Episode Transcript
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0:00
This week, something wonderful happened. Javier
0:05
Mele, a libertarian conservative with a colorful
0:07
past and a penchant for video virality, won
0:09
a stunning election victory in Argentina, a
0:12
country that has witnessed left wing financial
0:14
and economic mismanagement for decades. We
0:17
can all hope Mele's election serves as the beginning
0:19
of a backlash to the so-called pink
0:21
wave. That pink wave isn't an iron
0:24
wall, as it was with Soviet occupied Eastern
0:26
Europe. It is popularly elected leftist
0:28
governments in South and Latin America that have
0:30
increasingly pursued not only economic
0:32
redistributionism and nationalism of
0:34
industry, but outright tyranny and anti-Americanism.
0:38
For all the American press's talk of creeping authoritarianism
0:40
across the globe, when it comes to America's southern
0:43
neighbors, the real threat is creeping socialism
0:46
with its attendant record of poverty, human
0:48
rights abuses and threats to democracy.
0:56
One major player leading this charge is the
0:58
Sao Paulo Forum, or Foro de Sao
1:00
Paulo, FSP. Imagine
1:03
a group of right wing parties who got together each
1:05
year to plot international cooperation
1:07
with each other. That would be fodder for massive
1:09
media coverage, accusations of conspiracy.
1:12
But that's precisely what the FSP is.
1:15
The forum was created in response to the fall of the
1:17
Berlin Wall. It was an attempt to rebrand
1:19
socialism and communism for the new
1:21
age. Members of the FSP include
1:24
the current leaders of Venezuela, Bolivia,
1:27
Brazil, Chile, Colombia,
1:30
Cuba, Dominican Republic, Honduras,
1:33
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama
1:36
and St. Lucia. Participants must
1:38
commit to willingness to renew leftist
1:41
and socialist thoughts to correct mistaken
1:43
conceptions and to reaffirm its emancipating
1:45
character. Countries with FSP
1:47
leadership have been dominated by corruption, slowed
1:50
economic growth and represent a pink tide
1:52
that threatens America's interests in our own hemisphere.
1:55
There's a history
1:56
and a pattern to that pink wave. The
1:58
first pink wave happened shortly. after the Cold
2:00
War. South and Latin America were predominantly
2:03
open to free market economics and more conservative
2:05
governance. But as with many countries
2:07
experiencing the rough transition from centralized
2:10
economics to free markets, the reaction
2:12
came quickly. In 1998, socialist
2:15
dictator Hugo Chavez was elected in Venezuela.
2:17
He quickly transformed one of the most prosperous
2:19
countries in the region, a country with massive
2:22
oil reserves, into a hellhole backwater
2:24
economically. Chavez's victory was
2:27
followed by Lula da Silva's in Brazil in 2003, and
2:30
Evo Morales's in Bolivia in 2006. They
2:33
were followed in their ascension by others, including
2:35
Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner in Argentina
2:37
in 2007. With the commodities
2:40
boom ending with the recession of 2007, 2008, and with the decline of China
2:43
as a global economic power, the pink tide ended
2:46
in electoral disaster. In 2015,
2:49
Kirchner's heir apparent was defeated by a center-right
2:51
opponent. Dilma Rousseff, Lula's
2:53
former chief of staff, was removed from office that same
2:55
year, impeached for corruption, and in 2018, Ayer
2:58
Bolsonaro won election in Brazil. Beginning
3:00
in 2018, however, with the rise of
3:03
Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador in Mexico, the
3:05
left struck back, ushering in a second
3:07
pink wave. In 2019, Argentinian
3:10
Peronist Alberto Fernandez took the
3:12
presidency. Luis Arce and
3:15
his movement for socialism dominated the 2020
3:17
Bolivian election. In 2021, Peru
3:20
elected socialist Pedro Castillo. Honduras
3:23
elected leftist Gio Mara Castro. And
3:25
in Chile, Gabrielle Borre won his election.
3:28
In 2022, leftist Gustavo
3:30
Petro, former Marxist guerrilla member and
3:32
Hugo Chavez Acolyte, became the first leftist
3:35
president of Colombia ever. We'll get
3:37
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4:36
So what have the consequences of left
4:38
wing rule been in these countries? They've been
4:40
nothing short of disastrous. We
4:42
begin with Venezuela. Venezuela's GDP
4:45
dropped roughly three quarters between 2014 and 2021. Oil
4:49
output has dropped dramatically. Its debt
4:51
burden is at least one hundred fifty billion dollars. Hyperinflation
4:54
has set in. In 2018, inflation
4:56
was one hundred and thirty thousand percent
4:59
and remained at two hundred thirty four percent in 2022. Venezuelan
5:03
citizens have been forced to extremes to
5:05
survive, up to and including infamously
5:07
eating dogs in Caracas. This is
5:09
why more than seven million Venezuelans have fled Venezuela
5:11
since 2014. Brazil. In
5:14
the aftermath of Jair Bolsonaro's election, the
5:16
international media, largely left wing and orientation,
5:19
talked up the supposed risks of dictatorship. But
5:21
it was Lula, head of the corrupt Workers Party,
5:24
who had been convicted in 2017 of bribery and
5:26
money laundering. Later, the Supreme Court would
5:28
vacate the case on a technicality, although the charges
5:30
were never disproved. As Maria Anastasia
5:32
O'Grady writes in The Wall Street Journal, quote, During
5:35
the presidential campaign last year, Mr. De
5:37
Silva benefited from an electoral tribunal that
5:39
censored his critics. His new government will use
5:42
speech police to shut down what it judges to be fake
5:44
news and misinformation. Lula has
5:46
drawn closer to Iran and Russia and
5:48
Beijing has embraced Nicolás Maduro,
5:50
calling him my companero and a victim
5:52
of a narrative constructed against Venezuela.
5:56
Argentina leftism is destroying
5:58
Argentina's economy. Inflation is currently. running
6:00
at 140%. As O'Grady
6:02
writes, since Argentine inflation began
6:05
to take off again in 2007, total
6:07
money supply grew on average 30.7% every year
6:09
according to the Ministry of
6:11
the Economy, which is why in 2021,
6:14
the Frente de Todos lost power in Congress. It's
6:16
also why Javier Rile is now President of the United
6:19
States. Mexico Andres Manuel Lopez
6:21
Obrador, also known as AMLO, has attacked
6:23
formerly autonomous agencies, attacked
6:26
journalists by exposing their personal income data, violated
6:29
electoral laws, used his judicial branch to
6:31
prosecute his enemies. According to the
6:33
Economist Intelligence Unit, Mexico is no
6:35
longer a flawed democracy, it is now a hybrid
6:38
regime. Terese Acaria, no right
6:40
winger, labeled AMLO a populist demagogue
6:42
straight out of the worst pages of Latin American history.
6:45
Drug cartels control large swathes of the country,
6:48
including huge border areas. Bolivia
6:51
Luis Arce, the current President of Bolivia, has
6:53
been trying to stave off the return of Evo Morales.
6:56
This year, the police arrested Luis Camacho,
6:58
the right-wing governor of opposition area Santa Cruz.
7:01
He was accused of attempting to launch a coup d'etat against
7:03
Morales, who had resigned in 2019 under
7:05
mass protests. According to the World Justice
7:07
Project's Rule of Law Index, Bolivia
7:10
ranks 139th on justice, just
7:12
ahead of Venezuela. Bolivia's debt problems
7:14
now force citizens to line up outside the central
7:16
bank to withdraw money. Gas production has
7:18
dropped as well. Colombia Gustavo
7:21
Petro is the first left-wing leader in Colombia in
7:24
over a generation. Petro is a fan of Venezuelan
7:26
ruler Nicolas Maduro. He actually endorsed Joe Biden
7:28
in 2020. He's a longtime critic of
7:30
capitalism. He says fossil fuels
7:33
lead to human extinction, which is strange given his state's
7:35
dependence on fossil fuels. Petro's
7:38
numbers are egregiously bad with his own population. 84%
7:40
believe security is getting
7:42
worse. 84% think the cost of
7:44
living is getting worse. 74% think corruption is getting
7:47
worse. His coalition is collapsing and
7:49
economic growth is down. Honduras.
7:52
Honduran President Gio-Maro Castro, the
7:54
wife of the former Honduran president, who was ousted
7:56
after he attempted to violate the law by centralizing
7:59
power in the state. has herself suspended constitutional
8:01
rights in some areas of the country, supposedly
8:03
in order to combat extortion from criminal gangs. The
8:06
head of the National Anti-Corruption Council has
8:08
been forced to flee the state in order to avoid threats.
8:11
According to Freedom House, institutional weakness,
8:14
corruption, violence, and impunity undermine
8:16
the overall stability of Honduras. Journalists,
8:18
political activists, and women are often the victims
8:21
of violence, and perpetrators aren't rarely brought to justice. Nicaragua
8:25
Nicaragua has been a de facto dictatorship since the rise
8:27
of Daniel Ortega in 2006. In 2020,
8:30
an uprising in Nicaragua was put down to bloody effects,
8:32
with 300 dead and 100,000 people fleeing. Ortega
8:35
is aligned with China and Russia and Iran. Nicaragua
8:38
is the second poorest country in the Western Hemisphere.
8:41
Chile
8:42
In March 2022, Gabriel Borich
8:44
took office as the first full leftist president since 1970.
8:48
He immediately sought to change the constitution in
8:50
dramatic ways, pushing a bevy of alterations,
8:52
including forced gender parity in government
8:54
offices, abolition of the Chilean Senate, universal healthcare,
8:57
and a bunch of other left-wing wish
8:59
list items. The constitution failed
9:01
by a 62% vote. This
9:03
forced Borich to fire six members of his cabinet and
9:05
move more toward the center-left. Rising
9:08
crime has also forced Borich to move to the right. Borich
9:10
has been relegated to attempting to nationalize its
9:12
lithium reserves in a foolish attempt to boost
9:15
its economy, and attempting to bribe
9:17
citizens with cash transfer payments. The
9:19
pink tide that has risen, receded, and
9:21
risen again will ultimately crash against the
9:23
rocks of reality as it has in the past.
9:26
Corruption and lack
9:27
of rule of law create the preconditions for
9:29
dissatisfaction with any government. The left-wing
9:31
governments in Latin and South America have channeled
9:33
that dissatisfaction into anti-democratic
9:36
centralization of power and impoverishment
9:38
of their own citizenry. It's well
9:40
beyond time for Latin Americans to recognize that
9:42
the true threat to their futures comes not from
9:44
the conservative right and free-market economics, but
9:47
from the would-be socialists who have consigned their
9:49
countries to underdevelopment and suffering. Mille's
9:51
election is one of the first steps in that understanding.
9:54
We should hope it isn't the last. you
10:30
you you
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