Episode Transcript
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0:03
Hello! Welcome
0:13
to Sleep Money, your guide to the
0:15
business and finance news of a week.
0:17
I'm Felix Amalovaxios, I'm here with Elizabeth
0:20
Spires of New York Times. Hello. I'm
0:23
here with Emily Peck of Axios. Hello,
0:25
hello. Sam Bankman-Fried was sentenced to 25
0:27
years in jail. We are
0:29
going to talk about that. We
0:31
are going to talk about the credit
0:33
card settlement, which might wind up causing
0:36
people to get charged different prices depending
0:38
on what type of Visa or MasterCard
0:40
they have. To start off though, we
0:42
are going to talk about the
0:45
latest meme stock on the market, Trump
0:48
Media and Technology Group trading
0:50
under the ticker symbol DJT.
0:52
It's meming up the stock
0:54
charts. We have a
0:56
Sleep Plus segment all about Coco
0:59
and the price thereof. It's all coming
1:01
up on Sleep Money.
1:13
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in terms of why. So
2:22
talking of purchasing stuff, Emily, have
2:24
you ever gone out and bought
2:26
something and then held onto it
2:28
for a few years and realized
2:30
that it's actually worth more than you
2:32
paid for it and that you could sell it at a
2:34
profit? Felix, no. That's literally
2:36
happened to me. The
2:39
kinds of things that people buy that
2:41
sort of become more valuable over time
2:43
are things that Emily Peck traditionally isn't
2:45
that into such as like fine
2:48
wines or collectible art
2:50
or antiques, things like
2:52
that. I'm just not that kind of
2:54
consumer. It seems more up your alley.
2:56
It has happened to me. I have at
2:59
least one artwork that is worth more than
3:01
I paid for it. I have definitely a
3:03
couple of bottles of Clorujard that I bought
3:05
back when they were not ludicrously expensive and
3:08
if I wanted to sell them,
3:10
I probably could. I've never actually
3:12
made money on any
3:15
of these things. I've never actually
3:17
done the full round trip
3:19
transaction. But in principle,
3:21
I do think that it helps to explain
3:23
why people are willing to spend a lot
3:26
of money on something like a Rolex watch
3:28
is because they have some faith that there's
3:31
a decent chance it might go up in value rather
3:33
than down. I actually bought a house. Just
3:36
remembering eight years ago that I
3:38
live in. Did you remember when you bought a house? Yeah. It
3:41
has actually, in fact, if you believe Zillow, gone
3:43
up a lot in value but I don't think
3:45
of it as something that I'm one day going
3:47
to sell or make money from. I think of
3:49
it as just where I live and
3:51
it costs a lot of money to live here and keep it up.
3:54
I don't see it that way. Maybe
3:57
if you had a Rolex, you would think to yourself, if I
3:59
ever needed cash, I'd I could tell my role that. Okay. Should
4:03
we talk about how former
4:05
president Donald Trump has become a meme stock?
4:08
We should. You don't
4:10
seem excited about this, Emily. I
4:13
mean, it's like we try very hard here
4:15
on Slate Money and have tried really hard,
4:17
I think, for the past eight
4:20
years, longer to void
4:22
talking about Donald Trump. He comes up,
4:24
but now he's intersected with the market
4:26
and with business and finance news in
4:28
such a way that we
4:30
must discuss, dewack or dwack, or
4:33
however you want to say the
4:35
name for the Trump's back. Whack.
4:38
Spack. The whack,
4:41
the whack, the whack, Trump's
4:43
back. No, okay. So
4:45
Trump, when he got kicked
4:47
off Twitter, started his own
4:49
social network, as you do. He
4:52
called it Truth Social, and
4:55
it struggled to
4:58
raise money, and
5:00
it struggled to raise revenues.
5:02
In fact, according to a financial
5:04
sit, contrived to lose $49 million
5:06
in the first three quarters of
5:09
2023 on $3.3 million of revenues. So
5:14
on its face, not a great business.
5:16
It has about 5 million unique users, which is
5:18
a rounding error by the standards
5:20
of most social networks. It is, as far
5:24
as I can tell, almost entirely American. It
5:26
exists no other country. And
5:30
normally, this would be a vanity
5:33
play. If some
5:35
celebrity launches their own social network, a few
5:37
of their fans will download it and then
5:39
they'll forget about it and they'll move on.
5:43
But we are now in the era of meme
5:45
stocks. And I think this is the thing that
5:47
interests me the most, is that I
5:50
was uncertain
5:52
whether meme stocks would survive the
5:55
end of the ZURP era, whether
5:57
now that interest rates are high.
6:00
Whether that was gonna kill meme stock
6:02
but now we're seeing not only this
6:04
becoming meme stock, we're also
6:07
seeing arguably possibly reddit becoming stock
6:09
and most. Notively with seeing
6:11
that research into the bunch of like
6:13
me coins as well like dog with
6:15
hats and things like that so. The
6:20
the memes are back people
6:23
and which is the symbol
6:25
of the now public trump
6:27
media and technology group. Is
6:30
being is trading on the market
6:32
at crazy capitalization it has because
6:34
trump himself owns about sixty percent
6:36
of the stock it is made
6:38
him. A clear multi
6:40
billionaire like all of these debates that people
6:43
used to have about like the really have
6:45
all of that money will now he does
6:47
right now he own. Five
6:49
billion dollars worth of stock in
6:52
media and like if you look at any billionaire
6:55
like mostly the billions are held in.
6:57
Talk of public list of companies that's a
6:59
that's a legitimate form of wealth and he
7:01
has a lot of wealth now. That's true
7:03
but i think we have to sort of
7:05
articulate what that means and part of it
7:07
is you know he owns around sixty percent
7:10
of the company that's around six billion dollars
7:12
on paper. He's locked up for
7:14
six months and if he sells it many
7:16
massive volume
7:18
than a sensibly the stock goes down
7:20
other shareholders are mad i mean whenever
7:23
you have a big sell off. That's
7:26
usually bad news for the other shareholders and the
7:28
value of the stock goes down right
7:30
now around eleven percent of the stock
7:32
is held by short sellers and that's
7:35
versus you know five percent normal company
7:37
and that's a storm thing it's almost
7:39
impossible to show up the stock right
7:41
now. I was having dinner last night
7:43
with an investor who told me
7:46
that the cost of the borrow if
7:48
you want to borrow through social stock so that
7:50
you can sell it in the market so that's
7:52
sure the cost of that is two hundred and
7:55
fifty percent. Yeah that's also
7:57
because backs are really hard to short you
7:59
know. mutual funds and ETFs are not generally
8:01
going to hold them. So that's, that's part
8:03
of the premium. Well, it's not a SPAC
8:06
anymore. Yeah. Now it's, now it's a real
8:08
listed company. And this is why
8:10
we're talking about it now, to be clear,
8:12
there has been this SPAC stock called the
8:14
WAC or WAC or something digital
8:17
world acquisition court that has been
8:19
trading since September, 2021. And
8:22
for most of that time, it
8:24
has had a stated intention to acquire
8:26
front media and technology
8:29
group. And so there was a
8:31
lot of kind of jostling for
8:33
position in WAC stock sort
8:35
of in anticipation of this event happening
8:37
and in anticipation of Truth Social being
8:39
a public company. But
8:42
it's only this week that Truth Social has
8:44
actually been a public company. This
8:46
is such a strange SPAC because for a
8:48
lot of the investors, it's really just kind
8:50
of like a call option on MAGA. And
8:53
you can't really say that about the other
8:55
meme stocks, you know, there are dynamics here
8:58
that just don't exist in any other SPAC
9:00
or meme stock. There are other
9:02
ways Trump could cash in on
9:04
his stock without selling a big
9:06
chunk of it and risking the
9:08
stock price going down. He
9:10
could borrow against the stock, right? Like
9:13
borrowing against stock also, like you're
9:15
borrowing from a bank normally, and
9:18
then the bank wants to hedge the risk that the
9:20
stock will fall. So they will basically
9:22
short the stock. So that involves them
9:24
effectively selling the stock. It still produces
9:27
downward pressure on the stock. But
9:29
honestly, like if the stock is if
9:31
his stock is worth six billion dollars
9:33
and, you know, he needs to raise,
9:35
you know, three or four hundred
9:37
million or something, then like he's not selling
9:39
a huge amount. And look,
9:42
there was 55 million shares traded
9:44
on the first day that it was
9:47
officially a company. There's a lot of
9:49
volume in this stock. There's a lot
9:51
of people playing it for the lulz
9:53
and for the memes and for the,
9:56
you know, volatility. I'm
9:58
not nearly as convinced. as
10:00
Elizabeth, that like if Trump wanted
10:02
to spend a few weeks selling
10:05
down his stake that he couldn't find
10:07
buyers for, especially if he's
10:10
president at that point and,
10:12
you know, the Saudi wealth fund wants to
10:14
make friends with Trump. So they're like, yeah,
10:16
we'll just, you know, come in and buy
10:19
your stock. That's completely legal.
10:21
I think the bottom line is if you
10:24
want to call the meme stock or not, there's
10:27
value in a stock that is associated
10:29
with Donald Trump right now, as
10:32
much as I hate to say it,
10:34
he, his brand is, is quite valuable. There are
10:36
people who want to buy shares
10:38
to support him. It's
10:41
considered to be a way of showing your support
10:43
for Donald Trump. And there are always going to
10:45
be a lot of people who want to do
10:47
that. And if he becomes president, then
10:49
the value of the company and
10:52
the stock shoots up to
10:54
who knows where, because then suddenly this guy
10:56
is the most, you know, he's, he's the
10:58
president of the United States. You can show
11:00
support for him by buying the
11:02
stock. You can follow him and
11:05
his, the things
11:07
he says, you'll have to theoretically be
11:09
on truth social. So that would theoretically
11:11
drive a lot of traffic. Like
11:13
the platform all of a sudden becomes
11:15
incredibly relevant if he actually wins the
11:18
election. So like betting on the stock
11:20
almost makes sense. Now it's
11:22
terrifying to think of someone that powerful
11:24
owning a social network. We're like, we
11:26
already see what it's like when a
11:28
billionaire who is what unpredictable, capricious, racist,
11:31
narcissistic owns a social network. We are
11:33
living through that now. And it's, it's
11:35
not pretty. Like we saw what happened
11:37
on X with the Baltimore bridge collapse.
11:40
And you know, we saw the conspiracy
11:42
theories running rampant and all of this.
11:45
It's really scary, but like bottom
11:47
line is I think it's, it's more valuable
11:49
than just like some random coin someone
11:51
made up. It's also valuable because there are
11:53
a lot of people who assume that Trump,
11:56
if he is president will use the site
11:58
as kind of like a back door. mechanism
12:00
for like bribery or monuments in the
12:02
same way that his hotels became magnets
12:05
for foreign dignitaries who wanted to suck up
12:07
to him. This is much easier,
12:10
right? It's much easier to just buy
12:13
a bunch of stock on the open market and
12:15
then go along to Trump and say, hey, guess
12:17
what? I'm a major shareholder in your company than
12:19
it is to sort of quietly run
12:22
up a bill at the Trump Hotel and hope
12:24
that the news gets back to Trump
12:26
that you got him money that way. That's
12:30
so bananas. That's
12:32
so bananas that someone can be president
12:34
and you can buy shares in their
12:36
company. Like they made, didn't they make
12:38
Jimmy Carter like get rid of his
12:41
peanut farm? Well,
12:43
the thing is, these are norms. They're
12:45
not really laws technically. So
12:48
Jimmy Carter got rid of his peanut farm
12:50
because it was what he was supposed to
12:52
do. It's what we expect presidents to do.
12:54
Yeah, there is this thing called the emoluments
12:56
clause, but like we discovered in Trump's first
12:59
term that that's basically unenforceable and
13:01
it has no teeth. And so, yeah, there's
13:03
a very good chance that all of this would be illegal
13:05
and there will be all
13:07
manner of wailing and gnashing of teeth and
13:09
rending of garments by various ethicists. But
13:12
it's clearly going to happen. And
13:16
I think there is a certain amount
13:18
of wishful thinking going on among people
13:20
saying, oh, it's just paper
13:23
wealth and oh, he's locked up
13:25
for six months and oh, it's not real
13:27
liquidity. He's not really
13:29
as rich as everyone's making him out to be. And
13:31
I'm like, yeah, no, actually
13:33
like that, you know, for one thing,
13:36
the lockup is nothing, right?
13:39
If he wanted to go
13:41
to his board and ask them to
13:43
waive the lockup, it becomes like September,
13:45
October, and he's run out of
13:47
money in his election campaign and he wants
13:49
like an extra billion dollars to get elected.
13:51
And he says, the easiest way
13:53
I can raise this billion dollars is to just
13:55
sell a billion dollars of DJT stock. It's
13:58
going to help me get elected. And
14:00
Heyboard, which includes my sons and my most
14:02
MAGA supporters, do you think you could wave
14:05
the lockup so that I can do that?
14:07
They would have it wave before he could
14:09
even end the sentence. So what happens in
14:11
November if he loses the election? Then I
14:14
assume DJT goes, whatever the
14:16
slide whistle equivalent is. Yeah,
14:19
that's a good question. Yeah. I mean, I do
14:22
think, I do think that it's, it's a bet
14:24
on Trump and a bet on Trump's cultural
14:27
relevance. And clearly he's
14:29
going to be culturally relevant through
14:31
November. After November, if he
14:33
loses, I mean, obviously he's not going to concede.
14:35
He's still going to be out there being Trump.
14:38
But if he loses, I think
14:40
there will be more people like
14:42
kind of like, why am I
14:44
still holding onto this? And there
14:46
will be less incentive for, you
14:49
know, foreign wealth funds
14:51
to be supporting the
14:53
stock. Wait. So Truth
14:55
Social has 5 million monthly active
14:57
users. Pinterest has 250 million
15:00
monthly active users by comparison. I don't
15:02
even think of Pinterest when someone says,
15:04
name a big social media company. But
15:06
the point, like one of the things that I
15:08
wrote about this week was if you think about
15:10
Truth Social as
15:13
a meme investment and look
15:15
at its valuation in comparison
15:17
to, you know, the valuation
15:19
of Dogecoin or the valuation
15:21
of GameStop.
15:23
Is peak or the valuation of like Robinhood
15:25
at this peak or Upstar at this peak
15:27
when, you know, when they were like full
15:30
of VIM and meme
15:32
vigor. Like it's actually not that big.
15:34
There's a lot of meme coin. I
15:37
think Dogwif hat is worth more than
15:39
Trump Truth Social. So like what
15:41
I'm saying here is that objectively
15:43
the valuation is insane. It's completely
15:46
unsupportable on any kind of fundamentals.
15:48
That's how memes work. But
15:51
by the same token, yeah, it
15:53
can go up 100 percent. It can
15:55
go up. I want to talk about
15:57
the meme meme stock resurgence, but also about you.
16:00
definition of what a meme stock
16:02
is because you mentioned Doug with
16:04
hat several times, but also Robinhood. And
16:07
to me Robinhood is beyond
16:09
meme stock. Like this is a company with
16:11
value with a product that people use that
16:13
it makes money from. So how is it a meme
16:15
stock? So it's not anymore.
16:17
For like a hot minute after it
16:20
went public, it was. And
16:22
then it isn't anymore. A stock becomes
16:24
a meme stock when it stops trading
16:26
on any kind of hopes or valuations
16:29
for the company and starts trading just
16:31
as a speculative ticker symbol. Don't a
16:33
lot of stocks trade on speculation beyond
16:35
like things that are classically thought of
16:38
as meme stocks? I think there's probably
16:40
a gray area between just, you
16:42
know, garden variety speculation and GameStop.
16:44
You could probably make the case
16:47
of Tesla, you know, at certain
16:49
periods of Tesla's existence. Yeah.
16:51
But no, like the overwhelming majority of stocks, people
16:53
are like, I want to invest in this company
16:55
because I think the company is going to be
16:58
better in the future than it is in the
17:00
present. That's why they're investing in
17:02
DJT. They think they want to invest in
17:04
this guy because he's going to be president
17:06
at some point. To remember and
17:08
to be clear, like we do not
17:10
live in a world where you can
17:12
buy stock in individuals. They are not
17:14
investing in Donald's Jay Trump. They are
17:16
investing in DJT, which is not investing
17:18
in Elon Musk. They're investing in Tesla.
17:20
But it's like, come on, it's the same thing. Yeah,
17:23
you know, it's a bet. The valuation
17:25
is completely decoupled from the underlying
17:27
business. Yeah, the underlying business, you know,
17:29
probably if he becomes president will make
17:31
more than, you know, a million dollars
17:34
a quarter because people will start buying
17:37
ads in an attempt to bribe
17:39
Trump. But even then, it will be
17:41
very hard for the business to even
17:44
make a profit, let alone grow to
17:46
any kind of, you know, multi-billion
17:49
dollar valuation. This is off
17:52
the shelf, open source, mastodon
17:54
clone, and not very well
17:57
executed version of that. company,
18:00
Quay Company has maybe
18:03
some growth potential, but nothing to justify
18:05
this kind of valuation. And so when
18:07
I was talking about how like Robinhood
18:09
was a meme stock, I
18:11
was talking about when it was worth $60 billion, right? When
18:14
it was worth $60 billion, that wasn't
18:16
because people were like, well, if you
18:18
run a discounted cash flow analysis on
18:20
the possible future profits
18:22
and you plug in various assumptions and it comes
18:25
to $60 billion, no, they were just buying the
18:28
stonk because it was going up and they
18:30
were like, number go up. I mean, I
18:32
guess that's just part of, like
18:35
you were saying at the beginning, meme stocks didn't
18:37
go away after zero interest rates
18:39
after Zirp went away. Meme
18:42
stocks are just investing like
18:45
that as divorce from the fundamentals
18:47
based on the vibes and believing in
18:49
something or someone. That's just part of
18:51
it now. That's just part of the
18:53
reality now. So what's
18:55
the bottom line here? Truth
18:58
Social is a public company. People
19:00
can invest in the president
19:02
of the United States maybe at some
19:04
point and that's really messed up. Yeah,
19:06
it's not like there's a
19:08
business under there. If you've ever been on
19:10
Truth Social, it's horribly shitty.
19:14
And you said something about you said all the
19:16
users were in the US. They're actually not. They
19:18
have around 5 million
19:20
monthly active users and
19:22
that's a very small number. You
19:25
know, anything about website reach and social reach
19:27
in particular, but only a million of those
19:29
are in the US. I'm not
19:31
sure what the breakdown is. Where's the rest? They're
19:33
in like Kazakhstan? I guess.
19:36
That's weird. They're probably bots, honestly.
19:39
They're probably just foreign bots, but like, why can't
19:41
we make have like good made in America bots?
19:44
God damn it. The
19:46
mainstream media is doing everything within
19:48
their power to phone it, hatred
19:50
and energy. They are fake news
19:52
and truly bad people with a
19:55
sick agenda. Before
20:02
we go to the break, I'm going to tell you about
20:04
our Slate Plus today. This week we
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are talking about, because tomorrow is Easter, but
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also because I love to talk about it,
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cocoa prices and also how
20:17
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Business. So
22:03
now that we have all sold
22:06
out of a s&p 500 index funds
22:08
and gone all in on. Trump
22:10
media and technology group, let's move
22:12
on and do the former king
22:14
of the memes himself. Sam
22:17
bankman freed. He had
22:19
his own coins. He had coins which were worth
22:21
much more than six billion. He had like that.
22:24
There are a whole series of what was called
22:26
Sam coins, including a coin
22:28
called ftt. He was
22:30
just issue in almost unlimited quantities of science
22:33
on random value to multiply by the unlimited
22:35
quantities that he was issuing and call himself
22:37
a trillion there. Smart and
22:39
there were various other ones as well, including
22:41
Solana and others, which some of which have
22:43
bounced back. So I'm just doing quite well
22:45
right now. Anyway, it turns out that a
22:47
huge chunk of what he was doing was
22:49
incredibly illegal. There was a very
22:52
high profile court case in
22:54
lower Manhattan. He was convicted of
22:56
many crimes and this week he
22:59
was sentenced and the judge gave
23:01
him 25 years
23:03
and that is a lot of
23:05
years in one of the there
23:08
were two main reasons why he
23:10
got such a long sentence. The first was
23:12
just the sheer enormity of the crime and
23:14
I'm using that word advisedly. This is not
23:17
the wrong sense of the word enormity. It's
23:19
his true sense of the word enormity. Part
23:22
of the judges sentencing was not just that he
23:24
goes to jail for 25 years,
23:26
but also that he repay 11 billion
23:29
dollars in damages. So yeah, 11
23:32
billion dollars. That's a big crime.
23:34
That's a lot of damages and
23:36
that was one reason why he
23:38
got such a long sentence. The
23:42
other reason was that the judge
23:44
said that he had never seen
23:46
such a sort of shifty, such
23:49
shiftiness, such perjury, such lack
23:52
of remorse from a defendant.
23:54
You know, that Sam Beckman free had kept on
23:56
saying even in his, you know,
23:58
like the brief he gave. the judge
24:00
saying, please be gentle on me. You know, he
24:02
kept on saying, I kind of didn't do anything
24:04
wrong. It's like, yeah, actually you did, you know?
24:06
It's like there weren't any victims. It's like, actually
24:08
there were. He also rubbed the
24:11
judge the wrong way in a lot of
24:13
ways. He lied on the stand. He had
24:15
his bail revoked because he was accused of
24:17
trying to intimidate witnesses. He seemed even more
24:19
evasive than most people in this situation
24:22
would be. And so the judge said that he
24:24
also thought that SPF had such
24:26
an insane tolerance for crazy risk
24:29
that, you know, if he had a shorter
24:31
sentence, he's just going to turn around and do
24:34
something incredibly risky again and sort
24:37
of portrayed him as the prosecutors
24:39
referred to him as a pernicious,
24:41
as someone who had a pernicious
24:43
megalomania. Uh, and,
24:46
and so SPF's response to
24:48
that or his, his defense's response to
24:50
that was that he was sort of
24:52
unlikable on the stand because he's autistic,
24:55
which I'm not sure that's, I've never
24:57
read that anywhere. I think he has had
24:59
a diagnosis and he does remind me in
25:02
many ways of Martin Shkreli and
25:04
like Martin Shkreli, he made the
25:06
case at his criminal trial that
25:09
the sentence should be
25:11
light because it was
25:14
like a victimless crime and people didn't
25:16
lose money. Now in Martin
25:18
Shkreli's case, this was actually kind of sort
25:21
of true, but you know, the judge addresses
25:23
this. He's like, if you steal a million
25:25
dollars and take it to Vegas and win
25:27
lots of money and then hand a million
25:30
dollars back, like you still stolen
25:32
a million dollars and you still go to jail. But
25:34
at least in Martin Shkreli's case, you know, he had
25:36
a bunch of like risk taking
25:38
equity investors who did get paid back
25:40
and thought there were very few obvious
25:43
victims of his crime in the
25:46
case of FTX. John
25:48
Ray, who's now running FTX, says
25:51
that the total claims on
25:54
FTX are 18 quadrillion
25:56
dollars, 18 billion billion
25:59
dollars. No
26:01
one knows exactly who is
26:04
owed what, but just to give one example,
26:06
if you look at the customer
26:09
accounts for FTX when it failed, customers
26:12
thought that they had 100,000 bitcoins on
26:15
the exchange. In fact, the number of bitcoins that
26:18
was held by FTX on the exchange was 105.
26:22
Basically, SBS had sold 100,000
26:24
bitcoins that didn't belong to
26:27
him in an attempt to
26:29
keep the exchange afloat. At $60,000, those 100,000 bitcoins were
26:31
worth $6 billion right there. This
26:36
is just mind-boggling amount of
26:38
money that were being stolen. Just
26:41
to contextualize, the prosecutors asked for
26:43
40 to 50 years, and SBS
26:45
lawyers asked for six and a
26:48
half. Just to put
26:50
this in relative context, the maxi could
26:52
have gotten was 110. Bernie
26:54
Madoff got 150, and Elizabeth
26:56
Holmes got 11. Do we
26:59
think 25 seems like the right number?
27:01
He's getting more than twice
27:03
what Elizabeth Holmes got
27:05
for what she did at Theranos. I
27:09
agree with Felix that there are victims for SBS
27:11
crimes. He was basically stealing
27:13
customers' money from the beginning. There's
27:16
a good Bloomberg piece on this. FTX
27:21
from the beginning was just a
27:23
vehicle for it. That seems bad.
27:25
But Elizabeth Holmes, she messes people's
27:28
health and misled them about real
27:30
health concerns. That's a real
27:32
public health danger to a
27:34
different kind of level than
27:36
Sam Bankman Freed's crime. The
27:39
fact that he got more
27:41
than twice the time she got is sort
27:43
of, I don't know if that's right. I'm
27:48
not here to defend Sam Bankman Freed at
27:50
any level, but 25 years is a really
27:52
long time. You kind of
27:54
think that he'll get out early. He'll get
27:56
time off for good behavior. There's
28:00
an appeal, like maybe he's not going to be
28:02
in there for 25 years, but to
28:04
take away, like that's taking away someone's basically their
28:06
whole young life. Like he would get out and
28:08
be over 50. Like, I don't
28:11
know, that's a pretty serious thing to do
28:13
when someone didn't do any violent crime or
28:15
anything, you know, damaging to public health.
28:18
I mean, to be honest though, it's
28:20
a crazy sentence even for people who
28:23
do do violent crime. The
28:25
thing we know about violent criminals upon
28:28
being released from jail is that if
28:30
you get released from jail in your mid
28:32
30s or 40s, you
28:35
tend not to be violent anymore and you
28:37
tend not to be convicted of
28:39
further violent crimes. Like, violent crime is a
28:42
crime of the young overwhelmingly. Look,
28:45
we've had this conversation on slate
28:47
money many times. White
28:50
collar sentences
28:52
can feel extraordinarily
28:54
punitive and too
28:56
much, but by
28:59
the same token, virtually all
29:01
sentences in the American criminal justice system
29:03
are punitive and too much. And
29:06
you know, so like we have to use that context. If
29:09
you're a judge and
29:11
you're handing down very punitive sentences day
29:14
in and day out, because that's what
29:16
American judges do, then this
29:18
one is entirely in line, I
29:20
think, with what you might see in other
29:23
crimes. And the crime was truly
29:26
enormous. It was truly
29:28
enormous. And there are people now,
29:30
and Felix and I were fighting about this
29:32
yesterday, but there are people now who are
29:34
saying things like Sam Bankman Fried is actually
29:36
an investment genius and you know,
29:39
he didn't really lose anyone's money.
29:43
The reason the estate is going to be able
29:45
to recover so much money is, you know,
29:47
John Ray, the guy in charge of doing
29:49
that is good at his job. And also
29:52
because there's been this big rally in crypto,
29:54
like apparently there was a billion
29:56
dollars worth of Solana at the bankruptcy filing
29:58
time, but they didn't. cash it out right
30:00
away. So now it's worth like $10 billion.
30:02
And that has nothing to do with Sam
30:05
Beckman treat, I guess you could say it was
30:07
his vision, but I don't know. Right.
30:09
Or like, you know, he made a half a
30:12
billion dollar investment in an profit, which is now
30:14
worth, you know, an absolute fortune. It's like, great,
30:16
okay, so like, he gets lucky on some of
30:18
the investments. But again, getting lucky on an investment
30:20
does not mean you didn't commit the credit. John
30:23
Ray has also made it very clear, and has
30:25
been very vocal about the fact that the company
30:27
was run horribly and that, you know, some of
30:29
his decisions were just inexplicable. So
30:31
anyone calling as we have a genius at this point,
30:33
I think is just not paying attention. They're
30:36
not a genius either. You
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Money is sponsored this week
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betterhelp.com slash
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Slate Money. Let's
32:37
move on to a perennial favorite
32:39
subject on this here show, which
32:41
is credit cards. We
32:43
had a big plus action settlement this
32:45
week, which may not make a huge
32:48
amount of difference in the short term,
32:50
but could be pretty
32:52
enormous in the longer term,
32:54
which is basically that Visa
32:57
and MasterCard have
32:59
made an agreement with a bunch of
33:01
merchants. This has not been ratified and
33:03
a bunch of merchants say it doesn't
33:05
go far enough. We don't know whether
33:08
it's completely enforced, but
33:12
the broad idea is that for the first
33:14
time, merchants are going to be able to
33:16
say, if you come in here with a
33:18
really expensive credit card with high interchange fees,
33:20
it's going to cost us like 3% every
33:22
time we accept your payment.
33:26
We can charge you more for using that credit
33:28
card than if you come in with a credit
33:30
card with a really low interchange fee. In
33:35
theory, for the first time, which
33:37
flavor of Visa card you
33:39
have will affect the price
33:42
you pay. That
33:44
is fascinating because that
33:47
might finally give people
33:49
an incentive to
33:51
stop just using the highest
33:53
reward card they can find.
33:55
Because the highest reward card is also going to
33:57
be the one that might wind up. costing
34:01
more to use in the shop do you think that
34:04
people with very high-end credit cards are even
34:06
gonna notice that difference because what you're talking
34:08
about is two dollars and
34:10
sixty cents and fees on every hundred dollars
34:12
versus two dollars and ten cents and if
34:15
you're the person who pays up for you
34:17
know i'm very high and credit
34:19
card. Are you even gonna register
34:21
that especially if you're spending a lot on
34:23
things like hospitality and what not. So
34:27
two different questions that the things
34:30
that the merchants are being allowed to
34:32
do is charge more for the people
34:34
using the more expensive cards. They
34:37
as far as i know there's nothing
34:39
in this agreement saying that you can
34:41
only charge the difference in fees so
34:44
if they want to give everyone who
34:46
doesn't use a sapphire reserve for twenty
34:48
dollar discount but then just not give
34:50
that discount to the people paying with
34:52
the sapphire reserve then. They
34:55
can do that i don't think that the
34:58
amount charged the
35:00
amount extra you need to pay using that credit
35:02
card needs to be entirely commensurate with the cost.
35:06
What you just said so at first the
35:08
news of this broke my brain because i
35:10
was like what merchant is gonna be like
35:13
sapphire users have to pay five percent more
35:15
on transactions like no merchant is gonna do
35:17
that but what they'll do is say like.
35:20
If you have a card or that card or that
35:22
card you get five percent off just like they do
35:24
now with cash if you pay cash in a lot
35:26
of places you got a little discount two percent three
35:28
percent whatever. And some people take advantage
35:31
of that but most so that was
35:33
like my first step in my brain on
35:35
breaking like okay they're not gonna advertise surcharges
35:37
or extra fees are gonna average
35:39
eyes discounts for other card holders.
35:42
And then i started thinking about those
35:44
cash discounts and the truth is like. The
35:47
cash discounts are cool but most people don't
35:49
use them i think most people just still
35:51
they don't maybe don't even have cash anymore
35:53
like we spoke about a few weeks ago
35:55
they're using digital totally so you know they
35:57
don't they don't do it so i. kind
36:00
of feel like it's going
36:02
to wash out maybe because you know
36:04
there's this worry like, oh my God, if I'm
36:06
a Sapphire blue person and then everyone who just
36:08
has Visa regular is getting the discount. I'm not
36:11
getting the discount. I'm not going to use my
36:13
Sapphire blue and like maybe at the margins,
36:15
some people will, if they have a different
36:17
card, they'll switch to the different card. But
36:20
if they don't, they'll probably still use their Sapphire blue
36:22
or their whatever, because at the end of the day,
36:24
it's not like that big of a deal. Just like
36:26
the cash discount isn't that big of a deal to
36:28
people. They just want the convenience of their
36:30
card. Right. But the idea being that
36:32
if you switch to
36:34
the cheaper cards, that
36:36
not only gets you access to those discounts,
36:38
but it also saves you money in terms
36:41
of like an annual fee, right? Because the
36:43
more expensive cards generally carry an annual fee.
36:45
And so what you're doing at that, what
36:47
you're doing in this like possible
36:49
future world, I'm not saying the future world is
36:51
definitely going to happen, but it could happen. What
36:54
you're doing is you're paying, you
36:57
know, hundreds of dollars a year for the
36:59
privilege of using the one card that doesn't
37:01
give you a discount. And at
37:03
that point, you start thinking to yourself, well, hang
37:05
on a sec, if I just use a free
37:07
card, I would get all of these discounts, and
37:09
I would save money on credit card fees. Like
37:11
at that point, do I really care about my
37:14
lounge access? I think it'll depend on
37:16
how many merchants start doing the discounts, you know,
37:18
how many merchants start advertising, like if you have
37:20
this card or that card will give you, you
37:22
know, a break because if it's only in
37:24
a few places, then I don't think people
37:26
would change their card behavior. The
37:29
other thing that is allowed in this
37:32
settlement is for merchants to group together
37:34
and negotiate collectively to try and
37:36
reduce the interchange that they pay. And so
37:38
that's going to put like a downward pressure
37:40
on interchange. And I do think that the
37:42
big picture in America is that credit
37:45
card interchange fees have been
37:48
rising steadily and unconscionably, I
37:50
think there was 170
37:53
billion dollars last year or something crazy like
37:55
that. It's a stupid
37:57
system of kickbacks.
38:00
Most of that 170 billion dollars winds
38:02
up getting like kicked back to rich
38:04
Americans who pay for expensive cards in
38:06
the form of like free
38:08
flights and stuff. And it's just like
38:10
this is so dumb. You know, this
38:12
does not really help anyone. And I
38:15
guess, you know, except for
38:17
Delta Airlines, you know, who, which is
38:19
basically a credit card company with an airline
38:21
attached. People who carry balances on
38:24
credit cards are basically funding rich
38:26
people's cash back and rewards, you
38:28
know. In addition
38:30
to the things you just said, kind
38:33
of. They don't get to, they have to
38:35
use the credit cards, pay the inflated prices
38:38
for goods and services. Yes. Because of
38:40
the fees. That is true. And then
38:42
every month, you know, they don't pay
38:44
their bill in full, don't get those
38:46
fees back to them the way people who pay
38:48
in full every month get cash back. No,
38:50
it's true. And the big hidden fee
38:53
is just this thing that every single
38:55
shop in America effectively
38:59
charges 3% more than it really
39:01
needs to just because it needs to build
39:05
in the cost of the interchange. So
39:07
yeah, so like, so that's the question. Like do we
39:09
believe if interchange went away tomorrow, do we think that
39:11
all prices in America would drop by 3%? In
39:14
place. In place. But like I do think I
39:16
do think it is something that has pressured prices
39:19
upwards over time. And if it went away,
39:22
then there would be less upward pressure on
39:24
prices and some indeed some downward pressure on
39:26
prices. Like Americans would find it a little
39:28
bit easier to compete on price. That's
39:30
good. We could we could use a little downward pressure
39:33
on prices because we still do have some
39:35
inflation that needs to calm down
39:37
a bit. There you go. The FEDGE like this
39:39
settlement. It's an inflation friendly
39:41
development. Numbers
39:44
round. Let me start because I have one
39:46
this week. That
39:51
is the number of
39:53
Ferraris that were sold
39:56
in Taiwan last
39:58
year. That comes with 11,000. Seven percent
40:00
of the total global sales of Ferraris took
40:02
place in Taiwan. Is
40:04
that normal? So they normally buy more
40:07
than 10% of the Ferraris in Taiwan?
40:10
No, they don't. This is a new
40:12
development and it's all to do with
40:14
all of the TSMC gazillionaires. Wow,
40:17
that's great. Good for Taiwan. No? If
40:20
you want to hang out with a bunch of
40:22
Ferraris, just book a flight to Taipei. You can
40:24
use your airline miles. Who buys most of the
40:26
Ferraris? Not me. I can't
40:29
afford Ferraris. Is it American? I know
40:31
one Italian guy who has a collection
40:33
of Ferraris and likes racing them on
40:35
the tracks. How about you,
40:37
Emily? What's your number? My
40:39
number is 100 million, 100 million
40:42
Newtons. Oh,
40:44
I like this already. Is
40:48
this a spaceship number? No,
40:50
no, that's what's so shocking.
40:54
That's an estimate of the measure of force
40:56
of impact when the container ship
40:58
Dolly hit the Francis Scott Key
41:00
Bridge in Baltimore earlier this week.
41:02
It wasn't going very fast, but
41:04
the ship is massive, like one-third
41:06
to one-half the size of the Empire State Building.
41:09
So even though it was going slow, like under
41:11
10 miles an hour, I don't know
41:13
how to translate that into knots. It's
41:15
about 10 knots. It's not a mile
41:17
an hour, basically the same thing. The
41:19
same knots, Newtons. I know. So
41:22
even though it was going really slow, it's so
41:24
big and heavy, it collapsed the bridge. The New
41:26
York Times upshot, I
41:29
guess you call it a blog still, but they did this
41:31
analysis and they figured it was 100 million
41:33
Newtons, at least around
41:36
a force when it hit the bridge, which
41:38
is why it collapsed. And just to give
41:40
you a sense of comparison, if
41:42
a fully loaded 18-wheeler collided with a
41:44
bridge at 80 miles an hour,
41:46
that would only be 1 million Newtons. So
41:51
it's like 100 of those. 100
41:55
fully loaded 18-wheelers all going at 80 miles an
41:57
hour and bashing into a bridge at the same
41:59
time. The Saturn
42:01
V rocket thrust at launch was 35
42:03
million newtons. So,
42:05
I mean, this is just like you begin
42:07
to understand how a bridge could collapse
42:09
when this giant container ship hit it.
42:11
If you didn't already understand, just intuitively
42:13
when you saw the video.
42:17
Elizabeth, what's your number? My number is
42:19
five and that's pounds. And
42:21
that's the weight of the bag of
42:24
Kit Kats that my mother sent my
42:26
eight-year-old for Easter. And it's
42:28
enormous. And this is a little bit
42:30
of a lead-in to our plus segment because I
42:32
think now a portion of the global cocoa supply
42:34
is in my house. And
42:36
I'm just glad that she didn't try to send
42:38
him five pounds of Peeps or I would have
42:41
gotten a box the size of a coffee table.
42:45
Wait, just plain Kit Kats or are they Easter themed
42:47
Kit Kats? They're Easter themed Kit Kats. What is
42:49
the difference between an Easter themed Kit Kat and
42:51
a normal Kit Kat? Pastel wrappers. Although
42:55
apparently the Kit Kat is making a
42:57
sort of lemon bar Kit Kat, which
43:00
I assume is probably like white chocolate and lemon
43:02
or something like that. How
43:04
does your son feel about having all these
43:06
Kit Kats? Weirdly, my son is good
43:08
at – He will hoard things like that. So,
43:11
we will probably still have Kit Kats by
43:13
the time he's able to drive. I can take them
43:15
with him to college. So,
43:18
my question is – and
43:20
it's a very important question and I feel like
43:22
we need the State Money audience to write in
43:24
on this question of extremely great importance. Is
43:27
there anything better than
43:29
sliding your thumbnail down
43:31
the foil wrapping
43:33
of a Kit Kat and
43:36
then snapping it off? It
43:39
is very satisfying. I feel
43:41
like 90% of the success of Kit
43:43
Kat is all just that weird sort
43:45
of ASMR feeling of slicing it open
43:48
and breaking it off rather than anything
43:50
to do with the actual
43:52
candy itself. Our producer should
43:55
put in a sound effect of a
43:57
Kit Kat snapping so everyone can enjoy
43:59
it. First
44:01
of all, lie down, then
44:04
ease out and think of irresistible
44:06
crisp light wafers covered in delicious
44:08
milk chocolate. Now, snap
44:11
out of it. On
44:13
which delicious note we will wrap up
44:16
this podcast. At least what I did there. We
44:19
will convey our deepest thanks to
44:21
Jared Downing and Shane Arath for
44:24
producing. We will
44:26
encourage you to write in
44:28
on slatemoneyatslate.com with talks of
44:31
your favorite unwrapping sounds and
44:33
feels. And we
44:35
will tell you that on Tuesday
44:37
we are going to be back
44:39
with a Money Talks episode.
44:43
Emily, who are you talking to? I feel
44:45
like I'm talking to Cal Newport. He is
44:47
a New Yorker contributor and so many
44:49
other things and the author of a
44:51
new book called Slow Productivity and
44:54
our conversation was really good if you care
44:56
about workplace stuff like I do, you're going to
44:58
want to listen. So that's all coming
45:00
up on Tuesday but with any luck
45:02
you are a Sleep Plus subscriber so
45:04
you're just about to hear us talk
45:07
about Coco. Ten thousand
45:09
dollars a ton. Let me kick-tats with
45:13
that. Without the ones like you who work
45:15
tirelessly to keep things running, everything would suddenly
45:17
stop. Hospitals, factories, schools
45:19
and power plants. They all depend
45:21
on you. No matter the weather,
45:23
emergency or time of day, you're
45:25
the ones who get it done.
45:28
At Grainger, we're here for you
45:30
with professional-grade industrial supplies. Count
45:32
on real-time product availability and fast
45:34
delivery. Call, click grainger.com or just
45:36
stop by Grainger for
45:38
the ones who get it done.
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