Episode Transcript
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0:08
Welcome to the Productivity Podcast . Sue
0:11
and I are going to spend 10 minutes
0:13
or so just talking through what we've
0:15
learned in 2023 . Turbulent
0:18
year for many . Lots of expected
0:20
events , lots of unexpected events . So
0:23
you're going to kick us off , sue , with number
0:25
one in terms of what we've learned in 2023
0:28
.
0:30
I think there's been an ongoing growth of self
0:32
checkouts , with a notable exception of booths
0:34
that kind of made a lot of press about taking
0:36
them out .
0:37
But still left them in their Biggie's two shops , but
0:39
left them in the Biggie's two shops . Get below
0:41
the headline , because I got sucked in by the headline
0:43
and then read the article and said , yeah , but in your Biggie's two
0:45
shops you're actually leaving them in .
0:47
And I think that really tells the story of where
0:50
it's at . So we've seen sort of
0:52
the big grosses putting more and more of them
0:54
in and it's increasingly
0:56
being used in smaller stores and I think there's
0:58
been different models really of
1:01
how they're used and customers are getting
1:03
more used to them . So I think we've been
1:05
seeing kind of some tweaking and some
1:07
fine tuning as people have realised the best
1:09
way to operate them from
1:11
a colleague point of view and also
1:14
that it works best for customers as well
1:16
. And obviously we've had the self scan bit as
1:18
well come in . So I think
1:20
it's been interesting that it's carried on
1:22
developing , even though it feels like it's
1:24
technology that's been around a long time now .
1:28
Yeah , I agree . Number
1:30
two there needs to be no particular hierarchical
1:33
order , just the way that they've been documented
1:36
.
1:37
There's been an increase in the number of people
1:40
looking at and then going on
1:42
to install electronic shop edge labels . So
1:45
I think there's as ever with technologies
1:47
around longer prices change . There's
1:50
probably a wider understanding of the
1:52
cost benefit case , although
1:54
for a lot of retailers the price of
1:56
the actual label technology
1:58
is still prohibitively expensive . So
2:01
I think it's something we'll see kind
2:03
of continuing to grow . But
2:05
I think nobody's I don't think
2:07
anybody's quite got the right way
2:09
to do it . That kind of gives you everything
2:12
so the best price projection you could have from
2:14
it . You know , fully optimising all the
2:16
technology , using the picking
2:18
opportunities . You know the light up that the shelves
2:20
can do . So I think there's quite a lot
2:22
and it feels like we're still very much in the early
2:24
learning stages . But I think it
2:26
was . It's going to carry on growing and become
2:29
a hot topic .
2:31
Yeah , I agree , capital
2:34
cost is clearly king and it's a big
2:36
expenditure , but the benefits are
2:38
certainly there to be had . The technologies have
2:40
just come in cheaper and then the applications
2:43
becoming wider . So for those that have
2:45
done it , it's been great to see . For those that are thinking about
2:47
doing it , it will be interesting to see how
2:49
that progresses this year .
2:51
And the thing is anybody that tries it . Once store managers
2:53
have got it , they'll kind of it's the last thing they'd want
2:55
to give up as well . So store teams absolutely
2:57
love it when they get in . It does save
2:59
a lot of work . The flip
3:02
side of that is how much it costs to save that work
3:04
, isn't it ?
3:04
Absolutely . Number three I've got on my list is
3:07
AI automation
3:09
. So clearly in 2023
3:11
was the rise of chat , gpt
3:13
, bard , all the other online
3:17
portals that you can get to do whatever you
3:19
want , pretty much for you . We've seen that being
3:21
kind of integrated into cars
3:23
. That's starting to be produced and other
3:26
things . Not sure we've
3:28
seen a really good
3:31
, thorough implementation
3:33
of anything in retail
3:36
or hospitality . I
3:38
know it's there . I've seen lots of examples . You know
3:40
AI order taking it drive-thrus
3:42
, but not really implemented
3:44
in scale . So I
3:46
think 2023 was
3:48
the year of the idea . Hopefully 2024
3:50
was the year of the practical implementation
3:53
and seeing some of that come through as people
3:55
drive to
3:57
combat cost challenges . I think it's
3:59
one of the obvious areas to explore .
4:02
Yeah , and where there's been use
4:04
of AI , it hasn't been the
4:07
generative AI , it's
4:09
been more around how do you get
4:11
useful insights and things
4:13
out of big data sets ? So I'm thinking you
4:15
know the likes of Tesco and Sainsbury's
4:18
and Boots that have got loyalty
4:20
schemes that have been running multiple years
4:22
with millions of customers . You
4:25
know they've been very good at getting commercial
4:27
benefit from that
4:29
data and obviously how we use AI
4:32
is part of that . You know it's big
4:35
programs running in the background digging
4:37
through it all , but I don't think
4:39
we've seen the use
4:41
of the generative certainly commercial
4:43
yet .
4:44
Now number five
4:46
, I'd say and again these are no particular
4:49
orders shrink so clearly
4:51
. Last year economic
4:54
challenges across the world
4:56
led to increased shrink , which
4:58
has probably been combated
5:03
by the fact that people are managing costs , so
5:05
there's less people and prices
5:07
are going up , so things cost more . So a
5:09
bit of a perfect storm . We've seen lots of
5:11
pictures on LinkedIn
5:13
and around social of things being locked
5:16
up behind perspective screens , cameras being
5:18
put in place , exit gates
5:20
have become commonplace
5:22
now , even receipt checking in
5:24
some places , although it
5:26
kind of didn't dawn on me yesterday
5:29
, but every time I go shopping now there's
5:32
a security guard at the door and I walk out , yeah
5:34
, I press the button on the till saying I don't want to
5:36
receipt . So I don't really know how those
5:38
two interact if the alarm goes off , because
5:40
we have to then go back and look at some journal
5:43
or E-POS record to see what
5:45
I did or didn't buy . So that feels
5:47
a bit disconnected . But
5:51
yeah , be interesting . Don't know any facts
5:53
or figures whether that's reduced
5:55
shrink , but kind of prohibited sales
5:58
, whether it's made a
6:00
difference , because certainly again
6:03
, the pain of trying to buy something that's locked
6:05
up when organisations have less
6:07
people on the floor becomes
6:10
more apparent in this kind of climate .
6:13
Yeah , be interesting as well the rise of kind
6:15
of more body cams being rolled
6:17
out for safety reasons as well . So
6:20
again , that goes with the fact where you've got fewer
6:22
people I mean particularly convenience retail
6:24
where you're trading late
6:26
hours and you know not many people
6:28
across a large space , you know anything
6:31
that helps protect people in those circumstances
6:33
is a bonus , isn't it ?
6:35
Absolutely Next on the
6:37
list is price . So
6:39
it's a bit briefly shrink , but clearly price
6:41
is rising , and price from a
6:43
consumer point of view , but
6:46
also from an operating point of view
6:48
. So not necessarily in 2023
6:51
, but clearly it's going to impact this year in 2024
6:53
. National living wage I think
6:55
a bit of a shock for lots of people that we did
6:57
the pound and two and
6:59
then pulled in anybody that was between
7:02
21 and 23 . So lower the threshold
7:04
For those that pay above it
7:06
great , it kind of narrows the gap . So if
7:08
you're going to maintain
7:10
that differential , it's going to still cost
7:12
you . For those that are on it , I think it really
7:15
knocked some people's short
7:17
term plans and created a hole in
7:19
their budgets for this year , which again
7:21
will be interesting to see how that plays out , when everybody
7:24
was striving for efficiencies
7:26
and costs anyway . But
7:29
also may impact years two and three
7:31
, as we have a potential change of government which
7:33
may mean that we go a bit quicker towards 15
7:35
pounds and if
7:37
you've had to pull stuff forward into 2024
7:39
, how does that leave you 2025
7:42
and 2026 plans ? So operating
7:45
costs clearly a challenge , but again
7:47
on the consumer side , we've seen other
7:50
prices significantly
7:53
increase and with no , probably
7:55
other than notably pectoral sign of
7:57
it coming back down .
7:58
Yeah , I
8:00
think , pricing workload in stores
8:03
. I'd be interested to see if there's been a higher
8:05
number of price changes going through , because
8:07
my perception is the retailers are having to
8:09
be cleverer about which prices they put
8:11
up and which prices they don't down with
8:13
put down , and you always see as many headlines
8:16
about prices being held down or
8:18
reduced down to match somebody else as you
8:20
do as a regarding inflation
8:22
, you know , for the food in particular
8:24
. So I just wonder how much more
8:26
price changes store teams are having
8:29
to complete just
8:31
to keep that , you know , the margin
8:33
protected and keeping up with what
8:35
everybody else is doing . There just seems a lot more
8:37
fluidity around price .
8:39
Which clearly , if you have electronic shelfage labels
8:41
, he's not a problem at all because it's
8:44
pushing a couple of buttons and templates . I
8:47
think the final two
8:49
stock . So we
8:51
saw huge , huge ways of
8:54
stock holding allocations in kind
8:56
of pandemic , and post
8:58
2023 we've
9:00
seen that decline somewhat
9:02
and then as we head into 2024 we've got
9:04
people sailing a long way around Africa
9:07
and things . So I would expect
9:09
that pushes price and even potentially
9:11
more stock it . And
9:14
the one we'll finish on before we share kind of the plans
9:16
for the podcast for this year 2024
9:19
is structure . So we've talked about it
9:22
quite a lot on the podcast this year in terms
9:24
of well , last year even in terms
9:27
of role studies , how we used them , the Insighted
9:29
Games , benchmarking and maybe
9:32
driven by cost pressure , maybe driven by different
9:34
ways of operating , you know , more self-checkouts
9:37
, electronic shelfage labels . Some of the stuff we talked about
9:39
there is that perpetual
9:42
review of staffing , leadership
9:44
structures and we've probably
9:47
seen the demise of supervisory
9:49
stroke , team leader level to some degree
9:51
, maybe even deputies , assistants
9:53
. It'll be interesting again as we
9:55
go through this year what the next incarnation
9:58
of those types of hierarchies
10:01
look like .
10:02
And I think it's interesting . I don't think it's purely a
10:04
commercial thing that people
10:07
look into costs . I think that can be part
10:09
of it in some instances , but the reality
10:11
is it can be really difficult to get enough good people
10:14
. So when you're looking at your leadership roles , you
10:16
have to make sure that you're deploying them in
10:18
the right way . That supports delivery
10:20
of whatever is that your business wants
10:22
to deliver , and you can't afford
10:25
to have too many because you just can't get enough good
10:27
people to fulfill those roles and stay in
10:29
them . So you know there's lots of drivers
10:31
, for that being the way
10:33
it is .
10:34
Yeah , and it's really encouraging that people
10:36
are starting to make those decisions using fat-based
10:38
data rather than kind of emotional
10:42
data , because sometimes the facts support
10:44
what you think sometimes is a completely different
10:46
narrative narrative in there , as we talked
10:49
through previous pods . So
10:51
, plans for podcast 2024
10:54
we've got some excited
10:56
mini series planned . We've got some amazing
10:59
guest planning on a monthly
11:01
basis . Sue and I'll start to take you through
11:03
chapters of the book
11:06
. Every second counts . I'm sure you've seen it all
11:08
over the LinkedIn pages
11:11
that we publish and it's on the website . So
11:13
we'll kind of work through those 10 chapters
11:15
in the coming months . Hopefully
11:18
that helps you with some
11:20
business challenges . You've got some ways
11:23
of thinking , stimulate some thoughts
11:25
or really , ahead of the productivity
11:28
forum in September 2024
11:31
in Birmingham , lots
11:33
and lots of people registered . Places are really
11:35
filling up . So again , if you've
11:38
not registered and you want to come along , get onto the website
11:40
, get your place secured , because
11:43
the line-ups looking good not announcing
11:45
any speakers as yet , but the line-ups looking
11:47
good for 2024 .
11:50
Seems funny to be talking about September when we're
11:52
in the middle of a bit of a cold spell . It seems
11:54
hard to think ahead to the summer , doesn't it ? And
11:57
beyond .
11:58
Yeah , we'll get there . Anyway , thanks
12:00
for listening and we'll see you on the next episode
12:02
.
12:03
Bye .
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