:21
I remember hearing in this
38:25
value investor was washed up, this guy named
38:27
Warren Buffett. He doesn't know what he's doing.
38:29
And typically when you hear that,
38:31
it's usually at the ends, towards
38:33
the end of that period of underperformance. Um,
38:36
you're suggesting we won't know for
38:39
some period of time if the value
38:41
premium is gone or if it's just a regular
38:43
cyclical underperformance. I
38:46
don't think there are real cycles to it. I
38:48
think it's just kind of random that go
38:50
through good in bed periods,
38:53
and you know, you can't recognize them except that from
38:55
the fact you can't really predict
38:57
them. Uh, we've we've
39:00
tried tests, we've tried predictive tests,
39:02
and they have marginal nothing
39:06
worth even focusing focusing
39:09
on. So basically is stuck with the
39:11
volatility of equity returns.
39:13
They don't allow to say very much about what's
39:16
happened to expected returns going forward.
39:19
And and David, what we've
39:21
seen a huge proliferation of various
39:24
factor funds, not just the three
39:26
factor, of the five factor, of the seven factor model.
39:29
They're now hundreds identified. What
39:31
does this mean for investors? Has
39:33
has the proliferation of all
39:36
these new factors been good for investors or
39:38
is it a non event? Well,
39:41
I mean I think on balance
39:43
um UM has been overstated
39:45
and whatever whatever it is the
39:49
you know, I think UM researchers
39:51
identified, you know, factors
39:55
that seem to explain differences in average returns.
39:58
But there can't be hundreds of factor I
40:00
mean, they got it, They're probably at the end of
40:02
the day, they're probably a few factors. Uh
40:04
and Gene and ken. One of the things they try to do
40:06
is instead of trying to identify more
40:08
and more factors, just take the researchers
40:10
out there and can shrink it down
40:13
to simpler, you know, more factors
40:15
that matter, factors that matter, well,
40:17
lots of lots of these things that just different manifestations
40:19
of the same thing. Give us an example.
40:22
So value can be very measured in many different
40:24
ways. I can use the book to market ratio
40:26
you need to catch full at the price. They can use
40:29
lots of different variables, so I identify
40:31
what is basically this same thing. Uh.
40:34
And there
40:36
are thousands of finance
40:38
professors out there who all want to get ten
40:41
here um they have the publish
40:43
to do that. So they're
40:45
all just kind of searching through the data finding
40:48
stuff that maybe there only
40:50
on a chance basis that won't be there
40:52
out of sample. So there's lots
40:55
of work being done and
40:57
it remains to be done on what we call
40:59
robust this. How does this stand up when
41:01
I have new data? So we we've
41:03
always been into robustness in the sense that
41:06
when we found it in the ninety two paper,
41:09
we went back and collected the data back to that
41:11
data started in the sixty
41:14
three We then went back and collected
41:16
the data back to to
41:18
look out a sample, and then we looked at the international leader
41:21
to look at a sample, and so pretty much
41:23
the same thing everywhere. Um,
41:27
now we've had a bad period of this, but
41:29
relative to all of that, it doesn't look that
41:32
doesn't look that serious. And
41:35
I have to ask you a question about
41:37
behavioral economics. Um,
41:40
we're here in Chicago, where we
41:42
could short of call at the birthplace of behavioral
41:45
finance. What do you think about that area
41:47
and what's your involvement with it. Well,
41:52
my good friend Richard Taylor, who
41:55
is the king of the behavioral
41:57
finance people and another Nobel law that
41:59
no one I teach them and say I'm the most
42:01
important person in behavioral finance.
42:04
Are because
42:07
most of the behavioral finance is just the criticism
42:09
of official markets.
42:12
So without me, what have they got? And
42:17
and you and and Dick Taylor are golf
42:20
parts are so do you argue
42:22
across eighteen holes or you know?
42:24
The reality is we agree on the
42:26
facts, we disagree on the interpretation
42:31
um For example, he
42:33
thinks the value premium
42:35
is the result of people's
42:38
misperceptions of what
42:41
accounting information and other information
42:43
looks like. That it's all based on misinterpretation
42:47
of information. Now, if you believe
42:49
that, then you think it should go away, because
42:52
it's possible to teach people that they have these
42:55
these biases are professional managers
42:57
should be able to get past them,
43:00
but they still have emotional reactions
43:02
that sometimes they can't get that.
43:05
That's the thing about behavior lea going elements. What their
43:08
studies seem to show is people
43:10
don't learn from experience. If you're
43:12
stupidly, repeatedly stupid, you don't
43:15
learn. And most people are stupid. I mean, that's
43:18
that's the provisation. Someone has to be on
43:20
the wrong side of that trade. You said it's a zero
43:22
sum, right, So so you guys
43:24
agree more than you than you might realize
43:27
the fact, but not the interpretation.
43:30
But there is no behavioral finance.
43:33
Wait say that again. There is no
43:35
behavioral finance. There's no it's all just
43:37
a criticism of official markets really
43:40
with no evidence. Is
43:45
dick here? I
43:48
think he would disagree with that. So that's
43:50
not so sure because when when
43:52
I put the challenge to him twenty years ago, I wrote
43:54
a paper that said, Okay, now you've
43:57
been criticizing us for the last whatever, it's
43:59
time for you to come up with a theory that we can actually
44:02
test and see if it works or
44:04
not. And what was response? We're still
44:06
waiting. Actually
44:08
you presented that paper at a at
44:10
U c L A at Gene walks
44:12
in and says, all the way over, I
44:14
was thinking about breaking my leg or something. So I
44:17
can catch some sympathy here. And
44:20
to be fair, when Taylor won the Nobel
44:23
Prize, he admitted his
44:25
plan was to spend the money as irrationally
44:27
as possible. So even he even
44:30
he agrees with you on that. UM,
44:33
I wanted to ask about, uh,
44:36
some of your comments on Beta.
44:40
You said beta is dead. Do
44:42
you still believe beta is dead. Well,
44:45
the evidence basically says that
44:47
the relation between averaging tune
44:49
and beta it's too flat to be
44:51
explained by the capitalistic
44:53
pricing model. That's a real shame because
44:56
that model is so simple. Um,
44:58
if it were true, it would really
45:01
be like life,
45:03
a lot simpler in many ways.
45:06
But it just has never worked very well. All
45:09
right, So what we're gonna do now? I
45:11
have more, many more questions. But this
45:13
thing is lighting up, and we have questions
45:15
from the audience. So I'm gonna I'm gonna
45:18
ask a few from this and see, uh see
45:20
where we go from here. Um, let's talk
45:22
about your views on the future of active
45:24
management. Where do you see the industry
45:26
going in ten years? And this is for both of you,
45:29
active management active management, Well,
45:31
it's been shrinking really slowly. So
45:35
when Kenn did his American
45:37
Finance Association Presidents
45:40
did his president speech, what he's what
45:42
he said was one of the things he said was we've
45:45
gone from zero to and
45:48
I think it was about forty years at that time, maybe
45:50
a little more, and since then we've
45:52
gone to like I think it's up to thirty or forty.
45:54
Now that's passively man. So that's
45:56
permeated very slowly through the
45:59
profess Yeah, what where
46:02
it will go from me? Or we'll see and
46:04
and some people have made the argument you
46:06
have to separate active from
46:09
expensive locost active
46:11
is attractive. Obviously this is a
46:13
key tenant at dimensional funds. How
46:16
much of the move away from active
46:18
has really been away from expensive
46:22
I think a big part of it. And
46:24
in fact that a lot of the move to indexing
46:27
is through e t f s and a lot of the a
46:29
lot of that is just a new version of active
46:31
management. Um or managers
46:34
say, look, I don't think I can pick individual stocks,
46:37
but I can tell them sectors of the market, So
46:39
let me buy buy E t f
46:41
s. So it's really kind of confusing as
46:43
to uh, you know what the
46:45
trend has been in active management. But I
46:48
I think active managers
46:50
are resourceful and always compe with
46:52
new ideas of trying to entice
46:55
people with magic with
46:57
magic. So the pushback
47:00
against um efficient market we
47:02
always see this argument. Berkshire
47:04
Hathaway had strong returns in its early
47:07
years as the result of Warren
47:09
Buffett's skill and security selection.
47:11
How given Professor Farmer's comments
47:13
and market efficiency, how can
47:16
this early success be explained.
47:18
So you take you have probably
47:20
a hundred thousand people picking stocks right
47:23
right over a period of time, then
47:25
you pick out the one who does
47:27
the best and impute
47:29
that to skill. The problem
47:31
is, if I have a hundred thousand
47:33
people picking, what's the probability
47:36
that one of them will look extraordinary? Purely
47:38
on a chance basis, You'll you'll always
47:40
have some outliers that look, you'll get a big
47:43
old layer in that in that experiment. But that's
47:45
the way that the newspaper accounts
47:47
run. They take after, they look after the fact,
47:49
and they pick out the winners. So every year, for
47:51
example, they pick out the best performers
47:54
of the last five ten years, and you look at
47:56
the following period. No, no,
47:58
no correlation between past the tay and
48:00
and in fact we've seen the morning store manager
48:03
of the year tends to significantly out
48:05
before underperform in the
48:07
decade once they win manager
48:09
of the decade. But that would surprise me too, I
48:12
would think they'd just be random.
48:14
No, no persistency, In fact, negative
48:16
persistency. We've had the sas in
48:18
that subductative. How much persistence
48:21
is there in performance? The answer is basically
48:23
zero. Zero, and I
48:26
have to the best predictor of future performance
48:28
is FeAs and expenses that you know, it's
48:30
ironic that came out of morning
48:33
Star, that did a big study and
48:35
they sell their morning Star rating and it
48:37
turned out ignore everything else, just
48:39
picked the cheapest fun pretty pretty
48:42
astonishing, right, Well, they come up. I
48:44
think they came out and said came out and said
48:46
there's no relation between between future performance
48:49
and the way we ran things. There's
48:51
another question if it comes out to that, so
48:54
so um. One
48:57
one of the questions that is asked by the room.
48:59
If the mark it becomes truly efficient one
49:01
day, what happens to all the management
49:04
farms? That question assumes
49:06
that markets aren't truly efficient today.
49:09
How do you respond to that? What's
49:13
the evidence? No, I mean I don't
49:15
think it's I think all of it is wrong. So it's
49:18
different. There will still be a management
49:20
business, you just will have very little active
49:22
in it, so that you
49:24
have to have some active investors to make price
49:26
prices efficient. The problem
49:29
is you don't expect them to be professional managers
49:32
because the logic of being
49:34
a good investor is that you should get
49:36
their returns if you don't hand them back
49:38
to other people, you take them back
49:40
and higher fees. You know, that's the human
49:42
capital activity is
49:44
picking stocks or whatever investment
49:46
management. So if you have real skill, you should be charging,
49:49
you should go all the retention should go to you, Naz your
49:51
clients. And and this is for
49:53
both of you. What sort of opportunity
49:56
for out performance do you see in private
49:58
markets given that in for nation,
50:00
in that space is so much more
50:02
opaque than in public markets.
50:05
The problem is there are lots of good
50:07
people studying that, but they hamstrung
50:09
by the lack of good data
50:12
on people who live in people who
50:14
die the fund. You know, the managers
50:16
who live in what self reported.
50:19
It's not like so
50:21
you get you get it. You get a very
50:23
kind of biased set of data on that. But
50:26
you know, it's kind of depends on what into
50:28
that business you go to. If you're looking
50:30
at managers who actually run the
50:33
companies that they buy, they may actually
50:35
be able to add value, but it's management value.
50:37
It's not stuck picking value.
50:40
If they you're picking companies that have a
50:42
good idea but a fully run probably
50:45
you can have a lot of value added in that case. But
50:47
again, if you go to the guy's doing
50:49
it. That's
50:51
the that's the downside of it. They're the ones who take
50:54
all the profits out of it. Well, that's that's
50:56
the logic of human capital, right right.
50:59
And we didn't get to a question before
51:01
I have to ask about
51:04
bubbles. And this goes back to be
51:07
okay, So I don't know how to bleep
51:10
out the word bubbles. But what
51:12
do you mean by okay? So folks
51:15
like Failor and Chiller
51:17
would describe a bubble as
51:20
a period of excessive market
51:22
enthusiasm that leads prices
51:25
to far outstrip their fundamental
51:27
valuation. What's the testable proposition
51:29
here, though, I don't know, can you Well,
51:32
the way I interpret it is you must be able
51:34
to predict the end of it. Bubbles,
51:37
it would be something with a predictable ending. So it
51:39
has to be measurable by a predefined
51:41
set of parameters, and you should be able to
51:43
identify the end of it. So
51:46
if we were to say every time
51:48
that fails the test, I mean, I
51:50
mean you can't. People
51:53
can't identify bubbles that way
51:55
until after the fact. After the fact, it's
51:58
it's easy. But this is famous
52:00
theory around about you
52:02
know, the early origins of market efficiency,
52:05
which home work working, went into the
52:07
faculty lounge at Stanford. He was
52:10
agriculturally uh prices,
52:12
and he showed them chats of
52:15
of of prices, and he said, these were chats
52:17
of commodity prices, and he wanted
52:19
to not see if they could identify bubbles
52:22
and the prices, and every to a man, they
52:24
all could. There were no women. To
52:26
a man, they all could. The problem was
52:28
what he was showing them was accumulative random
52:30
numbers, as those just generated
52:34
uh stuff. So that the message there's
52:36
people see bubbles where there are now h.
52:41
So here's a here's a really broad question.
52:43
Given the societal angst of people attacking
52:46
the value of a business education,
52:49
what is your belief in the value of this
52:51
education booth and how
52:54
should we communicate this better
52:56
to society? Well, I think
52:58
it's it's incredibly
53:01
valuable to society, um,
53:04
because if we are going to
53:06
make lives better for people, part of
53:08
the answer has to come from better and
53:10
safer financial products. And
53:12
just that's the reality. And that's
53:14
been the history. I mean, it's like I say, I
53:17
look back on my career and
53:20
uh working with Gene and you
53:22
know, we've been part of the movement
53:24
towards lower fees and better controls.
53:27
So I can find it irritating when somebody
53:29
says, really, the only advanced the last fifty
53:32
years has been the A T M. You know. Uh
53:35
it's uh qu
53:38
yeah, live, we've
53:40
live based all this work live,
53:43
We've improved lives. Uh, and there
53:45
and other people with sharing the I s we're not
53:47
the only one. But I
53:49
mean, I don't think it gets much better than
53:51
that. And uh so I
53:54
would hate to have people, um
53:56
not to get into business
53:59
or particularly financial services. You
54:01
can have a good career in financial
54:03
services and at the end of it you
54:06
can look back on it and take pride in what you've accomplished.
54:09
It's as simple as that. So so that leads
54:11
to the next question. What keeps
54:13
both of you working? Neither of you have to work,
54:16
Why do both of you still get up
54:18
and go to the office each day. It's fun, it's
54:20
fun challenging, it's
54:23
important. I mean, it's exciting to see
54:26
the retired people living better
54:29
as a result of these ideas, or better
54:32
able to send their kids to colleagues or whatever. I
54:34
mean, these are These are not you
54:36
know, ideas that have no
54:38
importance. I mean, these are you
54:40
know that's you can get behind that kind
54:42
of idea. You get a lot of satisfaction
54:45
out of coming up with stuff people haven't
54:47
seen before. I have been recognized,
54:51
and we have time for one last
54:53
question, and I'm going to go with something
54:55
about, um, what do
54:57
you think the future of Chicago Booth looks
55:00
like? What is next in store
55:02
for the school? And this is for both of you.
55:05
Well, I can tell you that. So I've
55:07
been on the faculty since nineteen sixty three,
55:09
students since nineteen sixty.
55:12
In the sixties, basically
55:15
there was a pretty good economics group. There
55:17
was a developing finance group, and
55:19
that was it. I mean, there's
55:21
the school's junk. Well,
55:26
but look that was not unique to us. So
55:28
I remember when I was recruiting as a student,
55:31
UM in college not from
55:33
here. The people recruiting
55:35
said, why do you want to go to a business school? They
55:37
don't teach you anything, we don't pay anything for
55:40
what they what they do. And
55:42
that was too at that time. I think, and
55:45
what's happened through time is not just
55:47
finance, but every other area has
55:49
been academically
55:51
made more become more successful.
55:53
So marketing, accounting, statistics
55:57
was always pretty good, but it was never part of of
56:00
of business schools. So now we have
56:02
really front rank faculty
56:05
and every single discipline.
56:07
The school is so high, high
56:10
level, competitive on the faculty
56:12
side, on the research side. But it's
56:14
just there's no relation to what
56:16
it was fifty years ago. It's
56:18
a totally different professional place.
56:21
On the students side, I think there was a
56:23
challenge, and I've been complaining
56:25
about it for a long time. Students
56:27
don't work as hard as they did in
56:29
the old days. I've heard this is a
56:32
very very difficult school to
56:34
work your way through. Well, but the reality
56:37
is we keep track of hours
56:39
work per per per class out
56:41
of class. When I started
56:43
teaching, everybody was around fifteen
56:46
per class. That number has dropped
56:49
dramatically through time. I bet
56:51
this room would disagree with that. No, no, no,
56:53
no, we have the statistics. It's not it's
56:56
not it's not a guess. And
56:58
and David, what do you see as
57:00
the next decade holding for the Booth School?
57:03
Well, I'm not really in a position there.
57:05
I mean, wow, I just gave
57:08
him some money. I figured they
57:12
can figure that stuff out. If I had to figure that
57:14
out as well, I mean that would be a real
57:17
hero. You know, I I'm just um,
57:21
I'm not. I don't know where it's gonna go, but
57:24
wherever it goes is going to be important. And
57:27
and that's the perfect spot to end. Ladies
57:29
and gentlemen, please say thank you to Professor
57:32
Gene Fama and David Booth. That's
57:39
my conversation with David Booth and
57:41
Gene Fama. If you enjoyed that,
57:44
we'll go to Apple iTunes, look up
57:46
an inch or down an inch, and you could see
57:48
any of the nearly three d conversations
57:51
we've had over the past five
57:53
years. We love your comments, feedback
57:55
and suggestions right to us at
57:58
m IB podcast at bloom Berg dot
58:00
net. Be sure and give us a review at Apple
58:02
iTunes. Sign up from
58:04
my daily reads at rit Halts
58:07
dot com, follow me on Twitter
58:09
at rit Halts. I would be remiss
58:11
if I did not thank the crack staff that helps
58:14
us put these conversations together
58:16
this week and this week was an unusual
58:19
expedition. We all had to slip out to Chicago.
58:22
The folks at the University of Chicago were great. They
58:24
did a really great job in setting
58:27
things up so that we could both videotape
58:29
and audio record this. Michael
58:32
Boyle is my producer, and he was on hand
58:34
there along with a few other folks from Bloomberg
58:36
that really made everything go very smoothly. Charlie
58:39
Volmer is my audio engineer who helped
58:42
cut this monstrosity together. Atica
58:44
val Broun is our project manager.
58:47
Michael Batnick is my head of research. I'm
58:50
Barry rit Halts. You've been listening to Masters
58:52
in Business on Bloomberg Radio.
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