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A boy meets girl meets stats story

A boy meets girl meets stats story

Released Saturday, 25th November 2023
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A boy meets girl meets stats story

A boy meets girl meets stats story

A boy meets girl meets stats story

A boy meets girl meets stats story

Saturday, 25th November 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

This is the BBC. This

0:03

podcast is supported by advertising

0:05

outside the UK.

0:12

Thank you for downloading the More or Less podcast.

0:15

We're your weekly guide to the numbers in the news and

0:17

in life, and I'm Kate Lambell.

0:22

Today, we're all about a girl looking

0:24

at a film and asking it to, well,

0:27

to accurately represent women and the jobs

0:29

they do. My name is Veronica Carlin, and

0:32

I am currently the Director of Learning at Elder

0:34

Research.

0:39

There are two things you need to know about Veronica.

0:42

The first is that she's a data scientist, which

0:44

means she falls into the big wide job

0:46

category called STEM. STEM

0:49

stands for science, technology, engineering

0:51

and mathematics. And

0:52

the second is that she loves a

0:54

good rom-com. I am a hopeless

0:57

romantic at heart. I think

1:00

there are parts of me that absolutely love

1:02

romantic comedies, largely

1:04

because I just like to

1:06

be separated from reality for

1:09

a few moments in a world where love

1:11

conquers all. When I was a little girl,

1:13

I would pretend I was a princess trapped

1:15

in a tower, and then this knight on a white horse

1:17

would come charging up and rescue

1:19

me.

1:20

Romantic comedies, rom-coms.

1:23

We're talking Pretty Woman that you just heard, when

1:25

Harry met Sally. My favourite rom-com is

1:27

absolutely Crazy Rich Asians. So

1:30

your family is, like, rich?

1:31

Quite comfortable.

1:34

That is exactly what a super rich person

1:36

would say. It's a modern take

1:39

on Cinderella, but what I love

1:41

about it even more is that she is an economics

1:43

professor who specifically studies

1:45

game theory. And for Veronica,

1:48

there's one thing she loves about

1:50

rom-coms. Typically and historically

1:52

when women are in films, they are secondary

1:55

characters, and they're there to advance

1:57

the plot lines of the male characters. However,

2:00

in romantic comedies, because the female

2:02

is the lead, there's a lot of complexity

2:05

to her. So we see her friendships

2:07

evolve, her career, things

2:09

that she likes, and things that are unique

2:12

to her specifically that have nothing

2:14

to do with any other characters in the

2:16

movie. And that really is

2:18

unique to romantic comedies of

2:20

the genre. So it matters to

2:22

Veronica what kind of jobs the female heroes

2:25

of rom-coms actually do, where the women

2:27

like her, women in STEM are represented.

2:30

And scientist stereotypes have always been there

2:33

in rom-coms, the trope of the emotionally

2:35

distant rationalist being softened

2:37

up by love. That's even there in

2:39

one of the very first rom-coms, Bringing

2:42

Up Baby from 1938, starring Catherine

2:44

Hepburn and Cary Grant as a bumbling

2:47

aloof archaeologist. I

2:49

hope you realise that you've made a perfect call

2:51

of yourself in front of everyone. Have you finished? Yes,

2:54

yes I have. Thank you very much. Bye

2:56

bye. But

2:57

that scientist role is almost always

3:00

a man. So Veronica had a hunch

3:03

that there wouldn't be a lot of rom-coms whether lead

3:05

woman was a chemist or doctor or engineer.

3:08

And being a data scientist, she set to work figuring

3:11

out what was going on.

3:12

In the rom-com of this story, we'd have a montage

3:15

here of Veronica checking

3:16

spreadsheets in a fabulous outfit, drinking

3:19

frothy coffee and typing frantically on

3:21

a computer.

3:24

Veronica had to identify what it means

3:27

to be in STEM. STEM really

3:29

bleeds into a lot of other fields.

3:32

So

3:32

is someone in agriculture

3:33

in STEM? Right, like

3:35

there's growth patterns and

3:38

biology that's associated, but is farming

3:40

STEM.

3:42

She used a National Science Foundation report

3:44

to pin down the job definitions and the

3:46

United States Bureau of Labor Statistics

3:48

numbers to work out the percentages.

3:53

Of the entire US workforce, 23%

3:55

of the workforce is STEM and 8%

3:58

is female.

3:59

8% of the whole US

4:02

workforce is women in STEM. Now

4:04

Veronica is just interested in women in the

4:06

workforce because we're just talking about female

4:09

lead characters here who make up 48% of

4:12

the workforce in the US. So you slightly

4:14

more than double that 8%. So

4:17

if everything is

4:18

equal, then in

4:19

theory, 16.5% of all rom-com movies should have

4:21

some

4:23

lead

4:29

role in

4:30

a STEM position. So if we produce 100

4:33

movies, either 16 or 17 of them should have

4:38

a female lead that's

4:40

a doctor or

4:43

a research scientist or a data

4:45

scientist.

4:46

Then she used the internet movie database

4:49

IMDB to identify all the US-made

4:52

rom-coms.

4:52

So I didn't want to compare women

4:55

from 1950 in

4:57

these roles if that wasn't really representative

4:59

of women in STEM roles. So I had to make

5:01

a cut off and that was 1990 to 2019. There were over 200

5:05

films, 249 to be exact in my data set.

5:07

And

5:10

she just had to go through each film and

5:12

identify how many lead women had

5:14

jobs in STEM. So how many

5:16

were there?

5:17

Only 12 of them. And

5:20

so to be clear, remember

5:22

we said that if we had 100 films,

5:24

then 16 or 17

5:29

should have been women in STEM. We

5:32

have 249 here. And so we're only getting 12 films with

5:39

women in STEM. And

5:41

that is significantly

5:43

below the number of women in

5:45

STEM in the

5:46

real workforce.

5:48

That ratio seems off, but

5:50

Veronica wanted to absolutely nail

5:52

it down.

5:53

In stats we have this thing called statistical significance.

5:56

And what that means is... Time for

5:58

another montage.

5:59

So that was determined

6:01

mainly with called binomial distribution.

6:04

And so binomial distribution was able to

6:07

then determine a p-value

6:10

in statistics, a p-value

6:12

in this case, I had a p-value

6:14

of significantly below 0.05.

6:24

What that means in layman's

6:26

terms is essentially there is no

6:28

way that this happens by chance,

6:31

at least not in a

6:32

probable way.

6:34

If you're wondering, the most popular job for

6:36

a heroine and a rom-com is a writer or

6:38

journalist. But trust me, there is not

6:40

that much romance going on in more or less

6:42

towers. Nevertheless, this analysis

6:45

warmed our cold hearts. But,

6:48

I mean, romantic comedy portrays unrealistic

6:50

image of modern life is hardly a surprise.

6:52

So

6:53

does it really matter?

6:55

According to Veronica,

6:56

it is particularly important to get

6:59

STEM representation right.

7:04

In the 1990s, the X-Files was a very

7:07

popular TV show, with agents Mulder

7:09

and Scully getting caught up in all kinds of adventures,

7:12

often including aliens. Surveys

7:14

of women who work in STEM years later

7:16

found that Scully, a strong female character,

7:19

had been a role model for them, seeing her on

7:21

screen that helped increase their interest in

7:23

science and technology.

7:25

This was called the Scully Effect because

7:28

Dana Scully was one of the two main characters

7:32

who really thought about logic,

7:34

reason, and she

7:36

was a medical doctor. And she had this profound

7:38

influence on women.

7:40

And so since rom-coms are

7:42

typically targeted to female

7:44

audiences, seeing more

7:47

women in STEM roles in

7:49

these types of films could have that same

7:51

type of effect on young

7:54

women going into the workforce or

7:56

in women deciding to change

7:57

careers.

7:59

signs that things are changing.

8:01

Just last month a new rom-com came out

8:04

called The Other Zoe.

8:05

It features a computing student who gives up

8:07

their over-rational preconceptions

8:09

and finds love. You have to go

8:12

after what you want and be brave. Oh my

8:15

god you're just giving me rom-com advice now.

8:18

No it's so fun. So

8:19

it is now a woman playing out

8:21

the stereotype of a scientist who through

8:24

the power of love learns how to have

8:26

fun and embrace life. We might have

8:28

to wait a little bit longer for a fun

8:30

free-spirited scientist in a rom-com who

8:33

can teach their love interest how to have a good

8:35

time.

8:38

Thanks

8:38

to Veronica Carlin whose research

8:40

was first published in an essay called How

8:43

to Lose a Girl in Two Standard Deviations

8:45

published by Significance magazine. That's

8:48

all for this week. If you see any stats you'd

8:50

like us to take a look at you can get in touch by

8:53

emailing more or less at bbc.co.uk.

8:57

In the meantime we will always love

8:59

Paris. Goodbye.

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