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example that comes to mind is... If
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China were to attack Taiwan,
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I mean, there are all sorts of theories about how
1:42
they would do that militarily, but
1:44
it would likely start with a
1:47
massive missile bombardment.
1:49
And I'm talking, you know,
1:51
several thousand missiles in
1:54
an effort to overwhelm
1:56
the defenses. And
1:58
if you think about the geology, topography of
2:01
Taiwan. It's a hundred miles
2:03
from the coast of China to
2:06
the island of Taiwan. But
2:08
you want your kill zone to be halfway,
2:10
right? You don't want to be using
2:13
your Patriot interceptor missiles right
2:17
on the coast of Taiwan because then all the
2:19
missiles fall into Taiwan
2:22
proper. So you basically
2:24
got four or five minutes to figure out
2:26
what you're going to do. And
2:29
with a thousand missiles coming at you, it
2:32
is simply impossible for
2:34
humans to detect
2:37
all the launches, figure
2:40
out their trajectories, and the Chinese will
2:42
be very, very creative. You know, they'll
2:44
be coming in at different altitudes and
2:46
levels and speeds and so on. And
2:50
even the best trained humans
2:53
just will be overwhelmed. But
2:57
what I just described, I
2:59
won't say it's an easy job for AI, but
3:01
it's a perfect job for AI. Hi, everyone.
3:14
This is AJ Woodham's host
3:17
of the War Books podcast, where
3:19
I interview today's best authors writing
3:21
about war related topics. Today,
3:24
I am extremely excited to have
3:26
on the show George Takash for
3:28
his new book Cold War 2.0,
3:31
Artificial Intelligence and the New Battle Between
3:33
China, Russia, and America.
3:37
George is an author and lawyer.
3:39
And for 40 years, he practiced
3:41
technology law at McCarthy Tetral, Canada's
3:43
premier law firm. He has written
3:45
three books on technology and technology
3:47
law. George, how are you
3:49
doing today? I
3:52
am just superb. Really, really happy to
3:54
be here with you. Excellent.
3:57
Well, likewise. I'm very
3:59
happy to have you on the show talking about
4:01
this. Before
4:03
we started recording, we
4:06
were just talking about how
4:08
this is a book that is
4:12
future facing, but maybe not a book
4:14
about the future, which we'll get
4:16
into a little bit later. But Cold
4:19
War 2.0, heck of a title. So
4:22
I want to dive right into the meaning of
4:25
that. And if you could just tell
4:27
us first, what is this book about? Yeah,
4:30
so let's take the Cold War part. It
4:34
could have just been Cold War 2.0 because
4:37
unfortunately, the autocracies
4:40
have dragged the
4:42
democracies into a new Cold War.
4:45
So some of your listeners will know
4:47
from memory that we had
4:49
a previous Cold War from roughly
4:52
1945 to 1989. The
4:55
two chief protagonists were the
4:58
United States and
5:00
the Soviet Union. And it was sort of framed
5:03
as capitalism against
5:05
communism. And
5:08
then the Soviet Union collapsed. And we
5:10
had, you know, 30 years of
5:12
a peace dividend as it were. But I
5:17
argue in the book that around 2014, the
5:22
Cold War is back. This
5:24
time, though, and there are some differences
5:26
between this Cold War and the previous
5:29
one, this time the leading protagonist
5:32
for the other team, if I can call
5:34
it that, is actually China. I put
5:38
them as the leading autocracy. And
5:42
Russia, though, is a very important
5:46
other protagonist, largely because
5:48
Vladimir Putin punches above his weight
5:50
because he likes to punch so
5:52
much. And so he's
5:55
absolutely critical. And
5:57
then on the side of the democracies,
5:59
it's still the United States, hopefully,
6:02
and we might get into that with some
6:05
politics going on in the United States,
6:07
but very much Western Europe, the
6:10
European Union. And in
6:12
a nutshell, what they're fighting about
6:15
in the Cold War
6:17
sense is whose vision
6:20
of international order is
6:22
going to prevail. In
6:24
a nutshell, the democracies are
6:27
pumping for a rules-based
6:30
international order, and
6:33
the autocracies are
6:35
pressing on brute
6:38
military force. And we can get into some
6:40
of the examples, but that sort of sets
6:42
it up as the Cold War. And then
6:44
just very quickly, the two has
6:48
the .O along with it, so
6:50
it's Cold War 2.0. That's to
6:52
designate that technology, which
6:55
is now so defining for
6:58
military matters and general society
7:00
matters and the economics and
7:02
so on, that
7:04
that's going to be a critical part
7:06
of this new Cold War.
7:10
Yeah, and you actually,
7:12
I believe you write in the book
7:14
that the new Cold War will be
7:16
won or lost because
7:19
of technology. That's how important
7:22
it is to Cold War 2.0.
7:25
Why is that? Why is technology
7:29
going to be the deciding factor? So
7:32
just very quickly, the four major
7:35
technologies that I look at, artificial
7:38
intelligence, high-end
7:40
semiconductor chips, and
7:44
then there's quantum computing and biotech.
7:47
Just the other day, you know,
7:50
Vladimir Putin fired his admiral
7:53
of the Russian Black Sea fleet
7:56
because Ukraine
7:59
with $20,000 drones
8:03
was able to push back these
8:06
billion dollar ships from
8:08
the Russian fleet and
8:10
open up the ability of
8:12
Ukraine to sell its grain abroad and
8:14
to sort of transport it. And
8:18
that's what technology is today.
8:20
I mean, it's an incredible
8:22
force multiplier. And
8:25
it's never determinative, but
8:29
if you don't have those
8:31
four technologies, you know,
8:33
operating for you in a very powerful mode,
8:36
you're not going to be successful in the
8:39
national security realm, just as you
8:41
won't be successful in terms
8:43
of economics. Yeah. Well,
8:46
I'm curious. So you
8:48
wrote, you've written other
8:50
books that are more specialized
8:52
for maybe more niche technical
8:54
audiences. But this one I read
8:57
is for a more general audience.
9:01
Why did you write this book and why did you want to
9:04
make it more general? So
9:07
the book started to germinate in my brain
9:09
around 2014. That's
9:13
when Putin, and
9:16
I think everybody who's listening or watching
9:18
will remember this. That's
9:21
when he first invaded Ukraine
9:24
and annexed Crimea. And
9:27
that was such a shock to me and
9:29
to the system because
9:32
years before the
9:35
Russian government specifically agreed
9:38
that the borders of Ukraine would not
9:40
be violated and that
9:42
included Crimea. And
9:44
that was agreed to in
9:46
1994 by Russia when
9:49
the Ukrainians gave up the
9:51
nuclear weapons that they had on
9:54
their soil when the
9:56
Soviet Union dissolved. And
9:59
the Ukrainians You
10:01
wonder if they're not feeling badly about
10:03
that decision because had they
10:05
had nuclear weapons now, I'm
10:08
not sure Vladimir Putin would have
10:10
invaded in February 2022. But
10:15
in 2014, the
10:17
response of the democracies was
10:20
so tepid and
10:23
so weak and
10:25
I was just beside myself and
10:28
at the same time Xi Jinping
10:30
in China was
10:32
starting to become very,
10:35
very aggressive in the South China Sea. And
10:38
in both cases, I said, why
10:40
are the democracies not pushing
10:43
back? We have way
10:45
better technology than them. You
10:47
know, we can take these guys. And
10:51
I thought that one thing that
10:53
was missing was
10:55
a groundswell of
10:58
indignation by
11:00
regular people in the democracies, the
11:02
people that listen to this
11:04
podcast or watch it on YouTube to
11:08
say to their presidents, prime
11:10
ministers and leaders, you know,
11:12
this sort of behavior can't
11:14
just be let go. So we've
11:17
got to do something. And because
11:19
if we had, if the
11:21
West, the democracy, had
11:24
a much more powerful response
11:27
back in 2014, I'm quite certain. I
11:32
mean, you know, counterfactuals are always difficult
11:35
to work with, but I'm
11:37
quite certain that we would not
11:39
have seen the 2022 invasion,
11:42
which so far has cost,
11:44
you know, 500,000 lives and
11:47
casualties, a trillion dollars in
11:49
damage, etc, etc, etc. Because
11:52
unfortunately, this hasn't changed between
11:54
Cold War I and Cold
11:57
War II, namely the autocrats'
11:59
own lives. understand strong
12:01
deterrence in a military
12:04
sense. So that's
12:07
frankly why I wrote the book. Now
12:10
would you say that we're already in Cold
12:13
War II? Yes. Yes.
12:16
I think as I said the start
12:18
date was 2014
12:21
and then since then there's
12:24
been the major invasion because even in a
12:26
Cold War just to be clear a Cold
12:30
War means that the two
12:32
principal protagonists or in this
12:34
case you know the leading
12:36
democracies and the leading autocracies
12:38
they don't actually fight each other largely
12:42
because nuclear weapon
12:44
deterrence continues to
12:46
work but you do
12:49
get hot proxy wars and
12:51
so the fact that the West,
12:54
the other democracies have been helping
12:56
Ukraine with weapons and so forth
12:58
and intelligence that
13:01
makes it a classic Cold
13:04
War, hot war. And
13:06
then also again
13:10
back to Asia you
13:12
know China has not just claimed
13:14
so much more of the South
13:16
China Sea it's building military bases
13:19
on little islands that clearly belong
13:21
to the Philippines and
13:23
by the way the Philippines are starting to push
13:26
back. You may have seen clips
13:28
of that ship that the
13:30
Philippines grounded on one of these
13:32
tiny little islands and they're desperately
13:34
trying to you know claim sovereignty
13:36
of this island and
13:38
these huge Chinese
13:41
Coast Guard vessels which in any other
13:43
country would be considered you
13:46
know naval destroyers and frigates but in
13:48
China they just Coast Guard ships. So
13:51
that's going on and that's very dangerous because
13:54
of course the Philippines have a mutual
13:56
defense treaty with the United States so
13:58
that could become a
14:01
very hot war very quickly. And
14:03
then the other front that's opened
14:05
up, just to complete the picture,
14:07
is Taiwan. Taiwan
14:10
is an amazing country of
14:12
24 million people on a tiny
14:14
little island. I was there a few months ago
14:16
on a study trip for my next
14:18
book, which is on Taiwan. And
14:21
what they've done with this tiny little
14:24
island, 24 million people, is
14:27
they've built a juggernaut of
14:29
a tech industry and
14:31
the world's most advanced chips,
14:34
semiconductor chips. They're
14:36
designed in California, but
14:38
they're all being made in Taiwan.
14:40
And China, all
14:43
of a hundred miles across the
14:46
Taiwan Strait from Taiwan, China
14:49
is claiming Taiwan as its own.
14:52
And Xi Jinping has said, if
14:55
you don't come over and
14:57
allow me to absorb you
15:00
peacefully, I'll be using
15:02
military means. So that's
15:04
another Cold War zone
15:07
that needs our attention very carefully.
15:10
Yeah, and I wanted to actually – before we
15:12
go into some of the technologies that you talk
15:14
about in your book, I wanted to talk a
15:16
little bit about Taiwan because I actually thought that
15:19
– well,
15:21
you had some – you had eye-popping
15:23
things to say maybe I would say
15:25
about Taiwan and China, or at least
15:27
to me, because I'm no expert on
15:30
the situation between China and Taiwan right now. But
15:34
you write that Xi's likely outside
15:36
date for the takeover of Taiwan
15:39
is 2034. So
15:42
you've even given a
15:44
date. Why is it 2034? Why
15:47
is that the most likely scenario
15:49
that Taiwan gets taken over? Xi
15:53
Jinping, the leader of China, the
15:55
autocratic leader of China, has
15:57
asked his army called the PLM. people
16:01
of Liberation Army to
16:03
be ready and they said we'll be ready by 2027. So that's
16:08
kind of the front end
16:10
of the window and Xi
16:12
Jinping is not getting any
16:15
younger. He's 71 years old.
16:17
He's made it very clear that
16:21
unlike his predecessors he's not willing
16:23
to just kick the can
16:25
down the road and leave this for someone
16:27
else. And
16:29
if you look at the psychology of
16:31
Xi Jinping, he's one of
16:33
those men who feel they have
16:36
a date with destiny and
16:39
that is a very dangerous
16:42
psychological profile. So when you
16:44
run his dates and
16:46
the military, I put it at
16:51
2034 but you know the Biden
16:54
administration brought
16:56
in a policy of blocking the
17:00
export of high-end semiconductor
17:02
chips which effectively means
17:05
that China won't be able to
17:07
make the high-end artificial
17:09
intelligence products either. They
17:11
brought that in in October
17:13
of 2022 and China's really really
17:18
feeling the heat. So I might
17:22
actually bring that 2034 date ahead because
17:26
the gap between the
17:28
American and sort of the Western
17:32
capability on technology and the Chinese one
17:34
is now going to grow. And
17:37
you might if you were thinking
17:40
of your date with destiny say it's only
17:42
going to get worse for me so I
17:46
might take my chances with Taiwan
17:48
sooner. Well
17:50
when I read that statistic in
17:52
your book, I actually googled, I
17:54
was like will there be
17:57
a war in 2034 which read led
18:01
me to a novel by
18:03
Elliot Ackerman called 2034, which is
18:05
about, I think it's like World
18:10
War III breaking out, which
18:12
I'm actually, I'm reading, I'm in the middle of reading
18:14
right now. I went down this whole rabbit
18:16
hole. So there
18:18
are other people who believe that that date is
18:20
a special date as well. I'm
18:22
not familiar with that work, but I
18:26
think you'll start to see a number
18:28
of people coalescing around. It's
18:31
basically within the next 10 years. And
18:33
that's why, you know, the
18:35
United States, the EU, I mean,
18:38
we've all got to be taking steps to
18:40
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19:09
Yeah. Well, let's get into some
19:12
history and start talking about some
19:14
of the technologies that you detail.
19:18
So first, if
19:21
you could just talk about
19:23
the relationship between technology and
19:25
national power historically, you go,
19:28
for example, you go back into medieval times
19:30
in your book, you talk about
19:32
some of the technologies that have been used
19:34
militarily. What's that relationship
19:36
like? Yeah, there's
19:39
a chapter in the book that's
19:43
devoted to kind of a looking
19:45
back because the
19:47
concept that technology
19:50
development and new innovation
19:52
can drive
19:55
step-level increases in economic
19:57
power and military power.
20:00
is actually not a new thing. I
20:04
think it's been greatly accelerated since
20:06
the start of the computer
20:08
revolution. But the
20:10
example you mentioned, for the
20:13
historian generalists who are listening,
20:15
you know, the invention
20:17
by the British of the longbow, much
20:20
more powerful than the previous, you
20:23
know, bow and arrow that was used. And
20:25
specifically, the ability of
20:28
the longbow archer to
20:30
take out the medieval knight, you
20:32
know, fully clad in armor, riding
20:34
on a big horse,
20:38
because that was, you know, considered the most
20:40
powerful weapon system of the day. These
20:43
longbowmen allowed the British to beat
20:46
the French in a number of
20:48
battles. And
20:50
it's not just functionality. It's not just
20:52
that it was a better weapon. It
20:55
was way cheaper. So
20:58
you could either decide as an English
21:00
king to have
21:02
many more archers for the same
21:04
amount of money that
21:06
you had, or you could, you
21:09
know, have fewer archers and
21:11
save some money. And you'll remember that
21:13
was the time, you know, Magna Carta
21:16
and so on, kings were always fighting
21:18
with the lords over raising
21:20
taxes. Hey, that
21:22
sounds pretty modern too, doesn't it, if
21:25
you're following what's going on in Washington
21:27
today. So
21:29
that process of
21:32
a technological leap, giving an
21:34
edge on the battlefield, I
21:36
then take people through, you know, the
21:38
submarine, the airplane, and so on. But
21:41
when you get to the computer revolution,
21:44
the leap
21:46
is just
21:50
orders of magnitude greater. So
21:53
precision weapons now are
21:56
really quite astounding in just how
21:58
precise they can be. And
22:01
then what we've learned in
22:04
Ukraine over the last two years
22:07
is that drones, you
22:09
know, five, ten, fifteen thousand
22:12
dollar drones can take
22:14
out large ships, they
22:17
can take out tanks. And
22:20
that's not to say that, you know, the
22:22
world has all of a sudden changed completely,
22:25
because artillery is getting used a
22:27
lot in the Ukraine as well,
22:30
and artillery shells. So
22:32
it's never like a complete break
22:34
from the past. But
22:38
the United States last
22:41
summer started the replicator program
22:43
where, and this is
22:45
a fascinating Department of
22:47
Defense exercise, to
22:50
counter China's mass, because
22:52
they are building a huge Navy,
22:54
and China has the largest shipbuilding capability
22:57
in the world, instead
22:59
of saying, oh, hey,
23:02
let's build ten
23:04
more, you know, shipyards to
23:06
build up our own Navy.
23:08
The Pentagon has decided, you know
23:10
what, we're gonna fight that additional
23:12
mass with
23:15
tens of thousands and hundreds of thousands
23:17
of drones. And the
23:19
replicator program is bringing Silicon
23:22
Valley together with
23:24
the traditional, you know,
23:26
defense contractors, the Lockheed Martin's of
23:30
the industry. And they
23:32
want to put in the field by the end of
23:34
this year, not
23:36
just airborne drones, but
23:39
surface and subsurface in the water.
23:41
And the United
23:44
Kingdom, about three weeks ago announced
23:47
roughly a $20 billion program
23:50
to build drones like crazy. So
23:53
we are seeing the technology have
23:56
a massive impact today.
23:59
Now, What would you say
24:01
were some of the technologies that define Cold
24:03
War I? Well,
24:07
it's interesting. So the previous
24:10
Cold War largely
24:12
between the United States because it
24:14
was the one, it was a country that
24:16
came out of the Second World War still
24:20
standing, right? The European powers,
24:23
the British, the French, I mean, everybody
24:25
was kind of devastated. And
24:28
the big new
24:31
weapon, of course, was the atom bomb.
24:34
And as we all know, two
24:38
were dropped on Japan and that
24:40
precipitated their surrender. And
24:43
what was fascinating in that instance
24:46
was that Russia was way
24:48
behind and they caught
24:51
up largely through
24:53
industrial espionage. If
24:55
you remember some of the spies that
24:57
were, you know, looking
24:59
around at them in the Manhattan
25:02
Project. And this is actually captured
25:04
nicely in Oppenheimer and so on.
25:07
And in my book, I actually
25:09
have some images and I have an image
25:11
of the first atom bomb dropped by the
25:13
United States and then the first atom bomb
25:15
built by the Russians. And
25:18
boy, they look a lot alike. What's
25:21
fascinating, AJ, though, today
25:25
is that the
25:27
key technologies, these semiconductor
25:29
chips, which now power
25:32
just about everything, anything that has
25:34
an on-off button and
25:37
uses electricity, it has
25:39
some semiconductor chips. So
25:42
both the high-end chips plus
25:45
the machines that make them.
25:48
And this is critical. And this
25:50
is why, frankly, the Biden administration's
25:53
sanctions, you know, a couple of years
25:55
ago were brilliant because
25:57
it wasn't just the
25:59
chips. that can't be sent and sold
26:02
to China from the democracies.
26:05
It's this equipment can't
26:07
be sent and sold. And
26:09
by the way, for any
26:12
listeners who say, well, why
26:14
do we need other democracies? What's the point
26:16
of a NATO alliance and so on? The
26:19
most sophisticated chip making equipment in
26:21
the world is actually not made
26:23
in the United States. It's made
26:25
in tiny little Holland in the
26:27
Netherlands. And it's
26:29
two principal components, some
26:32
very funky optics and
26:34
some laser technology. Well, that comes from
26:36
Germany. Anyway,
26:38
this machine, which makes the
26:41
most powerful chips in the world, it took 20
26:43
years to develop. Everyone
26:45
said, no, it can't be done, it can't be done,
26:47
but the Dutch did it. And
26:50
the Chinese actually have these
26:53
machines that they bought before the
26:56
sanctions kicked in. So
26:58
they've reversed and they know exactly how they work.
27:01
They just can't make their
27:03
own. So this is
27:05
another element to
27:07
the current Cold War technology
27:10
dynamic. They also
27:12
have these high-end chips. They're
27:15
small, they can be smuggled in no problem.
27:17
It's just, they don't know
27:19
how to make them and they've
27:21
tried and they failed. So
27:24
this is gonna be... Yeah,
27:27
and it's gonna be a very desperate China in
27:29
a year or two. And it's
27:31
interesting, I'll just end on this note. Last
27:34
November, when
27:37
Joe Biden met with Xi Jinping, and they
27:39
had the summit in San Francisco, first time
27:41
they talked in about a year. And
27:44
the way these summits work is, each
27:46
leader brings his list of irritants. And
27:49
China had two at the top.
27:52
One was Taiwan and number two was
27:55
ships. And Xi Jinping, I
27:57
mean, I wasn't a fly on the wall, but
27:59
he probably... leaned over and said, Joe, your
28:02
sanctions are killing us, and
28:05
not just militarily, but economically. And
28:08
Joe probably said something like, well,
28:12
if you agree and actually
28:14
behave as if
28:16
you're going to follow the rules-based international
28:18
order, you
28:21
know, we'll start supplying those chips again.
28:23
But why would we
28:25
give you the tools
28:28
with which you can
28:30
then harm us? That would just be madness.
28:32
And so, good on Joe Biden to actually,
28:34
you know, put his foot there. Yeah.
28:38
And I want to come back to semiconductors, but
28:41
an interesting, interesting to note though, is semiconductors
28:43
really seem foundational to all of
28:46
the other technologies that you write
28:48
about. So I do
28:50
want to talk about that. But first, before
28:52
we talk about semiconductors, I want
28:54
to talk about the big technology,
28:56
the one that is maybe
29:00
most popular right now in
29:02
the minds of just like normal people, I
29:04
guess, and that is artificial intelligence, made
29:07
the cover of your book. Let's
29:10
talk about AI. So obviously,
29:13
like most people are familiar with,
29:15
like chat GPT and some of
29:18
the new AI chatbots
29:20
that have come out. I
29:23
want to talk about in a
29:25
military capacity, artificial intelligence. First,
29:29
you know, why is it
29:31
important? Why is artificial intelligence
29:34
important from a military perspective?
29:36
And then I'm also curious in what ways
29:39
AI is already being used militarily.
29:43
So one quick example
29:45
of how it's being used, you
29:49
know, in virtually every war
29:51
movie about, you know,
29:55
World War II, the Korean War, the
29:57
Vietnam War, you have these wonderful scenes,
30:01
usually early on, where
30:04
the American command post is
30:06
trying to figure out, you know, what's
30:08
going on on the
30:10
other side of the line.
30:14
If you've watched the Battle of the Bulge,
30:16
right, it's Henry Fonda in a plane, a
30:18
surveillance bay, flying over the Ardennes Forest trying
30:21
to figure out, you know, what's going on
30:23
with the Germans and is this a major
30:25
assault, like what's happening? Today,
30:28
it's satellites,
30:31
right, orbiting the earth, taking
30:35
millions, like literally millions and millions
30:38
of images every day.
30:41
And as recently as, you know,
30:43
five, six years ago, human
30:46
analysts in Washington
30:48
would have to pour over
30:50
these images and try to,
30:53
you know, find the needle in
30:55
the haystack, well, what's changed and
30:58
where's this battleship now and so
31:00
on. Today, artificial
31:02
intelligence is doing all
31:05
of that. And it
31:07
can do it at a speed and
31:10
it doesn't get tired, you know,
31:12
it's not like, oh, I've been up for
31:14
24 hours and I really need some sleep.
31:17
And what's fascinating is this
31:20
artificial intelligence capability
31:22
is doing the
31:24
same thing in radiology
31:26
images in a medical context.
31:29
So we're simply taking the
31:32
same concept from the
31:34
civilian side and it's being
31:36
used in a military context.
31:39
But let me give you another one because I opened
31:41
the book with an
31:43
air defense example. If
31:45
China were to attack Taiwan,
31:48
I mean,
31:50
there are all sorts of theories about how they
31:52
would do that militarily, but
31:54
it would likely start with a
31:57
massive missile bombardment.
32:00
And I'm talking, you know, several
32:02
thousand missiles in
32:04
an effort to overwhelm
32:06
the defenses. And
32:09
if you think about the geography of
32:11
Taiwan, it's 100 miles
32:13
from the coast of China to the
32:16
island of Taiwan, but
32:18
you want your kill zone to be halfway,
32:20
right? You don't want to be, you know,
32:23
using your Patriot interceptor missiles right
32:26
on the coast of Taiwan, because
32:29
then all the missiles fall, you
32:31
know, into Taiwan proper. So
32:33
you basically got four or five minutes to
32:35
figure out what you're going to do. And
32:39
with a thousand missiles coming at you, it
32:42
is simply impossible for
32:44
humans to
32:47
detect all the launches, figure
32:50
out their trajectories, and the Chinese will
32:52
be very, very creative. You know, they'll
32:54
be coming in at different altitudes and
32:56
levels and speeds and so on. And
33:00
even the best trained humans
33:03
just will be overwhelmed. But
33:07
what I just described, I
33:09
won't say it's an easy job for AI, but
33:12
it's a perfect job for AI. And
33:14
each missile will be tagged by AI.
33:17
The trajectories will be calculated.
33:20
The defensive assets, right, the air
33:22
defense, you know, interceptor missiles will
33:25
be locked in. A
33:28
few will get through, but not nearly
33:30
the number will get through if it
33:32
was just humans, because humans,
33:35
you know, would have been overwhelmed.
33:38
So AI is
33:40
like us, but
33:42
it can do so much more and
33:45
so much more quickly. And
33:47
in a military sense, that's a
33:49
huge advantage. autocracies
34:00
have when it comes
34:02
to artificial intelligence as opposed to the West.
34:06
In what ways is one side falling
34:08
short and another side more
34:11
advanced when it comes to AI? Well,
34:14
it's interesting. There were a couple of
34:16
books published about five years ago by
34:19
a fellow, Kai,
34:23
I think is his last name, born
34:27
in China, went to school
34:29
in the States, worked in Silicon Valley
34:33
as an operator and an investor, and then he
34:35
went back to China and he
34:37
wrote a couple of books saying, you know, China
34:40
is going to win the AI race because
34:44
these artificial intelligence systems need
34:46
to be trained on
34:48
huge amounts of data. So
34:51
going back to my sort
34:53
of ISR example, you
34:56
know, intelligence,
34:58
surveillance, reconnaissance, you
35:00
have to actually first teach
35:03
the AI how to recognize
35:05
a tank versus
35:07
an armored personnel carrier
35:09
versus, you know, an
35:12
M77 howitzer. And
35:14
this fellow's argument was
35:17
that, oh, well, we have way more
35:19
data in China. We're not constricted by,
35:21
you know, privacy law and that sort
35:23
of thing. And so we're going to
35:25
win the race. But
35:28
he's wrong. And
35:30
why he's wrong is something that I actually
35:33
spend quite a bit of time in the
35:35
book discussing because
35:38
I think it's actually the great news
35:40
story in the book. Like after I
35:42
depress you with, you know,
35:44
Cold War II, oh my God, we're back
35:46
in it again. That's the bad news. It
35:48
is a hopeful book. But
35:50
the good news is that
35:53
in every one of those big
35:55
four technologies, AI, but also chips,
35:57
quantum and biotechnology, and then there's
35:59
another. chapter that I just quickly talk
36:01
about a dozen other technologies. With
36:05
maybe two exceptions, the
36:08
way democracies do
36:10
innovation and the way they
36:13
develop technology is much
36:15
superior to the way autocrats do
36:17
it. And it's a structural thing.
36:20
When you're an autocrat and
36:23
you have your enablers, you know, a
36:25
hundred key people around you that keep
36:28
the economy going and so on, an
36:31
enabler brings forward a
36:33
technology and that
36:35
becomes the incumbent technology and usually
36:37
the autocrat gets a percentage of
36:40
the revenue generated by that technology.
36:43
So when someone else comes along and
36:45
says, hey, I've got a new technology,
36:49
the enabler goes to
36:52
the autocrat and says, don't listen to that
36:54
new guy, that's not going to work, you
36:56
know, ours is still the best. And
36:59
that just stops cold any
37:01
new development. Whereas
37:04
in the United States, in
37:06
Europe, in Canada, that
37:08
new, it's
37:11
either an inventor, scientist, an
37:13
entrepreneur, they're
37:15
allowed to come into the market,
37:18
compete against the incumbent and
37:21
often they win. And the
37:23
example I use is a maybe
37:26
you smiled when you read about
37:28
it, but I
37:31
still remember the Sony Discman,
37:33
right? This pink, clunky
37:35
kind of, you know, CD player, but it was,
37:39
but it was mobile and it was
37:41
a revolution over, you know, a cassette
37:43
player and everybody bought it. And
37:46
then Steve Jobs came along and
37:49
invented the iPod. And
37:51
I remember my first iPod, like
37:53
I was welling up. I was
37:56
like, oh my God, this is
37:58
amazing. The size of it. Plus,
38:00
you could navigate your playlist
38:02
and so forth and in
38:04
short order. It competitively
38:07
displaced. The. Sony dismount
38:09
and then of course the smartphone
38:11
phone comes along and include the
38:13
ipod functionality and and the process
38:16
continues. So. Whether it's
38:18
a I, whether it's chips. This.
38:21
Continual process in the
38:23
democracies. Is a super
38:25
strength of ours and so that's why.
38:28
We're gonna do better. On.
38:30
The tech side. Then.
38:32
The Autocracy and just. And.
38:34
This is really important. That.
38:38
A S Ml. Ship. Making
38:40
machine from Holland that I talked
38:42
about. That.
38:44
The Chinese government funded like sixteen
38:46
billion dollars worth of are indeed
38:49
to try to build another one.
38:52
That. They could have you know within China.
38:54
And. It didn't work. Because.
38:57
You. Can't do it. Top down, you
38:59
can't tell people to go and and
39:02
invent something that there's a secret sauce
39:04
to it. It's home
39:06
is still in Silicon Valley, but
39:08
it's and replicated in some other
39:10
democracies. And. Dumb.
39:13
And so yes so in that sense it is
39:15
a hopeful but because. The
39:17
democracies do technology and of
39:19
technology. The and sometimes it
39:21
drives me crazy. What?
39:24
That. Features already been, you know,
39:27
superseded by something else and what.
39:29
There's another update. But
39:32
but that's precisely the process
39:34
that gives the democracies an
39:36
age when it comes to
39:38
innovation. Will
39:40
talk about. At a
39:42
little bit semiconductors now you'd already.
39:45
Can. Have any given the. Ten
39:49
thousand for an overview. Yeah, any any
39:51
electronic devices cat as I can active
39:53
in is obviously very important. But
39:56
why? that's why is it so
39:58
hard for someone? China. To
40:02
just to make as many semiconductor
40:04
chips as as they need. Why?
40:07
Is the such a flashpoint and and called are
40:09
going to be a flashpoint? Maybe it already is
40:11
a flash points and called way to. It.
40:15
Is already a flashpoint? China
40:17
is feeling the heat. Ah,
40:20
Absolutely. So.
40:23
The. The. Chip
40:26
is invented in Silicon Valley. And
40:29
but. With.
40:31
The help. Of a bunch of. Of
40:34
of immigrants and this is another
40:36
strong Just as a quick aside.
40:39
You. Know China doesn't do immigration very
40:41
well. Russia.
40:44
Especially now doesn't do immigration
40:46
very well. But.
40:48
The United States is this.
40:52
Magnet attracting.
40:54
Brilliant! You know the best and
40:56
brightest from. India. From
40:58
Europe, from all over the world. From
41:01
Canada, there are three hundred thousand Canadians
41:03
working in Silicon Valley. Just as an
41:05
aside, And these
41:07
immigrants as as well as you
41:09
though Native American yeah, trained and
41:11
so on. They.
41:14
Started developing these chips. And.
41:16
Then Moore's Law kicked in. so every
41:19
eighteen months they they become. Double
41:21
if not Tripoli, more powerful.
41:24
And were down to the point now
41:26
where the most powerful chips. They're.
41:29
Putting billions and billions a
41:31
little circuits on. You. Know
41:33
at the size of your thumbnail? And.
41:36
Doing that. Is. The hardest
41:39
thing. That. Humans have ever
41:41
done. So.
41:44
Doing. It well and doing it
41:46
in such a powerful mode. Is.
41:49
Is really really hard. And
41:51
Tsm see. The. Company
41:54
in Taiwan. That. Has
41:56
perfected. The. Manufacturing of
41:59
the. ships using
42:01
those very sophisticated machines from
42:03
Holland. They
42:06
have a workforce of
42:08
engineers that have
42:12
perfected this process. Now,
42:15
China is trying to hire a bunch of them. And
42:18
they're offering amazing salaries and so on
42:21
and so forth. But
42:23
it's also a big supply chain
42:25
around TSMC. If
42:28
you ever get a chance to go, it's not
42:31
in Taipei. It's in a
42:33
town just about an hour south called Sinchu.
42:36
And you see these huge factories
42:38
that TSMC has, but all around
42:40
them are factories
42:42
owned by the Japanese, the
42:45
South Koreans, a lot of American factories.
42:48
Because the Americans are very good at
42:50
the software that's used to
42:52
design the chips, and
42:54
the Dutch are there, and so forth. So the whole
42:57
world has come together. And
42:59
to replicate that is
43:01
really, really, really difficult. So
43:04
again, when the Biden administration
43:07
cut off China from the most powerful
43:09
chips, boy, that was a
43:12
shot heard around the world in
43:15
the technology domain
43:17
for sure. So
43:20
how much do you think, obviously, culturally,
43:23
I think the
43:26
Chinese feel like Taiwan should be a
43:28
part of mainland China? But
43:31
how much does their ability to
43:33
actually manufacture semiconductor chips influence
43:37
China's desire to take over Taiwan? Well,
43:41
there's a lot of thinking going
43:43
on around this very point. When
43:49
I was in Taiwan, as I mentioned a few
43:51
months ago, I was
43:53
obviously blown away by the technology
43:56
industry that they've created. But
43:58
AJ, I got to tell you. the
44:00
other things that blew my
44:02
mind, the quality of the
44:04
democracy in Taiwan. You know,
44:07
they just had elections in January,
44:10
and the two candidates that
44:12
lost, you know, gracefully got up
44:14
on the podium and conceded and congratulated the
44:16
winner. I mean, this is how democracy is
44:18
supposed to be done. That
44:21
leads to a civil society. You
44:25
know, there's a Catholic church on
44:27
one block and two blocks
44:30
down the road. There's a Confucian
44:32
temple, and everybody gets
44:34
along. Gay
44:37
rights are recognized. There's
44:41
gender equality. The current president of Taiwan
44:43
is a woman. Now,
44:45
they don't do immigration well yet,
44:49
but all those other
44:51
factors mean that they're a
44:53
very different society than
44:55
China. And so
44:57
China's been spinning, you know,
45:01
a view that, well,
45:03
you know, the Han Chinese,
45:06
the culturally Chinese are, you
45:08
know, well, they
45:10
don't do democracy. They're predisposed
45:12
to authority and
45:14
authority figures and always
45:16
have been. And then here's
45:18
this little Taiwan, an
45:21
exemplary democracy, an
45:23
amazing civil society, and frankly,
45:25
if Xi
45:27
Jinping attacks Taiwan, I think it'll
45:29
be as much because it's
45:32
an upstart democracy. It's only like in
45:35
30 years a democracy, because
45:38
the Chinese regime can't afford to
45:40
have this example of a
45:42
democracy sitting on its doorstep just as
45:44
I believe. And it's
45:46
not talked a lot about, but I'm
45:49
very confident that a big
45:51
factor in Putin attacking Ukraine
45:55
was very similar. Here was a budding
45:58
democracy. But
46:01
Slavic, when Putin's
46:03
message, similar to the Chinese one,
46:05
is, oh, Slavs don't do democracy,
46:08
we don't like democracy, we like
46:10
strong leaders. Well,
46:13
that's Balderdash. Everyone
46:15
likes freedom. Everyone likes to
46:17
vote for who's in the government.
46:20
So now,
46:22
to your narrow question, China
46:25
has to be careful. Like, if
46:27
they blow up TSMC and all of
46:29
its factories, well, there's
46:32
nothing left to sort of take
46:34
over. Plus, if
46:36
they lose, you know, half
46:38
of the workforce to Arizona, because
46:40
TSMC is building a facility now
46:43
in the US, but
46:45
it's not intended to
46:47
produce the most advanced chips. But
46:50
in any event, if they lose the people, plus,
46:54
even if you have the factories of
46:56
TSMC producing today's chips,
47:00
if they make a move
47:02
on Taiwan, ASML will not
47:05
supply new equipment to
47:08
China-controlled Taiwan. So
47:11
it's a very difficult objective
47:14
for Xi Jinping to
47:17
achieve to say, ah, well, if I
47:19
take over Taiwan, I've
47:21
controlled, you know, the chip
47:23
industry. So
47:26
frankly, in
47:29
response, for instance, to that Biden
47:31
policy of sanctions, the
47:34
response from the Chinese has been very muted. They
47:37
put an embargo on two critical
47:39
minerals, and that was about it.
47:43
I think they're waiting to see what
47:45
the result is of the November election.
47:49
And I think they're hoping that if
47:52
it's Trump as the new president, that
47:54
they might be able to do some
47:56
deal with him, that
47:58
clearly the Biden administration. would
48:01
be unwilling to do. But if
48:03
it's Biden again in November, we
48:07
talked about it earlier, the
48:10
frustration level might rise to the point
48:12
where Xi Jinping wakes up
48:14
one day and says, look, it's not going to
48:16
get any better. So maybe
48:18
today's the day. Well,
48:22
it's interesting that your
48:24
observations about democracy in
48:26
Taiwan, that
48:29
strikes me as very interesting. And
48:31
I guess maybe when you
48:33
know your democracy is that close
48:35
to danger, physically
48:38
that close to big autocracies like
48:40
China, you probably do pay a
48:42
lot more attention to the things
48:45
that make democracy function and function
48:47
well. So
48:49
that's an interesting observation.
48:51
I'm curious, I
48:54
do want to talk about some of the other technologies,
48:56
but we haven't actually talked so
48:58
much about Russia yet. And
49:02
China, I guess, is seen as kind of
49:04
this juggernaut as it comes to advancing
49:08
new technologies and having
49:11
these massive capabilities. Where
49:14
does Russia stand in terms
49:16
of their capabilities and
49:18
their ability to use AI or
49:20
semiconductor chips or some of the
49:23
other technologies? Where do they figure in here?
49:26
And where does Vladimir Putin, what are his
49:28
ambitions when it comes to some of these
49:30
technologies? Putin
49:33
understands the importance
49:35
of AI. I
49:38
actually have a quote of
49:40
his early on in the book. I
49:43
don't have it right in front of me, but it's
49:45
to the effect of he was talking to some young
49:47
students, like high school students and said, you
49:49
know, the country
49:51
that wins the AI race
49:55
will control the world. So he gets
49:57
the concept. Frankly,
50:00
and I do this in the
50:02
book quite specifically
50:04
and in some detail where I go through
50:07
with each of these industries, you know,
50:09
who the players are, what
50:11
their sales are, how much they raised
50:14
in financing and so on. And
50:17
frankly, other than civil
50:19
atomic energy, Russia
50:23
is just not a player in
50:25
most of these other technologies. What
50:29
they've been able to do over the
50:31
decades is they
50:33
plow money, serious
50:35
money, into a
50:38
quasi-military technological
50:40
program. So
50:43
rocket boosters was something they did
50:45
pretty well in the 50s and
50:47
that's why Sputnik, you
50:49
know, the first satellite
50:53
in orbit was Russian. And
50:55
you've probably seen the movies
50:57
like the Wright stuff and so on.
51:00
And then the Apollo moon
51:03
race that that generated and
51:05
JFK saying, you know, before the
51:07
decade is out. But the
51:11
Russians in the 60s never got
51:13
to the moon because they didn't
51:15
have computers. And
51:17
it's actually, I talk about it in the
51:19
book because it's a perfect illustration. If
51:22
you don't have a serious
51:25
civilian capability in these
51:27
technologies, your military or
51:29
your space programs
51:33
will not move forward. And
51:37
why didn't the Russians
51:39
have computers? Because Stalin,
51:41
going back to the Second World
51:43
War, he thought cybernetics,
51:45
which was the predecessor of computers
51:47
and then sort of early computers,
51:50
he thought that was just a
51:52
capitalist plot and
51:54
that wouldn't amount to anything. And then
51:56
in the 60s and 70s, when
51:59
there was starting. to be
52:01
talk and
52:03
certainly in the late 70s
52:05
and the early 80s when we see the
52:07
first personal computer and
52:10
what a storm that set off in
52:12
the United States, the Russian
52:14
response was, we're
52:17
not going to allow our citizens
52:19
to have personal computers. In the
52:22
home, no way. We won't be
52:24
able to control that. So again, the technology
52:27
development process is greatly
52:30
impacted by the political
52:32
culture. And
52:34
today, bottom line,
52:38
this is why Russia is the
52:40
number two protagonist to China,
52:44
because really Russia
52:47
isn't playing. And then frankly, when
52:51
they did attack Ukraine
52:53
fully in February of
52:55
2022, about 500,000 key
52:58
critical tech types
53:01
left Russia because nobody wants to
53:03
work there anymore. So it's
53:06
just gotten worse and worse and worse.
53:09
The car industry, which isn't even
53:11
that high tech in
53:14
Russia, it collapsed. And Russia has
53:16
been buying cars from
53:19
China. So it's becoming a
53:21
vassal state, frankly, of
53:23
China. And China finds it useful though, because
53:27
Putin and most autocrats do
53:29
not value human life, sadly.
53:33
And so he's sort
53:35
of the mad pit bull that
53:37
Xi Jinping can unleash and
53:40
go create havoc. But
53:42
in terms of the tech race itself,
53:45
there's not much happening in Russia.
53:49
Well, I want to real
53:51
quick before I want to ask you
53:53
about politics. But first, I
53:55
want to talk briefly. I
53:58
hate to lump these all together, but I
54:00
want to talk briefly about quantum computing,
54:03
biotechnology, and some of the other technologies
54:05
that you mentioned in your book. What
54:08
are some of the more important
54:10
ways that these
54:13
technologies are being used? So
54:17
quantum computing, which may not be
54:19
as familiar to your listeners
54:21
or your viewers, is
54:24
a fascinating technology. It
54:28
could leapfrog the
54:31
current semiconductor chip-based
54:34
computing ecosystem. In
54:36
other words, this could be something
54:38
that new. And
54:41
if you're sitting in Beijing and
54:44
the Biden administration and
54:47
the other democracies have shut you out of
54:50
the traditional semiconductor chip
54:53
supply lines, quantum
54:55
might be your Hail Mary
55:00
path to a future.
55:04
Because quantum, if you can do it right, it's
55:06
actually even more powerful than
55:09
today's most powerful chips. But
55:12
again, good news in the book,
55:16
I profile 13 or
55:18
14 different
55:21
quantum projects and companies.
55:24
Because you can do quantum differently. You can
55:26
do it with optics. You can
55:28
do it with ions. You
55:30
can do, without getting too technical, there are
55:32
variations on the theme. Remember
55:35
when there was VHS and beta? Or
55:37
maybe you're too young to remember. So
55:40
there are variations on quantum. There
55:43
are variations on quantum. And
55:46
the US and
55:48
Europe are placing about 15,
55:50
16 different bets. Because
55:52
that's how Silicon Valley works. You have
55:55
multiple bets and you plow a ton of money into
55:57
each of them. The
56:00
Chinese have one bet on quantum, right?
56:03
There's one scientist who's a
56:06
bang-up brilliant man, and
56:10
they're plowing money into his lab, and if
56:12
he comes up with something great, but if
56:14
he doesn't, you
56:16
know, there's three
56:18
scientists at Caltech, just
56:23
in California, and they're each
56:25
doing quantum a little bit differently. And right
56:27
now, they're not talking to each other as
56:29
much because, you know, it's very proprietary, but
56:31
there's a wonderful quote in the New Yorker.
56:33
There's a New Yorker article about Caltech
56:36
doing quantum. And
56:39
one of the scientists says, look, I'm
56:41
doing quantum my way, but
56:44
if it builds down the hall, has
56:47
a great breakthrough, you
56:50
know, I need to start working on his
56:52
technology, and like, it's just a very different
56:54
culture. And we have, as I
56:57
say, so many horses in the race, same
57:00
with fusion technology. Again,
57:03
you know, the Chinese are putting their
57:05
bets in one state financed
57:08
fusion project, and
57:10
in the democracies, there's probably, again,
57:12
a dozen going on. So
57:15
just by, you know, the logic of
57:17
numbers, we're
57:19
likely to have better breakthroughs and
57:21
more breakthroughs than
57:24
they are, which
57:26
is a good news story. Well, yeah,
57:29
yeah, absolutely. Well,
57:32
I wanna talk a little bit about politics. So
57:36
we're in the United States, we are in
57:38
a presidential election here. How
57:41
important is this upcoming
57:43
presidential election to the
57:46
outcome of who wins Cold War II? So
57:50
I think this is the most
57:53
consequential presidential
57:56
election in my lifetime, and I'm
57:58
66 years old. full
58:01
plain and true disclosure because,
58:04
and I'll be really, really
58:06
frank with you, Trump's
58:09
view of the world and
58:12
thinking that he can do it all
58:14
himself or the Americans can do it
58:16
all themselves is
58:19
just not corresponding to
58:21
reality. I mentioned
58:24
TSMC is the leading, you know,
58:26
semiconductor chip company today, but
58:28
IBM actually has
58:32
some fascinating technology that
58:34
could produce a very, very powerful chip
58:37
and their joint venturing with
58:39
about 10 Japanese companies
58:42
to develop a viable working model of
58:44
that chip. IBM
58:48
again, they have a
58:50
working model of a quantum
58:52
computer and
58:54
where are they piloting it? In
58:56
Germany because there are
58:59
a number of car companies and drug
59:01
developers and so on in Germany who
59:03
have really bought into that vision. And
59:07
you can go through technology
59:09
after technology after technology and
59:12
while the Americans are
59:15
absolutely, you know, number one,
59:18
you can't do it alone
59:20
anymore. It's just impossible and
59:23
so when Trump says stuff
59:25
like, well, I don't care
59:27
about Europe, you know, I'm okay
59:30
over here in the United States or
59:32
I don't care about the Western Pacific,
59:35
I'm okay here in the United States. I
59:37
think that is, I think
59:39
is just wrong. It's just not the way
59:41
to view the world anymore and
59:45
even if you wanted to do it alone, like
59:48
just one last one, his 10% tariff,
59:51
you know, to shut out imports
59:54
even of lower tech products.
59:58
US unemployment is at three. 3%, 4%, what's in a
1:00:00
bill? All
1:00:04
these other products that he wants
1:00:06
to substitute from the foreign supplier.
1:00:08
So it's just
1:00:11
not realistic. And
1:00:15
the entire democracy
1:00:18
system has been
1:00:20
built around the US, as I call it in the
1:00:22
book. And I tip
1:00:25
my hat to the Americans. It's
1:00:27
the indispensable democracy. So
1:00:31
Joe Biden gets it. Nikki
1:00:33
Haley gets it. I'm
1:00:36
neutral, right? I'm up in Canada, so
1:00:38
I'm kind of neutral. Nikki Haley
1:00:41
changed the party, but she
1:00:44
absolutely understood the
1:00:46
value of the alliance system and how
1:00:48
that makes you stronger. And
1:00:51
to think that you can
1:00:54
retreat into the continental US and
1:00:56
put up big walls, and
1:00:58
the world will not come
1:01:00
and intrude on you, that's
1:01:02
just not how technology works for
1:01:05
sure. But it's not how health
1:01:08
security or pandemic or
1:01:10
the fentanyl problem. That's
1:01:13
a global problem, and there's no
1:01:16
way that Trump's going to
1:01:18
solve that without a lot of help
1:01:20
from others. So I'm
1:01:22
hoping that it won't be
1:01:25
Trump, but it could be,
1:01:27
as I say, another Republican,
1:01:29
just not this Republican. Well,
1:01:33
I wonder if not just
1:01:36
talking about the United States, but any
1:01:40
leader, any political leader in
1:01:43
the democracies around the world, if
1:01:46
there is one message that you
1:01:48
hope they take away from
1:01:51
your book in determining
1:01:54
who wins Cold War 2.0, what
1:01:57
message would you hope that is? Leave
1:02:00
them with a singer A
1:02:02
phrase. That. Actually
1:02:04
Us President Dwight the
1:02:06
Eisenhower first put out
1:02:08
there. And I
1:02:10
I use a lot. I think a lot.
1:02:13
And. He said. You. Know. None.
1:02:16
Of us is as strong as all of
1:02:18
us. And. If
1:02:21
Trump would just learn that one.
1:02:23
Bit. Of wisdom from a former president.
1:02:25
None of us is as strong as all
1:02:28
of us cuz what I do in the
1:02:30
book is is it. At the
1:02:32
end I actually total up. You. Know
1:02:34
how or how are the
1:02:36
democracies versus the autocrats? versus.
1:02:39
The non aligned countries which haven't talked about the this
1:02:41
over three guess know how are we doing. Well.
1:02:44
The U S Is is kind
1:02:46
of on parity with China. But.
1:02:50
If you include. Japan.
1:02:52
South. Korea. I'm in love
1:02:55
with the South Koreans they are
1:02:57
doing for military procurement. What?
1:02:59
They've done with Tier and home
1:03:01
Die Poland. I'm in love with
1:03:03
Poland. They're spending. A
1:03:06
huge amount on additional
1:03:08
military kit. Tanks.
1:03:11
Armored. Personnel carriers, you name it.
1:03:13
Half of what they're buying know
1:03:16
is being made in South Korea,
1:03:18
which is fascinating. Because.
1:03:21
Like here. Hunt I. They're.
1:03:23
Not quite Mercedes or
1:03:25
Bmw. But.
1:03:27
They can do eighty percent. On. The
1:03:30
battlefield. And. They cost forty
1:03:32
percent. And
1:03:34
you know, Lockheed Martin? General Dynamics.
1:03:36
great companies and their building great
1:03:38
stuff but they're already a capacity.
1:03:41
So. You. You you need
1:03:43
the South Korea's There was an article
1:03:45
just the other day in that The
1:03:47
Wall Street Journal. australians
1:03:50
are are being trained to
1:03:52
make gamblers for you know
1:03:55
behind bars military are ya
1:03:57
system artillery rocket system Because
1:04:00
again, the Americans just can't do it
1:04:02
all. So none of us
1:04:05
is as strong as all of us. That's my
1:04:08
takeaway. Excellent.
1:04:12
Well, you know, George, I think
1:04:14
we'll end the interview with
1:04:16
that hopeful message.
1:04:18
And hopefully there are people
1:04:20
out there listening to that message
1:04:22
who might be in positions
1:04:24
of power. We can only hope. George,
1:04:27
if people want to stay in touch
1:04:30
with your writing, want
1:04:32
to check out more about what you're doing, are
1:04:35
you on social media? How
1:04:38
can people stay in touch with what you're doing? I'm
1:04:41
very happy to have
1:04:43
my Gmail address out
1:04:45
there. And it's really simple. George
1:04:48
to cash, so G-E-O-R-G-E,
1:04:52
no spaces, no dots. And then my last name,
1:04:54
which is a little bit tough. T-A-K-A-C-H,
1:04:57
George to cash at
1:05:00
gmail.com. And I'm
1:05:02
happy to engage with people and
1:05:05
have a chat online and that sort of
1:05:07
thing for sure. And the book,
1:05:09
you know, it's in
1:05:12
Amazon, it's Simon and Schuster. You
1:05:14
can get it in your local
1:05:16
bookstore. So... Find bookstores everywhere. There
1:05:19
you go. There you go. Support
1:05:21
the indie bookstore. Well, yes. Yes,
1:05:26
I agree. In fact, there
1:05:28
is a, there will be
1:05:30
a link in the description on this episode that'll
1:05:32
take you to bookshop.org. Anybody out there who wants
1:05:34
to purchase and you can buy it from your
1:05:36
local indie bookstore. George
1:05:39
to cash, Cold War 2.0, artificial
1:05:41
intelligence in the new battle between
1:05:44
China, Russia and America. Go
1:05:46
check it out from your library. Go buy a copy. Such
1:05:50
a timely read and a
1:05:53
fascinating read and George, thank you so much
1:05:55
for joining me here today. It's
1:05:58
been a real pleasure. Thanks so much. At
1:06:14
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