Episode Transcript
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last winter. If that's Rocket money.com/wondering
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Rocket money.com/laundry. Hello!
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Everyone welcome to the Mindscape Podcast. I'm
2:25
your host Sean Carroll. One of the
2:27
great things about having a podcast is
2:29
that I not the university in particular
2:31
I do not have departments. Are you
2:33
not have to worry about hiring people?
2:35
I can just talk to people that
2:37
ideas, whatever the ideas might be, as
2:40
long as I think that they're interesting.
2:42
So as a result of that, I
2:44
don't need to worry about which department
2:46
somebody sits in. You know that I'm
2:48
back now as a real professor at
2:50
Johns Hopkins when I was at. Caltech.
2:53
I was a research professor, which was
2:55
great for doing research, but you're sort
2:57
of less integrated into the wider university
2:59
life than I am now. So not
3:02
only my a professor now, but I
3:04
am both the professor in Philosophy and
3:06
physics, and I have attachments to other
3:09
parts of the university, in cetera. So
3:11
I'm thinking a lot about these issues
3:13
of how people fit in. and it's
3:16
so frustrating. So annoying to some people
3:18
might be brilliant scholars, but don't fit
3:20
easily into any one department. Here
3:23
at Mindscape, we don't need to
3:25
worry about that and today's guest
3:27
is a wonderful example. So hard
3:29
he dairy Farm is a philosopher.
3:31
She is in the Philosophy department
3:33
at Ohio State University, no doubt
3:35
about that. Her at work touches
3:37
as you here in the episode
3:39
on ideas put forward by people
3:41
like Kill and O'connor and Elizabeth
3:43
Anderson who are also both philosophers
3:45
were previous guests but it also
3:47
touches on ideas that are similar
3:49
to what her begin to his
3:51
talked about and. Heard was also difficult
3:53
to fit into a category, but if
3:56
anything, he'd be called an economist and
3:58
a lot of work so hard. Links
4:00
about his political science and Justice
4:02
You know, political kinds of philosophy.
4:05
You'll hear names like Hobbs and
4:07
Human come up in our conversation.
4:09
People like John Rawls and others
4:11
have thought a lot about what
4:14
is a Just Society. So the
4:16
specific angle that's a hard brings
4:18
to this is guess what? Complexity
4:21
Theory An even more so than
4:23
people like Killing O'connor Elizabeth Anderson.
4:25
She's not only think about society
4:28
and it's dynamics, but she's explicitly.
4:30
Doing so from the
4:32
lens of complex systems
4:35
research clearly. If
4:37
anything is going to be complex
4:39
in the world, all of society
4:42
is going to be pretty complex,
4:44
right? And there's a question you're
4:46
perfectly willing to ask God willing
4:48
to wonder about if you're complexity
4:51
theory skeptics, which is, do these
4:53
techniques that go under the rubric
4:55
of the complex systems research have
4:57
any specific applicability to the individual
5:00
fields, right? If society is complex,
5:02
if the economy is complex at
5:04
the Internet is complex, but also
5:06
if an organism is complex of
5:08
individual cell is complex or they're
5:11
really features that are com into
5:13
these that are worth thinking about
5:15
vs. just thinking about each individual
5:17
thing in it's own right. And
5:20
I think that the answer that
5:22
comes out of the conversation you're
5:24
about to listen to is that
5:26
there is something gained by thinking
5:29
about society as a complex system
5:31
that we can learn about from
5:33
thinking about complex systems in general.
5:35
So we'll think about. Phase
5:38
Transitions will think about game Theory
5:40
will think about networks and that
5:42
not only helps you analyze the
5:45
structure of society which may be
5:47
is a perfectly obvious thing. If
5:49
you think this thing might work,
5:51
the interesting thing is it helps
5:54
you philosophize about what a good
5:56
the society would be like. Thinking
5:58
about society as the complex system
6:01
as he has a high will
6:03
try to make the case for
6:05
anything that she's convinced me anyway.
6:07
Ah, makes you think about what
6:10
society should shoot for in a
6:12
different way. It's maybe in retrospect,
6:14
not surprising. The better you understand
6:17
something, the more likely you are
6:19
to have good ideas about how
6:21
to optimize that thing. So whatever
6:23
your personal values are thinking about
6:26
society accurately might suggest ways to
6:28
achieve those personal values. In the
6:30
organization of society and the specific fact
6:32
that society is a complex system will
6:34
as you will see, I want to
6:36
give it away, but as you will
6:38
see will make certain suggestions about that.
6:40
So so glad that I'm not the
6:42
university. I don't need to worry about
6:45
putting people into departments. I can just
6:47
talk to people because they're interesting. With
6:49
that, let's go. Higher
7:07
had our he fired welcome to the By a
7:09
podcast. Thank you for hands. So
7:12
you know, like I have to start
7:14
with a conversation that we had just
7:16
a little while ago. We were at
7:19
a workshop together and I asked you
7:21
if as a philosopher who is thinking
7:23
about society and and political questions, you
7:26
ever collaborate with political scientists and roughly
7:28
speaking you said yes And in those
7:30
collaboration your job is to run the
7:33
model, run the computer. My husband my
7:35
there's a guy that says it's a
7:37
made me laugh because. As.
7:39
A Physicist he talk to philosophers the
7:42
I often let people know it you're
7:44
talking if offers a super useful but
7:46
you don't go to them to calculate
7:49
a fireman diagram. So just as a
7:51
statistic of the teaser or an overview,
7:53
how do you end up being the
7:55
philosopher the people go to to run
7:58
their computer simulations are that. The
8:00
only question think you're first
8:02
starting Usa? I'm So the
8:05
short answer is that perhaps
8:07
because of the things that
8:09
you have mentioned in your
8:12
conversation with Killing or Connor
8:14
in another at the Syrup
8:16
this podcast Yes ah about
8:19
just so Stories. So. The
8:21
idea is side. We have
8:23
some assumptions about how society
8:26
works. Based on those assumptions
8:28
become up with some system
8:30
for how things can be
8:32
prevented from going the wrong,
8:34
how it can be maintained
8:37
in a stable functioning level
8:39
and then based on those
8:41
assumptions. the also make a
8:43
lot of prescriptions for what
8:46
should be done or how
8:48
can be make things more
8:50
up. To more more effective
8:52
and then a follows some normative
8:54
claims about what is just what
8:57
is moral that is fair, blah
8:59
blah by those assumptions. Sometimes our
9:02
fault is or assumptions that might
9:04
come from our intuitions about our
9:06
interactions at the local level and
9:09
and a small scale fight it
9:11
might not hold when you are
9:14
relying on those assumptions as like
9:16
a population levels are in the
9:18
population has like five times. The
9:21
size that. Philosophers.
9:23
Who have been theorizing this incident
9:26
but possibly imagine? Imagine rights and
9:28
I'm their modeling part comes in
9:30
to test out the ideas that
9:32
se start with those assumptions of
9:35
how these interactions work and then
9:37
expand the size with those intuition
9:39
still and he a reliable guide
9:41
for us to know what we
9:44
should do or how we should
9:46
like make things the way that
9:48
we won at them. or who
9:50
should be the person who ah.
9:53
Be prioritized their one things or
9:55
their needs. Ah, in what way?
9:58
Does actually great answer. Because it's
10:00
Maryland bread and success. The Great: A
10:02
matter of because is it. It parallels
10:04
very nicely what happens between philosophy in
10:06
physics because physicists as a as a
10:08
very often say just love to get
10:11
the right answer and the very happy
10:13
to get the right answer for the
10:15
wrong reasons. If it them the right
10:17
answer but then the problem with that
10:19
is the would you extrapolate beyond the
10:21
regime in which you know you get
10:23
the right answer? Your faulty reasoning comes
10:25
to bite you a little bit and
10:27
and base in some sense to oversimplify
10:29
you're. Saying same thing is true.
10:32
and in political theory. Now.
10:34
Absolutely. But also like when you
10:36
stated before like elaborate fight the
10:38
connections are your thing to the
10:40
twin foster see and says eggs
10:42
and i thinking about other kind
10:45
of on. And. Cake.
10:47
Sense that have applied physics in
10:49
a place that does the modeling
10:51
for philosophy or lights said like
10:53
not thinking about the as the
10:56
Chilean way out like most and
10:58
Wagner and like at the way
11:00
that's. Me moved
11:02
from analytic descriptions up the wall
11:04
to more like statistics Family says
11:06
I get I like loss. There
11:09
are details that you can just
11:11
dismiss and is just like not
11:13
a health fall and he can
11:15
take. Talk about averages. And they're
11:18
not only ah better, but also
11:20
and some sense. I give you
11:22
a better understanding of this like
11:24
and to logical structure of what
11:26
you're talking. About yes. I'm and
11:28
then. I think complexity as
11:31
another big step that the are making
11:33
that oh okay sell. It is true
11:35
that the solutions by not give us
11:38
everything added. Also true that like sometimes
11:40
just sticks or does averaging models are
11:42
the best way to cope out things
11:45
but sometimes you have this guy like
11:47
organized complexity is metal that likes you
11:49
can. I'm just like all the they
11:52
jumped in and say lie I talk
11:54
about the average and then I've gathered
11:56
everything that I won it and I
11:58
think like that. Exactly what I
12:01
do have thoughts and prayers are As
12:03
such all scientists like. Political.
12:06
Scientists yeah to distinguish these
12:08
and distinguished a tool that
12:11
they're using. To talk about each and. Will
12:14
that's also great answer I gotta say
12:16
because physicists or a little bit nervous
12:18
about complexity for exactly the reasons he
12:20
of the dimensions they they like things
12:23
where you could average things out your
12:25
of the they classic example being getting
12:27
fluid mechanics of a bunch of atoms
12:30
right and then you just get of
12:32
still a very simple explanation of the
12:34
and food mechanics been complex systems are
12:36
different so Wheatley talked about this alone
12:39
the podcast with let's Pretend we Have
12:41
and what is your Person all. Way
12:43
of thinking about what complexity is and why it's interesting.
12:45
Why do you have to start at the harness? Plus
12:48
serves their own. Going to be hard the never going
12:50
to get easy as we go. Ah,
12:52
no way that I'm thinking about
12:55
complexity as a kind of phenomena
12:57
that has some sort of stability
12:59
at the aggregate level. but that
13:01
stability is not dependent on like
13:03
stay homogenous components who have like
13:05
the same kind of direction, incentives,
13:08
property. However, you're thinking about itself
13:10
in their social world is like
13:12
if you're thinking individuals as rational
13:14
actors were like diverse incentives to
13:16
don't want to think of them
13:18
as rational actors, just think of
13:21
them as actors. Who hangs?
13:23
Ask for diverse like reasons
13:25
and diverse knees and diverse
13:27
situations by like at the
13:29
same time you see that
13:31
like some kind of stability
13:34
is emerging from this kind
13:36
of. Many.
13:38
Actor: Conditions.
13:42
That some of them are more
13:44
influential, some of them are Less
13:46
pay requires coordination among so many
13:48
different level. at Seoul different individuals
13:50
at so many different levels to
13:52
get that kind of stability and
13:54
with other you cannot have any
13:57
explanation whatsoever. You cannot just assume
13:59
that like this just a unit.
14:01
Find their ah public opinion. Political
14:03
opinion is just like occurs and
14:05
happens to off the late i
14:07
don't know I ah enough and
14:09
you see that a oscillates like
14:11
over time, sometimes in response to
14:14
external stimuli but sometimes endogenous. The
14:16
sometimes because people are like reorienting
14:18
their political views are connections. A
14:20
who they're talking to, who they
14:22
trusting and you see that kind
14:24
of oscillation of time. And if
14:26
you want to explain that kind
14:28
of thing, ah. It seems
14:31
like games going back to individuals
14:33
and the incentives is too much
14:35
information. Ah, people do things for
14:37
all sorts of this reason he
14:39
cannot take a survey of like
14:41
everyone. Why does it? Knowing what
14:43
they're doing by thinking of them
14:45
as their average of the public's
14:47
opinion is. Too. Little information
14:49
give lost a lot of South
14:51
Street. I'm thinking about complexity. ah
14:54
his first. A phenomenon and
14:56
wish you have many actors that
14:58
coordination among them is necessary to
15:00
generate some level of to those
15:02
but you don't have any central
15:04
organizer at is doing. The work
15:07
for you on. The.
15:09
Behalf Something that people call emergence
15:11
of the emergence of the stability,
15:13
that also constraints of behavior. Like
15:16
a good become a broken record with.
15:18
that was a great answer because very
15:20
different to visit your highlighting different aspect
15:22
of complexity than we talked about before.
15:25
This stability over time right? that reminds
15:27
me of or when Schrodinger years little
15:29
books. He knows where to go. The
15:32
physicists wrote this little book called what
15:34
is Life and he has a line
15:36
in there that answers the question where
15:38
he says life is something that keeps
15:41
on moving long effort should have stopped
15:43
and no one pays attention to that.
15:45
Line in the book where he actually answers
15:48
the question the title. but it is fascinating
15:50
to me. and as a physicists, I'm trying
15:52
to figure out where these come from. You
15:54
have the luxury of saying okay, we'll look
15:57
at society. They're they're they're you want to
15:59
Sort of. Use the tools of
16:01
complexity I guess the to think
16:03
about how that stability happens in
16:06
and a presumably I would might
16:08
change. he has it up perfectly
16:10
stable like our current amorphous. Harrys
16:12
last year and as as they they important
16:14
point to think about that likes Ah,
16:16
one way of thinking about stability as like
16:19
that kind of average kind of mentality that
16:21
is just like a stable. I don't know.
16:23
like slimy X, flash floods, gone, gone,
16:25
and like the kind of phenomenon that I'm
16:28
seeking to explain in the world is the
16:30
kind of phenomenon that is stable. So
16:32
I start from that assumption of a stability
16:34
and then I can. Bring.
16:36
In some function on death than
16:38
dishes or some other assumptions that
16:41
like make their individuals' perhaps a
16:43
function of that stability at the
16:45
social level, our their properties a
16:47
function of thoughts and then explain
16:49
a lot of things but then
16:51
you want to. Incorporate.
16:54
Change and what happens is that
16:56
the only way to conceptualize that
16:58
his thoughts he should burn everything
17:01
to the ground and starts as
17:03
crests to be able to have
17:05
changed rights and the avenues for
17:07
gradual change or even rapid change
17:10
that is not revolutionary in a
17:12
sense that it doesn't make us
17:14
completely unstable but help us to
17:17
go from one at Calabria Marv
17:19
relatively more stable state to the
17:21
other and another are just. Have
17:23
a stable situation that drifts over
17:26
or oscillates or have some other
17:28
kind of dynamic behavior by. It's
17:30
not like said and metaphysical Stone
17:32
to had. this is Ed and
17:34
I prioritize this metaphysically and explain
17:36
everything else based on this. the
17:38
bloody and you see that in
17:40
social theory and political science this
17:42
a lot and happens a lot
17:45
because like when you recognize that
17:47
there is some higher level stability
17:49
and you don't need to figure
17:51
out how individuals in fact it.
17:53
To generate this? Then when
17:55
you're trying to. Use
17:57
that to see rise have changed.
18:00
Happens, You end up saying
18:02
things that people don't want
18:04
to do like. The
18:06
Revolution Or. Make
18:09
it possible or and then afterwards in a
18:11
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Very okay. Good. So. That.
19:15
Brings in another aspect of your work which is
19:17
that you do want to make the world a
19:19
better place or these airlines about how to make
19:21
a world a better place right? So I just
19:23
hope the world becomes a better place in my
19:25
work is not going to help him long so
19:27
that is an important distinction but but is it's
19:30
nice because what you just said is you know.
19:32
The. The theory of teams aspect of
19:34
it is important that reminds us of,
19:37
you know, punctuated equilibrium in biology were
19:39
population is doing pretty well, but and
19:41
mutation comes along that makes and do
19:43
even better. and suddenly there's a pretty
19:45
rapid change. that's the kind of thing
19:48
I'm gonna. I'm gonna suggest and correct
19:50
me if I'm wrong. The complexity theory
19:52
is geared up to talk about and
19:54
maybe ways that other theories are not.
19:57
Absolutely. Ah, but I think and.
20:00
Provide the complexity theory
20:02
can help us think
20:04
about how punctuated equilibrium
20:06
happens. Sometimes
20:08
given that there and so
20:11
many other interrelated things that
20:13
like. Would keep. That
20:15
equilibrium they they stable. So
20:17
sometimes like this comes up
20:19
and discussions by economics people
20:21
talk about like norms change
20:23
in the same same sense
20:25
of punctuated equilibrium. So you
20:28
have like the practice of
20:30
foot binding. It started because
20:32
it's a king and night
20:34
on out somewhere. Like very
20:36
much liked one of his
20:38
dancers lighting her third in
20:40
a certain way and then
20:42
died like. Of became a
20:45
way for other women to make
20:47
themselves desirable for either the king
20:49
or the. People. Who are
20:52
close to D C Kings and
20:54
then it became like a form
20:56
of lox started to have like
20:58
a wife or partner or whatever
21:00
who are conquer buying who had
21:02
that properties and then incentivize women
21:04
to do that more and more
21:06
often to be able to like
21:08
Mary up that a lot of
21:10
like income inequality you are like
21:12
wealth gap or whatever feudal systems
21:15
are you know it's ah it
21:17
became like some a method for
21:19
people to marry their kid. Up
21:21
right So scared. like a stable
21:23
situation that likes apparent is stuck.
21:25
And because if they do this
21:27
while they're hurting their child, the
21:29
child cannot walk anymore. It's a
21:31
painful yeah. They use the i
21:34
don't know whether we see pictures
21:36
of a such horrendous. But
21:39
if they don't do that to
21:41
their child their child doesn't have
21:43
d possible to, daughter doesn't have
21:45
the possibility to marry and in
21:47
an environment and bitch there's no
21:49
other way for these women's. Sports
21:51
themselves. other than it's all you have
21:53
harm that child So like everyone has
21:55
incentive to keep things in place is
21:57
a like. Centuries, Past.
22:00
And. It's now
22:02
a practice said everyone does so you
22:05
don't even do this to may up
22:07
or down like a stable feature. Of
22:09
the left ear. Yeah, Yeah and then people
22:11
are realizing that this is a problematic
22:13
thing, like we shouldn't do this but
22:16
no one has the to deviate from
22:18
and. By. What happened is
22:20
that like a group of people
22:22
who are wealthier get together and
22:24
sign a pledge. sad day not
22:26
gonna let their child married to
22:29
a person who us on this
22:31
to their foot or ah would
22:33
not do that to their own
22:35
children. And any kind of
22:37
had a trickle effect like overnight to
22:39
a or if not of are now
22:41
have a short period of times and
22:43
bad practice A kind of stopped yeah
22:45
only stopped by. It was like a
22:48
negative view of. Those. Who do
22:50
to that? but like. this is the
22:52
situation in which the Aclu pm is
22:55
kind of separate or earth and decompose
22:57
of or from many other things. A.
23:00
Like. Exist kind of in
23:02
isolation even though it's teeth into
23:04
the marriage market and income inequality
23:06
and sorts of the there's so
23:08
many other kind of a clear
23:10
when the states that there's the
23:12
Billie is not just because people
23:15
repeat them or they don't have
23:17
incentive to change or because they're
23:19
so into related to other social
23:21
norms and like social practices or
23:23
laws or whatever that likes even
23:25
if you changed them overnight other
23:27
social practices reproduce or recreate this
23:29
kind. Of phenomenon all over again.
23:32
I'm coding this from Elizabeth Anderson
23:34
who has this example of school
23:37
segregation that like in some measures
23:39
as it's in some parts of
23:41
the country, school segregation is worse
23:44
than what it was in nineteen
23:46
sixties. Not because the lot like
23:49
is generating guess but because the
23:51
law or like the practice of
23:53
doing that was inter related to
23:56
so many others like and. Pack.
23:58
Seen housing. How funding for
24:01
schools com about. Where
24:04
people live, had and like many many
24:06
other things. that and then when you
24:08
take the law out of the equation
24:11
or make it even illegal to do
24:13
that and put impose a coffin People
24:15
who won two like segregate schools. Other
24:17
factors recreate and reintroduce the the same
24:20
phenomenon Oliver a Gun. Rights.
24:22
Said that kind of punctuated equilibrium.
24:25
Is not gonna help us
24:27
completely understand. How
24:30
you can get out of the situation.
24:33
Face. Like punctuated by
24:35
like spend you take account
24:37
of those interactions at Interaction
24:39
it seems like. You.
24:42
Are if you think of like
24:44
a landscape of the choices people
24:46
make, it's like. Creating. A
24:48
path That a new paths in
24:51
that landscape that allow people to
24:53
come and use a path to
24:55
get an eloquent. Elizabeth Anderson of
24:57
course, another former Mindscape guest. I
24:59
do appreciate you names Zippy know
25:01
the former. Guess though? that's. Very.
25:04
Interesting because it's so. does the
25:06
backup use the word landscape that
25:08
food or you were That is
25:10
used sometimes by evolutionary biologists, although
25:12
I know that others worry about
25:14
it that they always worried people
25:16
were it's. And
25:19
the whole issue there is that for
25:21
the biological case for natural selection, it's
25:23
not teleological right? It's just the mutations
25:25
are random and if you are separated
25:28
by a barrier from or valley I
25:30
suppose the biologists would say from in
25:32
even better equilibrium it might be very
25:34
difficult to get their i think would
25:37
you're pointing at is the we Humans
25:39
are supposed to be better than that.
25:42
We can see that there's a
25:44
better state there, but there's still
25:47
a collective action problem, right? Like
25:49
baby. It would be better if we all went
25:51
there but if one of us goes there is
25:53
still bad what we do about that. Lovely
25:56
a question. So I think the collective
25:58
action found them as. Syria I
26:00
am. I agree that it relies
26:03
at least in it's traditional form.
26:05
it relies on very restricted assumptions
26:07
are in terms of self interest
26:09
rationality like perfect and from and
26:12
so for it's by even when
26:14
you drop those things are you
26:16
see that in biological systems could
26:18
don't have any of that the
26:21
you see similar kind of phenomena.
26:24
And at the same time you see
26:26
that. Groups.
26:29
Do have problems to ah act
26:31
collectively self if you just think
26:34
foul we're not all rational or
26:36
we have other altruistic motives. Still,
26:38
there should be some mechanism to
26:41
explain why we fail to do
26:43
things that even collectivity v realize
26:45
that they're beneficial so we know
26:47
that like this alternative is good
26:50
for us but like to have
26:52
trouble getting x ah and sometimes
26:54
that comes with like of an
26:57
assurance. I'm not sure that. If
26:59
I go everyone else will follow
27:01
and this is costly for me.
27:03
Fence Dislikes: If I don't do,
27:06
I don't mind my child's third.
27:08
ah I'm and everyone else keeps
27:10
doing what they're doing and age
27:12
passage more. My child has to
27:14
pay the price for this. So
27:16
ah if I want to be
27:19
self interested and better off doing
27:21
something that actually don't wanted to
27:23
name the signing my foot By
27:25
the way that we do it
27:27
in ways that doesn't. Require Like
27:29
you mentioned that the are better
27:32
than biological organisms. I think it's
27:34
partly true. Stay the same time
27:36
the complexity of the problem that
27:39
we're trying to solve as they
27:41
hire. So it had many variables
27:43
and these variables are highly interdependent
27:46
frames. So regardless of how smart
27:48
we are, it is possible. Nothing
27:50
on get it wrong and it's
27:52
possible bad Be Try to do
27:55
something and not everyone in the
27:57
society will follow generates like. Counter.
28:00
Man, two hours backlash your so
28:02
many other layers of complications that
28:04
can mess things up. By.
28:06
When you're looking at the history
28:08
of movements or changes that happen
28:10
and kind of rapid, the not
28:12
overnight necessarily. but like. Reasonably
28:15
fast paying like a decade or
28:17
so. You see that like public
28:20
opinion, people's practices are many things
28:22
relevant. it up. Change his dad
28:24
you generate Counts are public's. Okay,
28:28
You. Generate a environment in
28:30
which deviating from what's the
28:32
standard or the equilibrium or
28:35
the norm is less costly
28:37
for individuals. Ah
28:39
and does counter public's
28:42
you can experiment and
28:44
see whether this I'll
28:46
turn the way of
28:48
living. Has any
28:50
plausible the and does it work
28:52
or an eye on and then
28:54
if it works wall people around
28:56
you might be motivated. To. Follow.
28:59
And copy and on if you
29:01
have some other means to be
29:03
stabilized, that librium and or up
29:05
the society. And then if this
29:07
is working well it will bring
29:09
a lot of people and I'm
29:11
saying a lot of abstract things.
29:13
I'm I'm happy to break it
29:15
down by the decided to give
29:17
a general picture of what I'm
29:20
thinking. That it's great because.
29:22
They. Are we thinking here of
29:24
the existence of subcultures within a
29:26
diverse society are sort of giving
29:28
us ways to experiment. I know
29:30
that you know enough federal system
29:32
for a government that supposed to
29:34
be with states are supposed to
29:36
do right. Individual states experiment the
29:38
laboratories of democracy. It sometimes
29:41
works sometimes doesn't but you know whereof
29:43
loss for is here we're thinking about
29:45
what is what is conceivable in principle
29:47
so he that basically what you have
29:49
in mind the of examples. Kind.
29:52
Of died in a more. A.
29:55
No more informal way array.
29:57
Yeah, I know more so
30:00
that way because when you
30:02
create states, you are also
30:05
creating the on. An
30:08
outcome oriented. Ways
30:11
or like you're just changing
30:13
people's incentive when they are.
30:16
Packed spin that kind of collective
30:19
thinking, but sometimes these things these
30:21
kind of change when it comes
30:23
at the cultural love or like.
30:26
We. Want to change practices
30:28
that are ingrained in everyday
30:31
people's lives? Lot. You. Might
30:33
need barium put. The
30:35
highest they have enough seats.
30:38
So you can. I just like ask them
30:40
to vote and tell you are they works
30:42
or not. So you gone
30:44
this far. We've gone this far
30:46
without actually saying the words game
30:48
theory, but it sounds like they're
30:50
behind something. That they are you.
30:52
As we mentioned Killing O'connor and
30:55
she was. She definitely a uses
30:57
game theory her gynt as was
30:59
also in the podcast and and
31:01
he does it. So when we're
31:03
talking about these Aqua Libya, these
31:05
interactions a. Is it useful
31:07
to and do we use game theory
31:09
to model them? Absolutely.
31:12
Because there are.
31:15
Seeing. Here is bad and
31:17
we are talking about.
31:20
And a lot of interactions
31:22
and the way that people
31:24
need to cooperate with each
31:26
other in order to achieve
31:28
certain goals or have some
31:30
up Com and I and
31:32
games. He is a very
31:35
helpful way to formalize and
31:37
simplified those interactions in a
31:39
way that the can see
31:41
at the is how these
31:43
dynamics ten work. By.
31:47
Game. You find an innocent so
31:49
like you're thinking that like wall
31:51
when you're talking about let's say
31:53
discrimination or group based disadvantages live.
31:55
You're talking about that like you're
31:58
observing that like in it. Just
32:00
and way. People.
32:03
Are getting the short end of
32:05
the stick in their shoot social
32:07
interactions or this some like accumulation
32:10
of to sad. Now clustering of
32:12
this advantage or clustering have some
32:14
social problems that otherwise these things
32:16
don't have similar issue mechanisms to
32:19
be clustered around the same group
32:21
of people. And
32:24
when you. Were. You one to
32:26
think about? How is it even possible
32:28
to. Be. Ending up
32:30
in this kind of situations, game
32:32
theory is a very useful way
32:35
of. Thinking about the
32:37
basics. Do
32:39
want me to save more
32:41
about what kind of game
32:43
basis those. I do. I do. but
32:45
I think that the know everyone has heard
32:47
the phrase game theories and people know the
32:49
prisoner's dilemma is the a be. Some people
32:51
might even know nash equilibria are and things
32:53
like that but yet as to make a
32:55
little bit more specific example be great. So.
32:59
Ah, a game like a
33:01
prisoner's Dilemma is composed of
33:03
some main components. Ah, Wine
33:06
is the players who are
33:08
interacting and for better or
33:10
worse the often talk about
33:12
two players and I think
33:15
it's so. That's. A
33:17
problem of Sicily? Yes, yeah,
33:19
but like ah, it does
33:22
the job done for at
33:24
least a. Big. Costs
33:26
of problems That ah. it's
33:29
helpful to maintain it so
33:31
statue players coming to a
33:33
table. Ah, and they have
33:36
strategies. That. They can choose or
33:38
they can. They have
33:40
choices. let's say I'm for how
33:42
they want to interact with the
33:44
other person another plus. And there's
33:46
some outcomes that come. Out
33:49
as those decisions. But.
33:51
Each. Of them might not know what
33:54
is the decision that the other
33:56
person is going to make. Rates
33:58
are so a classic example. Two
34:01
prisoner prisoners who
34:03
are ah in
34:05
jail by. The
34:08
police doesn't know whether they actually have
34:10
committed something or not so they're playing
34:12
a trick under had like a few
34:14
com bad to each of them. If
34:17
you com and tell me what you
34:19
guys have done I'll let you go.
34:21
By. The other cars and will stay
34:23
here and. Pay. The price by
34:25
going to jail for a longer time
34:27
so they giving both of these. Actors.
34:31
And incentive to.
34:34
Be mean or tell on the
34:36
other person's to gain some personal.
34:39
Benefit. Of Rights. Ah, I'm so
34:41
each of them have the choice to
34:43
defects. And or to
34:45
tell. On the other
34:48
person and ah gained advantage
34:50
of. Being. Free and not
34:52
worrying about their crimes committed or
34:54
to both cooperate. So if they
34:56
both stay quiet, the police doesn't
34:58
have actually any evidence by maybe
35:01
because they just want to keep
35:03
them in jail because they don't
35:05
have any suspects. say they'll get
35:07
a baby short time. Ah, and
35:10
they can be released. So what
35:12
does games trying to show as
35:14
that? it is possible for us
35:16
to stay in or be in
35:18
a situation that the structure of.
35:21
The world. Or or the
35:23
word had structured our choices
35:25
such that there's a tension
35:27
between what is good for
35:29
us. It's the could cooperate
35:31
with each other. Compared.
35:34
To what is good for
35:36
us as the new what
35:38
as the a decision that
35:40
the other person is going
35:42
to make and what's the
35:44
effect of does not knowing
35:46
the other person's gonna sell
35:48
each of them have the
35:50
incentive to ah defects because
35:52
even though they won't benefit
35:54
from. Being. Completely clean and
35:57
the police not knowing what they've
35:59
done. But they're preventing themselves from
36:01
paying the cost for the other person
36:04
show. Going. To jail for
36:06
ten years instead of going to jail for six
36:08
months. So both
36:10
of them got a defect, even though they
36:12
both had the option to stay in jail
36:14
only for am I right. This
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37:17
So. They're They're collectively best off if they
37:19
both cooperate, but individually, they're both better
37:21
off if a defect. So, sadly, they're
37:23
gonna end up defecting in the world.
37:26
Yeah, terrible, terrible place. And
37:28
when you like going back to the
37:30
conversation about the collective action problems, a
37:32
collective action from the similar dynamic like
37:35
with an people. Rank.
37:37
All. Of them have this worry
37:39
that like they might. Like.
37:42
Do something that comments them to
37:44
this strategy or destroys by if
37:47
other people don't follow suit they
37:49
gonna be the. People. Who
37:51
gonna pay the price for it? And
37:54
the price guy behind and as
37:56
price can be high enough Babbel
37:58
incentivize only everyone are enough people
38:01
to not follow suit. Sale on
38:03
those who are worried about collective
38:05
action problem say like it's practically
38:08
impossible for this group of people
38:10
yell to achieve any collective good
38:12
on. The physicist in
38:14
me wants to think of this like
38:17
statistical mechanics or I and imagine a
38:19
huge number of people constantly bumping into
38:21
each other with their strategies at some
38:24
temperature. Which means that their strategies can
38:26
change over time and things like that,
38:28
and maybe there different equilibria depending on
38:31
the strength of the coupling and the
38:33
temperature and stuff like that. There.
38:35
Must be people doing exactly that? No.
38:38
Yes, yes, cells. And I
38:40
don't consider myself a physicist.
38:43
Bad, there's an undergrad physicists
38:45
a high. Levels
38:48
of as fast as thinking
38:50
about this dynamic eyes and.
38:53
Of a similar picture at
38:55
that you described. By.
38:57
But this caviar that you're
38:59
not talking about? An ideal
39:01
gas, So individuals are not
39:03
doing what they think they
39:05
should do. Ah, independent of
39:07
their social connections or interaction
39:10
with the other cells. Instead
39:12
of an ideal gas, you
39:14
have a. Bunch. Of molecules
39:16
who are kind of tied to
39:18
one another, but not perfectly Cel
39:20
Every every one is. Has
39:23
some significant interaction with the one on the
39:25
right or left. So. When
39:27
you add this kind
39:29
of interdependence, ah day,
39:31
collective action problem. Changes.
39:34
It's structure because then there
39:37
are way. For. People to.
39:40
And problems because they have some
39:42
repeated into actions, because they have
39:44
someone amazing about each other. Or
39:48
because. Through. These interactions
39:50
they can come up
39:53
southwest some strategy that
39:55
they. Think. Of as
39:57
the norm, it's the salient option
39:59
now. They're going back
40:01
to our O'connor's episodes.
40:05
She talks about like dividing a pie
40:07
or you start but like append of
40:09
ice cream and things the mom who
40:11
is the say like. Giving.
40:13
Their children this rule that
40:16
if you. Both. Claim
40:18
the same amount or a claim less
40:20
than what is available. You can get
40:22
what you claim equal or less and
40:25
but if you play more than what's
40:27
and button at what is available as
40:29
it was my mom I have throw
40:31
away the I say. That.
40:35
Sells you but now they sit
40:37
and do that so when you
40:39
are getting.kind of option to buy
40:42
have like a choice of both
40:44
claiming half of the ice cream
40:46
tens or claiming less and what's
40:49
available to be cautious or if
40:51
they have some information about what
40:53
the other side finance claim claim
40:56
more on. but. Not.
40:58
High enough that there is no way
41:00
for every other person to get any
41:02
this on. And then they talk about
41:04
some actual every I'm Solutions. That
41:07
like either dividing and half
41:09
or dividing one dividing taking
41:11
much less, one taking much
41:14
more will become the evolutionary
41:16
stable. Are com of
41:18
social interactions that are kind of repeated
41:20
over time? Some of them i be
41:22
bit with the same people. Sometimes you
41:24
don't have to him and make that
41:26
assumption but just keep that interaction goal
41:28
and there's not a one shot prisoner's
41:30
dilemma. It's a. Prisoner's.
41:33
Dilemma to happen over time but a
41:35
game that I described not actually prisoner's
41:37
Dilemma is a coordination going by like
41:39
similar and often idea. ah. Bide.
41:43
My. Way to say
41:46
is that the difference
41:48
between blood prediction d
41:50
rom. Prison. And not
41:52
collective action problem. Is giving
41:55
does. It is very sad that by
41:57
all you guys can I do anything?
42:00
In a dime and day conclusion that
42:02
will look at the world we can
42:04
do things cel like you're missing as
42:06
like similar to the containers and you
42:08
made or some other countries I made
42:10
based on your example. Of. Thinking
42:12
Gov. An ideal gas in
42:14
which individuals are kind of acting
42:17
isolation campaign to an environment in
42:19
the interaction is dominant for the
42:21
interaction is the one that doing
42:23
things. Good and you can kind
42:26
of see. Where. Philosophical implications come
42:28
in here a little bit but again
42:30
as usual correct me if I'm wrong,
42:32
but it sounds like we can find
42:35
ourselves in situation where bad things happen
42:37
even if nobody used to blame us
42:39
as I as and maybe that changes
42:42
or philosophical view on how to either
42:44
think about or even deal with. That.
42:46
Situations. That's absolutely
42:49
true. Friend stands O'connor and
42:51
Bruner, and a lot of
42:53
other people use this kind
42:55
of a losing game theoretic
42:57
mechanism to explain how and
42:59
the same way that they
43:01
expect. ah, fair divisions to
43:03
become dominant strategy of a
43:05
population that trying to divide
43:07
their resources and go about
43:09
their tastes are. You can
43:11
see that unfair divisions and
43:13
become the dominant strategy wise
43:15
because you can have some
43:17
structural. Components As like Axelrod
43:20
to write, said Robert axle
43:22
an authentic book on abolition
43:24
of corporations and the idea
43:26
is died on. If you
43:28
have some, add a layer
43:30
of information about what your
43:32
opponent's gonna do, while you
43:34
can base your strategy. On.
43:37
That added information and that
43:40
can be sometimes group faced.
43:42
Ah membership That like I
43:45
treat everyone in my group
43:47
therapy but everyone outside of
43:50
my group. Ah. And
43:52
unfairly are like i wanna be greedy
43:54
to them and then you see that
43:57
like other kind of snake tree breakage
43:59
can like. Ah, Make us
44:01
and up flares. An
44:03
unstable or not as stable as com
44:05
that is not actually say are not.
44:09
Equal at least in terms of the
44:12
outcome it generates. So we do
44:14
have. Unlike the prisoner's dilemma were a
44:16
crucial features. The two prisoners can't talk
44:19
to each other right answer and so
44:21
was it One is. One.
44:23
Of the things that's interesting about the differences
44:25
between the. Physical. System
44:27
where the boar, the evolutionary
44:29
genetics and humans is that
44:32
we can anticipate and imagine
44:34
other possible futures. but another
44:36
one is we can. Talk.
44:38
To each other Mean it's how much is
44:41
that part of the models? When you're when
44:43
you're making these models that that people can
44:45
try to persuade each other to act in
44:47
a certain way that helps the collective. Good.
44:50
Very good point I think like whenever
44:52
you like Olufsen that in all these
44:54
conditions people actually to can talk to
44:57
each other but they don't have any
44:59
way to told each other accountable. As
45:01
the other percent lot. Rights.
45:04
So and then as you can talk
45:06
to each other parking is not gonna
45:08
do anything because I can come and
45:11
tell you that likes give me or
45:13
watch or give me I like something
45:15
like the relatively expensive and I promise
45:17
I'll bring it back to you tomorrow.
45:20
I fry Assad like attack and just
45:22
live and in the absence of any
45:24
other mechanisms that hop you think that
45:27
whether or not I am can actually
45:29
stick to my promise. It's the same
45:31
as no communication Gap has and I.
45:33
Am I give you some information
45:36
about the other person? but if
45:38
the information is not giving you
45:40
a way to hold that person
45:42
accountable off or that doesn't mean
45:44
anything. So yes he can add
45:46
adam as miscommunication as he won
45:48
by like it's still it's face
45:50
the same kind of dynamic. Rights
45:52
but we do interact more than one
45:54
says he. doesn't. that add some sure
45:57
application there. By like I think, what
45:59
does a lot. Work is lied
46:01
on that are serious. Actually
46:03
help us to see that
46:05
like sometimes s ah I'm
46:07
a complete rondo. ah and
46:09
I'm asking for your watch.
46:12
Their. Dynamic is made. Dyffryn. Competing.
46:14
To situation that's you. and I
46:17
both know Kale in a corner
46:19
and we both respect her and
46:21
I'm worried that if I don't
46:23
bring back your rights law that
46:25
gonna affect my relationship with Killing
46:27
to Ice and you know that
46:29
I hear about it as a
46:31
relationship and that is enough for
46:33
you to have some reinforced reinforcement
46:36
mechanism that will hold me accountable
46:38
right? And
46:40
that repeated interaction also is a
46:42
similar dynamic that if I don't.
46:44
Bring my wife go about watch back
46:46
to you tomorrow their next time I'm
46:49
asking you for something on what you
46:51
just not going to give it to
46:53
me And if that's the case this
46:55
worry about the future as a way
46:58
that you can. Use.
47:00
To hold me accountable and makes
47:02
me do what I promise. Cells
47:04
come and. Communication. Becomes.
47:07
Irrelevant again. Spotlight. But you are
47:09
adding by saying that people can
47:12
can communicate is not other and
47:14
anything other than just repeated interaction
47:16
or being embedded in a network
47:19
is doing that work. So that's
47:21
why people don't talk about. Communication.
47:24
As much and try to offload
47:26
the. I guess though I don't
47:29
I worry I wonder whether we're
47:31
not being fair to people are
47:33
mean we're being to fair to
47:35
them. They give them as to
47:37
rationally self interested whereas people might
47:40
take pride in being on his
47:42
store being trustworthy or something like
47:44
that right? By. Using other.
47:47
Yeah. I say down just
47:49
a hypothesis. And.long com
47:51
without. Some. Other
47:54
layers of. Information.
47:57
Or some other layers of. Good.
48:00
The information that that person not
48:02
gonna lie regardless of. Their.
48:04
Enough to situation. So let let's
48:06
be like super philosophical here. There's
48:08
different ways that philosophers have thought
48:10
about justice. Oh, you've done a
48:12
wonderful job laying the groundwork. Have
48:14
some complexity theory, game theory, network,
48:16
the Or even though we didn't
48:18
like, use that for that. was
48:20
involved in years saying that were
48:22
not an ideal gas re a
48:24
certain connections that exist in certain
48:26
wants to don't Ah, how's that
48:28
different than you know? I don't
48:30
know. Hobbes and Russo and Bark
48:32
or even your John Rawls. Or
48:34
whatever that the traditional theorists
48:36
of political justice. Why
48:39
I think it's similar in
48:41
many regards but it best
48:43
friend in important ways to
48:45
sell similar and offense bad
48:48
for instance ah ha then
48:50
resell and others one to
48:52
think about what keeps as
48:54
a coherent functioning society Rights
48:57
and even though maybe a
48:59
lot of us are altruistic
49:01
people but likely have enough
49:04
people who are not altruistic
49:06
and my be self interest.
49:08
There that can like ruin it for
49:10
everyone else writes ah and are thinking
49:12
about what are the conditions that they
49:15
can put in place at. Be.
49:17
Don't have to depend on everyone
49:19
being altruistic for the society to
49:21
work right. And someone like Hobbes
49:23
months to say that we have
49:25
to have a leviathan. And what
49:27
is that leviathan doing is? It's.
49:30
Making sure that whoever wants
49:32
to deviate. Has reason
49:34
to be scared of ceiling it
49:36
spreads that like as if I
49:39
say i promise to you that
49:41
I'll bring back your rights and
49:43
I don't. There's. A Leviathan,
49:45
An all. Powerful
49:48
saying suspect com Isaan hold me accountable
49:50
for me to jail A make you
49:52
pay the fine or were and if
49:54
that's the case and you know that
49:56
they've leviathan, insist And I know that
49:58
the Leviathan and. And I
50:01
don't have an incentive. To.
50:04
Not bring back your watch. Red.
50:06
Shift so. Doesn't. Matter whether
50:08
I'm an honest person or not
50:10
I am and ill, altruistic person
50:13
or not. Likes isn't as I
50:15
am a very self interested ourselves.
50:17
A self centered person is still
50:19
a society will work if you
50:21
have that kind of. Powerful,
50:24
Entities that people can depend
50:26
on to make sure that
50:28
deviating from what they agreed
50:31
on has it costs. right?
50:33
But at the same time when.
50:36
Someone. Like Fathers missing is
50:38
that law? That's not all
50:40
we need. First second: that.
50:44
That is too high of a
50:46
price to pay to make sure
50:48
that someone brings back my watch
50:50
to give. like all the power.
50:53
To like one entity who like
50:55
walks around and make sure that
50:58
everyone like sticks to their from
51:00
and and people like you more.
51:02
Others talk about culture. Or.
51:05
Other social practices and that help
51:07
us hold each other accountable or
51:09
like cooperate or do things that
51:11
we need to do together to
51:14
benefit from the fruits of that
51:16
cooperation. And
51:18
a losing game theory is a way to talk
51:20
about that. Kind of cultural
51:22
practices. If. You travel. You
51:25
know, when it comes to lousy. Soon to
51:27
we assign. You
51:29
know if you down to annex card been oceans
51:31
of high seems. And
51:33
looking towards have a with your cardinal
51:36
season system present on Delta flight. noticing
51:38
under the Bridge of Sighs selling Cds
51:40
Eternal love It is worth a long
51:42
distance Love. Is why your
51:44
adult the same Our Platinum American Express said
51:46
member. If you travel you know kids are
51:49
fifteen. Discount not applicable. A partner operates lights
51:51
the taxes and fees term. Supply visit dynamics
51:53
less you know, And. It's
51:55
interesting to me because he goes
51:57
back to the persistence and stability
52:00
in the new first brought up
52:02
and thinking about complex systems and
52:04
off so I am ask myself
52:07
questions about how. Non
52:09
equilibrium steady state systems require low entropy
52:11
energy rather my are free energy and
52:13
and they disobey to make it will
52:15
to more random place and in some
52:18
sense there's a parallel. Hear me it
52:20
sounds vaguely like it. I don't I
52:22
was there is there's some equivalent of
52:24
free energy. That. We need
52:27
here. There's some resource that
52:29
these stable structures require. Sound
52:32
like think about ah as
52:35
society in which everyone actually
52:37
follows the rules and like
52:39
they don't. They need some
52:41
higher level like our life.
52:44
Unless it's a very stable
52:46
society everyone follows, then I'm
52:48
fine. Pandemic. Happens.
52:50
I don't know something happens
52:52
that like and disturbs days
52:55
structure dynamics that they were
52:57
relying on. Pay like a
52:59
religious leads to keep things
53:01
together and they don't have
53:04
any alternative already existing their
53:06
rights law. This to say
53:08
not gonna last. You. Need
53:11
that kind of diversity
53:13
and variation and us
53:15
piled like an. Energy,
53:18
the around and stuff like
53:20
he stays stable and on
53:22
their side. Ah and like
53:25
if something happens like the
53:27
counterculture be talked about. sometimes
53:29
they generate change, fight a
53:31
lot of time they help
53:34
us remain stable. Ah, some
53:36
like norms are practices are
53:38
irrational to have in. Many.
53:41
Situations: I had this example that
53:43
I haven't ever thought about the
53:45
same. I know there may not
53:47
like I had s I had
53:49
a partner who are like air
53:51
porter like many years ago and
53:53
it was very annoying. I
53:57
have a hard it is person is yes I
53:59
like for many. Biden didn't do
54:01
it, even never be able to
54:03
find something he needs because yeah
54:05
so much stuff and a lot
54:07
A was expensive to move them
54:09
around his as expensive to like
54:11
keep on to them. there was
54:13
not much utility ah but like
54:15
been pandemic that. You. Can
54:17
go out and like by
54:19
whatever I didn't and like
54:21
bad the holdings. Ah. The regrowth
54:24
of the word. Good.
54:26
Legs he had like balls of
54:28
rubber bands. dive used to like
54:30
make messes. Comes to specify of.
54:32
I never thought I like having.menu rather
54:35
than would be even useful and we
54:37
could just him and give it to
54:39
others who didn't have robust and as.
54:41
Soon May. So basically you're
54:43
making an argument for diversity.
54:46
In some sense, it's not
54:48
just more old good to.
54:52
Be diverse in the. Cause.
54:55
Are being fair to people. But you
54:57
say if you wanna be the best
54:59
society and find the right solutions, sometimes
55:01
you might do something that might seem
55:03
to you to be sub optimal. He
55:05
oh you need to have a mix
55:07
strategy, game theory, But
55:10
at the same time if you
55:13
have this a closed society back
55:15
society is often have a lot
55:17
of conformity pressure so a closed
55:19
society over time makes everyone lox
55:22
the same because of the social
55:24
pressures and since but an open
55:26
society that like has an influx
55:28
of people who are coming from
55:31
different parts of the world different
55:33
cultures are better. base is like
55:35
a way to. Keep
55:38
this kind of stability and.
55:40
That's sometimes that is just like
55:42
the influx of information or different
55:45
ways of living. Some other times
55:47
is just like having actual people
55:49
who are coming. To. Generate
55:51
that kind of on. Diversity.
55:54
It's so you don't.
55:57
I get that kind of diversity over
55:59
at. The time at least in
56:01
a way that game theoretically the
56:04
can think about societies and maintain
56:06
your diversity unless you are very
56:08
intentional about like keeping things. Suppress.
56:14
It. Actually reminds me of the
56:16
Foot Binding example in the sense
56:18
that even have a strategy or
56:20
a normal customer whatever that was
56:22
optimal under some conditions that conditions
56:24
go away with. You're left with
56:27
the strategy. and if you don't
56:29
have this influx of other people,
56:31
maybe you forget how to justify
56:33
you. forget the reasons why are
56:36
you wearing it that way? Yeah,
56:38
Yeah, none. I really like the
56:40
analogy. Yes, And so and
56:42
so is it leads to and
56:44
we other let me ask you
56:46
this way is I can see
56:48
this in the terms of the
56:50
game theory, network theory, complexity picture
56:52
this, this interest in diversity and
56:54
and sort of constantly probing our
56:56
weaknesses. Said and cetera is that.
56:59
New and different in in this discussions
57:01
of society and how to set them
57:03
up is at an insight that we
57:05
got from thinking in these ways. I
57:09
think. And
57:11
my device? You mean like focusing on
57:13
complexity? Yeah. Okay said
57:15
the way. But I think complexity
57:18
distinguishes are thinking from the standpoint
57:20
of complexity distinguishes itself from other
57:22
viewpoints. His thoughts as he again
57:24
go back like to it you
57:27
can tell how much of a
57:29
fan of counting O'connor signed Carson
57:31
they got like carrots side and
57:33
they're an. Evolutionary.
57:36
Ways as talking about social norms is
57:38
like at the end of the day
57:40
trying to find some stable are com
57:42
bread. And
57:45
Circuses stability base. Kind
57:47
of explanations and that gives you
57:50
some insight of like how that
57:52
can be possible or our how
57:54
a. D
57:57
and. Complexity.
57:59
Ah, Crowds is helping eyes
58:01
to not take that stability
58:03
to be our end goal.
58:07
And think about how
58:09
change can happen. Not
58:11
only can happen, but it
58:13
happens all the time and
58:16
our ability to explain things
58:18
is not dependent on finding
58:20
some fixed features of the
58:22
world, right? so I don't
58:24
have to off load d
58:26
Robustness of the causal connections
58:29
I find in the world
58:31
on to on changing things.
58:33
And if I can do that, I
58:35
can show that how I can. Perhaps.
58:39
Guy third changes that are
58:41
already happening to other since
58:44
died are and a better.
58:47
Ah, help us to get to
58:49
a better outcome. Was out assuming
58:51
that I know what is this
58:53
better up? right? Yeah, And
58:55
A reminds me once again of Elizabeth
58:57
Anderson, who was the one who convinced
58:59
me for the first time in my
59:01
life that ideal theory was that the
59:03
best way to think about illegal justice
59:05
rather than I spoke to me as
59:07
a physicist. Maybe it always made sense.
59:09
Just think that the Perfect Society and
59:11
work to try to get in that
59:13
direction. And and she points out number
59:15
one, you know the Perfect Society as
59:17
a number Two conditions are changing A,
59:19
but it's much easier just to try
59:22
to improve a little bit. So adamant
59:24
about the local derivative. is a more stable thing
59:26
that as he about the final goal. Absolutely
59:28
yes. And if you want to improve
59:30
things and you aside that this assumption
59:32
that the problem that we're solving is
59:35
too complex for any of us or
59:37
for most of us or and then
59:39
for like I don't know an institution
59:42
that as and responsible for gathering from
59:44
a sense to have like a bird
59:46
I knew of this landscape to tell
59:49
us what is the better outcome or
59:51
what is the better color be an
59:53
ah. We. Want to know
59:55
how possibly the can make. Improvements.
59:58
Death. And the way. Think of that
1:00:00
about. that is to think about first
1:00:03
how knowledge is. Produced.
1:00:05
How these practices come to
1:00:07
existence. How are they generating
1:00:10
outcomes? Are are shop optimal?
1:00:12
Ah, in ways that the
1:00:14
evolutionary models help us to
1:00:16
understand, but also how we
1:00:19
can minimize the error in
1:00:21
finding day alternatives. So let's
1:00:23
go back to the landscape
1:00:26
kind of metaphors. Bad. Ah,
1:00:28
You see that in scientific
1:00:30
communities to say they're different
1:00:33
ways of. Exploring this unknown
1:00:35
and do rocket at the stomach
1:00:37
landscape and it has a lot
1:00:40
of local optima that makes you
1:00:42
think that's our we are We
1:00:44
found the best possible solutions and
1:00:46
that I don't know we have
1:00:49
Flow just or whatever they say
1:00:51
they were gets. When
1:00:54
you want people to explore
1:00:56
alternatives and find whether there
1:00:58
is a better way to
1:01:00
go about solving discretion or
1:01:02
knots and people model this.
1:01:04
As like air let's say a
1:01:06
group of scientists who have like
1:01:08
different kind of strategy. some of
1:01:10
them one to. Find.
1:01:13
What is or like? follow what
1:01:15
is the consensus and to stick
1:01:17
with age amongst them. Ah, one
1:01:19
to find what's the consensus and
1:01:22
do the opposite because like they
1:01:24
did they feel like it and
1:01:26
so of them don't care by
1:01:28
anyone else and just like focus
1:01:30
on their own work and they
1:01:33
want to be a good scientist
1:01:35
out. Like proves everything from the
1:01:37
basic axioms to. The conclusion
1:01:39
that they wanna drive I'm I'm
1:01:41
like they should. I like when
1:01:44
you have this kind of dynamic
1:01:46
and like let people kind of
1:01:48
follow or learn from each other's
1:01:50
exploring this epidemic landscape is not
1:01:52
something that you can plan and
1:01:55
tell people that like look the
1:01:57
strategies bad strategy is goods Even
1:01:59
though. Intuitively doing something that
1:02:01
the scientific community says all we
1:02:03
have consensus the where this and
1:02:05
do the opposite is. Not.
1:02:09
A promising blacks by like they
1:02:11
show that likes having people who
1:02:13
do that how up ice to.
1:02:16
Maximize. Their ability to reach
1:02:18
out and like find what is
1:02:20
the better on equilibrium. The or
1:02:22
what are the better answers are
1:02:25
better outcomes. And
1:02:27
a structure of who is talking
1:02:29
to, who. Is. Another important
1:02:31
way to think about us at
1:02:33
those models. Don't think about that.
1:02:35
I have some other words am
1:02:38
trying to make sense of on
1:02:40
when you compare chapter base movements,
1:02:42
for instance, to hierarchical move on
1:02:44
chapter basements try to figure out
1:02:46
how they solve a problem locally
1:02:49
in their own lack. And
1:02:51
on a neighborhood or city or
1:02:53
state or whatever by day have
1:02:56
ways to communicate with other chapters
1:02:58
and ask them how will you
1:03:00
do a slider You do that
1:03:03
worked How can I like not
1:03:05
and based important resources to reinvent
1:03:08
the wheel straight and sk try
1:03:10
something A doesn't work they can
1:03:12
tell others but at the same
1:03:15
time day take into account that
1:03:17
like something that works for me
1:03:20
in Columbus. Ohio my not works
1:03:22
in Baltimore not my not work in
1:03:24
Arizona and over. And
1:03:27
then they are changing the
1:03:29
structure of their communication or
1:03:31
their collective actions as a
1:03:33
way to minimize their chance
1:03:35
of making mistakes and maximize
1:03:37
their chance of finding solutions
1:03:39
that work for them, not
1:03:41
assuming that the solution him
1:03:43
and works for every one.
1:03:46
Or. The area like a way for
1:03:48
everyone to do so. like it's
1:03:50
a way of incorporating dad situated
1:03:52
knowledge. Knowing.
1:03:54
Bad: we don't know what is
1:03:56
the. Alternative. Necessarily that
1:03:58
we can get. We know that
1:04:01
like along the way my figure
1:04:03
out that we were wrong all
1:04:05
along. Some people make this argument
1:04:07
in terms of like the Feminist
1:04:09
Resistance to like. Some. Conceptions
1:04:11
of a family and knock
1:04:14
for your family. And then
1:04:16
the snack. Change. In
1:04:19
people's attitude when same
1:04:21
sex marriage became legalize.
1:04:25
And like the tension between these
1:04:27
two ways of thinking about what
1:04:29
is the right way of solving
1:04:31
the problems that people were facing
1:04:33
I'm I'm realizing that will will
1:04:35
my my have and wrong. In
1:04:39
fact, like it's too costly to ask people
1:04:41
to not live in. not we're families given
1:04:43
everything else. Maybe in an alternate world it
1:04:46
would have worked for like it's that. They
1:04:48
do a better outcome that we
1:04:50
can like. seats ah any can
1:04:52
improve the lives of many who
1:04:54
we care about an otherwise they
1:04:56
they would be. I'm. In
1:04:59
trouble or like not benefit from those.
1:05:02
But. This example of science or of academia
1:05:04
more broadly. reminds. Us
1:05:06
that diversity can be hard to
1:05:08
achieve right? I have a says
1:05:10
you have a certain academic sub
1:05:12
field that as a different and
1:05:14
people think well a certain approach
1:05:16
is eighty percent likely to be
1:05:19
right. But you're only hiring people
1:05:21
in that sub field once every ten
1:05:23
years. You're going to hire one of
1:05:25
those consensus people are hundred percent of
1:05:27
the time and you know, going to
1:05:29
give twenty present you don't have room,
1:05:31
right? So you need to make some
1:05:33
extra special effort to nurture the diversity
1:05:35
in that sense. That is absolutely
1:05:37
true And video again look at
1:05:40
scientific community is you see that
1:05:42
like ah, when there is like
1:05:44
a critical mass who is kind
1:05:47
of negating the dominant or the
1:05:49
mainstream way of thinking about things,
1:05:51
stay off and start generating their
1:05:53
own journals. They're creating like departments
1:05:56
that like more likely to hire.
1:05:58
So I are like. The war
1:06:00
have this kind of tendency because
1:06:02
that's the only way that you
1:06:05
can protect these like more minority
1:06:07
groups. And I'm not say minority
1:06:09
to say like the minority here
1:06:11
is always right are being minor
1:06:13
the his or or likes. I'm
1:06:15
just saying like it's good to
1:06:18
preserve the diversity here. it's and
1:06:20
the pressure for conformity. Israel I
1:06:22
knew one ways to allow this
1:06:24
minority to persist just in case.
1:06:27
There. Majority was wrong. So you
1:06:29
have some people have explored Dalton
1:06:31
and any can borrow from that's
1:06:33
are like they create their own
1:06:35
enclaves. That. Helps them
1:06:38
to. Survive. Or
1:06:40
of and be successful in
1:06:42
their own smaller communities by
1:06:44
also protects them from the
1:06:47
pressure that they are filling
1:06:49
the around. the mainstream and
1:06:51
in social movements are like
1:06:53
social change literature you see
1:06:55
a lot of.kind of dynamic.people
1:06:57
generate groups to like protect
1:06:59
them from. The. Cost.
1:07:02
Of deviation fight at the same time
1:07:04
and the size their bought this so
1:07:06
they have a chance to be hurt
1:07:09
by the rest. The
1:07:11
guy a lot this example of
1:07:13
Rosa Parks that like if you're
1:07:16
thinking that she is just as
1:07:18
tired person who didn't want to
1:07:20
date her seats because she is
1:07:22
sick of the. Racists
1:07:25
rules and practices in her
1:07:27
town. While you're missing like
1:07:29
that, that's partly true, but.
1:07:32
You're missing a lot of
1:07:34
important for Mason about what
1:07:36
actually helps. To. Make
1:07:38
an action like hers to
1:07:41
be a. Milestone.
1:07:43
Are like a significant driver
1:07:45
of like something like a
1:07:47
civil rights movement. Rates that
1:07:50
like she is an arm
1:07:52
or a local organizer of
1:07:54
Naacp. Her husband is a
1:07:57
youth organizer for the same
1:07:59
organization. She has been thinking
1:08:01
about like doing this for like
1:08:04
long time and they have tried
1:08:06
like other people who wanna to.
1:08:09
Not change the scene and see
1:08:11
what happens. And I'm. She.
1:08:13
Had like an army of
1:08:16
other organizers and activists who
1:08:18
when that happened ah reassured
1:08:20
her that like the costs,
1:08:23
Is not something that she's the
1:08:25
only one who bears advice. Ah
1:08:27
it's not like she will lose
1:08:30
her job and not gonna have
1:08:32
any support whatsoever and she's alone
1:08:34
a bear the consequences but also
1:08:36
be amplified her voice. Right there
1:08:38
were plans to help out to the our.
1:08:41
Yeah yeah, Yeah and like she
1:08:43
isn't the first person who has
1:08:45
ever decided to change Like not
1:08:47
change or see are not follow
1:08:50
the racists laws are practices in
1:08:52
her hometown. The difference is that.
1:08:55
The. Connections that she has.
1:08:57
Ah, I'm I'm the counter
1:09:00
community that protects her. From.
1:09:03
Just. Like doing something that makes her go
1:09:05
to jail and those are just. As
1:09:08
it would be the case for everyone else
1:09:10
in, the same thing goes for scientific. Yeah.
1:09:13
But the Rosa Parks examples a good
1:09:15
one because this was the less they
1:09:17
want to talk about season we said
1:09:19
we'd perfectly to be under god guess
1:09:21
year because you write a lot about
1:09:23
social movements and their importance and here's
1:09:25
a perfect example of one right? And
1:09:27
the you know someone who hadn't thought
1:09:29
about this very carefully might just say
1:09:32
why we to social movement be have
1:09:34
a democracy everyone's gonna vote they're going
1:09:36
to get what they want but these
1:09:38
collective behavior kind of issues are really
1:09:40
do matter So even if we live
1:09:42
in. A perfect democracy with which
1:09:44
we don't as a whole nother
1:09:46
per day. But even if we
1:09:48
did this kind of coordination, game
1:09:50
theory, network theory kind of thing
1:09:53
becomes really important to making the
1:09:55
society you live in closer to
1:09:57
his own ideals Stance: True because.
1:10:00
When you're thinking about like a
1:10:02
democratic society am, one of their
1:10:04
distinctive features is that like people
1:10:07
have roughly equal say in how
1:10:09
things go. So this it's self
1:10:11
governing society rights I'd like. It's.
1:10:14
And might be the case in an ideal
1:10:16
gas. At that
1:10:19
life, each Michael had like
1:10:21
the same effect on like
1:10:24
the temperature. roughly speaking, spotlights
1:10:26
didn't We don't live in
1:10:28
an ideal gas situation. Ah,
1:10:31
I'm We have so many
1:10:33
other mechanisms to first make
1:10:36
collective action possible, but also
1:10:38
generate power. Generate influence, generates
1:10:41
mechanisms that can advantage some
1:10:43
people and disadvantage others. right?
1:10:47
But they have the same
1:10:49
kind of ah I'm mechanisms
1:10:51
can be used to. Amplify
1:10:55
change right? Like it's likes, you
1:10:57
are increasing the number of connections
1:10:59
between people. So something that would
1:11:01
happen to someone and no one
1:11:03
else would hear about. Because.
1:11:06
That person is a disconnected or
1:11:08
like have the pores resources of
1:11:10
that other and when you're in
1:11:12
Tacoma social movements you are in
1:11:14
a dislike heightened level that like
1:11:16
everyone is much more or less
1:11:18
like and prime to think about
1:11:20
this problem first but seconds they
1:11:22
might like have. Extra.
1:11:24
Connections that make them hear about
1:11:27
this kind of news. So many
1:11:29
shooting happens or like a chilling
1:11:31
happens on to a member of
1:11:33
a population or by a member
1:11:36
of some group. Everyone else gonna
1:11:38
know about it in a way
1:11:40
that it wouldn't happen before, right?
1:11:42
So the networks can help us.
1:11:45
explains how changes way more likely
1:11:47
and stability is a basin of
1:11:49
attraction is kind of like shrunk
1:11:51
because people are more connected. Because
1:11:55
people are more prime
1:11:57
event to. Think.
1:11:59
About. That lack of connections
1:12:01
that they had to have problems
1:12:03
are on the lack of connections
1:12:05
that would prevent them from hearing.
1:12:07
About some. Phenomena. So
1:12:10
if I wanted to start my
1:12:12
own social movement, word insights from
1:12:15
Complexity Theory an evolutionary game theory
1:12:17
help me. Build. More affected social
1:12:19
movement or is it more describing things
1:12:21
after the fact? Lonely question.
1:12:24
I think my conclusion
1:12:26
or what I've learned
1:12:28
from Social aren't. Complexity.
1:12:31
Theory is not a
1:12:33
recipe for starting a
1:12:35
social movement. It's a
1:12:37
recipe for know laying.
1:12:39
died, And. Then
1:12:42
change is going to happen.
1:12:44
I have an influence way
1:12:46
beyond what I thought I
1:12:48
have Because I'm not just
1:12:51
myself, I'm also an extended
1:12:53
network of people who know
1:12:55
me or they might take
1:12:57
what I say. I'm. With.
1:13:00
More confidence except there were more
1:13:02
confidence that they would that someone
1:13:04
else. I'm I'm S. I am
1:13:07
at the state that like a
1:13:09
movement like a wave is approaching
1:13:11
me. Ah it's not like I
1:13:14
can just disconnect s I am
1:13:16
feeding into and I can amplify
1:13:18
it by a lot. On
1:13:21
bar or I can be a
1:13:23
wait for it to dampen it.
1:13:25
Tom. So. My
1:13:28
my conclusion from complexity theory
1:13:30
his dad says. So. Higher
1:13:33
start rethinking why you think
1:13:35
AH you as an individual
1:13:37
can do and start thinking
1:13:40
of yourself as a molecule,
1:13:42
an ideal gas. That
1:13:45
like the addition of your action
1:13:47
with bunch others will generate change
1:13:50
because I can have cascading effect
1:13:52
You anyone can ask getting a
1:13:54
favorite direct connect but also if
1:13:57
you want to start change. Ah
1:13:59
my. Your connections go find
1:14:01
others for like minded support
1:14:04
them. Be supported by them.
1:14:07
And know that without that. Not
1:14:10
much gonna come out of. Well,
1:14:12
just so you you just give
1:14:14
me a little Tiffany years. I
1:14:17
very much appreciate this because of
1:14:19
course. Physicists: Or that other
1:14:21
phase transitions rain litter which is highly
1:14:23
delegates if not exactly the same as
1:14:26
as social transition to various sorts. This.
1:14:29
But. You know to stand up for
1:14:31
my visit his friends. We don't only
1:14:34
think about ideal gases, sometimes you think
1:14:36
about a lattice or a solid which
1:14:38
are kind of very primitive network kind
1:14:41
of models right? and something you notice
1:14:43
when you have a lattice that has
1:14:45
has his physical system on of it's
1:14:48
going to do a phase transition is
1:14:50
that far away from the phase transition.
1:14:52
Correlations between what's going on a nearby
1:14:55
lattice points might be ah, either only
1:14:57
infinite range or only short range. It's.
1:14:59
Exactly at the critical point at
1:15:02
the phase transition that you have
1:15:04
both to arrange correlation and long
1:15:06
range correlations and you just explained
1:15:08
why that's important to a social
1:15:10
movement. Solitaire that counts as a.
1:15:13
Self. whether you planned it or not, you have
1:15:15
it very much help me. Launched by social movement
1:15:18
when I when I get to that. Says
1:15:21
a higher hit are you are they so much
1:15:23
Be on the Landscape podcast. Thank. You so much
1:15:25
for having me a legitimate.
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