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Get Ready For Another Tory Psychodrama

Get Ready For Another Tory Psychodrama

Released Friday, 17th November 2023
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Get Ready For Another Tory Psychodrama

Get Ready For Another Tory Psychodrama

Get Ready For Another Tory Psychodrama

Get Ready For Another Tory Psychodrama

Friday, 17th November 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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1:08

Hello and welcome to Rock and

1:10

Roll Politics, the podcast with me, Steve

1:12

Richards. Well, what a few days.

1:14

And as I pledged earlier in the week,

1:17

and when I pledge, I keep to my pledges.

1:20

We needed to get together again for a second

1:22

time in an attempt to delve deep

1:25

and make sense of it all. So

1:28

if it's okay with all of you, this is going to be

1:30

the kind of structure of what is

1:32

becoming a cliche now because everyone say, oh, it's

1:34

time for an emergency podcast. But

1:38

this is a cause

1:40

for an emergency podcast. So

1:42

a few notices, then

1:45

a few reflections on me. Remember where

1:48

we left off in our time together

1:50

earlier in the week. We had had the dramatic

1:53

reshuffle. But since then we've had the

1:56

court judgment on Rwanda.

1:59

and the vote

2:02

on the ceasefire vis-a-vis

2:05

Israel Gaza in the House of Commons.

2:08

So huge amounts to make

2:11

sense of. Of course,

2:13

last time, very unusually,

2:15

it was all so fast

2:17

moving and quite late on that

2:20

I didn't have time to read out your brilliant questions.

2:23

So we'll get to as many as those

2:25

as is possible. But remember,

2:27

we get together again very early

2:30

next week to make sense of it all.

2:32

So more time then. Sorry if I

2:34

don't read your questions out. They've

2:36

been flying in and all brilliant,

2:39

but as many as possible. Just

2:42

a couple of notices. The

2:44

big one, please subscribe to the Patreon

2:47

version of Rock and Roll Politics. I know many

2:49

of you do, because if you

2:51

do, you can join us for one of

2:53

our live gatherings.

2:56

It's this coming Thursday, November

2:58

the 23rd. And

3:01

some of you will know the way we kind of structure this

3:03

is I give a little opening

3:05

few reflections. By the way, this is the day after

3:08

Jeremy Hunt's autumn statement, a

3:11

statement where I suspect all this talk

3:13

about the cliche

3:15

of Sunak leaping to the

3:17

center ground will be further challenged.

3:20

But anyway, we'll find out. Yeah,

3:23

and then we have a wider discussion and people appear

3:26

on screen and it's great. And it's

3:28

very much the cooperative within the cooperative.

3:31

So if you do subscribe, you get loads of other bonuses

3:34

as well. So that would be great. What

3:37

else? Yeah, the rope tackle in

3:39

Shoram. The postponed

3:42

Rock and Roll Politics is next

3:44

Monday. Anyone on the south coast

3:46

and anywhere, please do come along. And

3:49

then, of course, the Christmas

3:51

special live at King's Place

3:54

on December the 18th, where

3:56

we look back on this crazy year and

3:58

dare to look ahead. on what

4:00

is going to be a very intense election

4:04

year, assuming he holds it next

4:06

year, which I think he will in the autumn.

4:09

But anyway, glasses of wine

4:12

will flow, so do come along and

4:14

you can book these on

4:16

the blurb to the podcast or at the relevant

4:19

websites. I think

4:22

those are the notices. Yeah,

4:25

they are. So just a few

4:27

thoughts from me. First of

4:29

all, as you know, we like to delve

4:31

deep and contextualize, but let's... For

4:35

the biggest picture of all, vis-a-vis

4:38

the boats, Rwanda, and

4:41

that court judgment. What

4:44

is totally bonkers

4:46

about it is that it's as if, in

4:49

a way, everything else in the UK

4:52

is fine, because the

4:55

amount of political energy

4:57

that's going to be sucked up in

5:00

trying to, one

5:04

way or another, get round this

5:06

unequivocal court judgment about

5:10

the illegality of the

5:12

Rwanda scheme as currently proposed

5:15

will be incredible. There will, first of

5:17

all, be this so-called emergency

5:20

legislation. Will it meet the

5:22

demands of right-wing Tory MPs?

5:25

If not, what will they do? We are

5:27

back to a Brexit dynamic,

5:30

where this party, the Conservative

5:33

Party, which has become impossible

5:36

to lead, really, for decades now, will

5:39

test the Tory leadership

5:42

again. And will it lead

5:45

to an attempt to bring about

5:47

a Brexit-style divide of

5:50

the Tories claiming to

5:52

speak for the people against the

5:55

elites, that dangerous divide

5:57

that Johnson sought? successfully

6:00

to put in place in the autumn of 2019. Do

6:03

you remember Parliament versus the people?

6:07

The elected parliament elected by

6:09

the people apparently in opposition to

6:11

the people. Will it be

6:14

this noble Tory government

6:16

against the judges, against

6:19

others? Of course,

6:21

Europe is back in it again, the

6:24

European Convention on Human

6:26

Rights, and the bizarre

6:29

thing about that judgment on

6:32

Wednesday, that dramatic Wednesday,

6:34

another pivotal day in this wild

6:37

parliament. It came from a British

6:39

court. It didn't come from Europe,

6:42

and yet there was soon that saying we won't let Europe

6:45

block us from sending people to Rwanda.

6:48

So a huge amount of political

6:50

energy is going to be sucked up on

6:53

this single issue. And

6:55

yet we live in a country where

6:59

nothing bloody works. There

7:02

was a good column the other day, I read from

7:05

someone who I know quite well, Jenny Russell

7:07

in the Times, who listed the kind of things,

7:10

you know, you post a letter, you're not sure it's going to

7:12

be delivered when it's meant to be delivered. You

7:14

go to a train station, you're not sure you're going to

7:16

be able to get the train. And if you get the train, whether

7:18

it will arrive on time or disrupt all

7:21

plans, you get in a car, and

7:24

try and go somewhere. And

7:26

here I became the driver's friend in alliance

7:28

with Rishi Sunak. And you've no idea

7:31

whether you're going to be stuck at 30 miles

7:33

per hour. And if you go above it, you get

7:35

a fine. And then you arrive exhausted

7:38

eight hours later, you can't get a GP's

7:40

appointment. And if you do and have to see

7:42

a hospital, you're

7:45

in a never ending delay. This

7:47

is and let's not forget the

7:49

sewage being pumped into the sea and

7:51

rivers and so on. This is

7:53

a country in deep crisis.

7:57

And yet the focus will be on the boats. And

7:59

Rwanda. And the

8:02

court judgment was so unequivocal,

8:05

a sane government would

8:08

accept it and move on. But

8:11

of course, we're not in the realms of reason

8:13

now. We are back in

8:16

the realms of a Tory

8:19

party, the party that rules Britain

8:21

most of the time, in another

8:24

of its heightened state

8:26

of neurosis. And

8:28

then very dangerous and odd

8:30

things start to happen. And

8:33

as I say, the dangerous and odd thing that starts

8:35

to happen now is this

8:38

focus on this issue. You

8:40

watch the media being dominated

8:42

by the vote in the Commons, what

8:44

Labour is going to do, and all

8:47

the rest of it in the coming

8:49

weeks and months, as we all

8:51

try and struggle our way around

8:54

daily life in the

8:56

United Kingdom. Historians from

8:59

the right to the left will look back in bewildered

9:01

fascination. Now, that's

9:03

not to say that this is not

9:05

an issue. I know it is. People

9:07

tell me,

9:09

Labour MPs, as much as Tory MPs,

9:12

that the boats comes up all the time on the doorstep.

9:15

It is on one level bizarre because it comes

9:18

up in places wholly unaffected

9:20

by it. But

9:23

as Michael Heseltine has observed, it was

9:25

this kind of fear

9:28

of foreigners in

9:30

inverted commas that drove the Brexit

9:32

vote to some extent. And

9:35

this clearly propels the

9:37

boat issue up the concerns

9:39

of voters. So

9:42

the issue becomes how you deal with it. Now,

9:44

this is incredibly complicated.

9:48

But what is so interesting is

9:50

how when there is

9:53

a global crisis involving

9:55

money,

9:56

countries can come together

9:58

in an attempt to deal with it.

9:59

So in 2008, we

10:02

had the global financial crash. And

10:06

under the leadership of the likes of

10:08

Gordon Brown and the newly elected

10:11

glittering President Obama,

10:14

countries came together and

10:17

coordinated a fiscal

10:20

stimulus and other

10:23

economic weapons in

10:25

an attempt together to

10:28

deal with that crash. Now

10:30

clearly what is happening here with

10:33

asylum seekers is a global

10:36

crisis of a similar

10:40

intensity. And yet countries

10:42

are wholly incapable

10:45

of coming together. There was a very interesting

10:48

model here when we had

10:50

the crisis in Syria. And

10:52

of course, we had various

10:55

leaders expressing horror

10:58

at what was going on in Syria. Do you remember

11:00

there was the image of that baby on the

11:02

beach and so on? And

11:05

Merkel in Germany announced

11:08

a proposition to coordinate

11:11

taking people in from Syria

11:14

across the EU. And she assumed

11:16

it would be a relatively straightforward

11:20

set of levers to

11:22

pull to address the immediate

11:25

crisis. But of course, it became impossible. The

11:28

opposite happened. Even countries

11:30

like Sweden, Austria, and so

11:32

on, so feared that this would

11:35

trigger a further rise of the populist

11:37

right. There was no cooperation. And

11:40

indeed, she got into trouble herself within

11:42

Germany. It partly explains

11:45

the rise. This is where the rise

11:47

began of the right wing AFD

11:50

party in Germany. And there

11:52

was no coordination. But

11:55

that is what is required in

11:57

the end because you're not dealing with

11:59

an individual country

12:02

capable of responding

12:04

in a way that addresses the issue.

12:07

And of course in Britain, Brexit has made

12:09

it worse. There was a mechanism with France

12:12

to at least seek to

12:15

control the degree to

12:17

which asylum seekers were moving around.

12:20

Between certainly the French and British borders, that

12:22

went with Brexit, Lord Frosty Frost.

12:24

You know, they actually, the EU negotiators

12:27

said, we should keep this. Frost

12:29

said, no, no, no, we're going it alone. We're going

12:31

it alone. The fall. By

12:35

the way, I see Frost tweeting about

12:37

the Tories dire opinion poll ratings,

12:40

as if he's a sort of innocent commentator

12:42

instead of a player in

12:44

the last 14 years. Anyway,

12:48

so it requires really

12:51

deep engagement with the issue

12:54

and with other countries as

12:57

part of the solution. Instead,

13:00

we have the situation

13:02

with a government that

13:05

now all have to pretend the

13:07

solution is Rwanda. I say

13:09

pretend because we

13:11

know that James cleverly in

13:13

his new role, he's been in two

13:16

days. It is a farce the way we do these

13:18

things as home secretary. Didn't

13:21

deny. He

13:23

described this Rwanda policy as

13:25

batshit at one point. So

13:29

he knows the problems. Sunak,

13:32

who is very right wing and

13:34

I think probably genuinely furious

13:37

with the courts and so on, but he is

13:39

also forensic and he will know

13:41

the scale of the challenge, but

13:43

is too weak to explain that

13:46

to the right of his party. Weak

13:48

as in too into weaker position to

13:51

do so. It's too much

13:54

of a caricature. So these people are inherently

13:56

weak that he's in a weak position.

14:00

And so you go along, Cameron

14:02

tweeted, oh, we must protect our borders. This

14:04

figure, I knew this would happen. David

14:07

Cameron's return would

14:09

be lazily portrayed

14:12

by supposedly impartial broadcasters

14:15

as a move back to the center ground because

14:18

he, Cameron, is a centrist. Now,

14:20

I say you can agree or disagree with him, and

14:23

I've met him a few times,

14:25

liked him, but he's a figure

14:27

of the right in terms of economic policy.

14:30

Look at their response to the global financial

14:33

crash. David Cameron

14:35

and George Osborne were the only leaders

14:38

of a mainstream Western party who

14:40

in 2008 responded

14:43

to that crash by calling for real-term spending

14:45

cuts. And that

14:47

was not the response even of President

14:50

Bush in the United States in

14:52

his dying days as President

14:54

before Obama came in. But

14:58

that was their kind of response, and it was in consultation

15:00

with Nigel Lawson and Jeffrey Howe. They

15:03

are figures of the 1980s

15:05

in terms of economic policy

15:08

to the right of Thatcher, actually, who never imposed

15:10

real-term spending cuts. But

15:13

anyway, there's Cameron now saying, we've got to protect

15:15

our borders fully behind. He must have discussed

15:18

this with Sunak. They are all

15:20

going to apply

15:23

huge amounts of political capital

15:25

and energy in trying to get a few

15:28

people to Rwanda before

15:30

the general election. And

15:32

if they fail, they will try

15:35

to blame Labour and the North

15:37

London elites, lawyers like

15:40

Keir Starmer. That

15:42

clearly is the strategy. And

15:45

whether they can play the same trick again, who

15:47

knows? But that is the trick

15:50

they will seek to play.

15:52

And as I say, it's kind of you to spare

15:55

on so many different levels. Another level

15:57

that you despair is... Why

16:00

the heck did they pursue this

16:04

when they must have been advised

16:07

that it was not going

16:09

to pass remotely

16:11

the kind of legal tests? It

16:13

wasn't just the ECHR that

16:15

was being violated. Several other laws

16:18

were being challenged by this proposition

16:21

according to the unequivocal court

16:23

judgment. And here, of course, the

16:25

answer again is the politics of the Conservative

16:28

Party. If you remember, the

16:31

proposal to send asylum seekers to Rwanda

16:33

was made by Johnson in a big speech.

16:36

I think it was one Friday when he was

16:39

in deep trouble for lying over the parties

16:41

and all kinds of other things. And

16:43

it was briefed that this was part

16:45

of the so-called Operation

16:47

Save Big Dog. Again,

16:50

what a dark farce that becomes

16:52

tragedy. And so we know

16:55

what happened. There was an embryonic

16:57

plan to send people to Rwanda

17:00

that hadn't been fully thought through. But

17:02

Johnson was desperate, wanted an announcement

17:05

to please his parliamentary party

17:07

who were beginning to stir against him. So

17:09

he seized on this and

17:13

gave great hope to the fantasists

17:15

of the right who have always been

17:18

loved this idea of

17:20

taking these people, incidentally many of them

17:23

desperate, who theoretically British

17:26

government's kind of support. We're

17:28

talking about people from Afghanistan, Syria,

17:31

et cetera, et cetera. But when it

17:34

comes to it, they loved the fantasy of kicking

17:36

them off Britain and

17:38

going somewhere else. This began

17:41

with Michael Howard, who was

17:43

a, he was on the right, but a very,

17:45

again, reasonable figure, a bit like David Cameron,

17:48

a figure of the right, but very decent. I

17:50

got to know him quite well, liked him a lot, and

17:52

went to his house a few times. He was a figure

17:54

of the right. And he proposed

17:57

when he was leader to

17:59

send. asylum seekers to an island.

18:03

And Tony Blair, who was very

18:05

alert to the electoral

18:07

potential of being tough on these people,

18:10

but was able to mock it. So where is this

18:13

island? And of course, Michael Howard

18:15

couldn't answer. And Johnson

18:17

found the equivalent of an island

18:20

in Rwanda. But had not, he

18:22

wouldn't have read any of the details and wouldn't

18:24

have listened to any warnings that it wouldn't

18:26

be feasible. He wanted to

18:29

make that speech to save his own

18:31

skin. And hundreds of millions

18:33

of pounds of people have been terrified

18:35

in order to bring that

18:38

about. So on many,

18:40

many levels, it

18:43

is deeply depressing. And

18:45

we are living through another psycho

18:48

drama in a Conservative Party

18:50

that has become almost impossible to lead

18:53

really since the early 1990s.

18:55

Major was the first leader who found it

18:58

almost impossible to lead. And

19:01

so it has continued. Now

19:04

is the Labour Party becoming very

19:06

difficult to lead suddenly? Kostama

19:09

having taken over with a kind of ruthless

19:11

focus since he became

19:13

leader in 2020, faced

19:17

a big revolt over

19:20

the call for a ceasefire.

19:23

On one level, this was the exact

19:26

opposite of the boats,

19:29

in that when you go and step

19:32

a long way back from the highly

19:34

emotive, highly charged

19:37

feeling within the Labour Party

19:39

about the horrors of this situation,

19:44

there really wasn't actually a big gap

19:46

in the end between the motion that the

19:49

leadership put forward calling

19:52

for an extended pause and

19:55

an immediate ceasefire. It wasn't, you

19:58

know, the fact that against

20:00

the stammer motion, it

20:03

shows that the

20:06

sort of bipartisan approach is beginning

20:08

to shift. And so

20:10

I suspect this is

20:13

not now, in the short

20:15

term at least, an

20:18

early example of the

20:20

parliamentary Labour Party becoming

20:23

much more difficult to handle.

20:26

However, and by the way,

20:30

after it will be 14 years next year

20:32

of conservative rule, there

20:34

is enough hunger for

20:37

an election victory for

20:40

a kind of unity

20:42

to reassert itself, I

20:45

sense. But I

20:48

think there are lessons for Gistama

20:51

in that revolt. It was a revolt of MPs

20:54

from across the spectrum and

20:58

couldn't be caricatured as

21:00

the Corbinistas stirring it or whatever.

21:04

And he lost the likes of Gist

21:06

Phillips from the front bench.

21:11

And I think the lesson, clearly

21:14

a two-fold, we've been through already. I

21:17

kind of sensed at the Labour

21:20

Party conference in Liverpool

21:23

that there was a kind of

21:26

premature, a kind

21:28

of celebratory mood

21:30

over how much of the media

21:33

were saying, in Gistama's immediate

21:36

response to the horrors of October

21:39

the 7th in Israel, oh,

21:41

thank God it's not Corbin there, it's stammer.

21:44

It's a party growing up ready for government

21:46

and the spinners

21:49

were spinning all of this. I

21:52

could see trouble ahead and said on this podcast

21:54

I could see trouble ahead before

21:57

actually even I think Keir

21:59

had given his disastrous

22:02

LBC interview where he

22:04

appeared to say, and I've heard it many times, he

22:06

did say, maybe

22:08

not, he thought he was answering something else, but

22:10

he did say that Israel had the right to

22:13

block fuel and food

22:16

to Gaza as part of their

22:19

response to the hell of October

22:21

the 7th. Anyway, that was the kind

22:23

of framing, it was those days

22:26

where a framing got into

22:30

the minds of some MPs and Muslim

22:32

voters of imbalance,

22:37

and I think with some justification in

22:39

the early days. Now

22:41

that has been addressed since I think his cat-of-house

22:43

speech was much more balanced and there

22:46

was an explanation. Something

22:48

leaders need to do if they're to become political

22:51

teachers is to explain why

22:53

you are arguing for what you are doing,

22:56

not just say it and assert it, but

22:58

why. And I

23:00

think he explained his position

23:03

well then and it was more balanced and

23:06

the motion, although long and

23:09

a bit convoluted, was

23:12

also balanced. But

23:16

then Kestan would put out a statement

23:18

after the revolt saying leadership

23:20

is doing the right thing, and I have to say my

23:24

heart sank because it

23:26

was copying again something

23:29

that there is a tendency to do. I don't know

23:31

whether he's writing it or people who used to work

23:34

for Tony Blair write it. That's precisely

23:36

the kind of language Tony Blair

23:39

used in the build-up to Iraq

23:41

and in the aftermath when it was clear

23:43

it was all going wrong. I'm

23:46

doing the right thing. Leadership is about

23:49

doing the right thing. Just examine

23:51

those words. The essence

23:53

of politics is a debate about

23:56

what is the right thing to do, not least

23:58

in the context of what you are doing. something

24:00

as complex and hellish as

24:02

the Middle East. And I

24:05

think the use of that kind of language reveals

24:08

a mindset that has

24:10

underestimated the importance

24:13

of party management as

24:15

a skill and deafness and sensitivity

24:19

to party management. I

24:22

mean Blair could go around and say, I'm doing the right thing,

24:25

you know, there might be people to the right of me,

24:27

left of me complaining and stuff, but I do

24:29

the right thing with the implication

24:31

that there's a sort of godlike gift

24:34

in the leader to recognize what

24:36

is right. Now, maybe you can do that

24:39

after winning three elections, although it didn't really

24:41

help him much in terms of Iraq

24:44

to any Blair, but you can't really do that

24:46

at this stage. Although, you know,

24:48

you got this big opinion poll lead, there

24:51

is a need to engage. And I know his

24:53

office has worked really hard and Sue

24:55

Grey has chaired daily meetings

24:58

on all of this because it has caused such

25:00

a trauma within the Labour Party.

25:03

But I think there are two lessons. One is to try

25:06

and anticipate in advance the

25:09

difficulties that might erupt on

25:12

any given topic and

25:15

act accordingly from day

25:18

one, because of the LBC thing and some

25:20

of the other stuff in the early days, I think

25:23

are the background to this, but

25:26

also to engage within

25:29

a party as well. Obviously, the

25:31

main role of a leader of the opposition is to win

25:33

elections and Labour are

25:35

useless at that. But

25:38

there is party management issues as well.

25:41

Now, you know, somewhere has

25:43

lifted the language of Tony Blair again, in his

25:46

response to that Commons revolt.

25:49

But there are other models I mean, I will

25:52

look at this in more detail. I haven't done much

25:54

of this beyond interviewing Nick Thomas Simmons,

25:57

when he wrote his very good biography

25:59

on how Harold Wilson. But Wilson

26:01

is a model which you sometimes have to

26:04

apply. It's not as glamorous as

26:06

Blair's, crusading, I do the

26:08

right thing, come what may. But

26:11

sometimes you have to use the Wilsonian

26:13

skills when a party is so fundamentally

26:16

split. Although fundamental

26:18

isn't a wrong word to say that the vibe

26:20

is between a long pause and a ceasefire.

26:23

You know, these are kind of,

26:27

they are both significant and small.

26:29

But anyway, Wilsonian skills

26:31

are sometimes required a capacity to

26:34

engage with different

26:36

sections of a party that is inevitably

26:39

still a broad church. However, the

26:41

many you purge and

26:43

purging is not always the answer either

26:46

in terms of party management and

26:48

winning elections. So I do

26:50

think there are lessons, but I don't

26:53

think it will trigger a

26:55

kind of period of huge turbulence

26:58

within that parliamentary Labour Party, because

27:01

an election is looming. But

27:05

what happens after an election, I

27:08

think there are lessons about

27:10

leadership and managing parties

27:13

in government. On

27:16

the Tory side, clearly we

27:18

know a period of turbulence

27:20

has begun again.

27:23

So yeah, what

27:25

dramas?

27:36

The news! It's everywhere! It's relentless

27:38

and frankly we know some of you have tuned

27:41

out. But what if I told you we can give you

27:43

the headlines, the chunky bits, the gossip,

27:45

the scandal and even the Daily Star's

27:47

mad front pages, all in 30 minutes

27:50

every day. Introducing Papercuts,

27:53

the funniest, sharpest and wittiest way

27:55

to get your daily news. Join me

27:57

Miranda Sawyer and a host of journalists and

27:59

comedians.

28:28

worship

30:01

of Lee Rowley, the new housing minister,

30:04

the 500th housing minister. It's

30:06

not as if we've got a housing crisis in Britain,

30:08

is it? You know, with housing

30:11

ministers last about six months if they're lucky

30:13

and it's part of the madness. But

30:16

forget about a focus on housing, it's all

30:18

going to be about flying people to Rwanda.

30:21

Anyway, to your question,

30:23

oh yeah, the other thing I've had loads of brilliant questions

30:26

about the COVID inquiry and the

30:28

lessons from it, as usual, ranging

30:30

very widely. Dominique

30:32

Adjoul, our French correspondent comparing

30:35

how France is looking at the lessons learned

30:37

compared with here. But if it's all right with you, I'm

30:39

going to save those to

30:42

when Johnson and Co are

30:44

witnesses at the COVID inquiry because we've had

30:47

so much going on in

30:49

the last few days. But thank you for all your

30:51

reflections on the lessons to be learned. There

30:53

are loads. Okay, over

30:55

to your questions. Luca McCall, who

30:58

has contacted us before, I'm

31:01

a 20 year old student studying archaeology

31:04

at Glasgow University. I remember Luca.

31:07

Yeah, by the way, we have loads of students

31:10

listening to this podcast.

31:13

You know, I'm fascinated by the BBC.

31:16

They have endless meetings. How do we get younger

31:18

people? And their answer

31:20

is to be patronising and

31:22

only run things for three minutes and

31:25

you know, kind of the Laura

31:27

Coonsford Sunday program. No more than six

31:29

minutes and let's get a comedian in.

31:31

That will get younger audience. Anyway, Luca.

31:36

I know Scottish politics, the last thing on everyone's

31:38

mind at the moment. However, I think that the conflict

31:40

in the Middle East is exposed a rift between

31:42

Anna Sawa and Keir Stama that

31:45

may be a key dynamic come next year

31:47

and beyond. This rift has actually

31:49

been exposed before during the rubber-glam

31:52

by-election over the two-child

31:54

benefit cap. However, both the

31:56

SNP and Tories couldn't capitalise

31:58

on it. I would

32:01

be interested to know your thoughts on this dynamic

32:03

and how parties can disagree without

32:06

appearing divided in trouble. Yeah,

32:08

that's very interesting because this over

32:10

the ceasefire issue, Anna

32:13

Sawa, Andy Burnham and

32:17

Sadiq Khan all took a different

32:19

position to Stama. They called for an immediate

32:22

ceasefire. And in a way, Sawa

32:24

was the most interesting because he's,

32:28

the others have had clashes with Stama, especially

32:31

Andy Burnham. They don't get on, the two of them. And

32:35

Stama wrongly, in my

32:37

view, in a panic reaction to the Utsbridge

32:39

by-election defeat distanced himself from

32:42

Sadiq Khan's Ulyss

32:44

policy. But

32:47

Anna Sawa and Kistama get

32:49

on really well. Kistama recognises

32:52

what a good job Anna Sawa is doing in

32:55

Scotland and Anna Stawa recognises

32:58

a key to Labour doing well in

33:00

Scotland is Kistama. Because

33:02

if it looks as if Labour could form a UK

33:04

government, that changes the dynamic in Scotland.

33:07

And yet, he challenged him on this

33:09

most fundamental of issues. But

33:12

again, a bit like the whole PLP

33:15

internal tension, I think

33:17

we've just got to learn to

33:19

accept with devolution that

33:23

there will be differences. And

33:25

in a way, they can be healthy because

33:28

they can challenge. Labour

33:31

leaderships at Westminster tend to have

33:33

so much influence from the right-wing

33:36

media, focus groups and so on. These

33:39

other voices, I think, are important and legitimate.

33:43

And I think there is space

33:45

for these figures to take different

33:48

points of view without bringing the whole house

33:51

down. But we'll see, Luca, in

33:53

the coming months. You're right. The dynamic

33:56

is interesting.

33:59

over to Stuart Pearson. You

34:02

have a fan in Seattle and in

34:04

the liberal Pacific Northwest, you

34:06

should have many. Oh, thank you. Well, Stuart,

34:08

tell everyone in the liberal Pacific

34:10

Northwest to subscribe

34:13

to the podcast. That would be great. I

34:16

became a member of the cooperative recently and I

34:18

enjoyed your discussion about power, where

34:21

power lies. I

34:25

found Sunak's genuflection to Musk

34:27

and the projection of X on number 10 deeply

34:30

embarrassing. The truths

34:32

about musks and the reality about AI

34:35

are coming out now. Anyway,

34:38

Stuart, who is originally from Scotland,

34:40

even now in trendy Seattle, Gordon

34:45

Brown has prepared a plan for labor to devolve

34:47

power. This links to Lucas question. Why

34:49

is this not the rallying call for

34:52

Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves? Devolve

34:54

representation will better allocate

34:56

resources to regional and local

34:58

needs. People have asked me what

35:01

it was like to live in Trump's America. And the answer

35:03

is that the Northwest California and many

35:05

states were

35:08

never there. We weren't living in Trump's

35:10

US because of the power of

35:13

the individual states. Yeah, well, that's

35:15

interesting. So

35:18

the answer is partly that at the beginning of

35:20

this year, Keir Starmer did

35:23

make a big play about this saying the

35:25

big idea for him was

35:28

a historic transfer of power

35:30

away from Westminster. He even

35:32

used the phrase take back control. But

35:35

it hasn't been followed through

35:37

fully. And indeed, the year has been

35:40

marked by tensions. We've just been

35:42

discussing with some of the devolved leaders.

35:45

And so there is always

35:47

an ambiguity in opposition about

35:50

this and certainly in government where you

35:52

want to proclaim your willingness to give

35:54

away power to trust the people to

35:56

trust local communities, but

35:58

then also make pledges.

35:59

centrally

36:01

in the culture of British politics,

36:03

which is a pretty unhealthy culture.

36:05

You know, that every

36:07

penny will be spent wisely. And

36:10

if you pledge that, you can't devolve much power,

36:12

because you're in the Treasury

36:14

going to keep a watch on every

36:17

hate me. It's part of the mad tax

36:19

and spend debate and where power

36:22

lies and how can people be trusted,

36:25

and so on. So, Stuart, they're

36:28

half there with the brown proposition,

36:30

some of which I think will be implemented, but

36:32

not wholly. And thank you very much

36:35

and do spread the word throughout the whole of the United

36:37

States. Thank you very much. I'll

36:40

tell you we kind of range widely.

36:43

We're now over to Alex Bell, who lives in

36:45

Switzerland, leading a

36:47

kind of life which I think will be fantastically

36:51

high quality. Alex has

36:53

a theory that the red wall doesn't really exist.

36:56

And this is quite interesting. He says the

36:59

last election was boiled down to a single

37:01

issue, get Brexit done. Half

37:03

the country had voted for Brexit. No single

37:06

party of the big two had come

37:08

out against it in the referendum.

37:11

So for those reasons, if you were a Brexiteer,

37:13

you were going to vote Tory if you weren't a dyed

37:15

in the wool labor supporter. Unsurprisingly,

37:18

the Tories won a landslide. Onto

37:20

the future election, Brexit has happened as

37:22

far as it's going to. So there's nothing to vote

37:24

for there. Corbyn and Johnson have both

37:26

gone and everyone is harshly bored of the Tories.

37:29

So Labour will win probably easily.

37:31

It's not like the red wall is going to come crashing

37:34

down. It doesn't exist. It was a

37:36

moment in time. Stalmer

37:39

may be only marginally more popular than Sunak. It

37:41

doesn't really matter. Yeah,

37:44

I've always had my doubts about this caricature

37:47

of the red wall, but it is. It

37:49

is interesting. I was speaking to someone who used to

37:51

be an MP in one of the constituencies

37:53

of the Red Wall. And

37:57

he was there. He joined the Labour

37:59

Party. He was a and you join the Labour

38:01

Party in 1973 or 1974 when the miners

38:03

strikes were going on and so on.

38:10

And he told me that the Yorkshire NUN then,

38:13

for their annual

38:15

gala, wanted

38:17

as one of the speakers Enoch Powell because

38:20

they were anti the common market

38:23

and Powell was supporting the miners then

38:26

over free market principles. And that they

38:28

had become more valuable because

38:31

of their worth

38:33

compared with oil prices that are quadrupled.

38:37

And so, you know, the kind of

38:39

issues that were around in the Brexit referendum

38:42

were around in the early 70s and they

38:44

then, some revered Enoch

38:46

Powell. So I agree with you.

38:48

It's been exaggerated

38:50

this rebel. They're human beings with their own

38:52

issues and if you engage you can soon

38:55

find that although maybe

38:58

on the surface they'll say in a focus group the

39:01

boats is the number one issue. When

39:03

you actually ask them are you worried about seeing a

39:05

GP? They say, oh yeah. And

39:07

what about a hospital? Oh yeah. And

39:10

it's easy to get to places. No, the buses

39:12

never run and you know, only

39:15

two a day. And suddenly you're

39:17

in a world which we've all talked

39:19

about in the cooperative.

39:21

So, and I think you're

39:23

right Alex, 2019 was a very huge election.

39:26

A lot of different

39:27

worlds.

39:41

Now look, we've been going on for a long time. I know

39:43

there's going to be one more because it's relevant

39:46

to what I was saying

39:48

last week from Rick Muir who's director

39:50

of the police foundation. He was

39:53

responding to, see, I kind of

39:55

dared for a second to take part

39:58

of Sowel Abravman's office. argument seriously

40:01

about who is accountable

40:04

for what in terms of policing. And

40:06

if that march had gone wrong, I've got absolutely

40:08

no doubt that as the elected

40:10

Home Secretary, she would have been partly

40:13

held accountable. So

40:16

although she was doing

40:18

it for shallow reasons, there was

40:21

an argument there. But Rick

40:23

Nure says this, police accountability

40:26

takes two forms. One

40:28

set the budget, the legal framework and

40:30

the broad priorities for policing. But

40:33

then the police make operational decisions

40:35

without political interference. Politicians

40:38

can retrospectively hold the police to

40:40

account for their operational decisions afterwards.

40:44

So if a protest is badly policed, they can

40:47

question that and make changes in guidance

40:49

or law if necessary. What

40:51

Brabhamon was seeking to do was to tell the

40:53

Commission of the Met to ban a

40:55

protest, which is his decision in

40:57

law, not hers. More than that, she

40:59

was asking him to act unlawfully because

41:02

it was clear the high threshold

41:04

for a protest to be banned was not met.

41:07

I'm still loving the podcast. Oh, thank you, Rick.

41:10

Yeah, no, I absolutely take your point.

41:12

And in the current context,

41:15

she was going not just too far, but way

41:17

beyond too far than what she

41:19

was trying to do. But I do

41:21

think these issues of accountability are very

41:23

complicated because perhaps wrongly,

41:27

but maybe it would be the media culture say

41:30

that she hadn't done any of the things she did, but

41:32

she was she was just posturing or

41:35

largely posturing. And

41:37

it's all gone wrong last Saturday

41:41

or more wrong than some of it did with

41:43

the thugs and so

41:45

on. I

41:48

wonder who would the today program

41:50

would get at 10 past eight, maybe the

41:52

commissioner, but quite possibly they

41:54

would bid for Brabhamon as home

41:56

secretary. But

41:59

I could. take your point that within the current

42:02

framework she

42:04

was going way beyond her remit.

42:06

Oh God we have so many things

42:09

to go you know Hugh Carr asking

42:11

about John Major as a tail end, Charlie,

42:13

who kind of transcended the problems of being

42:16

a leader after a long-serving

42:18

Prime Minister. Alison

42:21

Keyes wondering about how furious

42:23

Johnson and Nadine Doris must be

42:26

with Cameron effortlessly becoming

42:28

a Lord, yet just imagine

42:30

Nadine Doris who ached to

42:32

get that period and their camera just strolls

42:35

in. Caroline Morgan wondering

42:37

though whether Nadine does have a point about

42:40

their being a sort of cabal

42:43

at Westminster. Does

42:46

Dominic Cummings still have any influence

42:48

at all and are the powerful

42:50

people behind him? I don't

42:52

think at the moment I think he's screaming from

42:54

the sidelines these days. Anthony

42:57

Howes another student at University

43:00

of Liverpool holding a conference about David

43:02

Owen who's coming up. I'd love

43:04

to reflect more Anthony on David Owen another

43:06

time. John Lamont great question

43:10

about the King's speech and

43:12

its emptiness and

43:14

why and

43:17

yeah Mark Holling wondering

43:20

whether the Cameron

43:23

move is to woo the blue

43:26

wall. I think it is partly Mark I don't

43:28

know whether it will succeed. Mark by the way offers,

43:30

I met him

43:32

several times in North

43:35

Berwick during the Edinburgh Festival, he's a

43:37

passionate cyclist. Perhaps

43:39

I should be the cycle route rep on

43:41

the cooperative always happy

43:43

to suggest good bike rides and

43:45

routes for a more sustainable transport

43:48

future. There's an offer because

43:52

yeah he recommended some great bike rides when

43:54

we were at the Edinburgh Festival

43:56

and so nice to hear from you Mark you're on.

43:59

That is your role in the cooperative. I

44:01

could go on many many more questions.

44:03

Keep them coming. We'll be getting together again

44:06

early next week. Thanks so much for tuning

44:08

in for a second time but I think you'll

44:10

agree we've got so much to make sense

44:12

of and more to make sense of in the days

44:15

to come. We've got that autumn statement as we're

44:17

about to do to next week but

44:19

at least it'll be time for us to have a wider engagement

44:22

with the questions as well. Thanks so

44:24

much. Take a deep breath. There's a lot going

44:26

on and let's gather together

44:29

very soon to make sense of

44:31

it all. Thank you. Bye.

44:41

We're

44:44

diving into more quirky and bizarre events

44:47

from history including the Race with

44:49

the Atomic Bomb, Who Gets Nuclear

44:51

Weapons First, The Nazis or America.

44:54

Listen to our podcast to find out. We

44:56

talk

44:56

about the Glamour Boys, the gay parliamentarians

44:59

who warned Westminster all about Hitler.

45:01

Can I stop John from singing songs from

45:03

Cabaret? Find out. So

45:05

join us history nerds John O'Farrell

45:08

and Angela Barnes for the new series

45:10

of We Are History from Podmasters.

45:13

Out now.

45:17

Origin Story is back with Season 4 exploring

45:19

more of history's most important concepts

45:22

events and people to discuss how they

45:24

influence political discourse today. And we're going

45:26

to start with one of the most contentious and frankly irritating

45:28

characters in the political circuit and that is Jordan

45:30

Peterson. My name is Ian Dunt.

45:33

I'm Dory Olinsky and we have gone through the supreme

45:36

emotional pain of reading what the man has to say.

45:38

So come join us on the 23rd of October

45:40

when we delve into it. That's Origin Story Season

45:43

4, available now wherever you get your podcasts.

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