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The split screen between President Biden and Defendant Trump

The split screen between President Biden and Defendant Trump

Released Saturday, 7th October 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
The split screen between President Biden and Defendant Trump

The split screen between President Biden and Defendant Trump

The split screen between President Biden and Defendant Trump

The split screen between President Biden and Defendant Trump

Saturday, 7th October 2023
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

It's okay to use your phone at a football

0:02

game, but

0:04

you should never use your phone behind

0:06

the wheel. Fines

0:10

now start at $150. So phones down. It's the law.

0:17

Tonight, the new jobs report smashing

0:19

expectations. President Biden touting

0:22

his administration's wins. Meanwhile,

0:24

it is day five of the former president's

0:27

fraud trial. The developments from court

0:29

today and a chaotic week on

0:31

Capitol Hill ending with no speaker

0:33

of the house. The reality check from

0:35

senators as house Republicans scramble

0:38

to find leadership. Then cutting

0:40

through the noise and important conversation

0:44

about transgender youth athletes with

0:46

a panel

0:46

of experts. You are not going

0:48

to want to miss this as the 11th hour

0:51

gets underway on this Friday night. Good

0:53

evening. Once again, I'm Stephanie

0:57

Ruhle. We

0:58

usually do the night cap on a Friday, but we have got so much big news

1:00

that we have got to break down. And

1:02

later we have a very special conversation that you

1:05

do not want to miss. But

1:07

let's start with the big news because

1:10

we got big and very good economic numbers

1:12

this morning. The Labor Department said the U.S. economy

1:14

added 336,000 jobs in the month of September. President

1:19

Biden highlighted the better than expected number in

1:21

a speech earlier this morning. We

1:24

have the highest share of working age Americans in the workforce

1:26

in 20 years.

1:29

It's no accident. It's by dynamics. We're

1:32

growing the economy from the middle

1:34

out, the bottom up, not the top down.

1:40

The good jobs numbers come as the White House is making

1:42

a whole lot of positive The

1:45

good jobs numbers come as the White House is

1:47

making a whole lot of positive headlines

1:49

that impact everyday Americans

1:52

as well as our allies overseas. They

1:54

include $9 billion for student debt

1:56

relief, progress on drug price negotiations

1:59

with big pharmaceutical companies.

1:59

companies and diplomatic

2:02

efforts to reassure our allies

2:04

that the U.S. is still standing

2:06

behind Ukraine despite the chaos

2:08

among House Republicans. Meanwhile,

2:11

on the other side of the aisle, the former president

2:13

and current Republican front-runner Donald Trump

2:16

is still dealing with a whole lot of legal

2:18

problems. It was a five of Trump's

2:20

business fraud trial here in New York where

2:23

a former Trump executive said Alan

2:25

Weisselberger, Trump's longtime CFO,

2:28

asked for help in committing tax

2:30

fraud. And we found out financial statements

2:33

contradicted golf course valuations.

2:36

And Trump is falling back on his most

2:38

reliable and successful strategy,

2:40

delay, delay, delay. Well,

2:43

today a judge refused to stay

2:45

the New York civil fraud trial, but

2:47

did temporarily halt a judge's order

2:49

to cancel business certificates in

2:52

Trump's companies. I told you we had a lot

2:54

to get to. Let's get smarter with the help

2:56

of our lead off panel. And I'm going to

2:58

need them to talk because I'm clearly losing

3:00

my voice. My friend, John Allen, senior

3:02

national politics reporter for NBC News,

3:05

Glenn Thrush, justice department reporter for

3:07

the New York Times, and Harry Lippmann, former

3:09

U.S. attorney and former deputy assistant

3:11

attorney general. Mr. Allen,

3:13

let's start with you. Can we talk about

3:15

the split screen? Joe Biden had

3:18

a really big week of achievements. Well,

3:20

Donald Trump sat in court day

3:23

after day, spouting lies on the courthouse steps

3:25

and his party on the Hill is an absolute

3:28

chaos. Yeah,

3:29

between the two things between Donald Trump in

3:32

court and what happened in the house, the

3:34

mess that was on the floor that continues behind

3:36

closed doors right now, there was a very

3:38

good week for Joe Biden in terms of news,

3:40

in terms of substantive news, in terms of political

3:43

positioning. I know there are a lot of people on the left

3:45

that are upset with him using this money to build

3:47

more of Donald Trump's wall, but that definitely will

3:50

blow the issue for him heading into the next

3:52

election here. And

3:54

you had Hunter Biden with his court case

3:56

that got completely knocked out of the headlines.

3:59

Nobody. paid attention to as you

4:01

had this chaos unfolding on

4:04

the House floor. So a very good week for

4:06

Joe Biden and a pretty bad

4:08

week for Donald Trump in terms of the broader general

4:10

election. As we know, though, he

4:12

continues to defy

4:15

gravity politically within the Republican Party

4:17

and seems to be cruising toward their nomination.

4:21

John, let's talk about this one thing that does

4:23

hang over us and President

4:25

Biden. Inflation. It is still

4:27

a problem for everyday Americans, and

4:30

it's very complicated for the White House because

4:32

on the one hand, it is great that

4:35

we got that really good jobs report today.

4:37

But we have to remember that the Federal

4:39

Reserve has been trying to slow the economy

4:42

to get inflation down. And as long

4:44

as businesses continue to grow and continue

4:46

to hire, life is not going to get cheaper

4:48

in this country. How does the White House

4:51

manage that? Because they don't control it.

4:54

It's very, very difficult, Stephanie, as you point

4:56

out, there are tension points between these things, between

4:58

inflation and interest rate with

5:00

the job market. And I think the

5:02

difficult thing for any White House in a situation

5:04

like this is you want people to be optimistic. You

5:07

want to inject that optimism into markets.

5:09

You want to do inject optimism

5:11

for consumers to try to help the economy get better. And

5:13

at the same time, you don't want to get caught telling

5:15

people to not believe their lying

5:17

wallets. So this has been a struggle for the for

5:20

the Biden administration. Obviously, the

5:22

economy has been a mixed picture. I think one of the things

5:25

that gets lost a little bit in this when we talk about

5:27

inflation is that you get the periodic

5:29

reports of what inflation is doing. And if it falls

5:32

a little bit, you know, quarter over quarter or year

5:34

over year, you know, there's sort of a celebration

5:37

in Washington. But what people feel

5:39

is the aggregate of all of those

5:42

those quarters of inflation. And so

5:44

when they go out to a restaurant or they take their kids

5:47

out to out to shopping or whatever,

5:50

they feel appropriately

5:53

that everything is so much more expensive than it was

5:55

just a few years ago. And I think it's

5:57

an incredibly difficult political situation

5:59

for this. White House and any White House that's dealing

6:02

with a mixed economy.

6:04

It's a huge positive that inflation

6:06

isn't going up anymore, but life ain't

6:08

cheap and people feel it. Glenn,

6:10

let's talk about this because the president is

6:12

out there working on policy, talking

6:15

about the White House's achievements, and there's a lot.

6:18

But what he's not doing is hitting Trump on

6:20

the 91 charges against him.

6:23

You think that's going to change? You think his political strategy

6:25

will change as we get closer? I mean, how hard

6:28

is this knocking Trump right now?

6:33

It has to, right? I mean, positive

6:36

isn't selling anywhere in

6:39

American politics right now. You know, I'm

6:42

in the media market on some Virginia

6:45

House races, Virginia House and Senate races,

6:48

and you can there is

6:50

not a single positive in the entire

6:52

lot. I mean, when you look at the

6:54

polling, even

6:57

some of the polling that favors Biden, you

6:59

see just this incredible level

7:01

of pessimism that people have. And

7:03

I think John is exactly

7:06

right. You go into grocery stores

7:08

and you see items that were two years

7:11

ago, four bucks or now eight dollars. So

7:13

people are, while you're seeing

7:16

inflation decrease in a bunch of sectors, I

7:18

think people in a very tangible way

7:20

are seeing this as a problem. I remember

7:22

when I covered the Obama White House, they

7:25

had a similar issue right around the

7:27

end of the financial crisis where they were

7:30

seeing a lot of remember the whole green shoots

7:32

argument where they were seeing a lot

7:34

of improvement in the economy metrically,

7:37

but people weren't feeling that way. And

7:40

public sentiment optimism

7:42

is an extremely lagging indicator. And

7:45

also, Biden is not an especially dynamic

7:49

messenger on this issue, right? I mean, he just

7:51

isn't, whereas Trump is an

7:53

extraordinarily dynamic messenger

7:55

on his issue. So I think you have

7:58

kind of a perfect storm. of

8:01

difficult issues that the White House is having to

8:03

face, even on a week where

8:07

there is absolutely, manifestly

8:09

no doubt about which direction

8:12

the news cycle is moving. But

8:14

I think you're looking at sort of a structural issue

8:17

politically that the White House is gonna have to struggle

8:19

with no matter how many indictments

8:21

Trump deals with, no matter

8:24

how many great employment

8:26

reports we have, this is

8:28

gonna be a challenge for Biden

8:31

all the way through.

8:32

Donald Trump might be a great messenger,

8:34

but he's pushing lie after

8:37

lie every day. And what Joe Biden

8:39

has right now are a lot of good policies

8:41

that are working for people across this country.

8:44

Harry, let's talk about Donald Trump and

8:46

his fraud trial. What

8:48

does this stay on his business

8:51

certificates mean? It sounds like he's getting hooked

8:53

up here.

8:54

Yeah, but look, the

8:58

prosecutor were ready to do this anyway.

9:00

What it means is that the judge,

9:02

the judge Angaron did two things. He said,

9:05

look, I'm holding against you, summary

9:07

judgment, frauds established. That's number

9:09

one. Also, I'm gonna start yanking

9:11

certificates from these companies that you

9:14

control, giving them to receivers, et

9:16

cetera. What happened today is his

9:18

lawyer went up to the next level court and argued

9:21

successfully, man, after

9:23

you do this, you cannot unscramble

9:25

the eggs. And let's just put

9:27

this part on hold. And the judge

9:30

agreed with Trump to put it on hold.

9:32

Now, the AG of New

9:34

York said, we were gonna do that anyway, so

9:36

don't think it's such a big victory. This

9:39

week was a bruising one for Trump

9:41

in court, culminating with his former

9:43

controller basically having to fess

9:45

up to lies and say he helped

9:47

Allen Weisselberg, who testifies next

9:49

week, commit tax fraud. And I

9:51

would argue, you know, we've been waiting,

9:54

waiting, waiting. I think this fraud

9:54

trial is one of the real things,

9:57

meaning this has been the first week of the

9:59

rest of the day.

9:59

Donald Trump's life. He is now

10:02

in a trial that could really

10:04

damage him. Everything but take

10:06

away is liberty and we know he cares

10:08

about it. So it's now

10:11

actually begun and there's five

10:14

on the, you know, four others on the horizon.

10:16

All in all, a rough week for him, though you're

10:18

right at the end. He doesn't have to face

10:21

immediately these, the unwinding

10:23

of his LLCs.

10:25

Can we stay on this point, Glenn? Again,

10:28

maybe Donald Trump talks a good game

10:30

at the podium, but how on earth

10:33

does he come back from the testimony that

10:35

we heard today that Allen Weisselberg,

10:38

his CFO for decades,

10:41

openly asked for help to commit

10:43

tax fraud?

10:46

He doesn't. I

10:48

mean, I mean, it was an interesting,

10:51

I mean, he doesn't. And again, I think

10:55

that you're looking at a situation

10:57

that is very much prefiguring what we're gonna

10:59

see in some of these federal cases. Another

11:02

development that happened today, a

11:05

little more positively for Trump was Judge

11:07

Cannon down in Florida, put

11:11

a stay essentially on the CIPA

11:13

classified document

11:16

process, which is gonna delay that

11:19

proceeding down there quite a bit while the DC

11:21

proceeding is moving really quickly. But you

11:24

make a good point. I mean, there's a limited

11:26

utility of him

11:28

running up to the cameras. Having

11:31

covered this guy for a while, the

11:33

cameras in the courtroom element of

11:36

the civil trial in New York was

11:39

a game changer for Trump. Trump cares

11:41

about image. And he was sort of

11:44

sitting in the first couple of days, he

11:47

was sitting in that courtroom

11:49

looking like just a regular defendant,

11:53

wedged between his lawyers, having

11:55

to sit there and deal with what

11:57

the judge and prosecution were doing out,

11:59

right? He hated that so he

12:01

felt compelled to counter program

12:04

and really vociferous way that

12:06

I think really shows you the dilemma This

12:09

is a guy who loves to control image He's

12:12

somebody if you recall

12:14

would listen to the would watch the playback

12:17

of his Sunday show appearances with the sound off

12:19

because he cares what he looks like and I

12:22

think That does not portray

12:24

him in a position of strength in a way that we

12:27

haven't seen in the federal Proceedings yet

12:29

because there are no cameras in the courtroom So

12:31

I think what you what you got this week was

12:33

a real insight into what Trump perceives as

12:35

his own weakness He doesn't like

12:37

being seen as being vulnerable

12:40

and as we're moving down this process That's

12:42

going to become increasingly difficult for him

12:44

to counter program

12:46

John what do you think?

12:49

Yeah, I mean I think Glenn is absolutely

12:51

right Donald Trump looks

12:53

weaker sitting in the courtroom where a judge

12:56

is Dictating things and he's not speaking

12:58

than he does in any other venue. I These

13:01

are bad images for him and at

13:03

the same time, you know, he's got a pretty

13:05

locked in base So we'll have to

13:07

see how these things play out how the future trials

13:10

play out We're still a long way away from that general

13:12

election next November for

13:14

the time being We're I guess we'll

13:17

watch the polls and see if there's any change within the Republican

13:19

primary But that does not you know if past

13:21

performance is any indication of future

13:24

performance that won't happen

13:26

Harry let's talk about Trump's motion

13:28

to dismiss the federal election clickcase.

13:31

He is claiming presidential immunity

13:33

He loves to claim that all over the

13:35

place and most times it

13:38

does not apply But could

13:40

this make it to the Supreme Court?

13:43

Yes in a word and then it's

13:45

likely to make it to the Court of Appeals

13:47

before it comes it comes

13:49

back In other words, let's just let's think

13:52

about this in two ways first delay

13:54

because it's for immunity under the

13:56

law It's likely even when

13:58

he loses as I believe if he will, in

14:01

front of Judge Chutkin, he'll be able to

14:03

say, I'm not gonna wait till the end to appeal.

14:05

I wanna appeal it now, because the right I'm

14:07

claiming is not to be in trial in the

14:09

first place. Now it goes to the Court

14:11

of Appeals. He really ought to win there. The

14:14

precedent is strong. There's a couple

14:16

wild cards that have to do with some

14:18

judges, but I think it'll be okay. But

14:21

this motion, most of his legal claims

14:24

have been slap-dash and really

14:26

political. This is designed for

14:29

conservative justices,

14:31

and it's got all the right

14:33

kinds of sites and that sort

14:35

of thing. So I don't think

14:38

it's likely the Supreme Court will

14:40

save him, but it's clearly

14:43

he's taking his best shot. And if

14:45

they simply see a claim that they

14:47

like and wanna think about and

14:50

take on cert, even if

14:52

he loses, that's a year or

14:54

more potentially. So from

14:57

the delay standpoint, he's gonna

14:59

get some delay in the most important

15:01

trial, which is now set for March,

15:04

in terms of an actual Hail

15:06

Mary, getting him out of the jail

15:08

free as it were. I don't see it, but

15:11

it's the best shot that I think

15:13

he has. And the motion's clearly

15:15

designed to appeal to the

15:17

conservative justices on the

15:19

Supreme Court.

15:21

Well, he's certainly gonna take that shot if we know

15:23

Trump. John Allen, Glenn Thrush, Harry

15:26

Littman, thank you all for starting us off tonight.

15:28

Coming up, the warning from senators

15:31

to their colleagues in the House about

15:33

choosing a more conservative speaker. Our

15:35

friend David Jolly is here on the chaos

15:38

in Congress and what could come next. And

15:40

later, trans athletes is a

15:42

hot and very polarizing topic,

15:45

so polarizing that lots of people have

15:47

questions that they're too afraid to ask. Well,

15:49

tonight we're answering them. The

15:51

11th hour just getting underway on

15:53

a Friday night.

15:59

It's okay to use your phone at a football game, but

16:04

you should never use your phone behind the

16:06

wheel.

16:09

Fines now start at $150. So

16:12

phones down, it's the law.

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16:51

Republican House members have a lot

16:53

to think about this weekend. Next week, they'll start

16:56

the process of trying to select

16:58

a new speaker after Booten Kevin McCarthy.

17:01

Well, Donald Trump has weighed in and officially

17:03

endorsed Jim Jordan of Ohio in

17:05

the race. And senators from both parties

17:08

are giving the house a serious reality

17:10

check, warning them that a more conservative

17:13

speaker will not have any

17:15

more luck pushing through legislation with

17:17

the slim, slim margin that they've got. Back

17:19

with me tonight to discuss a true expert,

17:22

former Republican Congressman David Jolly, he's

17:24

now chairman of the Serve America Movement

17:26

and lucky us an MSNBC political

17:28

contributor. David, these are

17:31

your former colleagues. Please give

17:33

us your assessment of where your old party is tonight.

17:37

Well, in trouble. I

17:39

mean, that's the assessment in trouble

17:41

because I think the framing of this, as

17:43

you contrast it with Senate Republicans

17:46

is a very important one because ultimately

17:49

it's easy to realize that House

17:51

Democrats are in opposition

17:53

to House Republicans, Senate Democrats are Joe

17:55

Biden is, but really Steph.

17:59

The biggest problem for House. Republicans is Senate

18:01

Republicans don't actually want anything that

18:03

they have to offer. And Kevin

18:05

McCarthy learned that, the caucus learned that during

18:07

the shutdown. And so how does that

18:10

come into immediate play? It comes into

18:12

immediate play because as they are having this

18:14

contest for the next speaker, it

18:16

all has to be within the framing

18:19

of what do they do with a budget negotiation

18:21

in 45 days, because whomever

18:23

the new speaker is for the Republicans is

18:25

going to lose. They're going to face a major

18:28

loss in their first 30 to 45 days. And

18:31

how do they promise the caucus that they

18:33

will lose that gracefully but continue to fight

18:36

the weird dynamic among speaker candidates

18:38

right now?

18:39

Okay, then how do you deal with this wrinkle? If

18:42

the next thing that has to happen is how do we

18:44

keep the government open? What do you do

18:46

with the Donald Trump endorsement? Donald

18:48

Trump now endorsing Jim Jordan. So

18:50

in theory, that would make Jordan the easy

18:52

favorite. And I can think of

18:54

Donald Trump just a few months ago, a few

18:57

weeks ago going, let's go

18:59

for a shutdown. What do we care? Blow this thing up.

19:01

Trump doesn't want the government to stay open in function.

19:05

Yeah, and as president, I think he shut the government down

19:07

for almost 30 days. So we know

19:10

that he is willing to do that. We know that Jim Jordan

19:12

is willing to do that. I think the

19:14

last 36 hours has been very predictable in

19:17

seeing Jordan and Scalise emerges as the front

19:19

runner seeing Trump endorse Jordan.

19:22

And what I would suggest we're going to see come out of

19:24

this mathematically is Trump's

19:26

endorsement of Jordan likely knocks out

19:28

Scalise mathematically. But

19:30

I don't think it puts Jordan over

19:33

the top because even Trump's

19:35

endorsement isn't enough for a couple of Republicans.

19:37

I think you saw two House Republicans who voted

19:39

to impeach Donald Trump. You

19:42

have a couple who would never vote for

19:44

Donald Trump or his candidate. And because

19:46

the margins are so slim, can

19:48

Jim Jordan still get to 218? The one

19:51

thing that will be different in this environment than

19:53

January is Republicans can

19:55

have that conversation behind closed

19:58

doors and know that they're at 218. 18 votes

20:01

before they go to the House floor. They don't

20:03

have to expose all their dirty laundry to the country

20:05

and go through 15 votes on the House floor. They

20:08

can wait until they've done it behind closed doors,

20:10

go to the floor for one single vote.

20:13

So how long do you think this is gonna take?

20:16

I think it's going to take a while because

20:19

you have members who are demanding

20:21

things that contradict each other. Some are

20:23

demanding rule changes, some are demanding impeachment,

20:26

some are demanding Ukraine money, some are demanding

20:28

no Ukraine money. The margins are

20:30

just too thin, which then opens up this

20:32

conversation. Are there a handful

20:34

of Republicans today that would be willing to

20:36

work with Democrats? That's

20:39

a far bridge to cross, and

20:41

those Republicans might as well switch to the Democratic

20:44

Party if they're going to do that. I

20:46

think we're looking at another couple weeks before this

20:49

all gets settled out.

20:50

Okay, that takes me directly to my next

20:53

question, and I realize how far this bridge

20:55

is potentially, but House Minority

20:58

Leader Hakeem Jeffries wrote a Washington Post

21:00

op-ed earlier today, arguing for

21:02

a bipartisan coalition to leave the

21:04

House.

21:05

Do you see any

21:06

scenario where that could actually

21:08

happen?

21:10

Here's the interesting thing, Steph. We are going to

21:12

have coalition governing for the next 14 months,

21:15

but both parties probably don't wanna call

21:17

it that. Maybe Hakeem Jeffries ultimately

21:20

will. But if you consider the debt deal that

21:22

got done, if you consider the CR that got done,

21:24

if you consider the coalition it will take to

21:27

govern for the next 14 months, it's

21:29

going to be Republicans and Democrats, and the hard

21:31

right's going to be angry about it. Now, are

21:34

we going to call it coalition government? Who

21:36

knows, but I think this is where, in the

21:38

immediate timeframe, we

21:40

do have to separate, to a certain extent, the

21:42

speakership race and the budget

21:45

negotiations, because I think you do have

21:47

five to 10 Republicans willing

21:50

to play ball with Democrats on a budget

21:52

deal. But that does not mean they're willing

21:54

to play ball with Democrats on a speakership

21:57

deal, and that is the family

21:59

conversation that has. to get sorted out. You

22:01

might have these five to ten Republicans throw

22:03

their lot in behind maybe a Jim Jordan, whoever

22:07

the identified candidate is for speaker

22:09

for Republicans, while also throwing

22:12

their support in with Democrats for some type

22:14

of coalition to keep the government open.

22:16

I think that's how the next 14 months is really going to

22:18

look as we face these cliffs time and time

22:21

again.

22:22

You know, there might be some days, David, where

22:24

you miss being a member of Congress. I'm

22:27

going to guess definitely not tonight.

22:29

Always good to see you. Thank you for joining us.

22:32

When we come back, you cannot go anywhere.

22:34

Not tonight. A conversation you

22:37

do not want to miss. Transgender

22:39

athletes. It is a polarizing topic

22:41

in this country and it's one filled with

22:44

misinformation. Tonight we're going to get

22:46

to the truth. We're going to answer questions

22:48

a lot of people have and they're too afraid

22:50

to ask.

23:02

More than 400 bills targeting transgender

23:04

people have been introduced nationwide,

23:06

according to the Equality

23:08

Federation. And with numbers like that, Republicans

23:11

might have you thinking that support for

23:13

this group does not exist.

23:15

But that is not true. Not at all.

23:17

In fact, there are a lot of people that do

23:19

not understand that this is a

23:21

very, very vulnerable group and

23:24

they deserve to have their voices heard

23:26

and their stories told. So I sat

23:28

down with folks

23:30

who are experts on the subject. Dr.

23:32

Jack Turbin, an assistant professor of child

23:35

and adolescent psychiatry at the University

23:37

of California, San Francisco. His research

23:40

focuses on the mental health of transgender

23:42

youth with some of it even getting cited

23:44

in major court cases. ESPN's

23:46

Katie Barnes, author of the book Fair

23:49

Play, has forced shape the gender

23:51

debates and triathlete

23:53

Chris Moser, one of the most successful

23:56

transgender athletes in American

23:58

history. We had a very important conversation. that

24:00

I am honored to share with you right now.

24:05

Doctor, one of the biggest issues, there is just so

24:07

much misinformation on the subject. There's

24:09

this idea out there. The kids are showing

24:11

up to school on a Monday after getting

24:13

bullied and saying, oh, it must be

24:15

my gender. Today I'm gonna be a boy,

24:18

or I'm gonna be a girl, or that kids wanna

24:20

change their gender because it'll make them more competitive

24:22

in sports. Is this happening?

24:26

So I think what a lot of people don't understand,

24:29

particularly for gender-affirming medical interventions, which

24:31

is what people are concerned about, is that there's

24:33

a very structured protocol for a doctor

24:35

to ever consider prescribing those to a young person.

24:38

So a person would need to identify

24:40

as transgender for at least six months to

24:42

meet criteria for this diagnosis called gender

24:45

dysphoria, and then they'd have to undergo

24:47

a comprehensive mental health evaluation

24:50

and get consent from their parents and the doctor

24:52

and fully understand all the risks and benefits of those treatments.

24:55

So I think there's some media notion that

24:58

gender-affirming medical care in particular moves very,

25:00

very quickly, and the reality is that it's a very

25:02

slow

25:03

process. In terms of adopting

25:05

a new gender identity for sports, I've

25:07

never seen that happen. We're in California,

25:09

where we're probably one of the states with the least stigma

25:12

towards trans youth, but there's still a lot.

25:15

I have kids who are being barked at, a

25:18

reference that all LGBT people

25:20

are furries and constantly harassed

25:23

for being trans. So this notion that they would sacrifice

25:27

so much to be able to win in sports,

25:30

given all the hostility they would face if they did that,

25:32

I think it's just not a realistic understanding of how

25:35

school operates today.

25:38

One of the issues is a lack of information.

25:41

So let's say a young boy wakes up

25:43

and says, I'm a girl, what is the next

25:45

thing that happens?

25:48

Usually not a lot. Two might

25:50

talk to their parents about that. And

25:54

it's also gonna depend on the age of the adolescent.

25:56

So if it's someone before puberty, then

25:59

maybe that parent might want to talk to the school or

26:01

talk to a therapist. So that can be

26:03

a top therapy to understand what that means. Right?

26:06

For some very young kids, things are confusing between

26:08

what are gender roles? What is sex? What

26:12

is gender? And sitting with the therapist can

26:14

help them understand that. And it's not infrequent

26:16

that they realize, no, I'm a cisgender person

26:19

who likes dolls. You know, that's

26:21

not an uncommon thing that happens as

26:23

kids realize they just don't fit into gender

26:26

roles. And they're very different

26:28

kids who really do have a strong

26:31

disconnect with their second time at birth in

26:33

a way that feels really important and salient to them. So

26:36

they may be in therapy for a longer period of time.

26:38

And then when they start puberty, if they start having

26:41

really negative mental health impacts and

26:43

their body's developing in ways that don't align

26:45

with who they are, that's when they might start

26:48

this very long process of potentially working with

26:50

a therapist, getting on a long

26:52

wait list for a clinic that can be over a year

26:54

to start talking about any kind of gender occurring medical

26:56

interventions. It's a very slow

26:58

stepwise process.

27:01

Chris, a lot of people out there want to be

27:03

supportive of the trans community, but

27:05

when it comes to

27:06

sports, youth sports, they

27:08

get a little more squeamish and they think, is

27:11

that one right? Should this be

27:13

happening? How do you respond to them?

27:16

This is really about, is every

27:19

person able to have their

27:22

basic dignity and respect just

27:24

like everybody else. It's not

27:26

fair for us to consider that we would treat

27:28

a transgender girl as a girl from 8

27:31

a.m. to 3 p.m. in her classroom,

27:33

but then say that she has to be a boy

27:36

when it comes to sports. So really

27:38

at the end of the day, this is about young people

27:40

having the opportunity to learn all

27:43

of the incredible benefits that come from playing

27:45

sports with their friends and having that same

27:47

opportunities as their peers, regardless

27:49

of how they identify their gender.

27:52

Everyone deserves a chance to express

27:54

themselves and have their dignity

27:56

and be included, but roll

27:58

call with me. What do you think?

27:59

say to that runner, that

28:02

weightlifter who devoted herself

28:05

to that competitive sport and has reached

28:07

the top of the game and now

28:09

fears or could be missing out on opportunities

28:11

or scholarships because they say a

28:14

trans athlete is stopping

28:16

them from doing that. Well, it might be one

28:18

in a million and they don't need legislation.

28:21

What do you say to that young athlete?

28:24

Yeah, I'm really happy that you brought up scholarships

28:26

because I think this is one of the things that we hear

28:28

a lot from both athletes

28:31

and primarily I would say from their parents

28:33

for parents of young people is that

28:36

this opportunity is going to be lost

28:38

if transgender athletes are able to participate.

28:41

And the truth is in mentoring

28:44

transgender athletes and working

28:46

with their families over the course of over

28:48

a decade now, I have never met

28:51

a young transgender person who has

28:53

received an athletic scholarship to NCAA

28:55

sports. This is one of the tactics

28:58

that has been used to create fear

29:00

and the sort of divisiveness between

29:03

cisgender girls and women and

29:05

the trans community when in

29:07

fact these attacks on transgender athletes

29:10

and the attempts to prevent them

29:12

from having the same opportunities as their peers

29:15

is really an attack to all women

29:17

and girls. There are so

29:19

many issues within women's and girls sports

29:22

that we should be paying attention to like

29:24

unequal access to opportunities,

29:27

unequal pay, lack of media coverage,

29:29

high rates of sexual assault

29:31

and misconduct, which is incredibly

29:34

important right now as state legislatures

29:36

are trying to pass and have passed bills

29:39

into law that would allow investigations

29:41

and inspections of young people's

29:44

bodies. So what we really need to remember

29:46

here is that these attacks

29:48

on the trans community in sports actually impact

29:51

all women and girls and we need to be protecting

29:54

everybody within sports and particularly

29:56

young people at this time.

29:59

your book is called Fair Play. Talk

30:02

to us about fairness, because

30:05

you go to your standing on a sideline

30:07

at a youth sports game right now.

30:09

And you anecdotally hear over and

30:12

over, if there's a trans athlete competing,

30:14

it's not fair. So

30:17

when it comes to fairness, I

30:19

think one of the things that's happening is

30:22

that we're simultaneously trying

30:24

to have many different conversations.

30:27

And so one of the things that I don't think

30:30

people fully understand is that

30:33

when we talk about transgender athletes and

30:35

their desire to participate in sports,

30:38

we're not just talking about Olympic level

30:41

athletes. And the legislation that

30:43

has passed around the country does not

30:45

make the distinction between

30:47

elite level athletes and young

30:49

people. And in fact, a lot of it goes out of its way

30:52

to be as broad and affect

30:54

as many athletes and as many young

30:56

people in general as possible. And

30:59

so consequently, we have legislation that

31:01

is affecting kids

31:03

as young as elementary school, but then

31:05

also in many of these, in many

31:07

of these laws, it's affecting who can participate in collegiate

31:10

intramural sports, which has

31:12

nothing to do with who's going to get a scholarship,

31:15

and who's going to win an Olympic medal, and who's

31:17

going to win a sectional championship or state championship

31:20

in high school. So when

31:22

it comes to fairness, I think what's

31:24

been stripped away from the conversation is

31:27

stakes. What are the stakes?

31:30

And then what is the appropriate policy to

31:33

govern the level of sporting

31:35

participation that we're talking about? And

31:37

for the overwhelming majority of

31:40

people playing school sports, their

31:43

experience is going to be,

31:45

you know, K through 12,

31:48

if they get through high school, such a small

31:50

number of athletes that we're talking about who compete

31:53

at the level that Chris does and has throughout

31:55

his career. And so the fairness

31:58

is Often I think

32:01

a term that is being weaponized to justify

32:03

broad-based legislation instead of

32:05

having specific conversations about

32:08

specific policy differences.

32:11

Katie, there's this assumption for

32:13

male to female athletes,

32:15

they have the advantage. Is that true?

32:19

It has a really hard question to answer.

32:21

If the question is

32:24

for those who are assigned male at birth

32:27

who go through testosterone driven puberty, do

32:29

they receive a certain level of

32:31

physiological and metabolic advantages

32:33

that can be applied in sports? In

32:36

other words, are men typically

32:38

bigger, faster, stronger on average? The

32:41

answer to that is yes. But that does

32:43

not mean that somebody who

32:46

is assigned male at birth is going to be

32:48

a better athlete in all circumstances

32:51

in perpetuity than any person

32:53

who's assigned female at birth. That's

32:55

ultimately what we're talking about. When you

32:57

look at elite athletes and

33:00

the distillate, which I think is the purest

33:02

distillation of the athletic form, we

33:05

know that yes, elite male

33:07

athletes are faster than elite female athletes.

33:10

But that does not mean that seven-year-olds

33:13

cannot play soccer together all

33:15

within under the

33:17

same rules and without gender distinctions.

33:19

Chris, for these laws being

33:21

passed, how would one even

33:24

know if somebody competing is

33:26

transgender without doing something outrageously

33:30

invasive?

33:32

Well, that's just it. And that's one of the problems

33:35

with these bills and these

33:37

laws is that it really subjects all

33:39

women and girls to increase scrutiny

33:42

of their bodies and of their gender presentation. And

33:45

we're seeing this play out across the country

33:47

and around the world. There was a nine-year-old cisgender

33:51

girl who was accused of being

33:53

transgender by a parent in

33:55

the stands. And we're talking about a

33:57

middle school track meet. and

34:00

a young person being accused of being trans

34:03

and therefore being told that they don't belong

34:05

in that sport just because of their

34:07

athletic performance or because of

34:09

their gender presentation. And

34:12

this is the reason why these

34:14

bills are harmful to all women and

34:16

girls. And we need to be paying attention to the

34:18

way that we are putting these restrictions

34:21

and policing people's bodies and expression,

34:24

because you're absolutely right. There should be

34:26

no circumstance in this country

34:28

or anywhere in the world where we are

34:31

allowing adults to

34:33

inspect young people's bodies

34:36

or investigate their hormones or chromosomes

34:38

to determine whether or not they can

34:40

play school sports with their friends.

34:43

Dr. Without you having treated that

34:45

nine-year-old

34:46

girl,

34:47

what does something like that do to a

34:50

child just trying to play sports?

34:54

Yes, the one thing that's been just called

34:56

lately is that it's not even just the sports

34:59

conversation, but these kids watch

35:01

the news or on social media, so

35:03

they hear politicians say things like, you

35:05

can't play sports with your friends, you're physically

35:07

dangerous to them. Or you can't

35:10

use the bathroom that matches your gender identity because

35:12

you're going to sexually assault someone. Or

35:15

you can't have your medical care because you're

35:17

actually just mentally ill and you need to be changed.

35:19

And this thing about you that you know you can't change

35:22

is wrong and shameful. So

35:24

I think it's easy for most of us to understand how

35:26

that would drive a lot of shame and anxiety

35:29

and depression for these kids, even separate from

35:31

the kids who are interested in playing sports, because they're

35:33

just constantly, constantly hearing messages

35:36

from powerful people and stigmatizing

35:38

them and telling them that they're dangerous

35:41

and things about them are wrong. They might know

35:43

on a conscious level that's not true, but

35:45

it's really hard to get that out of your mind if

35:47

you're hearing it all the time. So to me

35:49

the issue here that we really should be talking about is

35:51

how these trans kids are being treated and

35:53

we should be wondering, you know, why aren't they even participating

35:55

in sports? Because we know that they're not dominating

35:58

sports leagues.

35:59

Everyone is sticking around. We'll continue this conversation

36:02

right after this.

36:10

It's okay to use your phone at a football

36:12

game. But

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you should never use your phone behind

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the wheel. Fines

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37:02

Dr. Jack Turbin, Chris Moser and

37:04

Katie Barnes still with me. I want to talk

37:06

about funding, Katie, because what tiny

37:09

amount of transgender

37:11

athletes this is even about, yet

37:13

it's taking an enormous amount of

37:16

time and attention that schools

37:18

and communities are working on. And most

37:21

public schools out there are already struggling

37:23

with underfunding. So again, while

37:25

it's for a small amount of people, we often

37:28

hear, well, there's this locker room issue. How

37:30

do you address the locker room issue to those

37:32

who say, well, trans

37:34

people shouldn't necessarily be in a different

37:37

sex locker room, but schools

37:39

don't have the money to build another locker

37:42

room. How do you address these things?

37:44

Well, I think

37:47

part of this conversation

37:50

is ultimately a distraction. I

37:53

think there's a concern for privacy

37:55

in the locker room. And I grew up playing girls sports.

39:17

communication

40:00

in elementary school that, you know, if

40:02

there's a little boy who's playing with dolls

40:04

and dresses to say, that's fine.

40:07

Some boys like playing with dolls and dresses. And

40:10

just taking away the stigma, I think, is what's important

40:13

more than anything.

40:15

Chris, is there an argument to be made that it's

40:17

becoming too much of a focus? Right.

40:20

If I was a 10-year-old girl today and I

40:22

was a tomboy, like I was then, would

40:24

I be asking myself, am I in the wrong

40:27

body?

40:27

I don't think the issue of

40:29

exposure is one that

40:32

we should be worried about. And what I mean by that

40:34

is having representation

40:36

and having positive role models from

40:39

the trans community is not going

40:41

to make someone be transgender.

40:44

My presence and me being a visible

40:47

out transgender athlete does not make

40:49

a kid be transgender. It might just

40:51

make them see themselves and

40:53

see hope and possibility for themselves

40:56

in this world, which is so incredibly

40:58

important to the doctor's point. I didn't

41:00

have that when I was a kid. When

41:02

I was a young person, I never pictured

41:04

myself getting married, having

41:07

a job or a successful career. I

41:09

couldn't picture a version of myself past

41:11

the age of 25. I had no

41:13

hope because I didn't see any example

41:16

of anybody who was like me doing what I wanted

41:19

to do. And so if anything, I

41:21

think representation and visibility

41:23

is an incredibly powerful tool for

41:26

social change and for people,

41:28

all people, to see a possibility

41:30

for themselves. And when we're talking

41:32

about young people here, more

41:35

exposure to different types of people

41:37

is net positive for everyone. There's

41:40

no harm in any young tomboy

41:42

or any young kid seeing representation

41:45

of the trans community and thinking that

41:47

they might be turned

41:49

trans as well. Being transgender is

41:51

not contagious and visibility

41:54

and exposure does not make a young person

41:56

be trans or queer or anything

41:58

else. gives them options

42:01

and hope.

42:04

Thank you so much for saying that. Doctor,

42:06

we often hear on the right this

42:08

argument that there are people out there

42:11

who regret

42:11

transitioning. Is that true?

42:13

Is it actually

42:15

happening with any real numbers? It's complicated.

42:19

We wouldn't, anytime

42:21

that we talk to a family about starting

42:23

a medical intervention, it is something that we talk about, the

42:25

possibility that you will not want to do

42:27

this treatment anymore in the future or the possibility of

42:29

regret. Most of the research we have

42:32

is on the order of 1-2% of people

42:35

stopping medications. One

42:37

thing I'll tell people to be really careful

42:39

about is if you ever see a research paper talking

42:42

about detransition, to be

42:45

really careful what that means. Because if

42:48

you talk to adult trans people, we published

42:50

a research study, 27,000 trans adults,

42:53

more than 10% of them had detransition at some point

42:55

in the past. And most of them said always because

42:57

of stigma. People harass them, they

43:00

couldn't get a job, they were afraid of what life would

43:02

be like for being trans. So you could call

43:04

that detransition, but really it's not a forced detransition.

43:08

And those people later in life transitioned

43:10

again. But when we truly look at regret,

43:12

the rates appear to be quite low on the order of 1% or 2.

43:16

I just want to remind our audience,

43:17

it

43:18

is a pathway. All of this takes

43:20

a long period of time. It

43:22

is not like your 14-year-old walking

43:24

in and saying they want to get their nose pierced

43:27

or want to get a mohawk and heading out and doing

43:29

it the next day.

43:30

It is a long process with

43:32

therapists and

43:33

all sorts of medical professionals helping

43:35

families

43:36

figure this out. Chris, I want

43:38

to give you the last

43:38

word. Anything else you want to make sure you

43:40

share with our audience? Yeah, thank you so much.

43:43

It's so important that people zoom

43:45

out here and really look at the issue

43:47

at hand. I mean, what we're talking about

43:49

has become a political issue. And

43:52

my identity as a trans person is

43:54

not political. It has been politicized.

43:58

And these young kids across the country... who

44:00

just want to play sports with their friends, are

44:03

also being politicized, and they're

44:05

being the targets of harassment and

44:07

discrimination from adult lawmakers who

44:10

have far greater issues to

44:12

take care of right now. So I encourage

44:14

everyone to zoom out and look at the bigger picture

44:17

here, which is this is just about

44:19

kids trying to be kids and getting all

44:22

of the incredible benefits that young people receive

44:24

from sport, and every young person

44:26

should have the opportunity to get that.

44:28

All right, thank you all so, so much. I really

44:30

appreciate your time. On that note,

44:32

I wish you all a good night. From all of our

44:34

colleagues across the network of NBC News,

44:37

thanks for staying up late

44:38

with me. I'll see you at the end of Monday.

44:46

It's okay to use your phone at a football game,

44:48

but

44:50

you should never use your phone behind

44:52

the wheel.

44:55

Finds now start at $150, so phone's down.

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