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Why Nuclear Power Should Be Ramped Up

Why Nuclear Power Should Be Ramped Up

Released Friday, 16th February 2024
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Why Nuclear Power Should Be Ramped Up

Why Nuclear Power Should Be Ramped Up

Why Nuclear Power Should Be Ramped Up

Why Nuclear Power Should Be Ramped Up

Friday, 16th February 2024
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0:00

Hi, Meren Talks Money. Listeners, I've got a

0:02

new column out at Bloomberg dot Com. It's all

0:04

about ices. We're coming up to iSER season.

0:07

We all love an iSER, we all like to be an iSER

0:09

millionaire. But are ice is good

0:11

for the country as well as good for you?

0:13

Now, that's a question we've got to ask. Because this is a

0:15

tax break, are we using it properly?

0:18

There's a case to be made for the brit

0:20

iSER only allowing you to

0:22

invest your iSER money in companies

0:25

actually listed in the UK. You

0:27

can read the argument for that at Bloomberg dot Com.

0:30

At the same place, you can also find columns from Bloomberg's

0:32

many other brilliant columnists, and be sure to subscribe

0:34

for access to insightful stories, data videos,

0:37

podcasts, and much more. Welcome

0:43

to Meren Talks Money, the podcast in which people who

0:45

know the markets explain the markets. I'm meren'sumset

0:48

Web. This week, a conversation about

0:50

the UK's future energy mix with Kafrinport

0:52

and independent energy consultant at what Logic,

0:55

and after my conversation with Catherine, stay tuned

0:57

for a conversation with Bloomberg energy reporter

1:00

John Morrison Yadron.

1:02

Hello, thank you so much for joining yesterday.

1:04

My pleasure.

1:04

Okay, we're going to dive right in with a super

1:07

easy question. Isn't it zero possible by

1:09

twenty fifty?

1:10

Probably not?

1:11

Is it desirable?

1:12

Now, that's a very interesting question. I

1:14

think that we have been focusing

1:17

very single mindedly on carbon dioxide,

1:19

and some of the policies that we've been adopting

1:22

in pursuit of that aim have caused

1:24

other harms and are causing other harms that aren't

1:26

really getting the attention that they need. I

1:28

did some work recently looking at the critical minerals

1:31

required for the energy transition and the

1:33

huge increase in mining that's going to be

1:35

needed. And the problem with mining is

1:37

it's very environmentally harmful.

1:39

It's often taking place

1:42

in countries which are quite arid,

1:44

so issues around water supply, keep

1:46

maintaining clean water, availability of water

1:49

for agriculture and human consumption are quite

1:51

significant. Blasting and so

1:53

on causes a lot of air pollution, and

1:55

you have huge challenges with managing the rights

1:57

of indigenous peoples on whose land or

2:00

underneath whose land these resources are often

2:02

found, and often that you have a

2:04

lot of labor and human

2:07

rights abuses associated with them.

2:09

Can I just take you back and ask you about water.

2:11

I think a lot of people won't understand quite how water

2:13

intensive mining is.

2:15

Yeah, So the issue with water comes up

2:17

in a few different ways. One is that miners

2:20

often deliberately remove water from the

2:22

water table to reduce the risk of

2:24

flooding in their minds. That have been studies

2:26

in South Africa that have shown that

2:29

water table levels might take more

2:31

than a century to recover, and this

2:34

affects mooreholes that are being used for

2:36

local people's consumption and for

2:38

agriculture. Water is

2:40

also used quite extensively in

2:42

the processing and extraction of the minerals

2:44

from the rock, and so they're

2:47

taking that water away is then unavailable

2:49

for other uses. Then the third

2:51

area where you have an impact is that

2:54

there's a lot of waste material from mining

2:56

and the extraction of metals

2:58

from are and you get

3:00

what's called tailings, and they're usually stored

3:02

in these ponds and all

3:05

sorts of contaminants can leach out of

3:07

those ponds into local

3:09

water sources, whether that's fresh water or

3:11

seawater. And then that also gets

3:14

into the food chain, both

3:16

marine let's say, fish, and so on

3:18

and then people eat the fish and get sick or just straightforward

3:21

drinking the water, and so it has

3:23

a really significant impact. And

3:25

we've seen in South America there's been increasing

3:28

social pressure against mining.

3:30

So in Panama recently they closed a very large

3:33

copper mine as a result of basically

3:35

political pressure, and now

3:38

it's a lot harder to open new mines. And

3:40

so you have a population of people, particularly

3:42

in South America and what's called the lithium

3:44

triangle. I'm really

3:46

objecting to new.

3:47

Extraction in Pritus and Chile. You haven't there

3:50

around lithium minds that.

3:51

Exactly, they're objecting to mining.

3:53

They're objecting to extraction that they

3:55

say not unreasonably. Then they're not receiving

3:58

a fair share of the economic benefits

4:01

of all of this. But then on the other hand,

4:03

you have populations in low

4:05

lying Pacific islands and in the Indian

4:07

Ocean i am, you know, clamoring

4:10

for more action on climate change. So you have two

4:12

populations in fairly

4:14

sort of underdeveloped and more

4:16

deprived parts of the world with

4:19

very conflicting sets

4:21

of interests, and so

4:24

far there really hasn't been any effort to

4:26

balance those and sitting here in the UK,

4:29

or what right do we have anyway to

4:31

say which rights are better

4:33

than which are the rights and all the rest of it. So

4:37

I think that we need to start thinking in

4:40

a more holistic way about what

4:42

we're doing. And you realize

4:44

that common dioxide is only one part of the

4:46

puzzle. If we don't have enough

4:49

drinking water, then having clean air isn't

4:51

going to be that much of a comfort.

4:52

Yeah, I'm maintaining with agriculture and so on.

4:54

So there's massive downsides to what we're trying to do exactly,

4:57

Okay, So let's talk then about

4:59

what the ideal energy mix

5:02

would be.

5:03

Right.

5:03

So we spent a lot of time in the UK, in

5:06

particular under wind energy

5:08

and solar energy and trying

5:10

to up the level of these particular renewables

5:13

into our energy mix. So we reached a limit.

5:15

Do you think of what we can do there?

5:17

I think so.

5:19

I think solar has some contribution, but it's very

5:21

much at the margin because in our

5:23

times with peak energy demand, it's

5:26

just not sunny, you know, winter evenings,

5:29

and we haven't found a way of seasonal

5:31

storage for energy yet it's not one that works

5:34

within Britain. We don't have seasonal

5:36

hydro capability because

5:38

of our geology, so until some

5:41

other technology is developed, it allows us

5:43

to store electricity from the summer

5:45

to the winter. That is really not that

5:47

useful.

5:47

Okay, So so simply doesn't work for us beyond

5:50

a certain Yeah, I mean it's.

5:52

Nice to have.

5:53

It feels a bit good as at the margin,

5:55

but without a way to storage at

5:57

least overnight, if not seasonally, it's kind

5:59

of points you really need.

6:01

To have seasonal storage to move your solar

6:03

from the summer to the winter.

6:04

Yeah. And we have a similar problem surely with wind

6:07

and there's not so much seasonal

6:09

but intermittent.

6:10

Yeah.

6:10

And intermittency is the big problem with renewables

6:12

because our grid is not designed to deal with it,

6:15

and because we need to create a

6:17

constant backup system to

6:19

deal with the intermittiency.

6:20

That's exactly right. And so it's

6:23

extremely expensive. And this

6:25

notion that renewables are cheap because all

6:27

the wind is free is extremely

6:29

naive because you have to build

6:32

at least the same capacity again either

6:34

as alternative generation or as storage

6:36

to bridge those gaps when it's not windy. So straightway

6:39

that costs money. But then also

6:41

you have a lot more expenditure on the grid

6:43

because now this renewable

6:46

generation is very distributed, so

6:48

instead of having one big lump of generation

6:50

in one place with one cable connecting

6:52

it, now you need lots more cables.

6:56

And then also you have to manage the moment by moment

6:58

intermittency, so this is called balancing,

7:01

and the balancing costs have gone up by billions

7:03

of pounds a year recently. So all

7:05

of these costs are added on to consumer bills,

7:08

and it's why if you look at a chart of

7:11

retail versus wholesale electricity

7:13

prices since the beginning of the century, you

7:15

see that retail prices have just gone up sharply,

7:18

whereas wholesale prices sort of wiggled

7:20

around and done some other path.

7:23

And it wasn't really until September twenty twenty

7:25

one that wholesale prices really drove the

7:27

retail price, because they then rose

7:30

very significantly. But otherwise

7:32

that relationship hasn't been that strong because

7:35

the retail price has contained all sorts of

7:37

other elements, wind subsidies

7:39

in particular.

7:40

So when we'd hold that wind is cheap, it is

7:42

not taking account of

7:45

the backup power, the

7:47

cost to expand the grid to figure

7:49

out the balancing and possibly also

7:52

the adding environmental cost of the

7:54

rare earth metals, etc. That we

7:56

need to create the components.

7:58

Absolutely not and it doesn't so it doesn't

8:00

include the direct costs that currently

8:02

go on to consumer bills. So consumers

8:05

don't see that rare earth environmental cost, but

8:07

they definitely see the extra grid cost because

8:09

the network component of bills has gone

8:11

up.

8:11

They see the.

8:12

Extra balancing cost because that also comes

8:14

in through the network component. Now,

8:16

when I did this work on critical minerals recently,

8:19

I went from being a little bit sort of neutral

8:22

I think maybe we should pause the whole wind

8:24

roll out while we upgrade our grid,

8:27

to actually been quite negative because

8:29

once you understand the huge amounts

8:31

of additional copper and aluminium that

8:34

are required to support that build

8:36

out, and they are the two minerals

8:38

that are going to be mostly required for the energy

8:40

transition, the increase in aluminium

8:43

and copper supply will have to be

8:46

very significant, much bigger than everything else.

8:48

I mean, it takes ten years and billions of pounds

8:51

to develop a new mine, and

8:54

all those other challenges we mentioned earlier, it

8:56

starts to actually look morally questionable, and

8:58

so I think more sensible strategy

9:01

is to go for nuclear where it

9:04

fits in with the way grids were designed and

9:06

it doesn't have the intermittency problem. So yes,

9:08

nuclear has very high capital costs. Once

9:11

you've built it there, it can run for sixty years.

9:14

It's extremely safe. Nuclear and solar

9:16

have the lowest deaths by unit of

9:18

electricity generation of all generation technologies.

9:21

Okay, that's unexpected, and make sure for most people,

9:24

I would say.

9:24

Yes, it is unexpected, but that absent

9:27

Chernobyl. Aside from Chernobyl, there have been no nuclear

9:30

reated related deaths from any nuclear

9:32

incident worldwide.

9:34

Huma, for example, there were no death related

9:36

to that. The deaths around that were related to the tsunami,

9:39

not.

9:39

Exactly so at the

9:42

the consumer plant itself there were some fatalities,

9:45

but this was because you know, things

9:47

fell on people's heads during the earthquake

9:49

and tsunami. That's not a nuclear

9:52

incident. That's just an earthquake related

9:54

incident. And so you get industrial

9:56

accidents. And that's why even with

9:59

solar, for example, non zero deaths

10:01

associated with solar. Obviously

10:03

solar panels themselves are completely inert.

10:07

But then if you look in the mining industry.

10:09

The mining industry is extremely dangerous,

10:11

very high levels. In fact, all extraction industries

10:14

oil and gas is the same, and

10:16

coal and so on, so all of these other

10:19

industries. And then of course if you're using those

10:21

materials to build your generation,

10:24

then that it's within that supply chain, and

10:27

renewables wind in particularly you get

10:29

working at height issues as well. So yeah,

10:32

nuclear has a very strong is you're only.

10:34

In mining, not as dangerous as some other kinds

10:36

of mining, but.

10:37

There's just less of that.

10:37

You need so little, yes, that it doesn't make any

10:39

difference. Yeah, I wrote about this reason. You're actually saying

10:42

that you're only miss so interesting because it's the most

10:44

price insensitive thing in the world because

10:46

you only need a tiny bit of it in each nuclear

10:49

plant. But without it you can't do anything, so

10:51

you'll pay anything for it, so it's not to have to shut

10:53

the thing down, right, Yeah, Okay,

10:56

let's go back briefly. I want to come back to nuclear and

10:58

how it's financed and how we should do that, but

11:01

let's go back to the grid. So the grid is initially

11:04

designed to have these big power stations in

11:06

the middle of the country, is

11:08

sending out constant power of heartbeat

11:10

and never stops, etc. Even with nuclear,

11:12

if we're going to have a lot more electrification, even

11:15

with that, we'd still.

11:16

Need to upgrade the grid.

11:17

Right, Yes, you need to build

11:19

more generation and you'd need to upgrade the grid,

11:21

but it's a much smaller challenge

11:24

if you're not doing it using a lot

11:26

of intermittent generation. It's the

11:28

fact that we're having all this intermittency which

11:30

requires a doubling of capacity. So

11:32

you need all of the reliable

11:34

capacity that you can call on your thermal

11:37

and nuclear generation as

11:39

well as the wind, and

11:41

it will be much more economically effective and

11:43

a better use of resources to just

11:46

have that and not have the wind. And

11:48

obviously you're not going to want the thermal because

11:50

of the the carbon emissions,

11:52

but you can have the nuclear which doesn't have

11:54

the emissions problem.

11:56

Okay, again, I want to come back to Nikle. I'm

11:58

gonna put that one side because I think you're I

12:00

probably both agree that this is the answer, the only

12:02

answer. Everyon want to move away from a fossil fueld. So

12:04

let's go back and talk about fossil fuels a

12:06

little. Because it's hard to imagine a world without

12:08

them. Right, So when we have let's stop

12:10

oil throwing souper around the place, et cetera. Even

12:14

everybody's plans for net zero still

12:16

have us using fossil fuels, right,

12:18

Even in net zero plans, It don't go away, even

12:21

in the most ambitious, ambitious plans that anybody

12:23

has. And even now when the whole world of talking

12:26

about reducing fossil fuel use,

12:29

coal and oil and gas

12:31

use is still rising. Right, we might be able to make them

12:33

slightly fall as a percentage of use,

12:36

but not much.

12:38

No, even in Britain, not coal use,

12:40

but oil and gas use has increased in recent

12:42

years.

12:43

So when we talk about in the UK

12:45

not not using the

12:48

shell gas that we could get

12:50

access to if we wanted to, and not producing

12:53

any more licenses for exploration

12:55

and production in the North Sea, this is just

12:57

silly.

12:58

It is.

12:58

Yeah, So I think the shell questions a little

13:00

bit different when it comes to the North Sea.

13:03

We should really maximize

13:05

the potential of the North Sea and

13:08

guess as much out of it as we possibly can,

13:10

because the alternative is just imports. And

13:12

then people say, oh, yes, but you know it

13:14

has to travel around anyway because we

13:17

don't have all the refining capacity, but we still

13:19

control the production emissions, and we do have some refining

13:21

capacity, so that argument doesn't

13:23

really stack up. As soon as you're importing,

13:26

you really lose control of the supply chain. With

13:29

shale, it's a little bit different because although given

13:31

adeology, we're fairly confident that the gas

13:34

is there, we can't

13:36

be it's confident that it can be extracted economically.

13:39

And if you look at Poland as an example, you

13:41

know, the Polish would crawl over hot coals

13:44

to avoid buying gas from Russia,

13:47

and they looked at shale quite extensively,

13:49

and in the end they concluded that L and G would be a

13:51

better approach to get the more Russian gas,

13:54

and so that's the route that they've taken. So it's

13:56

not given that that can be economically.

13:59

Extracted go back

14:01

to the North Sea. So, if I understand

14:03

you, rightly, is suggesting that there's really become of

14:05

almost a moral imperative to

14:08

continue to the extent that we can

14:10

produce our own oil and gas,

14:12

because at least we can control it,

14:14

control its production, control the way it's taken

14:16

out, control the way people who work

14:18

on those rigs are treated, etc. So if

14:21

we don't pull it out ourselves, we're going to

14:23

be importing it, correct and we

14:26

it's a huge sort of revenue for the treasury,

14:29

So it's just crazy to import

14:31

it when we could produce it ourselves. And

14:33

the windfall tax terrible.

14:36

I mean the windfall tax was introduced because

14:38

of political outrage and public outrage

14:41

around people like Shell and BP earning

14:43

huge profits. Now I

14:45

kind of object to that a little bit because nobody's

14:47

giving them sympathy in years when they don't turn

14:49

huge profits, and when they make losses, nobody

14:52

compensates them when they drill a dry well for

14:54

example, and you know you

14:56

mentioned the people working in the North Sea. It

14:58

is one of the most dangerous, strong jobs that

15:00

you can do. So I do slightly

15:02

get annoyed when people are throwing stones

15:05

at these companies as if they're evil and terrible,

15:07

when they're really not. They're providing goods

15:10

and services which are essential to everyday

15:12

life in which we all benefit.

15:14

Than my living standards would collapse absolutely.

15:17

But also BP and Shell

15:20

only a tiny proportion of their global

15:22

income comes from the UK, so

15:25

really it's harmed. Companies like Harbor

15:27

Energy. Well, most people have never heard of

15:29

Horbor Energy. Harbor Energy making

15:31

profits or losses is not headline news, and

15:33

yet it's the biggest operator in the North Sea.

15:36

It's taken a big

15:38

hit to its finances as a result of the windfall

15:41

tax and as a result is reprofiling

15:43

activities away from the UK. And

15:45

what we're seeing is that across the North Sea

15:48

operators they're are scaling back their activities

15:50

and we're seeing rigs moving out of the area.

15:53

Now, once these rigs go, it'll be really hard

15:55

to get them back. And obviously without rigs you're not

15:57

going to do anything. So it's

15:59

been really damaging and it

16:02

needs to go. And this is politicians need

16:04

to avoid these kinds of knee jerk reactions.

16:07

The windfall tax has not

16:09

achieved what it was intended to achieve.

16:11

All it's done is harm companies that

16:13

most people have never heard of and don't really care about.

16:15

And the belief in the time was that

16:18

it would raise large amounts of

16:20

revenue without affecting production. Well

16:23

was that the view? It must be?

16:24

Well, I think yeah, And now the government

16:26

is trying to sell we'll have these annual licensing rams

16:28

as a way of signaling ongoing commitment to

16:30

the region. But the best way to signal

16:33

that commitment would be to get rid.

16:34

Of the EPL.

16:35

Where are the rigs going West Africa?

16:38

West Africa?

16:39

It is certainly not coming back, are they? No?

16:42

No, There's one form of energy

16:44

that I haven't asked you about, and that is bio

16:46

mass. And one of the

16:49

big conversations I know in the energy world

16:51

is about drags. Is drags good

16:53

or is drags bad? Right? And I think

16:55

you might be on drags bad side. I

16:58

think, well, first have a claim DRAGS

17:00

does.

17:00

So. The Drags used to be a coal fired

17:03

power station, and because everyone

17:05

got very squamish about coal, they decided

17:07

that they would initially co

17:09

fire with wood pellets and then convert

17:12

to using wood pellets completely. And

17:15

wood pellet biomass is considered

17:17

and has this sort of very neutral cabin

17:20

accounting, because the idea is

17:22

that you plant new trees and then those trees

17:24

grow and I absorbed common dioxide

17:26

and that offsets the cobbon dioxide that you're emitting

17:29

by burning the wood. And

17:31

so DRAGS is a huge power station

17:33

and it burns a lot of wood, and

17:35

this wood is being sourced in the US,

17:38

and they like to say it's mostly wastewood, but it

17:40

would be hard to supply drags using just wastewood.

17:44

I'm interrupting you because I've I've

17:46

got their table here. I have a drag

17:48

supporter who has sent it to me. Stormal

17:51

and other wood industry residues nineteen point seven

17:53

percent branches and tops three percent, sinning,

17:56

thirteen point eight percent, low grade round wood

17:58

twenty two percent. That seems

18:01

pretty valid. Well,

18:03

what they do next is they have to

18:05

chop it all up, they have to dry it out,

18:07

and they have to pelletize it. All of those

18:09

steps take energy. Then

18:11

they load it onto ships and those ships

18:13

are fueled with bunker fuel, which is the dirtiest

18:16

bit at the bottom of the crack, and

18:18

then they sail it halfway around the world to Yorkshire

18:21

and then they set fire to it. And

18:23

the emissions from the chimneys at Drax

18:25

when burning wood pellets are higher

18:27

than they were when they were burning coal. So

18:30

not only is this bad for the people of Yorkshire

18:32

because their air quality goes down, it is bad

18:34

for all the people in between Yorkshire and the

18:36

US because of all the emissions from the shipping,

18:38

and it's bad for the people in the US because of all the

18:40

emissions from drying, pelletizing and all the rest

18:42

of it.

18:43

Okay, how about this.

18:44

Honestly, anybody can plant trees so

18:46

you could be residual.

18:48

Fiber depellot plants significantly improved

18:51

the economics of timberland. This has contributed

18:53

greatly to land owners making the eping economic

18:55

decision to shift from let profitable land

18:57

used like carbon nasty cotton in the US

19:00

planting trees for lumber and biomass. Timberlands

19:02

of the save Lee to the US are now growing in size,

19:05

increasing carbon sequestrations and habitats

19:07

for the nice animals.

19:08

But what you're doing is no, because

19:11

they're fast growing variety, So

19:13

you're losing biodiversity by doing that.

19:16

Okay, you're just not going to be convinced on this one.

19:18

No, no, no, There

19:21

are other forms of biomass energy, so I think

19:23

it's always important to be specific that we're talking about

19:25

wood pellet biomass in the context of drags.

19:27

But when you look at the supply chain emissions and

19:30

the fact that the stack emissions are higher than they

19:32

are with coal, then really the best

19:34

thing that dracts could do other than just closing.

19:36

Would we go back to burning coal, and

19:39

yes, you'll have some emissions ship in the coal, but

19:41

you don't have to dry it and pelletize it and

19:44

do all that other stuff.

19:45

Okay, so it would really the best thing for us to do.

19:47

Absolutely the best thing for us to do is

19:49

to forget about the woodpellers, forget about everything,

19:52

go back to coal and just open up our old coal mines

19:54

again, dig up the coal sticking into drags,

19:56

and then you've got a nice, constant

20:00

efficient source of power that just goes

20:02

directly into the grid without any

20:05

of the environmental consequences for other

20:07

countries. So or is that now really

20:09

pushing it?

20:09

I think that's pushing it because I don't think we're

20:11

going to sustain a coal industry with two coal power

20:14

stations, because we've got Drags and Ratcliffe

20:16

and they're both getting quite old.

20:18

So honestly, I would keep I would have them as

20:20

coal because it's cleaner than woodpellers,

20:24

and I wouldn't close them because

20:27

I worry that we're going to run out of generating

20:29

capacity come the end of this decade. So I think

20:31

closing anything that isn't actually broken,

20:34

shouldn't happen, and one

20:36

or two coal power stations isn't going to destroy

20:39

the planet. What's going on

20:41

in China?

20:41

Yes, and they create excellent backup exactly

20:45

exactly. So that's what's going on in China

20:47

being the increasing use of coal exactly. I mean, that's

20:49

increase really interesting

20:52

because their use of renewables is increasing massively,

20:54

but so is their use of every fossil

20:56

fuel known demand because.

20:58

Their energy use is expanding sort of yeah, and it's

21:00

orders of magnitude bigger than what we're doing.

21:02

So one or two coal power stations

21:05

in the UK not even running all

21:07

the time, it's not really moving the

21:09

dial up from a climate perspective.

21:12

But if we have blackouts

21:14

then that would have very serious consequences.

21:16

If we had winter blackouts in the UK, people

21:19

would die, that's

21:22

highly likely. So to

21:24

avoid that at a very bad outcome,

21:27

running a couple of coal power stations doesn't

21:29

seem like a bad trade off.

21:31

Okay, so we leave Rags doing what it does, but we

21:34

probably leave it doing what it does with biomass because

21:36

it's not going back to coal. And as

21:38

you say, if we don't have those backup generators,

21:40

running. We are vulnerable,

21:43

so we need drags and it's biomass. If we're not going

21:45

back to coal, even if you don't strictly streaking improve

21:48

of it and the way it does things, if we didn't

21:50

have it, we've been putting ourselves at risk exactly.

21:52

And I think it's unfortunate because it's received

21:54

so many subsidies to do something

21:56

that's far worse than it was doing previously.

22:00

And I don't criticize Drugs for that. I mean their

22:02

management team has done a bangup job. Really,

22:04

if persuade incentivized exactly,

22:07

they've persuaded governments to pay them lots of money

22:09

to do something even worse than they were doing before and

22:13

really give an obsolete business

22:15

model new legs. So their

22:17

management has done a brilliant

22:20

job. I don't blame them. They're doing

22:22

what they're supposed to do for their shareholders.

22:24

Yeah, it's the government, not just our

22:26

government. You know, the EU is in exactly the

22:28

same boat with the way that it incentivizes

22:31

by a mass.

22:32

Yeah, so our governments have made a real massive the senergy

22:34

business, haven't they incentivizing all the

22:36

wrong things?

22:37

They have.

22:37

But this is not a political comment

22:40

because the mainstream parties are all broadly

22:42

in the same boat on these things. I

22:44

think the Conservatives now are starting to see a route

22:46

to maybe if they soften

22:48

their commitments on net zero, that gives them, you

22:51

know, a slight benefit in the

22:53

polls, given that they're so far behind

22:56

any to do the results of Uxbridge.

22:58

But I mean, this is written into law.

23:00

Well yeah, but laws can be changed quite

23:03

tough, I don't think so. It depends if you

23:05

have a decent sized majority then you

23:07

can do it. And people say, oh,

23:09

well, the net zero target is written into lots is

23:11

definitely going to happen. Well, I completely

23:13

disagree with that as an argument,

23:16

because I think you'll get into the twenty forties,

23:18

be remote from the target, be

23:20

facing an enormous bill, and are

23:23

dropping people's living standards to achieve it,

23:25

and suddenly there will be a growing consensus

23:27

to move or change the target. Okay,

23:31

so it won't happen. It won't happen now, and

23:33

it might not happen in the twenty thirties, but as you approach

23:36

the twenty fifty day, it will happen exactly

23:38

so, and you can't

23:40

stop a future parliament passing different

23:43

laws so a future parliament.

23:45

Just because the law exists today does not mean it

23:47

will exist tomorrow. Do you think that

23:50

this is an off topic question that

23:53

if Richard Sinec were to give one last gift

23:55

to the nation before he's removed from

23:57

office in the next election, it would be

23:59

removed be that zero. Will

24:02

there be a gift you g givers.

24:04

So I don't.

24:04

I think that's possibly too abstract as

24:07

a gift. I think that what he would

24:09

need to do is to phrase it in ways that

24:11

where people could see a benefit

24:13

to them in the short term, because

24:15

that's really what's hurting people right now is the

24:17

high cost of living. So that

24:20

zero people are starting to realize

24:23

that's going to make energy.

24:25

And goods more expensive, you know, just.

24:27

Starting to talk about carb and border

24:29

adjustment mechanisms and things like that. That's

24:31

going to make stuff more expensive. It

24:33

will be inflationary.

24:36

So well, let's let's look at the answer.

24:38

Then we can come back to it to assume act gift,

24:40

because the gift give us around this to

24:42

come back to nuclear which I think you believe is the

24:44

answer for doing to our energy problems. Right

24:46

first, explain going to be why there isn't

24:48

the expense extent which it's feasible inside

24:50

the timeframe that we need.

24:52

So I think nuclear ticks all

24:54

the boxes because, as I said before, it fits

24:56

in perfectly with the way the grid was designed. It's

24:59

not intermitted, and it produces

25:01

huge amounts of energy from a very

25:03

small site. And once

25:05

you've built it for the last decades, you

25:08

know, now you're really looking at sixty years

25:11

operating lifetime for these reactors,

25:13

and they are very safe. So what's

25:16

not to like? The high upfront cost

25:18

and the wist those are the two things not to like, whereas

25:21

the wast is actually very manageable. Volumes

25:23

of waste involved are extremely small.

25:27

The problem we have with waste these at the moment

25:29

is a legacy issue. It's dealing with

25:31

all the stuff at cellar Field from

25:33

back in the day when waste wasn't handled

25:35

properly. But the waste that comes out of power

25:37

stations now, although

25:40

we haven't identified a long term disposal

25:42

site, it's all being stored in

25:45

a perfectly safe way. The volumes are small.

25:47

It's all very manageable.

25:48

Can you see volume small? What do you mean like.

25:50

A coke can's worth a year? All that kind

25:52

of.

25:54

Small, okay,

25:56

But compared and compared with all the other

25:59

toxic waste that we generate from all

26:01

of the other industries that we have going on, it's

26:03

really smart.

26:04

And people forget that.

26:05

They think nuclear as

26:07

being unusually bad, but actually

26:09

other industries both produce more toxic

26:11

waste and are actually far more dangerous. The biggest

26:14

industrial accident ever was Boparl. Nobody

26:17

wants to stop making pesticides as a result

26:20

of.

26:20

That, okay, But how do we get a buy

26:22

in for this in that you know,

26:24

to get some power stations

26:27

up using nuclear reasonably quickly in

26:29

the timepime that is required. Given you already concerned

26:32

about having about us having blackouts towards the end

26:34

of the decade, right well, Steton.

26:35

Number one is don't prematurely close the advanced

26:38

gas called reactors, which on

26:40

the current schedule would all be shut by March

26:42

twenty twenty eight. They could continue

26:44

running into the twenty thirties, and they need to,

26:47

and that requires the Office for Nuclear Regulation

26:50

to soften its approach

26:52

in certain areas where it's really taking much

26:55

too.

26:55

We're really bad at softening regulation

26:58

in the UK, well, really bad at that's so that

27:00

to keep those running requires a

27:02

regulation shift at and to build new

27:04

ones inside the time frame. In

27:06

the next sort of thing, I would personally disband and

27:10

replace it with something else because I

27:12

think it's it's it's got a

27:14

little bit out of control and

27:17

the structures around it, so it sits under

27:19

DEFRA. It's not connected with the

27:21

Department for Energy in any way, so it's

27:25

and how much of a priority is it for DEFRO,

27:27

you know, looking after nuclear safety, I

27:29

think we need to we

27:32

need to do better. So

27:34

step number one is don't close the ADR's

27:37

step number two we need to start

27:39

quickly building new reactors.

27:41

Now. There are various sites around the country,

27:43

Wilvera being the most obvious, where

27:46

there's not just local buy in,

27:48

there's an actual, active local

27:51

desire to have a new reactor

27:53

put on that site. They want

27:55

it, they would they would crawl

27:57

over broken glass to get it. The low

28:00

is known as atomic Kitten because

28:02

she's pushing for getting a new reactor

28:04

at Wilver. This is, you know, it's

28:08

like the perfect storm of everybody wanting

28:10

it in that area, so we

28:13

need you know, it's pushing it an open door.

28:14

Let's let's do it now.

28:17

The most credible route to delivery

28:19

at the moment is with KEPKO, the Korean

28:21

Electric Power Company. They are about

28:23

to open their eighth APR

28:26

fourteen hundred. They've got four open in

28:28

South Korea. There's a fourth one about

28:30

to open in UAE America. They're

28:33

delivering these reactors in eight years, on time

28:35

and on budget. No one else at the moment

28:38

can come close. Neither EDF nor Westinghouse.

28:40

Who are the other competitors in

28:42

the Western world, if you like, are

28:45

anywhere near that?

28:46

Do we order now? We can have them by the early

28:48

thirties correct.

28:50

KEPKO, I think is estimating about a tenure

28:52

delivery for the UK, given sort

28:55

of UK specifics. Now, their

28:57

reactor is not certified in the UK, but

28:59

it is certified in the US, and there's a virgin

29:01

that's been certified by the EU. Now

29:03

the government has said it wants to

29:06

cooperate with trusted country regulators.

29:08

This is a perfect opportunity

29:10

to do that. If this technology is

29:12

good enough for the NRC in the US, it should

29:14

be good enough for US. Like the NRC

29:17

is a perfectly credible regulator. It's not

29:19

some Mickey Mouse outfit. They will you

29:21

know, they have high standards, So

29:23

we shouldn't be reinventing the wheel to get that certified.

29:26

Here, okay, what about

29:28

the and we should pay for it?

29:30

Okay, that's what I was gonna ask. So who's going to pay

29:32

for it? It's so to me that my view

29:34

yep, okay, tell me your you. My view is not tell

29:37

me the.

29:37

Government should at least for the first So

29:39

I think we need to sign a contract with Capcove for maybe five

29:41

reactors and not all

29:44

once, you know, come up with some sensible delivery

29:46

schedule, and at least the first couple need

29:48

to be paid for with public money on the public balance

29:51

sheet.

29:51

Because energy security is as important

29:53

as any other great, yeah.

29:54

So I when we don't outsource funding the military

29:57

or the police to the private sector, and

29:59

that's our physical called security is a nation, so

30:01

we shouldn't necessarily take a different view for energy

30:03

security. But I believe

30:06

security then there, well we'll come,

30:08

but we don't. But we're not in the same boat with food

30:10

security. So I

30:12

believe that one of the challenges at

30:14

the moment with securing private investment

30:17

is there's a concern, well,

30:19

there are two issues. One is kind of easily

30:22

overcome investors have something

30:24

of a blind spot around nuclear that's similar to

30:26

their blind spot about AI. They sort

30:28

of put it in, oh, this is quite complicated and scary

30:30

bucket, and then they're just not doing the normal

30:33

risk analysis.

30:34

So it's sort of like, just work.

30:35

The problem like you would any other problem. Your risk professionals,

30:38

for goodness sake, just do your job. The

30:40

other aspect is a genuine concern over

30:43

regulatory consistency and

30:46

the stability or otherwise of

30:48

the policy and regulatory environment,

30:51

and those are legitimate concerns, and I think

30:53

that the government needs to do more

30:55

to de risk the construction phase.

30:58

So if it just simply put its

31:00

own money down, and of course the government can borrow

31:02

more cheaply than any of the other potential

31:05

investors, so this would also reduce cost of consumers.

31:08

I'm fairly confident that after construction they

31:10

could refinance and probably

31:12

at a profit as well, because these will be long

31:14

term profitable assets. So once

31:16

you've de risked construction, these

31:19

are going to be a very different and more attractive

31:21

investment prospect. And also

31:23

once you've demonstrated the commitment, you started

31:25

rebuilding supply chains, you started building

31:28

up work for skills and the confidence

31:30

on delivery, then actually you probably

31:32

find more investor interest even before

31:35

the operating phase that you might get people

31:37

coming into finance construction.

31:39

As long as the bill costs didn't get out of control as

31:41

they seemed to on everything we try and build.

31:42

Well, no, but Capco's has been keeping

31:44

its costs under control. So we need to just

31:46

bring them in and give them the ability

31:49

to deliver in the UK in the way they've

31:51

delivered in South Korea.

31:52

And ue, what.

31:53

About small modular reactors.

31:55

I mean these we've been building these for years and sticking

31:58

them on submarines, right, so yeah.

31:59

Unfortunately we can't just put the same ones on

32:01

land because well, because they use

32:04

a much more enriched type of fuel, it's

32:06

not actually licensed for use in

32:08

civil applications. So the idea

32:10

with nuclear submarines is they can stay under

32:13

the sea for years on end.

32:15

You know, they resurface because the

32:17

people need to exactly

32:19

and they need feeding and stuff, but

32:21

the you don't need to refuel them.

32:24

That type of fuel can't currently

32:27

be I mean, why it's

32:30

not considered as safe. That's why, I mean there

32:32

are concerns over the safety.

32:36

Well, yeah, but if you're a nuclear submarine

32:39

operator in the Navy,

32:41

then you have other safety concerns. I

32:43

mean, yeah, that's already part of the deal. Okay,

32:45

so we can't just transfer this to land, so that

32:49

at the moment, none of the this

32:51

type of fuel is not it's just not licensed. Now

32:53

they're starting to increase the

32:56

concentrations of fuel allowed in civil

32:58

applications, but it's very much a

33:00

softly softly approach. So

33:04

maybe in some point in the future they would be able to

33:06

do it, but it's not at the moment now.

33:08

I think small modular reactors have

33:10

great potential, but it's they're

33:13

more a twenty mid twenty thirties

33:15

onwards conversation, and we just

33:17

can't afford to wait. The most

33:19

promising ones are a

33:22

couple of boiling water react to technologies

33:25

that are being developed in Canada,

33:29

and if they work, that

33:31

will be very promising.

33:33

But they're essentially a scale down version of

33:35

large scale reactor technology.

33:37

Okay, is

33:40

it possible that all our problems will

33:42

go away once we can mirror solar energy

33:44

from space.

33:47

Hull?

33:48

All our problems could go away. If we invented nuclear

33:50

fusion, all our problems could go away. If we

33:52

could capture unicorn tears and harness

33:54

them trying to end on atmistice

33:57

gather.

34:00

Now we don't me try something else.

34:01

You can come up with an optimistic answer to.

34:04

How confident are you that

34:06

we will get our energy

34:09

makes sorted out before we end up having

34:11

power cuts? The real question being should I buy candles?

34:15

Well, I actually advise people with elderly

34:17

relatives to buy tortures and have them sort

34:19

of secreted around their houses because

34:21

if they had power cuts and you

34:23

know, navigating stairs and stuff,

34:26

it's that's kind of dangerous. So if

34:31

the longer we leave it to act, the narrower

34:33

our choices become. So we're rapidly

34:35

approaching at a stage where the

34:38

government's going to have to hugely increase the procurement

34:40

target for the capacity market and build more gas

34:43

unabated gas fired generation, which

34:45

will be expensive because there's uncertainty

34:47

about how they will operate post twenty

34:49

thres can be reasonably quick, but they can be

34:51

delivered in under two years, so that

34:54

could be done to fill the gap. If

34:57

that isn't done, then you're really

34:59

looking a demand catailment. So

35:02

if you're expecting a blackout

35:04

because of a shortage, and you can see that shortage

35:07

coming, then you have to tell your industrial

35:09

demand to turn itself off so

35:12

you can potentially avoid blackouts that way. Of

35:14

course, you're greatly reducing

35:17

system stability and increasing the risk

35:19

of widespread blackouts when you're doing that, and damaging

35:21

your economy. But it's hugely damaging. It'll

35:24

be politically and economically damaging to

35:26

do that, So we do currently

35:28

have the tools to avoid blackouts. Don't

35:31

close the ADRs, don't close anything

35:33

else unless it's actually broken. And

35:36

look at building new gas because

35:38

if you don't, you know you're running out

35:40

of time. And try and accelerate

35:42

the build of new nuclear so that when

35:44

you do have to close the ADRs in the

35:46

beginning of the next decade, you've got something

35:48

coming on.

35:49

To replace it.

35:50

Yeah, I'm bang handles.

35:51

And then you've got electrification to consider as

35:53

well.

35:54

Yeah.

35:55

Okay, Catherine, thank you so much. I will just ask

35:57

you one last question, which you'd have to

35:59

take stab at, even though not your area, because I

36:01

ask everybody, and I can't let you off. If

36:04

I was going to lock you up somewhere for ten years, somewhere

36:06

nice by the way, and before

36:09

I did that I asked you to make one investment

36:11

and one investment only. And I normally

36:13

say to people they have a choice between bitcoin

36:16

or gold, but

36:18

in okay, I'm going to add on uranium.

36:21

Well, sume bitcoin or gold. I do gold. I

36:23

am between gold and uranium.

36:27

That's interesting. Yeah, I'll probably

36:29

do uranium. Yeah, of course

36:31

if you go for the gold, you can always wear it afterwards,

36:33

you can.

36:33

Yeah, uranium, I.

36:37

Just make something pretty and

36:39

bitcoin you're not convinced by not

36:41

really, no, wonderful.

36:43

That was very kind of you to answer that question. Thank

36:46

you so much for joining us today. That was fascinating.

36:48

Thank you.

36:55

With me now to reflect on what we just heard from Catherine

36:57

porter Is Bloomberg Energy reporter Rachel

36:59

Morra and Rachel, thank you so much for joining

37:01

me today.

37:02

Hugely appreciated.

37:03

That was an interesting conversation,

37:06

and I wanted to start by asking

37:08

you what you thought about Rachel's thoughts

37:10

on net zero. She

37:13

says probably not possible

37:15

by twenty fifty, which seems to be a growing

37:17

concernsuscietally, and she's also not

37:20

convinced it's desirable either. So

37:22

do you from your work, do you think that it's

37:25

possible by twenty to fifty on

37:27

our current projectory.

37:29

I think when we are thinking about it, we're

37:31

thinking about the word net within that and

37:34

how much emphasis is going to be on that net.

37:37

So there's new technologies where you

37:39

can capture carbon from the air and so you

37:41

can remove carbon. So can we be offset that against

37:43

some of the emissions that we haven't been able to

37:46

prevent. So I think within that

37:48

we could probably get close

37:51

by twenty fifty. It's very hard at this point because

37:53

it's so far away. I think we're looking at some

37:55

of the twenty thirty goals, particularly

37:57

in the UK, the clean grid by twenty

38:00

thirty five under the Conservatives or twenty

38:02

thirty under Labor and people are saying

38:04

that that looks very difficult. That's just too soon

38:06

for some of those technologies like

38:08

carbon capture and storage or hydrogen.

38:10

Yeah, okay, So it's really meeting

38:13

it at the moment based on what we can do at the moment. It's

38:15

more about carbon capture than anything else.

38:17

That I think we're at a crossroads

38:19

where we sort of have to see which becomes

38:22

more successful and more widely used, and

38:24

that's on a global basis. Carbon capture or

38:27

hydrogen both, especially if it's green.

38:29

Hydrogen can solve some

38:31

of the problem in the places that are

38:33

difficult to decarbonize, such as industry.

38:35

And then when we moved on to talk about

38:38

desirable this is when it all got pretty

38:40

interesting with Catherine, because she looked

38:42

at it very much through the prism of cost,

38:44

and not just financial cost, but also

38:47

environmental costs that not everyone looks

38:49

at. So we talked a bit about water supply and the massive

38:51

amount of water used in mining for the critical

38:54

minerals that we need for transition, and talked

38:56

about the general environmental

38:58

harms and also social harms that

39:00

that mining might

39:02

might have in the kind of countries where

39:05

lithium, etc. Is And that was quite

39:07

an interesting way to look at it. This is not something you heard about that

39:09

much. That that a this focus

39:11

on financial cost, which is gathering

39:14

speed, right, and b this focus on the

39:16

environmental cost of the minerals.

39:18

What did you think about her take on all that?

39:22

Yeah, I think you're right. A lot of the focus

39:25

tends to be on the kind of sustainability

39:27

from the kind of labor involved

39:29

in some of those minds, and

39:32

the availability of the

39:35

critical minerals needed for making

39:37

batteries, and the water aspect is

39:39

interesting because you know, it seems

39:41

like almost every solution we find has

39:44

some other strain on

39:46

the environment and on the planet. When

39:48

it comes to cost, I think it's quite difficult

39:51

calculation to make, particularly for

39:53

renewable energy. And

39:55

yeah, the conversation was focused very much

39:58

on the lowest cost of consumer and

40:00

there is this idea of the trilemma,

40:03

which is an idea that sort of come back into fashion,

40:06

where you have cost, you

40:08

have security of supply, and you have environment

40:11

and at one time only one of those things can

40:13

be at the apex of the triangle, so at the detriment

40:15

of the other two. So if you put cost at the top,

40:18

then obviously that might mean using

40:20

fossil fuels for longer because it might be cheaper.

40:23

But if you put the environment or sustainability

40:25

at the top, then you know, perhaps one of those

40:27

things it has to give is that we have to pay more.

40:30

And I think what she didn't

40:32

mention is that having huge amounts

40:34

of renewable energy which feeds

40:37

into the grid at a low cost, does lower

40:39

the price of energy for consumers. So

40:42

we do have that bill lowering

40:44

impact of having lots of renewable energy.

40:46

Yes, we have to pay for it. We have to subsidize

40:49

those technologies at the moment, but the cost has come

40:51

down significantly. You know, you kind of are

40:53

weighing up that you pay to build

40:55

it now and it operates for decades into

40:57

the future, giving us a source

40:59

of clean and low cost electricity

41:03

versus just sticking with fossil fuels and not building

41:05

anything new.

41:06

Yeah, but when you say it brings down costs, you

41:08

are talking about the future, right, I mean it's

41:11

more expensive now.

41:12

We have to rebuild.

41:13

We've put up all this infrastructure, and we have to pretty

41:15

much rebuild the grid from scratch

41:17

and make it much much bigger and develop

41:20

it in a very different way to take on many, many,

41:22

many tens of thousands of different sources of energy

41:24

as opposed to the small number of energy

41:27

sources we used to have in terms of big power stations in

41:29

the middle of the country, et cetera. So we have to

41:31

do that, and then we have to pay for the backup

41:33

power, the intermittency, et cetera. So

41:36

in the short term, that doesn't reduce builds,

41:38

and I when we see that do not build. It doesn't reduce bills.

41:40

But the hope is that it does over the medium

41:43

to longer term. Right, well,

41:45

it does.

41:46

You can see it on your bills. If you have one

41:49

of the kind of flexible or agile tariffs

41:51

and it's a super windy day, then

41:53

you can see that you get exposure to

41:56

a price that is much much lower than usual. So

41:58

you can not everybody has that. I mean, it

42:00

makes more sense if you have something like an electric vehicle,

42:03

but it is possible for the consumer to get exposed

42:05

to that decrease in price when renewables

42:08

are plentiful. I think what you're

42:10

describing is the shift from

42:12

this big centralized system where

42:14

we have big power stations and big centers of demand

42:16

to much more decentralized lots of input

42:19

points along the grid for your heat pump, your

42:21

electric vehicle. And yes, that requires a lot, a

42:23

lot of investment. But on the other hand, the

42:26

power stations we have don't last forever. A lot of them are

42:28

going to close. We have old nuclear plants

42:30

that are going to close, gas plants that will closed they reach

42:32

the end of their life. So whatever

42:34

we would have to build something new, we

42:37

can't just use things that are

42:39

sixty seventy years old, so there

42:42

would be some kind of rebuilding no matter

42:45

what we did. And I think when you look at some

42:47

of the research, you can find that the

42:49

status quo and continuing to use fossil

42:51

fuels that are subject

42:54

to big price swings like the

42:56

war in Ukraine ends up being more expensive

42:58

than investing and receiving

43:01

the benefit of that cheaper, cleaner power.

43:03

Well, it seems like I mean that the

43:07

efficiency and cost base of renewables such

43:09

as solar and wind is always going to cause arguments,

43:11

partly because there's the arguments around land

43:13

used efficiency, etc. But fossil

43:16

fuels, of course are always going to cause arguments.

43:18

But there does seem to be this one thing in the middle that I

43:20

talked about a lot with Catherine, which is nuclear

43:22

power, which seems like an increasingly

43:25

obvious solution. If we just

43:28

really focus on building out nuclear

43:30

you don't really need anything else. You can you

43:33

can stop with relying on China for solar,

43:35

you can stop with worrying about where the minerals come

43:37

from. We can so arguing about whether we have to colonize

43:39

the Moon together the lithium, et cetera. We can

43:41

just get on with it, and that seemed

43:44

the way she described it and the way that I've heard

43:46

other people talk about it incredibly compelling.

43:48

It takes away all the other

43:51

problems. Do you think she's been too simplistic about

43:53

that?

43:54

I think that. I mean, it depends which

43:56

country. But you know, in the UK, for example,

43:59

we are sportive of nuclear. Here the

44:01

government, both on both sides, supports

44:04

a build out of nuclear. The problem is it takes so long.

44:07

The big stations that

44:10

like Hinkley Points see size well

44:12

see that are Hinkley's being built.

44:14

It's taking much longer and costing

44:16

more. And there's been several

44:19

examples throughout Europe. There's one project

44:21

in France that EDF is also working on, Flamonbilee,

44:24

that's been incredibly delayed.

44:27

And so if we if

44:29

we could rely on nuclear to be built quickly

44:32

and not cost a lot more than we were thinking,

44:34

you know, perhaps it could play a bigger role. And I think

44:37

most people sort of think yes

44:40

in part, but maybe it's not the full solution

44:43

for those reasons. And the small modular reactors are

44:45

interesting too, but we haven't got a

44:47

working example of those yet. You know, they're still in

44:49

their infancy. Of development, so

44:52

it's sort of a leap to rely

44:54

on them too much at this point.

44:55

Although she did say, I mean I found at the very end

44:57

of the conversation that that that we just closed on. We

44:59

were to talking about the Korean

45:01

Electrical Power Company KEPCO and how they're

45:04

just opening these things all over

45:06

the place. They've got four open in South

45:08

Korea. They're opening them all over the place, and they're delivering

45:10

them in eight years, on time, on budget

45:12

in a way that nobody else is.

45:15

And I said to it, so if we order them now, we can have

45:17

them by the early thirties and years like, yeah, absolutely,

45:19

and we should do that.

45:20

I think the nuclear sector

45:23

would respond by saying that our kind of

45:25

safety standards are so high

45:27

here. I mean, I know that getting a reactive design approved

45:30

takes a very long time, and

45:33

I've visited the Hinckley site,

45:35

and even though we're not likely to

45:37

have a tsunami, they have to build walls

45:40

that would protect the power plant from

45:42

the impact of a tsunami. You remember Focushinger,

45:44

you talk about it in

45:46

the interview, and there's

45:49

just trying to protect against that. I

45:51

think would mean it would be difficult to loosen

45:53

the regulations and allow nuclear to move faster.

45:56

But often it's actually the construction and the

45:58

people that takes

46:01

a long time, the supply chains. It's not necessarily

46:03

just the regulation.

46:04

Okay, I mean there there

46:06

is or she suggests that there's a case for

46:09

not being quite so

46:12

so safety conscious.

46:14

Obviously very safety conscious, but she does

46:16

suggest that we go a little ott with us

46:18

in that. I mean, for example, for Coushuma

46:20

that was not actually a nuclear accident. There

46:23

was a tsunami, but it didn't cause

46:26

any any deaths from the nuclear

46:28

station itself, just from you

46:30

know, the kind of physical damage of a tsunami.

46:33

Yeah, I think it's just such a high risk.

46:35

And I'm sure you remember from some

46:38

of the worst points

46:40

in the war in Ukraine that

46:42

there were worries about a nuclear plant there. And if

46:45

you know, if there's an attack on a nuclear plant and the

46:47

wind blows towards Europe, you know, we could

46:50

all be impacted too, and it's

46:52

impossible to contain and stop, and so it

46:54

just you know, policy makers just cannot

46:57

risk that, even if it's unlikely.

47:00

Still, the Fakashima incident impacted

47:03

how you build nuclear all over the world.

47:06

Regardless of the likelihood of it actually

47:08

happening.

47:09

Okay, I'm getting that you're just not quite as keen

47:11

as as Catherine was

47:14

and don't see it just quite sort of straightforward

47:16

way out of the whole thing.

47:18

I think it's part of the solution, but I think a huge

47:22

amount of capacity would just be very

47:24

difficult to do.

47:26

Okay, thank you, Thank you very

47:28

much, thanks

47:32

for listening to this week's Maren Talks Money. We'll be back

47:34

next week. In the meantime, if you like us show, rate,

47:36

review, and subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts,

47:38

and we finally have our show emails, so send

47:40

along your ideas, your questions, to your comments, and of

47:43

course your criticisms to Merin Money

47:45

at Bloomberg dot net. This episode was

47:47

hosted by me Maren sumset Web. It was produced

47:49

by Someasadi, additional editing by Blake

47:51

Maples. Special thanks to Katherine Porter

47:53

and of course to Rachel Morrison.

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