Episode Transcript
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0:00
Sasha hated sand, the way it stuck
0:02
to things for weeks. So
0:05
when Maddy shared a surf trip on
0:07
Expedia Trip Planner, he hesitated. Then
0:10
he added a hotel with a cliffside pool
0:12
to the plan, and they
0:14
both spent the week in the water. You
0:17
were made to follow your whims. We
0:20
were made to find a place on the
0:22
beach with a pool, and a waterfall, and
0:24
a soaking tub, and of course a great
0:26
shower. Expedia. Made
0:28
to travel. Momentum
0:31
is building to oust Johnson from his
0:33
House speakership. But Johnson's not going down
0:35
without a fight, folks. He went on
0:38
Fox Business over the weekend to remind
0:40
Republicans that he has the backing
0:42
of the parties, dear, later. I spent
0:44
hours with the president on Friday. He's 100% with me.
0:48
Well, that settles it. Trump is
0:50
100% with him. Isn't
0:52
that right, sir? He's going to protect King
0:54
and John's family. Well, we'll see what
0:56
happens with that. That
1:02
is a dose of classic Trump loyalty. He's
1:04
got your back so he can push you under
1:06
a bus. Speaker
1:10
Mike Johnson pushing forward with a
1:13
series of foreign aid bills despite
1:15
growing pushback within his party. How
1:18
much will he need to lean on
1:20
Democrats to get the funding passed, and
1:23
will it cost him the
1:26
speakership? Plus, the Senate dismisses
1:28
the Articles of Impeachment against
1:30
Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas.
1:33
Very quickly. That was fast. We'll
1:35
show you how things played out on Capitol
1:37
Hill and why Mitch McConnell said it was
1:40
not a proud day in the history
1:42
of the Senate. And what
1:45
to expect today when jury selection
1:47
picks up again in former President
1:49
Trump's hush money trial. They
1:51
went pretty fast in the first couple of days.
1:53
We already have seven jurors seated. Trump's saying they're
1:56
moving too fast. Oh, they're rushing
1:58
it. Okay, good morning and welcome.
2:00
Good morning, Joe. It is Thursday,
2:02
April 18th along with Joe, Willie
2:04
and me. We have former White
2:06
House Director of Communications to President
2:08
Obama, Jennifer Palmieri. She's co host
2:10
of the MSNBC podcast with Claire
2:13
How to Win 2024. Chief
2:16
White House correspondent for the New York
2:18
Times, Peter Baker is with us this
2:20
morning and MSNBC contributor and author of
2:23
the book How the Right Lost its
2:25
Mind. Charlie Sykes is with
2:27
us this morning. We have so much
2:30
to get to talk about. And in a few
2:32
minutes where we were going to talk about
2:34
Speaker Johnson in Ukraine, I must say, he
2:37
has had a conversion. You
2:39
know, it's like a
2:42
Christmas carol that the ghost of the
2:44
Republican Party past came to visit him
2:46
in the middle of the night and
2:49
said to him, well, and
2:52
he said, Yes, sir.
2:54
No, listen, what
2:56
do I say about conversion? I'll take them. I'm
2:59
a Baptist. Yeah, we love
3:01
deathbed conversions. We love midlife
3:04
conversions you want to convert.
3:07
Just as I am and waiting
3:09
night to cleanse my soul of
3:11
one dark spot. Well, okay, we'll
3:13
take speaker Johnson, who
3:16
sounds like Ronald Reagan.
3:18
And I will say in defense of some
3:20
of the leaders in that house GOP, like
3:23
some of those leaders that run important
3:25
committees, they felt like they're actually concerned
3:28
right about China, Iran,
3:32
and Russia. And this
3:34
might literally be a political deathbed conversion
3:36
for Mike Johnson as the threats to
3:38
his job continue from that faction. But
3:40
Joe, Speaker Johnson invoked Ronald Reagan's name
3:42
finally her head out loud. That's something
3:44
we've been talking about for months now
3:47
in the show the party of Ronald
3:49
Reagan turning its back on Ukraine in
3:51
a fight against Russia. Speaker
3:53
Johnson said yesterday, I'm a child of the 80s.
3:55
I'm a child of the Reagan era, we have
3:57
to do what's right here. We have to give
3:59
you Ukraine what it needs. Where
4:02
was that over the last couple of months?
4:04
Unclear. But he's come around, the
4:06
question will be have enough other Republicans come
4:08
around to that position to clear
4:10
this funding and get it to Ukraine. Perhaps as
4:12
early as Saturday night when Speaker Johnson says there'll
4:14
be a vote. And-
4:17
Oh, say Democrats step up. Maybe he'll go
4:19
to the floor. No. And
4:21
maybe he'll say- Listen. MTG.
4:25
Tear down that wall. I mean, there's
4:27
so many options now. Yeah, there's a
4:30
lot to say. He can borrow so
4:32
much from Ronald Reagan.
4:34
Yes, he can. And he's going
4:36
to be doing so. Yeah. And
4:38
I will say that,
4:41
you know, Reagan always figured out
4:43
how to be conservative ideologically,
4:46
but it compromised, but
4:48
moderate temperamentally. And
4:51
I think Ronald Reagan would be shaking his head
4:53
right now if he saw what was happening in
4:55
the state of Arizona. Oh my God. You
4:57
actually had Republicans going back to 1864
5:02
for a ban that
5:05
actually allows, well,
5:09
forces, young rape
5:11
victims and young incest victims
5:14
if from Phoenix, from Maricopa County, from
5:16
Tucson, from across the state, if they're
5:18
raped by an uncle or if they're
5:21
raped by, well,
5:23
like in the Ohio case, an illegal
5:25
immigrant, that there's going to be a, the
5:28
state is going to have a forced birth for
5:30
that 10 year old or 11 year old or 12 year old. And
5:33
it's happening. It happens
5:35
across America. And this
5:39
is what the Republicans in Arizona are
5:42
forcing on their people. Yeah. Are
5:44
there women on their children? Makes sense. Since
5:46
the guy who came up with the law,
5:48
raped children, forced them to have children. Arizona,
5:52
you've done it again. For the second time in
5:55
two weeks, Republicans and Arizona
5:57
state legislature have rejected. attempt
6:00
to repeal a near total abortion
6:02
ban from 1864. It's
6:04
a it's a people will you're running into
6:07
a burning house. And they're
6:09
saying, hey, we got an exit, we
6:11
got you can run off the back
6:13
door and not be engulfed
6:15
in flames. And come with
6:17
us. You can save all these women. Now
6:19
we're fine. We're fine. We just can keep
6:22
them in the house burn, let it burn
6:24
down. We're totally cool. Not about you don't
6:26
go out the back door. The second time
6:28
now, that Democrats and
6:30
tribes and save Republicans from
6:32
their own worst
6:34
1864 instincts. And
6:36
what did they do, Willie? They go, nope, we're good.
6:38
We want to stick with the 1864 law. Yeah,
6:42
I mean, even if you hold the reprehensible view,
6:44
that someone who is
6:46
raped must deliver the baby because you
6:48
said so. Do it for
6:51
the politics. How about that? Do it
6:53
for cynical political reasons that most people
6:55
in your state think this is appalling.
6:57
And yet you're standing by it. In
6:59
fact, only two Republicans joined all the
7:02
Democrats in the House Chamber in Arizona,
7:04
the vote to repeal the Civil War
7:06
era ban House Republicans later voted to
7:08
adjourn until next week. They did this
7:11
last week as well, leaving a path
7:13
for repeal of this bill unclear. Democrats
7:15
in the state house blasted their Republican
7:17
colleagues. The
7:20
message for today is clear. Arizona
7:23
Republicans voted not once but twice
7:25
to uphold the draconian 1864 abortion
7:27
ban. That
7:30
includes absolutely no exceptions
7:32
for rape and no exceptions for
7:34
incest. Our voices may
7:36
not have been heard today. But let
7:39
us be clear, we will be heard in November.
7:42
So Jen, the Republicans in Arizona keep running back this
7:44
playbook. They did it last week where they didn't want
7:46
to take a vote on it. Yeah. So was it
7:49
just going to dismiss themselves adjourn for a week and
7:51
do what I don't know, because they came back after
7:53
a week this time and did the same thing all
7:55
over again. Again, only two
7:57
Republicans in the Arizona House
8:00
voted to repeal a law that would force a
8:02
woman who was raped or is a victim of
8:04
incest to deliver the baby. Yeah, and if
8:06
Democrats were being political, they could have voted against it
8:08
too, right? They could have said, hey, if Republicans made
8:11
this mess, let them, you know, let them deal with
8:13
it. Or, you know, I said, let's just pass something
8:15
on the state ballot initiative and not give them a
8:17
lifeline. But I have, you know, two
8:19
takeaways from this. One, it's just how
8:22
destructive Donald Trump's presidency has been,
8:24
right? Just how destructive this has
8:26
been for women. And when Republicans
8:28
are in charge, they
8:30
will take the most extreme position when
8:32
it comes to, you know, women's rights
8:35
on the state level. And,
8:37
you know, Trump, you
8:39
know, he's trying to say
8:41
that he said, Arizona will overturn this. Well, they
8:43
didn't, right? You leave it to the states, we'd
8:45
love to assist it. This is what's happened. He
8:48
may be trying to moderate his position, but he's already done
8:50
the most extreme thing because he took away
8:52
the fundamental rights that women have. And brags
8:54
about it. And brags about it. He said it was
8:57
incredible. He said it was amazing. He said people were happy.
8:59
One of the state representatives that was part of
9:01
this debate yesterday, one of the
9:03
Republicans said, talked about how, you know,
9:06
pregnancies don't have to be picture perfect.
9:09
Meaning, you know, suggesting that
9:11
it's OK if pregnancies come
9:13
about by rape or incest. They don't need
9:15
to be picture perfect in order for
9:18
a woman to need to have
9:20
that child. My
9:22
God, I mean, the hypocrisy of that,
9:24
of course, they say that generally
9:27
if it comes into their own home, it happens
9:29
in their own home. If their 10 year old
9:31
daughter were raped by an illegal immigrant, they'd be
9:33
the first to say, OK, we're going to take
9:35
care of it. They'd be the first. So
9:38
the hypocrisy is just staggering. And, you
9:40
know, Charlie Sykes, Jim's
9:42
right. Donald Trump has
9:45
been just absolutely terrible and destructive
9:47
for the rights of women, for
9:49
the rights of rape victims, for the
9:51
rights of incest victims. And you move
9:54
it to politics so destructive.
9:56
And we've said this before because we're
9:58
really kind people. And we're
10:00
trying to help Republicans, we're
10:02
trying to help them find their way back
10:04
to where they can actually win an election
10:06
once in a while. They just won't listen.
10:08
They just keep losing. And you
10:11
live in a state where this is
10:13
again, I think it's one of the great examples.
10:15
We're talking about Kansas, we're talking about Kentucky for
10:17
good reason. But I keep
10:19
going back to that Wisconsin Supreme Court
10:22
election that should have
10:24
been a slug fast.
10:27
And instead, it was a wipeout. Why?
10:30
Because they were clinging to a
10:32
150 year old abortion ban. And
10:36
it cost them the Supreme Court in
10:39
Wisconsin. They don't care. Yeah,
10:42
well, it did. And you've seen this in one
10:44
state after another. Look at all the politics here
10:46
are absolutely fascinating. You have
10:48
Donald Trump last week thought he
10:50
was going to neutralize this issue,
10:53
kind of throws the pro-life movement
10:55
under the bus, even though he's
10:57
responsible for Roe versus Way being
10:59
overturned. Kerry Lake flip
11:01
flops on the issue. And as
11:03
you point out, in Arizona, they have a law
11:05
on the books that probably has the support of
11:08
less than 10% of the
11:10
electorate. They have an easy way out.
11:12
And they've chosen not to do it. And
11:15
so you see this dynamic here, where at
11:17
the very moment, the Republicans are saying, hey,
11:19
can we moderate our position on this? Is
11:22
there some sort of an off ramp? The
11:24
Arizona Republican Party is basically saying,
11:27
no, we're completely comfortable with this,
11:29
even though it's probably going to
11:31
cost them the control of the
11:33
legislature, may cost them the US
11:37
Senate seat, and probably
11:39
is going to tip Arizona over in
11:41
the presidential election. But this is
11:43
one of the, again, part of
11:45
what makes this fascinating is
11:48
kind of the trick box that
11:50
Donald Trump has put Republicans in,
11:52
where he says, OK, I
11:54
am the pro-life president. We
11:56
have overturned Roe versus Wade, but it's
11:59
completely now up. to these states,
12:01
states' rights, except that look what the
12:03
states are doing. So while he's trying
12:05
to sound moderate, he owns every one
12:07
of these extreme draconian laws and Republicans
12:10
are not backing off. But that was
12:12
an amazing scene yesterday in Arizona. Unbelievable.
12:15
I just don't understand why the women of
12:17
Arizona are going to have to go through
12:19
the process of showing politicians
12:22
what these abortion bans will mean to
12:24
their lives. And you mentioned rape victims,
12:27
incest victims, people with
12:29
fetal abnormalities. And that's
12:31
a lot of people. But
12:33
women who just want regular health care, who
12:35
might need a DNC, who might need an
12:37
abortion-like procedure won't get them. It's
12:40
going to have an incredible
12:42
impact on women and families
12:44
across the state of Arizona if this
12:46
ban stays in effect as extreme as
12:49
it is. By the way, we're still
12:51
waiting to see. I mean, we're so concerned
12:53
because Clarence Thomas, of course, in overturning Roe
12:55
v. Wade, wrote in a
12:57
concurring opinion that we have to look
12:59
at not only things like same-sex marriage,
13:02
also have to look at the right
13:05
to contraception. And
13:07
then you have IVF in Alabama,
13:09
the Senate in
13:13
Washington, the US Senate. Republicans
13:15
are blocking an attempt to make
13:17
IVF protected. So again,
13:20
this is impacting women's health
13:22
care. And
13:25
for women who consider themselves to
13:27
be pro-life, who miscarry. And
13:31
yeah, it's just really terrible.
13:33
All right. So much to
13:35
get to. Last night, Speaker Mike Johnson
13:38
released the details of his proposed foreign
13:40
aid package, which includes four separate bills.
13:43
One is roughly $61 billion for Ukraine. Another
13:47
provides $26 billion for Israel. The
13:49
third Is $8 billion for
13:51
the Indo-Pacific allies. And The fourth
13:53
is aimed at combating US adversaries.
13:55
The Fight Now heads to the
13:58
Rules Committee this morning, where Speaker
14:00
John... and will likely need democrats
14:02
to support the measure after several
14:04
republican said it would vote against
14:06
some democrats a beer inclined to
14:08
approve. The Package after President Biden guess
14:11
his full support yesterday and of by
14:13
the way to go to vote against
14:15
the package which is a job as
14:17
as leaders of their visit their top
14:19
committees are saying republicans are saying about
14:21
the Republicans their day of net, their
14:23
dupes or maybe even worse. Are
14:26
useful idiots? or even worse, their
14:28
parenting. Vladimir. Putins talking points
14:30
were tearing the talking points of
14:32
the Russian invaders is that's happening
14:34
in the United States Congress down
14:36
And so so yeah, they're They're gonna
14:39
push back on any attempt. To.
14:41
Find freedom fighters and despite.
14:43
The threats and has republican
14:46
colleagues. Johnson is pushing forward.
14:50
Going. To stand for Freedom and make sure that
14:52
Vladimir Putin doesn't marched through your we're an exceptional
14:54
nations were the greatest nation or on the planet
14:56
and we have to ask what and we have
14:59
to projected Huuhtanen and G and and Iran and
15:01
North Korea and anybody else that we will defend
15:03
freedom and doesn't mean boots on the ground when
15:05
other world's policeman smoke but we're going to do
15:07
the right thing and I think the Congress is
15:09
gonna take an important stand here. Are.
15:12
You going to have to rely on Democrats
15:14
to pass the rule in order to bring
15:16
these bills to the floor and also the
15:19
legislation itself? Well, I hope not. I hope
15:21
it or Republican colleagues are standing Other stick
15:23
together on this. I think we understand. Look,
15:25
I'm I'm a child the eighties. I'm Amber.
15:28
Regard myself as a Reagan Republican. Understand the
15:30
concept of maintaining peace through strength. That's one
15:32
of our guiding principles. It's it's really important,
15:34
philosophy. And it's It's a big part of
15:37
our pardon and in our worldview and us.
15:39
I think here is an opportunity to make
15:41
that stand. At a really critical time and
15:44
world history of. I
15:46
mean I this is like a movie for
15:48
married. I went to sleep last night. And.
15:51
We were living in the age of trump. And.
15:54
I woke up this morning. And.
15:56
Now where the edge of break
15:58
and again weightlessness. A
16:00
peace through strength. Heart. Attack.
16:03
On it. And. You know,
16:05
couple days ago a kind of time
16:07
to get heated up about how Republicans
16:09
hate on America so much or said
16:12
about how horrible America. I said America's
16:14
greatest country in the world and I
16:16
need to start saying it was a
16:18
speaker said where the greatest nation or
16:20
good on him Like we don't hear
16:22
this from Republicans, We certainly don't hear
16:24
that we have to actually find people
16:26
who are fighting against Russian aggression much
16:28
these days. Of. A Except
16:30
from again, those responsible leaders when you're
16:32
talking about. Chairman. Of the
16:34
Intel to maybe or the Chairman of
16:37
Foreign Affairs, many people were actually talking
16:39
like grown ups. But I gotta say
16:41
give credit where credit is due and
16:43
credit is doesn't really do with Speaker
16:45
Johnson. Talking. Like a
16:47
rag and republican talking about the need.
16:50
To to protect freedom. Or.
16:53
In despite bad that. Between.
16:56
Western Democracy and and what's going
16:58
on and Russia Peter Baker com
17:00
maybe you can help the help
17:02
us out here. I'm absolutely fascinated
17:04
by the relationship with My Johnson
17:06
and Joe Biden. to say know
17:08
so little about it by. I
17:10
used here from time to time
17:12
to talk to each other. Ah,
17:14
they taught. Ah, I guess a
17:16
couple of days ago when this
17:18
package came out of President Biden
17:20
was extraordinarily optimistic about and hey,
17:22
I'm strongly supportive of this. It
17:24
sounds like. They. Had a
17:26
talk to tell me about this relationship
17:28
and how we got. From.
17:32
Speaker Johnson being his his
17:34
foreign policy being shaped by
17:36
Marjorie Taylor grain. Of. Salt
17:39
and Georgia. Or tell my loves.
17:41
I. Am A how it went
17:43
from that to been shaped by Ronald
17:46
Wilson Reagan. The I
17:48
saw the present by your right to say
17:50
he doesn't really have a relationship with Speaker
17:52
Johnson. They spoke and a number of times,
17:54
but not very much and not for a
17:56
long. They didn't know each other obviously. Ah,
17:58
for Johnson became Speaker. Hi video and
18:00
bit different than the present understands better than
18:03
most how Congress worse. He understands that you
18:05
can't get something ah to the floor if
18:07
you're a in are able to command your
18:09
own was yours or he has some sympathy
18:12
I think for the problem the Speaker Johnson
18:14
has but he doesn't trust the sugar Johnson
18:16
has given us a surly deliver ah for
18:19
sticker Johnson. They have wanted to make the
18:21
case that Biden as with that's where they
18:23
came off of last weekend's are around and
18:25
attack on Israel try to make the case.
18:28
It only happened because ah President Biden. Was
18:30
weakened. didn't deter around. As hard to make
18:32
the case about by to be week. If
18:34
you're not supporting Israel yourself with the funding
18:36
that they have asked for it will it
18:38
at my business mention the gray. As for
18:40
the funny to Dave, ask for the Ukrainians
18:43
are in desperate straits. They did their out
18:45
of ammunition in a lot of cases. They're
18:47
looking at a situation where they were on
18:49
the cusp of winnings and now suddenly looks
18:51
like they could be losing. all because they
18:53
don't have the resources that they had been
18:55
promised velocity. Really? sixteen? seventeen months since his
18:57
congress took office. So the President is what.
19:00
Has been going to give Street or Johnson a
19:02
lot a rope student very patient with them but
19:04
there's a i sort of about mobile. since arriving
19:06
at this point in the attic the president's gonna
19:08
be watching to see was bigger Johnson can not
19:11
to pull it off. You.
19:13
Know it's fascinating Peters, you've you
19:15
have republican said are still running
19:17
around complaining about the border. yet
19:19
they killed the strongest Border Policies
19:21
bill ever. Ah, because Donald
19:24
Trump told them to. They complain
19:26
that Joe Biden is weak and
19:28
yet they won't provide funding for
19:30
Taiwan, Ukraine, or Israel. Now it
19:32
looks like they may be doing
19:34
that. Do. You sense that? Perhaps
19:36
that and I've been waiting for the
19:39
influence. Of. Chairman Mccall and Chairman
19:41
Turner and some of these. These.
19:43
Other Reagan Republican said are running.
19:46
These. Committees do think. That.
19:48
Over time their influence
19:50
their poll. May. Have been
19:52
that. May. have been too
19:55
much for bit of speaker johnson the
19:57
ignore or or or did he decide
20:00
that it was in his best interest to use
20:02
them. So, you know, Republicans won't be
20:04
accused of not only botching a
20:06
border deal, but also losing, possibly
20:09
losing Ukraine to Vladimir Putin. Yeah,
20:12
that's a good question. I can't get into his
20:14
head. I'm not a congressional reporter, but I do
20:16
think that you're right to say that, you know,
20:18
that the establishment part
20:20
of the Republican Party that traditionally
20:23
believes in peace, strength, the Reagan
20:25
slogan has finally lost
20:27
its patience with the far right of the
20:29
party, which has been blocking this for so
20:31
long. I think that they realize that they
20:34
look bad publicly, that they're taking away an
20:37
issue that they could have against President Biden.
20:39
You know, the essence of the case that
20:41
they want to make against President Biden on
20:43
foreign policy is one of weakness. They want to
20:45
go back to the Afghanistan withdrawal. Again,
20:48
it's really hard to make that case if you
20:50
yourself are the ones holding
20:52
up the aid. You can't sit there
20:54
and complain, well, gosh, you didn't give the right weapons to Ukraine,
20:58
which is a completely legitimate argument that
21:00
people have made, including some Democrats against
21:02
President Biden, when you're not willing to
21:04
provide any kind of
21:06
aid whatsoever to them. So I
21:08
think the politics of this have just finally come around to
21:10
the point where he felt the pressure to move
21:13
forward. Now, it's not easy. He can only
21:15
afford to lose two votes because of vacancies
21:17
in the House. He's the slimmest majority, practically,
21:19
that you could have. And he looks
21:21
like he's going to have to rely on
21:23
Democrats. That means he could stay as Speaker.
21:25
But if you're a Speaker who relies on
21:27
Democrats, that's a position of weakness in your
21:29
own party. No Republican Speaker wants to be
21:31
Speaker because Democrats saved him. And that's
21:35
a prescription for a lot of real churning
21:38
volatility going forward. And add to that
21:40
intrigue that Mike Gallagher, the Republican from
21:42
Wisconsin, is scheduled to leave his job
21:44
every stepping down on Friday, the day
21:46
before a planned vote. Maybe he'll stick
21:48
around. We'll see. Let's bring in
21:50
the conversation. NBC News Capitol
21:52
Hill correspondent Allie Vitale. So,
21:55
Allie, let's start first big picture of what Peter
21:57
was just talking about and why this changed. change
22:00
in rhetoric, change in tone, perhaps
22:02
even change in policy from Speaker
22:04
Johnson. Why did he come around to this? Yeah,
22:07
it is striking. And I actually think it's
22:09
important that Joe talks about the role of
22:11
people like Chairman McCall, who is all over
22:14
this legislation. He's the person who I believe
22:16
is the sponsor of the repo act, which
22:18
is one of the key planks of the
22:20
fourth bill about combating foreign adversaries that would
22:22
effectively allow Putin to pay
22:24
for what we aid Ukraine with
22:26
by using leveraged frozen Russian assets.
22:29
So that's one plank of this
22:31
piece of legislation that we've seen.
22:33
I do think that as Speaker
22:35
Johnson has been a different person
22:37
than he was as just a member of
22:39
this Republican conference, though it has been striking
22:41
to see. And I think this week, especially,
22:44
it came into really clear focus with the
22:46
ways that he's basically challenging his conference at
22:48
various points to say, hey, this is important
22:50
enough that I'm not going to worry about
22:53
losing my job over it, though certainly that
22:55
is a worry and a concern, if not
22:57
from Johnson explicitly, than from most rank and
22:59
file Republicans who I talk to who definitely
23:02
do not want to spend the spring finding
23:04
another speaker. I candidly don't even know who
23:06
would want that job at this point,
23:08
but it would be a real problem
23:10
for them to have to find somebody
23:12
else. So we are watching that closely.
23:14
But I think when you look at
23:16
the landscape writ large on this legislation,
23:19
it's important to point out that it's
23:21
the same, same, but different as the
23:23
Senate supplemental that passed several weeks ago.
23:25
The reason why you're seeing Democrats speak
23:27
in support of this is because the
23:29
numbers are largely the same for Ukraine,
23:31
for the Indo-Pacific, and for Israel. It's
23:34
that fourth bill that's going to be interesting here
23:36
because it has a lot of things in it. And
23:38
Congressman Jake Auchincloss and I were just talking about this
23:41
on way too early. It has a lot of things
23:43
in it that Democrats want to see passed. Things
23:46
like the TikTok bill that would at
23:48
least force ByteDance to change its ownership.
23:50
The fact that we now have Senator
23:52
Maria Cantwell saying that she likes the
23:54
changes in the legislation that she sees
23:57
could only ensure a better reception on
23:59
the Senate. Senate side of this building, the
24:01
fact that it has the repo act in it that
24:03
we were just talking about, there's going to be a
24:05
border provision in there. And I think that's the thing
24:08
that Democrats are really looking for. But
24:10
look, by and large, this is something
24:12
that can be passed in bipartisan fashion,
24:15
even if it's a different vehicle for doing it than
24:17
the Senate supplemental. So Ali, Speaker Johnson suggested
24:19
he could have a final vote of passage
24:21
on these supplemental bills on Saturday night. But
24:23
before he gets to that, it's got to
24:25
clear the Rules Committee where several Republicans have
24:27
said they will not support it. So he
24:29
may have to reach out to Democrats just
24:31
to clear the Rules Committee to get to
24:33
that vote. How does that look to play out
24:35
here? It's just really rare.
24:38
And I think that it's important that we spotlight
24:40
this. I know that the Rules Committee feels like
24:42
this arcane piece of Congress
24:44
that doesn't deserve much attention, but it is
24:46
the very vehicle and the committee that gets
24:48
things to the House floor. Typically
24:51
for the party and the majority, to
24:53
have to use members of the other
24:55
party to pass a rule is really
24:57
rare. And it's absolutely stunning that that
24:59
could be the position that Speaker Johnson
25:01
is in on this piece of foreign
25:04
aid legislation. He has several people, including
25:06
Chip Roy and Tom Massey, who are
25:08
on the Rules Committee who have openly said that
25:10
they are questioning whether or not they're going to
25:12
vote for this rule. We're going to
25:14
watch that very closely this morning. If Democrats come
25:16
along and come together on this, yes, that gets
25:18
them to the House floor. But then
25:21
the full House has to vote on the rule. And
25:23
the way that you can think about the rule is
25:25
it's like they're the bouncer to the bar of the
25:27
legislation is the best way for us to put it
25:29
at this point. You can't get into the bar without
25:32
going through the bouncer. And so the full House has
25:34
to work on actually passing this before they can vote
25:36
on each of these four pieces of legislation. That's
25:38
going to be really important, too. All
25:41
right. Good update still ahead
25:43
on Morning Joe, despite his past criticisms
25:46
of Donald Trump, former
25:48
Attorney General Bill Barr now
25:50
appears to be effectively endorsing
25:53
him. Shocked. Shocked. Plus,
25:56
the two top lawmakers on the House Oversight
25:58
Committee get into a pretty... pretty heated
26:00
exchange over the Republican-led push to
26:02
impeach President Biden. We'll show you
26:04
that moment, or at least a
26:07
part of it. It went on
26:09
for quite some time. You're watching
26:11
Morning Joe. We're back in just
26:13
60 seconds. The
26:18
UN Refugee Agency, or UNHCR,
26:20
responds to emergencies and provides
26:22
long-term solutions for refugees. They
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provide aid in over 130
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countries, including Ukraine, Syria, Afghanistan,
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and Sudan, where people are
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and protects refugees by providing
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life-saving aid for refugees
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whenever and wherever emergencies
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occur. Donate to USA
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for UNHCR by visiting
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unrefugees.org/donation. We
27:21
have another about face from a
27:23
Trump ally turned critic. Harsh critic.
27:26
Very harsh. Turned ally
27:28
again, despite previously warning that a
27:30
second Trump term would
27:32
be, quote, chaos. And
27:35
let me just say this correctly,
27:37
a horror show. You're not saying
27:39
this. No, I'm not. Who's saying this?
27:41
Bill Barr. That's right. Chaos. He said
27:44
it'd be a nightmare. A horror
27:46
show. A nightmare. So yeah, so
27:48
yeah, I'm sure he's going to be campaigning
27:50
for President Biden to try to stop this
27:52
matter. To try and avoid a horror show.
27:54
A horror show. Who wants chaos in a
27:56
horror show in the White House? Former Attorney
27:58
General Bill Barr. Barr now
28:02
says he plans to vote for Donald Trump in November.
28:04
What? Wait, but. Do
28:07
these guys know that? I don't understand.
28:09
Anyhow, in a Fox News interview yesterday,
28:11
Barr was asked about this
28:13
year's general election choices. Here's
28:16
what he had to say. Given
28:19
two bad choices, I think it's my duty to pick
28:21
the person I think would do the least harm to
28:24
the country. And in my mind, that's, I
28:26
will vote the Republican take and I will support
28:28
the Republican take it. I think
28:30
the real danger to the country, the real danger
28:32
to democracy, as I say, is the progressive agenda.
28:36
And while Trump, and I said Trump
28:38
may be playing Russian roulette, but
28:40
continuation of the Biden administration is
28:43
national suicide, in my opinion. You
28:47
know, that's just such a lie and he knows it's
28:49
a lie. And this is Charlie, we're
28:51
going to play some clips in a second, but I just have
28:53
to stop. We've got to stop
28:56
and call out the lies. When these
28:59
people know that they're lying, Barr is
29:01
playing, I guess, for a Fox News
29:03
audience because he wants to keep giving
29:06
speech. I don't know why he's doing
29:08
it. He doesn't believe a word he
29:10
just said there because he knows how
29:13
chaotic Donald Trump is. He
29:16
knows, as he said, that him
29:18
being in the White House again
29:20
would be a horror show. He
29:22
also knows, listen, Bill Barr, you
29:24
and I, we all agree on
29:26
the progressive agenda. We're
29:28
not supporters of it. We
29:30
also know that Joe Biden has
29:33
spent his presidency feeling
29:37
pressure from progressives because they say
29:40
he's too moderate. This
29:42
guy from Delaware, who again
29:45
is not some left
29:48
wing wacko, and Bill Barr knows
29:50
that, but he would rather have
29:52
chaos and a horror show, he
29:54
says. That guy's going
29:56
to vote for, listen, I've been through
29:59
this before. people that
30:01
talk that way on TV. And
30:03
afterwards, I asked him who they vote for. They only
30:05
voted for it. You know, he's going to
30:08
vote for Joe Biden, because he
30:10
knows that the national suicide doesn't
30:13
come from Joe Biden. He may not
30:15
like all his policies. It comes because Donald
30:17
Trump has said, you know, terminate
30:20
the Constitution, he's going to be a
30:22
dictator from day one, he's
30:24
going to use SEAL Team Six to execute his
30:26
political opponents if he wants to, and nobody can
30:28
do anything about it. I can go down the
30:31
line. Barr knows this guy
30:33
can't be president again. So
30:37
he knows it. And this is a choice. I mean, this is
30:39
one of those WTF moments where
30:41
you have, you know, Donald Trump
30:43
waging this campaign to undermine the
30:45
rule of law. Bill Barr knows
30:47
all of this. And he's decided
30:49
it's a binary choice, because in
30:51
his world, in order
30:53
to stay relevant and viable, he
30:56
has to he has to put
30:58
party over country. I mean, literally,
31:00
when he uses the phrase literally
31:02
Russian roulette, when he uses the
31:04
term Russian roulette, he knows the
31:06
danger he poses. He doesn't have
31:08
to do this. Look, you know, what
31:10
is extraordinary is the contrast between what
31:13
Bill Barr is saying and what
31:16
the former Secretary of Defense Mike
31:18
Esper is saying. There you go.
31:20
President Mike Pence is saying, yeah,
31:22
I'm not going to endorse him.
31:24
There are exit ramps. You are
31:26
not required to look at Donald
31:28
Trump and say, OK, because I
31:30
don't like student loan forgiveness. I'm
31:33
going to put a man who
31:35
is clearly unhinged, who clearly, you
31:37
know, tried to overthrow the government, called for
31:39
terminating the Constitution. In fact, we could spend
31:41
the next 10 minutes just walking through all
31:43
of the things. Somebody who has been found
31:45
liable for rape, put
31:48
them back in the Oval Office. But I
31:50
do think it is interesting, the contrast between
31:52
Bill Barr and much of the rest of
31:55
the Cabinet. And we need to remind
31:58
ourselves that never before in America. American
32:00
history has so many people who work so
32:02
closely with the president taken
32:05
the position that, you know, don't do this
32:07
again. We've seen him. He is unfit for
32:09
office. You do not want him back in
32:11
the Oval Office. The fact that Bill Barr
32:13
reminds us that he is a political hack
32:16
is, of course, interesting. But
32:19
also realize what he and people like,
32:21
you know, Governor Sununu are going to
32:23
have to defend. They're basically going to
32:25
have to say, and this is radical.
32:28
I mean, we ought to continue to be surprised by
32:31
this. No, up until like five minutes ago, nobody
32:34
in America would say that a convicted
32:36
felon should be elected president of the
32:38
United States. Now they are all saying
32:40
it up and down the ticket. They
32:42
have to defend what Peter Wiener calls
32:45
the kaleidoscopic, the kaleidoscopic corruption of
32:47
Donald Trump. And this is not just
32:49
Chris Sununu. It's not just Bill Barr
32:52
up and down the ticket. They're going to have
32:54
to explain that, yeah, we don't care about this
32:56
man's character. We don't care about how deranged he
32:59
is. We don't care about his crimes
33:01
or what he intends to do as
33:03
president. And the fact that Bill
33:05
Barr says that it's Russian
33:08
roulette for the country to put
33:10
Donald Trump back in the presidency.
33:13
And he's OK with that. What a remarkable
33:15
moment. What a remarkable moment. And
33:17
you're right. They own it. He owns it.
33:19
Chris Sununu owns it. You know, a judge
33:22
said Trump is a rapist. Said
33:26
he's going to terminate the Constitution on
33:28
day one. Said
33:31
he's going to be a dictator on day
33:33
one. Of course,
33:35
January the 6th, continuing to praise people
33:37
that beat the hell out of cops
33:39
and were ultimately responsible for the death
33:41
of four police officers, according to their
33:43
families. I mean, they own
33:46
all of this and so much more,
33:48
Mika. Barr is just the latest
33:50
in a long line of Republicans who found
33:53
the courage to stand up to Donald Trump,
33:56
only to then come crawling back
33:58
again. Take a look. We're
34:01
tired of the Donald Trump drama. We want real
34:03
Republican drama. Donald Trump's not a Republican. We want
34:05
real Republican drama. You want Trump. If he is
34:07
off the teleprompter, he can barely keep a cogent
34:09
thought. You support him for president, even if he's
34:11
convicted in classified documents, you support him for president,
34:14
even though you believe he contributed to an insurrection,
34:16
you support him for president, even though you believe
34:18
he's lying about the last election, you support him
34:20
for president, even if he's convicted in the Manhattan
34:22
case. I just want to say the answer to
34:24
that is yes, correct? Yeah,
34:27
me and 51% of America. He's
34:30
a race-baiting, xenophobic, religious
34:32
bigot. He doesn't represent
34:34
my party. I'm for Donald Trump because I
34:36
know what I'm going to get. We
34:39
need somebody that on day one can get
34:41
this country back on track. Please help President
34:43
Trump. If you can afford five or 10
34:45
bucks, if you can't afford a dollar fine,
34:48
just pray. If you got any money to
34:50
give, give it. There is no
34:52
way we are going to allow a con artist to
34:54
take over the conservative movement and Donald Trump is a
34:56
con artist. You said it would be an honor to
34:59
be offered a spot on his ticket. Really? Yeah,
35:01
I think anyone who's offered the opportunity to serve this country
35:03
as vice president should be honored. I think the
35:06
country and the world was a better place when he was president. And
35:08
I would love to see him return to
35:11
the White House. I think really there's a
35:13
sophomore equality that is entertaining about Mr. Trump,
35:15
but I am worried. I'm very concerned about
35:17
having him in charge of the nuclear weapons
35:19
because I think his response is his visceral
35:22
response to attack people on their appearance.
35:25
Short, tall, fat, ugly.
35:28
My goodness that happened in junior high. Are we
35:30
not way above that? And would we not all
35:32
be worried to have someone like that in charge
35:34
of the nuclear arms? I'm proud of the job
35:37
Donald Trump has done as president. I don't always
35:39
agree with him, but our
35:41
occasional policy differences are far outweighed
35:43
by our significant agreements. But
35:46
more important than simple agreement is accomplishment.
35:49
President Trump gets things done. The
35:52
president bears responsibility for Wednesday's attack
35:54
on Congress by mob riders. He
35:58
should have immediately denounced the mob. when
36:00
he saw what was unfolding. Can he count on
36:02
your support? Yes. That's an
36:04
endorsement. I will support the
36:06
president. I will support President Trump. Would
36:08
you be willing to serve in a Trump cabinet? In
36:11
the right position. If I'm the
36:13
best person for the job, yes. I
36:15
don't want to claim this guy. Donald Trump,
36:17
if we're going to be honest, is a
36:19
progressive. He supports eminent domain. He
36:22
supported tax increases before. He's donated $300,000
36:24
to Democratic candidates. So
36:27
the fact that the Republican Party is now
36:29
having to claim him is both unfortunate and
36:31
to me, inauthentic. I want my daughter to
36:35
grow up in President Donald
36:37
J. Trump's America. Oh
36:40
my goodness. Kayleigh McEnany there who
36:42
became the White House press secretary
36:44
after all of her criticism.
36:46
I mean, Jen, you just, Joe
36:49
and I talk about this a lot, but
36:52
how those people look themselves in the mirror
36:54
as their souls escape their bodies through their
36:56
mouths while they make this conversion. I want
36:58
to add into, because this all started with
37:00
Bill Barr. He's been extraordinarily
37:02
critical of Donald Trump in the last
37:05
couple of years, calling the attempt to
37:07
overturn the election a grotesque embarrassment. Saying
37:09
a vote for Donald Trump is like
37:11
playing Russian roulette with the country. He
37:15
has been supportive of the DOJ in
37:17
its pursuit of these trials against Donald
37:19
Trump saying there is no weaponization. This
37:21
is the Department of Justice doing its
37:23
job. He was impressed by Jack Smith's
37:25
indictment and famously said, if
37:27
half of what's true in the indictment of
37:29
the classified documents case is true, Donald Trump
37:32
is quote, toast. And yet here
37:34
he is saying, he's got my vote. I
37:36
am shocked. You know, it's like, we feel like, oh,
37:38
we shouldn't be shocked. Like of course, it's like the
37:40
least surprising thing ever is of course Bill Barr comes
37:42
back around and supports Trump. But it is, I
37:45
really thought given all of the cabinet
37:47
that has walked away from him, which is
37:49
historic in its own right, I really thought
37:51
that Bill Barr would actually, would
37:53
not support him this time. I thought that we could
37:56
count on that. And it is, I mean, it's just
37:58
poor Willie had to live through all of my just.
38:00
stations of outrage and watching
38:02
that last clip of all
38:04
of these cowards that eventually
38:06
went its way. I will
38:09
never understand this, Willie. I will never
38:11
understand this. I will never understand it's
38:13
not that great being relevant. You know,
38:15
it's not, it's not, I will never
38:17
understand how it is worth it
38:19
to them. And it's interesting when you
38:21
contrast that with what is happening with Mike Johnson
38:23
who seems to really take into,
38:27
take in hold on him that he is the Speaker
38:29
of the United States House of Representatives. You
38:31
know, that meeting he had with President Biden,
38:34
Mitch McConnell and Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer
38:36
and Vice President Harris, they really gave him
38:38
the business about like, I'm not sure if
38:40
you understand what we're doing here, but we're
38:43
the United States of America and we stand
38:45
up to Russia when they're being adversarial in
38:47
this way. And
38:50
you know, maybe there's a new reckoning company for
38:52
Republicans. That would be great, but I will continue
38:54
to be shocked by the cowardness
38:56
and hypocrisy when you see it like that.
38:58
To be clear, Speaker Johnson did spend the
39:00
weekend at Mar-a-Lago. So he's having a moment.
39:02
Yeah, that's true. Peter Baker, want to read
39:04
one more quote. We could do this all
39:06
morning from Bill Barr, which may be the
39:08
most important of the quotes for the man
39:10
he says he's voting for. He said this
39:12
very recently about Donald Trump. Trump
39:14
already has shown he cannot forge that
39:16
kind of decisive victory at the national
39:18
level. He is a three time loser
39:20
and I think he will clearly lose
39:22
again on the national level. A quote
39:24
from Bill Barr about Donald Trump. Barr
39:27
now says he will vote for the three
39:29
time loser. Yeah, I think
39:31
we forget that Bill Barr is actually a
39:33
pretty ideological guy. He has a very kind
39:35
of moderate mean and moderate demeanor. And so
39:37
therefore people have mistaken him over the years
39:40
for somebody who is a little bit more centrist. He's
39:42
not. He's a very ideological person. If you
39:45
read his book, if you read his memoir,
39:47
as much as he's criticizing companies, he's also
39:49
criticizing progressive left. He has very strong conservative
39:51
views. And I think
39:53
this is, you know, this is about partisanship
39:56
ultimately. You know, in the end, people come
39:58
home to their parties. They
40:00
can tune out the clips
40:03
that you just played and say, well, that
40:05
was then and this is now and I'm
40:07
going to go for my party over
40:10
what I said before. But you're right that
40:12
Bill Barr is a striking example of this
40:14
because there's probably no witness
40:17
against Trump who has been more powerful
40:19
in some ways than Bill Barr who
40:21
testified before the January 6th committee that
40:24
he told the president, then the
40:26
president, President Trump, that his claims
40:28
of an election theft by Joe
40:31
Biden were BS, he used
40:33
the full word. He
40:36
made very clear that when former President Trump,
40:38
when then President Trump was going out and
40:40
telling the country that the election was stolen,
40:42
that he knew it wasn't, that he knowingly
40:44
went and told the country that the election
40:46
was stolen when he had been told by
40:48
people like Bill Barr that it wasn't. And
40:50
therefore, when he was trying to overturn an
40:52
election and hold on to power, to hold
40:55
on to power that he had
40:57
been denied by the voters in
40:59
a reelection, according to Bill Barr,
41:01
we know that that was something
41:03
that Donald Trump understood was not
41:05
true. And so, of course, it's
41:07
striking to see somebody who is
41:10
as powerful a witness toward
41:12
the case that Donald Trump
41:15
tried to illegally and unconstitutionally seize
41:17
power, then turn around to endorse
41:19
him for reelection, says a lot
41:21
about the pull and power of
41:23
partisan identification these days. Well,
41:27
it is something that John
41:29
Meacham regularly says is
41:31
one of the great challenges on whether we
41:35
survive as a republic after this election, if
41:37
Donald Trump wins, you have all
41:40
these people that have said that,
41:42
again, Russian roulette, this
41:44
is Russian roulette if Donald Trump gets
41:46
in there again, and now
41:48
he's endorsing him just out of
41:51
blind partisanship. We could go
41:53
down the list, though, of people who
41:55
serve, who are conservative, who
41:57
have conservative
42:00
their entire life, starting
42:02
with me, Charlie Sykes.
42:05
But let's talk about the people who served with
42:08
Donald Trump, the vice president of the United States
42:10
who served with Donald Trump, said
42:12
won't be endorsing him and for good
42:14
reason. He said he
42:16
deserved hanging, basically. You
42:19
have the chief of staff of
42:21
Donald Trump, General Kelly, who served,
42:23
who talked about how it's
42:25
sickening about what he says about
42:28
young men and women who gave
42:31
their lives to America in service
42:33
of this country, that Donald Trump
42:35
believes that they're suckers. General
42:38
Kelly, obviously, who lost his son
42:40
serving America at war, will
42:42
not be supporting Donald Trump. You
42:44
have his secretary
42:46
of defense, Mad Dog
42:48
Mattis, as Trump loves to
42:51
call him, will not be supporting Donald
42:53
Trump. You have one
42:55
of the last secretary of defenses,
42:57
Secretary Esper, who said he will
43:00
not be supporting Donald Trump.
43:02
I mean, we could go down the list.
43:07
Secretary of State, you
43:09
know, is ambassador to the United Nation. They
43:13
understand. And by the way, you
43:15
know, they understand that
43:17
Donald Trump's not a conservative. That's the
43:19
thing. She's a Mackelmane or
43:22
whatever. I mean, give me a
43:24
break. She runs around calling everybody
43:26
progressive and left wing. Well, she
43:28
called Donald Trump a progressive, too.
43:31
And how talk, I mean, all these people,
43:33
con artists, Marco calls them con artists. And
43:35
I was like, yes, I'd love to serve
43:37
a religious bigot, Lindsay. Well, you know, Lindsay,
43:40
I mean, you just get you go down the
43:42
list and it's just it's
43:46
this reverse. It's
43:48
this harsh partisanship, actually, that
43:50
is one of the great threats to our country. And it's
43:52
coming. It's coming from these
43:54
people who know we're bad for
43:56
America. And yet they're going to support
43:58
him. Not like they're privy to some. huge secrets
44:00
we saw January 6th. We
44:03
see what's happening with the documents and
44:05
honestly might be nice to
44:07
go back to the day where it's shocking where
44:10
somebody lies multiple times about
44:12
using campaign money to pay
44:14
off somebody to keep quiet.
44:16
It would be refreshing but
44:18
that'll never happen. Peter Baker and
44:20
Charlie Sykes thank you both very
44:23
much. Coming up on Morning Joe,
44:25
Steve Ratner joins us with charts
44:27
on Major League Baseball's efforts to
44:29
renew America's pastime. Morning Joe,
44:31
we'll be right back. Today
44:36
and every day Planned Parenthood is committed
44:38
to ensuring that everyone has the information
44:41
and resources they need to make their
44:43
own decisions about their bodies, including abortion
44:45
care. Lawmakers who oppose abortion
44:47
are attacking Planned Parenthood, which means affordable
44:49
high-quality basic health care for more than
44:51
2 million people is at stake. The
44:54
right to control our bodies and get
44:56
the health care we need has been
44:58
stolen from us. And now politicians in
45:00
nearly every state have introduced bills that
45:02
would block people from getting the sexual
45:05
and reproductive care they need. Planned Parenthood
45:07
believes everyone deserves health care. It's a
45:09
human right. That's why they fight every
45:11
day to push for common sense policies
45:13
to protect our right to control our
45:16
own bodies and against policies that
45:18
interfere with decisions between patients and
45:20
their doctor. Planned Parenthood needs
45:22
your support now more than ever.
45:25
With supporters like you, we
45:27
can reclaim our rights and
45:29
protect and expand access to
45:32
abortion care. Visit Planned parenthood.org/future.
45:34
That's Planned parenthood.org/future. Never
45:38
hit a walk off home run. Until now
45:41
maybe, keep right
45:43
field, Cedric Mullins!
45:46
Good night! The announcer
45:48
speaking it into existence. Cedric Mullins a two-run
45:50
home run lifting the Orioles to a 4-2
45:53
win over the twins for the
45:56
O's fourth straight victory. They stay
45:58
now a half game. behind the
46:00
Yankees who stopped the three-game skid
46:02
with a comeback win last night up in
46:04
Toronto over the Blue Jays. Aaron Judge breaking
46:06
a 4-4 tie in the ninth was that
46:08
two-run single with two outs. Yankees
46:11
avoiding the sweep for the six-to-four
46:13
win. Meanwhile in Boston, Major League
46:15
Baseball saw its fastest game in
46:17
almost 15 years. Red Sox
46:19
starter Tanner House drew just 94 pitches, 69
46:21
of his
46:23
strikes to finish the first complete game of his
46:25
career. The 2-0 Red Sox win over
46:28
the Guardians lasted one
46:31
hour and 49 minutes marking the
46:33
fastest nine inning game in the
46:35
majors since June of
46:37
2010. Now that's the pitch clock Joe, that's
46:39
the new pace to play in the big
46:42
leagues. Red Sox tied for third
46:44
now only three games back in the Yankees. It's all
46:46
happening for you. So yeah it's
46:48
all happening all as we've foreseen. We
46:50
were prepared to
46:54
finish safely in last place after breaking
46:56
the hearts of Red Sox fans. Now
46:59
I think no they look they look
47:02
they're starting pitching has been really great.
47:04
We had no good quality starts last
47:06
year. We got young pitchers
47:08
that are doing that right now. Defense
47:12
problems with our defense but
47:15
yeah Sox in the middle there all
47:17
packed up but I'll tell you what
47:19
Jack and I saw the Sox game
47:21
because it went so fast. I'm usually
47:23
asleep by about the fifth inning but
47:25
that thing flew last night in Tanner
47:27
House extraordinary control
47:30
but we also sat and watched the
47:33
last two innings of the Yankees Blue Jays
47:35
game and yikes. Hard
47:38
to watch for a Red Sox fan but
47:40
Aaron Judge finally
47:42
kind of getting out of his swamp
47:44
and having game-winning hit. So anyway the
47:46
pace of play is Willie said it's
47:48
picked up across the league since we
47:50
had that pitch clock change last season.
47:52
Let's bring it right now a
47:55
man who can put a chart to
47:57
just about anything Steve Ratner. He's
48:00
looking at the impact of baseball's new rules.
48:02
And Steve, I must say, watching a baseball
48:04
game is completely different this year than last
48:06
year. And I'm dead serious. You see a
48:09
pitch, especially in a Red Sox Yankees game,
48:11
then I'd walk downstairs. I'd go, hey, Mika,
48:13
how's everything going? She goes, going pretty good.
48:15
I go, what are you doing? Not
48:18
much, just, you know, on the phone with my kids.
48:20
I said, all right, I'll be right back. Then I
48:22
walk upstairs. Next pitch. You
48:25
know? Then I'd walk downstairs. I go, you have
48:27
any plans for tomorrow? Like, it was so slow.
48:30
Now it really does. It
48:32
comes at you just like that. You look down
48:34
for the second. Oh, wait. Baseball's
48:37
moving fast. It's so much easier to watch
48:39
now. Yeah, Joe, now you've
48:41
got 15 seconds if there's nobody on base, 20
48:43
seconds if there are people on base to go
48:45
get that beer. And not every game
48:47
is going to be the way it was last
48:49
night. But let's talk about what has happened. So
48:52
if we take a look over here at average
48:54
game length, you can see it was creeping up.
48:56
I started going to the Polo Grounds in 1962,
49:00
and games were about two and a half hours. And they
49:02
got all the way up to three hours and 10 minutes,
49:04
and then they put in that change. And
49:06
boom, games went down to two hours and 39
49:09
minutes last year. And it basically hung in there at around
49:12
two hours and 41 minutes this year. And
49:14
this is all, we're living in a TikTok
49:16
age, and people want things to move faster,
49:18
especially sports. And this has been one of
49:20
baseball's problems. We'll talk in a minute about
49:22
some others of baseball's problems. So
49:24
let's move on to your next chart, and that is a 10, oh,
49:27
you got another element there. Go ahead. Sorry, sorry.
49:29
The other change, one of the other changes that
49:31
made Willy, as you know, is they made the
49:33
bases three inches larger. Yes. And they were trying
49:35
to create more stolen bases in order to, again,
49:37
make the game a little bit more exciting in
49:40
today's world. And so you can see it actually
49:42
also had that effect. Total bases stolen
49:44
last season went up to 3,500, the
49:47
second almost tying the record, of 3,590 games
49:52
set back in the 80s. So that
49:54
also has made the game a bit more
49:56
exciting and, of course, as you know, they
49:58
eliminated the designated a. expanded
50:00
the designation, excuse me, across both
50:02
leagues and so forth.
50:04
And so they're trying to get this game
50:06
back in front of more Americans. Yeah. And
50:09
the larger bases only marginally, but makes them closer
50:11
to the next base, which is the
50:13
hope is more action, more people stealing. And
50:16
as you said, with the DH more hitting,
50:18
more action in baseball. So what does it
50:20
mean for attendance, the major league baseballs? We
50:22
go to your next chart. Steve is hoping
50:24
that the young generation, which perhaps is a
50:27
little impatient with the pace of old major
50:29
league baseball games, hoping to bring in
50:31
some new fans to the game.
50:33
How's that going in terms of attendance? It's
50:35
actually showing some signs of improvement. Baseball attendance
50:37
grew way back to the 1940s, World War
50:39
II, but it peaked right before the financial
50:41
crisis in 2007 at 80 million fans in
50:43
a year. And
50:47
then it dropped and obviously had COVID in here, which
50:49
destroyed it all, but you can see it dropped pretty
50:51
consistently. And then last year it
50:53
did bounce back to 71 million. So
50:55
we got some more fans back. The
50:58
quality of the teams, the competitive nature of
51:00
the games, which teams are winning, and
51:02
so forth, plays a big role. But
51:05
what's also interesting economically to watch economics
51:07
actually work is that baseball did increase
51:09
its ticket prices pretty substantially all through
51:12
these years. This
51:14
black line is the one to focus on.
51:16
This is the ratio of ticket prices to
51:18
people's incomes. In other words, how affordable is
51:21
baseball to the average American? And you can
51:23
see baseball essentially was kind of pricing itself
51:25
out of the market. But
51:27
once attendance peaked and the teams realized
51:30
they got to get fans into the stands, you
51:33
can see that they cut the prices, not
51:35
in actual terms, but they've cut them in
51:37
relation to incomes. And
51:40
so they've made baseball more affordable. What's
51:42
not on this chart is
51:44
that they have not made hot dogs more affordable. They've
51:46
actually made hot dogs less affordable. So in a way,
51:49
you can go to the game on a more affordable
51:51
basis, but those hot dogs are going to cost you
51:53
more. You still got to get the hot dog. I
51:55
know the prices are up to beer. It's outrageous. You
51:57
got to do it. It's a part of the experience.
52:00
Let's move to your last chart in
52:02
terms of television ratings as Joe said and I share
52:04
it is you sit down with your kid for a
52:06
705 game. It used to be, well, this
52:08
thing's going to go to a 1005, 1030. Why
52:11
even invest early on? Now if it's 9 o'clock,
52:14
930, that's more manageable. Are they seeing that in
52:16
the ratings? You have
52:18
not quite seen that in the ratings yet, but
52:21
let's take a look at what has happened. The
52:24
Super Bowl always did really well against the World Series,
52:26
even all going all the way back to the
52:28
early 70s. You can
52:30
see again the popularity of baseball and what
52:32
happened. Super Bowl up, up, up, up,
52:34
up and of course this year Super Bowl being
52:36
so extraordinary, even my wife watched it and
52:39
baseball going kind of down, down, down, down,
52:41
down and then you finally sort of hit
52:43
almost rock bottom here with the Rangers versus
52:45
the Diamondbacks where even the final game, this
52:47
little triangle didn't even attract many
52:49
more viewers than the series as a whole.
52:52
This is the cubs winning the World Series for the
52:54
first time since 1908 and this is the
52:57
Dodgers versus the Yankees, highest rated World Series
52:59
game and of course you got two marquee
53:02
teams. But all of this actually has
53:05
an effect because without as many viewers
53:07
on television, television rights get affected, the
53:09
profitability of the team gets affected and
53:11
this is interesting because there have been
53:13
three recent deals in major sports and
53:15
let's look at the differences. Baltimore
53:18
Orioles owned by Peter Angelos for 30 years, over
53:20
20 years, he made a 7.7% annual return
53:25
on his investment. He bought it for
53:27
about 193 million dollars and sold it
53:30
to David Rubenstein for about 10 times
53:32
that amount but the stock market he
53:34
would have done even slightly better if he had just
53:36
left his money in the stock market, contrary to what
53:38
people think. The Washington Commander
53:40
is owned by Dan Snyder, not a
53:42
beloved figure in sports, was sold
53:45
to Josh Harris, also he owned it
53:47
for about 25 years and you
53:49
can see he way outperformed the stock market.
53:51
And then lastly, the Dallas Mavericks, Mark
53:54
Cuban selling it to Miriam Adelson, knocked
53:56
the cover off the ball, no pun
53:58
intended, in terms of the return. markets
54:00
work and the sports that are successful
54:02
have been more successful for the owners
54:04
financially as well in attendance
54:06
and other measures. Yeah,
54:09
you know, I mean, you
54:11
look at the attendance
54:13
and everything's good. The
54:16
ratings go down. But
54:18
Willie, let me just say, as
54:21
much as I love baseball, I
54:23
didn't see a pitch of the
54:25
Rangers Diamondbacks. It is dead. And despite
54:28
hating the Yankees for good reason and
54:31
not really caring for the
54:33
Dodgers, if it's the Yankees Dodgers,
54:35
I, along with everybody else, will
54:37
be watching that World Series because of
54:39
all the superstars on both of those teams.
54:41
I mean, it does depend on who's in
54:44
the series. It does for sure. But
54:46
even by that, with a good matchup or
54:49
a matchup with big markets, it's a tough comparison
54:51
to the Super Bowl, which is effectively a national
54:53
holiday. And Taylor Swift stands and you got Usher
54:55
have all the things that come with that. So,
54:58
but I think I agree with you, Joe, the
55:00
new rules from last year were seen again this
55:02
year. The games are moving. There's more action. There's
55:04
a lot of base stealing like you and I
55:06
used to watch in the 80s. So the game
55:09
is not a good trajectory. Steve Ratner, thanks so much
55:11
for the charts. As always, we appreciate it. Sasha
55:14
hated sand the way it stuck to things
55:16
for weeks. So when
55:19
Maddie shared a surf trip on Expedia
55:21
trip planner, he hesitated. Then
55:23
he added a hotel with a cliffside pool
55:26
to the plan and they
55:28
both spent the week in the water. You
55:31
were made to follow your whims. We
55:33
were made to find a place on the beach
55:36
with a pool and a waterfall and a soaking
55:38
tub and of course a great shower. Expedia
55:42
made to travel.
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