There's been a lot of talk recently about the possibility of the US and China going to war if China invades Taiwan, but as usual, I'm here to dampen the hype and reduce expectations. Let's not rush into WWIII, and instead have a rational conversation about how likely war between the world's foremost superpowers actually is.

Sorry for the delay in episodes, was away with the family over Easter.

Chapters
2:30 What is Taiwan? The One China Policy
05:24 Taiwanese cultural politics and identity
15:20 We would all die
21:20 Pyrrhic victory
27:44: China's other strategy
31:45: Taiwan's situation
41:55: Taiwan is not a priority for the US
48:00 Conclusions

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Sources

Melissa J. Brown, Is Taiwan Chinese?The Impact of Culture, Power, and Migration on Changing Identities

Chris Miller, Chip War:The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology

Kerry Brown and Kalley Wu Tzu-Hui, The Trouble With Taiwan: History, Identity and a Rising China_ History, the United States and a Rising China

CSIS, The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan (https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan)

The New York Times, Who Benefits From Confrontation With China

Syaru Lin, Taiwan’s China Dilemma, Contested Identities and Multiple Interests in Taiwan’s Cross-Strait Economic Policy-Stanford University Press

The National Interest, The Worrisome Erosion of the One China Policy

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