Episode Transcript
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0:00
Hey, welcome to the Cardone
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Love to see what you're talking about. Get ready
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for today's show.
0:36
One thing I do in interviews is I try not to study
0:38
a person too much because
0:40
then it gets me all kind of lost in other
0:43
things you've been asked. So I'm just going to ask
0:45
you some things I'm interested in about you, all right?
0:48
How does a woman, like it's predominantly
0:51
a male
0:51
space, is that right? So
0:55
like what percentage of the finance
0:57
community is women? Gosh, I don't
0:59
know the answer to that. When I started,
1:01
which was a very long time ago, there were very
1:04
few women. Then we went through
1:06
the 80s and 90s and the big bull
1:08
market then, and we saw
1:10
a lot of women entering the business,
1:13
which was fantastic. And
1:15
then we had the tech and telecom bust, and
1:18
last in, first out, a lot of women
1:20
left. And then we start
1:22
again, and we get to 08,
1:25
09, same thing, last in, first out. So very
1:27
often I will be one of the few
1:30
women still in meetings. It
1:32
is quite surprising.
1:33
Yeah. And so how do you, like,
1:36
because men don't understand this, right, phenomenon,
1:39
like what it's like to be in a room where you're the minority
1:41
in the room. How do you move in?
1:44
How does a woman
1:47
operate in that space? I mean, do you have any advice for
1:49
the women here? Because you're in a very alpha
1:52
space in finance. Well,
1:54
a couple of things. In the space,
1:57
I've had incredible mentors.
2:00
Many of them men, some women. And
2:04
so definitely go look for that
2:07
mentor. Make sure that you're
2:10
partnered in essence with someone
2:13
whom you believe
2:15
will allow you to grow. And it's a
2:17
little bit of a quid pro quo. What
2:20
as, you know, when I was starting in business
2:22
it was, what was my objective? My
2:24
objective, when you're very young, you think
2:26
you know how the world works. And
2:29
Art Laffer, for those of you who know Laffer
2:32
Curve, Supply Sida, Economics, he
2:34
was my professor at USC. And
2:37
I thought I knew how the world worked.
2:40
And I was going to go in and make Don
2:43
Conlon, the chief economist at the time, look brilliant.
2:47
And that's, you know, I met your, I
2:49
had the pleasure of meeting Sabrina
2:52
and watching- Scarlet. And watching
2:55
Scarlet. No, I met Sabrina
2:56
backstage. Okay, got it. And, you
2:59
know, they have it. I can tell they have
3:01
it. So you're doing
3:03
something right, Elena and Grant.
3:07
Thank you. But I think it's imbuing
3:09
them with that confidence. You know, I was
3:11
born the first,
3:13
I was the first born
3:15
of Irish immigrants. And
3:20
they always treated me as the
3:22
first born son. Meaning,
3:25
meaning I could do anything.
3:28
I put my mind to, I think it's so important
3:30
for parents to believe in
3:32
their children, to encourage them,
3:35
to give them, you know, growth opportunities
3:38
to find themselves and so forth.
3:40
Yes. Yeah. All right.
3:44
And let me, would you recommend
3:46
that people, the kids today, would
3:48
you recommend these kids, a bunch of the kids that
3:50
are helping us out with our security and
3:52
stuff, would you recommend finance as
3:54
a
3:55
place for people to go and work today? Well,
3:59
I, I'm going to answer that
4:01
in two ways. The business
4:03
I joined back in
4:05
the late 70s when I was in college
4:07
in early 80s, the
4:10
business I joined, I joined because
4:12
I said, oh my gosh,
4:14
the world is my oyster.
4:16
The world is our oyster. They're
4:19
paying me to learn how the world's going
4:22
to work. And so
4:24
I just was completely taken with the
4:26
business. Today, the
4:29
business is very different today and
4:31
it is because of the tech and telecom bust and
4:33
then the 0809 meltdown. The
4:36
traditional asset management world
4:39
is playing at what they consider
4:42
safe. I
4:44
think they're taking a terrible risk
4:46
by investing in line
4:49
with benchmarks. You're talking about the ETF,
4:51
so the vanguards. I'm talking about, yes, I'm
4:53
talking about the public equity markets.
4:56
Stocks are listed on the various exchanges
4:59
and there are benchmarks out
5:01
there like the S&P 500, the
5:03
NASDAQ, the MSCI
5:06
world. And many investors now
5:09
hug those benchmarks.
5:12
They say, okay, I'll be a little bit more
5:14
of this and a little bit less of that. That's
5:17
not investing in
5:19
my world. In our world
5:22
at ARK Invest, we're very
5:24
focused on understanding how the world
5:26
is going to work, not the
5:28
way it has worked. Benchmarks
5:31
and the stocks at the top of benchmarks are
5:34
there because of
5:36
some great success historically.
5:39
But if we're
5:39
in a world of disruptive
5:41
innovation, the likes of which we have
5:43
not seen in more than 100 years, then
5:47
the risk is that the traditional
5:49
world order is going to be disrupted.
5:52
So that is not a place of safety.
5:54
But the reason that happened was the
5:56
tech and telecom bust, 0809 and...
5:59
feelings of career risk and business
6:02
risk. So a very defensive
6:04
posture. And yet all of this
6:07
innovation, the seeds of which were
6:09
planted in the 20
6:10
years that ended
6:12
in the tech and telecom bubble, those
6:16
seeds have been germinating and they
6:19
are beginning to flourish. And
6:21
so this very defensive posture is
6:24
inconsistent
6:25
with the possibilities
6:28
ahead. So the disruptive space
6:30
that like you're looking for, you're
6:32
not looking at what happened.
6:34
No. You're looking, because some of the stuff
6:37
that you do, I'm like, okay, when
6:40
did they start making money? How does somebody
6:42
have the courage to invest in
6:44
something that hadn't happened?
6:46
How do you do your due diligence? Yes.
6:49
And then lastly, how do you make
6:51
a bet and sleep
6:54
well at night? Like, I'm a coward
6:56
real estate guy. And
6:59
you're betting on companies that, how
7:02
do you do that? So ARK
7:04
Invest and all of our ETFs,
7:06
which you mentioned, so ARKK, ARKW,
7:10
all of those are in the public
7:12
equity markets but
7:14
we call ourselves the closest
7:17
you'll find to a venture capital company
7:20
in the public equity markets where
7:22
stocks are listed on exchanges. And
7:25
our due diligence is centered
7:27
around something called rights
7:29
law, which is a relative of Moore's
7:32
law. Okay. So what we're
7:34
trying to figure out is how quickly
7:36
the costs associated with these new
7:38
technologies are going to fall and
7:41
how quickly those cost declines will
7:43
turn into price declines, which
7:45
will enable these new technologies
7:48
to scale across sectors. So
7:50
we're looking at mass market opportunities
7:52
caused by technologically
7:55
enabled innovation that can be measured.
7:57
The cost declines can be measured.
7:59
We're very methodical about that.
8:02
And just to give you a few examples, artificial
8:05
intelligence costs today are
8:07
dropping at, if
8:10
you combine hardware and software, 70% per year.
8:13
How much? 17, okay.
8:17
Oh, seven zero. Seven zero, 70%.
8:21
Yes. And we
8:23
see robotics costs for every cumulative
8:26
doubling in the number of robots produced, dropping 50%.
8:31
We're seeing battery costs down 28% on the
8:33
same basis. So
8:36
we center our research on that. And it is,
8:39
and we're able to tell when costs will be
8:41
able to fall to low enough
8:43
levels that the general
8:46
public will be able to afford them and become
8:48
very interested and we can scale and
8:51
enjoy exponential growth trajectories.
8:54
So you're talking Tesla then. Yes. And
8:57
electric vehicles. How does that affect General
8:59
Motors competing with the Tesla? Does it
9:01
help General Motors or does it
9:03
benefit
9:04
Tesla? So Tesla
9:07
is first and foremost electric
9:10
and autonomous. Those
9:13
are the two big opportunities that
9:16
Tesla is pursuing.
9:18
General Motors has a problem.
9:21
Its business has been centered on
9:24
the internal combustion engine.
9:26
And we believe that
9:28
electric vehicle costs and prices
9:31
are going to drop well below gas powered
9:34
car prices. Already the total cost of ownership
9:37
is lower. And so
9:40
GM has to make two giant
9:42
leaps, one from the internal combustion.
9:44
They're gonna kill that. To batteries. The
9:46
assembly line. But that's kind of tough.
9:50
100 years culturally
9:52
in that world. And I have to give
9:55
Mary Barra a lot of credit. When
9:57
I on a news program said, No,
10:00
we think the traditional auto manufacturers
10:03
are going to,
10:04
if they're going to be around, they're
10:07
not going to look anything like they do now. So
10:09
she actually called us and wanted
10:11
us to go visit, see what they're doing in electric
10:14
and autonomous. And to
10:16
GM's credit, they bought a company
10:18
called Cruise Automation. And
10:21
it has gone autonomous
10:23
in San Francisco, now Austin
10:26
and Arizona.
10:28
So they're trying, but
10:31
it is, it's Herculean.
10:33
Yeah, you're saying so they're labored,
10:35
the assets they had in the 60s, 70s and 80s become
10:39
liabilities now. Yes. They
10:41
carry a lot of debt. Stranded assets.
10:42
Stranded assets. So what do they do with
10:45
those assets? Do they abandon them? Well,
10:47
ultimately when you get into
10:49
disruption like this, what happens is
10:52
the incumbents say,
10:55
all right, like take online retail
10:57
when Amazon came along.
10:59
Well, look at Walmart today,
11:01
it's bigger and better and it has an online
11:04
arm. You have a few very
11:06
big survivors because the
11:09
world that's being disrupted consolidates
11:12
and restructures. And
11:14
we think in banking, it's going to be the same. You've
11:17
got digital wallets we think
11:19
are going to really
11:22
disintermediate. Oh, there we go.
11:24
There's some digital wallets back there. Digital
11:26
wallets will disintermediate traditional
11:29
banking. And we
11:31
see a JP Morgan and some others,
11:34
Bank of America, very focused on technology
11:36
and
11:37
trying to make sure that they do
11:39
not lose. So we will see a lot of consolidation
11:42
and restructuring in the traditional world.
11:44
So you mentioned the new world order.
11:46
So how does all this electrical,
11:50
the robots, how does this kind
11:53
of play into that, the
11:55
plus and the minus of a
11:57
new world order? And how does it affect?
12:00
these business owners. So we
12:02
just put out a report called Big Ideas 2023.
12:06
It's on our dash invest dot com. And
12:08
you can see the building blocks. We
12:11
believe right now in the
12:13
global equity market so public
12:15
and private that truly
12:18
disruptive innovation is valued
12:20
at about 13 trillion dollars. So
12:23
that's a little. It's around 10
12:26
percent of the total global equity
12:28
markets. We believe that 13
12:30
trillion dollars is going to scale
12:33
because we are ready for prime time
12:35
in in genomics which
12:38
we call multi-omics now
12:40
in which is what is multi-omics
12:42
includes DNA RNA
12:45
protein sequencing. OK we're really
12:47
beginning to understand the causes
12:49
of disease.
12:50
You're not talking about the vaccine right now. You're talking
12:52
about we're talking about curing disease.
12:54
OK. Editing genes. OK. Now
12:56
we can. Yes. Isn't it exciting.
12:59
Yes. So multi-omics
13:01
sequencing robotics energy
13:05
storage artificial intelligence and
13:07
blockchain technology. Those five platforms
13:10
which involve 14 different technologies
13:12
are going to scale from 13 trillion to 200 trillion. Oh
13:14
my gosh.
13:16
Twenty thirty. That's a 40 percent compound
13:19
annual rate of return which is a spectacular
13:22
growth rate. Now you you talk
13:25
about 10 X. This is yet. Yeah. 10
13:27
X. So if these
13:30
strategies are our strategies
13:32
and I'm saying if I have a very
13:34
strong compliance department here right. If
13:38
if our strategies were to
13:40
scale 40 percent
13:42
per year on average and that
13:44
and that's just the average. Hopefully
13:47
we're better than that. It would take
13:49
six point eight years to 10 X.
13:53
Whereas for traditional stocks
13:55
now historically the S&P 500 has delivered.
13:59
a compound annual rate of return of 7%. That
14:04
would take 78 years to 10x, I believe. No,
14:08
no, that's, cash would take 78 years, 34
14:10
years to 10x. So.
14:13
I don't wanna wait 34 years. Getting
14:16
on the right side of change is so critically
14:19
important because the changes
14:21
are so enormous.
14:23
Sharon, you shared with me
14:25
about what Amazon was doing with robotics,
14:28
robots per employees. And I
14:30
had never heard those numbers. Will you share them?
14:33
Today, Amazon has more
14:35
than 500,000 robots and
14:37
more than 1.5 million employees,
14:40
roughly. So their
14:43
robot penetration per 10,000 people is 3,200.
14:48
If you look at the manufacturing world
14:51
in the United States, if you look at manufacturing,
14:54
that number is only 140. We
14:58
haven't even begun the movement towards
15:00
robotics, but now the convergence
15:03
of artificial intelligence and
15:05
robotics and
15:08
the sensor technologies, where
15:10
we'll be covering robots with sensors so we can
15:12
work alongside them, we
15:14
think is going to transform the
15:16
world completely. And it's going to help us with
15:19
the massive labor shortages around the world.
15:20
So what does this do to labor? Like
15:23
to me, this threatens an
15:26
explosion of unemployment. No, the
15:29
history of technologies, it is a
15:31
net job creator. Now
15:34
there is this space.
15:34
Give me an example, why would a new technology?
15:37
So the internet in the early 90s, we
15:39
were trying to figure out, okay, what's going
15:41
to happen here? And we
15:44
would have never dreamt
15:46
of Uber and Lyft or Airbnb, but
15:49
they could not exist without
15:51
the internet, right? But
15:54
we weren't thinking about it. They didn't even come
15:56
along for 15 or 20 years. So,
15:59
The human ingenuity is
16:02
amazing. But what about when they get rid of the
16:04
Uber driver? If we ever get
16:06
autonomous. And we will. We're
16:09
much- You're convinced the autonomous is gonna happen. Absolutely
16:11
convinced. Because my wife does not trust
16:13
me driving. Well, and she,
16:16
we are going to consider automobiles
16:19
weapons of mass destruction about 10 or 20
16:21
years from now. I can't believe
16:24
that as a 16 year old, my parent,
16:27
when I was 16 year old, my parents
16:29
let me drive that weapon of mass
16:31
destruction. Right? And
16:33
this is-
16:34
You were a bad driver or? So I was
16:36
a teenager. Right. I took
16:39
risks. Yeah, yeah. But there
16:41
are 45,000 people die in the United States because
16:45
of auto fatalities. 80 to 90%
16:48
of them are because of human error. And
16:51
that number in the world is 1.5 million.
16:54
So yes. Wow. So this is going
16:56
to save lives. Innovation solves
16:58
problems. Innovation solves problems.
17:01
So what do you say to the critics, to those
17:03
that are like, okay, she's too aggressive.
17:05
She takes too many risks. She's too
17:07
in the future.
17:09
The funds down. Like when you have those moments and
17:11
it's down or it's up, like how do you handle
17:13
the critics, the naysayers, the haters?
17:15
Well, it actually, it
17:17
actually in a strange way makes
17:19
me feel better because being
17:22
in the tech and telecom bubble was extremely
17:25
uncomfortable. We knew that
17:27
valuing companies on the number of
17:29
eyeballs they might have watching them
17:32
in 10 years was wrong.
17:34
And today, and
17:38
the reason that bubble happened is the
17:40
internet lit a fire, the
17:43
genomic revolution, personalized metam... But
17:45
the technologies weren't ready. The
17:47
costs were too high. Now
17:50
the technologies are ready. The costs
17:52
are too high. What happened back then? Investors
17:54
just chased the dream, but
17:56
it ended badly. Now they're running
17:58
away from the reality.
17:59
And we think that
18:02
is going to end badly as well. So
18:06
you're talking about what happened with crypto
18:08
then recently that pull back the
18:10
NFT. Were you a proponent of the
18:12
NFT space and are you now still
18:14
are. Yes. NFT space. Let
18:19
very much so know the crypto
18:21
revolution. Yeah. Yes. Yes.
18:22
Talk to me. How many crypto people here? Oh
18:25
my God. We
18:27
got some cryptos.
18:28
Three revolutions in one. We've
18:31
got the money revolution. That's really
18:33
Bitcoin and ether.
18:36
And that is what Art
18:38
Laffer, my mentor said. Oh my
18:40
gosh. This is the
18:43
this is the rules based monetary
18:45
system I've been waiting for since
18:47
we went off the gold exchange standard in the early 70s.
18:51
It's a very big idea. Then we've
18:53
got the financial services revolution. FTX
18:56
has certainly heard it. But what was FTX? Man
19:00
free did not even like Bitcoin. He
19:03
didn't like it because it
19:05
was too decentralized to transparent
19:08
and he couldn't control it. FTX
19:10
was completely
19:10
opaque
19:12
and centralized. It almost
19:15
proves the point that
19:18
this movement towards decentralization
19:20
and transparency is
19:22
the wave of the future. You think DeFi
19:25
it is. We're convinced
19:27
of it. DeFi has had a setback.
19:30
But this is what always happens
19:32
early in the internet.
19:34
It didn't go away. And
19:37
then the third revolution is digital
19:40
property rights. That as
19:43
an economist by training there
19:46
is nothing like property rights
19:48
to raise people and countries out of
19:50
poverty. This is digital
19:52
property. And are
19:54
you saying like the properties that I
19:56
buy I would digitize those and be there.
20:00
there's going to be the digital and the physical
20:02
world will be meeting each other. But, and if you-
20:04
This is amazing. I can't even think with
20:07
that. How does that happen? How does it
20:09
digital and the physical world?
20:11
Already, if you look at how, maybe
20:13
not your children, because
20:16
I know they're homeschooled, so they probably, but
20:20
if you look at how young people spend
20:22
their lives, how much of their lives do they spend
20:24
online?
20:25
And their identities
20:27
are now being formed online. And
20:30
the authenticity of that identity,
20:32
the ownership of that identity
20:35
is becoming critically important to them.
20:37
So it's a world that you and I
20:40
are not living in, but it is alive
20:42
and well, and it is going to burden
20:45
in a way that is going to surprise people
20:47
who are not paying attention to-
20:49
So how do you live there, Kathy? Like, because
20:51
I grew up with bicycles
20:54
and guns,
20:55
and I did. Like,
21:00
I had a gun when I was 11 years old,
21:02
man. And, you know, we
21:05
walked to school or got on a bus and we came
21:07
home when the lights went out. But how
21:09
do you, you're gotta be a similar age
21:12
to me. I'm older. No way, you
21:14
look, how good does she look, huh?
21:17
She must be on 10 XL. How
21:22
do you live in that world? How do you think like
21:24
that? Cause I can't think about me
21:27
being in a digital universe yet. Well,
21:31
if you're on Zoom and- Yeah,
21:33
you're right. You're in the digital universe.
21:36
If you think about the earliest manifestation,
21:39
when we're trying to help people understand what
21:42
NFTs are, you know, people
21:44
are talking about avatars, but when you, the first
21:47
real web three experience,
21:50
Zoom. Right?
21:55
So you're used to that.
21:56
Very. You need it, right? Yeah,
21:58
yeah. Okay, we'll get you there. Get me there.
22:01
Pull me into the future. No,
22:03
it is so exciting. Look,
22:06
you're 10X. 13 trillion
22:08
to 200 trillion. Doesn't that
22:10
pull you in right there?
22:11
It kind of does pull me. It definitely gets
22:14
me interested. And it is why
22:16
we started, we feel this
22:18
movement is so important. And
22:21
we feel, and I was listening to some of the
22:23
commentary here, we feel that everyone
22:26
needs to be a part of it. And that is why
22:28
we have broken all the rules
22:31
or they're not exactly rules,
22:33
but the conventions. And we have started
22:35
our own public-private,
22:38
think dominated by private
22:40
companies, venture
22:42
fund that non-accredited
22:45
investors for $500 can invest in. And
22:49
we're doing it,
22:50
talk about the digital
22:52
world, we're doing it with social
22:54
distribution through an app
22:57
called the Titan app. So for $500,
22:59
individuals who were blocked because
23:04
they didn't, they have the right income
23:06
threshold or asset threshold, they
23:08
were blocked from these 10Xers, 100Xers.
23:12
They have been blocked. You're
23:12
talking about the big 10 baggers, the big
23:15
opportunities, the IPOs. Getting these companies
23:17
very early on in their lives.
23:20
And I believe that our research, we're the
23:22
only company out there doing
23:24
research exclusively on disruptive
23:27
innovation suits us towards
23:29
this kind of portfolio. So it's
23:31
the ArcVenture fund using
23:34
the Titan app. And I
23:36
do believe we're going to be democratizing
23:38
and that's what I see you doing here. Democratizing
23:42
the world of private investing.
23:45
So talk to me about how locked down
23:47
Wall Street is right now for the wealthy,
23:49
because this is what I discovered when we started
23:51
raising money for non-accredited. Everybody
23:53
told me, do not go for the non-accredited. It's
23:55
too much trouble, it's too expensive. I'm like, yeah, but
23:57
it's the right thing to do. And then that's,
23:59
That's when I discovered how lockdown,
24:02
you know, some of these abbreviation
24:06
networks are protecting Wall Street. Can
24:08
you just talk about how wealthy
24:10
people need to be to actually ever get on the
24:12
inside of a deal and what you're doing to democratize
24:15
and make the little guy a chance to win on
24:17
a big score?
24:18
Let me tell you, even the wealthiest
24:21
people are having trouble getting
24:23
into deals because that
24:25
world of deal making
24:27
is so small. I mean, we are
24:30
able to get into deals that
24:32
foundations and endowments and
24:35
small institutions are not able to get into
24:37
because we're doing something different. And the venture
24:39
world wants to be associated.
24:42
They've been criticized for
24:44
not paying attention to non-accredited
24:47
investors. So they are actually
24:50
helping us and we are getting into deals. But
24:52
to give you a sense of
24:55
how important I believe this
24:58
investor base is, if I know
25:02
our client base
25:04
in the public world, they are non-accredited
25:07
for the most part. The ETFs,
25:10
so ARKK, ARKF, these
25:12
are ARKs, ETFs.
25:14
These are liquid funds I can get in and I can
25:16
get out tomorrow. You can get in out. You can get
25:18
in and a minute later I get
25:20
out. That's how liquid they are. When
25:23
I have, as I've studied our client base,
25:26
I have been struck
25:28
that they know so much more
25:30
about the technologies
25:33
we're investing in because they read our
25:35
research. We give our research away. They're grateful
25:37
for it. They want opportunities,
25:40
right? If
25:42
you ask me who the accredited investors
25:45
are when it comes to knowledge base,
25:47
which is how I think this should be measured, it's
25:50
our client base. It is not the institutions.
25:53
It is not the high net worth individuals. It
25:56
is individuals who are excited
25:58
about how these technologies
25:59
are going to transform our lives,
26:02
how they're going to level the playing field and
26:04
give everyone a shot
26:06
at an amazing future. Yeah. Yeah.
26:09
Yeah. And you're
26:11
saying the hedge funds and the pension
26:13
funds, the traditional
26:17
institutions, you're saying, are not looking
26:19
at those small companies early on
26:21
or? They think, in terms
26:23
of just our basic ETFs, they
26:26
think we're crazy. Because we don't
26:28
look anything like an index. In
26:31
fact, we pride ourselves in not
26:33
looking like an index.
26:34
Meaning what? You don't have a balance? You
26:36
don't have a balance. When in the 80s
26:38
and 90s, the NASDAQ was known for
26:40
being the place to go
26:42
to access innovation, gain exposure
26:45
to innovation. If you look
26:47
at the NASDAQ today, we don't
26:49
own any of the stocks in the NASDAQ
26:51
except for Tesla in
26:54
our flagship portfolio. So
26:57
that's a great opportunity.
26:58
So your stock you own today
27:00
would be what? Would we even know the names of these companies?
27:02
Well, if you know exact sciences,
27:05
you know Coligard. OK. OK,
27:08
well, it's not just about colorectal cancer.
27:10
It's about all kinds of cancer, finding
27:12
it in stage one. That's a big idea.
27:15
It's about Roku, connected TVs,
27:18
taking share from linear TVs.
27:21
They have 18% more households
27:23
than linear TVs do here in the United
27:25
States. But only 23% of the advertising. That's
27:28
a very big idea. We've
27:30
got Teladoc. And
27:33
we think that's going to be the health care information
27:37
backbone
27:37
of the United States, if not other
27:39
parts of the world. So these are very big
27:41
ideas. And very importantly,
27:44
I think when people think of artificial intelligence,
27:47
they have an internet mindset. What's
27:49
going to be the killer app here? That's not the right question.
27:52
You want to figure out how to
27:55
harness AI to increase
27:57
productivity, increase your efficiency.
27:59
That's the first killer app. And
28:04
the second killer
28:06
app is really all about data.
28:09
The companies with really
28:11
large pools of proprietary
28:14
data, as some of these companies I've just imagined,
28:17
I've just mentioned. Teladoc. Yes, Teladoc,
28:20
exact science.
28:20
Roku would have a big database. Huge databases.
28:23
Are you saying they're going to sell those? Are they going to
28:25
leverage those later? They're
28:26
going to leverage them. They're going
28:28
to leverage them. You're going to be able
28:31
to order in the
28:34
Roku app. You're the dinner
28:36
that's just been advertised on the television
28:38
show you're watching. So yes, it's the
28:40
convergence of all of these technologies.
28:43
Man, that's amazing. Okay.
28:46
Like, how do you, like, when somebody, does
28:48
your staff bring you an idea and say, Kathy, look
28:50
at this? Are you,
28:52
they're doing the work? I mean, how does that?
28:53
We are working together every
28:56
day. Morning meetings, brainstorms. Who
28:58
signs off the, who says, we're going to invest? What's
29:00
a big investment? Like, how much money
29:02
would you put in? Oh, gosh. Well,
29:05
we run 25, almost $25 billion. So 1%
29:08
of $25 billion is a starter.
29:12
Wow. Yeah. So.
29:16
See, that's why I got to get around grownups. Because
29:20
I'm thinking like, I've been
29:22
thinking like a punk over here. So
29:26
when you look at a guy like me that's investing in real
29:28
estate, it's got to have cash flow. It's got to have
29:30
a great location. I got to have leverage. It's
29:32
got to be full. What do you think about a guy like
29:35
me? I'm just a coward.
29:36
No, I love that you're
29:38
out there because I think all
29:40
investors need to diversify. Your
29:43
strategy is a much safer
29:45
and less volatile strategy than
29:48
ARK's strategy.
29:50
And there's a place for both of them. You
29:52
know, diversification is critical
29:54
and rebalancing as our
29:57
stock price appreciation in 2020.
29:59
was off the wall during
30:02
that kind of time period. You
30:04
take profits from something that's
30:07
gone way, you know, has
30:09
had-
30:09
How much did you move in 2020? It was
30:11
about 150%. Oh my God. Yes,
30:14
so it was, innovation solves problems.
30:16
We had a lot of problems, COVID, right? Innovation
30:19
solves
30:19
problems. Oh, so you were in Zoom, you were in all the
30:21
stocks that were stay home.
30:23
We actually took profits in Zoom
30:25
and Teladoc and all of those that were obvious
30:27
at home plays and put them into
30:30
stocks that the algorithmic traders
30:32
out there were selling because they
30:34
didn't have cash flow and we were going
30:36
into a depression supposedly.
30:39
So they sold all of our genomic stocks or
30:41
we call that multiomics. They
30:44
were down 80% within a month, you
30:46
know, just algorithmic trade. So we were
30:48
using that kind of opportunity. The
30:51
no brainer Zooms and Teladocs, which
30:53
are big parts of our portfolio now, have
30:55
been destroyed in the
30:57
ensuing, you know, two to three
30:59
years. And so
31:01
this is what active management is all about.
31:03
So when you have that kind of swing,
31:06
how do you handle, I'm
31:08
sure one day you're a darling and the next
31:10
day you're wrong. So how do you handle
31:12
those kind of swings? Next day I'm a
31:15
goat.
31:15
Yeah. Like not the
31:18
capitalized G-O-A-T, I'm
31:20
a goat. How
31:23
do you handle that? Is that just
31:25
part of the game? Keep your eye on the
31:27
prize. It doesn't phase me honestly,
31:29
because I've been through so many cycles. Keep
31:32
your eye on the prize, trade around
31:34
opportunities. You know, when we were selling
31:36
Zoom and Teladoc, they
31:39
continued to go up and we
31:41
were selling them. But that gave us
31:43
the psychological wherewithal when
31:45
they fell by 50, 60% to
31:49
move back into them because they
31:51
really are answers to
31:53
the way the world is going to
31:54
work. If you were one of the people here
31:57
today and you were out, you're
31:59
gonna go either by... business this year or
32:01
you're gonna start
32:03
a brand new one. Which way would you go? Would
32:06
you start something brand new or would you go buy something
32:08
that's already in the space?
32:11
If I had an original
32:13
idea that was going to
32:15
meet an unmet need
32:17
out there, I would start my own
32:19
business. That's why I started
32:20
from scratch.
32:22
But you have to have an
32:24
idea that, actually I have
32:27
to have an idea that people are almost dismissed.
32:29
Like when we started Arc and
32:31
started in ETFs, which used to be passive
32:34
interest instruments, you know, just managed
32:36
like indexes. And we said no,
32:38
we're going to manage day to day with these
32:41
portfolios. People laughed at us.
32:43
They didn't think it was going to be successful
32:45
at all. And it gave us a great
32:47
opportunity. It took
32:50
five years for others, much
32:53
better established companies, to say, oh okay,
32:55
maybe they're on to something. And
32:58
because we started and focused solely
33:01
on disruptive innovation, they thought that was
33:03
crazy. They still think that's crazy. Now
33:05
they're trying to imitate us a little bit here, a little
33:07
bit there. But they're not doing
33:09
it the way we are. No one is doing it the way
33:11
we are because no one has our research.
33:14
We have the best original research on
33:16
disruptive innovation, I believe,
33:18
on the planet.
33:19
When did you guys move to Florida? When
33:21
did you go to St. Peter's? November a year ago.
33:23
And from where? From New
33:26
York City. Okay, why? And why did you make that move?
33:29
For a few reasons, actually lots
33:31
of reasons. Of course, taxes
33:34
come up and that was an important reason.
33:36
But we were ready. I was looking
33:39
at Arc saying, okay, we
33:41
have scaled and I see a lot of asset
33:43
management companies kind of just stop
33:45
and
33:46
tread water. Up there? Yeah, at a certain
33:53
level. They kind of get fat, dumb,
33:55
and happy. And I said, you know what,
33:57
we've got to do something to...
33:59
to keep the spirit
34:02
alive. I mean, we have an
34:04
incredible culture. We
34:06
believe that St. Pete, Tampa
34:09
Bay region,
34:10
is the
34:12
next Austin, is the next Austin,
34:15
and we wanna help make it that. So
34:17
it's very exciting to be a part of that.
34:19
It's fantastic, by the way, it's not Tampa, it's
34:21
St. Pete. St. Pete. St.
34:23
Pete is phenomenal. Did you guys buy office
34:25
there or did you lease it?
34:27
We leased an office. We love leases.
34:29
What space did you take? I think we
34:31
have 15,000 square
34:33
feet, something like that. Okay, okay. But
34:35
now you're gonna ask me how much we paid. No, I'm not gonna
34:37
ask you what you paid. I'm gonna try to figure out
34:40
how to pump your landlord. I have to bring it over to someone. I
34:43
would love to lease you some space. So,
34:47
how many people moved from New York down to St.
34:49
Pete? So two thirds of us, but
34:52
we were already so. You live there permanently now? Yes.
34:55
Okay, well welcome to Florida. Yes. Okay,
34:58
last question. Has she been great
35:00
or what? Yeah, I've been great. Thank you. It
35:03
is very difficult. You're great,
35:06
you're great. Well, thank you. You're great.
35:08
It is very difficult to find women that
35:10
wanna speak on stages. It's very, very
35:12
difficult, so I really appreciate you being so, like,
35:14
we asked her, she's like, yeah, sure, I'd love to come
35:17
and didn't make a big, not
35:19
a bunch of problems. Easy
35:23
to work with, transparent. Like, I
35:25
like all that stuff, because sometimes we get a whole
35:27
list of stuff,
35:28
like, yeah, yeah, I'll come, but I gotta have a trampoline
35:31
in the back, and I gotta have certain color M&Ms,
35:34
and don't ask me these questions. What
35:36
does the term
35:37
10X mean to Cathie Wood? Well,
35:41
it is kind of the way I think, right?
35:45
If you're involved in disruptive innovation,
35:47
we are taking the risks and assessing
35:49
them with rigorous research. If
35:52
we believe, I think I've
35:54
given you a 10X, that's why
35:56
I started Arc. 13 trillion
35:59
to...
35:59
hundred trillion is more than 10x. And we
36:02
really believe we
36:04
really believe this is going to happen because
36:07
the technology is ready and
36:09
the costs are low enough. All
36:11
of this was planted during the 80s
36:13
and 90s. It's going to happen now.
36:15
So we're all about 10 X.
36:17
OK. I'm going to do one more question. You guys mind.
36:20
OK. And I asked you this on Twitter spaces. If
36:23
you had one million dollars
36:26
and you had 24 hours
36:29
you had to invest in. I give you a million dollars I say
36:31
but the money has to be invested and you can only
36:33
invest in one stock. Three stocks
36:37
can only invest in three stocks. I
36:39
got to diversify. I'm scared. I'm
36:41
a bitch. I'm scared. I
36:44
can't do it. So you can only
36:46
invest in three stocks. What would those three
36:48
names be. And I have to keep it 10 years.
36:51
I cannot sell it before 10 year.
36:52
Right. So and
36:55
you'll find the models for all of you. They have
36:57
to pay for this. Yeah. This advice
37:00
to me. Go ahead. No we are now publishing
37:02
our models and so I'll give you three that the
37:04
models are out there on GitHub on
37:06
our Web site. You can play with them. The
37:08
Web sites what. Our dash
37:10
invest dot com. OK. So
37:12
Tesla of course we believe autonomous
37:15
taxi platforms are
37:18
going to scale and create the biggest
37:21
revenue generating. You
37:22
think he's going to get the autonomous thing for sure.
37:24
Absolutely. Yes. Yes
37:27
we do. And you see cruise
37:29
automation as the proof of concept already.
37:31
That's very interesting to us. So
37:34
we have a fifteen hundred dollar price
37:36
target on Tesla. It's about a little over 200
37:39
now. So that's that's
37:41
one. Were you
37:42
buying it at 112 when it was there two weeks ago.
37:45
We were buying it every day as
37:47
it was sinking and it was sinking
37:49
because he was selling because he needed some funds
37:52
for his Twitter acquisition. Is that right. And
37:54
other other reasons. You know
37:56
China had zero covid and was
37:58
causing problems for production.
37:59
There are a lot of short-term reasons which
38:02
don't matter to us really that's why
38:04
we can buy through moments like that Tesla
38:08
Tesla Roku, I think TV
38:11
yes, we have that if I had 10 TV
38:13
shows. Do you think I should give them to
38:15
Roku? I think
38:17
I think you'll find out a lot more about
38:20
your Your viewers then
38:23
if you have those 10 TV stations now,
38:25
right then you would through linear TV
38:27
So absolutely no question about it. Okay.
38:30
Yeah and
38:32
The latest one we've published is exact
38:35
sciences so I have to give you one
38:37
from each of our strategies exact
38:39
sciences Cola guard,
38:41
but you know here we have a chance
38:44
of discovering cancer
38:46
in stage one and With
38:48
artificial intelligence companies like exact
38:50
sciences and free known free knowns in
38:52
our ArcVenture fund We
38:56
believe that with AI This
38:59
is the promise out there. This is why 10x is so
39:01
real
39:02
We believe that with
39:05
AI
39:07
That researchers and ultimately
39:10
physicians are going to help us discover
39:12
When a body's cancer is setting
39:15
up to mutate and cause
39:17
cancer. That's before we get
39:19
cancer So and
39:22
we're dealing with the people who are
39:24
making this happen We are and
39:26
you can we give all of our research away
39:29
on arc-invest. We're on Twitter
39:32
very prolific on Twitter all of our analysts
39:35
have their own handles and
39:37
So if you're if you
39:39
want to know more about artificial intelligence,
39:42
you know follow will it will Summerland
39:45
at on art
39:46
Yeah, we'll put it up for everybody and
39:48
and if you want to follow blockchain
39:50
technology, you're saying seen Almondra
39:54
So and then if you like
39:56
what they're saying follow who they follow
39:58
and it's going to be the best way for young
40:01
people to educate themselves about
40:03
this brave
40:03
new world. Okay, last question
40:05
of the three round last question. Now
40:09
this is for me to understand because when I listen to
40:11
her, Brandon, and when I listen to Kathy, I'm like, shit
40:13
man, we
40:14
shouldn't even have businesses that make money. We
40:17
have probably 16 companies, every
40:19
one of them is profitable, every single one of them.
40:21
And there's a place for that. So
40:23
if I wanted to one day take 30 or 40 companies,
40:26
put them together and then go public, could you help me
40:29
like learn how to do that? Or do I even wanna
40:31
go public?
40:32
Put them, you'd wanna go, you want to
40:34
go public with companies if you want to
40:36
scale exponentially. You're probably
40:39
going to need the capital markets.
40:41
And the other thing that going public does
40:44
is it increases the probability
40:46
you'll attract the right talent and
40:49
the right customers. It's a big
40:52
advertisement for, you know, when you
40:54
go public. It's a-
40:55
Big promotion. Yes. You
40:58
do. So would you help
41:00
me? I'm trying to get a commitment from you that you would kind
41:02
of keep my mentor and guide me. If you're
41:04
saying you put them all into one
41:07
company, that's a conglomerate. We don't
41:09
like conglomerates. We like pure plays. Okay.
41:12
That's just my preference though. I'm sure you could find some-
41:14
Well, maybe we have some pure plays. Maybe we have 20 or 30 pure
41:16
plays. You
41:18
know, look, I'm here for the guidance, okay?
41:20
If your companies
41:22
are involved in disruptive innovation that's
41:24
going to transform the way the world works,
41:27
yeah, come to us and help- Ladies
41:28
and gentlemen, Miss Cathy Wood. The
41:31
Cardone Zone, where every week I'll bring
41:33
to you a new celebrity, artists,
41:35
athletes, some of the top people in their fields
41:37
to give you their insights, their knowledge, and
41:40
their breakthroughs. So get ready with
41:42
Uncle G. Make sure you subscribe and
41:44
comment. Love to see what you're talking about.
41:47
The Cardone Zone.
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