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To impeach or not to impeach?

To impeach or not to impeach?

Released Thursday, 21st November 2019
Good episode? Give it some love!
To impeach or not to impeach?

To impeach or not to impeach?

To impeach or not to impeach?

To impeach or not to impeach?

Thursday, 21st November 2019
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Next Question with Katie Curic is a production of I

0:02

Heart Radio and Katie Kuric Media. Hi

0:05

everyone, I'm Katie Curic, and welcome to Next

0:07

Question, where we try to understand the

0:09

complicated world we're living in and

0:11

the crazy things that are happening by

0:14

asking questions and by listening

0:16

to people who really know what they're talking about.

0:19

At times, it may lead to some pretty

0:21

uncomfortable conversations, but

0:23

stick with me, everyone, let's all learn

0:26

together. If

0:32

you've gotten into the habit of scrolling past

0:34

the NonStop breaking news alerts dominating

0:37

your notifications, I get it. Headline

0:40

fatigue is very real. But

0:42

so many names and titles it's almost

0:44

impossible to keep them straight, especially

0:47

when it comes to these latest impeachment

0:50

hearings. That's why we're dedicating

0:52

today's episode to all things impeachment.

0:54

We'll talk about the arguments for and against,

0:57

and why the country is almost split down

0:59

the middle. So to impeach

1:02

or not to impeach? That is

1:04

our next question today.

1:09

I'm talking with two legal experts who

1:11

represent two different sides of the debate.

1:14

First up, Neil Cartiel. Neil

1:16

was the acting Solicitor General under

1:18

President Obama and drafted

1:20

the Justice Department rules that guided the

1:22

Muller investigation. So yeah,

1:24

when it comes to investigating government officials,

1:27

Neil really knows what he's talking about.

1:30

Neil welcome. So

1:32

we've got a lot to talk about. But hot

1:34

off the presses the US Ambassador

1:37

to the EU, Gordon Silan's

1:39

testimony. You've called it every

1:41

bit the bombshell we expected it to be.

1:43

Why in your view was his testimony

1:46

so particularly important because

1:48

this was the guy that Trump pointed

1:51

to to exonerate him. There's been

1:53

a whole bunch of characters in this thing,

1:55

Ambassador Taylor and Colonel

1:57

Vinman and this and that, but there's been

1:59

one guy throughout that President Trump

2:01

has said is going to exonerate him, who even

2:04

said I hope testifies, but he

2:06

won't be able to testify because he won't

2:08

get a fair shake in the Congress

2:10

and so on. Well, he did testify

2:12

today, and before he walked in the door, he

2:14

had a twenty page written statement. And

2:17

that twenty page written statement is remarkable.

2:20

It says there's a whole section called

2:22

there was a quid pro quote, which

2:25

is of course exactly what for many

2:27

months we've been hearing as the talking point of

2:29

President Trump and his followers, so much so

2:31

that actually Senator Lindsey Graham,

2:33

who's one of the president's closest allies

2:36

in Congress, said last month, well,

2:38

if there's a quid pro quo then everything is

2:40

different, then I want to look at it. But otherwise I don't

2:42

see anything here. Well, today,

2:44

Trump's own guy, the person that Trump

2:47

nominated to be the ambassador

2:49

to the European Union and the guy who

2:51

Trump took and put in control

2:53

of Ukrainian Ukrainian matters, it

2:56

said, yes, there was a quid pro quote.

2:58

There's lots of other stuff too, but that to

3:00

me is you know, incredibly significant.

3:03

That's the high water mark of the Trump defense.

3:05

Before we talk about this testimony

3:07

some more, were you surprised, Well,

3:10

I wasn't surprised in the sense of

3:12

a couple of things have happened recently.

3:15

One is you've had Roger Stone get

3:17

convicted essentially for obstructing

3:19

justice in a congressional investigation.

3:22

So, you know, I don't think anyone could have seen that. You

3:24

know, if you're solon last weekend and

3:26

you're watching that conviction and thinking

3:28

to yourself, boy, I've already been

3:30

accused by at least one member of the House Intelligence

3:33

Committee for committing perjury. Um,

3:36

and now all these people are coming

3:38

forward and saying stuff that I didn't say in my earlier

3:40

statements. Yeah, I'm in trouble. So for example,

3:43

you know, he said he was supposed to

3:46

detail his conversations with the President

3:48

about Ukraine in his earlier deposition

3:50

on October eight. There's not a word

3:53

about this phone conversation that

3:55

he had with President Trump on July

3:58

and set the one in the restaurant exactly

4:01

unsecured line on a mobile phone.

4:04

Random. And that's just random. It's a

4:06

total security threat. I mean, look, I mean

4:08

when I was in the government, I wouldn't even talk on

4:11

my home line at home land line because

4:14

you know, you're always worried about interception. And the

4:16

idea that you would be able to just sit

4:18

in a restaurant in Kiev, of all places,

4:21

and not just on a on a hard line, but

4:23

on a cell phone and talking not just to any

4:25

government official but the President of the United

4:28

States is baffling.

4:30

What's even more baffling, of course, Katie, is that he

4:32

forgot about the conversation, like he just mysteriously

4:35

never mentioned it to the investigator.

4:38

So do you think he came forward or came clean

4:40

to save his own hide? Basically, I mean, you

4:42

couldn't watch any one minute

4:44

of the hearing today and think anything

4:46

else. This was a guy who was bent on

4:48

self preservation. In his opening statement,

4:51

he said he worked with Rudy Giuliani at

4:53

the express direction of President

4:55

Trump on matters involving Ukraine.

4:58

So it was almost as if Rudy

5:00

Giuliani was conducting a shadow government

5:03

here right, Well, he was conducting

5:05

a shadow a government, but at the

5:07

president's request, So you know, that's what you

5:09

know. Sanlon also said, so it wasn't as if

5:12

this was a circumstance in which it was some rogue

5:14

private attorney for President

5:16

Trump who was conducting Ukrainian foreign

5:18

policy. So can you conduct a shadow government

5:21

at the president's past. It's

5:24

like a secondary government. That's

5:26

very legal and very cool to Trump. But I

5:28

think in the real world, of course, presidents

5:31

don't do such things. Um. It's an

5:33

incredibly damaging and dangerous And you know, the

5:35

reason why Katie I wrote this book

5:37

Impeach is basically to make

5:39

sure that everyone doesn't focus

5:42

on these little twists and turns

5:44

every day in this story of you know what

5:46

Sonlon said one day or what Giuliani

5:49

said another day. There's like a one central

5:51

narrative, and it's actually one that the

5:53

Republicans in President Trump doesn't disagree

5:55

with. And that central narrative which comes

5:57

out in that July in

6:00

script in which the President

6:02

himself released between

6:04

a conversation between him and the

6:06

President of Ukraine, is the president

6:09

of Ukraine it's wanting

6:11

this aid, this military aid.

6:13

And President Trump says, well,

6:15

wait, though, I need a favor first.

6:18

And that is the idea

6:21

that a president or

6:23

you know, our nation's most powerful official

6:25

would use congressionally appropriated

6:28

aid or a White House meeting in order to

6:30

advance his own political ends.

6:32

Um, there's nothing I think

6:34

that is a better definition

6:37

of what is an impeachable offense. Well, let me yea,

6:39

so help us understand this as

6:41

as the expert you are, professor,

6:44

Um, you know what laws?

6:47

Were there actual laws that were

6:49

broken? Even if you think it's

6:51

grossly inappropriate or

6:54

just obnoxious or weird

6:56

or self serving, was

6:58

there an actual law broken

7:00

here? Yes, but that's actually not

7:02

the question when you think about impeachment. So there are

7:05

Constitution and this, you know, the whole chapter about

7:07

this in my book that the

7:09

our Constitution says you impeach

7:11

for what are called high crimes and misdemeanors.

7:14

And that's a phrase of art the founders used,

7:17

not to mean just actual crimes.

7:19

But the core thing that our

7:21

founders are getting at is is there an abuse

7:23

of government power. And our founders

7:26

didn't actually even want to put impeachment in the

7:28

constitution. Many of them didn't, and um,

7:31

you know, uh, And ultimately what

7:33

one the day was a series

7:35

of Founders Alexander Hamilton and others

7:37

who said, well, what if a president,

7:40

a sitting president, goes and tries to

7:42

get help from a foreign government

7:44

to win an election. That's their example

7:47

of impeachment. Now at the time, that's

7:49

not criminal. It is now actually, and I'll

7:51

talk about that in a minute. By the time, there was

7:53

no statute I get criminal statute on bribery

7:56

and the like, but everyone understood

7:58

that to be a high crime and misdemeanor. Today

8:00

we actually do have statutes that prohibit

8:02

bribery, and this is again

8:05

a textbook definition of that. When did

8:07

that come about? The bribery statutes?

8:09

I think I've been around more than a hundred years, um,

8:11

And so they've been they've been around for a long

8:14

time. And what they do is they they

8:16

criminalize asking for a

8:18

thing of value in order to get

8:21

a certain government act. And that's what a

8:24

bribery of any government are

8:26

conducted by any government official, including

8:29

the president exactly. So if you seek a

8:31

bribe, if you're the president and said, and the president

8:33

says, hey, Katie, you know that ambassadorship?

8:36

Great, you know, if you'll donate you know, a hundred

8:38

thousand dollars to my campaign, Um,

8:41

I will make you ambassador. That is him

8:43

seeking a thing of value hundred

8:46

thousand dollars from you in exchange for

8:48

an official act, namely your ambassadorship.

8:50

And here he did the same thing. Hey

8:52

Ukraine, I'll give you this money. Um,

8:55

that Congress is appropriated, but

8:57

you've got to do a favor for me first. Though. Isn't

9:00

it an implicit understanding that big

9:02

donors become ambassadors? I mean,

9:05

isn't that kind of an unspoken bride.

9:07

Well, there's a there's a dance, a complicated

9:09

dance that's done if you do it and

9:12

is literally quit pro quo and exchange.

9:14

It's it's illegal. But if you do it

9:16

as the way many people do, thank you,

9:19

wink wink, I really appreciate it.

9:21

There might be something really great for you if I

9:23

get electric. Sometimes wink winks will

9:25

get to the point of being actually

9:27

criminal. But for that most part, what

9:29

you have is fairly sophisticated

9:31

actors in this kind of wealthy ambassadorial

9:34

circle, of which looks like Sondlon traveled

9:36

in donating a million dollars. And I'm

9:39

not suggesting at all that you know, that kind

9:41

of thing happens. You know, someone donates a

9:43

lot and some good plum job comes

9:45

along for them later. That's very

9:47

different than this, which is the president

9:49

himself saying, hey,

9:52

if you want the foreign aid, you

9:54

know what you gotta do. You gotta go investigate

9:56

my chief political rival. Why don't

9:58

you think the president pleaded

10:00

ignorance instead of claiming

10:02

this call was perfect. Why

10:05

wouldn't he just say, you know, I didn't

10:07

think this was a problem. Well,

10:09

I mean, only he can answer that question. But

10:11

but one point of speculation

10:14

is this, that call took place on July. One

10:17

day before on July, something

10:19

pretty significant happened. Robert Mueller, who

10:21

had been investigating the president for almost two

10:23

years, testified in Congress,

10:26

and I would say didn't testify particularly

10:28

clearly. Um, there was a

10:30

lot of garble and so on, and the

10:33

president, I think, you know, and

10:35

you just it comes across even in this fake

10:38

transcript. It's not a full transcript. We don't know exactly

10:40

what was said, but even just what they released,

10:42

it really shows kind of a person

10:45

who has no appreciation for

10:47

the rule of law. I mean, we've seen this in other ways,

10:49

but I think on that day in particular,

10:51

he was really feeling it explained though,

10:54

why you think, you know, if if Muller

10:57

was sort of garbled and didn't

10:59

seem to come down that hard on the president,

11:01

right, why would he have done this? Why

11:04

would the president of that? Because at

11:07

that moment in time, because it seemed

11:09

to me that Mueller was sort of wishy washy

11:11

as everyone said. Yeah. So because

11:13

of that, I think the President felt like, Okay, I

11:16

can do I can do this kind of award

11:19

by Muller Exactly, I can do this kind

11:21

of stuff. I mean, Trump's instincts all

11:23

along have been pretty much to

11:25

not respect the rule of law, to not respect

11:28

institutions. That pushed back against them,

11:30

to call them never Trumpers or whatever

11:33

at you know, labels he wants to use. So

11:35

that's always been his kind of m

11:37

oh. But I think on that day in particular,

11:39

he must have felt particularly empowered.

11:42

You know, it was interesting that Salmon

11:44

said that he really wanted

11:46

the investigation to be announced,

11:48

almost more than he wanted the

11:51

investigation to take place, which is

11:53

pretty significant. He wanted to

11:55

do the damage and kind of a

11:57

whisper campaign almost against Joe

12:00

Biden as he was as he

12:02

runs for president and against Hunter Biden

12:04

and suggests this sort of scandal.

12:07

Katie, I'm so glad you brought that up, because to

12:09

me, that was one of the most important things in today's

12:11

testimony. Ambassador Snlon said

12:14

that what Trump wanted was the announcement

12:16

of an investigation by the Ukrainians, not

12:18

them actually doing it. Now, you know, I've been

12:21

a law enforcement in two different administrations.

12:23

The idea that you're if you're conducting

12:25

a criminal investigation, you would announce

12:28

it. Of course, not that's the last thing you

12:30

do, because you want to do all the interviewing and

12:32

all the confidential inquiries

12:34

first in order to catch people in perjury

12:36

and things like that, and so you

12:39

know, they're the president has been saying

12:41

this is about corruption, this is why he did

12:43

this corruption in general. But when

12:46

drilled down and asked and people say, well,

12:48

did you ever care about corruption in any other country?

12:50

There's a hundred ninety four other countries you ever know

12:53

Ukraine? And with respect to Ukraine,

12:55

did you ever care about any other kind of corruption

12:58

besides this one thing? If acting

13:00

Vice President Biden? No, At some

13:02

point this starts to smell. It's not a particularly

13:05

powerful story. Let's talk

13:07

about just because I want this to

13:09

be impeachment one oh one for people. Um,

13:12

But before we talk about sort of the nuts and

13:14

bolts of the process. I

13:16

think that even the suggestion of

13:19

impropriety by Hunter

13:21

Biden, you know, as

13:23

part of this Ukrainian oil company Barisma.

13:27

Um, I think it's something that

13:29

that President Trump is very good at

13:31

sort of putting things out in the ether

13:34

and kind of letting it kind

13:36

of enter people's psyches in

13:39

Layman's terms. Is there any there

13:41

there, Neil with Hunter Biden?

13:43

Well, because it does, it does sound a little

13:46

fun. Yeah. Now, I mean in the book, I say,

13:48

you know, I have a whole section about did Hunter Biden

13:50

and Biden do something wrong. I think you

13:53

did something, you know, morally wrong, not legally

13:55

wrong. But the idea that you take a job

13:57

because of who your dad is, I have a problem with

13:59

that. So it's a little sketchy, and it's

14:01

a little sketchy. I don't think it means that you

14:03

go in launch some secret investigation

14:05

and hold up congressionally appropriated aid

14:08

and do all the things that the President did.

14:10

That's you know, even if Biden

14:13

did something that was let's say, criminal,

14:15

which I don't think anyone agrees that there

14:17

there was that on the part of the sun And indeed,

14:20

even Trump's own witness Vulgar yesterday

14:22

testified that I've known Biden

14:24

for twenty four years and he would never do

14:26

something that would compromise his

14:28

values to this nation's interests. So, you

14:31

know, but even if you put all that aside and

14:33

said, Okay, Trump's right, there

14:35

was something really bad that

14:37

was done here that would never justify

14:40

you going and deputizing your private

14:42

attorney to Rudy Giuliani,

14:45

to go to another country and

14:47

to threaten and hold up military

14:49

aid that our taxpayer dollars have

14:51

appropriated for the nation's

14:53

interests and the Ukraine really needs

14:56

right to protect itself from guess

14:59

who, Russia. Exactly, I'm

15:01

so glad you brought that up, because again Trump's

15:03

witness yesterday, Ambassador Vulcar

15:05

said exactly that said, look, I'm opposed

15:08

to the idea of holding up to say this aid is

15:10

really important encountering Russian

15:12

aggression in the region. So

15:15

once again we see

15:17

this thing in which the president is just out

15:20

doing favors for Russia. Now,

15:23

I don't know that that motivated him here. It's probably

15:25

he had more personal motivations here in terms

15:27

of a political agenda, but it does

15:30

demonstrate the stakes here in which you

15:32

have a president who cares more

15:35

about himself, who cares more about

15:37

his re election than what the

15:40

taxpayers and Congress have appropriated

15:43

in the nation's interest. We're

15:45

going to take a quick break. We'll have more

15:47

from Neil Cartiel when we come back.

16:00

Solon said also in his testimony,

16:02

everyone was in the loop, referring

16:04

to senior administration

16:07

officials, including Mike Pompeio,

16:09

the Secretary of State, Vice President Mike Penn's

16:12

acting chief of staff, Nick bolvany

16:14

Um. So have they been

16:16

implicated and what might the

16:18

repercussions be for them. I mean, these

16:21

guys aren't going to be impeached. What will happen

16:23

to them anything? Uh? They I do

16:25

think things will happen to them. So Solon's testimony

16:28

today really was a kind of detonation

16:30

that he basically took the

16:33

view, Look, if I'm going down, I'm picking a lot of other people

16:35

with me. Mulvaney, the acting

16:37

Chief of Staff, Bolton, the former National

16:39

Security Advisor, Um, you know, Pompeio,

16:42

the Secretary of State, Uh, you know, and

16:44

the list goes on and on and quit sort

16:46

of. And and didn't he direct

16:49

the White House lawyers to be notified about

16:51

this? I mean, he clearly felt uncomfortable

16:53

with this. Correct, that's what the reporting says.

16:56

But you know, I think one of the hard things about this,

16:58

Katie, is we don't know because the President

17:01

has gagged every one of these

17:03

people from coming forward and telling

17:05

the truth to the Congress. Can you

17:07

do that? I mean, can't they subpoena these

17:10

folks? They can, but it's going to take some

17:12

time in the courts. And I think the Democrats

17:14

have taken the view, which I actually agree with,

17:16

is they've got enough evidence now to impeach

17:18

and do we want to delay things more

17:21

and more in the courts. Now, there's gonna

17:23

be a decision coming down in a few days by

17:25

the d C Court on some privilege

17:27

issues, and it may open the door for Bolton

17:30

to testify in his own And I think it's

17:32

notable that a lot of the testimony

17:34

we've heard over the last week, like from Colonel Vinman

17:37

or Ambassador Yanovov Yanevovich

17:40

and people like that, are all folks have

17:42

come forward despite the President's gag

17:44

order and said I'm just going to tell the truth

17:47

and might do that.

17:49

I think he might, you know, I think for the

17:51

courts decide I do. I mean, at the end

17:53

of the day, Bolton is a lawyer, um,

17:56

and you know he's far more conservative

17:59

than I am. But I do think

18:01

that in you know, deep in his heart is

18:04

a respect for the kind of common calling

18:06

we have as a profession, the idea

18:09

that you know, when you're a witness to important

18:11

events, um, you tell

18:14

them to the American people and let the chips

18:16

fall where they may. Meanwhile, Ambassador

18:18

son Land said he never heard

18:20

directly from President Trump

18:22

that the military aid was conditioned on

18:24

an announcement of investigations, saying

18:27

that assumption was his own personal guests.

18:30

So is that enough? Well,

18:34

I mean if he never heard those

18:36

exact words, Hey, if

18:38

this doesn't happen, there

18:40

won't be foreign aid and ps

18:43

that White House visit will be canceled. If

18:46

this were the If the case against

18:48

President Trump was built all around the son

18:50

Land testimony, I think it certainly wouldn't

18:52

be enough. The problem for Trump is

18:54

Sonland is not the is

18:56

not the prosecution witness. He's the

18:59

defense witness. So he's the best

19:01

story Trump has got, and

19:03

all he's got is well the President

19:05

directly say this, but everyone

19:08

knew and everyone was in the loop on exactly

19:10

what was going on. What do you think? What do you think

19:12

President Trump was thinking when he watched this, If

19:15

he watched it, even though he claims he wasn't

19:17

watching it, right, Yeah,

19:20

I I don't think that there's a way anyone

19:22

can watch this, you know, if you're if

19:24

you're the president, and watch this being said about

19:26

you without having a deep pit in

19:28

your stomach. And I think that's why we see the

19:30

more and more lashing out by this president.

19:33

You know, um, but at some point he's

19:35

going to have to face the facts. And the facts

19:38

are not based on Sun

19:40

Len's testimony alone, but on that July

19:42

transcript in which the

19:44

quid pro quo is right there.

19:47

It's not you know, I need a favor from

19:49

you, though, That's what the president says,

19:51

and so you know, there isn't really

19:53

a way for him to walk away from it. Well

19:55

this really mattered, though, Neil. That's the question.

19:58

Let's talk short term and long term. Short

20:00

term being uh, if he is impeached

20:02

a trial in the Senate, is there anything

20:05

that we heard today

20:07

that might move the needle for Republican

20:10

senators to vote to convict

20:12

President Trump or for some of them to basically

20:16

abandoned the president. I think so far

20:18

they're only two. I do think

20:21

that as senators go and look

20:23

at the evidence and ask

20:25

themselves, you know the question

20:28

that I put in my book, which is, you know, just

20:30

flipped the parties around. Pretend this

20:32

is what we do with law students in their first year. You

20:34

say, everyone's got certain biases when they

20:36

walk in and you say, well, just pretend you're

20:38

representing the defendant instead of the plain if if

20:40

you are planiff focused and vice

20:42

versa. I think the same thing has to be put

20:45

to the Senators, and they've never actually been asked

20:47

this simple question, which is, you

20:49

know, if the shoes on the other foot, if it's President

20:51

Obama who went and got secret

20:53

help from a foreign governmor tried

20:55

to do so and held up congressionally

20:58

appropriated aid or doled out White

21:00

House meetings to countries that investigated

21:03

his political rivals, would

21:05

you sit by and say, oh, yeah, that's cool,

21:08

he can be president. I just don't think

21:10

that, you know, a senator could look at

21:12

herself for himself in the mirror and

21:15

say, yeah, that's the kind of government

21:17

I want. And I know there are

21:20

so many Americans who have been disparited over

21:22

the last three years as Congresses

21:25

look the other way on this and that, But

21:28

we've never actually forced them

21:30

to go and cast that vote.

21:33

And here it will be one of the most solemn votes I'll ever cast

21:35

in their lives, most solemn things they ever

21:38

do. And can they really do

21:40

that? I don't know, um, but I

21:42

have faith that in the Senate

21:44

and that they will study

21:46

this, think about it, ask

21:49

the question that I just asked, What if the shoe

21:51

were on the other foot, and reach the right judgment.

21:54

I don't mean to be cynical, but politics

21:57

seems to be the number one priority

21:59

for many these Republican senators.

22:02

So why do you believe that suddenly they'll

22:04

have an epiphany and uh,

22:07

sort of a crisis of confidence

22:09

in the president and their conscious

22:12

consciences will emerge

22:14

at this moment in time. Well, I have to

22:16

think that two things. One is I have to think when you

22:18

go into public office, you know, there are

22:20

a lot of ways to make money or get power. I

22:22

think you do it for some sense of the public good.

22:25

And so, um, you know, I think

22:27

I think at first you do, and then it's all about

22:29

staying in power, don't you But maybe but

22:31

even if so, Um, the idea

22:34

of associating yourself with this, with

22:36

this kind of lawlessness, I don't

22:38

know makes for very good politics, um

22:41

in in the long term. Um. And

22:44

you know, we're seeing this election after election, the

22:47

elections just you know, last week, you

22:49

know, again and again the president

22:52

is losing. And I do think one

22:54

of the reasons he's losing is because

22:56

of this corrosive view about

22:59

the law. So even if the Senate

23:01

does not vote to convict you

23:03

think he there will be hell to pay

23:06

in November President

23:08

Trump. Oh my, yes, I mean, look,

23:10

I I you know, I understand there's

23:12

a lot of people out there who say we

23:15

should have defeat President Trump at the ballot

23:17

box and not impeach and

23:19

removed. And I think, look, I think that you

23:21

know, with this kind of record, there's no way

23:23

President Trump could be re elected.

23:26

Um, you know so. But at the end

23:28

of the day, I think worth setting

23:31

something here that's far bigger than

23:33

just the next election, which of course has moment

23:35

to stakes. But we're setting the ground rules for

23:38

what our American experiment is all

23:40

about, what our democracy means.

23:43

And if we don't do this, if

23:45

we say a president can go and

23:48

in secret try and hold

23:50

up foreign aid to investigate

23:52

his chief rivals, and

23:55

you know, what are we saying about our elections?

23:58

But Neil, a new NPR PBS

24:00

News Our poll found that while most Americans

24:03

are paying attention to these hearings, less

24:05

than a third say or you

24:07

know, around a third say their minds could

24:10

be changed. So there are a

24:12

lot of people who say, we don't care whatever

24:15

happens, that it's a witch hunt. You know, they've

24:17

bought the president's talking points

24:20

and by the way. I watched Sean Hannity

24:22

last night, and it's almost

24:25

as if we live in two different countries or

24:27

there are two different stories. If you have a steady

24:29

diet of Fox News, you have a very different

24:31

opinion about what's going on in

24:33

Washington right now. Yeah. No, Look,

24:35

I my argument is not that Sean Hannity

24:38

and Laura Ingram are going to change their minds. So you know,

24:40

they've got a certain, you know, set of incentives

24:42

to say the things that they say. I'm

24:44

talking about Fox viewers, and I do have

24:46

more faith in those viewers and more

24:49

generally the viewers across the American

24:51

public and listeners and and so on.

24:53

I'm not ready to give up on

24:55

the idea that we live in such two different

24:57

countries that there is no truth anymore,

25:00

or that we shouldn't ask these

25:02

questions and we throw in the towel because

25:04

we're worried about a you know, splintered, hyperpartisan

25:07

environment. I mean, at the

25:10

end of the day, every time America

25:12

has transcended that we transcended it

25:15

in seventeen seventy six and seventeen eighty

25:17

seven, in eighteen sixty six and nineteen

25:19

thirty seven, and the civil rights movement,

25:22

marriage equality. So many other times

25:24

people have said, Katie, the kind of stuff

25:26

you're saying, and you know, I know you're

25:28

just voicing, you know, a lot of the frustrations

25:31

of a lot of people and views of a lot of people. But

25:34

there's also this other counter tradition in American

25:36

history. You know, in the book, I talked about the

25:38

Andrew Johnson impeachment, and uh,

25:41

you know, Johnson was a terrible president

25:43

and racist and and so on,

25:46

but he was impeached not for that. He was impeached

25:48

for a violation of the tenure of office

25:50

at the technical violation. And

25:53

it was a really close vote in the Senate and

25:55

Senator Ross, who hated at

25:57

the Senor Russell was from camp Us

26:00

and he hated President

26:02

Johnson, but nonetheless

26:05

cast the impeachment vote, the deciding

26:07

vote the other way to not impeach, because

26:09

he said that's not the right thing to do. It maybe

26:11

the right thing to do for my party, but it's not

26:13

the right thing to do for the country. And

26:16

time and again we've seen examples of

26:18

that, and um,

26:20

we won't know unless we try. And um,

26:22

you know, that's I'm proud that to

26:24

see our Congress trying and

26:26

to force some attention

26:29

by this administration to the rule of law. Let

26:31

me ask you if you could break it down,

26:33

how many articles of impeachment are there

26:36

right now? And you

26:39

know, how is this different from

26:41

a criminal trial. Yeah,

26:43

So the main differences are that

26:46

it's not, of course about crimes. So

26:48

so that's the first thing it's about, really,

26:50

is there an abusive power by

26:52

the president. Is the president putting

26:55

his nation his personal interests

26:57

above those of the nation. That's really

26:59

I think the best definition of what a high

27:01

crime and misdemeanor and that can come into

27:03

sort of shapes and forms exactly,

27:05

and so here I think they're basically

27:08

kind of three buckets that of

27:11

offenses when we think about Ukraine, and

27:13

you know, there may be others involving

27:16

the Moller investigation and so on. I personally

27:18

don't think Congress should get into all of that here,

27:20

but you know, because there's some indication

27:23

that he might have lied on his questionnaire

27:25

exactly. The the House General Counsel

27:28

this week in the d C Court

27:30

said they believe that there

27:32

may be evidence that the President lie de Muller

27:34

and that, of course is itself a criminal offense,

27:37

So there may be other things going

27:39

on. We'll have to see. Um. In terms of

27:41

the process, there is a big difference. I

27:43

mean, the House does what's called impeachment,

27:45

which is like the formal indictment of

27:48

the president, like saying he did something

27:50

wrong, and that is just by a

27:52

majority vote, and that's kind of

27:54

like a grand jury in the criminal context.

27:57

And then you've got if the House impeaches,

27:59

then it goes to the Senate for the punishment

28:01

phase and uh,

28:03

and the kind of trial about what,

28:05

you know, what what the president did and is

28:07

it, you know, a convictible offense.

28:10

Um. And there it's a two thirds

28:12

vote of the Senate to convict. And unlike

28:15

a criminal trial in which it's a jury of twelve

28:17

peers who don't have any prejudices

28:19

about the case, this is decided

28:21

by a hundred senators, many of whom have already

28:24

said certain things about their

28:26

view of the case. So it is quite different

28:28

in that sense. It's a mix of a

28:31

legal proceeding and a political

28:33

proceeding. Would President Trump ever be

28:35

asked to go to the Senate to testify?

28:38

Oh? Absolutely, And would he be compelled

28:40

to I think you

28:42

can't formally compel him in

28:44

the sense of, uh, you

28:47

know, attached criminal sanctions to him.

28:49

But you can create an adverse

28:51

inference. You can say, look, Mr President,

28:54

if you don't come forward and tell the truth, we'll

28:56

take that as an admission that

28:59

these accusations against you in these articles

29:01

of impeachment are accurate.

29:03

And you would ask before about what that case

29:05

would look like. What are those articles of impeachment?

29:08

And it seems to me Article one is

29:10

kind of abuse of power, the

29:12

president saying I

29:14

am going to cut off congressionally

29:17

appropriated aid aida that our taxpayers

29:19

approved to another country

29:22

to benefit myself. Count

29:24

Number two is bribery, the idea

29:26

that we were talking about earlier, seeking

29:29

something of value for yourself in

29:31

order to exchange in order for the

29:35

performance of an official, and it would

29:37

be called bribery absolutely. And indeed,

29:39

one of the interesting things, Katie, is the Constitution

29:42

actually says there are defines

29:44

impeachable offenses as treason,

29:47

bribery, or other high crimes

29:49

and misdemeanors. It's actually in the Constitution

29:51

itself as one of the two things

29:53

our founders said was impeachable,

29:56

and cited by Alexander Hamilton as

29:58

you said earlier about a foreign exactly,

30:01

is that in the Constitution too, Well,

30:03

what's in the Constitution is just the word bribery.

30:06

No, the foreign nation. What you mentioned that Alexander

30:09

Hamilton's used as an example, So

30:11

it's an example of what is an

30:13

impeachable offense, but itself is not in

30:15

the text of the Constitution. Like much of the

30:17

Constitution, they used more capacious

30:19

words like other high crimes and misdemeanors.

30:22

And then we have methods to try and

30:24

understand what those words are here in some

30:27

of Hamilton's writings exactly. So Hamilton's

30:30

writings in the Federalist papers. Indeed, Federalist

30:32

sight, I think is the critical one. Um,

30:35

they make this argument about foreign

30:37

interference, you're sure it's not and

30:41

then uh, and then the last article

30:43

of impeachment. And I think today we saw a

30:45

lot of evidence of this is obstruction of justice,

30:48

the idea that the president is

30:50

gagging all these witnesses from coming

30:52

forward. He's saying no documents can

30:54

come. And we started this interview, Katie,

30:56

with you asking about the Ambassador Solilon testimony

30:59

it six and its significance, and we've

31:01

talked a lot about the substantial significance,

31:04

like what did Simon say about Trump

31:06

and Giuliani and so on, But there was a

31:08

procedural significance to what he said

31:10

today, which is really important. He said, and

31:12

again, this is Trump's guy. He's saying,

31:15

the President is acting

31:17

wrongly by not allowing

31:19

me to look at my emails, not

31:21

provide them to you, not provide my call records.

31:24

He's preventing me from all of this. And

31:26

that's preventing the American people from learning

31:28

the truth. And that is quintessential

31:31

obstruction of justice. And

31:34

and what could happen to Rudy Giuliani. I'm

31:36

just curious. Oh heavens me, I would

31:38

not want to be. I mean, if

31:42

in fact he did all the things

31:44

he's being accused of doing in the course

31:46

of these hearings and by various witnesses,

31:49

what will happen to him? Well, so, first of all,

31:51

it's not just what he's being accused of in the hearings,

31:53

which are about you know, this part of

31:55

Ukraine and Barisma and all that. There's

31:58

a separate criminal investigation in the Southern

32:00

District of New York, his former office that

32:02

he used to head, about whether

32:05

or not he committed various cribes, whether

32:07

it's you know, we don't know exactly what they are,

32:09

um, but you know, so he's facing

32:11

legal liability there. Separately,

32:14

now he's got a bunch to worry about

32:17

here, um, with respect to the

32:19

Ukrainian foreign aid scandal

32:22

and so on. And you know, I

32:24

think that there's a deep question here whether Giuliani

32:26

is going to say, oh, I did this all on

32:29

my own. Trump wasn't involved, hoping

32:32

perhaps for a pardon or something like that,

32:34

or he's going to say, hey, I wasn't

32:36

a rogue agent here. I was doing all of this at

32:39

the President's best, which Mr

32:41

Salmon today I think suggested was

32:43

the truth. And is

32:45

Roger Stone going to be pardoned? Who

32:49

knows? Um? I would think so. I

32:51

would think that a president, when

32:54

there was that mountain of evidence from

32:56

his own Justice Department to convict

32:59

Rogers own, any

33:01

decent president could not impeach,

33:04

it could not pardon Roger Stone.

33:07

But this is a president who

33:09

pardoned Joe R. Pio, who pardoned

33:11

a niche to Suza, who pardoned three

33:13

war criminals just last week

33:16

against the advice of his own Defense

33:18

department. So anything

33:21

goes with respect to this guy. And

33:23

his abuse of the pardon power. You made

33:25

the case that President Trump's efforts to hinder

33:27

the House investigation is

33:29

as much of a threat to the rule of law

33:31

as the case against him, and that it quote

33:33

strikes at the heart of American democracy.

33:37

Explain that, yes, I wrote it. I've

33:39

be in the New York Times last week, which said, look, we're

33:41

gonna obviously all focus on these witnesses

33:44

and what what happened with respect

33:46

to Ukraine. But there is a kind of more

33:48

fundamental thing. And you know, I saw it in

33:50

two different tours in the government, which is

33:53

when the Congress of the United States asks

33:55

you, how are you doing your job? Why did

33:57

you take certain actions and the like? You

34:00

know, that's a sovereign and

34:02

solemn obligation for you

34:04

to go and explain what

34:07

you did to the people.

34:09

Uh. And this president has thumbed

34:12

his nose at Congress, has said it's so illegitimate

34:15

that he won't even bother turning over

34:17

a single piece of paper or a

34:19

single witness. Um. And again

34:21

I asked to go back to that kind of yardstick

34:24

rule shoe. On the other foot, if this

34:27

were a democratic president,

34:29

how would the Republican senators and

34:31

congresswoman and men feel about

34:34

someone who stime me that. I mean even

34:36

at the worst, you know, an air culture was

34:38

accused of, you know, in Fast

34:40

and Furious of various things. But he

34:42

turned over thousands and thousands

34:45

of pages of material. That was the only

34:47

time President Obama invoked executive

34:49

privilege and his time in office. This

34:51

president, you know, invokes it kind of like candy,

34:54

you know, whenever and does it wantonly

34:57

um and uh, you know, you'd have to go

34:59

back to Nixon, to someone who did it

35:01

with any frequency approaching approaching

35:03

this president. But this president has done

35:06

that and squared it many many times

35:08

over. Do you see anyway the impeachment

35:10

hearings Neil could help the president, could

35:13

galvanize his base and

35:15

that people might buy in the idea that

35:17

he's being unfairly targeted.

35:20

And note that these people

35:22

never thought his election was legitimate.

35:26

YadA, YadA, YadA. I

35:28

think that's Katie, with all respect,

35:30

the wrong question. I don't think we can do this

35:32

because of politics. I think we have

35:35

to do this, and I think

35:37

this is where the Congress

35:39

of the House is moving because

35:42

there is no other option when

35:44

you have a president who betrays

35:47

the nation's interest and tries to do in

35:49

secret, and then gets caught and

35:51

then doesn't even admit to it and says he'd

35:54

do it again, he'd do it with China. You've

35:56

got a president who's a fundamental, existential

35:59

threat to the rule of law, to everything

36:02

the country is built on. And if you lose

36:04

elections over it, so be it. Lose

36:06

the election, because there's

36:09

something far greater at stake here, which

36:11

is the operation and soul

36:13

of American democracy. You're

36:16

a purist, but I would say that

36:18

there are plenty of Democrats in the House who

36:20

really weighed the political ramifications

36:22

of this pretty long and hard. Neil,

36:25

Sure, No, I am not. I'm not denying

36:27

any of that. And you know, maybe that

36:29

it's not bad politics for them or

36:31

good politics or whatever. I'm just saying, you

36:34

know, is some things have to rise

36:36

above politics. And as your listeners

36:38

think about, you know, how do we think

36:40

about this question that we're about to embark

36:43

in as a nation over the next two months, what should

36:45

we do about the president? I think they have

36:47

to ask, you know, do they really want

36:49

a system in which a president can do this

36:52

and put the politics aside At least

36:54

try to. It's, if nothing else, a thought experiment,

36:57

because, Um, the shoe will

36:59

be on the other. Life is long and

37:01

the country hopefully has many, many years

37:04

ahead. And if

37:06

we allow this president to do this, another

37:09

president can do it, and that president may not

37:11

be one that you politically agree with. I

37:14

know, I'm asking you to speculate, and that's

37:16

something that current

37:18

and former government officials

37:21

hate to do. Colin values to

37:23

always tell me, Katie, I will not speculate

37:25

on that, but can you give

37:27

us an idea of the timeline and what ultimately

37:30

you think is going to happen? Neil, sure.

37:33

So I'm not afraid

37:35

to speculate here. So I wrote a whole

37:37

book that's about this. Um and

37:39

Uh. I think that by the

37:41

end of December. By December, I

37:44

suspect we'll have a vote in the House of Representatives

37:46

and Merry Christmas. And I do think that the

37:48

president will be impeached and representatives.

37:51

It will then go to a trial in the Senate in

37:54

January. And January, you know,

37:56

I think the Senate rules require kind of

37:58

an immediate trial to move quickly.

38:00

It required them to be I think in session six

38:02

days a week. UM and you

38:06

know, some senators, Republican senators

38:08

have said it maybe as long as six to eight

38:10

weeks. I'm not sure that that's

38:13

right. I think it's probably the House has

38:15

already taken a lot of testimony, so

38:17

I'm not sure that it will be that long.

38:19

But I again, I hope that it's

38:21

a thorough serious

38:23

trial that everyone can see

38:26

exactly what happened, because

38:28

the president's story has been shifting while

38:31

this has been going on in the House of Representatives

38:33

and in the early stages in the investigation.

38:35

I mean, first it was I didn't

38:38

do it. Then it was it's

38:40

all perfect and beautiful. Then it was

38:42

no, it's all hearsay, and you

38:44

know, there's no firsthand witnesses. Now

38:47

that the first hand witnesses have come forward, we're

38:49

back to it's beautiful and perfect. Um.

38:51

And I don't really know that guy som Blander

38:54

whomever. So there's been a bunch of shifting

38:56

stories, um. And once it goes to trial in

38:58

the Senate, I suspect that they're gonna have

39:00

to drill down and pick one. And

39:02

at that point, I do think the eyes of the nation

39:05

focus on the question. The eyes in the

39:07

Senate, they look at themselves in the

39:09

mirror and say what's the right thing

39:11

to do here? And I think that

39:13

the president will be removed from office? Do

39:19

wow? So you think he'll

39:21

be gone and Mike

39:24

Pence will run for president? I

39:26

I don't know, but you know you know that

39:28

very well. Maybe or maybe they have something else.

39:31

Wow, Well, fasten

39:33

your seatbelt. Do you ever wish

39:36

that you had waited to write your book and

39:38

impeach the case against Donald Trump? Since

39:40

there's so much happened since

39:43

you I'm sure handed this in

39:45

no actually their verse. I mean I wrote

39:47

the book because I knew a lot

39:49

was going to happen. I knew there'd be all these witnesses

39:51

coming forward, and I you know, one of the things

39:53

that Trump does, and you actually started today's

39:56

session by talking about it, is the flood of information

39:59

that happens. And it's so hard to

40:01

separate the wheat from the chaff, and remember

40:03

what's important. In the book, it's

40:05

just a hundred fifty pages is just designed

40:08

to say, here's the central narrative.

40:10

And yes, there's going to be any number of details

40:12

and people saying this and that and

40:14

taking pot shots at each other, but here's

40:17

the central narrative. That central narrative is

40:19

not going to change. Like you know I've done.

40:21

I've argued thirty nine cases at the Supreme Court

40:23

and one hundreds of other cases. You know, in

40:25

a case and the basics architecture

40:28

of the case is done. That basic

40:30

architecture the case is done now and

40:32

that's what the book lays out. And go back

40:35

to those three articles of

40:37

impeachment, high crimes and misdemeanors

40:39

in the Constitution, abuse

40:41

of power, bribery,

40:44

and obstruction of justice. Neo

40:47

Cartiel, Neil, thanks so much for helping

40:49

us understand all this and make some sense

40:51

of it. Thank you. It's an honor to be with you. Not

40:55

everyone agrees with Neo Cartiel.

40:58

Up next, we're going to have a conversation with a vocal

41:00

critic of the impeachment inquiry, former

41:03

Independent Council Robert Ray.

41:16

Robert Ray made a name for himself leading

41:18

the Whitewater investigation as the former

41:21

head of the Office of the Independent Council.

41:24

He recently wrote a piece for Time magazine

41:26

arguing that while President Trump

41:28

may have acted inappropriately, his

41:30

actions do not meet the constitution

41:33

strict requirements for impeachment,

41:35

which say that treason, briberary,

41:37

or other high crimes and misdemeanors

41:40

need to be proven in order to remove

41:42

a president from office. Robert

41:45

Ray, thank you very much for coming on the podcast

41:49

so your predecessor as Independent

41:51

Council can start. Described today's testimony

41:54

as quote one of those bombshell

41:56

days and said that quote things

41:59

do not look it for the president substantively.

42:02

What do you think, Bob Well, I don't agree with that.

42:05

Um. I've dealt with media

42:07

days throughout this saga

42:09

for more than the past two months, where every day

42:12

is another bombshell day. So I

42:14

don't think there was really anything that I heard today

42:16

that was that much of a surprise and what I

42:18

had anticipated that we would hear. His

42:21

testimony, though, did confirm a

42:23

quid pro quo. Right, well, let's

42:26

be careful about that, because you know, first of

42:28

all, I'm you

42:30

know, the Hoorray Henry's who all

42:32

want to talk about quid pro quo as if

42:34

they seem to understand what bribery is.

42:37

Let's just slow down. A second. Bribery

42:41

is something like the following, whoever,

42:45

being a public official, corruptly

42:49

demands or seeks personally

42:53

in return for the performance

42:55

of an official act is

42:57

guilty of a crime, and

43:00

the in return for a language essentially

43:02

is what people understand to be the quid pro

43:04

quo requirement of a bribery offense.

43:08

But that's not what we talk about

43:11

and what much of the discussion has been about.

43:13

I mean, for example, if

43:15

there's an exchange of a quid pro quo

43:18

involving foreign assistance

43:20

generally, and the linkage

43:23

is over something as benign as

43:25

we want a particular country

43:28

to do more with regard

43:30

to internally prosecuting

43:33

or investigating corruption, nobody

43:36

would ever contend that that kind of an

43:38

exchange is

43:40

something that the law is prepared to recognize

43:43

as illegal. But it doesn't it change

43:45

when it's a political rival, Bob,

43:47

when it's specifically about Joe

43:49

Biden and his son. And

43:53

according to son Land, Hello,

43:55

that's not what Ambassador Sonland testified

43:58

to today. What his understanding is that

44:00

it was barisma and the

44:02

origins of the two thousand and sixteen election

44:05

interference. He only came to learn,

44:09

I think, he said, and not until after

44:11

the transcript of the call was released

44:13

between President Zelinsky and President

44:16

Trump that uh,

44:18

you know, in his mind, he

44:20

then came to a presumption that

44:23

there was a linkage between the

44:25

two involving specifically the

44:28

Bidens. So you know, look,

44:30

I think much of how you would view

44:32

this is colored by whether or not you think

44:34

there's any merit to an investigation

44:37

of the Biden's first second,

44:39

I think it's colored by what your view is

44:41

about whether or not such an

44:43

investigation is of personal benefit

44:46

to the president that would be sufficient

44:48

to um make

44:51

out a crime. The Democrats

44:53

have tried that on for size. They first contended

44:55

that that was an illegal foreign campaign contribution.

44:58

Well, that's an interesting legal theory,

45:00

but it runs up against the fact that the Justice Department,

45:03

apparently through the Criminal Division, after consultation

45:05

with the Public Integrity Section, said listen,

45:08

that's not a thing of value that the law is prepared

45:10

to recognize as a campaign

45:12

contribution that would be of personal benefit

45:14

to the president United States, meaning an

45:16

investigation into Hunter

45:19

Biden and Barrisma. Right. Look,

45:21

and you know, the notion that a public

45:23

official is, as a result

45:25

of running for office or being a candidate,

45:28

immune from uh an investigation

45:31

is in my judgment, anathemas and

45:33

consistent with with our past history,

45:35

and it's even inconsistent with my own past history.

45:37

I conducted an investigation of Hillary

45:40

Clinton, who was then at the time while

45:42

I was serving as Independent Council being investigated

45:44

in connection with a whole slew of investigations

45:47

Whitewater, the Travel Office, FBI

45:49

files, a number of things, while she was a

45:51

candidate for office for the United States Senate in

45:53

New York. So are you suggesting that Joe

45:56

Biden did something

45:58

wrong here? I don't and and it

46:00

was in your estimation it's

46:02

worthy of an investigation. I don't know. I mean,

46:04

apparently the Attorney General has

46:06

thought at least so that

46:09

matter has been referred, among

46:11

a number of different specific issues

46:14

to John Durham, who is

46:16

the currently serving U S Attorney

46:18

in the District of Connecticut. He enjoys

46:20

a bipartisan reputation

46:23

as a kind a fine one as a

46:25

bipartisan, nonpartisan prosecute

46:29

career prosecutor. I don't

46:31

know whether that investigation has any merit or not.

46:33

I imagine he'll figure it out one way or

46:35

another. That's why we have investigations to find

46:37

out. I I wonder if you

46:39

believe that Ambassador Solon's claimed

46:41

that the President was seemed

46:44

to be more interested in the announcement

46:46

of an investigation rather

46:49

than the investigation itself, might

46:52

sort of counter this

46:54

assessment that it wouldn't he

46:57

wouldn't stand to gain from

46:59

that in estigation. Ambassador Simon

47:01

made very clear, although that was completely overlooked

47:03

in the testimony today, that the primary reason

47:06

to ask for a public announcement was to fix

47:08

their position publicly so that they couldn't walk

47:10

back the fact that they were committed to

47:12

rooting out corruption. I think that's

47:15

separate and apart from whether or not you think that's

47:17

also of personal benefit to the president,

47:19

because of the fact that it would have potentially had an

47:21

impact on an election. Everything

47:24

has an impact on an election. The

47:27

question is whether there is anything inappropriate

47:29

about that ask and

47:32

I have already commented publicly

47:34

and I think, um, this is where I

47:36

do agree with Ken Starr. I

47:38

do think it was an error in judgment

47:41

not to have done this through the usual channels.

47:43

Why Because the usual channels

47:46

provide you with insulation in

47:48

the ordinary affairs of the country

47:50

where people don't second yes your political

47:53

motivations, and so one of the reasons that you'd go

47:55

to the FBI

47:57

and the Justice Department and also admit

48:01

what there's already a treaty process to

48:03

allow a request to the Ukrainian

48:05

government through official channels for

48:09

what's referred to as the Mutual Legal Assistance

48:11

Treaty. That's the kind of appropriate way in

48:13

which you would be seeking in a sensitive

48:15

area assistance with an investigation.

48:18

So I guess what I'm saying is that, you

48:20

know, it's hard for me to imagine that the president

48:22

does something directly that if he did indirectly

48:24

through usual channels, it certainly would be entirely

48:27

appropriate. But now all of a sudden it's

48:29

illegal. You can argue about a

48:32

lack of judgment and whether or not it would have

48:34

been better practice and a better idea not

48:36

to have had what amounts to

48:39

a second channel through Rudy Giuliani

48:41

to try to accomplish this end. But I'm

48:44

not sure that I would jump to the conclusion that

48:46

the end in itself was inappropriate. I

48:48

think the means are subject

48:50

to question, but that doesn't mean that the means were

48:52

illegal. But having said that, I

48:54

mean it was in your view

48:57

and error in judgment, but does not

48:59

necessarily qualified as

49:01

a high crime or misdemeanor. I don't

49:03

think it qualifies as bribery either. I

49:05

don't think it. I don't think it involves extortion

49:07

because I don't think there was sufficient pressure applied.

49:10

What about abuse of power, Well, abuse

49:12

of power is an interesting concept, and I

49:14

know you've talked to about

49:17

that. I do not think that abuse

49:19

of power untethered from

49:21

the constitutional language, which requires

49:24

that it be treason, bribery, or other

49:26

high crime and misdemeanor, is sufficient.

49:29

I know there's reasonable disagreement of

49:31

opinion among legal scholars about that. I think.

49:33

I mean, I've read a lot of books. I've considered the question

49:36

of impeachment, going all the way back to Watergate

49:39

and historically even before um

49:41

I think the better, more considered view. And

49:43

by the way, this was Neil cat y'all's view

49:46

and a Chiel Lamar and a number of other people

49:48

when they were trying on for size of the question

49:51

of the Clinton impeachment. I do not

49:53

think abuse of power on its own as

49:55

a sufficient basis to remove a president from

49:57

office. I think it has to be both.

50:00

I think the lesson of the Clinton impeachment was

50:03

very few people were arguing over whether

50:05

or not the president had committed obstruction of

50:07

justice or perjury. The only question was

50:10

whether or not those crimes

50:12

were sufficient to rise to the level of abuse

50:14

of his office, abuse of his oath of office.

50:17

And I think the considered judgment of the Senate following

50:19

a trial was, you know what, Um,

50:22

there's a problem here, but it's not sufficient to

50:24

remove the president from office because he didn't abuse

50:26

his office this one. Um.

50:29

You know, I sort of stepped back and just look

50:31

at it. And the Nixon cases, of

50:33

course entirely different because there I think it was clearly

50:36

both. It was not only that obstruction

50:38

of justice was committed, but it was committed in

50:40

such a way that undermined the president's

50:42

oath of office to take care that the laws be faithfully

50:45

executed. And there was a slush fund in the White House

50:47

with cash coming out of a safe in

50:49

order to pay off witnesses to ultra testimony

50:51

in connection with an ongoing criminal

50:53

investigation that the president orchestrated,

50:56

and he was on tape directing it. And

50:58

everybody can understand it appreciate that

51:00

that's not only a

51:03

crime, but it's also a problem for

51:05

a president to be involved in. I

51:07

don't think there's anything like that

51:09

here. I mean, are we seriously and

51:12

I'm asking the American people this, are we seriously

51:14

going to impeach a president based upon today's

51:17

testimony about the announcement

51:19

of an investigation tied

51:22

to a meeting at the White House,

51:25

I really think tied

51:27

to foreign aid. Well, let's start with

51:29

where they started today, because the only thing Sonlon

51:31

was able to say for Ambassador son was able

51:33

to say for sure is that the link that he saw was

51:36

with a meeting at the White House, despite

51:38

what you hear in much of the media, and meeting

51:40

at the White House as recently as the Supreme

51:42

Court's decision involving Governor McDonald

51:45

is not an official act under the bribery law,

51:47

so that can't be the predicate for a bribery

51:49

offense. And I believe Adam Schiff recognizes

51:52

this because all before these hearings even

51:54

started, he was already saying, you

51:56

know, we don't have to prove the elements of a bribery

51:58

offense like a prosecu puter would bribery.

52:01

It only has to be as the founders understood

52:04

it. Well, okay, fair enough, but

52:06

bribery is mentioned, and the

52:08

founders did put in place a Congress which

52:10

was capable of passing laws, and among the other

52:13

laws that the Congress ultimately passed was

52:15

the Federal Bribery Statute. So there's no bribery

52:18

with regard to a meeting in the White House. Don't

52:20

believe me, but that

52:23

that's what the Supreme Court says. So what

52:25

about foreign aid? I mean, maybe

52:28

Somlon didn't say that he

52:30

saw no connection, but a

52:32

lot of the other witnesses have said

52:34

that, and more witnesses are to come. Well,

52:36

he said, So if if in fact someone says,

52:40

uh, there was an undeniable

52:42

link between an investigation

52:45

of Hunter Biden and

52:48

the delivery of foreign aid to

52:50

Ukraine, would that constitute

52:52

bribery? Well, no one is going to say

52:54

that. And more importantly, I'm not really interested

52:57

in what other people have to say. This is not an

52:59

impeachment of an administration. This

53:02

is, after all, the impeachment of the President

53:04

of United States. Said,

53:06

that doesn't matter what anybody else thinks. The question

53:08

is where does the president thing? And today you

53:10

know, again something skipped

53:13

over. You know, largely the President

53:15

was asked directly by Ambassador

53:18

Sunlin in no uncertain

53:20

terms and emphatically, because I think he was exasperated

53:23

more than anything else Mr President, what do

53:25

you want? And the answer was,

53:28

I don't want anything from President

53:30

Zelinsky. I want him to do what it is he ran on

53:32

and I and I don't want any quid

53:34

pro quotes. I'm not asking him for anything. I'm asking

53:36

him to do what he said he was going to do. So.

53:39

Look, I do not think that

53:42

investigations generally, including

53:45

one's conducted overseas, and including

53:47

one's conducted overseas of United States

53:50

nationals, which by the way, is something that we do

53:52

do. Um. I have represented

53:54

clients that have been on the receiving end of that,

53:57

so I know, UM,

53:59

there's nothing inherently wrong with that.

54:01

That's you know, that's part of what investigations

54:04

are all about. I do not think

54:06

that that notion, and specifically what

54:08

you're suggesting, which is the

54:11

personal benefit to the president

54:13

of a politically motivated investigation of

54:15

the bidens, are mutually exclusive. I

54:17

mean, the sense in the in the in the in

54:19

the country right now is it it's

54:21

either a legitimate investigation or it's

54:23

this thing involving the Biden's barisma

54:26

and corruption in the Ukraine, and the one

54:28

is unlawful. It's a foreign campaign

54:31

contribution and it's the basis of a quid pro

54:33

quo, and the other one is entirely appropriate.

54:35

I don't think life doesn't work that

54:38

way. They are not They are not mutually

54:40

exclusive. There is space enough

54:42

for there to be. Again, depending

54:44

on how what your view is about whether or not

54:47

either Hunter Biden and or his

54:49

his father, that then vice president did anything

54:51

wrong. And again I'm not suggesting he did or he didn't.

54:53

I don't know. That's why we have investigations

54:55

to find that, and in fact, we are having one right

54:58

now. That's what's going on. So

55:01

you basically don't believe when it comes

55:03

to the specific articles of impeachment

55:05

that Neil identified, abuse of

55:07

power, bribery, and obstruction of justice,

55:10

that you can check off any of those. And

55:12

if not, why not obstruction of justice?

55:15

Bob. If in fact President

55:17

Trump is prohibiting many

55:20

people from testifying in the

55:22

House hearings, well that's a process, fell and

55:24

I guess ultimately, you know, the American

55:26

people will decide whether they think that's significantly

55:28

What do you think. I don't think so, And

55:31

I think you know, look, if there are legitimate reasons

55:33

and basses to object to cooperating

55:36

with the investigation that include the assertion

55:38

of presidential or executive privilege.

55:41

I know that they tried this in the Nixon impeachment.

55:44

It wasn't particularly persuasive, nor was

55:46

it, frankly in the in the Clinton

55:48

impeachment. UM, that's a process

55:50

argument and dispute between the branches

55:52

of government. To equate that with

55:54

obstruction of justice seems to me to

55:57

be a bridge too far. Um,

55:59

they're a legit him reasons why you would object

56:01

to uh subpoena compliance,

56:03

both for documents and for witnesses to

56:06

protect the office of the president,

56:08

not the president, you know, Donald

56:10

Trump personally himself, not

56:13

only for this administration, for administrations

56:15

in the future. Uh. That has been consistently

56:18

the position of the White House, not again, not just

56:20

with regard to this administration, but for administrations

56:23

going back at least as far as President Eisenhower.

56:26

UM. Uh, you know, I I don't think

56:28

that UH an attempt

56:31

to try to make that argument, you know,

56:33

Adam Shifts. UH

56:36

typical approach to this has been every

56:38

time the White House objects to providing

56:41

us with a document or a witness, we're

56:43

going to just add that as another article of

56:45

impeachment under obstruction it

56:48

doesn't wash with me. I don't think it will wash

56:50

with the American people. And more importantly,

56:52

in this process, if you have any hopes

56:55

of trying to persuade the other party

56:57

to join with you, which after all, is necessary

57:00

in order to remove the president from

57:02

office in the United States Senate, you're not

57:04

going to get there by making an argument. Ah

57:06

ha, we got you on obstruction of justice. You didn't

57:09

give us that document from the State Department.

57:11

You know, Please, we got more important

57:13

things to worry about. That's not one of them. But what about

57:16

prohibiting witnesses from testifying.

57:18

I mean, we're not talking about handing over

57:20

documents. We're talking about saying to people

57:22

you cannot appear well. Sure, And

57:25

and the reason for that is because the internal

57:27

discussions at the highest level within the

57:29

White House are subject to privilege. And it

57:31

has long been recognized to be

57:33

the case. Uh, it's implied essentially

57:36

in the Constitution by virtue of separation

57:38

of powers. And the President has no obligation to

57:40

try to make the House's case for

57:42

impeachment against him. He has

57:44

constitutional rights as well, in addition

57:47

to the fact of his office.

57:49

And I do think that again,

57:52

pushing that too far is

57:55

encroaching on an area that

57:57

is long recognized to be a proper

58:00

separation of powers question. And and the

58:02

related notion that has expressed most recently

58:04

by the Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi,

58:07

that the president has some obligation to come

58:09

forward and testify or explain

58:11

or provide his people. Um again,

58:14

Um, that's that there's

58:16

nothing in the constitution that requires that.

58:19

I don't think that's in the public interest. And again,

58:21

I think that the president is entitled to rely

58:23

on AIDS without having to worry about

58:25

the fact that all of those people are going to appear

58:27

to testify against him because the Congress is

58:29

conducting an impeachment inquiry. And if

58:31

we really have reached the point in this country

58:34

for the future, which is one of the things that I'm concerned

58:36

about, that it simply as the result of having

58:38

the House of Representatives in the UH

58:41

in the hands of the opposite party, that

58:43

we're going to now be endlessly in

58:45

a situation in which every administration

58:47

is going to be saddled with the potential

58:49

of an impeachment inquiry. I do not think

58:51

ultimately that that is in the country's best interests.

58:53

I don't think that that's what the founders intended, and

58:56

the you know, recent history suggests now that we sort

58:58

of string together, you know, Nixon

59:00

to Clinton to Trump. You

59:02

know, the question one has to logically

59:05

ask, and I think most fair

59:07

minded Americans will be asking

59:09

when this when and if this gets to the United

59:11

States Senate is ultimately is that

59:13

what we want to see here? Is that really in the country's

59:16

interests? And I've even thought about things like, you know, I

59:18

wonder for the future whether or not a simple

59:20

majority vote in the House should be sufficient

59:23

to warrant the impeachment of a president. I

59:25

mean, I think there perhaps should be some serious

59:28

question that a bipartisan vote

59:30

be required in the House before it ever gets

59:32

to the Senate. Not suggesting that it would be a

59:34

two thirds majority, but when you know, I think

59:36

could think seriously about whether or not it's in the country's

59:38

interests with the future to prevent just this sort

59:41

of thing from happening, that rather

59:44

than fifty be required, which would would

59:46

mandate in effect, that you

59:48

would have to have, in an example

59:51

like this one, not only all Democrats

59:53

in favor of impeachment, but you'd have to have bipartisan

59:56

support, meaning some Republicans to join along

59:58

with it. So you think there's m legitimacy

1:00:01

to President Trump's contention, this is

1:00:03

a kangaroo court. He's kind of dismissed

1:00:05

the whole process. He said, you know, on

1:00:07

Fox News they say it's a shift

1:00:10

show. You know, look, I hear all

1:00:12

that. I've been on Fox News. I'm

1:00:14

a regular guest. Um, I

1:00:16

do not think it helps anybody

1:00:20

or our institutions in the country's

1:00:22

best interest to be disparaging the mission

1:00:24

of the House of Representatives. I don't and I won't

1:00:26

do it. Um. You know they

1:00:29

have a tough job to do. Are

1:00:32

is there partisan excess on both

1:00:34

sides? Sure? Did anybody think

1:00:36

that that wouldn't be the case? Go

1:00:38

all the way back to Alexander Hamilton's He certainly

1:00:41

recognized that this would inflame partisan

1:00:43

passions on both sides as

1:00:45

the result of impeachment, particularly involving

1:00:48

a president, which is why the protection

1:00:50

was built in that it would require

1:00:53

two thirds in the Senate to actually remove

1:00:55

a president from office and overturn an election.

1:00:58

Whow it is you know under liably true

1:01:00

that a president is subject to impeachment

1:01:02

all during his term in office. This

1:01:05

obviously was intended by the founders

1:01:08

to be an extraordinary thing

1:01:10

and and reserved for the most extreme

1:01:12

situations. My view

1:01:15

is that there's not ever going to be

1:01:17

given these facts unless something magically

1:01:20

changes, clear and unmistakable

1:01:22

evidence of both a crime

1:01:25

that fits the definition of trees and

1:01:27

bribery or other high crimes and misdemeanors, and

1:01:30

uh one sufficient enough that

1:01:33

it constitutes abuse

1:01:35

of the president's office. And I do firmly

1:01:37

believe, based upon history

1:01:39

and practice and frankly

1:01:42

good common sense, which

1:01:44

was ultimately where the American people are going

1:01:46

to weigh in here, I think that unless

1:01:48

you have both, that's not sufficient

1:01:51

to warrant the removal of a president from office.

1:01:53

I think that's the considered judgment of history

1:01:55

and the idea that someone

1:01:58

put forth in his testament me that

1:02:01

everyone was in the loop, from

1:02:03

Mike Pence to Mike Pompeo. UM,

1:02:07

not that significant in your view, Well,

1:02:09

I don't. I don't know what in the loop.

1:02:11

I listened to it carefully to see

1:02:14

what exactly do you mean by in the loop and

1:02:16

how much knowledge did they really have. I

1:02:19

think that it is a reflection

1:02:21

of the fact that Ambassador Sondling

1:02:23

thought, based upon the direction given by

1:02:25

the President that this contention, which

1:02:28

is frankly contrary to what you heard the day

1:02:30

before, UM from Lieutenant

1:02:33

Colonel vinman Um.

1:02:35

You know, when the President directs that wants

1:02:37

something done, UM, that

1:02:39

makes it not an

1:02:42

outside channel. That is the President's

1:02:44

prerogative to choose the channel that he would

1:02:47

like in order to troll accomplish what

1:02:49

it is he's trying to accomplish. Frankly,

1:02:51

what I thought I saw here was

1:02:53

the President was prepared to temporarily

1:02:56

withhold foreign aid to

1:02:58

see what the Ukrainians

1:03:01

would do. He didn't make a demand

1:03:04

that they commence investigations

1:03:06

in exchange for that aid.

1:03:08

That's not the tenor of the call, which

1:03:10

is going to be ultimately the best, probably

1:03:13

the only real evidence of the President's

1:03:15

intent, other than the limited color that UM

1:03:18

Ambassador Sonlon was able to add

1:03:20

today, I don't think you're going to hear from anybody else.

1:03:23

I think to answer your question, yes, would there

1:03:25

be potential benefit to hear from

1:03:27

UM, the Secretary of State Mike Pompeo,

1:03:30

UM, from the from the Acting

1:03:32

Chief of Staff McK mulvaaney, and

1:03:35

potentially other people Rudy Giuliani

1:03:37

among them. Sure, but I

1:03:39

think there's understandably a concern that

1:03:41

the President is asserting, and I think

1:03:43

in most situations that should be respected.

1:03:46

That unless you're prepared to say that these people

1:03:48

were co conspirators in connection with the illegal

1:03:50

activity, which I don't think you're gonna hear

1:03:52

anybody say. No, one's gonna stand up and then say,

1:03:54

you know, I was involved in a in a corrupt bargain

1:03:57

here, and I was a co conspirator, and now let

1:03:59

me tell you what it is I did and what the president thought.

1:04:02

That's the difference between, frankly, this case

1:04:04

and the impeachment of Richard Nixon. No

1:04:06

one's going to say, oh, yeah, I was, Yep,

1:04:09

I was. We were all we were all

1:04:11

involved, and we were all involved in a conspiracy

1:04:13

to commit bribery. You're not going to hear

1:04:15

that. You're not going to hear an acknowledgment

1:04:17

that they thought that what they were doing was illegal, because

1:04:19

I don't think they thought what they were doing was illegal.

1:04:22

Do you believe that any Republican senators

1:04:24

will change their minds after today's

1:04:26

testimony or do you think they'll still

1:04:29

feel supportive of the President minus

1:04:31

the two who seemed to be wobbily

1:04:34

or have said otherwise. I think to

1:04:37

be careful, honestly, you don't

1:04:39

know right until after both

1:04:42

there's a vote in the House and you see what the partisan

1:04:45

lineup looks like. I expect I think

1:04:47

the import of your question is I expect that

1:04:49

it will be probably entirely

1:04:52

along party lines. I

1:04:55

think that will send a message to

1:04:58

the Senate, which is likely to

1:05:00

have a rejoinder that is going to

1:05:02

be equally partisan the other way. So I

1:05:04

guess that's a sort of a roundabout way of answering

1:05:07

your question. At least at the moment.

1:05:09

I don't expect that that's going to change the result.

1:05:12

And I think what that will mean, um

1:05:14

is that it will it will it

1:05:16

will not succeed in the Senate. I guess the only

1:05:18

question is how long and painful

1:05:20

will that process be? Will there be a full

1:05:22

trial? I mean, this is

1:05:24

different then our most recent

1:05:27

history, which is the Clinton impeachment. In this situation,

1:05:30

the president's party is

1:05:33

in control of the United States Senate, so

1:05:35

they they they set the rules, and they determine

1:05:37

how much of a proceeding there there will be.

1:05:40

They may I have suggested that if

1:05:42

if really uh, this should

1:05:45

be short circuited because

1:05:47

it doesn't have merit, that it would be appropriate

1:05:49

to consider emotion to dismiss, which could

1:05:51

be And I understand that there are political

1:05:53

consequences to this, particularly among Republicans

1:05:57

in districts where or I'm sorry,

1:05:59

in states where they're for re election this year.

1:06:01

UM. I can think of a few of them that would be

1:06:03

vulnerable to a process

1:06:06

that was arguably curtailed in the Senate.

1:06:08

But I mean it, certainly it was. There was a moment put

1:06:10

it this way. There was a motion filed during the Clinton

1:06:12

impeachment to dismiss. It was denied. This

1:06:14

situation is different because Republicans control

1:06:17

the president's party control the United

1:06:19

States Senate, and so if they have a majority

1:06:21

vote UM plus in the event of

1:06:23

a tie the vice president of vote, they can they can

1:06:25

move to dismiss for indefinitely adjourned

1:06:28

the proceedings. And do you think that might happen?

1:06:31

I think that's a politically dicey

1:06:33

thing. I think the safer course is

1:06:35

probably to allow there to

1:06:37

be a trial, uh and

1:06:39

and for the members to give considered

1:06:42

judgment to the question. I think most people

1:06:44

want to appear to their

1:06:46

constituents as having carefully considered

1:06:49

this to the extent that you were to short circuited.

1:06:51

I suppose there would be a reasonable argument about you're not taking

1:06:53

it seriously, and so a backlash from Democratic

1:06:56

opponents and upcoming elections from

1:06:58

Democrats, from voters, and you know, look,

1:07:00

we're undeniably we're in an election

1:07:02

year now, right and a third of the Senator

1:07:05

is up. So that's obviously something

1:07:07

that they have to keep an eye on. And that brings

1:07:09

me to my final question, what impact do you

1:07:11

think, Bob, this will have on Could

1:07:14

this embolden the president, helped him

1:07:16

in fact get re elected if

1:07:18

it is a long party lines, or

1:07:21

do you think that people will

1:07:24

think he just behaved,

1:07:27

there was a serious error in judgment

1:07:30

and his actions were questionable

1:07:32

at at the very least. I

1:07:34

don't know too many things. But what I do

1:07:36

know from having a review

1:07:38

the history of all of the impeachments is

1:07:41

that they have consequence,

1:07:44

whether intended or unintended,

1:07:47

and sometimes those consequences can

1:07:49

be quite severe. We really don't

1:07:51

know how the electorate

1:07:54

will view this at the end of the day. I think there's

1:07:56

a reasonable question as a result of so

1:07:58

much of what has surface. Whatever you

1:08:00

think the merit of it is, is that I think already

1:08:03

this is seriously damaged the

1:08:05

Vice president's prospects to become the nominee

1:08:08

for the Democratic Party. I don't think you

1:08:10

can really argue to the

1:08:12

contrary. Do you think it's that or do you

1:08:14

think there are other factors? There may be, There

1:08:16

may be other factors. And of course we ultimately

1:08:19

don't know if he became the nominee, how what the

1:08:21

long you know, run effect of that

1:08:23

would be all the way through November of next year.

1:08:25

We also don't even know in the primary process,

1:08:27

you know, how this will play out. I

1:08:29

suppose it depends on how this

1:08:32

plays out before the United States Senate, presumably

1:08:34

in January of next year. The short

1:08:36

answer is one of the dangers

1:08:38

of impeachment is that you go down this road

1:08:40

you never really know where it leads. I mean, I the

1:08:43

fall out of the Clinton impeachment, I don't know. There was

1:08:46

an intended or unintended consequences

1:08:48

that I think that probably cost

1:08:50

al Gore the election against

1:08:52

George W. Bush. You know, you can talk about

1:08:54

whether that's a good thing or a bad thing, but

1:08:57

that was one of the consequences

1:08:59

I think of impeachment. Were there

1:09:01

other factors, sure, but

1:09:03

I don't think that that was an insubstantial factor.

1:09:06

I think that was a significant effect.

1:09:08

I don't know that that would have been anticipated at

1:09:11

the time of impeachment. Only you would only know that

1:09:13

with the benefit of history. And

1:09:15

I think the same will be true here. We're not really going

1:09:17

to know all of the consequences of an impeachment

1:09:20

until probably years later. One

1:09:23

thing is certain. Only time will tell, right,

1:09:25

Like a lot of things in life, But this is a big one,

1:09:28

right, this is a big one. Well,

1:09:30

it's really interesting to get your perspective,

1:09:32

Bob Ray, Thank you so much for stopping by.

1:09:35

Thanks very us pleasure.

1:09:37

Yeah, nice to see you. Nice to meet you. Same

1:09:39

here. Thanks so

1:09:41

much everyone for listening to this episode

1:09:43

of Next Question. We hope we've provided

1:09:46

you with some information in some context

1:09:49

so you can better understand what's going

1:09:51

on these days on Capitol Hill

1:09:54

with the impeachment hearings

1:09:56

and what constitutes or

1:09:58

doesn't high crime and misdemeanors.

1:10:01

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