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How To Fix the Economy with David Stockman

How To Fix the Economy with David Stockman

Released Wednesday, 31st May 2023
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How To Fix the Economy with David Stockman

How To Fix the Economy with David Stockman

How To Fix the Economy with David Stockman

How To Fix the Economy with David Stockman

Wednesday, 31st May 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Hey, everybody, I'm really looking

0:02

forward to today's podcast. My

0:04

guest is really a Titan, somebody who

0:06

I spent a lot of my youth regarding

0:10

as the kind of Darth Vader of

0:12

cunning

0:13

social programs and environmental

0:16

programs for the Reagan White House.

0:18

But I now regard him, the

0:21

more and more that I see him recently. It's

0:23

very strange. I remember reading,

0:26

I think it was C.S. Lewis, who talked

0:28

about people of one generation

0:31

who are great enemies, actually find themselves

0:33

very aligned in the face of subsequent

0:36

generations. And I feel that we

0:38

have reached this kind of weird alignment

0:41

where every time I hear David Stockman

0:43

voice on TV or read an article

0:46

about him, I find myself nodding

0:48

my head. He's talking about the same kind of things.

0:50

I'm talking about this outrageous

0:52

debt that is destroying the middle class,

0:55

that is threatening American democracy,

0:57

the decline of America into a warfare

1:00

state abroad, an imperium abroad,

1:02

a surveillance state at home. There's

1:04

huge gaps in wealth, you

1:07

know, between the middle class and the rich that

1:09

I think democracy is makes

1:12

democracy unsustainable by

1:15

every kind of political science,

1:17

trends that's been done in history. You cannot

1:19

have a democracy when there

1:21

are these huge aggregations of wealth above

1:24

and widespread poverty below. I really

1:27

am looking forward to this talk. Let

1:29

me give a little biography. David Stockman

1:31

was elected

1:32

as a Michigan congressman in 1976 and

1:35

joined the Reagan White House in 1981,

1:37

serving as budget director. He was one of the

1:40

key architects of the Reagan Revolution plan

1:42

to reduce taxes, cut spending and shrink

1:44

the role of government. He joined Solomon

1:46

Brothers in 1985 and later became one

1:48

of the early partners of the Blackstone

1:50

Group. During nearly two decades

1:53

at Blackstone and at a firm he founded,

1:55

Heartland Industrial Partners, Stockman

1:58

was a private equity.

1:59

investor.

2:01

He is the author of three best selling books,

2:03

The Triumph of Politics, Why the Reagan

2:05

Revolution Failed. And that's 1986,

2:07

The Great Deformation, The Corruption

2:10

of Capitalism in America in 2013.

2:13

Trump, A Nation on the brink of ruin

2:15

and how to bring it back 2016. And Pete

2:17

Trump, The Undrainable

2:21

Swamp in the fantasy of MAGA 2019. He is currently

2:25

the publisher of a daily blog, Contra

2:27

Corner, the place where the mainstream

2:29

delusions and can't about the warfare

2:31

of state, the bailout state, the bubble finance

2:34

and the beltway banditry are ripped, refuted

2:36

and rebuked. Born

2:38

in Fort Hood, Texas, snuck

2:41

graduated from Michigan State University

2:43

and attended the Harvard Divinity School,

2:46

and then went on to Washington

2:48

as a congressional aide in 1970. David,

2:52

I can't tell you how happy I am to

2:54

have this conversation. Let me begin

2:57

by just asking you about the Harvard Divinity

2:59

School. What was your career

3:01

track trajectory at that point? I'm

3:04

glad you asked that question because it goes

3:06

right to your observations

3:08

that a lot happens in 50 years.

3:12

And I was in Harvard Divinity School

3:14

in 1968, because I didn't want to

3:16

get drafted to go to McNamara's

3:19

war. And if you were a

3:21

prospective clergy, clergy,

3:24

you got a deferment. So I went to

3:26

Harvard got a job as a lived

3:28

in house man. And the

3:30

family happened to be the Daniel Patrick Moynihan

3:33

family. So the next thing

3:35

I knew I was sort of connected to a

3:37

political system that Moynihan had been

3:39

part of your family during the 1960s during the

3:43

John Kennedy administration, he got

3:45

me a job on Capitol Hill. Next

3:48

thing I knew I was running for Congress

3:49

from my own district. But the key

3:52

thing was, I was in Harvard

3:54

because I was anti war. The

3:57

Vietnam War was just

3:59

a all

3:59

awful, terrible stain

4:02

on our history. We were all proven

4:05

right. And the first campaign,

4:07

that's why this discussion is so

4:09

interesting. The first campaign I ever worked

4:11

in, the doorbells I ever rang were

4:14

for your father when he declared his

4:16

candidacy in 1968 because

4:19

the war had to stop. And as a matter

4:21

of fact, despite all the

4:24

tragedy that followed, the war did

4:26

stop. Johnson didn't

4:28

run. And for a while,

4:31

we had a little peace in the world. But

4:33

the neocons got control of

4:36

the government during the Reagan administration.

4:38

They infiltrated the Democratic

4:40

Party, as well as the Republicans.

4:43

I call it the UNI party. And

4:46

we have been off to the races as

4:48

a global hegemon

4:51

with these forever wars, decade

4:53

after decade. And we have

4:56

accomplished nothing except

4:58

to alienate a good part of the world,

5:01

unfortunately kill and maim

5:03

hundreds of thousands, if not millions

5:06

of people. And we really have

5:08

to stop this. And that's why I think

5:10

the issue of 2024, and

5:13

there are a lot of issues, but the issue

5:16

of 2024 is we have to stop the war machine.

5:21

And that's so ironic because that was

5:23

our slogan. Back in 1968,

5:27

and the war

5:27

machine is still here. In fact, it's bigger

5:31

and more powerful than ever before.

5:33

I've made the point that if you add up everything

5:36

that we spend on defense,

5:38

and that's the defense budget proper, international

5:41

affairs

5:42

and all of the AID and

5:45

state department and national

5:47

endowment for democracy and all

5:49

of the broadcasting operations.

5:52

And you

5:53

also add to that the cost of

5:55

veterans, the VA, because that's the deferred

5:57

cost of war. We have, we have.

5:59

millions of men in America that

6:02

were injured, maimed, disabled

6:04

for life that we have to support. They

6:06

shouldn't have been in any of those wars, obviously,

6:09

but that's more than $300 billion just for veterans.

6:14

So when you add all that up, it's 1.3 trillion

6:18

going into this vast

6:21

war machine, and we really

6:23

have to stop it, because if we don't get- That's

6:25

the thing, I just want to make it clear that's

6:27

an annual cost.

6:29

Yep, absolutely, that's the annual

6:31

cost, and it's bigger

6:34

than Social Security. It's two

6:36

or three times interest payments

6:39

at the present.

6:40

It dwarfs everything else, but

6:42

there's something worse than the pure size

6:45

or number,

6:46

and that is that both parties

6:49

have become addicted to what I call

6:51

the warfare state, to the forever

6:53

wars, and so we now have a bipartisan

6:56

consensus in favor

6:59

of every kind of really unbelievable

7:02

mayhem that comes along as

7:05

a result of the Washington Deep

7:07

State, if you want to call it that, finding

7:10

another crusade, as John

7:12

Quincy Adams said, another monster

7:15

to destroy abroad.

7:16

Ukraine is crazy.

7:19

What are we doing there funding,

7:22

promoting, instigating this

7:24

slaughter?

7:26

When it's very clear, there's a solution

7:28

here. Ukraine was never a country built

7:30

to last. It's divided down

7:32

the middle. It's far worse than red

7:34

state, blue state, between the Russian-speaking

7:38

provinces in the East and South and

7:40

the nationalists in the West and Center. So

7:43

the solution would be a peace conference,

7:45

partition the country, and move

7:48

along and stop the mayhem, but

7:51

the war machine wants a war. The

7:53

neocons have so demonized

7:56

Putin that they can't see straight,

7:58

and so now we have

7:59

a government in Washington

8:02

that should be attending to our

8:05

domestic affairs, that should be

8:07

a little concerned about 32 trillion

8:09

of debt, that should be concerned

8:12

about this massive disproportion

8:14

of wealth

8:15

that has been created as a result

8:17

of all this money printing and

8:19

borrowing that's occurred in the last two or three

8:22

decades. And yet

8:23

the big thing they like to do is

8:26

get in the planes and go on their junkets

8:29

and pretend that there's some

8:31

kind of latter day tribunes

8:34

taking care of the empire around

8:36

the globe. This is the big thing. This

8:39

is the heart

8:39

of the matter. Until we break the lock

8:42

of the warfare state, all these other things

8:44

that we might actually even disagree

8:47

about will never be addressed

8:49

in any productive or proper

8:52

way.

8:52

I want to point out a couple

8:54

of things before I move on to the next

8:57

question, which is that the people

8:59

of Dombas who are predominantly ethnic

9:01

Russians actually voted to

9:03

join Russia prior to the war. And

9:06

the Russians said, no, we don't want you. We

9:08

want Ukraine to maintain its

9:10

integrity as an Asian and just, you know,

9:12

let's make that part of the Dombas

9:15

region, an autonomous region so

9:17

they can maintain their language so they won't be

9:19

murdered, killed by government

9:21

policies,

9:22

but leave them part of Ukraine. So

9:25

that was the

9:27

Minsk accords and we could have settled it then

9:29

with no bloodshed. The Russians

9:31

wanted to do it.

9:33

This was an agreement that was worked out by

9:35

France, by Germany.

9:37

And actually, when Zelensky

9:40

ran in 2019,

9:42

he ran on a peace platform

9:44

and he got 70% of the vote. And

9:47

his promise was that he would ratify, sign

9:49

and ratify the Minsk accords. And something

9:51

happened.

9:52

And he got in there. He got surrounded

9:55

by White House neocons and

9:57

ultra-nationalists within Ukraine. Ukraine

10:00

and something made him change

10:02

his mind. Yes, I think on that,

10:04

it's a very important point. And I think you

10:06

can go right to the heart of it. It

10:09

was the Azov Battalion, the

10:11

sort of neo-Nazi forces

10:14

that became part of the government in 2014.

10:17

And they basically said to Zelensky,

10:19

who was born and lived in the

10:22

Russian speaking part of Ukraine,

10:24

the Donbas. His

10:26

language is Russian. He's a Russian speaker. And,

10:29

you know, he was famous because he had this

10:31

great comedy show on Ukrainian

10:33

TV, but you know, it was in Russian. It

10:36

had to be translated into Ukrainian.

10:39

That's where he came from. But he was told

10:41

by the ultra-nationalists,

10:43

the hardcore, that if you even

10:46

think about making peace with Russia,

10:48

you won't live to tell about it. That's

10:51

truly what happened.

10:52

So we need to understand

10:54

that this is a civil

10:56

war in what, you know what

10:59

Ukraine means in Russian? It means

11:02

borderlands. The whole territory

11:04

has been the borderland of

11:07

Russia for centuries and centuries.

11:09

Much

11:10

of it was part of the Russian

11:12

empire, or it was a vassal state.

11:15

What we're fighting for today, allegedly,

11:18

according to Washington, is to protect

11:20

borders that were actually

11:23

didn't exist until 1922 when

11:25

they were created by Lenin

11:27

out of administrative convenience

11:30

from the parts and pieces of

11:32

Tsarist Russia that he had taken

11:35

control of. And a little more was added by

11:37

Stalin during World War II from

11:39

Poland and Romania. And

11:41

then finally, in 1954, when

11:44

Khrushchev won the struggle

11:46

for succession, he gave

11:48

Crimea to the Ukrainians. It was Russian

11:51

speaking. It had been purchased by Catherine

11:54

the Great in 1783. It

11:56

was purely Russian, but as

11:58

a reward to his colleagues. helping

12:00

his Ukrainian colleagues, for

12:03

helping succeed Stalin.

12:05

It was a bloody struggle he gave him

12:07

Ukraine. So we're today

12:10

fighting a war, a devastating

12:12

war with the other major nuclear

12:15

armed power in the world. We're destroying

12:18

a country. We're slaughtering

12:20

a population so

12:22

that we can ratify the

12:25

work of bloody tyrants,

12:27

Lenin, Stalin, and Khrushchev,

12:30

that made the current borders

12:32

of Ukraine. But they have nothing to

12:35

do with the real history of population.

12:38

So if we could just see through

12:40

that,

12:41

and as you say, go back to 2014,

12:44

the coup in Kiev

12:47

was funded by the United States

12:49

Department of State, the National Endowment

12:51

for Democracy, the CIA,

12:54

we overthrew the duly

12:56

and appropriately elected government.

12:59

We didn't like the president because

13:01

he was Russian friendly. Well,

13:04

it wasn't our business to decide

13:06

who and how the Ukraine

13:08

is going to be governed on the border

13:11

of Russia. Now the other thing I want to say

13:14

is- By the way, let me

13:16

just add to what you're saying.

13:18

We put $5 billion through

13:20

the National Endowment for Democracy

13:23

and through USAID and all

13:25

these other CIA front groups into

13:28

those overthrowing Yanukovych.

13:30

So in 2014,

13:33

it was as you say, was

13:35

the democratically elected government.

13:37

We were supposed to represent

13:39

democracy, actually paid

13:42

to overthrow that government. In 2014.

13:45

Yes, and I think this goes

13:47

to a really important point

13:50

why this is such a tragedy

13:52

and such a crime, really.

13:54

And that is if you look at

13:56

the last election, which Yanukovych,

14:00

was elected. You look at that electoral

14:03

map and you would be astounded.

14:06

The East and South voted 90 to 10

14:09

for the pro-Russian

14:13

speaking candidate. The center

14:15

and West, the historic

14:18

Ukraine, voted 90 to 10

14:21

for the nationalist candidate. The

14:23

country was divided right

14:25

down the middle in ways that you rarely

14:27

see. It wasn't an aberration.

14:30

The same thing happened in several

14:32

earlier elections. What I say

14:34

is

14:35

the Ukrainian people have

14:37

already voted for partition.

14:39

They have said time and time again,

14:42

we don't necessarily all want

14:44

to be part of the same state,

14:46

of the same nation.

14:49

Why in the world we can't see

14:51

that and stop

14:53

the fighting, stop the slaughter

14:56

and begin a peace process

14:58

that could result in this very quickly is

15:01

really very hard to understand

15:03

except to realize that

15:05

Washington is so populated

15:08

with people who think that we need

15:10

to be running every square inch

15:12

of the earth.

15:13

If it's not run according to Washington's

15:16

specifications,

15:20

then we need to intervene. That is

15:22

so wrong. It is really

15:25

the opposite of that famous

15:28

statement that I just quoted from

15:30

John Quincy Adams that we mean

15:33

to have peace with all nations and

15:35

not to travel the earth seeking

15:37

monsters to destroy. Unfortunately,

15:40

that's

15:40

what our foreign policy has become

15:43

in modern times. One

15:46

of the ironies, and I'm thinking

15:48

just from what you said, is that

15:50

when we were fighting the Kosovo war,

15:53

we were actually on the side of partitioning.

15:57

Right, exactly. Exactly. Partitioning

15:59

to populations that had been

16:01

kind of artificially loaded into one

16:04

country through arbitrary drawn border

16:06

lines who couldn't get along with each

16:08

other, who were having trouble getting along. And at

16:10

that point, we took the position

16:13

and we, you know, we're militarily involved. And

16:16

actually, we bombed Serbia

16:18

for I think 82 straight

16:20

days as part of a campaign

16:23

to sever Kosovo

16:25

from Serbian Republic. But

16:27

the bigger issue is there have been a lot

16:29

of partitions in the world, both

16:32

in older times and more recent

16:34

times that prove beneficial

16:36

to the populations involved. It turned out

16:39

that Czechoslovakia was an artificial

16:41

state created by Wilson and

16:43

Versailles. They eventually parted

16:46

ways. There are two states there now. They

16:48

weren't just fine. The people were happy. Yugoslavia

16:51

was composed of eight or nine peoples

16:54

and nations historically that

16:56

didn't necessarily want to be together. They were put

16:58

together by Tito through, you

17:00

know, the iron fist. That is all

17:02

now been dissolved. It was kind of rough

17:05

and tumble getting there. But it's

17:07

a lot better off than it was under

17:09

one bloody tyrant. So what's

17:11

wrong with partition? If

17:14

there is good and substantial

17:17

reason and historic

17:18

basis for it, and there clearly is here.

17:21

The war was started by Kiev

17:25

in 2014 when it decided that the breakaway

17:28

republics in the east that didn't want to

17:30

be part of the new government, part

17:32

of the CIA sponsored

17:34

coup, had to be punished

17:36

for their attempts to break away.

17:39

That's when the war started. And

17:41

for seven or eight years prior

17:43

to the current war, Kiev,

17:46

you know, murdered something like 14,000

17:48

people in the Donbass

17:51

in areas that were trying to break away.

17:54

So besides that, and I'm

17:56

not making any brief for Putin, but

17:58

he said as early as

17:59

207, do not

18:02

bring NATO to my doorstep.

18:05

And this is so interesting, we're talking to you

18:07

about it, because to

18:09

him, putting NATO in

18:11

the Ukraine and U.S. missile

18:14

bases within minutes

18:16

of Moscow was really not

18:18

much different than what your uncle faced

18:22

in 1962 when Khrushchev put missiles in

18:24

Cuba, 90 miles away.

18:27

And we said, this shall not stand.

18:30

Eventually it was resolved

18:32

peacefully. But the principle

18:34

is the same. And

18:35

why we expanded

18:38

NATO to all these former Warsaw

18:40

Pact nations, when we had

18:42

promised to barbechop at the time

18:44

of things breaking up in 1991 that we wouldn't

18:47

move an inch

18:49

to the east in return for

18:51

his acquiescence in the unification

18:54

of Germany. All of these things are

18:56

so

18:56

well known. And yet

18:58

you have a population of

19:01

elected officials and permanent

19:03

government apparatchiks, as I call

19:06

them in Washington, who are so committed

19:08

to the global hegemony, to

19:11

these forever wars, to the

19:14

neocon creed, that

19:16

here we are with this sheer

19:19

madness, that you have

19:21

a democratic president

19:23

and a democratic majority

19:26

that insists must be carried

19:28

out to the last Ukrainian,

19:30

which is so ironic, because when

19:33

I started back in 1968, the

19:36

Democratic Party was the P-stick

19:38

Party. That's where all the doves

19:40

were, that we looked to in the

19:42

battle of the fight on Vietnam.

19:45

And somehow over the last five

19:48

decades, over the last half century,

19:50

it's turned upside down and switched.

19:53

And frankly, I think there are

19:55

more doves in the Republican Party today, not

19:57

many, but you know, Rand Paul

19:59

types.

19:59

There are more today than

20:02

in the Democrat Party, and that's

20:04

really part of what has to change

20:07

and change in a big way.

20:09

Yeah, and I agree with you. I think particularly

20:11

in the rank and file Republicans and the independents,

20:13

that kind of populist wing is very,

20:16

very anymore. I think we're in the same way

20:18

that we were in the 1960s. It's really

20:22

interesting, but the rest of the population

20:24

has succumbed to this comic

20:27

book narrative that the Neocons are

20:30

so adept at generating. Good

20:33

guy, evil guy, bad guy, we've

20:35

got to go in there and fix it, and then they didn't

20:37

rack. They

20:41

hypnotize people with it and nobody

20:43

is looking at

20:44

the facts and I'll just mention

20:46

this that, as you mentioned my

20:48

uncle, you know his most important

20:51

speech is present. The 60th

20:53

anniversary is coming up on June 10th of the American

20:55

University speech,

20:57

which was the speech where he turned our nation

21:00

around on the on the nuclear test

21:02

ban treaty and had the first atmospheric

21:04

test ban treaty, you know the nuclear age.

21:07

What he did in that speech is the

21:09

exact thing that you're doing right now is

21:12

it was a talk to the American people asking

21:15

them to put themselves in the shoes of

21:17

the Russians. Right. And

21:19

he said you cannot have peace if

21:21

you're not able to put yourself in the

21:23

shoes of your adversary. And he

21:26

reminded people something that we never, you

21:27

know I, I grew up watching

21:30

Vic Morrow on combat and

21:32

you know Americans. We

21:34

won the war against Germany and Americans

21:37

didn't realize that the war was really

21:39

wrote on by the Russians. Yeah,

21:42

and that the Russians made this incredible

21:44

sacrifice to be Hitler including 23

21:47

million, you know, you hear numbers

21:50

up to 70 million people Russians were killed. But it's

21:52

one out of every seven Russians 13% of their population died. Right.

22:00

Third of the country was reduced to rubble. And this

22:02

is when my uncle said you have to put yourself

22:04

in their position and see how they view the

22:06

world. He said, it's like

22:09

if all of our country was reduced

22:11

to rubble

22:12

from the east coast to Chicago.

22:15

And yes, how would we feel about

22:17

hostile forces

22:20

lining up on our border then? He

22:23

had developed this great friendship with Gruschev

22:25

and they were corresponding with each other secretly

22:28

through a Soviet spy, a KGB,

22:31

GRU spy called Georgi Bolshikoy,

22:33

who used to come to our house and he would hand

22:35

letters to try to end run the CIA,

22:38

and run the State Department.

22:40

26 letters that my uncle and

22:42

Gruschev exchanged

22:44

and they found themselves that they

22:46

were both in the same position. They were both

22:48

men who had fought in World War II. Gruschev

22:51

had seen this incredible brutality

22:53

at Stalingrad, probably the worst battle

22:56

in, arguably the worst battle in history.

22:58

And my uncle had been lost,

23:00

declared dead and seen the brutality

23:03

of war. And both of them had a no horns

23:05

for war. But they were surrounded

23:07

by intelligence apparatus and a military

23:10

brass who saw the war not

23:13

only as inevitable, but desirable.

23:17

Right. They knew they

23:19

had to talk to each other or the whole place

23:21

was going to be burned to the whole world. And

23:23

that's why my uncle and Gruschev

23:25

privately agreed to install the hotlines

23:28

because they didn't trust their own people because

23:31

they were surrounded. And one of the things

23:33

I want to ask you about, because you had a front

23:35

row of this, because a lot of those neocons

23:37

and a lot of philosophy came out

23:40

of the Reagan White House. And then,

23:42

you know, they really blew up during

23:44

George W. Bush's administration.

23:46

But there was that kind of Zbigniew

23:48

Brzezinski and the Carter White House was

23:51

probably the granddaddy of the neocons,

23:53

arguably. And he actually says in

23:55

his book, our strategy

23:58

should be to draw the. Russia

24:01

to wars in Afghanistan

24:03

and other places where we

24:05

can get other people to fight the war and we'll

24:07

supply them and that's how we'll bring down Russia

24:09

and that's been their blueprint

24:12

from the beginning and they just rolled

24:14

it out the same people. But how did

24:16

you watch that evolution? Yeah,

24:19

I'm glad you brought this up and I want to go back

24:21

to where you started because I truly

24:24

think

24:25

that John Kennedy's American

24:27

University speech is one of the

24:29

greatest speeches, most inspiring

24:32

speeches by any president

24:35

at any time and that

24:36

people can easily find it on

24:38

the internet today. They should click

24:41

on and listen to it because

24:43

it was powerful and it was

24:45

moving and potent. Now

24:47

what's interesting about that

24:50

is that the other great

24:52

speech given right before that

24:54

was by Eisenhower, his farewell

24:56

address and

24:58

just as John Kennedy tried

25:00

to open the door to negotiations

25:03

and reducing the tensions in the Cold

25:05

War in the arms race,

25:07

Eisenhower had also made

25:10

enormous strides in

25:13

the friending

25:14

Khrushchev and they had several

25:16

summits which were productive and as you

25:18

know the last summit in the

25:21

spring of 1960 was

25:23

going to be the breakthrough. It really would

25:25

have ended the arms race and

25:28

on the eve of that summit, Alan

25:30

Dulles in the CIA sent

25:32

the U-2 spy planes right

25:35

over Russia, Gary Powers, it's a

25:37

very famous episode. They

25:39

shot down the spy plane and

25:41

that was the end of the summit,

25:43

you know it was the CIA.

25:46

So your uncle said after

25:49

the day of pigs he'd like to smash

25:51

the CIA into a thousand pieces

25:54

and ironically he was right

25:57

and the same thing actually happened.

26:00

Eisenhower. Now, the key reason I'm bringing

26:02

this up is that if you look at 1961,

26:04

Eisenhower was

26:07

the president. He was the greatest general

26:10

we ever had in the White House. And he

26:12

said, the defense budget we have

26:14

today is more than enough and we

26:16

should be alert to the danger that

26:19

they'll try to make it bigger. Now, I bring this up

26:21

because in today's dollars, that

26:23

defense budget that Eisenhower said

26:25

was adequate was 400 billion.

26:29

Our defense budget in the same purchasing

26:31

power dollars today is 800 billion

26:34

going on 900 billion.

26:35

In 1961,

26:36

when Eisenhower

26:39

said our defenses are adequate,

26:42

the

26:42

triad nuclear deterrent

26:44

that we had would keep the peace.

26:47

We were

26:48

up against Russia at the

26:50

peak of its industrial might.

26:54

They had 2,000 warheads.

26:56

They had 7,000

26:56

aircraft.

26:59

They had 60,000 tanks

27:01

and on and on, 4 million men under

27:03

arms. But Eisenhower said 400

27:07

billion is enough even then.

27:09

Well, where are we today? The Soviet

27:11

Union has disappeared from the pages of history.

27:14

There

27:14

is no big industrial power

27:16

that's even threatening our homeland

27:19

security and safety. And

27:21

certainly it's not China

27:22

because China is one

27:25

great big bonsey scheme that couldn't

27:27

survive without the export markets,

27:30

without the 4,000 Walmarts

27:32

in America, the Chinese communists

27:35

would be in a hard way to stay

27:37

in power as well.

27:38

So why do we have double the

27:40

defense budget today that

27:42

Eisenhower said was adequate

27:45

when we had a real enemy and when

27:47

he was in the middle of trying to open

27:49

the door? Now, the last point on your

27:52

question, what was going on in 1980 is

27:54

really also highly relevant

27:57

to where we are today. The

27:59

case that the

27:59

the neocons were making

28:02

in 1980, and you'll probably remember

28:04

it, is that we were in danger

28:07

of the Soviet Union developing

28:09

a nuclear first-strike

28:11

capability, and that

28:14

it would only be a matter of time, and they

28:16

would say, you know, game over, surrender.

28:18

Well, that was complete baloney.

28:21

There was never a Soviet

28:23

first-strike either in tension

28:26

or capacity. But here's

28:28

the thing. They were able to use

28:30

that fear to take the defense

28:32

budget that we got handed to us from Jimmy

28:35

Carter at $140 billion and to take it to $350 billion

28:37

over a four- or five-year period,

28:42

and in today's dollars, it's a lot more than

28:44

that. What did they buy? Here's the key

28:46

thing. What did they buy with

28:49

that doubling, almost tripling

28:51

of the defense budget? They didn't buy

28:54

anything that had to do with

28:56

the so-called first-strike threat

28:58

from Russia because of their Soviet Union. There

29:01

wasn't

29:01

one. What they did was

29:03

create a vast armada

29:06

of conventional forces,

29:08

the 600-chip Navy, thousands

29:10

of new main battle tanks, thousands

29:13

of new aircraft fixed, rotary,

29:16

all kinds of sea lift, air lift capacity,

29:19

all kinds of missile

29:21

capability, cruise missile capability.

29:24

What was all this used for? It

29:26

was used for wars of

29:28

invasion and occupation

29:31

in the Middle East. It's being used in the

29:33

Ukraine today. In other words,

29:35

you know, these forever wars were

29:38

an accidental outcome

29:41

of a massive conventional

29:44

buildup that was unnecessary that

29:46

happened during the 1980s. Because

29:49

I'm pretty sure of this,

29:51

that had not that huge buildup

29:54

happened under the false guy's

29:57

threat of a Soviet first-strike

29:59

capacity.

30:00

it would have been very hard to have

30:03

the first Gulf War, the second Gulf

30:05

War, to take the battle

30:08

to Libya, to Yemen, and

30:10

to all the other places in the world if

30:13

presidents had to go to the Congress and ask

30:15

for huge appropriations to

30:18

buy the military capability. They already

30:20

had it.

30:21

This is another important

30:23

part of history that I

30:25

think is important to lay out,

30:28

because it's

30:28

why we're in the mess we are today. If

30:30

we didn't have all these stockpiles of

30:33

weapons that really came out of

30:35

that conventional force buildup,

30:37

we wouldn't be running a

30:39

genocide, which is really what

30:41

it is in the Ukraine today.

30:44

So I think it's a key part of

30:46

understanding what has to change

30:48

in a very big way.

30:50

We don't need that conventional

30:52

force. We need a triad

30:54

deterrent, nuclear deterrent. We have

30:56

it. It's bought and paid for. It's

30:59

relatively cheap. We could get

31:01

by with a $200 to $300 billion

31:03

defense budget, not an $800 billion one. We

31:06

would then not be, we could defend the

31:09

homeland.

31:09

No one's going to penetrate

31:11

the Atlantic and the Pacific with the homeland

31:13

defense. All of that would be

31:16

possible. And yet the

31:18

military industrial

31:18

intelligence complex,

31:22

the neocons, and all of the,

31:24

I don't know if you remember the name

31:26

of the labor, but there's so much loose change

31:28

in this massive 900 billion

31:31

defense budget

31:32

that it's basically like what I call

31:34

a self-licking ice cream cone. It

31:37

pays for itself. There is so much

31:39

money that goes to all these think tanks,

31:41

all of these NGOs,

31:43

all of these operations

31:45

that spend their life coming up

31:47

with reasons why we should be

31:50

in the Ukraine or why liberating

31:52

Libya was a good idea or why

31:55

Yemen makes a difference when

31:57

none of this is true, but it all

31:59

comes up.

31:59

out of this massive budget.

32:02

The most dangerous thing in the world is the 900

32:05

billion defense budget, to tell you the truth, because

32:07

there's so much money, so many

32:10

arms contracts

32:11

built into that, that it's

32:14

almost self perpetuating, very

32:16

difficult to stop.

32:18

And you have the media involvement too,

32:20

and you go on CNN and the people

32:23

you're seeing who are urging us

32:25

to increase our

32:27

commitment to Ukraine are all retired

32:30

generals who they don't tell you, but

32:32

they're working for those Lockheed

32:34

and the military contractors and those

32:36

think tanks, and their whole function is

32:39

to try to keep us at this constant state of war.

32:41

And you talked about the

32:44

expenditures. We now

32:45

spend 40% of the world's budget,

32:49

the entire global budget

32:51

for military is coming

32:53

from the United States. We spend more than the

32:56

next 10 top nations, including

32:58

Russia and China combined. My

33:01

grandfather said that the real strength

33:03

of a nation does not come from projecting

33:06

military power, it comes from economic power,

33:08

it comes from building a strong economy,

33:11

a strong middle class at home. He said,

33:13

we should build fortress America, make ourselves,

33:16

arm ourselves to the teeth around our border, make

33:19

ourselves too expensive to conquer and

33:21

then focus our money on building

33:24

infrastructure, making our country the shining

33:27

city on the hill, and

33:29

strengthening our economy

33:30

and we're not just bankrupting ourselves. I

33:33

talk often about Paul Kennedy, who

33:36

is a Yale professor

33:38

who wrote this book, this analysis of the

33:40

last 500 years of how

33:43

empires rise and fall. And every

33:45

single empire in that book, every

33:48

single empire in the last 500 years

33:50

of history, half millennium, the

33:52

death knell has come from over extending

33:54

its military abroad. And we've just followed

33:56

that formula. I remember at

33:59

the end of the cold.

33:59

war and disentangling

34:03

that we were promised a peace dividend.

34:06

That peace dividend was supposed to cut

34:09

our budget, I think it was something like 600 billion

34:12

then, and that they were going to cut it

34:14

to 200 billion.

34:15

That's what we're talking about. And instead,

34:18

it's doubled essentially. It's

34:21

gone up to, as you say, if

34:23

you add in everything, it's 1.3, and with the

34:25

Homeland Security, it's 1.3.

34:28

And we wouldn't need all this Homeland Security

34:30

if we weren't stirring up trouble in

34:33

the world. The reason we have to go through

34:35

X-ray machines to the airport is because

34:38

the military is not protecting us, it's

34:40

actually making it more dangerous to live in

34:42

this country.

34:44

I would just add that

34:46

they almost had a peace dividend

34:48

for a few years. And then, unfortunately,

34:51

the Clinton administration got

34:53

taken in by this Republican

34:56

drum beating about being soft

34:58

on defense. And they came up

35:00

with this stupid idea really

35:02

bad, and this is important to get into

35:05

the mix here, of expanding

35:07

NATO to include the former

35:10

Warsaw Pact nations, and then

35:12

even some of the republics that

35:15

spun out of the Soviet Union itself.

35:17

And at the time, and this was quite

35:20

clearly,

35:20

even then there was a public debate

35:23

in the New York Times, George Kennan,

35:26

the father of the containment doctrine,

35:29

the intellectual really

35:31

who helped create the whole

35:34

Cold War containment doctrine,

35:36

and that led to NATO, and

35:38

that led to the Marshall Plan, and

35:41

all the others, said, this is

35:43

a folly. This is the

35:46

wrong thing to do. You're simply

35:48

going to stir up the

35:50

bear, and sooner or later

35:52

the Russians will react.

35:55

Now, going back to your point

35:56

earlier, you know, Russia

35:58

has a case,

35:59

I mean, they never should have invaded

36:02

this country. I agree with that. But

36:04

they have a case that in the last

36:06

two centuries, they'd been invaded

36:08

by the West three times. Napoleon

36:11

came in. They were invaded

36:13

by the Germans in World War

36:15

I, decimated. They were invaded

36:18

in World War II in a horrible

36:21

way, and they stopped the invasion

36:23

at the Battle of Stalingrad.

36:26

But after that kind of history,

36:28

they have a different mentality. And

36:30

when

36:30

we said we're bringing NATO to

36:33

their doorstep, okay, to Lithuania,

36:35

to Poland, that we were going to put

36:38

missiles in NATO in the Ukraine

36:41

and in Georgia,

36:42

which is a former republic of the

36:44

Soviet Union, it became

36:47

too much. And since 2007,

36:50

at these international security conferences,

36:52

Putin had been saying over and over again,

36:55

that's a

36:55

red line. You can't put missiles

36:58

on my doorstep in the Ukraine

37:01

or in other parts of my neighborhood.

37:04

And, you know, they didn't listen. And

37:06

finally, there was a negotiation

37:08

in December 2021. It

37:11

could have led to a breakthrough in

37:14

an agreement to keep NATO out of Ukraine

37:16

and some kind of autonomy under

37:18

Minsk for the Eastern and Southern

37:21

provinces.

37:22

But it was all vetoed, shot down,

37:24

and totally kicked away by

37:27

the neocons. This happened in

37:29

a Democrat administration. This happened

37:32

on Biden's watch. This

37:34

never should have happened. It shouldn't have

37:36

happened in any administration, but

37:39

certainly it shouldn't have happened in

37:41

the former peace party that

37:44

is part of the war party now. So the war

37:46

party is the problem. That's where we started

37:49

our conversation today. And

37:52

we've got to do something to break

37:54

it up, to break it up. Let me

37:56

add a couple points. My uncle would

37:58

have invaded Cuba.

37:59

if they didn't remove those

38:02

missiles. And he got them to remove

38:04

those missiles in a secret deal with my father

38:06

and Ambassador Dobrenin, where

38:09

we removed our Jupiter missiles

38:12

from Turkey because Russia and Khrushchev

38:14

had gone into Cuba. Well,

38:17

you got them in my doorstep. I need to have

38:19

them at your doorstep. Otherwise you got

38:22

the first strike capability that will

38:24

destroy us. And so- But can

38:26

I just throw something as I could because

38:29

I've sort of studied

38:29

this too and it's very interesting that we're

38:32

into it. When he was suddenly confronted

38:34

with this crisis and then was

38:37

told that Khrushchev was making

38:39

the point you got Jupiter missiles

38:41

in Turkey, they weren't even supposed to be there.

38:44

Oh, he could've always ordered them. He

38:48

famously said there's always some basket

38:50

that doesn't get the word. And

38:53

the point was time and time

38:55

again and all these inflection points

38:58

in history,

38:59

when people were trying to do the right

39:01

thing, President Kennedy, President

39:03

Eisenhower, Jimmy Carter with

39:06

the arms control agreements,

39:08

time

39:08

after time, they're undermined.

39:11

I mean, I have no great beef for Donald

39:13

Trump, but he was actually trying to

39:15

roll back the umpire a little bit

39:18

and he tried to get out of Syria. They said,

39:20

no way Jose. He tried to

39:23

defuse the tensions in Korea and

39:26

his own people shot him down. So we're

39:29

up against something that's pretty

39:31

insidious, pretty powerful, pretty

39:33

deeply entrenched. That's why the

39:35

deep state isn't a bad metaphor

39:38

even if it's exaggerated. And

39:40

somehow it's a lock

39:43

on the two political parties has

39:46

to be broken if we're ever going to move

39:48

into a more enlightened form of

39:50

policy. Yeah, and

39:53

let me just finish that thought about putting

39:55

yourself in the adversary shoes in

39:57

exchange for moving for you.

39:59

them find Germany and moving

40:02

out 400,000 German troops who, I mean,

40:05

Russian troops who were there and moved in

40:07

NATO. Imagine that when you

40:09

know, what up below to the to the pride

40:12

and to the national security of the Soviets.

40:14

They got us to promise we wouldn't move one inch to

40:16

the east. We then moved a thousand miles

40:18

to the east. We took in 14 of

40:21

their countries, George Kennan, and said, why

40:23

are you treating them like an enemy? They

40:25

lost the Cold War. The people who are running it now

40:28

are the people who were on our side

40:30

during the Cold War. We should

40:32

be treating them like we treat the Marshall Plan.

40:34

You know, we should be helping them transition

40:36

to democracy and making them part

40:39

of the brotherhood and sisterhood out of Europe.

40:41

Why are we treating them as enemies? If you treat them

40:44

as enemies,

40:44

as Kennan said,

40:46

it's got to be a self-fulfilling prophecy.

40:48

They're going to turn eventually. They're going to

40:50

see this unyielding hostility.

40:53

They're going to be resentful because they did everything

40:55

we asked them to do. They dismantled the empire

40:58

and they are going to, the bear is going to wake

41:00

you up, you know, and they're going to fight back.

41:03

We put Aegis missile systems in

41:05

Poland and in Romania

41:07

and those missiles can carry domahawk

41:10

missiles, domahawk, which

41:12

are nuclear, you know, and Ukraine

41:15

is 400 miles from Moscow. We

41:17

have a rule in our atmosphere, called the Monroe

41:20

Doctrine, that says nobody can put anything

41:22

anywhere near us.

41:24

Yeah, including Patagonia.

41:27

Exactly. Let me ask

41:30

you this.

41:31

Assume I get into the White House,

41:33

okay?

41:34

I hope you do. I'm

41:38

going to get your help if I do. Okay.

41:41

What do I, you know, and I'm on a close, as many

41:43

as I can, of the 800 bases abroad, bring

41:49

people home in China and start unraveling

41:52

the warfare state. You know, what happens

41:54

to our economy in this country? Because

41:56

those are a lot of jobs that are lost. Those are

41:58

people now who don't have jobs. There are people who

42:00

are armed, maybe, who

42:03

could be prone to violence or whatever. And

42:05

this is always the worry when you dismantle

42:07

the military. And then there's a,

42:10

you have a huge cohort of people who

42:12

are deeply resentful because they want this

42:14

to continue, the gravy train to continue. And

42:18

then how do you employ those people

42:20

and what does it do to our economy? I

42:22

mean, is there, how do

42:24

we spend that piece of it on to start

42:26

reducing debt and start rebuilding

42:29

our industrial infrastructure at

42:32

home? Well, I think that's an important point

42:34

that we can exaggerate how

42:36

crucial it is to the economy. Because

42:38

even though we have this monster defense budget

42:41

at 900 billion, it's actually

42:43

only about 4% of GDP

42:45

today. It's not nearly as a share

42:48

of the economy, but not nearly the

42:50

seven or 10% that we had during

42:53

the sixties and seventies during the peak of

42:55

the Cold War. That's the first thing. The second

42:57

thing is we've had successful demobilizations

42:59

after major wartime

43:02

spending

43:03

three or four times in the last century.

43:06

And we made the adjustment quite

43:08

rapidly when there was no

43:10

reason to keep it going. There was

43:12

a massive number of men under arms

43:15

and the whole country was

43:17

mobilized for war in 1917 and 18. We

43:21

did have a recession in 1920. And

43:24

by 22, we were booming. It was the roaring

43:27

twenties. We had the big economy.

43:29

After 1945, everybody said, this

43:32

was totally a war economy. You couldn't

43:34

buy a car, you couldn't buy furniture. Everything

43:37

was refocused on war production

43:40

and that when the war ended in 1945, there

43:43

was going to be a long lasting

43:45

depression. That's what some of the paintings

43:48

were saying. It didn't happen. By 1947, 1948, the economy

43:50

was back on its feet as

43:54

the civilian economy was doing well. Same

43:56

thing the lesser way after Korea. Same

43:59

thing after Vietnam.

43:59

So I think

44:02

what we need to do is recognize

44:04

that more spending

44:06

is an economic negative

44:08

in the long run. It produces no

44:10

goods or services that are of value

44:13

to anybody. It is ultimately

44:16

a form of economic waste. We don't

44:18

get capital goods. We don't get consumer

44:20

goods. We just get an arsenal,

44:23

you know, most of which we don't need. And

44:25

when

44:25

you stop spending money

44:28

on waste, on things

44:30

that we don't need, either for defense

44:32

and certainly for civilian life,

44:35

the economy itself has great

44:38

powers of adjustment and regeneration. Maybe

44:41

we have some kind of federal readjustment

44:44

programs. We've had those before. I

44:46

don't think you need much. I think

44:48

you have to basically say

44:51

we're going to change

44:53

the predicate.

44:55

We're going to have first an

44:57

international push for new

44:59

treaties, for arms control

45:02

and arms reduction treaties. We've

45:04

mentioned that our 1.2 trillion

45:07

defense budget is a high share of the

45:09

world.

45:09

But there's $4 trillion

45:13

being spent in the world today on

45:15

arms that doesn't need to be

45:17

spent. And at least in 1920,

45:20

our leaders

45:21

tried to, you know, there was the famous

45:23

Naval agreement in 1922 that

45:27

attempted to reverse

45:29

the Naval arms race. We

45:32

tried to have agreements, obviously,

45:34

in the 60s and 70s, and did.

45:37

Your uncle led that process.

45:40

So what we need to do is basically

45:43

let the American people know that

45:45

we're in the process of making

45:47

peace with the world and negotiating

45:49

with the world, reducing

45:51

the massive expenditures on

45:53

both sides on arms. And

45:55

I think a lot of the rest of it will

45:58

take care of itself.

45:59

we can just change the

46:02

fundamental direction.

46:04

Let me add to this switching

46:06

subjects. We're gonna reduce expenditures

46:08

for the military and that deals

46:11

with some of this huge momentous,

46:14

a trillion dollar budget deficit. So yeah,

46:16

but it's $32 trillion is, is

46:20

so massive compared

46:23

to GDP.

46:24

And then you have the companion problem

46:27

of this giant gap between

46:29

rich and poor.

46:31

Can that be remedied? Can those two

46:33

issues be remedied? And then, and how

46:36

do you do it? Well, there's big changes we

46:38

have to make and I'm glad you brought this

46:40

up. When I became budget director in 1981, the

46:43

public debt was 980 billion. It's

46:46

now 32 trillion. It was 30%

46:48

of GDP. It's now 130%.

46:52

That has all happened within one

46:54

lifetime, in four decades.

46:57

So that's what we're up against and it has

46:59

to change. The second reason

47:02

that we need to focus, what we need to focus

47:05

on is it happened because the

47:07

Federal Reserve became perverted

47:10

in its function and

47:12

started to monetize all

47:14

of this debt

47:15

that was being created

47:17

to fund both a burgeoning welfare

47:20

state and a big bloated

47:22

warfare state at the same time. We

47:24

didn't have enough money or taxpayer

47:27

willingness to fund both. And so

47:29

we borrowed like crazy 30 trillion

47:32

of new debt in a lifetime. So

47:35

what we need to do is basically

47:38

recognize that

47:40

two trillion annual debts

47:42

are built in. They're baked in the cake. If

47:44

we continue with the warfare

47:47

state that we have today and all the domestic

47:49

programs we have, and that

47:51

we, if we can at least

47:54

bring this defense budget down dramatically,

47:57

we can begin to chip away at that.

47:59

and get back to some level of fiscal

48:02

sanity, but none of it can happen

48:04

until we bring the Fed

48:07

back under control. They have printed

48:09

so much money. They have created such tremendous

48:12

bubbles, such tremendous

48:15

imbalances and exaggerations in

48:17

our economy. And it's not helped

48:20

the, you know, main street. It's not helped

48:22

the average guy. This has all

48:24

been, as I said, the thing I wrote recently,

48:27

it wasn't like President John Kennedy

48:30

said when he, you know, introduced

48:32

his new economics, and he said, the

48:34

rising tide lifts all boats. That

48:36

was the idea. We're gonna cut taxes and get

48:39

investment, and the economy's gonna perk

48:41

up, and everybody will benefit.

48:43

The kind that we have today is

48:46

a rising tide that lifted all yachts,

48:48

okay? It

48:50

went to the 1%. In the

48:52

last 30 years, the net worth

48:54

at the top 1%

48:56

has gone from 4 trillion

48:58

to 44 trillion. If you can imagine

49:00

that, 4 trillion to 40, a 40

49:03

trillion gain. The bottom 50% went

49:06

from one to four, okay? So they've

49:08

gained 3 trillion, 50% of

49:10

the households in America, the top 1%

49:12

have gained 40. Now, this

49:15

isn't because of wild

49:17

West capitalism. This is because

49:19

of wild money printing.

49:21

Too much liquidity. Too

49:24

much, you know, monetary

49:26

stimulus in the system. We

49:28

have a situation today where the

49:30

top 1% average net worth

49:33

is 38 million. The bottom 50%

49:35

average net worth is 56,700 to one.

49:39

That's

49:41

not free market capitalism. That's

49:44

not the natural order of-

49:46

Just repeat that so people can hear it, because

49:49

what you're saying is, the bottom 50%

49:52

of the country that

49:55

the average net worth is- Is 56,000.

49:59

The top 1% is 38 million, rough ratio 700 to 1,

50:02

double what it was as recently as 1990.

50:05

So

50:12

this is not the natural evolution

50:15

or outcome of market capitalism,

50:17

even though some, you know, leftists

50:20

want to say that. This is because

50:22

we've had a central bank both

50:24

here and around the world that

50:26

has put so much liquidity

50:29

into the markets. And that

50:31

liquidity has never left the

50:34

canyons of Wall Street. You know, it

50:36

didn't cause a acceleration

50:39

of investment or job growth or

50:41

living standards. No, actually in

50:43

the 60s and 50s, 60s and

50:45

70s, median real family

50:48

income grew at 2.5% a year. Since

50:51

the year 2000, it's grown at 0.5. In

50:55

other words,

50:56

a half a percent, not 2.5. That's

50:58

a huge difference if maintained,

51:01

you know, year after year over time, it's

51:03

five to one. So what

51:06

has happened is that these bad

51:08

money printing policies of the central

51:11

banks have created this massive

51:13

windfall of financial prosperity

51:17

to the top 1%, even as the real

51:19

growth rate

51:21

and investment rate of the economy

51:23

is slowed to a crawl, which

51:26

has left the middle class or

51:28

main street as we might want to

51:30

call it high and dry. That's

51:32

another whole part of this syndrome

51:35

that we really need to correct in a big

51:37

way. You know, what happens when

51:39

you try to fix that? I mean, it's,

51:42

you

51:42

know, because of if

51:44

they just stop printing the money the way that

51:46

they're doing it, there's a bubble at that

51:48

point, right? And it breaks.

51:51

Yeah. It's like, I'm just

51:53

asking this, the president who tries

51:56

to mess around with that bubble is,

51:58

you know, he can cause.

51:59

or she going to cause the collapse of the entire

52:02

economy to anybody who tries to fix it.

52:04

Yeah. You

52:06

know what I would say is the

52:09

president should stop trying to take

52:11

credit for a artificial

52:14

fantasy land economy

52:16

that can't be sustained and

52:19

instead come into

52:20

office telling the people that

52:23

this is a fantasy. It's not sustainable.

52:26

We have these massive bubbles. They're unfair.

52:29

The benefit is going to a very small

52:31

fraction of people.

52:32

So we're going to have to go through a

52:34

cleansing process. But

52:36

I think frankly, a big impact

52:39

is going to be to the 1% when the bubble

52:42

is finally and fully

52:45

punctured by a change at

52:47

the Fed. So I think anybody that

52:49

really wants to get a

52:51

grasp on this needs to go

52:54

into office saying

52:56

we're going to have a house cleaning at the

52:58

Fed

52:59

the stock market is likely to go

53:01

down. Get your money into

53:03

something safe, not in these go-go stocks,

53:06

not in the tech stocks, not in

53:08

the NASDAQ 100. Get

53:10

prepared because we have got

53:13

to get back to a reality

53:16

into something that's sustainable and fair

53:18

and having our capital go

53:21

into

53:21

productive investment, not

53:23

financial engineering. That's where it's been

53:25

going into financial engineering.

53:28

We've had 25 trillion,

53:30

a

53:30

staggering number of financial

53:33

engineering

53:33

stock buybacks, big

53:35

M&A deals that have accomplished nothing

53:38

over the last two decades instead

53:41

of that money going into real

53:43

investment has been flat for two

53:45

decades. Real investment

53:48

after you take the needs

53:50

for a depreciation out of the equation.

53:53

And that just tells you this

53:55

isn't working.

53:56

And I think someone has to tell

53:58

the public it's not working.

53:59

We can change. We used

54:02

to know how to do it. We had prosperity

54:04

in the 50s and the 60s and into the 70s And

54:08

we weren't printing money like crazy

54:10

then we weren't running three

54:13

four or five percent of GDP Deficits

54:16

we weren't trying to even be the hegemon

54:18

of the world

54:19

and that was in you know in the time of

54:21

the Cold War So we would

54:23

go back to basics. I think that's what the

54:25

theme needs to be. We've done it before

54:28

we can do it again There

54:30

might be some bumps

54:30

and grinds

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