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The One Thing That’s Holding Back the Heat Pump

The One Thing That’s Holding Back the Heat Pump

Released Thursday, 9th May 2024
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The One Thing That’s Holding Back the Heat Pump

The One Thing That’s Holding Back the Heat Pump

The One Thing That’s Holding Back the Heat Pump

The One Thing That’s Holding Back the Heat Pump

Thursday, 9th May 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

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Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose, treat,

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cure, or prevent any disease. The.

1:17

One thing that's holding back the heat pump.

1:19

It's. Not the technology itself. It's that

1:22

we don't yet have enough train workers

1:24

to install heat pumps for full tilt

1:26

decarbonisation. By. Matt Simon. If.

1:31

Billionaires actually cared about saving the planet.

1:33

They'd pull their vast wealth and by

1:36

everyone, a heat pump. Instead.

1:38

Of burning, planet warming fossil fuels,

1:40

these appliances extract warmth from even

1:42

freezing outdoor air and transferred into

1:45

a building thanks to neat tricks

1:47

of physics. In. The summer

1:49

they reversed to act like an air conditioning

1:51

unit. One recent study found that if everyone

1:53

in the United States got a heat pump.

1:56

It. Slash emissions in the building sector

1:58

by thirty six to sixty. Four

2:00

percent. And. Cut overall national

2:02

emissions by five to nine percent.

2:05

Because. They're fully electric. heat pumps

2:07

run on a grid increasingly loaded

2:09

with renewable energy. Not.

2:11

The billionaires would ever have the altruism

2:13

or desire to buy us all heat

2:16

pumps mega yacht Soren going to buy

2:18

themselves after all. But if they did,

2:20

they'd be one critical a hurdle they'd

2:22

run into. The. One thing that's

2:25

holding heat pumps back from their full

2:27

potential? More generally. There. Aren't enough

2:29

trained workers yet to install them? No.

2:31

One talks about supply chain constraints

2:33

anymore. What? Is now the bottleneck

2:36

is actually the installer says fill

2:38

a printer, C O, and cofounder

2:40

of Arch, a platform that helps

2:42

aidsvax heating ventilation and air conditioning

2:44

companies manage customers. In. The

2:46

winter and in the summer. In the

2:48

peak seasons, when most people actually want

2:50

to install a system, it's actually still

2:52

a contractor constrained market. The.

2:54

Result is classic green place in

2:57

a temporary rise in the costs

2:59

associated with decarbonisation due to market

3:01

constraints, says climate economist Garnett Wagner

3:03

of the Columbia Business School in

3:05

New York. Yes, There is

3:07

a shortage of qualified contractors, he says.

3:10

But. It's a good problem to have, he

3:12

argues, and one where there's an obvious

3:14

solution on the road to decarbonizing our

3:16

civilization. It'll be costly to train

3:18

more workers in the green economy, but

3:20

that will end up paying huge dividends.

3:23

Electricians get talked about a lot

3:25

and used as sort of an

3:27

avatar for all of the jobs

3:29

that are going to be needed

3:31

to install heat pumps and decarbonise

3:33

the economy says Alexandria, her senior

3:35

research associate at Rewiring America, a

3:38

nonprofit that promotes electrification. But.

3:40

It's not just electricians, it's actually a

3:42

whole range of different jobs across the

3:44

construction trades. Qualified. Workers are

3:46

needed to determine what kind of heat

3:48

pump a home or business requires to

3:50

install the things and then to service

3:53

them. A heat pump is

3:55

fundamentally different from a gas fired

3:57

furnace, and it requires fundamentally different

3:59

training. That. Would include workers

4:01

specializing in weatherization better insulating

4:03

homes so heat pumps get

4:05

even more efficient. And. Will

4:07

need specialists to retrofit the grid so

4:10

it can smoothly transition to handle the

4:12

ebb and flow of renewable energy. Which.

4:14

Is what makes he pumps so climate friendly. And.

4:17

Will need workers in manufacturing to produce

4:19

the units themselves. And. We

4:21

need these people A sap. Heat. Pump

4:23

sales are already outpacing the sale of

4:26

gas furnaces in the Us. The Inflation

4:28

Reduction Act of Twenty Twenty Two provides

4:30

thousands of dollars in tax rebates and

4:32

credit for households to both switch to

4:34

a heat pump and pay for the

4:36

electrical upgrades that may be required to

4:38

run the appliances. Last. Year

4:40

the Biden Administration announced one hundred

4:42

Sixty Nine million dollars to supercharge

4:44

the domestic manufacturing of whole heat

4:46

pumps and their individual components. And.

4:49

In February, nine states signed a

4:51

memorandum of understanding to accelerate the

4:53

adoption of heat pumps. So.

4:55

The demand is there, as is growing

4:57

support from the federal and state governments.

5:00

What's. Lagging is the workforce at least

5:02

temporarily, and the U is nowhere near

5:04

alone. Wherever heat pump adoption is growing,

5:07

more workers need to train up to

5:09

meet demand. If you look at a

5:11

place like say, Finland were pretty much

5:13

all your heating systems are heat pumps,

5:16

This is not really an issue anymore,

5:18

says Jan Rosa, now who studies electrification

5:20

at the Regulatory Assistance Project a policy

5:22

angio for the energy community. If

5:25

he wanted to buy an electric carts and years

5:27

ago it was quite difficult, wasn't it? Now.

5:30

You can go to any show room and you

5:32

can find them. I think the same as going

5:34

to be the case with heat pumps. It's already

5:36

the case with heat pumps in more mature markets.

5:39

In. The U S though we don't have

5:41

some sort of giant national program to quickly

5:43

get more people trained in a track. It.

5:46

Would just make sense that there would be

5:48

this path to learn more about heat pumps

5:50

and then there would be a whole armed

5:53

force to go out and install these things

5:55

says Edu Know V Act Manager of a

5:57

H Back and Refrigeration Design Education at the

5:59

Nonprofit Air Conditioning Contractors Of America. There.

6:02

Is such an opportunity right now for people to

6:04

get in on the ground level? It's not take

6:06

them very long to make a decent wage at

6:09

it, and I still sit here at times with

6:11

my palms in the air as to why it

6:13

isn't just automatically happening. There.

6:15

Isn't one official pathway and the Us

6:18

for a track workers, but several trade

6:20

schools and community colleges provide H back

6:22

training. Trade. Unions offer apprenticeship said.

6:25

Many H back companies run their own

6:27

training programs to get people into the

6:29

trade. The. Most successful companies right

6:31

now are finding these people to install. They're

6:33

not necessarily hiring people that are already in

6:35

the field says you know, be act. But.

6:38

If you look at the number of

6:40

technicians that go through those programs nationally

6:42

versus the demand, it's just not there.

6:44

so we need a lot more people.

6:47

For. Veteran age back workers already

6:49

trained in fossil fuel systems like

6:51

installing guess furnaces, heat pump manufacturers

6:54

provide their own training to install

6:56

their products which is of course

6:58

in their interest. H. Back

7:00

companies also do their own heat pump

7:02

training for established workers which usually takes

7:04

two days. If. A home has

7:07

ducting. A heat pump will work

7:09

similarly to a traditional Ac unit,

7:11

so the installation is nearly identical.

7:13

But. All these workers don't just have

7:15

to be trained, but trained well. Less,

7:18

they inadvertently turn customers off of the

7:20

energy efficient appliances just as the heat

7:22

pump revolution is getting going. If

7:25

the size of the heat pump doesn't suit

7:27

the size of the home or the ducting

7:29

within, it won't be as efficient. If.

7:31

You don't have ducting. A contractor might

7:33

recommend a simpler ductless heat pump which

7:35

is set into an outside facing wall.

7:37

My. Biggest hope is that those people who

7:39

do end up installing these do get trained

7:42

wisely says you know the act. And.

7:44

They do install pieces of equipment that work the

7:46

way we want them to. And.

7:48

Added challenge is that the Us needs

7:50

a robust network of training programs all

7:53

across the country. You can't have someone

7:55

remotely install a heat pump, which means

7:57

will need not just an army of

7:59

trained workers. Properly distributed one.

8:02

Over in the Uk, the energy

8:04

supplier Octopus Energy has even built

8:07

to full scale model houses for

8:09

workers to train and one representing

8:11

modern housing stock and the other

8:13

older bricks from the nineteen sixties

8:15

or nineteen seventies. The. Company uses

8:18

the homes to train workers new to

8:20

the heating industry. It directly employs these

8:22

folks during the education process so they

8:24

get paid, but also to reschedule veterans

8:27

who have been installing fossil fuel systems.

8:30

Actually, We don't really have a skill

8:32

shortage at all. We just have a set of

8:34

people that are installing the wrong product. says.

8:36

John Cynic C. O of Octopus

8:38

Energy Services. We. Build those model

8:40

homes in order to show people how

8:43

you'd Optimizers Rollout for the mass market.

8:46

Working. In an older Uk home, for

8:48

instance, technicians need to account for much

8:50

worse insulation than in a modern home.

8:53

The. Size of the whole matters, as does the

8:55

number of occupants and kinds of windows. All.

8:57

That data goes into a calculation that octopus

8:59

used to determine the size of the heat

9:01

pump. Those. Homes are really really

9:04

helpful for our surveyors understanding of how

9:06

to go around and measure up says

9:08

Simic. Then. During a heat pump

9:10

installation in the real world a newly trained

9:13

worker would join a crew of more experience

9:15

technicians. What you get there is the opportunity

9:17

to blend your people that have been working

9:19

on this for awhile have more experience with

9:22

the people that are coming into a fresh

9:24

with slightly less experience. A

9:26

new breed of heat pumps is also making

9:28

it possible for some people to skip hiring

9:31

a trained installer entirely. The. New

9:33

York City Housing Authority, for instance, is

9:35

deploying units that slip over a window

9:37

sill and plug into the wall. One

9:39

of the company's making that type gradient

9:41

says that a resident can install one

9:43

in less than an hour, in contrast

9:45

to a team of technicians installing a

9:47

traditional heat pump in about a day.

9:50

For. An apartment dweller without ducting. This

9:52

might be an ideal option that

9:54

skips the extra step of having

9:56

a contractor analyze the space and

9:58

deploy a more complicated. The.

10:01

Other option is to just hope the heat

10:03

pump revolution unfold smoothly on it's own. Maybe.

10:06

The H Back industry will meet that

10:08

demand with American made devices installed by

10:11

newly trained workers. Finland. After

10:13

all, eventually found it's way. There.

10:15

May well be the need for large

10:17

scale retraining programs, says Wagner. Maybe.

10:20

I'm too much of a business school economist. please

10:22

excuse me for that. But frankly, one answer is

10:24

to simply get out of the way and let

10:27

the market do it's thing. Thanks.

10:30

For listening to Wired my name is

10:32

Zeke Robison and for more stories like

10:34

this one visit usatwire.com. Like

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