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Could They Actually Leap Over Biden And Dunk Him?

Could They Actually Leap Over Biden And Dunk Him?

Released Thursday, 29th February 2024
 1 person rated this episode
Could They Actually Leap Over Biden And Dunk Him?

Could They Actually Leap Over Biden And Dunk Him?

Could They Actually Leap Over Biden And Dunk Him?

Could They Actually Leap Over Biden And Dunk Him?

Thursday, 29th February 2024
 1 person rated this episode
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

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0:02

Hello and welcome

0:05

to this late political gab fest. February

0:17

29th, 2024, Leap Day,

0:19

could they actually leap over Biden

0:21

and dump him a ditch? I'm

0:24

David Flots, Citycast. I'm joined. I'm

0:27

in Washington, DC, by the way. And

0:29

I'm joined by John Dickerson of CBS

0:31

Prime Time in New York City. Hello,

0:33

John. Hi. And from New

0:36

Haven, Connecticut, Emily Bazlana of New

0:38

York Times Magazine and Yale University Law School

0:40

from New Haven. Hello, Emily. Hey, David.

0:43

Hey, John. This week on the gab fest, anxiety

0:46

increases among Democrats as uncommitted

0:48

wins 100,000 votes

0:51

in an uncontested Michigan primary against

0:53

Joe Biden. In

0:56

the Supreme Court, here's a pair of

0:58

fascinating cases about social media platforms, censorship

1:00

in the First Amendment, and also dockets

1:03

the big Trump immunity case.

1:06

And then Mitch McConnell is stepping down

1:08

as the Republican Senate leader after perhaps

1:10

the most effective career of any politician

1:13

this century. Plus, of course, we'll have

1:15

cocktail chatter. And a reminder,

1:17

or not even a

1:19

reminder, an announcement. We are going to be

1:21

live in Washington, DC on Wednesday, March 27th

1:23

at 730 at the Hamilton. There's

1:27

going to be a pre-show cocktail party as

1:29

well. You can get tickets at slate.com/gab fest

1:31

live. That's going to be a live show

1:34

on Wednesday evening, March 27th here in DC. New

1:38

venue, the Hamilton. It's great. It's

1:40

going to fill up fast. So get your tickets. And

1:43

we have a special guest that we're going to

1:45

announce soon, or we believe we have a special

1:47

guest that we're going to announce soon. And it's

1:49

going to be really fun. So we'd love

1:51

to see you there. It's going to be our first

1:54

live show of the new year. It's going to be

1:56

coming at a moment of all kinds of legal

1:58

action and political action. and that's

2:01

going to be a great moment

2:03

for discussion. slate.com/gabfestlive for tickets. Hey

2:06

there, gabfest listeners. Before we start the show, I want

2:08

to let you know about a story coming up a

2:10

little later. It's from one of our partners, SAP.

2:14

AI comes at you fast. If

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more, head to sap.com/AI

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and stick around for expert advice on

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how to embrace AI with confidence. Uncommitted

2:36

had an amazing night in Michigan this

2:39

week capturing more than a hundred thousand

2:41

votes in the democratic primary. As

2:43

Zach Gorchow talked about on our Slate Plus

2:46

segment last week, any

2:48

number over 50,000 was going to

2:50

be a blow to Biden. And

2:53

Uncommitted just crashed through that to get to

2:55

a hundred thousand and 13% of the vote.

2:59

Uncommitted was a movement organized

3:01

originally by Arab Americans unhappy with

3:04

Biden's full-throated support of Israel

3:06

in the Gaza war. And

3:09

the Uncommitted vote won

3:11

majorities in two big Arab American cities

3:14

of Michigan, the two big Arab American

3:16

cities, Dearborn and Hamtramck. But it also

3:18

picked up big votes in Michigan's college

3:20

towns. So John, how

3:22

dismayed or shocking should this

3:25

be for Biden's team? I

3:27

guess when I think about that question, I think

3:29

about where does it

3:31

fit in the priorities that they have to

3:34

face to get reelected? Like they

3:36

have a lot of challenges for Biden.

3:38

And so is this

3:41

a challenge? Yes. How

3:43

big a challenge is it? And

3:45

more crucially, how much can they really do about

3:48

it? If the answer to solving

3:50

this problem is get

3:52

peace in the Middle East. Well, who'd have thought of that?

3:55

Right? Like the question, it's kind of

3:57

like what we were talking about with respect to what

4:00

biden could do to overcome uh...

4:03

the questions about his age well he could

4:05

go out and be vigorous and do lots

4:07

of public events well being very interesting a

4:09

lot of public events has all kinds of

4:12

downsides as we saw from president biden speaking

4:14

about the possibility of a hostage exchange while

4:16

eating ice cream ice cream cone is a

4:18

part of the seth myers appearance well

4:21

i hope by

4:34

the we can

4:37

immediately at

4:39

least my my my national security advisor tells

4:42

me that for close because not done yet

4:45

my hope is by next monday that

4:48

wasn't the greatest of visuals to be

4:51

talking about the exchange of prisoners and

4:53

hostages uh... so there are all

4:55

kinds of challenges to getting the least piece so

4:57

could you even fix the problem yes it's a

4:59

problem a hundred thousand is a

5:01

big number it's a big number because he

5:03

won the state by hundred fifty thousand against

5:05

trumps so but a lot of democrats turned

5:07

out for biden which made the percentage uh...

5:10

thirteen percent against obama in twenty twelve uncommitted

5:12

got about eleven percent now it got to

5:15

that that uncommitted but was only twenty thousand

5:17

votes so hundred thousand is a great deal

5:19

more than twenty thousand so i'm not trying

5:21

to downplay just trying to put it in

5:24

perspective then the question is really when the

5:26

choice gets framed uh...

5:28

between donald trump and

5:30

joe biden donald trump's policies not only

5:32

are going to be identical or worse

5:34

with respect to the uh...

5:36

israel-hamas war but people might be

5:38

reminded that donald trump was the one who wanted

5:41

to ban muslims from coming into the united states

5:43

so that might change it so the

5:45

question is could they can they do a lot about

5:47

it might gravity help them then

5:49

the final point of course is michigan

5:52

is a super crucial state for biden

5:54

in the general election one of the key battleground

5:56

states and and it's hard to think of how

5:58

he wins without winning michigan Michigan. Yeah,

6:01

right now it's the tipping point state for

6:03

Biden and he's polling behind Trump

6:05

and has kind of been consistently polling poorly

6:08

there, Emily. Do you think

6:10

to John's point that there's any

6:12

policy shift that Biden could realistically

6:15

make on Gaza or

6:17

on issues that are animating progressive students

6:20

that wouldn't hurt him

6:22

in other ways and be backfire in other

6:24

ways? Yeah, I mean, I

6:26

think it's really complicated and hard, but I

6:29

think, I mean, first of all, the war

6:31

could end. I mean, the war is serving

6:33

the interest primarily of Benjamin

6:35

Netanyahu keeping his government in power

6:37

in Israel and then Hamas, which

6:40

is watching Israel's acceptance around the world deteriorate,

6:42

which is something that the New York Times

6:44

columnist Thomas Friedman wrote about this week. So

6:48

that's, I think, a huge

6:50

part of what's happening is the war

6:52

and all the deaths of Palestinians in

6:54

Gaza. I also think that moving

6:57

toward supporting Palestinian self-determination and

7:00

statehood is really important and

7:02

the Biden administration has been

7:04

saying those things and distancing

7:06

itself from Netanyahu's government, but

7:08

not really pushing and not

7:11

confronting Netanyahu. I mean, there

7:13

is, don't you guys

7:15

think like it's in Netanyahu's interest for Trump

7:17

to get elected in the fall because Trump

7:19

will be much more pro his right wing

7:22

policies than Biden. I mean, you just have

7:24

this feeling that Biden

7:26

has not figured

7:28

out how to take on Netanyahu in

7:30

a way that's good for Biden politically.

7:33

And obviously, you know, the United States and

7:35

Israel have this longstanding friendship and

7:37

allyship and there's lots of history there, but

7:39

at some point it just seems like maybe

7:42

Netanyahu is taking Biden down and Biden has

7:44

got to figure out how to get out

7:46

of that trap. Well, Biden

7:48

might care about something more than the

7:50

politics at the moment. I mean, in other words, he's

7:53

not going to be able to do anything to fix

7:55

the uncommitted issue right now at this current moment. breaking

8:00

with Netanyahu might have all kinds of other

8:03

consequences, including the US's ability

8:05

to actually influence

8:07

events to the extent they can do anything.

8:11

It's got to be, the roads have to

8:14

lead through Netanyahu. I mean, play out what's

8:16

the strategy if he breaks with Netanyahu, or

8:18

if he had broken with Netanyahu a month

8:20

ago, how that works.

8:23

It doesn't seem like Netanyahu is really listening

8:25

to, particularly in a

8:27

public sense, pressure from the United

8:30

States. So Biden breaks with

8:32

him and then Netanyahu does what that is

8:34

in the positive aims of the uncommitted vote.

8:36

I mean, I don't think Netanyahu is

8:38

ever going to do anything in the

8:41

positive aims of anything that people are

8:43

voting uncommitted care about. But Netanyahu does

8:45

not necessarily stay in power. I mean,

8:47

there isn't an election scheduled for two

8:49

years, but he could get ousted sooner.

8:51

And I, you know, there has been

8:53

this argument that, you know, if Biden

8:55

confronts him, that that will only strengthen

8:58

him. But I'm becoming increasingly skeptical of

9:00

that and just feeling some sense of

9:02

urgency about that whole situation. I

9:07

don't think he can do anything right now. I'm

9:09

talking about looking ahead to the election. Exactly.

9:11

So if Biden can't do anything

9:13

right now, his maximum leverage over

9:15

Netanyahu is by not

9:17

publicly breaking with Netanyahu. If that's

9:19

true, which it feels like it

9:21

is, then the best way for

9:23

him to be effective with respect

9:25

to the actual crisis is

9:27

to work in the inside game with Netanyahu

9:30

instead of having a break, even though a

9:32

break might be more palatable to the people

9:34

in Michigan in who

9:36

voted uncommitted. Given how many

9:38

people voted uncommitted, there is

9:40

a new energy among Democrats who want

9:42

Biden to consider stepping off the ticket

9:45

to allow someone else,

9:47

someone they say could be more likely

9:49

to win against Trump to have a

9:51

shot. Is there? Emily.

9:55

Yeah. What do you mean there? Is there

9:57

new energy? Well, there's definitely lots

9:59

of. No, no, there are a

10:01

lot. Ezra Klein wrote a piece and, but

10:03

I mean, look at Dean Phillips. The guy,

10:06

he got fewer votes than Marion Williamson, who's

10:08

out of the race. If there was all

10:10

this huge energy to dump Biden that wasn't

10:12

related to this very specific point we've been

10:15

discussing, don't you think the alternative candidate would

10:17

have gotten more than two point whatever he

10:19

got? Well, I don't, but I don't think

10:21

anyone thinks that Dean Phillips is the person

10:24

who is, is the great standard bearer the

10:26

Democrats could run against Trump. I think they

10:28

have a Fantasia that, you know,

10:30

a broker convention puts forward, put a

10:33

Raphael Warnock

10:36

candidacy with Gretchen Widmer. Right. But

10:39

I mean, it is John. But Ezra Klein is Ezra

10:41

Klein is one of the most prominent

10:43

figures writing in the left in this country and

10:45

Ezra is hassarding it and there's a lot of

10:47

commentary on it. You can tell why it's, you

10:50

can explain why it's not a deal. No, no,

10:52

no, no, no, but there's commentary about it. My

10:54

point is if there was lots of unfocused active

10:56

energy that was anti Biden or that was we

10:58

got to get something else. It's

11:01

not crazy to think that it would show up

11:03

in some way in Michigan. What didn't a hundred,

11:05

a hundred thousand people write up and voted for.

11:07

We've already talked about how that has a

11:10

specific sense. And also if you look at

11:12

how Biden has voted in the rest of

11:14

the primaries so far, they roughly tracked what

11:16

Obama did in 2012, except in New Hampshire.

11:18

Let's agree that the punditry class is having

11:21

a big. That's for sure. But

11:23

the difference, but but but it's crucial. First of

11:25

all, that's the class we belong to. But

11:29

you've got to frame it with respect to the

11:31

punditry class because it's really important because one of

11:33

the things that Biden did well in 2020 is

11:35

his campaign ignored the punditry class and the

11:38

super online class. And that's why he

11:40

won. That's why he won the

11:42

nomination. Like it's a key skill of his. So

11:45

framing what's real and what's not is like

11:47

a super crucial question in this moment. You

11:50

accept it. It's it's just it's just

11:52

Ezra Klein and two people having dinner

11:55

with him who were talking about this.

11:57

If there are any arguments In

11:59

favor. Of what Ezra is saying,

12:02

I think the arguments are. That.

12:05

Biden. Is. Bidens.

12:08

Age, his frailty, his.

12:11

Apparent inability to campaign

12:13

effectively. Are. Extremely

12:16

damaging to him and and in

12:18

a race against Trump. Or

12:20

that in twenty two thousand Eight, he got more

12:22

or less a pass on campaigning. He didn't have

12:24

to campaign so nobody had to actually see him

12:27

campaign because of Kobe E P campaign from from

12:29

his his house. Ah, and to actually have to

12:31

go out and present an argument for what he's

12:33

doing and what he's done. Is

12:36

something he cannot do well. And

12:38

he's polling. Very. Poorly

12:40

against Trump and therefore it's

12:42

a possibility that someone who

12:44

has more energy who can

12:46

articulate a democratic this more

12:48

vividly. Could. Animate

12:50

younger voters. Animate somebody

12:52

voters who are turning

12:55

away and and wage

12:57

and effective campaign against

12:59

Trump and. When.

13:01

The problem Of course. I mean they're so many

13:03

problems you guys to now outline all the problems.

13:06

Low. One thousand is a magical

13:08

thinking about how we get to

13:10

this special someone else because the

13:13

obvious person is Vice President Palmer

13:15

has as I talked about her

13:17

as as deeply and ah appreciated

13:19

parties center underestimated politicians and on

13:22

didn't present the evidence that. I

13:24

don't. See any myself and then

13:26

you have this kind as fantasy of

13:29

this brokered convention. And to Malibu Yes,

13:31

I did a really good job of

13:33

explaining that the convention doesn't represent constituencies

13:35

in the way that it used to

13:38

that. Now it's like largely symbolic and

13:40

so the notion that if it, if

13:42

they did come up with the magical

13:45

Whitmer. Warnock. ticket it's

13:47

not clear that it would really have a

13:49

lot of legitimacy after everybody has voted for

13:51

biden and then there's the question of like

13:53

could biden really mean he would have all

13:55

the delegates they would has that they would

13:57

be committed to supporting him and so it

13:59

would be really up to him and then

14:01

it probably would be Kamala Harris and we

14:03

kind of get back into this loop of

14:06

whether this is really a stronger ticket. One

14:08

of the things that's been most,

14:10

I think, impressive about this public

14:13

debate among democratic intellectuals is, or

14:15

political intellectuals is... I like it.

14:18

They've gone from pundits to intellectuals now. Well,

14:20

I mean, I think you have to put

14:23

Jamel and Ezra in that category. I think

14:25

the super online reaction

14:27

is dumb, but the articles

14:30

that were written both in favor of

14:32

the idea and against it were all

14:34

serious, didn't like do a bunch of

14:37

stupid mode of questioning and actually

14:39

showed an incredibly sophisticated understanding of politics,

14:41

primaries. It was really a joy to

14:43

read all of the different arguments.

14:46

I think the only thing I would add to what

14:49

both of you have said is that

14:51

one of Ezra's terms also is

14:53

that there is a structure in place for a

14:55

Brokard convention and therefore it

14:58

could manage this kind

15:00

of open free for all. I think the

15:02

problem is that that structure is highly antiquated.

15:04

It comes from a time in

15:06

politics long before the

15:08

reforms of 1972 and the general increase in

15:13

the voice of the people over the

15:15

voice of the party. The structured convention,

15:17

the Brokard convention was a product

15:20

of a completely boss

15:23

centered party or a highly boss centered party,

15:25

which started to crumble in 1960 in the

15:27

Democratic party with

15:30

Kennedy's defeat of the bosses by using the

15:32

primaries. An amazing thing. And

15:35

then I think Jamel of all of

15:37

them really put most beautifully with the

15:40

important thing, which is

15:43

that what gives candidates legitimacy is

15:45

the process, not the Brokard part.

15:48

It's the getting the votes. Without

15:51

that legitimacy, you would elevate a weakened

15:53

candidate. And of course, the other point

15:55

which everybody made, but which is important

15:57

is that when you have inter-party fights

15:59

and actually it's not in the primary context where

16:01

you can all talk about how bad Donald Trump is.

16:04

The fights tend to be over really small

16:06

things and everybody gets pushed to the left

16:09

because they're all trying to distinguish themselves from

16:11

the other person, which means you would have

16:13

a national advertisement about the most liberal things

16:16

right at a time when you're supposed to be

16:18

looking for voters more towards the middle. And

16:21

then I'll add the one other thing, which

16:23

I would call the Ron DeSantis factor, which is

16:27

that all candidates, all

16:29

hypothetical candidates are unicorns who

16:31

fart cotton candy until

16:35

they are actually tested. And then you don't

16:37

know. It's entirely possible that

16:39

on a national stage Gretchen Widmer would

16:42

be the greatest candidate since Bill Clinton.

16:44

Very possible since Barack Obama. But

16:46

it's also possible that this person who gets

16:48

anointed turns out to be an absolute dud

16:50

as we saw with

16:52

DeSantis. So that's enormously

16:54

risky. I

16:57

want to give a huge thank you to our Slate Plus listeners

17:00

because of listeners like you. In

17:02

fact, not just like you, you.

17:04

We've been able to keep doing the

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GAFS for so long and you get

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so much good stuff for your subscription.

17:10

Bonus segments on every episode, special discounts

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to live shows like our live show

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coming up in DC, no

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hitting the paywall on the site site, so

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much more. This week for our Slate Plus

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segment, we're going to be talking

17:23

about the increasingly elaborate, even unhinged

17:26

efforts by the Republican House to

17:28

pin some kind of

17:30

corruption charge on Joe Biden via

17:32

his family. But the segment

17:34

is just for Slate Plus members. If you

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are a Slate Plus member, thank you. If you're not, go

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to slate.com/GAFS Plus to become a

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member today. This

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podcast is brought to you by Slate Studios

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more. This

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episode of the GAP Fest is sponsored by SAP.

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First, the bad news. SAP

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19:50

Supreme Court Heard arguments in a pair

19:52

of cases this week, challenging laws passed

19:54

by Florida and Texas designed to prevent

19:56

social media companies. Incidentally, What is a

19:58

social media company? Good question

20:00

from removing hiding or downplaying

20:02

conservative speech on their platforms.

20:05

A. Coalition of Tech Companies challenge the

20:07

laws and a whole set of

20:09

arguments that came out of really

20:12

quite fascinating. But before we get

20:14

the social media cases, let's start

20:16

briefly with the news that the

20:18

court will take its own sweet

20:20

time on the Presidential immunity claim

20:22

that Trump is making as regards

20:24

the January Six criminal cases is

20:26

facing. Ah, and. That.

20:30

May well delay any possible criminal trial

20:32

of Trump. Certainly be generous a case

20:34

until after the election. So so Emily

20:36

do want to just orient us around.

20:40

This. Immunity case and and when

20:42

they supreme court is going to hear arguments

20:44

on it and when that means a. Decision.

20:47

Is likely and what that would mean for a criminal

20:49

trial. The Supreme Court is can

20:52

hear arguments on April twenty seconds and

20:54

that means that it's likely that a

20:56

decision won't come until the end of

20:58

the court's time at the end of

21:00

June and now of course it's possible

21:02

they could rule sooner site they are

21:04

not losing this, the some you know

21:06

speed of Light alacrity, and all of

21:08

this just. Is. A big. Gift.

21:11

Wrapped president for Donald Trump because delay

21:13

has been his tacit all long. If

21:15

the court rules at the end of

21:17

June cleared a child really get under

21:19

way before the election? I mean it's

21:21

not impossible, but every day that passes

21:23

makes it more difficult. And what? To

21:26

me is just. And then I have to

21:28

say in a spurious thing about this I

21:30

woke up assuming in the middle of the

21:33

date about it is that this is a

21:35

slam dunk legal question that has been answered

21:37

cogently and soberly by to lower courts. The

21:41

Supreme Court could just let the

21:43

Dc Circuit ruling stands. That explains

21:45

in grated hell why a President

21:47

cannot have utter and complete and

21:49

in the for every single thing

21:51

he did in office. Like.

21:54

writ large i mean to think about that

21:56

it's breathtaking it's like saying that we have a

21:58

king that while you're and You can

22:00

do absolutely anything with impunity the idea that

22:03

the court has to take months to you

22:05

know Stroke its chin over these

22:07

arguments. I just don't get it one thing that

22:09

was confusing in the initial reaction to this is a lot

22:11

of supporters of or a Lot

22:14

of people on the left said this is this is

22:16

outrageous. They're suggesting there's a There's

22:19

some question to figure out here and then

22:21

other people said no the court is

22:24

deciding possibly We don't know what

22:26

it's exciting But one one avenue is that the

22:28

court could decide this is such an issue of

22:30

import that the court must speak because there's no

22:32

precedent for it and that it was still possible

22:34

that you could have a

22:36

nine to nothing on The

22:39

side of all the rational things you said

22:41

which is the country was not founded

22:43

with this idea in mind Oh, it's

22:45

totally possible. It'll be nine to nothing though. It

22:47

really did. It'll be seven to two Let's be

22:49

real like Clarence Thomas and Sam Alito are gonna

22:51

vote on the other side perhaps But

22:54

even if it's nine to nothing the

22:56

time they are taking is essential And

22:58

so yes in an ideal world with

23:00

all the time in the world the

23:02

Supreme Court would settle this ridiculous But

23:04

important unsettled question in American law and

23:06

not leave it for the next time

23:08

But we don't live in an ideal world We live

23:11

in a world in which it is entirely possible that

23:13

someone that's facing major criminal indictment Will

23:15

win the presidency with this shadow

23:17

unresolved and then the case will

23:20

be postponed Indefinitely and we'll never

23:22

get an answer and I just

23:24

feel like there is something Really

23:27

untoward about that like it makes

23:29

the country's legal system seem very

23:31

shaky and Unserious

23:33

and that will be happening Donald

23:36

Trump will have summed his nose successfully gotten

23:38

away with all of these dodges as he

23:41

becomes president again for the next four years

23:43

Think about that. It's at the argument Maybe

23:45

this is what I felt this is where you were going John

23:48

Isn't the argument that if you assume for

23:51

the sake of argument that Donald Trump is gonna

23:53

become president again? Isn't it important that the Supreme

23:55

Court will have issued such a ruling? Saying

23:58

that presidents are crazy criminally liable for

24:01

their behavior. And if they had

24:03

simply kicked forward a DC Circuit

24:05

opinion, you're missing this clarion, crystal

24:09

judgment by the highest court in the land.

24:11

And so it puts the Trump administration on

24:13

notice about that. That would be

24:15

an argument for it. That's an

24:17

argument. And then you just have to weigh it

24:19

against all the other problems. But yes, that's true.

24:22

And the other problems, can we just illuminate some

24:24

of them? I mean, so the one is basically

24:26

that the Supreme Court

24:28

takes its time. Then Judge Tanya Chutkin

24:31

says, okay, we can start the clock

24:33

again, which means some number of

24:35

months to allow the two teams to prepare because they've

24:37

been told to stop and put their pencils down for

24:39

the moment. So that takes some number of months, then

24:42

the trial itself has to

24:44

take place. That's if everything's moving along

24:46

on ice. Obviously, Trump's strategy

24:49

has been to delay. So there'll be lots of delays. And

24:51

then so basically, you could

24:53

have a situation in which the trial doesn't take

24:55

place. And

24:57

then Trump, if Trump wins, he basically shutters

24:59

everything because he now controls the Justice Department.

25:03

The other challenge is to Mayor Garland, right?

25:05

So let's say the court decides,

25:07

comes out, then suddenly, there are going

25:09

to be pieces every day in all

25:11

your major newspapers from people saying, well,

25:13

you know, shouldn't he let the people

25:15

decide and tell, you know,

25:19

Smith to step down? Now, presumably, Garland will say,

25:21

look, I didn't tell her what to do. And

25:23

so I'm not going to tell Smith, but it's

25:26

going to be a topic of conversation, you

25:29

know, every day. Don't you think? Yeah,

25:33

I mean, the more we

25:35

get into the heat of the

25:37

political season and campaigning, the more

25:39

legitimate the arguments against having someone

25:41

on trial while they are the

25:43

presidential nominee of a major party

25:45

become. Then I should also mention

25:47

that member of the

25:49

Mar-a-Lago documents case in Florida, that

25:51

judge, who is a Trump appointee,

25:53

is on Friday revisiting the

25:55

whole question of when that trial might happen.

25:57

I think it's currently settled for May. she

26:00

could postpone that. And of course, we have all

26:02

the issues going on with the Georgia prosecution, which

26:04

is a giant case. And it's really hard to

26:06

see how that could go on trial for

26:09

November, even if Fannie Willis wasn't

26:11

under scrutiny. So we're looking at

26:13

the hush money trial in Manhattan,

26:15

the kind of smallest least

26:17

significant case is the only one that seems

26:20

to be on track. Can

26:22

I raise one possible question, which is okay, let's

26:24

say the, the trial doesn't take away.

26:26

Is it a certainty in this world

26:28

that having January 6 and Donald Trump's

26:31

role in it, with all the footage

26:33

of the attackers on the sixth waving

26:35

their Trump flags, and all

26:37

the testimony from Trump insiders

26:41

at the center and his insistence

26:44

that that the election was stolen, which

26:46

is an act of delusion, that

26:48

having that in the center of the campaign all the way

26:50

to the end is so great for Donald Trump. I mean,

26:52

I get how how he doesn't want to have a trial.

26:55

But in terms of what the election is

26:57

about, I mean, if you look at Donald Trump assert

26:59

that he won in his interview with Brett Barrett Fox

27:01

News, it was the like the

27:04

locked teeth delusion of a person who

27:06

really believes that. And I is

27:08

having that all the way through to the election. Is

27:11

that super great for Trump? I

27:13

mean, the rational answer would be no, but like, is

27:15

it going to move enough voters? Let's

27:17

go to this case that was argued already

27:20

in the Supreme Court. So Emily,

27:23

it's such a fascinating set of

27:25

issues. And I guess they hinge on a

27:27

bunch of key questions. But one is,

27:30

are social

27:32

media platforms common carriers like telephone companies

27:34

where what is said can't

27:36

be constrained by the operator? Are they

27:38

more like newspapers or bookstores where they

27:40

make decisions about what to emphasize and

27:43

promote based on their judgment? And if

27:45

the federal government tries to

27:47

stop the platform from exercising editorial

27:49

judgment, is it protecting free speech

27:51

of politically, politically moderated

27:54

posters who are who would otherwise be suppressed?

27:56

Or is it infringing on the free speech

27:58

of the platform? to moderate it. So, whoa.

28:02

I know, it is really interesting. We are

28:04

talking about two state governments, Florida and Texas

28:06

here, not the federal government. You're absolutely ready

28:08

to kind of search for an analogy. And

28:11

I think the Texas law only

28:13

applies to platforms, right? And so

28:15

this analogy of the telephone company

28:17

seems to not be apt in

28:19

that context. Like when you're talking

28:21

about the things you see on

28:23

your feed that everybody else can

28:25

see, then this idea of, well,

28:28

you can't interfere with the private

28:30

messages, people, what people are

28:32

saying over the phone, that doesn't seem

28:35

like it really works. Whereas in Florida,

28:37

their law potentially covers like Gmail and

28:39

Facebook Messenger, the things that are people

28:41

talking to each other that other people

28:44

can hear and see. So that's like

28:46

one distinction here. Then there's

28:48

this larger question about whether

28:51

what the platforms do when they

28:53

moderate content is exercising editorial

28:55

judgment. And what the platforms are

28:57

saying is, yes, for purposes of

28:59

our First Amendment rights, this is

29:01

our speech. We're making decisions. We're

29:03

blocking hate speech because we think

29:05

it's offensive. That's our decision

29:07

about what to say. Florida

29:10

and Texas came in and said, you

29:12

can't do that because this is a public square.

29:14

But the long time doctrine in

29:16

this area is that if you're a private speaker and

29:20

social media platforms are

29:22

private corporations, then yes,

29:24

you can manage content.

29:27

And the government cannot require you

29:29

to talk or require you not

29:31

to let someone else talk. There

29:33

is a real irony here, which is

29:36

that last year, the platforms were arguing

29:38

to the Supreme Court that they had

29:40

immunity from lawsuits under Section 230 of

29:42

the Communications Decency Act because they were

29:44

not the same as newspapers and they

29:46

weren't really editors. And oh, no, like

29:49

what we do is not speech for

29:51

that purpose. And so there were some

29:54

fighting moments, an argument where Justice Alito in particular

29:56

was pushing Paul Clement, the lawyer for the Supreme

29:58

Court, to the Supreme Court. social

30:00

media platforms on that, and I

30:02

am really interested in that. But

30:04

these laws do seem like they're

30:06

really problematic for what

30:09

social media platforms actually do without being

30:11

able to moderate content with things like

30:13

hate speech and disinformation. They become total

30:15

cesspools, and then their customers don't want

30:18

to be there anymore, at least presumably.

30:21

Well, as from a public policy standpoint, couldn't you

30:23

make the case that, well, if that's the case,

30:25

and nobody wants to be there anymore, the market

30:27

decides, and it collapses because it's a cesspool, and

30:29

that that's a better outcome than having the government

30:31

pick winners and losers. Isn't the

30:34

public policy case that's more

30:36

powerful that they

30:39

become a cesspool and there's misinformation and people

30:41

still keep going, that customers keep flocking to

30:43

it and it then becomes the news source,

30:46

and that spoils public

30:50

life because you're basically giving

30:52

a megaphone to things that

30:54

undermine public life? Does the

30:57

government's interest in the First Amendment extend

31:00

to a duty

31:03

to help create spaces where

31:05

reasonable discussion can occur? I

31:07

feel like one of the responsibilities, obviously

31:10

there's a First Amendment which infringes

31:12

on the government's ability to stop people

31:14

from speaking, but does the government have

31:16

any affirmative responsibility to allow spaces where

31:19

conversation can be humane

31:21

and productive to occur,

31:24

or does it not at all? That's a

31:26

great question. Our First Amendment doctrine is

31:29

not about creating humane and productive spaces.

31:31

It's about saying that if it is

31:33

truly a public forum, then the government

31:36

can't discriminate on the

31:38

basis of viewpoint. Now, all this is different

31:40

from what social media platforms can do because

31:42

they are private entities. Yeah. I also

31:44

think there's this important point that I can't remember

31:46

who made it, is that Florida

31:51

and Texas explicitly passed these

31:53

laws to advance conservative speech, and it

31:56

seems like the Supreme Court should look

31:58

very much askance at a government... effort

32:00

to explicitly help a particular political interest. It's

32:03

not merely a neutral thing that they're doing.

32:05

They're literally doing this so that they would

32:07

advance conservative speech. They

32:09

said this in passing it, and that's a

32:11

problem. Yeah. And they

32:14

were making up a fake concern because the social media

32:16

platforms have been excellent for conservative speech.

32:19

Yes, the facts of the case were different. And

32:21

it was being suppressed. Isn't

32:24

that cause enough for somebody to step

32:26

in and say, wait, the three speech

32:28

rights of these pro-abortion rights people are

32:31

being suppressed in Alabama? I

32:34

mean, again, it just depends what your analogy

32:36

is. If you're talking about Fox

32:38

News as the analogy, then

32:41

we are used to the idea that

32:43

Fox News can promote certain political viewpoints

32:45

and suppress others, and nobody blinks at

32:47

an eye. If you're talking

32:49

about it being like the town square or

32:52

the telephone company, then you

32:56

know we become uncomfortable again. And the problem

32:58

is social media companies are none of those

33:00

things. I mean, my own favorite metaphor for

33:02

them is a mall, because I think

33:05

at a mall, you don't think a lot

33:07

about whether you're in private or public space

33:09

until maybe the mall cops show up and

33:11

they're not the police. And that is analogous,

33:14

right? The content moderators are not

33:16

government actors. They are privately hired

33:18

forms of security because this is

33:20

a corporation and you are in

33:22

a corporate space, right? You're in

33:24

Disney World, effectively. And

33:26

that is just really hard for us to

33:29

quite figure out what to do with because they

33:31

have so much power. I mean, in some ways,

33:34

because they're international and they can't

33:36

be governed by any one national

33:38

government, they're more powerful than anyone

33:40

else. But our First Amendment just

33:42

doesn't sit comfortably with that role.

33:45

One of the things I would also unclear on is how

33:47

much of this has to do with the

33:50

social media companies literally not

33:53

publishing speech, like stopping it from being

33:55

published, banning people, and how much of

33:57

it has to do with not emphasizing

33:59

speech. criticizing it, not giving it prominence.

34:01

Because I think there are different things.

34:06

You can publish a book, but a book start doesn't

34:08

have to stock it prominently, put

34:10

it in the window. And

34:12

is the main complaint that the social media

34:15

companies are literally preventing you

34:17

from posting your hateful screed, or

34:19

is it they are just declining

34:22

to show your hateful screed to

34:24

anybody except you? I

34:26

mean, they do both those things. They

34:28

do actually delete some posts. They much

34:30

more, I think, look at what

34:33

you're posting and then change whether they amplify

34:35

your speech or not. And I

34:37

think the argument that they

34:39

get to decide what to amplify and how

34:41

the algorithms are going to work and that

34:43

that's an editorial set of

34:45

judgments, like, to me, that totally makes sense. I

34:47

just also think it applies in the Section 230

34:50

context. And I think

34:52

this whole broad immunity from lawsuits is

34:54

something that the government, the courts and

34:56

Congress should revisit. One

34:58

of the interesting edge cases for me is

35:00

group chats and more like the WhatsApp, the

35:02

sort of group chats, which has lots and

35:05

lots of people in them, which are sort

35:07

of public, but not exactly

35:09

public, but can be filled with

35:12

extremely hateful or

35:14

incendiary speech. And

35:17

whether those, because those are, on the

35:19

one hand, are they private communication channels

35:21

more like the phone or are they

35:23

public because they're widespread groups and

35:25

they're almost like broadcasting? I

35:28

don't know if they'll decide on that. That's a

35:30

really good question. I mean, some of these

35:32

questions really should go back to the lower

35:34

courts for more perusal. And there's a whole

35:37

problem in this case, which is that they

35:39

were brought under what's called a facial challenge,

35:41

which means that a law that regulates speech

35:43

can succeed only if the challengers can demonstrate

35:45

that the law is substantially overbroad. Because

35:48

of that posture of the case, there's

35:50

just some confusion about how the court is

35:53

going to sort out these underlying questions. I

35:55

think they'll just figure it out. They'll issue

35:57

an order that probably strikes down the law.

36:00

That's what this direction they were seem to be going

36:02

in but also leaves a lot of the details to

36:04

get sorted out later That's my guess In-laws

36:08

love them or hate them You're pretty much

36:10

stuck with them and when you're a ruler

36:12

in the Middle Ages that can be a

36:14

serious problem It might even land

36:16

you dead. I'm Dan Jones

36:18

and on season four of this is

36:20

history I'm telling the story of England's

36:22

weirdest King Henry the third He's

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in way over his head and he's surrounded

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by bloodthirsty relatives with their eyes on his

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This is history and follow wherever you

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get your podcasts If

36:40

you want to understand what is happening in the

36:42

United States right now You really need to understand

36:44

what's happening with the courts the law

36:46

and the Supreme Court The

36:48

battle between democracy and whatever this

36:51

cage matches that we're witnessing It's

36:53

going to be won and lost at the ballot box, but

36:55

it's also going to be won and lost in the courtroom

36:58

I'm Dalia. Let's wait. I host late

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37:27

morning Mitch

37:31

McConnell will step down as the Republican Senate

37:35

leader and the longest serving

37:37

Republican Senate leader at the end of this

37:39

year, although he'll continue He

37:41

says to serve out his term which ends in

37:43

2026 It

37:45

has been an incredible run for

37:47

the Kentucky senator The undoubted

37:49

capstone achievement being the blocking of Merrick

37:51

Garland's appointment to the Supreme Court in

37:54

2016 to succeed Justice

37:56

Scalia Thus preserving

37:58

a conservative majority on the court the court and

38:01

then also quite likely very,

38:03

I mean, I think almost inarguably winning

38:05

Trump the presidency. He's the

38:07

most effective cold-blooded deal-making sender of our

38:10

lifetime and as he left, he offered

38:13

this wonderful analysis about why he was

38:15

going. Believe me, I know

38:19

the politics of the end-by-party at

38:22

this particular moment in time.

38:25

I have many faults. Misunderstanding

38:28

politics is not what I'll

38:32

say. That said, I

38:34

believe more strongly than ever that America's

38:36

global leadership is essential

38:39

to preserving the shining city on a

38:42

hill that Ronald

38:44

Reagan discussed. John,

38:46

what does he mean when he says he understands

38:48

the politics of the moment and

38:51

that's why he's believing? It's

38:53

such a great question and he's such a

38:56

fascinating character and in the same way McKay

38:58

Coppins wrote about Romney as a way to

39:00

think about politics in this moment, Mitch McConnell

39:02

and the course of his career starting as

39:06

a Reagan Republican and where he is now, actually

39:08

going back even to when he worked in the

39:10

Senate before he was a senator in a much

39:12

more liberal kind of Republican Party. He

39:14

was at the march on Washington. What

39:16

does it mean? Okay, I think what it

39:18

means, it can mean one of two things. I

39:20

talked to Paul Kane in the Washington Post about

39:22

this on Wednesday night and I said basically is

39:24

he admitting when he says that, that

39:27

this is Donald Trump's party and he

39:29

has no place in it. And Paul

39:31

said, not exactly. He's admitting that on

39:33

his position on Ukraine and his

39:36

view of the way the Senate works and should

39:38

work is out of step with his party, which

39:40

is effectively saying the same thing, but

39:42

I think makes a smart distinction, which is that a

39:45

lot of the forces that have now swamped

39:47

the kind of Republicanism and the

39:49

kind of institutional interest that McConnell

39:51

has started before Donald

39:54

Trump and Trump is both grew out

39:56

of them and then inflamed them.

40:00

So the Tea Party movement, the

40:02

kinds of senators who replaced the ones that

40:04

McConnell used to be able to work with

40:06

on his own team, those have

40:09

been brought in by forces that are beyond just

40:11

Donald Trump. One

40:13

of the great examples is Rob Portman in Ohio.

40:15

A guy who wanted to get stuff done was,

40:18

an old fashioned Republican, low tax,

40:21

pro trade, anti

40:23

Russia, but would work within

40:25

the institution to get things done with Democrats replaced

40:27

by J.D. Vance, none of those things. And

40:30

also J.D. Vance, a kind of public, Mike Pence

40:33

wasn't right to certify the vote kind of Republican

40:35

going out and talking all the time. Portman went

40:37

out and talked when it was about, lowering

40:40

marginal rates or other kind of

40:42

technical things. And so is

40:44

a more boisterous play to the cameras kind of Republican,

40:46

which is a harder kind of Republican to deal

40:49

with when you're a majority leader and whoever the next majority

40:51

leader is, it's gonna be a real

40:54

challenge. So Emily, I think

40:57

I admire McConnell. I obviously don't admire

40:59

what he's done, but I find

41:02

him a remarkable figure. Will

41:05

the country miss his

41:07

form of extremely conservative,

41:10

but pragmatic deal making or will it

41:12

not? Chuck Schumer was definitely like

41:14

pouring one out for McConnell, right? I mean,

41:16

they've worked together for a long time. And

41:18

I think Schumer said, obviously

41:21

we disagree, vehemently,

41:24

but I could trust

41:26

McConnell. I knew where he stood, it was

41:28

straightforward. You knew what you

41:30

were getting. What is likely to come

41:32

next is someone who is more beholden

41:34

to Donald Trump. And those politics are

41:36

so mercurial and whimsical, right? And that's

41:38

how you have the kind of collapse

41:40

of the deals that they've been trying

41:42

to make in the last few months

41:44

with McConnell standing there saying, it's really

41:46

important that we don't let Russia take

41:48

over Ukraine. Putin is our enemy. Not

41:51

a clear message that one hears from Donald Trump

41:53

or the elements of the Republican Party who are

41:56

so loyal to him. John,

41:58

how much of McConnell's success do you think had

42:00

to do with him not really

42:03

caring about being liked? Thus

42:05

he was willing to sort of

42:07

absorb the heat, to be unpopular

42:10

for things that he wanted to get a

42:12

win on, and to take the

42:14

heat off of his colleagues. Was that

42:16

what made him effective or was it something else?

42:18

I always admired in him

42:20

that he was such an unlikable figure. You

42:24

put your finger on a crucial,

42:26

if not the crucial thing. What a source

42:28

time Matt Storf used to say. The most

42:30

important thing to know about

42:33

Mitch McConnell is his pain threshold. He

42:36

has an extraordinarily high pain threshold. He

42:38

doesn't mind being disliked. His

42:40

autobiography is called The Long Game, which

42:43

is essentially in the course of human

42:45

history and American history, things even out

42:47

over time. If you trust

42:49

in The Long Game, the momentary

42:52

freakouts get evened

42:54

out. It's basically the same version people use

42:57

to invest in the stock market. And

43:00

Biden believed in that. I think The

43:02

Long Game is under real debate at the

43:04

moment. In other words, we

43:06

are in such a highly transactional history

43:09

gets written 10 seconds ago moment. That's

43:11

the topic for another time. But I think

43:13

you're precisely right, David, that he was willing

43:15

to take the heat that he only

43:17

spoke, as he used to say and was true,

43:20

only spoke to the press when

43:22

it was in his interest and he needed

43:24

to. He didn't feel the need to constantly

43:26

be in front of the cameras. That's, of

43:28

course, antithetical to the modern Republican Party. And

43:32

slippers, the Democratic Party, where being in front of the cameras

43:34

all the time is crucial. And

43:38

so I think that's quite

43:40

important and perhaps most important

43:42

when it came to blocking

43:44

Merrick Garland, which

43:46

was a break with Senate tradition and

43:50

something that basically McConnell

43:53

steamrolled. And it's

43:55

interesting, the notion of

43:57

power with a majority leader, because it has changed over

43:59

the years. under McConnell's feet. The majority leader

44:01

is not as powerful as people say.

44:04

It's just that he had people like Rob Portman

44:06

and Lamar Alexander and others, who

44:09

were senators with his own party, who sort

44:11

of shared the same worldview. And he could

44:14

corral them and they were the, you

44:16

know, his biggest part of his block. And that

44:18

could get other people like to kind of fall

44:21

in line over time. But it didn't always work.

44:23

I mean, Jesse Helms, when you talk about the

44:25

like most cold blooded, Jesse Helms

44:27

was pretty cold blooded too. Now

44:30

there used to be that McConnell had

44:32

to deal with like Ted Cruz, who,

44:34

you know, was ultimately embarrassed himself when

44:36

he tried to

44:39

kill Obamacare. But now there's like a block

44:41

of like, I don't know, 8, 10, 12

44:44

of these kinds of Republicans. So the

44:47

job was never one where you could rule with an

44:49

iron fist. And when you have a more restive caucus,

44:52

it makes it that much harder. And

44:55

so pain threshold only gets

44:57

you so far because there's,

44:59

you don't get any, there's no gain for the

45:01

pain you're experiencing. But that

45:04

pain threshold was not high enough

45:06

to stand up against Trump's election

45:08

lie much earlier than

45:10

he ultimately did. The

45:12

sender's touted as his most likely replacement are

45:16

John Thune of South Dakota,

45:18

who's the Senate WOLP,

45:20

Republican whip, John Cornyn of Texas,

45:22

who had had leadership for

45:24

many years. So it hasn't been in leadership.

45:27

John Barrasso of Wyoming, they're all kind of

45:29

in the same mode. Barrasso a little bit

45:31

more conservative than the others. They're all pretty

45:33

conservative, but also on the deal

45:35

making side of the ledger.

45:39

A, well, one of them certainly get it. And B, is

45:41

it, John, you're sort of implying that

45:43

it won't be possible to lead in the

45:45

way that McConnell has been leading, even if

45:47

you have that temperament. I

45:50

think it's not possible to, I mean, unless you

45:52

do what the kind of, I think

45:54

it, no, I think it's just not possible. There's

45:56

too much benefit to being, there's a great story that

45:58

was told about here at Humphrey. And I

46:01

guess it was maybe Mike Mansfield, who was a

46:03

majority leader at the time, who was the previous record

46:05

holder of the longest serving majority leader before McConnell, that

46:08

basically Hubert Humphrey came to the Capitol, came to Washington and was

46:10

like, I'm going to do this and that. And he had press

46:12

conferences and he was bouncing around. He was like, make it a

46:14

name for himself. And either Mansfield

46:16

or some other senior bull said,

46:19

you know, buddy, that's

46:21

cute and all, but like, you're never going to get

46:23

a committee assignment. You're never going to have any power

46:25

to actually do any of the stuff that you say

46:27

you want to do unless you, you

46:29

know, kind of follow the rules and norms of the

46:32

inside game. Right. So, okay,

46:34

that was just a very previous Senate. Now

46:37

all of your power comes from

46:39

showing up on TV, raising money,

46:41

being super online and being incendiary.

46:43

So that's really hard to control.

46:45

I think that again, I'm just

46:47

stealing from Paul here. Whoever

46:50

gets this job will have had

46:52

to have corralled and gotten the

46:54

blessing of the kind of new

46:56

MAGA, JD Vance, Josh Hawley, Ted

46:58

Cruz types. And

47:01

to do that, you will have to have the implicit

47:04

or explicit blessing of Trump.

47:07

And if that's the case, Donald Trump

47:09

will make you an unhappy

47:12

person very quickly. If for no other

47:14

reason than Trump likes to remind people

47:16

that they owe him and he embarrasses

47:18

them. I mean, look at,

47:20

this is not exactly analogous, but look at what he

47:22

did to Tim Scott and Lindsey Graham after he won

47:24

South Carolina and New Hampshire. After New Hampshire, he turns

47:26

to Tim Scott and says, boy, you must really hate

47:29

Nikki Haley. I mean, she appointed you

47:31

to a Senator and yet you're endorsing me, making Tim

47:33

Scott shrinking him down to a tiny little

47:35

person, embarrassing him at this

47:37

moment of glory for Trump. Like

47:39

he didn't have to go and embarrass the guy who had endorsed him. Lindsey

47:42

Graham, he introduces him to the crowd in South Carolina

47:44

after he wins and says, Lindsey's to the left of

47:46

everybody here on the stage and the whole crowd boos.

47:50

So when that is the kind of reward

47:53

structure you're dealing with, whoever

47:56

is named majority leader, Trump will take credit

47:58

for the naming in the way he... He

48:00

took credit for shooting down Tom Emmer in

48:02

the House speakership race. And

48:04

then that person will constantly have to deal

48:06

with Trump saying either, I got

48:09

you here and now you're bucking me or patting

48:11

them on the head and saying, thank you for doing what

48:13

I wanted you to do. By the way, just back to the

48:15

structural thing, the Senate's already doing, the Republicans

48:18

in the Senate are already doing that with respect to

48:20

Trump. I mean, they killed immigration reform because of him.

48:23

Chuck Grassley said he doesn't want to vote for the new

48:25

tax bill because it's going to help Biden. And

48:29

they are essentially killing Ukraine aide

48:32

Lindsey Graham says because Trump doesn't want it. So

48:35

either very explicitly or implicitly, they're already doing

48:37

what Trump wants them to do. And

48:41

that's going to be a mess for whoever

48:43

the next Republican leader is. God. All

48:45

right. Let's go to cocktail chatter.

48:48

When you're trying to drink one off, Emily

48:51

Bazlone trying to drink away the

48:53

despair that that final Dickersonian

48:55

comment left me with, what are you going to

48:58

be chattering about? I

49:00

unfortunately have only more to be gloom

49:02

to offer, which is that Louisiana seems

49:04

to be on the brink of ending

49:06

parole for people who are

49:08

in prison, much diminishing the power of

49:11

good time credits, like the idea that

49:13

you can spend a little less time

49:15

in prison because of your behavioral record

49:17

there and your accomplishments, like if you

49:19

do educational programs. And also

49:22

there, you seem to

49:24

be thinking about ending the

49:26

credit you get for the time you're

49:28

in prison before you're on trial, like

49:30

your pre trial time wouldn't count. Yes.

49:33

How can I be well, can't be

49:35

constitutional. It seems bananas to

49:38

me. I don't understand it. I mean, judges could

49:40

obviously still take it into account, but it's just,

49:42

yeah, I, that's, I find the whole thing breathtaking.

49:44

I mean, you know, the

49:47

thing about all of these mechanisms

49:49

is that there are ways of

49:51

making, giving people incentive to improve

49:53

their lives in prison, right? Like

49:55

good time gives you a

49:57

reason to take. educational

50:00

courses if they're available to you

50:03

and to not have a lot of

50:05

rule violations. And

50:07

parole, the data in Louisiana shows

50:09

that people are less likely to

50:11

be convicted again if they get

50:13

out and they are on parole

50:16

because there are things that are

50:18

actually helpful sometimes about having someone

50:20

who's monitoring and supervising you. So

50:22

obviously that can become burdensome as

50:24

well. Anyway, this all

50:26

just seems so draconian and back

50:29

to this kind of tough on crime

50:31

idea that you just like treat people

50:33

in prison as brutally as possible and

50:35

that's somehow like that is a form

50:38

of revenge that supersedes what we should

50:40

be thinking about which is like helping

50:42

them do better when they get out

50:44

for their own sake and for all

50:46

of our sakes. It's

50:48

really seems super misguided but

50:50

that's all too possible in Louisiana.

50:53

Great. Thanks, John. How about you?

50:58

Well, an anonymous bidder paid $3.72

51:01

million for a box of unopened

51:04

hockey trading cards from the 1970s at that

51:06

was at auction I guess about a week

51:08

ago. And so this brings

51:12

to the fore basically Schrodinger's

51:14

sports card paradox which

51:16

is not what anybody calls

51:18

it but what I call it. So as you

51:20

may remember the tale of Schrodinger's cat was a

51:22

paradox made up by the physicist in this thought

51:25

experiment the cat who was in a box that

51:27

was closed and with a sealed lid was

51:30

both alive and dead

51:32

right up until you open the lid of the box

51:34

but then you wouldn't know whether you had opening the

51:36

lid had killed the cat or the cat it was

51:39

dead in the box itself beforehand. Anyway, so this

51:41

box of hockey trading cards could

51:43

contain enormous treasures including so

51:45

there are 48 packs in there which means there

51:48

might be as many as 30 rookie cards from

51:51

Wayne Gretzky one of the greatest players to ever

51:54

play hockey and one of those rookie cards recently

51:56

sold for more than $3 million. So

51:59

that's what could be. in the box or the

52:01

box could contain packs and packs and

52:03

packs and packs of players who have

52:05

been long forgotten. To

52:10

everybody, but their mother and they have

52:12

in their rec rooms with

52:15

the paneled walls, faded photographs of them

52:18

on the ice from the 1970s,

52:20

you know, flashing a toothy

52:22

grin at people passing on

52:24

the shag rug and there could be

52:27

no value in these cards. And

52:30

so, plus it has some old

52:32

like discarded old rotten gum.

52:34

But anyway, so what

52:36

does the owner do if they want to

52:38

resell the box that is unopened for a

52:41

profit, the auction house said don't open it.

52:43

But I mean, oh my god, what if you opened

52:45

it and you had all of these amazing cards in

52:47

there? I feel like Schrodinger never had

52:50

a cat because have you ever tried to put

52:52

a cat in a box? It is practically

52:54

impossible. You know what? I

52:57

think that here's the thing. You're trying to

52:59

sneak by a theory about quantum physics and

53:01

you don't want other items to interrupt the

53:03

flow of thought. You make it a

53:05

cat because people have lower opinions

53:07

of the passage of a cat. Yeah, if you put

53:10

the dog in people are gonna be talking, they're gonna

53:12

be worried a lot more about the dog. Exactly. Exactly.

53:15

What kind of dog was it? It had a walk already. Oh

53:17

my god, it's a beagle. I love beagle. Did it

53:19

pee in the box. My

53:23

chatter is I read

53:25

a wonderful novel. A wonderful

53:27

novel, which I commend

53:30

to you, especially Emily Bazlond. It's called

53:32

Plain Song. It's by Kent

53:34

Haruth. Oh,

53:36

Emily is shaking her fist

53:38

enthusiastically. It's like Gilead, but if

53:41

Gilead were happy, Gilead

53:43

weren't gruesome and depressing. Or

53:46

it's like a modern Willa Cather novel. It's

53:48

about a novel set in a small town

53:50

in Colorado in the 1980s. And

53:54

it's about some various

53:56

sorts of lonely people who connect

53:59

and have experience. extremely minor problem that

54:01

they need to resolve and it's beautiful.

54:05

And you know what else it reminded me of? Actually

54:07

Emily is Understood Betsy. That's

54:10

a good book. It's a great thing. The

54:12

childhood. Yeah. The kids book

54:14

about a girl who's sent to live with a

54:17

family she doesn't know because

54:19

there's a person who ends up

54:21

living with a not her family in

54:24

this book and it's wonderful. Anyway, I

54:26

loved it so much. So Plain Song

54:28

by Kent Harouf. I think I'll go reread

54:30

that. It was so good that book and I don't remember

54:32

it. Yeah. And it seems to be

54:35

part of a trilogy. So I just got a notice actually as

54:37

we were taping that the next book is on

54:39

hold at the library for me. So I'm

54:41

going to go get that. Also self-interested chatter

54:43

which is that CityCast is hiring big time.

54:46

We are hiring in Nashville and Austin

54:49

and Houston. And

54:51

if you go to citycast.fm

54:53

jobs we're hiring podcast producers,

54:55

podcast hosts, newsletter editors in

54:57

those cities. And

55:00

we're going to be launching in

55:02

Austin and Nashville in the spring. And

55:05

in Houston we're hiring a new executive producer

55:07

to lead that great team

55:11

in the podcast newsletter that

55:13

already exists. So it's creating daily local

55:15

podcasts for those cities. So if

55:17

you're in Austin

55:19

Nashville, can be in Austin Nashville, love

55:22

Austin Nashville and want to cover them,

55:25

please reach out. You can

55:27

also email me DavidPlots at

55:29

gmail.com but citycast.fm slash jobs

55:31

for those listings. Listeners

55:34

you have great chatters. You've

55:36

emailed them to us at gabfestofslate.com. We really appreciate

55:39

them. There have been a lot coming in. There

55:41

were two glorious ones. One

55:43

we almost even turned into a Slate Plus

55:45

segment but it was Emily, Emily, it's

55:48

like a minute too late in suggesting that. But

55:51

our listener chatter this week comes from

55:53

Jacob in Chicago, Illinois. Hey,

55:55

GAP Fest. Jacob here from

55:58

Chicago, Illinois. chatter

56:00

I bring you a Gabfest favorite.

56:03

Strodes. The TikTok account

56:05

at Cities by Diana has some of

56:07

the best car-centric content on the internet.

56:09

Riley written as if for fans

56:12

of Strodes, what Diana calls oil-pilled

56:14

pavement princesses or dyed-in-the-wool auto brains.

56:17

This account rips into cities' poor urban

56:19

planning. My favorites were the

56:22

takedowns of San Jose, California and

56:24

Breezewood, Pennsylvania. There is,

56:26

of course, a ranking of the top

56:28

Strodes in America, including one so bad

56:30

it's considered a Stryway. As

56:33

a spoiler, number one is U.S. Route

56:35

19, the Strode in the Vox article

56:37

that started it all. The

56:39

sardonic, satirical content will make you laugh,

56:42

then cry, and then look at the

56:44

built environment around you with a more

56:46

critical eye. Happy Stroding!

56:59

That's our show for today. The Gabfest

57:01

is produced by Sheena Ross. Her researcher

57:03

is Julie Hugin back from her winter

57:05

vacation in Yellowstone. Ask her

57:07

about the bison. Ask her about the buffalo. Her

57:10

theme music is by They Might Be Giants. Ben

57:13

Richmond is senior director for podcast operations and Alicia

57:15

Montgomery is the VP of audio for Slade. Emily

57:17

Bazlawn and John D'Ibertson have your applause. Thanks for

57:20

listening. We will talk to you next week. And

57:22

please come to our live show in D.C. on

57:24

March 27th. Tickets

57:26

at slade.com/Gabfest live. How

57:39

are you? A key element

57:41

of the Republican investigation of the

57:43

Biden crime family appeared

57:45

to disintegrate last

57:48

week with the aggressive Alexander Smirnoff.

57:50

Smirnoff, you may have heard, appears

57:52

to be the only source of

57:55

the most explosive claim against Joe and Hunter Biden,

57:57

which is that they each took a $5 million

57:59

dollar bill. bribe to help

58:01

the Ukrainian energy company, Burisma. But

58:04

rest assured listeners that Smirnov's arrest

58:07

will not slow deter in

58:10

any way alter the

58:12

massive investigation into Hunter Biden, presidential

58:14

brother James Biden, and others involving

58:17

claims that they conspired with President

58:19

Biden to corruptly do business in

58:21

China and Ukraine, and also computers,

58:23

and also drugs and taxes and

58:26

everything else. So there's this

58:28

amazing stat, I don't know if you guys saw

58:30

this in dramatic glaciers, which is that there have

58:32

been 70 hours of Hunter Biden hearings and

58:35

13 bills related to Hunter

58:37

Biden. I doubt there have been

58:39

70 hours of hearings about the budget or

58:41

Ukraine, congressional hearings, or Ukraine

58:44

aid or the Gaza war or income

58:46

inequality or anything. What is going

58:48

on with this obsession, John? I think what's going on

58:50

is what we were kind of talking about earlier in

58:52

the change in the reward

58:54

structure of the modern Republican party.

58:57

All parties have to one

58:59

way or another rewarded their

59:01

most partisan scrappers in

59:04

the public square. But I mean, this is

59:06

now the entire business.

59:09

I was just a snippet from our Slate

59:11

Plus conversation. If you want to hear the whole conversation,

59:13

go to slate.com slash

59:15

gabfestplus to become a member today. member

59:18

today.

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