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to learn more. In the early 19th century, before
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and ways to get information quickly, one of the best ways
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to win an election was to spread the rumor that
1:00
your opponent was dead. And that's really
1:02
hard to push back on. You know, no, I'm alive.
1:05
Well, yeah, prove you're alive, right? So
1:07
it's not like this is anything new, but
1:09
one of the things that fascinates me in this moment is
1:11
we know that political theorists very
1:14
deliberately came up with a theory for how
1:16
you get people to abandon democracy. And
1:19
that's what we're gonna talk about today. How do you get people to
1:21
abandon democracy? And you do it
1:23
by the creation of virtual politics
1:25
or political technology, which is literally
1:27
a blueprint for creating a false
1:30
reality that make people think they're
1:32
voting for things they are not. False
1:34
candidates, disinformation, throw
1:36
shit at the wall the way Steve Bannon talked about.
1:39
There's these steps to make this happen.
1:41
But there was never a theoretical
1:44
framework for what happens when people recognize
1:47
what has been done to them. And that
1:49
I think we have seen before, and I think we're
1:51
seeing it now. And that is that once
1:53
you've used those tools of technology
1:56
against a population, they reclaim
1:58
them for themselves.
2:00
I'm Jon Favreau. Welcome to offline. That
2:06
was Heather Cox Richardson historian
2:08
and writer of letters from an American the
2:11
most read and subscribed newsletter
2:13
on Substack reaching over a million
2:15
readers every day She
2:17
stopped by for a fantastic conversation about her
2:19
new book democracy awakening We
2:21
also talked about why authoritarianism is
2:23
appealing and why she's still hopeful about
2:25
the future of American democracy spoiler
2:28
one reason is Of course Taylor
2:31
Swift. You'll hear that conversation
2:33
a little bit later But first Max
2:35
and I are gonna talk about our favorite topics social
2:39
media and Matt Gaetz Our
2:43
boy this is what we talk about when the
2:45
mics are off, you know, just that's a medium
2:48
We're just sending each other gates tweets all days.
2:51
It's like did you see this one? We've got it. You got a good one
2:53
off. They got it. He got a good misinformation off
2:55
today I was really hoping you were gonna say Heather
2:57
Cox Richardson's reason that she
2:59
was optimistic about democracy was the Incredible
3:02
quality of podcasting these days is
3:04
the thing that is going to carry us through that's what I
3:07
feel I mean, yeah, that's
3:09
look that's our story. We're sticking to it this
3:11
week Axios reports that over the last
3:14
year referral traffic from social media
3:16
Giants Facebook and Twitter to
3:18
digital media publishers has plummeted
3:21
Digi-day also reported that between August of 2022
3:23
and August of 2023 The
3:25
New York Times saw their referral traffic from Facebook
3:28
dropped 66% buzzfeed
3:30
saw theirs dropped 72% Ryan
3:33
Broderick reported in his newsletter that the top
3:35
news article quote-unquote news
3:38
article on Facebook last month was
3:40
from the website Christian fundamentalism
3:42
calm with the headline do
3:45
Catholics find life by being
3:47
pleasing to God Not this
3:49
Catholic. That's for sure That's
3:52
a great newsletter Max
3:55
what happened to all the social media traffic? What's
3:57
what's going on? So this is a
3:59
trailer that has been really building
4:02
for like several years now, like five, six,
4:04
seven years, people in news organizations have
4:06
been noticing that not just Facebook, but all social
4:08
platforms have been directing consistently
4:10
less and less traffic
4:12
to news sites across the board. And
4:15
this year seemed to be the year that it like, it truly
4:17
ended. Like the era when social media
4:20
was a primary or the primary
4:22
driver of traffic to news sites. And so
4:24
like drove a lot of news consumption in the
4:26
world has at least for now come to
4:29
an end and the
4:29
like change kind of, I think
4:32
the big moment was about five years ago
4:34
for a long time, of course, social platforms deliberately
4:37
built themselves up as promoting
4:39
a lot of news links because they wanted to be the like central
4:41
clearing house for all everything, including
4:44
a lot of news discussion. And that included putting
4:46
a lot of news links in front of people. But starting
4:49
in like 2018, Facebook is one of the
4:51
first big ones to come
4:53
to the conclusion that they could
4:55
generate a lot more traffic and a lot more time
4:58
on site by instead of
5:00
putting news links in front of people, but
5:02
directing them to internal discussions
5:05
on the platform that they could recycle them through over
5:07
and over again. So it used to be that like, if Facebook
5:09
thought you were interested in democratic
5:12
politics, they would show you posts
5:14
from your friends or pages you follow showing like CNN
5:16
links about democratic politics. But instead,
5:19
they made this very deliberate change that
5:21
they talked about openly at the time to their algorithm
5:23
within which show people links
5:26
to Facebook groups, or Facebook
5:28
pages where they would talk about,
5:30
you know, whatever the topic was that
5:32
they were interested in. And,
5:35
you know, Adam Masseri was running
5:37
newsfeed at the time is now running Instagram was like,
5:39
we think that this is just like a better way to keep
5:41
people on site. But what that meant
5:44
is downgrading the likelihood
5:46
that you were going to see links to
5:49
news sites, which has an effect for the
5:51
dues business, but it also has a big effect for people
5:54
on the social platforms because people have an innate
5:56
desire to learn and talk and
5:58
think about the news regardless. us of whether they
6:00
are seeing the link. So the thing that happened
6:03
on Facebook and every other platform is
6:05
once they took the news links away, people were
6:07
still talking about politics, but it was like, instead
6:10
of hearing from CNN, you would hear from like
6:12
whatever was the like, loudest
6:14
shit poster in the Facebook group you
6:16
were being referred to. So misinformation
6:19
shot way up, the discussions became much
6:21
more polarized and polarizing. And
6:24
it's something we know due to Facebook's own internal
6:26
research that was leaked by Francis Howgen, like they know this
6:28
is happening, they did it anyway. And I think the other
6:30
big change in the last year or two that is like really
6:33
cemented this for good is the wave
6:35
of new regulations that Facebook
6:37
and other platforms are seeing internationally
6:40
that is telling them that they have to start paying
6:42
news companies for outbound links.
6:44
So they're saying, well, if we have to pay regulatory
6:47
taxes for linking to CNN, fuck it, we
6:49
just won't link to CNN.
6:51
So the social media sites
6:53
now, particularly Facebook, basically
6:57
just want to be the comments section. Without
7:01
the article at the top. Yeah, without the article. So you
7:03
used to read the article, then people would talk in the comment section.
7:05
Now they're just like, who needs the news? Who
7:07
needs well-researched journalism and reporting?
7:10
Let's just rely on everyone's fucking takes.
7:13
The thing that blows
7:15
my mind about this change is they initially
7:17
test launched it in like three
7:20
or four small developing
7:22
countries as a way to like see what happened. And
7:25
one of them was Sri Lanka and
7:27
immediately what happened was for a lot
7:29
of complicated reasons, but partly because of this is there
7:31
were huge race riots across the country because when
7:33
the news went away, what people were doing instead
7:35
was posting like racist misinformation
7:37
and hate speech.
7:39
So we decided to talk
7:41
about this a couple of days ago
7:43
and then like after we decided to
7:46
talk about it, Elon Musk made
7:48
another change that is most certainly going
7:51
to reduce traffic from
7:53
digital publishers. So Elon
7:55
just removed automatically generated headlines
7:58
from links to external websites. So
8:00
what that means is when you scroll through
8:02
Twitter, you can only see the image
8:05
associated with the story and not
8:07
the headline That would tell you what the fuck
8:09
the story is about. Is that gonna
8:11
help publishers with their traffic issues? must
8:14
must tweeted must tweeted about this
8:16
this week our Algorithm tries to
8:18
optimize time spent on X So
8:21
links don't get as much attention because there is
8:23
less time spent if people click away So
8:25
exactly what you were saying about Facebook
8:28
now he's trying to do the same thing with X. He doesn't
8:30
want people to click away from Twitter
8:34
He wants people to stay on Twitter and have their whole all their
8:36
fights on Twitter Without
8:38
clicking and going to the New York Times the
8:40
Washington Post or CNN or any kind of news site
8:43
to read the read the story
8:45
Yeah, and it's also like it's
8:47
probably not irrelevant that he has been very
8:50
open about hating the news media So the
8:52
idea that something that will like punish
8:55
those Liberal media cocks
8:57
by like making it harder for them to get links Even though
8:59
Twitter has not meaningfully driven traffic to new sites
9:02
for years I'm sure was appealing
9:04
to him and I think there's also just a
9:06
healthy degree of like anytime something happens
9:08
with Twitter I feel like you have to factor in like there's probably
9:10
just some chaos Factor that
9:12
are driving this or just like dumb design
9:14
decisions that are not thought through because
9:17
Elon had a whim Which is something we've heard about
9:19
so many changes there
9:21
What do you think this means for digital
9:23
publishers? Right because you got the
9:25
New York Times of the world who they have their subscribers
9:28
and and they probably don't depend
9:31
as much on traffic
9:33
from Facebook and to a lesser extent
9:36
Twitter but Smaller
9:38
medium-sized news outlets special
9:40
digital news outlets probably do like how
9:42
do you get your stories in front of people if? social
9:45
media Makes it harder and
9:47
harder to do so
9:49
Yeah, I have been thinking a lot about
9:51
and I don't know if maybe you found this when you
9:54
guys started crooked but I've
9:56
been thinking a lot about when we started Vox like
9:59
God, I can't believe it was 10 years ago. Jesus
10:02
Christ. I'm
10:04
so old. Like,
10:08
yeah, we reached the I'm so old portion of the
10:10
podcast. It feels like it's been a hundred.
10:12
So, like 10
10:16
years ago when we started Vox,
10:18
like for all the ways that
10:20
like platforms like Facebook and Reddit have had a
10:22
negative impact, it was very easy for us
10:24
to very quickly reach a large audience because
10:27
we could figure out how to not
10:29
of course,
10:29
not how to steer the reporting, but how to like frame
10:32
the headline or like how to like promote
10:35
things on Facebook and Reddit that would get us a big
10:37
audience so we could start a new site out
10:39
of nowhere and reach a lot of people
10:41
initially. And then hopefully those people would like
10:43
what they saw and then they would start coming back on their own.
10:45
And that is going to get much tougher. I do
10:48
think that there is a lot of experimentation
10:50
right now in the media on other ways
10:53
to reach readers, partly because like everyone
10:55
has seen the writing on the wall for years. And
10:57
the big thing for the last years has been chasing
11:00
Google traffic. You probably already noticed that. Like
11:02
if you go to the New York Times homepage
11:04
now, you will see where you used to see
11:06
three stories about the latest news events. You'll
11:08
see nine because like Google
11:11
selects for that as opposed to like Facebook selects
11:13
more for like writing a hooky profile
11:16
or like writing a really talky story. So,
11:18
you know, these changes
11:21
in the social media ecosystem,
11:23
the internet ecosystem, they do change
11:26
the kind of work that news outlets do.
11:28
I don't think that it's ever led to them
11:30
like cynically chasing clicks. I don't think it's
11:32
that, but whatever is the thing
11:35
people will find to replace that
11:37
traffic or that revenue. In many cases of
11:39
a lot of outlets like us, like Crooked, you're
11:41
trying to build a core audience who will want to subscribe
11:43
to something that does change what
11:46
you invest in and it does change
11:48
the kind of stories that you produce.
11:50
So unfortunately, journalists are
11:52
going to have to record themselves
11:54
doing the latest viral TikTok
11:57
thing and then say, check out,
11:59
check out. the link to my reporting.
12:02
Just get in on the algorithm
12:04
that way. I don't know. I've
12:06
always been doing viral dance
12:08
trends to explain the war in Ukraine.
12:11
So I came to this naturally. That's just
12:13
my style really fits to this. You
12:15
are made for this new era. This is the
12:18
MAGS for sure opportunity. The
12:20
38-year-olds, yeah, really, are really, I've
12:22
always been thriving. Well,
12:25
we shouldn't worry too much because one person is still
12:27
finding clicks, at least. Congressman
12:29
Matt Gaetz this week shit posted
12:32
Kevin McCarthy out of the house speakership following
12:34
the passage of a bipartisan continuing resolution
12:36
to keep the government open. Gaetz attacked Kevin
12:39
on Twitter and all over MAGA media, ultimately
12:41
orchestrating a historic vote that
12:43
cost McCarthy his job. Max,
12:46
what do you think the Matt Gaetz speaker
12:49
saga says about the political
12:51
power of right-wing shitposters?
12:53
So I am actually so
12:56
excited to talk about this because I think
12:58
that this seriously- Because you love Matt Gaetz
13:00
so much. I've
13:03
got so many Matt Gaetz tweets lined up to
13:05
quote to you. I
13:07
think that this is actually like a little glimpse
13:09
into something that I find super fascinating
13:11
and that once I came to understand a few
13:14
years ago reporting on the change of democracy
13:16
unlocks so much for me. So okay, it
13:18
is not a coincidence that people
13:20
like Matt Gaetz, like the insurgents in the Republican
13:23
Party, or people like Donald Trump, the
13:25
big insurgents who are like the tear it all down people
13:27
are super online. And it's like, you'd
13:30
even say something kind of similar to the Democratic Party,
13:32
like obviously the OC is not the same, but like the
13:34
insurgents in the party tend to be pretty online.
13:37
And I don't think that's because like being
13:40
radicalized by the Twitter algorithm made
13:42
Matt Gaetz who he is or like made him
13:44
want to like tear down the party from within.
13:47
Rather, I think that the
13:50
fact that the insurgents, especially
13:52
in the Republican Party, but in both parties tend to be
13:54
very online, I think reflects this much
13:57
deeper like really seismic
13:59
transformation.
13:59
of change and how our
14:02
democracy works. And this change has been
14:04
going on over the last 10 years. So
14:06
okay, the way democracy worked
14:09
for like the first two, I promise,
14:12
I know this is going to be quick, I promise. It'll
14:14
be interesting. It's how I preface
14:16
all my stories. That's how you know, no. It's
14:19
like, you
14:23
know, it's a good joke when you have to explain it. Listen,
14:26
you had me on here, so this is on you. So
14:30
okay, so like, I really think this is
14:32
democracy for the first like 200 years,
14:35
like its entire history, the way
14:38
that it functioned was that
14:40
the like
14:41
bounds of acceptable democracy and acceptable
14:44
politics were set and enforced by
14:46
these like institutional gatekeepers, right?
14:48
Like chiefly political parties, like the political
14:50
parties would decide who
14:53
got to run for office, who got nominated, they
14:55
control fundraising, they control messaging.
14:58
And so they like determine what kind
15:00
of politician you can be, who can hold office. And
15:02
then to a lesser extent, the mainstream media also
15:04
does this by determining like who gets written
15:07
about as a legitimate candidate or who gets to
15:09
reach people at all because they control politicians ability
15:12
to reach people. And also like
15:14
organized groups like organized labor,
15:16
big business that control the funding
15:19
or donations for candidates. So that was how it
15:21
always worked. But and I'm sure you know
15:23
something about this in 2008, like 10, 15 years ago, that started
15:27
to completely collapse and has been
15:29
collapsing even though it's hard to clock because
15:31
it's such a big change has been collapsing
15:34
completely before our eyes
15:36
where those institutional gatekeepers no longer
15:38
have that control. And it's for two reasons.
15:41
One is that the United States, which is pretty much
15:43
alone in this started allowing
15:45
primary voters instead of the parties
15:48
to select who runs for office,
15:50
we're almost completely alone in the democratic world.
15:52
And who does that? It's just pretty much just the UK, the only
15:54
ones who have open primaries, everybody else, the party
15:57
picks to run for office. But the other big one is the
15:59
internet. Because the internet means that
16:01
if you are an insurgent, someone who is
16:03
running against the party instead of running with support,
16:06
you don't need the party to reach voters.
16:09
You don't need the party to fundraise. You can
16:11
just fundraise on your road through the internet. And you
16:13
don't need the mainstream media's approval to
16:15
reach those primary voters who are the ones who are going to
16:18
elect you. And what you need in
16:20
this new world is to
16:22
get attention. And because
16:24
everything is about attention, that's what
16:27
social media values, that's what the internet values
16:30
and the way to get attention is
16:32
whether it's positive or negative, doesn't matter.
16:35
You've got to be louder. You've got to be more
16:37
extreme. It incentivizes
16:40
insurgencies. It incentivizes
16:42
all kinds of clownish behavior that we've seen from
16:44
the Republican party. It incentivizes
16:47
more extreme politics. Look,
16:49
I mean, you brought up 2008. There are
16:52
the cases where Barack
16:54
Obama's rise was, he was
16:56
very inspirational. And I think hope
16:59
and humor and inspiration, that
17:02
gets you some attention as well. But the easier
17:04
route to attention is just saying
17:07
a bunch of shit. So
17:10
to prepare for this, Austin Emma
17:12
sent us a GQ profile of
17:14
Matt Gaetz from 2018. And
17:19
in that profile, he said, the organizing
17:22
principle of today's politics is
17:24
stay interesting. Which
17:27
honestly, Matt Gaetz, genius. I
17:29
know, he's not wrong. That
17:32
is the organizing principle of today's politics, and it is
17:34
the organizing principle of the internet and social
17:36
media. And I thought there was a funny
17:38
piece of color in this profile. They
17:40
said, just inside the door to Gaetz's
17:43
congressional office, this was at least in 2018, a
17:45
flat screen monitor mounted on the wall displays
17:48
the congressman's mentions on Twitter,
17:51
streaming in real time. That's
17:55
amazing. I mean, it is, it's like,
17:57
I think that he is right about
17:59
that.
17:59
And the people that he has to stay interesting
18:02
for are Republican primary
18:04
voters in his district.
18:07
That's what he's, instead of having to work for the
18:09
party and what's good for them, he has to
18:11
work for what those primary voters want
18:13
to see, what's going to get their attention. And we know that
18:15
primary voters in both parties tend
18:17
to be way more online. So it's
18:19
this thing now where you have people who are online
18:22
talking to other and working for some small
18:25
pool of voters in their districts who are also
18:27
super online. And you see how that is a
18:30
really transformational change in incentives where
18:33
it's not a mec gate's interest for the Republican
18:35
party, much less Congress or
18:37
the United States government to be successful. What's
18:40
in his interest, and this is true to so many
18:42
insertants of the party now, is just to hold
18:45
on to the eyeballs of super
18:47
online primary voters.
18:49
Yeah. And that is why Donald Trump is
18:51
the leading Republican nominee. And
18:53
you know what? His latest thing
18:56
about windmills driving
18:58
the wheels crazy, it got my attention.
19:00
I paid attention to it. Great content. I
19:03
don't think I'm going to vote for him though. No, I think
19:05
I'm off the fence at this
19:07
point. I've decided against it. But
19:10
look at Trump for Speaker, Trump going to the
19:12
Hill next week to maybe
19:14
float himself for Speaker. Maybe he will, maybe
19:16
he won't. Trump goes and sits in the trial,
19:18
right? He's on trial. He didn't have to
19:20
be there, but he's there. He's talking to the cameras.
19:23
Is it negative attention? Absolutely. But
19:25
what do people hear? They hear Trump, Trump, Trump. And
19:27
Gates took that lesson, right? And now he's
19:30
deposed one Speaker, and now
19:32
it's Jim Jordan versus Steve Scalise at
19:35
this taping at the very least. And
19:37
Steve Scalise, more of like an institutionalist,
19:41
still very right-wing conservative, but like
19:44
kind of a party guy. And Jim Jordan,
19:47
more appearances on Fox
19:49
News than any other member of Congress
19:52
over the last several years. So is
19:54
it no wonder that the guy who John
19:56
Boehner once called a political terrorist is now
19:59
like
19:59
possibility for speaker of the house because
20:02
what does he have he has the base because he's very
20:04
online right right and that stuff And
20:07
that divide is not going away. I mean
20:09
that divide in the Republican Party where you have some
20:11
of them are Loyal
20:14
to and have to work for the party
20:16
institutions and some who have to go which
20:18
you know The Republicans have also I know
20:21
this is like all the story the Republican Party
20:23
have like dug their own graves by gerrymandering
20:25
these districts to hell So
20:27
now the people who you know someone
20:30
like Matt Gates has to win is the primary
20:32
electorate He doesn't have to worry about the general So it's
20:34
it's the like most extreme people in the
20:37
party are the ones who he
20:39
is completely in Hawk to and I mean It
20:42
really is two parties at this point and that's also kind
20:44
of true of the Democratic Party But of course they have
20:46
the I think so far we've seen they're like
20:48
professionalism in the interest to
20:55
Well, if this has bummed you all
20:57
out don't worry because next up I
20:59
had a great and surprisingly hopeful
21:02
conversation with Heather Cox Richardson about
21:04
the future of American democracy She's
21:06
a professor of American history at Boston College writer
21:09
of letters from an American substacks most popular
21:11
newsletter and author of democracy Awakening
21:14
notes on the state of America, which is a new book
21:16
out last week. It was a fantastic conversation
21:18
max You'll you'll like it I'm
21:20
really glad that she is speaking to so many people that
21:23
she has such a big and dedicated audience
21:25
to like really talk people
21:27
through What's happening why
21:29
it's happening how to think critically about it? I feel
21:31
against the it's the kind of knowledge that really gives
21:33
you a sense of like Agency and like
21:35
having a handle on what's going on.
21:37
Yeah, and it's kind of a moment. I Have
21:41
over the last you know, however long we've been in
21:43
this sort of Trump era Hell been
21:45
thinking about like how much of this have
21:47
we seen before in history? How much is new,
21:49
you know and she does a great job in
21:52
her newsletter and in the book talking about The
21:54
appeal of authoritarianism over time and
21:57
the appeal of the argument over time and then why
21:59
democracy works And I think what one
22:01
of the things we land on is that what's new today
22:04
is or at least one thing that's new today Is
22:06
technology and the internet and social
22:08
media and that has changed
22:11
politics and the allure of authoritarianism
22:14
and the challenges of democracy in Many
22:17
of the ways that you and I have talked about on this show So
22:20
I can't wait to hear your thoughts before we go to break two
22:22
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Etsy has it everyone. Yes, it's
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Heather Cox Richardson, welcome to offline. Oh, it's
25:40
a pleasure to be here. So for people who don't
25:42
know, you are a professor of history at Boston
25:45
College who has become the most successful
25:47
author on Substack. You now have over
25:49
a million subscribers to your newsletter called
25:52
Letters from an American, which grew out of essays
25:54
you posted on Facebook, which I first heard
25:57
about from my mom, which is how I know you were
25:59
popular because my mom. is not as much of a political
26:01
junkie as her son. So how did all
26:03
this start and what were you trying
26:05
to do in those early essays?
26:07
So it really did start as
26:09
a way to answer questions. People were asking
26:12
me on Facebook about politics because
26:14
I'm a political historian and I
26:16
study Congress and I study the president, but
26:18
because I do American history, it's short enough
26:20
that you have a lot of control over a lot of
26:22
material. So I'm pretty good on
26:25
most things, a little week on opera but otherwise
26:27
I'm okay. And people
26:30
were asking me questions about what was happening in 2019 and
26:32
I just started answering
26:35
them. And I had been writing about once
26:37
a week on Facebook a general essay
26:40
either about politics or about life or
26:42
about some aspect of American history I liked.
26:44
And on September 15,
26:46
2019, I wrote about what I thought the world looked like
26:48
to me at that moment. Students poured
26:51
in and I thought, well, I hate to clog the
26:53
airwaves, but I'll just go ahead one more day
26:55
and answer what people have to say. And
26:57
I've been writing every single night since.
26:59
Wow. So there has
27:01
been no shortage of historians,
27:04
democracy experts, scholars,
27:07
writing about democracy in the Trump era.
27:10
What do you think it is about your writing that gained you
27:12
such a large audience so quickly?
27:14
Well, of course, you never know when you're the person
27:16
doing the writing. And I
27:18
guess if I had to guess, I would say
27:21
it's that I am interested
27:23
in establishing a reality-based community.
27:26
So what I'm really trying to do is actually explain
27:29
to people, not tell them how to vote, nothing else,
27:31
but just simply say, this is
27:33
what happened. Here's how the rules work.
27:36
This is what people are doing. And this is how it
27:38
fits in the larger scheme of American history.
27:41
Can you talk about the difference between how
27:43
people generally get their news
27:46
each day and how you
27:48
try to explain the day's events
27:50
to your audiences? Because it feels to
27:52
me like such an antidote
27:55
to much of what is, I
27:57
think, wrong with a lot
27:59
of media coverage.
27:59
Well, it's so funny you asked that
28:02
or put it that way because I did
28:04
try for a while to watch television news,
28:06
which I hadn't done since I've had my
28:08
own children. And I was
28:11
actually at the time dating a man who is now my husband.
28:13
And I did notice that after a few times
28:15
at his house with me screaming at the television, he
28:17
stopped
28:17
watching the news.
28:20
Because the stories would have changed, you know,
28:22
by the time that they were actually being aired, the
28:24
story was something entirely different. So
28:27
all I try and do is to
28:29
explain what's happening and put
28:31
it in a larger context. And also
28:34
not to speculate about what's going to happen
28:36
next. The word might or
28:38
may just drives me bonkers
28:40
because I don't know what's going to happen tomorrow. But
28:43
I can put you on pretty solid ground for what happened
28:45
today and remind you of how it fit
28:47
in a larger story so that you don't
28:49
end up feeling like everything's just coming at you
28:52
like, you know, from every direction
28:54
you instead sort of feel like you're part of a longer
28:57
story that tells, that
28:59
gives you a picture of the way the world really is. In
29:02
a way it's kind of like a, I hate to say this, but in a way it's kind
29:04
of like those old fashioned soap
29:08
operas where, you know, they're long running,
29:10
but there's the recurring characters and
29:12
there's the recurring themes. And at
29:14
the end of the day, it gives you a picture of a town. It's
29:17
just my town is the United States of America.
29:18
I mean, it does seem like
29:21
one of the biggest problems with
29:24
media coverage today, particularly political media
29:26
coverage, is sort of the lack of context.
29:29
That this is sort of at the core of what's missing
29:32
from our understanding of politics in the world around
29:34
us. And I think the cable
29:37
news started it. And now I think
29:39
the internet and especially social media just
29:42
strips everything of context. And I don't know
29:44
how we continue
29:47
to have a functioning democracy
29:50
if we're
29:52
constantly getting a stream of information
29:54
and news about the day that
29:56
is just stripped of all historical context
29:58
or any context, really.
29:59
Well, it's almost as if it's always a horse
30:02
race or always a ball game. And
30:04
there is an assumption that people understand
30:06
the ins and outs of the ball game. Like you
30:08
can't really watch baseball and feel
30:10
like you have a handle on it if all you know is
30:13
somebody's hitting the ball and somebody's not hitting the ball.
30:15
You sort of need to know the players and you need to know the rules
30:18
and you need to know who's injured and you need to know who the manager
30:20
is. And you know, I'm trying
30:22
to make sure people know all of those things
30:24
about American society. And that
30:27
makes it a much more interesting story as well
30:29
as a much more meaningful one, I think.
30:32
I wanted to start with these questions about your
30:34
style of writing as a way into a larger discussion
30:36
about democracy because I know that you
30:38
see a lot of power in language and
30:41
storytelling as I do. And
30:44
one of the challenges I've been wrestling
30:46
with for most of my career, especially
30:48
since 2016, has been
30:50
how those of us who believe deeply
30:53
in democracy and the American democratic experiment
30:56
can tell a better, more persuasive
30:58
story than authoritarians like Trump,
31:01
who've always seemed, at least to
31:03
me, to have an easier
31:06
sales job and a simpler story to
31:08
tell. So I guess I'll start there. What
31:10
does history tell us about why people
31:13
find the authoritarian appeal so
31:15
persuasive?
31:16
Well, that is a very simple story. And
31:19
this is not new to me. Scholars of authoritarianism
31:22
will tell you that the way an authoritarian
31:24
rises is he, because it's almost
31:26
always a he, finds a population
31:28
that feels itself to have been dispossessed
31:30
either economically or religiously or
31:32
culturally or socially and says, listen,
31:36
I know that you feel like you've been left
31:38
out. And the reason for that is,
31:40
and while a responsible
31:42
politician would say because of this series of
31:44
policies and so on, the strong
31:46
man simply says the reason this has happened is
31:48
because of them and
31:50
who them is doesn't matter so much as you
31:53
use that foil to weld your
31:55
group into a group that feels grievance
31:58
and that it's willing to back you to make things be
32:00
great again, to make America great again,
32:02
as it were. And the trick to
32:04
that is once people believe
32:06
that you, the strong man, are going
32:08
to return the nation to a series of
32:10
rules that are divine
32:13
or laid down by nature,
32:15
rules that your opponents are refusing to enact,
32:18
once they've done that, they have started to commit to you.
32:21
And once you start to treat those other
32:23
people badly, they internalize
32:27
their identity as being associated
32:29
with you, so that once you have committed violence
32:32
against somebody, either rhetorical or actual,
32:34
against those others, they have bought
32:37
into it. And it becomes harder and harder
32:39
and harder for them to give that up. So the worse
32:41
a strong man behaves, the more tightly
32:43
they cling to him.
32:45
Historically, how much has authoritarianism
32:48
been driven by larger cultural
32:51
and economic conditions and how much
32:53
has been driven by the emergence of a
32:56
particularly talented demagogue?
32:58
So there's a great book that's written in 1951
33:00
by a longshoreman in San Francisco, a guy named Eric
33:03
Hoffer. And everybody after World War II is
33:05
madly trying to figure out where Hitler and Mussolini came
33:07
from. He says, who cares? Every
33:10
generation has Hitler's and Mussolini's, but
33:12
they never get anywhere. The question is, why
33:14
does the population embrace those
33:16
people? When I read that, I thought that was
33:19
absolutely earth shattering, because of course, what you
33:21
really need to look at is not those leaders,
33:24
it's their followers. Why did they buy
33:26
in? And the answer, at least as far
33:28
as scholars of authoritarianism
33:31
have unpacked, is precisely
33:33
that. A population follows a strong
33:35
man when he promises to return them to a prominence
33:38
that they felt they used to have. And he's
33:40
going to do that by putting in place these laws
33:42
that will make
33:44
them great again and hurt their enemies.
33:47
Obviously, there have been times when
33:49
Americans have gone to war
33:52
against fascist authoritarian governments
33:54
or movements, World War II, civil
33:56
war in our own country. Aside from
33:59
the 20... 2020 election, what
34:01
are some examples of Americans beating back
34:03
the threat of fascism without taking up
34:05
arms?
34:08
The late 19th century is,
34:10
although I'm always a little bit dicey when we say
34:12
without taking up arms because those were very violent
34:15
times as well. Yeah. But you mean
34:17
in terms of armies and fighting
34:17
against armies. Yeah.
34:19
So the idea, if you really
34:21
stripped down what we're talking about here,
34:23
we're talking about two ways of organizing the world.
34:26
We're talking about on the one hand, a
34:28
society that believes everybody should be treated equally
34:31
before the law and the people within it should have a say
34:33
in their government. Standing against
34:35
them, we have those people who say some people
34:37
are really better than others and they have
34:39
a right and maybe even a duty to rule
34:42
over the rest of everybody else. And
34:44
while you can call that latter thing different things
34:46
and sometimes in some areas we call it fascism,
34:48
in some areas we call it the rise of
34:50
the slave power, and in the late 19th
34:53
century we call it the robber barons. Those
34:55
are always people who are arguing that
34:58
some people really are better than the rest of
35:00
us and they really should be in charge of things. So
35:03
what happens in the United States
35:05
in each of those eras that I just mentioned, the
35:07
1850s, the late 19th
35:09
century, the 1920s, again
35:11
rising now, is you get a
35:13
very few wealthy people taking over the political
35:15
system. And in the late 19th
35:18
century, as that happened, we got all the
35:20
normal hallmarks of how that works.
35:23
We got society saying that Andrew Carnegie
35:25
was the best thing since sliced bread. We get the laws
35:28
making it possible for monopolies to form.
35:30
We get the idea that anybody who is
35:33
objecting to working in a factory for pennies
35:35
is somehow undermining American society.
35:37
We get all the trappings and
35:40
yet we get a period in which Americans
35:42
come together to push back against that
35:44
and to instate very quickly what we know
35:47
as the progressive era, simply by saying
35:49
this is not what the United States is supposed to
35:51
stand for. And by taking over the political
35:53
system.
35:54
You write a lot about history rhyming
35:56
and I'm always trying to figure out what
35:59
aspect
35:59
of this moment. Don't rhyme
36:02
with anything else we've heard in American
36:04
history. What do you think? What feels new
36:06
and different about this era? Two
36:08
things.
36:09
Although both of them are simply
36:13
exaggerations of things we've seen
36:15
in the past and then one thing in a big way.
36:18
The two things, first of all, are
36:20
the degree of social media control
36:23
over our language. That is, we've
36:26
always had disinformation in American society
36:28
but now we have it on steroids. The
36:31
other major thing that we've
36:33
had in the past that has grown much larger in the
36:35
present is the global concentration
36:38
of wealth. So we've always had concentration
36:41
of wealth but now it's not simply in the United States,
36:43
it's global. Now, the one thing that is
36:46
truly unique in this period is that
36:48
this is the first time in our history
36:50
in which one of the two major
36:52
political parties is rejecting democracy.
36:55
That's a biggie. That's the moment that
36:57
is unique here and it's one that
37:00
I hope will help us to articulate that
37:02
this is not in fact what we believe the United
37:04
States should stand for.
37:05
Why do you think this is the first time
37:08
in our history that one of the two major political
37:10
parties has rejected democracy?
37:13
That's a very long
37:16
answer here that I'm not going to give you all
37:18
of and it would be fun to unpack but
37:21
one of the things that you started with here was talking
37:23
about stories and one of
37:25
the things that FDR did so well was to
37:27
articulate why democracy mattered
37:30
and why it stood effectively against
37:32
fascism. He gives this phenomenal
37:34
speech after the fall of Rome in which
37:37
he really takes on that question and says
37:39
the fascists promised that they were going to give you
37:42
great jobs and great food and great families
37:44
and great churches and all that kind of stuff but at the end
37:46
of the day who's feeding the people in Italy?
37:49
It's these messy democracies that got
37:51
our acts together to stand against the fascists
37:53
and to make sure that people actually are living,
37:56
staying alive.
37:59
Defense of democracy was
38:02
so widespread that coming out of World War II
38:04
I think members of both political parties believed
38:06
that they could stop defending it and it's in
38:10
1960 of course we get Phil Converse is a Philip Converse
38:12
the name I'm sure you know a political scientist
38:15
who says would you all stop talking about democracy?
38:17
We all are agreed We don't have to talk about
38:19
this stuff any longer Instead what we need
38:22
to do to win elections is to nail together Coalition's
38:25
who will be able to pick people to put
38:27
in office depending on what they promise to
38:29
deliver to those constituencies And when
38:31
they did that I actually think
38:33
there was something important that happened in society
38:36
where people stopped feeling like their vote really mattered
38:38
for something bigger and with that
38:40
we had the rise of those Movement
38:43
conservatives saying wait a minute wait a minute We
38:45
can make your vote matter again We can
38:48
help you take back this nation for the
38:50
little guy against this creeping socialism
38:53
And you know I think one of the reasons we're here
38:55
in the moment We're in is because of that loss
38:57
of language and then with it What followed
39:00
was the taking over the mechanics
39:02
of our government through gerrymandering and voter Suppression
39:04
and the different mechanics of our system
39:07
to put what we really have now in place,
39:09
which is minority rule
39:11
Lots of language, and I also wonder if
39:13
it's a loss of memory I mean
39:16
there was a survey of 30 countries
39:19
out I think the Soros foundation did a little
39:22
while ago 71% of respondents
39:24
over the age of 56 said that democracy
39:27
is preferable to any other form of government That
39:29
drops to 57% of respondents between
39:31
the ages of 18 to 35 42% of
39:34
young people also said that army rule
39:36
is a good way of running a country and 35% of
39:39
young people said that having a Leader who doesn't hold elections
39:41
is a good way of running a country What do you
39:43
think is going on there with younger population?
39:46
Isn't this interesting and it's actually one of the things that
39:48
that makes me very sad and worries
39:50
me One of the things that I have
39:52
seen happening in my extraordinarily
39:55
long life
39:59
Is any time that the government
40:02
started to do something that was popular
40:05
With the majority of americans the republicans
40:07
called it socialism And
40:09
and you see that again and again and again I
40:12
was reading just the other day a piece that bill
40:14
o'riley who was a at the time a
40:16
a person on the fox news channel Was
40:19
saying about the affordable care act that
40:21
this is socialism come to america And what are we
40:23
going to do because people like socialism and socialism
40:26
is a bad thing So one of the questions
40:28
that you you just cited here a lot of people
40:30
might say well, you know I don't actually like like
40:32
this system of democracy. I quite like these
40:34
ideas of socialism Of course, that has nothing to do with what
40:36
socialism really is So there's that
40:39
but there is also the I think
40:41
the continual underpinning of our
40:44
civic rights if you
40:46
will But one of the other things you
40:48
mentioned here was the idea that army rule would be
40:50
a good thing There too We've seen the celebration
40:54
of the military as part of a
40:56
right-wing project as opposed to what it has
40:58
traditionally been in the united states A way
41:00
to keep us secure which is the primary
41:03
function of a government So a lot of it I think
41:05
is language that has taken people to a
41:07
place where they believe that the the very
41:09
guardrails Of our government of our democracy
41:12
are somehow unimportant and can be replaced
41:15
by these things that are embraced by by
41:17
a radical right wing You
41:19
mentioned social media one of
41:21
the reasons I started the show is because my big
41:23
worry is That almost every
41:26
shift In the way we communicate
41:28
and consume information over the last decade
41:31
or so Has made it much more difficult
41:33
to maintain a functioning democracy, which
41:35
requires us to pay attention Have
41:39
patience be open to other points of view
41:41
exist in a shared reality And
41:44
maybe most important to your line of work. Remember
41:46
Remember we're like what came before the
41:49
day's news cycle and Cable
41:51
news makes that hard. I think social media and
41:53
the internet make that hard I think the balkanization
41:56
of media in general make that hard. So
41:58
it's it's one thing to come up with a persuasive
42:01
story about American democracy, how
42:04
do we make sure enough people hear it at this point?
42:06
Because I do, when you talk to young people, I think part
42:08
of it is, there's also the speed of
42:10
information. And so there's
42:13
this desire for everything to be solved
42:15
immediately. Everyone's
42:18
instant gratification is something that technology
42:20
has brought us. And there's so much
42:22
noise and so much information getting thrown at people
42:24
that you can see why some young people
42:26
would say, okay. And it's interesting, because
42:28
that same survey I cited, high,
42:32
high percentages of young people, even
42:34
the ones who said like military rule might be a good
42:36
idea, high percentages still believe
42:39
in upholding individual rights. And
42:42
yet the system of, they're not connecting
42:44
it to a system of government because I wonder
42:47
if they see democratic governments
42:49
and the infighting and the arguing
42:51
that goes on in democracies is making the
42:54
government sclerotic and also like not
42:56
attentive to their needs.
42:58
Well, in terms of things
43:00
moving quickly, I will say, I see
43:02
what you're saying, but I will say it seems to
43:04
me to be reasonable to want the things to move
43:06
more quickly on things like gun
43:08
safety and on climate change. I mean, they
43:10
do have a point. Let's call it that.
43:14
So one
43:17
of the other things you mentioned though, was
43:20
the rash of social media
43:22
and how difficult it makes it to combat
43:24
disinformation, which is what you're saying. And I
43:27
remain hopeful on that front for two
43:29
reasons. Disinformation is not new. And
43:31
my favorite is that in the early
43:34
19th century, before we had social
43:36
media and ways to get information quickly, one
43:38
of the best ways to win an election was to
43:40
spread the rumor that your opponent was dead. And
43:43
that's really hard to push back on. No,
43:46
I'm alive. Well, you prove you're alive,
43:48
right? So it's not like this is
43:50
anything new. But one of the things that fascinates me
43:52
in this moment is we know that political
43:54
theorists very deliberately came up
43:56
with a theory for how you get people to abandon
43:59
democracy. And you do it by the creation
44:01
of virtual politics or political
44:03
technology, which is literally a
44:05
blueprint for creating a false
44:07
reality that make people think they're
44:10
voting for things they are not. False
44:12
candidates, disinformation,
44:14
throw shit at the wall the way Steve Bannon talked
44:16
about. There's these steps to make
44:18
this happen, but there
44:20
was never a theoretical framework
44:23
for what happens when people recognize what
44:25
has been done to them. And that
44:27
I think we have seen before and I think we're
44:29
seeing it now. And that is that once
44:31
you've used those tools of technology
44:33
against a population, they reclaim
44:36
them for themselves and they do something
44:38
very different with them. So you and I are having
44:40
this podcast right now, but one
44:42
of the things that has really jumped out to me recently,
44:45
and I really hate to do this to you, but
44:47
is Taylor Swift. Yeah. I mean, Taylor Swift
44:49
coming forward. I'm a fan. Okay. So
44:52
I'm actually going to be writing
44:52
about her recently because of this very thing. This
44:55
is somebody who is using the technologies that
44:57
have been used against democracy
44:59
for democracy
45:01
and they're using them in new and incredibly
45:03
innovative ways. And I think to the point
45:05
that most people who study this are not aware
45:08
of how much is going on in
45:10
areas that they're not even looking at.
45:12
In what ways do you think she's using those tools?
45:15
By getting people to register to vote. And
45:17
she's not telling people how to vote socially. She
45:19
is saying this is very important for our
45:21
democracy. And of course, she's not the only one, but
45:24
she's a very visible person in
45:26
this era to be doing that. And I think
45:29
considering her previous attempts to stay
45:32
out of politics, a really important sign,
45:34
of course, she's not by any means the only one.
45:36
I find that so interesting
45:38
because I have heard criticisms
45:40
from
45:41
liberals and Democrats that
45:45
she should be doing more. She should be saying more and
45:47
she's not putting out statements on every
45:50
political development that happens and she's not
45:52
being strong enough on this issue or this issue. And
45:54
I've always wondered, knowing
45:57
the difficulty she's had in the past.
46:00
being told not to get involved in politics,
46:02
I kind of thought it was a pretty big step that she was registering
46:04
voters. But I also do wonder
46:07
if it's a strategy, which sort of brings
46:09
me to other questions. We
46:14
have a country now where 46%, 47% of the population
46:16
has voted for Donald Trump not once
46:22
but twice. And I
46:24
always think about something the
46:27
author Marilynne Robinson said
46:29
to President Obama, which is that
46:31
the basis of democracy is the willingness
46:33
to assume well about other people. And
46:36
it makes sense to me, but I also struggle
46:39
with what to do with the millions and millions of
46:41
hardcore Trump fans who
46:44
are either living in a different reality as you spoke
46:46
about or are actively hostile
46:49
toward not just liberalism but democracy
46:51
itself. And even if
46:53
Trump loses again in 2024, how
46:55
do we coexist peacefully
46:58
with a radicalized faction?
47:01
I'm laughing because this is so unfair. We've gone
47:03
from Taylor Swift
47:04
to ... I know, we really did it real ...
47:06
And I keep thinking of answers the whole way. Let
47:09
me go back to Taylor Swift though, and the
47:12
poor woman who does not deserve me analyzing
47:14
her, but not simply
47:17
that she encouraged
47:19
people to register to vote, which is certainly a piece
47:21
of this. But her tour
47:24
that took place this summer was, I believe, the
47:26
highest-grossing tour of all time, is that correct? And
47:29
that tour was a very unusual tour
47:31
in that it was cross-generational. So
47:34
how many times have you seen a cross-generational
47:36
tour of women and their daughters, or
47:38
rather daughters and their mothers? And
47:41
that, I think, was a really important statement
47:43
about voices in this country. And
47:46
I always love when people aren't saying she's doing enough. Isn't
47:48
it fascinating how many people have a lot of opinions
47:51
about what other people should be doing? Taylor
47:53
Swift is a musician and
47:55
a songwriter, and she
47:57
is doing what she does best. In
48:00
that, she is, I think, advancing
48:03
a view of society by virtue
48:05
of who she is
48:05
attracting that is
48:08
important
48:08
to this moment, the idea that women of
48:11
all generations can operate together
48:14
to do something like elevate their
48:17
favorite person to the highest-grossing tour of all time.
48:19
Well, she also created, over the summer
48:22
and now, with the
48:24
crossover with NFL fans, a
48:26
real monocultural moment, which
48:29
I was talking about this on another episode
48:31
of Offline, is that we sort of don't have
48:33
a lot of these monocultural moments as
48:35
much anymore because of the balkanization
48:38
of the media, because everyone's getting their information
48:40
from so many different sources. And I wonder
48:43
if American democracy
48:45
needs more monocultural moments,
48:48
because I wonder if, like,
48:50
what is stitching us together right now? That
48:53
sort of worries me.
48:54
Well, it's a monocultural moment
48:56
that is not around Walter Cronkite. It's
48:58
around women, women changing
49:01
the world, women saying, this is what we want,
49:03
we don't care what your advisors told you, we are
49:05
making this the most profitable tour
49:08
of all time. So I think
49:10
that that matters, aside from,
49:12
yes, you should register to vote, but what that says
49:14
about society matters.
49:15
Oh, well, then the other thing is just talking
49:18
about what to do about the
49:20
now-radicalized faction, right? And
49:24
I'm not, you know, there's Trump voters, and I
49:26
sort of split them up between, there's Trump voters and there's Trump
49:28
fans, right? There's some people, you know, I've
49:31
talked to Obama Trump voters, there's
49:33
Trump voters who switched to Biden, right? So
49:36
those people seem persuadable. But,
49:38
you know, there's, whether it's the
49:40
people who stormed the Capitol on January 6th, whether
49:42
it's the people who show up at Israeli, the people who
49:44
are more inclined to commit political violence
49:47
these days, I don't quite know
49:49
what to do about a country where that
49:52
is a growing and vocal
49:54
faction. And I don't know if history
49:56
tells us anything about what we can
49:58
do.
49:59
I'm not buying growing.
50:00
Okay, that's good. So it's ... Maybe
50:03
just louder. Well,
50:03
they're very loud, which is, I think, actually
50:06
a sign that they're weakening, not growing, because
50:08
if you are in control, you don't have to shout. And
50:10
that's a really important distinction, because if you know
50:13
you've got the voters, you don't have to be out
50:15
there threatening people. I
50:17
mean, we don't have to discuss this because it's sort of obvious
50:20
on its face, right? And Trump has never won
50:22
a national election, even despite
50:25
all the things that the Republican Party has done since 1986
50:27
to suppress the vote of
50:29
people that they expect will vote against them. And
50:31
that really matters. If I hear one more pundit saying,
50:34
black people aren't turning up to vote. It's like, have y'all
50:36
looked at the laws? And
50:39
my friend Carol Anderson is really great on that.
50:41
But worth remembering always that 20%
50:45
of the people, you just have
50:47
to ... I'm going to put this and
50:49
get all of us into trouble, will never
50:51
be recoverable. Let's put it
50:54
that way. Trump has become a part
50:56
of their identity. It will not go away.
50:58
Even if they stop vocalizing it, it is what
51:00
it is. And that's what all theorists will tell
51:02
you. But then there's the other piece
51:05
of the rise of an authoritarian-like Trump that is so interesting
51:08
is that somebody like
51:10
that can turn people who have previously been
51:12
apathetic into political actors. And
51:15
the question is, what happens to them when they
51:17
recognize that he is no longer
51:19
a viable candidate? And by that, I mean
51:22
if you watch him, one of the things that seems
51:24
to me not on the table right now and ought to be is that
51:26
people really haven't seen him for
51:29
a long time.
51:30
I was just saying this on the podcast of America yesterday.
51:33
Yeah.
51:33
And when you see him now and
51:36
listen to him, one of the reasons I think he's not
51:38
doing the debates, yes, he's way out in front with
51:40
the primary voters, but he
51:43
is a deeply problem aside
51:45
from the indictments, aside from the
51:48
liability for rape, aside from the ...
51:50
I mean, should I just keep on going here? Aside
51:52
from the fact that his businesses
51:55
have been found guilty of fraud,
51:57
aside from all those things, he's incoherent.
51:59
You know, and at some point,
52:03
those apathetic voters are going to, previously
52:06
apathetic voters are going to have to make a choice. Am
52:08
I still willing to throw in my lot with
52:10
this man, or am I going
52:12
to do something else? And the question is, what
52:14
will they do in that moment? And my guess
52:17
is that some people are going to become
52:20
fervent anti-champers. They've been cheated
52:22
and they're pissed off, right? Probably
52:24
a fairly small percentage of them. A
52:27
lot of the apathetic people will just be apathetic
52:29
again. They're all corrupt, I hate this,
52:31
I wanted Trump, he was the best president ever,
52:33
but you've ruined him.
52:36
And then there's
52:37
a group of them, I think, that will become nihilists
52:39
and want to burn it all down. And
52:41
that feels to me like where we are right now.
52:44
Now, of course, I don't know, because I'm a prophet of the past
52:46
and not the future, but I am not,
52:49
I am very concerned about the future,
52:52
but I am not despairing of it.
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54:29
We've
54:32
talked a lot about Trump, but I'm trying to think about
54:34
like the antidote to Trump and leaders who have
54:37
tried to oppose Trump. Joe Biden
54:39
comes into office and he,
54:42
you know, sort of does everything that
54:44
you would want someone to do to sort of lower the
54:46
temperature in the country. And he's talking
54:48
about democracy and he's reaching out to all
54:50
Americans and many of
54:52
his policies have, he
54:55
has specifically targeted policies,
54:57
economic policies, to help people in red states.
54:59
They have talked about that, says that he's
55:01
everyone's president, and he's
55:05
sitting in an approval rating that's not great. And
55:07
then you have someone like, and I've heard you talk about
55:09
this too, Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan,
55:12
right? And very competitive
55:14
state, and has passed
55:16
policies that done the same as Biden
55:19
and has a very high approval
55:21
rating in that state. And I
55:23
wonder what's the difference between Michigan
55:25
and the rest of the United States? Because you see
55:27
the same thing with Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania, right?
55:29
Another sort of moderate, middle
55:32
of the road Democrat, super, super
55:34
popular. And I wonder
55:36
if there's something that when you go
55:38
national, something is broken
55:40
in the country that Joe Biden can't get
55:42
sort of the credit that I think a lot of people would
55:45
give him for lowering the temperature and just
55:47
governing responsibly in this period. Well, in a sense,
55:49
states are easier
55:50
because you're not going to make your career in Florida
55:52
by attacking people in Michigan, you
55:54
know. So it's much easier,
55:56
I think, to go after the president because most people pay
55:59
more attention to the president. But one
56:01
of the things that I think is interesting about this moment
56:03
and I think about what Biden is doing that I don't
56:05
think people are paying enough attention to, and that is
56:07
that he and his administration have
56:09
worked extraordinarily hard to roll
56:11
back the policies of the past 40 years
56:14
that have concentrated wealth at the very top. Now,
56:16
there's big stuff they haven't been able to do and they won't
56:19
be able to do simply because of the split in the Congress.
56:22
But as we know, rolling back the George W.
56:24
Bush tax cuts and the Trump tax cuts would take
56:26
care of the deficit. There's
56:28
not news to anybody who follows
56:31
the numbers. That would be huge. But the
56:33
piece that is interesting to me in that,
56:35
and of course they're taking on anti-monopoly,
56:39
they're taking on all sorts of ways in which they're trying
56:41
to restore power to ordinary
56:44
Americans. And what's interesting to me about that
56:46
is historically if you look at this country, the times
56:48
in which we have pulled together, the times
56:50
in which our racial, our ethnic splits,
56:52
our gender splits, all of those things have gotten
56:55
much smaller, are times when the
56:57
economy is
56:58
much fairer. So
57:01
while people
57:03
recognize the importance of his economic
57:06
legislation and his economic moves,
57:08
I think, they seem somehow to see
57:10
that as separate from what people like
57:12
Vice President Kamala Harris has been focusing on, which
57:14
is the idea of equality before the law. And
57:17
it strikes me that they're both flip sides
57:19
of the same coin. That if you can stop
57:22
all the money going to the very top and make
57:24
sure people don't have to worry about where their next meal
57:26
is coming from or where their next car payment is coming
57:29
from, they're much more likely to say, sure,
57:31
I don't mind sharing my
57:34
job site with somebody from another
57:36
country. I know. It's
57:38
so interesting because I
57:40
worked for President Obama and I remember in the 2012
57:42
re-elect that
57:44
Romney was our opponent and Obama
57:47
would always say that this is a debate
57:49
about the size and
57:51
role of government. And I think that Romney
57:53
probably would have said that as well. And they were arguing
57:56
over taxes and tax cuts
57:58
and health care and all those. And now
58:01
it feels like the axis of American
58:03
politics is around these issues of
58:06
identity, partly because of
58:08
Trump. Trump did this, right? And
58:11
as he has radicalized the
58:14
Republican Party, it seems
58:16
more difficult to even get coverage
58:19
when you are debating issues about economic
58:22
growth and inequality. And
58:24
look, it's Biden's message. He's out
58:26
there all the time talking about the economy and
58:29
Bidenomics and all the things he's done. And
58:31
look, I think part of it is, you know, we're still dealing
58:34
with inflation, even though it's come down. And so that people
58:36
are feeling that. But I wonder
58:39
how to beat back the MAGA
58:42
Trump strategy of
58:45
making everything about these
58:47
cultural, social issues of identity.
58:49
Well, it is worth remembering that the reason that they're
58:51
focusing on those cultural and
58:54
social issues and on identity is because
58:56
the vast majority of Americans are agreed
58:58
on the role of the government in our society.
59:01
So, you know, the percentages are truly
59:04
crazy when you look at how many people want
59:06
gun safety, how many people want reproductive rights,
59:08
how many people want fair taxes, how many people
59:10
want health care. I mean, these are not
59:13
marginal issues. These are where in the 70%, in some
59:15
cases in the 80% of people who want
59:18
them. So of course that's not a fight that the Republicans
59:20
want to have. Instead, they would much rather
59:23
have a fight over whether or not literally
59:25
it came down to one trans
59:27
kid in Kansas, which I thought was
59:30
interesting legislatively for different reasons. They'd
59:32
much rather have that fight than have people
59:35
say, well, no, actually we don't think
59:36
you should have social security.
59:37
So one of the things that I always try
59:39
to do is center that economic argument
59:42
and say, listen, we are really talking about this
59:44
here. But second, you
59:46
know, how do you take that back, first of all,
59:48
by doing what you and I are doing? But
59:50
second of all, by recognizing I think that there is a huge
59:53
problem right now on the Republican side, and that
59:55
is that central to their cultural fight
59:57
has been the fight over reproductive rights. Once
1:00:00
again, we're in the 70s of people
1:00:02
who believe, 70% of people who believe
1:00:05
that abortion should be safe and legal in
1:00:07
some or all cases. That's
1:00:09
a huge percentage, and the number of people who think it
1:00:11
should never be is under I
1:00:14
don't remember if it's six or nine because I always mix those two up,
1:00:16
but it's quite low, right? So, they don't
1:00:18
want to talk about that. Instead, as I say, we're
1:00:21
really focusing on things like that
1:00:23
stupid penguin and the fact
1:00:27
that it had two parents, and I don't even know if it was
1:00:29
two male penguins. I mean, really?
1:00:31
Like, really? This is the world's superpower,
1:00:34
and we're worried about a couple of penguins in a children's
1:00:36
book, and they would much rather have
1:00:38
those fights than the real ones that matter to
1:00:40
people's lives. One of the things
1:00:43
that we started with here was narrative,
1:00:45
and one of the things that worries me is when people try
1:00:48
and take on those narratives, they
1:00:50
fade on their terms. You know, in
1:00:52
fact, instead of saying, I don't want to talk
1:00:54
to you about the latest thing that Trump has
1:00:56
done, I want to tell you what America should be.
1:01:00
That's the narrative structure that will
1:01:02
enable people to envision our way out
1:01:04
of the box that we've lived in for the past six
1:01:07
years and the past 40 before that.
1:01:09
You wrote that you're
1:01:11
much more hopeful now than you were six or seven
1:01:13
years ago when there was a clear trend
1:01:15
toward authoritarianism and no one is paying attention. Now
1:01:17
people have woken up. What makes you so
1:01:20
hopeful that people have woken up and
1:01:22
will continue to stay away?
1:01:23
I will answer that, but I want to ask you first,
1:01:25
did you see
1:01:27
this moment coming or
1:01:29
not? I did not. I
1:01:31
knew that the Republican Party was
1:01:34
radicalizing in sort of a dangerous way, but
1:01:37
again, I remember, it's
1:01:40
now a famous quote, but I remember being
1:01:42
with Obama when he said, you know, I think, and
1:01:44
if we win this in 2012, the
1:01:46
fever has to break. They
1:01:49
will only be, not because they'll like suddenly
1:01:52
see the light, but Republicans will realize
1:01:54
that it's not sustainable for them to
1:01:56
continue running elections like this, especially
1:01:59
in a diversifying.
1:01:59
country, where there's going to be a majority
1:02:02
for progressive values or more progressive
1:02:05
values at least than Republicans. And I think,
1:02:07
to be fair, the Republican
1:02:09
Party itself, after they lost that election, they had
1:02:12
the whole, the RNC did an autopsy
1:02:15
where the conclusion was we have to be more
1:02:17
pro-immigration and we have to
1:02:19
be more welcoming. So I did
1:02:22
not see it. I
1:02:24
did not see it. I thought that, I did
1:02:26
think during the primary in 2016 that
1:02:28
it was going to be, I thought earlier
1:02:32
in the primary before he
1:02:34
was leading in the polls that it was going to be Trump just because that's
1:02:36
how the Republican Party was headed. But
1:02:40
I did not think that he would win.
1:02:42
It is worth remembering that Trump
1:02:44
in 2016 was the most moderate Republican
1:02:47
economically on that stage. He
1:02:50
called for fixing tax loopholes
1:02:52
that were enabling the rich to take everything and wanted to
1:02:54
bring back manufacturing and wanted cheaper and better
1:02:57
healthcare. He really was
1:02:59
saying all the right stuff. We just
1:03:01
didn't realize that
1:03:02
it was all a miracle. Well, that's what worries
1:03:05
me about him now is because
1:03:07
you were just mentioning the, it's more
1:03:09
of like the Ron DeSantis wing of the party really focusing
1:03:12
on trans issues and
1:03:15
what kids are being taught in school and CRT.
1:03:18
And you can tell that Trump hits those notes
1:03:20
when he has to, but I think he was at a rally
1:03:23
a couple of months ago and he was like, you
1:03:25
know, I talk about tax cuts, no one applauds. I
1:03:27
talk about this trans stuff and everyone's clapping their hands.
1:03:29
People didn't even know what it was. It's like, he's almost confused
1:03:31
by it because I think he has
1:03:34
now, he's back on the message
1:03:36
I think that was effective
1:03:38
for him in 2016, which is more
1:03:41
economic populism, more immigration.
1:03:44
We got to stop immigration and we got to do another trade
1:03:46
war. And I do think that's a more,
1:03:49
he sort of intuitively gets
1:03:52
where both the Republican bases
1:03:54
and maybe some of the swing voters more
1:03:56
than I think anyone else in the Republican party right
1:03:58
now.
1:03:59
leaders of the Republican Party are really pushing it
1:04:02
toward that illiberal democracy that you're identifying
1:04:04
that comes really from places like
1:04:06
Hungary and the idea of a much
1:04:09
larger government that is going to turn us all
1:04:11
into a Christian nation as opposed
1:04:14
to the old kind of Republican
1:04:16
argument that we want of a smaller government and economic
1:04:19
freedom.
1:04:20
Yeah. So I guess that goes back to what
1:04:23
keeps you hopeful.
1:04:25
Well, so there are a number
1:04:27
of things that keep me hopeful. The
1:04:29
most obvious one is that we
1:04:31
have been here before and there
1:04:33
are plenty of dates I could give you where
1:04:36
people thought our democracy was done. Most
1:04:39
effectively, of course, in 1853,
1:04:41
it was pretty clear if you were looking around
1:04:43
that the country was about to become
1:04:46
entirely dominated by elite enslavers. They
1:04:48
had taken over the White House and the Supreme Court.
1:04:51
They had taken over the Senate. They had made inroads
1:04:53
in the House of Representatives and it was only a question
1:04:55
of time until they spread human enslavement to the
1:04:57
American South and from there it will become a national
1:04:59
institution. They were quite articulate about
1:05:02
this. They intended to have their
1:05:04
system of human enslavement spread around the globe
1:05:06
and this was going to be the future of human government.
1:05:09
That was 1853. 1854, they
1:05:11
forced through Congress a law that does in
1:05:13
fact enable them to spread enslavement across the
1:05:15
West. By 1856, there's a new
1:05:18
political party made up of people who disagree
1:05:20
with each other about everything from immigration
1:05:22
and finances and internal improvements
1:05:24
to you name it, that they could agree that
1:05:26
they were not going to let the country be taken over
1:05:29
by an oligarchy. That was 1856. By 1859,
1:05:32
you've got Abraham Lincoln articulating a new
1:05:34
vision of American society that says the government
1:05:36
should not work for those rich guys. It should work for
1:05:38
ordinary people like us. By 1863,
1:05:42
January of 1863, he has seen the Emancipation
1:05:45
Proclamation ending human enslavement in
1:05:47
the United States and by 1863,
1:05:50
he's giving the Gettysburg Address saying that this government
1:05:53
is going to be based on the Declaration
1:05:55
of Independence and the right of everybody to be treated
1:05:57
equally before the law and to have a say in their government.
1:06:00
That's extraordinary. That's nine years.
1:06:03
You go from we've lost it all to we're reinventing
1:06:05
it. But I could do the same thing for the 1890s
1:06:08
and I could absolutely do the same thing for
1:06:10
the 1920s to the 1930s. So
1:06:13
that's the real question.
1:06:13
A lot of pain and suffering in all of those
1:06:15
periods. Well, that's why I
1:06:16
keep talking. It would be really nice to just
1:06:19
kind of skip
1:06:19
over that part, right? Because
1:06:21
we know how it's going to come out. Strong
1:06:23
men never survive. It's just a question of how much
1:06:26
damage they do until they end up
1:06:29
being gotten rid of. So I have faith
1:06:32
in the history. I also have
1:06:34
faith in American society because
1:06:36
I think our marginalized peoples have kept those
1:06:39
ideals of the Declaration of Independence in front
1:06:41
of us since the beginning in a way that in other countries
1:06:43
they may not have. But finally,
1:06:45
I think I am sanguine because
1:06:48
I believe that humans
1:06:50
want the principle of self-determination. That
1:06:53
at the end of the day that this is really a human
1:06:55
experiment and whether or not we should have control
1:06:57
over our own lives. And if
1:07:00
that's the case and that democracy
1:07:02
is a form of government most designed to
1:07:04
guarantee that the majority of people
1:07:07
can have the right of self-determination, I
1:07:09
have a really hard time believing that Americans
1:07:11
are going to give it up.
1:07:12
Yeah. I mean, you
1:07:14
were describing authoritarianism in
1:07:17
your book as the
1:07:19
belief that some people are better than others. It's
1:07:21
pretty simple, isn't it? Well, it also
1:07:23
reminded me of, and I think Biden
1:07:26
has said this a lot, he said it during the inaugural
1:07:28
as well because it really stuck with me. And
1:07:30
it's one of his parent's sayings, which he often
1:07:33
gives people a lot. And it was what
1:07:35
his mom used to say to him, which was, Joey, no one is better
1:07:37
than you. Everyone is your equal and everyone
1:07:39
is equal to you. And it struck me that
1:07:41
that is a pretty good foundation for
1:07:44
a defense of democracy and specifically
1:07:47
American democracy. And I wonder
1:07:49
how
1:07:50
you think about the story
1:07:52
that we tell now going forward and what the most
1:07:54
effective story to counter authoritarianism
1:07:56
is. And is it more like value
1:07:59
laden like that?
1:07:59
Is it, you know, I remember when Trump won, there
1:08:02
was some folks from Italy who
1:08:04
were saying, you know what, the way that we beat Berlusconi
1:08:07
was just treating them like a regular politician and just
1:08:09
talking about issues. And I think Biden
1:08:11
has sort of elevated the conversation
1:08:14
about Trump to talk a lot about democracy
1:08:16
and values and principles and ideals. And
1:08:19
you know, and there's some concern, is that too
1:08:21
far removed from people's everyday lives? And
1:08:23
so I do wonder what your thoughts are on like sort
1:08:25
of the core story about democracy that
1:08:27
could prevail at this moment.
1:08:29
Well, I think what Biden has done
1:08:31
is very important. But
1:08:34
I think the story right now is not
1:08:36
really about Biden or Trump,
1:08:38
although Biden is articulating it. It
1:08:41
is about American people reclaiming their
1:08:43
control of their democracy. So
1:08:45
one of the things that's really taken off since the 1980s,
1:08:48
and you see it in the curriculum in Florida and Texas
1:08:51
and Oklahoma, for example, is not just
1:08:54
the erasure of minority history.
1:08:56
It's the erasure of agency. The idea
1:08:58
that ordinary people make a difference.
1:09:01
And that's why I am pointing
1:09:03
to things like people showing up at a Taylor Swift
1:09:05
concert. The idea that people going
1:09:07
about their daily lives can make good
1:09:10
choices on a daily
1:09:11
basis, can stand up on a daily
1:09:13
basis for caring
1:09:14
for community, for caring for each other, for
1:09:16
making sure people are treated equally before the law,
1:09:19
for doing the things that make a democracy
1:09:22
work, I think has really gotten traction
1:09:24
in the last few years. And I find that
1:09:26
very exciting. I mean, that doesn't mean at the end of the day, we're
1:09:29
going to end up at the place that looks exactly
1:09:31
like what I envision it. But that's the whole
1:09:33
point of democracy. We get to have a say
1:09:35
in the way it comes out. And I'm seeing that all
1:09:38
around. So yes, talking
1:09:41
about democracy is very
1:09:42
important. But more important, I think, is
1:09:44
seeing how it plays out on the ground and
1:09:46
ceasing to focus only on Trump as
1:09:49
if he's somehow some shaman who's going
1:09:51
to either make us or break us. Because
1:09:53
at the end of the day, he's not. It's never been about
1:09:55
him. It's been about those people who hope that
1:09:57
he can make something magical happen to return.
1:10:00
turn their lives to importance, when
1:10:02
in fact the vast majority of us are
1:10:05
pretty convinced our lives already are important and
1:10:07
our government should represent us.
1:10:09
Yeah, and reminding people that
1:10:11
they, like you said, they have agency and they have power
1:10:13
to do something about this, which I think is the antidote
1:10:15
to a cynicism that
1:10:18
pervades politics right now that
1:10:20
I think helps people like
1:10:22
Trump and the Republican Party.
1:10:24
Absolutely. And you know, if you don't think
1:10:26
you have power, take a look at how the Republicans are
1:10:28
no longer talking about getting rid of abortion. Ever
1:10:31
since the Dobbs decision and when Democrats have been
1:10:33
overperforming in every special election
1:10:35
since then by eight points, all of a sudden
1:10:38
now they're coming up with all kinds of other language
1:10:40
to talk about restricting abortion rights
1:10:42
because people are upset by it. And similarly,
1:10:45
within the week before you and I were talking,
1:10:48
we have Clarence Thomas recusing himself
1:10:50
from a Supreme Court case involving
1:10:53
the January 6th attack
1:10:55
on the U.S. Capitol, which he's always refused
1:10:57
to do in the past. Well, you know, he's feeling the pressure
1:10:59
because people are speaking up and saying, hey, wait a minute
1:11:02
here. What about ethics on the Supreme Court? So
1:11:04
American voices really matter in terms
1:11:06
of making people do what you want them to do, but also
1:11:09
I think in upholding democratic values
1:11:11
and it's high time.
1:11:12
Yeah. Heather Cox Richardson, thank
1:11:14
you so much for joining offline. This is a fantastic
1:11:16
conversation. The book is Democracy Awakenings
1:11:19
and everyone should go get it. It is a fantastic book.
1:11:21
Thank you so much.
1:11:32
Offline is a crooked media production. It's
1:11:34
written and hosted by me, John Favreau. It's
1:11:37
produced by Austin Ficher. Emma Ilik
1:11:39
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is our sound editor. Kyle Seglund, Charlotte
1:11:44
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the show. Jordan Katz and Kenny Siegel
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take care of our music. Thanks to Michael Martinez,
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1:11:53
for production support. To our digital team,
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1:11:58
and share our episodes as videos and videos.
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every week.
1:12:09
Daily headlines remind us of how the conservative
1:12:11
majority on the Supreme Court is moving fast and
1:12:13
breaking precedence. But elsewhere in
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the lower courts, where the media spotlight doesn't
1:12:17
shine as bright, unseen forces are
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fomenting a quiet revolution. We
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Don't Talk About Leonard, a new series from ProPublica
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and On the Media, explores the web of money,
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