Episode Transcript
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0:00
the u s is home to be peace
0:02
largest workforce in the world and
0:04
we've invested more than one hundred forty
0:06
billion dollars in america since two
0:08
thousand and five we
0:11
support more than two hundred forty thousand
0:13
jobs here
0:13
a workforce aiming to
0:16
deliver the energy america needs to
0:18
day one developing lower carbon
0:20
alternatives see how we're
0:22
investing in america at bp
0:24
dot com slash investing in
0:26
america
0:33
years with report claimed and you are
0:35
one server drain the
0:38
bill is passed you
0:41
could watch the house floor yesterday and
0:43
say wow this is a bill
0:45
that was brokered by negotiations
0:47
on both sides it's getting bipartisan
0:49
support it's going to pass the senate
0:52
this
0:52
is a good a good day
0:54
for american democracy
0:59
rachel siegel as an economics reporter
1:01
for the post in for the last couple of weeks
1:03
she's been on a hill and that's because of the
1:05
debt ceiling negotiations that me really
1:07
brought the global economy to it's knees
1:10
so yes rachel says this
1:12
could be seen as a good day for democracy
1:15
but also
1:16
there was negotiating over the debt ceiling and
1:18
the first place which a lot of people argued should
1:20
never have been the case and
1:23
this is something that is just a part of
1:24
governing but in divided government
1:27
we of course cannot allow the perfect to be the enemy
1:29
of the good this deal fails
1:32
fails completely and that's why
1:34
these members and others will be
1:36
absolutely opposed to the deal
1:39
and will will do everything in our power
1:42
to stop
1:43
there were a lot of really sour feelings about
1:45
why we were even they are in the first place and what
1:48
it signals about where things are in washington
1:50
neither side got what they wanted but
1:52
leadership of both parties are still
1:55
claiming victory it's amazing
1:57
and really a bit of a head scratcher
2:00
four months and especially
2:02
the last couple of weeks the two
2:04
sides the house to opie and
2:06
the white house were on such
2:08
opposite ends of these negotiations
2:11
and we really only saw some
2:13
members on the far right side of the g
2:16
p and some members on the progressive
2:18
side of the democratic party saying that they couldn't
2:20
support this bill
2:26
from the newsroom of the washington post
2:28
this is post reports are emerging
2:31
saying on your guest rooms today it's
2:33
thursday june first today
2:37
we unpack what exactly ended up in this
2:39
deal and we talk about
2:41
how negotiating on the debt ceiling at all
2:43
could hurt our global reputation
2:49
now
2:49
the taxes ninety nine pages long
2:51
i'm sure there's a lot of things in there were
2:53
rachel what are some of the key
2:55
points out of their that stood out to you what
2:58
exactly is in this bill
3:00
so that final ninety nine page
3:03
bill that finally got released over
3:05
the weekend includes a couple
3:07
of mean bullet points first
3:10
it's a spends the debt limit until
3:12
twenty twenty five that
3:14
helps us get out of this immediate
3:16
deadline that we were staring down on
3:18
june fifth it also does something
3:20
for democrats which basically puts this off
3:23
until after the twenty twenty four
3:25
election so that's one key thing
3:27
that both resolves the current problem
3:29
and kicked things a little further down the road then
3:32
there are other things that were more priorities
3:35
for republicans for
3:37
example the bill cut some i
3:39
r s funding the by an administration
3:42
ultimately agreed to pare back
3:44
about twenty billion dollars
3:47
of the eighty billion dollars that was supposed
3:49
to go to an expansion of the i r s
3:52
there were some progressive democrats that were
3:54
very upset about this but it was a real key
3:56
point that republicans had
3:57
been pushing for and
4:00
their thing that republicans have been pushing for were
4:02
new work requirements for certain federal
4:04
food stamp programs and federal
4:06
welfare benefits that means
4:08
that there are some new work requirements for snap
4:12
we're still trying to figure out the exact details
4:14
but basically the deal raises
4:16
the age at which adults will be required
4:19
to work in order to receive food stamps
4:21
from fifty to fifty four
4:25
you
4:26
know it sounds like they're actually
4:28
work quite a bit of cuts that are coming
4:30
out of this bill and i know that speaker kevin
4:32
mccarthy was very insistent that that
4:34
was what they were going into get yet
4:36
i also saw a fair amount of
4:39
republicans particularly those further
4:41
on the right in the very conservative
4:43
house freedom caucus expressing
4:45
dismay with the bill some even saying
4:48
we're not even going to support this bill
4:51
what did kevin mccarthy get out of the steel
4:53
wire those republicans on a happy
4:55
with the cuts that were in there for
4:57
days members of the house freedom caucus
5:00
which is one of the farther right groups
5:02
within the republican party has been really
5:05
really angry with the final agreement that kevin
5:07
mccarthy brokered with biden over the weekend
5:10
they are message basically is
5:12
that the final agreement really went
5:14
very far back on the and initial
5:16
proposal that republicans passed earlier
5:18
this spring what they had been pushing
5:21
for were really aggressive spending
5:23
cuts to what they say put
5:25
the country on a totally new spending
5:27
and that trajectory and they
5:30
say that that's not what they got
5:34
they say that mccarthy really
5:36
backtracked in order to make certain concessions
5:38
and finally come to an agreement with the white house
5:41
and they oppose the bill before it was even
5:43
final they came out really strong encouraging
5:45
other republicans to to fact
5:47
i want to be very clear not
5:49
one what public and should go for this deal
5:52
not one they've cast doubt
5:54
on kevin mccarthy his leadership in the first place
5:57
ultimately that level of criticism
5:59
really
5:59
stay contained to a small enough number
6:02
of lawmakers that it didn't threaten the bill
6:04
by it really did underscore the
6:06
tension that is put against kevin mccarthy
6:09
and his pretty precarious hold
6:11
over a party that has so many different factions
6:13
right now
6:18
and for his part what has speaker mccarthy
6:21
said about the deal mccarthy is
6:23
really proud tonight
6:25
we're going to do something we haven't
6:27
done before tonight
6:30
we're going to give america hope
6:32
be guess today as he was walking back and forth
6:35
to open up the house floor before the full house
6:37
voted on the bill he looked really
6:39
proud of himself he had this real beaming
6:41
smile and that was a different facial expression
6:44
then we'd seen on him for much of the last couple of
6:46
weeks when he was really in the thick of these negotiations
6:49
he says that it was a fair bill that it
6:51
ultimately did succeed in
6:53
securing certain spending cuts
6:56
and and ultimately getting to a place
6:58
that averted this kind of economic
7:00
doom but he's really proud of the negotiations
7:02
and completely disagrees with the way
7:05
the house freedom caucus characterized as the agreement
7:07
what
7:08
i'd love to look a little bit at some
7:10
of the issues members on the other side of
7:12
the aisle had with this deal and in particular
7:14
those were the new work requirements
7:17
that were added to some federal programs like
7:19
he would mentioned earlier know the
7:21
entire negotiations this had seem to
7:24
be a really sticking issue that particularly
7:26
progressive members of the democratic party
7:29
did not want to add work
7:31
requirements to programs like snap
7:33
also known as food stamps ritual
7:36
before we get into how they feel
7:38
about the final bill could you unpack
7:40
that a little bit for me why is the
7:42
issue of work requirements as it
7:44
relates to programs like food stamps the just
7:46
sticking issue particularly for a liberal members
7:49
of the democratic party
7:51
what i was hearing from some of them are liberal
7:53
members of the democratic party was basically
7:55
the food stamps or any
7:57
sort of negotiation around work requirements
7:59
just
7:59
had no place in a debt ceiling
8:02
argument
8:03
for requirements
8:05
for a real source of contention
8:07
throughout these negotiations and the
8:09
end result was a little bit quirky so
8:12
the agreement does impose
8:15
new work requirements for snap
8:17
benefits which used to be called food stamps
8:20
basically by raising the age
8:22
at which people would still have to work or
8:24
be in a training program in order to qualify
8:27
veterans people who are and housed
8:29
and young adults who like foster care
8:32
would be exempt from certain snap
8:34
work requirements but then there was
8:36
a little quirk to the
8:38
congressional budget office which does a lot
8:40
of estimates for what the spill it actually
8:43
look like actually said
8:45
the an additional seventy eight thousand
8:47
people per month would actually
8:49
qualify for snap because of this expanded
8:51
eligibility which would cost more
8:53
but still have more people qualifying for the program
8:58
president
8:59
biden was sort of messaging
9:01
that it seems like things could
9:03
have been far worse and that this was a better
9:05
shake out of that deal is that
9:07
a fair characterization of how the
9:10
president's talking about the spill what is he
9:12
said about things like these new work requirements
9:14
or the deal in general president
9:16
biden appears very
9:18
proud of the deal as well we have heard
9:20
of much less from the white house than we have
9:23
from the house to a p there's
9:25
actually been quite a bit of frustration from democrats
9:28
that the messaging from the white house has not been
9:30
stronger on this deal i couldn't
9:32
speak to the crowd of reporters that have been
9:34
following the geo p negotiators'
9:37
up and down the halls of the hill for weeks where
9:39
is there really just has not been that much of an opportunity
9:41
to hear from president biden but
9:43
he stayed optimistic through this whole process
9:46
he was certain that he would be able to broker
9:48
a deal with kevin mccarthy and
9:50
he says that this deal not only
9:53
averts the significant
9:55
spending cuts that republicans were seeking
9:57
but also includes a lot of the priorities
9:59
democrats had been pushing for and
10:02
of course avoids bumping up against that
10:04
stuff feeling democrats
10:05
had been saying
10:07
that this deal had a lot of red lines
10:09
that they absolutely do not want to vote
10:11
for but at the last minute a lot of democrats
10:14
came out and supported it what exactly
10:17
was the calculus behind their why was
10:19
it worth it end up supporting the steal
10:21
a lot of democrats did come forward
10:23
to support the deal in the and actually more
10:25
democrats voted in the house to
10:27
support the bill than republicans dead and
10:30
i think that it boil down to a couple of things
10:32
first june fifth is very
10:34
close there really is not enough time
10:37
to revise the spell
10:40
or to have a lot of open negotiations
10:42
you figure out what should change
10:45
what should be tweaked tear june fifth is
10:47
just a couple of days away and i think that there
10:49
was a very serious recognition
10:51
of what would happen if this build a
10:53
not go through if the u s became
10:55
dangerously close to defaulting on it's
10:57
debt there was a lot of messaging
10:59
around the bill that essentially said not
11:02
everyone is going to get what they why but the end result
11:04
really was palatable
11:06
enough to and moderates and
11:09
and really enough people with them both parties
11:11
to get them to support the bill without all
11:13
that much hesitation making down to it you
11:16
know you spent a lot of time
11:18
on the hill last week you saw
11:20
the leader mccarthy going in and out of these negotiations
11:24
i'm really wondering after everything
11:26
that we saw in all of the build up to
11:29
what could have been a catastrophic economic
11:31
event did it seem like there is any
11:33
reconsidering of whether the debt
11:35
ceiling should be something
11:37
that can be held up like this
11:39
i know there had been calls for eliminations
11:42
of the debt ceiling the president to bypass
11:44
congress but didn't seem like on the hill
11:47
there was any kind of momentum to
11:49
do away with the debt ceiling and all after this
11:52
i
11:52
think that that's one of the questions that
11:55
lawmakers could be considering a little
11:57
bit more thoughtfully once
11:59
us
11:59
finally over i think that there was so much
12:02
stress and focus
12:04
and anxiety and contention around
12:07
figuring out what to do about this immediate deadline
12:10
there was obviously a lot of frustration that boiled
12:12
over that had some lawmakers saying
12:15
what can we do to make sure we're not in this
12:17
situation again but really the prevailing
12:20
focus and energy was on
12:22
how to hammer out a deal and
12:24
there were some days where it looked like that wouldn't be
12:26
possible there were some days where one
12:29
of the g o p negotiators' came out of a meeting
12:31
and said talks are on pause and and yesterday
12:34
he told us that things had really blown
12:36
up a couple of times over the course of these negotiations
12:39
they would take a couple steps back and i'm kind of inched
12:41
forward now are finally on the
12:43
other side of it by it
12:45
so much of the focus over the last couple weeks was
12:47
just figuring out what to do before early
12:49
june
12:53
after the break will get him a how this
12:55
deal kicks the debt ceiling gun road in
12:58
what this close call means for our economy
13:00
going forward will be right
13:02
back
13:09
the u is home to be peace
13:11
largest workforce in the world and
13:13
we've invested more than one hundred forty
13:16
billion dollars in america since two
13:18
thousand and five we
13:20
support more than two hundred forty thousand
13:22
jobs here
13:23
a workforce
13:24
aiming to deliver the energy america
13:26
needs to day one developing lower
13:29
carbon alternatives see
13:31
how we're investing in america and
13:33
bp dot com slash investing
13:35
in america
13:43
so the good news is that it does
13:45
seem like the worst catastrophe
13:48
that could have come out of a default is not going
13:50
to happen but in the run
13:52
up to all of this the tension that surrounded
13:54
it ritual do you have a sense of how
13:57
others were watching this whether that be
14:00
other nations perhaps even the federal
14:02
reserve but did the
14:05
tension and debate and be near
14:07
miss that we almost had here have
14:09
any ramifications in a how people
14:11
are going to interact with the united states
14:13
dollars or the us economy going forward
14:16
it came really close there were
14:19
a lot of other world leaders
14:22
who look at the united states
14:24
and look at this particular process
14:26
and the politics around it and just cannot
14:28
fathom the risk
14:31
that comes along with this the united
14:33
states is one of the
14:35
foundations of the global economy
14:37
so many nations rely on dollars
14:40
and the strength of the us economy to
14:42
protect and shield and service they're dead
14:45
and they were looking at the political
14:47
drama unfolding on capitol hill and at the white
14:49
house and waiting for
14:51
a title way of to hit their own shores
14:53
if the united states couldn't get it's act together
14:57
it
14:59
doesn't look like there were tangible
15:01
consequences to the global economy that would
15:03
have com if there was an actual default but
15:06
i do think that there was a level of just
15:08
sort of growing alarm
15:10
or skepticism about why the united
15:12
states handles it's process this way in the first
15:14
place and then at the federal
15:16
reserve this was just one more piece
15:19
of that the great uncertainty that
15:21
we talk about off and on this show it the federal
15:23
reserve has enough on it's plate
15:25
in terms of shield at an economy it still trying
15:27
to get inflation down and still trying to head off a recession
15:30
it's now june first and i don't
15:33
think it would have been all that much of a comfort
15:35
to them to know that this debt ceiling impasse wouldn't
15:37
have come together with
15:38
just a couple of days before the default deadline
15:43
did any of this alarm and uncertainty
15:45
seem to weigh on speaker mccarthy in
15:47
the last week when you're on capitol hill
15:49
did he speak at all as
15:51
to the impact
15:53
even just these negotiations were having
15:55
on america's public image mccarthy
15:58
would talk about it and i think that
16:00
was a message for by both parties
16:02
and their own ways both parties would use
16:04
this imminent deadline to try
16:06
and pressure the other side to make
16:09
concessions and negotiated interestingly
16:12
they were a couple of far right republicans who
16:14
cast doubt on this early june
16:16
deadline by others really
16:18
used it to their advantage to say we are
16:20
taking up against the clock here republicans
16:23
also criticised the white house for waiting
16:25
a long time to come to the negotiating table
16:27
in the first place and were really able
16:30
to use it to their advantage and keep a lot of
16:32
negotiations on their terms saying
16:35
we've had a proposal forward for months
16:37
you haven't wanted to come to the negotiating table
16:39
and now we've really only got a handful of days to figure
16:41
this out
16:42
you know a little while ago we
16:45
had a collie tony ram on the show and
16:47
he introduced a little piece of
16:49
history that i found it interesting which was that the last
16:51
time there was a big debt ceiling showdown
16:53
in two thousand and eleven the country's credit
16:56
rating was downgraded should we
16:58
expect anything like that to happen
17:00
again that
17:01
was one of the big fears on the list
17:03
of doomsday scenarios that would have com
17:06
if we defaulted or even came
17:08
close to defaulting and
17:11
so far it seems like that as another thing
17:13
that has thankfully been averted this
17:15
is on a path to pass
17:17
the senate by a vote sometime in the next
17:20
couple of days it's already cleared
17:22
more than enough support and the house president
17:24
biden will get it signed as quickly as possible
17:26
and hopefully those things will help wipe
17:29
away the slate of really really
17:31
disaster scenarios like a credit
17:33
downgrade and obviously all the consequences
17:35
that would have come for the american people to know
17:39
in the debt ceiling agreement as you had said
17:41
the debt ceiling is raised for about two years
17:44
until twenty twenty five but rachel
17:46
disastrous kind of kick the can down the road
17:48
i mean this was such an alarming
17:51
of van for so many people just
17:54
seem like there's anything that could prevent
17:56
it from happening again or we potentially
17:58
going to be back in this
17:59
they shun in january twenty twenty five think
18:03
that's one of the questions that will have to
18:05
answer in the meantime i certainly
18:07
hope for not back on this so in january
18:09
twenty twenty five talking about a near
18:12
her default on the country's debt
18:14
by it it could go two ways you
18:16
could have lawmakers really
18:19
thoughtfully sit back and say okay
18:21
this was a really bad path to
18:23
go down for too long what can
18:25
we do to make sure that this doesn't happen again or
18:28
as sometimes happens in washington
18:30
the next crisis head and the next issue
18:33
sucks up all the oxygen and takes all the
18:35
attention and makes it so that suddenly
18:37
and january twenty twenty five or right back where we started
18:41
might be too early to answer that but whether
18:43
this becomes a really hard
18:46
memory for people and get them to change something
18:48
that will have to watch of the next eighteen months
18:53
while rachel i look forward to the next
18:55
time you are back on the show with her it's to
18:57
talk about the debt ceiling or the federal
18:59
reserve again thank you so much for
19:01
all of this today it was great talking to you thank
19:03
you for having me
19:09
ritual siegel is an economics reporter
19:11
for the post that's it for
19:14
post reports thanks for listening today
19:17
shows produced by game o'connor it
19:19
was mixed by sean carter and edited
19:21
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margin saying we'll be back tomorrow
19:37
with more stories from the washington
19:38
post
19:44
the u is home to be peace
19:46
largest workforce in the world and
19:49
we've invested more than one hundred forty
19:51
billion dollars in america since two
19:53
thousand and five we
19:55
support more than two hundred forty thousand
19:57
jobs here
19:58
a workforce
19:59
aiming to deliver the energy america
20:02
needs to on developing lower
20:04
carbon alternatives see
20:06
how we are investing in america and
20:08
bp dot com slash investing
20:10
in america
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