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is the Zach Tom

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Rule. Bonus

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episode. That's

1:06

what she

1:08

said. Boom.

1:14

Roasted. Oh,

1:27

ladies and gentlemen, welcome once again to

1:29

the Packernet Podcast. I am your host

1:31

and resident panelist. As always, Ryan Schlipp,

1:33

check us out online, packernet.com. Find

1:36

me on Twitter, pack underscore, and that,

1:39

yeah. Well, probably

1:41

don't need to do the grand proclamation that it's

1:43

draft day because we've already done that with the

1:45

first episode. This is going

1:47

to be the, well,

1:49

the Zach Tom Rule. Bonus episode.

1:53

That's what she said. Boom. Roasted.

1:56

Oh, it just hit me. I should make that the title. And

1:58

that's what we'll do. As

2:00

I said in the earlier episode today,

2:03

another thing that has to be done

2:05

cannot endure the draft

2:07

until this is done. We've

2:09

got to dig through some SIS data and

2:12

see if we can find a couple hidden gems. If

2:14

this takes five minutes or 50 minutes, I don't

2:16

really care. It's a bonus episode. I do whatever

2:18

I want. Very

2:21

important though. Number one, make

2:23

sure that you fill out the NFL

2:26

draft day game form

2:28

thing. Very simply just filling

2:30

out who you think the Packers are going to draft and

2:33

when. And after we

2:35

score it, if you happen to have the

2:37

highest or even second highest score, you're going

2:39

to get a $125 gift card to Fogo,

2:41

the Brazilian steakhouse. Absolutely

2:47

unbelievable food. If you have not been to

2:49

a Brazilian steakhouse, this is going to be

2:52

maybe the greatest experience at a restaurant you've

2:54

ever had. Also, do not forget

2:56

if you want to check it out. If

2:59

you're making a reservation, you can put in

3:02

Fogo 44 and you're going to be able

3:04

to get the meal for $44, which is

3:06

pretty wild in my opinion. Next

3:09

thing, make sure you are

3:11

subscribed to the Packernet podcast

3:13

YouTube channel. I

3:16

was, as I mentioned before, I was pretty bummed that it wasn't

3:18

going to be the same crew as last year, but

3:20

I talked to Clayton and we're just

3:22

going to link our two streams together so

3:24

that we can pretty much do what we did last

3:26

year and everybody gets to hang out again. So that

3:29

should be fun. So if you

3:31

can't find that stream with

3:33

as many places as it's been streamed to, I don't know

3:35

how to help you, but definitely come hang out

3:37

with us. Should be a good time. But

3:39

all right, let's get into this, shall we?

3:42

Why don't we start with quarterback? There's actually nothing

3:45

massively interesting here, at least from

3:47

my perspective as I go through

3:49

all this, partially because

3:51

it's quarterback and I don't super care. Interestingly

3:54

enough, though, the top quarterbacks are the top

3:56

quarterbacks. It's just the order that might be

3:59

kind of interesting. So the

4:01

top quarterbacks, by that I mean Caleb Williams,

4:04

Drake May, JJ

4:07

McCarthy, Jayden

4:09

Daniels, Bo Nix, Michael Penix, right?

4:11

Those guys. I'm including Penix and

4:14

Bo Nix because again the order

4:18

kind of interesting. Here's what I'll say based on

4:20

this. Sometimes you know this guy's at the top,

4:22

sometimes this guy's at the top. The

4:25

one guy that is consistently at the bottom of

4:27

the pile, Drake May. I

4:30

am really starting based on some

4:32

of the stuff I'm looking at to hope. My

4:35

whole thing before was like I kind of like

4:37

JJ McCarthy but I'm just going based off

4:39

what everybody else is saying about JJ McCarthy and

4:42

saying that I hope that you know that's who the

4:44

Vikings end up picking up. I'm kind

4:46

of the point now that I hope they pay

4:49

way more to come up and get Drake May

4:51

because I don't know that he's going to be

4:54

very good. So let me

4:56

just give you a couple things here. So they've got

4:58

a bunch of different metrics. One

5:00

of them is total points. Now this

5:02

is a cumulative thing but let's

5:04

just start with that. In order,

5:06

this is for all 20 quarterbacks

5:09

that they have through the draft. It

5:11

is Michael Penix, Bo Nix, Caleb Williams,

5:13

Jayden Daniels, JJ McCarthy and then Drake

5:15

May. Then they have a thing that is

5:18

what they call a rating which is points

5:21

per play on a scale from

5:24

50 to I think 100 or

5:26

99 or whatever. 99 is the highest you're gonna get. So the guys that

5:31

are 99 are Bo Nix, Caleb Williams,

5:33

JJ McCarthy and Jayden Daniels. Michael

5:36

Penix is a 98. Drake May

5:38

is a 96. This is the

5:41

total points rating for

5:43

passing. There are four guys that

5:46

are a 99. All of them are

5:48

considered first-round guys with maybe

5:50

the exception of Bo Nix who I freaking told you

5:52

Bo Nix is good man. Don't even listen. Penix is

5:55

a 98 so he's right there and then a 96

5:58

for Drake May. Then You've got... The.

6:01

Total rating which is passing

6:03

rushing whatever. Ninety nine for

6:05

Knicks Williams, Mccarthy Daniels. Michael.

6:08

Panics goes down to ninety seven, Drake

6:10

may still and Ninety Six. How.

6:12

But adjusted net yards per attempt. Pretty.

6:15

Solid metric for quarterbacks Jaden Daniels

6:17

number one, Twelve point four, bow

6:19

next eleven. Then Caleb Williams eight

6:21

point nine Michael Panics eight point

6:23

nine. Then Gg Mccarthy a point

6:25

eight. so get. All

6:28

all the top guys are the top

6:30

guys but number six is not Drake

6:32

may it's Jordan, Travis. other up as

6:35

you. It's. Not number seven that

6:37

Sam Hartman other Notre Dame. Then.

6:39

It's Michael Pratt out a two lane.

6:41

Then it's Drake. May. Completion.

6:45

Percentage over expected. I'll be honest, the thing

6:47

that shots anymore than anything is at the

6:49

top. Guys remain above everybody else you would

6:51

think randomly you know. Joe,

6:54

Milton or Jordan, Travis or somebody would be

6:56

the top guy or whatever. but. It's

6:58

it's. consistently so. Completion

7:00

percentage over expected. Nine percent for Bone

7:03

Nixon Jaden Daniels. Eight percent

7:05

for Jj Mccarthy. Seven percent for

7:07

Caleb Williams. And their number

7:09

five is Michael. panics at six percent.

7:12

Then at five percent it's Michael Pratt

7:14

and Spencer Rattler. And then at four

7:16

percent is break. May he's ace. Is

7:19

the only one that is not in consistently

7:21

with the pop group. Now. When

7:24

you get to on target percentage, that's

7:26

when it starts to get a lawyer.

7:28

weird bow. Nick still the top guy.

7:30

Then he got Spencer Rattler that the

7:33

Jaden Daniels is for Juju Mccarthy is

7:35

six. Caleb Williams is ten. Michael.

7:37

Panics is fifteen. Drake may as

7:39

nineteenth out of twenty. For.

7:42

On target percentage. Nineteen.

7:44

Out of twenty sixty seven percent of

7:46

his passes or on target. What

7:49

about catch a ball which is a lower. The

7:51

bar right is not on target but it's still

7:53

a catch a ball ball ball. Next is the

7:55

top Guy. Again, ninety one percent. Jaden

7:58

Daniels's for Caleb Williams. Five

8:00

Jj. Mccarthy is six. Ah

8:03

Michael panics is down here

8:05

at twelve Drake may fifteenth

8:07

again the lowest. What?

8:09

About Ie p a per

8:11

drop back Jaden Daniels number

8:13

one than bow next Jj

8:15

Mccarthy, then Jordan Travis other

8:17

Epa as you Then Michael

8:19

panics then Caleb Williams, then

8:21

Drake may dead last again.

8:24

I mean of the top group. And

8:26

they've got I Qr which is a passer

8:28

rating but it's as I as a reply

8:31

it proprietary passer rating. Bottom. Line

8:33

higher numbers are better. Okay

8:35

overall. Jaden Daniels number one

8:37

than it's bone next. Caleb

8:39

Williams Gg Mccarthy. Michael. Panics.

8:41

Then Michael Pratt, then drake me he's

8:43

not in the top group. Is.

8:46

Not in it. right? You get

8:48

the top guys all together again. Many.

8:51

Got Michael Pratt. Then. You got dragged

8:53

me. About under pressure.

8:55

Bow. Next Jaden Daniels, then John

8:57

Milton, Jake, Plumber, Michael Brats,

8:59

then Gg. Mccarthy. Then. Drake

9:02

may Michael panics is down at twelve

9:04

so he's actually lower. but again, Drake

9:06

may. Not. Up at the top of

9:08

the rest of the boys. Okay, but what

9:10

about if there's no pressure while then

9:12

it's train Daniels, then bowl next? Then

9:14

Caleb Williams. Then Michael panics, Then

9:16

Jg Mccarthy then drag me at the

9:18

bottom of the lowest. What?

9:20

About in Man coverage. Bow.

9:22

Next Michael panics chain Daniels,

9:25

Caleb Williams. Than

9:27

it's Carter Bradley. Bubble Bubble bubble bath.

9:30

Trade you. Mccarthy is nine. And

9:32

then Drake May is eleven. Out

9:36

of the top guys he is

9:38

dead last again. What? About

9:40

against Zone coverage Student: Daniels Bone,

9:42

knicks, Caleb Williams, Gg Mccarthy and

9:44

then Drake May he's ahead of.

9:47

Michael. Panics. Panics is maybe the only

9:49

guy you could argue. Would.

9:51

Be like a lesser selection, which I

9:53

don't disagree with. I was not a

9:55

big Panics fan, but just based on

9:57

the data here, panics as a better.

10:00

And then drag me. A. Speed

10:02

it up a little bit about on

10:04

short passes. Drake May as fifteenth out

10:06

of twenty. he's the lowest of the

10:08

top group. About passing middle of

10:10

the field drake me is seven. Years

10:12

ahead of Ah Michael panics. And

10:15

Caleb Williams. That's it. Calebs

10:17

Eight but Bone Extreme Daniels,

10:19

Jd. Mccarthy all higher. And.

10:22

Then deep passing Jaden Jj, caleb

10:24

bow next Michael panics and then

10:26

drag me. About rushing.

10:29

For. Fun yards per attempt: Jaden

10:31

Daniels, then Jg Mccarthy, then Drake

10:33

May who's actually six. He is

10:35

ahead of Caleb Williams and Bone

10:37

X and Michael panics. Was down

10:40

at seventeen but for current allowed

10:42

man could with least. Get.

10:44

Something in our favor here. He p

10:46

a rush ie p a. This.

10:49

Is. The best I've seen

10:51

of him. He's second behind Dream Daniels.

10:53

While. That. Actually got a

10:56

pretty interesting metric of never seen before. I.

10:58

Throw air time plus or minus.

11:01

Basically. It is looking at the distance

11:03

of the throw and then taking into account

11:05

the foot work at that time of his

11:07

release and looking at how long it took

11:09

to get there. And other words the the

11:11

shorter the time, the smaller the number the

11:13

better because it meant more velocity on the

11:16

throw. Gg. Mccarthy's number one.

11:19

Dude. Got a pretty strong arm, then number

11:21

fourth is Jane Daniels than seventh is break.

11:23

may me it's It's not even close how

11:25

much I want them to take Drake May,

11:27

partially because Jj is actually may be one

11:29

of the best course of a six year.

11:32

And. Then there's snap to throw time.

11:35

Which. Is obviously we're talking about. The

11:37

amount of time it takes between when you got

11:39

the ball snap to you and when you get

11:41

the ball out of your hand, lesser time is

11:43

better. Bone X is number one. Panic.

11:45

Says number six. Jj.

11:48

As number Ten. Game.

11:50

Daniels is fourteenth. Drake.

11:52

May his seventeenth Kayla Williams

11:54

dead last Probably not surprising.

11:56

twentieth. So. yeah folks

11:58

go ahead and let Drake May

12:01

go to the Vikings. I hope they pay so

12:04

much money and so much

12:06

capital to get that guy. As

12:09

for running back, this one's gonna be real quick

12:11

because there is one name, so the quarterback thing

12:13

wasn't necessarily the Zach Tommy thing. Could

12:16

go in a lot of different directions, but really the

12:18

goal of this is to just go through all the

12:20

stats and find a guy whose name keeps popping up.

12:22

As far as the big names go, Audrey

12:25

Estimé is the one that seems to kind of

12:27

hover toward the top more often than not. Of

12:30

the lesser known names or just of anybody, and

12:32

there are 27 running backs

12:34

listed here, the guy that

12:36

continually keeps popping up is

12:39

a running back who is currently consensus

12:41

256. He

12:43

is six foot one, 220 pounds, so that's great.

12:49

22 years old, which is perfectly fine.

12:53

He has, he plays for

12:55

a very big program. He

12:57

had an 87 PFF grade, an 89 rushing grade, 88.9

13:02

fumble grade, so he doesn't put the ball on the ground. In

13:05

2022, similarly, he had an 85 grade, 85 rushing grade, and

13:10

his RAS is an 8.07. I

13:13

have no idea why he has

13:15

not gotten more notoriety. Let's go through,

13:17

before we get to the name here,

13:20

let's go through some of the

13:22

statistics that I'm looking at. In terms

13:24

of total points, which is a

13:27

cumulative thing, but still, for a guy

13:29

who has significantly less

13:31

snaps, just for reference, Bucky

13:34

Irving is second in total points with 570 snaps, he

13:36

has 253, he's just one spot behind him. He

13:40

is third in total points

13:44

rushing. In terms of their

13:47

rush rating, which is the rating from 50 to

13:49

99, he

13:51

is number two behind

13:53

Keelan Robinson. Now, Keelan Robinson is like number

13:56

one across all these categories, but he hasn't

13:58

played. He played 64. snaps.

14:00

I wish I could remove him from the list, but

14:02

I can't. If you're interested in Keelan Robinson out of

14:04

Texas, go for it. But the sample

14:06

size is too small for me. He

14:08

is number one behind Keelan Robinson as

14:10

the highest rated rusher. Rating

14:13

overall, which is receiving, rushing, everything

14:15

else, he is number one with

14:18

96. Yards

14:20

per attempt, he ranks fourth. Yards

14:23

after contact per attempt, he ranks

14:26

second behind only Marshawn Lloyd. He

14:29

is tied for the fifth most touchdowns.

14:31

He is number three in EPA.

14:35

He is number one by

14:37

a large margin, not including Keelan Robinson, again

14:39

too small of a sample size. Number

14:42

one by a pretty large margin in EPA

14:44

per attempt. Number two

14:47

in boom percentage, tied for number

14:49

one in bust percentage, meaning the

14:51

lowest amount of bust plays. The

14:54

receiving doesn't seem super top tier. He's not really at

14:56

the top of any of the receiving lists, but

14:59

you look at some of the

15:01

positive percentages. Overall positive plays, he's

15:03

third behind only Bucky Irving and

15:05

Keelan Robinson, who again doesn't count.

15:07

On inside runs, he's number two behind

15:10

only Dylan Johnson of Washington. On

15:12

zone runs, he is number three

15:15

behind Audrey Estamay and Jawar Jordan.

15:17

On gap runs, he is number four

15:19

behind, well, three because

15:21

Keelan Robinson doesn't count, behind Garendo

15:24

and Bucky Irving. Fumbles

15:26

per touch, he's tied for number

15:28

one with zero. Fumbles per 100

15:30

touches. Broken tackles per 100

15:33

touch, he is second behind

15:35

Marshawn Lloyd. Who is this

15:37

great mystery man? His name is Kendall

15:39

Milton running back out of

15:41

Georgia. The only real

15:43

negatives I can see, number one, is

15:46

again the receiving isn't necessarily a prominent

15:48

part of what he does. And

15:51

number two, even though

15:53

his RAS was quite good, it was all

15:55

based on his size and explosion, the speed

15:58

was okay. He runs a 4-6-2,

16:01

which it's not fast and I'm sure that's

16:03

gonna plummet people through the floor, but again

16:05

I think we overweight things like 40 yard

16:07

dash time and his short shuttle was a 4-3-8,

16:09

which is a 4-3-2

16:12

out of 10. Now, is it

16:14

possible that it's just a massive Georgia

16:16

offensive line that's making him look good?

16:18

Maybe. I don't know. That's not really

16:20

we're getting too deep into it now.

16:23

I'm just giving you the name do with that what you will.

16:25

Alright, why don't we take a break? We'll come back

16:28

and rip through some more of these positions. We'll

16:30

be right back. We all have

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17:43

right, so for wide receiver, it's gonna be a little

17:45

bit more like quarterback in that there seems to be

17:47

a recurring group that

17:50

Sort of keep showing up here, and it's probably not

17:52

the group that you would necessarily expect.

17:56

There's just a couple recurring names. So

17:59

first of all, First of all, let's just skip to

18:01

the total rating. This is the 50 to

18:03

99 thing. This is just total

18:05

across everything that they do, which is mostly

18:07

receiving. One of the names that is very

18:09

much a recurring name that a lot of

18:11

people are going to love, because his name

18:13

has just exploded, is Lad McConkie.

18:16

He is at the top or near the top of

18:19

a lot of these lists. Of

18:21

the people that are at 99 though,

18:24

Troy Franklin, Roman Wilson, Marvin Harrison, Malik

18:26

Washington, Malik Neighbors, Lad McConkie, and Brennan

18:28

Rice. Not Roma

18:30

Doomsday, not Brian Thomas Jr.,

18:33

and Xavier Worthy is dead last. Continuing

18:37

on though, as we see some of these names

18:40

are repeating. On

18:42

target, catch percentage. So ball

18:45

is right on the money, how often do you catch it? The

18:47

only 99% is Terrell Vaughn. 98%

18:49

is Taj Washington. Now

18:52

Taj is a smaller guy, probably

18:54

not going to be a packer, but it's

18:56

worth noting he is at the top

18:59

or near the top of a lot

19:01

of these lists along with Lad McConkie.

19:04

After that is Jermaine Burton out of Alabama. Catchable

19:07

catch percentage. In other words, the ball is

19:09

good enough and you should catch it, how

19:11

often do you? Lad McConkie is tied for

19:13

number one. He's tied with Marcus

19:16

Rosemeat Jacksaint, also out of

19:18

Georgia, and Terrell Vaughn.

19:21

That's per route run. Number one is

19:23

Malik Neighbors. Number two, Lad McConkie. Number

19:25

three, Taj Washington. And then number four,

19:28

Troy Franklin, another name that has popped

19:30

up again. So those are,

19:33

Malik Neighbors is 3.9, the other three guys are at

19:35

3.7. Again all

19:37

the big name wide receivers that you're well aware of

19:39

are on this list. Marvin Harrison is

19:42

the next one down. Roma Doomsday is

19:44

10th. Brian Thomas is 16th.

19:47

Unique routes, which is a really interesting statistic because

19:49

there's a lot of talk about like they had

19:52

a limited route tree or whatever. How many unique

19:54

routes did they run? Jacob Cowing is number one

19:56

at 44. And

19:58

then again, Terrell Vaughn. Another name that

20:00

seems to be recurring, 42. Yards

20:04

after the catch per reception, number two

20:06

on the list, Taj Washington. Broken

20:09

plus missed tackle rate, third

20:11

place, Lad McConkie, fourth place,

20:13

Taj Washington. Yards

20:15

per target, Taj Washington number one,

20:18

Lad McConkie number three. EPA

20:20

per target, Lad McConkie number one,

20:23

Brennan Rice number two, Taj Washington

20:25

number three. Positive play

20:27

percentage while in man coverage.

20:29

Troy Franklin number one. Another

20:31

name that's relatively common. Brennan

20:33

Rice number two. Lad McConkie

20:35

number four. Positive versus

20:38

zone is about the only one I've seen that

20:40

has some list that seems kind of close to

20:42

what you might expect. Malik Nabors number one, Brian

20:44

Thomas number two, Roman Wilson number

20:46

three, Lad McConkie number four. As

20:48

far as I can tell, McConkie is the only one who

20:51

is in the top five of positive

20:53

play percentage in both man and zone.

20:56

So again, Taj

20:58

Washington, probably not a

21:01

packer. Lad McConkie, it's

21:05

worth discussing. Again,

21:07

I would love to have found a deeper

21:09

dive, a deeper cut than

21:11

that, but I think that's perfectly adequate,

21:13

especially considering how good these guys are.

21:16

And again, how many times did I mention Marvin

21:19

Harrison? I'm not saying he's better than Marvin Harrison.

21:21

I'm just saying it's worth mentioning when even a

21:23

second round guy, because there's got to be 15

21:26

guys in the first two

21:28

rounds that are wide receivers. To have one

21:30

or two of them consistently pop up, that's

21:33

pretty impressive. And then again, Brennan Rice,

21:35

Taj Washington, also worth mentioning. Maybe

21:37

a little bit Troy Franklin as well. All

21:40

right, offensive tackle is next. There's a couple

21:42

names worth talking about here. So

21:44

first of all, if we don't

21:46

talk about, for example, the top guys,

21:49

the Marius Mims dominates a

21:51

ton of categories. If we draft Mims

21:53

today, we can come back and revisit

21:55

that. Let's see,

21:57

who else? Joe Alt is at the top several

21:59

times. Even Jordan Morgan, I think

22:01

is a relatively early potential first-round guy that

22:04

doesn't necessarily need to put out talked about

22:06

Fuega, etc. If

22:08

we eliminate those names the guy

22:11

that shows up at the top

22:13

most often the top five The

22:15

most maybe even including these guys is

22:18

Delmar glaze out of Maryland So

22:21

let's go through a couple of the categories

22:23

that he's very high in total points pass

22:25

blocking. He's second This is out of 28

22:28

offensive tackles in this draft class total

22:31

points overall. He's second Rating

22:34

while pass blocking is a 99 out of I think 99 He's

22:38

one of only four to hit that mark

22:40

along with a Marius Mims and Joe Alt

22:42

and Patrick Paul in run blocking

22:45

He has a 95 out of 99. He's fifth

22:50

overall fourth It's

22:52

a Marius Mims Jevon Foster Jordan Morgan

22:54

Delmar glaze and then Joe Alt Blown

22:57

block percentage when pass blocking. He's

22:59

the fourth lowest blown

23:01

blocks when run blocking He's

23:04

the second lowest ahead or behind only

23:06

Jordan Morgan I think the only

23:08

real negative here is one of

23:10

the other positives and that is when you

23:12

look at the splits between zone and gap He's

23:15

not as good in zone as he is in gap.

23:17

For example his gap yards per

23:19

attempt. He's third He's

23:22

27th in zone. So

23:24

that may be something to keep in the back of your mind But

23:26

still Very very

23:28

good in a lot of different categories when he was

23:30

run behind what percentage of the time was he run

23:32

behind? 39 percent percent

23:35

that's second highest some other names to keep

23:37

an eye on Blake Fisher

23:39

out of Notre Dame six times. He was

23:41

in the top five Jevon

23:43

Foster out of Missouri six times. He was in

23:45

the top five Katie Leviston

23:48

out of KSU and Tylan

23:51

Grable out of UCF also Roger

23:53

Rosengarten was four times But he's

23:56

kind of also potential first round and it wasn't that

23:58

many times so you might not be worthy putting

24:00

on this list, but Delmar Glaze

24:02

is number one followed by

24:04

Blake Fisher, Javon Foster, KT

24:06

Leveston, and Tylen Grable. On

24:09

the interior offensive line, there's two guys

24:11

that stand out aside from, for example,

24:13

Jackson Powers Johnson, who I think maybe

24:16

has the most top five appearances here,

24:20

but that is Charles Turner

24:22

III out of LSU and

24:26

Xavier Gadlin

24:29

out of Liberty. I said what I

24:31

said. So total

24:34

points pass blocking, Turner makes

24:36

it, total points run blocking, let's

24:39

just say Gadlin is number one. Overall,

24:42

Gadlin is second behind only

24:45

Kyle Hurdle using the

24:47

rating system, which is not cumulative,

24:49

it's per snap. In pass blocking,

24:52

Charles Turner is fourth, run

24:54

blocking, Charles Turner is fourth, and Gadlin

24:57

is third. Overall, out of

24:59

99, Charles Turner is a 97, he's fifth. Blown blocks,

25:04

pass blocking, and this is out of, by the way, 43

25:07

interior offensive linemen, Charles Turner

25:09

is the fourth lowest. Run

25:12

blocking, blown blocks, Gadlin

25:15

fourth lowest. So you can

25:17

kind of see the divide here. Gadlin

25:20

is a top run blocker, Charles Turner the

25:22

third is a top pass blocker. So you

25:24

kind of have an idea which way we

25:26

should be glancing

25:28

perhaps. However, when you

25:30

look at zone yards per attempt,

25:32

so this is still rushing, but

25:34

in zone schemes yards per attempt,

25:36

Gadlin is number one. I'm just

25:38

saying it wouldn't be the worst thing in the

25:41

world. Positive play percentage in

25:44

zone, Charles Turner is number

25:46

one, Gadlin is number

25:48

three. Positive play percentage

25:50

when run behind, Charles Turner is

25:53

number one, Gadlin is number three.

25:56

EPA per attempt when run behind, Charles

25:58

Turner is number two, Gadlin is

26:00

number five. So Turner,

26:02

I think has a little bit of an

26:05

edge here, but still Gadlin pops up as

26:07

a top five guy a ton. Charles

26:09

Turner right now is consensus 270. Gadlin out

26:11

of Liberty 352. Plenty of

26:14

opportunity to grab these guys. Interior defensive

26:21

line as we switch to the other

26:23

side. Not

26:26

super surprisingly Byron Murphy and Jerzon

26:28

Newton are near the top.

26:30

I'm going to remove those guys. After

26:33

that, the guy that shows up

26:35

I believe the most is Darius

26:37

Robinson out of Missouri. Now I'm

26:39

slightly skeptical only because he was

26:41

primarily used or at least compared

26:43

to these guys largely used

26:46

as an edge rusher. So some of his pass

26:48

rush stats are a little bit higher, but

26:50

I will mention that although again I think

26:52

he's a potential first-rounder. Then there

26:54

are two other second round

26:57

guys. Braden Fisk is at or near the

26:59

top of a lot of these lists. It

27:01

is one, two, three, four, five, six, seven

27:03

different times he's in the top five and

27:06

Michael Hall is also relatively

27:08

high on a lot of these lists.

27:11

However, for the sake of being interesting, a

27:14

little bit more of a deep dive. The only other guy

27:16

that shows up is another guy that might

27:18

be somewhat of an edge rusher, but who cares we're going to do it

27:20

anyways. It's a man by the

27:22

name of Jamri Chroma out of James

27:24

Madison. Again, probably inflated because he's

27:27

considered an edge rusher by a lot of different

27:29

people, but he sits at 353 on the consensus

27:31

board. In fact, he's one spot

27:34

behind Xavier Gadlin,

27:37

but if you're not interested in that, I mean

27:39

it's really just the first and second round. I would

27:41

say Braden Fisk and I'm a little bit biased because

27:43

I do really like Braden Fisk, but

27:45

that would be the guy that I'd be most excited about.

27:48

Otherwise, Darius Robinson certainly is intriguing. I've been

27:50

sort of anti-Darius Robinson, but only because I

27:52

watched him purely as an edge rusher and

27:55

I don't think he is an edge rusher.

27:57

At least I can't make it work.

28:00

mentally. I've been trying to

28:02

come around to Darius Robinson because I think it's possible the

28:04

Packers could draft him in the first round. In fact, I

28:06

know it's possible, so I'm trying to

28:08

brace myself for that a little bit, but

28:11

nothing massively exciting here. It's just first

28:13

and second round guys for the most

28:15

part, and like I said, also Jerzon

28:18

Newton and Byron

28:20

Murphy were pretty dominant in these

28:22

categories. Ed Drushers, if

28:24

we remove the top guys, which in this case

28:26

are really just Chop Robinson and Latu, we've

28:29

got presumed second round

28:31

pick, second third-ish round pick,

28:33

Adisa Isaac out of

28:35

Penn State, and then a little bit

28:37

more of a deep dive, Muhammad Kamara.

28:40

So a couple areas where he shows up. First of all,

28:43

SAC EPA, negative numbers are better.

28:45

He ranks fourth with a negative

28:47

24.6 EPA. Total

28:51

EPA for him is a negative

28:53

31.6. He's fifth overall. Pressure

28:56

percentage, 20% for

28:58

Muhammad Kamara, that ranks fifth. When you

29:00

look at pressure percentage plus

29:02

or minus expectations, he's second

29:04

with 12%. If you

29:06

look at true pressure rate, which they

29:09

define as pressure rate that isolates straight

29:11

dropbacks, which are more likely to be

29:13

similar across situations, this removes RPOs, play

29:16

actions, and screens. He is

29:18

third. He has a true pressure rate

29:20

of 25%. His RAS, by the

29:24

way, is a 7.99. So technically

29:26

it's in the sevens, but you can round that

29:28

bad boy up to an eight and say he's

29:30

fine. And really it's just his

29:32

size that ends up being very poor.

29:34

He's 6 foot 1, 248,

29:37

but he has elite speed, great explosion, and

29:39

okay agility. It's just, again, the size was

29:41

the one thing that got knocked as far

29:43

as RAS. Linebackers are really

29:46

nothing here. Jeremiah Trotter and

29:48

Edron Cooper are the two guys whose names

29:50

really pop up quite a bit.

29:53

Obviously those are pretty well-known names. The only

29:55

other guy that shows up a decent chunk,

29:57

which is four times, which isn't a ton,

29:59

but whatever, It's

30:02

more than all the other guys that we've heard of that don't show

30:04

up four times. But David

30:07

Ogwobu, Ogwobu,

30:11

out of Houston. But positive

30:13

play percentage in man coverage. He

30:16

is second behind Curtis Jacobs. He's

30:18

third in positive coverage

30:20

percentage total. So positive play percentage

30:23

while in coverage. He's

30:25

third behind Jacobi Windman and

30:27

Curtis Jacobs. If we

30:29

go over to pressure,

30:32

blitz percentage, he's number

30:34

one. He blitzes more than anybody else. I didn't put

30:36

that as one of the things he's a top up

30:38

because it's not actually that, it's

30:41

not about his value, but it is an interesting stat.

30:44

But then also tackling, the third

30:46

least broken plus missed tackle

30:49

percentage, David Ogwobu,

30:52

ahead of or behind only Easton

30:55

Gibbs and Jacobi Windman. And

30:57

lastly, the ATD, adjusted tackle depth

31:00

plus. So it's how

31:03

far behind the line or whatever compared

31:06

to expectation. Was the

31:08

person tackled? He is second behind

31:10

only Edgerin Cooper. So somebody else

31:12

to keep an eye on. David

31:15

Ogwobu out of Houston, currently

31:17

consensus 358 on the consensus big board. At

31:22

corner, we've got quite a few individuals

31:25

to talk about here. The

31:27

first of which is cornerback Cam Hart

31:29

out of Notre Dame. First

31:31

of all, he is 6'2, 207 ish. Actually,

31:34

let me get the official here. He has

31:36

a 9 RAS, so that's a

31:38

bonus. He is 6'3, 202 pounds, so even

31:40

better. Out

31:46

of, we got what, 50

31:48

different corners here. He

31:50

was top five, six different times.

31:54

Kamal Haddon out of Tennessee, five

31:57

different times he was in the top five. He has a 7'4, 8'4.

32:01

And at consensus pick 223, it's

32:04

not as though that would be

32:06

disqualifying for any reason whatsoever. Cam

32:09

Hart is sitting at consensus 110. So,

32:11

you know, within range starting

32:13

probably round three, maybe even round

32:15

two, considering friggin' what the Packers

32:18

did last year. Somebody that I'm not

32:20

as worried about, I'm kind of happy about

32:22

it because I really was not a

32:24

huge fan of theirs, but they showed up a ton. Is

32:27

Kamari Lassiter cornerback out of Georgia?

32:31

The reason I say that is he's probably

32:33

a relatively supposedly early second round prospect. He

32:35

had a 6-2-4 RAS. Fingers

32:39

crossed that the Packers just are not

32:41

massively interested in Lassiter as

32:43

early as he's about to go. But

32:45

that brings us to maybe the most intriguing process,

32:47

maybe of this whole thing. Considering

32:51

we're talking DB, which our defensive

32:54

coordinator is a DB coach, cornerback

32:56

coach, who came from

32:58

Boston College, there's

33:00

another corner who showed up on this list 1, 2,

33:02

3, 4, 5,

33:05

6, 7 times, who

33:08

went to Boston College and

33:10

has a 8.96 RAS. 6'1",

33:13

185 pounds, really one of his only knocks

33:16

is that he's 185, which isn't even that small, to be honest.

33:20

And that's Elijah Jones. If

33:22

we look at the overall rating, again, the thing

33:24

out of 99 in coverage, he

33:27

is the third highest behind Cam

33:29

Hart in Dwight McLothern. McLothern, excuse

33:31

me. If you look

33:33

at overall, their ratings out of 99, there

33:35

are three corners with a grade of 99,

33:38

Terrienn Arnold, Nate Wiggins, and Elijah Jones.

33:42

By the way, and again, this did not go

33:44

into how many times they were top five

33:46

because it's not a quality thing, but it

33:48

is interesting to know percentage of the time

33:50

playing man coverage, Nate Wiggins, Cam Hart, another

33:52

guy to keep an eye on, Daquan

33:55

Hardy, Johnny Dixon, number five, Elijah

33:57

Jones. Not surprisingly, he went to

33:59

Boston College. but still. Total

34:02

EPA negative

34:04

21.9 second highest

34:06

or lowest I guess in this case

34:08

behind only Quinnan Mitchell. EPA

34:11

per target second best behind

34:13

only Cam Hart. Deserved

34:15

catch rate, Elijah Jones third

34:17

lowest. So deserved catch rate

34:20

essentially is we're looking at how many times

34:22

a cornerback gave up a catch but we're

34:24

also not going to give you credit if

34:26

they drop the ball or if it's overthrown

34:28

or whatever. In other words that should

34:30

have been a catch. How often does SIS

34:33

look and say yeah that should have been a catch because you

34:35

suck? 46% of the

34:37

time for Elijah Jones which is the third lowest. Positive

34:40

play percentage, how often when he's targeted

34:42

is it does it end up being

34:44

a positive play? 22% of

34:47

the time third lowest. How

34:49

many yards does he give up per snap

34:51

in zone? The only one with zero is

34:54

Elijah Jones. Positive plays

34:56

in zone. Elijah Jones is number one

34:58

11%. Now he's not as good in

35:00

man but still we're talking like maybe

35:02

the best zone corner in here who

35:05

has a lot of man experience. So

35:07

I think Cam Hart and Elijah Jones absolutely

35:10

are guys to keep an eye on. Outside

35:12

shot at looking at Kamal Hayden by the way

35:15

out of Tennessee and that leaves

35:17

us finally with safety. I'll

35:19

be honest this one's my favorite because every single

35:21

one of these guys that's left on this list

35:24

and it's crazy how many times they should I

35:26

mean they must be top five in like every

35:28

category. First of all Tyler Neuben. One

35:31

two three four five six seven eight nine

35:33

times he's in the top five out of

35:35

however many categories I don't know. I

35:38

didn't count but it's freaking crazy. That's

35:40

a lot. So let's go ahead and remove Tyler Neuben.

35:42

We know his name. I think most of

35:44

us like him. I know his RAS wasn't good. I

35:46

like Tyler Neuben. I'm on record saying

35:48

if we take him in the first round I'm not

35:50

gonna be mad. You can say that's not a good value

35:52

that's fine. Certainly would be happy based on if he's

35:54

second round whatever but I like him

35:56

but still let's get him off here. Aside

35:59

from that Here is a list of guys

36:02

that showed up.

36:04

I mean, I guess this is only three times I'll take him off,

36:06

but I want to say his name anyways. Let

36:08

me just give you the list. Evan Williams, Jevon

36:11

Bullard, Malik Mustafa, Sion

36:13

Vahki, Trey Taylor, and Ty Key

36:15

Smith. Most of these guys

36:18

are guys that I liked based

36:20

on, first of all, just watching them play. But

36:22

second of all, these are the guys that are

36:24

good compliments for the Green Bay Packers. They're

36:27

hitters, man. That's what they are. They're

36:29

tacklers, they're hitters, they're frickin' killers. Let's get

36:31

rid of a couple of them, though, because

36:33

they don't show up necessarily enough, especially since

36:36

some of these guys show up so

36:38

many times. Let's get rid of

36:40

Jevon Bullard. I'll get rid of Evan Williams on top

36:42

of that four times. Vahki

36:45

is also four times. I'll get rid of him. But

36:48

these three are ridiculous. Ty

36:51

Key Smith out of Georgia, one,

36:53

two, three, four, five, six, seven,

36:55

eight, nine times. And yes, this

36:57

is a good fit. Trey

37:00

Taylor, who's very kind

37:02

of far down the list, but I think a lot of Packer

37:05

fans have latched on to him, myself included. One,

37:08

two, three, four, five, six, seven,

37:10

eight, nine, ten times he's in

37:12

the top five. And then

37:14

Malik Mustafa, who I like not

37:16

love, but you absolutely understand the

37:18

physicality. One, two, three, four,

37:20

five, six, seven, eight, nine times he's

37:22

in the top five. Let's go

37:25

through a couple of these just so we can see.

37:27

There are 30 safeties, by the way. Apparently some of

37:29

them just show up never. All

37:32

right. Ratings while in coverage. Ty

37:35

Key Smith is second. Oledapo

37:37

is third. Not on the list a lot, but I'll give

37:39

the nod to Oledapo. Tyler

37:41

Nubin, fourth, Eric Johnson, fifth. Rating

37:44

while in run defense. Ty Key

37:46

Smith, number one. Malik Mustafa, number

37:48

two. Trey Taylor, number three. That

37:50

surprises nobody. I

37:53

really don't think it surprises it. And I like

37:55

all three of them. I think Ty Key Smith

37:57

would be fantastic. Mustafa again. lukewarm

38:00

but if you want like an okay

38:03

guy that can just do that job and just hit people,

38:05

I think he'd be great for it. Total,

38:07

Ty Key Smith number one with a

38:10

99, Trey Taylor number two 97,

38:12

Ola Dapo 96, Evan Williams

38:15

94, Malik Mustafa 93. So

38:17

that's the rating 50 out of 99. Just

38:20

their proprietary like how good are you, whatever.

38:23

Some stats not necessarily having anything to

38:25

do with the top five but just for our own,

38:28

so we know. Slot usage,

38:30

Ty Key Smith is the second highest 74%.

38:34

In the box percentage, Jayden

38:38

Hicks, who again I'm not a

38:40

huge fan of but he's one of those guys, Bo Braid

38:42

who I do like 33%, Cole Bishop

38:44

who I like 32%, Sion Vaki 26 and then Trey Taylor

38:48

26%. Blitz percentage,

38:51

Ty Key Smith is second and then we

38:53

get to actual quality, how good are you?

38:55

Pressure percentages. In the top five,

38:58

Trey Taylor who is fifth, 50% pressure rate.

39:01

Sack rate, what percentage of the time when you

39:03

pressure do you actually sack the quarterback? Trey Taylor

39:05

is number one 33%. Yards

39:08

per target in coverage, Ty Key Smith third.

39:11

The great thing about Ty Key Smith and

39:13

a lot of these guys are really good at

39:16

stuff. I mean, let's check, Trey Taylor

39:18

is fourth, Malik Mustafa is fifth but I mean the

39:20

cool thing is a lot of these are coverage stats.

39:22

I look at Trey Taylor and I'm like, I don't

39:24

know what he can do in coverage but this dude

39:26

will kill some people and granted he plays for a

39:29

smaller school but Ty Key Smith doesn't,

39:31

he plays at Georgia and you look at him and

39:33

say, I think he'd be a good strong safety and

39:35

I'm telling you he's dominating all the coverage statistics. He

39:37

also has four interceptions and zero

39:40

dropped interceptions. Just saying. EPA

39:42

per target, Trey Taylor number one

39:44

ahead of Tyler Nubin, Malik Mustafa

39:47

comes in fourth, Ty Key Smith

39:49

fifth. All of them are negative. In

39:51

other words, when you throw at me, it's

39:53

going to be bad for you. Negative

39:55

point five for Ty Key Smith, negative

39:58

point five seven for Malik Mustafa. negative

40:00

point seven five when you target Trey

40:02

Taylor. Positive play percentage

40:04

again. What percentage of the time

40:07

is it positive when you throw at me? Tychee Smith

40:09

31 percent is fifth. Malik

40:11

Mustafa just 25 percent. He's

40:14

third. Tyler Neuben number 120 percent.

40:16

Deserved catch rate. Malik Mustafa ranks

40:18

fourth. Trey Taylor fifth. Yards

40:21

per target in man coverage. Trey

40:23

Taylor is third. Malik Mustafa

40:25

fourth. Trey Taylor fifth. Positive

40:29

play percentage in man coverage.

40:31

Malik Mustafa number one. Trey

40:33

Taylor number two. These are

40:35

man coverage guys. By the way, Cole

40:37

Bishop four. Tyler Neuben five. Kaitlyn Bullock

40:39

third. I mean this is written in

40:41

stone, man. How many times did I

40:43

say Jackson Turner's name? How many times

40:45

did I say Oladapo's name? How many

40:47

times did I say Miller Bradford or

40:49

Thomas Harper or Jalen Simpson or

40:52

Imani Johnson or Alex

40:55

Johnson or Dejaun Anthony

40:57

or even Bo Braid who

40:59

I like? I mean there's so many guys,

41:01

none of them cracked the tie. Cam Kinchens.

41:04

How many times did I say that guy's name? I mean he was

41:06

a couple times in there that I just didn't say it but

41:08

maybe twice he was top five. I

41:10

mean and again if you want to discount

41:12

Trey Taylor because he's a smaller school, fine. But

41:14

you can't do that with Tychee Smith. Even in

41:17

positive play percentage in man, he wasn't top five.

41:19

He was sixth. I just

41:21

I mean if you already liked these

41:23

guys like him more if you didn't start liking

41:25

him and I think Tychee Smith is really not

41:27

a lot of excuse. He doesn't have

41:29

an elite RAS at seven four three but

41:32

let's see where is he expected to get

41:34

drafted. He's 126. We're

41:36

talking about possibly a fourth round pick and

41:38

he runs a four four six. I mean the only

41:40

real negatives is that he's five ten. He's

41:42

202 so he's not small. He's

41:44

just a little shorter and his short shuttle

41:46

was slow but I mean overall

41:49

it was poor size, good

41:51

explosion, okay agility and great

41:53

speed. But again you're going to give

41:55

me that in the fourth round or how about Trey Taylor? He's got

41:57

a 933 RAS. So

42:00

he can talk about small school, but he's got the agility.

42:03

He's 6' 213 pounds with great

42:05

agility, good speed, good explosion. He's

42:09

consensus 213. He's a seventh round

42:11

pick maybe. And Malik Mustafa has an

42:13

almost identical RAS at a 9' 3' 9". He's

42:18

similarly to Tychee Smith. He's 5' 10",

42:20

which is really his only knock, but

42:22

he's still 209 pounds. He's

42:25

a big, thick dude, and he looks like it when he goes

42:27

out and plays. He's a short, broad

42:29

fella, but he's got okay

42:32

size, good speed, and elite

42:34

explosion. He's consensus

42:36

129. So right

42:39

around Tychee Smith. In fact, it's just

42:41

three spots behind him. Now, would I

42:43

take Tychee Smith over Malik Mustafa? Probably.

42:45

But either way, you can be either of these

42:48

guys in the fourth round, maybe throw in a

42:50

Trey Taylor kicker in the seventh. Oh,

42:54

come on now. Come on

42:56

now. Anyways, I should

42:58

probably stop and get this posted for you. It

43:00

has a little bonus episode. I

43:03

will leave it at that. I'll talk to you all later. Have

43:05

a good one. Bye-bye. This

43:08

is the Zach Tom

43:11

rule. Bonus

43:16

episode. That's

43:22

what she

43:25

said. Boom. Roasted,

43:31

clubbing in. It's

43:33

still my throng. It's

43:57

still my throng. Some

44:08

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