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What have we actually learned about foreign election interference?

What have we actually learned about foreign election interference?

Released Friday, 12th April 2024
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What have we actually learned about foreign election interference?

What have we actually learned about foreign election interference?

What have we actually learned about foreign election interference?

What have we actually learned about foreign election interference?

Friday, 12th April 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

You're listening to a frequency podcast.

0:03

Network production. Where's.

0:05

The line. Between. Election

0:08

Influence An election

0:10

Interference. What?

0:12

Did our prime minister know. And

0:15

when. And. What did he do about

0:17

it? Our

0:19

Canada's elections. Safe And

0:21

Secure. How Safe? How

0:24

secure? exactly? These

0:27

are all huge questions. Here's

0:29

one more. How.

0:31

Much should we be told

0:33

about all of that, If

0:35

telling us could compromise our

0:37

efforts to prevent that interference.

0:40

Or. Harm the ability of

0:42

our intelligence services to operate

0:44

in general. This

0:47

is the paradox we've been

0:49

confronting over the past few

0:51

weeks as an inquiry into

0:54

foreign election interference has attempted

0:56

to walk a tightrope. Between

0:59

public transparency and effective

1:01

intelligence gathering, The.

1:04

Penultimate example of that came

1:07

on Wednesday afternoon when Prime

1:09

Minister Justin Trudeau are tempted

1:11

to finesse both sides of

1:13

the equation for would do

1:15

say that the content of

1:18

this particular these notes these

1:20

briefing as accurately convey his

1:22

what you were told during

1:24

the briefing. Not

1:28

particularly. Today.

1:31

The inquiry will conclude with

1:34

the Director of Css who

1:36

may well recall those conversations

1:38

differently than the Prime Minister,

1:42

If that happens, it will

1:44

raise even more serious questions

1:46

about who exactly is telling

1:49

Canadians the truth and how

1:51

much of that. No

1:54

matter what happens though, The. Biggest

1:56

question remains. We

1:58

now know that for and. Vermont's are

2:01

trying to interfere and our

2:03

elections in increasingly brazen ways.

2:06

So. What are we doing about it?

2:12

And Jordan, he's Rawlings. This is the

2:14

big stories. Laura

2:18

Stevenson is a professor of

2:20

Political Science at Western University

2:22

and decoder rector of the

2:24

Consortium on Electoral Democracy. Say

2:26

Laura: Hi There I have

2:28

to ask you is somebody.

2:30

Who has paid attention to the

2:33

scandal in this inquiry? I wanna

2:35

know what's the questions that you

2:38

were had going into it? Were

2:40

What Were you hoping you'd learn

2:42

or from this inquiry? Yeah,

2:45

you know there's a number of aspects

2:47

that works and of size swimming around

2:49

in my mind. and most importantly, I

2:51

think it was actually the nature of

2:53

the interference that I was curious about.

2:56

All I've been paying a lot of

2:58

attention to other say that the previous

3:00

information that has come out and the

3:02

directive about not actually affecting the electoral

3:05

outcome switch parties had been affected or

3:07

which candidates had been targeted i guess

3:09

more directly but understanding little bit more

3:11

about the actual processes. Who did a

3:14

levers. That's our foreign bodies are

3:16

using to try any impact our elections

3:18

and an intern or democracy? sorry That

3:21

was what I was most interesting of

3:23

course. kind of focusing on. How

3:25

do we avoid the right? How do

3:28

we protect ourselves against this? And we'll

3:30

talk about the details in a minute.

3:32

But we often speak on his podcast

3:34

about transparency from governments or just ask

3:37

you for your overall impression. Did your

3:39

questions get? Answer them as process? Yes

3:41

and no. But. I think this

3:43

is an interesting point. Eight, Eight

3:45

Eight. We all want transparency. We

3:47

all wanna know what's going on,

3:49

how, why still houses impacting things,

3:51

and especially when it comes to

3:54

our alexa. right? As Six assists

3:56

the fundamentally important thing that we're

3:58

dealing mass and I've done work

4:00

with Elections can't and I know

4:02

how much effort they put into

4:04

upholding the integrity of our electoral

4:06

process, and yet would is so

4:08

fascinating about what has come out

4:10

of these hearings. Is. How.

4:13

That interest. Is. Kind of

4:15

at odds. With. Our intelligence.

4:18

Agencies. Rate and how the

4:20

might have these competing situations where

4:22

you know as to the public

4:24

hearings. Oh neat hail the electoral

4:26

oh come blizzard affected is one

4:28

thing that. Needs to be able to

4:31

trust that like that. The fundamental part. Of democracy

4:33

rates and for. Any of

4:35

these intelligence agencies to share their

4:38

information or for their information once

4:40

shared to be made public is

4:42

that puts at risk other elements.

4:45

Of Canadian Democracy or the Key

4:47

and State Road. This is a

4:50

and like uncharted territory right? Bullets.

4:52

Talk about some of the details

4:54

than and maybe before we get

4:56

to Prime Minister Trudeau his testimony

4:58

or follow up on your opening

5:00

statement which is just what did

5:03

we learn about. What

5:05

that attempt to interfere or those

5:07

attempts to interfere look like on

5:09

the ground? What I have not

5:11

heard. Is that there's anything like what we

5:13

made a scene. And old movies. There's

5:15

no ballot stuffing. Thorough see: No. Interference

5:18

with the actual mechanisms of a

5:20

less sense Instead what I've heard

5:22

Anyways, from the testimony and my

5:24

reading of them, it was very

5:26

fascinating to hear that you know

5:28

there could have been busloads of

5:30

international students that were going to

5:33

nomination contest to cast support for

5:35

individuals were seen as China friendly

5:37

are also that of the best

5:39

term But what is really interesting

5:41

about that is that are actually

5:43

nothing to prevent these people from

5:45

doing that right. There's nothing. In

5:47

the rules of the nomination contest

5:49

to say that the individuals were

5:52

allowed to be there, Snell that

5:54

it was a concerted effort by

5:56

a foreign body That's. A. Profit. What do

5:58

we know about that? Where they threat didn't

6:00

you doing it Where they call worst, where

6:02

they paid. Have we learned anything about like

6:05

how that happened? In the course of this

6:07

inquiry set those are open questions to me.

6:10

Is it suspicious? Yes, it

6:12

may be suspicious, but is it

6:14

know like how do we know

6:16

know know that it in fact

6:18

was a foreign interference? I mean

6:20

that would take a lot of

6:22

digging right? What we did hear

6:24

from a different instances was that

6:26

there were pressures going through different

6:28

types of media sources and social

6:30

media campaigns and things like that

6:32

that would be pressuring the asper

6:34

communities ensue casting ballots. So this

6:37

would be you know, people who

6:39

are eligible to vote. So these

6:41

are T. And citizens who would be

6:43

allowed to make up their mind to

6:45

vote however they'd so. I. We

6:47

don't a mandate how someone can

6:49

make up their mind and they

6:51

were being pressured. By

6:53

and side actors great

6:56

in ways to disadvantages

6:58

certain candidates. We. Also

7:00

heard there was like i'm misinformation that

7:02

was appearing on social media that with

7:04

us to be taken down about Trudeau

7:07

and we do know that they're very

7:09

attempt made to kind of regulate the

7:11

kind of electoral information that gets put

7:13

out there. We care about. What

7:16

would be called third party advertising. Night. So

7:18

non party advertise sex and something that's

7:20

been a concern for a long time

7:22

ago. so it makes sense that that's

7:24

kind of gone over into the social

7:27

media world trade but at the same

7:29

time when it's like unofficial channel like

7:31

it would be the same as the

7:33

are seeing anybody A on your block

7:35

hey you know what influence you. Vote

7:37

Road of course we don't know is their

7:40

coworkers it was their threats involves all these

7:42

things which as to take it into a

7:44

different level. But it's kind of

7:46

the amazing I guess. vulnerability. Of

7:49

the individual citizen decision that I

7:51

think as what I take away

7:54

the most from what I've been

7:56

hearing. And it's a question, I

7:58

guess of. We're that. Mine is

8:00

between you making up your own mind

8:02

based on everything you've heard and seen,

8:04

which. For. Sure could include stuff

8:06

from people who are obviously trying to

8:09

influence your vote and and the other

8:11

side of that line which is where

8:13

we talk about coercion and threats or

8:15

bribery or whatever. but it if you're

8:17

not talking to the people who passed

8:19

that ballot. I don't know how you

8:21

would find that out. I think that

8:24

in a Pena nailed it. How do

8:26

we figure out what's going on here?

8:28

And then some of the other testimony. That came

8:31

out gave me even more pause. Because

8:33

the hear the question would be well

8:35

why don't we tell people what's going

8:37

on Why don't we try to correct

8:39

misinformation like the disclaimers that we see

8:41

on x ray services things that get

8:44

posted But then what I was hearing

8:46

people say is that of see then

8:48

we're putting our intelligence gathering at risk.

8:51

So. It's a make public. What?

8:53

We're hearing sometimes it's not even

8:56

substantiated. It's not clear, there's tons

8:58

of evidence is just intel. So

9:00

the process is that we would

9:02

take to try and correct that.

9:05

In terms of a pursuing free and

9:07

fair elections. Me, in fact, be

9:09

hindered by we're the intel coming

9:11

from and what happens when you

9:14

share that he has? It's a

9:16

really complex. Environment that we

9:18

are now trying to navigate and

9:20

figure out how to we maintain

9:23

the integrity of our elections as

9:25

well as the integrity of our

9:27

you know of our state A

9:29

call it right the bigger picture

9:31

at the end. They kind of

9:33

international world and also of course

9:36

you know whose interests get played

9:38

out one right and so had

9:40

other political parties themselves play in.

9:42

And actually do We have transparency

9:44

Independence. And nonpartisanship going on to

9:46

as we are trying to navigate

9:48

what's happening where. Over. The

9:51

course of the inquiry. What did

9:53

we learn about? How

9:55

this information was handled

9:57

and communicated to senior.

10:00

Political staff or even the prime Minister. and

10:02

then. Where. Those decisions

10:04

were made to inform the

10:06

public or mostly to not

10:08

inform the public. In L

10:10

As has to say, I. Need a better

10:12

spreadsheet to keep track of every. Piece

10:14

of information because it appears that

10:17

some were communicated. And some

10:19

words most went to

10:21

not see minister. and

10:24

then with maybe filtered up in

10:26

some cases and a lot of

10:28

the decisions were made at the

10:30

level of you know did this

10:32

affect the outcome of the election

10:34

or is this having concrete a

10:36

sex said they would have to.

10:38

Push forward right? and How credible?

10:40

Is this information so that we make

10:43

a public. right? That's it. That's

10:45

a big thing and so how much can

10:47

we trust? Said Nice. It was really fascinating

10:49

to hear. You know how the the party

10:52

dealt with the idea that potentially one of

10:54

the nomination contest has been compromised? How do

10:56

they figure out what to do? In which

10:58

case? Ed and this is not immediately clear

11:00

Any the. But then we have a tool

11:03

saying up to nine seats were lost because

11:05

of that. Where would he get

11:07

that kind of information from? Or where does he

11:09

say he got it right? So what I mean.

11:11

all of the parties do a lot of

11:13

a polling. And on the ground work to try

11:15

and figure out where they think they're gonna get

11:18

seats. Price will. Likely what happens is

11:20

they found nine seats they thought they

11:22

were gonna win and in those nine

11:24

seats this is not at the level

11:26

of counting ballot. Like this

11:28

is that a situation of how many hanging

11:30

chads were there that you know whether we

11:32

have to figure out. Road In said it's

11:35

death eat out. There was pressure set and

11:37

we think that pressure caused us to lose

11:39

these many seats. But you know? here's the

11:41

thing. Unless you get into the mind of

11:44

those voters, you know. I

11:51

just one of the reasons I'm

11:53

talking to you right now is

11:55

because this is so confusing to

11:57

wrap my head around. And Friday.

12:00

Hum to a determination of.

12:03

How much I trust the government of

12:05

who needs to win the next election?

12:08

To. Tell me what's going on

12:10

behind the scenes in terms of

12:12

people trying to influence that very

12:14

election. I mean that's a a

12:16

really cheaply in. I have been

12:18

paying. A lot of attention to what

12:20

did Trudeau say he did and did

12:22

not care about. Like Serena Gold also

12:24

had some as her statements. what were

12:27

they paying attention to and not paying

12:29

attention to? and would they feel it

12:31

was their place to weigh in on

12:33

and not and to be fair a

12:35

lot of their information they received after

12:37

the. Election in. This.

12:40

Is where it gets tricky ib I

12:42

think that we want to have independent

12:44

and nonpartisan bodies and I would say

12:46

kinda as really lucky with a body

12:48

like elections Canada does over see things

12:50

in a very non partisan way but

12:53

still cool. Makes the determination of whether

12:55

something is in the foreign security well.

12:58

He. Sits in the electoral integrity realm.

13:00

That's a really tricky question and

13:02

I meta I would trust selections

13:04

kinda. I. Have to be

13:06

honest as to be a nonpartisan look,

13:09

but I'm guessing they don't have the

13:11

same clearance to talk about this of

13:13

foreign affairs that these other ministers do

13:15

raid and I know. Maybe

13:18

that's a way forward right to

13:20

better integrate these offices. To

13:22

have it coming from an official

13:24

non partisan office. Yeah. I

13:27

mean, we saw that in previous things,

13:29

right that weren't about foreign interference, but

13:31

they were more a domestic raised like

13:34

the Robo Call scandal and us like

13:36

that rates. We have a lot of

13:38

rules in place the domestically to make

13:40

sure all of our political actors are

13:43

behaving correctly. So it's just a question

13:45

of, you know, maybe he said those

13:47

same offices also be playing the role

13:50

here and here sometimes. As to be

13:52

honest, it's unclear to me that there

13:54

was any clear partisan bias like. I

13:56

did. I haven't heard anything that really

13:59

raise the alarm. For me, maybe

14:01

a what if I looked even

14:03

a greater detail split? Regardless,

14:05

Of whether. Something inappropriate occurred

14:08

or didn't. It enough

14:10

disappoint of transparency and of

14:12

the citizen trust in the

14:14

electoral process is so fundamentally

14:16

important that even the impression

14:18

that may. Foreign. Actors

14:21

were allowed to continue with

14:23

their behaviors because of partisan

14:25

preferences are incentives that is

14:28

very damning for the strength.

14:30

A tedious maxi. You.

14:33

Mention the Prime Minister he was

14:35

ah the quote unquote headliner this

14:37

week as the inquiry is almost

14:39

wrapped up what did you take

14:41

away from how is he communicated

14:43

or with comedians but also I

14:46

guess with with the inquiries about.

14:49

What he decided to tell Canadians and

14:51

not tell Canadians. And what Impression: As

14:53

somebody who cares about the health of

14:56

our democracy in our elections, what impression

14:58

did you take from that. Said.

15:00

The impression that I took

15:02

was that he prioritized our

15:04

intelligence gathering efforts. In

15:06

the sense that he didn't. Fuss. Further,

15:09

To. Go on the

15:11

side of transparency about the

15:14

electoral process, he was saying.

15:17

Since. We don't know for sure rate

15:19

as I think he said that a

15:21

number of times right? Like this is

15:23

intel it's not evidence of her and

15:26

so would do we put our of

15:28

intelligence gathering kind of have rules. For

15:31

intel rather than hard

15:33

facts. And. So I

15:35

think his toys came down on the

15:37

side of is. It wasn't fully substantiated

15:39

and I could point to the Ran

15:42

doing. Then we. Proceeded.

15:44

Over the past few weeks would have

15:46

you taken away. From. The

15:49

testimony about oh not a partisan

15:51

side of who told. The.

15:54

Public What and when but a boats

15:56

are the health of our electoral process.

15:58

Yes so A know this. The interesting part

16:01

of it or electoral process made

16:03

as it you know the the

16:05

way we cast ballots they get

16:07

counted it's address. you know I

16:09

think that it's from his mom.

16:11

The question I mean as we

16:13

outlined in years it's couple minutes

16:15

ago by it is about what

16:17

are the pressures being applied on

16:19

individuals who are working through what

16:21

would appear to be legal channels

16:23

but with these outside influences what

16:25

what we've and do about that

16:27

and I'm not sure what the.

16:30

Answer is. Exactly.

16:32

On this because. That. The

16:34

media I listen to or this ah

16:36

things I read or the opinion said

16:38

I'd take a all of these things

16:40

are says you're everyone's mind when it

16:42

comes to voting and I said he

16:44

voting behavior is a black box may

16:47

have since I think a good guess

16:49

but that's all I can do and

16:51

everyone has their. Own a specific

16:53

combination of factors. It's. Time

16:55

a tennis. Prevent. These

16:58

kinds of other influences is a

17:00

real head scratcher. And

17:02

certainly I will say that you know it

17:05

ties in with a lot of the great

17:07

research has been done on misinformation and this

17:09

information. and I do know that. That.

17:11

Might be one. Way to to

17:14

move forward. Was just more and more

17:16

information that is able to be provided

17:18

about what are the kids, it's senses,

17:20

etc. But I was even trying to

17:22

think like okay authors intel and it

17:24

says that a kid is being targeted

17:26

and this is the kind of information

17:28

campaign that goes forward. You know that

17:31

kid. It is now going to be

17:33

put in a difficult situation right? because

17:35

on the one hand he could say

17:37

okay, can you just discount that information

17:39

and per and correct it right You

17:41

can imagine someone doing that on the

17:43

other hand and I cared. It wants

17:45

to win rate and so they

17:47

have an incentive from whatever party

17:50

to be really open about what's

17:52

happening. Sue them night! If

17:54

you can say are it's a seat this

17:56

has been attacked you a dirty till you

17:58

see said you can't kill anyone. You're getting

18:00

your in for tell from maybe this is

18:02

what you said to and your campaign right

18:04

now there's a there's a lot as interesting

18:07

elements to at that I I was very

18:09

fast he had to hear the next parts.

18:11

Of the inquiry. Which I think

18:13

they're going to be trying to tackle. You know

18:15

what can be done? There. Is a

18:18

one more person. The Director of

18:20

Ceases to testify today on Friday.

18:22

What are you looking for? Ah

18:25

of from that testimony and. What?

18:28

Happens if he goes out there and just

18:30

contradicts everything the prime minister just set to

18:32

has become a huge mass. Well.

18:34

It's not as easy tidy thing right now.

18:36

It's kind of a mess. As yes,

18:38

a bigger mess. See, I

18:40

think it would be a huge mess

18:42

is that was to come up because

18:44

I think then any faith in our

18:46

government operating in a non partisan way

18:48

would go out the window. So.

18:51

We didn't. We should pay close attention to

18:53

that. Also, switched guidelines were

18:55

followed. I think that's something that

18:57

is important, right? Because it's such

18:59

as. that's the definition of what

19:01

counts as interference. And

19:03

what is the dividing line between giving

19:05

people information and not giving people? And

19:07

for me, since I think those are

19:09

things that we should be paying close

19:11

attention to. Spray? What's it? What a

19:13

someone think is worthy of communicating with

19:15

others and different offices? And what isn't.

19:17

Right? And the difference between opinions

19:20

that were sharing possibly to influence

19:22

somebody and more direct things like

19:24

bringing people in, chartering, buses, making

19:27

payments, etc. exactly. I mean I

19:29

don't know how much they would be ever

19:31

willing to share about every day of repeated

19:33

intel that yeah I do think this like

19:35

those kinds of this is the pieces in

19:37

parts right They make the payments same rate

19:40

as as one important elements and eat a

19:42

what are the activities that are involved and

19:44

so what do we have to be aware

19:46

of. You know Blake said

19:48

city we have to look to see

19:50

widow who is chartering buses. Around

19:52

election time Ceo is that something we need to

19:55

be looking out more closely. But you know the

19:57

as you think that this is that a lot

19:59

of. The targets because society evolved

20:01

than and people are great at

20:04

figuring out ways to get around

20:06

detection. And rules. Or even

20:08

follow the rules in in ways

20:11

that might be more nefarious. And

20:13

ah, it's not easy. So

20:15

last question and you mentioned the next

20:17

phase is about okay well what do

20:20

we do about this When and what

20:22

should we watch for them? And also

20:24

ah I'm how much my we even

20:26

learn about that because I presume that

20:29

our intelligence services don't want to advertise

20:31

what they're actually doing to try to

20:33

find this stuff. You know what?

20:35

I think, What? we're gonna see

20:37

his arm Lot of information about

20:40

the lines of communication rice and

20:42

I think that's where there's probably

20:44

the best opportunity to clarify. You

20:46

know again, what counts as important

20:48

information? Who does it need to

20:51

be given to Wed? How can

20:53

we deal with obvious partisan conflicts,

20:55

but also partisan interests across the

20:57

board in understanding how all of

20:59

the candidates may or may not

21:02

be affected? How can we. Bring

21:04

individuals kind of into the conversation as

21:06

sometimes it might be indeed to know

21:08

basis but you know when does it

21:10

count as they should. Be told.

21:12

basically. Smile because some of the timeline

21:15

issues are are concerned like if you

21:17

tell me after the fact when my

21:19

sister do about it right and it'll

21:21

and also I guess on also what

21:23

is the level of what someone would

21:25

take to be evidence rather than rumor?

21:27

These things are things that can be

21:30

affected or adjusted by the government's and

21:32

of course a by across partisan committee

21:34

spray because either about definitions and about

21:36

terminology and in a where's that where's

21:38

the line in the sand kind of

21:40

say and I think that they could

21:42

figure. Out how to agree on something

21:44

there because we know we do see

21:46

alternation and power. So the liberals. Are going

21:49

to be in power forever and eat out the

21:51

conservatives words and power forever and might not be

21:53

in the future to So Rashid oh. When that

21:55

happens the are they all have any interest

21:57

in making sure that these rules can get.

22:00

Right Because they don't know who's going to

22:02

be targeted by whom. Went. Laura.

22:04

Thank you so much for this and I

22:06

guess yeah we we just need some real

22:08

wines and not blurred. Once said say for

22:10

having me and it's a really interesting conversation.

22:15

Laura. Stevenson of Western University

22:18

and. A Consortium

22:20

on Electoral Democracy. That

22:23

was the big story. For more

22:25

you can add to the Big

22:27

Story Podcast.see a can of course

22:29

shoot us your suggestions or your

22:31

feedback. Positive negative doesn't matter, we

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read every single one. The way

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to get a to us is

22:37

through email hello at the Big

22:39

Story Podcast.cia or Phone for One

22:42

Six Nine Three Five Five Nine

22:44

Three Five. Joe

22:46

Fish as the lead producer of The

22:48

Big Story. Robin Simon is also a

22:50

producer with the show. Stephanie Philips is

22:52

our show runner married you Brin is

22:55

our digital editor or sound design. This

22:57

week was handled by Christian Pro Home,

22:59

Robin, Edgar, Ryan Clarke and Mark Anglia.

23:02

Cyan. A K as our Manager of

23:05

business Development. I I'm your

23:07

host an executive producer Jordan,

23:09

he's Rawlings together. we're the

23:11

Frequency Podcast Network, a division

23:13

of Rogers. Thanks

23:16

for listening we have in this economy

23:18

for you tomorrow but on Sunday. We

23:21

have a special sneak preview of our

23:23

next big project. just a little one,

23:25

but we've worked so hard on it.

23:27

Really excited to bring it to you.

23:30

It'll be on the feed Sunday morning

23:32

and we'll talk Monday.

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