We dive into the perplexing world of financial forecasts. Despite being highly intelligent and well-compensated, market strategists and analysts in the investment industry have repeatedly made inaccurate predictions, most recently concerning the timing of interest rate cuts. The episode explores the reasons behind our tendency to heed their advice and the biases that cloud judgment, such as confirmation bias and groupthink. With a critical eye on the patterns of past financial events, from the COVID-19 crisis to the dot com bust, the discussion challenges listeners to adopt a second-level thinking attitude and to distinguish essential market fundamentals from misleading predictions. Learn why, in the unpredictable dance of the markets, becoming street-smart in filtering information from shouting predictions is more vital than ever.