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The FIRE Movement with Sam Lichtman

The FIRE Movement with Sam Lichtman

Released Wednesday, 21st February 2024
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The FIRE Movement with Sam Lichtman

The FIRE Movement with Sam Lichtman

The FIRE Movement with Sam Lichtman

The FIRE Movement with Sam Lichtman

Wednesday, 21st February 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

On today's podcast , I'm joined by Sam Littman

0:02

. Sam is a certified financial planner

0:04

and we're going to be talking about all things fire

0:07

, that's financial independence

0:09

, retire early it's a whole movement

0:11

of people trying to save as much

0:14

as they possibly cancel . They don't have to work so

0:16

long . We talk about some challenges and some opportunities

0:19

, and the conversation actually goes into

0:21

some other things that you might want to consider

0:23

If retiring early is part

0:26

of your financial plans . So I hope

0:28

you enjoy this conversation with Sam Littman

0:30

. All right , sam , thank you

0:32

so much for joining me today on the Canadian Money Roadmap

0:34

podcast .

0:35

Thanks so much for having me , Evan .

0:36

Awesome . So today we're going to be talking about the fire

0:38

movement , and fire is an acronym

0:40

which stands for financial

0:43

independence . Retire early

0:45

. We're going to break down all of the uh

0:47

, the different aspects here . Sam is a

0:50

bit more of an expert on this than me , so I'm curious

0:52

to learn from you and your experience

0:54

as well . Um , but let's get started

0:56

. High level what is fire ?

0:59

Fire is the idea that

1:01

millennials can achieve a

1:03

certain level of financial independence , whether

1:06

that is retiring completely or

1:08

whether that's retiring partially and

1:11

working part time at an earlier

1:13

age . And what it is is

1:15

. It's basically a focused

1:17

savings program where a group of like-minded

1:19

people get together and decide that they

1:22

want to save large percentages of their income

1:24

. There's different types of

1:27

fire movements there's the fat fire club

1:29

, there's the barista fire club

1:31

. The idea behind it is

1:33

it's just new school

1:35

language for thoughts that have existed

1:38

for a very long time , like I'm going to

1:40

go retire on a beach somewhere when I'm 45

1:42

. Who doesn't want to do that ? Right , that's

1:45

what the fat fire club is . It's luxurious

1:47

retirement early . And there's things

1:50

like the barista fire club , which is just

1:52

semi retirement . I kind of want to retire

1:54

early , but I want to still work . The

1:57

main premise of fire is that

1:59

you have to get to a point where you can live

2:01

off of 4% of your total investment

2:04

portfolio . And that's driven from

2:06

William Bengen's theory in 1994

2:09

of the 4% rule , which

2:11

, for all my friends out there , we know it's not a

2:13

rule , but

2:16

what it is is this idea that

2:18

, adjusted to inflation , 4%

2:20

of a 50% stock and 50%

2:23

bond portfolio can sustain

2:25

retirement spending , and

2:27

so their magic number is

2:29

getting to 4% , which

2:32

is look at my lifestyle , what does it cost

2:34

, and then look at my portfolio

2:36

and can it sustain that ?

2:38

Gotcha . So there's a variety of things that we can

2:40

break down in there . So you described the idea of it being

2:43

a movement where people you know that it's largely

2:45

online that people get in encouragement

2:48

or motivation from seeing other people succeed

2:50

at this there's you might have seen websites

2:52

like Mr Money Mustache . He's

2:54

a really common one

2:56

for people that are interested in this . But

2:59

as far as pursuing financial

3:01

independence , what does that

3:03

really mean ? There's got to be a few definitions there that

3:05

we could take a peek at .

3:07

Yeah , I would agree with that . I think financial independence

3:10

should be different for everyone , which is why

3:12

I'm actually not a huge fan of the fire

3:14

movement , because it has a very

3:16

singular definition of financial independence

3:19

. For some , financial independence means

3:21

that they can afford to buy

3:23

their own home and still actually

3:26

save money . For some , financial

3:28

independence means being debt free . For

3:30

others , it means not having the need

3:32

to work . So I think there's a lot of different

3:34

definitions of financial independence , but

3:37

with fire it mostly seems

3:39

to mean when can I get to that

3:42

money stage

3:44

of I want to say FU money right

3:46

, that's what we kind of call it right when we get

3:48

to that stage where I don't have to be

3:50

employed anymore in

3:52

order to meet my financial lifestyle

3:54

requirements ? And I would

3:57

say that's probably the broadly defined financial independence

3:59

that the fire movement is looking at .

4:00

Yeah , so I would totally agree with that , and

4:05

I've been thinking about all the different types of fire . Like you

4:07

mentioned before already , it's fat fire , lean

4:10

fire , coast fire , breeze to

4:12

fire all those different ones , and

4:15

so each of those would probably come with their own definition of what

4:17

independent is right . So

4:19

like , if you're looking at the coast fire , that's

4:22

the idea of having enough money currently invested

4:24

so that the growth ends up taking

4:26

care of itself up until

4:28

your retirement date . I

4:30

guess Would you kind of agree with that , Like

4:33

the certain type that you're pursuing

4:35

kind of defines what independence is . Yeah , I would agree

4:37

with that .

4:38

I think there's so many different areas

4:40

and so many different segments . It's

4:43

a very structured movement , but

4:47

I do agree with that , I

4:49

think , as broadly defined

4:51

. If people aren't like very in depth with it , I

4:54

think they'd more generally defined it as just not having to work . But

4:57

when you get into those different types of fire movements , yeah , there's

4:59

definitely and I don't know all of them but

5:03

there's definitely different definitions of

5:05

financial independence within that . For

5:07

sure .

5:08

Okay , so you talked about that

5:10

4% rule , which isn't a rule . I

5:16

don't mind it as a target honestly , like if it just kind

5:18

of gives a rule

5:20

of thumb , like we're largely

5:23

speaking to other millennials

5:25

here and we've got a long time even

5:27

ahead of an early retirement , let

5:29

alone a typical retirement here . So having

5:31

some sort of target in mind

5:34

I don't think that's such a bad thing . But

5:36

how else would one calculate

5:38

their fired number ?

5:40

It's a good question , I think , if

5:43

they look at a

5:45

few things . Number one is what

5:47

is their ideal retirement date , what

5:49

is their ideal retirement age ? And

5:51

when we're looking at that retirement number

5:54

we have to understand a few things

5:56

. Number one is it pre-tax or post-tax

5:58

money for everyone in Canada

6:01

, because fire is largely US

6:03

movement . Basically , is it RSPs

6:05

or TFSAs or non-registered money

6:07

. So after tax is how much do you actually

6:10

need ? Because a million dollars

6:12

at 4% let's say your lifestyle

6:14

is at 40,000 , but you've got a million dollar RSP

6:17

. You're not really going to have

6:19

a million dollars there . Part of that's the government's money

6:21

, part of that goes to pay taxes , so that can't sustain

6:23

the same 4% withdrawal . Let's say a

6:25

million dollar TFSA can sustain , but

6:28

then it's your path to get there as well . So I

6:30

think it's a bit of more of a complex discussion

6:33

. I think what I would say generally is

6:35

, if you're going to target the 4% rule , be

6:37

a little bit more conservative and look at maybe

6:39

a 3% rule of after

6:42

tax money . So a TFSA

6:44

being tax-free money we know that's going to come out tax-free

6:47

and RSP being pre-tax money

6:49

we know that that's going to come out as taxable

6:51

. So if we want to apply

6:53

a general tax rate . Let's say we have a million dollar

6:55

RSP that we're talking about and say , okay

6:58

, well , maybe let's estimate that 60%

7:00

of that value can be calculated for my

7:02

retirement number , 100% of my TFSA

7:04

value and maybe closer to 80% of my non-registered

7:07

account , considering the fact that the dividends

7:09

I earn are taxable , the capital gains I'm going to have to

7:11

liquidate are taxable , or any interest

7:13

earned is going to be taxable as well . So I think

7:15

that if we're talking general framework , that could

7:18

work , but we're

7:20

getting very general , because if

7:22

someone has a large non-registered portfolio

7:24

that they just bought an index fund and

7:26

are just holding to retirement , there might

7:28

be pretty large capital gains on there

7:31

and they may have

7:33

closer to that 20% . They're probably under

7:35

good problems . Yeah , exactly , exactly

7:37

. But it can be misleading , right ? Because then that's where

7:39

it's like oh , I've gotten enough to retire , but really do you

7:41

? Because we have to consider the after tax value

7:43

and it gets a little bit more

7:46

complicated . I think the people who like sophisticated

7:48

DIYers , they're very capable of discovering

7:51

that number . I think the people who are generally just

7:53

have a singular target in mind and they're

7:55

not really sure how they're going to get there . They're not really

7:57

sure what all this means . I might encourage

7:59

them to seek out a little bit of financial advice before just

8:01

arbitrarily targeting a 4% number .

8:03

Right . So even getting to

8:05

that 4% number , like on the

8:07

RE side of things , the retire

8:10

early right , knowing what

8:12

date that is really matters

8:14

, right Like , are we talking 40 here we're

8:16

talking 60 , right Like , that's

8:19

a huge difference and a huge difference in the amount

8:21

of saving that you need to do , and so

8:23

you know , regardless of

8:25

your income level , frugality has

8:27

to be part of the picture here , right

8:29

Like . It's not like , oh , let's cut

8:32

out a few coffees and now we're going to retire

8:34

early . It's like no , no , no , this is aggressive , right

8:36

.

8:37

Absolutely . I've heard of people who have

8:39

six or seven roommates sharing an apartment

8:41

that costs $2,000 a month

8:43

right , and these are married couples

8:46

, right In some cases who are just saying

8:48

like we're going to commute everywhere , we're going to

8:50

do rides sharing , we don't own

8:52

cars , we don't own property

8:54

, we rent , right , and just save every like

8:57

. I was reading an article earlier today

8:59

in preparation for this and there is

9:01

a story in there where a couple was

9:03

saving 70% of their income and

9:06

I mean , like where is the lifestyle

9:08

enjoyment in the journey at that point in time

9:10

? That's what gets me , and everyone's different , and

9:12

I'm not saying that people who target this aren't right

9:15

in their own minds and what they

9:17

might make them happy , but I think at the end

9:19

of the day , isn't there some enjoyment that needs to be had

9:21

in the process of getting the financial independence ?

9:24

For sure , Because from

9:26

my perspective anyways I don't know you're preaching

9:28

to the choir here a little bit and so we're . I

9:30

wouldn't subscribe to that , mostly because

9:32

, I don't know , that's

9:35

just not something that I've always enjoyed doing

9:38

, Like there's I know some people that

9:41

get a real kick out of frugality

9:44

, Like that's that in and of itself

9:46

is a hobby that they enjoy . But

9:48

you know , if your goal is to have

9:50

a fulfilling retirement , full of travel

9:53

and all these sorts of things , but you're not doing it now

9:55

. You know , I think we're going to

9:57

come back to this maybe , maybe

10:00

later in the conversation , but it's like what

10:03

does that ? even mean for you today

10:06

versus in retirement . Like your lifestyle

10:08

, do you think it's actually going to get meaningfully

10:11

better once you've retired ? But you've

10:13

lived your entire life saving

10:15

every penny and whatnot . Flipping that

10:17

switch is really difficult .

10:19

Right , because we're creatures of habit and

10:22

if we've built our last 20 years

10:24

doing one thing and all of a sudden we have to

10:26

flip a switch . It's not easy

10:28

. I mean you look at the amount of retirees that struggle

10:31

in their first few years of retirement , right , it's

10:33

not as easy just to flip that

10:35

switch . It doesn't matter if you're a career

10:37

government worker or if you've owned a business

10:40

. It's a really difficult thing to just transition

10:42

from being employed or owning

10:44

something to then all of a sudden having all

10:46

of this free time on your hands , and

10:49

so that's one of the other things . And

10:51

look , I'm not . I don't want to be overly critical

10:53

of the fire movement , because it does teach

10:55

some really good principles like delay gratification

10:58

, and I think that's an important principle to have

11:00

and a habit to build

11:02

. But I think that there's a

11:05

reasonable level that we can

11:07

achieve of that while still

11:09

enjoying the life that we're

11:11

able to create now . And

11:13

I'm not too keen on retiring really

11:16

, just personally , just something because I

11:18

really enjoy what I'm doing . And I mean my

11:20

grandpa worked till he was in his nineties . My

11:22

dad is close to 70 and he's still working

11:24

, not because they had to , but they

11:26

enjoyed the work and

11:28

it was fulfilling and meaningful . It's the same with me

11:30

Now . Others may not find it that way and that's fine , but

11:33

I and so I do think there are some important teaching principles

11:36

within the 4% or the fire movement

11:38

. I just personally

11:40

wouldn't subscribe to all of them myself .

11:42

Yeah , that's something interesting that you bring up there

11:45

of , like , why would someone want

11:47

to do this ? Like , are you pursuing

11:49

or you , general listener , pursuing

11:51

fire because

11:54

you currently hate your job so

11:56

much , so much it's like , maybe

11:58

just get a different job and live

12:00

a little now ? Or you know what I mean Because

12:03

would it be worthwhile

12:05

to have a career , job that you

12:07

really really enjoy , even if it pays less and

12:10

you retire on a typical timeline , or all these

12:12

different things ? Right there's , I feel like

12:14

there's always more to the story .

12:16

I agree , and I think it's the trade off

12:18

of sacrifice now and have happiness

12:20

later . But if you don't learn how to

12:22

have happiness in the day

12:25

to day and in the grind , happiness

12:27

isn't really a destination . It's such a cheesy

12:29

, cliche thing , right , but it is

12:31

a mindset , more so than anything else

12:33

. And for me again , I'm talking

12:35

very personally here , right , other people have different

12:37

motivations , but for me personally

12:40

, my desire is to have a fulfilling

12:42

life . It's not necessarily to achieve

12:45

this level of happiness , and I find fulfillment

12:47

in a number of things , but one of them is work , and

12:49

so that's why I'm not too keen on that . Now

12:51

, other people , if they find you

12:54

know again , they want to achieve

12:56

financial independence and retire early because they want to be happy

12:58

, because they don't have to work . Again , I question that

13:00

, because if you're not happy in the day to day , you

13:02

probably won't be happy when you

13:04

don't have anything else to do . So

13:07

I get it . I think it's a largely

13:09

psychological thing as well . People really need

13:11

to think about their motivations as to why they want

13:13

to retire early and see if it's

13:15

something worth pursuing .

13:17

Yeah , absolutely . But I'm going

13:19

to flip this around

13:22

again to make your earlier

13:24

point of like . There's a lot of good that

13:26

comes from this , because I don't know about you

13:29

, but from my perspective , what I've seen the

13:31

people that have the most challenge

13:33

over you know , building

13:35

financial independence

13:38

, whatever you want to call it is

13:40

their savings rate today , right

13:42

. So you can't do both

13:44

have fire and have

13:47

a very low savings rate unless you win

13:49

the lottery or something like that . It encourages

13:51

good habits , but maybe to the extreme

13:54

, I guess , which is kind of my hang up with

13:56

it . But you know , the

13:58

idea that you're

14:01

going to be able to get

14:04

financial success with anything other

14:06

than a really high savings rate is

14:08

might be a little bit misguided

14:10

. Would you agree with that ? I would agree . Maybe I'm

14:12

oversimplifying it .

14:14

No , I would agree that obviously

14:16

it does take more

14:18

than a savings rate . I actually did

14:20

a video on this a couple of years ago around

14:24

the idea that you know often

14:27

people who are in the fire movement follow fire

14:29

influencers right , who are

14:31

posting these pictures of being on a beach at 30

14:34

or 35 and they're basically saying , like I

14:36

got financially independent because I saved 50% of my income

14:38

in my 20s , when they're not being completely

14:40

transparent because you know , parents

14:42

gave them money or they

14:44

had an exit from a business or you

14:46

know . And again it becomes this idea

14:49

that we can achieve

14:51

this thing too just with that savings rate

14:53

. Sometimes it's possible , sometimes

14:56

it's just flat out . The math just doesn't work right

14:58

and you can't do this , and we've

15:00

got to understand that . And so I think

15:03

there's yeah , there's levels to it . We don't want to get too extreme

15:05

on one thing in

15:08

most areas of life , I would say , but

15:10

especially in the savings rate . Again

15:13

, it just goes back to what are you enjoying about life now

15:15

, and can there be a balance ?

15:17

Yeah , for sure . Okay . So let's assume

15:19

that someone out there is listening and

15:21

they're saying , okay , well , I'm in that camp , I

15:24

don't mind beans and rice , I don't mind having

15:26

five roommates , I don't

15:29

mind my job , I've got a high income , but I'd rather

15:31

be doing other things . You know all these like fine

15:33

enough motivations or

15:36

personal choices that would lead someone down

15:38

this path . What are some

15:40

things for Canadian listeners

15:42

specifically that they should

15:44

be aware of , perhaps before handing

15:47

in that resignation letter and

15:51

getting out of the workforce entirely ? I've got a few

15:53

, if I can set you up , if

15:55

you don't have too many off the top of your head

15:57

, but what have you seen ? There's some challenges

15:59

, maybe common misconceptions , potential

16:02

pitfalls .

16:03

Well , I think the biggest one is the math behind the 4%

16:05

rule . Again , like we said , we don't mind it as a benchmark

16:08

, but if you're retiring early , understand

16:10

that the 4% rule was meant to cover a 30 year

16:12

time horizon . If you retire at 40

16:14

. And have a life expectancy to

16:16

85 , which is the average life expectancy

16:18

for women now for men it's around 82

16:20

, but that's today , right , when we're kind

16:23

of hitting life expectancy , it might be higher . So

16:26

we're looking at a 40 to 50 year time horizon

16:28

where we need

16:30

to sustain a spending rate adjusted to inflation

16:32

, with really a

16:35

theory that was only designed to cover 30 years

16:37

. So I think that's number one

16:39

. We have to be really cognizant of the fact that if

16:41

this doesn't work , are you willing to re-enter

16:44

the workforce , and

16:46

that's number one from a math perspective

16:48

. I think , generally

16:52

speaking , it's a good idea to

16:54

. I think everyone has this

16:56

dream , people who hate their jobs . They have this

16:58

dream that like , oh , I'm gonna like , basically

17:01

like , just

17:03

slam my resignation letter on my boss's desk

17:05

and I'm gonna leave and say things on the way

17:07

out . Right , everyone has this kind of dream , at least

17:10

that from watching the office . Right , at

17:12

least it portrays that everyone has that dream . I

17:15

don't think that's a good idea . Number one because , like

17:17

I said , math doesn't work out . You gotta find a place

17:19

to work . You might wanna go back to that place if they value

17:21

that relationship . But again , I just

17:23

think that you're trying to live life

17:25

in a fulfilling way . Make sure that you

17:27

have something you're retiring to , whether

17:30

it's volunteer work , a hobby , projects

17:32

, some of their skill , like , if you wanna up skill

17:34

yourself , go back to university , any of those

17:36

things . I mean life

17:38

doesn't end at 40 or 50 , right , it's

17:41

really those goals in years where , if

17:43

you are healthy and you can't spend your time traveling

17:45

, do it but also find meaning in that as well

17:47

.

17:47

What about for people who are

17:49

taking a look at fire ? They're reading

17:52

the Reddit forums and they're saving

17:54

like crazy and they're currently single

17:56

. But being single isn't necessarily

17:59

something they wanna plan for for the long

18:01

term . I know not everybody has the choice of whether they get married

18:03

or not , but , like , how do you end up

18:05

doing this with a spouse ? I imagine that would be

18:07

a crazy challenge to be like , hey , I wanna

18:09

do this and maybe your wife is completely

18:13

on the other page , like that . I

18:15

can see that being a huge challenge for

18:17

someone that's just getting started who has this big

18:20

idea .

18:20

Absolutely . I think alignment with your spouse on money

18:23

is one of the number one

18:25

things you need to have . And

18:28

it's so important , right ? Because , as we've

18:30

seen over the years of dealing with people , often

18:33

our job turns into almost a

18:35

counseling role between couples and money

18:37

management . And so when

18:39

and I mean I can turn that back to you , right

18:41

Like if a couple isn't aligned on their money goals

18:43

, I mean that's a , that's a . That's

18:45

often an issue that lots of people can't get

18:48

over that hump right . I don't know

18:50

what you've seen in your practice , but I've definitely seen that a few

18:52

times in mine .

18:53

Totally it's . It was something

18:55

that one of my four partners , who's

18:57

now retired , he told me early

19:00

on . It's like it's all good to

19:02

know the math and the funds

19:04

and watch the markets and all that

19:07

kind of stuff , but more often than not

19:09

you're you put on your psychologist

19:11

hat a little bit right . You have to navigate

19:13

relationships , and it's not always between you

19:16

and the client , it's between clients themselves

19:18

, and so I know most people listening

19:21

aren't advisors like us . But

19:23

we've got to see now

19:25

how this goes when people are not

19:27

aligned with their finances , and it's always

19:29

. People are always going to be different a

19:31

little bit , but it's this is a key philosophy

19:34

that you want to make sure that you're on board with

19:36

your spouse or future spouse or whatever

19:39

, because it's

19:41

an entire lifestyle , it's how you

19:43

live today , it's how you live tomorrow , it's how

19:45

you see generosity , it's how everything

19:48

kind of works . So this one

19:50

is pretty critical from a relationship

19:52

standpoint .

19:53

As well . I mean , you add kids into that

19:55

picture as well of the

19:58

frugality , that lifestyle as well , and

20:00

again it completely changes the equation and lots

20:02

of people do it . But I think being

20:04

on the extreme side of it , that

20:07

presents a lot of issues . Right , are

20:09

you going to , how are you going to maintain , like , a

20:11

low cost of housing when you have two or three kids

20:13

, never

20:16

wanting to own a vehicle or have

20:18

debt payments or anything like

20:20

that ? Or you're gonna buy a house you're gonna be renting for your

20:22

whole life ? I mean , those are things that

20:24

are critically important from a relationship

20:26

standpoint to have those conversations leading

20:28

up to your financial journey . And if

20:31

you're already on the path to financial independence

20:33

and you have a partner that

20:35

you're bringing into the picture that

20:38

doesn't share those same views

20:40

, it's critically important to understand each other

20:42

and where you're coming from so that , even if

20:44

you don't share the same views on frugality

20:47

or money , that you

20:49

can at least live within the context

20:51

of how each other views money

20:53

and that it won't be an issue in the relationship . I

20:56

think that's huge as well .

20:58

So I was thinking of some other things , like

21:01

really practical things that

21:03

might be challenges that dev or Canadians

21:05

pursuing fire might

21:07

not think about

21:09

or know the details of , and so I'm gonna

21:11

put you on the line 20

21:30

years , at 45 instead of 65 .

21:41

You may not be eligible for the full CPP benefit

21:43

. So , again , taking that into account , you

21:46

may want to take CPP at 60 earlier

21:48

to supplement your income as soon

21:50

as you can . That

21:54

could also affect how much you get . So

21:56

there's a few things that's taking into consideration with

21:58

CPP . I think it's just again

22:00

, when you're doing your financial planning and you're looking at

22:02

, I think most , and

22:04

I would say this I don't know if you've experienced

22:07

this , but I've probably met with over 200

22:09

millennials over the past year individually

22:12

, not the same people over and over , but

22:14

individually new people . And

22:16

one common theme I hear

22:19

from people who are part of the fire movement is

22:21

they don't have a great deal of trust in

22:24

the government's programs

22:27

and so they're not necessarily

22:29

counting that . Anyways , I would say

22:32

I think that's misplaced . But at the

22:34

end of the day , understanding

22:36

that if you were counting on CPP , that

22:40

you do have to contribute for a certain number

22:42

of years and be at a certain

22:44

income threshold called the yearly maximum pensionable

22:46

earnings , in order for you to

22:48

maximize those CPP contributions

22:50

and then therefore maximize the

22:53

pension that you're eligible for , yeah

22:55

, I haven't actually heard

22:57

that too much , just in general

22:59

terms .

22:59

It's like the government's going to take whatever

23:02

, just the standard anti-government

23:05

sentiment , which I get it . Whatever

23:08

, I don't put

23:10

a lot of weight behind that , necessarily

23:12

for making long-term financial decisions

23:14

. But if somebody is pursuing

23:17

fire and they don't think CPP

23:19

is going to be there and they adjust their savings

23:22

rate accordingly , great

23:24

, you're going to end up with too much money , I promise

23:26

you . But

23:29

I would file that under a good thing . I guess my

23:32

fear would be that someone would probably

23:35

overestimate how much they might get from

23:37

CPP and so that might not be as

23:40

factored in from that perspective .

23:42

I think there's also an overestimation

23:44

of what their portfolios are going to

23:46

do .

23:50

No , you've never seen that before .

23:53

I've heard comments again and these are anecdotal

23:56

, but I had this one video

23:58

that I posted on TikTok

24:01

about the 4% rule

24:03

I think it hit close to 100,000

24:05

views and the amount of comments

24:08

on there about the fact that

24:10

they're just going to live off of the dividends

24:12

of their portfolio and

24:15

not ever touch the principal and

24:17

that they're going to average 7%

24:19

because they're going to live off of their dividends . That's

24:22

a very flawed way of thinking about it because

24:25

, as we know , when you get a dividend distribution

24:27

, it lowers the share price or

24:29

the fund price of what you own

24:32

. Even though you're not taking

24:34

or selling units of the fund or the shares

24:36

, you're still having a lower portfolio

24:39

value after that's drawn out . I

24:41

think Dimensional just posted a study about

24:43

how they surveyed a number

24:45

of companies and the

24:47

average share price drop was $1.15

24:50

for every dollar . I think

24:52

it was $1.15 or $1.20 for every

24:54

dollar of dividends paid out by the companies

24:57

. That's really important to know

24:59

. Again , we've seen that

25:01

that came up a surprising number of times , people

25:03

thinking that they're going to be a little off of more than

25:05

4% , so we're tiring with less money too . I think

25:07

that's an issue as well .

25:09

Would you see yield chasing

25:11

as a potential pitfall

25:13

for people who are perhaps

25:15

DIY investors that are pursuing fire

25:18

?

25:18

I think so because anytime

25:20

you're looking at higher yield

25:22

investments number one taxation

25:25

becomes like forced taxation , becomes an issue because

25:27

you're taking taxable distributions

25:29

when you don't necessarily have to , whereas

25:32

instead , if you were to cash out units of your portfolio

25:35

, it's only partially

25:37

taxable , but a full distribution of dividends

25:39

or interest is fully taxable . Number

25:41

one you're chasing

25:43

one segment of the market . If

25:46

you're just obsessive about dividend yield

25:48

, you're only chasing dividend

25:50

companies . Well , historically , dividend companies

25:52

in broad markets have

25:54

been good . There's

25:57

some investment studies done

25:59

on the investment factor , which is one of the

26:01

five factors in

26:04

FamaFrench's five-factor

26:07

portfolios . The

26:09

dividend part of that isn't the only

26:11

factor that we look at . Broadly

26:15

speaking , I would say that there is some

26:17

evidence that dividends do perform , or dividend

26:19

companies and dividend funds do perform well over time

26:21

, but you're missing out on entire other

26:23

segments of the market . For instance

26:26

, you could be overlooking large

26:28

growth , small cap value , those other types

26:30

of things which have proven to have really really good track records

26:32

over time . Again , focusing on one

26:34

specific investment signal like yield

26:37

or risk factor or anything like that , I

26:39

think is an inefficient way to

26:42

target investments , especially for DIYers

26:44

owning the total market . Focusing on total return

26:47

is probably a much better way forward . At

26:49

least empirically it has been .

26:52

Yeah , I would tend to agree there . It's just

26:54

one of those things that I would be nervous

26:56

about someone saying well , I'm going to follow

26:58

this 4% rule once I got my big

27:00

pile of money and I'm going to find

27:03

all these quote unquote

27:05

high yielding things that are higher than 4%

27:07

and we'll just let it go . It's like well , yield isn't

27:09

return either , right , and so

27:11

there's potentially a lot

27:14

of misconception there

27:16

when managing your own portfolio

27:18

. What about taxes ? So this

27:21

is something for

27:23

people that are retiring early a big

27:25

difference between what you read about in the States and

27:28

what you read about in Canada , or

27:30

perhaps no one talks about in Canada . It's

27:32

income splitting between spouses . We

27:34

don't have combined income

27:37

reporting like they often do in the States . You hear

27:39

of people it's like oh , I'm getting married for the

27:41

tax benefits . We don't have that in

27:44

the accumulation phase here . Anyways , between

27:46

spouses after the age of 65 , you can

27:48

split certain types of income

27:50

. But do you see this

27:53

like taxes , as being or misunderstanding

27:55

of how taxes work ? When

27:58

someone is quote unquote retired , like

28:00

CRA doesn't get a notice that you're not

28:02

working anymore . It's everything's based on your age

28:04

.

28:05

Yeah , I think there's a . I think

28:07

tax in itself is probably the most

28:10

misunderstood area in Canada has an overly

28:12

complex tax system as well , so they

28:14

don't make it easy on the people who want to do it themselves

28:16

. I've taken

28:18

on this ridiculous challenge of trying to read the

28:20

entire income tax act in one year . It is

28:22

not friendly to people who don't have accountants

28:25

and don't have any training or tax background

28:27

. So I will say

28:29

that , like taxes are , if

28:32

you don't have an education or in

28:35

specifically around taxes , you

28:37

should talk to tax professionals , because

28:40

there's going to be things that you're missing pension

28:42

tax credit , right . The income splitting

28:44

for seniors , things that you may

28:46

not know that you're eligible for , that

28:48

you may be eligible for , that you might overlook

28:50

right , because these are all , for the most part

28:53

, self declared and self

28:55

applied for credits for

28:57

a lot of the time . So , again , if

28:59

you don't know the tax

29:01

piece , consult a tax professional

29:04

. I think , again

29:07

when I talked about this earlier , understanding

29:10

the nature of pre-tax

29:12

and post-tax investments

29:15

that you have . Understanding how RSP

29:17

withdrawals can affect old age security

29:19

. Understanding how the

29:22

different types of taxable incomes interact with each other

29:24

when you sell part of your portfolio to take an income

29:26

as capital gains versus when you get a Canadian

29:28

dividend versus when you get a foreign dividend from your portfolio

29:31

. All of those things are taxed differently , so

29:33

it's important to understand that too . So

29:35

taxes play a big part , and I don't know

29:37

if you're going this way as well , but I think understanding

29:40

risk in your portfolio is

29:42

really really important here too , because

29:45

and it kind of does play with taxes because

29:47

, as you de-risk , if you choose to de-risk

29:49

your portfolio to go less

29:51

in stocks and more in bonds fixed income cash

29:54

equivalents like high interest savings

29:56

or high interest ETFs then

29:58

you're going to get a different type of taxable return as well

30:00

, and so , depending on how large of the balance

30:03

that's in there , that could again affect

30:05

government benefits

30:07

like old age security , things like that . So

30:10

it's just important to understand and be mindful

30:12

of the tax piece .

30:13

Yeah , it gets complicated early

30:16

and often when you start dealing with taxes

30:18

. So if people are

30:21

looking to retire early

30:24

, building up their portfolio

30:26

, like Sam mentioned before

30:28

, I

30:31

often use a line you want to start the way

30:33

that you want to finish , or like build

30:35

your portfolio now in such a way that you

30:37

kind of understand the impact of

30:39

what it's going to look like when

30:41

you turn it into income later

30:43

on , because your

30:46

working paycheck is a whole lot less complicated

30:48

than your retirement paycheck . Different

30:51

sources , different , all sorts of different

30:53

things but this is what we

30:55

help people with

30:57

all the time and

31:00

doing financial plans and a small

31:02

little plug here for us as planners

31:05

is like sometimes there are concepts

31:07

that are simple , but sometimes things like this

31:09

start introducing enough

31:11

complexity in multiple areas that's

31:13

like it's tough to do this on your own . At least

31:15

having a second set of eyes or a sober second

31:18

thought here can really help make your

31:20

decision one way or another .

31:21

Yeah , I absolutely agree with that . I mean , how many times

31:24

do we sit across the table from someone and

31:26

they just ask should

31:29

I be doing this with my money ? Should I be targeting

31:31

this sector , should I

31:35

take money out of my RRSPs

31:37

to buy a boat , these

31:39

types of things ? And ultimately

31:41

, sometimes , yes , absolutely , you've got to be doing

31:43

that . Yeah

31:46

, exactly . Sometimes all our job

31:48

is , or a large part of what our job is

31:50

, is to be a sounding board for

31:53

people to avoid making bad decisions . That's hard

31:55

to quantify , but when

31:58

you have someone that you

32:00

can talk to to say , hey , I'm thinking about

32:02

doing this , what's the risk , what's the upside

32:05

, how does this affect my financial plan

32:07

? Can I still retire early ? If I do this , if

32:10

I target this , am I targeting too much risk ? All

32:12

of those things it

32:15

becomes Sometimes . Again , I

32:17

think the common

32:20

knowledge around DIY and doing it yourself

32:22

is you have to have the time to

32:24

do it , you have to have the

32:26

knowledge level to do it and you have to have

32:28

the emotional capacity to do it

32:31

.

32:31

And if you don't have all three of those things , If

32:50

you , with the last word , any final thoughts or

32:53

ideas from people you've

32:55

seen , have success with pursuing

32:57

fire . Any last words towards

33:00

a wisdom , fire away .

33:02

I would say that fire movement

33:05

is something that is really

33:07

really admirable to chase . My

33:10

advice to people around this is

33:12

defining the type of life you want does start

33:15

today . It's not an end

33:17

goal , and so if you want to live a fulfilling

33:19

life , if you want to live a life

33:22

that you can be proud of and

33:24

work towards it and destination , that's fine

33:27

. Just make sure that you're enjoying the journey on the way

33:29

. Make sure that you're building the good habits that

33:31

can lead to fulfillment today , make

33:33

sure that you know the math behind what you're

33:35

trying to do and have

33:38

an awesome time doing it .

33:40

Awesome , that's great . Cool . Sam

33:42

, how can people find you

33:45

and millenwealth advisors ?

33:47

Yeah , they can follow me on social

33:49

media . I'm on social media on Twitter

33:52

and TikTok as Millennial Money Canada

33:54

and just type in my

33:56

name on LinkedIn . You can find me there , and

33:59

the website that I use for my business is mwadvisorsca

34:03

Awesome .

34:04

Sam , thank you so much for joining me today . This was one .

34:06

Awesome . Thanks , evan , this has been great .

34:10

Thanks for listening to this episode of the Canadian

34:12

Money Roadmap Podcast . Any

34:14

rates of return or investments discussed are

34:16

historical or hypothetical and are

34:18

intended to be used for educational purposes

34:21

only . You should always consult

34:23

with your financial , legal and tax

34:25

advisors before making changes to your financial

34:27

plan . Evan

34:29

Neufeld is a certified financial planner and

34:32

registered investment fund advisor . Mutual

34:34

funds and ETFs are provided by Sterling

34:36

Mutuals Inc .

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