Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:00
The briefing is brought to you in association
0:02
with the Sustainable Cities in Action Forum at
0:04
Expo City Dubai. The
0:07
Sustainable Cities in Action Forum at
0:09
Expo City Dubai is a place
0:11
for city leaders, developers, architects and
0:13
designers to come together and innovate
0:15
for the future of urban spaces.
0:18
It's an opportunity for the Global South to
0:20
convene in the Global South. It's
0:22
a test bed for real world solutions that
0:24
will shape the future of people and planet.
0:27
You can hear from the innovative thinkers and
0:29
inspirational voices that drove the narrative at this
0:32
year's edition by listening to Monocle's special episodes
0:34
of The Briefing, recorded live at Expo City
0:36
Dubai in March. Find and listen
0:38
to the shows now at monocle.com or wherever
0:41
you get your podcasts. The Sustainable Cities in
0:43
Action Forum 2024. Collaborate,
0:46
innovate, transform. The
0:48
Briefing is brought to you by the Centre
0:50
for Climate Change. You're
0:55
listening to The Briefing, first broadcast on the 26th of April,
0:58
2024 on Monocle Radio. Hello
1:13
and welcome to The Briefing, coming to you
1:15
live from Studio One here at Midori House
1:18
in London. I'm Andrew Muller, coming up on
1:20
today's programme. There's no substitute in our judgment
1:22
for face to face diplomacy
1:24
in order to try to move forward, but
1:26
also to make sure that we're as
1:28
clear as possible about the areas where we have differences.
1:31
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken
1:34
has China's list of red lines
1:36
read to him. Boeing's first quarter
1:38
results merely bad, as opposed to
1:41
the anticipated dreadful. A wrap
1:43
up of the day's business news and.
1:46
Do not be fooled by our politeness. Our
1:50
bows are made of rituals. Death
1:54
is in our air. A Look
1:57
at what you could be watching this weekend. That's
1:59
all coming up. He on the briefing
2:01
on monocle radiate. Welcome
2:09
to today's edition of the briefing
2:11
with me Andrew Miller. The United
2:13
States and the People's Republic of
2:15
China are once again attempting to
2:17
decide how much they dislike each
2:19
other. Us Secretary of State Anthony
2:21
Blink and is in Beijing, where
2:23
his opposite number, Chinese Foreign Minister,
2:25
Wang Yi, welcomed him much as
2:27
the local protection racket might welcome
2:29
a new business to the neighborhood
2:31
Quote: Should China and the United
2:33
States keep to the right direction
2:35
of moving forward with stability, eat
2:37
or return to a downward. Spiral
2:39
joining me to discuss how one
2:41
even begins answering that question is
2:43
Isabel Hilton, founder of China Dialogue
2:45
and a visiting professor at King's
2:47
College London's Lau Institutes? I'm Isabel
2:49
what would have happened if Lincoln
2:52
and said I'll take the downward
2:54
spiral please. Let
2:57
that he says he wouldn't get a
2:59
meeting with least illness is that still
3:02
hasn't been concerned that he was on
3:04
the naughty step up. Live in the
3:06
Us Attorney's pretty robust. Use this as
3:09
it as as you know, They've saved
3:11
his arms, his to issued. A
3:13
very long statement in fairly unfriendly ten
3:15
saying this is how your to the
3:17
whole while you're here and if you
3:20
do well, okay with in Terry until
3:22
kids. Oh, but either way it's good
3:24
to talk, but if you go on
3:26
saying one thing and doing another, that's
3:28
not good enough. So it's pretty undiplomatic
3:31
staff and that I doubt this thing.
3:33
To. Be huge progress on either side.
3:35
Senses are in before we get
3:37
to today's meeting if we measure
3:39
the current situation against. I don't
3:41
know the last decade or so
3:43
how good or bad are things
3:45
between Beijing and Washington? Confess.
3:47
To a decade ago, very bad compared
3:49
to two years ago, even a year
3:51
ago. marginally better. Not in the sense
3:54
that any it's the structural issues to
3:56
be resolved, but with at least they're
3:58
talking and agreeing to me. The
4:00
differences aside for say, look,
4:03
We are going to have differences. It's important.
4:05
Not to let me get out of
4:07
control, but on the margins of those
4:10
statements, things continue to happen. China's behavior
4:12
v. to v the Philippines in the
4:14
South China. Sea has been extremely
4:16
provocative recently and this particular Philippines
4:18
government is an ally of of
4:21
the United States. On like the
4:23
previous one, so you know that
4:25
the talk goes on. but the
4:27
provocations continue and. On. The Us side,
4:30
there's more and more robust rhetoric.
4:32
Or over trade issues over in
4:34
a what's should. Be bad deal
4:37
for sanctions. Have a shitty
4:39
job at over support for
4:41
Taiwan so you know talking.
4:44
Just. About hold it together. So now
4:46
I'm so these visits do matter, but
4:48
we shouldn't. Bleeding to com the scorecard
4:50
could cheat. On
4:53
a one you Chinese Foreign Minister
4:55
has been trying to set out
4:57
what he described as red lines
4:59
on areas like sovereignty, security and
5:01
developments we we have used to
5:03
to narrow this vague conceptualization down
5:05
some what what is an example
5:07
of a red Lines that join
5:10
a will Not Tolerate the United
5:12
States crossing. Over the prime
5:14
one is Taiwan. That's the first red
5:16
line and statement it must not be
5:18
cross. Taiwan is part of China and
5:20
Taiwan questions China's internal affair and them
5:23
and you know that's that's the one
5:25
they're saying. We could do what the
5:27
like over Taiwan, just stay out of
5:29
it. It's none of your business now
5:31
cause that's a direct challenge as get
5:34
a China or Taiwan. Has treaty
5:36
relationship to the United States. It
5:38
has economic and political lessons. So
5:42
it's to say we can do.
5:44
What we like and you can't interfere is
5:46
is a bit of a bad rap. It's
5:48
not something the Us could accept. and beyond
5:50
that a. Human Rights and
5:53
Change The Question: A slave labor
5:55
and. To bet you know those
5:57
who the traditional ones. But. This
5:59
one. picture here, which is
6:01
that China is seeking to redefine
6:03
the global definitions of human rights
6:06
in the sense that now they talk about
6:08
universal human rights with air quotes around the
6:10
universal. And they're essentially
6:12
saying you cannot interfere in the
6:15
internal affairs of another country, starting
6:17
with China, but also as a
6:19
proposition for the world, which radically
6:21
rewrites the UN approach.
6:24
But on the subject of Taiwan in
6:26
particular, Wang Yi knows that that's all
6:28
nonsense, doesn't he? He knows that the
6:31
United States is very invested in Taiwan
6:33
and certainly is interfering by any definition
6:35
that China would apply. There was, of
6:37
course, more aid to Taiwan in this
6:40
much delayed package, including the $61 billion
6:42
in aid for Ukraine that was recently
6:44
passed by Congress. Indeed,
6:48
China knows the United States isn't going to
6:50
stay out of Taiwan, but this is this
6:52
kind of is just hardening
6:54
up the position. I mean, China used to
6:56
say, we advocate for a
7:00
peaceful resolution of Taiwan.
7:02
Now it's far more
7:04
robust. And by laying down these
7:07
markets, by saying that peace
7:09
on the Taiwan Straits and, quote,
7:11
Taiwan independence are as irreconcilable as
7:13
fire and water, they're basically saying
7:15
if anything happens in the Taiwan
7:17
Straits, it's the fault of the
7:19
United States. Or if anything
7:21
happens on Taiwan proper, for that matter, it's
7:24
the fault of the United States. Rather as
7:26
they do in Ukraine, where
7:28
essentially they blame Ukraine supporters
7:30
for adding fuel to the
7:32
fire, rather than Russia for
7:37
invading in the first place. Well, on
7:39
which subject? Blinken did turn up in
7:41
Beijing with kind of a riot act
7:43
of his own. He has said that
7:45
in his meeting with Xi Jinping, he
7:47
did challenge him on China's
7:50
support for Russia. Is there
7:52
really any hope of, if
7:54
not the United States actually prizing China
7:57
and Russia apart, then encouraging China to
7:59
do that? to see that Russia is
8:01
perhaps not the winning side to be on?
8:04
Well, I think the difficulty there is
8:06
that I don't think Xi Jinping can afford to see
8:09
Putin lose in any major
8:11
way or Putin to lose his position. And
8:15
losing the war might, you never quite know where
8:17
that ends. So what
8:19
China is trying to do is to
8:21
stop the negative consequences for China becoming
8:24
too great while taking careful note of
8:26
the limitations of what the United States
8:28
can do. Beyond supporting
8:31
the military effort in Ukraine and
8:35
imposing sanctions, we've seen that
8:37
those sanctions are full of
8:39
holes, particularly if countries like
8:41
India and China put their
8:43
mind to getting
8:45
around them as they have. So the
8:48
fact that China supplies dual-use technologies
8:50
to Russia, they're not actually
8:53
directly supplying arms, but they
8:55
are enabling Russia to rebuild
8:57
its military industrial base. And
8:59
those dual-use technologies, such as
9:01
drones, have been critical in
9:04
the war itself. So
9:06
it's pretty blatant sanctions busting
9:09
in spirit, if not in
9:11
law. Now, the threat that
9:13
the United States is bringing
9:16
in Blinken's briefcase is
9:18
that if this goes on, the
9:20
United States will sanction China's
9:24
financial institutions, the banks. And this
9:26
is another arena of contestation which
9:28
is going to go on getting
9:30
worse. So the US
9:32
control of the dollar and therefore
9:34
of international transactions is a
9:36
pretty powerful weapon. But when deployed against
9:38
Russia, as it has been, what has
9:41
happened is that China and Russia are
9:43
now doing their trade denominated in renminbi
9:45
in the Chinese currency, the same with
9:47
Iran. And China is trying to build
9:49
up alternatives to the SWIFT system, and
9:53
partly to insulate itself from any
9:55
sanctions that might arise from
9:57
Taiwan. So the more that threat is
10:01
dangled, the more China will make efforts to
10:03
build alternative systems. And
10:05
to sanction, for example, a major
10:07
state owned Chinese bank would
10:10
be a kind of declaration of financial
10:12
war and that would be a very
10:14
serious situation. Isabel Hilton, thank
10:16
you as always for joining us. You are
10:19
listening to the briefing. Here is Monica Lillith
10:21
with today's other news headlines. Thanks
10:23
Andrew. Haitian Prime Minister Ariel
10:25
Henri has resigned, paving the way for
10:27
a transitional council to lead the embattled
10:30
country. The nine member transitional
10:32
council, where seven members will have voting powers,
10:34
is expected to help set the agenda of
10:36
a new cabinet. The
10:39
South Korean government has denied being
10:41
responsible for the disastrous 25th Wild
10:43
Scout Jamboree last year after being
10:45
held to blame by investigators. Last
10:48
summer, tens of thousands were evacuated from
10:50
the campsite due to problems with the
10:52
food and medical facilities. A
10:55
huge black barrier to block Mount Fuji
10:57
from view will be installed in a
10:59
popular photo spot by Japanese authorities exasperated
11:02
by crowds of badly behaved foreign
11:04
tourists. Construction of the mesh
11:06
net 2.5 metres high and
11:08
the length of a cricket pitch at 20
11:10
metres will begin as early as next week.
11:14
Those are the day's headlines. Back to you,
11:16
Andrew. Thank you, Monica.
11:18
You are listening to the briefing on Monocle
11:20
Radio with me, Andrew Muller. It's time now
11:22
to take a look at the latest business
11:24
news with the head of investment at Interactive
11:27
Investor, Victoria Schola. Victoria, first of all, a
11:30
rise in shares in Google's parent
11:32
company better than expected earnings. Do
11:34
we understand why they were better
11:36
than expected? Yeah,
11:38
a pretty huge rise actually,
11:40
more than 11% in terms
11:42
of the surge in Alphabet's
11:45
share price. I think it was partly
11:47
due to the fact that its earnings
11:50
beat expectations, but it was also because
11:52
the company reported its first ever dividend
11:54
worth almost $2.5 billion, which
11:57
investors are clearly very happy about and looks like it's
11:59
a big deal. evaluation that set to
12:01
surge past $2 trillion. The
12:03
company is also returning cash
12:05
to shareholders, not just through
12:07
the dividend, but also through
12:09
a $70 billion share buyback.
12:11
So it's a major payday
12:13
for Alphabet investors. In
12:15
terms of the results, we know that revenue jumped 15%
12:17
out pacing expectations.
12:20
The company's CEO, Sundar Pichai,
12:22
said that it was a
12:24
strong performance for Search, YouTube,
12:26
and Cloud, and Google
12:28
was well underway in artificial
12:31
intelligence. Good news
12:33
elsewhere in the tech sector as
12:35
well. A strong set of results
12:37
from Microsoft. Are these related phenomena
12:39
in any respect? Yes,
12:42
absolutely. Both companies are heavily
12:44
invested in artificial intelligence, which
12:46
is a huge market theme
12:48
and has been propelling gains
12:50
across the tech sector with
12:52
companies like NVIDIA staging incredibly
12:54
strong share price performances
12:56
over the last 12
12:58
to 18 months. But we've seen that shares in
13:01
Microsoft jumped by more than 4% after it reported
13:04
earnings that beat expectations. Revenue
13:06
hitting nearly $62 billion,
13:08
and that's because of billions
13:11
in investment into AI, particularly
13:13
in cloud computing, where revenue
13:15
surged by 20%. And
13:18
its CEO, Satya Nadella, said
13:20
that Microsoft's AI tools
13:23
are orchestrating a new
13:25
era of AI transformation,
13:27
driving business outcomes across
13:29
every role and industry.
13:31
Is there any caution discernible in the
13:34
market where these AI led surges in
13:36
shares are concerned? This would not be
13:38
the first tech bubble which has popped
13:40
when it proved
13:43
something short of what was expected. Yeah,
13:46
I think that's absolutely right. And there's no doubt
13:49
that valuations have got pretty ahead of themselves. And
13:51
that's why we have seen some
13:53
stocks correcting in recent weeks. We've
13:56
seen huge share price gains
13:58
for the next year. the
14:00
likes of Microsoft,
14:02
Meta, Nvidia and
14:05
others. And so I think
14:07
investors are thinking that stocks are pretty expensive right
14:09
now so it wouldn't be surprising to see more
14:11
of a correction. Just finally
14:13
another topic that will have been raised
14:15
in the meetings between US Secretary of
14:17
State Anthony Blinken and his Chinese hosts
14:20
is the future of TikTok. There has been
14:22
some sort of announcement from its parent company
14:25
about whether it's going to do what the
14:27
US is telling it. Yes
14:29
and it looks like the parent company
14:32
isn't going to do what they're telling
14:34
it to. China's tech giant ByteDance insists
14:36
that the company has no plans to
14:39
sell TikTok after the US passed the
14:41
law to force the sale of the
14:43
business or else ban the social media
14:46
company altogether stateside. TikTok
14:48
said it's planning to challenge
14:50
the unconstitutional law in court
14:52
after a tech website the information
14:55
said that TikTok was exploring a
14:57
sale of its US operation without
14:59
the algorithm. Now this is
15:02
a company that's 20% owned by
15:04
its Chinese founder but it's actually
15:06
majority owned by institutional investors so
15:08
60% are owned by them including
15:11
some major US companies
15:13
like the Carlyle Group and General
15:15
Atlantic. Victoria Schola at
15:17
Interactive Investor thank you for joining us
15:19
you're listening to the briefing on Monocle
15:22
Radio. You're
15:30
back with the briefing on Monocle Radio
15:32
with me Andrew Muller. Time now to
15:34
get a look at the latest film
15:36
and TV releases which will be hitting
15:38
our screens this weekend or next week
15:40
with the TV and culture critic Ashanti
15:43
Omkar. Ashanti we're going to start with
15:45
challenges which I believe is out now.
15:48
That's right it is out right
15:50
now it's Luca Guadagnino's latest. It's
15:53
a you know it's been labeled as a
15:55
romantic sports film which I really I really
15:57
quite like the way they've labeled that because
15:59
very rare to find a film that
16:01
mixes sports with romance. This one is
16:03
all around tennis and it has Zendaya
16:07
in it. Zendaya, obviously we've
16:09
seen her kind of become an actress
16:11
from being a singer and she's really
16:15
bringing her A-game now. She's getting better
16:17
and better. She was in Dune 2,
16:20
she's in the Dune series and she's
16:22
literally flaying as we would say because
16:24
she is doing such a great job.
16:26
But in this one she stars with
16:29
Josh O'Connor and Mike Face. We've
16:31
seen Josh obviously in The Crown. He's
16:33
a superb actor and it's really nice
16:35
to kind of see him doing a
16:38
role like this. It's a very kind
16:40
of intense, very sexy film
16:42
actually and Luca Guadagnino always goes
16:45
for these slightly different topics and
16:47
in this case he's taken the
16:50
backdrop of tennis for it. I mean
16:53
all romantic comedies I guess have
16:55
to be set somewhere or in
16:57
some context but are
16:59
there lots of laboured analogies
17:01
between romance and tennis?
17:03
Are there interminable sequences of jokes
17:05
based on the double meaning of
17:07
love for example or are we
17:10
spared that? This is not a
17:12
rom-com. A romantic sports
17:14
film by no means is Luca
17:16
comedy. I'll be surprised if anyone
17:18
laughs during this film because this
17:20
film has not only a something
17:23
score but it's a very intense
17:25
love triangle and the character
17:27
of Zendaya is that this is a
17:29
woman who wants to dominate in some
17:31
way or the other and that's you
17:33
know she goes from a young
17:36
girl who's kind of playing tennis, really
17:38
good at tennis, finds out
17:40
that at some point in life she can't, I
17:42
don't want to give you a spoiler about
17:44
it, it is a very big theme there
17:46
but at some point in life she
17:48
realizes she can't continue playing tennis so
17:50
what she does is she set her
17:52
sights on these two guys who are
17:54
amazing tennis players with Mike Fist and
17:57
and Josh O'Connor and Mike is the
17:59
one, Donal and they
18:01
become the Donaldsons and the Donaldsons are now
18:03
here to dominate and this is what she's
18:05
this is not really a comedy at all
18:07
you will not see any any funny
18:10
scenes in that sense it might make you chuckle
18:12
here and there but this is a very very
18:14
serious film okay well let's
18:16
move along to the fall guy and
18:18
I am ancient enough that I can
18:20
remember the actual TV program and incredibly
18:22
I realized earlier I can still actually
18:24
just about hum the theme tune I'm
18:26
not going
18:29
to do that to be clear but I think it's
18:31
important for listeners to know that I could if I
18:33
wish to I
18:35
love I love that you you remember
18:37
this this one is an action comedy
18:39
this one is a comedy and it
18:41
will make you laugh a lot this
18:43
is David leech giving us you know
18:45
this look into the world of stumps
18:47
and he gives us such a great
18:49
look in fact it's a category that
18:51
that should be lauded more in the
18:53
world of cinema and it isn't as
18:55
much you know in action cinema and
18:57
this one has the perfect casting the
18:59
the barbenheimer duo as I like to
19:01
call them Ryan Gosling and Emily Blunt
19:03
coming together with Winston Duke Aaron Taylor
19:06
Johnson who may be our next James
19:08
Bond Hannah Haddingham you know
19:10
she's a she's become a national treasure for
19:12
the UK from her Ted Lasso days and
19:14
Stephanie Shue will make an appearance in it
19:16
that will make you smile and and probably
19:19
go off a little bit here and there
19:21
this one is is really
19:23
good fun I have to say
19:25
that I was already expecting it
19:28
to be great it came via
19:30
SXSW and I went into
19:32
this and thought this is just the type
19:34
of movie I want to let kind of you
19:36
know you've had a long week you've been working
19:38
hard on a Friday night or on the weekend
19:40
this is the perfect film and it comes out
19:42
on the on the 2nd of May so it's
19:45
we don't have long to go to watch it
19:47
but would listeners be correct in anticipating
19:49
a lot of explosions and car accidents?
19:51
100% The car
19:54
cases are brilliant, the fight sequences
19:56
are brilliant, and there's a film
19:58
within the film. Though it gives
20:00
you a dormant kind of immense as the
20:03
you into that action in such a brilliant.
20:05
Ring Obviously this is a reformer Ninety
20:08
Nineties Tv series. Do they do any
20:10
sort of side i to cameras metre
20:12
references to the original Fall Guy? Or
20:14
do they assume at this point that
20:17
people who are old enough to remember
20:19
the original Full Guy? probably a bit
20:21
past going to see movies with explosions
20:23
and our choices and them. There
20:26
are bits and pieces but to be honest
20:28
this is a completely new film and it's
20:30
own right. And whilst it is give the
20:32
nod to the it to the own theories
20:35
on the atheists this one really is is
20:37
if you know says it's own story this
20:39
own right. the youth a little bit seven
20:41
their butts. This is very much in a
20:43
modern setting. Will finally to so
20:45
gun a clip of which we did
20:47
He at the top of the So
20:50
this is streaming now on Disney Plus
20:52
so Disney Plus enabled listeners can tune
20:54
into the soon as they don listening
20:56
to the briefing. Are we recommending this.
20:59
We're recommending this very very highly. This
21:01
is one of the best theories to
21:03
come out in in many years and
21:05
it is absolutely some fantastic You can
21:07
now be the whole thing so it
21:09
has just either they were giving it
21:11
off in Britain grabs every week Announced
21:13
finally got these the thing on his
21:15
come out the now you can watches
21:17
in one one shot and scientists have
21:19
to say to you been doing this
21:21
is the best way to consume it
21:23
It looks into a piece of history
21:25
since me to thing because you know
21:27
I certainly didn't know that there. Was
21:29
there was a young man from Tens in
21:31
the Uk who who who goes to Japan
21:34
and then become tied up in feudal Japan
21:36
in in such a way we get to
21:38
really experience Japanese culture. You be heading for
21:40
your matter t and and you either you
21:43
have you you want to do all the
21:45
thing when you're watching this and off the
21:47
watching it I would say maybe go and.
21:49
Do some shopping on roots in
21:52
sit In Business in one shot.
21:54
So you're suggesting people perhaps could
21:56
equip themselves with the necessary cuisine?
21:58
Perhaps even the costume. I'm
22:01
just having ideas over here. I
22:03
mean, if you're into cosplay, you might like
22:06
to do that. This is so
22:08
beautifully crafted. You know, it's going
22:10
to jump out at you in your homes.
22:12
I always wish that I saw this as
22:14
a long extended movie. I spent a whole
22:16
day watching this on the big screen. It
22:18
is really that beautiful. Well,
22:20
that does bring me to the final question I wanted
22:23
to ask about Shogun. James Clavell's
22:25
original novel is one of those proper
22:27
sort of 20,000 page doorstoppers. Obviously,
22:31
there is a sense of the epic about this
22:33
story. Does that
22:35
come across even if you are watching
22:37
it on a television, however hefty that
22:40
television may be? Absolutely, it does.
22:43
I can tell you that even if you saw this on
22:45
your tiny screen, and I don't recommend that because you won't
22:47
get that experience, but even if
22:49
you saw it on your phone screen, because they've
22:51
got a lot of beautiful close-ups. This
22:53
is what makes, you know, something like this work
22:56
for television so well. You can
22:58
give it that long form. And
23:00
also the way they've shot it, the
23:02
cinematography is just absolutely beautiful. And
23:04
you will be drawn to it on whatever size
23:07
screen you watch it. Ashanti Omkar, thank you
23:09
very much for joining us. You are listening
23:11
to The Briefing. You
23:21
are back with The Briefing on Monocle Radio.
23:23
Good news has been in such short supply
23:25
for Boeing of late that they're probably pretty
23:27
content at this point with news which is
23:29
not quite as bad as they expected. Boeing's
23:32
first bunch of quarterly results for
23:34
2024 reveal that persistent problems with
23:36
their 737 MAX
23:38
aircraft have indeed had an impact,
23:40
causing Boeing to burn through near
23:42
enough to $4 billion, though this
23:44
was half a billion dollars less
23:47
than they had been braced for.
23:49
Boeing's shares remain disinclined to take off,
23:51
however, down more than 34% since
23:54
the beginning of the year. Well, joining
23:57
me now is Anita Mandaratta, a special
23:59
adviser to the Secretary General. of the
24:01
United Nations World Tourism Organization and who
24:03
also runs a global management consultancy specialising
24:06
in tourism and development. Anita,
24:08
is it fair then to say that the problems with
24:10
737 MAX have
24:12
registered with airline passengers? Indeed.
24:15
And firstly, thank you very, very much for having me.
24:17
I'm very grateful and I'm grateful for the focus on
24:20
this. The 737 MAX
24:22
has indeed put the spotlight on Boeing
24:24
with travellers and investors in a way
24:26
that Boeing definitely did not want. It's
24:29
been a very difficult five years for them
24:31
in the last four months have been particularly
24:33
challenging and as you've rightly called
24:35
out, the FAA and the US has actually
24:38
put a production cap on the 737 MAX
24:41
which has again made travellers very nervous
24:43
as normally we're not talking about
24:46
the manufacturers. We're speaking about airlines
24:48
and now the boardroom conversations have
24:50
gone to the dining rooms with
24:52
travellers themselves. I mean, are
24:54
people miscalibrating the risks here? There is that
24:56
old joke in journalism about how nobody ever
24:59
wrote a headline story about a plane that
25:01
took off and landed just like it was
25:03
supposed to. Airline
25:05
and aircraft mishaps do attract
25:08
a disproportionate amount of attention
25:10
for obvious reasons. How
25:12
many people are really starting to think about whether or
25:14
not they really want to fly on a 737 MAX?
25:19
You're absolutely right. The natural
25:21
drama of any footage that we see
25:23
about airlines in trouble, especially when it
25:26
comes through social media and what Boeing
25:28
has experienced elevates the anxiety
25:30
around air travel as a whole. It actually
25:32
goes beyond the 737 and beyond Boeing. It
25:36
impacts the travellers perception of the
25:39
safety of airline travel per se.
25:42
Research was conducted just before Easter this year
25:44
with over 2,000 UK adults asking exactly
25:48
what you've just inquired on. Very
25:51
sadly, almost 33%, so almost a third of those
25:53
interviewed, are saying that they're losing
25:57
trust in air travel. Again, this
26:00
goes beyond Boeing, it impacts
26:02
Airbus, which is ultimately the largest
26:04
share of airline manufacturing, Boeing
26:06
having 40% Airbus
26:08
60%. But it is,
26:11
it's making people anxious. And for the
26:13
first time in a long time, travelers
26:15
are actually looking at not just what
26:17
their airline they want to travel on,
26:19
but the aircraft that that airline
26:21
actually utilizes. This is
26:23
unnatural, 16% are checking
26:26
the actual aircraft aircraft type.
26:29
And it's only going to get worse side here.
26:32
The Boeing appear to have any ideas
26:34
about how to restore trust. So I
26:36
guess I'm asking you say any readily
26:39
understood industry industry template for this kind
26:41
of thing, because it's not the first
26:43
time that an aircraft manufacturer or an
26:46
airline has had to reassure passengers accidents
26:48
do happen. Indeed,
26:50
you're you are absolutely right. And
26:52
sadly, accidents do happen as they
26:54
do with train travel and with
26:56
car travel. And unfortunately, however,
26:58
this again, as I say, covers all
27:01
airlines per se. An interesting aspect of
27:03
the airline industry is that as much
27:05
as the airlines and the aircraft manufacturers
27:07
will compete on many elements, they will
27:10
never compete on pricing, I beg your
27:12
pardon on safety, that is
27:14
one area they will never compete on. So
27:17
when we look at what's happening in terms
27:19
of travelers themselves and the airlines,
27:21
they're proceeding with caution. Boeing in
27:23
particular, has the internal challenges and
27:26
the solutions they need to find,
27:28
which starts ultimately with leadership. They
27:30
were given by the US government
27:33
90 days back at the
27:35
end of February to come up with
27:37
a very clear plan for safety and
27:39
transparency that they need to communicate. In
27:41
addition, as you know, well, there
27:43
have been very significant leadership changes
27:46
within Boeing itself. But
27:48
then when we look externally, what Boeing is
27:50
needing to very much be transparent
27:52
about is changes in culture,
27:54
putting safety and quality ahead of
27:57
profit and changes of ethics of
27:59
leadership. linked very much to what I've
28:01
just shared and in commitment to
28:03
travelers to ensuring that they can have the
28:05
peace of mind going forward. This
28:08
is something that is now an expectation
28:10
of both the industry and
28:12
the travelers themselves as well as
28:14
investors. So Boeing has quite
28:16
a significant to-do list to focus
28:18
on at all levels from
28:21
the point of view of industry,
28:23
travelers and investors. And
28:25
finally, I did mention introducing
28:27
this that Boeing shares have tanked fairly dramatically
28:30
since the start of this year and this
28:32
has been going on for a while. Does
28:34
that reflect an amount of nervousness from the
28:36
markets that the 737 MAX may not be
28:40
out of the woods yet? Because
28:42
one or two more mishaps and the problems start
28:45
to look a bit terminal with that aircraft, don't
28:47
they? Indeed. And
28:49
again, it's the aircraft but also it's
28:51
aviation per se. I think it's also
28:54
putting this in context that you
28:56
and I are travelers. We were grounded
28:58
for many years because of the pandemic and
29:00
there were over 14,000 commercial aircraft
29:03
grounded. This is the first
29:05
year we've had the blessing of seeing
29:08
aviation routes being established. And
29:10
so with Boeing having to ground many
29:12
of its 737s, with 737
29:15
production being capped, that
29:17
means that global travel is being held
29:19
back in terms of the ability to provide
29:21
the capacity that the world needs to get
29:23
traveling again and for cargo as
29:25
well. What does this mean for us
29:27
as travelers? Difficulty in getting our
29:30
actual seats in terms of being able to book where
29:32
we want to go when, increases
29:34
in pricing and as you've
29:36
called out, the increases in anxiety. So
29:39
it's going to be a very challenging year
29:41
for Boeing and for all of us in
29:43
the flying public. So we need to
29:45
keep an eye on this and I'm grateful that you
29:47
are keeping Monocle's eye on this. Anita
29:49
Mandaratta, thank you very much for joining us.
29:51
You're listening to the briefing on Monocle Radio
29:53
and that is all for this edition of
29:56
the briefing. It was produced by Tom Webb.
29:58
Our researcher was George Ruskin and our studio manager, I'm Andrew
30:00
Millip, and I'm Felicity. Thank
30:33
you for watching.
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More