Episode Transcript
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What's on the horizon for financial markets?
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leading global asset manager. Bring
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in show music, please. Hi,
0:36
I'm CNBC producer Katie Kramer,
0:38
today on SquawkPod. Rebuilding
0:41
Baltimore's port after the Francis
0:43
Scott Key Bridge collapse. Maryland's
0:45
Governor Wes Moore has one
0:47
message to lawmakers voting on
0:49
aid. Maryland doesn't need favors.
0:52
What Maryland needs right now is for
0:54
us to have a coordinated and a
0:56
bipartisan response to something that is going
0:58
to have a cataclysmic impact on the
1:00
American economy. And
1:02
veteran venture capitalist Alan Patrokoff is
1:04
getting in on the next tech
1:06
revolution, AI. I
1:08
think this is the most significant inflection point.
1:11
At 89, he loves to work. I'm
1:14
going to live 214, remember. I know. And
1:16
he's investing in the longevity economy
1:18
for everyone else. I think
1:20
it's 55 million people over the age of
1:22
65 are still working, and
1:24
they're going to beat 80 million people in the
1:27
next 20 years that it can be over age
1:29
65. So the workforce has to
1:31
be different. Plus, strong
1:33
jobs growth in March and fending
1:35
off activist bugs in the boardroom
1:37
in any industry. There's
1:40
such a thing as corporate gadflies taking things a
1:42
bit too far. By the way, there's some people who would
1:44
think that Nelson Peltz is a gadfly. It's
1:47
Friday, April 5th, 2024.
1:49
SquawkPod begins right now. Stand
1:52
back, goodbye in three, two, one.
1:54
Kiela, please. Good
1:57
morning, everybody. Welcome to SquawkBox right
1:59
now. here on CNBC, we are live
2:01
from the Nasdaq Market Sight and Times
2:04
Square. I'm Becky Quick along with Andrew
2:06
Ross Sorkin. Joe is out today. First
2:12
up today on the podcast FedSpeak vs.
2:14
Jobs Day. This week an array of
2:16
Fed officials have said in public commentary
2:18
that maybe, just maybe, 2024 would not
2:20
see a change in interest
2:24
rate policy after all. We might not see
2:26
a cut in interest rates because
2:28
the I word, inflation, is
2:31
still overstaying its welcome. Last week the
2:33
Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the
2:35
data point policymakers returned to over
2:38
and over again, the Personal Consumption
2:40
Expenditures Price Index, PCE, showed an
2:42
annualized rate of 2.5% for
2:45
February. Other inflation gauges are showing
2:48
more than 3%. Yep,
2:50
that's higher than the 2%
2:52
number, the goal number, that the Fed
2:55
wants. Chairman Jay Powell explained how tricky
2:57
this road is to travel. On inflation,
2:59
it is too soon to say whether
3:01
the recent readings represent more than just
3:03
a bunk. We do not expect that
3:05
it will be appropriate to lower our
3:07
policy rate until we have greater confidence
3:09
that inflation is moving sustainably down toward
3:17
2%. On our SquawkBoxTV broadcast
3:19
Wednesday, Atlanta Fed President Rafael
3:21
Bostic said that he expects maybe one
3:23
rate cut this year, but not for
3:25
a while. If the economy evolves as I
3:27
expect, and that's going to be seeing
3:30
continued robustness in GDP,
3:34
in employment, and a
3:36
slow decline of inflation through the course of the year,
3:38
I think it will be appropriate for
3:40
us to do start moving down
3:43
at the end of this year, the fourth quarter. Thursday,
3:45
Minneapolis Fed President Neil Koshkari was the
3:48
latest to say rate cuts may not
3:50
be needed at all if progress on
3:52
inflation stalls. Here are his comments at
3:55
a virtual event. In March,
3:57
I had jotted down two rate cuts this
3:59
year. If inflation continues
4:01
to fall back towards our 2%
4:03
target. But if we
4:05
continue to see inflation moving sideways, then that
4:07
would make me question whether we needed to
4:09
do those rate cuts at all. There's
4:12
a lot of momentum in the economy right now. If
4:15
you look at a chart of stock market performance
4:17
for Thursday during the day, you can actually
4:19
see the moment when the markets took
4:21
a turn after Kashkari made that comment.
4:24
That leaves us now on track for
4:26
the market's worst week in a year
4:28
and investors closely watching these comments in
4:30
light of today's big number, the US
4:32
jobs data. Now the American economy created
4:34
303,000 jobs in the month of March. Better
4:39
than expected. But are we on strong
4:41
enough footing? We got into all of
4:43
that today with our Becky Quick, CNBC's
4:45
Steve Leisman and CNBC's Rick
4:47
Santelli. You'll hear them
4:50
all now. Labor force participation.
4:52
Wow. That
4:56
is a nice jump. We
4:58
heard 62.5 last month and 62.6 was expected. So
5:03
these numbers are definitely stronger than expected. Rick, stay
5:05
right there. Let's bring in the rest of
5:08
our jobs panel in this for some instant
5:10
reactions. Steve, let's start with you. Dig through
5:12
the numbers. Tell us where those jobs actually
5:14
were occurring. 303,000 versus the 200,000. That
5:19
was the estimate. Okay. So I was just able
5:21
to calculate on the fly. I did not double check my
5:23
numbers, but... Let's get
5:25
a calculator here. 98%
5:27
of the jobs coming from three sectors, if I'm not
5:29
mistaken here. You can guess what they
5:32
are, Becky, I bet. Doo, doo, doo,
5:34
doo, doo, doo, doo, doo. Electrons,
5:36
maybe, leisure. Leisure hospitality, that's 49. Government?
5:41
Government's 71. That's two for two. I'm going
5:43
to call you a winner because you got two out
5:45
of three. Yeah, tell me what's the third. Which ain't
5:47
bad according to some song. No,
5:49
I'm not going to get the third. Oh, education
5:51
and health services. Those have been the three.
5:53
68%, 203,000, I think, or 200 something thousand came from those three
5:55
sectors. I'm
5:59
not seeing a lot of strange... outside of those three
6:01
sectors here. This is a test right now
6:03
folks you are being tested in the market
6:05
of this theory that the headline
6:07
number doesn't matter as much as the inflationary
6:09
indicators inside. Now the payroll was a little
6:11
bit hot the reason why the year over
6:13
year comes down is you have some bigger
6:16
numbers dropping out of the calculation for probably
6:18
there were 0.4, 0.5s in the rearview
6:21
mirror those are dropping out and you place it with
6:23
a 0.35 I think if I'm
6:25
not mistaken was a little on the high side
6:28
but still your year over year comes down but
6:30
the big story of the day may
6:33
be the participation rate. Technically
6:36
theoretically as long as
6:38
the labor force is increasing in
6:40
size and you have bodies
6:42
to fill jobs without creating stress and
6:44
needing to bid up wages quite so
6:46
much that is not an inflationary development
6:49
it's okay to put as many people
6:51
to work as want to come to
6:53
work at a wage that is not
6:55
greater than the sum of as we
6:57
talked about the last hour inflation for
6:59
productivity I'll leave it there because there
7:01
may be people on the well
7:04
you disagree with just to dig into that a
7:06
little bit the the idea that we are bringing
7:08
more people back into the workforce this is what
7:10
we've been waiting for since the COVID pandemic broke
7:12
out the idea are you going to get these
7:14
bodies back into the workforce did they run out
7:16
of savings did they get forced to be brought
7:18
back are they looking at better job opportunities than
7:20
they had seen before I think all the above you
7:22
can't know it like you can you can have your glass half
7:24
empty and say people are only going
7:26
to work because they are they need
7:28
the jobs well when did jobs become
7:31
a welfare program it's not big jobs
7:33
are being offered and paid for because
7:35
employers have worked for people but if
7:37
you have run down your savings if you
7:39
had excess savings as I can as the American
7:41
public did during well then from a lot of
7:43
government handouts that came out from other places that
7:46
they were saving from maybe money they weren't spending
7:48
or traveling if what if
7:50
you can work from home and do two jobs
7:52
from home now that you can only do one before
7:54
because you were spending time commuting or what if you
7:56
were on the sidelines What is the
7:59
one? Lighting writ large. Why didn't you were
8:01
on the sidelines as a retiree and somebody said
8:03
you know what I think either your egg any
8:05
bucks to come back as you can't lie back
8:07
in the winter As and then there's the other
8:09
side of the six. oh it's net There's no
8:11
way to know is it one or the other?
8:13
One thing I could look at his web what
8:16
the participation rate is of seniors are older folks
8:18
that are they coming back into force but more
8:20
than just waiting to get back to the pandemic
8:22
of of we have exceeded the pandemic level. We're
8:24
gonna get more people back and was a lot
8:26
of old on a minute folks got too excited
8:28
the we had no. Business. Oh, really,
8:31
I do. I do that. Worth Sixty two
8:33
point eight, three ratings last year, and sixty
8:35
two point eight we have it in November.
8:37
three evidence of Tambor we added that August
8:40
last year. So even though it's important and
8:42
it's jumped from sixty two point five, it's
8:44
not like we haven't been there done that.
8:46
Rather average. Still, beloved. You're right, rec regard
8:49
I could see that what we're still about
8:51
a half a point below where we were.
8:53
Although. I gotta look
8:55
up a primate number which I tried have
8:57
a look at him a second but that
8:59
I say had already exceeded his group. We
9:01
have this issue of seniors actually having dropped
9:04
out of the workforce and is a weird
9:06
situation of them not coming back and as
9:08
part of the reason. Ah,
9:11
with says a But the other story
9:13
that helped spark yesterday's out market sell
9:15
off oil prices extending days a Brit
9:17
topping ninety one dollars a barrel with
9:20
the debris to I have real or
9:22
and eighty Seven Dollars is supported in
9:24
part by rising geopolitical tensions. Unfortunately
9:27
in the Middle East and Crude is on
9:29
track to gain more than from work for
9:31
Sansa after the said. Just as with this,
9:33
after. around bows or revenge
9:36
against israel for it's attack on the
9:38
embassy compound in syria still too high
9:40
ranking military commanders israel has not claimed
9:42
responsibility for the attack but reports say
9:44
the cia has warned that around could
9:47
retaliate against israel within the next forty
9:49
eight hours and it feels to me
9:51
the oil markets have moved on this
9:53
news but the equity markets him largely
9:56
not really moved in a meaningful way
9:58
if you believe and i
10:00
hope we're not on the brink of something you
10:02
know horrific and terrible but we seem to be
10:04
getting closer and closer to something what i will say
10:07
is if you were looking at the european
10:09
markets this morning there was some weakness in
10:11
those european markets and a lot of that
10:13
was from higher or higher oil prices it's
10:15
left on that and some of the other
10:18
done that big airlines that were suffering from
10:20
this as you look at higher prices across
10:22
the board with issues but yeah the question
10:24
of what happens uh... mean that if we're
10:26
in a if we're in a really bad place
10:28
you think it would be toppling lots of things
10:32
this week's other culmination of a month-long
10:34
proxy battle putting disney against trans nelson
10:37
pelt the two biggest players in that
10:39
fight spoke out on cnbc yesterday first
10:41
appears what disney c o bob eiger
10:44
said about the company's focus after winning
10:46
that proxy battle clearly
10:49
shareholders care about that you
10:52
know what the company's been through these last few
10:54
years yeah uh... as you'd expect they care about
10:57
what ends up being our top priorities
10:59
strategically they want to know about the
11:01
future of the s-p-n they want
11:03
to know about streaming and how that could be
11:05
profitable they care about the quality of our films
11:07
in a very interested in growing our parks and
11:10
resorts business where we said we're going to spend
11:12
sixty billion dollars over the next ten years shortly
11:15
after that interview nelson peltz joins squawk
11:17
on the street to respond i
11:20
hope bob can keep his promises
11:23
i hope they can do all the things
11:25
they assure us they were going
11:27
to do and will only watch
11:30
and wait if they do it they won't
11:32
hear from me again if they don't jim
11:34
you may be seeing me on your show
11:36
next year doing the same thing again shares
11:39
of disney fell by one point six percent
11:42
in yesterday's session now down four percent for
11:44
the week and and that's what you said
11:46
yesterday uh... you know
11:48
uh... away quite he may not go it quietly
11:50
and it's going to continue to be even without
11:52
him on the board is going to be continued
11:54
pressure beginning to be a pressure on the business
11:56
but just because of the challenges macro challenges and
11:58
because i think now
12:00
that it could go into some of the weathering
12:02
hold onto the stock or not uh... i think
12:04
the bigger person to pay attention to you're not
12:07
now is actually i promoter that i continue to
12:09
hold this told the shares if you get rid
12:11
of the shares uh... there's obviously had
12:13
a big chunk of the idea is wedged as
12:15
well to try and i mean he
12:17
is the nelson pelts proxy
12:20
vote if you will and you know that i don't think i
12:22
think of the front right from other but
12:24
almost if you really understand the uh...
12:27
the what was happening there so if
12:29
i come out of continues to own his shares and
12:31
then decide that he is like what's happening maybe a child
12:34
so great having spent time so what we have said that
12:37
clearly wasn't a winning strategy but again that's the
12:39
word is is going to be your plan why
12:41
when you say where did he is i
12:43
mean it's probably where the stock is right
12:46
i mean the stock has been up for
12:48
a while thirty percent year-to-date which is probably
12:50
why i'd hear was able to maintain control
12:52
of what happened delton went
12:54
away pelts went away first time
12:56
first time when i hear came back in
12:58
because the stop popped immediately on that news and
13:01
and delton came on with jim and say that
13:03
uh... well all good we're out of
13:05
here so i i think watch the stock pretty closely
13:07
and that will tell you what happens that uh...
13:10
let's talk about this though because a
13:12
small activist hedge fund that seeking to
13:14
force black rock to borrow our effect
13:16
from serving as both chairman and ceo
13:19
bluebell capital partners launching a shareholder proposal
13:21
split the roles and seeking an overhaul
13:23
of the board bluebell has been targeting
13:25
black rock now for about three years
13:27
is isn't really the first time they've
13:29
uh... gone through down this rodeo uh...
13:32
accusing it of taking contradictory inconsistent
13:34
approaches the yes g investing response
13:36
black rocks board saying the proposal
13:39
isn't in the shareholders best interest in
13:41
that having think in both roles is
13:43
the most appropriate and effective leadership structure
13:45
for the board and the company will
13:47
return report in the bluebell stake likely
13:49
less than point oh one percent of
13:52
black rocks one hundred twenty billion dollar market
13:54
cap and i still think that there needs
13:57
to be some kind of threshold rule that
13:59
the s SEC puts in place. I know we want
14:01
to make things, I
14:03
mean, on one side, you want to
14:05
make it more democratic, and I understand that
14:07
argument, and on the other side, you know,
14:09
it's sort of hard to have
14:12
a vote if you're at
14:14
that level. And then the distraction, the competition.
14:16
They own how much? 0.01
14:18
percent, by the way, it's 120... Larry Pink
14:20
owns, he's the largest individual shareholder. Right.
14:24
But it's a 120 billion dollar company. So look, you're not going
14:26
to find individual shareholders that are
14:28
going to own huge amounts of the company,
14:30
so maybe you do want them to have
14:32
a say, but again, this is a big
14:34
governance question, and we've also seen them, the governance question
14:36
of having a chairman and a CEO in the same
14:39
role, which I believe actually
14:41
a majority now. A company, though.
14:43
I don't know if the Fortune 100, if you're
14:45
in the Fortune 100, the
14:47
majority is both, but actually
14:50
if you're outside of that, it's not.
14:52
It's interesting. And then of course... But again,
14:54
he's the largest shareholder in the company. He probably owns
14:56
more shares than they do. Oh, of course. I
14:59
believe in democracy, but you also, there's such
15:01
a thing as corporate gadflies taking things a
15:03
bit too far and taking the focus
15:05
off what happens in the company. By
15:08
the way, there's some people who would think that Nelson
15:10
Telsa's a gadfly. Right? I
15:12
mean, that's the question.
15:15
Next on SquawkPod, we're headed to
15:17
Maryland where efforts to clear the
15:19
collapsed Francis Scott Key Bridge in
15:21
Baltimore and restore its shipping port
15:23
are underway. Maryland Governor Wes
15:25
Moore joins us. The Port of Baltimore
15:27
is responsible for $70 billion
15:29
of economic activity, employs tens
15:32
of thousands of people, 900
15:34
businesses rely on the Port of
15:36
Baltimore. And the governor's
15:39
message to members of Congress reluctant
15:41
to pass federal aid. This
15:43
is bigger than Baltimore. This is bigger than
15:45
the state of Maryland. Hello,
15:49
I'm Laura Castleton, U.S. head of
15:51
portfolio construction and strategy at Janis
15:53
Henderson Investors. Is a
15:55
brighter future possible? At Janis Henderson,
15:57
we think it is. years,
16:00
we've worked to help clients achieve superior
16:02
financial outcomes and fulfill our
16:04
purpose of investing in a brighter future
16:07
together. We know that this
16:09
means our thinking and our investments are helping
16:11
to shape millions of brighter futures for the
16:13
next 90 years and beyond. To
16:16
learn more, go to janicehenderson.com. Cars
16:20
say a lot about who we are. It
16:22
represents freedom for a lot of people. This
16:24
season on Drive, I'm going to talk
16:26
to all sorts of different people. I
16:28
looked at car names. Yes. And I
16:31
found all the car names that
16:33
have science or astronomically. It's crazy.
16:35
It's huge. Yes, I happen to
16:37
be CEO of Ford Motor Company.
16:39
For me, it's all about cars,
16:41
movement, and our mutual passion for
16:44
things to get us around. This
16:46
is Drive and I'm Jim Farley. This
16:53
is SquawkPod. Up in
16:55
Andrew Q. Welcome back to SquawkBox right here
16:57
on CNBC. We're live at the Nasdaq Market
16:59
Side and Times Square on this Friday morning.
17:01
I'm Andrew Awesorkin along with Becky Quick. Joe
17:03
is off today. President Biden preparing to visit
17:06
the site of the collapse of Francis Scott
17:08
Key Bridge in Baltimore today. Efforts
17:10
to rebuild are starting to get political. Emily
17:12
Wilkins joins us right now with
17:14
more on that. Well, good morning,
17:16
Andrew. Yeah, President Biden, he promised federal
17:19
funds to rebuild the Francis Scott Key
17:21
Bridge, but he is already facing pushback
17:23
from Congress. A group of three to
17:26
four dozen hardline conservatives, the House Freedom
17:28
Caucus, are out this morning with a
17:30
new statement saying that any funding for
17:32
the bridge needs to meet several conditions.
17:35
They include making sure that any spending
17:37
on the bridge is offset to keep
17:39
government spending in check. They also want
17:41
to end the current limits on liquid
17:44
natural gas exports and ease federal regulations
17:46
around the bridge's reconstruction to speed
17:48
up that rebuild. But in
17:50
meanwhile, it's expected to ask for the federal
17:52
government to cover 100 percent of the cost
17:54
for repairing the bridge. And that's similar to
17:56
what happened back in 2007 when a bridge
17:58
is broken. Minnesota collapsed. Of course,
18:01
then Congress approved $250 million to repair the
18:03
bridge in
18:05
five days. We're expecting it to take
18:07
longer this time, both because of the
18:09
politics around this and its lawmakers are
18:11
grappling with whether to approve billions in
18:13
funding for Ukraine and Israel. And of
18:16
course, guys, we are still waiting for
18:18
Biden to actually request a price tag
18:20
on exactly how much funding is going
18:22
to be needed to rebuild that bridge.
18:24
Becky. Emily, thank you very much. Right
18:26
now we want to bring in a
18:28
special guest to talk about the bridge collapse
18:30
and the efforts to rebuild. Maryland
18:33
Governor Wes Moore. Governor
18:35
Moore, first of our condolences, this has
18:37
been a national calamity. We've watched from
18:39
afar. Can you bring us up to
18:41
speed on what the situation is there?
18:44
Thank you so much. And the
18:46
state is still very much mourning because you're right.
18:48
We lost
18:51
six individuals during that time,
18:53
six Marylanders. And we have told
18:55
the families and we will continue to tell them that
18:57
we will do anything that we can do to bring
18:59
them not just a sense of closure, but
19:01
a sense of comfort. But we also know
19:03
that the calamity was not just
19:06
human. It was also economic. You
19:08
know, this is one of the most important ports
19:10
in the entire country, one of the most important
19:13
maritime vehicles that
19:15
America has. The Port of Baltimore
19:17
is responsible for $70 billion of
19:20
economic activity, employs tens of
19:22
thousands of people, 900 businesses
19:25
rely on the Port of Baltimore.
19:27
And so when you're seeing now
19:29
an unprecedented maritime disaster where you
19:31
have a ship that is the
19:33
size of the Eiffel Tower and
19:36
the weight of the Washington Monument that
19:38
is now sitting in the middle of the Patapsco
19:40
River with a bridge on top of
19:43
it and about 27,000 tons of debris in
19:45
the water,
19:47
this is not just dangerous. It's
19:50
not just a complicated operation, but it's one
19:52
that we know doesn't just have an impact
19:54
on Maryland, but has an impact on the
19:56
larger American economy as well. factors
20:00
that you mentioned, the ship with the bridge on
20:02
top of it in the water, which by the
20:04
way deals with tidal
20:07
waters. So changing tides constantly.
20:10
How long do you anticipate that this is
20:12
going to take just to clean up the
20:15
disaster and then move beyond that to try and
20:17
rebuild the bridge? You're
20:19
absolutely right. When you add on complications of
20:22
not just debris and wreckage that is in
20:24
the water, I mean, our divers cannot see
20:26
any further than a foot or two in
20:28
front of them because of the amount of
20:31
debris in the water. But you also have
20:33
the issue of weather and wind, which also
20:35
complicates it. Now we have been working, this
20:37
has been an operation and a unified command
20:39
that's been working literally 24 seven, working
20:42
with the US Coast Guard, the
20:44
Army Corps of Engineers, the Navy
20:46
Suptsolve and also local leaders and
20:48
local elected officials, the Maryland
20:50
State Police. And we just received word
20:52
from the Army Corps of Engineers that
20:55
they believe that within a month we can open up
20:57
at least a channel of a 35 foot depth, which
21:01
is a significant milestone because that's what's necessary
21:04
for things like new cars and heavy trucks,
21:06
where the Port of Baltimore is the largest
21:08
port for new cars and heavy trucks in
21:11
this country. And then hopefully within
21:13
a month after that, we'll be able to open up
21:15
to the full 50 foot depth. But we know that
21:17
is going to be an all hands on deck 24
21:19
seven operation for us to be able to hit those type
21:22
of timelines. But it's one that we're prepared to take on.
21:24
The ship's owner and management company went
21:26
to court to try and limit their
21:29
liability to something like $43 million.
21:31
That comes as a surprise or concern.
21:34
It's not a surprise. We were expecting it. We're prepared
21:37
for it. I know there needs
21:39
to be a full and a thorough investigation, but
21:41
I also know this. If people will need to
21:43
be held to account for what happened on that
21:45
day, they need to be held to account and
21:47
they need to be responsible for it. So we
21:50
know it's an active investigation. We would like to
21:52
see a speedy, a speedy process with that investigation.
21:55
And while we're not surprised on the, on the
21:57
ask for the limited liability, I know the thing
21:59
that we urge is there needs to be accountability
22:01
for what happened that night. I'm
22:04
sure you just heard the report from
22:06
Emily Wilkinson about that group of three
22:08
to four dozen hardline conservatives who want
22:10
any federal funds to go through several
22:12
hoops before they will approve it. You
22:14
have any thoughts on that? The
22:17
thing I would just remind people is this is
22:19
bigger than Baltimore. This is
22:21
bigger than the state of Maryland. The
22:23
Port of Baltimore is one of the
22:26
largest and most efficient ports that
22:28
we have in this country, a real leader in
22:30
the entire maritime industry. When
22:33
we're talking about how does this impact Maryland, this
22:35
doesn't just impact Marylanders. This
22:38
is impacting the farmer in Kentucky because
22:40
the largest port in this country for
22:42
agricultural equipment is the Port of Baltimore.
22:46
This impacts the auto worker
22:48
in Ohio because the largest
22:51
port in this country for new cars,
22:53
heavy trucks, is the Port of Baltimore.
22:55
This impacts the restaurant owner in Tennessee
22:57
because the largest port in this country
22:59
for spices and sugars is the Port
23:02
of Baltimore. If you're working in coal,
23:04
you rely on the Port of Baltimore.
23:06
The Port of Baltimore is not a
23:08
Maryland issue. People need to rally around
23:10
support for this industry and support for
23:12
this port, not because you're doing Maryland
23:15
a favor. Maryland doesn't need favors.
23:17
What Maryland needs right now is for us to
23:20
have a coordinated and a bipartisan response
23:22
to something that is going to have
23:24
a cataclysmic impact on the American economy.
23:27
Have you spoken with congressional leaders in
23:29
Washington? We have. We've
23:31
spoken with congressional leaders and frankly, congressional
23:34
leaders and state leaders, chief
23:36
executives and governors from both sides of
23:38
the aisle. I'm encouraged
23:40
because I think the things that we continue
23:43
to hear is that there has to be
23:45
a bipartisan approach to be able to deal
23:47
with not just the human tragedy, but also
23:49
the economic tragedy. I can tell you, if
23:51
you look at the state of Maryland and
23:54
how we are moving in a unified fashion
23:56
with both local, state and federal leaders, our
23:58
federal delegation, both Democrats and
24:00
Republicans in our federal delegation are all united
24:02
on this. So I think Maryland is continuing
24:04
to lead in that and I think helping
24:06
to show an example for the rest of
24:09
the country that in times like this, it's
24:11
important to put the politics aside and it's
24:13
important to focus on what is going to
24:15
be best for the people, for the businesses
24:17
and for the industries that continue to drive
24:19
our country. Wes, I guess this
24:21
really lands in the House. Have you spoken
24:23
with the House Speaker Johnson on this? I
24:26
personally have not spoken with Speaker Johnson yet. I
24:28
know our congressional delegation has, in
24:31
fact I was just speaking yesterday with
24:33
Congressman Kwesi Infume, who actually represents the
24:35
district that was impacted by this and
24:37
I know he has said he's had
24:40
a few very good conversations with the
24:42
Speaker. So we're hopeful. We're hopeful that
24:44
we'll be able to come with a
24:46
coordinated response and one that doesn't just
24:48
meet the moment, but one that honors
24:50
the foundation of this country and what
24:52
it is that we're trying to accomplish
24:54
together. Wes Moore, the Governor
24:56
of Maryland, Governor, thank you for your
24:59
time. Again, we send our condolences and
25:02
speedy wishes for everything you all are dealing
25:04
with there right now. God bless you. Thank
25:06
you. The
25:08
issues will be next. Coming
25:11
up on SquawkPod, long time tech
25:13
investor Alan Patrokoff on the AI
25:15
revolution. I've been through every one
25:17
of them. The PC revolution, the cell phone
25:19
revolution, the internet revolution. Nothing
25:21
is comfortable with it. He's
25:24
89 and nowhere near retired. The
25:26
veteran venture capitalist is now focused
25:28
on investing in the longevity economy
25:30
and he says it's time to
25:32
rethink aging. They fought feminism,
25:34
they fought racism. Now we
25:36
have to fight ageism because there could be
25:38
a lot more people who are living longer
25:40
and who are going to be active and
25:42
we've got to think about older people in
25:45
a more constructive manner. Cars
25:48
say a lot about who we are. It
25:50
represents freedom for a lot of people. This
25:52
season on Drive, I'm going to talk to
25:54
all sorts of different people. I looked at
25:57
car names and I found
25:59
all the cars. names that have science
26:01
or astronomically acquired. It's crazy.
26:03
It's huge. Yes, I
26:06
happen to be CEO of Ford Motor
26:08
Company. For me, it's all about cars,
26:10
movement, and our mutual passion for things
26:12
that get us around. This
26:14
is Drive and I'm Jim Farley. This
26:21
is Squawk Pod, today with Becky
26:23
Quick and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Here's
26:26
Andrew. I want to talk
26:28
tech and AI. I want to welcome Aghul and
26:30
Patrick Roth, co-founder and chairman of Primetime Partners to
26:32
the table. Good morning to you, one of the
26:34
great veteran venture capitalists in the
26:37
world. We're all trying to figure out what's
26:39
make of AI and where the investment opportunities
26:41
really are or maybe really aren't. What do
26:44
you think? Well, you know, I've been through these
26:46
cycles so many times and I'm in the camp
26:48
that says, you know, be cautious.
26:51
I mean, I've seen these run ups.
26:53
Everybody gets excited. Business
26:56
get driven up, particularly the private market. There's
26:59
no basis for actually determining what
27:02
something is worth. So
27:05
a lot of people are going to make money, but there's going to be a lot
27:07
of... But we were talking to Steve
27:09
Cohen about this earlier this week, this idea of
27:11
sort of, are we in an AI bubble? He doesn't
27:13
think so. He doesn't think so. Yeah. But
27:17
then I said to him, you know, are we in 1996? I'm
27:21
curious, if you were to try to put
27:23
a date on where this is comparable to
27:25
some time in history when there's been a
27:27
major inflection point in technology, is this that?
27:30
I think this is the most significant inflection
27:32
point. And you know, Andrew, I've
27:34
been through every one of them. The PC
27:36
revolution, the cell phone revolution, the internet revolution,
27:39
nothing is comparable to this because it affects
27:42
every aspect of business. I mean, even
27:44
our area, which, you
27:46
know, I'm selfish in telling you,
27:48
you know, I focus on now
27:51
investing in anything, product services, technologies,
27:53
experiences for older people. And
27:56
when AI became so hot last year,
27:58
particularly, I said, you know, where's it
28:00
going to affect our audience because you know
28:02
I couldn't see it right
28:05
away but already I can
28:07
see it I mean I can tell you
28:09
four or five companies that were in that
28:12
I wouldn't have thought had you know
28:14
this had any implications. I'll give
28:16
you one we have a company
28:18
called SaveFried which does what they
28:20
call an NEMT, non-emergency transportation. Okay.
28:23
They are picking up people it
28:25
sounds like Uber or
28:27
Lyft which by the way
28:29
always tells you one minute and they're seven minutes
28:31
they can't afford it so they have to be
28:33
exactly one time to live you to a doctor
28:36
or a hospital one time not ambivalent
28:38
they're not ambibles and pick you up exactly what
28:40
right and they have a 99%
28:42
reliability. How do they do it? With
28:45
very sophisticated internal technology.
28:48
Let me ask you this when you think of
28:50
a making investment in AI
28:53
today there's these large language models
28:55
there's really call it three or four large language
28:57
models and the thing that I can't figure out
28:59
is over time as they get
29:01
better it seems to me that
29:03
there's a likelihood that a lot of the stuff they can
29:05
do will usurp some
29:08
of the apps and other kinds of
29:10
software that's being developed to
29:12
sort of serve them meaning
29:14
that as the large language models get better
29:17
they may actually be able to do whatever
29:19
but what everybody else is trying to build
29:22
which would then sort of upend the entire thing
29:24
there's no moat to any of these business. Well
29:26
that is the last thing. Your business the business
29:28
you just mentioned seems like it would likely have
29:30
a moat there's a physical component
29:33
to it. Well AI is going to have its
29:35
biggest in my opinion place I
29:37
would be putting my bets if they
29:39
were investing specifically AI is AI words
29:42
applications in particular industries not
29:44
necessary for platforms I mean
29:47
I you know a
29:49
chat GPTs it's
29:51
obviously taken over the world including me
29:53
and probably both of you but I
29:57
worry about how many more
30:00
Of course, I've got share of mind at the moment. This
30:04
is ubiquitous across everything. I'd be more
30:06
interested as a long-term investor in how
30:09
an AI application affects the medical industry
30:11
or the... How it makes it more
30:13
productive. I mean, we were just talking
30:16
about this conversation about productivity. Do
30:18
you think we're on the verge of
30:20
a supercharged productivity? Absolutely. Absolutely
30:23
dramatic. It's going to be overwhelming. I mean, I
30:25
see it. I say
30:27
to all the areas. I mean, we have another company,
30:29
Sheer Health. I'm promoted, but I'm going to
30:31
tell you what they're doing. I
30:33
would never have thought of it. We all get
30:36
our medical bills and we never know what we
30:38
got and why we got it and why we
30:40
have co-pays. Right. They've developed AI using AI, being
30:43
able to take your medical bills
30:45
and actually finding out where you
30:47
got the right charge, where you didn't, and get every
30:49
cover. Can they tell you before you
30:51
get services done? Because you usually find out six months after
30:54
that. Well, if you know what they're going to charge
30:56
you. Yeah. Perhaps they
30:58
should because they know what services you're going to
31:00
get. They should be able to tell you what
31:02
the appropriate is from whatever coverage you've got. I
31:04
mean, that is where the applications are and using
31:07
AI is going to accelerate things. I mean, you
31:09
know, get answers so much faster and it's going
31:11
to put a lot of people out of work,
31:13
but it'll employ new people. I got a different
31:16
one for you. I want to talk about retirement,
31:18
though you are hardly retiring. You're 89
31:20
years old. Am I right? I'll
31:22
be 90 this year. My kids are trying to
31:24
figure out how to celebrate. Just got married again.
31:28
Remarkable. So you are not in the retirement. You're
31:31
never going to retire, but it's going to be a lot of
31:33
people who are going to have to retire at some point in
31:35
life. And you read my book. Yeah. I'm
31:37
going to live to 114. I know. But I'm
31:39
curious if you think the private markets that
31:41
you know, Larry's saying, Larry's think this whole
31:43
thing about retirement and the problems of the
31:45
city. And the question is whether
31:48
the private markets or the public markets or some
31:50
kind of new system has to be developed. And
31:52
I'm curious where you land on that. New
31:54
system for older people? Yeah. New
31:57
system for building up retirement funds. Oh,
32:00
yeah, listen, the first message ever would invest
32:02
as much as you can in your 401k
32:05
That's the first message that goes to anyone whether
32:07
18 or or maybe
32:09
too late if you're 65 But we're
32:11
you know the population of working people for
32:13
example now They're like I think it's 55
32:16
million people over the age of 65
32:18
is still working and they're going to
32:21
beat 80 million people in The
32:23
next 20 years that it can
32:25
be over a 65 so the workforce has
32:27
to be different right at the same time
32:30
Companies have to plan More
32:32
because you're sending people in the workforce What
32:34
do you what should happen to
32:36
those people after they do want
32:38
to retire should you try to keep them?
32:40
Should you try to find something for them
32:42
to do should you be helpful to them?
32:44
Should you have systems installed that prepare them
32:46
for retirement? I mean, it's a it's a
32:48
big thing I I think you'll be amused
32:50
I spoke at a conference last week call
32:52
up front out in California the title of
32:54
the section I spoke on with two other
32:57
Veteran venture capitalists is why the F
32:59
are we still doing this right? I
33:01
mean people do what they are here
33:04
Well, you love the business and you I love
33:07
the startups and young companies And
33:09
I love this particular area because
33:11
you know everyone's forte a human a fort
33:14
feminism They put racism now We have to
33:16
fight ageism because they give you a lot
33:18
more people who are living longer and they're
33:20
going to be active And we've got to
33:23
think about older people at a more constructive
33:25
matter. We got to find things and we
33:27
have to find things People
33:30
that develop things and keep them busy And
33:34
how to take care of the ones that get
33:36
sick, right? You know, there are 55
33:38
million people according to the government who
33:40
are non non paid Caregivers
33:42
for someone in their family I don't
33:44
know if you have any of those
33:47
problems But almost everybody has someone and
33:49
their people have to give up their
33:51
work or cut their job their time
33:53
at the office in order to Take
33:55
the government. It was in Biden State
33:57
of the Union message. We got him
33:59
do more about caregiving. So these are all
34:01
great great areas. The one and only Alan Patrick.
34:03
Thank you for joining us this morning. It's great
34:05
to see you. It's always fun to be with
34:07
you. Always. That's
34:10
Squawk Pod for today and for the
34:12
week. Thank goodness it's Friday. Squawk
34:14
Box is hosted by Joe Kernan, Becky
34:17
Quick and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Tune in
34:19
weekday mornings on CNBC at 6 Eastern.
34:21
Get the best of that show in
34:23
this podcast. Follow Squawk Pod wherever you
34:26
are listening now and let us know
34:28
what you think. If you listen on
34:30
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34:33
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34:35
that platform. That will help other listeners
34:37
find us. We'll meet you right back here
34:39
on Monday. Have a great weekend. We
34:43
are clear. Thanks guys. Car
34:52
a lot about who we are. It
34:54
represents freedom for a lot of people. This
34:57
season on Drive I'm going to talk
34:59
to all sorts of different people. I
35:01
looked at current aims. yeah and yeah,
35:03
I found all the car names that
35:06
have science or astronomically agree. I agree
35:08
that have you get it? Yes, I
35:10
happen to be Ceo Ford Motor Company.
35:13
For me, it's all about cars, movement
35:15
and our mutual passion for things to
35:17
get us around. This is Drive and
35:19
I'm Jim Farley.
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