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MIB Live (Replay) with Eugene Fama and David Booth

MIB Live (Replay) with Eugene Fama and David Booth

Released Friday, 8th November 2019
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MIB Live (Replay) with Eugene Fama and David Booth

MIB Live (Replay) with Eugene Fama and David Booth

MIB Live (Replay) with Eugene Fama and David Booth

MIB Live (Replay) with Eugene Fama and David Booth

Friday, 8th November 2019
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Episode Transcript

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0:02

This is Masters in Business with

0:04

Barry Ridholts on Boomberg Radio.

0:07

This week. I was privileged to travel to the

0:09

University of Chicago to the Booth School

0:11

of Business, where I got to sit down

0:13

with Eugene Fama, Nobel Laureate,

0:16

Chicago Booth School of Business UM,

0:18

founder of the Efficient Market hypothesis,

0:22

creator of effectively the

0:24

three, five and seven UH

0:26

Fama French factor model, basically

0:30

the father of modern finance. I don't know how else

0:32

to describe him, along

0:35

with his best student,

0:37

David Booth, co founder of

0:39

Dimensional Funds, the person that

0:42

the Booth School of Business is named after.

0:45

What can I tell you? I flew out to Chicago.

0:48

UH basically went to the

0:51

Booth School of Business at the University of Chicago

0:54

where they were celebrating this

0:56

relationship that both Fama

0:59

and Booth have had for literally

1:01

fifty years. I got to sit

1:04

down with the two of them for an hour in front

1:06

of about five people in the audience,

1:08

including a lot of students from the Boost

1:10

School as well as other

1:12

notables who were in attendance. And

1:15

Fama is notoriously press shy.

1:18

He does not do a whole lot of

1:20

UM interviews with the media.

1:23

This was just a delight. I can't begin

1:25

to say how just awesome

1:28

he was. He's a provocateur.

1:31

He likes to say things that are very much,

1:33

um contrarian. He's a little bit

1:36

you know, if Farma was on Twitter,

1:38

he would be a troll. He loves to tweak

1:40

people, especially his buddy and

1:42

fellow Nobel laureate Richard Taylor. Uh.

1:45

He was busting his jobs about

1:48

behavioral finance, basically

1:50

saying it's all just pushed back to the efficient

1:52

market hypothesis. Uh. David Booth,

1:54

also very insightful, had a lot of things

1:56

to say. There's obviously a tremendous

1:59

amount of respect at between the two of

2:01

these guys. I could babble

2:03

about my experience in Chicago

2:05

for hours, but rather than do that, why

2:08

not just say my conversation

2:11

with Eugene Vama and David Booth.

2:14

There is so much material to cover.

2:16

We're gonna keep this to about four

2:18

hours. We'll take a break for dinner, and

2:21

then we'll finish up before midnight. Um.

2:24

So I really don't have to introduce

2:26

either of these gentlemen, but let me just

2:29

put a little more flesh on the bones

2:31

of what what the Dean started

2:33

with. Obviously, Jean is best

2:36

known for not only the efficient market hypothesis,

2:39

but his research on portfolio theory,

2:41

asset pricing, the Fama French

2:43

factor models. He is recipient

2:47

of the Nobel Prize in

2:49

in Economics, and I like the

2:51

sentence that the Nobel group

2:54

used quote for stuff for

2:56

his work showing quote stock price

2:58

movements are impossible to predict

3:00

in the short term and that new information

3:03

effects prices almost immediately, which

3:06

means markets are efficient. David

3:09

co founded Dimensional with another University

3:11

of Chicago alum, Rex Sinquefeld

3:14

in one The firm now

3:16

employees four hundred people

3:18

who helped manage five hundred and seventy

3:21

nine billion dollars over

3:23

the twenty years ending in twenty

3:25

eighteen. Eight of

3:27

dimensionals equity and fixed income funds

3:30

beat their benchmark the rest

3:32

of the industry just seventeen

3:35

and that's based on much of the work

3:38

that Professor Fama did.

3:41

So so let's jump into the history

3:44

um of both Gene and David and see

3:46

where it goes. Jeane, during

3:48

your last I feel weird calling you Gene.

3:50

It really should be Professor Farma, shouldn't it Um?

3:54

During your last year toughs. You worked

3:56

for Professor Harry Ernst who

3:59

had a light gig running

4:01

a stock market forecasting

4:03

service, and you did research

4:06

for him. What sort of work did you

4:08

do with this stock

4:10

forecasting research? I was

4:13

devising schemes to beat the market, and

4:16

how did that work out? Worked out fine? And

4:20

on the data that I fitted to didn't

4:22

work out fine on the whole load sample never

4:25

did So that was a lesson that

4:28

data judging continn of things that aren't really

4:30

there. And how did

4:32

that research into forecasting the

4:34

stock market impact your thinking

4:37

about whether or not the market could be be well?

4:40

When I came here to Chicago,

4:43

uh, research on asset

4:46

prices had again to get

4:48

going in really serious way, and

4:51

many people were interested in the question

4:53

of how well stock prices adjusted

4:55

to new information. Put

4:58

in context, they always say it started

5:00

because of computers. Before

5:04

really didn't have a serious computer too

5:06

do data analysis on. And with the coming

5:08

of computers, statisticians

5:11

economists were they

5:13

had a new toy too to play with and stock

5:16

stock prices were easily available, so

5:18

that was one of the first things they started to study.

5:21

And then immediately the economists said, well,

5:23

how do we expect prices to behave if

5:26

the world was working properly, in other words,

5:28

if markets were efficient. They weren't using that term,

5:31

but that's what they were after, and

5:33

they were all kinds of theories

5:35

proposed. They had lots of

5:37

shortcomings to them, and

5:39

a little bit of time we came to the

5:42

efficient market hypothesis. And

5:45

you were in your senior year Toughs.

5:47

You had applied here, but you never

5:49

heard back from the school. Is this an urban legend

5:51

or is this true? So

5:54

what happened? I called? I

5:57

called in uh the Dina

5:59

students toff at Keff answered,

6:02

that wouldn't happen today. The school is so

6:04

much bigger. The dean students doesn't even have a telephone.

6:07

Way too important for that. So

6:10

he answered the phone. We chatted for a while and he said,

6:12

well, I hate to tell you, but we don't have any

6:14

record of your application. So what kind of

6:16

grades do you have at Toughs? And I said

6:18

pretty much a lazy. He said, well, we

6:21

have a scholarship for someone from Toughs. Do you want

6:23

it? And

6:25

then that's how that's how I ended up at the University

6:28

of Chicago. So

6:30

so you come here as a student you're you're

6:32

finishing your work. Eventually, Martin

6:34

Miller says to you, Hey, do you want to stick

6:37

around and keep doing the sort of research you're

6:39

doing? Is that how you became a

6:41

professor here? Yeah?

6:43

I was. I had offers

6:46

that some other places, um,

6:48

but lots of the places

6:50

turned me down. They said it was to Chicago. I

6:54

don't know what that meant actually, but

6:59

but uh, it was very

7:01

rare to hire somebody from your ound

7:03

PhD program onto the

7:05

faculty. They're only gonna one or two before

7:08

there. So, David, you had

7:10

a somewhat different experience. You grow

7:12

up in Kansas, you get a b a in economics

7:15

and a master's from the University of Kansas.

7:17

What made you decide to come to Chicago.

7:20

Well, I did a little bit of reading um

7:23

in finance um and

7:27

um my had a finance professor

7:29

there that gotten his PhD here,

7:31

and he said, finances

7:34

exploding really emerging

7:36

as an academic discipline. It's

7:39

really one of the the epicenters is

7:41

clearly Chicago. And

7:43

so I thought, well, I, God, I should be fun, maybe

7:46

be a professor. So I applied here. Uh.

7:49

Um, Yeah, I started

7:51

to stay, took jeans class my very first

7:54

class, and is was the Dean Correct?

7:56

Was that literally fifty years ago? Fifty

8:00

years ago this fall? It was. Yeah,

8:02

it was the first year

8:05

that Chicago had a football team in thirty

8:07

four years. And

8:10

you had written about your experience taking

8:13

a class with Gene. You called it um

8:16

life changing and transformative.

8:19

In what ways was it life changing? Well?

8:21

Life changing led

8:24

to a career. I mean, I can't have much

8:26

of a bigger change than that, but

8:28

it's um life changing.

8:30

And then I think everybody

8:33

here probably UM, I would like to think

8:35

of themselves UM

8:37

having a public purpose. At the end of it

8:39

all, when you get to be my age, you want

8:42

to look back and I think somehow the world

8:44

was better off for your having been here.

8:47

And so these ideas

8:49

that were coming out, you know, the

8:51

essence of efficient markets, it was already

8:55

well developed. He had already coined the term

8:58

UM. And you just said, this is

9:00

enormously useful. If you look at the way

9:03

money was managed fifty years ago, people

9:05

are getting ripped off. I mean, fees were way

9:07

too high. You know, the commissions were

9:09

fixed by the government, uh at about

9:12

ten times what they are today, and uh

9:14

we forth it's free today.

9:17

So it's a lot more

9:19

than ten x yeah. Yeah, yeah,

9:21

So it's um. I think there

9:23

was a spirit of that

9:26

we can improve people's lives, you

9:28

know, a real purpose to all of

9:30

this. Gene um

9:33

more on the research side, and I've

9:36

thought my role in all this would be

9:38

more on the application of

9:40

the ideas. So you become

9:43

Jane's teaching assistant. How

9:45

did that come about? I

9:47

always I always picked the student

9:49

in the class in the previous year

9:51

to be the teachers good student. It's

9:54

the best of the class. You

9:57

don't have to laugh at that. I mean, so

10:02

best student, professor

10:04

Farmers teaching assistant. Why not a career

10:07

in academia. Well, first

10:10

off, I realized I could never compete with gene

10:12

I mean when you're at the top of the

10:14

mountain. Um.

10:16

But it's really something. It caused

10:19

me to reflect and you know, really internally

10:21

and what what am I about? What do I enjoy?

10:24

And I

10:27

I just saw this as a great opportunity to go out

10:29

to apply all these ideas people

10:31

were developing. Every new paper coming

10:33

out was a landmark paper. It was it

10:35

was all brand new stuff, and uh,

10:38

none of them was being applied. So we're

10:40

gonna come back to the application very

10:42

shortly. But you mentioned that

10:44

all these new ground baking, groundbreaking

10:47

papers were coming out. Professor

10:50

Farmer, your doctoral thesis in four

10:53

was the behavior of stock market

10:55

prices, And this sentence

10:58

jumps right off the page quote

11:00

chart reading, though perhaps an interesting

11:03

pastime, is of no real

11:05

value to the stock market investor. So

11:08

this gets published in the Journal of Business in

11:10

nine. What sort

11:12

of pushback do you get to the general

11:14

concept that UM

11:17

charts are of no use past market

11:21

walk is of no future predictability

11:24

to what happens going forward. You got a

11:26

lot of a lot of pushback from the professionals.

11:29

The academics looked at the data, looked

11:31

at what people were saying, what they were

11:33

showing, and adopted it right away.

11:35

I mean, there was no prospect among the

11:37

academics. Really, it's really the beginning

11:39

of I mean, if you had to summarize

11:43

really impact of all this is UM

11:46

what was going on in Chicago then really

11:48

changed the way people think about

11:51

investing. And that's really been the theme,

11:54

and Jen has changed the way people think

11:56

about investing more than that's that's

11:58

the pre and post law line, pre FAMA

12:01

and post Fauma there's a

12:03

ce change. I don't like the postframa

12:06

business meaning

12:12

meaning post publication of

12:14

your way. So

12:17

we not only have your doctoral thesis,

12:19

we have the efficient market paper.

12:22

We have the FAMA French three factor

12:24

paper. There are a number of very

12:27

very influential papers that

12:29

David, if I'm hearing you correctly, you're

12:32

saying that changed the

12:34

firmaments of finance forever, changing

12:36

it forever and for the better. I mean,

12:38

I get particularly, and there's

12:43

among students there's this kind of antipathy

12:45

towards finance and economics, you know,

12:48

and they don't realize how much

12:51

UH finance has changed

12:53

for the better. People's lives have been

12:55

improved by these ideas in this research,

12:58

lower fees, better of risk control, and

13:01

so forth. So

13:03

so let's let's compare

13:05

then and now a little more specifically,

13:08

and we'll start by talking efficient markets.

13:11

Back in the days when active managers

13:13

were dominant, inefficiencies

13:15

could still be easily found, as

13:17

could to percent fees. Professionals

13:20

didn't believe markets were efficient. They

13:23

thought they were kind of sort of eventually

13:25

efficient. I doubt many

13:28

of them would say that today, what

13:30

do you think has changed to bring

13:32

so many people over to the efficient market

13:34

theory, well, the

13:37

accumulation of of performance

13:40

evidence. So back then there wasn't

13:42

there was no real evidence on how these

13:44

people did. Uh. And one

13:47

of the first papers was like Jensen's thesis,

13:49

which studied

13:51

new toral funds for the previous

13:53

twenty five years and so that

13:56

basically they weren't beating the market. Uh.

13:59

And now we know

14:01

on hindsight that in fact that has

14:03

to be true that active

14:06

management is a zero sum game before

14:09

cost because they don't

14:11

they can't win from the passive managers because the

14:13

passive people hold cap weight portfolios.

14:15

They don't, they don't overweight and underweight

14:18

in response to what the active people do.

14:20

So if there's anybody underweighting and

14:22

overweighting, there has to be another active manager on

14:25

the other side doing the opposite,

14:27

which means if one wins, the other loses some

14:30

of those is zero before

14:32

costs

14:37

arithmetic of active management. He

14:39

calls it the arithmetic because it is arithmetic.

14:42

It's not a proposition. It has to

14:44

be true for everyone, or there's an offsetting

14:46

loose. So what

14:48

about technology, how does that impact

14:51

how fast information

14:53

makes its way into prices? It

14:55

should make it better, Uh,

14:58

but you know, truth is, prices

15:01

are so volatile. Markets

15:04

have always looked really efficient. They

15:06

don't look anymore efficient than they

15:08

and they ever have with the introduction of

15:10

all the technology. So

15:13

if information is spread much

15:15

more quickly now than it was fifty

15:17

years ago because you have so many sources and

15:19

they're so quick, but you

15:22

can't really see in the data that that's

15:24

had a quantum effect on

15:26

the adjustment of crisis to information. So

15:30

we may not be able to see it explicitly in

15:32

the data. But when we look at

15:34

things like hedge fund performance, they

15:37

did very well before the financial crisis,

15:40

since then not as well. We

15:42

look at the money flows away from

15:45

expensive active towards

15:47

inexpensive passive, it

15:49

sounds like lots of investors

15:51

are voting with their dollars that, hey,

15:54

the market is efficient and we can't beat it.

15:57

Doesn't it seem like technology is dry

16:00

having some of that Because there

16:02

used to be information asymmetries. There

16:05

used to be inefficiencies that a

16:07

savvy manager might have been able to

16:09

find. It sounds like it's even harder

16:11

to find those inefficiencies today

16:14

than thirty years ago. Um,

16:16

Hey, you have better information than I

16:18

do because you're saying,

16:21

so it's always looked, it's always

16:23

been that, it's always been zero

16:25

sum game. I've been in the business

16:28

now almost fifty years, and every

16:30

year people say, next year is gonna be the stockpickers

16:32

stockpickers market? Well Gene saying

16:34

is it's arithmetically impossible.

16:38

So so let's talk a little bit about index

16:41

funds. Gene. You introduced

16:43

David when he is finishing

16:46

his NBA and wants to go out into the world of

16:49

work, to John McGowan over at Wells

16:51

Fargo, where they were developing

16:53

as an institutional product, the

16:56

first index fund. What

16:58

made you think that that was a good fit for

17:01

for David mac

17:03

mcclown, who was in charge

17:05

of the Wells Fargo unit, came to

17:08

well the seminars we did here for business people,

17:10

we didn't twice a year, the Center for

17:12

Research and Security Prices were in seminars for

17:15

interested business people and Mac

17:17

came to all of them

17:19

and he seemed very you

17:22

know, into the new stuff. And

17:24

so when it came down the David

17:26

said, I see what you do, but I don't want to do it as

17:30

an academic. So I called

17:32

Mac and said, I have a really good student

17:35

here if you've got a place him and he did.

17:38

So what was your experience like it? Wells Fargo

17:40

working on that index one, Well, there was a terrific

17:43

experience, great exposure. I

17:46

learned the importance of a

17:49

client work. I mean investment

17:51

businesses part technology

17:53

or investment science, and it's part

17:56

client work. And as

18:00

I've told Jean, you know, I studied finance

18:02

for two years, I've been studying client

18:05

work at the last

18:08

you know. And that was we uh, we

18:11

were so naive about dealing

18:15

with clients and what they would be interested in, and

18:18

we were so pumped up, jazzed up about

18:20

the ideas. Somehow, um,

18:24

we missed the mark and actually my

18:26

group got it was unsuccessful,

18:29

we got shut down, but they were um,

18:32

the other parts of the bank kept it going. And

18:34

now that little

18:37

project we started end up as

18:39

through various hands, is now a big part

18:41

of black Rock. So so let's

18:44

that's right. It eventually ended up going to Barclays

18:46

and then black Rock bis them and now I shares

18:49

I think they're coming up on six or seven

18:51

trillion dollars not to not too

18:54

shabby. Um, but let's talk

18:56

about the application of

18:58

genes theories to the practice

19:01

of working with clients post

19:03

Wells far ago. You decide to open

19:07

the small microcap fund out

19:09

of your second bedroom in an apartment

19:11

in Brooklyn. Tell us how you

19:13

applied Professor Farmers research

19:16

to that microcap fund. Well,

19:18

the first thing is, UM, we decided

19:21

UM not to have UH

19:24

around the portfolio like an index fund,

19:26

even though at first we call it an index

19:28

fund because it's very similar to indexing.

19:31

With the final step being UM

19:34

that we don't trade UH

19:37

market on clothes like many index funds

19:39

do. UM. And what that means

19:41

is we were we would be trading

19:43

stocks throughout the day. Well, that

19:45

created a lot of skepticism, particularly

19:48

among academics, because you're going to the

19:50

marketplace. You know, you don't have any

19:52

undiscounted information. People

19:55

on the other side of your trade, largely institutions,

19:57

think they know a lot about the stock. You

20:00

know, why won't they just rip your eyes out when

20:02

you're trading. That's a that's a quite

20:04

legitimate question. Uh. Well,

20:07

I mean that the answer is there a lot of things you can do

20:10

to use the energy of markets and the power

20:12

of markets to your advantage. It

20:14

turns out, for example, if we want

20:16

to buy a stock. Let's say, um,

20:20

they have an institution wants to sell

20:22

it. Their anxiety is greater than ours,

20:24

so we can use that their interest

20:27

in trying to do a quick trade

20:30

to our advantage and protect

20:32

ourselves. And there's you know, plenty

20:34

of information now floating

20:36

out about the stock that you can use to protect

20:39

yourself. But that wasn't known back then.

20:41

It was just we had a belief in markets,

20:43

belief and and how they work based

20:46

on what we studied here and

20:48

said, look, we think we can go out

20:50

and trade these stocks and not uh

20:53

not get killed that there were

20:56

two pieces done here and it's

20:59

most stuck turns and

21:01

most of the academics said, well,

21:03

it looks good in terms of the

21:05

crisp historical data, but in fact,

21:08

if you try to trade it, you're going to get swamped

21:10

by trading costs. Uh. And

21:13

that was the so called market micro struct

21:15

just stuff. And then we figured

21:17

out what we found out what dimensional

21:19

was, No, he really didn't have to pay those

21:21

big bit ast spreads that you were seeing. You

21:24

could go fewer, was patient trader.

21:26

You could do better with the prices,

21:28

so we could deliver this small stuff premium.

21:32

But previous to that, people weren't

21:35

believes what the academics

21:37

learned was the market micro structure stuff was

21:40

garbage. Basically they didn't really understand.

21:43

Interesting. Um, what we

21:45

learned about clients along the way, which was seeing

21:48

in our

21:50

initial clients were all large, largest

21:53

pension funds, essentially insurance companies

21:55

around the world, and they

21:57

weren't hopening the stocks of small companies. So

22:00

really the pitch we got into

22:03

all this stuff, but we hadn't even easier

22:05

argument, which was, look, you ought to hold

22:07

stocks of large companies and small, and

22:09

you're not holding small, so we'll get you access

22:12

to small. So that was the really

22:14

the sales pitch that put us on the

22:16

map. And so that sales pitch starts

22:18

to take off and dimensional operating

22:21

out of your apartment gets bigger. There's

22:23

kind of an urgent urban legend that

22:26

you called New York Telephone to have them

22:28

add six phone lines and they

22:30

refused. They thought you were running a bookie joy.

22:33

Is that remotely true? Yeah, this was about

22:35

the kind of at the bottom

22:37

of Brooklyn Heights, uh, bottom

22:40

of its history. It's so

22:44

we started on a shoe string and we ran the

22:46

portfolio. Was the first portfolio manager running

22:49

out of my spare bedroom. So I knew

22:51

we needed more phone lights. So

22:53

I called up New

22:56

York Telephone, which was a telephone company

22:58

at the time. So the need, you

23:00

know, uh some telephone lines

23:02

and I know six or eight or whatever, and

23:05

they thought it was a bookie, so they wouldn't give me the lines.

23:07

So I had to call up the Treasure of New York tell say,

23:10

can you send some people down here and give me

23:12

some telephone lines. And they

23:15

went around the whole block and found that there were

23:17

six lines available available

23:20

and the whole block that based on their

23:22

equipment, and they said, okay, you can have those

23:25

six lines. And that's how we got started. And

23:28

the punch line is he becomes a client.

23:30

Yeah, yeah, right, New York that was a clickly became

23:32

a clie down. So so

23:35

from from day one, Gene

23:37

is a board member of Dimensional

23:39

Funds. From the day it launches, well

23:42

even before I mean, we have

23:44

the idea to start the firm. Uh

23:47

uh. My first

23:49

call it was to Gene say, look, you

23:51

know, it's been ten years since I

23:53

was in school. We uh,

23:56

there's been a lot of research, you know, we we needed

23:59

we needed to have access to you

24:01

know, new research and thinking. And

24:04

would you be on the you know, one of the

24:06

founders and and uh and

24:08

and be our list you know, our our

24:10

eyes in terms of research.

24:13

And he agreed to do that right away. Who

24:15

else did you recruit from GSP?

24:18

Well, eventually we found out we had

24:20

to have We wanted to create a mutual fund,

24:22

and a mutual fund has to have an

24:25

independent board of directors. So

24:27

Rex and I went over the Business School, walked

24:30

into Martin Miller's office. They

24:32

still teach mollarble deiply on the theaters, don't take

24:34

Yeah, okay, Uh.

24:37

So Martin was there. We said to you know, he

24:39

added a YadA small company fund need independent

24:41

directors and um and said,

24:43

oh sure. And I walked out the

24:46

door and down the hall and Myron Schulz

24:48

was coming out of his office. I gol Myron, he

24:52

had the YadA. See Gene's

24:55

point. Business school was

24:57

a lot smaller then, and having been to the

24:59

pH d program, I got to know

25:01

the faculty pretty well. So Myron

25:04

uh agreed to join, and so

25:06

on and so forth. So in fact,

25:08

until recently, all the independent directors

25:11

of the mutual fund, our mutual

25:13

fund be Uh have taught at Chicago,

25:16

so his his business partner, Reck Singfield,

25:19

was in my class as well. He

25:21

was really the first one to put out an index

25:24

one, wasn't he? No, No, it was but

25:29

but Rex. Actually that

25:31

was when I was his teaching consistent. He took uh

25:35

jeans class. And Rex was always

25:38

uh one of these pain in the neck as a teaching

25:40

consistant students because he was interested

25:42

in everything you know. I'm

25:44

so Jean. You

25:46

moved pretty easily back and forth

25:49

between academic theory and

25:51

real world application of

25:54

theories. Not

25:57

a lot of people were able to bridge that gap between

25:59

academics. Well I hadn't. I hadn't been able to

26:01

bridge it either until Dimentcino

26:03

came along. But here

26:05

it is. It's forty years later, and you seem

26:07

to continue to be right because he Uh.

26:10

The reason they couldn't just because one,

26:13

it's hard to shut me up. I don't take a party line

26:15

too too too easily. And

26:18

he didn't. Ever, He

26:21

and Rex never said would you please

26:23

do this? What they said was, you do what you

26:25

do and we'll figure out if we can use

26:27

any of it. And that fits in

26:29

with the way I work so frequently

26:34

he would come in and say, look, get

26:36

get ready to make a presentation for our clients. They go,

26:39

you know, I don't know what your clients are gonna want to hear this. I

26:41

go, look, Jane, you know, say what's on your

26:43

mind. It's been controls my department, you

26:45

know. And that seems to have worked out.

26:48

So what was your involvement

26:50

with the investment committee in the

26:52

early days of dimensional um?

26:55

Were you participating actively

26:57

in it? Were you managing it? What were you doing?

27:00

Well? I was doing this back and forth

27:02

with the research stuff. But then

27:05

they started a fixed

27:07

income fund based on fixed income research

27:10

they had done in the seventies, and

27:13

they said, do you want to come in and trade it for a

27:15

day? And I said, sure, I remember traded

27:17

anything. So

27:20

I went in. I know how much money did we? Here were ten million

27:22

dollars from somebody and I managed

27:24

to buy twenty million dollars of bonds and

27:28

that was a big problem. Actually, so

27:31

waitwa, Gene Fama day

27:33

trader. I just want

27:36

to make sure that that was the last day.

27:40

But I couldn't see the problem,

27:46

that's right. Um, So you introduce

27:49

the Fama French paper on value

27:53

dimensional funds, introduce as a US large

27:56

value and you are small value. In

27:58

ninety three on another farm of

28:00

French paper leads to international

28:03

value coming out in that

28:06

paper won a Graham and Dot Award of Excellence.

28:09

Was there anyone else trying to apply

28:11

this sort of academic research to

28:13

either investing theory

28:16

or the creation of investable products

28:19

on the market? There they're always kind of um.

28:23

Departments of big banks and people were kind

28:25

of playing around with it. But we were

28:27

the only ones willing to stand up and say, um,

28:31

this is what we believe and this is

28:33

what we think you ought to do. Um.

28:35

Now they're we have all the

28:37

quant managers out there. We got tons of people

28:40

uh uh out there, you

28:42

know, trying to apply the same data.

28:44

And back then we basically were at In

28:47

fact, I often go around and show people

28:49

thirty year track record on the various funds

28:51

UM and

28:53

I go, you know, we had a lot of competition

28:55

back then, but they don't seem nobody seems

28:58

to have a thirty year track record.

29:02

They did not survive long enough to So

29:05

let me fast forward, um a couple

29:08

of decades to the mid two thousand's.

29:10

In two thousand and eight, David Booth

29:12

made the largest donation ever given

29:14

to a business school, which

29:16

has been called a transformational

29:19

gift. Tell us about your

29:21

thinking. What made you decide in

29:23

the middle of the financial crisis

29:25

to say, I know, I want

29:27

to make a donation to my alma

29:30

mater. Well, it was I'm kind

29:32

of ties into the story I was talking about earlier. I

29:34

mean, what, Uh, it got

29:36

to be the stage where it was time to pay back, and

29:39

um, I

29:41

mean I wouldn't been anywhere

29:43

without Chicago. So

29:46

I said, I wanted to give a big chunk of what

29:48

I have and uh, um,

29:52

this was a mix of stocks and cash,

29:54

Is that correct? And it was actually,

29:57

Um, I didn't have a lot of cash at

29:59

that time. It was because

30:02

we just recently

30:05

started to accumulate the money big

30:07

enough to but I had stock in

30:09

the firm, and so I gave him

30:11

basically ownership of a

30:14

big chunk of the of the stock that I

30:16

had, and they were

30:18

willing to take a bit on that. And

30:20

it turned up to be a convet and that

30:23

that comes with a dividend which continues

30:25

to pay its way to uh to

30:28

booth. Were you at all

30:30

concerned that you were right in the middle of

30:32

a financial crisis giving

30:34

ownership of a financial firm. A

30:37

lot of firms did not make it

30:39

through the financial crisis. Yeah, maybe it ties

30:41

in with the earlier question about what I learned

30:43

from here about markets and how they work,

30:46

and you have to kind of keep in the

30:48

depth of the financial crisis. It kind

30:50

of had to keep reminding people. You know,

30:52

markets are where buyers and sellers come together

30:55

and in a voluntary transaction, both sides

30:57

of a trade have to feel like they have a good

30:59

they got a deal, or they don't trade. They don't trade.

31:02

So you know, there's a lot of trading volume activity

31:04

and a lot of well known investors

31:06

investing, and it's just you

31:08

know, one of those UM. It

31:11

was comfortable those markets were functioning the way

31:13

they ought to function. Sometimes

31:15

they go up, sometimes they go down. Gene,

31:17

how did David's gift impact the

31:19

Graduate School of Business? Huh,

31:22

it was. It was

31:25

a big lot of cash flow that was not

31:27

there beforehand, so it

31:31

gave rise to lots of research centers.

31:34

I think you made everybody feel

31:36

as if the future is more or

31:38

less assured. UM

31:40

and the university also got a

31:43

pretty good take out of itself, as

31:45

they always do, so

31:48

David, you tell a charming story

31:51

about sitting with the dean and

31:53

you It wasn't your intention for this

31:55

originally to be a naming gift. They

31:57

seem to have brought that up to you. Can you you

32:00

right know? I said I wanted for

32:02

the reasons I outlined, I wanted to make a

32:04

gift a big part of what I have, um,

32:07

and so this is what I want to do. And

32:10

the Dean, Ted Snyder at the time, said we

32:13

were looking to have a naming gift

32:15

from the business School. This is a lot better deal than

32:17

that what we're looking for, So we'll

32:19

name the school after you. Okay,

32:22

whatever you know. So

32:28

since then the school has continued to

32:30

grow in in both reputation

32:32

and number of students and the offerings

32:35

here. Um. And then fast

32:37

forward, uh, five years after

32:39

that, Jane gets a phone

32:42

call from Sweden. Let's talk

32:44

a little bit about that. What was your

32:46

experience like, Uh, did the

32:48

phone call manage to reach you? Tell us? Tell

32:51

us what that was like? Well, they think

32:53

they call it early the morning

32:57

Stockholm time, which is

32:59

really really in the in here. It thinks about five or six

33:01

o'clock. So I

33:03

don't know. You never expect to get it, because a lot

33:05

of people could qualify to to get

33:07

it when you get it. Somehow, Pete

33:10

they the people he somehow had

33:12

I guess or whatever. I don't know why, because they were

33:15

newspaper people at my door ten

33:18

minutes later after after

33:20

the call and they wanted to come in my house.

33:25

I said, no way, you're

33:28

class. Well, I had a class that morning, and

33:31

you don't. You don't get a special dispensation when

33:34

you could.

33:36

But I had never missed the class in all the years

33:38

I've been teaching in fifty years. Yeah, I

33:40

wasn't gonna start now, so when

33:42

I wasn't gonna let anybody in because the kids

33:44

in the class were paying a lot of money to take that course,

33:48

So no way I wanted people from the outside

33:50

disturbing it. So, David,

33:52

you ended up going to Stockholme with

33:55

Jeane. What what was that experience like? Um,

33:59

well, of course, being Chicago

34:01

trained, I've been to the ceremony

34:03

before with when when Myron and Bob

34:05

Martin got there Nobel, So you

34:07

know it's you're kind of used to this of you so

34:12

third times of charm. Yeah, so

34:16

the uh so, I I said

34:18

to Jane, give me a night, uh to

34:20

organize something special. So I

34:23

talked to Abba has

34:25

a museum in Stockholm that they just

34:28

opened, and I talked them into running me out

34:30

the museum for the evening.

34:32

So Jeane, you know, he has four

34:34

kids and that time about eight grandkids and

34:37

they're all u big music

34:39

fans and so the Abbe

34:41

Museum has a lot of u um um

34:45

things you can do to have fun and um.

34:47

One of them is a big stage with a scrim on

34:49

it and with four Abba

34:52

musicians singing with a microphone

34:54

right in the middle, and so you it looks like

34:56

you're singing with them. And so I looked, so

34:58

this went on. They were the kids, The kids went wild.

35:00

I looked over Jeane like and Sally, and

35:03

I could see that they were they were having

35:05

fun. So it made it special for me.

35:08

So the whole thing some people have described

35:10

as surreal. What was your the

35:13

day of the day after So they

35:15

had a big event here of the school, really

35:18

big event, I mean news

35:20

and everything. The circles

35:24

around the building, we're all full of students

35:26

um. And the next day

35:29

the Nobel people have a camera committee there

35:32

following me across the

35:34

Harper Center, the big

35:36

hum in the middle, and students

35:38

are working on on the sides, and we

35:41

worked down the middle. Nobody looks up. So

35:45

we get to the other side, and the television

35:47

guy says, nobody looked up when I said, this

35:50

is the University of Chicago. If they had to look

35:52

up every time I nobil fries when I walked right,

35:54

get nothing done. And

35:58

and to show you how true that

36:00

is, David Booth and Gene

36:03

and I get an elevator on

36:05

four to come down here, and a student

36:07

gets in wearing headphones, turns

36:09

around, doesn't say a word to either of you, and

36:12

the four of us wrote down in silence. He was completely

36:14

oblivious to who was in the elevator

36:17

with him. So I'm always fascinated

36:19

by that sort of stuff. So

36:22

so let's let's talk a little

36:24

bit about um some other

36:26

things that you've written about, and the

36:28

two of you have applied. One

36:30

of the quotes of Professor Farmers that I enjoy

36:33

is quote, why is anyone

36:36

even reading Wall Street Research? Unquote?

36:39

So I have to ask you, why do people

36:41

read Wall Street Research? I

36:43

don't know. It's

36:47

it's businessman's pornography, basically

36:49

business based pornography. It's

36:52

not the real thing. It's

36:55

not the real thing. Okay.

36:58

Um, so

37:03

let's talk a little bit about value. I'm gonna

37:05

try and realist. Let's

37:08

talk about value and growth. Value

37:11

has a tendency to go through these longer

37:13

periods where growth is beating

37:15

it. And over the past decade it's

37:17

been if you weren't in big cap

37:20

us growth, um,

37:22

you were underperforming. Everything has

37:24

been um the SMP five

37:26

hundred. When we look at emerging markets, we

37:28

look at small cap, we look at value. Heaven

37:31

forbid, you're an emerging market small cap

37:33

value. It's been terrible. What

37:36

sort of lessons should investors take

37:38

from this extended period of growth

37:40

growth beating value? Well, the

37:43

question they want to ask is as

37:45

value dead? Okay,

37:47

let's Kennan.

37:50

I actually were reading a paper on this at the

37:52

moment. But the bottom line

37:54

is there's so much volatility in these

37:56

premiums that you can't tell if the premium

37:59

is teamed or not. It may

38:01

have changed, it may not. You just can't tell

38:03

us. Let's see a wholl within the range of

38:05

chance experience that the

38:07

poor return experiences well within the

38:10

range of chance over the time that's

38:12

that it's occurred. So you really can't

38:14

say anything. So

38:16

so there have been other periods

38:19

of time where value is done poorly.

38:21

I remember hearing in this

38:25

value investor was washed up, this guy named

38:27

Warren Buffett. He doesn't know what he's doing.

38:29

And typically when you hear that,

38:31

it's usually at the ends, towards

38:33

the end of that period of underperformance. Um,

38:36

you're suggesting we won't know for

38:39

some period of time if the value

38:41

premium is gone or if it's just a regular

38:43

cyclical underperformance. I

38:46

don't think there are real cycles to it. I

38:48

think it's just kind of random that go

38:50

through good in bed periods,

38:53

and you know, you can't recognize them except that from

38:55

the fact you can't really predict

38:57

them. Uh, we've we've

39:00

tried tests, we've tried predictive tests,

39:02

and they have marginal nothing

39:06

worth even focusing focusing

39:09

on. So basically is stuck with the

39:11

volatility of equity returns.

39:13

They don't allow to say very much about what's

39:16

happened to expected returns going forward.

39:19

And and David, what we've

39:21

seen a huge proliferation of various

39:24

factor funds, not just the three

39:26

factor, of the five factor, of the seven factor model.

39:29

They're now hundreds identified. What

39:31

does this mean for investors? Has

39:33

has the proliferation of all

39:36

these new factors been good for investors or

39:38

is it a non event? Well,

39:41

I mean I think on balance

39:43

um UM has been overstated

39:45

and whatever whatever it is the

39:49

you know, I think UM researchers

39:51

identified, you know, factors

39:55

that seem to explain differences in average returns.

39:58

But there can't be hundreds of factor I

40:00

mean, they got it, They're probably at the end of

40:02

the day, they're probably a few factors. Uh

40:04

and Gene and ken. One of the things they try to do

40:06

is instead of trying to identify more

40:08

and more factors, just take the researchers

40:10

out there and can shrink it down

40:13

to simpler, you know, more factors

40:15

that matter, factors that matter, well,

40:17

lots of lots of these things that just different manifestations

40:19

of the same thing. Give us an example.

40:22

So value can be very measured in many different

40:24

ways. I can use the book to market ratio

40:26

you need to catch full at the price. They can use

40:29

lots of different variables, so I identify

40:31

what is basically this same thing. Uh.

40:34

And there

40:36

are thousands of finance

40:38

professors out there who all want to get ten

40:41

here um they have the publish

40:43

to do that. So they're

40:45

all just kind of searching through the data finding

40:48

stuff that maybe there only

40:50

on a chance basis that won't be there

40:52

out of sample. So there's lots

40:55

of work being done and

40:57

it remains to be done on what we call

40:59

robust this. How does this stand up when

41:01

I have new data? So we we've

41:03

always been into robustness in the sense that

41:06

when we found it in the ninety two paper,

41:09

we went back and collected the data back to that

41:11

data started in the sixty

41:14

three We then went back and collected

41:16

the data back to to

41:18

look out a sample, and then we looked at the international leader

41:21

to look at a sample, and so pretty much

41:23

the same thing everywhere. Um,

41:27

now we've had a bad period of this, but

41:29

relative to all of that, it doesn't look that

41:32

doesn't look that serious. And

41:35

I have to ask you a question about

41:37

behavioral economics. Um,

41:40

we're here in Chicago, where we

41:42

could short of call at the birthplace of behavioral

41:45

finance. What do you think about that area

41:47

and what's your involvement with it. Well,

41:52

my good friend Richard Taylor, who

41:55

is the king of the behavioral

41:57

finance people and another Nobel law that

41:59

no one I teach them and say I'm the most

42:01

important person in behavioral finance.

42:04

Are because

42:07

most of the behavioral finance is just the criticism

42:09

of official markets.

42:12

So without me, what have they got? And

42:17

and you and and Dick Taylor are golf

42:20

parts are so do you argue

42:22

across eighteen holes or you know?

42:24

The reality is we agree on the

42:26

facts, we disagree on the interpretation

42:31

um For example, he

42:33

thinks the value premium

42:35

is the result of people's

42:38

misperceptions of what

42:41

accounting information and other information

42:43

looks like. That it's all based on misinterpretation

42:47

of information. Now, if you believe

42:49

that, then you think it should go away, because

42:52

it's possible to teach people that they have these

42:55

these biases are professional managers

42:57

should be able to get past them,

43:00

but they still have emotional reactions

43:02

that sometimes they can't get that.

43:05

That's the thing about behavior lea going elements. What their

43:08

studies seem to show is people

43:10

don't learn from experience. If you're

43:12

stupidly, repeatedly stupid, you don't

43:15

learn. And most people are stupid. I mean, that's

43:18

that's the provisation. Someone has to be on

43:20

the wrong side of that trade. You said it's a zero

43:22

sum, right, So so you guys

43:24

agree more than you than you might realize

43:27

the fact, but not the interpretation.

43:30

But there is no behavioral finance.

43:33

Wait say that again. There is no

43:35

behavioral finance. There's no it's all just

43:37

a criticism of official markets really

43:40

with no evidence. Is

43:45

dick here? I

43:48

think he would disagree with that. So that's

43:50

not so sure because when when

43:52

I put the challenge to him twenty years ago, I wrote

43:54

a paper that said, Okay, now you've

43:57

been criticizing us for the last whatever, it's

43:59

time for you to come up with a theory that we can actually

44:02

test and see if it works or

44:04

not. And what was response? We're still

44:06

waiting. Actually

44:08

you presented that paper at a at

44:10

U c L A at Gene walks

44:12

in and says, all the way over, I

44:14

was thinking about breaking my leg or something. So I

44:17

can catch some sympathy here. And

44:20

to be fair, when Taylor won the Nobel

44:23

Prize, he admitted his

44:25

plan was to spend the money as irrationally

44:27

as possible. So even he even

44:30

he agrees with you on that. UM,

44:33

I wanted to ask about, uh,

44:36

some of your comments on Beta.

44:40

You said beta is dead. Do

44:42

you still believe beta is dead. Well,

44:45

the evidence basically says that

44:47

the relation between averaging tune

44:49

and beta it's too flat to be

44:51

explained by the capitalistic

44:53

pricing model. That's a real shame because

44:56

that model is so simple. Um,

44:58

if it were true, it would really

45:01

be like life,

45:03

a lot simpler in many ways.

45:06

But it just has never worked very well. All

45:09

right, So what we're gonna do now? I

45:11

have more, many more questions. But this

45:13

thing is lighting up, and we have questions

45:15

from the audience. So I'm gonna I'm gonna

45:18

ask a few from this and see, uh see

45:20

where we go from here. Um, let's talk

45:22

about your views on the future of active

45:24

management. Where do you see the industry

45:26

going in ten years? And this is for both of you,

45:29

active management active management, Well,

45:31

it's been shrinking really slowly. So

45:35

when Kenn did his American

45:37

Finance Association Presidents

45:40

did his president speech, what he's what

45:42

he said was one of the things he said was we've

45:45

gone from zero to and

45:48

I think it was about forty years at that time, maybe

45:50

a little more, and since then we've

45:52

gone to like I think it's up to thirty or forty.

45:54

Now that's passively man. So that's

45:56

permeated very slowly through the

45:59

profess Yeah, what where

46:02

it will go from me? Or we'll see and

46:04

and some people have made the argument you

46:06

have to separate active from

46:09

expensive locost active

46:11

is attractive. Obviously this is a

46:13

key tenant at dimensional funds. How

46:16

much of the move away from active

46:18

has really been away from expensive

46:22

I think a big part of it. And

46:24

in fact that a lot of the move to indexing

46:27

is through e t f s and a lot of the a

46:29

lot of that is just a new version of active

46:31

management. Um or managers

46:34

say, look, I don't think I can pick individual stocks,

46:37

but I can tell them sectors of the market, So

46:39

let me buy buy E t f

46:41

s. So it's really kind of confusing as

46:43

to uh, you know what the

46:45

trend has been in active management. But I

46:48

I think active managers

46:50

are resourceful and always compe with

46:52

new ideas of trying to entice

46:55

people with magic with

46:57

magic. So the pushback

47:00

against um efficient market we

47:02

always see this argument. Berkshire

47:04

Hathaway had strong returns in its early

47:07

years as the result of Warren

47:09

Buffett's skill and security selection.

47:11

How given Professor Farmer's comments

47:13

and market efficiency, how can

47:16

this early success be explained.

47:18

So you take you have probably

47:20

a hundred thousand people picking stocks right

47:23

right over a period of time, then

47:25

you pick out the one who does

47:27

the best and impute

47:29

that to skill. The problem

47:31

is, if I have a hundred thousand

47:33

people picking, what's the probability

47:36

that one of them will look extraordinary? Purely

47:38

on a chance basis, You'll you'll always

47:40

have some outliers that look, you'll get a big

47:43

old layer in that in that experiment. But that's

47:45

the way that the newspaper accounts

47:47

run. They take after, they look after the fact,

47:49

and they pick out the winners. So every year, for

47:51

example, they pick out the best performers

47:54

of the last five ten years, and you look at

47:56

the following period. No, no,

47:58

no correlation between past the tay and

48:00

and in fact we've seen the morning store manager

48:03

of the year tends to significantly out

48:05

before underperform in the

48:07

decade once they win manager

48:09

of the decade. But that would surprise me too, I

48:12

would think they'd just be random.

48:14

No, no persistency, In fact, negative

48:16

persistency. We've had the sas in

48:18

that subductative. How much persistence

48:21

is there in performance? The answer is basically

48:23

zero. Zero, and I

48:26

have to the best predictor of future performance

48:28

is FeAs and expenses that you know, it's

48:30

ironic that came out of morning

48:33

Star, that did a big study and

48:35

they sell their morning Star rating and it

48:37

turned out ignore everything else, just

48:39

picked the cheapest fun pretty pretty

48:42

astonishing, right, Well, they come up. I

48:44

think they came out and said came out and said

48:46

there's no relation between between future performance

48:49

and the way we ran things. There's

48:51

another question if it comes out to that, so

48:54

so um. One

48:57

one of the questions that is asked by the room.

48:59

If the mark it becomes truly efficient one

49:01

day, what happens to all the management

49:04

farms? That question assumes

49:06

that markets aren't truly efficient today.

49:09

How do you respond to that? What's

49:13

the evidence? No, I mean I don't

49:15

think it's I think all of it is wrong. So it's

49:18

different. There will still be a management

49:20

business, you just will have very little active

49:22

in it, so that you

49:24

have to have some active investors to make price

49:26

prices efficient. The problem

49:29

is you don't expect them to be professional managers

49:32

because the logic of being

49:34

a good investor is that you should get

49:36

their returns if you don't hand them back

49:38

to other people, you take them back

49:40

and higher fees. You know, that's the human

49:42

capital activity is

49:44

picking stocks or whatever investment

49:46

management. So if you have real skill, you should be charging,

49:49

you should go all the retention should go to you, Naz your

49:51

clients. And and this is for

49:53

both of you. What sort of opportunity

49:56

for out performance do you see in private

49:58

markets given that in for nation,

50:00

in that space is so much more

50:02

opaque than in public markets.

50:05

The problem is there are lots of good

50:07

people studying that, but they hamstrung

50:09

by the lack of good data

50:12

on people who live in people who

50:14

die the fund. You know, the managers

50:16

who live in what self reported.

50:19

It's not like so

50:21

you get you get it. You get a very

50:23

kind of biased set of data on that. But

50:26

you know, it's kind of depends on what into

50:28

that business you go to. If you're looking

50:30

at managers who actually run the

50:33

companies that they buy, they may actually

50:35

be able to add value, but it's management value.

50:37

It's not stuck picking value.

50:40

If they you're picking companies that have a

50:42

good idea but a fully run probably

50:45

you can have a lot of value added in that case. But

50:47

again, if you go to the guy's doing

50:49

it. That's

50:51

the that's the downside of it. They're the ones who take

50:54

all the profits out of it. Well, that's that's

50:56

the logic of human capital, right right.

50:59

And we didn't get to a question before

51:01

I have to ask about

51:04

bubbles. And this goes back to be

51:07

okay, So I don't know how to bleep

51:10

out the word bubbles. But what

51:12

do you mean by okay? So folks

51:15

like Failor and Chiller

51:17

would describe a bubble as

51:20

a period of excessive market

51:22

enthusiasm that leads prices

51:25

to far outstrip their fundamental

51:27

valuation. What's the testable proposition

51:29

here, though, I don't know, can you Well,

51:32

the way I interpret it is you must be able

51:34

to predict the end of it. Bubbles,

51:37

it would be something with a predictable ending. So it

51:39

has to be measurable by a predefined

51:41

set of parameters, and you should be able to

51:43

identify the end of it. So

51:46

if we were to say every time

51:48

that fails the test, I mean, I

51:50

mean you can't. People

51:53

can't identify bubbles that way

51:55

until after the fact. After the fact, it's

51:58

it's easy. But this is famous

52:00

theory around about you

52:02

know, the early origins of market efficiency,

52:05

which home work working, went into the

52:07

faculty lounge at Stanford. He was

52:10

agriculturally uh prices,

52:12

and he showed them chats of

52:15

of of prices, and he said, these were chats

52:17

of commodity prices, and he wanted

52:19

to not see if they could identify bubbles

52:22

and the prices, and every to a man, they

52:24

all could. There were no women. To

52:26

a man, they all could. The problem was

52:28

what he was showing them was accumulative random

52:30

numbers, as those just generated

52:34

uh stuff. So that the message there's

52:36

people see bubbles where there are now h.

52:41

So here's a here's a really broad question.

52:43

Given the societal angst of people attacking

52:46

the value of a business education,

52:49

what is your belief in the value of this

52:51

education booth and how

52:54

should we communicate this better

52:56

to society? Well, I think

52:58

it's it's incredibly

53:01

valuable to society, um,

53:04

because if we are going to

53:06

make lives better for people, part of

53:08

the answer has to come from better and

53:10

safer financial products. And

53:12

just that's the reality. And that's

53:14

been the history. I mean, it's like I say, I

53:17

look back on my career and

53:20

uh working with Gene and you

53:22

know, we've been part of the movement

53:24

towards lower fees and better controls.

53:27

So I can find it irritating when somebody

53:29

says, really, the only advanced the last fifty

53:32

years has been the A T M. You know. Uh

53:35

it's uh qu

53:38

yeah, live, we've

53:40

live based all this work live,

53:43

We've improved lives. Uh, and there

53:45

and other people with sharing the I s we're not

53:47

the only one. But I

53:49

mean, I don't think it gets much better than

53:51

that. And uh so I

53:54

would hate to have people, um

53:56

not to get into business

53:59

or particularly financial services. You

54:01

can have a good career in financial

54:03

services and at the end of it you

54:06

can look back on it and take pride in what you've accomplished.

54:09

It's as simple as that. So so that leads

54:11

to the next question. What keeps

54:13

both of you working? Neither of you have to work,

54:16

Why do both of you still get up

54:18

and go to the office each day. It's fun, it's

54:20

fun challenging, it's

54:23

important. I mean, it's exciting to see

54:26

the retired people living better

54:29

as a result of these ideas, or better

54:32

able to send their kids to colleagues or whatever. I

54:34

mean, these are These are not you

54:36

know, ideas that have no

54:38

importance. I mean, these are you

54:40

know that's you can get behind that kind

54:42

of idea. You get a lot of satisfaction

54:45

out of coming up with stuff people haven't

54:47

seen before. I have been recognized,

54:51

and we have time for one last

54:53

question, and I'm going to go with something

54:55

about, um, what do

54:57

you think the future of Chicago Booth looks

55:00

like? What is next in store

55:02

for the school? And this is for both of you.

55:05

Well, I can tell you that. So I've

55:07

been on the faculty since nineteen sixty three,

55:09

students since nineteen sixty.

55:12

In the sixties, basically

55:15

there was a pretty good economics group. There

55:17

was a developing finance group, and

55:19

that was it. I mean, there's

55:21

the school's junk. Well,

55:26

but look that was not unique to us. So

55:28

I remember when I was recruiting as a student,

55:31

UM in college not from

55:33

here. The people recruiting

55:35

said, why do you want to go to a business school? They

55:37

don't teach you anything, we don't pay anything for

55:40

what they what they do. And

55:42

that was too at that time. I think, and

55:45

what's happened through time is not just

55:47

finance, but every other area has

55:49

been academically

55:51

made more become more successful.

55:53

So marketing, accounting, statistics

55:57

was always pretty good, but it was never part of of

56:00

of business schools. So now we have

56:02

really front rank faculty

56:05

and every single discipline.

56:07

The school is so high, high

56:10

level, competitive on the faculty

56:12

side, on the research side. But it's

56:14

just there's no relation to what

56:16

it was fifty years ago. It's

56:18

a totally different professional place.

56:21

On the students side, I think there was a

56:23

challenge, and I've been complaining

56:25

about it for a long time. Students

56:27

don't work as hard as they did in

56:29

the old days. I've heard this is a

56:32

very very difficult school to

56:34

work your way through. Well, but the reality

56:37

is we keep track of hours

56:39

work per per per class out

56:41

of class. When I started

56:43

teaching, everybody was around fifteen

56:46

per class. That number has dropped

56:49

dramatically through time. I bet

56:51

this room would disagree with that. No, no, no,

56:53

no, we have the statistics. It's not it's

56:56

not it's not a guess. And

56:58

and David, what do you see as

57:00

the next decade holding for the Booth School?

57:03

Well, I'm not really in a position there.

57:05

I mean, wow, I just gave

57:08

him some money. I figured they

57:12

can figure that stuff out. If I had to figure that

57:14

out as well, I mean that would be a real

57:17

hero. You know, I I'm just um,

57:21

I'm not. I don't know where it's gonna go, but

57:24

wherever it goes is going to be important. And

57:27

and that's the perfect spot to end. Ladies

57:29

and gentlemen, please say thank you to Professor

57:32

Gene Fama and David Booth. That's

57:39

my conversation with David Booth and

57:41

Gene Fama. If you enjoyed that,

57:44

we'll go to Apple iTunes, look up

57:46

an inch or down an inch, and you could see

57:48

any of the nearly three d conversations

57:51

we've had over the past five

57:53

years. We love your comments, feedback

57:55

and suggestions right to us at

57:58

m IB podcast at bloom Berg dot

58:00

net. Be sure and give us a review at Apple

58:02

iTunes. Sign up from

58:04

my daily reads at rit Halts

58:07

dot com, follow me on Twitter

58:09

at rit Halts. I would be remiss

58:11

if I did not thank the crack staff that helps

58:14

us put these conversations together

58:16

this week and this week was an unusual

58:19

expedition. We all had to slip out to Chicago.

58:22

The folks at the University of Chicago were great. They

58:24

did a really great job in setting

58:27

things up so that we could both videotape

58:29

and audio record this. Michael

58:32

Boyle is my producer, and he was on hand

58:34

there along with a few other folks from Bloomberg

58:36

that really made everything go very smoothly. Charlie

58:39

Volmer is my audio engineer who helped

58:42

cut this monstrosity together. Atica

58:44

val Broun is our project manager.

58:47

Michael Batnick is my head of research. I'm

58:50

Barry rit Halts. You've been listening to Masters

58:52

in Business on Bloomberg Radio.

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