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Sahar Heydari Fard on Complexity, Justice, and Social Dynamics

Sahar Heydari Fard on Complexity, Justice, and Social Dynamics

Released Monday, 18th March 2024
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Sahar Heydari Fard on Complexity, Justice, and Social Dynamics

Sahar Heydari Fard on Complexity, Justice, and Social Dynamics

Sahar Heydari Fard on Complexity, Justice, and Social Dynamics

Sahar Heydari Fard on Complexity, Justice, and Social Dynamics

Monday, 18th March 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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2:22

Everyone welcome to the Mindscape Podcast. I'm

2:25

your host Sean Carroll. One of the

2:27

great things about having a podcast is

2:29

that I not the university in particular

2:31

I do not have departments. Are you

2:33

not have to worry about hiring people?

2:35

I can just talk to people that

2:37

ideas, whatever the ideas might be, as

2:40

long as I think that they're interesting.

2:42

So as a result of that, I

2:44

don't need to worry about which department

2:46

somebody sits in. You know that I'm

2:48

back now as a real professor at

2:50

Johns Hopkins when I was at. Caltech.

2:53

I was a research professor, which was

2:55

great for doing research, but you're sort

2:57

of less integrated into the wider university

2:59

life than I am now. So not

3:02

only my a professor now, but I

3:04

am both the professor in Philosophy and

3:06

physics, and I have attachments to other

3:09

parts of the university, in cetera. So

3:11

I'm thinking a lot about these issues

3:13

of how people fit in. and it's

3:16

so frustrating. So annoying to some people

3:18

might be brilliant scholars, but don't fit

3:20

easily into any one department. Here

3:23

at Mindscape, we don't need to

3:25

worry about that and today's guest

3:27

is a wonderful example. So hard

3:29

he dairy Farm is a philosopher.

3:31

She is in the Philosophy department

3:33

at Ohio State University, no doubt

3:35

about that. Her at work touches

3:37

as you here in the episode

3:39

on ideas put forward by people

3:41

like Kill and O'connor and Elizabeth

3:43

Anderson who are also both philosophers

3:45

were previous guests but it also

3:47

touches on ideas that are similar

3:49

to what her begin to his

3:51

talked about and. Heard was also difficult

3:53

to fit into a category, but if

3:56

anything, he'd be called an economist and

3:58

a lot of work so hard. Links

4:00

about his political science and Justice

4:02

You know, political kinds of philosophy.

4:05

You'll hear names like Hobbs and

4:07

Human come up in our conversation.

4:09

People like John Rawls and others

4:11

have thought a lot about what

4:14

is a Just Society. So the

4:16

specific angle that's a hard brings

4:18

to this is guess what? Complexity

4:21

Theory An even more so than

4:23

people like Killing O'connor Elizabeth Anderson.

4:25

She's not only think about society

4:28

and it's dynamics, but she's explicitly.

4:30

Doing so from the

4:32

lens of complex systems

4:35

research clearly. If

4:37

anything is going to be complex

4:39

in the world, all of society

4:42

is going to be pretty complex,

4:44

right? And there's a question you're

4:46

perfectly willing to ask God willing

4:48

to wonder about if you're complexity

4:51

theory skeptics, which is, do these

4:53

techniques that go under the rubric

4:55

of the complex systems research have

4:57

any specific applicability to the individual

5:00

fields, right? If society is complex,

5:02

if the economy is complex at

5:04

the Internet is complex, but also

5:06

if an organism is complex of

5:08

individual cell is complex or they're

5:11

really features that are com into

5:13

these that are worth thinking about

5:15

vs. just thinking about each individual

5:17

thing in it's own right. And

5:20

I think that the answer that

5:22

comes out of the conversation you're

5:24

about to listen to is that

5:26

there is something gained by thinking

5:29

about society as a complex system

5:31

that we can learn about from

5:33

thinking about complex systems in general.

5:35

So we'll think about. Phase

5:38

Transitions will think about game Theory

5:40

will think about networks and that

5:42

not only helps you analyze the

5:45

structure of society which may be

5:47

is a perfectly obvious thing. If

5:49

you think this thing might work,

5:51

the interesting thing is it helps

5:54

you philosophize about what a good

5:56

the society would be like. Thinking

5:58

about society as the complex system

6:01

as he has a high will

6:03

try to make the case for

6:05

anything that she's convinced me anyway.

6:07

Ah, makes you think about what

6:10

society should shoot for in a

6:12

different way. It's maybe in retrospect,

6:14

not surprising. The better you understand

6:17

something, the more likely you are

6:19

to have good ideas about how

6:21

to optimize that thing. So whatever

6:23

your personal values are thinking about

6:26

society accurately might suggest ways to

6:28

achieve those personal values. In the

6:30

organization of society and the specific fact

6:32

that society is a complex system will

6:34

as you will see, I want to

6:36

give it away, but as you will

6:38

see will make certain suggestions about that.

6:40

So so glad that I'm not the

6:42

university. I don't need to worry about

6:45

putting people into departments. I can just

6:47

talk to people because they're interesting. With

6:49

that, let's go. Higher

7:07

had our he fired welcome to the By a

7:09

podcast. Thank you for hands. So

7:12

you know, like I have to start

7:14

with a conversation that we had just

7:16

a little while ago. We were at

7:19

a workshop together and I asked you

7:21

if as a philosopher who is thinking

7:23

about society and and political questions, you

7:26

ever collaborate with political scientists and roughly

7:28

speaking you said yes And in those

7:30

collaboration your job is to run the

7:33

model, run the computer. My husband my

7:35

there's a guy that says it's a

7:37

made me laugh because. As.

7:39

A Physicist he talk to philosophers the

7:42

I often let people know it you're

7:44

talking if offers a super useful but

7:46

you don't go to them to calculate

7:49

a fireman diagram. So just as a

7:51

statistic of the teaser or an overview,

7:53

how do you end up being the

7:55

philosopher the people go to to run

7:58

their computer simulations are that. The

8:00

only question think you're first

8:02

starting Usa? I'm So the

8:05

short answer is that perhaps

8:07

because of the things that

8:09

you have mentioned in your

8:12

conversation with Killing or Connor

8:14

in another at the Syrup

8:16

this podcast Yes ah about

8:19

just so Stories. So. The

8:21

idea is side. We have

8:23

some assumptions about how society

8:26

works. Based on those assumptions

8:28

become up with some system

8:30

for how things can be

8:32

prevented from going the wrong,

8:34

how it can be maintained

8:37

in a stable functioning level

8:39

and then based on those

8:41

assumptions. the also make a

8:43

lot of prescriptions for what

8:46

should be done or how

8:48

can be make things more

8:50

up. To more more effective

8:52

and then a follows some normative

8:54

claims about what is just what

8:57

is moral that is fair, blah

8:59

blah by those assumptions. Sometimes our

9:02

fault is or assumptions that might

9:04

come from our intuitions about our

9:06

interactions at the local level and

9:09

and a small scale fight it

9:11

might not hold when you are

9:14

relying on those assumptions as like

9:16

a population levels are in the

9:18

population has like five times. The

9:21

size that. Philosophers.

9:23

Who have been theorizing this incident

9:26

but possibly imagine? Imagine rights and

9:28

I'm their modeling part comes in

9:30

to test out the ideas that

9:32

se start with those assumptions of

9:35

how these interactions work and then

9:37

expand the size with those intuition

9:39

still and he a reliable guide

9:41

for us to know what we

9:44

should do or how we should

9:46

like make things the way that

9:48

we won at them. or who

9:50

should be the person who ah.

9:53

Be prioritized their one things or

9:55

their needs. Ah, in what way?

9:58

Does actually great answer. Because it's

10:00

Maryland bread and success. The Great: A

10:02

matter of because is it. It parallels

10:04

very nicely what happens between philosophy in

10:06

physics because physicists as a as a

10:08

very often say just love to get

10:11

the right answer and the very happy

10:13

to get the right answer for the

10:15

wrong reasons. If it them the right

10:17

answer but then the problem with that

10:19

is the would you extrapolate beyond the

10:21

regime in which you know you get

10:23

the right answer? Your faulty reasoning comes

10:25

to bite you a little bit and

10:27

and base in some sense to oversimplify

10:29

you're. Saying same thing is true.

10:32

and in political theory. Now.

10:34

Absolutely. But also like when you

10:36

stated before like elaborate fight the

10:38

connections are your thing to the

10:40

twin foster see and says eggs

10:42

and i thinking about other kind

10:45

of on. And. Cake.

10:47

Sense that have applied physics in

10:49

a place that does the modeling

10:51

for philosophy or lights said like

10:53

not thinking about the as the

10:56

Chilean way out like most and

10:58

Wagner and like at the way

11:00

that's. Me moved

11:02

from analytic descriptions up the wall

11:04

to more like statistics Family says

11:06

I get I like loss. There

11:09

are details that you can just

11:11

dismiss and is just like not

11:13

a health fall and he can

11:15

take. Talk about averages. And they're

11:18

not only ah better, but also

11:20

and some sense. I give you

11:22

a better understanding of this like

11:24

and to logical structure of what

11:26

you're talking. About yes. I'm and

11:28

then. I think complexity as

11:31

another big step that the are making

11:33

that oh okay sell. It is true

11:35

that the solutions by not give us

11:38

everything added. Also true that like sometimes

11:40

just sticks or does averaging models are

11:42

the best way to cope out things

11:45

but sometimes you have this guy like

11:47

organized complexity is metal that likes you

11:49

can. I'm just like all the they

11:52

jumped in and say lie I talk

11:54

about the average and then I've gathered

11:56

everything that I won it and I

11:58

think like that. Exactly what I

12:01

do have thoughts and prayers are As

12:03

such all scientists like. Political.

12:06

Scientists yeah to distinguish these

12:08

and distinguished a tool that

12:11

they're using. To talk about each and. Will

12:14

that's also great answer I gotta say

12:16

because physicists or a little bit nervous

12:18

about complexity for exactly the reasons he

12:20

of the dimensions they they like things

12:23

where you could average things out your

12:25

of the they classic example being getting

12:27

fluid mechanics of a bunch of atoms

12:30

right and then you just get of

12:32

still a very simple explanation of the

12:34

and food mechanics been complex systems are

12:36

different so Wheatley talked about this alone

12:39

the podcast with let's Pretend we Have

12:41

and what is your Person all. Way

12:43

of thinking about what complexity is and why it's interesting.

12:45

Why do you have to start at the harness? Plus

12:48

serves their own. Going to be hard the never going

12:50

to get easy as we go. Ah,

12:52

no way that I'm thinking about

12:55

complexity as a kind of phenomena

12:57

that has some sort of stability

12:59

at the aggregate level. but that

13:01

stability is not dependent on like

13:03

stay homogenous components who have like

13:05

the same kind of direction, incentives,

13:08

property. However, you're thinking about itself

13:10

in their social world is like

13:12

if you're thinking individuals as rational

13:14

actors were like diverse incentives to

13:16

don't want to think of them

13:18

as rational actors, just think of

13:21

them as actors. Who hangs?

13:23

Ask for diverse like reasons

13:25

and diverse knees and diverse

13:27

situations by like at the

13:29

same time you see that

13:31

like some kind of stability

13:34

is emerging from this kind

13:36

of. Many.

13:38

Actor: Conditions.

13:42

That some of them are more

13:44

influential, some of them are Less

13:46

pay requires coordination among so many

13:48

different level. at Seoul different individuals

13:50

at so many different levels to

13:52

get that kind of stability and

13:54

with other you cannot have any

13:57

explanation whatsoever. You cannot just assume

13:59

that like this just a unit.

14:01

Find their ah public opinion. Political

14:03

opinion is just like occurs and

14:05

happens to off the late i

14:07

don't know I ah enough and

14:09

you see that a oscillates like

14:11

over time, sometimes in response to

14:14

external stimuli but sometimes endogenous. The

14:16

sometimes because people are like reorienting

14:18

their political views are connections. A

14:20

who they're talking to, who they

14:22

trusting and you see that kind

14:24

of oscillation of time. And if

14:26

you want to explain that kind

14:28

of thing, ah. It seems

14:31

like games going back to individuals

14:33

and the incentives is too much

14:35

information. Ah, people do things for

14:37

all sorts of this reason he

14:39

cannot take a survey of like

14:41

everyone. Why does it? Knowing what

14:43

they're doing by thinking of them

14:45

as their average of the public's

14:47

opinion is. Too. Little information

14:49

give lost a lot of South

14:51

Street. I'm thinking about complexity. ah

14:54

his first. A phenomenon and

14:56

wish you have many actors that

14:58

coordination among them is necessary to

15:00

generate some level of to those

15:02

but you don't have any central

15:04

organizer at is doing. The work

15:07

for you on. The.

15:09

Behalf Something that people call emergence

15:11

of the emergence of the stability,

15:13

that also constraints of behavior. Like

15:16

a good become a broken record with.

15:18

that was a great answer because very

15:20

different to visit your highlighting different aspect

15:22

of complexity than we talked about before.

15:25

This stability over time right? that reminds

15:27

me of or when Schrodinger years little

15:29

books. He knows where to go. The

15:32

physicists wrote this little book called what

15:34

is Life and he has a line

15:36

in there that answers the question where

15:38

he says life is something that keeps

15:41

on moving long effort should have stopped

15:43

and no one pays attention to that.

15:45

Line in the book where he actually answers

15:48

the question the title. but it is fascinating

15:50

to me. and as a physicists, I'm trying

15:52

to figure out where these come from. You

15:54

have the luxury of saying okay, we'll look

15:57

at society. They're they're they're you want to

15:59

Sort of. Use the tools of

16:01

complexity I guess the to think

16:03

about how that stability happens in

16:06

and a presumably I would might

16:08

change. he has it up perfectly

16:10

stable like our current amorphous. Harrys

16:12

last year and as as they they important

16:14

point to think about that likes Ah,

16:16

one way of thinking about stability as like

16:19

that kind of average kind of mentality that

16:21

is just like a stable. I don't know.

16:23

like slimy X, flash floods, gone, gone,

16:25

and like the kind of phenomenon that I'm

16:28

seeking to explain in the world is the

16:30

kind of phenomenon that is stable. So

16:32

I start from that assumption of a stability

16:34

and then I can. Bring.

16:36

In some function on death than

16:38

dishes or some other assumptions that

16:41

like make their individuals' perhaps a

16:43

function of that stability at the

16:45

social level, our their properties a

16:47

function of thoughts and then explain

16:49

a lot of things but then

16:51

you want to. Incorporate.

16:54

Change and what happens is that

16:56

the only way to conceptualize that

16:58

his thoughts he should burn everything

17:01

to the ground and starts as

17:03

crests to be able to have

17:05

changed rights and the avenues for

17:07

gradual change or even rapid change

17:10

that is not revolutionary in a

17:12

sense that it doesn't make us

17:14

completely unstable but help us to

17:17

go from one at Calabria Marv

17:19

relatively more stable state to the

17:21

other and another are just. Have

17:23

a stable situation that drifts over

17:26

or oscillates or have some other

17:28

kind of dynamic behavior by. It's

17:30

not like said and metaphysical Stone

17:32

to had. this is Ed and

17:34

I prioritize this metaphysically and explain

17:36

everything else based on this. the

17:38

bloody and you see that in

17:40

social theory and political science this

17:42

a lot and happens a lot

17:45

because like when you recognize that

17:47

there is some higher level stability

17:49

and you don't need to figure

17:51

out how individuals in fact it.

17:53

To generate this? Then when

17:55

you're trying to. Use

17:57

that to see rise have changed.

18:00

Happens, You end up saying

18:02

things that people don't want

18:04

to do like. The

18:06

Revolution Or. Make

18:09

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Very okay. Good. So. That.

19:15

Brings in another aspect of your work which is

19:17

that you do want to make the world a

19:19

better place or these airlines about how to make

19:21

a world a better place right? So I just

19:23

hope the world becomes a better place in my

19:25

work is not going to help him long so

19:27

that is an important distinction but but is it's

19:30

nice because what you just said is you know.

19:32

The. The theory of teams aspect of

19:34

it is important that reminds us of,

19:37

you know, punctuated equilibrium in biology were

19:39

population is doing pretty well, but and

19:41

mutation comes along that makes and do

19:43

even better. and suddenly there's a pretty

19:45

rapid change. that's the kind of thing

19:48

I'm gonna. I'm gonna suggest and correct

19:50

me if I'm wrong. The complexity theory

19:52

is geared up to talk about and

19:54

maybe ways that other theories are not.

19:57

Absolutely. Ah, but I think and.

20:00

Provide the complexity theory

20:02

can help us think

20:04

about how punctuated equilibrium

20:06

happens. Sometimes

20:08

given that there and so

20:11

many other interrelated things that

20:13

like. Would keep. That

20:15

equilibrium they they stable. So

20:17

sometimes like this comes up

20:19

and discussions by economics people

20:21

talk about like norms change

20:23

in the same same sense

20:25

of punctuated equilibrium. So you

20:28

have like the practice of

20:30

foot binding. It started because

20:32

it's a king and night

20:34

on out somewhere. Like very

20:36

much liked one of his

20:38

dancers lighting her third in

20:40

a certain way and then

20:42

died like. Of became a

20:45

way for other women to make

20:47

themselves desirable for either the king

20:49

or the. People. Who are

20:52

close to D C Kings and

20:54

then it became like a form

20:56

of lox started to have like

20:58

a wife or partner or whatever

21:00

who are conquer buying who had

21:02

that properties and then incentivize women

21:04

to do that more and more

21:06

often to be able to like

21:08

Mary up that a lot of

21:10

like income inequality you are like

21:12

wealth gap or whatever feudal systems

21:15

are you know it's ah it

21:17

became like some a method for

21:19

people to marry their kid. Up

21:21

right So scared. like a stable

21:23

situation that likes apparent is stuck.

21:25

And because if they do this

21:27

while they're hurting their child, the

21:29

child cannot walk anymore. It's a

21:31

painful yeah. They use the i

21:34

don't know whether we see pictures

21:36

of a such horrendous. But

21:39

if they don't do that to

21:41

their child their child doesn't have

21:43

d possible to, daughter doesn't have

21:45

the possibility to marry and in

21:47

an environment and bitch there's no

21:49

other way for these women's. Sports

21:51

themselves. other than it's all you have

21:53

harm that child So like everyone has

21:55

incentive to keep things in place is

21:57

a like. Centuries, Past.

22:00

And. It's now

22:02

a practice said everyone does so you

22:05

don't even do this to may up

22:07

or down like a stable feature. Of

22:09

the left ear. Yeah, Yeah and then people

22:11

are realizing that this is a problematic

22:13

thing, like we shouldn't do this but

22:16

no one has the to deviate from

22:18

and. By. What happened is

22:20

that like a group of people

22:22

who are wealthier get together and

22:24

sign a pledge. sad day not

22:26

gonna let their child married to

22:29

a person who us on this

22:31

to their foot or ah would

22:33

not do that to their own

22:35

children. And any kind of

22:37

had a trickle effect like overnight to

22:39

a or if not of are now

22:41

have a short period of times and

22:43

bad practice A kind of stopped yeah

22:45

only stopped by. It was like a

22:48

negative view of. Those. Who do

22:50

to that? but like. this is the

22:52

situation in which the Aclu pm is

22:55

kind of separate or earth and decompose

22:57

of or from many other things. A.

23:00

Like. Exist kind of in

23:02

isolation even though it's teeth into

23:04

the marriage market and income inequality

23:06

and sorts of the there's so

23:08

many other kind of a clear

23:10

when the states that there's the

23:12

Billie is not just because people

23:15

repeat them or they don't have

23:17

incentive to change or because they're

23:19

so into related to other social

23:21

norms and like social practices or

23:23

laws or whatever that likes even

23:25

if you changed them overnight other

23:27

social practices reproduce or recreate this

23:29

kind. Of phenomenon all over again.

23:32

I'm coding this from Elizabeth Anderson

23:34

who has this example of school

23:37

segregation that like in some measures

23:39

as it's in some parts of

23:41

the country, school segregation is worse

23:44

than what it was in nineteen

23:46

sixties. Not because the lot like

23:49

is generating guess but because the

23:51

law or like the practice of

23:53

doing that was inter related to

23:56

so many others like and. Pack.

23:58

Seen housing. How funding for

24:01

schools com about. Where

24:04

people live, had and like many many

24:06

other things. that and then when you

24:08

take the law out of the equation

24:11

or make it even illegal to do

24:13

that and put impose a coffin People

24:15

who won two like segregate schools. Other

24:17

factors recreate and reintroduce the the same

24:20

phenomenon Oliver a Gun. Rights.

24:22

Said that kind of punctuated equilibrium.

24:25

Is not gonna help us

24:27

completely understand. How

24:30

you can get out of the situation.

24:33

Face. Like punctuated by

24:35

like spend you take account

24:37

of those interactions at Interaction

24:39

it seems like. You.

24:42

Are if you think of like

24:44

a landscape of the choices people

24:46

make, it's like. Creating. A

24:48

path That a new paths in

24:51

that landscape that allow people to

24:53

come and use a path to

24:55

get an eloquent. Elizabeth Anderson of

24:57

course, another former Mindscape guest. I

24:59

do appreciate you names Zippy know

25:01

the former. Guess though? that's. Very.

25:04

Interesting because it's so. does the

25:06

backup use the word landscape that

25:08

food or you were That is

25:10

used sometimes by evolutionary biologists, although

25:12

I know that others worry about

25:14

it that they always worried people

25:16

were it's. And

25:19

the whole issue there is that for

25:21

the biological case for natural selection, it's

25:23

not teleological right? It's just the mutations

25:25

are random and if you are separated

25:28

by a barrier from or valley I

25:30

suppose the biologists would say from in

25:32

even better equilibrium it might be very

25:34

difficult to get their i think would

25:37

you're pointing at is the we Humans

25:39

are supposed to be better than that.

25:42

We can see that there's a

25:44

better state there, but there's still

25:47

a collective action problem, right? Like

25:49

baby. It would be better if we all went

25:51

there but if one of us goes there is

25:53

still bad what we do about that. Lovely

25:56

a question. So I think the collective

25:58

action found them as. Syria I

26:00

am. I agree that it relies

26:03

at least in it's traditional form.

26:05

it relies on very restricted assumptions

26:07

are in terms of self interest

26:09

rationality like perfect and from and

26:12

so for it's by even when

26:14

you drop those things are you

26:16

see that in biological systems could

26:18

don't have any of that the

26:21

you see similar kind of phenomena.

26:24

And at the same time you see

26:26

that. Groups.

26:29

Do have problems to ah act

26:31

collectively self if you just think

26:34

foul we're not all rational or

26:36

we have other altruistic motives. Still,

26:38

there should be some mechanism to

26:41

explain why we fail to do

26:43

things that even collectivity v realize

26:45

that they're beneficial so we know

26:47

that like this alternative is good

26:50

for us but like to have

26:52

trouble getting x ah and sometimes

26:54

that comes with like of an

26:57

assurance. I'm not sure that. If

26:59

I go everyone else will follow

27:01

and this is costly for me.

27:03

Fence Dislikes: If I don't do,

27:06

I don't mind my child's third.

27:08

ah I'm and everyone else keeps

27:10

doing what they're doing and age

27:12

passage more. My child has to

27:14

pay the price for this. So

27:16

ah if I want to be

27:19

self interested and better off doing

27:21

something that actually don't wanted to

27:23

name the signing my foot By

27:25

the way that we do it

27:27

in ways that doesn't. Require Like

27:29

you mentioned that the are better

27:32

than biological organisms. I think it's

27:34

partly true. Stay the same time

27:36

the complexity of the problem that

27:39

we're trying to solve as they

27:41

hire. So it had many variables

27:43

and these variables are highly interdependent

27:46

frames. So regardless of how smart

27:48

we are, it is possible. Nothing

27:50

on get it wrong and it's

27:52

possible bad Be Try to do

27:55

something and not everyone in the

27:57

society will follow generates like. Counter.

28:00

Man, two hours backlash your so

28:02

many other layers of complications that

28:04

can mess things up. By.

28:06

When you're looking at the history

28:08

of movements or changes that happen

28:10

and kind of rapid, the not

28:12

overnight necessarily. but like. Reasonably

28:15

fast paying like a decade or

28:17

so. You see that like public

28:20

opinion, people's practices are many things

28:22

relevant. it up. Change his dad

28:24

you generate Counts are public's. Okay,

28:28

You. Generate a environment in

28:30

which deviating from what's the

28:32

standard or the equilibrium or

28:35

the norm is less costly

28:37

for individuals. Ah

28:39

and does counter public's

28:42

you can experiment and

28:44

see whether this I'll

28:46

turn the way of

28:48

living. Has any

28:50

plausible the and does it work

28:52

or an eye on and then

28:54

if it works wall people around

28:56

you might be motivated. To. Follow.

28:59

And copy and on if you

29:01

have some other means to be

29:03

stabilized, that librium and or up

29:05

the society. And then if this

29:07

is working well it will bring

29:09

a lot of people and I'm

29:11

saying a lot of abstract things.

29:13

I'm I'm happy to break it

29:15

down by the decided to give

29:17

a general picture of what I'm

29:20

thinking. That it's great because.

29:22

They. Are we thinking here of

29:24

the existence of subcultures within a

29:26

diverse society are sort of giving

29:28

us ways to experiment. I know

29:30

that you know enough federal system

29:32

for a government that supposed to

29:34

be with states are supposed to

29:36

do right. Individual states experiment the

29:38

laboratories of democracy. It sometimes

29:41

works sometimes doesn't but you know whereof

29:43

loss for is here we're thinking about

29:45

what is what is conceivable in principle

29:47

so he that basically what you have

29:49

in mind the of examples. Kind.

29:52

Of died in a more. A.

29:55

No more informal way array.

29:57

Yeah, I know more so

30:00

that way because when you

30:02

create states, you are also

30:05

creating the on. An

30:08

outcome oriented. Ways

30:11

or like you're just changing

30:13

people's incentive when they are.

30:16

Packed spin that kind of collective

30:19

thinking, but sometimes these things these

30:21

kind of change when it comes

30:23

at the cultural love or like.

30:26

We. Want to change practices

30:28

that are ingrained in everyday

30:31

people's lives? Lot. You. Might

30:33

need barium put. The

30:35

highest they have enough seats.

30:38

So you can. I just like ask them

30:40

to vote and tell you are they works

30:42

or not. So you gone

30:44

this far. We've gone this far

30:46

without actually saying the words game

30:48

theory, but it sounds like they're

30:50

behind something. That they are you.

30:52

As we mentioned Killing O'connor and

30:55

she was. She definitely a uses

30:57

game theory her gynt as was

30:59

also in the podcast and and

31:01

he does it. So when we're

31:03

talking about these Aqua Libya, these

31:05

interactions a. Is it useful

31:07

to and do we use game theory

31:09

to model them? Absolutely.

31:12

Because there are.

31:15

Seeing. Here is bad and

31:17

we are talking about.

31:20

And a lot of interactions

31:22

and the way that people

31:24

need to cooperate with each

31:26

other in order to achieve

31:28

certain goals or have some

31:30

up Com and I and

31:32

games. He is a very

31:35

helpful way to formalize and

31:37

simplified those interactions in a

31:39

way that the can see

31:41

at the is how these

31:43

dynamics ten work. By.

31:47

Game. You find an innocent so

31:49

like you're thinking that like wall

31:51

when you're talking about let's say

31:53

discrimination or group based disadvantages live.

31:55

You're talking about that like you're

31:58

observing that like in it. Just

32:00

and way. People.

32:03

Are getting the short end of

32:05

the stick in their shoot social

32:07

interactions or this some like accumulation

32:10

of to sad. Now clustering of

32:12

this advantage or clustering have some

32:14

social problems that otherwise these things

32:16

don't have similar issue mechanisms to

32:19

be clustered around the same group

32:21

of people. And

32:24

when you. Were. You one to

32:26

think about? How is it even possible

32:28

to. Be. Ending up

32:30

in this kind of situations, game

32:32

theory is a very useful way

32:35

of. Thinking about the

32:37

basics. Do

32:39

want me to save more

32:41

about what kind of game

32:43

basis those. I do. I do. but

32:45

I think that the know everyone has heard

32:47

the phrase game theories and people know the

32:49

prisoner's dilemma is the a be. Some people

32:51

might even know nash equilibria are and things

32:53

like that but yet as to make a

32:55

little bit more specific example be great. So.

32:59

Ah, a game like a

33:01

prisoner's Dilemma is composed of

33:03

some main components. Ah, Wine

33:06

is the players who are

33:08

interacting and for better or

33:10

worse the often talk about

33:12

two players and I think

33:15

it's so. That's. A

33:17

problem of Sicily? Yes, yeah,

33:19

but like ah, it does

33:22

the job done for at

33:24

least a. Big. Costs

33:26

of problems That ah. it's

33:29

helpful to maintain it so

33:31

statue players coming to a

33:33

table. Ah, and they have

33:36

strategies. That. They can choose or

33:38

they can. They have

33:40

choices. let's say I'm for how

33:42

they want to interact with the

33:44

other person another plus. And there's

33:46

some outcomes that come. Out

33:49

as those decisions. But.

33:51

Each. Of them might not know what

33:54

is the decision that the other

33:56

person is going to make. Rates

33:58

are so a classic example. Two

34:01

prisoner prisoners who

34:03

are ah in

34:05

jail by. The

34:08

police doesn't know whether they actually have

34:10

committed something or not so they're playing

34:12

a trick under had like a few

34:14

com bad to each of them. If

34:17

you com and tell me what you

34:19

guys have done I'll let you go.

34:21

By. The other cars and will stay

34:23

here and. Pay. The price by

34:25

going to jail for a longer time

34:27

so they giving both of these. Actors.

34:31

And incentive to.

34:34

Be mean or tell on the

34:36

other person's to gain some personal.

34:39

Benefit. Of Rights. Ah, I'm so

34:41

each of them have the choice to

34:43

defects. And or to

34:45

tell. On the other

34:48

person and ah gained advantage

34:50

of. Being. Free and not

34:52

worrying about their crimes committed or

34:54

to both cooperate. So if they

34:56

both stay quiet, the police doesn't

34:58

have actually any evidence by maybe

35:01

because they just want to keep

35:03

them in jail because they don't

35:05

have any suspects. say they'll get

35:07

a baby short time. Ah, and

35:10

they can be released. So what

35:12

does games trying to show as

35:14

that? it is possible for us

35:16

to stay in or be in

35:18

a situation that the structure of.

35:21

The world. Or or the

35:23

word had structured our choices

35:25

such that there's a tension

35:27

between what is good for

35:29

us. It's the could cooperate

35:31

with each other. Compared.

35:34

To what is good for

35:36

us as the new what

35:38

as the a decision that

35:40

the other person is going

35:42

to make and what's the

35:44

effect of does not knowing

35:46

the other person's gonna sell

35:48

each of them have the

35:50

incentive to ah defects because

35:52

even though they won't benefit

35:54

from. Being. Completely clean and

35:57

the police not knowing what they've

35:59

done. But they're preventing themselves from

36:01

paying the cost for the other person

36:04

show. Going. To jail for

36:06

ten years instead of going to jail for six

36:08

months. So both

36:10

of them got a defect, even though they

36:12

both had the option to stay in jail

36:14

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37:17

So. They're They're collectively best off if they

37:19

both cooperate, but individually, they're both better

37:21

off if a defect. So, sadly, they're

37:23

gonna end up defecting in the world.

37:26

Yeah, terrible, terrible place. And

37:28

when you like going back to the

37:30

conversation about the collective action problems, a

37:32

collective action from the similar dynamic like

37:35

with an people. Rank.

37:37

All. Of them have this worry

37:39

that like they might. Like.

37:42

Do something that comments them to

37:44

this strategy or destroys by if

37:47

other people don't follow suit they

37:49

gonna be the. People. Who

37:51

gonna pay the price for it? And

37:54

the price guy behind and as

37:56

price can be high enough Babbel

37:58

incentivize only everyone are enough people

38:01

to not follow suit. Sale on

38:03

those who are worried about collective

38:05

action problem say like it's practically

38:08

impossible for this group of people

38:10

yell to achieve any collective good

38:12

on. The physicist in

38:14

me wants to think of this like

38:17

statistical mechanics or I and imagine a

38:19

huge number of people constantly bumping into

38:21

each other with their strategies at some

38:24

temperature. Which means that their strategies can

38:26

change over time and things like that,

38:28

and maybe there different equilibria depending on

38:31

the strength of the coupling and the

38:33

temperature and stuff like that. There.

38:35

Must be people doing exactly that? No.

38:38

Yes, yes, cells. And I

38:40

don't consider myself a physicist.

38:43

Bad, there's an undergrad physicists

38:45

a high. Levels

38:48

of as fast as thinking

38:50

about this dynamic eyes and.

38:53

Of a similar picture at

38:55

that you described. By.

38:57

But this caviar that you're

38:59

not talking about? An ideal

39:01

gas, So individuals are not

39:03

doing what they think they

39:05

should do. Ah, independent of

39:07

their social connections or interaction

39:10

with the other cells. Instead

39:12

of an ideal gas, you

39:14

have a. Bunch. Of molecules

39:16

who are kind of tied to

39:18

one another, but not perfectly Cel

39:20

Every every one is. Has

39:23

some significant interaction with the one on the

39:25

right or left. So. When

39:27

you add this kind

39:29

of interdependence, ah day,

39:31

collective action problem. Changes.

39:34

It's structure because then there

39:37

are way. For. People to.

39:40

And problems because they have some

39:42

repeated into actions, because they have

39:44

someone amazing about each other. Or

39:48

because. Through. These interactions

39:50

they can come up

39:53

southwest some strategy that

39:55

they. Think. Of as

39:57

the norm, it's the salient option

39:59

now. They're going back

40:01

to our O'connor's episodes.

40:05

She talks about like dividing a pie

40:07

or you start but like append of

40:09

ice cream and things the mom who

40:11

is the say like. Giving.

40:13

Their children this rule that

40:16

if you. Both. Claim

40:18

the same amount or a claim less

40:20

than what is available. You can get

40:22

what you claim equal or less and

40:25

but if you play more than what's

40:27

and button at what is available as

40:29

it was my mom I have throw

40:31

away the I say. That.

40:35

Sells you but now they sit

40:37

and do that so when you

40:39

are getting.kind of option to buy

40:42

have like a choice of both

40:44

claiming half of the ice cream

40:46

tens or claiming less and what's

40:49

available to be cautious or if

40:51

they have some information about what

40:53

the other side finance claim claim

40:56

more on. but. Not.

40:58

High enough that there is no way

41:00

for every other person to get any

41:02

this on. And then they talk about

41:04

some actual every I'm Solutions. That

41:07

like either dividing and half

41:09

or dividing one dividing taking

41:11

much less, one taking much

41:14

more will become the evolutionary

41:16

stable. Are com of

41:18

social interactions that are kind of repeated

41:20

over time? Some of them i be

41:22

bit with the same people. Sometimes you

41:24

don't have to him and make that

41:26

assumption but just keep that interaction goal

41:28

and there's not a one shot prisoner's

41:30

dilemma. It's a. Prisoner's.

41:33

Dilemma to happen over time but a

41:35

game that I described not actually prisoner's

41:37

Dilemma is a coordination going by like

41:39

similar and often idea. ah. Bide.

41:43

My. Way to say

41:46

is that the difference

41:48

between blood prediction d

41:50

rom. Prison. And not

41:52

collective action problem. Is giving

41:55

does. It is very sad that by

41:57

all you guys can I do anything?

42:00

In a dime and day conclusion that

42:02

will look at the world we can

42:04

do things cel like you're missing as

42:06

like similar to the containers and you

42:08

made or some other countries I made

42:10

based on your example. Of. Thinking

42:12

Gov. An ideal gas in

42:14

which individuals are kind of acting

42:17

isolation campaign to an environment in

42:19

the interaction is dominant for the

42:21

interaction is the one that doing

42:23

things. Good and you can kind

42:26

of see. Where. Philosophical implications come

42:28

in here a little bit but again

42:30

as usual correct me if I'm wrong,

42:32

but it sounds like we can find

42:35

ourselves in situation where bad things happen

42:37

even if nobody used to blame us

42:39

as I as and maybe that changes

42:42

or philosophical view on how to either

42:44

think about or even deal with. That.

42:46

Situations. That's absolutely

42:49

true. Friend stands O'connor and

42:51

Bruner, and a lot of

42:53

other people use this kind

42:55

of a losing game theoretic

42:57

mechanism to explain how and

42:59

the same way that they

43:01

expect. ah, fair divisions to

43:03

become dominant strategy of a

43:05

population that trying to divide

43:07

their resources and go about

43:09

their tastes are. You can

43:11

see that unfair divisions and

43:13

become the dominant strategy wise

43:15

because you can have some

43:17

structural. Components As like Axelrod

43:20

to write, said Robert axle

43:22

an authentic book on abolition

43:24

of corporations and the idea

43:26

is died on. If you

43:28

have some, add a layer

43:30

of information about what your

43:32

opponent's gonna do, while you

43:34

can base your strategy. On.

43:37

That added information and that

43:40

can be sometimes group faced.

43:42

Ah membership That like I

43:45

treat everyone in my group

43:47

therapy but everyone outside of

43:50

my group. Ah. And

43:52

unfairly are like i wanna be greedy

43:54

to them and then you see that

43:57

like other kind of snake tree breakage

43:59

can like. Ah, Make us

44:01

and up flares. An

44:03

unstable or not as stable as com

44:05

that is not actually say are not.

44:09

Equal at least in terms of the

44:12

outcome it generates. So we do

44:14

have. Unlike the prisoner's dilemma were a

44:16

crucial features. The two prisoners can't talk

44:19

to each other right answer and so

44:21

was it One is. One.

44:23

Of the things that's interesting about the differences

44:25

between the. Physical. System

44:27

where the boar, the evolutionary

44:29

genetics and humans is that

44:32

we can anticipate and imagine

44:34

other possible futures. but another

44:36

one is we can. Talk.

44:38

To each other Mean it's how much is

44:41

that part of the models? When you're when

44:43

you're making these models that that people can

44:45

try to persuade each other to act in

44:47

a certain way that helps the collective. Good.

44:50

Very good point I think like whenever

44:52

you like Olufsen that in all these

44:54

conditions people actually to can talk to

44:57

each other but they don't have any

44:59

way to told each other accountable. As

45:01

the other percent lot. Rights.

45:04

So and then as you can talk

45:06

to each other parking is not gonna

45:08

do anything because I can come and

45:11

tell you that likes give me or

45:13

watch or give me I like something

45:15

like the relatively expensive and I promise

45:17

I'll bring it back to you tomorrow.

45:20

I fry Assad like attack and just

45:22

live and in the absence of any

45:24

other mechanisms that hop you think that

45:27

whether or not I am can actually

45:29

stick to my promise. It's the same

45:31

as no communication Gap has and I.

45:33

Am I give you some information

45:36

about the other person? but if

45:38

the information is not giving you

45:40

a way to hold that person

45:42

accountable off or that doesn't mean

45:44

anything. So yes he can add

45:46

adam as miscommunication as he won

45:48

by like it's still it's face

45:50

the same kind of dynamic. Rights

45:52

but we do interact more than one

45:54

says he. doesn't. that add some sure

45:57

application there. By like I think, what

45:59

does a lot. Work is lied

46:01

on that are serious. Actually

46:03

help us to see that

46:05

like sometimes s ah I'm

46:07

a complete rondo. ah and

46:09

I'm asking for your watch.

46:12

Their. Dynamic is made. Dyffryn. Competing.

46:14

To situation that's you. and I

46:17

both know Kale in a corner

46:19

and we both respect her and

46:21

I'm worried that if I don't

46:23

bring back your rights law that

46:25

gonna affect my relationship with Killing

46:27

to Ice and you know that

46:29

I hear about it as a

46:31

relationship and that is enough for

46:33

you to have some reinforced reinforcement

46:36

mechanism that will hold me accountable

46:38

right? And

46:40

that repeated interaction also is a

46:42

similar dynamic that if I don't.

46:44

Bring my wife go about watch back

46:46

to you tomorrow their next time I'm

46:49

asking you for something on what you

46:51

just not going to give it to

46:53

me And if that's the case this

46:55

worry about the future as a way

46:58

that you can. Use.

47:00

To hold me accountable and makes

47:02

me do what I promise. Cells

47:04

come and. Communication. Becomes.

47:07

Irrelevant again. Spotlight. But you are

47:09

adding by saying that people can

47:12

can communicate is not other and

47:14

anything other than just repeated interaction

47:16

or being embedded in a network

47:19

is doing that work. So that's

47:21

why people don't talk about. Communication.

47:24

As much and try to offload

47:26

the. I guess though I don't

47:29

I worry I wonder whether we're

47:31

not being fair to people are

47:33

mean we're being to fair to

47:35

them. They give them as to

47:37

rationally self interested whereas people might

47:40

take pride in being on his

47:42

store being trustworthy or something like

47:44

that right? By. Using other.

47:47

Yeah. I say down just

47:49

a hypothesis. And.long com

47:51

without. Some. Other

47:54

layers of. Information.

47:57

Or some other layers of. Good.

48:00

The information that that person not

48:02

gonna lie regardless of. Their.

48:04

Enough to situation. So let let's

48:06

be like super philosophical here. There's

48:08

different ways that philosophers have thought

48:10

about justice. Oh, you've done a

48:12

wonderful job laying the groundwork. Have

48:14

some complexity theory, game theory, network,

48:16

the Or even though we didn't

48:18

like, use that for that. was

48:20

involved in years saying that were

48:22

not an ideal gas re a

48:24

certain connections that exist in certain

48:26

wants to don't Ah, how's that

48:28

different than you know? I don't

48:30

know. Hobbes and Russo and Bark

48:32

or even your John Rawls. Or

48:34

whatever that the traditional theorists

48:36

of political justice. Why

48:39

I think it's similar in

48:41

many regards but it best

48:43

friend in important ways to

48:45

sell similar and offense bad

48:48

for instance ah ha then

48:50

resell and others one to

48:52

think about what keeps as

48:54

a coherent functioning society Rights

48:57

and even though maybe a

48:59

lot of us are altruistic

49:01

people but likely have enough

49:04

people who are not altruistic

49:06

and my be self interest.

49:08

There that can like ruin it for

49:10

everyone else writes ah and are thinking

49:12

about what are the conditions that they

49:15

can put in place at. Be.

49:17

Don't have to depend on everyone

49:19

being altruistic for the society to

49:21

work right. And someone like Hobbes

49:23

months to say that we have

49:25

to have a leviathan. And what

49:27

is that leviathan doing is? It's.

49:30

Making sure that whoever wants

49:32

to deviate. Has reason

49:34

to be scared of ceiling it

49:36

spreads that like as if I

49:39

say i promise to you that

49:41

I'll bring back your rights and

49:43

I don't. There's. A Leviathan,

49:45

An all. Powerful

49:48

saying suspect com Isaan hold me accountable

49:50

for me to jail A make you

49:52

pay the fine or were and if

49:54

that's the case and you know that

49:56

they've leviathan, insist And I know that

49:58

the Leviathan and. And I

50:01

don't have an incentive. To.

50:04

Not bring back your watch. Red.

50:06

Shift so. Doesn't. Matter whether

50:08

I'm an honest person or not

50:10

I am and ill, altruistic person

50:13

or not. Likes isn't as I

50:15

am a very self interested ourselves.

50:17

A self centered person is still

50:19

a society will work if you

50:21

have that kind of. Powerful,

50:24

Entities that people can depend

50:26

on to make sure that

50:28

deviating from what they agreed

50:31

on has it costs. right?

50:33

But at the same time when.

50:36

Someone. Like Fathers missing is

50:38

that law? That's not all

50:40

we need. First second: that.

50:44

That is too high of a

50:46

price to pay to make sure

50:48

that someone brings back my watch

50:50

to give. like all the power.

50:53

To like one entity who like

50:55

walks around and make sure that

50:58

everyone like sticks to their from

51:00

and and people like you more.

51:02

Others talk about culture. Or.

51:05

Other social practices and that help

51:07

us hold each other accountable or

51:09

like cooperate or do things that

51:11

we need to do together to

51:14

benefit from the fruits of that

51:16

cooperation. And

51:18

a losing game theory is a way to talk

51:20

about that. Kind of cultural

51:22

practices. If. You travel. You

51:25

know, when it comes to lousy. Soon to

51:27

we assign. You

51:29

know if you down to annex card been oceans

51:31

of high seems. And

51:33

looking towards have a with your cardinal

51:36

season system present on Delta flight. noticing

51:38

under the Bridge of Sighs selling Cds

51:40

Eternal love It is worth a long

51:42

distance Love. Is why your

51:44

adult the same Our Platinum American Express said

51:46

member. If you travel you know kids are

51:49

fifteen. Discount not applicable. A partner operates lights

51:51

the taxes and fees term. Supply visit dynamics

51:53

less you know, And. It's

51:55

interesting to me because he goes

51:57

back to the persistence and stability

52:00

in the new first brought up

52:02

and thinking about complex systems and

52:04

off so I am ask myself

52:07

questions about how. Non

52:09

equilibrium steady state systems require low entropy

52:11

energy rather my are free energy and

52:13

and they disobey to make it will

52:15

to more random place and in some

52:18

sense there's a parallel. Hear me it

52:20

sounds vaguely like it. I don't I

52:22

was there is there's some equivalent of

52:24

free energy. That. We need

52:27

here. There's some resource that

52:29

these stable structures require. Sound

52:32

like think about ah as

52:35

society in which everyone actually

52:37

follows the rules and like

52:39

they don't. They need some

52:41

higher level like our life.

52:44

Unless it's a very stable

52:46

society everyone follows, then I'm

52:48

fine. Pandemic. Happens.

52:50

I don't know something happens

52:52

that like and disturbs days

52:55

structure dynamics that they were

52:57

relying on. Pay like a

52:59

religious leads to keep things

53:01

together and they don't have

53:04

any alternative already existing their

53:06

rights law. This to say

53:08

not gonna last. You. Need

53:11

that kind of diversity

53:13

and variation and us

53:15

piled like an. Energy,

53:18

the around and stuff like

53:20

he stays stable and on

53:22

their side. Ah and like

53:25

if something happens like the

53:27

counterculture be talked about. sometimes

53:29

they generate change, fight a

53:31

lot of time they help

53:34

us remain stable. Ah, some

53:36

like norms are practices are

53:38

irrational to have in. Many.

53:41

Situations: I had this example that

53:43

I haven't ever thought about the

53:45

same. I know there may not

53:47

like I had s I had

53:49

a partner who are like air

53:51

porter like many years ago and

53:53

it was very annoying. I

53:57

have a hard it is person is yes I

53:59

like for many. Biden didn't do

54:01

it, even never be able to

54:03

find something he needs because yeah

54:05

so much stuff and a lot

54:07

A was expensive to move them

54:09

around his as expensive to like

54:11

keep on to them. there was

54:13

not much utility ah but like

54:15

been pandemic that. You. Can

54:17

go out and like by

54:19

whatever I didn't and like

54:21

bad the holdings. Ah. The regrowth

54:24

of the word. Good.

54:26

Legs he had like balls of

54:28

rubber bands. dive used to like

54:30

make messes. Comes to specify of.

54:32

I never thought I like having.menu rather

54:35

than would be even useful and we

54:37

could just him and give it to

54:39

others who didn't have robust and as.

54:41

Soon May. So basically you're

54:43

making an argument for diversity.

54:46

In some sense, it's not

54:48

just more old good to.

54:52

Be diverse in the. Cause.

54:55

Are being fair to people. But you

54:57

say if you wanna be the best

54:59

society and find the right solutions, sometimes

55:01

you might do something that might seem

55:03

to you to be sub optimal. He

55:05

oh you need to have a mix

55:07

strategy, game theory, But

55:10

at the same time if you

55:13

have this a closed society back

55:15

society is often have a lot

55:17

of conformity pressure so a closed

55:19

society over time makes everyone lox

55:22

the same because of the social

55:24

pressures and since but an open

55:26

society that like has an influx

55:28

of people who are coming from

55:31

different parts of the world different

55:33

cultures are better. base is like

55:35

a way to. Keep

55:38

this kind of stability and.

55:40

That's sometimes that is just like

55:42

the influx of information or different

55:45

ways of living. Some other times

55:47

is just like having actual people

55:49

who are coming. To. Generate

55:51

that kind of on. Diversity.

55:54

It's so you don't.

55:57

I get that kind of diversity over

55:59

at. The time at least in

56:01

a way that game theoretically the

56:04

can think about societies and maintain

56:06

your diversity unless you are very

56:08

intentional about like keeping things. Suppress.

56:14

It. Actually reminds me of the

56:16

Foot Binding example in the sense

56:18

that even have a strategy or

56:20

a normal customer whatever that was

56:22

optimal under some conditions that conditions

56:24

go away with. You're left with

56:27

the strategy. and if you don't

56:29

have this influx of other people,

56:31

maybe you forget how to justify

56:33

you. forget the reasons why are

56:36

you wearing it that way? Yeah,

56:38

Yeah, none. I really like the

56:40

analogy. Yes, And so and

56:42

so is it leads to and

56:44

we other let me ask you

56:46

this way is I can see

56:48

this in the terms of the

56:50

game theory, network theory, complexity picture

56:52

this, this interest in diversity and

56:54

and sort of constantly probing our

56:56

weaknesses. Said and cetera is that.

56:59

New and different in in this discussions

57:01

of society and how to set them

57:03

up is at an insight that we

57:05

got from thinking in these ways. I

57:09

think. And

57:11

my device? You mean like focusing on

57:13

complexity? Yeah. Okay said

57:15

the way. But I think complexity

57:18

distinguishes are thinking from the standpoint

57:20

of complexity distinguishes itself from other

57:22

viewpoints. His thoughts as he again

57:24

go back like to it you

57:27

can tell how much of a

57:29

fan of counting O'connor signed Carson

57:31

they got like carrots side and

57:33

they're an. Evolutionary.

57:36

Ways as talking about social norms is

57:38

like at the end of the day

57:40

trying to find some stable are com

57:42

bread. And

57:45

Circuses stability base. Kind

57:47

of explanations and that gives you

57:50

some insight of like how that

57:52

can be possible or our how

57:54

a. D

57:57

and. Complexity.

57:59

Ah, Crowds is helping eyes

58:01

to not take that stability

58:03

to be our end goal.

58:07

And think about how

58:09

change can happen. Not

58:11

only can happen, but it

58:13

happens all the time and

58:16

our ability to explain things

58:18

is not dependent on finding

58:20

some fixed features of the

58:22

world, right? so I don't

58:24

have to off load d

58:26

Robustness of the causal connections

58:29

I find in the world

58:31

on to on changing things.

58:33

And if I can do that, I

58:35

can show that how I can. Perhaps.

58:39

Guy third changes that are

58:41

already happening to other since

58:44

died are and a better.

58:47

Ah, help us to get to

58:49

a better outcome. Was out assuming

58:51

that I know what is this

58:53

better up? right? Yeah, And

58:55

A reminds me once again of Elizabeth

58:57

Anderson, who was the one who convinced

58:59

me for the first time in my

59:01

life that ideal theory was that the

59:03

best way to think about illegal justice

59:05

rather than I spoke to me as

59:07

a physicist. Maybe it always made sense.

59:09

Just think that the Perfect Society and

59:11

work to try to get in that

59:13

direction. And and she points out number

59:15

one, you know the Perfect Society as

59:17

a number Two conditions are changing A,

59:19

but it's much easier just to try

59:22

to improve a little bit. So adamant

59:24

about the local derivative. is a more stable thing

59:26

that as he about the final goal. Absolutely

59:28

yes. And if you want to improve

59:30

things and you aside that this assumption

59:32

that the problem that we're solving is

59:35

too complex for any of us or

59:37

for most of us or and then

59:39

for like I don't know an institution

59:42

that as and responsible for gathering from

59:44

a sense to have like a bird

59:46

I knew of this landscape to tell

59:49

us what is the better outcome or

59:51

what is the better color be an

59:53

ah. We. Want to know

59:55

how possibly the can make. Improvements.

59:58

Death. And the way. Think of that

1:00:00

about. that is to think about first

1:00:03

how knowledge is. Produced.

1:00:05

How these practices come to

1:00:07

existence. How are they generating

1:00:10

outcomes? Are are shop optimal?

1:00:12

Ah, in ways that the

1:00:14

evolutionary models help us to

1:00:16

understand, but also how we

1:00:19

can minimize the error in

1:00:21

finding day alternatives. So let's

1:00:23

go back to the landscape

1:00:26

kind of metaphors. Bad. Ah,

1:00:28

You see that in scientific

1:00:30

communities to say they're different

1:00:33

ways of. Exploring this unknown

1:00:35

and do rocket at the stomach

1:00:37

landscape and it has a lot

1:00:40

of local optima that makes you

1:00:42

think that's our we are We

1:00:44

found the best possible solutions and

1:00:46

that I don't know we have

1:00:49

Flow just or whatever they say

1:00:51

they were gets. When

1:00:54

you want people to explore

1:00:56

alternatives and find whether there

1:00:58

is a better way to

1:01:00

go about solving discretion or

1:01:02

knots and people model this.

1:01:04

As like air let's say a

1:01:06

group of scientists who have like

1:01:08

different kind of strategy. some of

1:01:10

them one to. Find.

1:01:13

What is or like? follow what

1:01:15

is the consensus and to stick

1:01:17

with age amongst them. Ah, one

1:01:19

to find what's the consensus and

1:01:22

do the opposite because like they

1:01:24

did they feel like it and

1:01:26

so of them don't care by

1:01:28

anyone else and just like focus

1:01:30

on their own work and they

1:01:33

want to be a good scientist

1:01:35

out. Like proves everything from the

1:01:37

basic axioms to. The conclusion

1:01:39

that they wanna drive I'm I'm

1:01:41

like they should. I like when

1:01:44

you have this kind of dynamic

1:01:46

and like let people kind of

1:01:48

follow or learn from each other's

1:01:50

exploring this epidemic landscape is not

1:01:52

something that you can plan and

1:01:55

tell people that like look the

1:01:57

strategies bad strategy is goods Even

1:01:59

though. Intuitively doing something that

1:02:01

the scientific community says all we

1:02:03

have consensus the where this and

1:02:05

do the opposite is. Not.

1:02:09

A promising blacks by like they

1:02:11

show that likes having people who

1:02:13

do that how up ice to.

1:02:16

Maximize. Their ability to reach

1:02:18

out and like find what is

1:02:20

the better on equilibrium. The or

1:02:22

what are the better answers are

1:02:25

better outcomes. And

1:02:27

a structure of who is talking

1:02:29

to, who. Is. Another important

1:02:31

way to think about us at

1:02:33

those models. Don't think about that.

1:02:35

I have some other words am

1:02:38

trying to make sense of on

1:02:40

when you compare chapter base movements,

1:02:42

for instance, to hierarchical move on

1:02:44

chapter basements try to figure out

1:02:46

how they solve a problem locally

1:02:49

in their own lack. And

1:02:51

on a neighborhood or city or

1:02:53

state or whatever by day have

1:02:56

ways to communicate with other chapters

1:02:58

and ask them how will you

1:03:00

do a slider You do that

1:03:03

worked How can I like not

1:03:05

and based important resources to reinvent

1:03:08

the wheel straight and sk try

1:03:10

something A doesn't work they can

1:03:12

tell others but at the same

1:03:15

time day take into account that

1:03:17

like something that works for me

1:03:20

in Columbus. Ohio my not works

1:03:22

in Baltimore not my not work in

1:03:24

Arizona and over. And

1:03:27

then they are changing the

1:03:29

structure of their communication or

1:03:31

their collective actions as a

1:03:33

way to minimize their chance

1:03:35

of making mistakes and maximize

1:03:37

their chance of finding solutions

1:03:39

that work for them, not

1:03:41

assuming that the solution him

1:03:43

and works for every one.

1:03:46

Or. The area like a way for

1:03:48

everyone to do so. like it's

1:03:50

a way of incorporating dad situated

1:03:52

knowledge. Knowing.

1:03:54

Bad: we don't know what is

1:03:56

the. Alternative. Necessarily that

1:03:58

we can get. We know that

1:04:01

like along the way my figure

1:04:03

out that we were wrong all

1:04:05

along. Some people make this argument

1:04:07

in terms of like the Feminist

1:04:09

Resistance to like. Some. Conceptions

1:04:11

of a family and knock

1:04:14

for your family. And then

1:04:16

the snack. Change. In

1:04:19

people's attitude when same

1:04:21

sex marriage became legalize.

1:04:25

And like the tension between these

1:04:27

two ways of thinking about what

1:04:29

is the right way of solving

1:04:31

the problems that people were facing

1:04:33

I'm I'm realizing that will will

1:04:35

my my have and wrong. In

1:04:39

fact, like it's too costly to ask people

1:04:41

to not live in. not we're families given

1:04:43

everything else. Maybe in an alternate world it

1:04:46

would have worked for like it's that. They

1:04:48

do a better outcome that we

1:04:50

can like. seats ah any can

1:04:52

improve the lives of many who

1:04:54

we care about an otherwise they

1:04:56

they would be. I'm. In

1:04:59

trouble or like not benefit from those.

1:05:02

But. This example of science or of academia

1:05:04

more broadly. reminds. Us

1:05:06

that diversity can be hard to

1:05:08

achieve right? I have a says

1:05:10

you have a certain academic sub

1:05:12

field that as a different and

1:05:14

people think well a certain approach

1:05:16

is eighty percent likely to be

1:05:19

right. But you're only hiring people

1:05:21

in that sub field once every ten

1:05:23

years. You're going to hire one of

1:05:25

those consensus people are hundred percent of

1:05:27

the time and you know, going to

1:05:29

give twenty present you don't have room,

1:05:31

right? So you need to make some

1:05:33

extra special effort to nurture the diversity

1:05:35

in that sense. That is absolutely

1:05:37

true And video again look at

1:05:40

scientific community is you see that

1:05:42

like ah, when there is like

1:05:44

a critical mass who is kind

1:05:47

of negating the dominant or the

1:05:49

mainstream way of thinking about things,

1:05:51

stay off and start generating their

1:05:53

own journals. They're creating like departments

1:05:56

that like more likely to hire.

1:05:58

So I are like. The war

1:06:00

have this kind of tendency because

1:06:02

that's the only way that you

1:06:05

can protect these like more minority

1:06:07

groups. And I'm not say minority

1:06:09

to say like the minority here

1:06:11

is always right are being minor

1:06:13

the his or or likes. I'm

1:06:15

just saying like it's good to

1:06:18

preserve the diversity here. it's and

1:06:20

the pressure for conformity. Israel I

1:06:22

knew one ways to allow this

1:06:24

minority to persist just in case.

1:06:27

There. Majority was wrong. So you

1:06:29

have some people have explored Dalton

1:06:31

and any can borrow from that's

1:06:33

are like they create their own

1:06:35

enclaves. That. Helps them

1:06:38

to. Survive. Or

1:06:40

of and be successful in

1:06:42

their own smaller communities by

1:06:44

also protects them from the

1:06:47

pressure that they are filling

1:06:49

the around. the mainstream and

1:06:51

in social movements are like

1:06:53

social change literature you see

1:06:55

a lot of.kind of dynamic.people

1:06:57

generate groups to like protect

1:06:59

them from. The. Cost.

1:07:02

Of deviation fight at the same time

1:07:04

and the size their bought this so

1:07:06

they have a chance to be hurt

1:07:09

by the rest. The

1:07:11

guy a lot this example of

1:07:13

Rosa Parks that like if you're

1:07:16

thinking that she is just as

1:07:18

tired person who didn't want to

1:07:20

date her seats because she is

1:07:22

sick of the. Racists

1:07:25

rules and practices in her

1:07:27

town. While you're missing like

1:07:29

that, that's partly true, but.

1:07:32

You're missing a lot of

1:07:34

important for Mason about what

1:07:36

actually helps. To. Make

1:07:38

an action like hers to

1:07:41

be a. Milestone.

1:07:43

Are like a significant driver

1:07:45

of like something like a

1:07:47

civil rights movement. Rates that

1:07:50

like she is an arm

1:07:52

or a local organizer of

1:07:54

Naacp. Her husband is a

1:07:57

youth organizer for the same

1:07:59

organization. She has been thinking

1:08:01

about like doing this for like

1:08:04

long time and they have tried

1:08:06

like other people who wanna to.

1:08:09

Not change the scene and see

1:08:11

what happens. And I'm. She.

1:08:13

Had like an army of

1:08:16

other organizers and activists who

1:08:18

when that happened ah reassured

1:08:20

her that like the costs,

1:08:23

Is not something that she's the

1:08:25

only one who bears advice. Ah

1:08:27

it's not like she will lose

1:08:30

her job and not gonna have

1:08:32

any support whatsoever and she's alone

1:08:34

a bear the consequences but also

1:08:36

be amplified her voice. Right there

1:08:38

were plans to help out to the our.

1:08:41

Yeah yeah, Yeah and like she

1:08:43

isn't the first person who has

1:08:45

ever decided to change Like not

1:08:47

change or see are not follow

1:08:50

the racists laws are practices in

1:08:52

her hometown. The difference is that.

1:08:55

The. Connections that she has.

1:08:57

Ah, I'm I'm the counter

1:09:00

community that protects her. From.

1:09:03

Just. Like doing something that makes her go

1:09:05

to jail and those are just. As

1:09:08

it would be the case for everyone else

1:09:10

in, the same thing goes for scientific. Yeah.

1:09:13

But the Rosa Parks examples a good

1:09:15

one because this was the less they

1:09:17

want to talk about season we said

1:09:19

we'd perfectly to be under god guess

1:09:21

year because you write a lot about

1:09:23

social movements and their importance and here's

1:09:25

a perfect example of one right? And

1:09:27

the you know someone who hadn't thought

1:09:29

about this very carefully might just say

1:09:32

why we to social movement be have

1:09:34

a democracy everyone's gonna vote they're going

1:09:36

to get what they want but these

1:09:38

collective behavior kind of issues are really

1:09:40

do matter So even if we live

1:09:42

in. A perfect democracy with which

1:09:44

we don't as a whole nother

1:09:46

per day. But even if we

1:09:48

did this kind of coordination, game

1:09:50

theory, network theory kind of thing

1:09:53

becomes really important to making the

1:09:55

society you live in closer to

1:09:57

his own ideals Stance: True because.

1:10:00

When you're thinking about like a

1:10:02

democratic society am, one of their

1:10:04

distinctive features is that like people

1:10:07

have roughly equal say in how

1:10:09

things go. So this it's self

1:10:11

governing society rights I'd like. It's.

1:10:14

And might be the case in an ideal

1:10:16

gas. At that

1:10:19

life, each Michael had like

1:10:21

the same effect on like

1:10:24

the temperature. roughly speaking, spotlights

1:10:26

didn't We don't live in

1:10:28

an ideal gas situation. Ah,

1:10:31

I'm We have so many

1:10:33

other mechanisms to first make

1:10:36

collective action possible, but also

1:10:38

generate power. Generate influence, generates

1:10:41

mechanisms that can advantage some

1:10:43

people and disadvantage others. right?

1:10:47

But they have the same

1:10:49

kind of ah I'm mechanisms

1:10:51

can be used to. Amplify

1:10:55

change right? Like it's likes, you

1:10:57

are increasing the number of connections

1:10:59

between people. So something that would

1:11:01

happen to someone and no one

1:11:03

else would hear about. Because.

1:11:06

That person is a disconnected or

1:11:08

like have the pores resources of

1:11:10

that other and when you're in

1:11:12

Tacoma social movements you are in

1:11:14

a dislike heightened level that like

1:11:16

everyone is much more or less

1:11:18

like and prime to think about

1:11:20

this problem first but seconds they

1:11:22

might like have. Extra.

1:11:24

Connections that make them hear about

1:11:27

this kind of news. So many

1:11:29

shooting happens or like a chilling

1:11:31

happens on to a member of

1:11:33

a population or by a member

1:11:36

of some group. Everyone else gonna

1:11:38

know about it in a way

1:11:40

that it wouldn't happen before, right?

1:11:42

So the networks can help us.

1:11:45

explains how changes way more likely

1:11:47

and stability is a basin of

1:11:49

attraction is kind of like shrunk

1:11:51

because people are more connected. Because

1:11:55

people are more prime

1:11:57

event to. Think.

1:11:59

About. That lack of connections

1:12:01

that they had to have problems

1:12:03

are on the lack of connections

1:12:05

that would prevent them from hearing.

1:12:07

About some. Phenomena. So

1:12:10

if I wanted to start my

1:12:12

own social movement, word insights from

1:12:15

Complexity Theory an evolutionary game theory

1:12:17

help me. Build. More affected social

1:12:19

movement or is it more describing things

1:12:21

after the fact? Lonely question.

1:12:24

I think my conclusion

1:12:26

or what I've learned

1:12:28

from Social aren't. Complexity.

1:12:31

Theory is not a

1:12:33

recipe for starting a

1:12:35

social movement. It's a

1:12:37

recipe for know laying.

1:12:39

died, And. Then

1:12:42

change is going to happen.

1:12:44

I have an influence way

1:12:46

beyond what I thought I

1:12:48

have Because I'm not just

1:12:51

myself, I'm also an extended

1:12:53

network of people who know

1:12:55

me or they might take

1:12:57

what I say. I'm. With.

1:13:00

More confidence except there were more

1:13:02

confidence that they would that someone

1:13:04

else. I'm I'm S. I am

1:13:07

at the state that like a

1:13:09

movement like a wave is approaching

1:13:11

me. Ah it's not like I

1:13:14

can just disconnect s I am

1:13:16

feeding into and I can amplify

1:13:18

it by a lot. On

1:13:21

bar or I can be a

1:13:23

wait for it to dampen it.

1:13:25

Tom. So. My

1:13:28

my conclusion from complexity theory

1:13:30

his dad says. So. Higher

1:13:33

start rethinking why you think

1:13:35

AH you as an individual

1:13:37

can do and start thinking

1:13:40

of yourself as a molecule,

1:13:42

an ideal gas. That

1:13:45

like the addition of your action

1:13:47

with bunch others will generate change

1:13:50

because I can have cascading effect

1:13:52

You anyone can ask getting a

1:13:54

favorite direct connect but also if

1:13:57

you want to start change. Ah

1:13:59

my. Your connections go find

1:14:01

others for like minded support

1:14:04

them. Be supported by them.

1:14:07

And know that without that. Not

1:14:10

much gonna come out of. Well,

1:14:12

just so you you just give

1:14:14

me a little Tiffany years. I

1:14:17

very much appreciate this because of

1:14:19

course. Physicists: Or that other

1:14:21

phase transitions rain litter which is highly

1:14:23

delegates if not exactly the same as

1:14:26

as social transition to various sorts. This.

1:14:29

But. You know to stand up for

1:14:31

my visit his friends. We don't only

1:14:34

think about ideal gases, sometimes you think

1:14:36

about a lattice or a solid which

1:14:38

are kind of very primitive network kind

1:14:41

of models right? and something you notice

1:14:43

when you have a lattice that has

1:14:45

has his physical system on of it's

1:14:48

going to do a phase transition is

1:14:50

that far away from the phase transition.

1:14:52

Correlations between what's going on a nearby

1:14:55

lattice points might be ah, either only

1:14:57

infinite range or only short range. It's.

1:14:59

Exactly at the critical point at

1:15:02

the phase transition that you have

1:15:04

both to arrange correlation and long

1:15:06

range correlations and you just explained

1:15:08

why that's important to a social

1:15:10

movement. Solitaire that counts as a.

1:15:13

Self. whether you planned it or not, you have

1:15:15

it very much help me. Launched by social movement

1:15:18

when I when I get to that. Says

1:15:21

a higher hit are you are they so much

1:15:23

Be on the Landscape podcast. Thank. You so much

1:15:25

for having me a legitimate.

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