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Heather Cox Richardson on Donald Trump, Democracy, and Taylor Swift

Heather Cox Richardson on Donald Trump, Democracy, and Taylor Swift

Released Sunday, 8th October 2023
 1 person rated this episode
Heather Cox Richardson on Donald Trump, Democracy, and Taylor Swift

Heather Cox Richardson on Donald Trump, Democracy, and Taylor Swift

Heather Cox Richardson on Donald Trump, Democracy, and Taylor Swift

Heather Cox Richardson on Donald Trump, Democracy, and Taylor Swift

Sunday, 8th October 2023
 1 person rated this episode
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

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to learn more. In the early 19th century, before

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to win an election was to spread the rumor that

1:00

your opponent was dead. And that's really

1:02

hard to push back on. You know, no, I'm alive.

1:05

Well, yeah, prove you're alive, right? So

1:07

it's not like this is anything new, but

1:09

one of the things that fascinates me in this moment is

1:11

we know that political theorists very

1:14

deliberately came up with a theory for how

1:16

you get people to abandon democracy. And

1:19

that's what we're gonna talk about today. How do you get people to

1:21

abandon democracy? And you do it

1:23

by the creation of virtual politics

1:25

or political technology, which is literally

1:27

a blueprint for creating a false

1:30

reality that make people think they're

1:32

voting for things they are not. False

1:34

candidates, disinformation, throw

1:36

shit at the wall the way Steve Bannon talked about.

1:39

There's these steps to make this happen.

1:41

But there was never a theoretical

1:44

framework for what happens when people recognize

1:47

what has been done to them. And that

1:49

I think we have seen before, and I think we're

1:51

seeing it now. And that is that once

1:53

you've used those tools of technology

1:56

against a population, they reclaim

1:58

them for themselves.

2:00

I'm Jon Favreau. Welcome to offline. That

2:06

was Heather Cox Richardson historian

2:08

and writer of letters from an American the

2:11

most read and subscribed newsletter

2:13

on Substack reaching over a million

2:15

readers every day She

2:17

stopped by for a fantastic conversation about her

2:19

new book democracy awakening We

2:21

also talked about why authoritarianism is

2:23

appealing and why she's still hopeful about

2:25

the future of American democracy spoiler

2:28

one reason is Of course Taylor

2:31

Swift. You'll hear that conversation

2:33

a little bit later But first Max

2:35

and I are gonna talk about our favorite topics social

2:39

media and Matt Gaetz Our

2:43

boy this is what we talk about when the

2:45

mics are off, you know, just that's a medium

2:48

We're just sending each other gates tweets all days.

2:51

It's like did you see this one? We've got it. You got a good one

2:53

off. They got it. He got a good misinformation off

2:55

today I was really hoping you were gonna say Heather

2:57

Cox Richardson's reason that she

2:59

was optimistic about democracy was the Incredible

3:02

quality of podcasting these days is

3:04

the thing that is going to carry us through that's what I

3:07

feel I mean, yeah, that's

3:09

look that's our story. We're sticking to it this

3:11

week Axios reports that over the last

3:14

year referral traffic from social media

3:16

Giants Facebook and Twitter to

3:18

digital media publishers has plummeted

3:21

Digi-day also reported that between August of 2022

3:23

and August of 2023 The

3:25

New York Times saw their referral traffic from Facebook

3:28

dropped 66% buzzfeed

3:30

saw theirs dropped 72% Ryan

3:33

Broderick reported in his newsletter that the top

3:35

news article quote-unquote news

3:38

article on Facebook last month was

3:40

from the website Christian fundamentalism

3:42

calm with the headline do

3:45

Catholics find life by being

3:47

pleasing to God Not this

3:49

Catholic. That's for sure That's

3:52

a great newsletter Max

3:55

what happened to all the social media traffic? What's

3:57

what's going on? So this is a

3:59

trailer that has been really building

4:02

for like several years now, like five, six,

4:04

seven years, people in news organizations have

4:06

been noticing that not just Facebook, but all social

4:08

platforms have been directing consistently

4:10

less and less traffic

4:12

to news sites across the board. And

4:15

this year seemed to be the year that it like, it truly

4:17

ended. Like the era when social media

4:20

was a primary or the primary

4:22

driver of traffic to news sites. And so

4:24

like drove a lot of news consumption in the

4:26

world has at least for now come to

4:29

an end and the

4:29

like change kind of, I think

4:32

the big moment was about five years ago

4:34

for a long time, of course, social platforms deliberately

4:37

built themselves up as promoting

4:39

a lot of news links because they wanted to be the like central

4:41

clearing house for all everything, including

4:44

a lot of news discussion. And that included putting

4:46

a lot of news links in front of people. But starting

4:49

in like 2018, Facebook is one of the

4:51

first big ones to come

4:53

to the conclusion that they could

4:55

generate a lot more traffic and a lot more time

4:58

on site by instead of

5:00

putting news links in front of people, but

5:02

directing them to internal discussions

5:05

on the platform that they could recycle them through over

5:07

and over again. So it used to be that like, if Facebook

5:09

thought you were interested in democratic

5:12

politics, they would show you posts

5:14

from your friends or pages you follow showing like CNN

5:16

links about democratic politics. But instead,

5:19

they made this very deliberate change that

5:21

they talked about openly at the time to their algorithm

5:23

within which show people links

5:26

to Facebook groups, or Facebook

5:28

pages where they would talk about,

5:30

you know, whatever the topic was that

5:32

they were interested in. And,

5:35

you know, Adam Masseri was running

5:37

newsfeed at the time is now running Instagram was like,

5:39

we think that this is just like a better way to keep

5:41

people on site. But what that meant

5:44

is downgrading the likelihood

5:46

that you were going to see links to

5:49

news sites, which has an effect for the

5:51

dues business, but it also has a big effect for people

5:54

on the social platforms because people have an innate

5:56

desire to learn and talk and

5:58

think about the news regardless. us of whether they

6:00

are seeing the link. So the thing that happened

6:03

on Facebook and every other platform is

6:05

once they took the news links away, people were

6:07

still talking about politics, but it was like, instead

6:10

of hearing from CNN, you would hear from like

6:12

whatever was the like, loudest

6:14

shit poster in the Facebook group you

6:16

were being referred to. So misinformation

6:19

shot way up, the discussions became much

6:21

more polarized and polarizing. And

6:24

it's something we know due to Facebook's own internal

6:26

research that was leaked by Francis Howgen, like they know this

6:28

is happening, they did it anyway. And I think the other

6:30

big change in the last year or two that is like really

6:33

cemented this for good is the wave

6:35

of new regulations that Facebook

6:37

and other platforms are seeing internationally

6:40

that is telling them that they have to start paying

6:42

news companies for outbound links.

6:44

So they're saying, well, if we have to pay regulatory

6:47

taxes for linking to CNN, fuck it, we

6:49

just won't link to CNN.

6:51

So the social media sites

6:53

now, particularly Facebook, basically

6:57

just want to be the comments section. Without

7:01

the article at the top. Yeah, without the article. So you

7:03

used to read the article, then people would talk in the comment section.

7:05

Now they're just like, who needs the news? Who

7:07

needs well-researched journalism and reporting?

7:10

Let's just rely on everyone's fucking takes.

7:13

The thing that blows

7:15

my mind about this change is they initially

7:17

test launched it in like three

7:20

or four small developing

7:22

countries as a way to like see what happened. And

7:25

one of them was Sri Lanka and

7:27

immediately what happened was for a lot

7:29

of complicated reasons, but partly because of this is there

7:31

were huge race riots across the country because when

7:33

the news went away, what people were doing instead

7:35

was posting like racist misinformation

7:37

and hate speech.

7:39

So we decided to talk

7:41

about this a couple of days ago

7:43

and then like after we decided to

7:46

talk about it, Elon Musk made

7:48

another change that is most certainly going

7:51

to reduce traffic from

7:53

digital publishers. So Elon

7:55

just removed automatically generated headlines

7:58

from links to external websites. So

8:00

what that means is when you scroll through

8:02

Twitter, you can only see the image

8:05

associated with the story and not

8:07

the headline That would tell you what the fuck

8:09

the story is about. Is that gonna

8:11

help publishers with their traffic issues? must

8:14

must tweeted must tweeted about this

8:16

this week our Algorithm tries to

8:18

optimize time spent on X So

8:21

links don't get as much attention because there is

8:23

less time spent if people click away So

8:25

exactly what you were saying about Facebook

8:28

now he's trying to do the same thing with X. He doesn't

8:30

want people to click away from Twitter

8:34

He wants people to stay on Twitter and have their whole all their

8:36

fights on Twitter Without

8:38

clicking and going to the New York Times the

8:40

Washington Post or CNN or any kind of news site

8:43

to read the read the story

8:45

Yeah, and it's also like it's

8:47

probably not irrelevant that he has been very

8:50

open about hating the news media So the

8:52

idea that something that will like punish

8:55

those Liberal media cocks

8:57

by like making it harder for them to get links Even though

8:59

Twitter has not meaningfully driven traffic to new sites

9:02

for years I'm sure was appealing

9:04

to him and I think there's also just a

9:06

healthy degree of like anytime something happens

9:08

with Twitter I feel like you have to factor in like there's probably

9:10

just some chaos Factor that

9:12

are driving this or just like dumb design

9:14

decisions that are not thought through because

9:17

Elon had a whim Which is something we've heard about

9:19

so many changes there

9:21

What do you think this means for digital

9:23

publishers? Right because you got the

9:25

New York Times of the world who they have their subscribers

9:28

and and they probably don't depend

9:31

as much on traffic

9:33

from Facebook and to a lesser extent

9:36

Twitter but Smaller

9:38

medium-sized news outlets special

9:40

digital news outlets probably do like how

9:42

do you get your stories in front of people if? social

9:45

media Makes it harder and

9:47

harder to do so

9:49

Yeah, I have been thinking a lot about

9:51

and I don't know if maybe you found this when you

9:54

guys started crooked but I've

9:56

been thinking a lot about when we started Vox like

9:59

God, I can't believe it was 10 years ago. Jesus

10:02

Christ. I'm

10:04

so old. Like,

10:08

yeah, we reached the I'm so old portion of the

10:10

podcast. It feels like it's been a hundred.

10:12

So, like 10

10:16

years ago when we started Vox,

10:18

like for all the ways that

10:20

like platforms like Facebook and Reddit have had a

10:22

negative impact, it was very easy for us

10:24

to very quickly reach a large audience because

10:27

we could figure out how to not

10:29

of course,

10:29

not how to steer the reporting, but how to like frame

10:32

the headline or like how to like promote

10:35

things on Facebook and Reddit that would get us a big

10:37

audience so we could start a new site out

10:39

of nowhere and reach a lot of people

10:41

initially. And then hopefully those people would like

10:43

what they saw and then they would start coming back on their own.

10:45

And that is going to get much tougher. I do

10:48

think that there is a lot of experimentation

10:50

right now in the media on other ways

10:53

to reach readers, partly because like everyone

10:55

has seen the writing on the wall for years. And

10:57

the big thing for the last years has been chasing

11:00

Google traffic. You probably already noticed that. Like

11:02

if you go to the New York Times homepage

11:04

now, you will see where you used to see

11:06

three stories about the latest news events. You'll

11:08

see nine because like Google

11:11

selects for that as opposed to like Facebook selects

11:13

more for like writing a hooky profile

11:16

or like writing a really talky story. So,

11:18

you know, these changes

11:21

in the social media ecosystem,

11:23

the internet ecosystem, they do change

11:26

the kind of work that news outlets do.

11:28

I don't think that it's ever led to them

11:30

like cynically chasing clicks. I don't think it's

11:32

that, but whatever is the thing

11:35

people will find to replace that

11:37

traffic or that revenue. In many cases of

11:39

a lot of outlets like us, like Crooked, you're

11:41

trying to build a core audience who will want to subscribe

11:43

to something that does change what

11:46

you invest in and it does change

11:48

the kind of stories that you produce.

11:50

So unfortunately, journalists are

11:52

going to have to record themselves

11:54

doing the latest viral TikTok

11:57

thing and then say, check out,

11:59

check out. the link to my reporting.

12:02

Just get in on the algorithm

12:04

that way. I don't know. I've

12:06

always been doing viral dance

12:08

trends to explain the war in Ukraine.

12:11

So I came to this naturally. That's just

12:13

my style really fits to this. You

12:15

are made for this new era. This is the

12:18

MAGS for sure opportunity. The

12:20

38-year-olds, yeah, really, are really, I've

12:22

always been thriving. Well,

12:25

we shouldn't worry too much because one person is still

12:27

finding clicks, at least. Congressman

12:29

Matt Gaetz this week shit posted

12:32

Kevin McCarthy out of the house speakership following

12:34

the passage of a bipartisan continuing resolution

12:36

to keep the government open. Gaetz attacked Kevin

12:39

on Twitter and all over MAGA media, ultimately

12:41

orchestrating a historic vote that

12:43

cost McCarthy his job. Max,

12:46

what do you think the Matt Gaetz speaker

12:49

saga says about the political

12:51

power of right-wing shitposters?

12:53

So I am actually so

12:56

excited to talk about this because I think

12:58

that this seriously- Because you love Matt Gaetz

13:00

so much. I've

13:03

got so many Matt Gaetz tweets lined up to

13:05

quote to you. I

13:07

think that this is actually like a little glimpse

13:09

into something that I find super fascinating

13:11

and that once I came to understand a few

13:14

years ago reporting on the change of democracy

13:16

unlocks so much for me. So okay, it

13:18

is not a coincidence that people

13:20

like Matt Gaetz, like the insurgents in the Republican

13:23

Party, or people like Donald Trump, the

13:25

big insurgents who are like the tear it all down people

13:27

are super online. And it's like, you'd

13:30

even say something kind of similar to the Democratic Party,

13:32

like obviously the OC is not the same, but like the

13:34

insurgents in the party tend to be pretty online.

13:37

And I don't think that's because like being

13:40

radicalized by the Twitter algorithm made

13:42

Matt Gaetz who he is or like made him

13:44

want to like tear down the party from within.

13:47

Rather, I think that the

13:50

fact that the insurgents, especially

13:52

in the Republican Party, but in both parties tend to be

13:54

very online, I think reflects this much

13:57

deeper like really seismic

13:59

transformation.

13:59

of change and how our

14:02

democracy works. And this change has been

14:04

going on over the last 10 years. So

14:06

okay, the way democracy worked

14:09

for like the first two, I promise,

14:12

I know this is going to be quick, I promise. It'll

14:14

be interesting. It's how I preface

14:16

all my stories. That's how you know, no. It's

14:19

like, you

14:23

know, it's a good joke when you have to explain it. Listen,

14:26

you had me on here, so this is on you. So

14:30

okay, so like, I really think this is

14:32

democracy for the first like 200 years,

14:35

like its entire history, the way

14:38

that it functioned was that

14:40

the like

14:41

bounds of acceptable democracy and acceptable

14:44

politics were set and enforced by

14:46

these like institutional gatekeepers, right?

14:48

Like chiefly political parties, like the political

14:50

parties would decide who

14:53

got to run for office, who got nominated, they

14:55

control fundraising, they control messaging.

14:58

And so they like determine what kind

15:00

of politician you can be, who can hold office. And

15:02

then to a lesser extent, the mainstream media also

15:04

does this by determining like who gets written

15:07

about as a legitimate candidate or who gets to

15:09

reach people at all because they control politicians ability

15:12

to reach people. And also like

15:14

organized groups like organized labor,

15:16

big business that control the funding

15:19

or donations for candidates. So that was how it

15:21

always worked. But and I'm sure you know

15:23

something about this in 2008, like 10, 15 years ago, that started

15:27

to completely collapse and has been

15:29

collapsing even though it's hard to clock because

15:31

it's such a big change has been collapsing

15:34

completely before our eyes

15:36

where those institutional gatekeepers no longer

15:38

have that control. And it's for two reasons.

15:41

One is that the United States, which is pretty much

15:43

alone in this started allowing

15:45

primary voters instead of the parties

15:48

to select who runs for office,

15:50

we're almost completely alone in the democratic world.

15:52

And who does that? It's just pretty much just the UK, the only

15:54

ones who have open primaries, everybody else, the party

15:57

picks to run for office. But the other big one is the

15:59

internet. Because the internet means that

16:01

if you are an insurgent, someone who is

16:03

running against the party instead of running with support,

16:06

you don't need the party to reach voters.

16:09

You don't need the party to fundraise. You can

16:11

just fundraise on your road through the internet. And you

16:13

don't need the mainstream media's approval to

16:15

reach those primary voters who are the ones who are going to

16:18

elect you. And what you need in

16:20

this new world is to

16:22

get attention. And because

16:24

everything is about attention, that's what

16:27

social media values, that's what the internet values

16:30

and the way to get attention is

16:32

whether it's positive or negative, doesn't matter.

16:35

You've got to be louder. You've got to be more

16:37

extreme. It incentivizes

16:40

insurgencies. It incentivizes

16:42

all kinds of clownish behavior that we've seen from

16:44

the Republican party. It incentivizes

16:47

more extreme politics. Look,

16:49

I mean, you brought up 2008. There are

16:52

the cases where Barack

16:54

Obama's rise was, he was

16:56

very inspirational. And I think hope

16:59

and humor and inspiration, that

17:02

gets you some attention as well. But the easier

17:04

route to attention is just saying

17:07

a bunch of shit. So

17:10

to prepare for this, Austin Emma

17:12

sent us a GQ profile of

17:14

Matt Gaetz from 2018. And

17:19

in that profile, he said, the organizing

17:22

principle of today's politics is

17:24

stay interesting. Which

17:27

honestly, Matt Gaetz, genius. I

17:29

know, he's not wrong. That

17:32

is the organizing principle of today's politics, and it is

17:34

the organizing principle of the internet and social

17:36

media. And I thought there was a funny

17:38

piece of color in this profile. They

17:40

said, just inside the door to Gaetz's

17:43

congressional office, this was at least in 2018, a

17:45

flat screen monitor mounted on the wall displays

17:48

the congressman's mentions on Twitter,

17:51

streaming in real time. That's

17:55

amazing. I mean, it is, it's like,

17:57

I think that he is right about

17:59

that.

17:59

And the people that he has to stay interesting

18:02

for are Republican primary

18:04

voters in his district.

18:07

That's what he's, instead of having to work for the

18:09

party and what's good for them, he has to

18:11

work for what those primary voters want

18:13

to see, what's going to get their attention. And we know that

18:15

primary voters in both parties tend

18:17

to be way more online. So it's

18:19

this thing now where you have people who are online

18:22

talking to other and working for some small

18:25

pool of voters in their districts who are also

18:27

super online. And you see how that is a

18:30

really transformational change in incentives where

18:33

it's not a mec gate's interest for the Republican

18:35

party, much less Congress or

18:37

the United States government to be successful. What's

18:40

in his interest, and this is true to so many

18:42

insertants of the party now, is just to hold

18:45

on to the eyeballs of super

18:47

online primary voters.

18:49

Yeah. And that is why Donald Trump is

18:51

the leading Republican nominee. And

18:53

you know what? His latest thing

18:56

about windmills driving

18:58

the wheels crazy, it got my attention.

19:00

I paid attention to it. Great content. I

19:03

don't think I'm going to vote for him though. No, I think

19:05

I'm off the fence at this

19:07

point. I've decided against it. But

19:10

look at Trump for Speaker, Trump going to the

19:12

Hill next week to maybe

19:14

float himself for Speaker. Maybe he will, maybe

19:16

he won't. Trump goes and sits in the trial,

19:18

right? He's on trial. He didn't have to

19:20

be there, but he's there. He's talking to the cameras.

19:23

Is it negative attention? Absolutely. But

19:25

what do people hear? They hear Trump, Trump, Trump. And

19:27

Gates took that lesson, right? And now he's

19:30

deposed one Speaker, and now

19:32

it's Jim Jordan versus Steve Scalise at

19:35

this taping at the very least. And

19:37

Steve Scalise, more of like an institutionalist,

19:41

still very right-wing conservative, but like

19:44

kind of a party guy. And Jim Jordan,

19:47

more appearances on Fox

19:49

News than any other member of Congress

19:52

over the last several years. So is

19:54

it no wonder that the guy who John

19:56

Boehner once called a political terrorist is now

19:59

like

19:59

possibility for speaker of the house because

20:02

what does he have he has the base because he's very

20:04

online right right and that stuff And

20:07

that divide is not going away. I mean

20:09

that divide in the Republican Party where you have some

20:11

of them are Loyal

20:14

to and have to work for the party

20:16

institutions and some who have to go which

20:18

you know The Republicans have also I know

20:21

this is like all the story the Republican Party

20:23

have like dug their own graves by gerrymandering

20:25

these districts to hell So

20:27

now the people who you know someone

20:30

like Matt Gates has to win is the primary

20:32

electorate He doesn't have to worry about the general So it's

20:34

it's the like most extreme people in the

20:37

party are the ones who he

20:39

is completely in Hawk to and I mean It

20:42

really is two parties at this point and that's also kind

20:44

of true of the Democratic Party But of course they have

20:46

the I think so far we've seen they're like

20:48

professionalism in the interest to

20:55

Well, if this has bummed you all

20:57

out don't worry because next up I

20:59

had a great and surprisingly hopeful

21:02

conversation with Heather Cox Richardson about

21:04

the future of American democracy She's

21:06

a professor of American history at Boston College writer

21:09

of letters from an American substacks most popular

21:11

newsletter and author of democracy Awakening

21:14

notes on the state of America, which is a new book

21:16

out last week. It was a fantastic conversation

21:18

max You'll you'll like it I'm

21:20

really glad that she is speaking to so many people that

21:23

she has such a big and dedicated audience

21:25

to like really talk people

21:27

through What's happening why

21:29

it's happening how to think critically about it? I feel

21:31

against the it's the kind of knowledge that really gives

21:33

you a sense of like Agency and like

21:35

having a handle on what's going on.

21:37

Yeah, and it's kind of a moment. I Have

21:41

over the last you know, however long we've been in

21:43

this sort of Trump era Hell been

21:45

thinking about like how much of this have

21:47

we seen before in history? How much is new,

21:49

you know and she does a great job in

21:52

her newsletter and in the book talking about The

21:54

appeal of authoritarianism over time and

21:57

the appeal of the argument over time and then why

21:59

democracy works And I think what one

22:01

of the things we land on is that what's new today

22:04

is or at least one thing that's new today Is

22:06

technology and the internet and social

22:08

media and that has changed

22:11

politics and the allure of authoritarianism

22:14

and the challenges of democracy in Many

22:17

of the ways that you and I have talked about on this show So

22:20

I can't wait to hear your thoughts before we go to break two

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24:00

Offline is brought to you by the Body Electric podcast

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today. Etsy has it.

25:38

Heather Cox Richardson, welcome to offline. Oh, it's

25:40

a pleasure to be here. So for people who don't

25:42

know, you are a professor of history at Boston

25:45

College who has become the most successful

25:47

author on Substack. You now have over

25:49

a million subscribers to your newsletter called

25:52

Letters from an American, which grew out of essays

25:54

you posted on Facebook, which I first heard

25:57

about from my mom, which is how I know you were

25:59

popular because my mom. is not as much of a political

26:01

junkie as her son. So how did all

26:03

this start and what were you trying

26:05

to do in those early essays?

26:07

So it really did start as

26:09

a way to answer questions. People were asking

26:12

me on Facebook about politics because

26:14

I'm a political historian and I

26:16

study Congress and I study the president, but

26:18

because I do American history, it's short enough

26:20

that you have a lot of control over a lot of

26:22

material. So I'm pretty good on

26:25

most things, a little week on opera but otherwise

26:27

I'm okay. And people

26:30

were asking me questions about what was happening in 2019 and

26:32

I just started answering

26:35

them. And I had been writing about once

26:37

a week on Facebook a general essay

26:40

either about politics or about life or

26:42

about some aspect of American history I liked.

26:44

And on September 15,

26:46

2019, I wrote about what I thought the world looked like

26:48

to me at that moment. Students poured

26:51

in and I thought, well, I hate to clog the

26:53

airwaves, but I'll just go ahead one more day

26:55

and answer what people have to say. And

26:57

I've been writing every single night since.

26:59

Wow. So there has

27:01

been no shortage of historians,

27:04

democracy experts, scholars,

27:07

writing about democracy in the Trump era.

27:10

What do you think it is about your writing that gained you

27:12

such a large audience so quickly?

27:14

Well, of course, you never know when you're the person

27:16

doing the writing. And I

27:18

guess if I had to guess, I would say

27:21

it's that I am interested

27:23

in establishing a reality-based community.

27:26

So what I'm really trying to do is actually explain

27:29

to people, not tell them how to vote, nothing else,

27:31

but just simply say, this is

27:33

what happened. Here's how the rules work.

27:36

This is what people are doing. And this is how it

27:38

fits in the larger scheme of American history.

27:41

Can you talk about the difference between how

27:43

people generally get their news

27:46

each day and how you

27:48

try to explain the day's events

27:50

to your audiences? Because it feels to

27:52

me like such an antidote

27:55

to much of what is, I

27:57

think, wrong with a lot

27:59

of media coverage.

27:59

Well, it's so funny you asked that

28:02

or put it that way because I did

28:04

try for a while to watch television news,

28:06

which I hadn't done since I've had my

28:08

own children. And I was

28:11

actually at the time dating a man who is now my husband.

28:13

And I did notice that after a few times

28:15

at his house with me screaming at the television, he

28:17

stopped

28:17

watching the news.

28:20

Because the stories would have changed, you know,

28:22

by the time that they were actually being aired, the

28:24

story was something entirely different. So

28:27

all I try and do is to

28:29

explain what's happening and put

28:31

it in a larger context. And also

28:34

not to speculate about what's going to happen

28:36

next. The word might or

28:38

may just drives me bonkers

28:40

because I don't know what's going to happen tomorrow. But

28:43

I can put you on pretty solid ground for what happened

28:45

today and remind you of how it fit

28:47

in a larger story so that you don't

28:49

end up feeling like everything's just coming at you

28:52

like, you know, from every direction

28:54

you instead sort of feel like you're part of a longer

28:57

story that tells, that

28:59

gives you a picture of the way the world really is. In

29:02

a way it's kind of like a, I hate to say this, but in a way it's kind

29:04

of like those old fashioned soap

29:08

operas where, you know, they're long running,

29:10

but there's the recurring characters and

29:12

there's the recurring themes. And at

29:14

the end of the day, it gives you a picture of a town. It's

29:17

just my town is the United States of America.

29:18

I mean, it does seem like

29:21

one of the biggest problems with

29:24

media coverage today, particularly political media

29:26

coverage, is sort of the lack of context.

29:29

That this is sort of at the core of what's missing

29:32

from our understanding of politics in the world around

29:34

us. And I think the cable

29:37

news started it. And now I think

29:39

the internet and especially social media just

29:42

strips everything of context. And I don't know

29:44

how we continue

29:47

to have a functioning democracy

29:50

if we're

29:52

constantly getting a stream of information

29:54

and news about the day that

29:56

is just stripped of all historical context

29:58

or any context, really.

29:59

Well, it's almost as if it's always a horse

30:02

race or always a ball game. And

30:04

there is an assumption that people understand

30:06

the ins and outs of the ball game. Like you

30:08

can't really watch baseball and feel

30:10

like you have a handle on it if all you know is

30:13

somebody's hitting the ball and somebody's not hitting the ball.

30:15

You sort of need to know the players and you need to know the rules

30:18

and you need to know who's injured and you need to know who the manager

30:20

is. And you know, I'm trying

30:22

to make sure people know all of those things

30:24

about American society. And that

30:27

makes it a much more interesting story as well

30:29

as a much more meaningful one, I think.

30:32

I wanted to start with these questions about your

30:34

style of writing as a way into a larger discussion

30:36

about democracy because I know that you

30:38

see a lot of power in language and

30:41

storytelling as I do. And

30:44

one of the challenges I've been wrestling

30:46

with for most of my career, especially

30:48

since 2016, has been

30:50

how those of us who believe deeply

30:53

in democracy and the American democratic experiment

30:56

can tell a better, more persuasive

30:58

story than authoritarians like Trump,

31:01

who've always seemed, at least to

31:03

me, to have an easier

31:06

sales job and a simpler story to

31:08

tell. So I guess I'll start there. What

31:10

does history tell us about why people

31:13

find the authoritarian appeal so

31:15

persuasive?

31:16

Well, that is a very simple story. And

31:19

this is not new to me. Scholars of authoritarianism

31:22

will tell you that the way an authoritarian

31:24

rises is he, because it's almost

31:26

always a he, finds a population

31:28

that feels itself to have been dispossessed

31:30

either economically or religiously or

31:32

culturally or socially and says, listen,

31:36

I know that you feel like you've been left

31:38

out. And the reason for that is,

31:40

and while a responsible

31:42

politician would say because of this series of

31:44

policies and so on, the strong

31:46

man simply says the reason this has happened is

31:48

because of them and

31:50

who them is doesn't matter so much as you

31:53

use that foil to weld your

31:55

group into a group that feels grievance

31:58

and that it's willing to back you to make things be

32:00

great again, to make America great again,

32:02

as it were. And the trick to

32:04

that is once people believe

32:06

that you, the strong man, are going

32:08

to return the nation to a series of

32:10

rules that are divine

32:13

or laid down by nature,

32:15

rules that your opponents are refusing to enact,

32:18

once they've done that, they have started to commit to you.

32:21

And once you start to treat those other

32:23

people badly, they internalize

32:27

their identity as being associated

32:29

with you, so that once you have committed violence

32:32

against somebody, either rhetorical or actual,

32:34

against those others, they have bought

32:37

into it. And it becomes harder and harder

32:39

and harder for them to give that up. So the worse

32:41

a strong man behaves, the more tightly

32:43

they cling to him.

32:45

Historically, how much has authoritarianism

32:48

been driven by larger cultural

32:51

and economic conditions and how much

32:53

has been driven by the emergence of a

32:56

particularly talented demagogue?

32:58

So there's a great book that's written in 1951

33:00

by a longshoreman in San Francisco, a guy named Eric

33:03

Hoffer. And everybody after World War II is

33:05

madly trying to figure out where Hitler and Mussolini came

33:07

from. He says, who cares? Every

33:10

generation has Hitler's and Mussolini's, but

33:12

they never get anywhere. The question is, why

33:14

does the population embrace those

33:16

people? When I read that, I thought that was

33:19

absolutely earth shattering, because of course, what you

33:21

really need to look at is not those leaders,

33:24

it's their followers. Why did they buy

33:26

in? And the answer, at least as far

33:28

as scholars of authoritarianism

33:31

have unpacked, is precisely

33:33

that. A population follows a strong

33:35

man when he promises to return them to a prominence

33:38

that they felt they used to have. And he's

33:40

going to do that by putting in place these laws

33:42

that will make

33:44

them great again and hurt their enemies.

33:47

Obviously, there have been times when

33:49

Americans have gone to war

33:52

against fascist authoritarian governments

33:54

or movements, World War II, civil

33:56

war in our own country. Aside from

33:59

the 20... 2020 election, what

34:01

are some examples of Americans beating back

34:03

the threat of fascism without taking up

34:05

arms?

34:08

The late 19th century is,

34:10

although I'm always a little bit dicey when we say

34:12

without taking up arms because those were very violent

34:15

times as well. Yeah. But you mean

34:17

in terms of armies and fighting

34:17

against armies. Yeah.

34:19

So the idea, if you really

34:21

stripped down what we're talking about here,

34:23

we're talking about two ways of organizing the world.

34:26

We're talking about on the one hand, a

34:28

society that believes everybody should be treated equally

34:31

before the law and the people within it should have a say

34:33

in their government. Standing against

34:35

them, we have those people who say some people

34:37

are really better than others and they have

34:39

a right and maybe even a duty to rule

34:42

over the rest of everybody else. And

34:44

while you can call that latter thing different things

34:46

and sometimes in some areas we call it fascism,

34:48

in some areas we call it the rise of

34:50

the slave power, and in the late 19th

34:53

century we call it the robber barons. Those

34:55

are always people who are arguing that

34:58

some people really are better than the rest of

35:00

us and they really should be in charge of things. So

35:03

what happens in the United States

35:05

in each of those eras that I just mentioned, the

35:07

1850s, the late 19th

35:09

century, the 1920s, again

35:11

rising now, is you get a

35:13

very few wealthy people taking over the political

35:15

system. And in the late 19th

35:18

century, as that happened, we got all the

35:20

normal hallmarks of how that works.

35:23

We got society saying that Andrew Carnegie

35:25

was the best thing since sliced bread. We get the laws

35:28

making it possible for monopolies to form.

35:30

We get the idea that anybody who is

35:33

objecting to working in a factory for pennies

35:35

is somehow undermining American society.

35:37

We get all the trappings and

35:40

yet we get a period in which Americans

35:42

come together to push back against that

35:44

and to instate very quickly what we know

35:47

as the progressive era, simply by saying

35:49

this is not what the United States is supposed to

35:51

stand for. And by taking over the political

35:53

system.

35:54

You write a lot about history rhyming

35:56

and I'm always trying to figure out what

35:59

aspect

35:59

of this moment. Don't rhyme

36:02

with anything else we've heard in American

36:04

history. What do you think? What feels new

36:06

and different about this era? Two

36:08

things.

36:09

Although both of them are simply

36:13

exaggerations of things we've seen

36:15

in the past and then one thing in a big way.

36:18

The two things, first of all, are

36:20

the degree of social media control

36:23

over our language. That is, we've

36:26

always had disinformation in American society

36:28

but now we have it on steroids. The

36:31

other major thing that we've

36:33

had in the past that has grown much larger in the

36:35

present is the global concentration

36:38

of wealth. So we've always had concentration

36:41

of wealth but now it's not simply in the United States,

36:43

it's global. Now, the one thing that is

36:46

truly unique in this period is that

36:48

this is the first time in our history

36:50

in which one of the two major

36:52

political parties is rejecting democracy.

36:55

That's a biggie. That's the moment that

36:57

is unique here and it's one that

37:00

I hope will help us to articulate that

37:02

this is not in fact what we believe the United

37:04

States should stand for.

37:05

Why do you think this is the first time

37:08

in our history that one of the two major political

37:10

parties has rejected democracy?

37:13

That's a very long

37:16

answer here that I'm not going to give you all

37:18

of and it would be fun to unpack but

37:21

one of the things that you started with here was talking

37:23

about stories and one of

37:25

the things that FDR did so well was to

37:27

articulate why democracy mattered

37:30

and why it stood effectively against

37:32

fascism. He gives this phenomenal

37:34

speech after the fall of Rome in which

37:37

he really takes on that question and says

37:39

the fascists promised that they were going to give you

37:42

great jobs and great food and great families

37:44

and great churches and all that kind of stuff but at the end

37:46

of the day who's feeding the people in Italy?

37:49

It's these messy democracies that got

37:51

our acts together to stand against the fascists

37:53

and to make sure that people actually are living,

37:56

staying alive.

37:59

Defense of democracy was

38:02

so widespread that coming out of World War II

38:04

I think members of both political parties believed

38:06

that they could stop defending it and it's in

38:10

1960 of course we get Phil Converse is a Philip Converse

38:12

the name I'm sure you know a political scientist

38:15

who says would you all stop talking about democracy?

38:17

We all are agreed We don't have to talk about

38:19

this stuff any longer Instead what we need

38:22

to do to win elections is to nail together Coalition's

38:25

who will be able to pick people to put

38:27

in office depending on what they promise to

38:29

deliver to those constituencies And when

38:31

they did that I actually think

38:33

there was something important that happened in society

38:36

where people stopped feeling like their vote really mattered

38:38

for something bigger and with that

38:40

we had the rise of those Movement

38:43

conservatives saying wait a minute wait a minute We

38:45

can make your vote matter again We can

38:48

help you take back this nation for the

38:50

little guy against this creeping socialism

38:53

And you know I think one of the reasons we're here

38:55

in the moment We're in is because of that loss

38:57

of language and then with it What followed

39:00

was the taking over the mechanics

39:02

of our government through gerrymandering and voter Suppression

39:04

and the different mechanics of our system

39:07

to put what we really have now in place,

39:09

which is minority rule

39:11

Lots of language, and I also wonder if

39:13

it's a loss of memory I mean

39:16

there was a survey of 30 countries

39:19

out I think the Soros foundation did a little

39:22

while ago 71% of respondents

39:24

over the age of 56 said that democracy

39:27

is preferable to any other form of government That

39:29

drops to 57% of respondents between

39:31

the ages of 18 to 35 42% of

39:34

young people also said that army rule

39:36

is a good way of running a country and 35% of

39:39

young people said that having a Leader who doesn't hold elections

39:41

is a good way of running a country What do you

39:43

think is going on there with younger population?

39:46

Isn't this interesting and it's actually one of the things that

39:48

that makes me very sad and worries

39:50

me One of the things that I have

39:52

seen happening in my extraordinarily

39:55

long life

39:59

Is any time that the government

40:02

started to do something that was popular

40:05

With the majority of americans the republicans

40:07

called it socialism And

40:09

and you see that again and again and again I

40:12

was reading just the other day a piece that bill

40:14

o'riley who was a at the time a

40:16

a person on the fox news channel Was

40:19

saying about the affordable care act that

40:21

this is socialism come to america And what are we

40:23

going to do because people like socialism and socialism

40:26

is a bad thing So one of the questions

40:28

that you you just cited here a lot of people

40:30

might say well, you know I don't actually like like

40:32

this system of democracy. I quite like these

40:34

ideas of socialism Of course, that has nothing to do with what

40:36

socialism really is So there's that

40:39

but there is also the I think

40:41

the continual underpinning of our

40:44

civic rights if you

40:46

will But one of the other things you

40:48

mentioned here was the idea that army rule would be

40:50

a good thing There too We've seen the celebration

40:54

of the military as part of a

40:56

right-wing project as opposed to what it has

40:58

traditionally been in the united states A way

41:00

to keep us secure which is the primary

41:03

function of a government So a lot of it I think

41:05

is language that has taken people to a

41:07

place where they believe that the the very

41:09

guardrails Of our government of our democracy

41:12

are somehow unimportant and can be replaced

41:15

by these things that are embraced by by

41:17

a radical right wing You

41:19

mentioned social media one of

41:21

the reasons I started the show is because my big

41:23

worry is That almost every

41:26

shift In the way we communicate

41:28

and consume information over the last decade

41:31

or so Has made it much more difficult

41:33

to maintain a functioning democracy, which

41:35

requires us to pay attention Have

41:39

patience be open to other points of view

41:41

exist in a shared reality And

41:44

maybe most important to your line of work. Remember

41:46

Remember we're like what came before the

41:49

day's news cycle and Cable

41:51

news makes that hard. I think social media and

41:53

the internet make that hard I think the balkanization

41:56

of media in general make that hard. So

41:58

it's it's one thing to come up with a persuasive

42:01

story about American democracy, how

42:04

do we make sure enough people hear it at this point?

42:06

Because I do, when you talk to young people, I think part

42:08

of it is, there's also the speed of

42:10

information. And so there's

42:13

this desire for everything to be solved

42:15

immediately. Everyone's

42:18

instant gratification is something that technology

42:20

has brought us. And there's so much

42:22

noise and so much information getting thrown at people

42:24

that you can see why some young people

42:26

would say, okay. And it's interesting, because

42:28

that same survey I cited, high,

42:32

high percentages of young people, even

42:34

the ones who said like military rule might be a good

42:36

idea, high percentages still believe

42:39

in upholding individual rights. And

42:42

yet the system of, they're not connecting

42:44

it to a system of government because I wonder

42:47

if they see democratic governments

42:49

and the infighting and the arguing

42:51

that goes on in democracies is making the

42:54

government sclerotic and also like not

42:56

attentive to their needs.

42:58

Well, in terms of things

43:00

moving quickly, I will say, I see

43:02

what you're saying, but I will say it seems to

43:04

me to be reasonable to want the things to move

43:06

more quickly on things like gun

43:08

safety and on climate change. I mean, they

43:10

do have a point. Let's call it that.

43:14

So one

43:17

of the other things you mentioned though, was

43:20

the rash of social media

43:22

and how difficult it makes it to combat

43:24

disinformation, which is what you're saying. And I

43:27

remain hopeful on that front for two

43:29

reasons. Disinformation is not new. And

43:31

my favorite is that in the early

43:34

19th century, before we had social

43:36

media and ways to get information quickly, one

43:38

of the best ways to win an election was to

43:40

spread the rumor that your opponent was dead. And

43:43

that's really hard to push back on. No,

43:46

I'm alive. Well, you prove you're alive,

43:48

right? So it's not like this is

43:50

anything new. But one of the things that fascinates me

43:52

in this moment is we know that political

43:54

theorists very deliberately came up

43:56

with a theory for how you get people to abandon

43:59

democracy. And you do it by the creation

44:01

of virtual politics or political

44:03

technology, which is literally a

44:05

blueprint for creating a false

44:07

reality that make people think they're

44:10

voting for things they are not. False

44:12

candidates, disinformation,

44:14

throw shit at the wall the way Steve Bannon talked

44:16

about. There's these steps to make

44:18

this happen, but there

44:20

was never a theoretical framework

44:23

for what happens when people recognize what

44:25

has been done to them. And that

44:27

I think we have seen before and I think we're

44:29

seeing it now. And that is that once

44:31

you've used those tools of technology

44:33

against a population, they reclaim

44:36

them for themselves and they do something

44:38

very different with them. So you and I are having

44:40

this podcast right now, but one

44:42

of the things that has really jumped out to me recently,

44:45

and I really hate to do this to you, but

44:47

is Taylor Swift. Yeah. I mean, Taylor Swift

44:49

coming forward. I'm a fan. Okay. So

44:52

I'm actually going to be writing

44:52

about her recently because of this very thing. This

44:55

is somebody who is using the technologies that

44:57

have been used against democracy

44:59

for democracy

45:01

and they're using them in new and incredibly

45:03

innovative ways. And I think to the point

45:05

that most people who study this are not aware

45:08

of how much is going on in

45:10

areas that they're not even looking at.

45:12

In what ways do you think she's using those tools?

45:15

By getting people to register to vote. And

45:17

she's not telling people how to vote socially. She

45:19

is saying this is very important for our

45:21

democracy. And of course, she's not the only one, but

45:24

she's a very visible person in

45:26

this era to be doing that. And I think

45:29

considering her previous attempts to stay

45:32

out of politics, a really important sign,

45:34

of course, she's not by any means the only one.

45:36

I find that so interesting

45:38

because I have heard criticisms

45:40

from

45:41

liberals and Democrats that

45:45

she should be doing more. She should be saying more and

45:47

she's not putting out statements on every

45:50

political development that happens and she's not

45:52

being strong enough on this issue or this issue. And

45:54

I've always wondered, knowing

45:57

the difficulty she's had in the past.

46:00

being told not to get involved in politics,

46:02

I kind of thought it was a pretty big step that she was registering

46:04

voters. But I also do wonder

46:07

if it's a strategy, which sort of brings

46:09

me to other questions. We

46:14

have a country now where 46%, 47% of the population

46:16

has voted for Donald Trump not once

46:22

but twice. And I

46:24

always think about something the

46:27

author Marilynne Robinson said

46:29

to President Obama, which is that

46:31

the basis of democracy is the willingness

46:33

to assume well about other people. And

46:36

it makes sense to me, but I also struggle

46:39

with what to do with the millions and millions of

46:41

hardcore Trump fans who

46:44

are either living in a different reality as you spoke

46:46

about or are actively hostile

46:49

toward not just liberalism but democracy

46:51

itself. And even if

46:53

Trump loses again in 2024, how

46:55

do we coexist peacefully

46:58

with a radicalized faction?

47:01

I'm laughing because this is so unfair. We've gone

47:03

from Taylor Swift

47:04

to ... I know, we really did it real ...

47:06

And I keep thinking of answers the whole way. Let

47:09

me go back to Taylor Swift though, and the

47:12

poor woman who does not deserve me analyzing

47:14

her, but not simply

47:17

that she encouraged

47:19

people to register to vote, which is certainly a piece

47:21

of this. But her tour

47:24

that took place this summer was, I believe, the

47:26

highest-grossing tour of all time, is that correct? And

47:29

that tour was a very unusual tour

47:31

in that it was cross-generational. So

47:34

how many times have you seen a cross-generational

47:36

tour of women and their daughters, or

47:38

rather daughters and their mothers? And

47:41

that, I think, was a really important statement

47:43

about voices in this country. And

47:46

I always love when people aren't saying she's doing enough. Isn't

47:48

it fascinating how many people have a lot of opinions

47:51

about what other people should be doing? Taylor

47:53

Swift is a musician and

47:55

a songwriter, and she

47:57

is doing what she does best. In

48:00

that, she is, I think, advancing

48:03

a view of society by virtue

48:05

of who she is

48:05

attracting that is

48:08

important

48:08

to this moment, the idea that women of

48:11

all generations can operate together

48:14

to do something like elevate their

48:17

favorite person to the highest-grossing tour of all time.

48:19

Well, she also created, over the summer

48:22

and now, with the

48:24

crossover with NFL fans, a

48:26

real monocultural moment, which

48:29

I was talking about this on another episode

48:31

of Offline, is that we sort of don't have

48:33

a lot of these monocultural moments as

48:35

much anymore because of the balkanization

48:38

of the media, because everyone's getting their information

48:40

from so many different sources. And I wonder

48:43

if American democracy

48:45

needs more monocultural moments,

48:48

because I wonder if, like,

48:50

what is stitching us together right now? That

48:53

sort of worries me.

48:54

Well, it's a monocultural moment

48:56

that is not around Walter Cronkite. It's

48:58

around women, women changing

49:01

the world, women saying, this is what we want,

49:03

we don't care what your advisors told you, we are

49:05

making this the most profitable tour

49:08

of all time. So I think

49:10

that that matters, aside from,

49:12

yes, you should register to vote, but what that says

49:14

about society matters.

49:15

Oh, well, then the other thing is just talking

49:18

about what to do about the

49:20

now-radicalized faction, right? And

49:24

I'm not, you know, there's Trump voters, and I

49:26

sort of split them up between, there's Trump voters and there's Trump

49:28

fans, right? There's some people, you know, I've

49:31

talked to Obama Trump voters, there's

49:33

Trump voters who switched to Biden, right? So

49:36

those people seem persuadable. But,

49:38

you know, there's, whether it's the

49:40

people who stormed the Capitol on January 6th, whether

49:42

it's the people who show up at Israeli, the people who

49:44

are more inclined to commit political violence

49:47

these days, I don't quite know

49:49

what to do about a country where that

49:52

is a growing and vocal

49:54

faction. And I don't know if history

49:56

tells us anything about what we can

49:58

do.

49:59

I'm not buying growing.

50:00

Okay, that's good. So it's ... Maybe

50:03

just louder. Well,

50:03

they're very loud, which is, I think, actually

50:06

a sign that they're weakening, not growing, because

50:08

if you are in control, you don't have to shout. And

50:10

that's a really important distinction, because if you know

50:13

you've got the voters, you don't have to be out

50:15

there threatening people. I

50:17

mean, we don't have to discuss this because it's sort of obvious

50:20

on its face, right? And Trump has never won

50:22

a national election, even despite

50:25

all the things that the Republican Party has done since 1986

50:27

to suppress the vote of

50:29

people that they expect will vote against them. And

50:31

that really matters. If I hear one more pundit saying,

50:34

black people aren't turning up to vote. It's like, have y'all

50:36

looked at the laws? And

50:39

my friend Carol Anderson is really great on that.

50:41

But worth remembering always that 20%

50:45

of the people, you just have

50:47

to ... I'm going to put this and

50:49

get all of us into trouble, will never

50:51

be recoverable. Let's put it

50:54

that way. Trump has become a part

50:56

of their identity. It will not go away.

50:58

Even if they stop vocalizing it, it is what

51:00

it is. And that's what all theorists will tell

51:02

you. But then there's the other piece

51:05

of the rise of an authoritarian-like Trump that is so interesting

51:08

is that somebody like

51:10

that can turn people who have previously been

51:12

apathetic into political actors. And

51:15

the question is, what happens to them when they

51:17

recognize that he is no longer

51:19

a viable candidate? And by that, I mean

51:22

if you watch him, one of the things that seems

51:24

to me not on the table right now and ought to be is that

51:26

people really haven't seen him for

51:29

a long time.

51:30

I was just saying this on the podcast of America yesterday.

51:33

Yeah.

51:33

And when you see him now and

51:36

listen to him, one of the reasons I think he's not

51:38

doing the debates, yes, he's way out in front with

51:40

the primary voters, but he

51:43

is a deeply problem aside

51:45

from the indictments, aside from the

51:48

liability for rape, aside from the ...

51:50

I mean, should I just keep on going here? Aside

51:52

from the fact that his businesses

51:55

have been found guilty of fraud,

51:57

aside from all those things, he's incoherent.

51:59

You know, and at some point,

52:03

those apathetic voters are going to, previously

52:06

apathetic voters are going to have to make a choice. Am

52:08

I still willing to throw in my lot with

52:10

this man, or am I going

52:12

to do something else? And the question is, what

52:14

will they do in that moment? And my guess

52:17

is that some people are going to become

52:20

fervent anti-champers. They've been cheated

52:22

and they're pissed off, right? Probably

52:24

a fairly small percentage of them. A

52:27

lot of the apathetic people will just be apathetic

52:29

again. They're all corrupt, I hate this,

52:31

I wanted Trump, he was the best president ever,

52:33

but you've ruined him.

52:36

And then there's

52:37

a group of them, I think, that will become nihilists

52:39

and want to burn it all down. And

52:41

that feels to me like where we are right now.

52:44

Now, of course, I don't know, because I'm a prophet of the past

52:46

and not the future, but I am not,

52:49

I am very concerned about the future,

52:52

but I am not despairing of it.

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54:29

We've

54:32

talked a lot about Trump, but I'm trying to think about

54:34

like the antidote to Trump and leaders who have

54:37

tried to oppose Trump. Joe Biden

54:39

comes into office and he,

54:42

you know, sort of does everything that

54:44

you would want someone to do to sort of lower the

54:46

temperature in the country. And he's talking

54:48

about democracy and he's reaching out to all

54:50

Americans and many of

54:52

his policies have, he

54:55

has specifically targeted policies,

54:57

economic policies, to help people in red states.

54:59

They have talked about that, says that he's

55:01

everyone's president, and he's

55:05

sitting in an approval rating that's not great. And

55:07

then you have someone like, and I've heard you talk about

55:09

this too, Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan,

55:12

right? And very competitive

55:14

state, and has passed

55:16

policies that done the same as Biden

55:19

and has a very high approval

55:21

rating in that state. And I

55:23

wonder what's the difference between Michigan

55:25

and the rest of the United States? Because you see

55:27

the same thing with Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania, right?

55:29

Another sort of moderate, middle

55:32

of the road Democrat, super, super

55:34

popular. And I wonder

55:36

if there's something that when you go

55:38

national, something is broken

55:40

in the country that Joe Biden can't get

55:42

sort of the credit that I think a lot of people would

55:45

give him for lowering the temperature and just

55:47

governing responsibly in this period. Well, in a sense,

55:49

states are easier

55:50

because you're not going to make your career in Florida

55:52

by attacking people in Michigan, you

55:54

know. So it's much easier,

55:56

I think, to go after the president because most people pay

55:59

more attention to the president. But one

56:01

of the things that I think is interesting about this moment

56:03

and I think about what Biden is doing that I don't

56:05

think people are paying enough attention to, and that is

56:07

that he and his administration have

56:09

worked extraordinarily hard to roll

56:11

back the policies of the past 40 years

56:14

that have concentrated wealth at the very top. Now,

56:16

there's big stuff they haven't been able to do and they won't

56:19

be able to do simply because of the split in the Congress.

56:22

But as we know, rolling back the George W.

56:24

Bush tax cuts and the Trump tax cuts would take

56:26

care of the deficit. There's

56:28

not news to anybody who follows

56:31

the numbers. That would be huge. But the

56:33

piece that is interesting to me in that,

56:35

and of course they're taking on anti-monopoly,

56:39

they're taking on all sorts of ways in which they're trying

56:41

to restore power to ordinary

56:44

Americans. And what's interesting to me about that

56:46

is historically if you look at this country, the times

56:48

in which we have pulled together, the times

56:50

in which our racial, our ethnic splits,

56:52

our gender splits, all of those things have gotten

56:55

much smaller, are times when the

56:57

economy is

56:58

much fairer. So

57:01

while people

57:03

recognize the importance of his economic

57:06

legislation and his economic moves,

57:08

I think, they seem somehow to see

57:10

that as separate from what people like

57:12

Vice President Kamala Harris has been focusing on, which

57:14

is the idea of equality before the law. And

57:17

it strikes me that they're both flip sides

57:19

of the same coin. That if you can stop

57:22

all the money going to the very top and make

57:24

sure people don't have to worry about where their next meal

57:26

is coming from or where their next car payment is coming

57:29

from, they're much more likely to say, sure,

57:31

I don't mind sharing my

57:34

job site with somebody from another

57:36

country. I know. It's

57:38

so interesting because I

57:40

worked for President Obama and I remember in the 2012

57:42

re-elect that

57:44

Romney was our opponent and Obama

57:47

would always say that this is a debate

57:49

about the size and

57:51

role of government. And I think that Romney

57:53

probably would have said that as well. And they were arguing

57:56

over taxes and tax cuts

57:58

and health care and all those. And now

58:01

it feels like the axis of American

58:03

politics is around these issues of

58:06

identity, partly because of

58:08

Trump. Trump did this, right? And

58:11

as he has radicalized the

58:14

Republican Party, it seems

58:16

more difficult to even get coverage

58:19

when you are debating issues about economic

58:22

growth and inequality. And

58:24

look, it's Biden's message. He's out

58:26

there all the time talking about the economy and

58:29

Bidenomics and all the things he's done. And

58:31

look, I think part of it is, you know, we're still dealing

58:34

with inflation, even though it's come down. And so that people

58:36

are feeling that. But I wonder

58:39

how to beat back the MAGA

58:42

Trump strategy of

58:45

making everything about these

58:47

cultural, social issues of identity.

58:49

Well, it is worth remembering that the reason that they're

58:51

focusing on those cultural and

58:54

social issues and on identity is because

58:56

the vast majority of Americans are agreed

58:58

on the role of the government in our society.

59:01

So, you know, the percentages are truly

59:04

crazy when you look at how many people want

59:06

gun safety, how many people want reproductive rights,

59:08

how many people want fair taxes, how many people

59:10

want health care. I mean, these are not

59:13

marginal issues. These are where in the 70%, in some

59:15

cases in the 80% of people who want

59:18

them. So of course that's not a fight that the Republicans

59:20

want to have. Instead, they would much rather

59:23

have a fight over whether or not literally

59:25

it came down to one trans

59:27

kid in Kansas, which I thought was

59:30

interesting legislatively for different reasons. They'd

59:32

much rather have that fight than have people

59:35

say, well, no, actually we don't think

59:36

you should have social security.

59:37

So one of the things that I always try

59:39

to do is center that economic argument

59:42

and say, listen, we are really talking about this

59:44

here. But second, you

59:46

know, how do you take that back, first of all,

59:48

by doing what you and I are doing? But

59:50

second of all, by recognizing I think that there is a huge

59:53

problem right now on the Republican side, and that

59:55

is that central to their cultural fight

59:57

has been the fight over reproductive rights. Once

1:00:00

again, we're in the 70s of people

1:00:02

who believe, 70% of people who believe

1:00:05

that abortion should be safe and legal in

1:00:07

some or all cases. That's

1:00:09

a huge percentage, and the number of people who think it

1:00:11

should never be is under I

1:00:14

don't remember if it's six or nine because I always mix those two up,

1:00:16

but it's quite low, right? So, they don't

1:00:18

want to talk about that. Instead, as I say, we're

1:00:21

really focusing on things like that

1:00:23

stupid penguin and the fact

1:00:27

that it had two parents, and I don't even know if it was

1:00:29

two male penguins. I mean, really?

1:00:31

Like, really? This is the world's superpower,

1:00:34

and we're worried about a couple of penguins in a children's

1:00:36

book, and they would much rather have

1:00:38

those fights than the real ones that matter to

1:00:40

people's lives. One of the things

1:00:43

that we started with here was narrative,

1:00:45

and one of the things that worries me is when people try

1:00:48

and take on those narratives, they

1:00:50

fade on their terms. You know, in

1:00:52

fact, instead of saying, I don't want to talk

1:00:54

to you about the latest thing that Trump has

1:00:56

done, I want to tell you what America should be.

1:01:00

That's the narrative structure that will

1:01:02

enable people to envision our way out

1:01:04

of the box that we've lived in for the past six

1:01:07

years and the past 40 before that.

1:01:09

You wrote that you're

1:01:11

much more hopeful now than you were six or seven

1:01:13

years ago when there was a clear trend

1:01:15

toward authoritarianism and no one is paying attention. Now

1:01:17

people have woken up. What makes you so

1:01:20

hopeful that people have woken up and

1:01:22

will continue to stay away?

1:01:23

I will answer that, but I want to ask you first,

1:01:25

did you see

1:01:27

this moment coming or

1:01:29

not? I did not. I

1:01:31

knew that the Republican Party was

1:01:34

radicalizing in sort of a dangerous way, but

1:01:37

again, I remember, it's

1:01:40

now a famous quote, but I remember being

1:01:42

with Obama when he said, you know, I think, and

1:01:44

if we win this in 2012, the

1:01:46

fever has to break. They

1:01:49

will only be, not because they'll like suddenly

1:01:52

see the light, but Republicans will realize

1:01:54

that it's not sustainable for them to

1:01:56

continue running elections like this, especially

1:01:59

in a diversifying.

1:01:59

country, where there's going to be a majority

1:02:02

for progressive values or more progressive

1:02:05

values at least than Republicans. And I think,

1:02:07

to be fair, the Republican

1:02:09

Party itself, after they lost that election, they had

1:02:12

the whole, the RNC did an autopsy

1:02:15

where the conclusion was we have to be more

1:02:17

pro-immigration and we have to

1:02:19

be more welcoming. So I did

1:02:22

not see it. I

1:02:24

did not see it. I thought that, I did

1:02:26

think during the primary in 2016 that

1:02:28

it was going to be, I thought earlier

1:02:32

in the primary before he

1:02:34

was leading in the polls that it was going to be Trump just because that's

1:02:36

how the Republican Party was headed. But

1:02:40

I did not think that he would win.

1:02:42

It is worth remembering that Trump

1:02:44

in 2016 was the most moderate Republican

1:02:47

economically on that stage. He

1:02:50

called for fixing tax loopholes

1:02:52

that were enabling the rich to take everything and wanted to

1:02:54

bring back manufacturing and wanted cheaper and better

1:02:57

healthcare. He really was

1:02:59

saying all the right stuff. We just

1:03:01

didn't realize that

1:03:02

it was all a miracle. Well, that's what worries

1:03:05

me about him now is because

1:03:07

you were just mentioning the, it's more

1:03:09

of like the Ron DeSantis wing of the party really focusing

1:03:12

on trans issues and

1:03:15

what kids are being taught in school and CRT.

1:03:18

And you can tell that Trump hits those notes

1:03:20

when he has to, but I think he was at a rally

1:03:23

a couple of months ago and he was like, you

1:03:25

know, I talk about tax cuts, no one applauds. I

1:03:27

talk about this trans stuff and everyone's clapping their hands.

1:03:29

People didn't even know what it was. It's like, he's almost confused

1:03:31

by it because I think he has

1:03:34

now, he's back on the message

1:03:36

I think that was effective

1:03:38

for him in 2016, which is more

1:03:41

economic populism, more immigration.

1:03:44

We got to stop immigration and we got to do another trade

1:03:46

war. And I do think that's a more,

1:03:49

he sort of intuitively gets

1:03:52

where both the Republican bases

1:03:54

and maybe some of the swing voters more

1:03:56

than I think anyone else in the Republican party right

1:03:58

now.

1:03:59

leaders of the Republican Party are really pushing it

1:04:02

toward that illiberal democracy that you're identifying

1:04:04

that comes really from places like

1:04:06

Hungary and the idea of a much

1:04:09

larger government that is going to turn us all

1:04:11

into a Christian nation as opposed

1:04:14

to the old kind of Republican

1:04:16

argument that we want of a smaller government and economic

1:04:19

freedom.

1:04:20

Yeah. So I guess that goes back to what

1:04:23

keeps you hopeful.

1:04:25

Well, so there are a number

1:04:27

of things that keep me hopeful. The

1:04:29

most obvious one is that we

1:04:31

have been here before and there

1:04:33

are plenty of dates I could give you where

1:04:36

people thought our democracy was done. Most

1:04:39

effectively, of course, in 1853,

1:04:41

it was pretty clear if you were looking around

1:04:43

that the country was about to become

1:04:46

entirely dominated by elite enslavers. They

1:04:48

had taken over the White House and the Supreme Court.

1:04:51

They had taken over the Senate. They had made inroads

1:04:53

in the House of Representatives and it was only a question

1:04:55

of time until they spread human enslavement to the

1:04:57

American South and from there it will become a national

1:04:59

institution. They were quite articulate about

1:05:02

this. They intended to have their

1:05:04

system of human enslavement spread around the globe

1:05:06

and this was going to be the future of human government.

1:05:09

That was 1853. 1854, they

1:05:11

forced through Congress a law that does in

1:05:13

fact enable them to spread enslavement across the

1:05:15

West. By 1856, there's a new

1:05:18

political party made up of people who disagree

1:05:20

with each other about everything from immigration

1:05:22

and finances and internal improvements

1:05:24

to you name it, that they could agree that

1:05:26

they were not going to let the country be taken over

1:05:29

by an oligarchy. That was 1856. By 1859,

1:05:32

you've got Abraham Lincoln articulating a new

1:05:34

vision of American society that says the government

1:05:36

should not work for those rich guys. It should work for

1:05:38

ordinary people like us. By 1863,

1:05:42

January of 1863, he has seen the Emancipation

1:05:45

Proclamation ending human enslavement in

1:05:47

the United States and by 1863,

1:05:50

he's giving the Gettysburg Address saying that this government

1:05:53

is going to be based on the Declaration

1:05:55

of Independence and the right of everybody to be treated

1:05:57

equally before the law and to have a say in their government.

1:06:00

That's extraordinary. That's nine years.

1:06:03

You go from we've lost it all to we're reinventing

1:06:05

it. But I could do the same thing for the 1890s

1:06:08

and I could absolutely do the same thing for

1:06:10

the 1920s to the 1930s. So

1:06:13

that's the real question.

1:06:13

A lot of pain and suffering in all of those

1:06:15

periods. Well, that's why I

1:06:16

keep talking. It would be really nice to just

1:06:19

kind of skip

1:06:19

over that part, right? Because

1:06:21

we know how it's going to come out. Strong

1:06:23

men never survive. It's just a question of how much

1:06:26

damage they do until they end up

1:06:29

being gotten rid of. So I have faith

1:06:32

in the history. I also have

1:06:34

faith in American society because

1:06:36

I think our marginalized peoples have kept those

1:06:39

ideals of the Declaration of Independence in front

1:06:41

of us since the beginning in a way that in other countries

1:06:43

they may not have. But finally,

1:06:45

I think I am sanguine because

1:06:48

I believe that humans

1:06:50

want the principle of self-determination. That

1:06:53

at the end of the day that this is really a human

1:06:55

experiment and whether or not we should have control

1:06:57

over our own lives. And if

1:07:00

that's the case and that democracy

1:07:02

is a form of government most designed to

1:07:04

guarantee that the majority of people

1:07:07

can have the right of self-determination, I

1:07:09

have a really hard time believing that Americans

1:07:11

are going to give it up.

1:07:12

Yeah. I mean, you

1:07:14

were describing authoritarianism in

1:07:17

your book as the

1:07:19

belief that some people are better than others. It's

1:07:21

pretty simple, isn't it? Well, it also

1:07:23

reminded me of, and I think Biden

1:07:26

has said this a lot, he said it during the inaugural

1:07:28

as well because it really stuck with me. And

1:07:30

it's one of his parent's sayings, which he often

1:07:33

gives people a lot. And it was what

1:07:35

his mom used to say to him, which was, Joey, no one is better

1:07:37

than you. Everyone is your equal and everyone

1:07:39

is equal to you. And it struck me that

1:07:41

that is a pretty good foundation for

1:07:44

a defense of democracy and specifically

1:07:47

American democracy. And I wonder

1:07:49

how

1:07:50

you think about the story

1:07:52

that we tell now going forward and what the most

1:07:54

effective story to counter authoritarianism

1:07:56

is. And is it more like value

1:07:59

laden like that?

1:07:59

Is it, you know, I remember when Trump won, there

1:08:02

was some folks from Italy who

1:08:04

were saying, you know what, the way that we beat Berlusconi

1:08:07

was just treating them like a regular politician and just

1:08:09

talking about issues. And I think Biden

1:08:11

has sort of elevated the conversation

1:08:14

about Trump to talk a lot about democracy

1:08:16

and values and principles and ideals. And

1:08:19

you know, and there's some concern, is that too

1:08:21

far removed from people's everyday lives? And

1:08:23

so I do wonder what your thoughts are on like sort

1:08:25

of the core story about democracy that

1:08:27

could prevail at this moment.

1:08:29

Well, I think what Biden has done

1:08:31

is very important. But

1:08:34

I think the story right now is not

1:08:36

really about Biden or Trump,

1:08:38

although Biden is articulating it. It

1:08:41

is about American people reclaiming their

1:08:43

control of their democracy. So

1:08:45

one of the things that's really taken off since the 1980s,

1:08:48

and you see it in the curriculum in Florida and Texas

1:08:51

and Oklahoma, for example, is not just

1:08:54

the erasure of minority history.

1:08:56

It's the erasure of agency. The idea

1:08:58

that ordinary people make a difference.

1:09:01

And that's why I am pointing

1:09:03

to things like people showing up at a Taylor Swift

1:09:05

concert. The idea that people going

1:09:07

about their daily lives can make good

1:09:10

choices on a daily

1:09:11

basis, can stand up on a daily

1:09:13

basis for caring

1:09:14

for community, for caring for each other, for

1:09:16

making sure people are treated equally before the law,

1:09:19

for doing the things that make a democracy

1:09:22

work, I think has really gotten traction

1:09:24

in the last few years. And I find that

1:09:26

very exciting. I mean, that doesn't mean at the end of the day, we're

1:09:29

going to end up at the place that looks exactly

1:09:31

like what I envision it. But that's the whole

1:09:33

point of democracy. We get to have a say

1:09:35

in the way it comes out. And I'm seeing that all

1:09:38

around. So yes, talking

1:09:41

about democracy is very

1:09:42

important. But more important, I think, is

1:09:44

seeing how it plays out on the ground and

1:09:46

ceasing to focus only on Trump as

1:09:49

if he's somehow some shaman who's going

1:09:51

to either make us or break us. Because

1:09:53

at the end of the day, he's not. It's never been about

1:09:55

him. It's been about those people who hope that

1:09:57

he can make something magical happen to return.

1:10:00

turn their lives to importance, when

1:10:02

in fact the vast majority of us are

1:10:05

pretty convinced our lives already are important and

1:10:07

our government should represent us.

1:10:09

Yeah, and reminding people that

1:10:11

they, like you said, they have agency and they have power

1:10:13

to do something about this, which I think is the antidote

1:10:15

to a cynicism that

1:10:18

pervades politics right now that

1:10:20

I think helps people like

1:10:22

Trump and the Republican Party.

1:10:24

Absolutely. And you know, if you don't think

1:10:26

you have power, take a look at how the Republicans are

1:10:28

no longer talking about getting rid of abortion. Ever

1:10:31

since the Dobbs decision and when Democrats have been

1:10:33

overperforming in every special election

1:10:35

since then by eight points, all of a sudden

1:10:38

now they're coming up with all kinds of other language

1:10:40

to talk about restricting abortion rights

1:10:42

because people are upset by it. And similarly,

1:10:45

within the week before you and I were talking,

1:10:48

we have Clarence Thomas recusing himself

1:10:50

from a Supreme Court case involving

1:10:53

the January 6th attack

1:10:55

on the U.S. Capitol, which he's always refused

1:10:57

to do in the past. Well, you know, he's feeling the pressure

1:10:59

because people are speaking up and saying, hey, wait a minute

1:11:02

here. What about ethics on the Supreme Court? So

1:11:04

American voices really matter in terms

1:11:06

of making people do what you want them to do, but also

1:11:09

I think in upholding democratic values

1:11:11

and it's high time.

1:11:12

Yeah. Heather Cox Richardson, thank

1:11:14

you so much for joining offline. This is a fantastic

1:11:16

conversation. The book is Democracy Awakenings

1:11:19

and everyone should go get it. It is a fantastic book.

1:11:21

Thank you so much.

1:11:32

Offline is a crooked media production. It's

1:11:34

written and hosted by me, John Favreau. It's

1:11:37

produced by Austin Ficher. Emma Ilik

1:11:39

Frank is our associate producer. Andrew Chadwick

1:11:41

is our sound editor. Kyle Seglund, Charlotte

1:11:44

Landis and Vassilis Fotopoulos sound engineered

1:11:46

the show. Jordan Katz and Kenny Siegel

1:11:48

take care of our music. Thanks to Michael Martinez,

1:11:51

Ari Schwartz, Amelia Montuth and Sandy Gerard

1:11:53

for production support. To our digital team,

1:11:55

Elijah Cohn and Rachel Gieske, who film

1:11:58

and share our episodes as videos and videos.

1:11:59

every week.

1:12:09

Daily headlines remind us of how the conservative

1:12:11

majority on the Supreme Court is moving fast and

1:12:13

breaking precedence. But elsewhere in

1:12:15

the lower courts, where the media spotlight doesn't

1:12:17

shine as bright, unseen forces are

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fomenting a quiet revolution. We

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Don't Talk About Leonard, a new series from ProPublica

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and On the Media, explores the web of money,

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influence, and power behind the conservative takeover

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of America's courts and considers the man

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at the center of it all. Listen to On the

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