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0:04
Welcome to the Tech Mean Bright Home for Monday, April
0:06
15, 2024. I'm
0:08
Brian McCullough. Today really looks like
0:10
high-end reshoring of chip tech is
0:12
happening and happening soon. What
0:15
if satellite telephony becomes a table
0:17
stakes smartphone feature? Get ready
0:19
for the Bitcoin halving. Does
0:21
anyone have invites to AirChat and get
0:24
ready for 4TB? Yes,
0:27
4TB SD cards. Here's what you missed today in
0:29
the world of tech. The
0:33
US has awarded Samsung $6.4 billion
0:36
in Chips Act funding, saying
0:39
the company plans to make 2nm
0:41
chips at its Taylor, Texas plant
0:44
by 2026, two years ahead of
0:46
when TSMC is going to roll
0:48
up a similar plant, 2nm
0:50
chips. So the cutting edge top of the
0:52
line manufactured here in the US in just
0:54
a couple of years. This
0:56
is onshoring we can get behind, I think,
0:58
quoting the Financial Times. US
1:01
Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo
1:03
announced on Monday that the South Korean
1:05
chipmaker was set to produce chips at
1:07
the 2nm level of miniaturization at a
1:09
new fabrication plant or fab it was
1:11
building in the city of Taylor in
1:13
Texas. It will be part
1:15
of a $40 billion investment made by
1:17
the company in capabilities ranging from the
1:20
manufacturing of microprocessors to advanced chip packaging
1:22
and research and development work. Samsung's
1:24
investment will be topped up with as much as $6.4 billion in
1:26
direct funding received
1:28
under the US Chips and Science Act, a
1:30
week after the US government announced that TSMC
1:33
would receive up to $6.6 billion from
1:35
the flagship subsidy program to
1:37
support its chip expansion in
1:39
Arizona. The first of Samsung's
1:42
new Taylor fabs will start making 2nm chips in
1:44
2026, according to a
1:46
senior US official. TSMC is set to
1:48
produce 2nm chips at an Arizona facility
1:50
from 2028. An
1:52
initial $17 billion investment, part of a
1:54
planned $40 billion in total, was announced by Samsung
1:57
in 2021 to build its first fab in Taylor,
1:59
which will now make 2 and 4
2:01
nanometer chips. The new capital
2:03
spending adds a second fab that will
2:05
also make 2 nanometer and 4 nanometer
2:07
chips, as well as the construction of
2:09
an advanced chip packaging facility for 2.5D
2:11
packaging of processor and memory chips. Advanced
2:14
packaging is a crucial stage in the production of
2:16
artificial intelligence chips, such as NVIDIA's H100, which is
2:18
used to train generative
2:20
AI systems, such as OpenAI's chat GPT.
2:23
TSMC, the world's biggest contract chip
2:25
maker, carries out 2.5D packaging for
2:27
NVIDIA's most powerful chips. But it
2:29
currently has no plans for such an
2:31
advanced packaging facility in the US, end
2:33
quote. It
2:40
would be interesting if this became
2:42
standard table stakes for flagship smartphones.
2:44
Sources tell Android Authority that
2:47
Google's new Pixel 9 series, next
2:49
generation Pixel Fold, and an under-development
2:52
5G tablet will use
2:54
a new Samsung modem that has
2:56
satellite connectivity. The
2:59
Tensor G4, coming first to the Pixel 9
3:01
series, is bringing a brand new modem, the
3:03
Samsung modem 5400. While
3:05
it's not a Qualcomm modem like some would prefer,
3:08
it's still an upgrade over the previous generations. Our
3:10
source couldn't give any exact specs, but as
3:12
always, we can expect it to be faster
3:14
and more power efficient than the previous generations.
3:17
Additionally, the software stack has been
3:19
upgraded again, which should improve stability.
3:21
Finally, there's support for 3GPP-REL17, which
3:27
brings support for 5G non-terrestrial
3:29
networks, or NTN, satellite-based communication,
3:31
in other words. The modem
3:33
is coming to all cellular-enabled
3:35
Tensor 4 devices, including the
3:38
Pixel 9 series and the next generation Pixel
3:40
Fold. Our sources also informed us that
3:42
Google is in the early stages of
3:44
developing a 5G tablet codenamed Clementine with
3:46
the same modem. However, it is currently
3:48
unknown when and if the device will
3:50
make it to market. As
3:52
we previously reported, Google has made significant
3:54
progress in integrating support for satellite-based messaging
3:56
in Android 15. Thanks
3:59
to NTN's support. in the Exynos modem 5400,
4:01
the Pixel 9 series will
4:04
be the first to support Android's native
4:06
satellite implementation. Initially, the feature will be
4:08
provided by T-Mobile, built in collaboration with
4:10
SpaceX, with other providers possibly
4:12
added in the future. The satellite link will
4:14
allow for texting, but not calling. Additionally, a
4:17
special satellite gateway app will allow
4:19
for easy communications with emergency services
4:21
via a feature called Emergency SOS.
4:24
We've already seen earlier indications about how
4:26
this could work, but we can now
4:28
preview it in more detail. First, you
4:30
will be asked a few basic questions to
4:32
narrow down the situation. You will also be
4:34
given a choice to notify your emergency contacts,
4:37
after which you will be able to message
4:39
with emergency services to get you the help
4:41
you need. Many of the questions will also
4:43
have predefined answers to choose from to make
4:46
the process quicker. Due to the nature of
4:48
satellite connectivity, mobile solutions using it typically need
4:50
very specific alignment to connect. Google has designed
4:52
animations to help this process," end quote. Something
5:00
to put on your radar, the
5:03
next Bitcoin halving is
5:06
right around the corner. This will cut
5:08
miners validating transactions to 450 from 900
5:12
now and costing the industry around $10
5:14
billion in annual revenue. And
5:16
it's expected to happen April 20, because
5:19
of course it is, 4-20, quoting
5:21
Bloomberg. For enthusiasts of Bitcoin, a
5:24
once every four years software update called the
5:26
halving has long been held as one of the
5:28
keys to propping up its value. Around
5:30
April 20, the halving will cut the amount of
5:32
Bitcoin that miners can earn each day for validating
5:34
transactions to 450 from 900 now.
5:38
Based on Bitcoin's current price, it could spell
5:40
revenue losses of around $10 billion a year
5:42
for the industry as a whole, marathon digital
5:44
holdings, CleanSpark, and other miners, which compete for
5:46
a fixed Bitcoin reward by solving mathematical puzzles
5:49
using super fast computers, have invested in new
5:51
equipment and sought to buy smaller rivals in
5:53
an attempt to cushion the drop off in
5:55
revenue. This is the final push for
5:57
miners to squeeze out as much revenue as they can. for
6:00
their production takes a big hit," said
6:02
Matthew Kimmel, a digital asset analyst at
6:04
CoinShares. With revenues across the board decreasing
6:06
overnight, the strategic response of each miner
6:08
and how they adapt could well determine
6:10
who comes out ahead and who gets
6:12
left behind. Granted, Bitcoin
6:14
has reached new highs after previous halvings,
6:17
helping to mitigate the periodic drop in
6:19
mining rewards and the increase in the
6:21
cost of doing business. The event this
6:23
month is coming after the digital currency
6:25
has more than quadrupled since November Yet,
6:29
the margin of success for the industry keeps getting
6:31
finer. Miners will need to
6:33
continually spend more money in a never-ending
6:35
technological arms race for smaller rewards. And
6:38
while the energy-intensive validation process has always
6:40
made mining expensive, companies now
6:42
face even more competition for power from
6:44
the burgeoning and deep-pocketed artificial intelligence industry.
6:47
The soaring price of Bitcoin has helped offset
6:50
those power costs and fueled growth in crypto
6:52
mining. Since the first specialized
6:54
machines came into play in 2013, the aggregate
6:56
market cap of 14 US-listed miners has grown
6:58
to about $20 billion, according
7:00
to an April 1st report by JPMorgan Chase.
7:03
While US-listed miners are the face of the industry,
7:05
they account for just about 20% of
7:07
the sector's computing power, according to crypto
7:10
researcher The Miner Mag. Private
7:12
miners make up the rest and could be
7:14
more vulnerable after the halving, as they typically
7:16
must tap debt financing or venture capital to
7:18
cover their needs, whereas public companies can raise
7:21
funds via share sales. As
7:23
La Hoopla has revved up around the event,
7:25
some traders are betting that mining stocks will
7:27
fall. Total short interest, the dollar value of
7:29
the shares borrowed and sold by bearish
7:31
traders, stood at about $2
7:33
billion as of April 11th, according to
7:35
an estimate from S3 Partners. That
7:38
short interest accounted for almost 15% of the
7:40
group's outstanding shares, three times more than the US average
7:42
of 4.75%. The
7:45
update, the fourth since 2012, was
7:47
programmed by the anonymous Bitcoin creator Satoshi
7:50
Nakamoto to maintain the hard cap of
7:52
21 million tokens to keep it from
7:54
becoming inflationary as a free. The
7:57
situation differs from four years ago when Bitcoin was trading under
7:59
$9 million $9,000 and most of the mining
8:01
activity took place in China. Since
8:03
then, much of that activity has shifted to
8:05
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That's arcticwolf.com.
10:38
I'm not saying this to jinx anything,
10:40
but the lowest hanging fruit of the
10:43
feared AI apocalypse still hasn't
10:45
quite been picked yet. Yes, AI
10:47
fakery is making its way around the various
10:49
nooks and crannies of the internet, but it's
10:52
not the overwhelming deluge that we might have
10:54
feared. Again, at least not yet.
10:56
But also remember that first
10:58
AI panic around cheating in
11:00
academic settings? Again,
11:02
it's not been the step change that some
11:04
were fearing. An analysis of more than 200
11:06
million student papers submitted over the last year shows only around
11:09
11% of them had
11:11
signs of AI help in them, and only around
11:13
3% of papers contained at least 80% AI writing, quoting
11:17
the Financial Times. In the US,
11:19
Stanford University researchers said last year that cheating
11:22
rates did not appear to have been affected
11:24
by AI. Up to 70% of
11:26
high school students have long confessed to
11:28
some form of cheating, and nearly a
11:30
year after chat GPT's arrival, that proportion
11:32
has not changed. At universities, research shows
11:34
half of students are regular generative AI
11:36
users, not necessarily to cheat, but only
11:38
about 12% use it daily. When it
11:40
comes to the number of student essays
11:43
written with the help of AI, rates
11:45
appear relatively steady, says, turn it in,
11:47
a plagiarism detection software group that has
11:49
a tool for checking generative AI use. It's
11:52
said that students have submitted more than 22 million
11:54
papers in the past 12 months that do show
11:56
signs of AI help, which was 11% of the
11:58
total it reviewed. Dude, more
12:00
than six million papers or three percent of the
12:02
total contain at least eighty percent of a I
12:04
writing. That is a lot of papers, but the
12:07
percentage of a I writing is virtually the same
12:09
as what turned it in San last year when
12:11
it carried out a similar assessment. Ai
12:13
usage rates have been stable. Says Chris Karen
12:15
turn it into Chief Executive and as
12:17
he told me last week, just because you're
12:20
using chat Cbd does not necessarily mean you
12:22
are cheating. Some teachers and faculty allow
12:24
some level of Ai assistance and writing an
12:26
essay, but they also want that properly
12:28
cited. He says a I can be incredibly
12:31
useful for doing research and brainstorming ideas and
12:33
quote. It's
12:39
that time again time when I ask
12:41
if anybody has invited to a new
12:44
social network. Will not knew exactly but
12:46
novel rob accounts air chat apps sort
12:48
of blew up late last week. So
12:50
is the have an invite? Please let
12:52
me know by an attack mean.com Here's
12:54
the deal with air Chat according to
12:56
Techcrunch. A. Previous version of Airtight
12:58
was released last year, but the team
13:01
led by Angeles founder of all Rather
13:03
taunt and former Tinder products exact Brian
13:05
nor Guard rebuilt the app every last
13:07
It on Ios and Android yesterday currently
13:09
invite only. Airtight is already ranked number
13:11
twenty seven and Social Networking on Apple's
13:13
app Store. Visually, Airtight should feel pretty
13:15
familiar and intuitive with the ability to
13:18
follow other users, scroll through a fee
13:20
to posts, then reply to like and
13:22
share those posts. The difference is that
13:24
the posts and replies are audio recordings
13:26
which the app then transcribes. When
13:28
you open Air Chat, messages automatically start
13:30
playing and you quickly cycle through them
13:33
by swiping down and up if you're
13:35
so inclined. You can actually paused the
13:37
audio and just read tax. Users can
13:39
also share photos and videos, but audio
13:41
seems to be what everyone's focus on
13:43
and what Robert thought describes as transforming
13:45
the dynamic compared to text based social
13:47
apps. After joining Air Chat this morning,
13:49
most of the posts I saw were
13:51
about the app itself with Rob Account
13:53
and Nor Guard answering questions and soliciting
13:55
see back humans are all meant. to
13:57
get along with other humans it just requires
14:00
the natural voice, Ravikant said. Online
14:02
text-only media has given us this delusion that
14:04
people can't get along, but actually everybody can
14:06
get along. This isn't the first
14:09
time tech startups have bet on voice as
14:11
the next big social media thing, but AirChat's
14:13
asynchronous, threaded posts make for a pretty different
14:15
experience than the live chat rooms that briefly
14:17
flourished on Clubhouse and Twitter Spaces. Narguard
14:20
argued that this approach removes the stage fright
14:22
barrier to participating because, quote, you can take
14:24
as many passes at composing a message on
14:26
here as you like and nobody knows. In
14:29
fact, he said that in conversations with early users,
14:31
the team found that, quote, most of the
14:34
people using AirChat today are very introverted and
14:36
shy. Personally, I haven't convinced
14:38
myself to post anything yet. I was
14:40
more interested in seeing how others were
14:42
using the app. Plus, I have a
14:44
love-hate relationship with the sound of my
14:46
voice. Still, there's something to be said
14:48
for hearing Ravikant and Narguard explain their
14:51
vision rather than just reading the transcriptions,
14:53
which can miss nuances of enthusiasm, intonation,
14:55
etc. And I'm especially curious
14:57
to see how deadpan jokes and
14:59
shitposting translate, or don't, into audio. I
15:02
also struggle a bit with the speed. The
15:04
app defaults to 2x audio playback, which I
15:06
thought sounded unnatural, particularly if the whole idea
15:08
is fostering human connection. You can reset the
15:11
speed by holding down the pause button, but
15:14
at 1x, I noticed I'd start skimming
15:16
when listening to longer posts. Then I'd
15:18
usually skip ahead before listening to the
15:20
full audio, but maybe that's fine, end
15:23
quote. Again, any invites? brianattechmeme.com or
15:25
at brianmcc on Twitter. Finally
15:33
today, long-time listeners know I have a
15:35
fascination with storage. I remember
15:37
when I got my first computer with a 100 gigabyte
15:40
hard drive and how spacious and capacious
15:43
that felt, but I also
15:45
remember how my first mp3 player could
15:47
hold but one album at a time,
15:49
only one. I'd load Primal Scream's Exterminator
15:51
album and go for a run, and
15:54
at track 11, this device
15:57
was out of storage, so it was either hit
15:59
repeat or stop running. I usually stopped running.
16:02
So here we go, quoting the Verge, it
16:05
wasn't that long ago when we were
16:07
impressed by a 400 gigabyte micro SD
16:09
card, but now Western Digital is showing
16:11
off a full size SD card with
16:13
10 times the storage capacity. The new
16:15
SanDisk Extreme Pro 4 terabyte SD card
16:17
is designed for cameras and laptops, and
16:20
it's the first time we've seen the
16:22
storage size on an SD card. While
16:24
Western Digital is previewing its 4 terabyte
16:26
SD card at the NAB show this
16:29
week, it won't actually be available until
16:32
2025. Anantek notes that the card uses
16:34
the ultra high speed I UHSI
16:36
interface, which supports up to 104
16:40
MBS data transfers in the
16:42
UHS 104 mode.
16:44
It also has minimal sequential write speeds
16:47
of 30 MBS, enough
16:49
for 8K video recording. The
16:51
SD Association first announced its
16:53
secure digital ultra capacity or
16:55
SDUC card specifications in 2018,
16:58
promising that SD cards would soon
17:01
hold up to 128 terabytes of
17:03
storage. It's taken quite some time to get
17:05
to the 4 terabyte point and Western Digital
17:07
isn't disclosing what type of NAND is inside
17:10
the upcoming card. So even higher
17:12
capacities are likely a ways off. Still,
17:14
if you're eager to record beyond 4K
17:16
resolution with 4 terabytes of space, then
17:19
Western Digital should have something ready next
17:21
year. The big question is how much
17:23
a 4 terabyte UHS1 SD card will
17:25
cost. Given the 1 terabyte versions
17:27
of the same card retail for around $140, you're probably looking at
17:31
$600 or more for a 4 terabyte
17:33
version, end quote. I
17:41
think I brought this up before, but I've
17:43
fallen in love with the feature in Apple
17:45
News Plus where certain articles are
17:48
turned into podcast episodes so you can listen
17:50
to instead of read them. Can
17:52
anyone listening to me right now put me
17:54
in touch with the Apple News team? I
17:57
mean, I do a daily news
17:59
show that could be... perfect for this section of
18:01
Apple News Plus. We'd love to have at least
18:03
the conversation. Brian at techmeme.com,
18:05
talk to you tomorrow.
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