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The Future of Hospice according to Peter

The Future of Hospice according to Peter

Released Wednesday, 21st February 2024
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The Future of Hospice according to Peter

The Future of Hospice according to Peter

The Future of Hospice according to Peter

The Future of Hospice according to Peter

Wednesday, 21st February 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:02

Welcome to TCN Talks . The

0:04

goal of our podcast is to provide

0:07

concise and relevant information

0:09

for busy hospice and palliative

0:11

care leaders and staff . We

0:14

understand your busy schedules and

0:16

believe that brevity signals

0:18

respect . And now

0:20

here's our host , Chris

0:23

Comeaux .

0:24

Hello and welcome to TCN Talks

0:26

. Our guest today is Peter Benjamin . He's a

0:28

well-known consultant . He's also a partner

0:30

with the Huntington Consulting Group . Welcome

0:32

, Peter , it's good to have you back .

0:34

Thank you , Chris . Fabulous to have another chance to chat

0:36

with you and your listeners .

0:38

I always value our time together , but before

0:40

we jump in , what does our audience need to know about you

0:42

?

0:43

I think all of us are the product of our experience

0:45

, so I think it's fair for folks to know the backgrounds

0:47

of speakers

0:50

so they can appreciate where our biases

0:52

may come from . I've spent my entire 45-year career

0:54

in healthcare . Interestingly , that's

0:56

almost an exact mirror of

0:59

the history of hospice

1:01

in the United States . I've spent

1:03

five years full-time engaged in hospice

1:05

in the early 90s and the rest of my

1:07

career anywhere from 20 to 70%

1:10

involved in hospice , and I tell your listeners that

1:12

because I take it some level , I'm an inside-outside

1:15

or an outside-insider . I think

1:17

hospice has played a very important role in

1:19

my career and engaged

1:21

me intellectually like nothing else I've done . But

1:24

I also think I have a perspective from outside

1:26

of hospice , and I think particularly where

1:28

we find ourselves today in

1:30

the hospice world . That's an important perspective .

1:33

That's well 45 years Dang . That's

1:35

why you're so dang wise , I guess . Right

1:37

, I didn't maybe

1:39

didn't pick that up the first time , but that

1:42

feels pretty profound . Well , peter , what I love

1:44

about you is you provoke my thinking . I feel

1:46

like you're a good provocateur . There are probably

1:48

a whole lot of other good adjectives I could use , but

1:50

I do appreciate that about you , because you really do make

1:52

me think and you make me question . Either

1:55

I get down to bedrock of why I really

1:57

believe something , or you make me rethink it . So

1:59

just , that's all my ways of giving you kudos

2:01

. So as I thought about what you

2:04

and I want to talk about today , I just thought it'd be good

2:06

to start Like what's your general advice

2:09

about where things are headed , and then also

2:11

how hospice and powder care programs need

2:13

to position themselves to be relevant and thrive

2:16

into the future .

2:18

I think we're at an inflection point

2:20

as community based hospice providers

2:22

. I don't mean that as

2:25

a parallel to technology

2:28

businesses where a technology comes and

2:30

immediately displaces or antiquates

2:32

something else . I don't mean inflection point as a literal

2:34

, the switch will be flipped kind

2:36

of metaphor . But I think we're going

2:38

through a five or eight year inflection

2:41

point where after

2:43

40 years of a one size fits

2:45

all benefit , the

2:47

market has and

2:49

continues to evolve . When

2:52

I think of the late 70s and the demonstration

2:54

project and I think of congressional

2:57

testimony which I recently reread for

2:59

somebody for some reasons we don't need to get into

3:01

, and when I think of the benefit passing

3:03

in 1983

3:06

, the hospice benefit was designed for

3:09

cancer patients who had caregivers

3:11

and could and wanted to die

3:13

at home . That's an oversimplification , but

3:15

directionally correct . It certainly didn't

3:17

envision people dying in assisted living , because

3:20

no one did . People literally

3:22

didn't even start to die in assisted living

3:24

communities until the early 2000s

3:26

. The original benefit didn't envision people dying

3:29

in nursing facilities . That

3:31

round peg was squeezed into a

3:33

square hole in the late 80s , early 90s

3:35

, and so we find ourselves today

3:37

serving most

3:39

of the folks in the hospice marketplace

3:42

in ways that were not

3:44

designed inside

3:47

the original hospice benefit . Then

3:49

we can talk about how the rest of the healthcare

3:51

world has not just evolved but

3:54

radically transformed itself

3:56

. And so , on the one hand

3:58

, I say to colleagues all the time there's

4:01

never been a better time to die in America

4:03

, because I think people at end of life have

4:06

access to better , more comprehensive , more

4:08

expertly provided , more careingly

4:10

provided , specialized services than ever before

4:13

. But two things

4:15

can be true at the same time . I think he can both be

4:17

the best time to die and

4:19

not good enough . And I'm

4:21

optimistic that disruptive

4:23

innovation provides

4:26

benefit for almost everyone

4:28

and , unfortunately

4:30

, provides potential cataclysm

4:33

for incumbents . But

4:35

incumbent providers are the minority

4:37

. The rest of the society is the majority

4:40

. So disruptive innovation

4:42

has been part of our economy

4:44

, a little less so in healthcare , but

4:46

increasingly so in healthcare . That's

4:49

where I think we are .

4:52

Can you unpack a little bit more about cataclysm

4:54

for incumbents ? What do you mean by that ?

4:57

I think historically , inside

5:00

and outside of healthcare , business

5:03

historians , business school professors

5:05

would without

5:08

emotion stipulate

5:11

that innovation rarely comes from

5:13

incumbents , that's not to say never

5:15

. I didn't say that , I said rarely . And

5:18

again , you can do unemotional

5:20

examples outside of healthcare . We

5:23

can take examples closer to home . It wasn't

5:25

hospitals that pioneered outpatient surgery

5:27

. Oh how shocking . They

5:31

were the ones that were going to be disrupted

5:34

. So they were not in fact the innovators

5:36

and pioneers , and yet you

5:38

barely have to drive a mile or two from your house

5:40

today to find an ambulatory surgery center . And

5:43

I think those kinds of examples

5:46

are instructive for

5:48

us , meaning

5:51

40 year plus hospice

5:54

leaders , and so

5:56

I'm both cautioned by those

5:59

examples and

6:01

enthusiastic about the improvement

6:03

for recipients of care

6:06

from innovators .

6:09

And there's so much . You're being very precise

6:12

with your language . I love it actually , and

6:14

there's so many cool tangents we could go , but I'm gonna

6:16

go with our main line of questioning here . What

6:19

are some of our substitution competitions

6:21

out there for hospice and powder care leaders

6:24

that you feel like , hey , you gotta be aware of

6:26

this .

6:28

I think we have beginning examples

6:30

, so the good news is

6:32

I'll give you some . The better

6:34

news is I don't think

6:37

this chapter has been written yet . So

6:40

I think for our colleagues

6:42

, for hospice leaders around the country

6:44

, the decisions

6:46

are going to be around . Are

6:49

we willing to disrupt ourselves

6:51

? Are we willing to

6:55

think more broadly than perhaps

6:57

we have in the past ? So

7:03

I mentioned a couple of moments

7:05

ago the original hospice

7:07

benefit was not

7:09

written for folks

7:11

that live in let's just call it

7:13

, senior housing , whether that's independent

7:16

living , assisted living , nursing facilities

7:18

, and I think over the next decade

7:20

we're gonna see a real metamorphosis

7:23

in how all care is

7:25

provided there . So this is not a hospice

7:28

end of life thing at all

7:30

. I think we're gonna see , for

7:33

the three to four million people that live in senior

7:35

housing , an explosion in opportunities

7:37

for them to receive more holistic

7:40

, team provided

7:42

, patient-centric care . How

7:44

interesting . I think those are words and phrases

7:47

All our hospice colleagues would use

7:49

to describe what we do , but

7:53

have never really been characteristic

7:55

of how residents of these communities

7:57

receive all their care . And

8:00

so I think , to our credit

8:02

, I'm proud of all the things

8:04

our colleagues have done . I think we

8:06

have instilled in the system a

8:09

sense that

8:11

team , patient and family-centric

8:14

care can have real value , not

8:17

just in the last 60 days of life , maybe

8:20

for longer periods of time . And

8:23

so I think it's gonna be incumbent on us

8:25

, first and foremost , to

8:27

really learn about these

8:29

emerging models of care . What

8:32

does Medicare Advantage really mean ? Why

8:35

are dual-eligible special needs

8:37

plans unique ? Why are institutional special

8:39

needs plans unique ? What can we

8:41

learn from PACE programs ? I

8:44

do a lot of work in PACE and I don't wanna offend my PACE

8:46

colleagues by saying I don't believe that PACE

8:48

programs are quote unquote the solution

8:50

to all Y-Turb care problems , any

8:53

more than I think hospice is the solution to all

8:55

end-of-life care problems . I think in both

8:57

instances , pace providers

8:59

and hospice providers have

9:03

forced

9:06

everyone in

9:08

our adjacent spaces to realize

9:11

that the basic models

9:13

of care we pioneered work . So

9:16

I don't know that regulated PACE will

9:19

be the thing , but I'm pretty confident

9:21

that in 10 years we're

9:23

gonna see a smaller percentage of people

9:26

in nursing facilities , because

9:28

nursing home diversion programs , pace

9:30

programs , pace-lite , pace-lite programs

9:33

are gonna be fundamental to how fully

9:35

integrated , highly integrated DSNPs work

9:38

and succeed , and that's gonna

9:40

be better for the patient , better for their family

9:42

. No one's waking up in either of our

9:44

communities today , chris , and saying , wow , I'm

9:46

really excited about going to the nursing home

9:48

. Okay , that's just not how

9:50

it works . So

9:52

I think it's incumbent on us , first and

9:55

foremost , to learn and

9:57

that's harder than it sounds

9:59

, because for us

10:01

to learn means what does it mean

10:04

to run a delegated risk-taking

10:06

physician group ? What does it mean , circa

10:08

2024 , to be in the oncology

10:10

world ? What does it mean to run nursing

10:12

facilities or CCRCs or assisted

10:14

living communities ? What does it mean

10:17

to be in a multi-specialty practice taking

10:19

delegated risk Boy ? It's

10:21

never been harder to

10:23

be a hospice professional because

10:25

of all this going on around us . And

10:27

if you don't speak their language , then

10:30

you don't know how to solve their problems

10:33

and you're likely to

10:35

simply talk louder about

10:37

what we have , and

10:39

that's not generally effective .

10:42

So two things , because I'm thinking of all of our

10:45

listeners . We do have hospice and powder care

10:47

staff amongst our listeners , peter , and , of course

10:49

, leaders and even now board members . You

10:52

alluded to SNP plans . Can you just

10:54

give a quick little elevator speech

10:56

and give them a snippet on what is a SNP plan ? Sure

10:58

.

11:01

Going back a few decades now

11:03

. Through multiple administrations

11:05

the Department

11:07

of Health and Human Services and the Center

11:09

for Medicare and Medicaid Services has been

11:11

on a mission to

11:13

push could joe persuade

11:16

participants

11:18

in our healthcare system to embrace

11:21

value-based care ? Value-based care is simplistically

11:23

defined as , rather than

11:26

paying folks for what they do meaning

11:28

a fee for service model paying

11:30

folks for outcomes

11:33

and pushing risk onto

11:35

the provider so that they have to both perform

11:37

at an agreed upon level of quality

11:39

and be at risk for that which they do

11:41

, meaning you don't just get to do more , bill more

11:44

, make more . And this evolution

11:46

led by the

11:48

federal government , largely through the Medicare program to

11:51

push . Value-based care created

11:54

most recently was called the Medicare

11:56

Advantage Program , and so when folks turn 65

11:58

or any time thereafter , if they're eligible for

12:00

the Medicare program , they can decide if they

12:02

wanna voluntarily enroll in a

12:05

Medicare Advantage plan . Think

12:07

of it as HMOs meet Medicare

12:10

a little more complicated than that , but

12:12

the premise is that over time

12:14

, if Medicare is

12:16

able to push , could joe

12:18

persuade participants

12:20

in healthcare to embrace value-based , that there will

12:22

be a long-term opportunity to save money as

12:25

the Medicare Advantage Program has grown , much

12:28

like we were just talking about the hospice benefit . The

12:31

folks running it have come to realize , gee

12:33

, the Medicare Advantage Program was one size

12:35

fits all and we were designing

12:37

something for all 66 million Medicare

12:40

eligible's and maybe inside

12:42

that big cohort of folks there's some unique

12:44

cohorts that would benefit from

12:47

specialized programs . And so the

12:49

acronym SNP or Special Needs Plan

12:51

, came through Medicare's experience

12:53

working in this big market of 66

12:56

million folks and responding

12:58

to innovators saying , hey , how about if

13:00

we design a specialized Medicare

13:02

Advantage Program , for example , just

13:04

for folks who live in nursing

13:07

facilities or assisted living

13:09

? And that is the institutional

13:12

special needs plan or the variant

13:14

of it , the institutional equivalent

13:16

or institutional eligible special needs plans

13:18

. So those programs are now serving

13:21

about 130,000 folks

13:23

that live in particular kinds

13:25

of facilities . There's about 12 million

13:28

dual eligible's . So folks who have both

13:30

Medicaid and Medicare and the

13:32

federal government realized , gee , maybe

13:34

just the quote normal off the shelf Medicare

13:36

Advantage Program doesn't work perfectly for

13:38

them . What if we create a mechanism

13:41

where the states can innovate with

13:43

Medicare Advantage Plans and

13:45

be creative in how we take care of those

13:47

12 million folks ? And so I

13:49

think what we're seeing , consistent with our previous conversation

13:52

, is evolution and innovation is

13:54

everywhere in health care and the one size

13:56

fits all model that usually starts things

13:58

. As time passes

14:01

. You usually find itself subject

14:03

to some kind of segmentation model , and that's

14:05

what's happening in Medicare Advantage .

14:07

That's really good , and just use another

14:09

term that they could be hopeful to define a

14:11

delegated physician risk group , and I

14:13

may have butchered exactly how you said it .

14:16

One of the trends over the last

14:18

three

14:20

decades but increasing more

14:24

geometrically than arithmetically over the last

14:26

decade is health

14:28

plans deciding

14:30

that the way they can work best

14:33

with healthcare providers . So

14:35

think of a licensed insurance

14:37

company , whether a Medicare Advantage plan , or a commercial

14:39

insurance company , or a managed

14:41

care organization working with Medicaid . Those

14:44

organizations have concluded gee , the way

14:46

we can best partner with healthcare providers

14:48

is to align

14:50

our financial incentives

14:52

. So if we , the health plan , are

14:55

given a flat amount of money in material

14:57

of the services performed underneath it , then

15:00

maybe the best way to get docs in the same

15:02

boat , with us rowing in the same direction

15:04

, is to align their incentives

15:06

. So I'm just going to make up some numbers to be illustrative

15:08

. So let's say I'm a health plan and I

15:10

get a dollar in healthcare premium

15:13

a month . Historically

15:15

, I then went out and contracted with folks

15:17

on a fee for services basis and

15:19

I then tried to manage how I spent

15:21

my dollar , mindful

15:24

of the fact that if I spent more than a dollar I had

15:26

a problem because that's all I was going to get every

15:28

month . And so the phrase

15:30

delegated risk comes from

15:32

the construct

15:34

of the health plan saying okay , I

15:36

have my dollar and all the risk

15:39

. Delegating

15:41

risk means I , the health plan , am

15:43

going to give you , chris , and

15:45

your physician group , some part

15:47

of that risk . I'm going to delegate

15:50

some part of that risk to you

15:52

. So , for example , if you're

15:54

a primary care group and you have

15:56

a thousand patients that you've become

15:58

the primary care doc for

16:00

, rather than paying you fee for

16:02

service , I may give you six

16:04

cents of my dollar and

16:07

tell you you don't have to bill

16:09

me every time you see that patient , and

16:12

some patients you might see a bunch , and some patients

16:14

you might not see at all , but I'm

16:16

going to give you that six cents every

16:19

month , immaterial of how many visits

16:21

you make . By

16:23

the way , all sorts of crazy things happen during

16:25

COVID that could be a source of a whole other

16:27

conversation , many

16:29

innovative , I mean as horrible

16:31

as COVID has been continues to be

16:33

. I don't want to put any positive

16:36

gloss per se on COVID , but

16:39

there were , as in all crises , some learnings

16:42

and evolutions and creativity

16:45

that came out of it . I think an awful

16:47

lot of physician groups figured out you know

16:49

what , boy , particularly

16:52

during the first 12 months of COVID , it

16:55

sure was good financially to be getting

16:57

a delegated risk payment rather

17:00

than having to figure out how to see patients

17:03

the old fashioned way , and

17:05

if I called them or we did zoom

17:07

, I was getting paid because

17:09

I was taking delegated risk , so

17:11

I wasn't subject to the old model

17:13

. So lots of interesting

17:15

things have happened that we never would have predicted

17:18

were intended Along

17:20

these lines . Humana

17:23

just recently , as in this week

17:25

, announced the expansion of their center

17:27

well program . So Humana continues to aggressively

17:30

employ docs and

17:33

they delegate risk to the docs in their own

17:35

system . United has yet

17:37

to deny this number . The last number

17:39

that United publicly confirmed was that they employed

17:41

70,000 physicians in

17:44

the last 60 days . The number 90,000

17:46

has been thrown around in a bunch of different venues

17:49

by Wall Street folks . Others no

17:51

one has denied the number , so I'm willing to say

17:53

I can't confirm it , but there's at least enough

17:55

data points to suggest that's entirely plausible

17:58

that United now employs 90,000

18:01

doctors , both

18:03

united in Humana . I'm just trying to get the dots , for you

18:05

often will have delegated

18:07

risk contracts with free standing

18:09

physician groups and if they perform

18:12

well , will buy their practice , and

18:15

so delegated risk also becomes a way

18:17

that physician groups can demonstrate how

18:20

they perform if they want to imagine

18:22

a different financial relationship over time

18:24

, like selling a practice .

18:26

Thank you to our TCN Talks sponsor

18:28

, deltacarerx . Deltacarerx

18:31

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18:33

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18:36

leadership immersion courses

18:38

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18:40

known as a national hospice , pbm

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18:46

is a premier vendor of TCN and

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provides not only pharmaceutical care

18:50

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innovations that save their customers

18:55

time , stress and money . Thank

18:57

you , deltacarerx , for all the great

18:59

work you do in the end of life and

19:01

serious illness care .

19:03

This does a masterclass right there , peter , thank

19:06

you . So I think you're painting a beautiful picture

19:08

of there's these disruptive

19:10

innovations we're going to have to evolve

19:12

. You've given us some really good definitions . So

19:14

as people start to think about , okay , what do I do

19:16

about that ? It kind of strikes me

19:19

, do I build , do I buy or

19:21

do I partner ? And my guess is

19:23

and you may come up with a couple other flavors

19:25

but how do you counsel folks like which

19:27

one do I go ? So I don't

19:29

just get paralyzed by these things coming at me

19:32

. And so how would you unpack

19:34

?

19:34

that I'll give you the

19:36

sort of BS consultant

19:38

answer , which is yes

19:40

, you know , which depends

19:43

, of course . But the real answer

19:45

is , on the one hand , every

19:48

client I've ever worked with starts

19:50

a conversation with me by telling me how

19:52

unique their program is and their

19:55

local geography is . And

19:57

I try early in our relationship

19:59

to come to agreement about that , because

20:03

we actually agree in principle

20:05

and generally disagree as

20:07

to the math . In other words

20:09

, when I push a prospective client , they'll

20:11

tell me well , 80% of our

20:14

organization and market is unique and 20%

20:16

is like everybody else . And I push

20:18

back and say well , I think 80%

20:21

of your organization and market is like everybody

20:23

else and 20% is different . The

20:26

reason I'm teasing that out is because

20:29

, of course , local matters

20:31

period hard stop . But

20:34

in delegating risk taking group , a

20:36

multi-specialty group , an oncology group

20:39

, a senior housing owner operator , the

20:41

principles of how they operate their business

20:43

are identical market to market . The

20:45

local situations vary immeasurably

20:47

. There can be five health systems in a market

20:50

or one . That creates a very different competitive dynamic

20:52

, but the business model of the health system

20:54

or hospitals is the same . So

20:57

I think the first step , chris , is our

20:59

colleagues have to simply

21:01

understand the business models

21:04

of our health care colleagues

21:06

better . That means our

21:08

hospice can't engage with

21:10

the now hundred person delegated

21:13

, risk taking multi-specialty specialty practice

21:15

down the street by simply saying I'm

21:17

here , do you have any hospice referrals ? We

21:20

need to know what's the actual

21:23

strategy of that group . We need to know the

21:25

business manager as well as the person

21:27

who handles hospice referrals . We

21:29

need to understand their contracts with payers

21:32

. That's often a very different set

21:34

of interactions . It may or may not

21:36

fit the competence of the person we currently

21:38

have relationship managing that

21:40

organization . It may involve the

21:43

CEO , it may involve a board member

21:45

. It's a complicated map but

21:48

as our referral sources and business

21:50

partners businesses have evolved and become

21:52

more complicated , we're behind . We

21:55

I'm judging . My experience

21:57

is our colleagues don't

22:00

understand where our customers

22:02

are as well as they did 10 , 20

22:04

, 30 years ago . So I think this

22:07

construct of do I buy , build , partner

22:09

starts with I have to understand my local market

22:11

and , yes , every local market

22:14

is different . But the business model

22:16

of these entities is not different

22:18

and so you're not starting from

22:20

scratch . Whether you're in Asheville or

22:22

Charlotte or Raleigh , you

22:24

bet the local markets matter , but

22:27

I think we sometimes get a little

22:29

more wrapped around the axle of that than

22:32

we need to , then I think you can find

22:34

. Well , what

22:38

does it look like in your market ? Are there

22:40

D-Ships now ? Are they coordination only

22:42

or highly integrated or fully integrated

22:45

? What does the institutional special needs

22:47

market look like ? And

22:49

we may or may not be able to own

22:51

interests in any of those businesses

22:54

? But I don't think we're gonna have a clue

22:56

what makes sense until we fully

22:58

understand who the incumbents are

23:00

. In our geography

23:03

and adjacent geographies

23:05

the insurance market tends to

23:07

be very state-oriented

23:09

. So if I saw that

23:11

, for example , there was a new health plan that

23:13

was doing ISNIP and DSNIP in

23:15

Charlotte and Raleigh , I'd

23:18

be pretty confident that wasn't their end

23:20

game . I'd be pretty confident

23:23

they were gonna look at expanding throughout

23:25

the state . And so , again

23:28

, when we define our market as

23:30

a hospice , particularly ones with CLN

23:32

or CON histories , we tend

23:34

to think about county

23:36

zip codes , the way we've been regulated

23:38

. We have to think differently

23:40

when we look at our customers and how they look

23:42

at geography and maps and their business

23:44

model .

23:47

That's really good . Well , and I thought

23:49

about asking you this question , and I think it's even

23:51

even think is a better question even now , because

23:54

I think you have such a unique purview , peter . So

23:56

if you had a loved one that needed

23:58

some type of serious illness , care let's say it's a

24:00

very close family member knowing

24:03

what you know , how and where would

24:05

you steer them ?

24:06

First of all , that's not a hypothetical question . I

24:10

get a call like that at least

24:12

every month . My wife gets at least

24:14

another call like that every month . That

24:16

would be a slow month , I

24:18

think you know my wife , who's now mostly

24:20

retired , was the

24:22

co-author of Five Wishes and has the Long History and Advanced

24:25

Care Planning . So between us we get those

24:27

calls . So

24:29

the first question we ask is to try and

24:31

understand just where our friend

24:34

family member colleague is , because

24:37

three months , six months terminal

24:39

is a lot different than gee . I think

24:41

my mom really

24:43

is in the last chapter , but I think she needs

24:46

to go to a nursing home . That's different than

24:48

a three to six month terminal conversation

24:50

and this is only awkward because

24:52

both of those are

24:54

terminally ill folks . I

24:57

mean , if you're ready to go to the nursing home , the macro

24:59

data says you have two to three years to

25:01

live . That's

25:03

just the macro data . Now you might live 10 years and you

25:05

might live 30 days . But again , I can only deal

25:07

on the aggregate data . But I'm just trying to

25:10

tease out my reply to your question because if my

25:12

wife and I come to the conclusion that

25:14

there's a chance you

25:17

are hospice eligible , we have

25:19

our own kind of screening tool

25:21

that we use , and 75-ish

25:26

percent , I think , maybe even more , maybe

25:28

85% of the time . That ends up with

25:30

us doing the six

25:32

degrees of separation and calling

25:35

Chris Coma or calling you

25:38

pick the person in our broad , extended

25:40

network . But that means 85-ish percent

25:42

of the time . My wife and I conclude a nonprofit

25:44

, community-based hospice is the best

25:46

organization

25:49

to take care of our friend family colleague , and

25:51

the reason we come to that conclusion has nothing to do with

25:53

tax status . It has to

25:55

do with we believe that the first

25:57

four levels of care matter . So it's hard

25:59

for me to get excited about working with an organization

26:02

that doesn't

26:05

do all four levels of care . There's

26:08

lots of good reasons why patients are discharged

26:10

alive , but if a hospice discharges 80%

26:13

of its patients alive every year , that sort

26:15

of hits my trigger around

26:17

. They're not gonna be on the top

26:19

of my list . I'd

26:22

like to see , frankly , a bigger rather than

26:24

smaller hospice , because I'd like to see that they employ

26:26

at least some of their own docs

26:28

. I like to believe that if four patients call

26:31

on Friday night , they have enough nurses that they can

26:33

see all four . So

26:35

maybe it'd be a whole other conversation

26:37

one day . I could sort of share our family

26:40

evaluation tool we

26:42

do that .

26:43

That's actually a great idea .

26:44

The bottom line is it's not perfect

26:46

, and you and I have kidded about this before

26:48

. It's not perfect because I don't think we

26:51

the hospice movement now market

26:53

have done a good job in identifying quality

26:55

metrics . So I'm subject to what's

26:57

publicly available . I can only look at CAP scores

26:59

or HIS scores or these other implied

27:01

statistical measures like

27:03

discharge , alive percent , four levels

27:06

of care , et cetera . I

27:08

can identify if the hospice

27:10

has a physician group and provide supportive

27:13

care outside the hospice benefit . That usually also

27:15

gets a checkbox , because all

27:17

sorts of things could happen in terms of whether

27:20

my friend , one colleague , is literally hospice

27:22

appropriate that day . So that's not

27:24

a hypothetical for me and

27:26

frankly I think it's a great role

27:29

play for hospice

27:31

leaders , meaning I think it'd be a

27:33

great for you and your senior team

27:35

to go through the exercise of hey , if we all

27:38

got a call from a loved

27:40

one in Seattle , los Angeles , las Vegas

27:42

, how would we decide

27:44

who to steer them to ? That

27:47

would be a hell of an exercise for

27:49

a senior team to do .

27:52

When we go in and extend the play . I want to tell you about a really

27:54

cool project I got to work on several years back

27:57

. It occurred to me when you were talking

27:59

earlier to Peter senior living

28:01

is going to become more and more place

28:04

of Dull Messiah

28:07

and so do

28:09

you believe that ? Do you think it's going to become a lot

28:11

more important for a hospice and powder care

28:13

leader going forward and why and maybe what they need

28:15

to be aware of related to that ?

28:18

Yes . Have I ever answered

28:20

a question that simplistically ? Tell

28:24

me more . I think that's

28:26

a perfect example of the research

28:29

that our colleagues

28:31

need to be doing in their local communities

28:33

. Because , well

28:36

, give me an example . I first

28:38

started looking at what

28:41

we now consensually

28:43

call the death service ratio in the early

28:45

1990s

28:47

. There was no internet . There was no way

28:49

to get Medicare claims data . These

28:51

were Freedom of Information Act requests

28:54

to the CDC and to Medicare to try

28:56

to get data about how

28:58

many people were using hospice and what

29:00

all that looked like . So I've been looking at that

29:02

data for 30 years . I

29:06

mentioned in a slightly different context . If you

29:08

go back to the early 90s . First

29:10

of all , death service ratio was 7% , 8%

29:12

aggregate . Now it's 50%

29:15

. It

29:17

was zero in assisted living because

29:19

no one died there . It

29:22

was significantly lower than it is

29:24

today in long-term care because you hadn't

29:26

seen the proliferation of for-profit

29:28

hospices until a half a decade

29:30

, a decade later . That really stimulated

29:32

that business . I'm

29:34

boring you with this , because the senior housing

29:37

market has evolved in

29:39

ways that we

29:42

sort of know and

29:44

recognize but

29:46

don't . So , as

29:49

an example , the originators of assisted living

29:51

were organizations like Hyatt and Mariah

29:53

. This was going to be a hospitality

29:55

play . This wasn't a healthcare

29:58

thing and

30:00

you could imagine there was a whole bunch of smart people way

30:02

back when that thought there'd be a risk-carlford , a Mariah

30:04

, a residence in an

30:07

assisted living building . Well

30:09

, it didn't exactly work out that way because

30:11

hospitality folks realized that as this became

30:14

healthcare that wasn't

30:16

for them . Over

30:21

the last 30 years we went from

30:23

hospice deaths only

30:25

occurring in nursing homes , not at all in assisted

30:28

living , to in much

30:30

of the country today that's 50-50

30:32

. And I just

30:35

looked at a few counties for some clients

30:37

in the last week where it was five

30:39

to one assisted living . Right

30:42

, tell me more . Five to one there were five

30:44

times as many hospice patients in

30:47

assisted living as in nursing

30:49

facilities , wow . So

30:52

the range county to county

30:54

is extraordinary and

30:57

there's lots of reasons for that , and

31:01

the analysis sort of template is

31:03

uniform back to 80-20 , local

31:05

, national . But every community is

31:07

in a different place in terms of that evolution

31:10

, and so I think doing

31:12

a local map of exactly

31:15

what's going on in senior housing is

31:17

not something most of my clients have or

31:19

have done . It's

31:22

, again , more daunting than it sounds , you and I bantering

31:24

on a podcast . It's a real piece of work

31:26

. It's not so easy

31:29

to understand who

31:31

the owners of all these buildings are

31:33

, because the owners of the buildings are oftentimes

31:35

not the ones who run it and the management

31:37

company is different than the real estate investment

31:39

trust . Well , this

31:42

is our future , chris . And a

31:44

lot of my colleagues don't like it because they say that's

31:46

not hospice . I don't want to do that . Okay

31:49

, I don't know what to tell you . You

31:52

either have to keep up with

31:54

our customers or fall behind

31:57

. And so again I'm a little fearful , sometimes

31:59

a lot fearful that we're falling

32:01

behind in understanding the

32:04

evolving business models of our customers

32:06

because there are specialized

32:08

ACOs that deal with law and

32:10

term care facilities . They're specialized

32:13

reach pro , both MSSP and

32:15

reach ACOs that focus there . We've

32:17

talked a little about institutional special needs plans

32:19

. The evolution of who's going

32:21

to employ the doctors and MPs that go

32:23

into that set of buildings as evolving

32:26

and influx . So kind

32:29

of goes back to I think we're in this seven

32:31

to 15 year inflection point , but

32:35

with potential cataclysmic results

32:37

for folks who don't

32:40

want to change .

32:42

Well , and that's . You just made me smile

32:44

. That's why your friend Mark Cohen and I

32:46

do our monthly podcast

32:48

of the top news stories , of kind of our way to

32:50

just say hey , here's intelligence gathering

32:53

, there's a lot of stuff coming because you're so right . Well , peter , this is a {\an2 Lősстаточно

32:55

fantastic stage . It's always just a photograph of your policy based on what you've laid out before

32:57

you're resuming it of question . I really want to ask

32:59

you and so you and I were joking about

33:01

our gray hair , our wisdom

33:03

you have a little bit more wisdom than I do . Actually , I have

33:05

a whole lot more wisdom than I do . But if you were

33:08

a young Peter Benjamin coming

33:10

into healthcare but you happen

33:12

to know what wise Peter Benjamin

33:14

knows where would you advise that young

33:16

Peter Benjamin to go make a difference ?

33:19

I think about that a lot because in

33:22

some ways it's

33:25

the question I ask myself . Thinking about

33:27

retirement . I think to myself

33:29

, boy , if I'm going to work for a limited

33:31

period of time , what's the most

33:34

exciting place to

33:36

do that ? And so it's

33:38

not so much a speculative question

33:40

to me and the

33:43

answer I would give someone in their 20s kind

33:45

of matches the decision I've made for myself

33:47

in terms of I've

33:49

never had greater reward

33:52

than working in the

33:54

broad end of life care area

33:57

, Because I think that the difference

34:00

you make for people in their families is profound

34:03

. It's not to minimize what else you can do in healthcare

34:05

and the reward you can get . But I'm speaking personally

34:07

, selfishly , and

34:09

as I said at the outset , I

34:11

think we're in this sort of amazing

34:13

extended year

34:16

inflection point , and so I think

34:18

if someone in

34:20

their 20s can identify

34:23

an organization that

34:25

, for example , has

34:28

historical roots in a

34:30

community and

34:33

either already has or is evidencing

34:36

not by what they say but what they

34:38

do the

34:41

ability and risk orientation to

34:43

move from , for example

34:45

, being a

34:47

hospice provider to also

34:50

owning a frail elder physician practice or

34:52

being in an ACO or

34:54

having a PACE program or being a partner in

34:56

a PACE program or participating

34:58

in an ISNIP or having a strategic

35:00

relationship with an ISNIP . If they

35:02

can find an organization that they think has

35:08

a fighting chance to come out the

35:10

other end of this inflection point , I

35:14

think they'll have as rewarding a career as

35:16

I've had . And if we

35:18

can't find folks who want to do that

35:20

, then

35:23

I think we'll be the worst , because

35:26

organizations like yours need to be able to attract

35:28

those folks and we need to be

35:30

able to not just tell them

35:32

what we've done but

35:34

what we're going to do . And

35:36

if what we're going to do only sounds

35:38

like what we've done , a

35:41

whole bunch of those young people aren't coming

35:43

, and

35:45

I think that's on us . I

35:47

don't want to shamelessly

35:50

plug your book or some of your work , and you

35:52

didn't ask me to , so I

35:54

can say that openly and honestly but

35:57

I think the leadership

35:59

challenges of the moment

36:02

are greater than they've

36:04

ever been in our line of

36:06

work , because I think leadership is

36:09

most tested in times of change . I've

36:13

kiddingly said to folks I can say it with enough

36:15

gray air closer to retirement

36:17

, I'm as guilty as any number of my colleagues

36:19

that thought we were geniuses when we had tailwind

36:22

.

36:24

I've never put it that way , but I've said it in a different

36:27

way .

36:27

That is so good and you only really

36:30

realize how smart you are or how

36:32

good a runner you are when there's

36:34

headwind , and I think

36:36

, through no fault of our own per

36:38

se . Markets evolve and

36:40

change , and traditional hospice

36:43

now , I think , only has headwind

36:45

to look forward to , and

36:48

so either we find some related

36:50

, adjacent opportunities with some tailwind

36:52

or we suffer the consequence

36:54

of headwind , and that's partly

36:57

a market phenomenon . But I'm more

36:59

optimistic than that . I think that's on us

37:01

, and I think that the idea

37:03

of leadership starts with

37:06

helping people see

37:09

differently , helping

37:11

people role play what their

37:13

customers and competitors are

37:15

imagining , and

37:18

so I think that the

37:20

emphasis that you've

37:22

chosen to place on leadership is

37:24

prescient and current , and

37:27

be careful

37:29

what you wish for . Which

37:32

is going to get to our quotes in a second

37:34

.

37:35

That was awesome , Peter . Well , any final thoughts

37:37

to close this .

37:40

First seek understanding . I think a

37:42

lot of our colleagues are fast

37:45

to judge and

37:48

a little slow to take a deep breath and really

37:50

try to understand what's

37:52

going on all around us , at

37:55

attempt , with good leaders

37:57

, encouraging them , supporting them , holding

37:59

them up . Do the role

38:01

play . If I got hired

38:04

by an ISNIP and that's how you were going to have

38:06

to make a living , what would you do If

38:09

you got hired by a PACE program and that's

38:11

how you were going to have to make a living ? What

38:13

would you do ? Because I

38:15

think in many instances we'll

38:18

learn from that forced exercise

38:21

and we'll be the better for it .

38:24

That's well said . Well , Peter , thank you , and

38:26

Peter and I . So I chose a quote and you

38:28

chose a quote , so I'm going to . So Peter's quote

38:30

will be first and then mine , and actually I

38:33

think is a great way to end this show . So

38:35

Peter's is from a senior business leader

38:37

, executive at American Express . When

38:40

you want something in the worst way , that's

38:42

how you're likely to get it . And then

38:45

mine was from George Loyce . Creativity

38:48

can solve almost any problem . The

38:50

creative act , the defeat of habit

38:52

by originality , overcomes

38:55

everything . Thanks for listening

38:57

to TCNt alks .

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