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Champions League semi final review and final preview

Champions League semi final review and final preview

Released Thursday, 9th May 2024
 1 person rated this episode
Champions League semi final review and final preview

Champions League semi final review and final preview

Champions League semi final review and final preview

Champions League semi final review and final preview

Thursday, 9th May 2024
 1 person rated this episode
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

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0:00

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for everyone. Fuel restrictions apply. The

0:32

Athletic Hello,

0:42

this is the Athletic Football Tactics

0:44

Podcast. I'm Ali Maxwell, and this

0:46

week, the Champions League is our

0:48

main event. So it's apt

0:50

that I'm joined by Demyster, DeBeston,

0:54

Mark Carey, Liam Tharm and

0:56

Michael Cox of The Athletic. Hi, guys.

0:58

Hello. Hello. A reference there, Michael, to

1:02

the lyrics of the Champions League

1:04

anthem. Right. The beloved Champions League.

1:06

Of course. Yeah. The

1:09

next line is Les Grande Zéquip. I couldn't

1:11

work out how I would

1:13

get the best teams into the... You

1:15

get the point. The guys are with

1:17

me to talk through the Champions League semi-finals

1:19

and look ahead to the final, which will

1:21

take place at Wembley. And it

1:24

will include Real Madrid and

1:26

Dortmund. A surprise

1:28

final in many ways. When

1:31

we previewed the quarterfinals, I made you

1:33

guys put together a power rankings of

1:35

the eight teams left in the competition.

1:37

Real Madrid came in at number two

1:39

pre-quarterfinals. Dortmund, eight out of

1:41

eight. So looking forward to

1:43

hearing how they've made it to

1:45

the final. But first, Real Madrid

1:48

and Bayern Munich, the semi-final, which

1:50

concluded late last night with Real

1:52

Madrid winning 4-3 on aggregate. 2-1

1:54

on the night with late goals to

1:56

turn this one around.

1:58

Michael. What were the key factors

2:01

in Real Madrid's victory? Well, they're a funny one. I mean,

2:03

as you can see here, I've got a piece of paper

2:05

with lots of notes I made throughout the game up until

2:08

about 85 minutes. Because

2:10

basically everything that happened in the first 85 minutes

2:12

was a little bit relevant in terms of saying

2:14

how Real Madrid won the game. But I thought

2:17

they were the better team. I thought they were

2:19

the better team by far on the night. I

2:21

thought they dominated most of the game. I thought

2:23

Tony Krosz was fantastic in dictating the tempo. The

2:26

fluidity of the front players we've commented on before,

2:28

but I think it's really quite striking compared to

2:30

the way a lot of other top teams are playing at the

2:33

moment. The one thing they didn't have, and I think it was

2:35

notable that they didn't have this, was they didn't have anyone making

2:38

basically goal scoring runs. Often they got the

2:40

ball wide and Rodrigo Venizis kind of pulled

2:42

off, Bellingham's kind of trying to get into

2:44

the box, but not quite into the six-yard

2:46

box. And of course, that's what they had

2:48

later with Hostelu. But overall, I thought they

2:50

played quite well. I didn't think Bayern offered

2:52

too much really. Sporadic

2:54

counter-attacking threat, but quite poor decisions

2:56

on the break, I thought. Just a note

2:58

on Tony Krosz. He was absolutely the

3:00

metronome for Real Madrid last night. I know that

3:03

Michael's got a piece out on him. But numbers-wise,

3:05

he made 101 passes across the game, which was

3:07

more than any other player on the pitch. And

3:09

he came off after 69 minutes, which I think

3:12

is in itself quite telling. And

3:14

his passing accuracy was 95% across the whole game. But

3:17

they weren't simple, five, 10-yard passes. There

3:19

was a lot of diagonals to the

3:21

right-hand side, which again, goes to show

3:23

just how well-clust he is.

3:26

A note of the rotations across the

3:28

front three, really, Rodrigo, Vanissas Jr.

3:30

and Bellingham. They attacked so

3:32

much towards that left-hand side. And I think

3:34

it was partly because Joshua Kimmick was struggling

3:36

a little bit at right-back. But

3:39

they had 44% of attacking touches in

3:41

the left-third of the pitch. And just

3:44

19% in the middle third of the pitch,

3:46

which was comfortably the lowest share through the

3:48

middle in the Champions League this season four,

3:50

Real Madrid, which I thought was quite interesting for

3:53

two reasons. I think partly because Bayern Munich were

3:56

being really compact in a 4-4-2 out of possession

3:58

And trying to limit Real Madrid's. Going

4:00

through the middle. partly. Because

4:02

of the rotations of those players as well

4:04

but mainly predominately because Mrs. Jr was just

4:06

he had the being just a gimmick and

4:08

again I look into the numbers fourteen take

4:11

on across the whole game for Venice's units

4:13

comfortably more than any of the game the

4:15

season for him an assist most from any

4:17

player in her somebody came the season as

4:19

well so he was just he had to

4:21

being of his man A was clear that

4:23

allows that's the danger I I love the

4:25

ball was going on and also because that's

4:27

where Christmas and he was the one who

4:29

is distributing it and we're not doing the.

4:32

First i didn't even if is paid that

4:34

much to the left it is quite central

4:36

valley him with clay the play on the

4:38

left of the for the as soon as

4:40

Venice's became his want to that.the second half

4:43

than it is fun with everything that went

4:45

to the suspect that that this fluidity between

4:47

those from players and skewing out to the

4:49

left hand side that when when we talk

4:51

about some the top teams in england we

4:53

often talk about how automated a lot of

4:56

the attacking play looks nowadays and predictable made

4:58

it being the wrong word but when we

5:00

see those patterns we we recognize. Them

5:02

and they look coached and drilled

5:04

to what extent is is. do

5:07

you understand this Real Madrid fluidity

5:09

to be Ancelotti empowering his plan

5:11

to do whatever they like and

5:13

feel confident in doing so or

5:16

ancelotti training them to be fluid.

5:18

Set of these pistons on chaotic

5:20

but actually. Functional and an effective

5:22

I think is organized chaos but in in

5:24

the way the Ancelotti empowers his players are

5:26

that you spoke about that before I think

5:28

before the first leg so it was devoted

5:31

organized chaos me what well as as about

5:33

I'll answer it with a coy the he

5:35

he gave before the first leg and he

5:37

said i'm very clear that there are two

5:39

types of creatures those who do nothing and

5:41

those who do a lot of damage I

5:43

to see in the fast The game is

5:45

for the players and you can tell them

5:47

a sense to Tj convince them but then

5:49

the decisive thing is that quality commitment to

5:51

when. He's I mean think about that. the

5:53

pies he's managed. he can. He can be

5:55

very confident that that they will. Do.

5:58

things that he can't necessarily cokes and So he gives

6:00

them the freedom, the autonomy to be

6:02

able to do those things. And my

6:04

colleague John Muller did a piece earlier this week about

6:06

Real Madrid's kind of fluidity and how there's

6:09

unlikely heroes. And you think about who played the cross

6:11

for the winner. It was Antonio Rudiger and the person

6:13

who knocked it in was Hostelich, who I'm sure will

6:15

come on to. That's not

6:17

by chance. That's just the fact that each player is kind

6:19

of empowered. And I know that it was from a set

6:22

piece that it was Rudiger being in high area. But

6:25

I do think that kind of explains the organised

6:28

chaos or the organised fluidity

6:30

that he gives the freedom to his players.

6:32

But I don't think it really works on

6:35

the night. I mean, they needed

6:37

to chuck on a number nine and get two

6:39

goals in the last two minutes. I don't think

6:41

they created that many clear chances. And like I

6:43

say, I think if that's organised as other managers

6:45

would, you could still play without a traditional number

6:47

nine. But there'd be more emphasis on making sure

6:50

someone is always making that run. I mean, maybe

6:52

kind of like Arsenal do. I know Arsenal play

6:54

with a proper striker a lot of

6:56

the time. But they have different players popping up there.

6:58

I thought a lot of the time Real didn't have

7:00

anyone popping up there. And without Hostelu coming on and

7:02

pretty much completely changing the system, then

7:05

obviously they go out despite dominating. Has

7:07

it or was it not in the

7:09

first half of the season, particularly Birmingham

7:11

typically taking up number nine type positions?

7:13

Yeah, and I think he's he

7:16

has faded in the second half of the season. I

7:18

mean, he was never going to sustain the numbers that

7:20

he was putting up in the first half of the

7:22

season. But he hasn't been that much of a goal

7:24

threat, really, in the kind of, well, in the big

7:27

champ his league games. I think he's basically played well.

7:29

But you're right in the first half of the season,

7:31

there was a bit of a debate. What we're looking

7:33

at here is he an attacking midfielder? Is he a

7:35

false number nine? Is he just a number nine? I

7:38

mean, he hasn't really played that role recently in this

7:40

game, really. Without the ball, he was the left of

7:42

the midfield for the Valverde on the other side and

7:44

the two Brazilians up front. So, yeah, they have

7:47

lost a little bit of that. And of course,

7:49

that's why there has been more need for for

7:51

Hostelu. I've

7:53

got a question more than a point to make,

7:55

but generally, I was stepping on

7:57

my toes. Knowing

8:00

Kimmich of course does play this rough with Germany as

8:02

well being a nominal midfielder that

8:05

plays fullback and apparently likes it more than

8:07

maybe he gets sort of credit for were

8:09

you guys surprised to see Tucho stick with that

8:12

of When you know they've got

8:14

that left side of Fert Real especially at home and

8:16

they've got multiple players that can pop up their own

8:18

Beardribbling threat It was interesting

8:20

when I watched Germany recently against

8:22

France and he did okay against

8:24

Mbappe But you've always got the the

8:27

sense that it's quite a Containing job that

8:29

you're never really able to really sort of win

8:31

that duel You're just sort of hoping every time

8:33

that they're not going to get inside you're limiting

8:35

it to A shot from distance or you know

8:37

having to then double up and leave someone free

8:39

elsewhere I know the goal technically comes from from

8:41

a shot being allowed But really you're saying that's

8:43

kind of best-case scenario and it's just getting a

8:45

shot from there And it's noir really makes a

8:47

mistake But I was just I guess surprised to

8:49

see a manager who's renowned for being so

8:52

well structured defensively or that being his focus

8:54

in that bigger game to You

8:57

know He did a veggie make a switch to a back

8:59

five which we can come on to but to Personal wise

9:01

not go to someone more defensive there or

9:03

more of a defensive jeweler did did surprise me

9:05

a little bit Would that most likely be Maz Rowie?

9:07

Yeah, I guess so looking at the squad that he

9:10

would seem like the obvious option and and how

9:12

confident would would you be? Liam to flip it back

9:14

on you that he would do better 1v1 against

9:16

a player like Vinicius It's probably just more natural. I

9:19

think more than anything. I mean he's played both

9:21

sides Full back football

9:23

or we met for club and country And I think

9:25

probably a bit quicker as well than the gimmick and

9:27

obviously you could then look at possibly like making a

9:29

more natural midfield role I

9:31

think a big part of this as well comes from In

9:33

a game where you want to see defend less and you want to

9:35

have more of the ball and be more of an attacking Force and

9:38

that was really I think My critique of

9:40

their switch to a back five and then bringing on a

9:42

center back was I thought they looked

9:44

okay defensively at the time Maybe they were

9:46

anticipating saying they're probably gonna throw hospital on

9:48

and go direct and starting You know more

9:50

crosses and a more direct approach So we need

9:52

to be prepared for that and not having to

9:54

scramble, but I thought they were counter-tacking Well, there's

9:57

that really good break where Kayden's up

9:59

playing the pass behind, I can see, is it

10:01

Nabri? I can't remember who it is running through

10:04

and it doesn't quite come off. Again, this

10:06

is then quite a good bit of hindsight

10:08

but I suppose where if they see up the game

10:10

with the back five, there you go, really smart decision,

10:12

see it out that way. But that

10:14

I do remember at the time being like, I'm

10:17

not entirely sure that was needed right now,

10:19

even though it might be theoretically quite sound.

10:21

I suppose with Alphonso Davis having started

10:23

on the bench, coming off it early

10:25

when Nabri was substituted in the first

10:27

half but on paper maybe a

10:30

man has Rowey at right back, Davies

10:32

at left back and then Michael, one

10:34

of the other interesting decisions was to

10:36

play the youngster Pavlovic in midfield and

10:38

in a high pressure environment, maybe

10:40

someone with the experience and the nouse

10:42

of Kimmich might have been another option

10:45

in the centre of the park. What did you make

10:47

of Pavlovic's performance? I thought he struggled a bit to

10:50

be honest, I thought his passing decision making wasn't

10:52

quite on it. I was surprised they

10:54

didn't play Keretska, who I think is just

10:56

a pretty solid all-rounder, pretty

10:58

good for where the Bonnebau has

11:00

a good relationship with Leimah. So yeah, he looks

11:02

a talented player Pavlovic but this was quite a

11:04

big game to throw him into. I

11:07

didn't think it worked particularly well. I mean

11:09

maybe the defining thing for for

11:12

Bayern was not something that was intentional,

11:14

you know, the key change really was

11:16

when Alphonso Davies came on for

11:18

Nabri, who did his hamstring and

11:21

that had two effects. The first was that they were

11:23

playing two left backs really down one

11:25

side and as we've said, Remedou

11:27

didn't attack at all down that side, I don't think

11:29

that's a coincidence. And the other thing

11:32

was that obviously Davies scored the opener and if

11:34

you end up with, you know, an

11:36

overlapping left back playing left

11:38

wing, left footed, the last thing

11:40

you expect is for him to come inside and curl with

11:43

his right foot and you can tell that Rudeko was

11:45

quite keen to show him inside, which didn't

11:47

turn out very well. So yeah,

11:49

it's funny how these things can happen. I thought that

11:52

really was the defining thing of the game, that enforced

11:54

change. I was also a little bit surprised they brought

11:56

on Davies in that role. I thought maybe they would

11:58

have brought on Thomas Muller. and moved Mozzarella

12:00

to the left. He wasn't getting that much of the ball

12:02

with the number 10. But that's what changed

12:04

the game. Valverde's got an interesting

12:06

role, doesn't he? As

12:09

you say, it was so explicit that Real Madrid

12:11

were attacking down the left side. You

12:13

almost feel a bit sorry for Valverde that

12:16

there's clearly very little onus on using his

12:18

own skills in possession. Michael, I

12:21

saw a tweet from a Real Madrid fan

12:23

that said, in the

12:25

current formation, Valverde's role is

12:27

incredibly similar to Beckham's when

12:29

he played for Real Madrid. And Bellingham

12:31

is playing the same role that Zidane used

12:33

to play when he played for

12:35

Real Madrid, which I thought was quite an interesting

12:38

one. But that Valverde role is, yeah,

12:40

it's atypical, I would say, for a modern

12:43

right-sided midfielder. I see the Bellingham comparison

12:45

more than the Valverde comparison, because Zidane

12:47

did often play from the left where

12:49

Real Madrid did, sometimes for

12:51

France. I think Valverde is all

12:54

just about energy. I mean, Beckham often

12:56

played inside the central midfielder

12:58

when Figo was out on the right. So I

13:00

think that's a little bit of a different thing.

13:02

But yeah, because they have so many players towards

13:04

the left, Valverde and Carverhal just have to cover

13:06

so much space. And that is what Valverde does

13:08

pretty manfully. Didn't think he was

13:10

particularly prominent here. And of course,

13:12

he was the player who was brought off when Hossalu came

13:14

on. But yeah, he's a very useful player.

13:16

I mean, he's had a couple of really good seasons for

13:18

Real Madrid. And Carverhal,

13:21

I thought had a pretty decent game always

13:23

collecting cruisers' diagonals. They've also got Vasquez who

13:25

they can bring in and was the star

13:27

when they beat Barfona in the Clasico a

13:29

couple of weeks ago. So they've

13:31

got just, yeah. I

13:35

mean, Joanne Cruyff always used to say that

13:37

the left side was like the exciting side

13:39

and the right side was the functional side.

13:41

I think that works pretty well for this Real Madrid team. And

13:45

let's talk about Hossalu without

13:47

mentioning any of his former clubs. He's

13:51

an interesting player

13:54

at elite level football, Liam.

13:56

And it harks back to a podcast that we

13:58

did in the last few months. about

14:01

Plan B's and

14:03

how in the Premier League, looking at the

14:06

six biggest teams in the Premier League who are often

14:08

competing in these European competitions,

14:11

this backup number nine doesn't

14:14

really exist in the majority of

14:16

those squads. You know, Manketia

14:18

of Arsenal is probably the most classic

14:20

backup number nine that one of those

14:23

big six clubs have. But some

14:26

of the continental clubs have players

14:28

like Hosselou or Tupermoting who people

14:30

don't consider to be elite level

14:32

number nines but serve a very

14:34

specific purpose as shown here. Yeah,

14:36

completely. I guess we'll come on to

14:39

Dorman as well but they have Falkkruk

14:41

who is kind of that profile but is their

14:43

starting number nine and Hosselou is obviously now back

14:45

in the Spain setup as well, Falkkruk

14:47

is playing internationally so it's kind of I think

14:49

something that feels like it's spilt over a bit

14:51

from the World Cup of everyone going in specifically

14:54

knockout games where there's gonna be times where

14:58

your style becomes a lot less important because you

15:00

just need to score a goal to stay alive

15:02

in a competition or to not get knocked out

15:04

and you go okay we're gonna not necessarily scrap

15:06

our our way of playing but we

15:08

need to go direct and start crossing and I

15:10

thought Rudi had some really good a couple of

15:13

really good deliveries actually from sort of stepping forward

15:15

and then and then crossing from deep

15:17

and at times you clubs are then just

15:19

prepared to say that let's go for that that

15:21

target man, Falkkruk approach and it's just having a

15:23

different profile. Again this is probably an interesting point

15:25

of comparison that it's something that will

15:28

come into the PSG game properly but I think

15:30

they don't really have they kind of have in

15:32

Gonzalo Ramos but you saw a team who were

15:34

kind of playing in a similar way to what

15:36

Real were doing of against a team that was

15:38

then sat deep and prepared to counter against the

15:40

back five and smashing in crosses and

15:42

the difference being they didn't

15:44

really have that play that was gonna you know they

15:47

don't score as many head of goals but it's just

15:49

an avenue that you need in order to be to

15:51

be diverse and to be varied because at certain times

15:53

and again because it's not the majority of games I

15:55

guess recruitment is never going to be for most big

15:57

clubs structured that way or go that way

15:59

because you might need this player five percent at

16:01

the time or ten percent at the time, but it might be

16:03

in the biggest game of the season or in the biggest moments

16:05

that you do need them. Well, PSG did have that player in

16:08

the form of Eric Chupomoting, so it's

16:10

funny how he's now the one to

16:12

have left PSG. But no, I agree. I

16:14

know we've done the episode on it in

16:16

terms of it being a very specific type

16:19

of player, but also type of personality to

16:21

be comfortable within that environment to know that

16:23

you're not going to be maybe the star

16:25

man, but you will have those moments like

16:28

we saw with the Hossaloo brace,

16:30

I suppose, rather than single goal. But just to

16:32

add numbers to that, he's now scored 17 goals

16:34

in all competitions for AL this season, which is

16:36

only behind Jude Bellingham on 22 and Vanistas Jr.

16:39

on 21. So he isn't just

16:41

a sort of a cult hero in the form

16:43

of maybe a Divock Origi who maybe people inflate

16:45

his importance when he actually didn't score all that

16:47

many goals. He's actually putting up really good numbers

16:49

as well. So when you need someone to come

16:52

and score goals, as very much as did last

16:54

night, you were pretty confident that he

16:56

would actually make an impact. You

16:58

said we weren't allowed to mention his former clubs,

17:00

but I'm going to mention the fact that in 2010-11,

17:02

he was part of Real Madrid's B team. And

17:05

also in that B team was Denny

17:08

Carvajal and Nacho, and also

17:10

other quite useful players at some points

17:12

like Hesse, Alvaro

17:14

Morata. And obviously Barcelona has got

17:16

a lot of pros over the years for their

17:19

academy, and they brought through, I think,

17:21

some of the best players in the world, obviously

17:23

Jovi and Nesna and Messi, top three

17:25

of the Bell on Dore in one year. Real

17:27

don't always produce that level of player, but

17:30

they always produce workmen like very useful

17:32

players who often stick around. I know, also

17:35

someone who's just come back. But

17:37

their academy has been really useful for them over

17:39

the years, particularly, I'd say, in

17:41

the big Champions League games, when you just need

17:43

someone to do a job. I think Nacho has

17:46

had a really good few games in

17:48

the Champions League. I think Carvajal has been

17:50

excellent. Vasquez, as I've said. And he's

17:52

another one who, yeah, he went away for the best part

17:54

of a decade, but he was

17:56

in their youth system for seven years.

17:59

And currently, I'll... loan from a team in

18:01

the second tier of Spanish football in Español,

18:03

I mean scored 16 in

18:06

La Liga as they were relegated last season. It's

18:08

basically the equivalent of if

18:11

Man City had loaned

18:13

Jamie Vardy from Leicester

18:15

this season to play

18:17

10-15 minutes off the bench

18:20

poaching in the box when they're dominating

18:22

trying to find a winner which kind

18:24

of makes unbelievable sense. Anyway,

18:28

last word on Bayern because we're going to come back to

18:30

the final in a second, Too-Hool catching

18:33

some heat online

18:35

on account of the substitutions that

18:37

he made and I'd like to

18:39

know how much of

18:41

this is outcome bias because subs were

18:43

made, Bayern threw away a lead, Bayern

18:45

lost the game, how much of it

18:47

is legitimate criticism, subs that changed the

18:50

flow of the game and against Bayern

18:52

Munich? For me it's

18:54

the former, I think it is a little bit of

18:56

outcome bias, one reason being that

18:58

only the night before Dortmund did the same

19:00

thing in terms of bring on Nicolas Sula

19:02

moving to a back five and everyone's lauding

19:04

them for being really sort of tight

19:07

and compact and seeing the game out. Obviously

19:09

as we know Bayern Munich didn't see the game out so

19:11

we're going to sort of retrospectively try

19:13

and reverse the narrative a little bit. I

19:15

think that there's rumours of Kane

19:17

maybe having a bit of an injury so I don't

19:19

know whether that played into it a little bit but

19:22

he played to 85 minutes and they brought on Thomas

19:24

Muller who was a very very experienced player and of

19:26

course Tu-Promoting as well to hold up the play so

19:28

I think that when they

19:30

won nil up they wanted to sort of

19:32

maybe play slightly longer, have those two players

19:34

kind of hassle and hurry the defence and

19:36

see the game out which wasn't too much

19:38

to maybe ask in about 10 minutes worth

19:40

of play so I think that bit in

19:43

terms of the narrative of bringing Harry Kane off one of the

19:45

best players in the world at the moment

19:47

is slightly sort of retrofitting the narrative.

19:50

Liam made the point before about Kim and Jay coming on. I

19:53

kind of understand that one in terms of maybe

19:55

the argument that it might have disrupted the defence

19:57

a little bit of just people knowing their jobs

19:59

but As I mentioned with the Sulu example,

20:01

I do think that it had value, it was maybe

20:04

just that at a moment of chaos they maybe didn't

20:06

know those spaces and those gaps between them

20:08

to make sure that they did it in time. But

20:11

I don't know what you guys think. I think it

20:13

was maybe retrofitting the narrative a little bit. I think

20:15

it's always a bit risky to change your defensive structure

20:17

at such a pivotal

20:19

point when you're then talking about,

20:22

especially because you're going to be doing more

20:24

defending. So when your line squeezes up, if you've

20:26

gone from the two and whoever's communicating to adding

20:28

the third player there who then takes the role,

20:30

it was obviously more notable because Kim was the

20:33

player who I think Touchell came out

20:35

and said after that, I don't remember if you

20:37

blamed him directly or said he's accepted responsibility because

20:39

he jumped out on the three-wheel for the first

20:41

one and then conceded the penalty for the equaliser.

20:43

So whether that had a role in his squad

20:45

selection, I don't know. And as

20:48

much as it is also a case

20:50

of outcome bias, which isn't inherently

20:52

linked to the decisions because Noire ends

20:54

up dropping the ball that no one

20:56

ever expects Maman Noire to drop or

20:58

to not catch. And in

21:00

the same way that I think he,

21:03

Touchell, deserves as much criticism as Tursich

21:05

did for the amount of shots that Dortmund then gave

21:08

up, that if you're then going to sit off and

21:10

allow them so much of the ball and how

21:13

you then defend those chances, you're saying, look, we're

21:15

going to say we're going to try and reduce

21:17

the quality of your chances rather than stopping them

21:19

all entirely. So they kind of gave up on

21:22

shot suppression and it's really always amazing to me that

21:25

– and I probably do the same if I was in that situation –

21:27

but so many head coaches and managers all seem

21:29

to follow that very similar end-of-game

21:31

plan if they're winning or losing, sort of regardless of

21:33

what they're – if you want to call it a

21:36

philosophy or a style of play, you could be the

21:38

most expansive manager going and they still seem to be

21:40

ready to say, let's drop in, just defend the box

21:42

and see it out first, five, ten minutes. It

21:45

must be quite hard to think creatively

21:48

in those circumstances, in those situations,

21:50

with so many moving parts and

21:52

not least the psychological pressures that

21:55

you're under. Michael, any

21:57

Thomas Touchell, Bayern 23-20? 24

22:00

takeaways as their season will end without a

22:02

major trophy for the first time since 2011-12?

22:07

They're clearly not as good as they usually

22:09

are. Their system really has changed with the

22:11

arrival of Kane when they didn't have anyone

22:13

playing that role last year. But actually

22:15

if they get two points from the last

22:18

two Bundesliga games they will finish

22:20

on the same number of points as they had last

22:22

year and if they only won the league on the

22:24

final day last season they'll probably exceed that number. And

22:26

really I just think Leverkusen a brilliant team. I think Leverkusen might be the best

22:30

team in Europe this year. So it's a shame they're not in the

22:32

Champions League. But there's

22:34

no shame in my opinion in losing

22:36

the league to Leverkusen even though for

22:38

Bayern it's completely unprecedented over the last

22:40

decade and there's no shame in

22:42

losing a semi-final in the 89th

22:44

and 90th minutes to Real Madrid. I think those things

22:47

can happen. So I quite like Tuchel. I think he'll

22:49

get another good job and

22:51

I think he's done an alright job at

22:53

Bayern. I think especially in

22:55

the latter stages of the Champions League Bayern

22:57

have looked more comfortable in

22:59

Europe than they have domestically. There's more space

23:01

to play when teams go more toe-to-toe with

23:04

them and they can expose their counter-attacking strengths

23:06

as well as their possession strengths at times.

23:08

I think in the league when they've played

23:10

against deep blocks sometimes or often they've been

23:13

sucker-punched or come unstuck a little bit which

23:16

they haven't had as much in the

23:18

Champions League. But yeah to Michael's point

23:20

they've still been very good in the

23:22

Bundesliga. They've got the best expected goal

23:24

difference per 90 in the Bundesliga so

23:26

looking at their chances created and conceded.

23:29

The numbers suggest they've put up 1.7 goals

23:31

worth more chances than the opposition in an

23:33

average game and Leverkusen a 1.2 per game

23:36

by way of comparison. And

23:38

yes their stylistic play Leverkusen has

23:40

been very very strong. I

23:42

think again we're maybe retrofitting the narrative. Leverkusen have

23:45

had some late wins as well. They haven't always

23:47

been quite as dominant as maybe the

23:50

scoreline would suggest. So I don't

23:52

think there's kind of major major fixes to Bayern

23:54

even though they haven't won

23:56

the trophies or any trophies this season. That's

23:58

their currency but you know. And changes will

24:00

obviously occur in the summer, but I don't think

24:02

it's a major overhaul to

24:28

the future. But

24:31

it's not best team in Europe

24:33

by Levakusen playing Real Madrid in

24:35

the final. And it's not big bad Bayern either.

24:38

It's the side currently fifth in the

24:40

Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund, they beat PSG in

24:43

the semi-final, two nil on aggregate, one

24:45

nil in each leg. Feels

24:48

like a bit of a rarity, almost a bit

24:50

of a throwback. I feel like mid-2000s

24:53

we might have seen a

24:55

Chelsea Liverpool, Mourinho, Benitez, two nil

24:57

on aggregate, but these days feels

24:59

rare. And I'm sad that I

25:01

didn't ask Duncan Alexander to run the numbers on that.

25:04

So we'll never know as we record

25:06

whether it is indeed rare or not.

25:08

Two nil on aggregate and

25:11

PSG hitting the woodwork six times

25:13

over two legs feels like a

25:15

decent place to start, Liam. How

25:17

unfortunate were PSG on that front?

25:20

Well, again, it comes back to a similar point that

25:22

we just referenced, right, in terms of how much of

25:24

it is managerial selection and how much of it is

25:26

outcome bias. A few of those

25:28

from memory, I can't remember all six across

25:30

the two ties, were good

25:32

shots from distance. I think Virginia had a

25:34

couple ways, hit them quite well. So it's

25:37

not always like it's five yards out and you

25:39

should score. And it's always just

25:41

quite a weird proxy as well because they had quite

25:43

a few block shots and quite a few shots off

25:45

target as well, some really bad misses in there where

25:47

you go, I'm always very mindful to praise the team

25:49

for hitting the woodwork. It's quite a weird. You've

25:52

failed as much as you, or you've succeeded

25:54

as much as you can without completely succeeding, if

25:56

that makes sense. So it's kind of a weird,

25:59

a weird proxy. But I was

26:01

slightly baffled by and the listen rek's consistently

26:03

tweet this entire Champions League campaign always with

26:05

this sort of forward line There's been a

26:07

mix of a sensor playing a false nine

26:10

He's had and Bape and run on column

26:12

or any playing with sort of number nines

26:14

He's played Dembele and Baccala as as wingers

26:16

and and Bape's the nine He's played Baccala

26:19

and Bape split strikers with Dembele in the

26:21

ten and sure there's merit for

26:23

adjusting this of all those games So they played

26:25

very different opposition. They played something like to press

26:27

higher something like to counter-attack more It

26:30

didn't seem right that he brought in Ramos because he's not played

26:32

a huge amount of the season He's been as much

26:35

a starter in league eyes He has sort of coming

26:37

off the bench and being really a late game sort

26:39

of salvager of there's a great head of recent They

26:41

get to lay out of where you know They were

26:43

they were behind and just like crossing later on and

26:45

it obviously tends to fly fly in the face a

26:48

lot of what? Listen, we're here wants him to do

26:50

of being a you know, a real build-up team at

26:52

times They're maybe a bit too vertical a bit

26:55

too rushed I thought some of their right side

26:57

crossing Dembele especially was really poor just quite erratic

26:59

And it looks quite panicked I just thought from early on

27:02

of like almost been like we need to score

27:04

really early here to settle things and and get

27:06

back into The game and I thought when Dortmund

27:08

did score I go just stick my keenness

27:10

up front because you've not really got enough

27:12

box presences there to actually be a threat

27:15

Where's hot saloon when you need him? Well, exactly I

27:17

was gonna ask is that why Ramos started the game

27:19

to be that box presence that then yeah They probably

27:21

anticipate that Dortmund were gonna sit in a little bit

27:24

and they needed someone to occupy the center backs Was

27:26

that the main reason rather than having someone in the

27:28

form of a plane to the center? Where you probably

27:30

would have he would have been a bit wasted in

27:32

his skill set I guess so but that's that's Ramos's

27:34

second champion to the start all season and in the

27:36

second leg of a semi-final Like he's not really been

27:39

used at all And I also

27:41

thought it was then weird to have sort of

27:43

in Bape there or for Leicester sort of coming

27:45

inside a bit Not starting by Cola who's probably

27:47

got the best final ball one of the best

27:49

final balls of any players there Especially it's sort

27:51

of in terms of playing cutbacks. It's a real

27:53

super strength So it just felt like to use

27:55

a carry is in the the alchemy wasn't quite

27:57

right in the in the forward line in the

27:59

dynamic So again, they

28:01

did then create a lot but

28:04

and I think this is a point Michael made as well Didn't

28:06

really feel like for what the numbers have come

28:09

out as there were that many memorable chances especially

28:11

not sort of clear sights at goal or ones

28:13

that dropped to Embapa would

28:15

embed other players you'd want them to in those good positions

28:17

to say Yeah, there's four or five

28:19

where I'll have a Newcastle group stage game where

28:21

you go my god How do you keep

28:23

missing these it felt more like just an accumulation of

28:25

decent chances Especially when Dortmund were one that up and

28:27

really sat in Can I just say

28:29

I feel like I've used the word alchemy like once maybe

28:31

twice and it's now referred to as a carry Forever

28:34

on this podcast. I'm just gonna have to not do that numbers

28:37

to go alongside what Liam said is that PSG

28:40

have 44 shots against Dortmund over

28:42

the two legs in a semi-final Which

28:44

is the most shots a team has

28:47

had without scoring in a two-legged Champions

28:49

League tie on record Which is since

28:51

2003 for per optus numbers, but again

28:54

to Liam's point I think it's more that the

28:56

clarity of those shots were not big and looked

28:58

at the the XG of the woodwork efforts and

29:01

Cumulatively those six shots across the two

29:03

legs were only worthy of 0.6 XG.

29:06

So it wasn't like they were huge Average

29:09

shot quality and and four of actually five

29:12

of the six with They're

29:14

all there about near the D of

29:17

the penalty area if you

29:19

can try and visualize that So it wasn't as though

29:21

they were kind of yeah clear-cut efforts done that there

29:23

Emory one was probably the closest one and that was

29:25

a tight angle But you could maybe get benefit of

29:28

it out there, but it across the whole two legs

29:30

I think that's the point that it wasn't huge

29:33

shot quality. It was just

29:35

high quantity I already know what Michael

29:37

thought about this one because in his

29:40

guys as at zonal underscore marking

29:42

on Twitter He said I

29:45

thought this was a very entertaining game where both sides

29:47

played quite badly Yeah,

29:50

I wasn't impressed with dormant at all. I

29:52

didn't think that any spells of possession to

29:54

relieve the pressure I don't

29:56

think they offered that much on the counter at the

29:58

Amy had one burst down

30:01

the left, there was one or two

30:03

occasions where they could have played a good pass through

30:05

a runner going in behind, I think Sancho on

30:07

one occasion and Brent on the other occasion. But

30:09

overall I thought they were quite poor really. They

30:12

did defend the penalty box pretty well. Then

30:14

again PSG racks up 3.2 on

30:17

the old XG. So clearly they

30:19

did have their chances. At PSG they just had

30:21

no cohesion in the final third. I mean Lewis

30:23

and Rico sides do tend

30:25

to be like this. They moved the ball so

30:27

well around the midfield, obviously the side we associate

30:30

most with Lewis and Rico was when he

30:32

had Messi and Suarez and Neymar on the final third and

30:34

could probably do a bit of the Ancelotti of just

30:36

say right, go on, I'd do what you want. Without

30:38

that, I mean his Spain side, they

30:41

were so frustrated. I thought their most organised

30:43

side, particularly at the Euros, but they just didn't

30:45

have any cohesion in the final third. And it

30:47

was the same thing here. I don't

30:49

understand what Mbappe was doing

30:52

when he was playing on the left. They had the

30:54

ball so often down the right with

30:57

Hekimi and Dembele. And

30:59

Mbappe is never really attacking the far post. He's

31:01

a player who can play 9, there's no 9

31:03

on the left. But when you play on the

31:05

left, you've got to add the runs into the

31:08

same kind of position. So it was just Ramos

31:10

there. He had two kind of half chances, snatched

31:12

at them a bit. And then when

31:14

they moved Mbappe up front, I thought it was

31:17

the wrong way around. As you've said, that was

31:19

when you want to bring on someone like Ramos

31:21

for a penalty box present. So I

31:23

was quite disappointed with PSG. I actually thought they were

31:25

more set up for a

31:27

good run in this competition. And to be fair,

31:30

it has been a good run to the semi-finals.

31:32

Did in previous years because there's more tactical organisation.

31:34

I really like the midfield. I think Ruiz is

31:36

a brilliant player to the left. I like Vittina

31:38

a lot. But if they're going to

31:40

lose Mbappe in the summer, suddenly you look at their

31:42

attack. And it feels mad to

31:44

be saying this about PSG, but they probably need to

31:47

sign a good attacker. Are we out

31:49

on Colomirani? I

31:51

mean, Colomirani scored six goals in Ligand this

31:53

season. Klinenbakke scored 26. And after that, he's

31:56

gone to Alabramas on 11. And I think

31:58

that Dembele is a good player. is

32:00

we know him to be a hugely creative

32:02

player, just so fast causes chaos. But he's

32:04

only scored five goals in all competitions this

32:06

season. So it's so skewed towards

32:09

Mbappe, which we know to be true. But when you actually break

32:11

it down and look at the numbers from

32:13

the other forward players, it

32:15

is quite astounding. So I do agree with

32:17

Michael's point. Yeah, I think PSU in

32:19

Europe, this is going to be strange, particularly in the

32:21

knockouts, because a lot of

32:23

what Lewis and Rieke has been able to do in

32:26

the league or chosen to do is sort of start

32:28

to face Mbappe out. There's been games where he's taken

32:30

off at half time, we've not even started him. He

32:32

did it later on in Le Classique as well, which

32:34

is pretty much a significant one to do in such

32:36

a big game. And then of course, he's just given

32:38

him full 90s all the time in Europe, because he's

32:40

kind of accepted that this is a big enough deal

32:42

that you can't do that there. Obviously, they had

32:44

a league on, wrapped up for so long that they

32:46

could get away with that. It's a very young team

32:48

surrounding Mbappe, obviously, he's not particularly old himself,

32:50

but I think it's the youngest team that I

32:53

think in every round in terms of their

32:55

starting 11. So you guess

32:57

that there is still time, especially for new

32:59

signings that come in to integrate and develop.

33:01

They might benefit, I think, in a weird way from

33:04

the clean break of Mbappe in the sense that he's

33:06

never really fit Lewis and Rieke style. There's been times

33:08

in the season where he's paid well and Lewis and

33:11

Rieke has come out and just not been hugely positive

33:13

about him because he's just not the kind of player

33:15

that he wants, which might be as much a fault

33:17

of Mbappe as Lewis and Rieke, which is not really

33:19

fitting at all. And I looked

33:21

through and PSG had the fewest headed shots of

33:23

any team to reach the quarter-finals in the season's

33:25

Champions League. And obviously, that was a total when

33:27

they've gone to the semi-finals, they've had more games

33:29

and more time. And their two headed goals that

33:31

they did score were both by centre backs and

33:33

one of those was off of a set piece.

33:35

So it's clearly a part of their game that

33:37

I'd say broadly is missing. And I think to

33:39

be a good team in Europe, you need to

33:41

be able to do all phases

33:44

to a decent seven, eight out of

33:46

10 level. It's not just about being a 10 out of

33:48

10 build up team or possession team, because

33:50

you're going to come up against probably some point a team

33:52

that's sitting in and going, you need a headed goal from

33:54

somewhere. So quite a lot

33:56

of focus on what PSG didn't do in

33:59

terms of... Who did what

34:01

and well for Borussia Dortmund? They

34:04

scored a headed goal headed in by

34:06

lovely Matt Hummels It's a

34:09

titan of European football for so

34:11

long now and and reaches

34:13

another Champions League final

34:15

Michael you said that you felt the best part

34:18

of Dortmund's performance was defending their penalty box Which

34:20

was always going to be crucial on

34:22

this occasion. So are we looking at the center backs as

34:24

the key players? Yeah, I

34:26

thought hummels was excellent schlottobek was really good

34:28

alongside him as well I thought

34:31

it's probably the only part of the game they

34:33

did really well They defended the penalty box quite

34:35

well of the hummels aerial threat gets him the

34:37

goal at the opposite end of the pitch I

34:39

don't think they're a great side Dortmund. I mean, they've

34:41

done really well to reach the final It'd be a

34:43

great story if they win it. I think Dortmund a

34:46

really likable club, but they're not a great

34:48

side I think they did what they had to do to

34:50

get past PSG here But I didn't

34:52

see that much connection or combination play between

34:54

the attackers here They were just

34:56

good defensively and sometimes a knockout football that can

34:58

be enough just on the note of

35:00

Matt's home I'm not normally in the market for rattling

35:02

off just pure numbers from

35:04

an individual gain from a player

35:07

But hummels made ten clearances for

35:09

tackles and three interceptions and no

35:11

one loved more Than him across

35:13

both teams for those actions, which

35:16

is it is incredible I think that you know scored

35:18

the goal as well and again another staff

35:20

from optus So aged 35 and 143 days

35:23

Matt songs is the oldest German ever to

35:26

score a goal in the champions in a

35:28

championship knockout match So yeah considering his

35:30

longevity, you know in both boxes He

35:32

was incredible and I think that Schlotterbeck

35:35

across the course of the season I know this to be

35:37

true from other people that he does kind of have a bit

35:39

of a mistake in him But I think he was guided through

35:41

it really well from hummels and he was really Progressive

35:44

in his actions on the ball as well So

35:46

if those two have another good game

35:48

in the final then who knows

35:50

it could it could spring a surprise

35:53

A word for Kerbal as well the goalkeeper Part

35:56

of quite an experienced backline their

35:59

underlyings really, really

36:01

quite bad when you look at it.

36:03

They've had a combined across the entire

36:05

Champions League season, an XGA, so expected

36:07

goals conceded, of over 22, and

36:10

only let nine goals in. Kerbal's about

36:12

seven goals prevented in terms of his saves,

36:14

so you're looking at a 13 goal difference,

36:16

which is, I don't have the

36:18

points of comparison, but feels absolutely huge.

36:21

Like there's sort of an unsustainable overperformance, and

36:23

then there's that, which even feels like an

36:25

outlier. So even when you

36:27

factor in Kerbal being the best key opponent of the

36:30

season in terms of goals prevented, and a few really

36:32

good smart reaction saves, I think that can be a

36:34

hard game for a goalkeeper. You've got so many bodies

36:36

in the way, you're not really getting a clear side

36:38

of goal. You rely on very quick reactions to make

36:41

saves, sometimes in unorthodox ways, but that's

36:43

still about six goals in terms of opponents being

36:45

wasteful, which you can get away with

36:47

over this shorter period of time. And again, you

36:49

need to do it now for one more game,

36:52

but there's no real huge signs

36:54

there that that's like a team that's got

36:56

an awful lot going for them, predictably looking

36:58

at the future that they're still to probably

37:00

make some systematic changes in improvements. But as

37:02

we've said, they're probably real underdog, a

37:05

team that that's why they've also struggled in

37:07

the league because of the 36 games. You

37:09

just don't, yeah, that evens itself out of them.

37:17

That final takes place on the 1st

37:19

of June at Wembley. Real Madrid looking

37:21

to win number 15 of these, and

37:25

Dortmund number two, it would be for

37:27

Real Madrid should they win their sixth

37:30

Champions League title in 11 years. As

37:33

for Dortmund, Michael back at

37:35

Wembley, which is where their last Champions

37:38

League final took place. That was in

37:40

2013. They lost

37:42

to Bayern Munich, an

37:44

89th minute winner from I.N.

37:46

Robin, because I have no idea

37:48

what Waft Wubba Tewa means. Yeah, what a

37:50

final that was, by the way. I've wasted

37:52

that recently. And

37:54

I forgot, the tempo is

37:56

incredible. There's so many big moments, big

37:59

chances. It was really, really good.

38:01

So I know a lot of people were kind of ramping

38:03

up to say, oh, it's a bit of a shame when

38:06

you get two sides from the same country in the

38:08

Champions League final. And in general,

38:10

I agree. The ones between Italian and Spanish

38:12

clubs haven't been great, but that one was

38:14

fantastic. Yeah, we haven't got that,

38:16

but we've got Real Madrid against Dortmund at

38:18

Wembley. And I know this is an obvious thing

38:20

to say, but great final for Jude Bellingham, you

38:23

know, at Wembley against his former side.

38:26

After the season he's had, maybe he's after the

38:28

half season he's had, because I think he struggled

38:31

a little bit since Christmas, but he's still been

38:33

fantastic there. His impact has been unbelievable. So

38:35

yeah, I'm quite looking forward to, I

38:37

don't think Dortmund are a great team. I'll

38:39

be honest, I think they're probably the weakest team

38:42

we've seen in the final since Chelsea

38:44

in 2012. Obviously Chelsea

38:46

won it, so Dortmund have every chance of winning

38:48

this. Maybe Tottenham in 2019,

38:51

I still think they're probably a better side with the kind

38:53

of tail end of Pochettino. I still

38:55

think they're probably a better side than Dortmund. But

38:58

they've done well together. Understanding

39:00

that this is tournament football, Liam, and as we've

39:02

said many times, it takes different

39:04

ingredients to be good in tournament football.

39:07

One of the biggest ingredients can be

39:09

luck and fortune, but there are others

39:11

as well. Is there a special source

39:13

that we can make from this Dortmund

39:15

side, mixing a goalkeeper having

39:17

the shot-stopping performance of a lifetime in

39:19

this competition, centre-backs defending their

39:21

penalty box very well when they need

39:23

to, and a threat on

39:25

the counter attack as well, which even though they

39:27

didn't score on the break, they still caused PSG

39:29

a couple of hairy moments. Adeyemi's pace

39:32

in particular is very threatening. Full crook

39:34

has stood out over the last couple

39:36

of ties. Sancho's passing's been very smart

39:39

too. Yeah, it's a group of

39:41

individuals who, maybe without

39:43

a real coherent particularly in attack sort of structure,

39:45

are all really good. I think there's a high

39:48

floor of the team. They've never been, and this

39:50

is also important from the group stage perspective, they've

39:52

not had an awful game or any real periods

39:54

where they've been awful at all. They've never been

39:56

sort of taken out of a match. They were

39:59

really quite good consistency. in the group

40:01

stage. Barring probably matched day one where they tried a

40:03

5-3-2 away to PSG. Turnstitch

40:05

came out afters and was like, we

40:08

just weren't aggressive enough, we gave them too much

40:10

respect. We gave the ball away too quickly when

40:12

we did regain it. So quite clearly I've learnt

40:14

from mistakes there. It's probably quite an experienced side

40:16

as well in terms of their individual

40:18

experience in the Champions League and they felt like

40:20

a few fouls that PSG made later on in

40:22

the game where they knew how to then slow

40:24

the game down and break things up. So

40:27

you need all the elements and I think they

40:29

probably didn't get as much credit as they deserved in

40:31

the groups. But it's been as much

40:34

about them being good in the knockouts, I think, as it

40:36

has been opponents being wasteful. But there was a, I think

40:38

it was a good tweet from Hamels where it was like,

40:40

everyone wants to play us. So it's nice we've got

40:43

to the final, so more teams can play us. And

40:45

if teams are missing chances against them, then, you know,

40:47

tournament football is like turning up and performing in

40:50

those 90 minutes. And if your opponent's done, you're

40:52

going to go through if you're good enough. In

40:54

a motivational sense, they've got that very powerful. Everyone

40:56

thinks we're rubbish. We can prove them wrong. Whereas

40:58

Real Madrid have that incredible. We've won this so

41:00

many times and we always seem to do it

41:03

in very similar fashion where we always find a

41:05

goal when we need to, which is pretty powerful

41:07

too. Yeah, I don't know which narrative I prefer,

41:09

really. I quite like both, to be honest. I

41:11

think you're more of an underdog, Mark. I think,

41:13

yeah, I'd probably go along with that, to be

41:16

honest. But I think, you know, talking

41:18

about luck and things kind of on pitch as

41:20

well, I think it sounds obvious, but the

41:22

draw is so important to how successful the team

41:24

is each season. And I know that, you

41:26

know, Liam just mentioned it, the Dortmund did have a tough

41:28

group that they obviously navigated

41:31

out of really well. But they

41:33

did draw PSG Eindhoven, then Atletico

41:35

Madrid, and then PSG, who they'd obviously played

41:37

in the group stages, so they knew kind of how to play

41:39

against them. Maybe it was kind

41:41

of the same as Inter Milan last season. You

41:44

think about their, you know, teams that they were

41:46

drawn against in the knockout stages. They got Porto,

41:48

Benfica and AC Milan, who were not massive

41:50

giants of recent years at the time. So

41:53

I think, as is

41:55

obvious, the draw does have a massive saying

41:57

who reaches the final stages. And next season's

41:59

format is... going to probably mean it's slightly

42:01

skewed towards the better team, so this might be

42:03

the final time in a while that that

42:05

might happen, who knows. Just remembered that a

42:07

few months ago Michael said he thought this year

42:11

was ripe for a team making the final, maybe winning

42:13

the thing that no one saw coming. Yeah, but I

42:15

thought it was PSE and part of the reason I

42:17

thought it was PSE because they were playing Dortmund in

42:19

the second half. There you go. I'm not sure I

42:22

can claim that one. Mission failed successfully. I

42:25

mean, based on what we've seen from both Dortmund

42:27

and from Real Madrid in the Champions League this

42:29

year, do you guys have a clear image in

42:31

your mind as to how this game will look

42:33

tactically? I mean, I think

42:35

Real Madrid will dominate. I can see kind of turning cross.

42:39

Being the pass master again, I think they've

42:41

got the fluidity and the combinations in the

42:43

final third that should unlock

42:45

Dortmund's defence. I think Dortmund probably a

42:47

bit more reactive, probably play on the

42:49

break. They did have some good runs,

42:51

I thought, in this game. They just weren't found with passes

42:53

in behind the way they were for the

42:56

goal in the first leg. I think they'll

42:58

have a threat on the break, Dortmund.

43:01

I can't think of an element at the game that's really better out than

43:03

Real Madrid. They defended the box well, but I thought

43:05

Real defended the box well really well in

43:08

that game against City. So I'd

43:11

have really strong favourites, to be honest. I think

43:14

Dortmund defended wide areas really well. I know that

43:16

Ahmed Waleed did a really interesting piece on that

43:18

and if they do the same against Real Madrid,

43:20

then that will nullify especially the threat from Real

43:22

Madrid's left hand side, which we've already spoken about.

43:25

I think that was probably, to

43:27

Liam's point right at the start, in terms of

43:29

why Kimmick was still selected at right back, it

43:31

didn't help that Sané wasn't really helping a ton.

43:34

He helped at times, but then they got a

43:36

bit confused and Vinesis Union was able to go

43:38

either way, either towards the

43:41

touchline or inside. Sancho

43:43

and Adeyemi, across both legs

43:45

against PSG, did really well in doubling

43:47

up and defending really well. So

43:49

it's not really the most positive to say

43:51

that they might be able to nullify the

43:54

threat. It's not necessarily thinking optimistically, but I

43:56

do think that if they're going to try and

43:58

nullify the threat, then they've got the plan. Isn't that the

44:00

touch constructed to do that? A wonderful

44:02

sake of our taking up is typical of

44:04

aggressive positions right back knowing that of your

44:06

father ego the more you what's combat to

44:08

defend the a me whether they might switch

44:10

francs or or change him during the game

44:12

Essential as one of the space exploit that

44:14

I think what's interesting is this know so

44:16

of. Compared. To Los is my

44:18

we had a team he won't release or defensively

44:21

in in in take it. Can.

44:23

Mix of sovereignty While but we're more you really

44:25

complements and we can set. We can defend deep,

44:27

we can hit the wide areas. such a system.

44:30

Plath. Apply the matched up quite well and

44:32

very much of a stars make fight. So

44:35

thing was this shows. A

44:37

little bit murkier I think just in time

44:39

so the attack to a pitcher I'm hoping

44:41

it will be better than the posse find

44:43

the Soviet six goes combine in the past

44:46

five the past four will be mom one

44:48

know which in an era where always got

44:50

up and up and league games at an

44:52

it we've seen finals consecutively be one one

44:54

know man says this I think since posture

44:57

the seventies or the eighties so I guess

44:59

this inches happen sometimes in you think the

45:01

to recent finals where he has been about

45:03

players getting released him behind that the habits

45:06

go to get city. That and dishes

45:08

have any. It's Liverpool as well. so

45:10

does possibly us a row that for

45:12

for history turned itself or don't despair.

45:14

Better yet not international. Yes,

45:17

about time We had a bit of a

45:19

goldfish in the final because even the World

45:21

Cup finals have been entertaining. I mean, six

45:23

code in each of the last two of

45:25

them, so that was always to this me,

45:27

Quite a defensive game set in the nineties.

45:29

two thousand and if even the World Cup

45:31

final can produce. Thrillers.

45:33

Than I think is about time the champion the final

45:35

stepped up. Monkey think. The.

45:38

Liam uses the phrase styles make fights more

45:40

than you use the word Alchemy. Well panic

45:42

My were taken up from about was another

45:44

Harrys in the again after his once and

45:46

has been taken on it. Did I take

45:48

it as a compliment? He says it moments.

45:50

I think it in terms of. pod.

45:52

stats like that you probably best

45:54

doing it per ninety words spoken

45:57

on us to describe it as

45:59

an issue make sure that it good

46:01

because Liam does probably I just still say

46:03

more words in people than and

46:05

from me so good

46:08

stuff okay so I want to

46:10

ask Michael if this strong

46:12

favorite realm Madrid who per

46:15

the early betting odds who

46:17

will lift the trophy implies

46:19

a probability in the

46:21

bookmakers eyes of seventy six point nine

46:24

percent for realm

46:26

Madrid to win is there a

46:28

certain type of opposition that

46:31

can spook an ciolotti

46:33

and realm Madrid or is

46:35

their strength that they are

46:37

unspookable whatever love two

46:39

games this season both against let's go Madrid

46:41

I don't know whether that was really because

46:44

of the style of semione side

46:46

or because of the fact they were Darby's and

46:48

Darby's tend to be a bit different so

46:51

yeah I guess you can say the Dortmund

46:53

need to be quite athletic they kind of

46:55

are broadly set up to

46:57

play that way I think when you look at how

46:59

they played against PSG yesterday yeah I'm

47:01

sorry I'm not making much of a case for Dormant here but

47:06

yeah just fueling the underdog motivational

47:09

trope for them which can

47:11

be very powerful and and

47:14

Edin Terzic's side are up against

47:16

it they are the underdogs but

47:19

really excited about this one last

47:21

thing goalkeepers are

47:23

important in individual

47:25

matches and have been in Champions

47:27

League finals particularly one

47:29

goalkeeper called Tebow Courtois if

47:33

Courtois is fit to play

47:35

back from injury do you

47:37

think an ciolotti would play him

47:40

over looning well

47:42

did you see it the full-time whistle yesterday

47:44

the camera slightly bizarrely cut to Courtois

47:46

running onto the pitch it wasn't moving that

47:48

freely I don't think he ever had a

47:50

big guy as well I think it was

47:52

done on Tuesday and he was fully fit

47:56

he didn't look close to fitness for me I

47:58

mean that's maybe the area where assuming of course,

48:00

why he doesn't come back, or maybe even if he does, maybe

48:03

that's the area Dortmund do have the advantage. I mean,

48:05

Liam said the call will start, haven't

48:07

been that impressed by Loon in this season, he's been

48:09

all right. But yeah, that's maybe

48:11

if you're doing a combined 11,

48:13

which obviously we should never do. Maybe

48:16

the goalkeeper is the one player who gets in.

48:19

Courtois played against Cadiz at the weekend and made

48:21

a really good one on one save. And it

48:23

kind of reminded everyone there was kind of a

48:26

ripple of applause in like the minutes after that

48:28

still sort of show to people he is,

48:31

maybe he's back. I don't know. I mean, I don't think

48:33

it is the best idea to bring him in. Somewhat

48:35

cold for a final, but he has

48:37

proven in a Champions League final that he can

48:39

more than play his part. Interesting.

48:43

Dortmund and Real Madrid going head to head on

48:45

the 1st of June at Wembley.

48:47

And I'm very, very excited

48:49

about it after this podcast. Thank you

48:51

to Michael, to Mark and Liam. As

48:53

for us, to mark your card, we

48:56

have two shows left

48:58

this season. And

49:00

we've got some pretty fun ideas

49:02

to round us off for the

49:04

2324 season on the Athletic Football

49:06

Tactics podcast. We're really grateful to

49:08

all of you who tune in every

49:11

week. Welcome to anyone that's tuned

49:13

in for the first time this week.

49:15

Stick with us, subscribe to the

49:17

podcast feed and to the Athletic. Go

49:19

to the athletic.com/tactics for a discount

49:21

on an annual subscription today. Thank

49:24

you very much for listening and go well.

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