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THE CHELTENHAM SHOW | The Stayers Hurdle, attendance atmosphere & Day Three picks!

THE CHELTENHAM SHOW | The Stayers Hurdle, attendance atmosphere & Day Three picks!

Released Thursday, 14th March 2024
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THE CHELTENHAM SHOW | The Stayers Hurdle, attendance atmosphere & Day Three picks!

THE CHELTENHAM SHOW | The Stayers Hurdle, attendance atmosphere & Day Three picks!

THE CHELTENHAM SHOW | The Stayers Hurdle, attendance atmosphere & Day Three picks!

THE CHELTENHAM SHOW | The Stayers Hurdle, attendance atmosphere & Day Three picks!

Thursday, 14th March 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

The Football Paul Do you blaming yourself or

0:02

the my on a private party that I've

0:05

apologized. Both. The

0:09

football tar Join in the

0:11

obsession. subscribe. Now I'm off

0:13

the ball.com forward/join. Horse

0:16

racing on of the. With

0:19

william male who you guys eighteen

0:21

plus sick and encourage our psyche.

0:24

It is Day three of the Cheltenham

0:26

Festival. Plenty. To chat. About twenty

0:28

to get into today, but we might start with

0:30

yesterday's action because it was a historic day on

0:32

the course for the Irish for What A Marlins

0:34

for Rachel back More delighted to say that this

0:36

morning you've got John dog and life and to

0:39

course and Tom alone a beaming and to us

0:41

as well this morning Tom good to see how

0:43

are you keeping. A how you

0:45

do it only? Well yeah, more able to album so

0:47

far. Enjoying. A very much so what

0:49

were your thoughts on on? yes, they are you allowing

0:51

yourself to get carried away on this wave of the

0:53

motion for the Irish? Because I will say it, Johnny

0:55

Ward and your Window there yesterday and he was very

0:58

down on the predictability of this whole thing. Yeah.

1:01

The predictability is not great but I

1:03

mean it as as William on Azores that

1:05

Israel is said and I T v

1:07

you know you gotta run your horses.

1:09

He got a by take over and those

1:11

those that are ruining their putting a

1:13

good performances Yeah there's an issue with

1:15

that with the competitiveness sometimes but you know.

1:18

If. They don't run the a real world the

1:20

new how we don't We saw that we

1:22

Captain Guinness yesterday. You know this horse should

1:24

not be L Fabio and you know a

1:26

lot of traders would have taken the view

1:28

day can't be L fab the out of

1:30

course L Fabiano hit the deck and look

1:32

Count Guinness picked up the pieces when eggers

1:34

don't hit the deck as well so you

1:36

know it's about running and jumping and you

1:38

job and then to see what happens and

1:40

of Captain Guinness is a brilliant moment. Jasmine

1:42

Devoe of as a brilliant as well. I

1:44

mean it's funny that because our Bobby own

1:46

laws that set it up for. Patrick Mullins.

1:49

To. Go and write the hundreds winner for for

1:52

William Orleans which is and know there are

1:54

no Veo Cajun and you know from tourist

1:56

attraction all the way to Jasmine Devoe over

1:58

the course of one. Twenty

2:00

nine years or so. Phenomenal for my New Orleans.

2:02

I don't think anybody who had else I'll be

2:04

on a back to will be contained too. Much

2:06

better predictability of the Twenty Twenty Four Festival: some

2:08

house at John Dog and that a very good

2:10

morning You out? what are things that seem like

2:12

and course at the mommy's. It's

2:15

good morning I went on Tom and go

2:17

to speak you boasts added is dry will

2:19

which is a released because they were so

2:21

less on Sunday Tuesday with all those innovators

2:23

of rain or the going a softer the

2:25

moments there is Ryan expected showers. This.

2:28

Afternoon, but Southern does have it's own microclimate.

2:30

There weren't expecting the sense of rain their

2:32

hands on Tuesday, so hopefully the right must

2:34

stay right there on a new courses either

2:37

on the inside courses or for the next

2:39

two days of fresh ground Softbrands arms and

2:41

looking forward to us as a couple of

2:43

pieces of news today. Sigh. Sars enough Fargo,

2:46

Brian's marriage is out of the merest novice

2:48

at pretty much set up as he a

2:50

match between broader days ahead at J Degrees.

2:52

Be very surprised if one of those horses

2:55

have been. thus answer Geno is as of

2:57

the prime. Fertile tomorrow this is Nicky Henderson

2:59

last week hope so Geno that he kept in

3:01

the race was with all of the at

3:03

a hospital that this week John Bon Siskin says

3:06

he knows the latest one unhappy the disastrous week

3:08

for the yeah honestly I feel sorry for to

3:10

set one fun of our to you John on

3:12

yes then I guess about a whole so

3:14

far as a number of forty six thousand seven

3:17

hundred and seventy one was jotted down as yesterday's

3:19

attendance at A are You Feeling as compared to

3:21

other years with regards to the side of

3:23

her house in A for the path of of

3:25

that I'm not I'm not fit in a dip.

3:28

In terms of excitement for you to steam

3:30

if he did a bit different terms of

3:32

it's and I think I almost feel about

3:34

this year I'll with his gold cups I

3:36

will be big goal cook day tomorrow people

3:38

come in and from London your property I'm

3:41

a full house. all the tickets been sold

3:43

sixteen have thousands side of the going into

3:45

the Be dancer especially fires people with said

3:47

conference began to swell on Monday in the

3:49

rugby and everything so thing tomorrow will be

3:51

fine smile be busy tomorrow be hectic I

3:53

would just the first three days have been

3:56

to as expected that there were forty. Percent

3:58

down last year on the year before. I

4:00

think they could be further down the seer and. Said.

4:03

It is wake up call for various reasons

4:05

for the facility in for ticket prices for

4:07

on affordability around the force in terms of

4:09

the funding and it's been seven pounds fifty

4:11

so maybe it's me to marry. think about

4:13

the body for money of these fossils. Your

4:16

topic on the five days or into five days.

4:18

I think that the at the legacy of this

4:20

year's than the five Dating contacted. My

4:23

Billie Jean Marie Norm. Yeah.

4:26

Quiet onto the five day where it's not gonna go

4:29

back to treat as because it's just too much of

4:31

a cast. Haven't adjusted have. Some

4:33

has more hundred million to detect. Couldn't

4:35

agree more John Not be no distractible.

4:38

I know, I speak of the excitement

4:40

both it's it's killed all that talk.

4:42

a fine day and rightly so I'm

4:44

in my beanies probably truman other for

4:46

race as often as well. Keep competitive

4:48

and access Go. It's four or four

4:50

days, six days in each on a

4:52

six races each day and go from

4:55

there and any mice and. About

4:57

you know a workable solution because

4:59

closing the program with that. Has

5:02

clearly not work. There's very little competitions

5:04

on just like a sample. we'll never

5:06

hung for the British winners. it's you

5:08

know I'm on tomorrow And the under

5:10

cries I'm in. Tell them probably. Are

5:12

going to prevent as what marketing they don't

5:15

because it really have focused on London. As

5:17

I mentioned, that's where they're going to scatter

5:19

crowd tomorrow. You know they have lots of

5:21

celebs their them to a massive advertising on

5:23

around the London underground. Is he a big

5:25

eyes in Piccadilly Square? A to black wanted

5:27

a publicity shotguns on bombs treated in those

5:30

you know So they've gone heavy on London

5:32

and maybe in doing that they've taken the

5:34

royal of of marketing elsewhere. Came very interesting.

5:36

South tomorrow Big David rest of essence and

5:38

she needs s and and a bit of

5:40

a look asked at half past. One of

5:43

the first race as ever today was. Not.

5:45

getting as they obviously but the turner's novices

5:47

tastes ads on what are you looking for

5:49

this race i santi one of this let's

5:51

be clear about us his name is a

5:53

horse and as we care about my past

5:55

so the horse i was a fascination runner

5:57

for me is that he was trying to

5:59

get along the Robert Bartlett has raced over

6:01

three miles last year over hurdles and

6:03

faded to fourth. This race is over

6:05

half a mile shorter. He

6:08

was the favorite for the Dredmore and Abba's chase

6:10

earlier this season. He didn't win it. He was

6:12

behind IMAXimus but found a 50 and him were

6:14

closely matched and found a 50 around very well

6:16

here the other day. I

6:18

think the ground will suit him. I think this is his trip.

6:21

I think he's disappointing his connections to a

6:23

degree earlier this season. He

6:26

was 30 to 1 this morning. He's

6:28

now into 16 to 1 in places. He's

6:30

one of my charity bet, E2A bets. I

6:32

think Avon Cromwell had passed through run well

6:34

yesterday. He's done very well in the UK

6:36

this season. I think on the greatest form

6:38

of the hurdles and I think on the

6:41

form that he showed in chases earlier this

6:43

season, I think he's overpriced. Look,

6:45

it's all about Fassil Vega. Will Fassil Vega improve

6:47

her step up and trip? To

6:49

me he's disappointing me since his bumper days. Ray

6:52

Dawning and Ginny's Destiny are closely matched from the

6:54

last time. Irako is on your road in one

6:56

server fences. There's a lot of money for Zana

6:58

here from her smart hurdler. I'll be back this

7:01

morning. I think at a price to get

7:03

into the first three and maybe even better, let's be clear about

7:05

it as my ticket. Very good. Tom Malone,

7:07

what are you thinking? Yeah, I

7:09

can see exactly where John's coming from there. Let's

7:11

be clear about it. I went off I think

7:13

five to four in that train more chase and

7:15

I know he disappointed that day as well. Good

7:17

to see Gavin Sors come back a little bit

7:19

yesterday as well and just have a pass to

7:21

Riv. Gavin had come here

7:23

with quite a strong handle, a single price.

7:27

Not favorites, but horses with chances and a

7:29

few of them didn't do so well. So

7:31

there was good vibes there with Pat through

7:33

yesterday showing a little bit of class. I

7:37

don't really know what to make of this

7:39

race because everywhere you look, you can find

7:41

reasons not to back horses. Fassil Vega, dude,

7:45

he seems to have fallen between two stools

7:47

a little bit because they've had Gellick Warrior

7:49

absolutely soothed up in an article and then

7:51

Factor Filers won the RSA. The

7:53

two British horses, Ginny Zesty and Greg Donning, there's

7:56

a big gap in the prices, but there's not

7:58

a huge gap, not a huge difference. in

8:00

the form between them. You know, Colonel

8:02

Harry's 50 to 1 can't have him.

8:04

Zanna here in Sharjah, they're kind of

8:06

OAPs. And

8:08

I just, by process of elimination,

8:10

and I don't disagree with John on unless

8:12

be clear, but I thought maybe Iroko could

8:14

be one. He's trained by Oliver Greenaw who

8:16

a lot of people wouldn't be familiar with.

8:18

But he's a fellow

8:21

I always liked because back when he was a

8:23

shocky thing, his amateur jockies in particular were absolutely

8:25

terrible. He was a good fella

8:27

to back in an amateur race in England

8:29

back in the day. He's a small enough

8:31

string. He has the patience of

8:33

Jake McManus, which kind of tells you that he's

8:35

a shoot-enough operator. This horse won at the festival

8:38

last year as well. Yes, he's only had one

8:40

run over offensive, but that was at Warwick where

8:42

I can get, and Warwick I think is right

8:44

by a river and it's

8:46

thrown to waterlogging. So when they say

8:48

it's soft, Warwick, it's bring

8:50

your armbands to. I

8:53

just don't, I think Oroko here, and quietly

8:55

campaigned. A slight negative for me would be

8:57

that he has drifted slightly in price, but

9:00

in a race where I can find lots

9:02

of excuses not to back horses, I like

9:04

the chances of Oroko in this. Okay, very

9:06

good. John Duggan, bring us on to the second race.

9:09

So this is the pretend handicap hurdle at 10 past

9:12

two over three miles, 22 runners. You

9:15

have to have good jocky shift, if

9:17

that's even a word, to be

9:19

able to clock your way around here. There's

9:22

a few interesting runners here. Cleetus Poula is

9:25

only six years of age. He's

9:27

a similar pro at Delta Work

9:29

in the Michael O'Leary colors for

9:31

Trenton Gordon-Elias. Won the race for

9:33

the stable before Delta Work did,

9:35

and Cleetus Poula now is

9:38

coming here with a chance. He was second to

9:40

the qualifier at night. He could now improve over

9:42

three miles. He was a point-and-pointer. The other one

9:44

that would be worth looking at is Wei

9:47

Kweil for Ted Walsh has

9:49

been consistent. Shane O'Callaghan writes him,

9:51

he's only got 10 stone five. He's got E-Trey

9:53

claims on his win at Laverstone over Christmas. Cuthbert

9:56

Dibble and Lemiele are taking the

9:59

market, attracting. this morning. Lemieux lost

10:01

his train by Dan Skelton, who had two winners of

10:03

the course yesterday. Ecar Allen as well,

10:05

Mark Walsh on him, and he's attracting to 4-2,

10:07

was placing a triumph hurdle here

10:09

a few years ago. I think this has been the plan

10:11

for William Mullins. But the one I'm going to go for

10:13

at a price of 17-2 is Gabby's cross. He's

10:17

carrying 10-stone seven, trained by Henry DeBrommhead, who's

10:19

had two winners this week. He is still

10:21

rated lower over hurdles than he was over

10:23

fences. He won a big handicap chase at

10:25

Galway a couple of years ago

10:27

over two miles and six. He's been freshened up

10:29

since finishing second at Punters Town in November over

10:31

three miles in the qualifying race for this. I

10:34

think he's got a neat right chance with Darrow

10:36

Keith on the soft ground. I think he needs

10:38

lower weights in

10:40

this race anyway. I think Gabby's cross might be able

10:42

to fill the first six places and maybe better at

10:45

17-2, 8.5-1. Very

10:48

good. So, Gabby's cross from John. Tom and Owen, what are you

10:50

thinking? I like the chance

10:52

of Peter Poulot, actually. He obviously has a second

10:54

behind Ballyburn, which reads very well. The Pertems is

10:57

such a weird race because it's

10:59

got a series of qualifiers where you

11:01

have to finish in the first six

11:03

to qualify for the race. So, when

11:06

you're looking at these qualifiers, you're kind of keeping

11:08

in mind that horses who don't want to be

11:10

too far back, but at the same time don't

11:12

want to be too far forward so they don't

11:14

get too high a weight. But, look, Peter Poulot

11:16

actually just finished second in a handicap

11:18

there at Naist and I think he's the right chance. One

11:20

of the huge prizes to do like though is Emmett Tom.

11:22

He's a horse that used to be pretty decent. He's now

11:24

an Alan King who's Edward

11:26

Stone. I know he fell yesterday. He ran

11:28

well. So, that's a positive for me. Emmett

11:30

Tom, slight negative his age, but he's like

11:32

Goldwell. He was once rated in the 150s.

11:34

He's now 137. He's about 25, 33-1. He's

11:37

the kind of horse who just looks like a big old

11:43

gentleman who keeps cladding away there in the

11:45

soft going. Maybe he won't win because

11:49

Again, these horses, any of them could have £10

11:51

up their sleeve. But Just at the prices, maybe

11:53

Emmett Tom could be willing to play each way

11:55

there with the extra places. But If there is

11:57

a kind of a hidden class act, it wouldn't

11:59

be surprising. I did it. ceases to

12:01

love. Okay, very good. The next one

12:03

is Ryanair Chase at Tend To Treat

12:05

last year's winner and Violin is there

12:07

again. John. Yes

12:09

and I bought an has been kept fresh

12:11

for the since November The artisan form writer

12:13

Blackmore hundred a bribe had as a big

12:15

winner yesterday and will out and is now.

12:18

Get. In into the Double Figures in terms of

12:20

a mother, the only negative for his chance Complacent

12:22

has got a sweet gonna skulk absurd last year.

12:25

Is he jumps better? cabbage audible like the

12:27

grounds. One of the for or earlier this

12:29

year over a further distance abu the Grand

12:31

might bring his stamina to play the inform

12:33

scouts unstable has got protect your as a

12:35

horse have never really liked what might this

12:37

might be his gulp of day with no

12:39

salt. The gulf up for waiting to see

12:41

Banbridge I will run at the moment he

12:44

sees running on a second favors if it

12:46

was good. Round here out and saw this

12:48

be my pick Banbridge all day as a

12:50

course in distance winner who really want to

12:52

run really well. As handsome as time and

12:54

one just for Brian. I'm just worried

12:56

about the grand for head out. If he

12:58

does where they will tell you that the

13:00

gravest better than that has been advertised here

13:02

as so. therefore it will say star are

13:04

one of the festival last years ago. Jumpers

13:06

good front runner when a handicap here earlier

13:08

this season. But. To be honest it

13:11

it's it's too tricky for me it's too messy

13:13

is to frothy so in the in these situations

13:15

the best thing to do is advised my do

13:17

know selection know selection mean reiner thanks Sound fair

13:19

enough to keep an eye on bridge cause when

13:21

of might inform map as throughout the day common

13:23

on what are you thinking. Yeah.

13:26

Lot of and John's can police Satoshi the

13:28

famous for bought him surfing I suppose back

13:30

on the Dame that's. right?

13:33

The kind of on a Saturday. Get to the

13:35

bottom of the page and then say no Selection

13:37

Success stories that. Are like

13:39

that on. I like to apologise. You're

13:41

you're trying to write young because you

13:43

know at speeds Rhino Chase. He

13:46

is so few of them alleged your

13:48

seats it's of them because the Rona

13:50

how fast is only dogs and it's

13:52

you know if you're. Gonna

13:54

do like wounded he isn't ideal like I

13:57

do like and vine and am I mean

13:59

disorder Sources: It is. Well you know he

14:01

was. He was a big with a pharmacy

14:03

cord ninety years ago his the big change

14:05

over to hang around and then he just

14:07

didn't settle into brom as any spell years

14:09

of. And you know you sell your early

14:12

on his career mode. Eleven straight for Gordon

14:14

area in it's own back to himself a

14:16

thing is a lovely gonna redemption story. it's

14:18

that's great to see Sources: everyone a champion

14:20

Bumpers the we won't have the body more

14:22

whatever it was there your own his career

14:24

as well as I wouldn't find them Bolland.

14:27

Does. It again is ages. The negatives of

14:29

the last ten year olds win this race

14:31

was just like I'm bored and was Albert

14:33

has ruined who was ten years of age

14:35

when that as well as I don't think

14:37

it the john says is either they deserve

14:39

to be Get Nazis.into his Android tablets I

14:41

love to see and ball and rate when

14:44

I think there are more reasons to be

14:46

with them because like I said that the

14:48

deal that is so money the owners of

14:50

negatives immediate danger them are always in your

14:52

early mean it's already gone cold for fun

14:54

bridge and the grounds against him conflate is

14:56

he's got so. Many letters is named estates

14:58

the down he does never knows gonna turn

15:00

offs and sometimes you looked and through the

15:02

whole race and that's the way it is

15:04

the only other once you know what to

15:06

say maybe say saw but the way run

15:08

and his previous road is in massive negative

15:11

or the by fame and glory they tend

15:13

to prefer a better going split or am

15:15

I recounted by father this was the chances

15:17

before and was gonna say to the ground

15:19

is slightly dance himself again one of the

15:21

things we just keep draw a line sea

15:23

horses and and is essential classes and more

15:25

than and k so as if your stamina.

15:27

Few and up on to avoid and violent her when

15:29

from Tom and on their. Ass.

15:31

Three, theres hurdle. John. Doesn't

15:33

I mean for people who like so important it is alleged

15:36

to marry race as I'm forty gone again and if

15:38

I presume he's at, he's not in your tips or is

15:40

it. Has all

15:42

the data house costs by the way because

15:44

it no longer exists so the damages as

15:46

rice it on heroes cross and yoga What

15:48

he's talking about what was on the shot

15:50

himself as a. Reply

15:53

for to that the summer blockbusters at

15:55

this address not. he messed up. To

15:58

up to is a worthy favors hair loss.

16:00

he returned and a messy renewal of the

16:02

race last year. He's been kept fresh since

16:04

December Jack Kennedy rights in the markets as

16:06

he's rock solid. Perhaps you the obvious ones

16:08

like this is a really strong markets Other

16:10

mama for t of his six different have

16:12

the money for hims which means of Sagar

16:15

hard crime our drafting as nobody I stressing

16:17

the best. Sergey Brin a last year's winner

16:19

is comedians about eight to one. Would.

16:21

Like is your back inside every day and

16:23

Paisley Park if they're willing to sit Twelve

16:25

years of age and of-and Ross's when him

16:27

as eleven year olds the games are realize

16:29

what's he knows leave here this afternoon for

16:31

the gulf of install com as the foreign

16:33

forces. Great story about the the our hottest

16:36

day as inevitable as as more money for

16:38

out a big price raw story and furlong

16:40

for what he muslims the what I'm gonna

16:42

go for my my selection Tom and on

16:44

an island is nobly ice. At each

16:46

way against the favors. Or he's

16:48

starting to to a Grand National winner at

16:50

Aintree forces ago called last year think you

16:52

that was probably about across race in this

16:54

when the Keep hurdle here of course into

16:56

since January. Stain. On strongly. He's got

16:58

great shock in Harry Cops and he's wearing key

17:00

pieces today to make and com straight a bit

17:02

more is guaranteed to stay the trip so I

17:04

think maybe she'll pool when both ignoble. Yeah, it's

17:07

much more on for his money to get the

17:09

first for It's nice were that's nothing. Are these

17:11

on? Excellent chance to be Based is my said

17:13

in the stars or any of my master that

17:15

okay rice masses on a production on of moderate

17:17

his wife of a Cathouse hi Tom and on

17:19

what do you think and. Yeah.

17:21

I dunno Jon says he go through these. it's

17:23

only basket cases in here as well and you

17:26

got three previous winners in a put like Paisley

17:28

Park and he disappeared last. Id love to read

17:30

a loss rate so he gonna retire after dinner

17:32

and is John Saturday point indictment on the race

17:34

if he wants to end read it or twelve

17:37

years of eight even though he did of the

17:39

author of and some it's the Duty pulled in

17:41

the way this Us Army on Tv both and

17:43

time wanted to negative to me with a long

17:45

as it's such a big price as your own

17:48

in the weeds and the price is really hard

17:50

mean the ordinary has not. have a winner defeats

17:52

i wouldn't read too much into that is also

17:54

been running miles by just been grown and incest

17:56

really good horses you know irish points i was

17:59

sat and in champion hurdle. He did two,

18:01

three in the champion bumper. He's had loads of

18:03

seconds and turns. So it's not like Nicki Henderson

18:05

where they're pulling up and falling out the back

18:07

of the tally. It's not like that at all.

18:09

Just Gordon, it's just had a little bit of

18:11

bad luck and run into some really good horses.

18:13

And I say himself, he probably

18:15

thought that his better chances were later

18:17

in the week, particularly today with,

18:20

and one of them is Tia Hoopo here.

18:22

I think Tia was absolutely rock solid. But

18:24

John's right as well. If you're on an

18:26

each way back to nothing, Noble Yates is

18:29

your man. Emmet Mullins, he's a brilliant, brilliant

18:31

trainer. He's already had a winner this week as

18:33

well. Noble Yates fourth in the gold cup last

18:35

year. You know, he stays, he's won a grand national.

18:38

And you know, his ultimate,

18:40

his ultimate goal is to go back and

18:42

win at entry in a couple of weeks

18:44

time. And you'll think skipping around in a

18:46

stairs hurdle, that's an ideal prep for him.

18:48

And I can definitely see Noble Yates on

18:50

the, being on the

18:52

premises already, Tia Hoopo, seven years of age,

18:55

been fresh and dark since winning at Fairy

18:57

House. He should win. Okay, very good. Ten

18:59

pass for then, John. Looks like it's hard

19:01

to pick a winner here. Yeah,

19:06

this is a, this can be a graveyard. If you

19:08

have a 66 to one winners before the plate handicap

19:10

chase two and a half miles. Peter

19:12

Mann as well, waited on a run behind

19:14

Gini's destiny this season. Treboli is also progressive,

19:16

but he can make a mistake. Arctic Brazil

19:19

for Aitra Blackmore likely erased the stables and

19:21

form. Can Felicien was pulled up at the

19:23

festival two years ago. Iliq Selsas Deo was

19:26

Barry Garrissey's tip on the William

19:28

Hill Chapman preview last weekend. He's

19:30

now going up and trip for Harry Fry

19:32

in the colors of JB McManus. And there's

19:34

money for Harry Redknapp's horse, Shake'em Up Harry.

19:36

So for anybody who likes their football, you

19:39

might want to have a look at him. And

19:42

I'm going to go for James De Burle. He's

19:44

now 18 to one, the fairy tale of New

19:46

York price. He's a graded horse

19:48

and a handicap. He jumps well. He's off 12 stone.

19:50

He can't front run. He could have won the chase

19:52

that meeting at the water. He's won an upper standard

19:55

Christmas, but he just didn't stay. I think back in

19:57

trip, he's a good way to chance this at a

19:59

big price. to Burleigh, sometimes Woody Mullins can

20:01

throw these graded horses in the handicaps and win

20:03

them. Remember Wicklow Brave winning a chat in them,

20:06

head and chest a couple of years ago. We've

20:09

had horses though out of Punch a Town that

20:11

Woody can put in and sometimes on top weight

20:13

and they just have a better class than others.

20:15

So James to Burleigh, I think at a big

20:17

price each way to finish in the first five

20:19

might give you a run for your money. Otherwise

20:21

you're trying to look maybe Tom might give you

20:23

a direction in terms of horses with lower weights

20:25

that might be ahead of the handicapper. Go for

20:27

Tom. Yeah, I actually

20:29

two horses, the two horses I like in

20:31

this, John mentioned both in San Felician for

20:33

Cordinelli. Actually Cordinelli is going to have a

20:36

bar and someone finished it a day today,

20:38

but yeah, San Felician, like he was punted

20:40

off the boards last year in the Carl

20:42

Cup and then he kind of ran the

20:44

race and was pulled up. He's had a

20:47

couple of quiet enough spins over fences this

20:49

year and then a nicer win last time

20:51

out, beating them Spanish Ireland there and Amy

20:53

Deji. He's gotten a mark of 1.46. He

20:55

won those horses where you wouldn't know where

20:58

his mark is. So he's certainly one that

21:00

looks like he could be really, really progressive. I

21:02

know he's been difficult to train and now he's

21:04

not been straightforward. You

21:07

have got, but you get that factored into

21:09

the price today to one San Felician. And

21:11

as John mentioned as well, shake off Harry

21:13

strictly on form and on numbers.

21:15

He's only been up four pounds for a

21:17

win here at Cheltenham last time out. And

21:19

another positive as well is the form of

21:21

Ben Pauling. Again, I don't think he'd be

21:24

the biggest known British trainer, but his horses

21:26

have been turning up and he had a

21:28

place to effort earlier on in the week.

21:30

He wouldn't have the biggest amount of runners,

21:32

but yeah, shake them up Harry. Good to

21:34

see how you're right now continuing to support

21:36

horse racing. And yeah, I'm sure himself

21:38

and Sanjo will be cheering

21:41

this one home all the way from those ads

21:44

from a couple of years ago. Is

21:46

it weird to name your horse after yourself? Yeah,

21:50

it is a bit isn't it? The Kerry Grace

21:52

for you owners. Oh

21:55

yeah. Even the way he took out the H as

21:57

well. Make

22:00

it properly fanatic. Think. I

22:02

was call that Wheeler Dealer in Disable and how

22:04

your and I was I going to change the

22:06

name of that one. That's our decision yet as

22:08

center Five is a great Iran Air Mares, novices,

22:10

hurdles I'd have met anyone here Jump. For

22:14

this is the master Trained broader days a hatch

22:16

who's now odds on and gate bridge eve is

22:18

just under two to one because I started off

22:20

as being taken out of the race bird your

22:22

boss is the third favorite right? So blackmore the

22:24

danger this guy races you think all by today's

22:27

the hats and they're really speak highly of him

22:29

is as. The. Cantonese able to go

22:31

daddy. As a Jack Kennedy and born at a

22:33

speed about source and glowing terms, she's been five

22:35

and or out for Jaded Rouge. He is also

22:37

unbeaten in the what he wanted yards to good

22:39

jumper. Who. Knows and the danger is taken. A

22:41

real a view on one of these on that the

22:43

other one wince. On. Of other when so

22:45

I think it's a dangerous rights to get involved and. Out

22:48

I'm I'm having no selection. This for hims

22:50

fascinating to see how. About as

22:52

I had those run but has there

22:54

been softened and very very positive terms

22:56

for the horses. The because the teacher.

22:59

Are. You brave enough to an innocent? I'm. Yeah

23:02

I'm he brought bright bright today the has amazon

23:04

when asked the festival to be perfectly honest so

23:06

yeah I'm very somber it as as just the

23:08

way things have gone this week though you can

23:11

sort of five to six they seem to a

23:13

sort of to say about Zone in almost two

23:15

two hundred eighty degrees it's I mean on the

23:17

price is he be very tempted to to have

23:19

a back injury degrees you both like? I'm kind

23:22

of. For. My to stand

23:24

with with broader day the has a

23:26

fairway at this stage so I'm I'm

23:28

fine if I feel honor binds to

23:30

to stick with brighter day the had

23:32

badass looked detainees one of the parties

23:34

as in the most fantastic pedigrees time

23:36

see them. Related to Caldwell Potter

23:38

and The Mighty Potter its course all

23:40

those horses he rams who are involved

23:42

in according any dispersal same as your

23:45

own in the year span see that

23:47

of America Old Matney His. Friends.

23:49

dynamite as well allen's honey she's five pounds

23:51

and all five of them how to have

23:53

black type which i see me the performed

23:56

and pattern company which is just absolutely on

23:58

heard of sorts am i think can

24:01

keep family tradition going. And yeah, J

24:03

DeGroote did the obvious danger. Look, I

24:06

think these two are a million miles

24:08

clear of the rest anyway. So just

24:10

do something like play a forecast, but

24:13

I'd be fairly surprised if

24:15

anything's better than these two because the

24:19

vibes coming out of Gordon Elliott's yard about

24:22

brighter days ahead, they just think the world

24:24

and the rest of this mayor and hopefully

24:26

he does the business here. The

24:29

last race of the day is, I presume,

24:31

the longest name of a race in this

24:33

year's festival, the full Gwallow and Kim Yoor

24:35

Challenge Cup amateur jockey's handicap chase, John Duggan.

24:38

What's taking your fancy here? This

24:40

is three miles, two prolongs for amateur riders, 24

24:43

runners. So once again, you need a jockey who

24:45

knows what they're doing here. And some of them

24:47

are better than others and the amateur level. Derek

24:50

O'Connor is one of the best of them. He rides

24:52

the favorites. I know the way you're thinking. Who Gavin

24:54

Cromwell mentioned at our live match, our William Hill live

24:56

match a while back in

24:59

Dublin. And he if he gets the

25:01

trip, he's got a big chance. He's

25:03

got a lot of graded form. And

25:05

yeah, I know the way you're thinking is definitely one

25:07

that's a contender, but he's quite chorking the bat in

25:10

about three to one. We have

25:12

Angel's Dawn who won the race last year.

25:14

Wacker Clan won here back in October. John

25:16

Gleason writes him there's money for Paul Nolan's

25:19

daily presents. That's coming into

25:21

less than 10 to one. Now, my

25:23

riders are Henry DeBram, head trained horses, money

25:25

for at the bottom of the field for

25:27

Stepan, Vanessa Williams, Facker Delane. I like that

25:29

horse by just to give you his better

25:32

ground. He's been placed before. Harry

25:34

Swan, we'd love to see him, Charlie Sun,

25:36

ride a winner at Chatham. Cool Survivor is

25:38

his man, but he's drifting into betting. What

25:40

I like, guys, is where it all began.

25:42

I got his act together when winning

25:44

a punch in town very impressively in February. He really

25:46

stayed on strongly over three miles three. So he knows

25:48

he gets the trip here. If he can get into

25:50

a rhythm on direct for amateur, Barry O'Neill could be

25:53

there about. Barry O'Neill has been so unlucky at the

25:55

festival. He's been chinned a couple of times in some

25:57

town and the ringleader in

25:59

the last two years. already, and also

26:02

the Paul Nolan horse, I can't remember that just go

26:04

around us. So I'd like to see him when

26:06

a race in China, I'm here and hopefully

26:08

where it all began will begin is a challenge Odyssey

26:10

for him. Okay, Tom, and on. Yeah,

26:13

I agree with plenty of Johnson there actually, in

26:15

this race last year, I think Ireland had the

26:17

first step in the home in this

26:20

race last year. So some of those ones

26:22

really think, Oh, you know, the came here,

26:24

the industry and horses do well here and

26:26

then they just end up not. And as

26:29

an aside, one horse who did run well

26:31

last year was one for Paul Nolan. So

26:33

I'd say he plotted daily present at this

26:35

on the back of his horse ran last

26:37

year ran in some man, hot

26:39

enough kind of beginners chases the underlights to

26:42

claim Grainslayer West and Gaelic warrior and got

26:44

his handicap mark, and then won

26:46

it down Royal last time at that gets him

26:48

in snuck him in here off a marker 129,

26:51

thanks, five pounds off his back as well. So

26:53

as I mentioned earlier on the show, a lightweight

26:55

is a good thing around shelter on a day

26:57

like today, particularly over three miles and two in

27:01

going especially at the end of the day

27:03

as well when they'll be, you know, they'll

27:05

be plowing through ground that's already been galloped

27:07

through. So not surprised to see good chunk

27:09

of support for daily present, maybe the price is gone,

27:11

but I'd be happy to stick with them each way.

27:13

You get your charity betting just a minute, John, but

27:15

Tom, generally speaking, then is there an app of the

27:17

day? Is there a certain race that you are targeting

27:19

just to sum up then? Yeah,

27:22

I mean, I think, I think

27:25

to you, who posts, I'll be I think to

27:27

you, who, who, on brighter day, the head or

27:29

two of my best bats of the day, I

27:31

can see obviously, look, they there's a lot of

27:33

respect for for Willie Mullins, Jay DeGruigy, Filly against

27:36

brighter day, the head again, if you have an

27:38

insurance against that, maybe just stick them in a

27:40

forecast or something like that. But I think to

27:42

you, who, who, on brighter day, the head, I

27:45

mean, she's well named because it's going to give

27:47

just going to Brighton Gordon Elliott's week after what's

27:49

been a very frustrating couple of days for him.

27:51

Like I said, horses running well and finished second.

27:53

It's nearly I don't know if it's better or

27:55

worse than being in a Nicki Anderson situation where at least

27:57

you know they're bad and getting beaten. are

28:00

all well and just getting

28:02

changed by better versus. John

28:04

Duggan, what are your charity bets for today? I

28:07

was told by a boss years ago when

28:09

I was tipping on the intimacy show,

28:11

pick some favorites. Well, yeah, pick some favorites.

28:14

And Tom has kind of like, they've given

28:16

me pretty clear indication of maybe

28:18

clear thinking, which sometimes I don't have around here

28:20

because I'm always looking for value. But

28:23

the charity bet is the map is that Noble Yeats. So

28:25

I've got 200 with William Hill. We're

28:28

going to go for him at 13 to 2 for

28:30

30 each way. That is the stairs hurdle at

28:33

half past three. Then we have

28:35

in the half one, let's be clear about it, 20 to

28:37

1 for 15 each way. Gabby's

28:40

cross to 17 to 2 in the two tenth

28:42

for 15 each way. We also have

28:45

James de Burley 14 to 1, probably bigger than that now,

28:47

18 to 1 for 15 each way. And then Where It

28:49

All Began for 20 each way at 15 to 2. So

28:52

the five I'm picking Where It All Began, James de

28:54

Burley, Gabby's cross, that's to be

28:57

clear about it. And the each

28:59

way map is Noble Yeats. So it's an each

29:01

way kind of approach for me. And Tom has

29:03

gone for the juggler. He's going for the... The

29:07

t-shirt one. Yeah. Yeah.

29:10

And I don't know what he's thinking. And he's probably cleared

29:12

it. He's probably made it clear more clear in my mind

29:14

that they'll probably win those races. So

29:16

sorry, let's be clear about it. Gabby's cross, Noble

29:18

Yeats, James de Burley. And what was the fifth one,

29:20

John? Where It All Began in

29:22

the last race. Where It All Began. And you're putting

29:24

15 each way on that. I'm

29:27

putting 20 each way on that. Yeah. So

29:29

15 each way on three of them. James de Burley,

29:31

let's be clear about it. And Gabby's cross, 20 each

29:34

way on Where It All Began.

29:37

And 30 each way on Noble

29:39

Yeats. Lads, a pleasure. For

29:41

some reason, I don't know, it can't be due to a lack

29:44

of racing knowledge. I'm being replaced in the hot seat tomorrow by

29:46

somebody else. So as somebody who knows a lot less about racing

29:48

than me, we'll obviously be here tomorrow to pick your race. What?

29:51

That's great. At this grace, Tom, I totally agree.

29:53

Enjoy your day. Great to see you,

29:55

Tom. John, we'll see you back here in Dublin very shortly. And

29:58

hopefully good things are coming today. Thanks

30:00

Tom, thanks Owen, appreciate it. Thanks guys. That's

30:02

your Chaplin Show. Horse

30:05

Racing. On Off The Ball.

30:08

With William Hill. Who you got? 18 Club.

30:11

The gambling card of IE.

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