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Newcore's Luke Alexander Talks Enchi Production Profile following its Updated PEA

Newcore's Luke Alexander Talks Enchi Production Profile following its Updated PEA

Released Thursday, 25th April 2024
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Newcore's Luke Alexander Talks Enchi Production Profile following its Updated PEA

Newcore's Luke Alexander Talks Enchi Production Profile following its Updated PEA

Newcore's Luke Alexander Talks Enchi Production Profile following its Updated PEA

Newcore's Luke Alexander Talks Enchi Production Profile following its Updated PEA

Thursday, 25th April 2024
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0:17

All. right? everybody we are going to.

0:19

It can conclude this week's corporate

0:21

updates with them. Good news out

0:23

of New core gold. A new

0:26

court ended the day to day

0:28

up nearly eighteen percent which is

0:30

great news. After publishing their updated

0:32

preliminary economic assessment for the and

0:34

she called project in Gonna the

0:37

sporting are using the I guess

0:39

you can now say conservative base

0:41

case of one thousand eight hundred

0:43

fifty dollars per ounce of gold.

0:45

It's pre tax Npv. Out with

0:47

the five percent discount, said five hundred. Eighty

0:50

six million dollars and now has

0:52

a seventy seven percent internal rate

0:55

of return The Or to provide

0:57

his a commentary and editorial comments

0:59

as Ceo Luke Alexander hey look,

1:02

look back. Yeah. Thanks

1:04

offer! Average driver. Yeah.

1:07

Big news important day to day for the

1:10

get this updated. You know this cat. The.

1:12

There's a lot to. there's a lot

1:14

to can't take any. About the start.

1:17

Genuinely genuinely. Ah, Twenty Twenty One, you

1:19

publish the original p A. What's.

1:21

Different this go around. Yeah.

1:24

Number of things up are different.

1:26

We've obviously increase the overall production

1:28

profile of the project by about

1:30

thirty six percent. So if you

1:33

look at our only twenty one

1:35

p A We increased it from

1:37

about eighty nine thousand ounces to

1:39

this are updated p A One

1:42

Hundred and twenty Two thousand ounces.

1:44

So larger overall production profile. Obviously.

1:47

The industry seen a lot of

1:49

cost inflation over the last number

1:51

of years, so work we've incorporated

1:53

Twenty Twenty Four I'm Costs into

1:56

the I'm P A. So from

1:58

I kept x perspective. Looking at

2:00

about one hundred and six billion

2:02

dollars on of initial capital at

2:05

that includes a twenty forty percent

2:07

of contingency. Ah, and we've ah

2:09

B C grow in the overall

2:11

Npc the project. So if you

2:13

look at the. Or

2:15

twenty twenty one p A We

2:18

had about three hundred million dollar

2:20

Npv and our as this one

2:22

we got a three hundred and

2:25

seventy one billion dollar Npp after

2:27

tax and an after tax Iraq

2:30

of about job fifty eight percent.

2:32

So we've got a larger overall

2:34

project, larger production profile, and.and an

2:37

increase.com Npv And as you highlighted,

2:39

that's all at a meeting. Fifty

2:41

Gold Price! Or

2:45

has to do today. Put. Loot.

2:47

what is what is today's good press look like.

2:50

Yeah. So say today at Twenty three Fifty

2:52

gold and we've outlined some of these numbers

2:54

as the press release and I had encourage

2:56

people to go have been have a look

2:58

at that press release. We put a huge

3:01

amount of detail in there, a lot of

3:03

sensitivity analysis, On from an

3:05

op ed cap act of gold

3:07

price perspective. But. You specifically

3:09

on gold if we looked at

3:11

the project added twenty three fifty

3:13

gold price you're looking at and

3:16

after tax on N P V

3:18

M I, six hundred and thirty

3:20

million dollars and an after tax

3:22

iraq of roughly ninety two percent.

3:25

So obviously those are extremely attractive

3:27

metrics for up for a project

3:29

that again ah only costs one

3:31

hundred and six million dollars to

3:34

out to to initially. Build

3:36

so. I'm not surprised by the

3:39

a response that we've seen in the market

3:41

in the fact that he always treated over

3:43

two million shares to the move up that

3:45

you are loaded at the start of this

3:48

episode is on the back of big volume

3:50

as well which is always a good size

3:52

and I think there's a lot of the

3:54

for the company to run from here on

3:57

a number of different metrics are we are

3:59

still trading. At very depressed levels. And

4:01

my view is that there's a real

4:03

disconnect in the market between. What?

4:06

We've outlined with been this P

4:08

A in terms of the fundamental

4:10

value of the project represented by

4:12

the Npt. The I R R

4:14

to Payback period we haven't talked

4:17

about is one point six years.

4:19

So all of those are the

4:21

fundamental value, the project and you've

4:23

got our stock which you know

4:25

as of yesterday was trading at

4:27

about thirty five billion dollars Canadian.

4:30

So a big disconnect between where's

4:32

the stock prices today and the

4:34

value of the project. And I

4:36

think ultimately we're going to start to

4:38

see a real rerating happening over time

4:41

as the market sorts of price in

4:43

you know the economics of the project.

4:47

In the question for i haven't read

4:50

or hello p is in the last

4:52

two months since we've had this massive

4:54

run in the cold pressed. What?

4:57

Was the conversation like internally As

4:59

far as keeping that base case

5:01

situation that eighteen fifty? Know

5:04

that there's a five hundred dollar discrepancy

5:06

between that and the current spot price.

5:09

I. Me as good as eighteen fifty? Could

5:11

there be an argument? That.

5:13

It was too conservative. Me

5:16

there can always be an argument

5:18

that dad that were being too

5:20

conservative. but again when you look

5:22

at our our Market cap today.

5:26

Compared to the Npv the project

5:28

you know we don't need to

5:30

be over overly aggressive. Where you

5:32

start to see companies get overly

5:34

aggressive is when they're try to

5:36

backfill you don't value for for

5:38

those companies. Have it was

5:40

viewed T V go through numbers

5:42

on study them come out over

5:44

the last six months or even

5:46

around is T dollars. Would you

5:48

look at the oh some of

5:50

the analysts' expectations from last year's

5:53

you know they're in those regions

5:55

of all of those things going

5:57

to how we come up with

5:59

the price and how like a

6:01

podium are consultants come up with

6:03

the price used as a base

6:05

case. When. Obviously again within

6:07

V P A you'll see a

6:10

lot of sensitivity analysis in there

6:12

so the old your listeners you

6:14

can go in and we got

6:17

a table that shows the project

6:19

That and nineteen fifty twenty fifty

6:21

twenty three fifty price dealt you

6:24

can pick your own are gold

6:26

price and then yelled back calculate

6:28

damn well Actually not even back

6:30

calculate You'll see all of the

6:33

ah the valuation and economic at

6:35

those different gold. Prices within the

6:37

press release. A do

6:39

when ask you about. That.

6:42

The costs. I mean, One

6:44

hundred, just over one hundred million

6:46

dollars to get the thing that's

6:48

initial a cap accident and she

6:50

built with what you're working with

6:52

today. Look, you've been in investment

6:55

banking. You. Also know

6:57

that. You have to. Walk.

7:00

So be mindful of the market

7:02

cap the valuation. Of the company.

7:05

Based. On the costs to

7:07

get these projects constructed up

7:09

into production and sometimes there's

7:11

a huge disconnect between those

7:13

two. Data. Points. By.

7:16

With or thirty five million dollar

7:18

Marcy, get company with a hundred

7:20

million dollar. Cap

7:22

acts. That. Seems something

7:24

reasonable and something we really haven't

7:27

seen much of in this sector.

7:29

It is that. Do would

7:31

you agree? If I was sitting here starting

7:33

to look Alexander the Banker. Yeah,

7:36

No, absolutely. And I mean as a

7:38

lot of the feedback we've had from

7:40

Bankers this morning from silver major investors

7:42

from the street is you know this

7:45

is a project as very manageable for

7:47

a company of of our size, it

7:49

all hundred million dollars or one hundred

7:51

and six million dollars have been a

7:53

topic to be if you are lucky

7:56

to find that fifty percent death, fifty

7:58

percent equity. I saw the. The something

8:00

that can now are you don't give

8:02

you can be accomplished by a company

8:04

of bar of our side. When.

8:06

I look at a number the other projects

8:09

out there. You're lucky that you know Three,

8:11

four, five hundred billion dollar affected. For.

8:13

Most of those types of projects you

8:15

really need a bit tap her to

8:18

build it. One. Of the things

8:20

that we looked at externally and

8:22

spent a lotta time on ah

8:24

and I think that the street

8:26

is really recognizing this is your

8:29

outta three hundred and seventy million

8:31

dollar after tax and p be

8:33

compared to a hundred and six

8:35

billion dollar. Our initial capital which

8:37

is I got a highlight does

8:40

include a twenty percent contingency. That.

8:42

Is a you know, three and

8:45

a half to one Npv to

8:47

rise topics ratio. When. You

8:50

know you start to look at other

8:52

projects out there and I would encourage

8:54

you or any of your listeners to

8:56

go find another project that that has

8:58

that kind of you know and pvt

9:01

to topics rate ratio and it'll be

9:03

very difficult to find. So that's one

9:05

of the things that really attractive about

9:07

this project is. Very. Low

9:09

tax for a big Npp, the I

9:12

R R as well as fifty eight

9:14

percent that A B C fifty gold

9:16

price. that's in a very attractive Iraq

9:19

and obviously last the to your pay

9:21

back at one point six years be

9:23

nice. Types of projects are incredibly difficult

9:25

to find, and the great thing about

9:28

it is we're not talking about fifty

9:30

or sixty thousand elses production. We're talking

9:32

about a project that produces a hundred

9:35

and twenty two thousand ounces over and

9:37

nine. You're buying one. With.

9:39

Obviously district scale exploration.

9:42

To grow up Beyond that.

9:44

All. Over deposits remain open a long

9:47

strides as well as it death. So

9:49

you see a nine year mine life

9:51

today. But. We're extremely confident

9:53

that obviously with additional exploration

9:55

we will. You don't We

9:58

will throw that. Overtime

10:00

so that's always yourself. Without We're

10:02

We're very excited about. The.

10:05

Source about potential margins in your

10:07

production profile, your operating costs and

10:09

your task force estimates are sub

10:12

one thousand dollars per ounce. You're

10:14

all and is just just eighteen

10:17

bucks. Over one thousand dollars will

10:19

call one thousand dollars even your

10:21

How does this compare? Your

10:24

peers in the same as same

10:26

area of development. So.

10:30

One. Of the great things about our

10:32

project is it the he Pleads project

10:34

so I probably should have mentioned his

10:36

would come to our an initial capital

10:39

as well. so each he week projects

10:41

is you and and a lot of

10:43

your most your listeners will probably no

10:46

are much lower cap back to bring

10:48

into production. Sir. Also lower topics

10:50

to ride or site, lower off

10:52

back to run once they are

10:54

into our into production. So for

10:56

our project we're looking at dumb,

10:58

a cast car and operating cost

11:01

of by eight hundred damn little

11:03

rate hundred dollars. Were looking at

11:05

a cost cost of nine hundred

11:07

and thirty four and an all

11:09

in sustaining cost of just over

11:11

a thousand dollars, Thousand and eighteen

11:13

dollars. So again he fleet project

11:15

that's one of the big advantages

11:17

is that from an operating. Costs

11:19

perspective as well as a Cap

11:22

X perspective. there much lower costs

11:24

and that's one of the things

11:26

that really helps Drive of the

11:28

of Easy. The economics of this

11:30

sort of this project is you

11:32

know the costs to run them

11:35

as well as to are ultimately

11:37

built them. Yeah. It's

11:39

probably good to talk about his

11:42

arm your we. For. This

11:44

updated p A repeat of like

11:46

the Podium. You. Know like of

11:48

podium for you is probably a host

11:50

household name but for a number of

11:53

your listeners it's probably important to highlight

11:55

that you know as a consultant their

11:57

the gold Standard in in West Africa.

12:00

Africa in terms of the a study

12:02

that they've done as well as the

12:04

project that they've built to be looked

12:06

at the last dozen odd projects that

12:09

like a podium. Has

12:11

been involved in. They've all been

12:13

either on time, on budget, ahead

12:15

of schedule, ahead of budget. Ah,

12:17

so that's one of the things

12:19

that you know. Also, would you

12:21

look at the numbers? It's important

12:24

to recognize that these are backed

12:26

by an engineering firm with a

12:28

really strong track record in in

12:30

Africa. I'm like the podium

12:32

for example is is part of

12:34

a team that's helping build ah

12:36

or sorry fan the a half

12:38

old project in gonna do months

12:40

project. they're putting another billion dollars into

12:42

that and.and like a podiums one

12:44

of the lead engineers on that

12:46

project. So it's a team that

12:48

we are. We really enjoyed working with

12:51

that. Obviously he knows your listeners

12:53

can have a lot of confidence

12:55

in the numbers that are presented

12:57

with in the P. As a

12:59

result the that. Proof

13:02

like a podium provide some insights and

13:04

how the next technical report which I

13:06

assume would be preliminary feasibility study might

13:08

be improved in one of the line

13:11

items that I can have picked up

13:13

here. Luca just as a shareholder and

13:15

the little nitty gritty is can you

13:17

improve your strip ratio which is now

13:20

about two and a half to one

13:22

and also could those gold recovery switches

13:24

so that eighty one point eight percent.

13:27

Is. Are opportunities for that to be

13:29

improve? Richard also benefit the economics and

13:31

your next technical report. I mean is

13:33

a room with those two areas for

13:35

improvement Or where would they be? Yeah.

13:39

So there's always room for improvement

13:41

in were always striving to improve.

13:43

I think we've seen a nice

13:45

improvement from the Twenty Twenty One

13:47

Are T A in terms of

13:49

the street economic? But. As well

13:51

as the significant amount a d

13:53

risking that's happened between Twenty Twenty one

13:56

and today, we've moved seven hundred

13:58

forty thousand out to dinner. Indicated

14:00

category out. We have done it

14:02

all Hundred the bottle role and

14:05

and column tests on this project.

14:07

So that eighty one point eight

14:09

percent says you're referring to from

14:12

a recovery perspective is backed by

14:14

a huge amount of tests were

14:16

sad.that supports it when you look

14:18

as the tests work. In all

14:21

the results that we that we've

14:23

been put out over the last

14:25

couple years we've averaged about ninety

14:28

one, ninety two percent off recovery.

14:30

Who have been that we've been That

14:32

test test where. We. Did this

14:34

that discount that sound eighty one

14:36

point eight and we felt well

14:38

again. we don't need to be

14:41

aggressive from a recovery perspective when

14:43

we already got to great economics

14:45

for the project. so let's see

14:47

that opportunity for the future. So

14:49

yes, we think there is an

14:51

opportunity to add a few more

14:53

percentage to that dumb or to

14:56

that recovery as we continue to

14:58

do additional. Additional

15:00

tests were. From. A stripping

15:02

perspective. Again this

15:04

the district scale exploration project.

15:07

All. Of our deposits remain open

15:09

a long stride and death death

15:12

so as we discover more oxide

15:14

else is odd near surface as

15:16

odyssey the strip ratio goes down

15:19

as we're bringing are typically can

15:21

always say it goes down but

15:23

typically as your discovery on surface

15:26

deposits v strip racial will be

15:28

going down. As you start

15:31

is to to to album ah

15:33

to dig deeper on he says

15:35

you obviously have wider pits at

15:37

the top of that of often

15:39

influence your overall strip ratio. So

15:41

yes we think is opportunity over

15:43

time to also improve our in

15:46

those areas as well as we

15:48

find four ounces to throw on

15:50

to the heat. P.

15:52

Ios really good move came as think a

15:54

lot of people were pleasantly surprised including myself.

15:56

I guess I'm a your I was a

15:58

surprise. I felt like. The thing was gonna be

16:01

pretty girl because I've been a shareholder for such a

16:03

long time so as happy to see it may be.

16:06

A half maybe proven right a little

16:08

better myself actually about your of it

16:10

by the you're you and I can

16:12

have conversations back and forth or off

16:14

line and I always ask you'll go

16:16

right? So when does the drill rig

16:18

come back when you hit hard with

16:20

expiration again in Nc Are you get

16:22

would Now that this update p A

16:24

is out is this is just the

16:26

time. To. Return with a with a

16:28

bigger drill program. Yeah.

16:31

So we're over the next few weeks

16:33

on is he gonna focus on getting

16:35

out there and and talking about the

16:37

p Ah with investors have been bested

16:39

bank with corporate ah so that's good

16:42

to be a big part of the

16:44

focus over the are over the next

16:46

few weeks. Obviously the economics

16:48

of this project I'm really highlight

16:51

at this is in in our

16:53

view of mine so the next

16:55

step is to take it towards

16:58

a I towards the Pff. So

17:00

management team perspective from a board

17:03

perspective on is your major shareholders

17:05

full all evaluate you know the

17:07

next step to take his towards

17:10

a I have Pfs. Or.

17:12

To that will obviously in malls are

17:14

drilling and one of the things that

17:16

were never gonna lose focus on is

17:19

obviously the the huge district scale exploration

17:21

that we got across. Ah, The

17:23

project so. Balancing. Those two

17:25

things is what we've always done and

17:27

will continue to do to ultimately three

17:29

value for our shareholders and for all

17:32

our stakeholders. So that would be the

17:34

focus for the up up for the

17:36

next few weeks or so. Next you

17:38

want. Well obviously we're continuing

17:40

to do a point to. Do

17:44

too much. Even though we

17:46

feel we're pushing a Pfs level

17:48

network, gas at this point will

17:50

continue to do that. Ah, Or.

17:53

Doing condemnation drilling across the area

17:55

where the keep least pad would

17:57

go were doing ideological June. Ideological

18:00

or test work as well as to

18:02

tech work on the project. Will again

18:05

these are all things that may not

18:07

be really exciting for the market but

18:09

there are crucial to war to to

18:12

take a project towards the production decision.

18:14

So we've been doing a lot of

18:16

that work over the last couple years.

18:19

In the background that has really been

18:21

highlighted with been This P A Killer

18:23

continues to do that. Work.

18:25

So that we can move towards that

18:28

next step above via of getting a

18:30

Pfs wrapped around this project and ultimately

18:32

defeated into production. The

18:35

road loot. Thanks so much more time

18:37

again Congratulations are getting this out! Oh

18:39

that was very highly anticipated as a.

18:43

Very positive catching up with you over going.

18:46

He gets a little bit more clarification about

18:48

next desperately you're and the coming weeks and

18:50

that's when we'll talk to you next. Think.

18:53

As. A Lot. Trevor. That's

18:55

your update from New Core Gold Everybody

18:57

in the updated p A from Nc

18:59

the do trade on the venture with

19:02

and see a you and of the

19:04

ot see Qx with Nc A you

19:06

have. The. Information

19:08

presented not be considered Investment Advice

19:10

Mining stock Daily It's affiliates are

19:12

not responsible for any loss arising

19:14

from any investment decision In connection

19:16

with the material presented here in.

19:19

Please. Do your own research

19:21

or speak with a license

19:23

financial representative before making any

19:25

investment decisions.

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