Episode Transcript
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0:10
What's up everybody. Welcome to the NFL
0:13
Fantasy Live Podcast. I am not
0:15
Marcus Grant. No, I
0:17
am Michael Fabriano here with Graham
0:20
Barfield. Marcus not with us
0:22
today, so we will do our best to
0:24
make up for his absence. Yeah, Marcus
0:27
and his girlfriend are are kind
0:29
of in holding pattern. Wait, need to have a kid exciting
0:32
time. Yeah, send
0:34
Marcus you're well. Wishes. Yeah, so obviously
0:36
we wish Marcus uh and his
0:38
u mr is the best and uh
0:40
hopefully we'll have some some very good news
0:43
very soon, maybe on the next podcast.
0:45
I think I'm very I don't think I'm more excited than Marcus is.
0:48
Well, that does a little weird, that's
0:51
a little straight. Marcus is
0:53
just not the type to get excited about a lot of things. Yeah,
0:55
no, I exactly, yeah, exactly, unless
0:57
it's like USC or the Dodgers or something
0:59
like something that Ken Brown with us
1:01
today behind the glass, Ken, how are
1:03
you? I'm doing well? And yeah, you mentioned him
1:05
with USC. I don't think there's a lot to be excited for with us.
1:08
It needs to put all the focus into the kid. Yeah,
1:11
and um uh WrestleMania
1:13
is coming up, buddy, right I'm a big wrestling
1:16
fan. Oh yeah, are you going?
1:18
No, I can't go my days of going
1:21
to WrestleMania or over man, I got a
1:23
kid to deal with, and you know, when
1:25
it's in I'll go. But
1:27
like I can't, Like it's in New York, I'm gonna New York
1:29
exactly. I can't do that. My girlfriend, my girlfriend
1:32
killing me. It should be a good card, but overall, I'm
1:34
not going to make the trip out in New York either. I
1:36
can't wait to see miss beat the snot out of
1:38
Shane McMahon. It's gonna happen.
1:41
It's gotta happen. It's gotta happen. All
1:43
right, guys, let's get to the news.
1:57
Well, unless you've been living under a rock, um,
1:59
you you know that Rob Gronkowski
2:02
has is it officially retired,
2:05
because then you hear all these reports that he might come
2:07
back. So at this point, Rob Gronkowski
2:09
has retired from the National Football League
2:12
and Graham, he was arguably
2:14
the best fantasy tight end
2:17
of all time, gonna be hard to replace. I
2:20
mean, I think he's retired. I
2:22
think we've kind of been waiting on this for so many years now.
2:24
I mean, with with his back and knee and
2:27
arm problems. I think we've all kind
2:29
of been waiting on the inevitability that he would just kind of hit
2:31
a wall. It kind of seems like he's maybe already
2:33
having second thoughts, and if it turns August
2:35
and he's like kind of getting the edge, it kind of sounds like he'll come
2:37
back. But yeah, Gronk
2:39
is the best tight end of all time. I think it's kind of been crazy
2:42
and ridiculous, like people feel like they haven't avenue
2:44
they have to have a contrarian opinion. Um,
2:46
even though it's of course Gronk
2:48
is the best tight end of all time and he is a surefire
2:51
first out ballot hall face. Yeah. I mean,
2:53
you know, you could throw the names out there, Shannon Sharp, Tony
2:56
Gonzaz were a fantasy show. No
2:58
tight end in the history of the lead who's played in at least
3:00
sixty five games has average more PPR points
3:03
than Gronkowsk. I mean, the dude was a touchdown
3:05
machine, and he was he was entertainment
3:08
to man. Those Gronk spikes, you had to love it. No
3:10
tight end has ever averaged more yards per game, or
3:12
touchdowns per game, or yards per target, and
3:14
Gronkowski at his best was probably
3:17
one of the best run blocking tight ends in the
3:20
NFL histories. Couldn't cover him red zone
3:22
machine, and he was a great blocker. I mean that's why
3:25
I mean that Chargers game in
3:27
the playoffs was so it was just a classic ground
3:29
game because I mean, he didn't have a huge receiving game,
3:31
obviously, but he was so so good and so effective
3:33
in their in their running game. It was a huge part of what they
3:36
did. Patriots are gonna miss him, obviously,
3:38
and I mean even even a shell of Gronkowski
3:41
like we had kind of the playoffs in this past year, they'll
3:43
still miss that. You're not buying into Matt
3:45
Lacosse. I guess, oh
3:48
boy, well, you know what, Gronkowski's
3:50
Uh, he's retired at this point. We'll see
3:52
if that changes as we get through
3:55
the off season. But absolutely, first
3:57
ballot Hall of Famer, the best tight end and Fantasy football
3:59
history re and uh he goes on on top
4:01
two goes out on top of the Super Bowl championship
4:04
another one. I guess
4:06
it's kind of a quasi on top because he kind of took
4:08
his time to say he was retiring but sure, Yeah,
4:11
I can't. I can't wait to see him wrestle. And
4:14
you know that's coming. He's gonna wrestle. Oh, I was surprised
4:16
he wasn't it raw on Monday. It was in Boston.
4:18
I thought he just remired he's gonna show up and
4:21
be on Monday night Raw. Yeah, he'll probably be at WRESTLEMANI
4:23
and you would think so, he's been there
4:25
before, so do it again? Getting
4:28
in acting too, dude, Like there's gonna be a reality
4:30
TV show, you know. I
4:32
mean this guy, Uh, he's
4:35
he's made a lot of money. You're gonna make a lot more money. Outside
4:38
of the game of professional football.
4:40
Now, we talk about the Patriots
4:42
and you lose a huge red zone
4:44
threat in Rob Gronkowski despite what his numbers
4:47
look like in two thousand and eighteen. You
4:49
know, the Patriots they're
4:52
right now, they're in a bit of a hole in terms of pass catchers.
4:55
Graham, it is they are. But I mean, at
4:57
the same time, Brady and all of
4:59
them. Man edge last year without Gronkowski
5:02
most of the year. Um Edelman is gonna be
5:04
another year old, but I mean he's gonna get peppered with targets
5:06
again, but moved him up. Absolutely, they
5:08
have got to. I will be surprised
5:10
if they don't come out of the draft with at
5:13
least one tight end. And they have I believe
5:15
six top one picks, so they're going to
5:17
be well arranged to target Fan, Target,
5:20
Hawkinson, Target or Smith from Alabama.
5:22
No. Imagine, imagine if they got one of
5:24
the top three tight ends, like suddenly, everyone
5:26
in the fantasy football world would be like sleeper
5:29
fat sleeper Hawkinson and
5:31
mean and and our lands are line as compared
5:33
Hockinson to Travis Kelsey Getty up. Yeah,
5:36
I mean they were apparently in on the Antonio Brown
5:38
swoopsticks, which I can believe now, especially
5:40
since they Bill Belichick probably knew
5:43
Gronk. This would be Gronk's last ride. I can't
5:45
believe that the Steelers would do that though. Yeah,
5:47
that was never gonna happen for that, they
5:49
were never going to trade him to the a f c um.
5:51
But yeah, the Patriots are in a bit of a bind
5:54
right now. Um, we'll see James White
5:56
and and Julian Edelman get get their fair share
5:58
of targets, and Brady will just they'll
6:00
just plot along like they always do. But um,
6:03
yeah, this definitely takes a huge explosive vertical
6:05
element out of their passing offense. Because even when gronkowskis
6:08
like I've mentioned, he's he was a shell of this self last
6:10
year, he's still fantastic. I mean, right
6:12
now, you're looking at Philip thor said as their number
6:14
two, Maria Harris as their three at
6:16
the wide receiver position, and uh, and
6:19
I mentioned Maddie Lacosse now
6:21
would be projected to have the most fantasy value
6:23
among Patriots side ends. We'll see what happens there,
6:25
but um, yeah, the Patriots, you would
6:28
expect them to do a little bit of something. Uh.
6:30
One draft, I wonder if they'll kick the tires
6:32
on Jimmy Graham. Well, and
6:34
he's available, and he's he I mean he's
6:37
gonna be He'll be signed on a one year deal.
6:39
There's a there's a chance because Graham has had basically
6:42
essentially no free agency puts whatsoever.
6:45
Um, he's still sitting out there. I mean, I wonder if they'll go
6:47
after him. But yeah, it's
6:50
they're gonna be very thin. They're gonna roll into this year and be
6:52
very thin regardless. Well
6:55
is Graham or free agent though Jimmy
6:57
Graham, Yeah, I don't think he's a free
6:59
agent. Is he still on the Packers roster? He's still
7:01
in the Packers roster. Yeah. I thought they'd come that
7:04
was wrong. Graham is still on the roster. That that's sort of
7:06
why, uh and a lot
7:08
of our guys have the Packers taking a tight end
7:10
in their mock drafts. That would sort of be
7:12
a dynasty league situation there too, unless
7:14
the Packers decide that they do want to cut ties with Jimmy
7:16
Graham. But he's still on. He's still
7:18
on the roster and um, although you wouldn't
7:20
know it after what he did or didn't do last
7:23
season. So with the Patriots
7:26
now losing Gronkowski, we think
7:28
you would expect there to be potentially a
7:31
bigger increase in terms of the ground
7:33
attack with Sony Michelle and James
7:35
White who and I've seen a lot of rankings out
7:37
there. Obviously, Graham and I we do our own rankings.
7:39
And if the Patriots don't do something
7:42
in terms of improving their pass catchers. Let's not forget
7:44
James White was a top ten PPR running back. I get
7:47
it. He faded at the end of the last season, but he
7:49
could still see a lot of targets and a lot of opportunities
7:52
in that past stack off. The Patriots don't do a little
7:54
something something to improve what they have right now
7:56
at their pass catcher position, which is uh
7:58
Julian Edelman and uh not much
8:00
of anything else. That's it. That's it, that's
8:03
always got right now. Ye Speaking of uh
8:05
tight ends, Jared Cook did sign somewhere,
8:07
I did, guess with the New Orleans Saints, where
8:10
Jimmy Graham used to play, and Cook
8:12
was a top ten tight end last season with the Oakland
8:14
Raiders. Goes to New Orleans where I
8:17
mean Graham had a lot of success. Clearly since
8:19
then, you know, not so much. You know Ben Watson
8:21
kind of what do you expect from Jared Cook?
8:23
And you see still a top ten tight end from
8:26
a fantasy respective in New Orleans. I don't know
8:28
why I didn't my Jimmy had Jimmy Graham got cut.
8:30
That's weird anyway, Maybe you're just
8:32
trying to will that the world. I
8:34
guess I am. Yeah. Jared Cook. Um, look,
8:37
he's still Jared Cook. He's still
8:39
a maddenly frustrating player. Um, he'll
8:41
be thirty two to start or excuse
8:43
me, I'll be thirty two to start this next year, um
8:47
My Stints of the Stints have kind of punted on their tight end
8:49
position, like you mentioned, since Jimmy Graham left, they
8:51
have not had an impact receiver. I
8:54
think Jimmy, I mean, I think Jared Cook can
8:56
come in and catch fifty five balls. But am I super excited
8:59
for him? Is like a top twelve fantasy
9:01
tight end there. It's just it's still Jared
9:03
Cook. Michael Thomas is going to get his fair share.
9:05
Alvin Kamara is gonna get his fair share. I say he's
9:08
he's sort of a back end tight end one because
9:10
of the offense because he's catching passes from Drew
9:12
Brees. But let's not forget he became the number one option
9:14
in Oakland last year for Derek Carr. Right,
9:17
they traded Mary Cooper to the Dallas Cowboys. Jordy
9:19
Nelson who who has retired now it
9:22
was a shell of his former self. They didn't have much of anything.
9:24
Martavis Bryant was in trouble again. So
9:27
you've got a situation there where you know Cook
9:29
was going from being the top option to being
9:32
three four, Maybe New Orleans because
9:35
you've got Alvin Kamara there as well, So who who
9:37
catches? As
9:39
we know, two fabs. The Saints always love to rotate
9:41
the receivers too, so it's not like Cook is
9:44
going to have necessarily a locked
9:46
in role in their passing offense every single week.
9:48
So perfect tie in here
9:50
to our next topic. Saints.
9:53
The NFL owners decided to pass the new
9:56
p I rule. Uh, what's the fantasy
9:58
impact here? I've think it's negligible,
10:02
but it's still like, I mean, this is one of
10:04
those things that they just couldn't mess up. It's obvious that
10:06
this needed to happen, right, I mean after
10:08
I mean, that was a disaster. This should have happened four
10:11
or five years ago. Though, Like all plays should
10:13
have been reviewable, especially like pretty
10:15
obvious non p I calls, right,
10:18
yeah, obviously great to see. Um, well,
10:20
they can also a red flag if they believe
10:22
there was a p I that wasn't called right,
10:25
And if there was a p I that was called
10:28
correct and they don't agree with it, then
10:30
they could throw the flag. I don't like the new
10:32
rule really. I don't like being able
10:34
to challenge non calls to me, you
10:37
can call pass interference on almost every
10:39
play, So I don't know would you be
10:41
thinking that way if you were a Sales fan. Yeah,
10:43
but ultimately ultimately
10:45
yes, because you can't just look at one play
10:48
and make a rule change based on that. The problem.
10:50
The problem though is, um, you
10:53
still only get two challenges. I mean,
10:55
so it's not like you're gonna be sitting there throwing the red flag on every
10:57
ticky tacky. Then everybody on
11:00
social media is like, oh, the game is gonna get longer. Really,
11:02
so the game is already
11:05
I know, even if it gets a little bit longer, you're gonna turn the
11:07
channel. Hell no, people say football
11:10
people say this every single year and they end up
11:12
watching the same four hour games that we all do. I just feel
11:14
like they missed so many calls with replay anyways,
11:17
that to me, less replay the better.
11:19
I'm kind of one of those people. The more WePlay. If
11:21
they were accurate with these I
11:24
would be fine with it. But they're like, so
11:27
you're not a big fan of the final thirty seconds of college
11:29
basketball games? Exactly. Definitely
11:31
not moving on Philip
11:33
Lindsay, who had risk surgery. Right
11:35
now, there's a report that he won't be ready for O t A should
11:38
be ready for training camp. Let me ask you a question, Graham,
11:41
Everyone including myself, was on the Royce
11:43
Freeman bandwagon at the beginning of last season.
11:45
Okay, Lindsay comes in and his
11:47
yards per cary was ridiculous, insane
11:50
playmaker, caught around thirty five balls
11:52
out of the backfield. Really became maybe
11:55
the best waiver wire pick up in fantasy football last
11:57
season. And we're
11:59
all high him now. Is there any
12:01
possibility that this is the Royce Freeman
12:04
year? I we we don't see it now.
12:06
We're all on the Lindsay bandwagon. Is this potentially
12:08
the year that Royce Freeman comes in and puts a little
12:11
dent into those touches, especially with with
12:13
Lindsay expected to miss some time in the off season.
12:16
I hope not. Because Philip Lindsay has the
12:19
type of running style and type of He's just the type
12:21
of player like you just don't want to take off the field. And Joe
12:23
flacc Joe Flacco loves dumping
12:25
off to his running backs um Over the last three
12:27
years, Flacco has targeted his running
12:29
backs at twenty four percent clip. That's
12:32
the fourth highest rate behind Breeze, Tom
12:34
Brady and Mitch true Biski. Um, Flacco
12:37
at this point in his career can't really throw
12:39
deep. He's shaky in the intermediate
12:41
areas and he can only dump off. So if Philip
12:43
Lindsay is healthy, I want him on all of my PPR
12:46
fantasy leagues this year. But yeah, this lingering
12:48
risky shoe. I mean, obviously it sounds very
12:50
very serious for a broken bone to require
12:53
this level of you know, this level
12:55
of maintenance, and and um, yeah, I just
12:57
got to hope he gets back in time for August,
13:00
as long as he's there for training camp and he's healthy
13:02
for all and we're good. We're all in. We're all in.
13:04
Yesterday did uh Mock Draft
13:07
Live with Cole Wright and the guys, and
13:09
we were talking about Peter Schrager's mock draft
13:12
and he had Dwayne Haskins going to the Broncos at
13:14
number ten, and I
13:16
get it. You know, it would be more of a dynasty league
13:18
add because Joe Flacco is going to be the starter in twenty
13:20
nineteen as long as he's healthy and the Broncos are competitive,
13:23
But think about Haskins
13:25
with that big arm. Courtland
13:27
Sutton DeShawn Hamilton's Lindsay
13:30
who that that that that
13:32
could be a fantasy friendly offensive that happens. I'm
13:34
just not convinced John Elway knows how to scout quarterback.
13:37
I mean, I mean, he was a great quarterback, but he's shown
13:39
Mike frances Sam to think that he's great. Yeah,
13:42
I don't know, by the way, but bron James is
13:44
this type of player too, Like he's he's an incredible athlete,
13:46
but every time he recruits a player, it's like so
13:50
so. But I love Mike Francis, Okay,
13:52
I love him. But last week Evan
13:54
Silva got mentioned on Francis
13:57
to Show and I believe it twice and Francessa
14:00
all them Evan Silver because Francessa
14:02
puts an R at the end of every word that ends in
14:04
avowal um. So Evan
14:07
and I've been I've been texting with him and tweeting
14:09
with him hashtag legend. I love
14:11
to get on Francises Show. I can't get on there, and
14:13
Evan Silver's on there, man, that's great
14:16
for the fantasy community. And then
14:18
I can't you know what I got so and
14:21
I'm gonna name drop, fine whatever, but you know Jim
14:23
nance is a really good friend of mine. He's really close to
14:25
Francessa. And even Jim
14:27
and Francesa played in fantasy leagues that I was in years
14:30
ago, although it wasn't him running the team.
14:32
I think it was. I think it was maybe Rich Acerban
14:34
or Mark Melussis that was running Frances's team, and Dog
14:37
was in the league too. But even
14:39
then, with Jim telling Mike,
14:41
hey, let him on the show and talk,
14:44
Francessa would have nothing to do with it. Nothing.
14:46
The only time that I was ever on
14:48
Frances's show was to talk
14:50
about and I can't remember the guy's name. It was a
14:53
Las Vegas singer, slash
14:56
Uh. He was. He was an
14:58
entertainer who had passed away and I was at
15:01
one of his final shows and I got on talking about
15:03
that, not even fantasy football, that was it. And
15:05
I'd tell you that was one of the most nervous I had ever been,
15:07
and I've been, you know, on air and on TV for
15:10
like ever. I was nervous calling in life
15:12
to France Let's just show because that was like the show that
15:14
I grew up with, Mike and the Mad Dog. It was great.
15:16
Dude was awesome, and you never know what you're gonna get out
15:18
of him too, and just might be in full hyper
15:21
mode and not want any part of you for that
15:23
whole interview and then you're You're done. As much
15:25
as I love him, what is it fun house on Twitter? Dude,
15:28
it's pretty funny. It's pretty funny. Yeah,
15:30
alright, Moving on, Jamis Winston
15:33
wants to play at two hundred fifty pounds
15:35
in nineteen. Now, we're
15:37
not talking about him becoming the next
15:40
Jered Lorenz, remember him, dude,
15:43
a hefty lefty. But Winston at two
15:45
fifty and Winston's
15:47
gonna end up being one of those players that a
15:49
lot of us in the fantasy industry are gonna be targeting
15:51
late because Bruce arians factor,
15:54
offensive minded coach. And if
15:56
you put Fitzpatrick, who is now
15:59
in Miami, and Jamis Winston's
16:01
numbers together last year, you're looking at one of the one of the
16:03
two or three best quarterbacks in fantasy football. So
16:06
what do you think of Winston wanting to play at two
16:08
fitty and what do you think for his
16:10
uh about his fantasy perspective
16:12
for twenty nineteen. I'm now pulling
16:15
up his weight on Google so
16:17
he's two twenty, he's listed it to seven. Now
16:19
he wants to put on twenty five pounds for what reason.
16:22
I don't know that he wants to play at two fifty.
16:24
Man, I have no idea. I mean, he does live in
16:26
Florida, and there's a lot of good soul food, especially
16:28
in Tanta, good barbecue. So maybe you could do it. But
16:31
I don't see the point. And we
16:33
know he likes crab legs, but those I
16:37
got, I gotta take shots at jamis
16:39
when I got man, I thought I thought
16:41
we had blown past that for years. So his his
16:44
quote is I'm gonna play bigger
16:46
this year. Uh. He was at Bruce Arians
16:49
Charity Golf tournament in Arizona, a solid two
16:51
fifty. It's just about hydration and being
16:53
at the peak body too. That's
16:56
a big boy like quarterback at six fourths
16:58
gonna be I mean, that's gonna be hard to tackle him, that's
17:01
for sure. I can give him twenty if he
17:03
wants them to very quick. I'll
17:05
give him about eighth to tid of mine as well. Man. Uh.
17:07
Lastly, now this one,
17:10
so we're all gonna be sort of looking
17:12
at what the rams do. Uh In the draft
17:15
and the rest of the off season because there's so many questions
17:17
about Todd Gurley and that that knee uh,
17:19
and we've heard reports that it's an art riddick. Uh.
17:22
They matched the Lions offer to Malcolm
17:24
Brown, so Brown will remain in Los Angeles.
17:27
And it looks like and I haven't talked
17:29
to c J lately, but it looks like the Rams
17:31
are gonna pass on him and bringing
17:33
him back. So if that happens,
17:36
I guess that would be a good thing for Gurley's fantasy value.
17:38
The Rams obviously needs some depth behind him. But
17:41
Peter Schreeger, who again we focused
17:45
on his mock draft on Mock
17:47
Draft Live yesterday, had the Rams
17:49
taking Miles Sanders at number
17:51
thirty one overall. If the Rams draft
17:54
the running back, Graham, is that going to absolutely
17:56
freak you out when it's
17:59
time for you to draft. Been their first round and girly
18:01
staring at you. I don't think that they'll take a running
18:03
back in their first round. And I didn't think so either. I thought
18:05
that was a little nuts, but and I said it, I said
18:07
so. But they they
18:10
still have a ton of cash
18:12
left on Gurley's deal, a ton of cash
18:14
at least for this year. Uh. Yeah,
18:16
they're gonna go into two thousand and nineteen
18:19
with Todd Gurley. Is their future back regardless
18:21
of hisney because they have to. I mean they've put
18:23
so they have such a massive stunk cost into that
18:25
contract. Uh, they don't really have another
18:27
option. Um. It has been a little bit surprised
18:30
to see literally zero buzz
18:32
around c J. Anderson. Um, I
18:34
mean he I think c J surprise too. Yeah,
18:36
I mean he'll he'll resurface at some point during
18:38
the summer. Obviously there were questions,
18:41
you know, kind of swirling about some of his conditioning problems
18:43
when he was originally coming back into the NFL
18:46
with the Rams that could have laid
18:48
over. But yeah, I'm a little bit surprised he has not gotten
18:50
any basically any interest
18:53
or any offers. That said though, um
18:55
yeah, them matching Malcolm Brown's offer and
18:57
basically being immobile um
19:00
to the rest of the free agency running
19:02
backs is very good sign for Girlies. Is
19:04
for Girlies need at least for this year. Long term, I have
19:07
major major questions, um, and I would
19:09
be very concerned as the Todd Gurley dynasty owner,
19:11
But for this year, I still think we
19:13
can kind of peck him as like a top five or six back.
19:16
But we're I mean, we're all gonna
19:18
be walking on next shows until we see him
19:20
be be that same explosive player again.
19:22
Maybe it's week one, maybe it's week four, maybe it's never
19:24
again. Um, until then
19:27
we'll be we'll be hoping girlies, right yeah,
19:29
And uh, we'll be reviewing my first mock
19:31
draft five rounder, which will be on NFL
19:33
dot com later on today, and uh, we'll
19:36
let you know where I have girly and if Graham agrees
19:38
or disagrees with where I am putting him, and
19:40
kay, that's the news. So
19:55
with the Rob Gronkowski retirement
19:58
news, I thought that gra him and I
20:00
should go in and talk about some of the tight ends
20:02
that we see that are going to be on the rise
20:05
in twenty nineteen. And I get
20:07
it, we all had an
20:09
unbelievably difficult time trying
20:11
to fill that position unless you had Kelsey or zach
20:13
Ertz or or George Kiddle. Last season, it
20:15
was tough. Eric E. Brunn was also fantastic,
20:18
But I would contend that the tight end position
20:21
is going to start to rise back. Okay,
20:23
And I said this with the running back position in the revival
20:25
a few seasons ago. But I
20:27
want to talk about the tight
20:29
ends that we feel could end up being maybe
20:32
not elite, but very close to elite
20:34
in nineteen Now, obviously,
20:36
Kelsey Ertz, we're not talking about George
20:39
Kiddle. Those guys were already at the top of their game. One
20:42
of the players that I expect to break out, and
20:44
he only didn't break out this past season because he blew out
20:46
his knees. Hunter Henry Hunter,
20:48
Henry is a guy I have ranked fourth among
20:50
tight ends right now. And in an
20:52
offense that you know you just lose Tyrolle
20:54
Williams to to free agency. Antonio
20:57
Gates may or may not be back. That's not going to really put
20:59
a dent in Henry's value. But this
21:02
is a guy here that I could see easily catching
21:04
sixty passes in that offense. Yeah, Hunter Henry
21:06
is going to be I think once once everyone
21:09
kind of realized how how ridiculous is ADP
21:11
is. Right now, I don't know if you've looked into too much of like
21:13
average draft position early, but Ebron is
21:15
going in like the fifth, sixth, seven. Bron is gonna be
21:17
a bust. He's gonna be a bust if if you're taking
21:19
him that in that high and then Hunter Henry is going
21:21
in like the eighth or ninth. Rent, I mean,
21:23
we're obviously baking in some touchdown
21:25
aggression with Ebron in that some some
21:28
yeah, for sure, some uh, And you're
21:31
getting a basically similarly
21:33
upside in terms of upside, You're getting a similar
21:36
talented I think player, uh
21:39
like four rounds cheaper and a better offense. Yeah,
21:42
yeah, dude, give me that. I'm all in on him. I'm also
21:44
all in on O. J. Howard. Okay, targets
21:47
are gonna be available. De Sean Jackson was traded to Philadelphia.
21:49
Adam Humphreys went to the Tennessee Titans. You've
21:51
got Mike Evans. You've got Chris Godwin, who I love
21:54
but I loved last year and I love even more now. I
21:57
mean, we could talk about him on another show.
21:59
But dude, I'm digging on him. I'm trying to get him
22:01
in every draft. I have him in my Dynasty League.
22:03
Get you up. But O J. Howard, and
22:06
he showed flashes last season, guys, before
22:08
he went down with the injury. He started to look
22:10
like he was gonna be one of those top five
22:12
tight ends. The key, the key to targeting these
22:14
tight ends before they break out is I think
22:16
in terms of looking into their efficiency
22:19
based on like how they've played on their limited
22:21
snaps. So over the past three seasons,
22:24
O J. Howard is fourth in yards
22:27
game per route run, behind Rob Gronkowski,
22:29
George Kittle, and Travis Kelsey. Hunter Company
22:31
Hunter Henry is fifth behind O J.
22:34
Howard, just marginally behind a Hunter Henry or
22:36
excuse me, phind O J. Howard. Both of those
22:38
guys are gonna be hyped up, especially Henry
22:40
once, like I said, people are gonna realize his ADP is
22:42
insane and start hammering that. Um I
22:45
I think I might be a little bit priced on O. J.
22:47
Howard this year, though, I'll be honest, because the
22:50
Bucks have I mean, they've got too
22:52
fantastic receivers and Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.
22:55
Um yes, Bruce arians has never had
22:57
a tight end of O J. Howard's caliber, but
22:59
still they have two borderline alpha
23:02
receivers there. And I think the Bucks
23:04
will be more competitive this year, and if they're throwing less
23:06
that might mean fewer targets. I think Howard
23:08
is probably priced somewhat
23:10
efficiently. Um, but again, like
23:12
I come back, that's like what I'd rather have O. J. Howard
23:15
in the sixth or target Hunter Henry in the eighth
23:17
or ninth. And I well, I mean that's yeah, dude,
23:19
I mean, I mean, right now, it's just a pricing it's a pricing
23:21
problem, and and Hunter
23:23
going you know, behind, And
23:26
I love O. J. Howard, but behind Howard and Ibron
23:28
just doesn't make any sense to me at all. Evan Ingram
23:30
for the New York Giants. We all expect him to see an upticking
23:32
targets in twenty nineteen with the departure
23:34
of Odeo Beckham Jr. He is
23:37
in my top six. He's the guy who broke out
23:39
as a rookie and then last season didn't really start
23:41
producing on our consistent basis until the end of So
23:43
let's go with JA got hurt. Let's go through and so you've got Kelsey,
23:46
Art's Kittle, who's five for
23:48
you, Howard, and
23:51
then you've got Ingram at six six, and
23:53
then I've got Ebron. I just like, I
23:55
think you can make a case for Henry over Ebron
23:57
too. Like, if if we get a clean. Yeah, I have a
24:00
Overbron. We kind of have a clean bill of health on
24:02
Henry. I mean he came back in the playoffs
24:04
and he wasn't a factor, but he played,
24:07
um, which is obviously a great sign. I think
24:10
I don't will be interesting. I might end up
24:12
putting Henry over Howard to when it also when Yeah,
24:14
I have Henry over Howard right now as well. And dude,
24:16
like I always talk about it, every year there's guys
24:19
who have the magical season right it's the Oh
24:21
my goodness, this guy was tremendous. He was better than
24:23
we all thought he was gonna be. Ibron will never
24:25
have a better season than he had from a fantasy perspective
24:27
last season. Fourteen total touchdownce Okay,
24:30
I think that's like third or fourth all time
24:32
among tight ends in single season touchdowns
24:34
scored. And uh like
24:37
Devin Functions is going to come in and take some of the red zone
24:39
opportunities and Functions as a guy that
24:42
that Frank Wright likes clearly um
24:45
that they brought him in on a one year, proved deal and he's
24:47
still the young player, a guy who's
24:49
gonna be utilized I believe by Andrew Luck
24:52
and take some of the Bron's targets away,
24:54
and then you got Jack Doyle back for an entire season. We
24:56
would expect. I do think though that
24:59
the bit about Doyle, what would concern
25:01
me about like Ebron not I mean, obviously
25:03
a touchdowns regress, He's not going to score fourteen, but
25:05
he saw a hundred in Tenbron saw a hundred
25:08
in ten targets last year. Like people, I think people are
25:10
kind of clossing over that Doyle underwent
25:12
another hip surgery this offseason. He's gonna
25:14
be limited for o t a s. He's apparently might
25:17
even be sideline to training camp. What are the chances
25:19
that Doyle struggles through injuries again? You know that's
25:22
very possible, and we're back looking at Bron getting targets.
25:25
That's something that you have to keep tabs. Of course, he's not
25:27
going to score the insane touchdowns again.
25:29
One of those touchdowns too, wasn't it like on a weird rushing
25:32
touchdown touchdown maybe had thirteen touchdown
25:35
catches and then you had the rushing touchdown there
25:37
too, which probably made a lot of fantasy
25:39
owners who had the Colts running back at the time salty,
25:42
right, Um other tight ends
25:44
that I like that you could probably get
25:46
dirt cheap in your drafts. Now,
25:49
clearly we're gonna be talking about fan, we're gonna be talking about Hackins,
25:51
and we're gonna be talking about our Smith. We don't know where they're going to
25:53
go, and I don't know that they're gonna be very valuable
25:56
in redrafts. It depends on where they land. Obviously,
25:59
Uh, if they go to Green Bay. If one of them goes to Green
26:01
Bay, you're behind Jimmy Graham at least at this point,
26:04
So that could be sort of a one year wait and say
26:07
that's right, Graham is off the roster. Uh. So
26:10
like if if one of these guys goes to say,
26:13
you know, the Buffalo Bills, who could you know use the tight end
26:15
they signed Tyler Croft? But okay, whatever, the
26:17
Jaguars could use the tight end as well. If one of these
26:19
guys gets put in a position where they can see
26:22
targets and opportunities right away, then uh,
26:24
clearly they're going to be more valuable in redrafts. But
26:26
some of the players that I have, Uh,
26:29
clearly you've got to be looking at vance McDonald's
26:31
right, because Pittsburgh's lost Levian
26:34
Bell, They've lost Antonio Brown
26:36
or traded him, so he's
26:38
gonna see potentially more opportunities. We saw
26:40
some flashes from from Chris Herndon last
26:43
season for the Jets, right uh. And Sam
26:45
Donald has a full year under his belt now as an
26:47
NFL starter, so that's big and a
26:50
couple of deep ones. You know, we're gonna talk about La cost
26:52
but we'll see what the Patriots do. But what
26:55
about Dallas Goddard. I mean, I get it like there
26:57
may not be enough targets to go
26:59
around because they have so many weapons, but he
27:01
showed some flashes in his rookie campaign. Yeah,
27:04
the only problem. That's the only problem is now they have
27:06
Deshan Jackson, Alicehan, Jefferies healthy.
27:09
Zach Ertz is a machine. Um. I think
27:11
if we want to wrap it up on a really interesting conversation
27:14
David and joking, he's always been
27:17
kind of hyped up and right now, like
27:19
there's just not enough opportunity for me to be
27:21
super interested in drafting him, like the seventh
27:23
eighth round where he's going. Um, once
27:25
Baker Mayfield took over. Yeah, once
27:28
Baker Maker Mayfield took over as
27:30
a starter in Joku average only
27:32
four point six targets per game. Now
27:34
they've added Odell Beckham Jr. He's
27:37
kind of good. Um again, like
27:39
it comes down to like a pricing inefficiency
27:41
right now, Like running backs and receivers
27:44
buy and large right now in ADP or priced very
27:46
efficiently. But I mean, these tight ends right now
27:48
are it's it's it's shaky
27:50
because Ingram's I think Ingram's too low. I think
27:53
I just can't I can't believe in Joker's going that high.
27:55
Like he's a double digit round tight
27:57
end right now, honestly, Like and
28:01
Joko he finished US at top ten titan last
28:03
season. But the tight end position sucks terrible.
28:05
People are buying in on the hype of the Browns. That's
28:08
essentially what it comes down to. I mean, I again
28:10
it but like you have, like honestly,
28:12
like let's let's look at their offense. Okay, who's
28:14
the first option? We would Odell Beckham Jr.
28:16
Who's the second option? Maybe it's Nick Chubb. Who's the third
28:18
option, Maybe it's Jarvis Henry and then Kareem
28:21
hunt Will will eventually be on the roster too. I
28:23
mean, and Jokers like the fourth option in that offense
28:25
right now. Yeah, it's seventh eight th seven,
28:28
way too high, way too high.
28:30
Yeah, that that's what that was. I think kind of
28:32
the flag I wanted to put on this is
28:34
like, I'm not really entirely sure
28:37
what people are expecting right now in terms
28:39
of early ADP is way too early to make
28:41
any fair assumptions. But yeah, and joke, who
28:43
is is going to go? Dude, I am waiting on tight end. I'm
28:45
waiting a quarterback. It's something I've always done. Unless
28:47
I can get a Hunter Henry somewhere, like that's
28:50
a Steel or an R. J. Howard or
28:52
an Evan Ingram, I'm just gonna wait. I'm
28:54
just gonna wait on that position. And I think it will get deeper
28:57
with this incoming draft class. Obviously, with
29:00
the three guys we've mentioned, it will get younger,
29:02
and hopefully it'll get deeper and better from
29:04
a fantasy respective over the next couple of years.
29:07
So let's move on from the tight end position to my
29:09
mock draft, and I do
29:11
these starting right after
29:14
free agency every month leading up
29:16
into the start of the regular season. Uh
29:18
as we get deeper, I do ten rounds right now, I'm doing
29:20
five rounds and that's gonna be released on NFL
29:22
dot com shortly. So I wanted
29:25
to have Graham sort of like you're
29:27
you're the professor, man, You're like the teacher. You're gonna
29:29
you're gonna say, here's the gold star.
29:31
I like this pick, or you're gonna hit me with a ruler
29:34
and think, hey, you're you're misbehaving with
29:36
this one. I don't know where you're coming out now. My top
29:38
five guys say kwan Zeke,
29:41
Kimara, CMC and
29:43
Girly. And this is a PPR league
29:45
because is there any anybody
29:47
playing standard anymore? He
29:49
would he would come over here and have something to do. He
29:52
PPR PPR Standard. That's
29:55
yeah, that's right. That's my top that's my top five.
29:58
My first seven picks are running Actus, Melvin Gordon
30:00
Levi on Bell at six and seven, New Copins
30:03
at eight, Davante Adams at nine, and then
30:05
Julio Jones at ten. What say
30:07
you, Graham? Yeah? The top six this year is
30:09
so easy. I mean you can I mean, do
30:11
you think I have Bell too low? I have him
30:13
at seven. That's I've seen people
30:16
put him at three or four, and I think that's too I I've
30:18
had I have Bell at seven, okay, well, and after
30:20
Gordon I have I don't have um, I
30:23
have Kamara now at two with with
30:25
Ingram for sure out but obviously, I mean
30:28
you could make the case for Zeke even at one. At this
30:30
point, du Um, the more of
30:32
the contentious point I think I have. If anything in this first
30:34
round is Julio at ten, I think I'm
30:36
going to be much higher on juju than
30:40
it would have seemed. I'm gonna be higher on ju so
30:42
so juju. Then
30:44
your rankings will be ahead of Julio Jones.
30:46
He will be ahead of Julio You will
30:48
not be ahead of Michael Thomas, who you have going
30:51
at to the first pick of the second round.
30:53
Who you get too in a sick juju as a
30:55
first rounder for you? Border one?
30:57
Wow? Yeah, I mean look the
30:59
Steeler are I get it? I get it,
31:01
dude. I mean he was the most past heavy offense
31:03
in the NFL. Uh, Antonio Brown
31:06
is gone, Levy on Bella's conu.
31:09
Yeah, unless they draft like Hackim Butler
31:12
or something in the first round. Um, James Washington
31:14
introduced in this Schusters, I mean it's a fine in
31:16
Monk Croof. That's a fine trio, but Juju is by
31:18
far the best player of that trio. And with
31:21
moncriefinte, they'll be able to move him into the slot.
31:23
Juju into this lot more like he was in the past.
31:26
Yeah, I think he's gonna go nuts this year. And
31:28
hey, look he's I wouldn't be shocked. He's only twenty
31:30
three. I know, I know he's young. Dudes, I love him.
31:32
I love on and off the field. I love him. Yeah, and
31:35
I'd love to see him succeed. I have it Hopkins,
31:37
Adams, Um, Michael
31:39
Thomas j at four and then oh b
31:41
j okay five or six, but keep going, please.
31:44
So second round starts with Michael Thomas,
31:46
and you're gonna see this guy. So the first round is gonna
31:48
be a lot of running backs, a lot of running back. Second round
31:50
you're gonna see more wide receivers sprinkled in.
31:52
And some of these wide receivers were first round picks
31:55
last year. But to me, because I'm a running
31:57
backstruth or, I gotta go with the running back position because
31:59
I the revival is here,
32:01
my friends. So I've got Thomas and I've got Joe
32:03
Mixon, who was six in touches
32:06
last year running among running back tight was
32:08
tremendous, and I think the arrow
32:10
is still pointing up for him. I mean, was twenty two
32:12
years old. Uh. I've got James
32:14
Conner at overall,
32:17
the third pick in the second round, and I
32:19
mean we're talking about a guy who was
32:22
one of the better runners in terms of yards after contact.
32:24
He had fifty five catches despite the fact that he missed
32:27
three games last season. He isn't
32:29
all around fantasy
32:31
superstar, and he was so last season,
32:33
putting up equal or better numbers than Levian
32:35
builded in A two thousand and seventeen in
32:38
his final year. I have O. B J next
32:40
at number fourteen, so he's
32:42
obviously a wide receiver one. Then I've got Antonio
32:45
Brown, first time in a long time that AB is not in
32:47
my first round. And um, maybe why
32:49
I blocked me on Twitter, not sure, but I just don't.
32:51
I don't believe in him as much as I did with
32:53
the Oakland Raiders. Uh. And Derek carth throwing
32:55
him with the football now at sixty nine Tyreek
32:58
Hill and and honestly, we
33:01
know the stories out there that are going around.
33:03
I don't know what the deal is. Nobody knows what the
33:05
deal is yet, and until we get some more
33:08
concrete reporting about what
33:10
exactly happened and if their potentially could be uh
33:13
some some team or or or league discipline,
33:16
he is where he is for me. And then I've got Juju,
33:19
which obviously you disagree with Kelsey.
33:22
The first tight end coming off the board at
33:24
eighteen, Nick Chubb at nineteen, Mike Evans,
33:27
Yeah, Juju, I think would
33:29
slide up my board for sure, and I probably would
33:31
take Beckham over Connor and Mixing.
33:34
Um. I understand though obviously
33:37
both of those players are potential workhorses.
33:39
You could score double digit touchdowns. But I just I
33:41
mean, O b J, excuse me, O
33:43
b J with with Baker Mayfield is too too sexy
33:46
for me to pass up Um in that early
33:48
second round range. This is I mean, it's just loaded
33:50
the top thirty. So
33:53
the the one player that I that
33:55
I sort of well, there was two at the end of the second round.
33:58
So Nick Chubb, when he was the featured
34:01
back for the Browns last year, he was averaging right around
34:03
sixteen and a half PPR points per game and he wasn't
34:05
catching a ton of passes out of the backfield. This guy
34:07
is a monster. Okay, he is an
34:09
absolute beast. He was eighth in yards after contact
34:11
him on running backs. He's awesome.
34:14
Do you think the second round is too high for Nick
34:16
Chubb? Considering Cream Hunt will come back after
34:19
nine games, assuming the Browns have a BI somewhere
34:22
and I'm gonna pound this table. Um, we we
34:24
don't know where Kareem Hunt
34:26
is at in terms of his like where he's coming
34:28
back. He's gonna have to He's gonna be suspended for half the year.
34:31
Um, There's just so much that
34:33
can change in nine weeks. I'm
34:36
just not hanging my hat on Cream Hunt coming
34:38
in and being an impact player
34:40
year one, coming off of suspension with a
34:43
incredible offensive climate, surrounded
34:45
you know by amazing players, including
34:48
Nick Chubb. Um, it's not going to
34:50
concern me enough to take to not take Nick
34:52
Chubb in the first first
34:54
couple of rounds. I think, if
34:57
anything, you can protect yourself from the downside
34:59
though, because I inc you can make the argument for
35:01
Connor and Nixon over chubbed just because
35:03
they have they have they
35:06
have locked in roles. But I still
35:09
at the same time, like the Browns. That Brown's
35:11
offense could seriously be one of the three best in the NFL
35:13
this year, and Nick Chubb could score twelve touchdowns
35:16
and Mike Evans I have closing out the second round,
35:19
uh, coming off a very solid season.
35:21
I believe he was third yards along wide
35:23
receivers and Deshan Jackson, Adam
35:25
Hunh Freeze no longer than mixing Bruce Arians. Somehow, Mike
35:27
Evans has gone from from underrated
35:29
to overrated to extremely underrated,
35:31
and it's in He's had such a weird
35:34
career. He was underrated his first year,
35:36
and then he was over in the second
35:38
year, and then he's gone back to being just incredibly
35:41
underrated. And again we're about to get to this
35:43
third round here, but might the turn of receivers
35:46
here. We haven't talked about Mike Evans, we
35:48
just did. But yeah, we haven' talked about Adam Fling. We have
35:50
talked about Keen Nowen. We haven't talked about H. J. Creane
35:52
and all these guys are our third round
35:54
pick. So moving into the third round.
35:56
Top of the third round, I have a David Johnson and I want to get
35:58
your thoughts on David Johnson. So Cliff
36:01
Kingsbury comes in. Okay, this is a
36:03
past first coach. Okay,
36:06
he is going to throw it if you can throw. And I'm
36:08
excited if they dropped Kyler Murray. I don't know where
36:10
Josh Rosen would end up. But boy,
36:13
I'm telling you, if
36:15
Murray goes to Arizona and ends up being the Week
36:17
one starter, you're gonna hear me screaming from the
36:19
mountaintops. Get this guy on your fantasy team.
36:21
Get him. Not gonna cost you a lot, Get
36:24
him. Okay, get him. Now.
36:27
Kingsbury did not target his running
36:29
backs a lot when he was in college.
36:32
Yeah, that's actually he did. And that's
36:35
my biggest point. I thought he his his
36:38
the most receptions that one of his running
36:40
backs had, And I have to go back and look at
36:42
this. The Believer was in like the like maybe
36:44
like thirties, so they didn't have
36:47
didn't have any bulk producers. They just
36:49
had as a team. They were tenth
36:51
among all UM all
36:53
college football teams last year. They were tenth among all
36:56
the running backs were tenth among all teams
36:59
in receptions last year. Um,
37:01
excuse me. Over the last three years in Kingsbury's tenure,
37:04
Uman Kegan Abdu, who works
37:06
down in the research department. Over the next stats.
37:08
He pulled some pretty cool contexts from
37:11
Sports Info Solutions dashboards and
37:13
said that Texas Tech targeted a running back
37:15
out of the backfield on about
37:18
eight percent of plays on first down last year.
37:20
That was the sixth highest rate in the NFL.
37:22
Or excuse me, in college. In college,
37:25
I always say that, but they're the most catches
37:27
a running back. Ad owner Kingsbury was only forty
37:29
one, right, so they didn't have a bulk, a
37:31
single running back bulking up all
37:33
of those stats, but as a team, they still targeted running
37:36
backs pretty heavily. This is a team to fabs
37:38
like their offensive line sucks, right, That's
37:40
not me. That's why I don't have him in the
37:42
top twenty. But you could take this on the
37:45
backside is smart coaches,
37:47
which sorry Mike mc you're not. I
37:49
mean, obviously Mike McCoy's and I smart coach if
37:51
you have a bad offensive line. The number one thing I think
37:53
teams should do more often, and good teams do do this is
37:55
they target their running backs in first and second down out
37:58
of the backfield. Guess what of Johnson
38:00
can do. I'm buying a DJ
38:02
bounce back in a big way. So the third round,
38:05
is he a second rounder for you? He's not a second rounder
38:07
in a ten team league because I would still have Chub
38:10
and Connor and Mixing ahead of him. Um,
38:12
but he is a back end second
38:14
rounder in a twelve team league for me. And I
38:17
think if they do, if
38:19
they do draft Kyler Murray, yeah,
38:22
it's it's kind of it's kind of gangbusters. I think
38:24
you could still start even pushing them up even more. Um.
38:26
The biggest hurdle I see though,
38:29
is like I think you can make
38:31
an argument for Travis Kelsey is the top fifteen pick
38:33
this year, and I could not draft DJ over
38:35
Travis Kelsey at any point ever. Now I
38:37
have Kelsey ahead of ahead of DJ, I
38:40
have Kelsey at but no.
38:42
But my point was that they do draft Murray,
38:44
I think that's his ceiling. I think that's
38:46
I could not go any further drafting
38:48
DJ, any further than than that than around
38:51
Kelsey. So now we're we're going to get into
38:53
some of the wide receivers you mentioned. And this this
38:55
is interesting to me. Now now we're doing ten team
38:57
leagues because that's standard on NFL dot com But
39:01
if you decide that you want to go running back running
39:03
back, you can easily
39:05
still get a very good number one
39:07
wide receiver UH in the third round.
39:09
Adam Feeling at twenty two, Keenan Allen
39:11
at twenty three. I've got a Green
39:13
at twenty six, Marie Cooper at twenty seven,
39:16
Digs at eight. UH. There's
39:18
a lot of talent at the wide receiver position in that
39:20
third round for fantasy owners. I've also got
39:22
Dalvin Cook coming off the board. I mean Latavious
39:25
Mariason no longer. They're no competition
39:27
for carries. Depending on what they do in the draft, we'll see,
39:29
but he's risk reward.
39:31
If he can stay healthy, Dalvin Cook could be an easy
39:34
cinch top ten fantasy running back. I've
39:36
got Zachert's coming off the board at number
39:38
twenty five as the second tight end behind
39:40
Kelsey. Yeah. Again, this is just the
39:43
top thirty. Top forty is extremely extremely
39:45
loaded this year. I think the
39:47
interesting one though for me is
39:50
Cooper versus Diggs. Um.
39:52
Yeah, that's that's really
39:54
That's really where I'm wearing. I'm wearing a Cowboys
39:57
T shirt. I think I think that'll
39:59
be the tough call because I've kind of reversed
40:01
chorus on Cooper. Um, I'm we
40:04
just went on this Mike Evan's talk. But like Cooper
40:07
has gone from being overrated, I think
40:09
somehow being underrated again now with Dallas, even
40:11
though he just exploded based on my Twitter mentions
40:13
every time I talked about him, are Cooper positively?
40:16
People don't like it? A lot of cowboy haters
40:18
out there, man, I know that, Hey, he averaged almost
40:21
nine targets and six catches a game when he went to Dallas
40:23
last season. Yeah, the ceiling is pretty pretty huge
40:25
for him. But Stefan Diggs has always
40:27
been my guy, Like every time, dude, I've
40:30
loved Diggs ever since he came out of school. Every
40:32
time on the every time he's on the field, He's
40:34
just like a low end, just solid
40:36
receiver, one for for PPR. So
40:39
you're going Digs over Cooper? Are
40:41
you going Diggs over Theeeling? No?
40:43
I can't go Digs over Ceeling. Okay, I think Dick.
40:45
I think Theelan's role is just slightly slightly
40:48
better. He saw more targets and slightly more
40:50
areards. But Digs is just me so explosive
40:52
down field. Um, digs versus Cooper
40:54
that that's a tough one. Yeah, final two picks in
40:56
the round. And I want to get your thoughts on Leonard
40:59
four Nette and then Philip Lindsay I have at
41:01
the bottom of the round. But four net when
41:03
he played last season and it was sparingly because
41:06
he was injured and you know, he got suspended
41:08
for a game most most
41:11
of the most of the time he was giving you a nice
41:13
stat line. Uh, and I had two or three
41:15
twenty point performances in PPR leagues, was
41:17
getting the opportunities that he had gotten in his
41:19
rookie season when he put up such good numbers. Is
41:22
this a safe spot for four net? Too
41:24
high for you? Too low? He's risk reward
41:27
Like he's the same thing as Dalvin Cook. He could end
41:29
up being the top ten running back or he could end up missing
41:31
eight games and driving you nuts. Well, I
41:33
don't like buying players without
41:36
like clearly Leonard
41:39
Fournett has some sort of issue going on with his foot
41:41
ankle. I do not like buying players at
41:44
cost when risk
41:48
and basically you're you're we're getting
41:50
a discount on Leonard Fournette right now. There his
41:53
his injury concerns are priced end and when his
41:55
when a player's injury concerns are priced end and we
41:57
have upside. Like Leonard Fournets,
42:00
thunder four nets average five
42:02
touches per game with the Jags, he has
42:04
double digit touchdown appeal. Their offensive line
42:06
will be healthy again because they fell apart last year.
42:09
We're now getting a humongous discount
42:11
on a player that last year we all viewed
42:13
as an RB one. Um. That is
42:15
always something I want to attack. I want to attack
42:17
players that were formally that
42:20
we formally thought because of the right reasons,
42:22
we formally thought he was an RB one and now he's being drafted
42:24
as a mid tier RB two. Those
42:27
arbitrage situations where you can buy low on
42:29
a player that we all loved just
42:32
because I mean, there are formidable
42:34
injury concerns. They're they're they're they're
42:36
formidable, and they're they're real. That said,
42:38
I mean, this is a humongous discount
42:40
on a player that we're expecting to be a workhorse
42:42
for next year because the Jags, again, it's the same thing as
42:44
girls the sunk cost theory. Sure under
42:47
four net probably isn't what they expected. Todd
42:49
Gurley, his knee is probably not any
42:51
better off than it's not. It doesn't
42:53
sound good. These teams have so
42:56
much invested in these backs, and they've got to get him on the field
42:58
and gotta get them touches and make this make sense. And Leonard
43:00
Fournett is in the third year of his rookie
43:02
deal. The jack just got Nick Foles, their offensive lines
43:05
healthy. Yeah, I'm back in on four Nett too.
43:07
So for Nett would go even a little
43:09
higher than this, it sounds like it sounds like I
43:12
don't know. Again, I wouldn't take him over Digs
43:14
and Cooper. So it's it's kind of like you're, you're, you're,
43:16
you have him in the right spot. It's just I would
43:19
It's the same argument as DJ's kind of like, once
43:21
he gets to a certain point, I would be blocked out
43:23
from taking him. But it is a humongous, humongous
43:26
discount. Moving in around four.
43:29
Finally Patrick Mahomes comes off the board. I
43:31
have him going at number thirty nine. Overall,
43:33
Sorry, dudes, I get it coming off the greatest
43:36
so much. I don't care. Yeah,
43:39
he's gonna go first round, he may go first overall, I'm
43:41
not doing it. I don't care quarterback is too deep. I've
43:43
got mark Ingram leading the round off and
43:45
I love the move to Baltimore, featured
43:48
back run, heavy offense, guy who can
43:50
catch the ball out of the backfield as well. Love
43:52
Ingram in Baltimore. Then I've got t Y Hilton,
43:54
Sony Michelle, Damian Williams. Want
43:56
to get your thoughts on him, Aaron Jones, Robert
44:00
Woods, Kenny Golladay, and
44:02
I moved Julian Edelman up so right
44:04
now he's a fourth rounder for me. Mahomes
44:06
and then Cooper Cup and I want to get your thoughts
44:08
on Cup as well, because people think I'm maybe
44:10
a little too high on him coming off the A c L. But I don't
44:13
care. I love this dude. So let's start off
44:15
with Damien Williams at number
44:17
thirty four overall. Kansas City
44:21
gave him the reins to that backfield at the
44:23
end of last season and he was tremendous. The
44:25
downside is sample size was small.
44:27
Sample size are small. They did get Carlos Hide,
44:30
but Hid as such an atrocious receiver since
44:33
he entered the league. Hide as like dead last and yards
44:35
per target, dead last and yards per reception
44:37
among running backs. There was a year that
44:40
I think he had fifty nine catches, but I
44:42
mean he was targeted a ton out of the backfield.
44:44
I mean he was he was the offense
44:46
there for San Francisco. He's bought it. He's bottom
44:49
five or bottom six and yards after yards
44:51
after the catch to perception in that span.
44:54
Damie Williams is a fantastic receiver. He flash,
44:57
yes last, huge receipting ability. That
44:59
was the biggest thing I thought the Chiefs
45:01
would miss losing Cream Hunt is
45:03
Creme. Hunt was a fantastic receiver, and I
45:06
was like, you know, Damon Williams can probably provide,
45:08
uh, most of what Kareem Hunt provides on the ground,
45:11
but he really really excelled as
45:13
a receiver. Um. Again
45:16
though it's Damian Williams. Uh,
45:18
it's here's being a player.
45:20
You're buying a player on a very short sample size.
45:24
So so so here's and you know,
45:26
I honestly think that Carlos Hyde. I
45:28
wouldn't be surprised if Hyden ended up taking the job
45:30
at some point, but he's not as good of a pass
45:32
catcher. And Andy Reid likes his running backs
45:35
to be versatile, right, So let's go back to Philadelphia.
45:37
Hell, I'll go back to Douce Staley. Okay, I'll
45:39
go back to Brian Westbrook, and we'll go back
45:41
to Shady. And then let's take a look
45:43
at what happened in Kansas City with Kareem Hunt before
45:46
the madness. That guy was a fantasy
45:48
star. You put a running back and Andy
45:50
Reid's offense, and that guy nine times
45:52
out of ten is going to produce for you. Okay. With that being
45:54
said, small sample size, Damian
45:57
Williams has never really had to carry the full load
45:59
of a ackfield as an NFL player, so
46:01
there are some question marks, but I think the opportunities
46:04
are there. And I'm also interested to see if the Chiefs go
46:06
after running back in the draft as well. That could drop Damian
46:08
Williams stock somewhat right. I
46:10
mean, the thing I come back to with Williams though,
46:13
is Okay, let's say, Hi, it does take ten carries
46:15
away from him, right, If we still get Damian Williams
46:17
with four or five six targets per game, twelve
46:19
fifteen carries, that's he's going to be a solid
46:22
carby two and no doubt, no doubt. Aaron
46:24
Rodger, I'm sorry. Aaron Jones at
46:26
number thirty five, and I've
46:29
cooled on him a little bit. I loved him last year,
46:31
but now we hear the
46:33
talk about a potential committee with Jamal
46:36
Williams, which I don't like. Um,
46:38
what's your taking Aaron Jones. Aaron
46:40
Jones on a per carry basis has
46:42
been one of the most awesome. He's been one of the most
46:45
efficient running backs in the NFL over the
46:47
last couple of years. I find it hysterical
46:49
that the Packers still keep talking themselves and Williams
46:52
over Aaron Jones. And it's not like it's McCarthy
46:54
there anymore. It's like, you know, McCarthy's
46:56
brain linked into la floor, Like no, just give
46:59
Aaron Jones the ball eighteen times a game. I
47:01
always I always have kind of like
47:03
a I don't know my BS
47:06
filter on when coaches start talking about running
47:08
back by committees in like March and in April,
47:11
especially when they don't make any sense, and Aaron Jones
47:13
first. Jamal Williams does not make any sense. Aaron
47:16
Rodgers has even come out and vouched
47:18
for Aaron Jones. Um, I'm buying Aaron
47:20
Jones low and dynasty. Um. I think
47:22
he still has like legitimate top twelve
47:25
potential in this offense attached to Aaron
47:27
Rodgers. Um. That said, we
47:30
also can't discount the fact that the Packers,
47:32
for whatever reason, love playing Jamal Wills. Yeah,
47:35
and Williams was good at the end of last season, but he is
47:37
not the playmaker that Aaron Jones is. As I
47:39
mentioned, I closed my fourth round
47:41
with Cooper Cup and that could
47:44
increased decreased depending on the news.
47:46
Uh with his with his torn a c L He's expected
47:49
to be back in time for training camp. I just remember
47:51
I had Cup last season. He was He's
47:54
got eighty catch potential. He was on pace for twelve touchdowns.
47:57
And you know, I get I've got Robert Woods ahead of him,
47:59
and I've got Brandon I have like three Rams running
48:01
backs in like seven picks. I was gonna say,
48:03
you have the Rams receivers ranked correctly because
48:06
I have it the same way I have Woods, Cup
48:08
and Cooks. But they're I mean, it's
48:11
barely negligible. I just I love Cooper
48:13
Cup man. I liked him, like him coming
48:15
out of college. It didn't think he was gonna make
48:17
that big of him impact as a rookie. Last
48:19
year started to show Flashes, had a fight through
48:21
the knee, eventually succumbed to knee injury. If
48:24
there's any setbacks, clearly
48:26
he's gonna move down. But I still have Cooper Cup as
48:28
a top forty pick. Moving on to round five, this is
48:31
where we're gonna get a lot of running
48:33
backs, a lot of running backs. I start off
48:35
the round with George Kittle. I
48:37
believe that's right around where you're gonna be taking
48:39
him coming off of a historic
48:42
season. I mean, he had the most receiving yards in
48:44
a single season of any tight end in the National Football
48:46
League. Had he not done that, Travis Kelsey would
48:48
have proked the record. Uh. Last season that
48:50
I mentioned Brandon Cooks. Then I've got a
48:52
run on running backs here, guys, I've got and
48:55
and I'm I'm really like to hear your opinion
48:57
on where I have these guys ranked. Uh. I
49:00
love carry on Johnson once he sort of took
49:02
over as the guy in Detroit, average seventeen
49:04
touches seventeen PPR points per game over his final
49:06
five games before he went down with the injury. DeVonta
49:08
Freeman, I'm all over the place, like I
49:11
want to rank him higher, but I can't. I don't
49:13
know why. I just can't. No more Tevin
49:15
Coleman. You know, Smith is in the mix there. I have
49:17
him coming off the board in the middle of the fifth round. Then
49:19
I've got Chris Carson. I'm a little worried
49:21
about Rachade Penny Marlon Mack who
49:24
his value went up because the Colts didn't do anything at
49:26
the running back position. And you wonder if
49:28
they're going to draft the running back because they drafted two
49:30
last year. So we'll see James
49:32
White and he could move up like James White could
49:35
end up going into the fourth round for me, depending on what the
49:37
Patriots do or don't do for the rest of the
49:39
off season. Derrick Henry at number
49:41
forty eight, Trek Cohen at forty nine.
49:44
And also we have to figure out what the deal
49:46
is with the Jordan Howard situation because I can't
49:49
see them keeping him after they signed like Davis and
49:51
then Kenyan Drake. Uh the running back
49:53
everyone loves to hate who's really talented.
49:56
But calebliges there
49:58
and I don't know if they're gonna give him the ball, you know, eighteen
50:00
twenty times a game, he's uh he closes
50:02
out my my, my top fifty. Yeah,
50:05
the biggest one I want. I think we should spend some time on
50:07
his DeVonta Freeman M Last year he dealt
50:10
with a knee injury, a foot injury, and
50:12
a groin injury. Landed on I R with
50:14
that groin injury. Still only
50:16
twenty seven years old, and we have seen again,
50:20
we have seen him be a back
50:22
end RB one when he's
50:24
fully healthy. It's the same conversation
50:26
we just had about Leonard Tornette. We are getting
50:29
a player at a discount
50:32
off of injury. Um, but
50:34
he's at I mean people are like that
50:36
injury discount is priced in. You're you're basically
50:39
not assuming any risk. You're not assuming much
50:41
more risk by drafting Leonard Fournett at the end of
50:43
the third round, there's not much risk and drafting
50:46
DeVonta Freeman fourth round.
50:48
You think you think I have him? I think if
50:50
we get a clean bill of health, yes, which
50:52
I'm waiting for bay June. Again, he did
50:54
just come off I mean knee, foot and groin
50:57
injuries. Um. But again twenty seven
50:59
years old and no Heavin Coleman um. I
51:01
think although you do hear them talking about Edo
51:04
Smith kind of coming in and getting his share. I
51:06
mean, yeah, Edo Smith will get his touches. DeVonta
51:08
m is not a work course. He's not gonna play the
51:10
snaps fabs like like Bell does. But yeah,
51:14
I think if here, I think, if he's right,
51:17
I could take him over um, pretty
51:19
much everyone you have in front of him except
51:22
Man. I would put him as high as like the early early
51:25
into the fourth round, like I could. I got draft,
51:27
I would draft so over Ingram, over Sony
51:29
Michelle. I was gonna say, I would draft a vont Freeman over
51:31
mark Ingram, t Y Hilton, and Sony Michelle
51:34
if we knew DeVonta Freeman was healthy.
51:36
It seems like so long ago that Freeman was the number
51:38
one running back in Fantasy foot That was the craziest
51:40
year ever because everyone got hurt. Everyone dinning
51:43
backs died. This was the top ten guys
51:46
Freeman, Lamar Miller, Doug Martin, Latavius
51:49
Murray, mark Ingram, Chris Ivory who just
51:51
got cut by the Bills, Chris Ivey was a top ten for
51:54
the Jets. For the Jets, uh
51:56
and uh Sandy McCoy. It's it's it's
51:58
ridiculous and then with Johnson came in, that was
52:01
that was when David Johnson started to see that
52:03
rise in value. And then following year,
52:05
that was the year DJ went off. Right. DJ was
52:07
not a starting player until the final
52:10
few a few games. Holy, you're right, Oh
52:13
my god. Chris Ivery was the RB eleven that
52:15
year. Yeah, dude, that's insane, right, yeah,
52:18
it's it's it's crazy, man. He he was up thirty,
52:20
he was he was very good. Uh, well you have come
52:22
along, yes, yes,
52:24
exactly. So I closed it out with Kenyan
52:26
Drake. And Kenyan Drake was a guy that I didn't
52:28
like last year because I knew and I think
52:31
a lot of us did that Frank Gore was going to take
52:33
touches no matter what you talk about
52:35
with his age, he's not He's not
52:37
your typical thirty four thirty five year old running
52:39
back which was last season. Now he's going to be uh
52:42
coming into that. Boy, that's that's an old backfield
52:44
with McCoy and Gore. And I'm afraid of McCoy's
52:46
value. Uh. And I was before
52:48
they signed Frank Gore. But Kenyan Drake
52:52
he's the best offensive weapon they have in Miami
52:54
right now? Am I am I wrong. Well, the Miami
52:57
Miami is a super super interesting
52:59
case study right now because it does seem like they're
53:01
actually doing the right thing and tearing this thing, tearing
53:03
it down and kind of rebuilding and playing
53:06
for two and next year. UM yeah,
53:08
I would be very surprised if Miami invests
53:10
again heavily into their backfield this offseason,
53:13
considering their rebuilding, considering there's now trying
53:15
to sit. I mean, they have hunt like literally over a
53:17
hundred million dollars in cash UM secured
53:20
for UM. I
53:22
will be very surprised if they spend one of their top
53:24
picks on a running back. That that
53:26
said, they're going to roll into this year with Kenyan Drake and Caitlin
53:28
Bellage and both of them are going to be cheap.
53:31
They're going to be cheap relative to their opposite.
53:33
I mean, and you may you may
53:35
end up seeing a scenario where Blage is the better
53:37
value based on where he's going to be projected to go than
53:40
than Kenyan Drake. Right now, I haven't going in the fifth
53:42
round. And you know, Drake was what RB
53:44
four team in PPR leagues last season.
53:47
There wasn't terrible. The problem is he was like
53:49
all or nothing. Yeah, he was all or nothing and if
53:51
they gave him a bigger workload, my god, he would
53:53
be He would be a top ten running back, no question about
53:55
it. Um, but that didn't happen.
53:57
So again, you're gonna be able to check that OUTFL
54:00
dot com slash Michael Fabiano that'll be out later
54:03
on today. So before we let you go, I
54:05
just want to give my best wishes
54:07
to Michael Irvin, uh wearing
54:09
his T shirt here today. Um
54:12
he's undergone uh throat cancer
54:14
testing and uh I believe he lost his
54:16
father to throat cancer as well. So Irv, we
54:19
love you, my man, and uh we're rooting
54:21
for you and um praying for you
54:24
and hope everything goes well. Yeah absolutely,
54:26
Um cancers no joke, Yeah yeah,
54:29
and uh we'll be back next week. I
54:31
believe Marcus may or may not be back.
54:33
Marcus. We love you, best
54:35
of luck with everything with with the with the
54:38
baby, which maybe you
54:40
know at this point when you're listening, a
54:42
little little little Marcus will be here. Hopefully
54:45
that'll be it. Alright, guys, So check
54:47
us out next week NFL Fantasy
54:49
Live and make sure you go online and
54:51
uh review us. You know, tell
54:54
us what you think good, bad, in different
54:57
I hope you'll have a great week. We'll see you next
54:59
week. Mmm, don't
55:04
got a bo
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