0:00

Breaking down every game every day

0:02

in Major League Baseball. This is the Baseball

0:05

Betting Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

0:09

Well, we're ber the loo.

0:10

Welcome to Lovely Las Vegas for the Baseball

0:12

Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson,

0:14

now part of the Vson Family Podcasts. We've

0:16

got an excellent podcast for us. Joining me

0:18

in segment number two is Justin Perry. He

0:20

does great work over at Pitchers List, Shot

0:22

Quality best for those I love college basketball

0:25

and the Justin Perry Show. We're gonna be talking

0:27

about just what he's known as here in the early

0:29

part of the season, why he's not gonna be overreacting

0:32

to some of these guys that have had either

0:34

really really good or bad starts to the season.

0:36

That includes teams as well. We're gonna be taking

0:38

a look at some of the pictures that we are going

0:40

to be seeing on Wednesday as

0:42

well, and just some of the things in general has shot

0:45

out to him to begin the season. In the final

0:47

segment, gonna get you guys picks in analysis on every

0:49

game on the betting board for this Baseball

0:51

Wednesday as we touch the mall. If you do have a

0:53

question, comment segment Idea what I have you for this podcast.

0:56

You have one of two ways we have for those in first one is

0:58

my Twitter slash cks simeline at you on forty

1:00

one. Keep in mind the letters em think he does

1:02

not matter, so as per usual, please to send these into the

1:04

timeline. The other way that is signed an Apple podcast

1:07

review. If you rate this podcast five starts, it

1:09

is very much appreciated them. From there, you're able

1:11

to fire in whatever you'd like to here on this podcast. I had

1:13

that five star review, really did not get in any

1:15

Twitter sidchecks questions today. But we

1:17

ad ourselves a great day baseball on Tuesday,

1:19

so let's like look back at it, try to find some jones

1:21

in, try to get to know these teams a little bit.

1:23

Better games were yesterday? Is Greg buzzing

1:26

about? Here is the rowdy recap.

1:28

Yay verily to the fact that the Miami

1:30

Marlins were able to cover a run line. They're

1:33

second of the season. Bad news.

1:35

They still lose to the d R Yankees

1:37

three to two. The finalists, aj Puck

1:39

did not necessarily give the start that the Miami

1:42

Marlins were hoping for, was able to actually mitigate

1:44

the damage a little bit. But four and two thirds innings,

1:46

five walks allowed, and now

1:48

for aj Puck he has won a grand

1:51

total ten to two thirds innings with fourteen

1:53

walks, gave up two runs, one of which

1:55

was earned, so once again mitigated the damage.

1:57

Alex Erdugo did take him deep for a second on

2:00

on the campaign from there six so Sanchez gives

2:02

up a run in an ending Andrew Nardi Anthony bender

2:04

they both lend a squirrel as setting and George Soriiano

2:06

went out on the boatpen and for the Miami Marlins

2:09

doing the play today were able to

2:11

put together four total hits as Carlos hold

2:14

On a relatively solid start, gives up two

2:16

hundred runs and six innings hurt by and Anthony

2:18

Brizzok labor taurus errors out there

2:20

in the field, but Ian Hamilton two squirrels settings

2:22

play homes able to lock it down for a

2:25

Squirrels setting and was able to get a save. And the

2:27

Yankees now ten and two to start the season.

2:29

The Miami Marlins they've got one more win

2:31

than Greg Peterson and I am not a baseball

2:34

team. This one was a rough

2:36

one. If you add it the Atlanta Braves, we're up

2:38

by acount of six to zero going into

2:40

the top of the eighth inning, and if you had the run line

2:42

that went into the abyss

2:44

six to five, the Atlanta Braves get the

2:46

outright win, but they do not cover minus

2:48

a run in Halfie Adrian als there

2:50

a pitch a little bit more like Doogie in this one,

2:53

giving up five runs over the course of five nings

2:55

with no home runs allowed. But the Atlanta

2:57

Braids going seve to fourteen with men in scoring position,

3:00

and then we know the Lopez

3:02

A nice stare from him, six coorrels settings,

3:05

Aaron Bummer, not a Bummer Scirreles setting,

3:07

and then you'd had Joey Bennez give you an out out of the bullpen.

3:09

But Tyler Mazik he gives up three runs at two

3:11

thirds of any, giving up a home run to Pete Alonzo,

3:14

third home round the campaign, and then Rossi Iglesias

3:16

in the ninth any he sets fire

3:18

to the run line, giving up a pair of runs

3:20

in the innings that was a little bit

3:23

less than terrific for the Braves. So they do get the r

3:25

Ray winning. Now they're there, your top overteam

3:27

in all baseball, seven overs, two unders.

3:29

Any push for them, he says that I read

3:31

zem in quite the overteam as well. Eight overs

3:34

are just three unders for them, and they

3:36

fall to the Milwaukee Bers nine to five, which

3:38

Burs have now scored eight plus runs at each other

3:40

last three games. Say don't get any home runs,

3:43

but they go six to fifteen with men in scoring

3:45

position. And Joe Ross relatively solid start

3:47

three runs too, of which were earned, given up in six and

3:49

third nightings with seven strikeouts, by the way,

3:51

just his second start since the twenty

3:54

twenty one season at the big league

3:56

bubble. And he know duo Frankie Moltos who

3:58

gave up five runs, three of which we're earned, in five

4:00

innings. He did have some nice long relief

4:02

three runs in four innings surrendered by Parson

4:05

Spiders. And for the Cincinnati Reds, they

4:07

do go just three of fifteen with men in scoring

4:09

position. As at Ebner Yuibe put

4:11

out the fire in the ninth ending, he was able to find three

4:14

strikeouts as the Reds and men

4:16

in scoring position with no outs end and came

4:18

up empty. As Olivis Piero gives up

4:20

two runs at one and a third innings and Brian Hudson

4:22

he gives you an out out of the bullpen scoreless as well.

4:24

Baltimore Orioles, off to a relatively slid six

4:27

and four start to the season, they take down the Boston

4:29

Red Sox by account of seven to one. Corbyn Burns

4:31

allows a sol him run in seven innings as

4:33

Tyler O'Neill's white hot by the way six home

4:35

run of the season. I believe that leads the big leagues.

4:38

He's able to take him deep past at Red

4:40

Sox gig get nothing generated as Jacob

4:42

Webb Danny Columbey both on a squirreless

4:44

inning for the Orioles. No home

4:46

runs but eight of fifteen with men in

4:48

scoring position as Brian Bayo, not a

4:51

bad start year. He does give up three runs

4:53

at five and a third innings, but he is hurt by a

4:55

pair of bears out there in the field, just one of which was earned.

4:57

Josh Mnkowski was really the man that left

4:59

the this game go away. Four runs, three of which

5:01

we're earned, giving up in two and two thirds innings, saying Julia

5:04

Rodriguez, he was able to give you a scoreless setting

5:06

the bullpen as well, and a team that has

5:08

been able to do very well to the under

5:10

thus far this season. How about the Houston

5:12

astros ay and the New York Yankees tied for

5:15

the best underrated and all Baseball Three

5:17

overs, eight hunders and a push for both of these

5:19

teams, and for the Asters, pitching was

5:21

solid in this one. That's gonn not get

5:23

a live four to three, the Cansity Royals

5:25

are now seven and four. They get the win, and

5:27

the Asters are now four and eight as

5:29

they got what they were looking for out of the

5:31

bullpen leading up into the tenth

5:33

inning, as Christianavire gives up three runs

5:36

over for earning five in a third. Ding's

5:38

not great, not terrible, But from there Rafael montto

5:40

he was not Rafael monteto bull. He gives you a pair

5:42

of bots out of the bullpen, Ryan Presley, Josh Hay or

5:45

Brian Brady. They all lent a squirrel setting. And then

5:47

wander I swear this guy sucks.

5:49

Come into the game and yes that is his

5:51

nickname on this podcast. Wander I swear

5:54

this guy sucks. He throws two pitches

5:56

and he lets the game go into the Abyss says you

5:58

had a Salvador repair as have an RBI

6:01

signal to be able to walk off the game. If

6:03

you see Wonder, I swear this guy sucks

6:05

come in for the Houston Asters, You'll probably want to live

6:07

bet against them because he is not good, to say the

6:09

least. But what else is not good was the Astros

6:12

leaving thirteen men on basis for the Royals.

6:14

Co Wagans not the start that he was looking for. Tenants

6:17

allowed in five innings, gives up three runs, But about

6:19

the bullpen James MacArthur, two scorrel settings, John

6:21

Dreiber, Chris Ran, Nick Anderson. They also

6:24

apply a squirrels setting of their own. The ELI Dodgers

6:26

just continued to be the LA Dodgers, ladies and gentlemen.

6:29

They are able to win this game by multiple runs

6:31

six to three. The finalists for the LI Dodgers.

6:33

They have now won two hundred and

6:36

twenty one games since the beginning

6:38

of the twenty twenty two campaign. All

6:40

but thirty five of them have been by multiple runs.

6:42

Says for Los Angeles Tyler Glass now with

6:44

tremendous fourteen punchouts at seven scoreless

6:47

sttings. From there, things got a little bit. Eric Connor

6:49

Brogton gives up a pair of solom runs and working

6:51

alex As he had a lot of solom run as well. For

6:53

Minnesota, they had three home runs going

6:56

into the bottom of the eighth inning all season. Then

6:58

they provide three home runs, says Jeffers

7:00

gets the second of the campaign, as Carlos

7:02

Carea they both get their first, and for

7:05

Louis Varland he a lot of pair of home runs himself

7:07

six runs surroundered in five innings. Will Smith

7:09

gets Shiggy with it for his first home run in the campaign, and

7:11

James Oltman he goes out man second home

7:13

run the season. From there, Cole sands two squirrel

7:16

of settings. Brock Stewart or A. Lcolla

7:18

both lend a squirrel of setting for the

7:20

Seattle manners, they are unable to lend

7:22

enough offense to be able to get the job done in this one,

7:25

five to three. The Toronto Blue Jays get

7:27

the win as George Kirby, second straight rough

7:29

start for him, gives up five runs in four

7:32

plus settings, says he in his previous

7:34

start win three and two thirds, giving up eight runs,

7:36

six of which Will earned given up to The Guardian. So

7:38

been a rough start to the season. From We'll been

7:41

from there wasn't too bad Trent Thornton, Gabes

7:43

Fyer Austin both may all lend a squirrel

7:45

setting and then Ryan Stanning along the Brett day

7:47

Ice Say combined for a squirrel setting and for

7:49

the Seattle Manners pair of home runs in this one, Dom

7:52

Ken Zone his third home run campaign off for Chris

7:54

Bass and then Trevor Richards gives one up to

7:56

Mitch Haneger. His second for Bass at good

7:58

start here does allow that home run, but

8:00

that's all that he allowed. Solom run in six and two

8:02

thirds ends in despite giving up four walks Trevor

8:05

Richards. He gives up two runs at an enning from there,

8:07

but Chad Green gets the final four outs of the

8:09

game to be able to go scoreless. For the Blue

8:11

Jays after scoring three runs are fewer

8:13

in seven out of their previous nine games, five plus

8:15

in each other last two, so they're starting to get

8:17

online a little bit more. Also getting online,

8:20

how about the Detroit Tigers five to three

8:22

they take down the Pittsburgh Priates, just the

8:24

third loss of the season for the Pirates. Says they did

8:26

have n Ala varies be the main form of

8:28

offense in this one. He's able to go to deep Price for

8:30

his second and third home runs of the campaign, goes Zpop

8:33

with Casey Mizi startar who he goes

8:35

five innings, giving up two runs in this one, and then Tyler

8:37

Holton gives up a Solom run in his ending of work.

8:39

But you had from there, Shelby

8:42

Miller, Jason Foley, Alex Langell lend to

8:44

Scirrels stting in with the Tigers. They go four

8:46

of ten with men in scoring position. They do a nice

8:48

job being able to get to the bullpen as Martin Perez

8:50

actually a really good start. He gives up

8:52

one run in eight innings, and then David Bennar,

8:54

one of the better relievers out there in the big leagues,

8:57

he completely lights his game on fire

8:59

four runs to give it up in a third of an ending

9:01

before loans he can Jurors has to get the final

9:04

two outs of that ninth inning. As the Pirates

9:06

entered in the ninth ending up by account of three to one,

9:08

and then they made like your buddy at the bar and could not

9:10

close. And for the Cleveland Guardians,

9:13

they allowed the Chicago White Sox to get their second

9:15

win of the year, seven to five to the final the

9:17

White Sox currently deal with Eloi Amenez

9:19

being on the fold along with Luis Robert. But

9:22

you know what they had in this game, they had

9:24

themselves. Kevin Pillar give you up multiple

9:26

rbi as it was enough in support

9:28

of Mike Soroka did not give a great start four runs

9:30

rendered in three and two thirds innings. He did

9:33

give up a home run along the way to Josh Hayler

9:35

second home run of the campaign, but Logan Allen

9:37

was worse, giving up five runs over the course of four innings.

9:39

From there, the Guardians bullpen stabilized, Nick

9:41

Samlin, Hunter Gaddis, Eli Morgan,

9:43

Peter Strezluki I'll end the squirrel setting, but

9:45

Scott Barlow rough start to the season from two

9:48

runs to render over the course of an ending and for the

9:50

White Sox bullpound was solid. Michael Kopek

9:52

and Joy leisure Leisurely both

9:54

gave you two squirrel settings. The peace Steven Wilson

9:57

he gives you a squirrel setting and timil allowed

9:59

to run while getting in out the bullpen as well.

10:01

But yay verily for a White Sox

10:03

win, and yay verily to the Chicago

10:05

Cubs who they get a five to one win over the

10:07

Padres, who scuffle in a little bit six

10:09

and eight to begin the season. But for the Chicago

10:11

Cubs, pair of home runs off of Joe Musgrove.

10:14

As for young Gomes, he gets his first home runs

10:16

season. Then Christopher Morel Sa Manning gets

10:18

his third, though that was actually off of

10:20

the reliever and Stephen Colick, who gave

10:22

up that Solme run in two innings. Have worked for Musgrove.

10:25

Not to get started. Your four runs given up in four innings.

10:27

He's been not great to say the least begin the season.

10:29

Good news is Johnny Brido entered

10:32

this game with a e RA above nine.

10:34

It's now added eight to one as he goes

10:36

for two scorel settings. Tom Costgrove a squirrel

10:38

setting of his own end For the Padres, the

10:41

lone form of offense in this one was

10:43

being able to get home run number two of the season

10:45

from their young guy, You guy Rosario.

10:47

Hopefully I said that correctly. He goes deep

10:49

in this one off of Drew Smiley, who he came

10:51

in after Ben Brown. Through four and two thirds dings

10:53

scoreless. Good start there. Drew Smiley gives

10:56

up to this home run in one of the third innings, but Mark

10:58

Lighter Junior, Edbert Alsley se Amante.

11:00

They are able to lend a squirrel of setting

11:02

in the Tampa Bay Race, they lend themselves a

11:05

win six or four over the La Angels,

11:07

says for the Als, Mike Trout goes up once

11:09

again. He has been tremendous start to

11:11

season. As he's up to home run number six of the

11:13

season. That's tight for the big league lead.

11:15

He was able to go deep off Vanceaval. He gives

11:18

up three runs, two of which earned in the course of five

11:20

innings. Both from there with b Fairbanks

11:22

allows a run in an enning, but Jason Adam,

11:24

philm Ayton, Calm Pouchet. They're all able

11:26

to supply a squirrel of setting. Angels, by the way,

11:28

now seven overs of four unders as far this

11:30

season. As a race, they go four of eight with men in scoring

11:33

position in each parades. It's able to go

11:35

deep. Home run number four of the campaign. That

11:37

comes off of oz C Sarraho, who gives up a run

11:39

nning, but Patrick Sanderval he gives

11:41

up four runs over the course of five innings, walk three,

11:44

Lewis Garcia, Carson Foemer. They both wound

11:46

a squirrel of signing. But Hunter Strickland, yes, he

11:48

is still pitching out the big league. Bovell no idea

11:50

how he was able to come in. He gave

11:53

up a run in an ending himself. The Washington

11:55

Nationals said to scratch Yosaiah great

11:57

just before he started against the San Francisco Giants.

12:00

You on the don't leads up to victory

12:02

five to three the final. It

12:04

has been rough for the San Francisco Giants

12:06

on offense this season. As a don he goes

12:09

four innings, He walks three, gives up one

12:11

run, but the bullpen at his back, Robert

12:13

Guards he had dome flooral both provide a

12:15

squirrel as ending Kyle Finnegan under RV they

12:17

combined for two squirrels and Jordan Weeds. He gives

12:20

up two runs, one of which was earned in his ending

12:22

and work, but CJ Abrams he provided the boom

12:24

third home run season. That comes off of Kyl Rison,

12:26

who gives up three runs over the course of six innings. From

12:28

there, Ryan Walker gives up a run in an

12:30

enning, and then you had Rogers squared as

12:33

Taylor Rodgers pairbounce out the bullpen. Scure

12:35

is his brother Tyler. He gives up a run

12:37

in his one and a third innings.

12:39

But for the Giants, they stranded eleven

12:42

men on base in this one. And speaking of stranding

12:44

men on base, our DK network right up of the over

12:46

in the Cardinals versus Phillies as I did. I

12:49

John the Cardinals money line, I should have written

12:51

that up as well. As the Cardinals win three to zeros.

12:53

For the Philadelphia Phillies they leave

12:56

eight men on base. Sad the base is loaded in seventh

12:58

inning with one out end they did nothing with

13:01

it. As for both of these teams to combine

13:03

oh of fifteen with men in scoring positions.

13:05

So a little bit stealty about that. Zach Wheeland

13:07

and Deal and Wheeler Y wasn't really

13:09

Wheeling and deal and gives up three runs over the course

13:11

of seven innings. Is not terrible That Great gives up

13:14

a home run to Nolan Gorman third home run season.

13:16

And for Sunny Gray, he was on a tight Pitchcown only

13:18

goes sixty four pitches but five punch outs

13:20

five squirrels. Signings from him Matthew Liberator

13:22

and through Kit Church, they both give you a para of outside

13:24

the ballpen. Before Jojo Romero gives you one

13:27

and two thirds innings scoreless with four

13:29

punch outs, and Ryan Ellesley as score of signing

13:31

is and the Philadelphia Phillies as well, ground

13:33

into three double place. That was a little bit less

13:36

than ideal. And if he took me over and Colorrado,

13:38

this was less than ideal. Not a lot of runs in this

13:40

game. Arizona, they get their first road

13:42

win of the season, three to two. They take down the

13:44

colrid Rockies. Randal Richard Corbyn,

13:46

Carrol, they both go deep off of cal Quanto.

13:49

He was rougherly but settled down, gave you

13:51

six innings, giving up three runs from there, Victor

13:53

von Nick, Jalen Beaks, Tyler Kinley,

13:55

they all went a scorel of signing. But for the Rockies

13:58

they had a rough time trying to get to Merrill.

14:00

Kelly gives up two runs over the course of six innings.

14:02

From there, Ryan Thompson, Kyle Nelson, they both

14:04

combined for two squirrel settings and Kevin Winkle

14:07

squirrels saying, and I know that Jared Smith,

14:09

who joined this show a day or two

14:11

ago, he was talking about the yes run

14:13

first inning in the Rockies that cashed

14:15

once again on Tuesday, and he

14:18

had three runs scored in the first setting and course

14:20

and two runs the rest of the game. So a little

14:22

bit of a funky one out there, and the Oakland

14:24

A's seven and one on

14:27

the run line in their last eight games.

14:29

They win for the third straight game outright,

14:31

four to three. The finalized for the Texas

14:33

Rangers ain't a Avaldi good start. Ear gives

14:36

up a so Holme run in five and two thirds

14:38

endings, but it was a Shae Lego Layers

14:40

knight. He goes deep three times, goes zep

14:42

off of Vivaldi, goes zeep off of David

14:44

Robertson, and then goes zep off of Osela

14:46

Clerk home runs two, three, and four of

14:48

the campaign. Robertson gives up that home run

14:51

in one and a third innings and then ose

14:53

Look Clerk. He blewes the game the ninth,

14:55

giving up a two run shot to Lango

14:57

Layers in his ending over Kirby eates Scirrells

14:59

Sai as well, And for the Rangers, they had a pair of solo

15:02

runs. Eli Carter for someone on the campaign

15:04

and Jodana Hines first him go seat

15:06

off of Alex Wood and for Wood gives up two

15:08

runs over the course of four innings. The other home

15:10

run that comes off of Mitch Spence who

15:13

gave up his solo run and three innings of work. But from

15:15

there you had Michael Kelly and Mason Miller

15:17

come in. They were able to provide spotless

15:19

eighth and ninth innings. To be able to get the job done

15:22

out there, and also being able to get the job

15:24

done is overs as far as baseball

15:26

season as it continues to be a little

15:28

bit of an overwhelming start to the season. Overs

15:31

for the campaign getting at fifty four point seven

15:33

percent eighty two overs, sixty eight unders

15:35

along the way. We have seen quite a few pushes as

15:37

well. I think that we're up to ten in total favorites.

15:40

On the bunny line, they're cashing out about fifty eight point

15:42

seven percent, ninety one and sixty four. Road

15:44

teams just continue to be hot. Eighty four and

15:46

seventy four straight up. If you take a look at what

15:48

we just got on Tuesday was very much an underwhelming

15:51

day. Nine hunderds are just five overs with a

15:53

push along the way and favorites. Yesterday

15:56

they went just seven and eight straight up, so very

15:58

much a day for the Dogs. That's what

16:00

we saw in baseball on Tuesday, and that's where we're getting

16:02

trend wise in this great game. Coming up next will

16:04

be taking a look at Wednesday with our

16:06

good friend in Justin Perry does great work with the

16:08

Justin Perry Show, a lot of pitcherreless. We're gonna be

16:10

diving in on some prospects that he's taking

16:13

a look at as well when he's made out of the front half of

16:15

the season as well, and so much more that's up next. Right,

16:17

You're on the Baseball Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson,

16:19

now apart from the Visa Fammi.

16:20

Podcasts, breaking

16:25

down every game every day in Major League

16:27

Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting

16:30

Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

16:33

Comber back your love you Las Vegas for the Baseball

16:35

Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson,

16:37

now part of the Vison Family podcasts. And it

16:40

is always a joy to be drying by this man

16:42

as Justin Perry. He does absolutely excellent

16:44

workover at shot quality bets. But couple

16:46

with that, he has launched a news show called

16:49

The Justin Perry Show. He does a tremendous

16:51

job looking at a little bit of everything, football,

16:53

basketball, baseball, you name it, he does

16:55

it. He's also contributing this year.

16:57

On the baseball front over at Pictureless, oh

17:00

and terrible follow on Twitter slash shikes over

17:02

at Justin Perry the number eight, So it's versus

17:05

n last, a man at Last, same spelled

17:07

pe r r i and Justin.

17:08

It is always a joy to get you on my friend.

17:10

Thank you, Greg. Super excited to be here. Baseball

17:13

time is truly upon us.

17:15

With the college basketball championship

17:18

and season behind us in.

17:20

The rear view mirror.

17:21

Now really excited to get into some

17:23

awesome baseball work.

17:24

Actually just published one.

17:26

Of my first deep dives into

17:29

the prospect systems of the

17:31

NL west over at pitcher Lists, So if

17:33

you're interested in that type of stuff, playing

17:35

some deep dynasty leagues, you know we're gonna have

17:37

some fun, you know, at that deeper

17:39

level this season in baseball, so.

17:41

That you know the guys before anyone else.

17:43

Absolutely, and Justin you do such

17:45

a great job of taking a look at some of

17:47

these guys that might not be stars right now,

17:49

but they might be household names by

17:52

the end of the season slash early into

17:54

next year. They're the guys that grow on us, guys

17:56

of things go along, And just in

17:58

terms of your research over at Pitcher

18:00

List, are there a few guys that you have been underthing

18:03

that are a little bit under the radar that you think

18:05

by season's end we're gonna be looking at

18:07

them at higher esteem than we are right now.

18:09

You know, I think there's there's

18:12

a couple of guys I'm sort of tasked over there

18:14

with the NL West, the easy ones. I'm

18:16

excited for, you know, to see Jackson Holiday

18:18

and Paul Sken's come up for sure.

18:21

Junior Cavinero kind of talked about

18:23

a little bit more. There's clearly some

18:25

need for the Rays at shortstop,

18:28

but I think they view him a little bit more as a third

18:30

baseman. There's some really great talent coming

18:33

along, but one that stood out in the NL

18:35

West for me, greg was Jordan Lawler.

18:37

He's been amazing his whole career.

18:39

I think it's gonna be very exciting to see him translate

18:42

into the major leagues.

18:44

He's a he's a great young player.

18:46

There's a lot of competition, of course,

18:48

with Geraldo Perdomo. This Lawler's

18:50

Bamonbacks prospect, so it's

18:53

gonna be pretty interesting to see how that

18:55

all comes together for that

18:57

battle.

18:58

But I could see.

18:58

Lawler be being a part of the big

19:00

club by the season ends, when

19:03

the roster starts expanding. That's someone

19:05

definitely to know about for the Arizona

19:07

Diamondbacks and a fun one for sure. And then

19:09

the other good one I

19:12

thought was Josie Depaula, who

19:14

was actually training this summer with Juan

19:17

Soto and Elie de la Cruz. He's

19:19

eighteen years old, so a little bit

19:21

further away, but if you want that

19:23

deeper type of stash, that younger

19:25

type of guy, he should be pretty nice. And he's

19:27

coming up right now with the Dodgers,

19:29

so it's a good system and he could end up

19:31

doing some damage in a year or two.

19:33

Oh. Absolutely, that Dodger system that I

19:35

was able to help out Bobby Miller last

19:38

year. Ryan Pepi was a part of that a

19:40

few seasons ago and he just had an amazing

19:42

start out there with the Tampa Bay Ray,

19:45

So the Dodgers said, know what they

19:47

are doing with regards to pitching prospects.

19:49

So I do like that look as well, and I always

19:51

do think that it is fun to be able to take a look

19:53

at some of those younger pitchers be able to find a little

19:55

bit of upside, and there are just certain systems,

19:58

in my opinion, that do a better job than

20:00

others. And just taking a look at the board that

20:02

we do have for Wednesday, we do have quite a few

20:04

of the top flight starters that are going. But

20:06

how about if we do take a look at one of those younger

20:09

guys, that'd be Hunter Green. Green and the

20:11

Cincinnati Reds. They are going to be facing off against the

20:13

Bruis currently no numbers up on this game,

20:15

just because the Brewers we didn't know whether

20:17

they were going to be throwing Wade Mighty or not.

20:19

But I'd have to think that the Reds when this opens

20:21

up there are going to be a little bit of a favorite. But how

20:24

do you take a look at this sort of a matchup and

20:26

Hunter Green in general's head of struggles

20:28

at home the first few years at the Big league bubble.

20:30

But I feel like your number three could be about hell prow.

20:32

I actually like Hunter Green a good

20:35

amount.

20:35

I think the Reds team does have a

20:38

decent eye. Obviously not the biggest

20:40

sample size, yet we've seen him pitch against the Gnats

20:43

and the Mets. So maybe take things

20:45

a little bit of a grain of salt here. You know,

20:47

thirteen strikeouts so far and a

20:49

little bit under eleven innings right now.

20:52

Fastball velocity is there, and at the

20:54

end of the day, to me, that's what's always

20:56

going to set apart pitchers. You need to be able

20:59

to get that veloc we're seeing. It's

21:01

a little difficult right now, but yeah,

21:03

I mean Green's fastball sits

21:06

at ninety eight. He throws harder than

21:08

most guys, and I think that will continue

21:10

to challenge teams. Brewers should

21:12

have a little bit of a difficult time. You

21:14

definitely want to catch a little bit of the weather for

21:17

sure. The difficulty, of course, is

21:19

that when he does get barreled up,

21:22

it isn't that pretty. He has avoided

21:24

hard hits so far, but again, what are you

21:26

really comparing to because it's the

21:28

Mets and the Nationals who aren't exactly

21:30

stellar at that. We'll see how it goes.

21:33

The fastball that it has a speed can

21:35

kind of sit over the mill. So we'll

21:37

see how Green can play. Assuming against

21:39

Miley, he's not going to really encourage

21:42

him any strikeouts. I think he's going to be a

21:44

problem here. He's a location guy. He's

21:46

not like a swing and this type of guy. So

21:49

I'm a little bit worried about him at

21:51

Great American Ballpark for sure. So

21:53

I'd be leaning definitely towards maybe

21:55

an over and likely towards the

21:57

Reds here.

21:58

Yep, I'm right there with you, and throw

22:00

the Milwaukee bur has been a little bit pleasantly

22:03

surprised by him thus far this season. I

22:05

feel like that might be a little bit

22:07

of fools goal though. We're about two weeks

22:09

through the season, and as you're alluding to,

22:11

you were mentioning the phrase taking

22:13

things with a grain of salt, and I whole

22:15

heartedly agree with you at this part

22:17

of the season. But has there been anything that you've seen

22:20

in the first two weeks of the season that you're saying,

22:22

you know, like, yeah, maybe the Pirates

22:24

aren't going to continuing to win like eighty percent of

22:26

their games or anything like that, but hey, maybe

22:29

this has a little bit more staying power than

22:31

maybe its thought towards beginning part of the season.

22:33

I'm definitely seeing a little bit of

22:35

maybe some hesitancy in the betting

22:38

markets to be.

22:40

Confident in the best teams.

22:41

You know, Like something that comes to mind is

22:43

like the Yankees being minus one fifty

22:46

against the Marlins in Monday,

22:48

right, and it's like, you know, minus one sixty.

22:50

I don't know. I was just big on the Yankees

22:52

in that game.

22:53

And maybe that's a little hometown bias, but

22:55

I think you'd have to just have some confidence

22:58

here in some of these good teams. You

23:00

definitely want to make sure that you're not overreacting.

23:03

You know, Nessa Kortaz was pitching in that one, so

23:05

you're likely getting a discount.

23:06

And I think you want to zig when people zag.

23:08

You want to you know, assume if a guy

23:11

unless there's a true mechanical difference

23:13

and you know, you see something.

23:14

I think watching the.

23:15

Games right now it can give you a big edge in

23:18

terms of like actually seeing how pitchers are looking

23:20

early in the season and then like getting

23:22

a sense of okay, if this guy comes out actually

23:24

throwing that fastball, well, how was he

23:27

going to do for a day? You know, I think there's

23:29

very clearly been days where guys

23:31

are on or off. And that's a big

23:33

part of baseball betting is that you know,

23:36

usually when you take a side, I play a lot of

23:38

first fives. But when you play on a pitcher

23:40

or you fade a pitcher and usually you're going to be right

23:42

around, there's a polar result. So

23:44

you know, early in the season, I wouldn't doubt

23:46

process. I wouldn't get too worried,

23:49

you know, seeing expected bad picture.

23:51

Have like a good start out the gate, you know, like

23:53

a Jack Flaherty for the Tigers is a beautiful

23:56

first start and then what You're just going to trust

23:58

them and then he blows it against the eighth of

24:00

all teams. Right, So you definitely don't

24:02

want to describe performance

24:05

based on one or two starts. I think you want to look

24:07

at the larger body of work for pitchers to

24:09

try to understand who they've been. And

24:11

I'm still definitely seeing a little

24:13

bit more correlation with last year's results

24:15

than you know, one or two game samples for

24:17

sure, and I think we'll continue.

24:19

To see that this week. It's happened year

24:21

in and year out.

24:22

You need to give credit to the last year's

24:24

lineup and last year's results because

24:26

you know, not too many lineups are that vastly

24:28

different. There's been some movement, but you know

24:31

how much is really changing across the league.

24:33

It's not that crazy.

24:34

Yep. I agree with you. I think that that's a very good

24:36

way of being able to go about things. And I

24:38

do think that one team that has been able to fortify

24:41

their lineup quite a bit, and it makes sense,

24:43

that would be the New York Yankees. If you are looking

24:45

at a lineup that a perhaps I have had

24:47

quite a bit of a quantum shift,

24:49

that is the New York Yankees. Just because of my

24:51

opinion, you bring in something like a Wan Soda that

24:53

it's going to be able to help you out, and they were just mired

24:56

in injuries last year. It's I even funny.

24:58

And now they get to go up against Ryan Weathers,

25:00

who if you look at his career numbers, not

25:03

great to say the least, going up against Marcus

25:05

Stroman of the New York Yankees. I've

25:07

been personally looking at things here in

25:09

the beginning part of the season, and I don't want to make too many

25:12

rashoal reactions, but I'm just looking at

25:14

this buying me Marlin Seam and until they get their starters

25:16

off the injurless and Yuri Perez is done

25:18

for the season, I feel like this is a big giant

25:20

fade moving forward. I'm not sure you look

25:22

at this Yankees team with them being right around about

25:25

a minus two dollars favorite. But I am more

25:27

than inclined to be able to take a look at the Yankees

25:29

on a rather even money slash

25:31

minus one of five run line and feel pretty good about

25:33

it.

25:33

I might sleep well with the minus two hundred,

25:36

Greg, tell you the dang truth.

25:37

I mean, yeah, Stroman had really

25:40

great control.

25:41

I think he's the type of guy that induces

25:43

a lot of ground balls and allows that defense

25:45

to play well behind him. And the

25:47

defense is looking pretty good for the Yankees.

25:50

I'm pretty excited about that, honestly. So

25:52

we'll see. You know, they

25:55

might drop a game in this series,

25:57

but I kind of doubt it. I've just

25:59

been really impressed with what we've been seeing

26:01

out of them. I mean, as well with Cabrera in and

26:03

out of the lineup, but in volpay Stanton's

26:05

contributing. You know, obviously the strikeout

26:08

percentage is disgusting for John Carlos

26:10

Stanton, but you know what you're getting. It's not really worth

26:12

him swinging the bat to try to make

26:14

light contact. That's just not who he is.

26:17

The exsit velocities are still there for him, which

26:19

is great.

26:19

But Soto is a monster Judge

26:21

isn't even playing that well right now.

26:24

His expected batting average is low,

26:26

but he's crushing the ball when he's making contact,

26:28

so he starts seeing the ball a little bit

26:30

better instead of maybe my guess is like guessing

26:33

right on a few pitches, working a lot of

26:35

walks to increase his wOBA, you know, still

26:37

very valuable battery even if he's not making

26:39

a lot of contact. You know, Yeah, the walk percentage

26:42

is really high. So the ceiling is ridiculous

26:44

here for the New York Yankees, and I think you

26:46

can probably feel pretty good about them. Rizzo

26:49

may be starting to contribute to this lineup

26:51

pretty up and down.

26:52

As long as they stay healthy, will be good.

26:54

Yep, I think so as well. And I just

26:56

take a look at this entire New York Yankees

26:58

team, and I do think that there's quite a bit of upside

27:00

with them as compared to last year. As last

27:02

year I just don't think was a fair representation

27:04

of them with all the injuries and Anthony Volpe

27:07

being able to step up so big for them

27:09

as well as Justin Perry does tremendous workover

27:12

at Pitcherless along with the Justin

27:14

Berry shows showing to be right here on the Baseball Betting

27:16

Show. And I didn't mention the Marlins as

27:18

a pretty big fade, and I know that you were

27:20

mentioning this a little bit before as well, talking about

27:22

some of these better teams maybe being

27:24

a little bit short on the line. How have you been

27:27

looking at some of these scenes that are and I

27:29

quote here fades because we've actually noticed

27:31

the Oakland A's be relatively saw it on the

27:33

run line thus far, and the Rockies have won

27:35

a few games as well, but I look at them

27:37

moving forward as being a faith I just talked

27:40

about the Miami Marlins, and I think that until

27:42

this team gets healthy, they are gonna stink on ice.

27:44

But how are you gaining more of these ani

27:46

air quotes your bad teams, because I

27:48

do think that there's quite a bit of money early

27:50

on in the season in terms of fading some of these

27:53

lesser teams, because you're able to get shorter numbers,

27:55

then you will be insane July August

27:57

when you get those minus three dollars lines.

28:00

Yeah, I mean, look in regards to

28:02

like the A's I mean they meet the Tigers twice

28:04

and they covered the third game there, and I think

28:06

it just speaks to the Tigers being another

28:08

bad team the A's think you take that with a grain

28:11

of salt. I think you worried a little bit about the Red

28:13

Sox at times.

28:13

For sure.

28:14

They didn't cover the last two games of that series,

28:16

even though they did win all three games.

28:18

So like to the Red Sox, they don't care about covering.

28:21

So I've always hesitated with favorite

28:23

run lines unless you're very confident

28:25

in the matchup, and I think that's a lesson there,

28:27

especially with midline.

28:29

I mean, the Red Sox are going to.

28:30

Be last in and the AO East most likely,

28:32

so I'm not taking Red Sox money lines. So again,

28:35

Red Sox and Tigers guardians dropped

28:37

that one game at the end if they won the first three

28:39

in the series. Yeah, I still think you fato.

28:41

I think Seattle's looking a little weak for

28:44

sure as well, which I think a little

28:46

surprising. They're having some trouble getting it together,

28:49

you know when they run in when you to get a Seattle team

28:51

running into like a team that looks good

28:53

like the Orioles, or even when the Rays

28:56

maybe start to figure it out, or the Brewers

28:58

or the Padres and the Dodgers, like you know, these.

29:00

Top tier teams that have the pitching

29:02

and the hitting. I mean, look, it's early season.

29:04

There's some messiness in the standings. You really can't

29:07

take too much from it.

29:08

You need to give things a couple of weeks to even out,

29:10

for everybody to play a good team, a bad team,

29:12

middle team to start to separate from

29:14

the pack and understand who's going where.

29:17

So you can kind of dig into the standings

29:19

and find like those those fake

29:21

records a little bit, the ones that maybe

29:23

point the wrong way about a team like Minnesota

29:26

Twins sitting three and five right now

29:28

while the Tigers are seven and four. Are

29:30

you going to get maybe two good of a price on the

29:33

Tigers. Maybe maybe you should be fading the Tigers

29:35

right now at seven and four, expecting that to address

29:37

a little bit. All that's gonna happen and all

29:39

that the leans on, those pricings and recency

29:42

biases are all out there.

29:43

So I would just stick to your guns, and.

29:45

You know, don't get caught up with Oakland's covered

29:48

this as a reason to just bet Oakland and

29:50

they're gonna go into a tough series

29:52

right now that I could imagine against

29:54

the Rangers, they don't cover a single one, or

29:56

even worse, you're gonna be betting plus

29:59

minus two and a half on the Rangers to even get

30:01

them. So, like, there's always money to be made betting

30:03

bad teams. But at the other end, like I think,

30:06

when you have a good matchup and you have

30:08

a good pitcher, that should be taking

30:10

care of business. For me especially, I

30:12

love to isolate the first five innings

30:15

and really target starters and kind

30:17

of try to leave some of that bullpen craziness

30:19

out of it, because it takes a lot to handicap

30:21

bullpens, and you know exactly who went the night before

30:23

and the night before that, and who through how many

30:25

pitches and who they.

30:26

Might use, it's still variable

30:29

at the end of the game.

30:30

I personally I love my first fives for that

30:32

reason alone.

30:33

That can be a very good way to be able to go about

30:35

things as well. And there's a lot of ways

30:38

to be able to slice it. There's a lot of ways to be able

30:40

to lace it. But at the end of the day,

30:42

it's all about gauging the situation itself

30:44

as well. Because there are some of these teams that are

30:47

absolutely awful, Like you may recall the

30:49

Diamondbacks when they were just so horrible

30:51

in that twenty twenty one campaign, but Merrill

30:54

Kelly, every dime he took them on for them was

30:56

half way decent. So I always do

30:59

think that those are these sorts of things that you do

31:01

want to be taking a look at as well as Justin

31:03

Perry, but does an amazing job taking a look

31:05

at the great game of baseball. Is trying to be right here on

31:07

the Baseball Betting Show, and do you want to open this up

31:09

to you a little bit more as well? Because I know

31:12

that there's quite a few games that we've got for this

31:14

Wednesday. We've got fourteen in totals, so all

31:16

but two teams are going to be in action. I

31:18

think for you that's really catching your eye

31:20

when it comes to this Wednesday card, whether that be

31:23

a game that you're going to be looking to bet, or maybe

31:25

it's not even a game that you're looking to bet, but you're

31:27

a little bit Jerry's out on a certain pitcher or a

31:29

certain team.

31:30

Yeah, honestly, Wednesday's card has a lot

31:32

of pitchers. I'm pretty far out on Patrick

31:34

Corbyn's going. That's always a fun one to

31:37

be aware of. I'm a little worried about Jose

31:39

Quintana playing the Braves

31:41

for sure, lance Lin's pitching as well.

31:44

There's a lot of pitchers I'm probably going to be looking at

31:46

fain. I expect some runs. Austin Gomber's

31:48

going. That Arizona game is going to be I

31:50

believe Gomber pitching against Tommy

31:53

Henry, so like could see if it's

31:55

decent weather in Colorado, that could

31:57

be an overspot for sure.

31:59

You know some of the good pitchers that

32:01

are playing.

32:02

I'm excited to see how Logan

32:04

Gilbert performs, been excited to

32:07

watch Dylan Ceese in the new uniform. Should

32:09

be an interesting spot against the Cubs, and

32:11

like you said, Marcus Stroman should probably

32:14

be well. Jordan Hicks against the

32:16

Nats should do pretty well. It should be

32:18

a fun day. I would look at an under

32:20

maybe for that Toronto Seattle game.

32:22

Expect Kakuchi to continue to pitch

32:24

pretty well. He's looked good.

32:26

Maybe an over for the Royals

32:28

game perhaps.

32:30

I think as.

32:30

Well that that's an interesting one there,

32:33

but maybe a little bit of a tough

32:35

spot for sure Hunter Brown a

32:38

little tough, and Houston.

32:40

They're gonna get it going.

32:41

So I would look maybe for that game to

32:43

be a potential overspot, and I would,

32:45

you know, make sure you take a look at weather,

32:47

which is something that I usually look at the morning of right

32:50

before make my plays, because you want to make sure

32:52

all that's good. I feel really cautious maybe

32:54

waiting for lineups as well.

32:55

Absolutely, and you do bring up something with the

32:58

cut Ride, Rockies and Arizona. I'm a

33:00

backs game. Taking a look at the over and

33:02

entering into the day on Tuesday, we

33:04

had noticed north of fifty five games have

33:06

gone over the total. What if you made it out of

33:08

this because we know that there's been a lot of pitching

33:11

injuries. We know that just in general,

33:13

the rule changes has allowed for a little bit more

33:15

run scoring, and typically in most

33:17

years we've been noticing that the pitchers have

33:19

been in front of the hitters. But ever since the rule

33:21

changes, we have been noticing that offenses

33:24

have been hot to start out the year of the last years,

33:26

and I don't think that that's overly much of a coincidence.

33:29

No, I don't think it's much of a coincidence either.

33:31

We have a lot of reasons to believe

33:34

that these rotations pictures.

33:35

Aren't fully stretched out.

33:37

Potentially bullpens maybe struggling

33:39

with injuries.

33:41

There's been a lot.

33:42

Of injuries, right, and I think, you know, the back

33:44

end of rotations are as strong,

33:46

and that can send ripples throughout the entire

33:49

throughout teams in general, right, like when

33:51

you don't have guys eating as many innings, when

33:53

your starters have less inning, but your bullpens

33:56

are working more, and that can start early if

33:58

there's injuries, you know, you can start to see that, especially

34:00

if guys can't settle in to a season

34:02

on regular rest and the bullpen. We've seen

34:05

plenty of you know, crooked numbers in late

34:07

innings.

34:07

So I definitely think you can continue

34:10

to.

34:10

Stay on overs in terms

34:12

of like full games, you can definitely find

34:14

first five unders in good pitching

34:16

matchups to stay under with. But with

34:18

how bullpen quality has been and injuries,

34:21

you know, Nick Pavetta elbows sore on is now

34:23

seems like every day it's just getting thinner, and that's

34:26

going to benefit hitters long term and offenses.

34:28

Yep, it is certainly going to benefit

34:31

hitters long term, and something that benefits

34:33

the show is being able to get you a board. My

34:35

friend, Justin, you do such a great job, take

34:37

a look at this great game that we all know and love of baseball,

34:40

So let me get people to them know it's on to for

34:42

you and how people can fall on on social media and other

34:44

platforms.

34:45

Yeah, definitely check out my Twitter. I post

34:47

everything I do there at Justin Perry

34:49

eight P. E. R. Eyes

34:51

high spelled the last name, and we're going to be

34:53

doing some good stuff still shock quality.

34:55

With the NBA season.

34:56

We got a lot of NBA playoffs still to go, so

34:59

plenty to discuss there in basketball

35:01

baseball season of course, just getting started up working

35:03

with picture List to do a couple articles

35:05

every single week. So again everything we posted

35:07

to Twitter, make sure you follow picture List

35:09

because there's just a wealth of baseball

35:12

knowledge, some of the best pitching resources

35:14

honestly in baseball analytics.

35:16

You know a lot of good fantasy research and breakdowns

35:19

of starts and how guys are looking.

35:20

It's a really good.

35:22

Network of writers, so definitely worth

35:24

checking out if you've never heard of it, and you know,

35:26

this is actually my second stint writing there.

35:28

I don't know if you know that Greg. I wrote Yeah Picture.

35:30

List right out of college in

35:33

twenty eighteen, one

35:35

of the first writers I did Reliever Rankings,

35:37

doing a little bit of that as well.

35:38

So it's a really great site.

35:40

It helps me stay sharp on baseball,

35:42

and you know, you can use that however you want.

35:45

I use it for a little betting, a little fantasy. But

35:47

there are few better resources.

35:49

It's right up there with like Fangraphs

35:51

and Savant and all that stuff that you

35:54

kind of need to have in your arsenal.

35:55

Yeah, and we certainly need to have in our

35:57

guest arsenal the one and only just

36:00

because he does absolutely excellent work taking

36:02

a look at this great game of baseball that we all

36:04

know and love. It is always great to be.

36:06

Able to get him a board.

36:06

Big thanks to Justin for joining me on The Baseball

36:09

Betting Show now part of the Mesa Family Podcasts

36:11

and coming up next to this is that time the podcast. It

36:13

give you picks in analysis on every game on the betting

36:15

board for this Baseball Wednesday, as we touch

36:17

him.

36:17

Up, breaking

36:22

down every game every day in Major League

36:24

Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting

36:26

Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

36:30

Everybody you'll love me Las Vegas for the baseball

36:32

betting shoe with myself Greg Peterson

36:35

now part of the Decent Family podcast. Always

36:37

great to be joined by Justin Perry. He does absolutely

36:40

tremendous workover a pictureless the Justin

36:42

Perry Show for those looking on the basketball

36:45

front, shot quality bets, it's so much more.

36:47

Every single time he joins the show he

36:49

lends such good insights and did so

36:51

once again today, so big thanks him for

36:54

joining me and last segment. Now it is that time

36:56

the podcast they give you picks in analysis on

36:58

every game on the betting board for this Baseball

37:00

Wednesday, as we touch them all.

37:02

If a game is listed on the betting board, Greg

37:05

has a side and a total on it, so it is

37:07

time to touch them all.

37:08

Do you know that as per usual, any changes

37:10

there maybe to these plays will be listened up on my Twitter

37:12

slash x feed at genat underscoredy one

37:15

gonna be going in Las AGAs citation order. This is

37:17

where we go with the nationalgu games first,

37:19

then the American League games and any injured

37:21

league games. Those are going to be at the bottom. That'll

37:23

keep things all nice, neat, clean and easy.

37:26

So let's get things started with this first

37:28

National game of nine to fifty one fifty two on

37:30

the card, the Philadelphia Phillies are on the road, facing

37:32

up against c St. Louis Cardinals. Lance Lying

37:35

gos for the Cards and is

37:37

Aaron Nola looking to be super for

37:39

the Philadelphia Phillies. A Philies are find

37:41

themselves as anywhere between minus one twenty

37:43

eight to minus one thirty five favorites. Any between

37:46

plus one fourteen to plus one twenty is

37:48

at number on Saint Louis. Eight to eight and a half is

37:50

the total on the eighth, the over is minus

37:52

one fifteen, the unders minus one of five. On the eight and

37:54

a half, the under his minus one fifteen, and

37:57

the over is minus one of five. And certain

37:59

stands where I'm gonna be looking at you over now burnt

38:01

with it with my ride up yesterday, because

38:03

the two teams want to combine zero for fifteen

38:06

with men in scoring position. With these

38:08

two guys on the mound, I think we should be a little bit

38:10

more fortunate there with lance Lynn has just

38:12

been getting banged around like a pinata since

38:14

the beginning of the twenty twenty two season, giving

38:17

up one point nine home runs for nine. Ennings had well

38:19

north of the five era Lons season, and it

38:21

tells the matter the change of scenery. He got

38:23

banged around with the l Dodgers, he got

38:25

banged around while he was with the Chicago White

38:27

Sox. This guy has just been giving up home run after

38:30

home run in every ballpark in America.

38:32

So that's not great to say the least. Meanwhile,

38:34

Aaron Nola, he's been giving up since the beginning

38:37

part of the twenty twenty three season right around

38:39

a home run a half bernyan Ennings and is era

38:41

covering right around of four to five. The field of

38:43

independent is a little bit better. He's still getting a

38:45

little bit north of nine right because bernin Ennings.

38:47

And on the flip side of that as well, lance Lynn

38:50

still getting a few swings and misses as well. But with

38:52

the Phillies, I did set them in this sordial out

38:54

of minus one twenty eight, so minus one twenty eight or

38:56

less, that is my by point on them.

38:59

With the Philadelphia he's a bullpen. It

39:01

is a little bit of a role that I set this point was

39:03

Alvarado, sar Anthey Demingiez. They have not looked like

39:05

himself but that said, the only relief

39:07

piece that they needed to use yesterday it was wonder Ecuto

39:10

Pintos, so maybe not most of their main guys

39:12

out there. Matt Strum is able to give you a little

39:14

bit of length as well. And then for the seeing those Cardinals,

39:16

they did have to use up Ryan Helsley yesterday.

39:19

And this is not a bullpen I trust

39:21

as Helsley is the only guy that returns from last

39:23

year with a sub three five year ray.

39:25

The guys like Jojo Romero, Ryan

39:28

Tapara, I just don't have a lot of faith in them.

39:30

You have had Andrew Kintrich be a nice offseason

39:32

signing, so you do like to see that. I do think

39:34

that the Cardinals are going to be able to get in line a little

39:36

bit more as well. It's been a rough start to the season

39:39

for the Stars on really both sides. Bryce Harper

39:41

had that three on run game, but other than that, he's been

39:43

about as useful as a poopy flavored lollipop.

39:46

Bryce and Stott, Alec Bohm, Kyle

39:48

schwarb or Nic Cassianos or anything

39:50

about a two thirty seven or lower, not

39:52

really giving you a lot of pop. And then Paul Gold

39:54

Schmid hitting below the Medos line of two hundred

39:56

for the seeing those Cardinals, you know that that's going to

39:58

be rising. No. He goes up

40:01

for a third home run yesterday, but hasn't sially

40:03

been able to move the line. Brendan Donovini, it's

40:05

a whole lot better when he's at home rather than on the road.

40:07

Basic Win has actually been able to do a solid job

40:09

of getting on base for the Cardinals. But you've got

40:11

a lot of other younger guys that just have not been

40:13

able to step up yet. Haven't gotten anything out

40:15

of Victor Scott. I do think that that is going to be turning

40:18

around here. As Aaron Nola, I do think that we need

40:20

to put him on blast for the fact that he just has

40:22

not been pitching well over the last twelve months in general.

40:24

But I'm still gonna take him over Lancelin in the

40:26

spots on my line at minus one twenty eight, so minus

40:29

one twenty eight or less. Land the Phillies on the money

40:31

line, so I told at nine point two, So I also

40:33

like the over nine fifty three and nine to fifty four on the bank

40:35

board. The Arizona Diamondbacks are on the road

40:37

facing up against the Colrad Rockies, Austin

40:39

Gombert looks to not get combered up by the

40:42

Arizona Diamondbacks. Meanwhile, Tommy Henry

40:44

is on the bump for Arizona minus one

40:46

thirty three to minus one forty two. The number on

40:49

the Snakes anymore team plus twenty eighteen plus

40:51

one twenty five is that number on Colrad of

40:53

twelve and a half is the total over and under

40:55

both at minus one ten and so I told her twelve

40:57

point eight.

40:58

I do like the over.

40:59

Tommy has never really been

41:01

able to find it as a professional pitcher, and for

41:03

Austin Gomber since the beginning of the twenty twenty

41:06

three season at home, now I recognize

41:08

that his scores field but in his home starts

41:11

eer north of seven, not

41:13

great to say the lease. And then for Tommy

41:15

Henry it's been all sorts of issues for

41:17

him as well, at home, on the road, no matter

41:19

where it's been. As LT season, he got just

41:22

six half strikecofts to three and a half walks Bernie

41:24

and Ennings. He's currently posting up a fielding dependant

41:27

for his career about five to twenty six, which

41:29

is actually higher than his four seventy two

41:31

Yarras, so he's lucky to have a four seventy

41:33

two era. Has given up the deep out throughout

41:35

his career one point five home runs per nine innings. Surrender

41:38

was a little bit better last year and mitigating

41:40

our contact, but haven't seen by a liked

41:42

out of him. And for Austin Gomber again,

41:45

this guy has just been rough to say the

41:47

least. Says he's a pitch contact guy that gives

41:49

up way too much our contact. He in

41:52

a Coverrad Rockies uniform, has been

41:54

applying well north of one point seven home runs

41:56

per nine and ennings last year he got just five point

41:58

six month ods Bernie and Ennings A. He has backed

42:00

up by a bullpen that is absolutely terrible. Viktor

42:02

Vonnick is right now one of your more trusted worthy

42:05

relievers for the Colrad Rocky justin

42:07

Lawrence has been absolutely terrible. You've had a

42:10

lot of guys just not be able to step up, like

42:12

Peter Lambert, who they're now converting into

42:14

a relief pitcher. Nick Meers someone who's

42:16

relatively okay. But I do have more faith

42:18

in the years than a Diamondbacks bullpen, even with Luis

42:21

Friez along with Miguel La Castro

42:23

not sly being the world's greatest, but Joe bantuply,

42:26

I do you think is going to be able to turn for him a little bit more?

42:28

In com Ago was legitimately one of the more

42:30

unlucky relievers in all baseball last

42:32

season and for the years in the Diamondbacks. I do like

42:34

the way that this offense is able to function. Finally

42:37

got their first road win of the season last

42:39

night, and you've got Jock Peterson who's

42:41

been a good pickup. He hasn't been utilized too much by

42:44

the scene, but he's supplying well north of a four

42:46

RM base. You've got to figure that Corbyn Carroll gonna

42:48

be able to get us back together a little bit more. Finally got

42:50

his first home run of the season yesterday.

42:52

You've got some many guys that are doing a nice job

42:54

moving the line, like Christian Walker and Uchinos.

42:56

What is with Walker already supplying

42:58

three arm runs. Kaita mart got the day off

43:00

yesterday, should be back in the fold here. And for the cor

43:03

rayd Rockies, you have a team that just always

43:05

hits so much better at home rather than away from home. Last

43:07

year made about forty points higher with their batting average

43:10

at home rather than away from home five point three five

43:12

runs per game at home three point sixty five

43:14

runs per game away from home. And right now

43:16

you've got Elias da Is, Ryan McMahon, Charlie

43:18

black Men, Ezekiel Tovar all hitting at least

43:21

at three honer now Chris Bryant has been

43:23

a waste of money, and Nolan Jones, after he showed upside

43:25

last season, has I've been able to give you too much. But

43:27

we do have some encouraging signs there, and going

43:29

against Tommy Henry, the Rockies

43:32

should be able to get their runs. But at the same time,

43:34

I do think that the Diamondbacks like Gamber

43:36

and this bullpen of Blaze. I set my toll at

43:38

a twelve point eight. I like the over. If you're looking

43:40

at the run line of the Airbs and the Diamondbacks,

43:42

you're getting that at only right around

43:45

about a plus one oh five. This

43:47

is a strange circumstance where I would

43:49

rather take the money line out of minus one thirty

43:51

three. We saw them play a one dring game yesterday.

43:53

If you're going to weigh a run and a half, I just need a little

43:56

bit more than a plus one all five here. So I'm

43:58

sticking with the money line in the spot with heres

44:00

in a Diamondbacks, as I don't trust in Tommy Henry

44:02

to be able to lead you to a multi run one run

44:05

win. So look at the money line and

44:07

the over in this ordio, looking at the Diamondbacks

44:09

on that money line nine fifty five, nine fifty six on the

44:11

bank board, you Washington Nationals are on the road,

44:14

please go against the San Francisco Giants. Joor

44:16

Necks goes for the Giants. Patrick Corbin

44:18

is on the bump for the Nationals, and the Nationals shocker

44:21

are an underdog. You're going to be finding them. And between

44:23

plus one sixty h plus one seventy two.

44:25

Meanwhile, between minus one eighty five

44:28

dolls minus one ninety five nine number on San Francisco

44:30

A toa and a half is the total on the eight overs,

44:32

between minus one fifteen to a mins from twenty t undreds,

44:35

between even a minus one five on the e and alf unders

44:37

minus one twenty the over is even a. I

44:39

need somebody's all in an eight point eight. I'm gonna be looking

44:41

andy over. You've got a guy and Patrick

44:43

Corbin. That has been one of the biggest fades in

44:45

pretty much gambling X and that's

44:49

for a good reason. For Patrick Corbin last

44:51

few seasons has had well north of a five year

44:53

Actually, if you've bet on Patrick

44:55

Corbyn the last two years since the beginning

44:58

of the twenty twenty three campaign, it

45:00

hasn't been too bad. I believe that the team is

45:02

like sixteen and eighteen in his starts. It's

45:04

not because Patrick carbon has pitched well though,

45:07

like even this season eight strike cats and four

45:09

walks and ten and a third innings. He's

45:11

not been the world's worst pitcher, but man,

45:13

he is not great to say the least. And Jordan

45:15

Nix has looked relatively good as a starter,

45:18

two runs, one of which earned in his first two

45:20

starts, leading to a pair of wins against his slam

45:22

Diego Patres. And now they go up against the

45:24

Wasathington National's lineup that's a bit revamped

45:26

from last season. They do bring in some power

45:29

with Eddie Rosario, Jesse Winker along

45:31

with Joey Gallow entering into the fold. Now

45:33

Gallo once again struggling to be able to get on bag

45:35

shocker there, but cj Abrams is

45:38

one of the better basos that you're gonna find in

45:40

all baseball. He's been able to give you nearly a four hundred

45:42

on base and Jesse Winker has looked really good out

45:44

of the three that I mentioned, But he do have

45:46

likes of Joy Venesus Layne Thomas, guys

45:49

that were able to burst out last season. She's

45:51

not giving me a whole walk lot. Mean, well, for the San Francisco

45:53

Giants, they spent a lot of money in the offseason

45:55

of four to five this lineup and a lot of these pickups

45:58

just haven't done a whole walk. Lot been able to get a bit

46:00

of power out of or Asil there. But I said,

46:02

he's right now only providing about a three fourteen on

46:04

base, Jungle Lee about a three h five on

46:06

base you pick up at Chapman, he's hitting below

46:09

the Medel's line of two hundred. They've been able to get a bit

46:11

more power, but I mean, the guys are really moving

46:13

the line right now. Are the guys that were left over

46:15

from last year, Wilmer, Flores, LaMonte

46:17

Way Junior, Patrick Bailey. These guys

46:19

are relatively saw it in their approach at the

46:21

point. Michael Confordo has been solid as well, and I

46:23

do think that the Giants are going to be able to

46:25

do a better job with their bullpen. You've got Taylor and Tyler

46:28

Rodgers who have been rock sog Camellion de Ball

46:30

very nice closer for the seam. Ryan Walker

46:32

is able to provide some good andings as well. This

46:35

is not the world's worst Washington Nationals

46:37

bullpen. He got the likes of a Tanner rainy

46:39

who's looking to be able to get back to where he was a

46:41

few seasons ago before getting hurt. I do

46:44

like BETERI able to get out of the likes of eight, Hunter Harvey,

46:46

Derek Ladd, Jordan Weems. He's her guys

46:48

that should be able to swives this a sub three

46:51

five year though Fiting in always a little

46:53

bit of roll the dice, But did something I told her at any point

46:55

eight fully recognize how picture friendly San Francisco

46:57

is, but more of a day game there during the day to San

47:00

Francisco plays a little bit more to that or so

47:02

that's gonna be able to help them out. I'm going to be taking a

47:04

look at this total over end with the Giants, set

47:07

them on the money line at a minus one eighty

47:09

three. If you're looking to lay a run and a half, you're find

47:11

that averteen plus one five dozo plus one ten. I

47:13

need the plus one ten as I set mine more

47:15

round about a plus one o eight plus one o nine,

47:17

but at the plus one ten run line gonna be one

47:19

to lay with the Giants to go along with a total

47:22

over nine fifty seven nine fifty eight on the bank board.

47:24

It is the Slam Diego Potters and they play

47:26

out to the Chicago Cubs. Their professor Kyle

47:28

Hendrix scos for the Cubs, Dylan Sea

47:30

SKUs for the San Diego Patters. Patters

47:33

are between minus one thirty five dollars minus

47:35

one forty two favorites plus one twenty plus

47:37

one thirty is at number one. The Cubs he eat is the total

47:39

over his minus one fifteen the unders minus one to five.

47:41

In I set the Patters at a minus

47:43

one fifty seven, I'm gonna be willing to lay the number for

47:46

CEC gets a match up with the other

47:48

Chicago team, not the one that he used to play

47:51

for, But I do think that this is going to be a quality

47:53

start for him. As just continues

47:55

to get strikeouts. Tending two thirds sends as far

47:58

with the San Diego Padres thirteen Drake

48:00

cuts a big key for him. Ken he limit the walks.

48:02

That was always the issue that he had with the Chicago

48:05

White Sox. He was always given up right

48:07

around about four walks per nine Ennings and Kyle Dricks

48:09

is the exact opposite. Not a swinging miss

48:12

guy. He's very much gonna pitch a contact, but

48:14

doesn't give up a lot of walks. So he's just been

48:16

payed around. At his first two starts of the season

48:18

seven and two thirds, Dyings seventeen hits four

48:20

walks a lot that is not terrific. Tos

48:23

say beliefs and it comes bullpend that was

48:25

able to get a little bit of a relief with Ben

48:27

Brown actually give you a halfway decent effort

48:29

yesterday. Daniel Polentci is able to give you a little

48:32

bit of long relief. But Jose Klass has

48:34

had a rough start to the season. Like what I've seen at

48:36

vad bear els Le, they pick up Hectoran Harris

48:38

in the offseason, but like guys like Luke Littell in company,

48:41

give me a bit of a role that I sent for the San Diego

48:43

Patres. This bullpen does lose

48:45

Josh Hader from a season ago, but being able to get

48:47

Ail Delos Santos, Jandi Pearl to come

48:49

in and be able to hold down the avoid

48:51

Johnny Brito at all costs. He has been horrible

48:54

on Tom GOLs Grove. If he had a great year

48:56

last year, it looks like he's doing for a little bit

48:58

of regression. But this Pattery's lineup so

49:00

has a lot of really good bats in it, Fernando Tatist

49:02

Junior, Manny Machado, they are still there.

49:04

For Machado, it's been a rough start to the season for

49:07

him, but Tatis Junior entered into yesterday

49:09

with a three fifty on base four home runs. Sander

49:11

Bogerts just has not lived up to his contract

49:13

Welle yet with the San Diego Padres. But you know that

49:15

he's able to get on base, you know that he's able to spy some

49:17

power, and you've been able to get good production out

49:19

of j Cronibord, who after he had a miserable

49:22

year last year, sitting Darner at three. And meanwhile

49:24

for the Cups, other than Cody Bellinger, you

49:26

don't necessarily have that star back, but guys

49:28

like c. A. Suzuki, Christopher Morrell,

49:30

Daansby, Swanson, Ian Hap, all

49:33

these guys are very rock solid, and their

49:35

approach at the plight. All those guys I mentioned at least

49:37

a three forty five on base, I think all

49:39

of them are going to give you twenty one runs when it's alsoud

49:41

and done. This season, Nico Horner has had a tough time

49:44

being a move line, but I do think that he's going to be relatively

49:46

productive here. And I do think that Kyle Hendricks

49:48

is going to be able to calm down a little bit more in

49:50

the spot, which is why I did see my toll at some point nine.

49:53

I'm looking at the under but I do think the Dylancy's

49:55

going to do a nice job but be able to throw this Cubs team

49:57

for a little bit of a loop. And I do think that this ballpark

50:00

going to play very well to how cease pitches.

50:02

So I'm looking at the underside. I total at some point nine,

50:04

and with the San Diego Padres, if you're looking at

50:06

their run line price, you're able to get that right around

50:08

about a plus one forty five to a plus one fifty.

50:11

Though I'd rather play it safe here on the

50:13

one of the linus. I do think that this is a lower

50:15

scoring game, so gonna be looking at that Patters

50:17

money line and the under nine to fifty nine,

50:19

nine to sixty on the betting board. The Milwaukee Brewers

50:22

sit their red face off against the Cincinnati Reds. Yes,

50:24

we're onto Cincinnati and they're on a hundred green

50:26

getting this start. Meanwhile, Wade Miley hopes

50:28

to have a party in Milwaukee for the Burrs. Is a

50:30

total under his minus one fifteen, the overs minus one to

50:32

five, between minus one twenty eight to minus one thirty

50:34

the number on the Reds plus one seventeen

50:37

to plus one twenty the number on the Burs gonna

50:39

be one roll with the Cincinnati Reds here, I

50:41

did set them as a favorite of minus

50:43

one forty eight. I just don't know what to expect

50:46

out of Wade Miley after he got his first

50:48

few starts of the season skipped by the Milwaukee

50:50

Brewers. I believe that he was coming off of the

50:53

injured list. He just had a little bit of a

50:55

minor ailment. Wasn't anything super duper massive,

50:57

But for Miley, he was one of the more lucky pitchers

51:00

in the big leagues last season three fourteen

51:02

ERA but a four to sixty nine

51:04

fielding dependent. You got less than six strikeouts

51:06

for nine Ennings gave up, darn your three walks

51:09

for nine Ennings. Yet he just got oh so

51:11

lucky with every home run they gave up,

51:13

seemingly being a solo home run. He

51:16

was able to just really get fortunate

51:18

on balls and plate in general as well. So

51:20

I do think that that is going to be coming to a little

51:22

bit of a screeching halt. And when it comes

51:24

to back in Undergreen, you always do have to have the fear

51:26

in the back of your mind of the home run ball

51:29

is for Hunter Green. He does give up a lot

51:31

of hard contact in general. Is yet to give up a home

51:33

run this season, but if you take a look at it throughout

51:35

his career, he has been giving up right around about

51:37

one point seven to one point eight home runs per nine. Ennings

51:40

does have an ERA throughout his career that is higher

51:42

at home rather than away from home, which the simple

51:44

reason why that is is because Cincinnati's

51:47

very much a bandbox of a ballpark, one of the more

51:49

fair friendly ballparks. Two hitters

51:52

out there in all baseball, but when

51:54

it comes to this Red team, you've got the stars starting

51:56

to be able to develop. Elie day La Cruz

51:58

has looked a bit better in this series. He sees up to about

52:00

a three fifty five on base parafom runs

52:02

Will Benson Spencer's year. Five home runs

52:04

between the two of them and Steers given you a very nearly

52:07

forty eighty nine on base Certainly some aggression

52:09

will be coming there. But Jake Frayley, after he

52:11

was sort of in slash out the fold, they're starting

52:13

to give him more at bats. He's been able to supply

52:16

a four arm base and Stuart Faylerchild has

52:18

been good in the outfield as well. For the

52:20

Milwaukee Burds, we've seen an explosion with their

52:22

offense, eight plus runs at each other the

52:25

last three games. I don't think that this has

52:27

taking power for the Birds brats. The young

52:29

guys are a little bit further along than I expected.

52:31

Jackson Shario he has been tremendous, being

52:33

able to provide about a two seventy five average

52:36

pair of home runs for him. Christian Yelich looks like the

52:38

Christian Yelich of old. He's been able to apply

52:40

four home runs, absolutely massive. Being

52:42

able to get him back online. You've had William

52:44

Thomas do a much better job of getting

52:47

on base than a season agoing William can trace

52:49

a little bit of forgotten guy paraf home runs.

52:51

He's been hitting really well as well. For the Birds,

52:53

they are going to be leg up in the bullpen, Dual Piumps,

52:56

Elvis Spiguero. They're very good in the seventh

52:58

and eighth innings efter year had to be used

53:01

yesterday. But I don't I like what I'm seeing there.

53:03

JB. Wilcaucus, He's a relatively solid

53:05

bullpen pieces well for you. Since anti Reds, they

53:07

are deal with an injury once again to t j

53:09

Antone guy just can't stay healthy. But they

53:12

pick up Amelia be Gone in the offseason.

53:14

He Buck Farmer, Brent Soeder, and these

53:16

guys are solid. They're not great, but they're good

53:18

enough to be able to bridge things together get things

53:20

to Alexis ts is one of the best closers

53:23

out there in all of baseball. I do think that the Reds

53:25

are gonna be able to get to wayde Miiley in this ordeal,

53:27

and I do think that there's gonna be a little bit of hard

53:30

context rendered by Hunter Green. But I think that

53:32

this Rivers offense just has really gotten on

53:34

a hot run, and I don't believe that they are as good

53:36

as they have shown to be thus far this season. And

53:38

for wayde biley evage for him has that it's still a little

53:41

bit nippy out there in cincinn idf

53:43

was pitching in the summer months, I

53:45

think they'd be giving up much more heart contact

53:47

than he will on this day. So I did some of my line

53:49

at a minus one forty eight. I'm gonna be looking at the reds

53:51

on the money line, and did somebody tell it at eight point

53:53

nine, so you're at the nine. I'm looking at the under to go

53:56

along with the red legs. Nine sixty one, nine sixty

53:58

two on the benning board is the on land of our Hey's

54:00

playoffs to the New York Mets. Oseaikitana

54:02

is on the bump for the Mets, Allen went on a

54:04

s is on the bump for the Bravos, and the

54:06

Braves open up at minus one sixty

54:09

seven plus one forty eight. Your number on the

54:11

Mets nine and a half is the total unders minds one twenty

54:13

d overs. Even if you're looking a layer run and a half with

54:15

the Atlanta Braves, you're getting plus one fourteen there.

54:17

And for the Braves, I was one lay more like minus

54:20

one o five on that run line. I'm gonna be willing

54:22

to roll with them. For Osekitana, he

54:24

just in this career is a little bit advanced

54:26

for getting a lot of swings and misses. Hi

54:28

couson ten and a third innings across two

54:31

starts that spared the season last year only got about

54:33

seven punchouts for nine innings.

54:35

Has been quite fortunate when guys have gotten

54:37

on base. He's got a whip that is north of

54:39

a one point six seven, a lot of six walks,

54:41

and it's sent in a third innings as well, but has been

54:44

able to manage his way out of all those

54:46

appearances. But that said, Idega,

54:48

look at the Atlanta Braves and you just have a fearsome

54:51

death star lineup right now that has

54:53

everyone being able to fire and all soil and there's really

54:55

other than the raining mvbing

54:57

around with Gouney Junior is still a three eighty on base

55:00

for Akunya, but he hays yet to it. It's first home run the

55:02

season. Meanwhile, it's Ben Barcelo Zuna

55:04

who's provided five home runs, but Michael

55:06

Aris, Austin Riley Azzi Albi's medals

55:08

and all these guys have at least two home runs

55:11

to their name. All these guys are ranging at least at two eighty

55:13

six. All these guys have at least at three forty eight

55:15

on base. That is fearsome, to say

55:17

the least. You've had Orlando Arcia to

55:19

a nice job hitting for north of a three to sixty and

55:21

then for the New York com Beans, they rose

55:24

up late in the game yesterday to be able to cover that

55:26

run line. Thoughts of prayers if you had the Atlanta Brays

55:28

run line yesterday. But that said, you still

55:30

have to have a lot of questions with regards to beats. I do

55:32

think that they're gonna rise up a little bit. You've got Jeff

55:35

McNeil, Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonzo,

55:37

DJ Stewart all hitting below the Vendos sign

55:39

of two hundred. That's not gonna be the case at the end

55:41

of the season though. Alonzo up to three home

55:43

runs already. That's been rock solid for the scene. But right

55:46

now they're lying upon Brett Brady along with Francisco

55:48

Alva's to be just applying

55:50

the boom for the seam. That's times say what you want.

55:53

You've got a bullpen of the Mets that it's not bad, it's

55:55

not great. You've got Edwin diazback, so if you're

55:57

able to get him the ball, and it's a very beneficial.

56:00

But then said, you look at guys like Brooks, Ray

56:02

Lee, Adam Ontovino, Drew Smith. They're

56:04

not awful, they're not great, They're somewhere

56:06

in the middle. And for the Atlanta Rays,

56:08

the bullpen did not come up clutch for them yesterday,

56:11

and you're probably not going to be seeing some of the guys

56:13

that blew the game yesterday if you had the run line

56:15

like Rossi Iglesias. But that said, Pierce

56:18

Johnson has been relatively said in a Bray's uniform,

56:20

its lacked it up a little bit recently, but all in all,

56:22

I do think that he's going to be relatively good moving

56:25

forward. You've got Jesse Chavez, He's able to eat

56:27

multiple innings, and you do have to wonder if Win Honus

56:29

is going to be overly long for this game. He has

56:31

made six career starts as a lot. Five home runs

56:33

and thirty two and a third innings streccount numbers

56:36

are there. He was actually relatively solid

56:38

with the guards to command. He was giving up only about two

56:40

bucks for nine innings. He was able to get

56:42

north of nine straight cuts for nine innings. I do think

56:44

that there's some clear upside with him. I liked what I

56:46

saw from Aim at the minor league Lebble still

56:48

relatively young at the age of twenty eight, So

56:51

I do look at this spot and I do think that the Rays should

56:53

be able to go out there dominate this game against the mess

56:55

I did somebody total at a nine point eight. I think that when

56:57

honest gives you a relatively solid start. But I do think

56:59

that the Braves kid to Kitana. So with the nine

57:02

and a half, I'd like the over end. With the Atlanta Braves

57:04

getting a plus price on that run line, I'm gonna be

57:06

willing to lay the run and a half nine sixty three, nine sixty

57:08

four. On the betting board, it is the Toronto Blue Jays. They

57:10

playoffs Louse Seattle Manners Logan Gilbert

57:13

goes for Seattle Yu. Saki Cucci

57:15

is on the bump for Toronto Toronto between

57:17

minus one of five to minus one twelve favorites between

57:19

even money and plus one to eight. Is that number one Seattle

57:22

eight is the total over his minus one fifteen. The under

57:24

is minus one oh five. And I did set

57:26

the Blue Jays as a minus one

57:28

oh six favorite. Right now we're

57:30

seeing as low as minus one of five. I won't

57:33

want to go past minus one of five, but I'd

57:35

rather pick him line. I'm gonna be willing to trust

57:37

in the Toronto Blue Jays. But Logan Gilbert,

57:39

he's actually got really good splits on the

57:42

road. He pretty much records the same era, the

57:44

same home runs per nine when he is away

57:46

from home rather than when he is at home. But I

57:48

do think that the Blue Jays getting continued to wake

57:50

up with the bats a little bit. They've been able to score five plus

57:52

runs in their last two games after scoring three or

57:54

four in seven out their last nine.

57:57

And have we been over eighty in the Blue Jays the last

57:59

few seasons. Yes, But at the same time, I

58:01

look at Flagger Junior, Aleander Kirk,

58:03

Boba, Schett, Dalton Varshow and George Springer,

58:06

all inning at two h five or lower, and certainly that's

58:08

going to be rising up a little bit. Isaiah caner

58:10

Faluff, as a matter of fact, has been one of

58:12

your best hitters, has he and Justin Turner down for

58:14

what? Both inning well above a three hundred

58:16

and the home runs the overall average,

58:19

it's gonna come for the Toronto Blue Jays in

58:21

my opinion, again, are they probably a little

58:23

bit closer to middle of the road rather than elite

58:25

on offense? Yes, but at the same time they're

58:28

not as bad as they shown. Meanwhile, for the Seattle

58:30

Manners, they're in quite a bit of a funk as

58:32

well. For a lot there guys Mitch Carver, Ulio

58:34

Rodriguez, One Polanco, JP Crawford,

58:37

all inning below a two hundred, throwing their cal

58:39

Rawley as well. It has been rough for them.

58:41

Ty Franz and Mitch Hanneger right now carrying

58:44

the offensive. Hanneger has had a pair of home runs. Tom

58:46

Cazone is not giving you

58:48

a ton with regards to average, but he's mailated

58:51

a trio home runs as well, And then it comes down

58:53

to the bullpens. As for the Toronto Blue Jays,

58:55

they are dealing with a few ailments with that bullpen

58:58

as they've got Jordan Romano currently the

59:00

fold Eric Swantston as well. But I like what

59:02

Tim Mays is being able to bring to the

59:04

table. He's able to give you about a sub to

59:06

seventy five yard at very least he did last

59:08

season. Yimi Garcia has been a little bit of an

59:10

issue in Jack Green just has never really been able

59:12

to recapture that form they had a few

59:14

seasons ago with the New York Yankees, so he seems

59:17

to have stabilized a little bit here in Toronto.

59:19

Meanwhile, on the flip side for the Seattle Mariners, they've been

59:21

heal with a few injuries as well. Matt Brash he

59:24

is currently out the full. They let go of

59:26

a few guys like Penn Murphy in the offseason.

59:28

You just have a factory for

59:30

producing relief arms for the team. Though, Taylor

59:33

Socado Trent Thornton have been really

59:35

nice. Fines Gabe Spider has been sawid.

59:37

They bring in Ryan Sanneck in the off season Andres

59:39

Munos he's been very good as well. But

59:41

I do think that for Logan Gilbert, someone who's up

59:43

pretty steady at a guy he doesn't give out a

59:45

lot of walks. He gives up nine strike us for nine nineties,

59:48

but does give up a lot of general just middle

59:50

contact, not super duper or contact,

59:53

but like doubles contact, I think is

59:55

the best way of putting it. I do think that he's gonna find

59:57

himself in a little bit of an issue here, and you've got

59:59

a guy and you see ugu. I knew it was

1:00:01

a fade for a very long time, but it feels like he's

1:00:03

just been able to find it a little bit more. He's

1:00:05

been able to control the walks in the last

1:00:08

twelve months much better than he did towards the

1:00:10

early part of his tenure with the Toronto Blue Jays.

1:00:12

A little bit concerning that he does give up five walks

1:00:14

in his first sign two thirds sights as far

1:00:16

this season, but he was absolutely giving

1:00:18

up rockets a few seasons agoing if he just took

1:00:20

a look at him in the second half of last season

1:00:23

compareddo what he was in the early

1:00:25

part of his tenure with the Toronto Blue Jays,

1:00:27

I was just seeing a completely different pitcher after

1:00:29

the l Star break a season ago. He was

1:00:31

posting up in the ra that was hovering more in the neighbor

1:00:33

at about a three thirty nine after that was

1:00:35

four twenty four prior to the l Star break, giving

1:00:37

up more like zero point six zero point seven home

1:00:39

runs for nine innings. So I'd like what I'm seeing

1:00:42

out of v Saki Cucchi. And it's a Seattle

1:00:44

manner team that is in a little bit of rough form. So

1:00:46

being able to get the minus one of five year, I'm gonna be one to

1:00:48

lay that number one. Did sell my Totle at an eight point three.

1:00:50

I do think that pair of rough offense is gonna

1:00:52

start to get online a little bit more so. I do like the over

1:00:54

and the Blue Jays on the money line nine sixty five,

1:00:57

nine sixty six. On the bank board the La Angels play,

1:00:59

you'll see Tampa Zach Little is

1:01:01

on the bump for the Rais and Ose Soriano

1:01:03

is on the bump for the Angels. Angels are

1:01:05

a underdog of any between plus one ten two

1:01:08

plus one seventeen. Meanwhile, and between

1:01:10

minus one twenty and minus one thirty. That number on

1:01:12

the rays line is the total unders between minus

1:01:14

one tend to a minus one twenty three unders any between

1:01:17

even a minus one ten. And I said Little

1:01:19

as a minus one thirty three favorite. I'm gonna be

1:01:21

one to lay with the Tampa Bay race. The Angels

1:01:23

have actually given you athlete decent effort thus far this

1:01:26

season. I just wonder how far the top

1:01:28

heavy team is able to go. Mike Trout entered

1:01:30

into yesterday with five home runs

1:01:32

and six RBI. Of course, that's a Mike

1:01:34

Trout line. And you've got Taylor Ward who's

1:01:36

being able to supply a few home runs as well,

1:01:38

so that's been solid. But likes of Anthony Rendome,

1:01:41

Brandon Dreichius are not hitting for the seam

1:01:43

and I've got massive question marks

1:01:45

when it comes to Ose. Soriano has been utilized

1:01:48

throughout his career at the big league level as a reliever.

1:01:50

And when it comes to Ose Soriano, you did come

1:01:52

up as a little bit more of a starter at

1:01:55

the minor league level, but he hasn't done

1:01:57

a lot of that with him the last we're gonna call it about

1:01:59

twenty four months. And when

1:02:01

Soriano has been up at the big league bubble, he's

1:02:03

been able to give you swings a missus in his time

1:02:05

at the big league bubble. It's not very expensive,

1:02:07

but eleven strikeouts for nine nineties, but five

1:02:10

walks for nine nineties. Could this be a j pug

1:02:12

two point zero. That's a little bit of a fear that

1:02:14

you've got. And if he's not able to lend a whole

1:02:17

lot of length, well you don't have a lot of great

1:02:19

bullpen pieces to be able to rely upon as

1:02:21

well as you've got Matt Moore, Long

1:02:24

Carlos to Sevus. If you're able to get into the eighth of

1:02:26

ninth, I think they actually do a relatively saw his job.

1:02:28

But Adam simberb he's someone that you've

1:02:30

got your massive question marks with. I

1:02:33

am not necessarily too bullish on a lot of the other

1:02:35

guys that are coming in and sort of like middle relief

1:02:37

as well. They've been looking at a lot of like

1:02:40

more veteran guys that just wash

1:02:42

out, like Hunter Strickland, and it's not a place

1:02:44

where you want to be in. For Zach Little, I

1:02:46

mean he has been tremendous as a starter.

1:02:49

He was able to take the rainstor

1:02:51

his back half the season last year, posted up

1:02:53

a sub three e right in that starter's role.

1:02:55

He's been really good in terms of command as well.

1:02:58

Last year is walks per nine rate with the Rays

1:03:00

was one. He doesn't give you a whole like last

1:03:02

Wings and Missus with the race. He's only been able

1:03:04

to give you about some point six right us for nine innings,

1:03:07

but does a nice job being able to keep things out

1:03:09

in front of him. And I do think that this race team going to

1:03:11

continue to get a little bit more online with regards

1:03:13

to bats. They've had a bit of a tough time of it thus

1:03:16

far as this season early on. But Andy ds

1:03:18

who's right now giving you about a two sixty on base,

1:03:20

I think that he's going to be able to get into form a little

1:03:22

bit more esoch baradas as for hum runs

1:03:24

as far he's been fined, it's more about being

1:03:26

able to get a little bit more of the likes of the entirety

1:03:29

of the catcher spot in general. Randy A. Rose

1:03:31

Arenos one, they give you about a two eighty five on base

1:03:33

power just has not really been there for the Tampa

1:03:35

Bay Rays. But have a lot more faith in this lineup

1:03:37

rather than the Angels who are trotting out

1:03:40

there. Joe Edel's right now sending fire

1:03:42

to the rain with a buck eighty two batting average. Do

1:03:44

like logan on Hoppy on that side. But I do think

1:03:46

that all know race do find a way to be able to get

1:03:48

the job done. I do think that they're gonna be able to get some

1:03:51

good contact off of Ose Soriano.

1:03:53

So here at the nine I'm gonna be looking at the overseep. I told

1:03:55

the nine point to you, and I do think that the Angels gonna

1:03:57

be able to do an okay job of getting the as

1:04:00

well. But the race, they just have such a better bullpen.

1:04:02

Pete Fairbay Combouchet, Jason

1:04:05

Adams, all these guys are very rock solid,

1:04:07

and I do think that even a guy like Garret Clevenger

1:04:09

is gonna be able to lend some good length in this one if

1:04:11

needed.

1:04:12

As well.

1:04:12

Some did something total nine point two. I'd like the over

1:04:14

and with the race gonna be one lay up to a minus

1:04:16

one thirty two on that money line nine sixty seven, nine to sixty

1:04:18

eight on the bake board. The Chicago White Sox

1:04:21

are gonna be on the road facing off against the Cleveland

1:04:23

Guardians. Dan Raibey goes for the Guardians.

1:04:25

Eric Fetty Wop is on the bump for the White Sox.

1:04:27

White Sox are sizeble underdogs between

1:04:30

bulus two dollars and plus two fourteen.

1:04:32

Meanwhile, anywhere between minus two and thirty

1:04:34

eight minus two fifty that number on the Guardians

1:04:36

eight to eight and a half is a total on the overs vneus

1:04:39

one fifteen the unders minus one of five on the eight

1:04:41

and a half over and under anywheretween minus

1:04:43

one five to a minus one fifteen, and I'm

1:04:45

gonna rock with the White Sox here I

1:04:47

was the one thing of plus one seventy two or higher.

1:04:49

I'm actually very high on Eric Fetti. I'm

1:04:52

very low on the rest of the Chicago White

1:04:54

Sox not named Garrett orche But

1:04:57

you know what, for Eric Fetty, you looked really

1:04:59

good and the KBO last year, posting up a two

1:05:01

ERA. His strikeout numbers are up,

1:05:04

his walks are down. He looks like a rock

1:05:06

solid pitcher. And two starts he did give up two him

1:05:08

runs, but just three runs a total, eleven strikeouts,

1:05:10

three walks. It really looks like you found

1:05:13

something out at the KBO level. And White

1:05:15

Sox lost both of these starts by one

1:05:17

run because even though he went out there

1:05:19

gave them a chance to win. The entire

1:05:22

White Sox lineup just has not been able to do

1:05:24

a lot. And this is a White Sox team that's just very

1:05:26

rough in general. You know, Mancata Sandio with

1:05:28

an injury, Eloyamnez, Luis Robert

1:05:30

have landed on the injury list, and they could not afford

1:05:33

to have these guys to go on the injury list. Right

1:05:35

now, you're staring at Paul Dejongis right

1:05:37

now, probably your best part Red. He's got a pair of

1:05:39

home runs that's far the season. And what the heck

1:05:41

is Andre bed Attendi doing. He's taking like a buck

1:05:44

sixty seven. Nobody on this White Sox

1:05:46

team knows how to take a base Like seriously,

1:05:48

everyone's up there swinging as if every single

1:05:50

pitch is called a strike, and that's not the case. If

1:05:53

it's off the plate, you don't need to swing. They

1:05:55

need to get that concept just walking

1:05:57

into their skulls. You pick up Martinel

1:05:59

that I was literally hitting below one hundred,

1:06:02

Like we talk about the mind's life two hundred. It's

1:06:04

not like the double down Midoza line. I am

1:06:06

not sure, but you've got a Cleveland Guardian seem

1:06:08

that as well is not gonna be hitting for a ton of power.

1:06:10

Ose Ramirez, he's been pretty rock solid

1:06:13

in the way that he's able to move the line, has been

1:06:15

able to give you a pair of home runs thus far this season.

1:06:17

But this is a bunch as well that I believe

1:06:19

that they currently have a grand total of eight home

1:06:21

runs over the course of their first eleven games. Steven

1:06:23

Kwan has given you nearly a four armbas Andre Simenez

1:06:26

north of a four arm base. You've been able to get some good

1:06:28

production out of some of the younger guys as

1:06:30

well. Will Brandon has a nice approach at the great plate.

1:06:32

He's not going to give you any sort of home runs,

1:06:34

but he's able to get on Brian Roschio and

1:06:36

once again, not a lot of power, but he's able to move

1:06:39

the line as well. For the Cleveland Guardians, they certainly do

1:06:41

have a leg up with regards to the bullpen. I'd

1:06:43

like Emmanuel Class at that closer spot Hunter

1:06:45

Gaddis has had a nice second stanza

1:06:48

at the big league level as a reliever. Peters starts

1:06:50

a lucky picking him up from the Milwaukee Brewers.

1:06:52

I thought that that was a relatively solid move as well.

1:06:54

And then you've got a starter and kick ten or by view

1:06:57

and needs solid. He's not great, he's

1:06:59

not like super duper amazing, but he's gonna

1:07:01

be able to hold down the four for you for Byby.

1:07:04

Since he got called up to the big league level eight season

1:07:06

ago, he's been posting up about a three oh three ere.

1:07:08

I do think that there's a little bit of regression coming from

1:07:10

as his fielding compendant more around about a three fifty

1:07:13

three, but gives you a nine streight cuts the three walks for

1:07:15

nine nings, mitigates our contact, especially

1:07:17

when he's in his home ballpark as well. So I

1:07:19

do think that this is going to be a bit of a lower scoring

1:07:22

game. I did sub by total and at some point

1:07:24

you've got a White Sox team that's really dealing with

1:07:26

the injuries, and especially at the eight and a half's

1:07:28

here, I do like this total under. If the White Sox

1:07:30

they were able to rough for a few runs yesterday, I

1:07:32

don't think that Lightning is going to be striking twice,

1:07:34

So do like the under. But with the White Sox being

1:07:36

able to get north of plus one seventy with Feti

1:07:39

on the mountain, I'm going to be taking that big money line to

1:07:41

go along with a total under nine sixty nine

1:07:43

nine seventy on the banking board. It's the Boston Red Sox playing

1:07:45

on the Baltimore Oriols. Cole Irvin goes

1:07:47

for the Orioles and Cutter Crawford is on

1:07:49

the bump for Boston. Boston is between a minus

1:07:52

one fourteen to one minus one eight team favorite plus one

1:07:54

zero four to h plus one oh eight that number on Baltimore

1:07:56

and go this game. It is eight and a half to nine

1:07:58

on the eight and a half overs mins twenty the unders even

1:08:00

on the nine over and under our boltime minus

1:08:02

one ten, Say til at nine point four, I'm gonna

1:08:04

be looking at the over. Big thing in this

1:08:07

one is that Cutter Crawford has not been

1:08:09

the same picture throughout his career in Boston

1:08:11

rather than on the road. As a matter of fact, for

1:08:13

Cutter Crawford last season he posted

1:08:15

up a sub three ERA away from home

1:08:17

and a six ERA at home. I do think

1:08:20

that he should be able to work on those home and roads

1:08:22

plas a little bit. But that shows how ruthless

1:08:24

and relentless this possible ballpark can

1:08:26

be to a pitcher. Say you got a guy in Cole

1:08:29

Irvin that just isn't in good form

1:08:31

in general. For Cole Irvin, He's never been

1:08:33

the world's greatest singing a miss guy. He's been able to get a

1:08:35

few more punch outs since joining the Baltimore

1:08:37

Orioles. But that said, for Cole Irvin,

1:08:39

I just don't see him being a guy that can really

1:08:41

be too reliable. Since joining the Baltimore

1:08:44

Orioles last season, I sawt of a four five r

1:08:46

and he has been also giving up a little

1:08:48

bit more just hard contact in general.

1:08:50

Since the acquisition

1:08:53

by the Baltimore Orioles last season, he

1:08:55

was giving up in that neighbor of about one point three runs

1:08:57

for nine endings and being a picture of contact guy.

1:08:59

It think that Boston is going to be trading him very

1:09:01

well. Tyler O'Neal has been amazing for this possible

1:09:04

Red Sex seed. He's got six home runs already

1:09:06

this season. I believe that that leads the big league

1:09:08

sam While Ralphie Levers is in a little bit of a funk,

1:09:10

hitting just a bluck ninety five with two home runs, He's

1:09:13

been able to do a nice job holding down the Ford while

1:09:15

Jared Duran while with O'Neill, have been

1:09:17

your main on base guys. Both of these guys hitting

1:09:19

north of a three, and you need Masatakaya Sheeta

1:09:21

to be a little bit more consistent enting just a two twenty

1:09:24

five. Tristan Kasis, he's starting to pick it up

1:09:26

after he had a slow first few starts

1:09:28

of the season. Meanwhile, for the Baltimore Oils,

1:09:30

this is a nice lineup, just really one

1:09:32

through nine. You've got one really

1:09:35

nice power back that I like in Anthony Santaner that had

1:09:37

north of twenty five home runs last season. But I

1:09:39

have a bunch of guys like Gunner Henderson, Etilie

1:09:41

Rushman, Ryan Mountcastle, but I think

1:09:44

that they're going to be in that pocket about twenty years so home

1:09:46

runs. Mountcastle's ability to perhaps go off

1:09:48

for thirty, but I don't know if he's going to do so this season,

1:09:50

but he's been able to do a nice job move the line. Key and

1:09:52

Rushman hitting both above a two to seventy

1:09:54

five. But you do have guys like Jordan Westberg,

1:09:56

Cedric Mullins, Austin the says Kid Raman

1:09:59

Yardias riding below the windows Live Tourner.

1:10:01

They're gonna need to pick it up a little bit and for the Baltimore

1:10:04

Orioles they currently employed Curig Kimberll

1:10:06

in that bullpen. That is not something that you won.

1:10:08

You've got Danny columbianer Cano, Jacob

1:10:11

Webb, even Dylan take coming back from

1:10:13

missing all last season. All these guys in

1:10:15

their most recent season at a sub three five

1:10:17

year am. For the Boston Red Sox, they did let go of

1:10:20

John Shreiber in the offseason, so Joshuakowski

1:10:22

is gonna need to be a big part of this bullpen. I think that

1:10:24

he can be. I've actually really liked what I've seen as

1:10:27

well out of young Justin Slayton. He's

1:10:29

come in in four leaf appearances and he's looked

1:10:31

relatively rocks out in all of them. They pick up Isaiah

1:10:33

Campbell, who was over with the Seattle

1:10:35

Manners eight seas ago. But I do think the Crawford

1:10:37

gonna look a little bit better in this start then he has

1:10:40

here at his career in Boston. It's a little bit chillier

1:10:42

outside, so that means the balls that might be flying

1:10:44

out during the summertime might be knocked down in the

1:10:46

sort of environment. But that

1:10:48

said, I did something toil at nine point four I do like

1:10:51

the over. I think that both pitchers give up some runs,

1:10:53

but I do think that in the end Red Sox find a way

1:10:55

to be a look at the job done. I like the Red Sox on

1:10:57

the money line sometimes ended minus one thirty two,

1:10:59

and I'm looking at the over as well. Nine somebody one

1:11:01

nine somebody do on the bagy board the use an Astros that throw

1:11:03

it fase half against Kansaity Royals, seth a Lugo

1:11:06

goes for the Royals, Spencer are Aghetti

1:11:08

is gonna be on the bump for the Astros, and the

1:11:10

Astros open up in a lot of spots out

1:11:12

of minus one thirty five. This has now been adjusted

1:11:14

to between minus one fourteen to

1:11:17

minus one twenty even money to plus

1:11:19

one of five. Is that number one Kins City nine

1:11:21

is a total unders nine one fifteen the overs minus

1:11:23

one of five due to a pitching change. Because

1:11:25

the aswers that looked like they were gonna be throwing

1:11:28

hundred browns a lot of places, they have yet to put

1:11:30

up a number on this game. So we're seeing initial

1:11:32

openers here. But as long as we are getting

1:11:34

these nines, I'm gonna be taking a look at it. The over

1:11:36

I set my total nine point three and for our Getty,

1:11:39

I could only set them at a minus one oh

1:11:41

nine. So if we can get in nord of plus one ten,

1:11:43

I'd be willing to fire in on the Royals. If

1:11:45

this gets down to more like a minus one

1:11:47

oh eight minus one oh seven, that's the scenario where

1:11:50

I'm gonna be looking at the Astros. So right now it is

1:11:52

a little bit of a wait and see for me. But with

1:11:54

our Getty's a sick round draft pickout

1:11:56

of Louisiana, the old raging Casions,

1:11:58

and draw my question mark with up. He's

1:12:00

got some solid swing in miss stuff, but it's

1:12:03

not necessarily great swinging miss stuff. When

1:12:05

he had his appearances for the Asters in spring

1:12:07

training, you like only got five total dings,

1:12:09

so it's a really small sample

1:12:11

size. He did give up four runs

1:12:13

in those five innings, so in the small sample size,

1:12:16

he didn't necessarily dazzlin. If you take a look

1:12:18

at what he did at the minor league level a season go between

1:12:20

a time with the Sugar Landscape Space

1:12:22

Cowboys along Corpus Chrissy, he's possing

1:12:25

up about a four to forty era. He did

1:12:27

a good job of being able to mitigate hard contact, but the

1:12:29

walks are an issue. North of four walks for nine

1:12:31

innings sec with his Space Cowboys this season,

1:12:34

he has already given out seven walks and eight

1:12:36

and a third endings, and that's gonna be an issue. And I

1:12:38

do think that the Asters are gonna need to hold

1:12:40

down the fort quite a bit in terms of their bullpen because

1:12:43

I don't think that they're gonna be able to get a ton of length

1:12:45

out of him. Josh Hader along Ryan Presley in

1:12:47

the eighth and ninth ending, they've had their issues, but I think

1:12:49

that they're going to be Royk Salid. But Parker Mulshinski,

1:12:52

he's someone that you look at is perhaps a little bit of a

1:12:54

long guy. He has not been to rund Us this season.

1:12:56

Wouldn't be surprised if we see quite a bit of braindon

1:12:58

block as well. He's someone that they typically

1:13:01

try to utilize for multiple endings as well, but

1:13:03

they've been using him in quite a few games as

1:13:05

well. Brian Abreu is someone that's able to give

1:13:07

you a sub three era as well, but even

1:13:09

with it, this is a Royals bullpen that is

1:13:11

royally awful. James MacArthur

1:13:14

is being thrown in big time situations.

1:13:16

That's not what you want. Will Smith gets

1:13:18

way too jiggy with it. Nick Anderson is rough.

1:13:20

Jordan Lyles, I mean the fact that he's been

1:13:23

relegated to the bullpen. It's just sad to watch.

1:13:25

And for the Royals, this is a nice young

1:13:27

up and coming roster in terms of being

1:13:29

able put back to ball. MJ. Melendez has three home

1:13:32

runs over the last seven days. Bobby Wick junr.

1:13:34

Has been one of the best hitters in all baseball as far

1:13:36

as he and Melendez both are giving you north of three

1:13:38

seventy five on base pair of bombs for with

1:13:41

Junior thus far the season with Keillguards he has been able

1:13:43

to give you three home runs. You need a little bit more out

1:13:45

of guys like on a renfro Kyle as well. The

1:13:47

outfield of General Saints. Melendez has been a

1:13:49

little bit touch and go. But Salvador Perez, he

1:13:51

looks like the Salvador Peas of old. Pair of home

1:13:53

runs sitting above three are for the Houston Asters,

1:13:55

they've been able to get their act together a little bit more. At

1:13:58

the point, Jordan Alvarez has ready been able

1:14:00

to provide you with a quartet of home runs.

1:14:02

They did leave thirteen men on base yesterday,

1:14:04

and Alex Bragman is having a typical

1:14:06

Alex Bragman started hitting below a two

1:14:08

twenty five. Jose Ray, who has been just

1:14:11

miserable at the play a loan Mauricio Dubaum.

1:14:13

But I said Josel tuve ord on overs

1:14:15

at the top, both ending above a three hundred in your

1:14:17

dias, sitting for a three hundred doesn't necessarily draw

1:14:19

a lot of walks, but he gives you some good contact

1:14:21

as well. I do think that you're gonna be able to get quite

1:14:23

a few runs up on the board. This is wit the fact

1:14:25

that I actually do like Seth Lugo as a starter,

1:14:28

like in a normal circumstance with the Royals, so he'd

1:14:30

be a much bigger underdog on my handicap rather

1:14:32

than a plus one oh nine. But Seth Lugo only

1:14:34

gave out about two walks per nine ennings. Last season

1:14:36

was with the San Diego Padres. So far, so good,

1:14:39

and I signed with the Royals. He is you have

1:14:41

to give up home run in his first two starts provide

1:14:43

a good length with twelve and two third settings is

1:14:45

walks per nine rate pretty much what it was at

1:14:47

San Diego last season, right around about it

1:14:49

too. Not gonna give you tremendous wings and misses.

1:14:52

And his first two starts were against the Twins

1:14:54

and the White Sox. So I take that with a little bit of grain

1:14:56

of salt. But I don't know like what I'm seeing there. I do

1:14:58

think that you're going to see quite a few in this game, though,

1:15:00

because the Royals still have the Royals bullpen. So looking

1:15:03

at the over and with the Royals, well and take plus one

1:15:05

ten or higher with them minus one o eight or less. That'll

1:15:07

be my bypoint on Houston nine seventy three, nine

1:15:09

seventy four. On the baking board, the Oakland Triple A's

1:15:11

are gonna be in there. They're going to be facing off

1:15:13

against ewalker Texas Rangers, says Cody

1:15:15

Bradford is on the bump for the Rangers. Ross

1:15:18

Strippling goes for Oakland. Oakland is any

1:15:20

between plus one fifty four to zero plus one

1:15:22

sixty eight. Meanwhile, if you're looking at Texas,

1:15:24

they're back to me in a big favorite any between minus

1:15:26

one eighty two minus one ninety if you're looking

1:15:28

at that run line, by the way, you're gonna be getting plus one

1:15:30

ten to plus one twelve. Meanwhile, totan's game

1:15:33

is nine, the overs minus one twenty and the under

1:15:35

is even money. And for the Rangers,

1:15:37

I was needing at least a plus one o eight to

1:15:39

be able to take a shot on that run line. Seeing that at

1:15:42

plus one ten to a plus one twelve, I

1:15:44

recognize that the Oakland A's are seven

1:15:46

and one on the run line in their last

1:15:48

eight games. I am a schmuck. I'm gonna

1:15:50

lay the run half with the Texas Rangers.

1:15:52

And this is less of the fate of the Oakland

1:15:55

A's and more of a I am actually bullsh

1:15:57

on Cody Bradford. You got a little bit unlucky

1:16:00

last year and this year he's really been

1:16:02

able to put it together as a pitcher. Looked

1:16:04

relatively solid in his last start against

1:16:06

the Houston Astros. He's made two starts as far

1:16:08

this season. Did a lot of home run in certain number

1:16:10

one, but all now twelve and two thirds innings

1:16:12

given up three runs. Strightcount numbers are

1:16:15

solid. Last year he had a five thirty year a but

1:16:17

a four to sixty eight fielding independent and right now

1:16:19

he's got a sub three fielding independent. He's done a nice

1:16:21

job of not giving up a lot of walks, and last

1:16:24

year he only gave up about two walks for nine

1:16:26

Nunnings, he goes up against someone in ross stripling

1:16:28

that is never going to be fooling you

1:16:30

for some guy that is giving you a whole bunch of whiffs

1:16:32

or anything like that. Ross rippling last season with

1:16:34

the San Francisco Giants, punch out right

1:16:37

around seven guys for nine Unnings had a

1:16:39

five thirty six ar a five to twenty one field

1:16:41

independent. So got your question marks there. That's

1:16:43

far this season he's been able to do a relatively solid job.

1:16:45

I'll be able to mitigate hard contact. But I do

1:16:48

think that he's going to be a candidate for one of

1:16:50

those guys that when he's in Oakland is

1:16:52

able to do a nice job, and then on the road not

1:16:54

so much, because he is very much a pitch of contact guy

1:16:56

that throughout his career has given up quite a

1:16:58

bit of hard contact for his career right around about

1:17:00

one point four home runs. Bernie and Ning say

1:17:02

for Oakland, this is still not necessarily the

1:17:04

world's greatest lineup. They have been able to put up

1:17:06

four runs to their credit in five out

1:17:09

of their last six games. But you look at

1:17:11

JJ Blade Zach Loff, they've both

1:17:13

been able to provide right round about a three to twenty

1:17:15

five on base and Shaye Langeleiras from

1:17:17

out of nowhere has had four home runs

1:17:20

as far the season. He had a few bombs a season

1:17:22

go, but I think he had a three home run

1:17:24

game yesterday against Texas

1:17:26

and a game where the As scored

1:17:29

four runs at total. So I don't know if

1:17:31

that's sustainable. Brent Rooker has been off to a roster

1:17:33

to the season only about a two twenty five on base

1:17:36

There's it's been interesting in Asterie

1:17:38

Ruiz, one of the best basiowings in all baseball,

1:17:40

got option down to triple A. That's just

1:17:43

a clear sign of tanking right there. Meanwhile, for

1:17:45

the old Walker Texas Rangers, this is a very

1:17:47

fierce lineup one through nine. Why at Langford

1:17:50

As he had to be able to find that first home run, but he's doing a solid

1:17:52

job moving the line. Marcus Simeon Adolas

1:17:54

Carcia, these two guys, you know that their power

1:17:56

numbers are going to be there, simeon four arm base adulas.

1:17:59

Carci is on it really for average, but he's

1:18:01

provided for home runs as far as the season. Jared

1:18:03

Walsh, Corey Seeger, Josh Smith, these

1:18:05

guys running above at three hundred as well. Like

1:18:07

what I'm seeing there. And for the Texas Rangers, it's

1:18:10

a bullpen that as much improved from last season. Osee La

1:18:12

Clerks had a little bit of an off go of it yesterday.

1:18:14

But you're bringing David robertson, You're bringing

1:18:16

Kirby Yates that forty five as a bullpen that was dealing

1:18:18

with Chris Frann, Will Smith a season

1:18:20

ago. Brock and Roll Burke I think is gonna be relatively

1:18:23

solid. And for the Oakland A's Danny Menace

1:18:25

is something I do like in the bullpen. And the bullpen isn't

1:18:27

the world's worst. Lucas Ervisage I think has

1:18:29

a little bit of upside. He was a flame out

1:18:31

with the Brewers in their farm system. As an infielder.

1:18:34

He's been able to have a second Stanza as

1:18:36

a pitcher that has gone quite well. Why they've got Mason

1:18:38

Miller in the bullpen, I've got no idea. But he's a good

1:18:40

long guy. But I look at Cody Bradford

1:18:42

and I do think that he's gonna be able to turn a nice start.

1:18:45

I do think that there's gonna be a little bit of regression here and

1:18:47

for the Oakland A's, they've been able to get a little bit hot

1:18:49

with the bats currently. I did something total

1:18:51

at nine point one, so yarret the nine. I'm looking

1:18:53

at the over. But I do think that Texas is gonna be able

1:18:55

to get to roster playing. I do think that they're gonna provide

1:18:57

a lot more offense than they did eight day ago.

1:19:00

So it's a spot where I do like the Rangers

1:19:02

on the run line. And I'm going to be taking a look at the sign

1:19:04

over nine seventy five, nine seventy six on the baking board,

1:19:06

the Minnesota Twins plus the Elliott Dodgers. Bobby

1:19:09

Miller goes for the Dodgers, Chris Paddick is on the

1:19:11

bump for Minnesota. Nine is the total under his minds

1:19:13

well, twenty three overs even and with the Lli Dodgers

1:19:15

or between minus one seventy five minus one

1:19:17

eighty favorites. Meanwhile, between plus one

1:19:19

sixty and plus one sixty two. Seeing's

1:19:21

story plus one fifty as your number on Minnesota,

1:19:24

was willing to take a plus one fifty seven or higher with

1:19:26

Minnesota. I'm gonna be willing to take this plus number

1:19:29

with Bobby Miller, very good in terms of being

1:19:31

able to give you some swings and missus and was really

1:19:33

able to burst onto the scene a season ago

1:19:36

that said, I feel like this is a little bit too much

1:19:38

love, a little bit too soon for Bobby Miller, who

1:19:40

I think that eventually he's gonna be a sigh on candidate.

1:19:43

I do think that he is going to be one of those aces

1:19:45

for the Lli Dodgers for a very long time to

1:19:47

come. But it does have me a little bit concern

1:19:49

that he goes out in his last retard

1:19:52

and he puts up a turt essentially against the Chicago

1:19:54

Cubs. He got five outs and he gave up five

1:19:56

runs, all of which were earned. That was not tremendous,

1:19:59

to say the least. What a bad guy in terms

1:20:01

of command as well. Last year about two point three

1:20:03

walks er nine ennings and actually put up a

1:20:05

better era when he was on the road rather than at home.

1:20:07

Right around about a four or five ra at home, closer

1:20:10

to about a three h five when he was away from home.

1:20:12

But I do feel a little bit bullish about Chris

1:20:14

Paddock as well. A lot of people forget when he

1:20:16

came up in like twenty nineteen, this guy

1:20:18

was a bee's knees. We all thought that Chris

1:20:21

Paddock was gonna be this next great pitcher.

1:20:23

He's dealt with a lot of injuries and just in general,

1:20:26

San Diego was not necessarily the landing spot

1:20:28

for him. He's only made now, I believe,

1:20:30

nine total appearances with the Minnesota Twins.

1:20:32

But I do think that there's upside. There has always

1:20:35

been solid in terms of swinging miss stuff. You go back

1:20:37

to his rookie year, he was getting nearly ten punchouts for

1:20:39

nine ennings and has always been pretty good with

1:20:41

regards to command as well. For his career less

1:20:43

than two and a half walks ber ninan ennings. His stuff

1:20:45

looked relatively solid in his first start out gave

1:20:47

up two runs over the course of four innings, and he's

1:20:49

backed up by a party rock solid and STEADI Bullpen,

1:20:52

J Jackson or Al Calla, Cody Funderberg.

1:20:55

These guys are all good now they're dealing

1:20:57

with mister Doran being currently out

1:20:59

of the fold, their main closer is out that it's

1:21:01

not great, to say the least. And for them,

1:21:04

they pick up Michael Tonkin after he just was

1:21:06

not a fit with the Minnesota Twins. But I think that this is

1:21:08

actually a really nice upside play. I take a look

1:21:10

at what he did with the Atlanta Braves last season.

1:21:12

Was a nice long guy that provided about a four

1:21:14

to three ERA. Began his career with the Minnesota

1:21:17

Twins many many years ago, actually, and I

1:21:19

do think that that's gonna be nice for him. And

1:21:21

then you take a look at the LA Dodgers

1:21:23

and their bullpens still won the best in the big leagues, but they

1:21:25

did lose Caleb Ferguson Victor Gonzalez

1:21:27

from eight season ago. So now they're kicking the tires on

1:21:29

Connor Brogden, who gave up a few home runs yesterday.

1:21:32

Bryan Brazier as a Dodger as a sub two

1:21:34

seventy five era, I don't trust in Joe Kelly

1:21:36

at all, but Evan Phillips is really

1:21:39

good in the back half of games as well. And as we know with

1:21:41

the LI Dodgers, this is one of the best

1:21:43

offenses that you're gonna find in all baseball.

1:21:45

Mookie Bets is already blasted five bombs this

1:21:47

season. Shootani after a rough like

1:21:49

three games or something like that, he's up to

1:21:51

three home runs. He's up to a three seventy on as he's

1:21:53

just fine. Tasker named his three forty five on base

1:21:56

four home runs. James Allman, He's been

1:21:58

a little bit all or nothing this season, but now he's getting

1:22:00

hot pair of home runs in the last three games. Max Muncie

1:22:03

is doing a better job of over the line this year. Will Smith

1:22:05

he's really getting jiggy with it with about a four hundred

1:22:07

average. And the key for the Twins can they

1:22:10

just find a little bit of offense, because Carlos

1:22:12

Korean is starting to look much better than he did a season

1:22:14

ago. He's back updating a three hundred, but rayce

1:22:16

lewis being out of the fo that's been rough for the

1:22:19

team, to say the lease. And for the Minnesota Twins,

1:22:21

they were able to hit three home runs in the final

1:22:23

two innings of the game yesterday. That was

1:22:25

as many home runs as they had had the entire season

1:22:28

up until that point. So can they be able

1:22:30

to flip the switch here a little bit, be able to ride a

1:22:32

little bit more offense, because like stuff Carlos

1:22:34

Santana, Willie Cazro, Edward Julia,

1:22:37

and Ryan Jeffers, Matt Wallner,

1:22:39

Max Kupler, Christian Vasquez,

1:22:42

they are all inting below a buck seventy five.

1:22:44

It is awful. Man Walmargo has been able

1:22:46

to give you a relatively good played approach as well as been

1:22:48

a little bit in and out of the fold end. Baron Buckson,

1:22:51

he's out there on the field, which is good news. Ben news

1:22:53

is he's got zero home runs and he's providing a three hundred

1:22:55

on base. But I do think that for this

1:22:57

Twins team, I feel like they found a little bit of something

1:23:00

towards the back half of the game yesterday I did

1:23:02

something total though at an eight point eight, I think that Bobby

1:23:04

Miller is gonna give you a much better start. They eat it a

1:23:07

few days ago in Chicago, and I like the upside of Chris

1:23:09

Paddock. So I like in the under and being able

1:23:11

to get the Minnesota Twins at north of the plus one

1:23:13

fifty eight. I'm gonna be looking at them on the money

1:23:15

line and have things up with my DK nowwork right

1:23:17

a pick nine, nine seventy eight on the bank board,

1:23:20

it is see Miami Marlins on the road facing off against

1:23:22

the New York Yankees. Marcus Herman goes

1:23:24

for the Yankees. Ryan Weathers is on the boat

1:23:26

for Miami, and Miami is a sizeable underdog

1:23:28

between plus one eighty plus one ninety. Meanwhile,

1:23:31

between minus t ten and minus twenty five.

1:23:33

That number on the Yankees eight and a half is the total

1:23:35

overs vinus one fifteen. The under is minus one

1:23:37

of five. Gonna do something that I very rarely

1:23:40

do right now, we're seeing that Yankees run line

1:23:42

at a minus one of five to lay a run and a half.

1:23:44

I typically don't do this a lot with regards

1:23:47

to write ups, but this is something that just really

1:23:49

stood out to me. I'd be willing to lay up to about

1:23:51

a minus one twenty two on this run line of

1:23:53

the Yankees. My ride up is going to be laying

1:23:55

the run and a half on the run line. I know that there

1:23:57

are many people that are uneasy about

1:24:00

a run and a half, especially with a home team.

1:24:02

I'm gonna be willing to do it here. I'm just

1:24:04

that out on the Miami Marlins at this point.

1:24:07

By the way, I still can't believe Brian Weathers

1:24:09

is only twenty four years old. This is year number four

1:24:11

in the league for him. He has been awful. For

1:24:13

Ryan Weathers five seventy eight career,

1:24:16

you are a five to sixty field league dependent at one point

1:24:18

eight home runs surrendered per nine endings. He's

1:24:20

a pitch to contact guy that gives up three point

1:24:22

seven walks for nine innings. Not great,

1:24:25

not great at all. And those numbers came

1:24:27

pitching in San Diego, where it's very pitcher

1:24:30

friendly. You've got a New York Yankee team that

1:24:32

has completely revamped with the line of twenty fifth

1:24:34

in the league last year in terms of runs per game.

1:24:36

They've been able to get quite a bit out of Anthony

1:24:39

Volpe along one. So both of these guys

1:24:41

are give you a north of the four Armies and the Yankees

1:24:43

successless far this season has come with Aaron

1:24:45

Judge really being pedestrian. I mean, Aaron

1:24:47

Judge has a pair of home runs, he's sitting a buck ninety

1:24:50

five. The on base percentage's still three to eighty two,

1:24:52

but we expect more from him moving forward.

1:24:54

Labor Torus hasn't been able to give you a whole lot

1:24:56

of anything. Anthony Rizzo one ome run about

1:24:58

a three forty five on basic, a little bit more

1:25:00

there, and yet the Yankees have been able to go out there and dominate.

1:25:03

They did use up Ian Hamilton and the bullpen yesterday,

1:25:05

but a lot they're more trustworthy pieces. They're gonna

1:25:07

be good to go. They did use Clay Homes yesterday as well,

1:25:09

but only for seven pitches. Caleb Ferguson

1:25:11

is someone I'd like that they picked up in the offseason.

1:25:14

They've got Victor Gonzalz as well. This is

1:25:16

one of the better bullpens out there in the big leagues end for Miami

1:25:19

entering into the series, and they're gonna need to use

1:25:21

a lot of a bullpen north of

1:25:23

a five to five interns of the era.

1:25:25

They'd let go Steven Okurt aj Pucku

1:25:28

was so great in the bullpen. Well he started yesterday.

1:25:30

So now you're looking at Burt Smith and six

1:25:32

of Sanchez coming out of the bullpen. And Sanchez

1:25:34

was very good as a curder in twenty twenty. Clearly

1:25:37

not a good bullpen piece. George Roriano is actually

1:25:39

someone I do like, but for Miami as

1:25:41

well. They returned one guy that had north

1:25:43

of twenty home runs from eighty season ago, and

1:25:45

that would be our good friend mister Jake Berger, very

1:25:47

very yummy hitter who's been able

1:25:50

to do a relatively solid job this year. Pairform runs

1:25:52

only about a three hundred or so on base, but

1:25:54

you know, and he's been able to drive in quite a few runs

1:25:57

because well nobody else is. For the Miami Marlins,

1:25:59

you've been able to Nick flashcorn Jet Shislem

1:26:01

be able to give you a pair of home runs by Dayla Cruz

1:26:04

he's only give you about a two ninety on base and Luisa

1:26:06

Riots after he was so good at getting on base

1:26:08

last season. Two thirty four average

1:26:10

just not great to say the least. I do think

1:26:12

that Marcus S. Trowman is going to be able to tap into the

1:26:14

Marcus Stroman that we saw prior to the All

1:26:17

Star break last season. First nineteen starts

1:26:19

of the season. Prior to the All Star break, he was posting

1:26:21

up a sub three year a now grant that came with a

1:26:23

fielding depend that was much above a three. He wasn't

1:26:25

necessarily getting a ton of swings and misses, but was

1:26:27

doing a good job mitigating her contact. It

1:26:30

feels like he's just rejuvenated in general

1:26:32

second half of the season. Last year he was banged

1:26:34

up. It just went completely down the toilet bowl

1:26:36

for him. It feels like going back to New York.

1:26:38

As he's a New York guy, it is going to

1:26:40

be really able to fire him up against a Miami

1:26:43

Marlins team that right now with him, deal with

1:26:45

three injuries to their starters. It's

1:26:47

really caused the pieces

1:26:49

on the ship to be all sorts of moved

1:26:52

around, all sorts of funky, and they

1:26:54

just have not been able to find it. In general, I do think

1:26:56

that the New York Yankees continued the demise of

1:26:58

the Miami Marlins, being able get this run line at

1:27:00

right around minus one oh five. I'm gonna be willing to lay

1:27:03

the run and a half in terms of total. I did

1:27:05

set it at an eight point seven. The Miami Marlins have

1:27:07

actually been quite good to be over thus far this season

1:27:09

because they're giving up so many sink and runs.

1:27:12

So I did like the over, and I like laying the run

1:27:14

and a half with New York, and that is going

1:27:16

to be my right up. Laying the run and a half with the New York

1:27:18

Yankees and Mat Are things up for the Wednesday

1:27:20

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1:28:00

eighty sum much fish, yeah,