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Productivity Insights - 2023 Reflections

Productivity Insights - 2023 Reflections

Released Sunday, 14th January 2024
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Productivity Insights - 2023 Reflections

Productivity Insights - 2023 Reflections

Productivity Insights - 2023 Reflections

Productivity Insights - 2023 Reflections

Sunday, 14th January 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:08

Welcome to the Productivity Podcast . Sue

0:11

and I are going to spend 10 minutes

0:13

or so just talking through what we've

0:15

learned in 2023 . Turbulent

0:18

year for many . Lots of expected

0:20

events , lots of unexpected events . So

0:23

you're going to kick us off , sue , with number

0:25

one in terms of what we've learned in 2023

0:28

.

0:30

I think there's been an ongoing growth of self

0:32

checkouts , with a notable exception of booths

0:34

that kind of made a lot of press about taking

0:36

them out .

0:37

But still left them in their Biggie's two shops , but

0:39

left them in the Biggie's two shops . Get below

0:41

the headline , because I got sucked in by the headline

0:43

and then read the article and said , yeah , but in your Biggie's two

0:45

shops you're actually leaving them in .

0:47

And I think that really tells the story of where

0:50

it's at . So we've seen sort of

0:52

the big grosses putting more and more of them

0:54

in and it's increasingly

0:56

being used in smaller stores and I think there's

0:58

been different models really of

1:01

how they're used and customers are getting

1:03

more used to them . So I think we've been

1:05

seeing kind of some tweaking and some

1:07

fine tuning as people have realised the best

1:09

way to operate them from

1:11

a colleague point of view and also

1:14

that it works best for customers as well

1:16

. And obviously we've had the self scan bit as

1:18

well come in . So I think

1:20

it's been interesting that it's carried on

1:22

developing , even though it feels like it's

1:24

technology that's been around a long time now .

1:28

Yeah , I agree . Number

1:30

two there needs to be no particular hierarchical

1:33

order , just the way that they've been documented

1:36

.

1:37

There's been an increase in the number of people

1:40

looking at and then going on

1:42

to install electronic shop edge labels . So

1:45

I think there's as ever with technologies

1:47

around longer prices change . There's

1:50

probably a wider understanding of the

1:52

cost benefit case , although

1:54

for a lot of retailers the price of

1:56

the actual label technology

1:58

is still prohibitively expensive . So

2:01

I think it's something we'll see kind

2:03

of continuing to grow . But

2:05

I think nobody's I don't think

2:07

anybody's quite got the right way

2:09

to do it . That kind of gives you everything

2:12

so the best price projection you could have from

2:14

it . You know , fully optimising all the

2:16

technology , using the picking

2:18

opportunities . You know the light up that the shelves

2:20

can do . So I think there's quite a lot

2:22

and it feels like we're still very much in the early

2:24

learning stages . But I think it

2:26

was . It's going to carry on growing and become

2:29

a hot topic .

2:31

Yeah , I agree , capital

2:34

cost is clearly king and it's a big

2:36

expenditure , but the benefits are

2:38

certainly there to be had . The technologies have

2:40

just come in cheaper and then the applications

2:43

becoming wider . So for those that have

2:45

done it , it's been great to see . For those that are thinking about

2:47

doing it , it will be interesting to see how

2:49

that progresses this year .

2:51

And the thing is anybody that tries it . Once store managers

2:53

have got it , they'll kind of it's the last thing they'd want

2:55

to give up as well . So store teams absolutely

2:57

love it when they get in . It does save

2:59

a lot of work . The flip

3:02

side of that is how much it costs to save that work

3:04

, isn't it ?

3:04

Absolutely . Number three I've got on my list is

3:07

AI automation

3:09

. So clearly in 2023

3:11

was the rise of chat , gpt

3:13

, bard , all the other online

3:17

portals that you can get to do whatever you

3:19

want , pretty much for you . We've seen that being

3:21

kind of integrated into cars

3:23

. That's starting to be produced and other

3:26

things . Not sure we've

3:28

seen a really good

3:31

, thorough implementation

3:33

of anything in retail

3:36

or hospitality . I

3:38

know it's there . I've seen lots of examples . You know

3:40

AI order taking it drive-thrus

3:42

, but not really implemented

3:44

in scale . So I

3:46

think 2023 was

3:48

the year of the idea . Hopefully 2024

3:50

was the year of the practical implementation

3:53

and seeing some of that come through as people

3:55

drive to

3:57

combat cost challenges . I think it's

3:59

one of the obvious areas to explore .

4:02

Yeah , and where there's been use

4:04

of AI , it hasn't been the

4:07

generative AI , it's

4:09

been more around how do you get

4:11

useful insights and things

4:13

out of big data sets ? So I'm thinking you

4:15

know the likes of Tesco and Sainsbury's

4:18

and Boots that have got loyalty

4:20

schemes that have been running multiple years

4:22

with millions of customers . You

4:25

know they've been very good at getting commercial

4:27

benefit from that

4:29

data and obviously how we use AI

4:32

is part of that . You know it's big

4:35

programs running in the background digging

4:37

through it all , but I don't think

4:39

we've seen the use

4:41

of the generative certainly commercial

4:43

yet .

4:44

Now number five

4:46

, I'd say and again these are no particular

4:49

orders shrink so clearly

4:51

. Last year economic

4:54

challenges across the world

4:56

led to increased shrink , which

4:58

has probably been combated

5:03

by the fact that people are managing costs , so

5:05

there's less people and prices

5:07

are going up , so things cost more . So a

5:09

bit of a perfect storm . We've seen lots of

5:11

pictures on LinkedIn

5:13

and around social of things being locked

5:16

up behind perspective screens , cameras being

5:18

put in place , exit gates

5:20

have become commonplace

5:22

now , even receipt checking in

5:24

some places , although it

5:26

kind of didn't dawn on me yesterday

5:29

, but every time I go shopping now there's

5:32

a security guard at the door and I walk out , yeah

5:34

, I press the button on the till saying I don't want to

5:36

receipt . So I don't really know how those

5:38

two interact if the alarm goes off , because

5:40

we have to then go back and look at some journal

5:43

or E-POS record to see what

5:45

I did or didn't buy . So that feels

5:47

a bit disconnected . But

5:51

yeah , be interesting . Don't know any facts

5:53

or figures whether that's reduced

5:55

shrink , but kind of prohibited sales

5:58

, whether it's made a

6:00

difference , because certainly again

6:03

, the pain of trying to buy something that's locked

6:05

up when organisations have less

6:07

people on the floor becomes

6:10

more apparent in this kind of climate .

6:13

Yeah , be interesting as well the rise of kind

6:15

of more body cams being rolled

6:17

out for safety reasons as well . So

6:20

again , that goes with the fact where you've got fewer

6:22

people I mean particularly convenience retail

6:24

where you're trading late

6:26

hours and you know not many people

6:28

across a large space , you know anything

6:31

that helps protect people in those circumstances

6:33

is a bonus , isn't it ?

6:35

Absolutely Next on the

6:37

list is price . So

6:39

it's a bit briefly shrink , but clearly price

6:41

is rising , and price from a

6:43

consumer point of view , but

6:46

also from an operating point of view

6:48

. So not necessarily in 2023

6:51

, but clearly it's going to impact this year in 2024

6:53

. National living wage I think

6:55

a bit of a shock for lots of people that we did

6:57

the pound and two and

6:59

then pulled in anybody that was between

7:02

21 and 23 . So lower the threshold

7:04

For those that pay above it

7:06

great , it kind of narrows the gap . So if

7:08

you're going to maintain

7:10

that differential , it's going to still cost

7:12

you . For those that are on it , I think it really

7:15

knocked some people's short

7:17

term plans and created a hole in

7:19

their budgets for this year , which again

7:21

will be interesting to see how that plays out , when everybody

7:24

was striving for efficiencies

7:26

and costs anyway . But

7:29

also may impact years two and three

7:31

, as we have a potential change of government which

7:33

may mean that we go a bit quicker towards 15

7:35

pounds and if

7:37

you've had to pull stuff forward into 2024

7:39

, how does that leave you 2025

7:42

and 2026 plans ? So operating

7:45

costs clearly a challenge , but again

7:47

on the consumer side , we've seen other

7:50

prices significantly

7:53

increase and with no , probably

7:55

other than notably pectoral sign of

7:57

it coming back down .

7:58

Yeah , I

8:00

think , pricing workload in stores

8:03

. I'd be interested to see if there's been a higher

8:05

number of price changes going through , because

8:07

my perception is the retailers are having to

8:09

be cleverer about which prices they put

8:11

up and which prices they don't down with

8:13

put down , and you always see as many headlines

8:16

about prices being held down or

8:18

reduced down to match somebody else as you

8:20

do as a regarding inflation

8:22

, you know , for the food in particular

8:24

. So I just wonder how much more

8:26

price changes store teams are having

8:29

to complete just

8:31

to keep that , you know , the margin

8:33

protected and keeping up with what

8:35

everybody else is doing . There just seems a lot more

8:37

fluidity around price .

8:39

Which clearly , if you have electronic shelfage labels

8:41

, he's not a problem at all because it's

8:44

pushing a couple of buttons and templates . I

8:47

think the final two

8:49

stock . So we

8:51

saw huge , huge ways of

8:54

stock holding allocations in kind

8:56

of pandemic , and post

8:58

2023 we've

9:00

seen that decline somewhat

9:02

and then as we head into 2024 we've got

9:04

people sailing a long way around Africa

9:07

and things . So I would expect

9:09

that pushes price and even potentially

9:11

more stock it . And

9:14

the one we'll finish on before we share kind of the plans

9:16

for the podcast for this year 2024

9:19

is structure . So we've talked about it

9:22

quite a lot on the podcast this year in terms

9:24

of well , last year even in terms

9:27

of role studies , how we used them , the Insighted

9:29

Games , benchmarking and maybe

9:32

driven by cost pressure , maybe driven by different

9:34

ways of operating , you know , more self-checkouts

9:37

, electronic shelfage labels . Some of the stuff we talked about

9:39

there is that perpetual

9:42

review of staffing , leadership

9:44

structures and we've probably

9:47

seen the demise of supervisory

9:49

stroke , team leader level to some degree

9:51

, maybe even deputies , assistants

9:53

. It'll be interesting again as we

9:55

go through this year what the next incarnation

9:58

of those types of hierarchies

10:01

look like .

10:02

And I think it's interesting . I don't think it's purely a

10:04

commercial thing that people

10:07

look into costs . I think that can be part

10:09

of it in some instances , but the reality

10:11

is it can be really difficult to get enough good people

10:14

. So when you're looking at your leadership roles , you

10:16

have to make sure that you're deploying them in

10:18

the right way . That supports delivery

10:20

of whatever is that your business wants

10:22

to deliver , and you can't afford

10:25

to have too many because you just can't get enough good

10:27

people to fulfill those roles and stay in

10:29

them . So you know there's lots of drivers

10:31

, for that being the way

10:33

it is .

10:34

Yeah , and it's really encouraging that people

10:36

are starting to make those decisions using fat-based

10:38

data rather than kind of emotional

10:42

data , because sometimes the facts support

10:44

what you think sometimes is a completely different

10:46

narrative narrative in there , as we talked

10:49

through previous pods . So

10:51

, plans for podcast 2024

10:54

we've got some excited

10:56

mini series planned . We've got some amazing

10:59

guest planning on a monthly

11:01

basis . Sue and I'll start to take you through

11:03

chapters of the book

11:06

. Every second counts . I'm sure you've seen it all

11:08

over the LinkedIn pages

11:11

that we publish and it's on the website . So

11:13

we'll kind of work through those 10 chapters

11:15

in the coming months . Hopefully

11:18

that helps you with some

11:20

business challenges . You've got some ways

11:23

of thinking , stimulate some thoughts

11:25

or really , ahead of the productivity

11:28

forum in September 2024

11:31

in Birmingham , lots

11:33

and lots of people registered . Places are really

11:35

filling up . So again , if you've

11:38

not registered and you want to come along , get onto the website

11:40

, get your place secured , because

11:43

the line-ups looking good not announcing

11:45

any speakers as yet , but the line-ups looking

11:47

good for 2024 .

11:50

Seems funny to be talking about September when we're

11:52

in the middle of a bit of a cold spell . It seems

11:54

hard to think ahead to the summer , doesn't it ? And

11:57

beyond .

11:58

Yeah , we'll get there . Anyway , thanks

12:00

for listening and we'll see you on the next episode

12:02

.

12:03

Bye .

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