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How worried should we really be about coronavirus?

How worried should we really be about coronavirus?

Released Thursday, 12th March 2020
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How worried should we really be about coronavirus?

How worried should we really be about coronavirus?

How worried should we really be about coronavirus?

How worried should we really be about coronavirus?

Thursday, 12th March 2020
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Hi everyone, I'm Katie Curic, and welcome

0:02

to Next Question Today.

0:05

Now to growing concerns about the deadly coronavirus

0:08

officially hitting the US. Los Angeles

0:11

County, where ten million people live, has

0:13

declared a public health emergency.

0:15

In Washington State, they are confirming now

0:18

the first US death. There is

0:20

a confirmed case here in New

0:22

York City. Coronavirus is now in the

0:24

nation's capital, Texas, Arizona,

0:27

Florida, Illinois, Massachusetts.

0:30

What began as a distant and mysterious

0:32

illness in China at the end of twenty

0:34

nineteen has made its way around

0:36

the world and is now spreading across

0:38

the US. As of this recording,

0:41

the majority of states have confirmed cases

0:43

of coronavirus that range

0:46

from a few to hundreds.

0:48

Here in New York City, where I live, there at least

0:50

thirty six confirmed cases, and

0:53

Mayor Bill de Blasio says they're

0:55

coming in intensely. Just

0:57

this week, I had my own brush with the virus,

1:00

which is now officially called COVID

1:03

nineteen. On Saturday,

1:05

March seven, I ran into an old friend, Rick

1:07

Cotton, who's the head of the New York and New

1:09

Jersey Port Authority. Two days

1:11

later news broke that he had tested positive

1:14

for COVID nineteen. We

1:16

only had seen each other on the street very

1:18

briefly and didn't have any physical

1:20

contact, but still, in this climate,

1:23

you can never be too careful. After

1:25

I heard the news, I immediately went

1:27

home and called the c d C. I

1:30

also called the New York State Department

1:32

of Health and spoke to my own

1:34

doctor as well. In addition

1:36

to them, I spoke to the first guest

1:38

on this podcast. They all assured

1:40

me I was at very low risk for contracting

1:43

COVID nineteen and there was no

1:45

need to self quarantine. So

1:47

I'll continue to take the same precautions

1:50

as you are, hopefully washing

1:52

my hands, staying away from large

1:54

crowds, and monitoring

1:56

my symptoms. But all of this

1:58

leads me to my next question, what

2:01

is coronavirus and how can

2:03

we protect ourselves and our loved

2:05

ones. To

2:08

understand more about COVID nineteen, I

2:11

called up someone who's working on the front

2:13

lines of this outbreak. Hi Maria,

2:16

Hi, how are you to be there?

2:18

So nice to hear your voice, you

2:20

too. Dr Maria van Kirkhove

2:23

is ahead of the Outbreak Investigation Task

2:25

Force for the World Health Organization.

2:27

She lives in Switzerland, but she traveled

2:30

to China just a few weeks ago to

2:32

study the virus. How would

2:34

you assess the current situation with

2:36

an understanding that it seems to change

2:39

almost by the hour. Yes,

2:42

so this is an evolving

2:44

situation, you know. So this is this is

2:46

an outbreak that began in December UM

2:49

with a cluster of patients with pneumonia

2:52

UM in Wuhan, China, and

2:54

then it has spread to other parts of China.

2:56

UM over the course of the month. In January,

2:59

there were case says that were being detected

3:01

in other parts of the world, mainly in Asia

3:03

to begin with, but also in other countries.

3:06

And this started with a travel link. UM.

3:08

And this is we we we found cases

3:11

that were identified in a number of countries,

3:14

and the outbreak has grown since then. UM.

3:17

What is interesting is that this is a new

3:19

virus. UM. Very early

3:21

on, the first cases were alerted

3:24

to US in late December early January,

3:26

but within a week, within one week,

3:29

the Chinese authorities were able to identify

3:31

that this was a new pathogen. This

3:33

was a novel coronavirus. That's where that

3:35

word comes from. UM. And

3:38

that and that's very important. So they

3:40

were able to identify that within a week using

3:42

full genome sequencing, was looking

3:44

at

3:44

the parts

3:47

of the virus itself UM, and

3:49

in finding that new virus, they were able

3:52

to share that with the world and say, this is a novel

3:54

pathogen. Here's the sequence,

3:56

which they made publicly available, and

3:58

that allowed countries all over the

4:00

world to develop PCR tests

4:03

for laboratory detection tests

4:05

so that they could start looking for that virus.

4:07

What exactly is a pathogen? Ah,

4:11

so the pathogen that we we normally call

4:13

these pathogenes either viruses or bacteria.

4:17

This new pathogen happens to be

4:19

a virus. I lead a group on emerging

4:22

diseases and zoonoses, and

4:25

most of the new viruses that we find come from

4:27

animals and they they

4:29

spill over from an animal to human, and we were

4:31

constantly on the lookout for new

4:33

pathogens, new viruses that

4:35

are infecting humans. Let's

4:37

talk about this one. What animal

4:40

was responsible for the coronavirus?

4:43

As of today, we don't know, UM,

4:46

but there's a lot of investigations right

4:48

now that are looking for what

4:50

was the animal source of this outbreak?

4:53

UM. This is a coronavirus, and we know

4:56

that coronaviruses have a link back

4:58

to bats um. Most viruses,

5:00

most viruses come from baths, but coronaviruses

5:03

come from baths initially. But what we

5:05

think happened here is that there was another

5:07

animal, or what we call an intermediary

5:10

host, that animal was infected,

5:12

and that animal was responsible for infecting

5:14

humans. There's a lot of investigations

5:16

underway in animal markets because

5:19

some of the initial cases in December

5:22

UM had reported a link to

5:24

one particular market, and

5:27

so that gave us a clue that there could be an

5:29

animal force. Tell us about

5:31

how contagious this is compared to

5:33

other pathogens you've just

5:36

you've studied. So

5:38

this is this This virus causes

5:40

a respiratory disease, and so people

5:42

who get sick have respiratory symptoms.

5:45

And the way that it's transmitted between people

5:47

is through droplets um, which means

5:49

if you cough or if you sneeze on

5:52

somebody, you are releasing

5:54

some of these droplets from your mouth, these little

5:56

droplets of fluid, and those droplets

5:58

can go into the eye, his nose, and mouth of

6:01

someone else if they're in close

6:03

distance to you. Not in the air, but in

6:05

they're actually in there within three feet of

6:07

you or so UM and so

6:09

if you're common contact with an infected

6:12

person UM, you could potentially

6:14

be infected by them. And what we know

6:16

about this virus is that for every

6:18

person who's infected, on

6:21

average, they infect two to

6:23

two and a half more people, and

6:26

that means that you have the possibility for this outpret

6:29

to take off. What's important to know

6:31

here is that um it's a new

6:33

virus, which means everyone is susceptible

6:36

UM and so what we're trying to do with all

6:38

of the information that we put out is to

6:40

try to tell individuals what they

6:42

can do to protect themselves

6:44

from being infected. So everyone

6:47

is susceptible because nobody has built

6:49

up the immunities to prevent

6:52

them from getting this virus. Having said

6:54

that, um it doesn't

6:56

seem as dangerous for young children

6:59

as far as everything I've read,

7:01

um and it's much more dangerous

7:04

for either older people or those

7:06

who have compromised immune

7:08

systems. Is that accurate? Yes,

7:11

that's right. What we know from initial

7:14

data is yes, indeed, young children

7:16

seem to not be infected as much

7:19

UM or develop severe disease.

7:21

So most of the children that we are learning

7:23

about that are infected UM have

7:25

a mild disease. We do know

7:27

that people of older ages over

7:30

sixty seventy eight years old UH,

7:32

and people who have underlying conditions

7:35

like cardiovascular disease, diabetes,

7:38

chronic respiratory diseases have

7:40

a higher risk of severe

7:42

disease and death. You

7:44

mentioned how it can be transferred

7:47

from human to human. A lot

7:49

of people are also concerned, Marie about

7:51

how long it stays on surfaces. UM,

7:54

what are you learning about that? So

7:58

we are learning that this virus can

8:00

stay on surfaces. So one of the ways that it gets

8:03

on surfaces is if you cough or if you sneeze,

8:05

These droplets come out of your mouth and they move

8:08

some distance from you and then they settle down

8:10

on surfaces UM, you know, like a

8:12

tabletop, UM or a door knob

8:14

for example. But they can be killed

8:17

by disinfectants. So it's very

8:19

important that surfaces are clean regularly

8:21

with the chlorine bleach for example, UM,

8:24

and then you can remove the virus from those surfaces.

8:27

And what are you learning about the lifespan? Because

8:29

I've heard everything from a few hours

8:31

to several weeks in

8:33

general, it's a few hours. I mean, well,

8:36

it could be a few hours. I should qualify

8:38

what that means. It doesn't mean one or two hours. It

8:40

could be up to a day or two. That's

8:42

still hours. But that sounds like a really long

8:44

time, doesn't it. I think,

8:46

Katie, what's important is for people to

8:49

know that they have some control over

8:51

this. You know that they can um

8:54

protect themselves, they can protect

8:56

their families in a simple way. Is

8:58

is regularly disinfecting your word space.

9:00

You know, if you look at your keyboard and you look at your

9:02

phone surface, making sure that that's clean, making

9:05

sure your handlebars are are cleaned

9:07

a few times per day, making

9:09

sure you wash your hands. I mean,

9:11

I know what people must be so tired of us

9:13

saying this, but washing your hands with soap and

9:15

water is a lifesaver, not

9:18

just for COVID nineteen but for many things.

9:21

And if you can't wash your hands, making sure you use

9:23

an alcohol rub well. You know you mentioned

9:25

and I noticed that things that are

9:27

are cleansers are Purel. Sorry

9:30

to use a brand name, but they're

9:32

antibacterial. And if this is

9:34

a virus, how does Purel protect

9:36

you from from it? If it's in fact antibacterial.

9:41

Well there are with the alcohol that's

9:43

in these alcohol rubs, Um,

9:45

you are removing that virus from

9:48

from your hands. I mean, the best thing for you to do

9:50

is wash your hands with soap and water and make

9:52

sure you follow the steps

9:54

and you get all of the surfaces of your hands and

9:56

you can remove those viruses from your hands.

9:59

But the alcohol rubbed alcohol

10:01

has to be six or

10:03

above alcohol and that will remove

10:06

that virus from the from your hands.

10:08

You were very kind to talk to me after

10:10

I realized I had a sixty

10:13

to ninety second conversation with someone

10:15

who was later diagnosed with coronavirus

10:18

and was probably about

10:21

three feet away, didn't touch and

10:23

basically just had a casual

10:25

conversation. Can you please

10:28

direct some of what

10:30

you would say to people who are

10:33

panicked that I actually,

10:35

you know, was talking to somebody

10:38

who was later diagnosed with coronavirus

10:40

who at the time was it was asymptomatic.

10:45

Yeah. So, so, first of all, it's it's

10:47

important to acknowledge that people are scared.

10:50

You know, there's a lot of information that's

10:52

out there, UM, some of it is

10:54

accurate, much of it is

10:56

inaccurate, UM, And people are

10:59

scared. It's a new dis ease, it's a new virus

11:01

UM, it's spreading around

11:03

the world, and people people can be quite

11:06

fearful of that. What's important for us

11:08

to understand is, you know, why are people scared?

11:10

What is it that makes them scared? To try to address

11:12

some of those UM. The

11:14

thing that you you've mentioned is you

11:17

you've indicated the type of exposure

11:19

that you may have had or you did have with

11:21

this individual. Knowing what the

11:23

risk is UM is

11:26

really important. So you've indicated

11:28

you know, the person was asymptomatic,

11:30

you were more than three feet away. It was a very

11:33

it was a very short encounter. You

11:35

know. Putting all that into context, what's

11:38

important for everyone to do is to assess

11:40

their own risks. You know, look at

11:42

what their exposure was, UM,

11:45

what their potential exposure was, because most of the

11:47

times it's even potential exposure is not actually

11:49

real exposure to the virus. And

11:51

then there's certain things you need to take into consideration.

11:54

What is your age, what are your underlying conditions?

11:57

UM? And then what do I do? So

12:00

if you are concerned, what should I do?

12:03

UM? And I think it's important that people know

12:05

that they can contact their local

12:07

health authorities UM

12:09

Departments of Health. UM. You know within

12:12

the US you have the U s C, d C. There

12:14

are hotlines that you can call. You can call

12:16

your own GP and ask the

12:18

questions that here's here's my concern,

12:20

here's my potential risk. What should I do?

12:23

We need people to know what they can do.

12:26

And what is different about this virus compared

12:28

to flu is that containment is not possible

12:31

with influenza, but containment

12:33

is possible with this coronavirus.

12:36

And the reason we can say that is because we've

12:38

seen such incredible efforts

12:40

by a number of countries, including

12:42

China UM that have really showed

12:45

us that transmission can be reduced,

12:48

case numbers can go down, and in

12:50

many parts of China they have their

12:52

zero reporting cases. So what are

12:55

they doing right? They have their entire

12:57

population mobilized

12:59

to against this. Every single

13:01

person in the population knows what they can do

13:04

in terms of these three things I mentioned, handwashing,

13:06

respiratory etiquette, social distancing.

13:09

UM. They're Chinese authorities

13:11

and other countries. Is not just China that has shown

13:13

us. Singapore is another good example. UM.

13:16

They've shown that if you identify all of your cases

13:18

and all of your contacts UM,

13:20

and that they're isolated so that that you remove

13:23

them from transmitting to other people, UM

13:26

care for them, making sure they get appropriate

13:28

clinical care, making sure

13:30

that they're communicated with and so that they

13:32

know what their risk is, and and and

13:34

by keeping them either in quarantine or isolation,

13:37

that they're they're performing a public health good.

13:39

There's been a lot of suspension of public

13:42

gatherings UM, and there's

13:44

been some movement restrictions in several temporary

13:46

movement restrictions in many cities across

13:48

China, and so all of those

13:50

that combination of of UM

13:54

efforts has has driven down

13:56

transmission UM. In some

13:58

situations has been quite dream and we've

14:00

seen that in Wuhan where we've seen a total

14:02

lockdown of some cities, and you're

14:05

hearing about some of this happening in Italy as

14:07

well. But that restriction of movements

14:09

of individuals prevents the spread UM

14:12

of the viruses. So what we're

14:14

doing for all countries, Katie, is we're talking

14:16

to all of governments UM

14:19

and saying the more aggressive action

14:21

you have early on, the better

14:23

chances you have to stop the outbreaks

14:26

of starting UM. And we have

14:28

evidence that this works in several countries and we

14:30

want to see that happen in the rest of the world.

14:33

So you mentioned UH self

14:35

quarantine or quarantining populations.

14:39

When should self quarantine or

14:41

any kind of quarantine be put into

14:43

effect? Who makes recommendations

14:46

on this? But it's up to national governments

14:48

to implements, and different governments

14:50

have implemented different measures in this

14:53

respect, so it's important to follow the national

14:55

guidance of what each country recommends.

14:58

UM. What you did in a perfect

15:00

example of this is that you had an exposure

15:03

and you went home and you self isolated

15:05

or you self quarantine. You went home and

15:07

that was a good measure before you and then you made

15:10

those phone calls to say, okay, what is my

15:12

risk UM? What we recommend

15:14

It depends on the type of exposure you have. If you're

15:16

a contact of a known case

15:19

UM, then we recommend a

15:21

quarantining of that individual so that there's

15:23

no chance of them passing it on to another

15:25

individual. They're monitored for fourteen

15:28

days, which is the incubation period, which is

15:30

the time from UM infection

15:33

to the development of symptoms UM,

15:35

so that for over those fourteen days, people

15:37

are monitored and they're checked for symptoms

15:39

to make sure if they have any fever or if

15:41

they have any respiratory symptoms, and

15:44

then tested. If we do that,

15:46

if we actually find all of the cases, find

15:48

all of the context, and we we can

15:51

by doing that, we can actually stop transmission

15:53

from from happening. We can stop human to human

15:55

transmission from happening. So, not to make

15:57

it all about me, but I did have contact

16:00

with a known case, was it Maria

16:02

because it was before the

16:04

diagnosis was confirmed,

16:07

or because I had very limited exposure

16:10

that I would not have to be quarantined

16:13

because everyone said that wasn't necessary.

16:17

So it's it's both. I mean, it's like,

16:19

like you explain, it's the nature of the

16:21

exposure that you would have with someone, and if

16:23

they had symptoms themselves, um,

16:25

what type of contact you had with them, if

16:27

you had physical contact with them.

16:30

Um. You know, one of the things we most worry about our

16:32

health care workers. You know, health care workers

16:34

who are our frontline workers. They have a different

16:36

type of contact with patients right there, touching

16:39

them, They're very close to them, they're

16:41

spending a longer period of time with them,

16:43

etcetera. That's

16:45

right, that's right, And so it's important that you assess

16:48

the risk based on that level of

16:50

exposure that you had. I

16:52

know that a person can be infected,

16:55

but asymptomatic can the can

16:57

the virus spread when someone is

17:00

asymptomatic before a diagnosis

17:02

has taken place? And how difficult

17:04

has that been that the incubation period

17:06

is so long. So

17:09

this is a very good question, and this is a very

17:11

important one. UM. We

17:13

are working with all of our member states

17:15

to better understand three things.

17:18

One, when cases

17:20

are reported, UM, are

17:22

any of them reported as being asymptomatic

17:25

And what I mean by asymptomatic is having no

17:28

symptoms at all UM. And

17:30

what we're finding in some countries a

17:32

small number of individuals are being reported

17:34

as asymptomatic UM.

17:36

Most of those people are contexts of

17:38

known cases UM, and so

17:41

the good the good news there is

17:43

that they've they've already been identified. Many

17:46

of them have either self isolated at home

17:48

or are in quarantine, and so they're already

17:51

UM restricting their their their

17:53

contact with other people. Many

17:55

of those asymptomatic people do go on

17:57

to develop symptoms. So having

18:00

one that's truly asymptomatic UM.

18:03

Among the reported cases that we know about

18:05

is rare. UM. What we

18:07

know from virus shedding

18:09

studies, and these are studies of looking

18:11

at people where you test them regularly,

18:14

you take a sample from their nasal

18:16

swab or their throats. UM.

18:19

We're looking at those individuals

18:21

before they develop symptoms, if there's any

18:23

virus there, and then after they develop

18:25

symptoms. And what we know is

18:27

from some people, UM, they can

18:30

shed virus, which means they can they

18:33

are shedding virus before they develop symptoms.

18:35

UM. So there is a theoretical risk. There's

18:37

a possibility that someone who is asymptomatic

18:40

and transmit, but right now we don't

18:42

believe that that's a major driver of transmission

18:45

because we do not have many documented

18:47

instances where someone who is

18:50

asymptomatic transmitted to other people. Do

18:52

you think that this will diminish as the

18:55

weather gets warmer, Um,

18:58

that's a good question. I get that question quite

19:00

a lot. UM. The true answer is we don't

19:02

know. UM. We have no reason

19:04

to believe that this virus will act differently

19:07

UM in different climates. You know, we're seeing

19:09

cases being popping up in different types

19:12

of climates. UM. We have a couple

19:14

of cases in Africa. We've seen cases in Singapore.

19:17

We've seen some cases in Brazil, UM,

19:19

and so we want everyone to be ready and to

19:21

be aggressive and to assume that it will behave

19:23

the same way. The difference with

19:25

with with not the virus, but there

19:27

are differences in the way people behave When

19:30

the weather is nicer, they spend more time

19:32

outdoors as opposed to being indoors.

19:34

So we will have to see how this virus behaves

19:37

once the northern hemisphere winter

19:39

ends. But remember the southern hemisphere

19:41

winter will begin. So UM,

19:43

we want to make sure everyone is acting as aggressively

19:46

as possible to contain this virus

19:48

and to stop transmission. And I know

19:50

you have to go, you have such important work to do,

19:52

Maria. But could this surpass the flu

19:55

in terms of the mortality rate Because everyone

19:57

keeps comparing the number of deaths

19:59

due to of flu versus this UM

20:02

is it just still early early stages.

20:06

So mortality of of COVID nineteen

20:09

is higher than flu UM.

20:11

From all of the information that we have from across

20:13

the country's um more people,

20:16

the mortality rate is higher than

20:18

flu UM. What is really important

20:20

that from all the cases that we know UM

20:24

to date, eighty percent of them

20:26

have experienced what is more of a mild

20:28

moderate disease which is not require hospitalization,

20:31

but about individuals will

20:33

develop severe disease or critical disease

20:36

which will require some respiratory support

20:39

UM and hospitalization, perhaps ventilation,

20:42

UM, and then a small proportion will have

20:44

died so far, UM.

20:47

What we need people to understand is that

20:49

this is a serious disease. UM,

20:51

that it can cause severe disease

20:53

and it can kill UM. And

20:56

so we hear a lot I hear a lot of Oh, it's

20:58

maybe just the flu, or it's just the add flu.

21:00

It's not that we need everybody to understand

21:02

that maybe even their own individual risk.

21:05

Maybe you are young, maybe you are healthier,

21:07

in your family is healthy, and that's wonderful. But

21:09

if you prevent prevent yourself from getting

21:11

infected, you also prevent yourself

21:14

from transmitting into somebody else who may

21:16

be part of a vulnerable population, somebody

21:18

who may be older, somebody who may have

21:20

an underlying condition. And so that's really

21:23

important. Again, we all have a role to play

21:25

here. If we can minimize our own

21:27

risk of infection, then we can minimize

21:29

that spread to vulnerable populations,

21:32

and those individuals have a higher chance

21:34

of death. How do you make

21:36

people cautious but not so

21:39

paralyzed with fear? And

21:41

I know you want people to take it seriously,

21:43

but you don't want mass panic

21:46

and hysteria either. Absolutely

21:49

not, we don't. We just want people to be

21:51

ready. UM. We want people to be

21:53

safe. We want people to be smart.

21:56

We want people to inform themselves with

21:58

the latest information. This situation

22:01

is moving very rapidly. It's evolving

22:03

quickly. Every day we're learning something new.

22:05

Keep up with us, be patient with us,

22:08

um as we learn information and we share

22:10

that with you. And and be kind

22:12

to one another, help each other out. Um.

22:15

You know, there's a lot of stigma, and there's a lot

22:17

of negative things that are happening.

22:20

But on the other side, we can see the

22:22

best in people. You can help them out. UM.

22:25

If you have neighbors that can't get out themselves,

22:27

help them with the groceries, you know, offer

22:29

offer some social support. Um.

22:32

Just be kind to one another. Um. Those

22:34

are the things we need people to do. Be ready, be

22:37

safe, be smart, and be kind. Well

22:39

those are words to live by. Corona

22:42

or no corona, right, Dr Maria.

22:45

Really, I've loved being able

22:47

to talk to you. Thank you so much. That

22:51

was Dr Maria van Kirkov, infectious

22:54

disease epidemiologist with the

22:56

World Health Organization coming

22:59

up. One Chinese American man tells

23:01

us what it was like to be smack

23:04

in the middle of the epidemic. You

23:14

Len Yin lives in Minnesota with his wife

23:16

Anne, and their two daughters. In

23:19

January of this year, he was scheduled

23:21

to travel to Wuhan province in China,

23:24

where he was born, for New Year's celebrations

23:26

with his family and friends. But as

23:29

he was getting ready, rumors began to

23:31

emerge that there was a mysterious

23:33

illness in the region. You Lynn

23:35

and his family tried to find out more

23:38

and I looked

23:40

online. That's really not a lot

23:42

of information and my

23:46

family in Wohan did not mentioned

23:49

at all about that. But I

23:51

was the nervous, so actually went

23:53

to check with uh

23:56

knem Nick. I usually go to

23:58

you just asked them you've there

24:00

any bacination for

24:02

me? And then my wife actually check

24:04

to your just acts that

24:06

there's something called travel klinic, if

24:09

there's anything that I should be worried

24:11

or is there anything we can do to

24:14

be safe, And at that

24:16

time, there's really nothing so I said,

24:18

okay, I just need to be careful. So

24:20

you land, said goodbye to his family in Minneapolis,

24:23

and boarded a plane for Wuhan. He

24:25

landed on January.

24:28

I remember I was at

24:30

the luggage pickup. I've

24:34

felt nervous definitely

24:36

at that time because everybody around

24:38

me were wearing masks at that

24:41

time, and actually I

24:44

it was the first time I saw in twenty

24:46

and nine masks. I kind

24:48

of feel, oh, that's a strange mask. I remember

24:51

I saw it in myself. So

24:53

you has the needle evolved

24:56

involve seeing in

24:58

the front, so actually like

25:01

a breath, like a breathing thing. That's

25:03

right, that's my first time I saw it. I said,

25:06

well, that's really serious, serious

25:08

equipment for people to wear. Maybe

25:11

the pneumonia is more serious

25:13

than I thought. By January,

25:16

the Chinese government started to limit travel

25:18

around Wuhan. No one was allowed

25:21

to leave, and public transit was

25:23

also shut down. For

25:25

the first few days. I actually went out

25:27

with my family to go to different restaurants

25:31

and so that that that was the third

25:33

day. I remember I because

25:36

I say, having jet legs.

25:38

I woke up at two o'clock in the morning

25:41

and I got a message from a

25:43

friend in the United States. Actually

25:46

he he sent me attack saying, oh

25:48

I heard wah is lockdown? Is

25:51

that true? So

25:53

I said what? I was thinking, what

25:55

what? What do you mean lockdown? And

25:58

then I looking have

26:00

your search on the social media

26:03

to verify the news, and then

26:05

I found out there is a notice somewhere

26:08

business said or the traffic coming

26:11

out of Wahan locked down

26:14

did not say anything coming

26:16

in, so you can stay, are coming in, but

26:19

you cannot leave. Actually, I remember

26:22

it was not very clear at that time.

26:24

I was thinking, wow, so that there's

26:27

no trend going out, that there's no um,

26:30

there's no flights. Can I still

26:32

go by car? Actually? I was

26:34

thinking, should I wake up my

26:37

brother, you know, ask him to drive

26:39

me to Shanahai somewhere so I can go home.

26:41

Just nearly confused. At that time,

26:44

it was not very clear, so it

26:46

didn't seem like the government was communicating

26:49

what was going on very well, and you were getting

26:51

most of your information from social

26:53

media. You didn't know if you could leave

26:56

or if people could come in. You were

26:58

kind of in limpo. It's I was like that

27:01

that is correct. Just a lot of confusion.

27:04

Were you worried at that point, how

27:07

you were gonna get the heck out of

27:09

Dodge and back to your family in Minnesota.

27:12

Yeah, I was worried, but

27:14

at that time I was hopeful.

27:16

I was thinking, whi is the city

27:19

of eleven million people. In

27:21

my mind, there's no way that

27:24

the lockdown can last more than say

27:26

one or two weeks. So

27:29

I was actually very hopeful. My

27:31

trip was three weeks. I was okay,

27:33

just to see how

27:36

how you go. It may be the

27:38

lockdown may be lifted in a couple of weeks.

27:40

That that was my sinking

27:42

at that time. Actually on January,

27:45

when you looked out the window, what did

27:47

it look like outside? Yeah,

27:49

it was just quiet, very

27:51

quiet, which is very unusual

27:53

for the place where I stay

27:56

and my mom my Mom's

27:59

Countle. It's very is close to your

28:01

street. That street actually is one

28:03

of the most congestive street

28:06

in when usually people tried

28:08

to avoid it, so it's always always

28:10

a lot of traffic. But yeah,

28:13

that day, or even cover this before,

28:15

it's just not many cars is empty.

28:18

It's very strange. I

28:21

was almost felt like it's a sci

28:23

fi film, you know. The Actually

28:26

I remember that there's a film title code

28:28

on the day when the earth is still still

28:30

I was thinking about that. By

28:33

January, just five days

28:35

after you land landed in Wuhan, the

28:37

US government mandated evacuations

28:40

of US personnel and citizens

28:42

from the region. At that time, I

28:44

was surprised. Actually when the

28:46

first evacuation happened,

28:50

Actually that's the time I started to

28:52

get really really over it. I

28:54

said, I was thinking, what what I

28:57

did not know? Because the beginning

28:59

as a gonna just wait out for the

29:02

lockdown to lift, to be lifted.

29:04

When when United States evacuated

29:07

or the

29:10

or the councilor employees

29:12

and the staff and the family member,

29:15

I got really verried. One

29:17

heard the news um

29:20

it was it was said there's the only very

29:23

limited seas available

29:25

for private citizens. So I

29:28

tried to contact them, but at that time

29:31

was already full the flight

29:33

so had to wait, and there

29:36

was not really worth about a

29:39

new evacuation plan at all. So

29:41

I asked my wife to start

29:44

contacting people here

29:46

in the United States. So my wife

29:49

contacted UM, the state

29:52

the congressional representatives

29:54

from Minnesota, and they were

29:56

very helpful. They talked to your

29:58

state department and they found out and

30:01

there are there

30:04

were a new evacuation

30:08

flights planned, but there's

30:10

not nothing in the news. But that's

30:12

how I heard about it. Then I got

30:15

ragious on the State Department

30:18

website and there's

30:20

there's there's some confusion confusion

30:22

there to you. So I registered in their website.

30:25

I send an email to one

30:27

email address, and then the representatives

30:29

they helped to talk communicated

30:32

with the State Department too. So

30:35

that's how I got on the list to be evacuated.

30:39

See sometimes the government works,

30:41

right, I mean, thank goodness.

30:43

And did you feel guilty leaving

30:46

your family in China? I understand

30:48

your parents lived, their cousins lived there.

30:51

Did you feel bad, uh, saying

30:53

goodbye to them? That you have felt

30:55

really bad? When how did you leave?

30:58

Um? Yeah,

31:01

I it was pretty tough, especially

31:03

my parents are older and

31:07

um but there's a really

31:10

not much I could do there to even

31:12

help them do worry about

31:14

my job in the United States to myself

31:17

because it might have a family here to

31:18

rely on me. So

31:21

but it was very difficulty decision. Actually,

31:25

I'm sure you were torn. Are your

31:27

parents doing okay? They

31:30

are doing fine in terms

31:32

of coronavirus, they're

31:34

okay. But my dad is older,

31:37

so she actually she he felt

31:39

twice already since

31:41

I left, and

31:45

he just couldn't get the

31:48

care he needed for now.

31:50

So I'm very nervous about that.

31:53

Still. Oh

31:55

he couldn't get Is that because all the doctors

31:57

and the medical personnel were focused

32:00

STU people who were getting the

32:02

coronavirus so other

32:04

things. Uh, we're not

32:06

being prioritized that that is

32:08

correct, and also frankly,

32:10

we don't want to go to hospital

32:13

at this time too. Right. I'm

32:15

sure that was a concern, particularly

32:18

for older people. And if he has any

32:20

underlying health issues, well,

32:22

good luck with him. I hope he's doing Okay.

32:25

Let me ask about you. Uh, on

32:28

the final leg of your journey,

32:30

you're flying home on this massive, unmarked

32:33

cargo plane. Were

32:35

people on the plane sick? Were you nervous

32:37

about being in such close proximity

32:40

to people who were heading out of

32:42

the country that they might be contagious?

32:45

Yes, we're very nervous, and

32:48

that that's the time. Actually, I

32:50

will mask the whole time, and

32:53

the people are really not talking to

32:55

each other. There's not much socializing at all.

32:58

Pretty much everybody have to themselves.

33:03

On February five, you land landed

33:05

in San Diego with the rest of the evacuees

33:08

contention upon getting the flight out of China

33:10

was a fourteen day quarantine on

33:12

a US military base where

33:15

you land tried to settle into a new

33:17

strange reality. This

33:19

was the the largest

33:22

un quarantined since fifties.

33:25

So I don't think anybody

33:28

was actually prepared. So

33:31

um, even I

33:33

remember at the beginning the

33:36

food was not enough, right,

33:39

like really, yeah, we didn't have enough

33:41

food to eat. That was the biggest complaint.

33:44

And how we do

33:46

laundry, that was a big question.

33:50

We felt like a kind of like a refugees

33:53

in a way because nobody really

33:55

packed a lot of stuff. So

33:58

first of all, god, there's oh, how do we

34:01

do laundry? So they were not prepared

34:04

for that. It's

34:06

so little things like that and Ilso

34:10

the protocol who

34:12

should be who should be tested?

34:15

How you know how

34:17

much restriction everybody should be

34:19

getting wasn't wasn't.

34:23

What was clear was everyone

34:25

tested. No, only

34:28

people with a fever got

34:32

tested. I believe the whole

34:34

time we have uh

34:38

nine people got tested I think, and

34:42

you never exhibited any symptoms. You

34:45

never got sick. I had

34:47

need to be a cough. Um,

34:50

So I actually went to the medical tent two.

34:54

I told him I have need to be a cough. They

34:56

checked me and then they say they

34:58

told me nothing to wor Bob. But

35:02

they did come back to me asked

35:04

me to stay home when we had

35:07

one confirmed the case. So

35:09

they asked me to stay inside the room.

35:11

Oh, one confirmed case at

35:14

the military base before

35:16

that. So how were you able to interact

35:19

with the other people there? Did they bring

35:21

food to your room? Can you just give

35:23

us a little feel for your

35:25

day to day activities while you were at the base.

35:29

We can move quite freely on

35:31

the CDC. They suggested not

35:33

to wear masks. They were saying,

35:35

anybody who wants to wear a mask, they can,

35:37

but they do not recommend that. And

35:41

we we we were told just keep a social

35:43

distance, which is six ft away from

35:45

each other. So

35:48

the food were delivered in

35:50

a like in a hole in

35:52

a big lounge area. We

35:55

we would pick up the food and at

35:58

beginning I would pick up the food and go back

36:00

to my room to eat it. And

36:02

later I found out a few people that are

36:04

you're hanging out around the area,

36:07

so I would actually eat with them.

36:09

Just again keep social descent. That's

36:11

when we can chat Nibia with each

36:13

other. We talk um.

36:17

So every day we have a daily meeting at

36:19

the two o'clock just to

36:22

keep us updated and everything, the

36:24

current virus itself and also

36:27

if anybody got sick in

36:30

in our in

36:32

the current in site, and

36:35

we do two

36:37

times morning and

36:39

evening. We have to check our temperature. So

36:43

that's that's mandatory. And

36:46

I was said that we really you

36:49

know, we can do pretty much anything

36:51

we want, and we can. We can

36:53

go outside of the room and start

36:55

jogging in the yard. Um,

36:58

you know, there's a great science. So

37:00

I have a lot more movement than when

37:03

I was in China. What was it like getting

37:05

home to your wife and two kids. You must

37:07

have been so happy. I

37:11

was really Yes, I was really happy,

37:13

and it was very grateful. There

37:15

are so many scenes I took

37:18

for granted in life that very a lot

37:20

of small things like driving my daughter to your

37:22

school, even shoveling snow,

37:25

all those things just you know, it

37:28

seems so far away when I was quarantined.

37:31

So actually what I feel like, I finally

37:33

can do normal things again.

37:35

That was so great, And I

37:38

was really grateful for my wife. She

37:41

worked really hard to get me on

37:43

the flight, and she worked very hard

37:45

to just to you know, make

37:47

sure my daughter feels nothing

37:50

strange, you know, for

37:53

the last the whole months.

37:56

So really grateful for that. And just

37:59

you know another thing too, I can find it huck

38:01

someone that's not a

38:03

strange. There's no human touch

38:07

during the whole ordeal. So

38:10

when I come home and actually can't hug my

38:12

wife, kiss my daughter, that was fel great.

38:14

Are you back at work? Has life returned

38:17

to normal now? Well,

38:19

I'm back to work. I

38:22

wouldn't say back to normal

38:26

because I really did not expect.

38:30

And it became so serious

38:33

here now because I when I

38:35

one him once, I really

38:37

said, when I was in quarantine, after

38:40

quarantine, everything what

38:43

be normal? There's no

38:45

you know, nobody even talk about coronavirus

38:47

anymore. I you really

38:49

did not expect. Many

38:52

weeks after that we are

38:54

talking about, you know,

38:56

lockdown in Italy or

38:58

those very serious scene

39:01

Right now, there does seem to

39:03

be um a lot of panic,

39:05

I think all across the country. And

39:08

um, how is it different from

39:11

what you can tell the reaction here

39:13

in this country versus the reaction in

39:15

China. I think

39:17

once in common is there's

39:20

a mistrust

39:23

in government. I

39:25

think that's truly, that's

39:27

the same Chinese uh and

39:30

American here. I don't be id think they

39:32

believe um the even

39:34

the official news they see. I

39:37

think that's very the

39:39

same. The difference is

39:42

um Chinese people,

39:44

I really believe they

39:47

they will follow whatever the

39:49

government tells them to do.

39:52

The even the magic is very drastic,

39:54

like say do not go outside, you have to wear

39:56

a mask all the time. Even

39:59

they don't believe that, but they

40:01

followed that and they are hopeful that

40:04

what turned out the resulting out

40:07

to be good. In the United

40:09

States, I believe from what I

40:11

see on the Twitter or talking difference,

40:14

people already have a picture that how

40:17

coronavirus should be dealt with, how

40:19

how what was the responsible should

40:22

be like. So if the garment or

40:24

the media's does not respond

40:28

the way they wanted, they're just

40:30

not ready to accept that. Other

40:32

than realizing you shouldn't take for granted

40:34

certain things like a shower, hugging

40:36

your wife, or taking your daughter to school.

40:39

What have you learned from this whole experience?

40:42

What I learned is that the information,

40:44

trusting information is so important.

40:46

There are so much misinformation

40:50

flying flying around on Twitter

40:52

and even in the news. You

40:55

have to we have to be very, very careful

40:58

to check the source. And I thing

41:00

I learned is listened to the experts. I'm

41:03

not experting embarrassed, so I try to

41:05

find experts I can

41:08

trust, so I try

41:10

to listen to them.

41:12

Ellen, thank you so much for talking

41:14

with us about your experience. We

41:17

really really appreciate it. And stay

41:19

safe, stay healthy, and

41:22

and many many thanks. Thank

41:25

you for me. Thank you so much. When

41:33

we come back trying to find answers

41:35

to some of your burning questions about

41:38

the COVID nineteen outbreak. I

41:56

understand a lot of you out there are worried

41:58

about COVID Night Team, and I understand

42:01

why. It's a lot of information

42:03

to take in. We want to answer

42:05

some of the questions you sent to me via

42:07

social media. So the good news

42:10

is the doctor is in. Dr

42:14

Shaffner. Hey, it's

42:16

Katie Kuric. Thank you. Dr Schaffner.

42:19

Dr Bill Shaffner is the medical

42:21

director of the National Foundation for

42:23

Infectious Diseases and a professor

42:26

at Vanderbilt. Okay, let

42:28

me go ahead and go through these questions, Dr

42:30

Shaffner, because you've been so nice. K

42:33

Jersey Kids asked, when do you predict

42:35

or when do the authorities

42:37

predict the virus will peak in the US.

42:42

Wait a minute, you didn't tell me I had to have my crystal

42:44

ball here. Uh. We

42:46

hope, we hope

42:49

that since it's a respiratory virus,

42:52

and respiratory viruses like influenza,

42:55

as we all know, they abate come

42:58

March and April into a maybe

43:01

this coronavirus will have read

43:03

the textbook and does the same

43:06

thing. But we don't

43:08

think that will mean even if it does

43:10

that, that it will go away completely.

43:13

One of the things that could do is go

43:15

south of the equator because

43:17

as we start having summer, they

43:20

start having winter, and so

43:22

could it be that in Australia, New Zealand,

43:25

Southern Africa, and in South America

43:28

they're due for this coronavirus

43:31

and then could its cycle

43:33

back our next winter. Maybe

43:37

all the more reason to keep research

43:40

going on that vaccine, because if

43:42

it does persist or come back,

43:44

we'll need that vaccine down the road. We're

43:47

hearing, by the way, speaking of that, that the vaccine

43:49

is going to take a year, year two, a year

43:51

and a half to be developed. Is that what

43:53

you're hearing as well? Yep, yep,

43:56

yep, And let's all take

43:58

a deep breath about that. You you

44:00

want people to hurry up, but not rush.

44:04

Nobody wants to start delivering

44:07

an unsafe or an

44:09

ineffective vaccine to our

44:11

population. We want to be sure

44:14

we're doing it right. Let's give

44:16

them a little time. Science can't

44:18

be rushed. Jen Scoville asked,

44:20

should we be pausing personal travel?

44:25

Well, Jen, I would ask,

44:27

if I may ask a personal question,

44:29

are you older than sixty? Do you have

44:31

one of those underlying illnesses?

44:34

Because if you do, I would ask you to

44:36

think twice about how essential that

44:38

trip is right now, and

44:41

if it's not all that essential, postpone

44:43

it. And as Dr Tony Facci

44:46

has said from the n I h don't

44:48

even think about going on a cruise.

44:51

I know, really, squid six, these

44:53

are funny handles. Am I crazy

44:55

to want to continue going to work out classes?

45:00

I don't think you are. I

45:03

think at any age you can go to

45:05

a workout class that's not really

45:07

a close, intense environment

45:10

where you get face to face with people,

45:12

take some wipes along perhaps your

45:15

gym probably has them, and

45:17

wipe off the seats and your bar bells

45:20

and things like that before you use

45:22

them. And after you use them, because

45:24

that will make them more friendly to others. Uh,

45:27

gentle, good exercise, good

45:30

for the body. Alison wants

45:32

to know how could a person tell the difference between

45:34

corona symptoms and cold

45:37

symptoms. That's

45:40

pretty easy. I thought you was going to ask me

45:42

the harder question, how you how can you

45:45

distinguish it from flu? We'll

45:47

do that as a follow up. Yea

45:51

so cold, think of from the neck

45:53

up, sore throat, stuffy

45:55

knows, feeling kind of punk. Maybe

45:57

your eyes get a little bit red, maybe

46:00

a little bit of fever. Not so bad. Coronavirus

46:04

and flu, who are they're

46:06

indistinguishable, will get down

46:09

into your chest pretty quickly, cause

46:11

irritation of your bronchial tubes and

46:13

a cough, a kind of a dry

46:16

cough. And then both

46:18

of those viruses can make you

46:20

more sick by having you

46:22

feel really punk, losing your appetite.

46:25

Some people get abdominal pain and diarrhea.

46:28

And then, of course, as we move along

46:30

the more serious part of the spectrum

46:32

of illness, if that virus

46:35

gets out into your lungs, the coronavirus,

46:38

it can cause pneumonia, and if

46:40

that's bad enough, you'll have difficulty breathing.

46:43

By that time, you will have called your

46:45

healthcare provider or shown up in the emergency

46:48

room. When someone has a mild

46:50

case and doesn't need hospitalization.

46:53

What kind of medicines are most

46:56

effective for dealing with this? Is

46:58

it sort of common sense? Like syrup

47:00

and plenty of fluids,

47:03

chicken soup, that kind of thing, Adville

47:06

thailand All. I mean, what are you recommending

47:08

when people actually do test positively

47:10

for this? That's

47:13

perfect, You've just written the prescription. I

47:15

could be a doctor, why

47:19

not? So stay away from

47:21

folks, and if your home, keep

47:24

up your fluids. Chicken soup

47:26

is wonderful. Uh. Coffee

47:29

and alcoholic beverages don't count

47:32

because they tend to be diuretics.

47:34

They tend to draw you out, actually right, they they're

47:36

very dehydrating. Yes,

47:39

so they don't count. Uh. Plain

47:41

water works just fine and

47:44

sure for relief of

47:46

symptoms. Uh, an

47:48

aspirin or anything

47:51

like that, A thailand All will certainly

47:53

help. Should pregnant women

47:55

worry, that's one question we got

48:00

at the moment. I haven't

48:02

seen any data to suggest

48:05

that coronavirus infection in a

48:07

woman can affect her baby, but it

48:09

has not been well studied,

48:12

and I'm sure there are physicians

48:14

in China who have had experience with this who

48:16

are going to tell us of their experience.

48:19

So I'm going to put that one off on the side.

48:21

But in terms of worry, I

48:24

think you're like a normal person,

48:26

except you're a bit immuno suppressed.

48:29

Uh. That's a natural condition

48:31

in pregnancy, and so take

48:33

special care to avoid people

48:36

who are coughing and sneezing. Wash those hands.

48:38

And it's not a good time to travel

48:42

when if you do believe you have

48:44

coronavirus, either you've been diagnosed

48:46

or you just feel like you have a Hopefully

48:48

you you'll call your doctor if you feel like you

48:51

you have it. Um At what point

48:53

is it safe to go out in the world again. It's

48:57

safe to go out in the world again

49:00

when you're feeling better and your fever

49:02

is all gone. And

49:05

that's the general recommendation we make

49:07

for influenza, and it would apply to

49:09

the coronavirus also. Well,

49:12

I know you have other patients you need

49:14

to talk to. Dr Bill Shaffner. Thank

49:16

you so much for spending some time answering

49:18

these questions. What a pleasure,

49:21

Katie. Good to be with you and call

49:24

any time with more of those

49:27

very interesting questions, and I'll take another

49:29

one of your pop quizes. Okay, Dr

49:31

Shaffner, thank you so much. Sure,

49:34

bye, bye bye. That

49:36

was Dr Bill Shaffner of the National

49:38

Foundation for Infectious Diseases.

49:42

And before we go, I want to return

49:44

to Dr Maria van Kirkov for

49:47

some tips and words of advice. Pay

49:50

attention to what CDC is saying and

49:52

what government websites are saying. You

49:55

can always come to W H O, DOT, I N

49:57

T and see you know the information that we

49:59

have. But the basics, these fundamentals

50:02

of hand washing, of respiratory

50:05

etiquette. What we mean by that is making sure

50:07

you sneeze into your elbow or sneeze

50:09

into a tissue, UM, and put

50:11

it in a closed bin, and then wash your hands.

50:14

Practice social distancing, keep three feet

50:16

away from people, especially people who are are are

50:18

sick. Um. These things

50:20

are very simple to do and everyone

50:22

can do them, from your grandmother to your children,

50:25

UM. And these are things that we want everybody to

50:27

know and practice inner

50:30

daily life.

50:34

That's it for this episode of Next Question.

50:36

We really hope it's given you some important

50:39

information and put you at ease at

50:41

least a little bit as the story

50:43

of the outbreak continue to evolve.

50:46

You can find the most updated information

50:48

and recommendations at CDC

50:51

dot gov and the World Health Organization

50:54

at w h OH dot I

50:56

n T will also be updating

50:58

my newsletter Wake Up Call with the latest

51:01

articles and information, and by the

51:03

way, you can subscribe to that at

51:05

Katie Currek dot com. Stay

51:07

healthy out there, Everyone, wash your

51:09

hands for twenty seconds or just

51:12

sing Happy Birthday twice. Until

51:14

next time and my Next Question, I'm

51:16

Katie Couric. Thanks so much for listening.

51:22

Next Question with Katie Couric is a production

51:24

of I Heart Radio and Katie Currik Media.

51:26

The executive producers are Katie Currik, Courtney

51:29

Litz, and Tyler Klang. The supervising

51:31

producer is Lauren Hansen. Our

51:33

show producer is Bethan Macaluso.

51:36

The associate producers are Emily Pinto and

51:38

Derek Clements. Editing by

51:40

Derrek Clements, Dylan Fagan and Lowell

51:43

Berlante, Mixing by Dylan

51:45

Fagan. Our researcher is Gabriel

51:48

Loser. For more information

51:50

on today's episode, go to Katie Currek

51:52

dot com and follow us on Twitter and Instagram

51:54

at Katie Kurik. For

52:00

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52:04

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