Episode Transcript
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Athletic Hello,
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this is the Athletic Football Tactics
0:44
Podcast. I'm Ali Maxwell, and this
0:46
week, the Champions League is our
0:48
main event. So it's apt
0:50
that I'm joined by Demyster, DeBeston,
0:54
Mark Carey, Liam Tharm and
0:56
Michael Cox of The Athletic. Hi, guys.
0:58
Hello. Hello. A reference there, Michael, to
1:02
the lyrics of the Champions League
1:04
anthem. Right. The beloved Champions League.
1:06
Of course. Yeah. The
1:09
next line is Les Grande Zéquip. I couldn't
1:11
work out how I would
1:13
get the best teams into the... You
1:15
get the point. The guys are with
1:17
me to talk through the Champions League semi-finals
1:19
and look ahead to the final, which will
1:21
take place at Wembley. And it
1:24
will include Real Madrid and
1:26
Dortmund. A surprise
1:28
final in many ways. When
1:31
we previewed the quarterfinals, I made you
1:33
guys put together a power rankings of
1:35
the eight teams left in the competition.
1:37
Real Madrid came in at number two
1:39
pre-quarterfinals. Dortmund, eight out of
1:41
eight. So looking forward to
1:43
hearing how they've made it to
1:45
the final. But first, Real Madrid
1:48
and Bayern Munich, the semi-final, which
1:50
concluded late last night with Real
1:52
Madrid winning 4-3 on aggregate. 2-1
1:54
on the night with late goals to
1:56
turn this one around.
1:58
Michael. What were the key factors
2:01
in Real Madrid's victory? Well, they're a funny one. I mean,
2:03
as you can see here, I've got a piece of paper
2:05
with lots of notes I made throughout the game up until
2:08
about 85 minutes. Because
2:10
basically everything that happened in the first 85 minutes
2:12
was a little bit relevant in terms of saying
2:14
how Real Madrid won the game. But I thought
2:17
they were the better team. I thought they were
2:19
the better team by far on the night. I
2:21
thought they dominated most of the game. I thought
2:23
Tony Krosz was fantastic in dictating the tempo. The
2:26
fluidity of the front players we've commented on before,
2:28
but I think it's really quite striking compared to
2:30
the way a lot of other top teams are playing at the
2:33
moment. The one thing they didn't have, and I think it was
2:35
notable that they didn't have this, was they didn't have anyone making
2:38
basically goal scoring runs. Often they got the
2:40
ball wide and Rodrigo Venizis kind of pulled
2:42
off, Bellingham's kind of trying to get into
2:44
the box, but not quite into the six-yard
2:46
box. And of course, that's what they had
2:48
later with Hostelu. But overall, I thought they
2:50
played quite well. I didn't think Bayern offered
2:52
too much really. Sporadic
2:54
counter-attacking threat, but quite poor decisions
2:56
on the break, I thought. Just a note
2:58
on Tony Krosz. He was absolutely the
3:00
metronome for Real Madrid last night. I know that
3:03
Michael's got a piece out on him. But numbers-wise,
3:05
he made 101 passes across the game, which was
3:07
more than any other player on the pitch. And
3:09
he came off after 69 minutes, which I think
3:12
is in itself quite telling. And
3:14
his passing accuracy was 95% across the whole game. But
3:17
they weren't simple, five, 10-yard passes. There
3:19
was a lot of diagonals to the
3:21
right-hand side, which again, goes to show
3:23
just how well-clust he is.
3:26
A note of the rotations across the
3:28
front three, really, Rodrigo, Vanissas Jr.
3:30
and Bellingham. They attacked so
3:32
much towards that left-hand side. And I think
3:34
it was partly because Joshua Kimmick was struggling
3:36
a little bit at right-back. But
3:39
they had 44% of attacking touches in
3:41
the left-third of the pitch. And just
3:44
19% in the middle third of the pitch,
3:46
which was comfortably the lowest share through the
3:48
middle in the Champions League this season four,
3:50
Real Madrid, which I thought was quite interesting for
3:53
two reasons. I think partly because Bayern Munich were
3:56
being really compact in a 4-4-2 out of possession
3:58
And trying to limit Real Madrid's. Going
4:00
through the middle. partly. Because
4:02
of the rotations of those players as well
4:04
but mainly predominately because Mrs. Jr was just
4:06
he had the being just a gimmick and
4:08
again I look into the numbers fourteen take
4:11
on across the whole game for Venice's units
4:13
comfortably more than any of the game the
4:15
season for him an assist most from any
4:17
player in her somebody came the season as
4:19
well so he was just he had to
4:21
being of his man A was clear that
4:23
allows that's the danger I I love the
4:25
ball was going on and also because that's
4:27
where Christmas and he was the one who
4:29
is distributing it and we're not doing the.
4:32
First i didn't even if is paid that
4:34
much to the left it is quite central
4:36
valley him with clay the play on the
4:38
left of the for the as soon as
4:40
Venice's became his want to that.the second half
4:43
than it is fun with everything that went
4:45
to the suspect that that this fluidity between
4:47
those from players and skewing out to the
4:49
left hand side that when when we talk
4:51
about some the top teams in england we
4:53
often talk about how automated a lot of
4:56
the attacking play looks nowadays and predictable made
4:58
it being the wrong word but when we
5:00
see those patterns we we recognize. Them
5:02
and they look coached and drilled
5:04
to what extent is is. do
5:07
you understand this Real Madrid fluidity
5:09
to be Ancelotti empowering his plan
5:11
to do whatever they like and
5:13
feel confident in doing so or
5:16
ancelotti training them to be fluid.
5:18
Set of these pistons on chaotic
5:20
but actually. Functional and an effective
5:22
I think is organized chaos but in in
5:24
the way the Ancelotti empowers his players are
5:26
that you spoke about that before I think
5:28
before the first leg so it was devoted
5:31
organized chaos me what well as as about
5:33
I'll answer it with a coy the he
5:35
he gave before the first leg and he
5:37
said i'm very clear that there are two
5:39
types of creatures those who do nothing and
5:41
those who do a lot of damage I
5:43
to see in the fast The game is
5:45
for the players and you can tell them
5:47
a sense to Tj convince them but then
5:49
the decisive thing is that quality commitment to
5:51
when. He's I mean think about that. the
5:53
pies he's managed. he can. He can be
5:55
very confident that that they will. Do.
5:58
things that he can't necessarily cokes and So he gives
6:00
them the freedom, the autonomy to be
6:02
able to do those things. And my
6:04
colleague John Muller did a piece earlier this week about
6:06
Real Madrid's kind of fluidity and how there's
6:09
unlikely heroes. And you think about who played the cross
6:11
for the winner. It was Antonio Rudiger and the person
6:13
who knocked it in was Hostelich, who I'm sure will
6:15
come on to. That's not
6:17
by chance. That's just the fact that each player is kind
6:19
of empowered. And I know that it was from a set
6:22
piece that it was Rudiger being in high area. But
6:25
I do think that kind of explains the organised
6:28
chaos or the organised fluidity
6:30
that he gives the freedom to his players.
6:32
But I don't think it really works on
6:35
the night. I mean, they needed
6:37
to chuck on a number nine and get two
6:39
goals in the last two minutes. I don't think
6:41
they created that many clear chances. And like I
6:43
say, I think if that's organised as other managers
6:45
would, you could still play without a traditional number
6:47
nine. But there'd be more emphasis on making sure
6:50
someone is always making that run. I mean, maybe
6:52
kind of like Arsenal do. I know Arsenal play
6:54
with a proper striker a lot of
6:56
the time. But they have different players popping up there.
6:58
I thought a lot of the time Real didn't have
7:00
anyone popping up there. And without Hostelu coming on and
7:02
pretty much completely changing the system, then
7:05
obviously they go out despite dominating. Has
7:07
it or was it not in the
7:09
first half of the season, particularly Birmingham
7:11
typically taking up number nine type positions?
7:13
Yeah, and I think he's he
7:16
has faded in the second half of the season. I
7:18
mean, he was never going to sustain the numbers that
7:20
he was putting up in the first half of the
7:22
season. But he hasn't been that much of a goal
7:24
threat, really, in the kind of, well, in the big
7:27
champ his league games. I think he's basically played well.
7:29
But you're right in the first half of the season,
7:31
there was a bit of a debate. What we're looking
7:33
at here is he an attacking midfielder? Is he a
7:35
false number nine? Is he just a number nine? I
7:38
mean, he hasn't really played that role recently in this
7:40
game, really. Without the ball, he was the left of
7:42
the midfield for the Valverde on the other side and
7:44
the two Brazilians up front. So, yeah, they have
7:47
lost a little bit of that. And of course,
7:49
that's why there has been more need for for
7:51
Hostelu. I've
7:53
got a question more than a point to make,
7:55
but generally, I was stepping on
7:57
my toes. Knowing
8:00
Kimmich of course does play this rough with Germany as
8:02
well being a nominal midfielder that
8:05
plays fullback and apparently likes it more than
8:07
maybe he gets sort of credit for were
8:09
you guys surprised to see Tucho stick with that
8:12
of When you know they've got
8:14
that left side of Fert Real especially at home and
8:16
they've got multiple players that can pop up their own
8:18
Beardribbling threat It was interesting
8:20
when I watched Germany recently against
8:22
France and he did okay against
8:24
Mbappe But you've always got the the
8:27
sense that it's quite a Containing job that
8:29
you're never really able to really sort of win
8:31
that duel You're just sort of hoping every time
8:33
that they're not going to get inside you're limiting
8:35
it to A shot from distance or you know
8:37
having to then double up and leave someone free
8:39
elsewhere I know the goal technically comes from from
8:41
a shot being allowed But really you're saying that's
8:43
kind of best-case scenario and it's just getting a
8:45
shot from there And it's noir really makes a
8:47
mistake But I was just I guess surprised to
8:49
see a manager who's renowned for being so
8:52
well structured defensively or that being his focus
8:54
in that bigger game to You
8:57
know He did a veggie make a switch to a back
8:59
five which we can come on to but to Personal wise
9:01
not go to someone more defensive there or
9:03
more of a defensive jeweler did did surprise me
9:05
a little bit Would that most likely be Maz Rowie?
9:07
Yeah, I guess so looking at the squad that he
9:10
would seem like the obvious option and and how
9:12
confident would would you be? Liam to flip it back
9:14
on you that he would do better 1v1 against
9:16
a player like Vinicius It's probably just more natural. I
9:19
think more than anything. I mean he's played both
9:21
sides Full back football
9:23
or we met for club and country And I think
9:25
probably a bit quicker as well than the gimmick and
9:27
obviously you could then look at possibly like making a
9:29
more natural midfield role I
9:31
think a big part of this as well comes from In
9:33
a game where you want to see defend less and you want to
9:35
have more of the ball and be more of an attacking Force and
9:38
that was really I think My critique of
9:40
their switch to a back five and then bringing on a
9:42
center back was I thought they looked
9:44
okay defensively at the time Maybe they were
9:46
anticipating saying they're probably gonna throw hospital on
9:48
and go direct and starting You know more
9:50
crosses and a more direct approach So we need
9:52
to be prepared for that and not having to
9:54
scramble, but I thought they were counter-tacking Well, there's
9:57
that really good break where Kayden's up
9:59
playing the pass behind, I can see, is it
10:01
Nabri? I can't remember who it is running through
10:04
and it doesn't quite come off. Again, this
10:06
is then quite a good bit of hindsight
10:08
but I suppose where if they see up the game
10:10
with the back five, there you go, really smart decision,
10:12
see it out that way. But that
10:14
I do remember at the time being like, I'm
10:17
not entirely sure that was needed right now,
10:19
even though it might be theoretically quite sound.
10:21
I suppose with Alphonso Davis having started
10:23
on the bench, coming off it early
10:25
when Nabri was substituted in the first
10:27
half but on paper maybe a
10:30
man has Rowey at right back, Davies
10:32
at left back and then Michael, one
10:34
of the other interesting decisions was to
10:36
play the youngster Pavlovic in midfield and
10:38
in a high pressure environment, maybe
10:40
someone with the experience and the nouse
10:42
of Kimmich might have been another option
10:45
in the centre of the park. What did you make
10:47
of Pavlovic's performance? I thought he struggled a bit to
10:50
be honest, I thought his passing decision making wasn't
10:52
quite on it. I was surprised they
10:54
didn't play Keretska, who I think is just
10:56
a pretty solid all-rounder, pretty
10:58
good for where the Bonnebau has
11:00
a good relationship with Leimah. So yeah, he looks
11:02
a talented player Pavlovic but this was quite a
11:04
big game to throw him into. I
11:07
didn't think it worked particularly well. I mean
11:09
maybe the defining thing for for
11:12
Bayern was not something that was intentional,
11:14
you know, the key change really was
11:16
when Alphonso Davies came on for
11:18
Nabri, who did his hamstring and
11:21
that had two effects. The first was that they were
11:23
playing two left backs really down one
11:25
side and as we've said, Remedou
11:27
didn't attack at all down that side, I don't think
11:29
that's a coincidence. And the other thing
11:32
was that obviously Davies scored the opener and if
11:34
you end up with, you know, an
11:36
overlapping left back playing left
11:38
wing, left footed, the last thing
11:40
you expect is for him to come inside and curl with
11:43
his right foot and you can tell that Rudeko was
11:45
quite keen to show him inside, which didn't
11:47
turn out very well. So yeah,
11:49
it's funny how these things can happen. I thought that
11:52
really was the defining thing of the game, that enforced
11:54
change. I was also a little bit surprised they brought
11:56
on Davies in that role. I thought maybe they would
11:58
have brought on Thomas Muller. and moved Mozzarella
12:00
to the left. He wasn't getting that much of the ball
12:02
with the number 10. But that's what changed
12:04
the game. Valverde's got an interesting
12:06
role, doesn't he? As
12:09
you say, it was so explicit that Real Madrid
12:11
were attacking down the left side. You
12:13
almost feel a bit sorry for Valverde that
12:16
there's clearly very little onus on using his
12:18
own skills in possession. Michael, I
12:21
saw a tweet from a Real Madrid fan
12:23
that said, in the
12:25
current formation, Valverde's role is
12:27
incredibly similar to Beckham's when
12:29
he played for Real Madrid. And Bellingham
12:31
is playing the same role that Zidane used
12:33
to play when he played for
12:35
Real Madrid, which I thought was quite an interesting
12:38
one. But that Valverde role is, yeah,
12:40
it's atypical, I would say, for a modern
12:43
right-sided midfielder. I see the Bellingham comparison
12:45
more than the Valverde comparison, because Zidane
12:47
did often play from the left where
12:49
Real Madrid did, sometimes for
12:51
France. I think Valverde is all
12:54
just about energy. I mean, Beckham often
12:56
played inside the central midfielder
12:58
when Figo was out on the right. So I
13:00
think that's a little bit of a different thing.
13:02
But yeah, because they have so many players towards
13:04
the left, Valverde and Carverhal just have to cover
13:06
so much space. And that is what Valverde does
13:08
pretty manfully. Didn't think he was
13:10
particularly prominent here. And of course,
13:12
he was the player who was brought off when Hossalu came
13:14
on. But yeah, he's a very useful player.
13:16
I mean, he's had a couple of really good seasons for
13:18
Real Madrid. And Carverhal,
13:21
I thought had a pretty decent game always
13:23
collecting cruisers' diagonals. They've also got Vasquez who
13:25
they can bring in and was the star
13:27
when they beat Barfona in the Clasico a
13:29
couple of weeks ago. So they've
13:31
got just, yeah. I
13:35
mean, Joanne Cruyff always used to say that
13:37
the left side was like the exciting side
13:39
and the right side was the functional side.
13:41
I think that works pretty well for this Real Madrid team. And
13:45
let's talk about Hossalu without
13:47
mentioning any of his former clubs. He's
13:51
an interesting player
13:54
at elite level football, Liam.
13:56
And it harks back to a podcast that we
13:58
did in the last few months. about
14:01
Plan B's and
14:03
how in the Premier League, looking at the
14:06
six biggest teams in the Premier League who are often
14:08
competing in these European competitions,
14:11
this backup number nine doesn't
14:14
really exist in the majority of
14:16
those squads. You know, Manketia
14:18
of Arsenal is probably the most classic
14:20
backup number nine that one of those
14:23
big six clubs have. But some
14:26
of the continental clubs have players
14:28
like Hosselou or Tupermoting who people
14:30
don't consider to be elite level
14:32
number nines but serve a very
14:34
specific purpose as shown here. Yeah,
14:36
completely. I guess we'll come on to
14:39
Dorman as well but they have Falkkruk
14:41
who is kind of that profile but is their
14:43
starting number nine and Hosselou is obviously now back
14:45
in the Spain setup as well, Falkkruk
14:47
is playing internationally so it's kind of I think
14:49
something that feels like it's spilt over a bit
14:51
from the World Cup of everyone going in specifically
14:54
knockout games where there's gonna be times where
14:58
your style becomes a lot less important because you
15:00
just need to score a goal to stay alive
15:02
in a competition or to not get knocked out
15:04
and you go okay we're gonna not necessarily scrap
15:06
our our way of playing but we
15:08
need to go direct and start crossing and I
15:10
thought Rudi had some really good a couple of
15:13
really good deliveries actually from sort of stepping forward
15:15
and then and then crossing from deep
15:17
and at times you clubs are then just
15:19
prepared to say that let's go for that that
15:21
target man, Falkkruk approach and it's just having a
15:23
different profile. Again this is probably an interesting point
15:25
of comparison that it's something that will
15:28
come into the PSG game properly but I think
15:30
they don't really have they kind of have in
15:32
Gonzalo Ramos but you saw a team who were
15:34
kind of playing in a similar way to what
15:36
Real were doing of against a team that was
15:38
then sat deep and prepared to counter against the
15:40
back five and smashing in crosses and
15:42
the difference being they didn't
15:44
really have that play that was gonna you know they
15:47
don't score as many head of goals but it's just
15:49
an avenue that you need in order to be to
15:51
be diverse and to be varied because at certain times
15:53
and again because it's not the majority of games I
15:55
guess recruitment is never going to be for most big
15:57
clubs structured that way or go that way
15:59
because you might need this player five percent at
16:01
the time or ten percent at the time, but it might be
16:03
in the biggest game of the season or in the biggest moments
16:05
that you do need them. Well, PSG did have that player in
16:08
the form of Eric Chupomoting, so it's
16:10
funny how he's now the one to
16:12
have left PSG. But no, I agree. I
16:14
know we've done the episode on it in
16:16
terms of it being a very specific type
16:19
of player, but also type of personality to
16:21
be comfortable within that environment to know that
16:23
you're not going to be maybe the star
16:25
man, but you will have those moments like
16:28
we saw with the Hossaloo brace,
16:30
I suppose, rather than single goal. But just to
16:32
add numbers to that, he's now scored 17 goals
16:34
in all competitions for AL this season, which is
16:36
only behind Jude Bellingham on 22 and Vanistas Jr.
16:39
on 21. So he isn't just
16:41
a sort of a cult hero in the form
16:43
of maybe a Divock Origi who maybe people inflate
16:45
his importance when he actually didn't score all that
16:47
many goals. He's actually putting up really good numbers
16:49
as well. So when you need someone to come
16:52
and score goals, as very much as did last
16:54
night, you were pretty confident that he
16:56
would actually make an impact. You
16:58
said we weren't allowed to mention his former clubs,
17:00
but I'm going to mention the fact that in 2010-11,
17:02
he was part of Real Madrid's B team. And
17:05
also in that B team was Denny
17:08
Carvajal and Nacho, and also
17:10
other quite useful players at some points
17:12
like Hesse, Alvaro
17:14
Morata. And obviously Barcelona has got
17:16
a lot of pros over the years for their
17:19
academy, and they brought through, I think,
17:21
some of the best players in the world, obviously
17:23
Jovi and Nesna and Messi, top three
17:25
of the Bell on Dore in one year. Real
17:27
don't always produce that level of player, but
17:30
they always produce workmen like very useful
17:32
players who often stick around. I know, also
17:35
someone who's just come back. But
17:37
their academy has been really useful for them over
17:39
the years, particularly, I'd say, in
17:41
the big Champions League games, when you just need
17:43
someone to do a job. I think Nacho has
17:46
had a really good few games in
17:48
the Champions League. I think Carvajal has been
17:50
excellent. Vasquez, as I've said. And he's
17:52
another one who, yeah, he went away for the best part
17:54
of a decade, but he was
17:56
in their youth system for seven years.
17:59
And currently, I'll... loan from a team in
18:01
the second tier of Spanish football in Español,
18:03
I mean scored 16 in
18:06
La Liga as they were relegated last season. It's
18:08
basically the equivalent of if
18:11
Man City had loaned
18:13
Jamie Vardy from Leicester
18:15
this season to play
18:17
10-15 minutes off the bench
18:20
poaching in the box when they're dominating
18:22
trying to find a winner which kind
18:24
of makes unbelievable sense. Anyway,
18:28
last word on Bayern because we're going to come back to
18:30
the final in a second, Too-Hool catching
18:33
some heat online
18:35
on account of the substitutions that
18:37
he made and I'd like to
18:39
know how much of
18:41
this is outcome bias because subs were
18:43
made, Bayern threw away a lead, Bayern
18:45
lost the game, how much of it
18:47
is legitimate criticism, subs that changed the
18:50
flow of the game and against Bayern
18:52
Munich? For me it's
18:54
the former, I think it is a little bit of
18:56
outcome bias, one reason being that
18:58
only the night before Dortmund did the same
19:00
thing in terms of bring on Nicolas Sula
19:02
moving to a back five and everyone's lauding
19:04
them for being really sort of tight
19:07
and compact and seeing the game out. Obviously
19:09
as we know Bayern Munich didn't see the game out so
19:11
we're going to sort of retrospectively try
19:13
and reverse the narrative a little bit. I
19:15
think that there's rumours of Kane
19:17
maybe having a bit of an injury so I don't
19:19
know whether that played into it a little bit but
19:22
he played to 85 minutes and they brought on Thomas
19:24
Muller who was a very very experienced player and of
19:26
course Tu-Promoting as well to hold up the play so
19:28
I think that when they
19:30
won nil up they wanted to sort of
19:32
maybe play slightly longer, have those two players
19:34
kind of hassle and hurry the defence and
19:36
see the game out which wasn't too much
19:38
to maybe ask in about 10 minutes worth
19:40
of play so I think that bit in
19:43
terms of the narrative of bringing Harry Kane off one of the
19:45
best players in the world at the moment
19:47
is slightly sort of retrofitting the narrative.
19:50
Liam made the point before about Kim and Jay coming on. I
19:53
kind of understand that one in terms of maybe
19:55
the argument that it might have disrupted the defence
19:57
a little bit of just people knowing their jobs
19:59
but As I mentioned with the Sulu example,
20:01
I do think that it had value, it was maybe
20:04
just that at a moment of chaos they maybe didn't
20:06
know those spaces and those gaps between them
20:08
to make sure that they did it in time. But
20:11
I don't know what you guys think. I think it
20:13
was maybe retrofitting the narrative a little bit. I think
20:15
it's always a bit risky to change your defensive structure
20:17
at such a pivotal
20:19
point when you're then talking about,
20:22
especially because you're going to be doing more
20:24
defending. So when your line squeezes up, if you've
20:26
gone from the two and whoever's communicating to adding
20:28
the third player there who then takes the role,
20:30
it was obviously more notable because Kim was the
20:33
player who I think Touchell came out
20:35
and said after that, I don't remember if you
20:37
blamed him directly or said he's accepted responsibility because
20:39
he jumped out on the three-wheel for the first
20:41
one and then conceded the penalty for the equaliser.
20:43
So whether that had a role in his squad
20:45
selection, I don't know. And as
20:48
much as it is also a case
20:50
of outcome bias, which isn't inherently
20:52
linked to the decisions because Noire ends
20:54
up dropping the ball that no one
20:56
ever expects Maman Noire to drop or
20:58
to not catch. And in
21:00
the same way that I think he,
21:03
Touchell, deserves as much criticism as Tursich
21:05
did for the amount of shots that Dortmund then gave
21:08
up, that if you're then going to sit off and
21:10
allow them so much of the ball and how
21:13
you then defend those chances, you're saying, look, we're
21:15
going to say we're going to try and reduce
21:17
the quality of your chances rather than stopping them
21:19
all entirely. So they kind of gave up on
21:22
shot suppression and it's really always amazing to me that
21:25
– and I probably do the same if I was in that situation –
21:27
but so many head coaches and managers all seem
21:29
to follow that very similar end-of-game
21:31
plan if they're winning or losing, sort of regardless of
21:33
what they're – if you want to call it a
21:36
philosophy or a style of play, you could be the
21:38
most expansive manager going and they still seem to be
21:40
ready to say, let's drop in, just defend the box
21:42
and see it out first, five, ten minutes. It
21:45
must be quite hard to think creatively
21:48
in those circumstances, in those situations,
21:50
with so many moving parts and
21:52
not least the psychological pressures that
21:55
you're under. Michael, any
21:57
Thomas Touchell, Bayern 23-20? 24
22:00
takeaways as their season will end without a
22:02
major trophy for the first time since 2011-12?
22:07
They're clearly not as good as they usually
22:09
are. Their system really has changed with the
22:11
arrival of Kane when they didn't have anyone
22:13
playing that role last year. But actually
22:15
if they get two points from the last
22:18
two Bundesliga games they will finish
22:20
on the same number of points as they had last
22:22
year and if they only won the league on the
22:24
final day last season they'll probably exceed that number. And
22:26
really I just think Leverkusen a brilliant team. I think Leverkusen might be the best
22:30
team in Europe this year. So it's a shame they're not in the
22:32
Champions League. But there's
22:34
no shame in my opinion in losing
22:36
the league to Leverkusen even though for
22:38
Bayern it's completely unprecedented over the last
22:40
decade and there's no shame in
22:42
losing a semi-final in the 89th
22:44
and 90th minutes to Real Madrid. I think those things
22:47
can happen. So I quite like Tuchel. I think he'll
22:49
get another good job and
22:51
I think he's done an alright job at
22:53
Bayern. I think especially in
22:55
the latter stages of the Champions League Bayern
22:57
have looked more comfortable in
22:59
Europe than they have domestically. There's more space
23:01
to play when teams go more toe-to-toe with
23:04
them and they can expose their counter-attacking strengths
23:06
as well as their possession strengths at times.
23:08
I think in the league when they've played
23:10
against deep blocks sometimes or often they've been
23:13
sucker-punched or come unstuck a little bit which
23:16
they haven't had as much in the
23:18
Champions League. But yeah to Michael's point
23:20
they've still been very good in the
23:22
Bundesliga. They've got the best expected goal
23:24
difference per 90 in the Bundesliga so
23:26
looking at their chances created and conceded.
23:29
The numbers suggest they've put up 1.7 goals
23:31
worth more chances than the opposition in an
23:33
average game and Leverkusen a 1.2 per game
23:36
by way of comparison. And
23:38
yes their stylistic play Leverkusen has
23:40
been very very strong. I
23:42
think again we're maybe retrofitting the narrative. Leverkusen have
23:45
had some late wins as well. They haven't always
23:47
been quite as dominant as maybe the
23:50
scoreline would suggest. So I don't
23:52
think there's kind of major major fixes to Bayern
23:54
even though they haven't won
23:56
the trophies or any trophies this season. That's
23:58
their currency but you know. And changes will
24:00
obviously occur in the summer, but I don't think
24:02
it's a major overhaul to
24:28
the future. But
24:31
it's not best team in Europe
24:33
by Levakusen playing Real Madrid in
24:35
the final. And it's not big bad Bayern either.
24:38
It's the side currently fifth in the
24:40
Bundesliga, Borussia Dortmund, they beat PSG in
24:43
the semi-final, two nil on aggregate, one
24:45
nil in each leg. Feels
24:48
like a bit of a rarity, almost a bit
24:50
of a throwback. I feel like mid-2000s
24:53
we might have seen a
24:55
Chelsea Liverpool, Mourinho, Benitez, two nil
24:57
on aggregate, but these days feels
24:59
rare. And I'm sad that I
25:01
didn't ask Duncan Alexander to run the numbers on that.
25:04
So we'll never know as we record
25:06
whether it is indeed rare or not.
25:08
Two nil on aggregate and
25:11
PSG hitting the woodwork six times
25:13
over two legs feels like a
25:15
decent place to start, Liam. How
25:17
unfortunate were PSG on that front?
25:20
Well, again, it comes back to a similar point that
25:22
we just referenced, right, in terms of how much of
25:24
it is managerial selection and how much of it is
25:26
outcome bias. A few of those
25:28
from memory, I can't remember all six across
25:30
the two ties, were good
25:32
shots from distance. I think Virginia had a
25:34
couple ways, hit them quite well. So it's
25:37
not always like it's five yards out and you
25:39
should score. And it's always just
25:41
quite a weird proxy as well because they had quite
25:43
a few block shots and quite a few shots off
25:45
target as well, some really bad misses in there where
25:47
you go, I'm always very mindful to praise the team
25:49
for hitting the woodwork. It's quite a weird. You've
25:52
failed as much as you, or you've succeeded
25:54
as much as you can without completely succeeding, if
25:56
that makes sense. So it's kind of a weird,
25:59
a weird proxy. But I was
26:01
slightly baffled by and the listen rek's consistently
26:03
tweet this entire Champions League campaign always with
26:05
this sort of forward line There's been a
26:07
mix of a sensor playing a false nine
26:10
He's had and Bape and run on column
26:12
or any playing with sort of number nines
26:14
He's played Dembele and Baccala as as wingers
26:16
and and Bape's the nine He's played Baccala
26:19
and Bape split strikers with Dembele in the
26:21
ten and sure there's merit for
26:23
adjusting this of all those games So they played
26:25
very different opposition. They played something like to press
26:27
higher something like to counter-attack more It
26:30
didn't seem right that he brought in Ramos because he's not played
26:32
a huge amount of the season He's been as much
26:35
a starter in league eyes He has sort of coming
26:37
off the bench and being really a late game sort
26:39
of salvager of there's a great head of recent They
26:41
get to lay out of where you know They were
26:43
they were behind and just like crossing later on and
26:45
it obviously tends to fly fly in the face a
26:48
lot of what? Listen, we're here wants him to do
26:50
of being a you know, a real build-up team at
26:52
times They're maybe a bit too vertical a bit
26:55
too rushed I thought some of their right side
26:57
crossing Dembele especially was really poor just quite erratic
26:59
And it looks quite panicked I just thought from early on
27:02
of like almost been like we need to score
27:04
really early here to settle things and and get
27:06
back into The game and I thought when Dortmund
27:08
did score I go just stick my keenness
27:10
up front because you've not really got enough
27:12
box presences there to actually be a threat
27:15
Where's hot saloon when you need him? Well, exactly I
27:17
was gonna ask is that why Ramos started the game
27:19
to be that box presence that then yeah They probably
27:21
anticipate that Dortmund were gonna sit in a little bit
27:24
and they needed someone to occupy the center backs Was
27:26
that the main reason rather than having someone in the
27:28
form of a plane to the center? Where you probably
27:30
would have he would have been a bit wasted in
27:32
his skill set I guess so but that's that's Ramos's
27:34
second champion to the start all season and in the
27:36
second leg of a semi-final Like he's not really been
27:39
used at all And I also
27:41
thought it was then weird to have sort of
27:43
in Bape there or for Leicester sort of coming
27:45
inside a bit Not starting by Cola who's probably
27:47
got the best final ball one of the best
27:49
final balls of any players there Especially it's sort
27:51
of in terms of playing cutbacks. It's a real
27:53
super strength So it just felt like to use
27:55
a carry is in the the alchemy wasn't quite
27:57
right in the in the forward line in the
27:59
dynamic So again, they
28:01
did then create a lot but
28:04
and I think this is a point Michael made as well Didn't
28:06
really feel like for what the numbers have come
28:09
out as there were that many memorable chances especially
28:11
not sort of clear sights at goal or ones
28:13
that dropped to Embapa would
28:15
embed other players you'd want them to in those good positions
28:17
to say Yeah, there's four or five
28:19
where I'll have a Newcastle group stage game where
28:21
you go my god How do you keep
28:23
missing these it felt more like just an accumulation of
28:25
decent chances Especially when Dortmund were one that up and
28:27
really sat in Can I just say
28:29
I feel like I've used the word alchemy like once maybe
28:31
twice and it's now referred to as a carry Forever
28:34
on this podcast. I'm just gonna have to not do that numbers
28:37
to go alongside what Liam said is that PSG
28:40
have 44 shots against Dortmund over
28:42
the two legs in a semi-final Which
28:44
is the most shots a team has
28:47
had without scoring in a two-legged Champions
28:49
League tie on record Which is since
28:51
2003 for per optus numbers, but again
28:54
to Liam's point I think it's more that the
28:56
clarity of those shots were not big and looked
28:58
at the the XG of the woodwork efforts and
29:01
Cumulatively those six shots across the two
29:03
legs were only worthy of 0.6 XG.
29:06
So it wasn't like they were huge Average
29:09
shot quality and and four of actually five
29:12
of the six with They're
29:14
all there about near the D of
29:17
the penalty area if you
29:19
can try and visualize that So it wasn't as though
29:21
they were kind of yeah clear-cut efforts done that there
29:23
Emory one was probably the closest one and that was
29:25
a tight angle But you could maybe get benefit of
29:28
it out there, but it across the whole two legs
29:30
I think that's the point that it wasn't huge
29:33
shot quality. It was just
29:35
high quantity I already know what Michael
29:37
thought about this one because in his
29:40
guys as at zonal underscore marking
29:42
on Twitter He said I
29:45
thought this was a very entertaining game where both sides
29:47
played quite badly Yeah,
29:50
I wasn't impressed with dormant at all. I
29:52
didn't think that any spells of possession to
29:54
relieve the pressure I don't
29:56
think they offered that much on the counter at the
29:58
Amy had one burst down
30:01
the left, there was one or two
30:03
occasions where they could have played a good pass through
30:05
a runner going in behind, I think Sancho on
30:07
one occasion and Brent on the other occasion. But
30:09
overall I thought they were quite poor really. They
30:12
did defend the penalty box pretty well. Then
30:14
again PSG racks up 3.2 on
30:17
the old XG. So clearly they
30:19
did have their chances. At PSG they just had
30:21
no cohesion in the final third. I mean Lewis
30:23
and Rico sides do tend
30:25
to be like this. They moved the ball so
30:27
well around the midfield, obviously the side we associate
30:30
most with Lewis and Rico was when he
30:32
had Messi and Suarez and Neymar on the final third and
30:34
could probably do a bit of the Ancelotti of just
30:36
say right, go on, I'd do what you want. Without
30:38
that, I mean his Spain side, they
30:41
were so frustrated. I thought their most organised
30:43
side, particularly at the Euros, but they just didn't
30:45
have any cohesion in the final third. And it
30:47
was the same thing here. I don't
30:49
understand what Mbappe was doing
30:52
when he was playing on the left. They had the
30:54
ball so often down the right with
30:57
Hekimi and Dembele. And
30:59
Mbappe is never really attacking the far post. He's
31:01
a player who can play 9, there's no 9
31:03
on the left. But when you play on the
31:05
left, you've got to add the runs into the
31:08
same kind of position. So it was just Ramos
31:10
there. He had two kind of half chances, snatched
31:12
at them a bit. And then when
31:14
they moved Mbappe up front, I thought it was
31:17
the wrong way around. As you've said, that was
31:19
when you want to bring on someone like Ramos
31:21
for a penalty box present. So I
31:23
was quite disappointed with PSG. I actually thought they were
31:25
more set up for a
31:27
good run in this competition. And to be fair,
31:30
it has been a good run to the semi-finals.
31:32
Did in previous years because there's more tactical organisation.
31:34
I really like the midfield. I think Ruiz is
31:36
a brilliant player to the left. I like Vittina
31:38
a lot. But if they're going to
31:40
lose Mbappe in the summer, suddenly you look at their
31:42
attack. And it feels mad to
31:44
be saying this about PSG, but they probably need to
31:47
sign a good attacker. Are we out
31:49
on Colomirani? I
31:51
mean, Colomirani scored six goals in Ligand this
31:53
season. Klinenbakke scored 26. And after that, he's
31:56
gone to Alabramas on 11. And I think
31:58
that Dembele is a good player. is
32:00
we know him to be a hugely creative
32:02
player, just so fast causes chaos. But he's
32:04
only scored five goals in all competitions this
32:06
season. So it's so skewed towards
32:09
Mbappe, which we know to be true. But when you actually break
32:11
it down and look at the numbers from
32:13
the other forward players, it
32:15
is quite astounding. So I do agree with
32:17
Michael's point. Yeah, I think PSU in
32:19
Europe, this is going to be strange, particularly in the
32:21
knockouts, because a lot of
32:23
what Lewis and Rieke has been able to do in
32:26
the league or chosen to do is sort of start
32:28
to face Mbappe out. There's been games where he's taken
32:30
off at half time, we've not even started him. He
32:32
did it later on in Le Classique as well, which
32:34
is pretty much a significant one to do in such
32:36
a big game. And then of course, he's just given
32:38
him full 90s all the time in Europe, because he's
32:40
kind of accepted that this is a big enough deal
32:42
that you can't do that there. Obviously, they had
32:44
a league on, wrapped up for so long that they
32:46
could get away with that. It's a very young team
32:48
surrounding Mbappe, obviously, he's not particularly old himself,
32:50
but I think it's the youngest team that I
32:53
think in every round in terms of their
32:55
starting 11. So you guess
32:57
that there is still time, especially for new
32:59
signings that come in to integrate and develop.
33:01
They might benefit, I think, in a weird way from
33:04
the clean break of Mbappe in the sense that he's
33:06
never really fit Lewis and Rieke style. There's been times
33:08
in the season where he's paid well and Lewis and
33:11
Rieke has come out and just not been hugely positive
33:13
about him because he's just not the kind of player
33:15
that he wants, which might be as much a fault
33:17
of Mbappe as Lewis and Rieke, which is not really
33:19
fitting at all. And I looked
33:21
through and PSG had the fewest headed shots of
33:23
any team to reach the quarter-finals in the season's
33:25
Champions League. And obviously, that was a total when
33:27
they've gone to the semi-finals, they've had more games
33:29
and more time. And their two headed goals that
33:31
they did score were both by centre backs and
33:33
one of those was off of a set piece.
33:35
So it's clearly a part of their game that
33:37
I'd say broadly is missing. And I think to
33:39
be a good team in Europe, you need to
33:41
be able to do all phases
33:44
to a decent seven, eight out of
33:46
10 level. It's not just about being a 10 out of
33:48
10 build up team or possession team, because
33:50
you're going to come up against probably some point a team
33:52
that's sitting in and going, you need a headed goal from
33:54
somewhere. So quite a lot
33:56
of focus on what PSG didn't do in
33:59
terms of... Who did what
34:01
and well for Borussia Dortmund? They
34:04
scored a headed goal headed in by
34:06
lovely Matt Hummels It's a
34:09
titan of European football for so
34:11
long now and and reaches
34:13
another Champions League final
34:15
Michael you said that you felt the best part
34:18
of Dortmund's performance was defending their penalty box Which
34:20
was always going to be crucial on
34:22
this occasion. So are we looking at the center backs as
34:24
the key players? Yeah, I
34:26
thought hummels was excellent schlottobek was really good
34:28
alongside him as well I thought
34:31
it's probably the only part of the game they
34:33
did really well They defended the penalty box quite
34:35
well of the hummels aerial threat gets him the
34:37
goal at the opposite end of the pitch I
34:39
don't think they're a great side Dortmund. I mean, they've
34:41
done really well to reach the final It'd be a
34:43
great story if they win it. I think Dortmund a
34:46
really likable club, but they're not a great
34:48
side I think they did what they had to do to
34:50
get past PSG here But I didn't
34:52
see that much connection or combination play between
34:54
the attackers here They were just
34:56
good defensively and sometimes a knockout football that can
34:58
be enough just on the note of
35:00
Matt's home I'm not normally in the market for rattling
35:02
off just pure numbers from
35:04
an individual gain from a player
35:07
But hummels made ten clearances for
35:09
tackles and three interceptions and no
35:11
one loved more Than him across
35:13
both teams for those actions, which
35:16
is it is incredible I think that you know scored
35:18
the goal as well and again another staff
35:20
from optus So aged 35 and 143 days
35:23
Matt songs is the oldest German ever to
35:26
score a goal in the champions in a
35:28
championship knockout match So yeah considering his
35:30
longevity, you know in both boxes He
35:32
was incredible and I think that Schlotterbeck
35:35
across the course of the season I know this to be
35:37
true from other people that he does kind of have a bit
35:39
of a mistake in him But I think he was guided through
35:41
it really well from hummels and he was really Progressive
35:44
in his actions on the ball as well So
35:46
if those two have another good game
35:48
in the final then who knows
35:50
it could it could spring a surprise
35:53
A word for Kerbal as well the goalkeeper Part
35:56
of quite an experienced backline their
35:59
underlyings really, really
36:01
quite bad when you look at it.
36:03
They've had a combined across the entire
36:05
Champions League season, an XGA, so expected
36:07
goals conceded, of over 22, and
36:10
only let nine goals in. Kerbal's about
36:12
seven goals prevented in terms of his saves,
36:14
so you're looking at a 13 goal difference,
36:16
which is, I don't have the
36:18
points of comparison, but feels absolutely huge.
36:21
Like there's sort of an unsustainable overperformance, and
36:23
then there's that, which even feels like an
36:25
outlier. So even when you
36:27
factor in Kerbal being the best key opponent of the
36:30
season in terms of goals prevented, and a few really
36:32
good smart reaction saves, I think that can be a
36:34
hard game for a goalkeeper. You've got so many bodies
36:36
in the way, you're not really getting a clear side
36:38
of goal. You rely on very quick reactions to make
36:41
saves, sometimes in unorthodox ways, but that's
36:43
still about six goals in terms of opponents being
36:45
wasteful, which you can get away with
36:47
over this shorter period of time. And again, you
36:49
need to do it now for one more game,
36:52
but there's no real huge signs
36:54
there that that's like a team that's got
36:56
an awful lot going for them, predictably looking
36:58
at the future that they're still to probably
37:00
make some systematic changes in improvements. But as
37:02
we've said, they're probably real underdog, a
37:05
team that that's why they've also struggled in
37:07
the league because of the 36 games. You
37:09
just don't, yeah, that evens itself out of them.
37:17
That final takes place on the 1st
37:19
of June at Wembley. Real Madrid looking
37:21
to win number 15 of these, and
37:25
Dortmund number two, it would be for
37:27
Real Madrid should they win their sixth
37:30
Champions League title in 11 years. As
37:33
for Dortmund, Michael back at
37:35
Wembley, which is where their last Champions
37:38
League final took place. That was in
37:40
2013. They lost
37:42
to Bayern Munich, an
37:44
89th minute winner from I.N.
37:46
Robin, because I have no idea
37:48
what Waft Wubba Tewa means. Yeah, what a
37:50
final that was, by the way. I've wasted
37:52
that recently. And
37:54
I forgot, the tempo is
37:56
incredible. There's so many big moments, big
37:59
chances. It was really, really good.
38:01
So I know a lot of people were kind of ramping
38:03
up to say, oh, it's a bit of a shame when
38:06
you get two sides from the same country in the
38:08
Champions League final. And in general,
38:10
I agree. The ones between Italian and Spanish
38:12
clubs haven't been great, but that one was
38:14
fantastic. Yeah, we haven't got that,
38:16
but we've got Real Madrid against Dortmund at
38:18
Wembley. And I know this is an obvious thing
38:20
to say, but great final for Jude Bellingham, you
38:23
know, at Wembley against his former side.
38:26
After the season he's had, maybe he's after the
38:28
half season he's had, because I think he struggled
38:31
a little bit since Christmas, but he's still been
38:33
fantastic there. His impact has been unbelievable. So
38:35
yeah, I'm quite looking forward to, I
38:37
don't think Dortmund are a great team. I'll
38:39
be honest, I think they're probably the weakest team
38:42
we've seen in the final since Chelsea
38:44
in 2012. Obviously Chelsea
38:46
won it, so Dortmund have every chance of winning
38:48
this. Maybe Tottenham in 2019,
38:51
I still think they're probably a better side with the kind
38:53
of tail end of Pochettino. I still
38:55
think they're probably a better side than Dortmund. But
38:58
they've done well together. Understanding
39:00
that this is tournament football, Liam, and as we've
39:02
said many times, it takes different
39:04
ingredients to be good in tournament football.
39:07
One of the biggest ingredients can be
39:09
luck and fortune, but there are others
39:11
as well. Is there a special source
39:13
that we can make from this Dortmund
39:15
side, mixing a goalkeeper having
39:17
the shot-stopping performance of a lifetime in
39:19
this competition, centre-backs defending their
39:21
penalty box very well when they need
39:23
to, and a threat on
39:25
the counter attack as well, which even though they
39:27
didn't score on the break, they still caused PSG
39:29
a couple of hairy moments. Adeyemi's pace
39:32
in particular is very threatening. Full crook
39:34
has stood out over the last couple
39:36
of ties. Sancho's passing's been very smart
39:39
too. Yeah, it's a group of
39:41
individuals who, maybe without
39:43
a real coherent particularly in attack sort of structure,
39:45
are all really good. I think there's a high
39:48
floor of the team. They've never been, and this
39:50
is also important from the group stage perspective, they've
39:52
not had an awful game or any real periods
39:54
where they've been awful at all. They've never been
39:56
sort of taken out of a match. They were
39:59
really quite good consistency. in the group
40:01
stage. Barring probably matched day one where they tried a
40:03
5-3-2 away to PSG. Turnstitch
40:05
came out afters and was like, we
40:08
just weren't aggressive enough, we gave them too much
40:10
respect. We gave the ball away too quickly when
40:12
we did regain it. So quite clearly I've learnt
40:14
from mistakes there. It's probably quite an experienced side
40:16
as well in terms of their individual
40:18
experience in the Champions League and they felt like
40:20
a few fouls that PSG made later on in
40:22
the game where they knew how to then slow
40:24
the game down and break things up. So
40:27
you need all the elements and I think they
40:29
probably didn't get as much credit as they deserved in
40:31
the groups. But it's been as much
40:34
about them being good in the knockouts, I think, as it
40:36
has been opponents being wasteful. But there was a, I think
40:38
it was a good tweet from Hamels where it was like,
40:40
everyone wants to play us. So it's nice we've got
40:43
to the final, so more teams can play us. And
40:45
if teams are missing chances against them, then, you know,
40:47
tournament football is like turning up and performing in
40:50
those 90 minutes. And if your opponent's done, you're
40:52
going to go through if you're good enough. In
40:54
a motivational sense, they've got that very powerful. Everyone
40:56
thinks we're rubbish. We can prove them wrong. Whereas
40:58
Real Madrid have that incredible. We've won this so
41:00
many times and we always seem to do it
41:03
in very similar fashion where we always find a
41:05
goal when we need to, which is pretty powerful
41:07
too. Yeah, I don't know which narrative I prefer,
41:09
really. I quite like both, to be honest. I
41:11
think you're more of an underdog, Mark. I think,
41:13
yeah, I'd probably go along with that, to be
41:16
honest. But I think, you know, talking
41:18
about luck and things kind of on pitch as
41:20
well, I think it sounds obvious, but the
41:22
draw is so important to how successful the team
41:24
is each season. And I know that, you
41:26
know, Liam just mentioned it, the Dortmund did have a tough
41:28
group that they obviously navigated
41:31
out of really well. But they
41:33
did draw PSG Eindhoven, then Atletico
41:35
Madrid, and then PSG, who they'd obviously played
41:37
in the group stages, so they knew kind of how to play
41:39
against them. Maybe it was kind
41:41
of the same as Inter Milan last season. You
41:44
think about their, you know, teams that they were
41:46
drawn against in the knockout stages. They got Porto,
41:48
Benfica and AC Milan, who were not massive
41:50
giants of recent years at the time. So
41:53
I think, as is
41:55
obvious, the draw does have a massive saying
41:57
who reaches the final stages. And next season's
41:59
format is... going to probably mean it's slightly
42:01
skewed towards the better team, so this might be
42:03
the final time in a while that that
42:05
might happen, who knows. Just remembered that a
42:07
few months ago Michael said he thought this year
42:11
was ripe for a team making the final, maybe winning
42:13
the thing that no one saw coming. Yeah, but I
42:15
thought it was PSE and part of the reason I
42:17
thought it was PSE because they were playing Dortmund in
42:19
the second half. There you go. I'm not sure I
42:22
can claim that one. Mission failed successfully. I
42:25
mean, based on what we've seen from both Dortmund
42:27
and from Real Madrid in the Champions League this
42:29
year, do you guys have a clear image in
42:31
your mind as to how this game will look
42:33
tactically? I mean, I think
42:35
Real Madrid will dominate. I can see kind of turning cross.
42:39
Being the pass master again, I think they've
42:41
got the fluidity and the combinations in the
42:43
final third that should unlock
42:45
Dortmund's defence. I think Dortmund probably a
42:47
bit more reactive, probably play on the
42:49
break. They did have some good runs,
42:51
I thought, in this game. They just weren't found with passes
42:53
in behind the way they were for the
42:56
goal in the first leg. I think they'll
42:58
have a threat on the break, Dortmund.
43:01
I can't think of an element at the game that's really better out than
43:03
Real Madrid. They defended the box well, but I thought
43:05
Real defended the box well really well in
43:08
that game against City. So I'd
43:11
have really strong favourites, to be honest. I think
43:14
Dortmund defended wide areas really well. I know that
43:16
Ahmed Waleed did a really interesting piece on that
43:18
and if they do the same against Real Madrid,
43:20
then that will nullify especially the threat from Real
43:22
Madrid's left hand side, which we've already spoken about.
43:25
I think that was probably, to
43:27
Liam's point right at the start, in terms of
43:29
why Kimmick was still selected at right back, it
43:31
didn't help that Sané wasn't really helping a ton.
43:34
He helped at times, but then they got a
43:36
bit confused and Vinesis Union was able to go
43:38
either way, either towards the
43:41
touchline or inside. Sancho
43:43
and Adeyemi, across both legs
43:45
against PSG, did really well in doubling
43:47
up and defending really well. So
43:49
it's not really the most positive to say
43:51
that they might be able to nullify the
43:54
threat. It's not necessarily thinking optimistically, but I
43:56
do think that if they're going to try and
43:58
nullify the threat, then they've got the plan. Isn't that the
44:00
touch constructed to do that? A wonderful
44:02
sake of our taking up is typical of
44:04
aggressive positions right back knowing that of your
44:06
father ego the more you what's combat to
44:08
defend the a me whether they might switch
44:10
francs or or change him during the game
44:12
Essential as one of the space exploit that
44:14
I think what's interesting is this know so
44:16
of. Compared. To Los is my
44:18
we had a team he won't release or defensively
44:21
in in in take it. Can.
44:23
Mix of sovereignty While but we're more you really
44:25
complements and we can set. We can defend deep,
44:27
we can hit the wide areas. such a system.
44:30
Plath. Apply the matched up quite well and
44:32
very much of a stars make fight. So
44:35
thing was this shows. A
44:37
little bit murkier I think just in time
44:39
so the attack to a pitcher I'm hoping
44:41
it will be better than the posse find
44:43
the Soviet six goes combine in the past
44:46
five the past four will be mom one
44:48
know which in an era where always got
44:50
up and up and league games at an
44:52
it we've seen finals consecutively be one one
44:54
know man says this I think since posture
44:57
the seventies or the eighties so I guess
44:59
this inches happen sometimes in you think the
45:01
to recent finals where he has been about
45:03
players getting released him behind that the habits
45:06
go to get city. That and dishes
45:08
have any. It's Liverpool as well. so
45:10
does possibly us a row that for
45:12
for history turned itself or don't despair.
45:14
Better yet not international. Yes,
45:17
about time We had a bit of a
45:19
goldfish in the final because even the World
45:21
Cup finals have been entertaining. I mean, six
45:23
code in each of the last two of
45:25
them, so that was always to this me,
45:27
Quite a defensive game set in the nineties.
45:29
two thousand and if even the World Cup
45:31
final can produce. Thrillers.
45:33
Than I think is about time the champion the final
45:35
stepped up. Monkey think. The.
45:38
Liam uses the phrase styles make fights more
45:40
than you use the word Alchemy. Well panic
45:42
My were taken up from about was another
45:44
Harrys in the again after his once and
45:46
has been taken on it. Did I take
45:48
it as a compliment? He says it moments.
45:50
I think it in terms of. pod.
45:52
stats like that you probably best
45:54
doing it per ninety words spoken
45:57
on us to describe it as
45:59
an issue make sure that it good
46:01
because Liam does probably I just still say
46:03
more words in people than and
46:05
from me so good
46:08
stuff okay so I want to
46:10
ask Michael if this strong
46:12
favorite realm Madrid who per
46:15
the early betting odds who
46:17
will lift the trophy implies
46:19
a probability in the
46:21
bookmakers eyes of seventy six point nine
46:24
percent for realm
46:26
Madrid to win is there a
46:28
certain type of opposition that
46:31
can spook an ciolotti
46:33
and realm Madrid or is
46:35
their strength that they are
46:37
unspookable whatever love two
46:39
games this season both against let's go Madrid
46:41
I don't know whether that was really because
46:44
of the style of semione side
46:46
or because of the fact they were Darby's and
46:48
Darby's tend to be a bit different so
46:51
yeah I guess you can say the Dortmund
46:53
need to be quite athletic they kind of
46:55
are broadly set up to
46:57
play that way I think when you look at how
46:59
they played against PSG yesterday yeah I'm
47:01
sorry I'm not making much of a case for Dormant here but
47:06
yeah just fueling the underdog motivational
47:09
trope for them which can
47:11
be very powerful and and
47:14
Edin Terzic's side are up against
47:16
it they are the underdogs but
47:19
really excited about this one last
47:21
thing goalkeepers are
47:23
important in individual
47:25
matches and have been in Champions
47:27
League finals particularly one
47:29
goalkeeper called Tebow Courtois if
47:33
Courtois is fit to play
47:35
back from injury do you
47:37
think an ciolotti would play him
47:40
over looning well
47:42
did you see it the full-time whistle yesterday
47:44
the camera slightly bizarrely cut to Courtois
47:46
running onto the pitch it wasn't moving that
47:48
freely I don't think he ever had a
47:50
big guy as well I think it was
47:52
done on Tuesday and he was fully fit
47:56
he didn't look close to fitness for me I
47:58
mean that's maybe the area where assuming of course,
48:00
why he doesn't come back, or maybe even if he does, maybe
48:03
that's the area Dortmund do have the advantage. I mean,
48:05
Liam said the call will start, haven't
48:07
been that impressed by Loon in this season, he's been
48:09
all right. But yeah, that's maybe
48:11
if you're doing a combined 11,
48:13
which obviously we should never do. Maybe
48:16
the goalkeeper is the one player who gets in.
48:19
Courtois played against Cadiz at the weekend and made
48:21
a really good one on one save. And it
48:23
kind of reminded everyone there was kind of a
48:26
ripple of applause in like the minutes after that
48:28
still sort of show to people he is,
48:31
maybe he's back. I don't know. I mean, I don't think
48:33
it is the best idea to bring him in. Somewhat
48:35
cold for a final, but he has
48:37
proven in a Champions League final that he can
48:39
more than play his part. Interesting.
48:43
Dortmund and Real Madrid going head to head on
48:45
the 1st of June at Wembley.
48:47
And I'm very, very excited
48:49
about it after this podcast. Thank you
48:51
to Michael, to Mark and Liam. As
48:53
for us, to mark your card, we
48:56
have two shows left
48:58
this season. And
49:00
we've got some pretty fun ideas
49:02
to round us off for the
49:04
2324 season on the Athletic Football
49:06
Tactics podcast. We're really grateful to
49:08
all of you who tune in every
49:11
week. Welcome to anyone that's tuned
49:13
in for the first time this week.
49:15
Stick with us, subscribe to the
49:17
podcast feed and to the Athletic. Go
49:19
to the athletic.com/tactics for a discount
49:21
on an annual subscription today. Thank
49:24
you very much for listening and go well.
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