Episode #3: Epidemiology & Prevention
Hi, it’s me, Marmee Regine. We are now in the third episode. In this episode, we will discuss a bit of epidemiology and some preventive measures on how to avoid this coronavirus, especially during the second wave of the Fall. I recently saw a video where Bill Gates mentioned the second wave of the pandemic in the Fall would be worse than the recent first wave.
*EPIDEMIOLOGY
What is epidemiology? By online google definition, epidemiology is the branch of medicine which deals with the incidence, distribution, and possible control of diseases and other factors relating to health. So, what do we mean by this is that it gives an overview of the current prevalence of the existing disease within a population and locating exact areas where they can be found. In my previous episode podcast on viral load, I referred to it as the hot spot where there is a cluster of COVID cases that can be found. Alongside this definition, epidemiology also covers the preventive measures in cases of an epidemic and circumstances when it is a pandemic such as the current coronavirus disease around the world today. I recently finished my Pre-Calculus summer class, where Professor Kacy Wiggins taught us the computation of exponential growth of bacteria that epidemiologists calculate in the simplest form to predict how the bacteria will behave soon. Such math calculations will estimate if there will be an increase or decrease in the growth of bacteria within specific populations. Of course, there are more complex mathematical tools that they use in technical research on epidemiological studies. However, exponential growth is a vital tool during an epidemic or pandemic outbreak of bacteria in a population.
I found an article below about what a Harvard epidemiologist thinks about COVID-19.
Harvard epidemiologist: Beware COVID-19’s second wave this Fall https://www.ama-assn.org/delivering-care/public-health/harvard-epidemiologist-beware-covid-19-s-second-wave-fall (via @AmerMedicalAssn).
The article gives a tone of prediction on the pandemic's possible outcome in the second wave in the coming Fall season. Len Strazewski, the contributing news writer, published the article last May 8, 2020, stating how a Harvard epidemiologist describes the current COVID-19 pandemic. The report says if the weather is a reliable parameter on how the summer conditions will affect the virus's behavior. And for the general public, how will they deal with the continuous habit of wearing a face mask, social distancing, and

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