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You need Indeed. Heston

1:12

Kierstadt is the next to get the call for the Orioles.

1:14

How much are we going to be all in on him?

1:16

How much is he going to play? And

1:18

who's next? All coming up next on the

1:20

RotoWire Fantasy Baseball podcast. Hey

1:35

everybody, welcome to the RotoWire Fantasy

1:37

Baseball podcast. I'm Jeff Erickson. He

1:40

is Fred Zinke. As always, our podcasts are

1:42

brought to you by Prize Picks and Vivid

1:44

Seats. Fred Heston Kierstadt is

1:46

the next to get the call for

1:48

the Orioles as the development train just

1:50

keeps on chugging down the tracks. It's

1:54

true. It's like the Orioles

1:56

have injuries or slumps and then they

1:58

get even better. gets hurt

2:00

they can call up someone who's even better than

2:02

said player or I guess potentially better oh shouldn't

2:04

maybe go that far yet but Jackson

2:07

holiday has reminded us that calling up a

2:09

top prospect doesn't necessarily make your lineup better

2:11

not right away that's right exactly right and

2:13

there there are countless examples of prospects

2:16

that struggle on their first second third taste and still

2:18

get it I mean let's look at the Orioles look

2:20

at Colton cows or this in Jordan Westburg this year

2:22

Westburg kind of held his own last year but cows

2:24

are really struggled that's

2:27

right and like you said Westburg even wasn't special

2:29

last year at all and it's off to this

2:31

great start we'll see if you can keep it

2:33

going but but what the Orioles have I guess

2:35

just that other teams don't have is the ability

2:38

to be exciting right it's the ability to pivot

2:40

at any point in time to

2:42

a player with massive potential which is what's

2:44

happening right now with your set yep

2:47

exactly and yeah

2:49

this Norfolk team is just a machine

2:51

they've been super fun to watch we're

2:54

seeing Kobe Mayo highlights all the time

2:56

cows are highlights Kyle Stowers Connor Norby

2:58

I mean you know what holiday for

3:00

a while it might be holiday again

3:02

we'll see about that but

3:04

it's just it's a reminder so Keirstad

3:07

let's take a look at him himself

3:10

on the merits here because you know it's

3:12

official he's gotten the call he

3:15

is our number 55 prospect number

3:17

311 dynasty guy he made

3:20

he got the call last year and he there

3:23

were there's some positives and negatives hit only

3:25

233 struck out 10 times

3:27

and 32 played appearances that's not good but

3:29

he had two homers there still still

3:31

slugged 467 and obviously this year in

3:34

Norfolk he's hitting 349 431 744

3:38

as a slug I mean it's just just tearing

3:40

it apart for in the

3:42

international league yeah

3:44

definitely seems like that lineup

3:47

just overwhelms triple-a pitching I mean

3:49

like we're definitely

3:51

seeing some of the players like cows are who recently

3:53

on that team doing well in the majors but it

3:56

seems like that lineup I wonder how many pitchers I

3:58

wonder how much those batters are benefiting from the fact

4:00

that the pitcher as he's moving through

4:02

that lineup just isn't getting a break. Right. And

4:04

you know, we see that in major leagues sometimes

4:06

with like really great lineups, like kind of like

4:08

the one the Braves have right now where they

4:11

just keep coming at you. But

4:13

this seems at the triple-A level, this is on a another

4:16

level as far as like the like absurd dominance,

4:18

at least to open the season. We'll see where

4:20

it goes from here. I think

4:23

the big thing with Kierstad though is what

4:25

will his role be and how long will he

4:27

be up? Like the injury to Hayes seems

4:30

like it's not one that's gonna keep him out for

4:32

months. So is this the kind of

4:34

time where Kierstad is gonna be up for

4:36

three weeks and during those three

4:38

weeks he's only gonna play half the

4:41

time? Right. I

4:43

think I don't think you call up Kierstad unless you're

4:45

gonna play him. I feel like

4:47

you're gonna play him and you're gonna play him

4:49

regularly. I understand though it's tough because you know

4:51

I don't think I don't think it's even about

4:53

Hayes. I think it was gonna be tough even

4:56

before that, right? Just pulling up their

4:58

depth chart right now, pulling that up

5:00

on another tab. It's just like yeah like you

5:03

can't sit Ryan Mountcastle very much right

5:05

now. He's got an 888 OPS

5:08

just as far as... He's banged up

5:10

right now too. He might be, he's got

5:12

a sore knee. He didn't play yesterday because

5:14

of that knee. Yeah I guess. I'm just

5:16

thinking more like permanent you know if he's

5:18

just day to day. Ryan

5:20

O'Hern, I was like oh they should sit Ryan

5:23

O'Hern. He's just Ryan O'Hern. He's 30 years old

5:25

like he's not very good. He's got so far

5:27

this year in 881 OPS and last year... And

5:29

getting third against Rydy's. You got to... And

5:32

last year with Baltimore, he had an 801.

5:34

Oh yeah. 801 still is

5:36

excellent. Like if Kierstad could

5:38

have an 800 OPS right away that would be

5:40

really nice like out of the gate. I mean maybe he could beat

5:42

it but that would be really good out of the gate. So it's

5:45

like the only guy I can see

5:47

in their lineup that they could really

5:49

sit would be Jackson Holiday but that doesn't

5:51

really work with this whole... Like

5:53

as far as just someone who's really struggling at the

5:55

plate but that doesn't really work with this scenario. Positioning

5:58

doesn't work very well. Yeah, exactly. I

6:00

mean and Cedric Mullins even if they were gonna try to

6:02

get creative in their outfield He has an 808 OPS no

6:05

far this year. So There's

6:07

no real need to sit him. It's really just

6:09

holiday or maybe Oh hern

6:12

if you just decide like the future is

6:14

now and Oh hern's just not special and

6:17

It's time for him to just be a backup player and

6:19

then you have Mount Castle play first base I

6:23

don't know. I don't I want to get behind

6:25

here said because I have a lot of fantasy teams

6:27

that could use an offensive spark But

6:29

I'm not totally sure if this is my

6:31

guy who I dumped Hundreds

6:33

of fab dollars on it. It's an interesting thing

6:35

to kind of break down and they still have

6:37

Kobe Mayo Who's number numbers at

6:40

triple-a are similar? Basement

6:42

now that's where the positions could work

6:44

because they could put Mayo at third

6:46

and Westburg at second and send holiday

6:48

back down Yeah, that's something where

6:50

I could see that happening. I don't think they call

6:53

it Mayo until like they're absolutely certain He's ready and

6:55

he's gonna play every day Yep,

6:58

I yeah, I totally agree this this lineup

7:00

is just as a as you're

7:02

explaining that I was looking to this lineup like Adley,

7:05

Russian was a number one overall pick Jackson

7:07

holiday wasn't number one overall pick Yeah,

7:10

your said was a number two overall pick Golden

7:13

cows are was number five overall pick like it

7:15

just keeps going even Mount Castle was the first

7:17

round pick I'll

7:19

be at the very back But it's just this

7:21

lineup is just so full of Gunnar Henderson was

7:23

a second round pick It's just so full of

7:26

players who were ticketed for stardom. We're seeing

7:28

all these years of the Orioles being bad

7:31

Yeah, it is

7:33

no coincidence because they've got sigmadol in

7:35

their front office He was

7:37

part of the Astros tear down and rebuild. I

7:40

mean, this is this is kind of a proven

7:42

way to do it But

7:44

you have to still do it, right? I mean there are

7:46

teams like the Pirates who have been Having

7:49

similar draft picks all these years and they still haven't

7:51

been able to pull this off They

7:53

got Paul Skeens this year that we're super excited

7:55

about but I'll say notice one thing. There's a

7:57

trend here They're Astros and the Cubs kind

7:59

of delayed the blueprint for the Orioles that

8:02

they're building around hitters. Yes. And

8:05

then they'll add the pitching on top when

8:07

they're ready. I think that's the way to do

8:09

it. I mean, you lose these pitching prospects. We

8:11

just saw your, I mean, we were like to

8:13

bring it back to our spring training conversations about

8:15

the Marlins and how much pitching the Marlins have.

8:17

Well, now Yuri Perez is gone. Like you build,

8:19

like you have these amazing young pitchers. I'm a

8:21

Jays fan. Ricky Tiedemann's got an arm injury right

8:23

now. Like we're not really sure where things

8:26

are going to go for him. So like maybe look

8:28

at Nate Pearson's career path to see

8:31

that's no, no things guaranteed. Look at

8:33

Forest Whitley on the Astros. Nothing's guaranteed.

8:36

That's right. And so for

8:38

a team like the Orioles are just overflowing

8:40

with hitting prospects. It's almost similar to how

8:42

teams are giving out short contracts to pitchers

8:44

right now in general. So they're

8:47

not, they're not saying they won't pay

8:49

pitchers. They're just saying if they're going

8:51

to pay you, they need you to pitch. So

8:53

we'll give you a two-year deal, maybe

8:56

a three-year deal because we can't just soak up

8:58

years of paying you and you not pitching. It's

9:00

not that far off with the prospects where we're like,

9:03

okay, if we're going to invest in an early round

9:05

pick on you, we need you to play. And these

9:07

hitters like, like Kerstag could turn

9:09

out to be an all-star or

9:11

he could turn out to just be like pretty

9:14

good, but he'll probably turn out to be

9:16

something like an absolute worst. He'll probably turn

9:18

out to just be like an average player.

9:20

The next Austin Hayes. Exactly. I was actually

9:22

just thinking if I was going to say

9:24

that or give him a little more credit,

9:26

but yes, that kind of thing. And now

9:28

they're overflowing with hitting prospects. They can just

9:31

trade for pitching. They did it with Corbin

9:33

Burns. They'll probably do

9:35

it again this year. And if they don't do

9:37

it during this year, they'll do it next offseason

9:39

where boom, they just plunk in another really good

9:41

starter because they could trade Kerstag or any of

9:43

these prospects and get a really good

9:45

starter. So it's, I think that's the way to

9:47

do it. I mean, it can't be so

9:49

simple. It's just say, well, we're just not going

9:51

to draft any pitchers, but yeah, build it. If

9:53

you're in a deep rebuild, build around hitting. Yeah,

9:57

I think that could be the way to do it. Anyways, jumping back.

10:00

Back to fantasy. Do you think, I guess the

10:02

die will be cast with Kirsten between now and Sunday just

10:05

I guess on how much he plays in

10:07

the next four or five days and if the Orioles make

10:09

any comments about how much he's going to play. But this

10:11

is something. Well the short term outlook for sure he's going

10:13

to play a bunch I would say. Yes. Right.

10:16

Maybe he sits at the lefty once or twice but

10:18

even that I'm skeptical that he sits that much. Again,

10:21

you don't call him up if you're not playing and

10:23

playing him. Looking at the Orioles

10:25

schedule, they face Griffin Canning tonight, Tyler Anderson

10:27

tomorrow at the lefty. He's here over the

10:30

weekend. He's here, this is not just a

10:32

lefty but a good lefty at this point in time. So

10:35

that's possibly two sits but we'll

10:38

see. Maybe even play for that. Maybe he

10:40

splits, does one and not the other. But

10:43

the question is when everybody's healthy. Like when, sorry, you

10:45

know up to you. No, no, no, that's

10:47

fine. Yeah, when Hayes, when

10:50

Hayes is back, like what

10:52

happens? Does Kirsten just go back down? That

10:55

is the question and some of it will depend on how he plays.

10:58

But in some ways it may not. Like when Hayes comes back,

11:00

they might just say, well, we're not sending cows are down. We're

11:03

not like, no, obviously not. The

11:07

cow is out of the barn. For

11:10

sure. And we're not

11:12

benching O'Hern. So that's

11:14

the other one that to me would be really obvious

11:16

at some point is O'Hern just the

11:18

clock strikes 12 on him. He has

11:20

a few weeks with a 700 OPS and then they just

11:23

make him a backup. But it's possible

11:25

they're showcasing Kierstad for a trade too. I

11:29

guess it's possible. I don't know if they even need to do that.

11:32

How could you showcase him any better than what he's been doing at

11:34

AAA? Right? Like everybody in the

11:36

back, I guess he could only lose. I guess

11:38

he could gain value if he came up and

11:40

just ripped it up right away. But you can

11:42

also like guess lose value if he looked a

11:45

little over matched. I don't know. I

11:48

will be very, very interested in how the next few

11:50

days goes with him because like I said, I

11:52

have multiple teams where my pitching has been better

11:55

than my hitting. I could use an impact bat.

11:57

I'm just not For sure

11:59

convinced.. this is the guy. Throw two hundred

12:01

and fifty five dollars. I'd. Or.

12:03

Am I just make it competitive? Ah, hundred dollar bet.

12:06

Just said. Private. Small segment is

12:08

brought to you by pride trying to

12:10

lower my bill on tier said and

12:12

mix labor. Ah but you know we'll

12:14

see about that. I have weekend the

12:16

week will tell any now we're find

12:18

out of. Before we are talk

12:21

about the pitching they the or as the get

12:23

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you just pick more or less on two or

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12:43

Ah, They could be up for instance or

12:46

tonight. I've gotta, I've got any be a

12:48

play going on right now. They had a

12:50

deal on Karl Anthony Towns i think that's

12:52

since expired. They always have the specials with

12:54

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12:56

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That easy. Or. It

13:38

Albert Suarez was one of many a

13:40

pitcher Call ups. Getting a chance to

13:42

go today or tomorrow. Yesterday or today

13:44

at our to starts are interesting. Pick

13:46

up this week. Suarez. Has

13:48

now to starts in the majors and has allowed in

13:50

earned run yet. Fred. he

13:53

had her it's hard to get so you

13:55

one him over me and i bet i

13:58

was second in our labor league I

14:00

got him there. Yeah, that's right. I I picked

14:02

him up chief. I heard you and taught Scott

14:04

talking about how You know, he's going

14:06

for 30 bucks things that I was I managed

14:08

to pick up in a couple of my nfbc leagues for like

14:10

single digits, I felt like there was Very

14:13

little buzz over him Um,

14:15

it's I get it. It's hard to get too excited about someone

14:17

who's 34 and

14:19

you know and has like There

14:22

no no real major league success

14:25

Um, but it's the aureals. It's a

14:27

good team. It's a good park to pitch

14:29

in And even though he wasn't pitching

14:31

in it last night Um, I took

14:34

a shot on him as a one start potentially

14:36

to start pitcher this week So did you in

14:38

a couple leagues? So did you in our

14:41

in some leagues? Um And

14:43

he came through right? Yeah, he sure did I

14:45

was sold on swaras when he made that

14:47

spring training start against the fillies I know

14:49

it's dumb to do that, but uh, it

14:51

was against the fillies starters and he was

14:53

just Dealing missing bats

14:56

left and right the whole focus of that

14:58

game was jackson holiday versus zach wheeler and holiday

15:01

Played well in that one, but swaras was the sneaky

15:03

star of the show in that day Uh,

15:05

you followed up with some other good spring training outings

15:08

His first start in the majors was good and

15:10

then he followed up last night Craig

15:13

kimberl made it interesting last night loaded the

15:15

bases struck out mike trout looking with the

15:17

bases loaded after giving up a run But

15:19

still pretty pretty pretty good stuff from swaras

15:21

I think he's earned that next start this

15:24

weekend against oakland Keeping

15:26

in mind that uh, they'll ultimately

15:28

get john means back, uh, and

15:30

then beyond that kyle braddish So

15:32

swaras is not going to be

15:34

guaranteed anything But he

15:36

could compete with irvin and kramer for those

15:38

rotation spots, too Yeah, I

15:40

think it's possible. Uh, my thought when I was adding him

15:42

was that you know, if Was

15:44

same same as you if this angel start

15:46

went well He would probably get

15:49

the a start on the weekend um

15:52

Some sites including roto wire had grace it

15:54

had them slated to skip him and just

15:56

use grace and rodriguez on sunday Yeah, my

15:58

thought was that on my They open a

16:00

series at home against the Yankees So if Suarez

16:03

pitched well against the Angels Why

16:06

not have Suarez make the Sunday start

16:08

against the A's very manageable pushback

16:10

Rodriguez a day and get to use

16:13

him to start Off that key divisional

16:15

series. So I don't know We'll see what

16:17

they end up doing but I think that seems a rotor

16:19

wire now is showing that will see I think that's much

16:21

more likely now So and

16:24

originally we had Suarez is two-step or then we

16:26

changed it now to use a bad heart It's

16:28

impossible totally to know because yeah, they said some

16:30

of it would have depended how he did it

16:32

and as you said Maybe his

16:34

rotation spot isn't permanent. But when we're talking

16:37

about bidding whether it's $20 or $5

16:40

out of your thousand dollar budget on someone just

16:42

for a week Like who cares I

16:44

had the Angels start for a couple teams that I would

16:46

just need one more starter to fill out my rotation And

16:50

if he does pitch well, there is a chance that

16:52

he sticks over Kohler and for sure There's

16:55

also a chance that they just send him down Right

16:58

and don't really care because again, he's 34

17:00

with limited major league experience But Kohler even

17:02

has been struggling to put batters away He's

17:04

got 13 strikeouts in 21 innings So and

17:06

John means do I have stashed in one

17:08

league and I'm actually thinking about getting rid of

17:11

him He has really

17:13

struggled in his Minor

17:15

league rehab assignment. Yeah, five homers allowed in

17:18

seven and a third like five walks in

17:20

seven and a third Which is not John

17:22

means like I? I

17:24

put yeah John means and Mike's roka in

17:26

the same bucket base. Yeah, I

17:28

wish them the best but from

17:31

afar Not on

17:33

my roster. Unfortunately All

17:35

Keaton does is win Keaton win in

17:38

the same window dealt pretty well against

17:40

the Mets yesterday He's

17:42

had two wins in a row. He's pretty

17:44

decent so far He was

17:47

injured a little bit in spring training So I

17:49

think the acquisition cost on Keaton win was

17:51

pretty low and I grabbed him in the

17:53

late late rounds of the main event And luckily

17:56

he's been a nice little find For

17:58

sure. I don't think Keaton wins this good,

18:02

but that's okay. He could be not this good

18:04

and still rosterable. He's

18:06

got a 354 ERA. He's got a 104 whip.

18:09

The thing about Keaton win is that's good is that he

18:11

gets a ton of ground balls. So

18:13

that should keep his ERA decent as the year

18:15

goes on. He probably won't give up a ton

18:18

of home runs. The problem is, so

18:20

far he's got a 239 BABF and

18:22

ground ballers just don't really usually maintain

18:25

BABF around 239. Some balls are going

18:27

to get through the infield. So he's

18:29

probably more like a 4 ERA pitcher.

18:31

And then the whip obviously would go up too. But if he was a 4

18:33

ERA pitcher with

18:36

a 1.2 whip, 1.22 whip, something like that 1.24, that'd

18:38

be fine. Totally fine. So

18:42

I think as a like five

18:44

to six inning pitcher who not a great strikeout

18:46

rate, but maybe averages about five strikeouts for start,

18:48

I think that's totally possible with win. And yeah,

18:50

he was someone who was available still in one

18:53

of my leagues of a week or two ago.

18:55

I didn't end up getting him. There was someone

18:57

else I think I wanted more. But

19:00

I think he's someone who could stick on rosters. The high

19:03

ground ball rate I think makes up for the low strikeout

19:05

rate. Agreed. I think

19:07

Keaton win is somebody that you, this week

19:09

he's, he's last two starts have been against

19:11

Miami and Pittsburgh. His first two against San

19:13

Diego in the Dodgers. And he held his

19:15

own in those. He gets Pittsburgh this, I

19:18

mean, I should say Miami in the Mets,

19:20

he gets Pittsburgh this weekend, a

19:22

home start. And the thing about when is you spot them

19:24

at home and or weak

19:26

opponents on the road, but the

19:28

following week he gets a one start week at

19:30

Philly. You're going to bench him next week. And

19:32

that's fine, but just have to realize that.

19:36

Yep. For sure. One of the thoughts

19:38

I had on when as a

19:40

comparable was actually Marcus Stroman, like

19:44

Marcus Stroman, someone who survived for years with

19:46

a very mediocre strikeout rate, gets a lot

19:48

of ground balls, you know, typically not a

19:50

big whip asset of a ways career was

19:52

125, but the ground balls keeps the ball

19:55

in the yard. His career is 363. I

19:57

think when. Could

20:00

maybe be in that bucket where he gets

20:02

maybe gives you like a 125 whip this

20:04

year Maybe the area is not quite 363.

20:06

Maybe it's four but again still

20:08

usable in this landscape as a streamer

20:11

And not a streamer who goes on and off

20:13

waivers a streamer just goes on and off your

20:15

bench. Yeah, I agree Yeah, good find. Yeah, I

20:17

wish I had some shares. I'm kind of like

20:19

alternating him and Matt Waldron for a spot You

20:21

know Waldron has of course field start Let's

20:24

just stipulate though that the the Rockies

20:27

are really terrible And

20:29

I know I'm going I'm breaking ground here And

20:32

all that but they've had a

20:34

this last week. They began a homestand

20:37

They had three games against the Mariners They played

20:39

they've got a four game series this week against

20:41

the the Padres and then they go to the

20:43

surface of the moon Aka Mexico

20:45

City for two games against the

20:47

Astros They've scored

20:50

five runs Fred in four

20:52

games At home

20:54

a course field which is still course field by

20:56

the way the Rockies are just

20:59

beyond pathetic right now They

21:02

are they are in a bit of a slump for

21:04

sure The Rockies

21:07

this season at home our

21:09

middle of the pack in OPS They're 16th

21:12

in baseball in OPS at home this

21:14

year So and that's factoring in obviously this

21:16

this little cold spell on the season.

21:19

They're actually 22nd in OPS And

21:22

they get half their games in course field and they

21:24

have to game that yeah I don't know if they

21:26

played half their games so I can tell you actually

21:28

they played 10 out of 23 so 10 at home 13

21:33

on the road on the road. They

21:35

are 20th in OPS actually So anyway

21:38

so far this year the Rockies have actually

21:40

been a not good offense But

21:43

not a totally pathetic offense like for example

21:45

Like obviously the White Sox have been way

21:48

worse than the Rockies and everyone else But other

21:50

teams like the Twins the Cardinals the Tigers they

21:52

all have a lower OPS so far the Mariners

21:56

The Rays all have a lower OPS so far

21:58

than the Rockies so one One of

22:00

the things though that I think is worth discussing is like they've

22:03

been middle of the pack at home. Like

22:05

do you loosen up a

22:07

little bit on, because they're

22:09

so bad, do you loosen up a little bit on

22:12

using pitchers at Coors Field? Yeah,

22:16

a little bit. A little bit. Remember there's also

22:18

the, it's not just the ERA, it's the win

22:20

potential. Right?

22:22

So like maybe you're rolling the

22:24

dice a little bit. I think I might have used Michael

22:26

King in one league this week. He's supposed to start at

22:28

Coors. And I

22:31

didn't really like it, but I

22:33

went with it because again, because the Rocky stinks. So

22:35

there's all, like there's a chance Michael King lets in

22:37

three or four runs, but then the opposing pitcher lets

22:40

in six and he gets the win. Yeah,

22:42

that's true. It's all out there. It's

22:45

not great, but I

22:47

don't know. I've just, I'm a little more open

22:49

at least right now before it fully warms up.

22:52

Maybe it'll change this summer, but

22:54

before it fully warms up, I'm a

22:56

little bit open to using a little

22:58

more open to using pitchers at Coors Field. Even with the

23:00

Rockies being bad the last couple of years, I tried not

23:03

to use anyone at Coors. I'm trying to

23:05

be as risk averse as possible with

23:07

my starts right now. It's something that James Anderson

23:09

brought up one time when we had him on

23:11

the Sirius XM show. Like he's

23:13

not touching the Atlanta in Atlanta,

23:15

the Dodgers in LA, the

23:18

Red Sox in Boston. These

23:20

are really bad setups here in Coors

23:23

Field too. So I

23:25

bench Matt Waldron this week. The

23:28

bigger evil is having a guy get

23:30

torched in your

23:33

active lineup than having a good start on your

23:35

bench. Yeah, oh,

23:37

absolutely. Yes. And that's why

23:39

I've always been kind of risk averse with

23:42

using Coors Field. But like I said, I've opened

23:44

a little bit to it. You'd

23:47

always start an ace in Coors, but I've maybe gone

23:49

down a little bit on

23:51

that. By the way, if I gave

23:53

you a whole bunch of guesses, I bet you wouldn't get the

23:55

team that's been the best in baseball hitting on the road this

23:57

year or at home this year because

23:59

that team has a really crummy

24:02

record and that team is the Houston Astros

24:04

by a lot. Yeah, I noticed that the

24:06

other day because I was doing the Tout

24:08

Wars DFS Tuesday night thing

24:12

and I was just looking at team like Wobas

24:15

and things like that and the Astros

24:17

were scoring highly offensively. It's just that

24:19

their pitching has been tragic. They've

24:21

also, they're also 28th in

24:23

baseball hitting on the road. Yeah. So

24:26

just weird. The sample size,

24:28

they're so small. Opponents, who you've played at home,

24:30

who you've played on the road, we're still at

24:33

that stage where it comes into all those effects,

24:35

but which goes to show how much

24:37

you don't, like I wouldn't worry that much about starting

24:39

someone in Houston who was a pitcher who I

24:42

normally want to start. And like you said, the

24:44

pitching has been so bad. The Astros are 29th

24:46

in baseball, only ahead of the Rockies in Team

24:48

ERA. That wouldn't. That's

24:50

insane. I was just

24:52

saying like, yeah, that

24:54

one totally shocks me. Everyone

24:57

else down near them makes some sense. Although the

24:59

Rays are 24th, but there's also

25:01

like, it's

25:03

not linear, right? Like around 25th,

25:05

there's like a huge drop off. The

25:08

Rays are above it. Like they could have a couple of good games

25:10

and all of a sudden be like 17th in ERA. The

25:14

Astros could not. They

25:17

have been, yeah, just a total disaster from

25:19

the pitching department. And they just lost Christian

25:21

Javier, who was actually not one

25:23

of the guys hurting them. They

25:26

have Ronell Blanco emerge. He's actually been good.

25:28

They've had, I mean, they've had a lot

25:30

of bad breaks, but they've had a couple

25:32

of good breaks in there. And yet that's

25:34

where they're at. Their bullpen, Fred, has

25:36

been horrible. Scott and I were talking about that, I think

25:38

on Sunday a little bit. Haters

25:41

been terrible. Brian Abreu's got a high

25:43

whip. Ryan Presley's got a whip over

25:45

two. I mean, it's

25:47

really tough. When your top three relievers are

25:50

terrible, that's a good way to kind of inflate

25:52

that team ERA. Yeah, And lose

25:54

games, because they're pitching in the highest

25:56

leverage situations. Hunter Brown's been terrible. Yeah,

25:58

absolutely. So, Yeah you what

26:00

I said before the season that the Astros

26:03

would find a pitcher out of nowhere? In

26:05

run El Blanco who would be great? And

26:07

give her later back by the middle of April. And.

26:10

Be twenty eight and twenty nine it's or

26:12

any are a like I would inevitably does

26:14

so. And. You are a little off topic

26:16

there but I do find some other things and sing and

26:19

these trends we to keep up on because a challenge the

26:21

way we think about certain teams. It. Like we

26:23

are, It's still early to see them, but we're twenties.

26:25

twenty to twenty five games and per team. so. They.

26:28

Were sorry to see some friends emerge as a little

26:30

bit. One. Is a positive trend on

26:32

the Phillies. Will talk about then a

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Are. Thanks to Vivid Seats Also thanks

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to Blue Wire were on their network.

27:31

Your. Other as. Greg

27:34

is usually a fan of water

27:37

cooler talk for this draft season

27:39

and that's all anyone wants to

27:41

talk about. The Athletic has loads

27:43

of articles about this year's draft.

27:45

Fifth grade doesn't have the Athletic,

27:47

so now he's filling up his

27:50

water bottle in the bathroom sink.

27:53

Which to remind you is the

27:55

six people use after they use

27:57

the bathroom. This

27:59

year they're like and get the info

28:02

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That's indeed.com/blue Wire. Terms and

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You? Need? Indeed! Know

29:15

the best thing to do is a meat based on

29:18

noom with all. These

29:20

on the diversity a highly like

29:22

a race town and soda like

29:24

the passing lane flatly based on

29:26

anyone else on based on the

29:28

list on loan from a. Lesser

29:31

California that it it into the decency to determine a

29:33

set of how does it vary by state and some

29:36

states but is it isn't on my the minorities are

29:38

treated for purposes of aiding well as and saturated increase

29:40

in the standings only safer capital say that I was

29:42

unsafe and has interns evidence and pick Illinois. I.

29:45

Think you for that. Ah, let's talk a

29:47

little bit about a good team. And.

29:49

That is at least good pitching team and

29:52

that is the Philadelphia Phillies. Ah I'm hoping

29:54

do have a little bit more in Phillies

29:56

conversation on Thursday. that more to come on.

29:58

That was soon as I know, but. I.

30:00

Read your suarez. Dealing.

30:02

Fred Number one on the Earned Awesome

30:04

Valley Tool for pitchers starting pitchers right

30:07

now just rolling. He he

30:09

defied the avoid Great American ballpark

30:11

rule. Yeah,

30:14

he dead. He's even that Holly the

30:16

hasn't allowed or Ryan in any any

30:18

of his last researchers go to complete

30:20

game. There's a d sound like tests

30:23

like numbers from about a bygone generation,

30:25

right and twenty two scoreless innings in

30:27

his last three starts. Ah, Dominant.

30:30

And Affleck is basically a strikeout per inning

30:32

which where you're facing this few batters giving

30:34

up this you base runners like is a

30:36

pretty good strikeout rate on the present. His

30:38

primary now but I'm yeah he's He's now

30:41

made a start. Like he said on the

30:43

road against the Reds, he made a start

30:45

at home against Atlanta. It wasn't dominant bites,

30:47

there's a there's a quality opponent. Have.

30:49

At home start against Pittsburgh which Pittsburgh's I

30:52

say middle of the pack light up right

30:54

now. So far this year southern hundreds of

30:56

in kind of favorable by like the Honda.

30:58

Colorado's pretty nice, but yeah I'm yeah. absolutely

31:01

dealing. and we've got. Nothing.

31:03

In his past sample size that would indicate

31:06

that. Like. That he that he's actually this

31:08

good. Writer: Do you sell Hi Anna! He

31:11

held me feel the so when the

31:13

main event. I've told the story many

31:16

times before but our he and others

31:18

have spread the tale as well. But

31:20

the and when the graham got hurt.

31:23

Fill was quick to come. And.

31:25

Pick up Ranger Suarez who is getting moved

31:27

to the starter. He was dominant for those

31:29

two months, so there's little tiny trends showing

31:31

that he he has an M. R.

31:34

I think instead he faced Rothys as I

31:36

think he's a good solid chromium and pitcher

31:38

and I knew that went over time. I

31:40

know. Ah, but. I

31:42

think Ranger Suarez is a guy that's

31:45

kind of. Bennett benefited from being perfect

31:47

form. And Pet Pets in the

31:49

right opponents. He beat the Rockies on the road. I.

31:52

Be the Reds if you look at the line at the

31:54

Reds roster yesterday. Who. Don't It's

31:56

like looking directly in the sun. Don't do it. They

32:00

can really fascinating things to and

32:02

it's underlying stats on. Because.

32:06

He thought like his velocity down the a really

32:08

weird one, like his losses out about a mile

32:10

and a half from last year and that's on

32:12

his fastball and on a slider. I'm.

32:15

By. His strikeout rates up. So.

32:18

He was a down. velocity is really

32:20

weird when and then. Also the quality

32:22

contact against him is way down like

32:24

his. His. Average T V Re

32:26

now is eighty one miles an hour or

32:28

so. And. Then, everything. Everything. everything

32:31

looks better until you scrolled all

32:33

the average velocity and then it.

32:36

And. Then you're like, wait, how are you doing

32:38

That sucks It's rowing, not as hard and. And.

32:41

You're getting way better results. So his

32:43

pitch makes has even changed much from

32:45

last year. Murtha. Very. On is

32:47

plenty for choose really well he thought a

32:49

heater. If I

32:51

if I could sell high in a trading

32:53

league, I would. but I don't know if

32:55

you really can yet like writing most of

32:57

the league's that people who are listening to

32:59

this podcast play in are going to value

33:01

Ranger Suarez as like a number two fantasy

33:03

starter based on five. Great start. Date:

33:07

It's. Truthfully, if I could give advice to people. does

33:09

kind of playing and were in Yahoo leagues when I

33:11

read articles for Yahoo like you to get out there

33:13

and some yeah who publicly and try to sell rangers

33:15

or as high I think I'm mostly. we plan. I

33:18

think you just hold and help the defense or been like

33:20

a really long heater because they don't think you'll get. A.

33:23

Ton for up. Here I

33:25

am. So. I have some

33:27

straight of trades using Yahoos tool

33:29

which you know I love doing

33:31

that. Readers yours been in involved

33:33

eleven trades for of which are

33:35

one one for one trades. Delancey.

33:38

Straight up Ranger Suarez season

33:40

seized by a mile. Yeah.

33:42

He dominated yesterday, a albeit

33:45

against the eating pace Rockies.

33:47

But ah, Parents.

33:49

Volley for Rangers. wars that a

33:51

good a demonstration overselling I. was

33:55

i don't think i yeah i'll take our in somalia and

33:58

the long run but it's a good it's you're right That

34:00

one is in the wheelhouse.

34:02

Whereas where Aaron Savalis like, I

34:05

could argue Suarez like I'll think

34:07

I'll take Savalis, but I

34:09

could totally argue Suarez like Aaron Savalis not

34:11

special. Like he's never even throwing

34:13

125 innings this season. Actually, the more

34:15

I talk about it, the more I might just

34:18

take my shot that Suarez keeps us going and

34:20

not, not go to Savalis, but, uh,

34:22

yeah, maybe I take Suarez. That's a really fair trade

34:24

in my opinion with Suarez on a hot streak right

34:27

now. Yeah. Uh,

34:29

I agree. One more, uh, Bryce Tarang

34:31

straight up for Ranger Suarez. That one's

34:33

interesting to me. Really fun one, right?

34:35

Two potential flashes in the

34:38

pan, potentially having

34:40

breakout seasons. Um,

34:43

I think I would, if it's a roto league, I

34:45

think I would take Bryce Tarang. Um, his

34:48

Babbit's not super high and he's hitting three 14. So

34:50

there's some sustainability there. Like he only struck

34:53

out 11 times in a 77

34:56

plate appearances. So, and the speed, the speeds for real,

34:58

the speed was never in debt with Tarang, like still

35:00

26 bases last year and 404 at bat. So,

35:03

uh, without even hitting for average. So I think

35:06

I would take Tarang. Uh,

35:08

what do you think? I guess, I know team

35:10

con team contacts, blah, blah, blah. So hard to

35:12

find starting pitching right now. I feel like you're

35:14

defined stolen bases. Uh, that's true. That's true. That's

35:16

a good point. I think I'd

35:18

probably take the Suarez side of that. But I think

35:20

it's an interesting talent trade there with the

35:23

Savali one and the Tarang one, we found some, some

35:25

pretty fair deals that would probably go

35:27

into team context. Yep. Indeed.

35:31

Uh, Bryce Elder pitched a gem

35:33

yesterday against the Marlins who are

35:35

the Marlins. But are we interested

35:37

in Bryce Elder rest a season?

35:41

Yup. I think we have to be in 15. Yeah.

35:45

Even with his inconsistent, like low strikeout

35:47

rate last year, inconsistent results,

35:49

but he still finished with a three 81 ERA

35:52

on the team and baseball that will probably finish the

35:54

year scoring the most runs. So, um,

35:57

yeah, I think, I think you have to be interested.

35:59

Somebody's going to get. That run support has a decent

36:02

bullpen behind him. He's not gonna get you a lot

36:04

of strikeouts but if you could have an ERA around

36:06

four and Maybe

36:08

could win 10 games if you can stay in

36:10

the rotation. I think I am interested I didn't

36:13

get in on elder at all

36:15

last weekend I probably missed the boat everywhere

36:17

some people stashed him even the week before

36:19

for sure And I

36:22

didn't really I know the upside is a little bit limited

36:24

because the strikeout rates poor but yeah, I

36:26

think he could stick and and I think he

36:28

could be someone who's on 15 team league rosters

36:30

and Probably 12

36:33

like state sticks on 12 Yeah, the thing

36:35

that's worrisome to me about elders twofold one

36:37

he fell apart towards the end of the

36:39

year last year To

36:41

it's kind of a high walk rate

36:44

8.6 percent last right now He

36:46

didn't walk any more lands yesterday and that's

36:48

encouraging but we're talking about

36:50

a k-walk percentage of Less

36:53

than 10% you know

36:55

that that's definitely not that great So

36:58

you don't want guys that you

37:01

know can't miss bats you You

37:04

especially in that ballpark because and granted

37:06

I think it's it Boosted

37:08

good hitters more and the Marlins are not that

37:11

but yeah, I'm a

37:13

little wary I just yep, you're right that

37:15

the walks down the stretch last year Especially

37:18

were a really big problem like really big

37:20

problem. Yep elders next starts

37:22

Sunday against Cleveland Cleveland quietly Scoring

37:24

a lot of runs so far

37:26

this year best run differential in

37:28

baseball and then next

37:31

Saturday the following Saturday at the Dodgers,

37:33

so That

37:36

might quell my enthusiasm especially in the short term

37:38

and especially in a league where like say if

37:40

we're in if he's available In la br like

37:42

the ule league you and I are in we

37:44

have to have them active if we pick them

37:46

up Oh That's

37:48

a tough one at the Dodgers. That's a great series

37:50

by the way at the end of April. Yeah, I'm

37:53

pretty auditors But um, yeah that so if you got

37:55

ahead of the game on elder and you have in

37:57

your lineup this week You're in really good

37:59

shape. You just got to win the Cleveland

38:01

starch is reasonable if you

38:03

didn't get ahead of the game on elder, but he's

38:05

still out there then yeah that Dodger start is

38:08

a big deterrent in labor it might be enough

38:10

to make me not pick him up in

38:13

NFBCs I would still pick him up but obviously like it

38:15

maybe knocks my bid down a little bit that I can't

38:17

use them right away and there'd be

38:19

some leagues it's truthfully and I'm sure you're in this boat

38:21

too there'd be some leagues where I have

38:23

too many injuries and I can't pick

38:25

them up unless I'm going to start them next week like

38:28

I found when I was doing my bids on Sunday night

38:31

like there was two or three leagues where I

38:33

needed to get a pitcher but it like he

38:35

had the pitcher had to have availability

38:37

for this week like

38:39

I could not be like oh I like this guy

38:41

oh Jake Ervin was one guy I looked at in

38:43

like in my waterfall in some leagues but he's at

38:45

the Dodgers this week and I was like well I

38:47

can't use him so I can't pick him up like

38:49

whichever pitcher I get I need to put him in

38:51

my lineup this week that's why I was ahead of

38:54

I was more on Colonel Parker than I was on

38:56

Jake Ervin exactly I was more on Trevor Williams than

38:58

Jake Ervin and it's not that I like Trevor Williams

39:00

I have standards that's the same I know Williams has

39:02

been good this year but there's no way it was

39:04

just that his start this week was against Miami so

39:06

I had interest in him as

39:08

I don't think I got him anywhere I think I

39:10

got Suarez instead of him actually in most of the

39:12

spots but but anyways the Williams thing was just whatever

39:14

pitch and ditch against Miami this week

39:17

but I find in a lot of

39:19

my NFVC leagues I've got 200 hitters and

39:21

200 pitchers and

39:23

I need to have some hitter on my bench and

39:25

so anyways when I go into and then I got

39:27

a pitcher who I can't drop he's too good but

39:29

his matchup's against Atlanta so I can't start him so

39:31

then I end up needing to just get one pitcher

39:33

for the week and

39:35

that next item in our outline is

39:37

not a question it is a statement

39:39

of fact apparently we undervalued you say

39:41

you only hear what you want to

39:43

Kikuchi maybe

39:46

I didn't put a question mark after that

39:48

and you didn't and you probably didn't use

39:50

the lethal over reference either but that might

39:52

have been me added shorrel adding

39:54

that one in for effect Kikuchi was

39:56

good again yesterday against the Royals he

39:58

also gets Did the Dodgers

40:01

play everybody? They do. They're splitting up. They're

40:03

so good they're splitting up their roster. Are

40:05

Amigos falling from the sky? You

40:08

say Kikuchi so far, 228, 108 on our ratios, 33 strikeouts

40:10

so far in 27 innings. He's

40:15

built off of last year. He didn't regress

40:17

off of last year. He progressed after last

40:19

year. That's right. So if you

40:21

were someone who was a little

40:23

moderate on his expectations and said, well, at

40:25

best he'll repeat last year because he's had

40:27

some down years in his career. He's been

40:30

here a few years now. He's had multiple

40:32

years with a lot of starts in an

40:34

ERA in the five and whips of like

40:36

1.5. So anyways,

40:39

but so far this year, you're right. He's built on

40:41

last year. He's got a better ground ball rate this

40:43

year. His

40:46

walk rate's about the same. His strikeout rate is better.

40:49

So he's showing better skills than

40:52

ever before. Not

40:54

totally convinced that this can maintain, but I don't

40:57

know. I'm not. Like

40:59

I'm not. I'm maybe more interested. I'd

41:02

rather Kikuchi than Suarez. How about that? Would

41:06

you? Uh, that

41:08

we're talking Ranger Suarez, not Elgar.

41:10

Yeah, Ranger Suarez. Yeah, exactly. Uh,

41:12

yeah. I know. I don't

41:15

think so. Actually,

41:18

if I told you that Kikuchi faced the Yankees

41:21

two out of his five starts to get these

41:23

great numbers. What if I told you the Yankees

41:25

got shut out yesterday by JP Sears? That's

41:29

true. So we're not so we don't, we're not afraid of the

41:31

Yankees. What if I told you, uh, I'm

41:33

not super afraid of the Yankees. Actually you're

41:36

right. They're Yankees. They're like middle of the

41:38

pack in. Yeah. They've

41:40

been an average offense so far. Yeah,

41:43

uh, they have. Um, velocities are

41:45

about the same as last year. So

41:47

there's no real change there. He's probably a little

41:49

bit like his, his average exit velocity is down

41:51

a bit. So that's helping him obviously

41:54

a bit. Strike it rates up a bit. Walk rates the

41:56

same. Like He's a little bit like

41:58

Suarez, except at least with Kikuchi. Last

42:00

night down. You.

42:03

Like. Her: I'm A I like, I'm both.

42:05

I mean these are guys are essential. You

42:07

know you gotta find is absolutely feasible. League

42:09

winners. Yeah. Right onto earth's

42:11

resources. And Kikuchi Silva said your rotations awesome

42:14

and you didn't pay off for a while.

42:16

and certainly in my case where I didn't

42:18

pace Pillow for a starting pitcher in the

42:20

main event, you know, finding a gala or

42:23

to like that is just. Oh

42:25

it's it's so life giving up beautiful

42:27

ten or how same thing he pitches

42:29

tonight at Cleveland. I'm worried about that

42:32

certiorari dominated I'm last time. Second time

42:34

around. Christopher Sanchez had ten kids less

42:36

time he's Snc. I'm starting both those

42:39

guys tonight. I

42:41

am. I hate touting that because I was feel

42:43

I guess just ask you to get knocked down

42:45

a peg. Ah, But. These.

42:47

Guys those guys are essential getting keep when

42:49

they get blasted the with the last two

42:52

wins last two times out that that's massive.

42:54

Every when is sacred. Go!

42:56

Yes! Absolutely! Yep! For sure I feel really

42:59

good about how tonight I feel. I feel

43:01

fine about Saturday night. excited by So Fido

43:03

it says is how out though I feel.

43:06

Targeted twenty to to forget to walk rate like

43:08

it's hard on her. Get. Pretty

43:10

fired up about that. Ah yeah say

43:13

is an interesting one where his wits

43:15

really high. Because his babbitt's really high.

43:17

Get three fifty six babbitt. So which is made

43:19

with high three? First the guys the area with

43:21

you I got his don't really line up. Ah,

43:24

But. Actually has vouched really high which should be

43:27

much lower I think. Say I like Sanchez

43:29

like. Yeah. i did have

43:31

a tigress thank you for the kind words

43:33

there as smash that like when we do

43:35

ask for you to do that like subscribe

43:37

raid if you get time ah and then

43:40

of course always get the check out the

43:42

free subscription read a wire while you're at

43:44

a to run a wire.com/pod to repeat find

43:46

the pay wall you can check out all

43:48

where he can check out my a free

43:51

agents article idea posted yesterday results from all

43:53

my managed fab leagues from the weekend there

43:55

i do that every monday so check that

43:57

out and you get a chance please really

43:59

pre Yeah, as far as that goes Let's

44:02

talk about one more picture that dealt yesterday and

44:05

that is one Christopher paddock, you know He's had

44:07

the full experience the last two weeks. He got

44:10

Oreo the previous week This

44:12

week he got the one in yesterday. He got the

44:14

white socks So is he

44:16

good are the white socks that bad? Is

44:18

he somewhere in between? Where are we on Chris paddock? Chris

44:22

paddock not buying white socks that bad. I

44:24

think that's what I'm gonna go with Yeah

44:28

so but there's nothing else from Chris paddock this

44:30

year like get a couple starts where he didn't

44:32

go five innings and then And

44:36

then like you said he he got

44:38

buried by the Orioles and then last night

44:40

he was great. I would start Basically

44:42

anyone against the white socks right now. Yeah,

44:45

I might even start you I Wouldn't

44:48

I probably wouldn't go that far? But

44:51

anyone better than me I would start against white socks

44:54

I was actually looking to see if there's anyone to

44:56

stream that I could tell our listeners against the white

44:58

socks And there's not unless Zach Laitel is available in

45:00

a league But he's have gone in all mine like

45:02

that I was hurtful last night Zach

45:05

Laitel. I had him going for For

45:07

me against the Tigers Well,

45:10

if you maybe it will average out his week.

45:12

He does get the white socks on Sunday So

45:14

mm-hmm, and he was good earlier this year to

45:16

Zach Laitel was so yeah, yeah, he's been fine

45:20

I was annoyed about last week's I have him in a few

45:22

leagues and I was annoyed about last night But

45:24

then I would just step back and was like listen. He's he's

45:26

pitched. Well this year overall. I didn't pay much to

45:29

get him Like

45:31

I might whatever but everyone else facing the

45:33

white socks this week is You

45:36

know like a number two type number

45:38

three fantasy starters. So yeah rocky road

45:40

Reds on the road Actually

45:43

usually I mean there's actually

45:45

wanted to if you wanted

45:47

to get in on Joe Ryan right now His

45:49

next two starts are both against the white socks

45:52

Yeah, so Bailey over should

45:54

be the same they both face the white socks

45:57

Wednesday and Thursday, and then they should both face

45:59

some Monday. The next week? That's a

46:01

beautiful thing. Who White Sox in a row have?

46:03

Yeah, Yeah so. Lightly

46:05

wanted to go to make a trade right

46:07

now. short term. Get. A guy who can

46:10

help you and a daily league. Those your guys to get

46:12

right now. A team that

46:14

I thought might be good to stream against

46:16

could be the Cardinals. They broke their homerless

46:18

street yesterday. Ah! In. Fact Brandon

46:20

thought was rolling in a i think get

46:22

a perfect game through five. ended up by

46:25

giving to runs in the six. Still love

46:27

with the lead but Goldie his first homer

46:29

and forever I then they got to walk

46:31

off or from knowing gorman. Are. They

46:34

breaking out of it does is are they still

46:36

someone you thinking about targeting? I

46:38

don't think I'm not ready to say they are breaking

46:40

out yet. I don't have I fully targeting them, but

46:42

I am. A little bit higher. Yeah. Like

46:44

I don't. Yeah, I don't know if I'm not ready to say

46:46

yet. Rarity. Say at

46:49

the Goldie is is out of the

46:51

woods from this will start to the

46:53

season. Ah there's not a lot as.

46:56

Sought a very dynamic line up. When.

46:58

You when you really if they give he

47:00

thought oh if goldsmith not a really great

47:02

player it's an invite to me it's not

47:04

a very dynamic light up and I was

47:06

good. That. He is a good hitters

47:08

excite. Peak. Hour not always good

47:10

hitter but everything else is like math. like

47:13

spreading. Donovan gets on base large new bar

47:15

gets on base. Our girls

47:17

and he can get on base event they

47:19

i a bit. Nolan Gorman is supposed to

47:21

have power by. Adding what's

47:23

been really inconsistent. I don't. I don't find this line

47:25

up to be. Yeah. Unless Goldschmidt

47:28

gets his act together and goes back to being

47:30

like a high hundred. Oh Ps guy, I don't

47:32

find this line to very intimidating. Yeah,

47:34

I don't either. Ah as air

47:36

not own Goldie are just not

47:38

the same versions themselves. Devotion the

47:41

Decline last from or worse Jordan

47:43

walkers been terrible. Victor.

47:45

Scott was sent down. He was so

47:48

bad. Ah. yeah

47:50

it's not like the they'd like wilson since

47:52

hearses actually after get started got an eighty

47:54

four o p s this year yes but

47:56

not easy i think i'm are so right

47:58

he's got two homers And like, yeah, a

48:00

lot of it's walks and like he's hitting

48:03

second for them. So you've got to capture

48:05

with no speed hitting second. Like he's been

48:07

fine, but if he's your number

48:09

two hitter, it's not, it's not scary, you're not going

48:11

to be like, Oh, I can't put my fantasy starter

48:13

in against these guys, they got Wilson Contreras hitting second.

48:15

So, um, and again, like Donovan,

48:18

like, like Brendan Donovan can get on base, but

48:20

he doesn't really like put

48:22

fear into you and everything.

48:25

So they've been even hitting him lead off

48:27

against lefties, which I'm surprised about. So, you

48:29

know, there's this guy named Tyler O'Neill who

48:32

really fit this lineup pretty well. Oh wait,

48:34

nevermind. Um, yeah,

48:36

that it's the Cardinal outfielder curse coming back,

48:38

although O'Neill's hurt himself. So we'll see coming

48:40

back. Is he coming back today? I forgot

48:42

to check on that. So he's, he's, he's

48:45

on his way back. So yep.

48:47

So the Cardinal outfield curse is continuing, but anyways,

48:49

yeah, this is a lineup that I don't

48:52

know. It's like, like an injury away

48:54

from being one almost that you target for me right

48:56

now, I've just kind of treated as neutral. I know

48:58

they've been worse than neutral, but I

49:00

do think like Goldschmidt will bounce back to some degree, but

49:03

yeah, it could at some point this year, shift to

49:06

being one I target. I know they, they really need,

49:08

well, Donovan hasn't played well. He's hitting two Oh two.

49:10

He's a high average usually. And they need new part

49:12

to now that he's back from starting the season on

49:14

the L they need new part to they

49:17

keep waiting for him to break out. Um,

49:19

it's not really happening so far. Yeah.

49:21

It is. You're right about that. Yeah. Uh,

49:24

in that same game, Corbin Carroll beat out an

49:27

infield single, but you know, he is generally

49:29

speaking really struggling so far. Is it

49:31

the shoulder? Why is he so bad?

49:34

I don't know if it's the shoulder

49:37

because like he's never going to tell us that

49:39

probably, but yeah. Um, when

49:41

you go and do a deep dive on him, like

49:44

the average exit velocity has become like his

49:46

quality of contact is really low right

49:48

now. So I have

49:50

a lot of Corbin Carroll. So this is one that's

49:52

kind of been keeping me up at night. Um,

49:56

the steals are still there. Like I thought Corbin Carroll

49:58

could lead the majors in steel this year. And I

50:00

haven't totally moved off that. Like I think that's still

50:02

in the realm of possibility. He's already got eight steals

50:05

and he's hitting 215. He's

50:08

drawing walks, which is great. He has just

50:10

almost as many walks as strikeouts. So

50:12

everything's fine with Carroll to say like, oh,

50:14

it's just an early season slump, except

50:17

for the fact that the quality of

50:19

contact is really bad. Like

50:21

his average exit velocity so far this year, I

50:23

just want to get the accurate number. I looked

50:25

at it the other day. Is 83.6 miles an

50:27

hour? The

50:30

question is why? Really bad. Right? Then

50:32

is that the shoulder? Or because

50:35

we also, like we can go back

50:37

further on this and like he

50:39

wasn't hitting for power. He didn't hit for power in

50:41

the postseason, two homers and 17 games. He

50:44

didn't hit for power in the second half of last

50:46

year, coincidentally or not, after he hurt his shoulder. But

50:48

either way, he didn't hit for power in the second

50:51

half last year. So then I've been trying to decide

50:53

to myself if Corbin Carroll is just like a 12

50:55

homer, 13 homer guy, like

50:58

how about, and what will the batting average be if quality

51:00

of contact doesn't come back up? Like it'll, if

51:03

he's like a 12 homer, 260 hitter who

51:05

steals 55 bases, he's

51:07

a boss for where I took

51:10

him. Lot

51:14

of early round, early, first half of the

51:16

first round bus this year, Strider obviously got

51:18

hurt. Yep. With Corbin Carroll,

51:21

Julio Rodriguez has zero home runs so

51:23

far this year. Yep. Way

51:26

more worried about Carroll than Julio. Me

51:28

too, me too. Is it because of the

51:30

shoulder? And

51:33

just way less sample size. Yeah. Right?

51:36

Like we've got a decent amount of sample size and

51:38

we even got Julio having a slow start last year

51:40

and then really turning it on. But I

51:42

mean, with Julio, we've got two full years

51:44

of basically being a 30 homer player. So

51:48

I just don't see, unless there's an

51:50

injury with Julio we don't know

51:52

about, I'm just not that worried. I'm not that worried about

51:55

Julio. Like I was trying to

51:57

think like I wouldn't, I don't think I would sell low

51:59

on Julio. Right now, right. Would you trade

52:01

would you trade carbon Carol for Ellie de la Cruz

52:03

right now? Yes, probably No,

52:08

yeah Probably but enough

52:10

that I just remember so much goodness out of Carol

52:13

that it's enough to give me pause But

52:15

you wouldn't even consider trading Julio for Ellie right now with

52:17

you So

52:20

that's where Carol's kind of I feel like gone

52:22

down to I thought about like Carol or Juan

52:24

Soto right now Right, so

52:26

he's not what else like picked around late

52:29

first round I

52:31

think that's Juan Soto's off to a great start. I might I don't

52:34

know I'd have to I'd have to dive in a little more on

52:36

it But I feel like Carol if we were

52:38

drafting that would go more Late

52:40

in the first round Carol or Trey Turner who's off to

52:42

a really nice start I think

52:44

great burner over Ellie even but that's just a

52:46

little tracerner start when you start to look at

52:48

a little deeper It's got a 411 Babbit

52:51

like it's actually it's actually not like a

52:53

big skills start like he's still yeah But

52:56

I think there and maybe I'm

52:58

conveniently forgetting the first three months of last year

53:01

With Trey Turner too for that matter. I just

53:03

think he's more stable, but maybe he isn't and

53:06

Trey Turner only has two homers so far He just

53:08

has a really high batting average. Yeah, which again is

53:10

bad but inflated So maybe he's actually still just a

53:12

280 30

53:15

30 steel guy. I don't know. I think

53:17

I would maybe take all those guys over

53:19

a Trey Turner Anyways Carol's move from I

53:22

think being discussed in with Bobby

53:24

Witt and Rodriguez and bats He's

53:27

being moved now to I think discussing the guys who

53:29

went more on the one-two turn Unless

53:31

you start to see some homers. He's also already been to

53:33

Coors Field. I know that's not a big Homer Park, but

53:37

It's a hitters Park. He spent a series at

53:39

Coors Field. It didn't jump straight as bad No,

53:42

it did not north. Yeah, pretty well

53:44

Julio had eight singles there by the way,

53:46

but he didn't have any power Right.

53:48

Yeah, he had eight hits. I'll take eight hits.

53:50

I won't complain right I wouldn't be worried about

53:52

Carol if his I don't know if you'll agree

53:55

with this I wouldn't be worried about Carol if

53:57

his 25 homers last year came with like a

53:59

normal distribution But

54:01

because they the 25 homers last

54:03

year were so front-loaded 18

54:07

in the first half and seven in the

54:09

second half Yeah, I think you're right They

54:11

can kind of profile in the second half is like a 15 Homer guy

54:13

not a 25 Homer guy I

54:16

worry that that's happening. You know what? I don't

54:18

know. I may be jumping. I'll take I'll take

54:20

Ellie for Carol now I think I will

54:23

yeah Yeah, it's just Ellie.

54:25

Yeah, Ellie just fills the box score so fast

54:29

Yeah, yeah, I don't know I like I

54:31

said, I'm a little worried and I took Carol and

54:33

I hate to say this because it sucks now But

54:36

I took him over Mookie Betts in twice maybe even

54:38

three times. Yeah, that's just the

54:40

thing the opportunity cost me See now it

54:42

and Mookie going off. Yeah, it's really tough.

54:44

I never come over wit I didn't have

54:46

that opportunity but our labor league and when

54:48

I took him fourth in our labor league

54:50

He was the consensus fourth overall

54:53

player his nfbc ADP at that point in time

54:55

was for it Yeah in

54:57

February and then over March Mookie

55:00

the buzz on Mookie playing shortstop and Mookie

55:02

started to move up and then strider moved

55:04

up and then Carol kind of down About

55:06

six but in in March

55:09

Carol was solidly the number

55:11

four guy. Yeah That's

55:14

right And you

55:16

know, it's it's funny like that's one of the few things

55:18

I got right and now lay where's I took wit in

55:20

the first round Took

55:22

I took Julio over wit

55:24

and scarf and that's kind

55:27

of the gift that keeps on giving That's

55:29

that there a couple

55:32

more Tristan Cassis has

55:34

been diagnosed with a fractured rib They

55:37

were worried initially about a long-term absence now. They're

55:39

saying, you know, of course is saying he will

55:42

be out quote-unquote a while Yeah,

55:45

so let's say New

55:47

bar I think was dealing with the same a similar

55:49

type of injury. He missed a few weeks, but not

55:51

forever Let's say Cassis misses a month. You

55:53

hold him everywhere, right? Yeah,

55:55

I think so. I'm also the guy is

55:58

still holding on to Robert Luis Robert and

56:00

Royce Lewis in the same league and Paul

56:02

Skeens by the way, she's not good to

56:04

have three three stashes like that That's

56:07

in I have one Cassis and I think it's

56:09

in a league where I also have Royce Lewis

56:11

I think they're yeah, but two from a corner

56:14

spot. That's even I know it's a killer and

56:16

my corners right now are terrible because of that

56:18

Yeah, of course because good luck in a 15

56:20

team. We're trying to keep all those. Yeah, really

56:22

yeah And I think there's no I think you

56:24

it's not Excuse me briefly mentioned

56:26

Bobby Dalbak and just how he's not an answer

56:29

No, I was not as far as if you're trying

56:31

to replace Cassis. It's not that simple Don't

56:34

like the question is who's striking out a higher the

56:36

highest rate in baseball Bobby. No, it's all back is

56:38

not the answer That's right. So so you're not gonna

56:41

get your help there So you're gonna have to look

56:43

elsewhere at least it's for I finding I have any

56:45

more trouble covering third base When I

56:47

like the Royce Lewis then Cassis I I was able to

56:49

I forget who I found but I was able to find

56:51

someone to replace him Yeah, I find

56:53

third base more of a problem. But yeah, he'll be out

56:55

about a month I think you have to hold them even

56:58

in 12. I think you probably

57:00

hold them It's it's hard to find power

57:02

on the waiver wire I

57:05

don't know if you're finding that too But I find

57:07

if I'm doing searches when I'm doing my bids

57:09

on Sunday night and then FPC like and I search

57:12

like Homers in the last week or homers

57:14

in the last two weeks or steals in the last

57:16

couple weeks Like the totals are always higher with steals

57:18

now Like one category type

57:20

guys Jacob young types But

57:23

I it's hard to find power on the waiver wire

57:26

it is it really is so I think I

57:28

can cut a power hitter Related

57:31

to the Red Sox Raphael

57:33

Devers is not in the lineup

57:35

yet, but they there is a note. We do have

57:37

a note saying he should start tomorrow Which would be

57:39

Wednesday Scheduled start as

57:42

a designated hitter on Wednesday Saturday

57:45

would just be One

57:47

more day bad weather in Cleveland by the

57:49

way for that series at least this is

57:51

for Tuesday night's game So that might have

57:53

something to do with it as well. Yeah,

57:55

Tyler O'Neill, however is back in the lineup

57:57

today So thank you for that And

58:00

think uh, thank you for the uh, the red

58:03

socks for bringing the back. I was saying thank my wife because she

58:05

brought me something Back here. So that was nice But

58:08

uh, yeah, so multitasking do it and having

58:10

fun at the same time Uh,

58:12

so devars, I mean i've got him in

58:15

my ale only homely which is not coincidentally

58:17

is struggling right now I also have one

58:19

of my many kents in my aida leagues and that one's

58:22

been tough Yeah

58:24

for sure. I mean you get these early round like

58:26

we just talked about carol who's causing me

58:28

a lot of trouble hoolio You get

58:30

a devars who's causing you trouble like who we're

58:32

like where we're on april 23rd season's been going

58:34

almost a month Hitting under 200

58:36

with two home runs Um, no

58:38

steals like like these guys and you

58:40

were counting on them to lead your team So, uh,

58:42

that is something that i've been thinking about I put

58:45

this in our notes. Um, Just

58:47

from a big picture perspective is like if

58:49

you're going to be struggling somewhere right now

58:52

We're how or where do you want to

58:54

be struggling? Which is like

58:56

obviously you prefer not to be struggling But if you're going

58:58

to be struggling Would you rather be

59:00

struggling with your pitching than your hitting or

59:03

would you rather have your stars playing? Well,

59:05

and nothing's working behind them or would you

59:07

rather have your stars playing poorly? But

59:10

maybe you've got a kakuchi and a

59:12

chrysanthes and you know You've got some guys who you took

59:15

in the middle rounds who are playing well And

59:17

you're still not doing well because you started hoolio

59:19

Endeavors and kevin gozmann or something like that to

59:21

start your draft and and they're the ones who

59:23

are selling you out so far Like what what

59:25

are the best ways to be struggling right now?

59:27

Yeah, i'd rather be Having

59:29

my hitters rake and my pitchers struggle because

59:32

I feel like I can a pitchers are

59:34

a lot more Volatile

59:37

uh and be replaceable

59:40

So whereas if your hitters aren't

59:43

hitting well, you're just stuck with it. I

59:45

feel like many times. So yeah, you you're

59:48

That doesn't apply all the way across the board.

59:50

But yeah, if you've got

59:53

You know, Corbin Carroll You're not replacing him

59:55

by anybody. You're just writing it out, especially

59:57

in the Fbc. So.

1:00:00

I'd rather have my hitters hit. Arm.

1:00:02

And now in a lease? Then you're adding

1:00:04

positive stats. Whereas. I think

1:00:06

our pitching and sometimes a racing negative stats.

1:00:10

And. Sing i i i thought about

1:00:12

I think I would rather have

1:00:14

my problems you my best players

1:00:16

like like carrying julio snake if

1:00:19

I'm. If I look at i

1:00:21

symptoms maybe that are not there of just after

1:00:23

okay search but when i when I set the

1:00:25

line up I look at every spot and I'm

1:00:27

like all these guys to be in a fifteen

1:00:29

team lineup like everyone here like I don't have

1:00:31

whole it's i don't wait I don't feel that

1:00:33

way but all my last month I know the

1:00:35

seventies were when I look at the line of

1:00:37

i like every hitter here every pitcher here I

1:00:39

feel good about I feel they they all belong

1:00:41

and a fifteen team lineup search original Superman ours

1:00:43

but they're all good now. And

1:00:46

then the my problem. Me if my problem is

1:00:48

that like I said I have a carol and

1:00:50

gods men and and things like that of their

1:00:52

it devers and they're the ones killing me. I'm

1:00:55

like okay well. If. They kill me to

1:00:57

kill me, but they're sit in the lineup and

1:00:59

hopefully they come around. Yeah I think when I

1:01:01

feel like I can't fill out the line up.

1:01:04

Like. Like if I'd putting in

1:01:06

like three Albert Suarez types. That

1:01:09

I'm like, okay, there something wrong with this team.

1:01:11

Like some things have gone wrong. I don't know

1:01:13

if I'm going to be all the pats. Okay,

1:01:15

I got away with one on Suarez, but I

1:01:17

didn't get away with one on your Ross last

1:01:19

week or something like that. Like right, you many

1:01:21

got too many holes that I'm plugging. I think

1:01:23

that's when I feel like it's a it's a

1:01:25

problem. So that's what I'd like to see as

1:01:27

like where I invested the most. That's where my

1:01:29

struggles are. That I'm get. I guess I'm going

1:01:31

to naturally be more confident that those players are

1:01:33

going to come around. See. I

1:01:36

also can we get the other way though like

1:01:38

I spend this much on hitting and they're still

1:01:40

struggling. I can't spend more. You know it goes.

1:01:42

You got away from them to come around. Like

1:01:45

said, if you have, Corbyn Carroll has nothing to

1:01:47

do. Unless you're nuts rating league and you want

1:01:49

to try to get a nice dude about it. But if

1:01:51

you're in an Nfc, see, cyber or whatever, there's nothing to

1:01:53

do. You just. Cross. Your fingers.

1:01:55

The carbon carol comes around right exactly

1:01:57

as he has a. Yeah. Sorry.

1:02:00

You have any of those types in labor. it

1:02:02

which is a trading league is or i anyone

1:02:04

that you would. Sign. Of we can

1:02:06

see Ike. Okay ah now I have see

1:02:08

this now and see if you have a

1:02:11

straggler that we can can allow it to.

1:02:13

I have Charlie's in labor while my pitching

1:02:15

is. Atrocious. Okay

1:02:18

it's my pitching and labour has been atrocious. Started

1:02:20

off with like the yeah rate and whips or

1:02:22

almost comical for me at the start of the

1:02:24

are like daily older know bird. See how I

1:02:26

could just name some guys I have haters Lazard.

1:02:28

Oh. Yeah. I got off to a

1:02:30

horrendous start. Ah, I had used Ryan Weather's

1:02:32

at Thirty Years. I picked him up because

1:02:35

I was like hey right? whether he can

1:02:37

be okay his were starts with the beginning.

1:02:39

Before I could get my bench in labor,

1:02:41

Alexis the As Is finally got his ratio

1:02:43

down but they were terrible for a while.

1:02:45

Camilla of all As finally got his ratio.

1:02:47

Doubt they were terrible for a while. So

1:02:49

my pitching in labor. Aside from

1:02:51

Grace and Rodriguez basically has been that

1:02:53

has been really bad. Last.

1:02:56

Bradley before the season started. Yeah

1:02:58

yeah. I see the Aj Pollock sitting

1:03:00

there on your on your oh yes soaked

1:03:02

up some got a couple banks are has

1:03:04

to be a park. Before I I think

1:03:07

I absorbed two weeks of have I get

1:03:09

One bad started. Then I went for it

1:03:11

again the next week and I didn't go

1:03:13

well so. Yeah. I've got some guys

1:03:15

on that labour. I've got haim or kinda

1:03:17

lario. Not. Really bad start

1:03:19

your hand. Both of my catchers are hitting under

1:03:21

two hundred. That's a toughie to pull off. He

1:03:23

that the catcher position much freshly when we were

1:03:25

invested. A little bit of the case. A Garber

1:03:27

at least? Yup, Miss Garver, he's off to a

1:03:29

really bad start. I've got care on a team.

1:03:31

James out men has decided to head under two

1:03:33

hundred. So. Far this season. They're.

1:03:36

So there's a lot a guy. so I just

1:03:38

I think I'm just gonna write these guys like

1:03:40

I believed it out. Man, I still do. And.

1:03:43

I still believe that Garver can. Get.

1:03:45

This turned around like. He's. A

1:03:47

D H he can head. I don't know

1:03:50

I should be healthy so. i

1:03:52

do i get the same worse dynamic i mean

1:03:54

i just picked up hundred renfro is an improvement

1:03:56

over one of my l films that are bad

1:03:58

mile field has been Austin Hayes got

1:04:01

the the boot That's

1:04:05

been tough too. I hear you. I

1:04:07

hear you It's not fun when you've got super slumppers

1:04:09

like that. Yeah, you can also own strands another one

1:04:11

for me, too Oh, yeah, I have one player. No,

1:04:13

it's not sure I have three players more than two

1:04:16

homers, but Point is

1:04:18

it's so excited about an Encarnacion strand me

1:04:20

too me too But he has

1:04:22

one walk all season long so very funny six

1:04:24

to one striker to walk is not good No,

1:04:27

I'm bad. It though that could turn around. Yeah,

1:04:29

I could But that one

1:04:31

is yeah is really bad, but I think with most of these

1:04:33

guys at this point. We're still I Guess

1:04:36

you just hold them Yeah,

1:04:39

and then and then if you've been burned on some

1:04:41

things I use Trey Let's come in our labor league

1:04:43

and he got me three steals in

1:04:46

the first week I used him So I was like, okay.

1:04:48

Well, whatever he's playing I'll use him and then the next

1:04:50

week They sent it to the miners right after like

1:04:52

on Monday night. Well, of course Monday night That's always

1:04:54

worse Yes, and I was not able to and he

1:04:57

was already locked into my lineup or at least by

1:04:59

the time I found out He's locked into my lineup

1:05:01

and anyways, I don't think I had a good

1:05:03

replacement for and I was like, oh my goodness like They

1:05:06

just always anyway, so just little things like

1:05:08

that. They do even out over the course

1:05:10

of a full season, but in April They

1:05:12

don't write that is that I've

1:05:14

lived in Europe for him for a week. So

1:05:17

yeah. Yeah All

1:05:19

right. I think that's where we're gonna leave

1:05:22

off for this week a fun doing a daytime

1:05:24

podcast with you You'll actually get a decent night's

1:05:26

sleep. I'm happy to contribute to that. So you

1:05:28

to your greater overall health Yeah,

1:05:31

for sure. I'm excited about that. We should be able to do some

1:05:33

daytime ones From now on so

1:05:35

maybe I'll be a little perkier for those ones. All

1:05:37

right, very good. Thanks everybody for listening

1:05:39

Thanks to prize picks and to vivid

1:05:42

seats for their sponsorship guys If you

1:05:44

really did like this podcast smash that

1:05:46

like button, please, please subscribe Please

1:05:48

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1:05:50

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1:05:54

pod Thanks, everybody. Good luck in your

1:05:56

games tonight. Take care Hey

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