0:00

Breaking down every game every day

0:02

in Major League Baseball. This is the Baseball

0:05

Betting Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

0:08

Hey warmer from the low Welcome to love you, Las

0:10

Vegas for the Baseball Betting Shoe with myself

0:13

Greg Peterson, now part of the Vson Family Podcast.

0:15

We've got an absolutely excellent podcast for you

0:17

as we're gonna be joining in segment number two by

0:19

Will Hill. He does tremendous work here at

0:21

Vison. Couple with that, I know that he is

0:23

doing a tremendous job on the bear Bets podcast.

0:26

He should have bet more podcasts. List goes

0:28

on and on. He is a great wealth

0:30

of information and he's gonna be joining me

0:32

to share with us what he's all noticed in the

0:34

first month of the season, just how truly

0:37

bad so of these teams are in

0:39

terms of the Chicago White, Soxy Colrad

0:42

Rockies, and when he said he's looking to fade

0:44

them. And then we're gonna be diving in on a few

0:46

games for Friday with him in the final segment, Gonna

0:48

get you guys picks in analysis on every game on

0:50

the betting board for this Baseball Friday,

0:53

as we touch them all. If you do have a question comment

0:55

segment idea what have you for this podcast? You have one

0:57

of two ways we have far those in. First one is my Twitter's

1:00

timeline at you and under forty one. Keep

1:02

in mind letters ZM they mean does on matters, so as prett

1:04

usual, please send these into the timeline. And the

1:06

other way to find an Apple podcast review. If you rate

1:08

this podcast five start said is very much appreciated.

1:10

From there, you're able to fire in whatever you'd like to hear

1:12

on this podcast via that five star review and did

1:15

not get in any Twitter slash x questions

1:17

today. But we had a fun day of baseball on

1:19

Thursday. Let's take a look back at it, try to find

1:21

some druns and try to get to know these teams a little

1:23

bit better.

1:24

Games were yesterday?

1:25

Is Greg buzzing about? Here is the rowdy

1:27

recap. The Cleveland Guardians

1:29

have been your second best team the over thus far the

1:31

season. Only Baltimore has had a higher

1:33

percentage of their games go over the total end. For

1:35

the Cleveland, they slug their way to victory

1:38

once again, six to four. They take down the Boston

1:40

Red Sox as Jase Anderson got the start

1:42

and that was not a good idea. He

1:44

got five outs and he gave up five runs, all of which

1:46

were earned, including a pair of home runs. Well, Brandon,

1:48

it started home runs season. Then Jose Ramirez,

1:51

he's able to get his fifth.

1:52

From there.

1:52

The bullpen was actually really good. You had Chris

1:54

Martin give up an under and run in an nning. But Kenny

1:56

Jansen, Greg why is there? They both supply a score of

1:58

sending. Got Brandon Burton, they needn't give you four outside

2:01

of the bullpen Squirrels and Cam Boozer

2:03

he was able to come in for two scoreless settings.

2:05

And for Cleveland, he saw Tristan

2:07

McKenzie not be long for this game as well.

2:09

He gets seven strikeouts in four innings, but allows two

2:11

runs along the way. From there, Tim Aaron Avont,

2:14

Hunter Gaddis combined for three outside of the bullpen Squirrels.

2:16

He did have Nick Samlin act up a little bit. Cleveland

2:19

a top three team. It turns bullpenning right, so a little

2:21

bit on characteristic gives up two runs in his enning

2:23

of work. But Scott Barlow, Emanuel class

2:25

A, cade Smith, they're all able to supply a score

2:27

of setting. So Cleveland finds way to be able to get the

2:29

job done it For Cleveland on the run line,

2:31

they're now eighteen and seven this year.

2:33

That is the best mark in all of baseball. The

2:36

team with the worst mark in all baseball on the run

2:38

line is actually a tie. The Miami Marlins are nine

2:40

and seventeen with that regard. They were not in

2:42

action on Thursday, but the Easton Astros

2:45

were and they failed to cover their online once again.

2:47

They lose the chicag Cubs three to one, and the

2:49

Astros are now seven and nineteen.

2:52

To begin the season, Justin Erlander got

2:54

into some sticky situations four walks,

2:56

three it's allowed in four to third innings, but doesn't

2:59

give up anything. Rafao Monteto looked

3:01

more like Rafael Mounteto. Bull gives up two

3:03

runs in an enning. Brian Brady, who gives up a

3:05

run, a solo run, and one in two thirds indsays

3:08

he was taken deep for home run number

3:10

one of the season by one Pete

3:12

Crow Armstrong and then from

3:14

there for the Eastern Aswers he had coming in for an

3:17

enning, Seth Martinez scoreless, but nothing

3:19

doing for the Eastern Astros bats in this one. As

3:21

Ave had Asad gives up one run in five

3:23

to two thirds innings. Hayden Wizenetski to in

3:25

the third d scoreless. Hea'son saw it as a long reliever

3:27

thus far, and ectoran Ais, the former Asterro

3:30

closes the door with a scoreless

3:32

inning. You saw the Kan City Royal

3:34

saying a game that only lasted

3:36

a grand total five endings get the job done

3:38

two to one. This was a game that was called

3:40

after the top of the sixth innings,

3:42

so this is one where if you bet the like full

3:45

game run line, if you bet the total, it was

3:47

pretty much a washout in for Rose Bodios,

3:49

not a bad sirt, not an amazing Sir gives up two

3:51

runs at five innings, so he'll allow home run to the Salvador

3:54

Perez seventhrom run season and this

3:56

technically counts as a complete game for

3:58

Cole Reagan's very's leading complete

4:00

game. Either's no way he would have won a full nine hineings,

4:03

but gives up a one run over the course of five innings,

4:05

so the Blue Jays didn't have too much of an

4:07

opportunity to be able to claw their way back. They

4:09

fall in that one and don't look now, but the

4:11

Seattle Manors have now won three straight

4:14

series. They're able to get a win over the Texas

4:16

Rangers by account of four to three. As for

4:18

the Rangers, they've been a little bit cold with their offense

4:20

and for Luis Casio Is a rough start to the

4:22

season and he did a lot of pair of home runs in

4:24

this one, but gives up two so home runs over the course of

4:27

his six innings end.

4:28

For Texas, you.

4:29

Had Nathaniel Low get Low for his

4:31

first home run in the campaign, and then Josh Smith

4:33

is able to get his first of the campaign, but Andrew

4:35

Heeney also gave up a pair of home runs four

4:37

runs in total though over the course of the sixth inning, says

4:40

Luis. Jodi Is gets his second old run season

4:42

and Ty France more like win France home

4:44

run number one of the campaign. For him, Josh

4:46

the boards was able to give you a score a setting cold win. He

4:48

was able to complete two scorers as well, and for Seattle

4:51

Bill pended their part as well Ryan Stanek gapes

4:53

Byer. They combined for a two innings. Stany

4:55

does give up an unurned run, but they're able

4:57

to hold down the four and then Andre's Munnos score

5:00

setting to be able to get a save for them. Our

5:02

DK network right up streak is now four.

5:04

I had the over and Brewers versus Pirates

5:07

not a sweat. The Brewers by themselves

5:09

score seven runs seven to five. They

5:11

get the job done in the Brewers fourteen overs to ten hundreds.

5:13

As far this season though, has been cooling down a little

5:15

bit more recently, but what it has been hot has been

5:18

William Cantrez home run number five

5:20

of the season that comes off of Mitch Keller, who

5:22

gave you another not so great start, four runs surrendered

5:24

over the course of five innings, and then Aralda Schadman

5:27

came into the eighth inning with the lead and he left without

5:29

one. Gave up two runs at an ning, including a

5:31

home run home run number three of the season for

5:33

Gary Sanchez. From there, you did have a doonc Canterras

5:36

give up a run in an nning You did have right Ryan

5:38

Conner Holderman both be able to spy it

5:40

can my two score of settings say Joey bart

5:42

does go deep in this one, that off of Freddy Peralta's

5:45

third home run season. As for Peralta, by far

5:47

as most rough start of the season, gives up five

5:49

walks five runs in four and two thirds endings. But this

5:51

Brewers bullpen at his back enter ur

5:53

Rebaate, Jered Coning, Joe Piumps,

5:55

Trevor McGill all into squirrel setting, and

5:58

Hoby Milner not out of the bullpen. So the

6:00

Brewers now find themselves at sixteen

6:02

to eight, towards the top of the National League. As

6:04

right now it's the LA Dodgers. They complete

6:06

a sweep of the Washington Nationals. Now, we'll

6:08

say this for the LA Dodgers, you had

6:11

them being able to supply two hundred and twenty

6:13

seven regular season wins since he started the

6:15

twenty twenty two campaign. This was just

6:18

the thirty sixth that came by one run, two

6:20

to one. The final is Dashiobo Yamamoto

6:23

was tremendous in this one, six squirrels setting,

6:25

seven punch outs from there Alex Vesia, he

6:27

was able to sply a squirrel setting, as was seven Phillips.

6:30

He did have Danny Hudson allow run in his

6:32

unning. A workout for the Dodgers. They go just one of ten

6:34

with men in scoring position, but Das Gernandez's

6:36

home run off of Mackenzie Gore just

6:39

enough in this one, his sixth of the campaign. For Gore takes

6:41

a loss, even though he pitched quite well, gave up just one run

6:43

over the course of six innings. Did have Jordan Weems

6:46

give up a run in an uning, but Jacob Barnes Kyle

6:48

Finagan, they're both able to supply a squirrels

6:50

setting of their own end. For the Cotrade Rockies,

6:52

they had scored two runs for fewer in five

6:54

other last six games at Corus Field, but

6:57

they come up with a six spot to stun

6:59

the San Diego Patters ten to nine

7:01

the final as the potteris entered into the bottom

7:03

of the eighth, ending up by account of nine to four. And if

7:05

you like me at the Potters, this was just

7:08

a complete gup punch. As for Randy

7:10

Vasquez, he gets lit up. He gives up four runs

7:12

to two and two thirds innings, including home run going

7:14

deep for the Colrad Rockies Aliarius Monteto

7:17

his first home run season.

7:18

Then later on.

7:19

You'd have the good Man and Hunter Goodman

7:21

his first home run in the campaign that comes off of

7:23

Jantie Peralta. Really yacked this one away,

7:26

got one out, gave up four runs, all of which earned.

7:28

Yuki Matsui gives up two runs at a nighting,

7:30

but at Johnny Brito actually give you a two and

7:32

a third ning squirrels and you did. Ol Santos

7:34

far As out of the bullpen squirrees and Stephen Kolok

7:36

he gets it out of his own and for to go to Hudson.

7:39

This was not a start that went as playing haws and

7:41

Kim to compete deep for his fourth home run

7:43

the campaign. Hudson gives up six runs

7:45

and three in the third innings, but bullpen from there

7:47

wasn't bad. Nickmeers does give up two runs.

7:49

It is ending work giving up home run two. E Rickson

7:51

profar his third home run the campaign, but Peter

7:54

Lambert two and two thirds inning squirrels. Darth

7:56

Kinley gives up a run and is ending work by

7:58

Justin Lawrence, he's able to shut the door give

8:00

you a scrorel of sign atennings. So the Rockies they

8:03

are now up to seven and nineteen

8:05

on the season, which is not great, but that's

8:08

actually tied with Easton Astro saying it's a whole

8:10

a lot better than being three and twenty

8:12

two. Like the Chicago White Sox are six

8:14

to three. The Twins are able to pound the Chicago

8:17

White Sox as Mike Soroka actually

8:19

did not lend the world's worst startier. He gives up

8:21

two runs over the course of five innings for a White Sox

8:23

standards, that's a gold star for him,

8:25

as he did allow a pair of home runs. Ran

8:27

Jeffers gets his fourth home run in the campaign, and

8:29

then you saw Edward Julien get home run

8:32

number six of the season. Then he gets home run

8:34

number seven off of John brebbi Az.

8:36

He also had Steven Wilson give up a pair of home runs,

8:38

Ose Miranda second home run season, and Carlos

8:40

Santana gets his first home runs the campaign.

8:43

As for Wilson, he gives up two solime runs.

8:45

It is ending the work. John Brebbia gives up his Holme

8:47

run. It is ending the work. And Tanner Banks he

8:50

came out of the bullpen, did not get a single out and he

8:52

gave up a run that is not tremendous and

8:54

that left Jordan Leisure to clean

8:56

up his mess. He was able to spy a squirrel

8:58

of sending in for the the Chicago White

9:01

Sox. They strained twelve men on base

9:03

in this one, as he had Simeon Woods

9:05

Richardson come in as a young gun, and

9:07

he gives up two runs over the course of five innings, which

9:09

against the White Sox is honestly not that great. And Stephen

9:11

o' kurt was hurt by a fielding air by Carlos

9:14

Santana. You gave up an under a run. It is one

9:16

third of an ending. But Cole Sands Brox surt,

9:18

Cale thielbar all Indo squirrel setting and Griffin

9:20

Jackson gets jacks up. He is able to provide

9:23

a pair of outs out the bullpen squirrels to be able to get that

9:25

one to the window. Speaking of scoreless,

9:27

that was the Reds on a Thursday.

9:29

They were held scoreless by the Philadelphia Phillies five

9:31

to zero. Zach Wheeland and DeLand.

9:33

Wheeler was wheeling and deal and he did give up

9:36

four walks, but six squirrel of sennings eight strikeouts.

9:38

Odeon ker King along with Jeff Hoffman, they

9:40

combined him for three squirrel of stnings. And Bryce

9:42

Harper off a paternity leave, he gets home run

9:45

ner for five of the season off a Nick Martinez

9:47

who did not have a good go of it. He gives up

9:49

four runs in the third ending, gives up five to total

9:51

over the course of six innings. From there, Sam Mole

9:53

a squirrel of setting and Buck Farmer two squirrel

9:55

of settings. But the Cincinnati Reds could not

9:57

get anything going on offense. So now it's

9:59

a little bit for them. Man, how about

10:01

the old Oakland A's being able to get

10:03

a win on the money line three to won the final

10:05

and north of two dollars. Alex would delivered

10:08

solo home run allowed by him in five and

10:10

two thirds ends going deep for the New York Yankees

10:12

Ose Travigno.

10:13

He is able to get home.

10:14

Run number two of the campaign, but his

10:16

A team is a top eight team in terms of Bullpenny

10:19

Ray get Austin Adams along with t J

10:21

McFarland combined for a scorel of senning.

10:23

Mason Miller gets the final four outs of the game

10:25

scoreless, punching out three, and the Lucas

10:28

ersag He was able to get a score setting of his own name.

10:30

The Oakland A's right now lead the Big

10:32

leagues in terms of home runs on the road, and

10:34

they got a pair of Tyler Nevian home run number

10:36

one the season off of Nesser Cortes, and then home

10:38

run number one for Nick Allen, also off

10:41

of Cortes, who allows those two home runs

10:43

three runs to total, of course in seven innings. Then at

10:45

Santana Victor Gonzalez both land a scorel

10:47

of setning. But for the New York Yankees, they

10:49

s trend eleven men on base

10:52

and that turned out to be the biggest bugaboo

10:54

for them. And if you're looking at baseball right now,

10:56

we've seen more unders and overs this season

10:58

after a very overwhelmed start to the season,

11:01

thanks fire out a little bit more, as we've seen one

11:03

r and eighty nine unders to one hundred and seventy seven

11:05

overs. That's a fifty one point six percent rate

11:07

to the under road teams have continued to be hot,

11:10

but they're starting to cool down a little bit, one ninety four

11:12

and one eighty seven on the money line. Well, favorites

11:14

overall hitting at fifty nine point two percent on the money

11:16

line two twenty three and one fifty four. And if you're

11:18

looking at the last seven days in baseball, about

11:20

that rate for favorites fifty seven and thirty

11:22

nine, that's fifty nine point four percent, while

11:25

home teams have hit nearly fifty four nine

11:27

percent fifty three and forty four. And the unders

11:29

well, they have been coming through the last few days

11:31

fifty one unders, thirty nine overs

11:34

and we've had about six pushes

11:36

along the way as well, So fifty six point seven

11:38

percent rate to the under over last seven days.

11:40

So that's what we saw in baseball on Thursday,

11:42

and that's where we're getting trend wise. Coming next,

11:44

let's take a look at Friday's games and so takeaways

11:47

from the first month of the season with willho who

11:49

does amazing work here vsent along with

11:51

the should have had more podcasts. He joins me next

11:53

like he're on the Beatsball. Then he shows myself Gay Peter

11:55

said, now Apartment six.

11:56

Family of nine.

11:57

Yes, breaking

12:00

down every game every day in Major League

12:03

Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting

12:05

Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

12:09

Coming back you love you, Las Vegas for the Baseball

12:11

Betting Show with myself Greg Peterson

12:13

now part of the Deacon Family podcast. Always

12:15

great to be joined by this man. As we're

12:17

being joined by Will Hill. He does absolutely

12:20

amazing work here at the network taking

12:22

a look at so many different things. I know that

12:24

he is an ace when it comes to taking a look at

12:27

the great game of football. On top of that,

12:29

he does such a good job of being

12:31

able to decipher what we're all getting on the baseball

12:33

front, when it comes to everything

12:35

with regards the NBA playoffs, he's great

12:38

there and he much like myself has

12:40

been in the college Basketball Invitational

12:42

at Circuit puts on, you're in and you're out as well.

12:44

You're able to fall him on Twitter slishticks at

12:47

not the with two e's on the

12:49

back half of that will hill all together

12:51

and will always great to be able to get you board.

12:53

Thank you, Oops, what's going on?

12:55

We are recording this right before

12:57

the NFL Draft, so this time by the time people listen

12:59

to this, I will be.

13:00

Rich, poor, or somewhere in between.

13:03

What's going on? Thanks for having me?

13:04

Well, what is going on is we've had a nice

13:06

first month of the baseball season.

13:09

I allocated a little bit of that time

13:11

from the NFL Draft to the baseball

13:13

front and it's been so good. So it's

13:15

been so far, so good there for me

13:18

and what I've been noticing, and I feel like

13:20

we talked about this about a month or so ago,

13:22

we were expecting some teams to be absolutely awful,

13:24

and you came on the show and you were talking

13:26

about how the Rockies look like they're probably gonna

13:28

be the worst team in all of baseball, and I

13:30

think that that was a good take by you. But little

13:33

did we know that the Chicago White Sox we're

13:35

gonna get off to a historically bad start

13:37

to the season. And I just want to get your thoughts

13:39

on that to start things out, because I

13:41

feel like the divide between these bottom

13:44

two three teams, looking at you, White

13:46

Sox, Rockies to a little bit of a lesser

13:48

extent than Miami Marlins, I feel like

13:50

the divide between those three teams and the

13:52

rest of the league is bigger than what we've

13:54

ever seen for bottom feeders before.

13:56

Yeah, it's such a good point. I think we came into the season

13:58

where.

13:59

I think it was the A's, the Rockies, and the White

14:01

Sox gonna put those three teams in the same

14:03

bucket, and that was going to be the competition

14:06

barring something unforeseen for the worst team, and.

14:08

A's have actually shown some pieces. You know, Blackbird's

14:11

pretty good, Miller's pretty good.

14:12

At the end of effort.

14:13

They're giving you an effort. You can see the pieces

14:15

there. You could see like the breadcrumbs of a of

14:17

a competitive team. They're improving

14:20

Rockies competitive at home. They win a game here there.

14:22

The White Sox are just awful. It's

14:24

almost what's the right word, It's almost

14:27

the opposite effect of like just betting on Yukon

14:29

every time, where it's so simple, so easy, you know what,

14:31

It doesn't make for great content with Hey, just bet Yukon.

14:33

They cover every spread in the tournament. It's almost

14:35

the opposite just bet against the White Sox

14:37

every time.

14:38

Run line, money line. I haven't done it enough.

14:40

I've done it here and there. I feel like, boy, you

14:42

do I want to lay this? Do I want to lay that?

14:44

It's if you're laying it, you're doing okay. You

14:46

know the old saying in baseball, you're gonna win to throw your games Luther

14:48

third of your games. It's the other third that make it up.

14:50

These teams.

14:50

I know the A's had the one of these starts last year look like

14:53

historically bad. Then they actually showed a little

14:55

life or forget what they finished in terms of win I don't know,

14:57

Like what is Here's a good question. What is

14:59

the Whites record like on June

15:01

first? Are they gonna have double digit

15:03

wins in June?

15:04

Like? What kind of record are we looking at here?

15:06

I know DraftKings is good about hanging up these

15:09

season win totals over under for wins every

15:11

day. It's just it's hard to imagine

15:13

that team winning fifty games. I

15:15

had a bet on the Rockies for the worst record. That's

15:17

pretty much dead. All these bets are dead. The run the White

15:19

Sox are just awful. You know, it's not that long ago they

15:21

were pretty There

15:24

were optimism, yeah exactly,

15:26

they and people blamed Larusa, but they were in the playoffs

15:28

a couple of years. They had the Seeds whorre. Look, hey, this could

15:31

be like the next Astros, the young talent of Bray

15:33

You, Jimenez, Robert.

15:34

It is just completely fallen off the rails.

15:37

It's amazing.

15:37

Yeah, I have never seen anything quite like it.

15:40

They're everything about two point three

15:42

runs per game right now. It's just

15:44

like, you gotta be kidding me. But you can't

15:46

always automatically take the under as well, because

15:49

they might give up that run total all by

15:51

themselves because they've got so many Schlubs

15:53

pitching for them as well, so not as

15:55

many things. Very difficult to say. Listen,

15:57

I'm gonna go out here on a limit, say that one

16:00

of your plays for Friday is not gonna

16:02

be the White Sox money lineup plus one eighty

16:04

five against the Tampa Bay Rays, where again

16:06

it's tricky with this total. It's between eight and

16:08

eight and a half. And I think that that's the real difficult

16:11

part about betting these White Sox games,

16:13

because I mean, you know, really really

16:15

really have to like the White Sox and you have to get

16:17

a just InOrbit number to even

16:19

consider them in terms of money line or

16:21

a run line. But when it comes to these totals,

16:24

it's just all about can the White Sox

16:26

give you like two to three runs to be able to push the

16:28

total over because you know that they're pitching

16:30

is gonna suck, and you know that this offense

16:32

is historically pad.

16:34

Yeah, I mean, maybe you just sprinkle you unit and you

16:36

divide it up. They're opponent on the money line, they're opponenting

16:38

on the run line, and you take the White Sox team total

16:40

under. Again, eventually nothing lasts forever betting.

16:42

That's the unfortunate thing where any sort of trend,

16:45

any sort of profitable thing, like the books, eventually catch

16:47

on and price out. But in baseball, if you're not

16:49

winning, there's not so much you can do. It's not like in football where you

16:51

can just make the spread, you know, seventeen and a half, eighteen

16:53

and a half, nineteen a half, and eventually you just cover those numbers.

16:55

In baseball, if you're not winning, not mining, it doesn't if you're not winning

16:57

it, you're not winning.

16:57

It doesn't matter. If the money line is honest dred

17:00

minus three hundred.

17:00

Minus four hundred. Okay, they might be overpricing it. But

17:03

if you don't win, you don't win. It's just a different

17:05

approach. That's what makes baseball betting so different.

17:07

So, yeah, White Sox teams total under, Maybe just

17:09

fade them on the money line, the run line,

17:11

and maybe we're just overthinking it.

17:13

Have you done that? Let me ask you. Have you done that enough?

17:15

Have you done that often? Are you onto this trend?

17:17

Oh?

17:17

I am just operation fade the Chicago

17:20

White Sox. I got one nice cash

17:22

when Garret Crochet was going up against the Atlanta

17:24

Braves. I gave them a little bit

17:26

of love, and like the first week and half thinking

17:29

oh, there's no way these guys could

17:31

be that bad. But once Luis Robert hit

17:33

the injured list, it's like, man, let's

17:36

look around, and they've got absolutely

17:38

nothing whatsoever. So that really

17:41

put the caibage on that. So

17:43

I just take a look around right now, and I'm

17:45

just not able to do it with the Chicago

17:47

White Sox.

17:48

It's just full on fade mode. And so far,

17:50

so good on that front for me.

17:52

Yeah, it's a good movee. I remember the game you're talking about was a midweek

17:54

game, was early in the season, Crochet against the Braves, and Crochet

17:56

was really impressive. I know some people were text me that was right around

17:58

when all his pictures start to get hurt. Bieber

18:01

and a bunch of the guys. Cole was outs like, man, it could Crochet

18:03

be a nice little, you know, cy young sleeper

18:05

and he hasn't even pitched fall lately, so and again it's

18:07

hard to think about. But when July comes, not that

18:09

there's anybody you want from the team, but the team's gonna get even

18:11

worse. They're gonna trade off anybody with a pole. So I

18:14

don't know what direction it's going. I don't know who the projected

18:16

number one pick in the draft is going to be, but they're gonna have it.

18:18

Yeah, they certainly are going to It's joined

18:21

me on the show.

18:21

We do have Will Hill. He does great work here

18:24

at Vison.

18:24

Joined me on the Baseball Betting Show, and it

18:26

has been interesting to take a look at what we've all gotten

18:28

in the first month or so of the season. We talked

18:30

about the syncitude of the White Sox, but

18:33

has there been anything else has really stood out to you, whether

18:35

that be a team, whether that be a pitcher, or

18:37

just a little bit of a betting trend that you've been able to make some

18:40

money off of.

18:40

I think the story is and they're not buried

18:42

because of the rest of the division, which is a balanced division.

18:45

How about the Astros being seven and nineteen.

18:47

I mean, we talk about the White Sox only having three wins, the

18:49

Astros only have four more, which I

18:51

mean this is an Astro team that has lived in the ALCS,

18:53

the World Series.

18:54

It seems like.

18:55

Every time you turn the game on, if

18:57

you miss the first like ten minutes of a game, they're

18:59

down to nothing, down three. It feel like they give him two or three

19:01

runs in the first inning every single game.

19:03

I know Verliner was decent. When he came out of the

19:05

game, the bullpen gave it up. They always scored one

19:07

run.

19:08

I don't know.

19:08

It's always dangerous to count them out. And again they're

19:11

only six seven games behind Seattle Texas,

19:13

where they're lucky because you know, what's

19:15

the old saying. You can't win a pennant in April,

19:17

but you can certainly lose it. If one of these teams, like Seattle

19:20

or Texas was instead of thirteen

19:22

and thirteen, if they were eighteen

19:25

and eight, you pretty much be done. Ten eleven games

19:27

out this early, you're done. But the fact that

19:29

there are only six seven games out with

19:31

all this time left, if they can get some of these pitchers back,

19:33

maybe they can make a run. But I think the Astros being

19:35

this bad is really really shocking it. Maybe

19:38

this is just the year where they don't fire him and they've been so good

19:40

for so long. Maybe this is just the year where they don't have the pitching

19:42

and they just kind of need to take a gap year and reset.

19:44

And the Mets too.

19:44

The Mets are an interesting story where they were on five and

19:47

Everyone loves to make fun of the Mets, the lol Mets,

19:49

and you know they can be a punchline for a variety

19:51

of different reasons. But they've played well. I thought they'd

19:53

hit.

19:53

Now.

19:54

It's too bad they are going to lose Alvarez for as

19:56

much time because he is a dynamic, young offensive

19:58

player. Got to catch a deck in hit like that and he

20:00

tears the thumb. That's a good offense. With Alonso

20:03

in landor in Nimo. I mean, you just go down one.

20:05

Even Marte and McNeil veterans that give you good at

20:07

bats, that's not a bad offense. The starting pitching

20:10

has been decent. Severino had a bad start last

20:12

time against San Franio, as bad his first time against Milwaukee.

20:14

But he's throw on the ball, o k. They've got some arms in the bullpen,

20:16

so I have them under eighty two and a half. But I don't know,

20:18

is it impossible the Mets compete for like eighty

20:20

four eighty five wins that are in the mix for that final wildcard

20:23

spot. I don't think it is. So Mets are probably

20:25

surprising a little bit. And you know one last one

20:27

too, the Dodgers, and here there were only two games over five hundred

20:29

a few days ago.

20:30

What's wrong with them?

20:31

They're not pitching? Well, well, they just swept

20:33

the Nationals. They're up to five games over. They're

20:35

going to go on to the run. I don't I don't worry about the Dodgers.

20:37

I know people questioning whether they win the division?

20:39

Can somebody else steal it? I mean, they're going to be ten

20:42

games ahead of everybody before you bling, So

20:44

the last team I'd worry about is the Dodgers, at least in the regular

20:46

season October different story. Nobody

20:48

can guarantee anything, but the Dodgers eventually will pull away

20:50

in that division at some point.

20:51

Yep.

20:51

I do agree with you on the Elliot Dodgers, and even

20:54

the first month of the season last year. I remember

20:56

the Eli Dodgers were losing games of the Pittsburgh

20:58

by rates. Were they gave it that the Pirates

21:00

might be able to ascend the Dodgers might be on

21:02

the dcline and hold the Dodgers.

21:05

They went on their plus game, so they're gonna

21:07

be fine that. I do have a few trepidations with the guy

21:09

that's going to be going on Friday in Garrett

21:11

soon he's going to be going up against Chris Bassett

21:13

of the Toronto Blue Jays, And that's something

21:15

else that stood.

21:16

Out to me.

21:17

The Blue Jays just have not hit to save their

21:19

lives. They don't have the world's worst

21:21

record as of right now. Right now, you'll find

21:24

them as a home underdog about plus one oh five

21:26

with a total of nine. But how do

21:28

you take a look at this Blue Jays team where Chris

21:30

Bassett, you want to back them at home in

21:32

my opinion, you want to fade them on the road. Is

21:34

he's got big giants splits. But it's a Blue

21:37

Jays team that I just look at

21:39

right now and I just have to sit here and say,

21:41

maybe we just overrated some of these bats for the

21:43

last few years because it just has not come around

21:45

for them.

21:46

They're always a team that just makes you feel

21:48

like they're underachieving. You always want a little more

21:50

from them, whether it's the past postseason they lost

21:52

that bad series to Seattle, they lost in the Minnesota

21:54

Series last year. Again it's a small two out of three

21:56

sample size, but they just always

21:58

leave you wanting a little more. They just, for whatever

22:01

reason, they seem to underachieve. I'm trying to think of a different

22:03

sport we can compare. I don't know if it's fair comparing

22:05

like the Chargers wherever.

22:06

You just want to believe.

22:07

You see the names on the paper, you see

22:09

the roster, and it's a lot of guys you want in your fantasy

22:11

team. It just doesn't whatever reason, translate

22:14

to wins. So I agree with you. I mean, it's a two team

22:16

races, and a really good two team race, the Yankees

22:18

and the Ools for that division, because I don't think either

22:20

team's gonna pull away from the other end.

22:22

Injuries can change that.

22:23

But the Yankees look poised for upper nineties,

22:25

mid nineties, upper nineties and wins oriels the same

22:27

thing. Where now, obviously a lot will

22:30

depend on those teams what they do head

22:32

to head. But to me, Baltimore New York a gonna separate

22:34

themselves from the pack and they're going to go toe to toe down

22:36

to the wire for the Sale East.

22:37

And I do want to get your thoughts on the New York

22:39

Yankees, as Will Hilly does amazing work

22:42

here at Vison, is showing to me right here on

22:44

the Baseball Betting Show, because for the

22:46

Yankees, they've got on the mound. One of the more

22:48

intriguing pitching prospects in my opinion

22:50

and all of baseball. Luis el He's

22:53

got great swinging miss office

22:55

boy. Oh boy, if he could command, we

22:57

be really looking at something. He's on bump

23:00

for the Yankees going up against Colin Ray of the Brewers,

23:02

and Brewers are a slight underdog between plus

23:04

one h two to a plus one ten. But I want to get

23:06

your thoughts on this game just because with il,

23:09

like I said, if he could find a way

23:11

to be able to just reduce on some of those

23:13

walks, he could be a really dominant

23:15

pitcher. But I've got my in trepidations as

23:17

of right now backing him because you

23:19

could see Luis Io go out there give you

23:21

like ten strikeouts but only get like

23:24

twelve total outs because he knocks himself

23:26

out by jacking up his pitch down and giving up

23:28

all those walks.

23:28

Yeah, he's hard to trust.

23:29

I don't know.

23:30

Is there a way to play this on the props? I'm not sure how many props

23:32

you play in. There are so many.

23:34

I know not as much in Vegas, but if you look at the DraftKings

23:36

of the FANDO, there are so many ways

23:38

to attack these games over under

23:40

for hits, strikeouts and bases

23:43

runs plus RBIs, pitches.

23:45

I mean, if you can think of it, there's a bet on.

23:46

I mean you're a little younger than me, but I remember growing up

23:49

you could bet on the side of the total and if you want

23:51

to run and a half or one and a half or whatever, there was

23:53

like three ways to bet it. Now there are hundreds,

23:55

hundreds and hundreds of ways to bet every

23:58

single game.

23:59

So it's honestly a.

24:01

Little overwhelming where it's just so much

24:03

the handicap just even within one game. But

24:05

yeah, we lean towards the Yankees. There's some bedability

24:07

in terms of like heal under outs,

24:10

over walks, under strikeouts, figuring the pitch count go

24:12

up, although that's dangerous because like you said, he does have lights

24:14

out stuff. But just the Yankees in general, I mean they are

24:16

obviously vastly improved on offense, much

24:18

more balanced, not just Soto, which is

24:21

gonna improve any team, but fordu Goo just

24:23

more left handed uni left handed power in

24:25

Yankee Stadium. They're more athletic with the guys like Volpey

24:27

Cabrera. It's just it's a more balanced team in past years

24:30

they've been so right handed, so slow,

24:32

or they strike out a lot a lot of double plays when

24:34

you have a lot of right handed hitters that are those

24:37

are guys that are just gonna hit into double double

24:39

plays, you know, by nature. So Judge

24:41

hasn't even gotten going and they've played well. So pitching

24:43

isn't great, the defense isn't great. I like

24:45

the bullpen to miss a few more bats.

24:47

But Yankees aren't good Jae Yankees are headed for mid nineties,

24:50

upper nineties and win. It's a much improved team.

24:51

Yep, they certainly are improved. And they're

24:54

doing this with Aaron Judge hitting below the

24:56

Medo's line of two hundred as well.

24:57

And you know.

24:58

Cole, I mean Judge and Cole Kry the team last

25:00

year and Judge's giving them nothing and Cole Cole's giving

25:02

them literally nothing, and they're still doing what they're doing.

25:04

That's the exciting part.

25:05

Yeah, And you know that sooner rather than later

25:07

things are going to be able to improve on that front

25:10

as well.

25:10

And then will is.

25:11

There anything else that you're going to be taking a look at

25:13

in terms of a Friday card, whether that's going to be

25:15

a bet that you're going to be placing, or maybe

25:17

it's not even a bet that you're gonna be placing, but you

25:19

just want to see a little bit more of a team, a little

25:22

bit more of a pitcher, because you're having a little

25:24

bit of a tough time to decide for what they truly are.

25:26

Yeah, we do get a day game on Friday, and there should be

25:28

a law that there's a day game, not

25:30

just every.

25:30

Day, but Friday especially.

25:31

I should balance the schedule a little bit more, in my opinion,

25:33

you have too many of these days where there's just no day games.

25:35

It tryes you crazy.

25:36

The baseball schedule, especially Saturday.

25:39

Sometimes the games will start till four or whatever. They cluster

25:41

everything together makes no sense. Logo and

25:43

Olsen going during the day over unders

25:45

eight, So you're probably looking at like a four. You

25:47

might get a four and a half in terms of the first five.

25:50

If you can get a four and a half, I would probably look towards and under

25:52

Lugo has got good numbers.

25:53

I like Olsen stuff.

25:54

So interesting matchup between the

25:57

Royals and the Tigers, so first five hundred is probably

25:59

one.

25:59

I will play there.

26:00

I'll probably play Imanaga going for the

26:02

Cubs. That's a fun matchup the Cubs in Wrigley.

26:04

I do miss when interleague

26:06

wasn't year round. I feel like it was a little more special when

26:08

it was just one or two weeks here, one or two weeks

26:10

there. The rules were different where the pitchers would

26:13

have to hit in National League parks. It's been watered

26:16

down a little bit. Rules are the same, but that's still a fun matchup.

26:18

I would look towards the Cubs, although Crawford

26:20

has thrown the ball extremely well for Boston, so

26:22

Cubs first five under in

26:24

Tigers Royals spout it, I don't know

26:26

that looks a little high with Braves and in Guardians.

26:29

Braves have hit their stride here, really played well.

26:31

And for those of us that with bets on who's gonna

26:33

have the most wins by the end of April.

26:35

This is a huge series.

26:36

Guardians and Braves toe to toe with each other

26:39

as we get down the stretch. So those

26:41

are games I'm looking at. Red's Rangers is another fun

26:43

interleague series. We might we might see some runs

26:45

there. Yankees Broce so we got some good interleague

26:47

series. So Mariner's Diving Backs is a fun one. So

26:49

for whatever reason, we have a ton of Interleague NOLA

26:51

laying minus one fifteen against Musroe.

26:53

I might bet Philly. So those are a few of that I'm looking at.

26:55

Yep, there's gonna be a lot of intrigue with the

26:57

Guards of Friday, and then on Saturday we get

27:00

the series entre Mexico City between

27:02

the Astros and the Rockies, which, boy,

27:04

you've got two teams that have been very rough to say

27:07

at least, perhaps a trick to Mexico City,

27:09

where you're playing pretty much playing on the moon

27:11

is going to be able to get them going. But we've always

27:14

got you going. Will you do an amazing job

27:16

on so many different front crvsin taking

27:18

a look at the great game of baseball, But on

27:20

top of that, you did tremendous work with the Guards

27:22

to our NFL draft coverage. I know you're doing

27:24

an amazing job taking a look at the NBA playoffs

27:26

as well. So I love to get people at home. No, it's

27:28

all on that for you and how people can follow on on social

27:31

media and other platforms.

27:32

Yep, check out my podcast should have been more podcast

27:34

three times a week and I'm on Vson

27:37

throughout the week. Lombardy Line, a numbers

27:39

game, Bare Bets Podcast, Fox Goldboys

27:41

Discord. So I'm around at

27:43

nat Will Hill on Twitter, so oops, appreciate

27:46

you having me on. Glad we could finally connect

27:48

and hopefully we'll do this again soon.

27:49

Absolutely Will is a man that wears

27:52

like thirty seven different ats and yet he

27:54

wears them also well, does a great job on

27:56

sby different fronts, and it's always.

27:57

Great to be able to get him a board on the show.

27:59

Big thanks a Will for joining me right here on The Baseball

28:01

Betting Show now part of the Vson Family of podcasts

28:03

and coming in next It is head time of the podcast.

28:05

They give you picks it analysis on.

28:07

Every game on the betting board for this Baseball

28:09

Friday as we got them.

28:10

All, breaking

28:14

down every game every day in Major League

28:16

Baseball. This is the Baseball Betting

28:18

Show. Here is your host, Greg Peterson.

28:22

Ever break you're lovely Las Vegas for the Baseball

28:25

Betting Shoe with myself Greg Peterson,

28:27

now part of the Vson Family of podcasts. It is

28:29

always pleasure to be joined by Will. It

28:31

does great work here at the network. Along

28:33

with that the Para Bets podcast. He

28:36

should have got more podcasts. He's got

28:38

like thirty seven different ventures going

28:40

on. Gold Boys discord list.

28:42

Goes on and on.

28:43

He takes a look at so many different markets and

28:45

yet he does such a good job and all of

28:47

them always a pleasure to be able to get.

28:49

Will board big thanks him for joining me in the last

28:51

segment. Now it is that time of the podcast. They give

28:53

you picks and analysis on every game on the betting

28:55

board for this Baseball Friday, as we touch

28:58

them all.

28:58

If a game is listened on the betting board, Greg

29:01

has a side and a total on it, so it is

29:03

time to touch them all.

29:04

Do you note that, as per usual, any changes there

29:06

made to these plays will be listed up on my Twitter

29:09

slash x feed at you and R forty one. We're

29:11

going to be going in Las Vegas crotation order. This

29:13

is where we go with the Nation leagu games first,

29:15

then the American League games. Any inter league

29:18

games those are going to be at the bottom, and we do

29:20

have quite a few inter league games, so that'll

29:22

keep things all nice, neat, clean and easy.

29:24

So without further ado, let's dive in nine

29:26

to fifty one nine fifty two on Betty Board. The

29:29

Washington Nationals they throw at their facing off against

29:31

the Miami Marlins, a so Sozardo is going to

29:33

be on the bump for the fish ent. Trevor Williams

29:35

goes for Washington Washington and

29:37

between a plus one forty two to a

29:40

plus one fifty two underdogs. Meanwhile any

29:42

were between minus one sixty two minus

29:44

one seventy is the number on Miami. Eight and a half

29:46

is e total the unders minus one fifteen the

29:48

overs minus one oh five. In with the

29:50

Washington Nationals gonna be well and take a shot

29:52

on them, need to at least a plus one forty five

29:55

to be able to do so. Now for Trevor Williams,

29:57

I do think that there's going to be quite a bit of a regression

29:59

come his way, as he has been quite

30:02

fortunate tang the sub three fifty

30:04

era that he has as far this season,

30:06

but has come out there He's been able to do a relatively

30:08

solid job. I'll be able to hold down the Ford end

30:10

for Trevor Williams been more of a pitch of contact

30:12

guy, only getting about sub nass stracouts for

30:15

nine and ennings, but has done a great job keeping

30:17

the ball in the yard thus far. Force starts. He has

30:19

yet to give up a home run. His barrel

30:21

raid herd contact rate, what have you?

30:23

There all the way down and he's been able to do a nice

30:25

job but not giving out a lot of walks, only giving out

30:27

about two and a half walks per nine and Ennings while

30:29

easle Sozarto, he's just been a part

30:31

of a rudderless ship when it comes to the

30:34

Miami Merlin. So it's got really good stuff.

30:36

Came in a sign candidate, and it's very

30:38

clear that he's not going to be living up to those expectations.

30:41

But that said, he's pitch better than his six P fifty

30:43

eighty RA not saying he's pitch amazing. It's fielding

30:45

independent is a five aweight, but should be doing for

30:47

a little bit of positivity. So getting about nine

30:49

to half straightcouts for nine and Nnings, well, he needs to do

30:52

a better job of is being able to just

30:54

really tick down the walks four and a half walks per

30:56

nine and Ennings. That's been an issue throughout his entire

30:58

career. Last year was a little litle bit better at locating

31:01

as I've been able to show that offense far this season

31:03

and goes up against the Watchington National signe

31:05

up that just really hasn't supplied a lot of boom

31:07

outside of the absolutely tremendous start of the

31:10

season that you've gotten out of c. J.

31:11

Abrams.

31:12

He's been able to three hundred, he's been able to fly six

31:14

home runs. They tried to bring in a little bit more

31:16

power. You're bringing Joey gall you bring in

31:18

also Eddie resign On. These two guys of combined

31:20

four home runs and they are both ending

31:23

a buck thirty or lower. Joey Gell literally

31:25

having forty strikeouts in one single

31:28

I don't know that's possible, but it is. You've got

31:30

Jase Winker has been able to give you about a four arm base.

31:32

Has gonna see it for a lot of power, and you do need to

31:34

get a little bit more on some of these guys like a

31:37

Lane Thomas. I know that keep it Rewiez

31:39

has video with injury trade lips, gumb guys

31:41

like this. They do need to kick it up a little

31:43

bit, but it's bying me. Marlins team has really

31:45

had a tough time being able to generate offense as

31:47

well. For the Miami Marlins, now three runs

31:50

are fewer in all but one

31:52

out of their last eight games. And for

31:54

the Fish, you've still been able to have Luise Rice

31:56

be able to move line. He's given you about a three hour batting

31:58

average after a little bit of rough to the season. By

32:01

day the Cruise has been able to supply five home runs

32:03

as well. But Jake Berger being out of the full due

32:05

to injury, that has been not great

32:07

to say the least. And then you were expecting

32:09

more out of guys like in lvcal Guards,

32:11

Sea, Nick Flash Gorda and a sus

32:13

Sanchez. All these guys are supplying less

32:15

than a two eighty five on base. You've got a

32:17

little bit of power out of these guys, but Josh

32:19

Bell hitting up buck eighty that's just unacceptable.

32:22

And for the Miami Marlins, they are completely

32:24

outgunned in the bullpen as well, especially if

32:26

face with Sosado jacks up his pitch count

32:29

needs to be taken out of the game early. There's no

32:31

trusting in this Miami Marlins bullpend whatsoever.

32:34

With Carbaro Zobin as he had to take them out thus

32:36

far this season, Kevin Fauche has honestly

32:38

been okay, but after last year, Andrew Manardi

32:41

Trander Scott. These guys were ultively solid. They've

32:43

taken a big, giant fall out for the Miami Marlands

32:45

twenty fourth in the Big Leagues terms of bullpenny

32:47

ran for the Washington Nationals. Not saying it's amazing,

32:49

but they're more around fifteenth. You've been able to have some

32:51

of these guys, like at Jordan Weems still

32:54

in Floro, be able to hold on the fourth Ali He's on

32:56

my trempidations with Kyle Finnigan, but has

32:58

been too bad in the closer spot than Brian

33:00

Dayla Cruz of offering five home runs for the

33:02

Marlins. Not a lot of upside here, so

33:04

being able to get this big of a plus number to

33:06

fade the Miami Marlins. I am all over that

33:08

with the Washington Nationals on the money line, and it's

33:11

not my total at some point seven, I just flat out think

33:13

that the Miami Marlins are going to continue

33:15

to have a tough time being able to put back to ball. I like

33:17

the under end. I like the Nationals on the money line. I have

33:19

fifty three nine to fifty four on the Betty board. The Saint

33:22

Louis Cardinals are on the road, facing up against

33:24

the New York Mets. Ose Butto is

33:26

on the bump for the Mets, and Miles Michaelis

33:28

is on the bump for Saint Lois. Saint Louis, and betweening

33:30

a plus one fourteen seeing

33:33

soles plus one ten to a plus one eighteen underdog

33:35

and between about minus one twenty five to minus one

33:37

thirty five, that number on the Mets eight is a total

33:39

over and under both that minus one ten and I'm

33:41

gonna be one to lay with the Mets. I set them more around

33:44

a minus one sixty favor with Buttoh,

33:46

he's really been an underrated pitcher.

33:48

He's only thrown sixteen in the third innings

33:50

as far this season, three starts, but I

33:53

mean he's been stillar in these starts. He's getting

33:55

north of ten stray cootsper nine, and he's walks

33:57

are a little bit of an issue. Nine walks in sixteen

34:00

third endings, but he needs one up against

34:02

the Royals, the Tigers and on the road against

34:04

the LA Dodgers, and he's all down the forty's

34:06

gotten at least six strikecoffs, and everyone he

34:08

starts in Saint Louis is just in really bad

34:10

form terms. Their offense, They have generated

34:13

three total home runs in their last ten

34:15

games. Paul Goldschmidt just looks old. He's

34:17

hitting at the Mendoz line of two hundred with just two

34:19

home runs. Noan Gorman has been able to give you four home

34:21

runs. And I will say Wilson guitarist, he's moving

34:23

the line. He and Mason win both give you north of the

34:25

three eighty five on base. But these guys like Jordan

34:27

Walk or Victor Scott, you were

34:30

expecting a lot out of them in the outfield. Both

34:32

of these guys are currently hitting below the buck sixty.

34:34

You just have not been able to get anything whatsoever on Michael

34:37

Sinee as well. Lard's new parts come

34:39

back in the fold en. He's given you a little bit of an on base

34:41

percentage. But on all this Cardinals

34:43

lineup has not been great. Nolan Aronado, he's sitting

34:45

for average at about it two ninety five, but just one

34:48

home run this far the season as well. Meanwhile,

34:50

for the Mets, after that zero to five started, it was looking

34:52

like things were going to be going off the rails.

34:54

But Pete a.

34:54

Lonzo just cats it, bombs three forty

34:56

on base, seven home runs after a miserable

34:58

start to the season, Francis Lindor is up to

35:00

four home runs back hitting above the middles

35:03

lineup two hunder and Jeff McNeil, after he

35:05

had that rough start to the season, over the last two and a half

35:07

weeks, he's hitting above a three inner as well. We've seen

35:09

a fall off with Francisco Alvarets, but on

35:11

all the Mets, they're doing it against right e's and lefties.

35:13

They're able to move the line. And for the Mets,

35:16

is this the world's greatest bullpen? No,

35:18

especially with now having Brooks Raley out of the fold,

35:20

but you do have that guy and Edwin Diaz that's

35:22

able to close the door. You've been able to get some relatively

35:25

solid endings as well out of someone lik a

35:27

Adam on of You know, Drew Smith was a little bit up

35:29

and down last season. He's got some upside. And

35:31

then for the same of those Cardinals. After being twenty

35:33

second in the big leagues in terms of bullpenny area last season,

35:35

they've been a little bit better. Jojo Romero,

35:37

Matthew Lebator, they're providing us up to fifty

35:40

era. Ryan Elsley has been pretty incredible

35:42

in the ninth inning as well. You've got some of

35:44

these guys that they come in like Giovanni Diegos

35:46

and company, that you don't trust. But Andrew Kittrick

35:49

has been a nice ad. Cardinals are in the top half of the big

35:51

leagues with reguards the Bullpenny Arae, so they've done their

35:53

job there. But for Miles Michael was just a

35:55

guy that I want absolutely no part of whatsoever. His

35:57

fielding independent is much lower than as eer,

36:00

but he just gives up so much contact

36:02

that I don't think the fielding depending can

36:04

really account for it. For Michaels, he's given

36:06

up five home runs and twenty six and a third innings as

36:08

far this season. The walks aren't bad, they'll only

36:10

give out about two walks per nine ninnings,

36:12

but he doesn't get any swings of misses whatsoever.

36:15

Has allowed at least five runs and three

36:17

out of his five starts as far this season. I

36:19

think that the Mets get to him. I think they get to him

36:21

pretty good. I think that Buto gives you a good start

36:24

as well, so did somebody till it at eight point two. Here

36:26

at the eight I'm gonna be looking at the over end with the Mets,

36:28

SID set them out of minus one sixty three. Don't

36:30

necessarily want the run line here. I'd rather play

36:32

safe on the money line. You just ever know with some

36:35

of those middle relievers of the Mets. But looking

36:37

at the Mets on the money line and the total over, I'm

36:39

fifty five nine fifty six on the bank board. The San Diego

36:41

Potters playoffs to the Philadelphia Phillies. Aaron

36:44

Nola goes for the Phills and Joe Musgrove

36:46

is on the bump for San Diego. San Diego

36:48

does find themselves as a very slight hole underdog.

36:50

You're gonna be getting them between even money and minus one

36:52

of five, between minus one oh nine

36:55

and minus one fifteen. It s the number on the Phillies

36:57

seven a half is a total over his minus one fifteen.

36:59

The under is minus one oh five for the

37:01

Phills. I made them the underdogo plus

37:03

one twenty one. I'm gonna be one to lay it with the

37:05

San Diego Padres. For Aaron Nola,

37:07

he just has not been a great form

37:09

really on the road in general the past

37:12

two seasons. And I do think that it's very

37:14

fair to be putting him on notice just a little

37:16

bit with Aaron Nola since begaining part of the twenty

37:19

twenty three season, has been giving up right in

37:21

the neighbor at about one point five home runs

37:23

Berni and any sound. Last two starts went a

37:25

little bit better, But last two starts game

37:27

against the cow Rad Rockies in the Chicago

37:29

White Sox.

37:30

I'm not gonna.

37:30

Declare him back until we see him

37:33

face off against a little bit of better competition.

37:35

And for Aaron Nola, it's just one of those cases

37:37

where things really just never

37:40

got better during the twenty twenty three

37:42

season. Perhaps this a little bit of a nice little

37:44

two game run that he was able to go on, Perhaps

37:46

that'll be able to get him going. But you just take a look at what

37:49

he did on the road during the twenty twenty

37:51

three campaign. He posted up a five forty

37:53

three aar A compared to a three twenty nine Homira,

37:55

and when he was away from home he was given up about

37:57

one point seven to one point eight home runs. Berni

37:59

and A left a lot to be desired there

38:01

going to and s San Diego, Padres seem that he's

38:04

generally fewer runs when they're at home, rather than away

38:06

from home. And simple reason why he's because they

38:08

play at Peco Park, one of the most pitcher friendly ballparks

38:10

in all baseball, and you need Joe Muscove to get it going

38:12

as well. The three and two record does not speak

38:14

now. He's surely pitches here as he's been

38:17

giving up quite a bit with regards to walks. About three

38:19

walks for nine nies is about un characteristic

38:22

for him. It's given up at least three runs in

38:24

all but one of his starts as far the season. The

38:26

swing and miss stuff that typically is sitting

38:28

around nine nine and a half strikecouts for nine ings

38:30

that's been down to about seven als strikecouts

38:32

for nina ings out. I will say this about the Philadelphia

38:35

Phillies every fewer than four runs per game when

38:37

they're away from home. They've been hitting much better when

38:39

they've been in Philly rather than on the road, and their

38:41

numbers once again are a little bit more because they've

38:43

already played the two worst teams in the

38:45

league, and the corad Rockies and the Chicago

38:47

White Sox. That said, you've got Bryce Harper starting

38:50

to get back online. He's off a Pratturney leave

38:52

now he's been able to supply five home runs about a three

38:54

fifty on base so you do like to see that. Gosh,

38:56

rober One's get hitting for no average whatsoever, but

38:58

he's been able to play six home runs. Meanwhile, Trey

39:00

Turner, Alec Bohm, these guys are doing a great

39:03

job over the line of bowmand himself a really

39:05

nice series against Cincinnati. Meanwhile,

39:07

for the San Diego Padres, completely lit

39:09

the game on fire yesterday against the Colrad Rockies.

39:11

Prior to that they were looking like a relatively solid

39:14

bullpen. And you've had Yuki Matsui and Jandlo

39:16

Santos along with Jannie Peralta

39:18

be relatively solid ads for this team. Now,

39:20

the shlubs that came into the game yesterday

39:23

did not do the Patterre said he favors

39:25

whatsoever, So that was a little bit less

39:27

than terrific. We are always looking at

39:29

you, Johnny Brito for lighting

39:31

some of these games on fire. And Peralta was a man

39:33

that really did have a rough go of it yesterday.

39:36

But Head said for the Padres, he saw it in

39:38

the middle of the line of Fernando Tatis Junior.

39:40

While Manny Matchada now Machado speeding

39:42

with a little bit of an injury. Wouldn't be as surprised if

39:44

he's out of the fold once again in this one. But for Tatis,

39:47

he's been able to give you four plus home runs. He's providing

39:49

about a three fifty on base and after a little

39:51

bit of a rough start to the season, awesome Kim's

39:53

backed up to a three forty on base. He's supplying

39:55

four hum runs. Sandra Bogart's has still been

39:58

rough to say the least, but been able to get a

40:00

little bit more production out of the bottom the fold, especially

40:02

with the UIs Campusano taking over at

40:04

the catcher spot as well. And for the

40:06

San Diego Patters, I talk about their bad bullpen

40:08

from yesterday the very least. They're not the Philadelphia

40:11

Phillies who they have just been so bad

40:13

out there in the bullpen. Oce Alvarado, Sarthe Dominiez,

40:15

these guys have been less than trustworthy to begin the season.

40:18

Ricardo Pinto is just pretty much a human

40:20

white flag in which he's just gonna give

40:22

up a whole bunch of runs for the Phillies currently

40:24

they are plus he gotta be five eighty five bullpenny

40:26

area that is the second worst they're in the Big League

40:28

other than Jeff Hoffman. A lot of these guys just

40:31

have not been tremendous and don't make the form of

40:33

Aaron Nola as well. So it is a circumstance where

40:35

I'm going to be taking a look at the Patterys on the money line.

40:37

Did set them out of minus one twenty one A did something

40:39

till at eight point one. Both of these starters,

40:41

and both of these bullpens are really struggling, even

40:43

though it's a pitcher friendly ballpark. I do like the over and

40:45

the Potterys on the money line nine fifty seven, nine

40:47

to fifty eight. On the big board, the San Francisco Giants,

40:49

Blaios, Sippetsburg Priors, Quentin Preyster

40:52

is on the bump where the Buckoes and Kyle Harrison

40:54

is on the bump for San Francisco. The Giants are

40:56

am between minus one forty to minus one forty

40:58

favorites between twenty two

41:01

to plus one thirty two. That is your number

41:03

on the Buckoes. Eight to is the total over his mins

41:05

twenty d unders, even seeing a few eight nts out there

41:07

as well. On the and a half under is between minus

41:10

one thirteen to minus one twenty two overs any

41:12

between minus one oh seventy even

41:14

money and with the Pirates wouldn't need at least

41:16

a plus one fifty four to take a shot. Now,

41:18

for Priser, he was working on some off speed

41:20

stuff. I believe that he was working on a curve ball

41:22

at the minor league level that looked relatively

41:25

good. He goes up to the big leagues and then

41:27

he gets completely shelled in his first start, giving

41:29

up four runs and four and a third innings. And I

41:31

just really need to see it to believe it. From Priser,

41:34

young twenty three year old, I just feel like needs

41:36

a little bit more seasoning out there at the minor league

41:38

bubble. His first start against the Boss Red

41:40

Sox gave up three home runs in that start, And

41:42

for Kyle Arrison, he saw has a few things so

41:44

workout at the big league bubble as well as

41:46

he hasn't missed in terms of his command too

41:48

much with five bucks and twenty seven innings, but when

41:50

he makes a mistake it goes very far. He's given up

41:52

five home runs in twenty seven innings as far

41:55

this season. Three plus run surrendered in each out of

41:57

his last four starts, and it's not even against

41:59

the world's greatest counts with the Nationals and the

42:01

Miami Merlins sprinkled in there as well,

42:03

But do like his overall upside. Now

42:05

for the San Francisco Giants, bullpen has been rough

42:07

there, right there at the bottom of the big leagues in terms of bullpenny.

42:10

Ara part that is because they've had to throw a few

42:12

bullpen games, so getting the day off yesterday

42:14

that was able to be very beneficial for them, and Luke

42:17

Jackson has come off the injured list has unlecessarily

42:19

looked the world's greatest. But I think that you should be

42:21

able to get a little bit of positivity there still.

42:23

Do like Victoria Pigalf Taylor and Tyler Rodgers

42:25

along Camellia Devall in the back half of the bullpen,

42:27

and for the Pirates, they've been a bottom half of the big league's

42:30

bullpen in terms of VRA as well, Ryan Burrookie

42:32

being out the fold to hurt them, Dave been ar rold

42:34

As Chapman. They do a nice job, but folding down the

42:36

fort and then calling older men has

42:38

been quite good as well. But some of these

42:40

guys like Lewis Ortiza company. When you bring

42:43

them in, it's been less and tremendous. And what else

42:45

has been less and tremendous the Pittsburgh Pirates

42:47

at the plate as well. For the Pirates, as

42:49

much as now scored, two runs are fewer in

42:52

all but two onto their last I

42:54

believe now nine games. Like man,

42:56

these guys are completely lost at the plate, and

42:58

you've got still a few guys moving

43:00

the line as Connor, Joe Cabrian, as

43:02

Brian Reynolds are. I'll give you at least a three fifty

43:05

nine on base, just gonna have a lot of power

43:07

with this team. Nobody has more than three on runs

43:09

right now. O'ell Cruz has only been able

43:11

to ride about a two ninety nine on base. Jacks

43:13

Wenisky has been hating below the windows signed two

43:15

hundred. Henry Davis has yet to be able to pan out.

43:17

So that's a big issue for this bunch and for

43:19

the San Francisco Giants. While this lineup

43:22

can be a little bit touching, go Michael CONFORDO,

43:24

Matt Chapman, Ord Hilaire are all giving you

43:26

between four and five home runs. You Fat

43:28

cham Wan only be able to give you about a two to eighty on base,

43:30

but Calfordo is sitting a two seventy five. Nick

43:32

Amt has found a way to be able to get on base a lot

43:34

of Lamontway Junior's currently given you a four

43:37

to seventy one on base. Why he's not getting

43:39

more consistent at Pats, I have no idea, but he's

43:41

been good in the Pats that he's been able to get in. I

43:43

do think that Arison is able to do a better job

43:45

here than Prister, and just overall,

43:47

I do think that this giant's will pen gonna be able

43:49

to get a little bit more online. So I'm gonna be

43:51

willing to lay the number year it did somebody number out of minus

43:53

one fifty four, and I did somebody told it at eight point

43:55

three. We're between an eight two and eight and a half. I think

43:58

the Pirates get a little bit of something going in. Quite

44:00

frankly, I'm not super in on both

44:02

of these pictures right now, much more in on Harrison

44:04

rather than Pryster, and I just need to see it to

44:07

believe it from Prister, and until then I'm going

44:09

to continue to fad. So I'm gonna be looking at the eight over

44:11

rather than the eight and a half under, and I'm looking at

44:13

the Giants on the money line, then fifty nine nine

44:15

to sixty on the big board. The Detroit Tigers playoffs. They

44:17

can't say Royals. Seth a Lugo goes for

44:19

the Royals and Resultson is on the bump for

44:21

Detroit.

44:22

Detroit.

44:22

Is any between minus tent eighteen to a minus

44:25

one away favorite, anywhere between even money to minus

44:28

one oh five is your number on the Royals.

44:30

Eight is the total, the over and the under

44:32

or anywtween minus one five to minus one fifteen.

44:34

And for the Royals, I needed at least

44:36

a plus one sixteen to be able to take shot. I'm going

44:38

to be willing to lay the minuscule number

44:41

with Resulsen and the Detroit Tigers.

44:43

I've really liked what I've seen out of Resulsen

44:45

thiss far this season. He's got the zero to three

44:47

rerecord, but that said, he's been able

44:49

to do a nice job holding down the four, keeping

44:51

the ball in the yard, inducing soft contact

44:54

and it's giving up two or runs a few and three out

44:56

of his four starts this season at a little bit of a rough

44:58

one gets Pittsburgh pri early on. But I

45:01

don't know the reason why the teams have not

45:03

been able to arail is that it's gotten a lack of run

45:05

support. In this recent three game losing straight, they

45:07

put up a combined seven runs for him. And that's

45:09

the trepidation that you do have right now. With the Detroit

45:11

Tigers, bitching has been amazing. As a

45:13

matter of fact, you take a look at this bullpen and it's really

45:16

second and on in the big league. Tyler Holton,

45:18

Jason Foley, Will Vest all

45:20

these guys are coming out of the bullpen. They're all

45:22

giving great innings. Andrew Chafin

45:24

has been able to do a solid job as a veteran leader

45:27

for this team. If you look at their bullpenning

45:29

ray, there's still number one in all of baseball,

45:31

so maybe been able to hold it down there. And for the Royals,

45:33

they're very silently number nine right now

45:35

in the big leagues in terms of bullpenning ray. I do think

45:38

that's gonna shrink down a little bit. You've got guys

45:40

like Chris Stranton, Will Smith and I'm not necessarily

45:42

overly in on, but I do like John Shreiver, James

45:45

MacArthur, he's starting to grow on me

45:47

a little bit as well. And for Seth Lugo, you

45:49

know that he's gonna be able to do a nice job holding down

45:51

the four In terms of his command thirty

45:54

one innings, he's given up just seven walks as

45:56

far the season. Now, I will say that Seth Lugo

45:58

also has fourteen strikeout thirty one

46:00

innings. One it was what the Potter's last year was

46:02

more around eight strikeouts Bernie and Ennings.

46:04

So I have to wonder if we're going to be seeing a little bit of an

46:06

increased there. He as a textbook picture

46:09

contact guy as of right now, and that could be

46:11

what the Tigers need to get going. Because for the

46:13

Tigers, they just have been very interesting

46:16

in terms of offense, because if you look at

46:18

the raw offensive numbers, they are in the bottom half

46:20

of the big leagues with regards to runs generated

46:22

everything like that. But they've been able to do a

46:24

nice job of getting hot at the plate. This

46:26

Tigers team has been able to put up at least four runs

46:29

in all but one of their last seven games.

46:31

And you've been able to see Mark Kennaugh,

46:33

Yes, he cana I'll put along with Riley Green.

46:35

Both of these guys have been able to give you five home

46:38

runs a piece. Both of these guys supplying north

46:40

of a three to ninety one base The team has found

46:42

a nice way of being able to find a

46:44

way on in terms of walks. As the batting average

46:46

for the team is collective, it's only about a two twenty one.

46:48

But Kerry Carpenter has done a nice job. Now,

46:50

the guys that you really need to get going Parker

46:53

Meadows, Cold, Keith, hobby Bias, they're

46:55

all leading below the nose line up two hundred and

46:57

Hobby Bias has just been a waste of money. In general,

46:59

it's been, to say the least Duror show

47:01

when he's been out there has been pretty rock solid. I know that

47:03

he's currently dealing with an injury though, And then on

47:05

the flip side for the Cancery Rails, they're just a

47:08

completely different team with their offense

47:10

when they're at home rather than when they're away from home. At

47:12

home, they're a top five offense in the Big leagues.

47:14

When they've been away from home, they've been averaging about

47:16

three and a half runs per contest. So it's gonna be

47:18

interesting to see if those plays really do iron

47:21

out. You do have Salvador Perez who's gone four

47:23

home runs on the road in nine games as

47:25

far as the season, so he's been able to do a tremendous

47:27

job on that front. And you really do have some guys

47:29

Mashing Parres I mentioned he's got seven home

47:31

runs to be able to lead the way, but m table end us, Bobby

47:34

with Junior, Mike Elgarcia, Vinnie Pascanino

47:36

all been able to give you at least four home runs as far this

47:38

season. In the case of Melendez and Garcia,

47:41

both of these guys set seventy five on Baseball

47:43

Bobbie with Junior hitting above a three. But would

47:45

like to see a little bit more from the bottom fold, guys

47:47

like Adam Frazier, Kylosbelle, Hunter, Renfro hitting

47:50

a two hundred worse. That's been a little bit of an issue.

47:52

And I do think that with the Tigers having the superior

47:55

bullpen, they do find a way to be able to get the job done.

47:57

So circumstance for I'm gonna be willing to lay the

47:59

small number here. The Tigers have them as a minus

48:01

one sixteen favorite, and I did some my total at some point

48:03

eight. I do think that both pitchers are going to be able to have

48:05

a good showing here. So at the eight, looking at the under

48:07

end, looking at the Tigers on the buddy line, nine sixty

48:10

one nine sixty two on the bank board the Baltimoreols playoffs

48:12

of the Oakland A's ross stripling is on the bump

48:14

for the A's and Corbyn Burns is on the

48:16

bump for Baltimore. Baltimore a various

48:18

housable favorite an team minus two sixty

48:21

six minus two eighty five. Meanwhile

48:23

between plus two twenty five plus

48:25

two forty five.

48:26

Year number on.

48:27

Oakland eight is the total unders minus one fifteen

48:29

to minus one twenty the overs any between even

48:31

and minus one oh five, and need at

48:34

least a plus two forty eight to take a

48:36

shot on the Oakland A's here. And if

48:38

you're looking to lay a run half with Baltimore, you're

48:40

going to be laying between minus one twenty to minus

48:42

one thirty, which honestly isn't a bad number.

48:44

Fully recognize that this Oakland A's team

48:47

has been absolutely amazing on the run

48:49

line, but that's that I'm going to be one of

48:51

bat Corbyn Burns Corbyn Burns has been

48:53

tremendous since coming on over to Baltimore.

48:55

Has given up the fourum runs a twenty nine and a third

48:57

innings. And I don't think a lot of people would

48:59

know that the Oakland A's right now lead

49:01

the league and home runs per game away from

49:04

home. I have no idea how because

49:06

the Oakland A's are initting for like no average

49:08

whatsoever. You take a look at what they trotted out there

49:10

yesterday. They've literally had three

49:12

guys in the starting lineup, actually three

49:15

guys that saw any sort of a bat at

49:17

all, out of ten that are hitting above a two to eleven.

49:19

So these guys are doing absolutely nothing there.

49:21

And I do think that we're going to see some massive regression

49:23

if you continue to see the likes of Jay Lenglaires,

49:26

Ryan Noda, Brent Rooker

49:28

all inning below the midos line two hundred. Lawrence

49:30

Butler hasn't, so you've done a ton. I have to

49:32

play it either. And for the Baltimoreoals,

49:34

this team is just the boom squad right now.

49:37

They are number one in the big leagues in terms

49:39

of home runs and other than when Jackson

49:41

Holiday's been out there one through nine. You

49:43

just don't have an easy out for the Baltimoreoals.

49:46

They've got so much death that they're able

49:48

to tune for rightis and lefties. And I say

49:50

that about a holiday, and I do think that he is certainly

49:52

going to be able to pick it up sooner rather than later.

49:54

Anthony santanderras honest, he's been there with reguards

49:57

to average. But you take a look at Gunner Anderson,

49:59

Ellie Rush and Jordan Westburg, Ryan

50:01

Oncastle, They're all hitting at least a three

50:04

h five and you've got two of these guys

50:06

in Henderson and Westburg have really gone

50:08

to Penderson eight Ome runs Westburg with

50:10

five bombs. It's a team as a collective

50:12

as North with a three twenty on base. And then

50:14

for the Orioles, they saw off a solid bullpen. Now

50:16

you do have to wonder if the bottom is gonna

50:19

fall out on Craig Kimbrel, because we've seen that from

50:21

him time and time again. But thus far, Craig Kimbral

50:23

has been really good.

50:24

You need it.

50:24

He has hasn't been quite what he was a season

50:26

ago, but still doing a good job. Along Danny

50:28

Columba being a hole down the four for the

50:30

Oriols. It's been about a league average bullpen,

50:32

which a lake average bullpen for this team

50:35

has more than enough for you. Meanwhile, the Oakland A's

50:37

that has been their saving grace, entered into yesterday

50:40

number eight in the big leagues in terms of bullpenning Ray

50:42

they'd have to use up a few pieces yesterday. But

50:44

just take a look at all these guys like Danny

50:46

Amenez, Lucas Hurst said, she former

50:49

Brewers cast off who was a position player, Mason

50:51

Miller in the ninth ning, Austin Adams, all these guys

50:54

supplying a sub three fifty earra. They've been able

50:56

to do a great job there. But for Ross Trippling,

50:58

I really do have my trepidations with him. He's

51:00

only been able to give you about six a half to seven straight cuts

51:02

for nine. Ennings always has a solid job in terms

51:05

of command, but he just gives up too much contact

51:07

in general. It's given up three plus runs in four

51:09

out of his five starts, and thus far this season

51:11

giving up contact to the Baltimoreals. I

51:13

just don't think he's going to be panning out very well for

51:16

him in general. And now you've got Zach lafflon

51:18

Ja D. Davis on the injury list for the Sage team,

51:21

and I do think that Corbin Burns going to be able to

51:23

go out there and it's just going to be able to deal so

51:25

circumstance where I'm going to be one to lay the run line

51:27

of the Baltimorals, was willing to go up to a minus one

51:29

thirty five there and did sell my toll at some point

51:31

seven. I think the Burns is going to be able to really

51:33

deal in this one. And I do think that Baltimore gets

51:35

enough offense to be able to win this game by multiple runs.

51:38

So, looking at the eight under and the run line of the

51:40

Baltimorials nine sixty three, nine sixty four

51:42

on the betting board, the Chicago White Sox players the Tampa

51:44

Bay Raise, Zach Eflin goes for the

51:46

Rais and Chris Flexen is on the bump

51:48

for the White Sox. The White Sox between plus

51:51

one ninety a m plus two h five hundred

51:53

dogs meanwhile and between minus two

51:55

twenty five too minus two thirty five seat

51:57

number on the race eight to eight and a half is a total

51:59

on the eight over spine one twenty v unders even on the

52:01

eight and f under his minus one twenty and the over

52:03

his even in on the race. I said

52:06

them minus two twenty three on the money line. But if you're looking

52:08

to lay a run half with the race, find out anywhere

52:10

between minus one thirty to minus one forty

52:12

and I'm going to be.

52:13

One to lay that run line.

52:15

I'm willing to go up to about a minus one

52:17

forty three or so on this run line.

52:19

It's just a really, really sad Chicago White

52:21

Sox team at this point. And for Chris Flexen,

52:24

they were trying to utilize him as a

52:26

longer leaver out of the bullpen. He's

52:28

been used a little bit as a starter. He had that

52:30

one magical twenty twenty one campaign

52:33

coming back from the KBO for Seattle. To other

52:35

than that, he's been terrible. He's given up four um runs

52:37

in nineteen and two thirds innings. He is not a swing

52:39

of miss guy, and yet he gives up north to three walks

52:41

for nine nings. Not a lot of redeeming

52:43

qualities here. Meanwhile, Zion Gaflin has

52:46

had a little bit of an up and down season, but you know that

52:48

the command is going to be there with him. He's given up just two

52:50

walks in twenty nine and a third innings. Sometimes

52:52

gives up a little bit too much hard contact, But who

52:54

on the Chicago White Sox is going to be able to give you that

52:57

hard contact. Kevin Cheats Paul de Youunga

52:59

both been able to sply runs as far

53:01

this season, but the young has been a little bit in

53:03

and out of the folds due to injury. And what

53:05

do all these players have in common? Nikki

53:08

Lopez along with Eloy Jamenez,

53:10

Andrew Vaughan, Andrew Bennettendee, Kevin

53:12

Polar, Dominic Fletcher, Lennon

53:15

Sosa, Martin Maldonado,

53:17

They're all hitting a two to OZHO three or

53:20

lower, and they're all giving you a three to OHO

53:22

one on base or lower. Like it is

53:24

just sad what we are seeing with you Ola Mancata

53:27

deal with injury. It means that they pretty much

53:29

have two guys that are going to be active for this game.

53:31

Hitting above a two thirty five this season for

53:33

the White Socks are averaging about two point three runs per game.

53:35

They do go up against the race team that's in the bottom ten

53:37

in the Big Leagues terms of bullpenning. Right I do think that they're

53:39

going to be able to pick it up sooner rather than later.

53:42

Been an uncharacteristically bad year

53:44

for Pete Fairbanks. I believe that he now landed

53:46

on the injured list, but been able to have Jason

53:48

Adam Gerek Clevenger do a relatively solid

53:50

job in the bullpen. Need Krisavinski to really

53:53

pick it up. He has not been too tremendous as

53:55

far as this season, but with the Tampa Bay race,

53:57

even though they've had their struggles in the line of Peaceock Parades

53:59

has been He's been able to fly this team with

54:01

six home runs, been able to give you about a three sixty

54:03

five on base, amanders Ario hitting above

54:05

three hundred as well. The biggest thing is Randy A. Rose

54:08

Rainey Yandy Das both give you less than eight

54:10

two eighty five on base. Yandyd has stuck

54:12

on one home run or Rose rain is just three let's

54:14

say series naving below the nose line of your

54:16

But you do have some guys like Richie Palacios,

54:19

say Calibreo who have found a way to be able to move the line

54:21

and Ben Roefit has actually been very good

54:23

at the catcher spot as well, and let's call it what it

54:25

is. The Chicago White Sox right now, they are just a flaming

54:28

dumpster fire. I did sell my total at some point

54:30

six. He had an a two and eight and a half. I just don't

54:32

know if the Chicago White Sox can put up like two

54:34

runs to be able to do their part with it total. So mine

54:37

had the rays on the run line, and I'm gonna be taking a look

54:39

at this total under ninety sixty five nine sixty

54:41

six on the bank board the Minnesota Twins and throw the

54:43

face ske up against the Los Angeles Angels. For

54:45

the Angels, it is Patrick Sanderbal getting the start

54:47

for them, and Bailey ober Goes for Minnesota.

54:50

Minnesota a very slight favorite angle between minus

54:52

one o six so minus one fifteen between the

54:54

minus one o two to minus one of five is your

54:56

number on Los Angeles. Eight to eight and a

54:58

half is a total on the eight run under both

55:00

of minus one time finding that at circa pretty much everyone

55:02

else as an eight and a half with the under between minus

55:05

one fifteen to on mis wee twenty two overs any between

55:07

even and minus one oh five, and somebody's

55:09

all at an eight point four. Personally, I would rather

55:11

take the eight out of minus one ten juice

55:14

over rather than the eight and a half under. Now,

55:16

if you don't have access to that, I would say, if you're on an

55:18

eight and a half, I'd be taking a look at the under. But I

55:20

personally have that available to me and I will

55:22

be looking at that over. But that said, for

55:24

the Angels, I did set them at a minus one thirty seven

55:26

on the money line.

55:27

I'm gonna be willing to back down.

55:28

Patrick Standaval has been a little bit of an

55:31

up and down pitcher throughout his career and honestly

55:33

has had some very funky home and roadspots.

55:35

But I said he does a really good job of being

55:37

able to keep the ball in the yard. His strikeout numbers

55:39

are up this year, getting about ten punchouts per nine nineties.

55:42

Has to work on the walks and this is

55:44

an All Angels bullpen that they would love

55:46

for him to be able to end a little bit of length because they have

55:48

been a little bit less terrific, to say the least. As

55:51

far as the season shock Jock Surprise, Surprise or twenty

55:53

fifth in the Big Leagues, durms the Bullpenny ran. That's the

55:55

big advantage that you do have with him. MINUTESA Twins,

55:57

the Twins, they are number four in the big leagues with reguards.

55:59

They're bowl Penny right, and for the Twins, they are doing this

56:01

with you and Dodan currently being out of the fold. The guys

56:04

like Brox Stewer, Cody Funderberg,

56:06

Caleb Theobar, they've been able to.

56:08

Do a nice job.

56:08

Meanwhile, got a lot of reclamation projects

56:11

on this La Angels, bullpen under Strickland,

56:13

Adam simber Ose, Ciserno, guys I don't

56:15

trust, so I will say girls is seven is Matt more

56:17

in the eighth and ninth. Any, these guys are solid and Carson

56:20

Fomer has actually been very good as a long

56:22

guy. And for the La Angels right now you got Mike

56:24

Trout leading the league with dead home runs

56:26

with thirteen rbi, which I

56:28

mean, that's just absolutely hilarious to read

56:30

off that Sadline hasn't really hit for averages here

56:32

by the way, only hanging about it two thirty seven non

56:35

characteristic for him. But Gott Taylor,

56:37

Ward Logan o'happy both in above eighty

56:39

two seventy for a hop he's been able to supply

56:41

about a three seventy on base award, has been

56:43

able to give you seven home runs. So the Angels have a

56:45

combined twenty seven home runs as far this season, seventeen

56:48

between Ward and Trout. So that's been interesting

56:50

to take a look at it. And it's a lot more firepower

56:52

than what you're getting out of the Minnesota Twins, a Twins

56:55

lineup that entered into the day on Thursday,

56:57

inning eight to twelve as a collective, and they've

56:59

been able to get some nice home runs out of Edward

57:01

Julian. He is up to seven home

57:03

runs as far the season, belt it out a bunch

57:06

of bombs in that series against the Chicago White Sox.

57:08

I think that he had three in total. But other

57:10

than him, you just only have one other guy

57:12

that has more than two home runs, Ryan Jeffers,

57:14

who's being able to supply four fire bucks. And

57:16

it's starting to move the line a little bit more as got

57:18

Alex Scroll a lot Fryan Jeffers. So I just mentioned both

57:20

think above a two to sixty. But these guys are just

57:23

not doing.

57:23

A great job.

57:24

I'll be able to hit for average, and I do think that Patrick

57:26

Sanderval gonna be able to go out there and have a nice starting for

57:28

Bailey over He's got good like raw

57:30

peripheral numbers He's been able

57:32

to throughout the last few seasons give you about knights

57:34

right cuts to two walks per nine nunnings, but when he misses,

57:37

he gets hit really hard. He's given up three home runs

57:39

and eighteen and the third innings as far this season. Last

57:41

season gave up about a home run and a half per nine

57:43

and unnings. So you do have your trepidations there, especially

57:46

with Carlos Korea still being on the injured list.

57:48

I do think that the Angels find a way to get the job

57:50

done, even though they are very very top heavy

57:52

lineup with the likes of Zach Netto. Now

57:55

you've got Anthony Rendona fold so that

57:57

makes it all the more challenging for them. But Nate

58:00

Chanel, you're able to throw in there as well, someone

58:02

like an Aaron X Mickey Moniac.

58:03

These guys a two ten or lower.

58:05

But I do think that the solome runs

58:07

that you're most likely going to get from Mike Trott and Taylor Ward

58:09

gonna be just enough to be able to get the job done. It's the

58:11

angel set of minus one thirty seven. I do like them

58:14

on the money line, and in terms of the total, I did

58:16

some mine at an eight point four. Like I said, I'm

58:18

seeing that eight out there, and what I'd be looking

58:20

at personally is the eight over. If you've got an eight and a half,

58:23

would be looking a little bit more at that under nine

58:25

sixty seven, nine to sixty eight on the bagboard. The Toronto

58:27

Blue Jays are playing us to the l eight Dodgers. Kevin

58:29

Stone is on the bump for the Dodgers and Chris Bassett

58:32

as yok line and sinker for Toronto. And Toronto

58:35

is an underdog, You're going to be getting them between plus one

58:37

oh five to plus one ten. Meanwhile, between minus

58:39

one eighteen to minus twenty five is that number on

58:41

the Dodgers. Nine is a total under his minus one

58:43

fifteen the overs minus one of five, and with

58:45

the Blue Jays, was willing to take them at

58:47

a plus one oh eight or higher. Seeing

58:50

that plus one ten currently, AD say, I'm gonna be one

58:52

to double there. For Chris Bassett has

58:54

been a much better picture when he has been

58:56

at home rather than away from home. Last season,

58:58

he was posting up about a two fifty or so ERA

59:01

when he was at home. His ERA was just

59:03

a little bit less than two points higher when

59:06

he was away from home. And we've been seeing some very

59:08

similar home and roads pluts developing thus

59:10

far this season. When he hit the road face

59:12

off against the Astros and the Tampa Bay Rays,

59:14

gave up four plus runs in both of those starts. As a matter

59:16

of fact, if you include unearned runs, he's given

59:18

up at least four runs and all three of it starts

59:20

away from home this season, and it's two home starts

59:23

to find thirteen innings, he's given up two runs.

59:25

Very clearly a different pitcher when he's

59:27

out there in Toronto rather than away from home.

59:29

And for Gavin Stone, he had one nice start

59:32

due to that rain delay against the San Diego Patters

59:34

pass had it's been all over the place now. He did give up

59:36

just two runs in his last third against the New York Mets.

59:39

He also only lasted three and a third innings

59:41

because he gave up five walks. And for the career,

59:43

mister Stone, he's given up about four point

59:46

three walks per nine innings. His home runs per

59:48

nine rate is about one and a half. He's got some

59:50

good ross stuff, but has yet to really put it together.

59:52

That swig and misses are necessarily there. Now.

59:54

The good news is he gets to go up against the Blue Jays lineup

59:57

that has really been scuffling. They're in the bottom half of the big

59:59

leagues right now in terms of runs created.

1:00:01

But you got Justin Turners doing a nice job

1:00:03

finding way on base. Give you North for four armed base

1:00:05

and do varshow Ding for about two

1:00:07

sixty five with six home runs. Not something I

1:00:10

was expecting. But here's the issue that you got

1:00:12

right now with the Toronto Blue Jays. Leander Kirk,

1:00:14

don't call his name, David Schneider, Weiger,

1:00:16

Junior Boba Schett, George Springer, all

1:00:18

inning a two twenty four or lower,

1:00:20

and all these guys have three home runs are less.

1:00:23

That's been a little bit of an issue. Cab On Bigio.

1:00:25

He's found a way to be able to move the line. And when

1:00:27

you take a look at the flip side for the Eli Dodgers,

1:00:30

it's a very top heavy lineup, and I mean

1:00:32

the front six of this lineup is just always

1:00:34

so fearsome. Show O Tahani, Mookie Betts

1:00:37

six home runs apiece both give you north of a

1:00:39

four point fifteen on base. Daskarnandez

1:00:41

is up to six bombs as well. Freddie Freeman

1:00:43

as an SA hit the depall, but he's been able to give you north for

1:00:45

before.

1:00:45

On base.

1:00:46

Will Smith is hting above a three point fifty right

1:00:48

now, But the likes of Gavin Lux, James Llom

1:00:50

and Chris Taylor, when you can get to like

1:00:53

seven through nine, you're able to get some outs

1:00:55

there. And I do think that for Chris pass said, he's

1:00:57

gonna be able to do a nice job on that front end. He's backed

1:00:59

up by a b open the Toronto Blue Jays that is currently

1:01:01

in the back half of the big leagues with regards to their era,

1:01:04

but it looks so much better right now now that Jordan

1:01:06

Romondo, a lot of Derek Swanson, they come

1:01:08

back in the fold. These are big additions for them to

1:01:11

maze. The last year had a sub but two point fifty

1:01:13

era. He's gotten nord of the seventh thus far this season.

1:01:15

I do think that he's going to be all pick.

1:01:16

It up a little bit.

1:01:17

And for the LA Dodgers, it has been a bullpen that has

1:01:19

been very much touch and go. They're about league average

1:01:21

in terms their era. They let go of some guys like Victor

1:01:23

Gonsalez Caleb Ferguson in the offseason.

1:01:26

The JP Fire Eyes and experiment just has not

1:01:28

been going well oncesoever. But Evan

1:01:30

Phillips has been very trustworthy in nineth

1:01:32

and you've got guys like Alex Vesia,

1:01:34

Dany Hudson or supplying a sub three

1:01:36

ERI. So I do think that's a very interesting

1:01:38

circumstance. I did something I told at any point

1:01:41

eight. Chris Passett has been so good at home,

1:01:43

and I know for the Toronto Blue Jays they've

1:01:45

had a little bit of a tough time genering offense. But I do

1:01:47

think that Passet is going to be able to lend a really good start

1:01:49

in a ballpark in Toronto that has actually been a little

1:01:51

bit more picture friendly ever since the ballpark dimensions

1:01:54

have been changed. I do think the Kevin Stone is

1:01:56

going to start to come into his own a little bit more as well. So

1:01:58

well and take plus one on nine or high with the Blue

1:02:00

Jays and gonna be taking a look at this sign under

1:02:02

nine to sixty nine, nine seventy on the Bank board, it's see Boston

1:02:04

Red Sox playing goes to these Chicago Cubs showtown.

1:02:07

Immanaga hopefully I said that correctly. He's

1:02:09

gonna be going for the Cubs, and Cutter Crawford is

1:02:11

on the bumper Boston Boston very slight

1:02:13

favorite senting between minus one and five two a minus

1:02:16

one ten for the Cubs, you're gonna be getting them, and

1:02:18

between minus one oh two to minus one ten with the

1:02:20

total of eight over his minus one fifteen. The under is

1:02:22

minus one of five. Did somebody told it at eight point

1:02:24

six? I'm gonna be looking at the over for

1:02:27

Imanaga. First few starts of

1:02:29

the season have been absolutely tremendous for him.

1:02:31

He's come on over from the knee poem Baseball

1:02:33

League and he has been lights out twenty one

1:02:35

and a third innings. He's allowed just two runs, he's

1:02:37

getting nine strikeouts for nine and he's allowed

1:02:39

just two walks. You do have to wonder

1:02:41

when the tape starts to get out on him

1:02:44

if he's going to be quite as effective as we did

1:02:46

see him look a little bit more wobbly in that last

1:02:48

start against the Miami Marlins. So I

1:02:50

do think that that's something that needs to be in the back

1:02:52

of your mind. Now he has a right face

1:02:55

off against the team like the Seattle Maynards gave up one

1:02:57

hundred and run there. So he's been able to do a nice

1:02:59

job on that front. But for Boston it does feel

1:03:01

like they're getting their offensive swigerback. Now that

1:03:03

Tyler O'Neill has come off of the seven

1:03:05

day injured list for a concussion, he's been

1:03:07

able to supply the team with seven home runs north of four

1:03:10

arm base at trisicalsas he's been able to move a

1:03:12

line as well, six home runs north of May three forty

1:03:14

five on base. What you really need for the Red Sox's

1:03:17

so many struggling young guys, Pablo Reyes,

1:03:19

Sadine Rafaela, Emmanuel Valdez,

1:03:22

these guys hitting below the midios line two hundred,

1:03:24

Bobby Dollback, I mean, he's hitting a zero seventy

1:03:26

seven. I remember when there was so much promise

1:03:28

for him a few seasons ago. He does has fallen

1:03:30

short of that. But Raphael Devers, he was dealing

1:03:32

for a little bit of an injury towards the beginning part of the season, absolutely

1:03:35

erupted in that series against the Cleveland Guardians

1:03:38

pair of two plus eight games. He was able to

1:03:40

hit a home run I believe on Wednesday. Now

1:03:42

he's getting rocking and rolling. Whiler Bray

1:03:44

who's now leading a three hunerd as well. Jaron Duran has

1:03:47

been able to move the line and form the Chicago Cubs. It's

1:03:49

been a lineup that has been able to do a nice job

1:03:51

at home. When they've been away from home, it's been a little

1:03:53

bit more touch and go. They're still getting north of four runs

1:03:55

per game when they're away from home, but you expect

1:03:57

a little bit more out of someone like your chrispher morele

1:04:00

ninety on base with three home runs. Dansby Swanson

1:04:02

he's starting to pick it up. He had a home run in the previous

1:04:05

series as well. He's been able to give this team about a three.

1:04:07

Ten on base.

1:04:07

Nico Horner or Michael Busch, these guys are the

1:04:09

north through two sixty five, and for Bush he schooled

1:04:11

down a little bit. But I had that hot streak about a week and

1:04:13

a half ago. We had five home runs in five

1:04:16

games. Cody Bellinger has been able to pick it up as

1:04:18

well, and for the Cups it's been touching going terards

1:04:20

of the bullpen, you have really not gotten any

1:04:22

startup production as whatsoever out of Mo se

1:04:25

Quass. I'm pretty sure that he's now the full

1:04:27

but actor Nerris has been able to do an okay job

1:04:29

of folding down the four at Barrel's like he's solid

1:04:31

in the back end. The Cubs bullpen is

1:04:33

honestly amazing, especially Julian Meryweather

1:04:36

currently banging out the fall. But it's fine, And I

1:04:38

feel like you could say the same thing about the Boston Red

1:04:40

Sox. So I do like their young guy and Justin Slayton, who

1:04:42

was able to give you multiple innings. He's been able to supply

1:04:45

a subone fifty URI And for the Red Sox, they

1:04:47

are number eleven in the big leagues with regards to a

1:04:49

Bullpenny Ray, so these guys have been pretty blocked

1:04:51

down. The Cups in comparison, they're number thirteen

1:04:53

as right now. Chris Martin along with

1:04:55

ken Lee Jansen, there's solid in the eighth and ninth innings.

1:04:58

And if you could keep ken Lee Jansen off of TV

1:05:00

in a big game, he always shuts it down for

1:05:02

you. So that's something that is positive, and I

1:05:05

do think that Brandon Bernardino is a guy that they're

1:05:07

able to build around in this bullpen as well, and I like what

1:05:09

Cutter Crawford has been able to show.

1:05:10

Now.

1:05:11

For Crawford, he had a six y r at home compared

1:05:13

to a two to fifty three ERA away from home. Was

1:05:15

clearly one of the most unlucky pitchers in all baseball

1:05:18

last season. This season, he's probably gotten a

1:05:20

little bit more luck than he probably deserves. He

1:05:22

has given up about three and a half walks per nine innings,

1:05:25

but he's getting about ten strikecouts for nine innings,

1:05:27

has kept the ball in the yard, has done a really

1:05:29

good job of inducing soft contact, and has given

1:05:31

up three hits or fewer in four of his first

1:05:33

side starts. I do like Cutter Crawford in the spot.

1:05:35

I do think that the Red Sox should be the slightest

1:05:38

of slight favorite. Set them as a minus one twelve favorite.

1:05:40

So one lay up to a minus one eleven on this

1:05:42

Red Sox money line, and it did something tot on an eight point

1:05:45

six. Boston still very much a hitter's ballpark,

1:05:47

so I do like the over to go along with that Red Sox

1:05:49

money line. Nine seventy one nine seventy two on the big board.

1:05:51

The Atlanta Braves are going to be playing us to the Cleveland

1:05:53

Guardians. Logan Allen goes for the Guardians that Chris

1:05:56

Sale is on the bomb for Atlanta Atlanta between

1:05:58

a minus one ninety two, a minus one ninety favorite

1:06:00

between plus one sixty eight two to two plus

1:06:03

one seventy seventies. Her number on Cleveland eight

1:06:05

a half to nine is a total on the eight and a half over and an

1:06:07

under both at mis one ten. Currently only seeing that

1:06:09

at circa most other books hanging to nine out

1:06:11

there with the under between minus one fifteen oh minus

1:06:13

one twenty five, the overs any between minus one and five

1:06:15

zero plus one oh five, and the it's a I total nine

1:06:18

point three, especially that eight and a half gonna

1:06:20

be looking at the over if you only have a nine available, still

1:06:22

would like it over as well. But for the Atlanta

1:06:24

Brays, they just continue to be the death star

1:06:27

in terns their lineup. It doesn't matter who they

1:06:29

have to get banged up and just be up down

1:06:31

all around. Maybe got so many guys that are just

1:06:33

able to find a way to be able to move the line and are able

1:06:35

to give you power as Marcelo Zuna has

1:06:37

been that main power back. How about him with a

1:06:40

four to sixteen on base with nine home runs as

1:06:42

far as the season. But got Ronald Lecuni Junior

1:06:44

who he's only being able to give you one ome run but north

1:06:46

of four on base, you know that things are going to be turning

1:06:48

around for him. Orlando Arcio, Michael Harris,

1:06:51

Aussi Alby's throwing their Jerry Kelnick

1:06:53

all leading north of three and right now for the

1:06:55

Atlanta Braves, power has been down a little bit

1:06:57

this season, but they're still doing a great job. They're playing

1:07:00

approach and I do think that they're going to take it to a

1:07:02

guy in Logan Allen that is part of a Guardian's

1:07:04

just pitching staff in general, that's one of the best in all of baseball.

1:07:06

But he's been very clearly the week link

1:07:09

for Logan Allen. He's given up three plus runs

1:07:11

and four out of his five starts as far this season.

1:07:13

He's not been bad in terms of giving

1:07:15

up walks, as he's given up about three

1:07:18

walks per nine innings, but it's winging miss stuff

1:07:20

that was relatively solid last season. It's down

1:07:22

a little bit this year, so to have a few issues

1:07:24

there. And for the Guardians, their offense is

1:07:27

actually way up from a season ago. Still not necessarily

1:07:29

the world's greatest power hitting team or anything like

1:07:31

that. But Josh Naylor's six bombs, three

1:07:33

sixty five on base, he'll take that. Jose Ramirez

1:07:36

has drawing no walks whatsoever, but he's been able to

1:07:38

supply the team with five home runs. And you've

1:07:40

had Gabrielle Jodias be able to do a solid

1:07:42

job of being a move line hitting about a two eighty. Steven

1:07:44

Kwan is hitting a three fifty as well. Need

1:07:47

a little bit more out of some of these guys that are a little

1:07:49

bit lower on the total pole, as you've got Tyler

1:07:51

Freeman only about it two twenty five or

1:07:53

so. But on all this is a much improved Cleveland

1:07:55

Guardians lineup that has been able to do a really

1:07:57

good job of hitting against left He's hitting dartney or

1:07:59

three hundred against the leftiest, so that is

1:08:02

going to be big for them. And for Chris Sale, he's

1:08:04

been still able to get his swings and misses. He's

1:08:06

still giving you a darn near nine and after ten strikeouts,

1:08:08

Bernion Endings and hasn't done a bad job with the walks,

1:08:11

just giving up a little bit too much of our contact. He's given

1:08:13

up three home runs in twenty four and two thirds innings

1:08:15

has given up three plus runs in each out of his

1:08:17

past two starts, so that's been a little bit

1:08:19

of an issue. But I feel like Chris Sale has honestly

1:08:21

been a little bit unlucky on the balls and play. I do think

1:08:23

that there should be a little bit of better fortune

1:08:26

coming through here. But with the Cleveland Guardians,

1:08:28

what they've got is one of the best bullpens out there in the big leagues.

1:08:30

There's really not a weak link other than Tyler

1:08:32

Beattie in that bullpen, and they're only utilizing

1:08:35

him if the game is pretty much over. For the Cleveland

1:08:37

Guardians, they currently rank in terms of bullpenny ra

1:08:40

number two in the big leagues of manual Class A. Has

1:08:42

been lockdown all season long. And keep

1:08:44

in mind they're doing this without James Kirnchuck

1:08:46

Hunter Gaddis failure of a star has been

1:08:48

amazing in the bullpen. You've been able to have guys like

1:08:50

Kate Smith, Tim Aaron and company do an incredible

1:08:53

job, and for the Alanta Brazer more on tenth. In terms

1:08:55

of Bullpenny Ray the other Mansick's still clearly

1:08:57

not healed after spending pretty much all of last season

1:09:00

on the injured list.

1:09:01

Do you like what I've seen?

1:09:02

Jesse shaves this long guy, Rossie oglesis

1:09:04

he's able to close the door as well unless a few have

1:09:06

the run line of their previous series against Mayum

1:09:09

Marlins. But all in, I do think that for the Guardians

1:09:11

Logan Allen, he's gonna give up his But the way

1:09:13

that the Guardians hit lefties and the way that

1:09:15

the Cleveland Guardians have been nails in the bullpen, I

1:09:18

think that this number has gone a little bit too far, as we won't think

1:09:20

plus one sixty nine or higher with the Cleveland

1:09:22

Guardians. We're seeing a lot of plus one seventy greater. So

1:09:25

gonna be taking a shot on the Cleveland Guardians

1:09:27

here on the money, Blane and gonna be looking at the total

1:09:29

over set my total at nine point three, nine seventy three and nine

1:09:31

to seventy four on the betting board. It is the Cincinnati Reds.

1:09:33

Yes, we're on a Cincinnati there on the road. The Facey

1:09:36

golf against the Walker Texas Rangers. Nathan Evaldi

1:09:38

is on the bump for the Rangers. Grahame Ashcraft goes

1:09:40

for Cincinnati. Nine is a total underspins

1:09:42

what twenty the overs even with the Texas Rangers

1:09:44

are between finas what's sixty to minus what seventy

1:09:46

favorites? Between plus one forty two to plus

1:09:49

one fifty one is your number on the Reds

1:09:51

and won't think a plus one forty seven or higher

1:09:53

on the Reds. I feel like we've gotten just a little

1:09:55

bit too farrier with the Texas Rangers. Now for

1:09:58

the Rangers, they really add their power numbers

1:10:00

be very much slanted to their home

1:10:03

sort of split last season. Last season

1:10:05

with the Rangers, they were number one in the American

1:10:07

League in terms of home runs per game among American

1:10:10

League teams. When they were at home away from them,

1:10:12

they were in the bottom five. So I do think that their

1:10:14

power bats are going to be able to just wake up a little

1:10:16

bit more. You've been able to have any Olascrcia

1:10:18

just carry the team thus far, hitting about a three

1:10:21

undred with seven home runs, and for Corey Seeger,

1:10:23

he's hitting about a two point fifty with one home

1:10:25

run. You know that he's going to be able to pick it up, but it's

1:10:27

been a little bit rough there, so if guys are aa to move

1:10:30

the line, why Langford has really not gone deep all

1:10:32

season long, but he's providing about a three forty

1:10:34

on base Joonahei and Josh Smith, both of these

1:10:36

guys in your north of two seventy five. Marcasimeon

1:10:38

has played four bombs. He's been able to about for

1:10:40

about a three thirty in terms of on base. But have

1:10:43

actually been taking a look at Graham

1:10:45

Ashcraft and I like the fact that he's been cutting

1:10:47

down on the walk seven walks in twenty two and a third

1:10:49

innings as far as the season. Still a

1:10:51

little bit more of a pitch of contact guy, but first

1:10:54

few years at the big league bubble he was getting about six

1:10:56

a half to seven strikecouns for nine nunnings, twenty three

1:10:58

punch outs in twenty two and at third at endings,

1:11:00

So there is a little bit of upside there. And

1:11:02

a rough start against the La Angels last m

1:11:04

out, but I do think that he's putting it together as

1:11:07

a pitcher. And you still have a Texas Rangers bullpen and

1:11:09

that's one that shall we say, lesser ones out there in the big leagues.

1:11:11

This despite the fact that they pick up Kirby Yates, they

1:11:13

pick up David Robertson in the offseason to

1:11:15

be able to four to five things.

1:11:16

I do like Jordan Lanson is upside.

1:11:18

But for the Sexast Rangers unit, they're

1:11:20

currently clocking in twenty first in the big leagues in

1:11:22

terms of bullpenning area, while the Reds have been twelveth

1:11:24

in the league. With this regard, as I've had, mister

1:11:27

Jose Laclerk can not be too tremendous out there in the bullpen

1:11:30

for the Texas Rangers. Well, for the Reds, Alexis

1:11:32

dis has been a little bit up and down, but I still like him

1:11:34

as a closer. Sam Moles now back

1:11:37

and fold He's been able to do a nice shop over

1:11:39

the last few seasons, and Fernando Cruz two seasons

1:11:41

ago at a sub two year looks like he's

1:11:43

back and forth with that once again. And for the since

1:11:45

I reads has been a little bit of an all or nothing

1:11:47

offense, as they have in their last four

1:11:49

games been shut out twice and they scored

1:11:52

seven plus runs of the other two games. But Eli

1:11:54

Da La Cruz, he's really been able to emerge, hitting

1:11:56

above a three hour with seven home runs. That has been absolutely

1:11:58

tremendous. Meanwhile, got Spencer Sears

1:12:01

supplying about a three seventy five on base. It

1:12:03

is a little bit of his body or nothing line up

1:12:05

in which you've got Nick Martini, Christian and

1:12:07

Carnacio and Strange me or Kenda Lario, Jonathan

1:12:09

India, all these guys hitting a two o five or

1:12:12

less. But that said, for the Reds, they've been able

1:12:14

to find a way to be able to move the line. I do think that some

1:12:16

of these younger guys are going to be able picking up with regards

1:12:18

their offense. And for Nathan Evaldi, he's done

1:12:20

a solid job once again of not giving up a

1:12:22

whole bunch of our contact, but his walks

1:12:25

are way up. Typically Nathan Ovaldi is about

1:12:27

a two walks for nine ding guy. It's given up

1:12:29

twelve walks and thirty innings as far this season.

1:12:31

So I have to have your trepidations there. And I do think

1:12:33

that this number as just a general one a little bit

1:12:35

too far. With Rangers not looking as solid

1:12:37

on offense as they did the season go now did

1:12:40

something tole at nine point two. I do think that

1:12:42

for Vivaldi he's going to start to give up a little bit more

1:12:44

contact. He's had a propensity to do

1:12:47

that throughout his career. In the Texas Rangers, bullpen

1:12:49

far from tremendous, so artan nine looking at the over

1:12:51

but getting plus one forty seven to Zier. They get a shot

1:12:53

on the Reds on the money line nine seventy five, nine to seventy six

1:12:55

on the bank board. The Milwaukee Burwers playoffs to the

1:12:58

New York Yankees. Luis eel Is on them

1:13:00

for the Yankees and Colin Rays I said, Pepper Ray

1:13:02

to another start for the Brws. You're going to be getting

1:13:04

them any roteaen plus one or two to plus one ten between

1:13:07

minus one nineteen though minus one twenty five

1:13:09

zerear number on the Yankees eight and a half to eight is a total

1:13:11

on eight over spines with twenty two unders even on the eight

1:13:13

and a half hundreds mines one fifteen over is

1:13:16

minus one oh five and was well and take a plus

1:13:18

one to seven or higher with the Birds. Seeing some plus one ten

1:13:20

out there, I'm going to be one to fire in now for

1:13:22

Colin Ray since he got to the Milwaukee

1:13:24

Birds, his era at home it's been about a half a point

1:13:27

higher then it has been.

1:13:28

Away from home.

1:13:28

But he has looked really good to begin the season,

1:13:30

pitching to a lot of contact, only fourteen strikeouts

1:13:33

in twenty one and two thirds innings, but has done a nice

1:13:35

job holding down the fort. Has really been able to reduce

1:13:37

on the deep bond that was part of the issue from He does give

1:13:40

up more home runs when he's at home rather than away from

1:13:42

home. But for the New York Yankees, it's not as

1:13:44

if they've been absolutely to add.

1:13:45

Two on the ball. You have to wonder if Aaron Judge that

1:13:47

home run they got a.

1:13:48

Few days ago against the Oakland A's when it

1:13:50

looked like he was going to get called out, it's going to be able

1:13:52

to help about just a touch bud for Judge

1:13:54

right now, hitting right around the Mindow's line of about a two

1:13:57

hundred, I've had one soda really be the catalyst

1:13:59

for this offense. Been able to supply six home

1:14:01

runs north of a four hundred on base and then

1:14:03

you do have a few guys that you need to pick it up

1:14:05

as well. Like you've not been able to get a lot

1:14:07

of the catcher spot in general. Labor Taurus

1:14:10

has had his issues. Anthony Rizzoa does

1:14:12

feel like it's starting to pick it up a little bit as

1:14:14

well. But I really liked what I've seen out of Anthony

1:14:16

Volpe along with as Welder Carbrera. Carbret

1:14:19

has been seeing a little bit of a drop off, but on

1:14:21

all these young guys have been able to step up in And speaking

1:14:23

of young guys taking a little bit of a drop off, we have certainly

1:14:26

been seeing that with the Birds in recent days.

1:14:28

But William Cantreras four to forty

1:14:30

five on base with five home runs, he has been absolutely

1:14:32

tremendous for the same. Reese Hoskins not aating for

1:14:34

a bunch of average, but he's been able to apply five home runs

1:14:37

as well. On William Domas couldn't get on base to save

1:14:39

his life last season, but now he a

1:14:41

Bryce terrang Sell free, leg Blake

1:14:44

Perkins. All these guys give you North with three fifty

1:14:46

on base, Adamis has still been able to give you three home runs,

1:14:48

driving in plenty of runs. So I do like what they're

1:14:51

bringing to the table, and this Birds team has been

1:14:53

one of the better bullpens out there in the big leagues, and frankly, both

1:14:55

of these teams, once all said and done, I could see

1:14:57

them being top five teams with regards to Bullpenny

1:14:59

Ray. Both of these scenes are a little bit outside

1:15:02

the top five aestive right now, but that's that. I see

1:15:04

a lot of upside with the Brewers with having out

1:15:06

of the Spaguero Joe Piumps be so dominant.

1:15:08

Hoby Milner had a sub to fifty ERA last

1:15:10

season. Ebner Uribe has really good stuff

1:15:13

and for the New York Yankees in Hamilton has

1:15:15

been a little bit up and down, but he and Ron met on Akio

1:15:17

last season both had a sub three ERA. They bring

1:15:19

in Victor guns Alz, who's been relatively said in cail

1:15:22

Ferguson when he was with the LA Dodgers was the guy

1:15:24

that I always liked. He's had a little bit of rough govid

1:15:26

as far the season, But you get into guys like Tennis

1:15:28

Sing and TANNELA.

1:15:29

Luke Weaver.

1:15:30

I don't think that's quite the same as Milwaukee

1:15:32

Burrs and for Louis Eal two seventy

1:15:34

five era. But here's the issue with Louis

1:15:36

Eal seventeen walks in nineteen

1:15:38

and two thirds innings, like he has really

1:15:41

good, unhittable stuff, and if

1:15:43

he could find any sort of a way to

1:15:45

cut down on these walks, you're looking

1:15:48

at a just like heem with of a pitcher.

1:15:50

That said, he's given out at least three walks

1:15:52

in each other his four starts.

1:15:54

Is when five innings are few and three out of these

1:15:56

four starts, and that puts a lot of stists on the

1:15:58

bullpen, even though it's when miss stuff

1:16:00

is absolutely amazing. So I'm gonna go with the Burwers

1:16:02

here at a plus one h eight or higher. And I did sell my

1:16:04

total at eight point eight. I do think that both of these

1:16:07

teams are gonna be a little bit exposed. And for the Burrs

1:16:09

this is still a bunch as in the top seven in the Big leagues

1:16:11

with regards.

1:16:11

To runs per game.

1:16:12

So I like the over and I like the Brewers on the money

1:16:14

line, and we wrap things up with my dkn now we're

1:16:16

cry to pick. This is nine seventy seven, nine to seventy eight on

1:16:18

the big board. The Arizona diamabaxit the road

1:16:21

face off against the Seattle Managers. Emerson Hancock

1:16:23

goes for Seattle and Zach Allen is

1:16:25

on the bump for Arizona. Arizona is a favorite

1:16:27

eventye between minus one twenty five to mice

1:16:30

well thirty five three plus one fourteen

1:16:32

plus one twenty year number on Seattle. Seven

1:16:34

is the total and most spots with the over between minus

1:16:36

one twenty five to mis one thirty That makes the under between

1:16:39

plus one five to plus one ten. Seeing a straight seven

1:16:41

a half out there as well under his mine sue twenty five,

1:16:43

the overs plus one oh five and right a pick

1:16:45

is going to be on the Seattle Manners money line. I

1:16:47

was wanting to go to a minus one o two and I

1:16:49

do like this little over as well. I saw my total at

1:16:51

at some point seven. But for the

1:16:54

Manners, this is more or less a fate of Zach Gallen

1:16:56

on the road. For Zach Gallon, he has

1:16:58

been so different at home rather than

1:17:00

away from home since begining part of the twenty

1:17:03

twenty three season. It's starked Homie Ray

1:17:05

of a two nineteen with a half home run allowed,

1:17:07

berni and innings in his regular season starts at

1:17:09

home since the beginning of the twenty twenty three season

1:17:12

on the road four to sixty five ERA

1:17:14

with one point three home runs allowed

1:17:17

per nin and nings. Now fore, Emerson Ancock,

1:17:19

he's still figuring out how to be a picture at the big

1:17:21

league level. But just like so many of his other

1:17:24

young guns out there in the Seattle manners

1:17:26

just sort of rotation. He's been

1:17:28

able to do a really nice job but be able to reduce on the

1:17:30

walks. As for Seattle, you've got so many

1:17:32

guys that they do a nice job being able to hold

1:17:35

down the four make sure that they don't beat

1:17:37

themselves. For Emerson Hancock has given

1:17:39

up to three walks in twenty and two thirds innings

1:17:41

as far the season. Not straightcutter, so he's only

1:17:43

getting about sixt hass strikecouts Berni and Ennings.

1:17:45

He's got a six ni arra, but the fielding independent

1:17:47

is quite a bit better than that. He has given up four home

1:17:49

runs in twenty and two thirds innings, But I

1:17:52

do think that there's a lot of upside with him. Went into

1:17:54

curis Field, granted a team in the

1:17:56

Cotrad Rockies that's in bad form, but only

1:17:58

gave up two runs, one of which was earned at six innings.

1:18:00

In that start. So other than that Brewers

1:18:03

started, he's been able to do a nice job holding down the fort

1:18:05

end. He's got much more at his disposably

1:18:07

be able to help out with regards the bullpen. As

1:18:09

the Seattle Mariners team, they just had become the West

1:18:11

Coast version of the Tampa Bay Race with way that

1:18:13

they pull out these bullpen pieces. Trent Thornton,

1:18:15

Taylor's, Cato gab Spier, all these guys

1:18:18

give you some three five era. Cody Bolton has

1:18:20

joined the staff, He's been able to do a relatively solid

1:18:22

job as well, and then got in Arizona Diamondbacks

1:18:24

bullpen that just doesn't compare Mariners

1:18:27

number three in the big leagues in terms of bullpenning area. Diamondbacks

1:18:29

are currently twenty fs. They're dealing with

1:18:32

injury Drew Luis Frias, who's

1:18:34

currently on the full. I do like what you've been able to got

1:18:36

Bryce Jarvis as a little.

1:18:37

Bit of a long guy.

1:18:38

But when you're having to rely upon some of the likes

1:18:40

of Scott McGough, Joe Mantiply, these guys

1:18:42

have been a little bit rough and for the years in the Diamondbacks,

1:18:45

to their credit, at the offense just continues to smash

1:18:47

number two in the big leagues with regards to runs per game,

1:18:49

as you've got Kido Marte longthoride Iss Guriel

1:18:51

both playing five home runs, both giving you at least a three

1:18:53

under batting average. Chris Walker is being able to give

1:18:55

you about a three eight on base as well. But I do

1:18:58

think that the ballpark factors are very

1:19:00

big in this one. In Seattle, the air is very

1:19:02

heavy during the nighttime. It's not overly hot here

1:19:04

in the month of April as well. That very

1:19:07

much plays to the picture. Contact Guy and mister

1:19:10

Emerson Hancock, and for Seattle, it

1:19:12

does feel like the offense is game going a little bit

1:19:14

more at least four runs scored in five out of their

1:19:16

last seven games. They've been a little bit rough there

1:19:18

as Julio Rodriguez still suck on one home run,

1:19:20

but now moving the line in you get two seventy five.

1:19:22

Need a little bit more.

1:19:23

The likes of Mitch Garver, JP Crawford, Orde

1:19:25

Planco, they're all able to leave the Mendo's

1:19:28

line of two hundred, but Ty France has been able

1:19:30

to give you about a two sixty five average. Coyle Rowley

1:19:32

six bombs three thirty on base. Mitch Aneger

1:19:35

has been able to give you some good production as well. I do

1:19:37

think that the Seattle Manners get to Zach Gell, and I think

1:19:39

that Emerson Hancock is coming into his

1:19:41

own And with regards to my ride a pick going to

1:19:43

be going with Mariners on the money line made them the very slight

1:19:45

favorite. And here to seven two and seven and a half also

1:19:47

looking at the over and that wrap things up for the Friday

1:19:50

edition of The Baseball Beting Show, now part of Visa family

1:19:52

of podcasts. Think thanks to Will Hill. He does amazing

1:19:54

work here at Visa. He joined me in the last segment. If

1:19:56

you do like hearing from this fine podcast Baseball Betting

1:19:58

Show, you're able to subscribe whatever your podcasts,

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Out the baseball season. So he'll be back with your

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1:20:27

Thank you,