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0:01
Hi, I'm Greya and this is The
0:03
Climate Question, where we ask simply, what
0:06
on earth can we do about climate change? Podcasts
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0:39
Welcome to COP26. This is very important
0:41
to other workings of the COP. From
0:43
COP26 Climate Conference. On the best of
0:46
COP26. Big news from COP27. A
0:48
clear signal from this COP. We want this COP to
0:50
be about. COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP,
0:54
COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, COP, It's
0:58
nearly time for COP. No,
1:00
it's nothing to do with the police, but
1:02
in fact, climate change. COP
1:05
is the world's annual summit
1:07
that fights global warming. And
1:10
this year, the 28th COP,
1:13
COP28, is being held
1:15
in UAE, the United Arab Emirates,
1:17
and is being presided
1:19
over by Dr Sultan Al-Jabbar.
1:22
If we succeed in coming
1:24
together now, we have a
1:27
huge opportunity. We can reimagine
1:29
entire economies and put
1:31
every nation on the path to
1:34
a prosperous and sustainable
1:36
future. But some
1:38
are accusing this COP of becoming
1:40
a bad COP. A
1:43
COP corruptedted, they say, by
1:45
the very thing that's driving
1:47
the climate crisis. The
1:50
UAE is one of the biggest providers
1:52
of oil in the world. And
1:55
the man hosting the talks, Dr
1:57
Sultan Al-Jabbar, is also the man
1:59
in charge. of the national oil
2:01
company. The
2:04
announcement of Dr Sultan Ahmed Al-Jubeir as
2:06
COP president is unprecedented and we are
2:10
outraged and it is deeply disturbing
2:12
to see that. I think history
2:14
records will show that for COP28
2:16
we let a mosquito lead the
2:18
fight against malaria. He has a
2:21
blatant conflict of interest. He's the
2:23
CEO of the Abu Dhabi
2:25
National Oil Company. Others
2:28
though have jumped to his
2:30
defence, including the US climate
2:32
envoy John Kerry. I
2:34
think that Dr Sultan Al-Jubeir is
2:36
a terrific choice because he is
2:38
the head of the company. That
2:40
company knows it needs to transition
2:43
and is committed to transitioning and in fact
2:45
the UAE is one of the largest investors
2:48
in renewable energy. I'm
2:50
Greer Jackson, host of the Climate
2:53
Question from the BBC World Service.
2:55
This week I'm asking should
2:58
the UAE be hosting COP?
3:07
Before we get started, could you just put your phone
3:09
on aeroplane mode because it stops the recording if you
3:12
get a call. That is
3:14
a very good tip, thank you. I've
3:16
made this mistake before. You
3:19
clearly know all the deal and you've
3:21
gone through all these dramas before.
3:26
This is Zaina Khalil-Ahaj. She
3:28
describes herself as a woman,
3:30
activist and eternal optimist. She
3:34
works at the climate
3:36
defending organisation 350.org and
3:38
is originally from Lebanon. I
3:40
remember my first trip to Dubai
3:43
and that was in the late
3:45
90s. I do remember deserts everywhere.
3:50
Now you see a whole city built
3:52
in the middle of a desert, which
3:54
is phenomenal from
3:57
an architect.
4:00
engineering, building, you know?
4:03
Yeah, the pictures I've seen, it
4:05
looks very built up, very modern,
4:08
very rich country. I mean, it
4:10
is. It's an economy that
4:12
is highly developed because the
4:14
entire Gulf region economy
4:16
is dependent on oil and gas.
4:18
It's not worth it. That
4:21
transformation from the desert to
4:23
lots of waterways and greenery
4:25
and palm trees, among these
4:27
huge skyscrapers, does that
4:29
transformation mean that the country and its
4:32
people are better able to adapt to
4:35
climate change? Definitely not.
4:37
They are already witnessing
4:40
the impact of climate change.
4:42
They have seen torrential rain
4:45
and even flooding because
4:48
they don't even have an infrastructure
4:50
that accepts rain because it
4:52
never rains, right? As well,
4:55
the scarcity of the summer, it
4:57
is becoming much, much harder for them.
4:59
I mean, in the summer, you literally
5:01
cannot walk in the state for
5:03
more than few steps to get to your
5:05
car because it is
5:07
extremely hot. I mean, 47
5:09
degrees and a very, very
5:12
important concern for UAE as well
5:14
as the Gulf countries and all of
5:16
the actually Middle East and
5:18
North Africa area is water. Water
5:21
scarcity is massive in that part
5:23
of the world. And
5:25
it's just being really intensified.
5:37
So serious is the threat that
5:39
the UAE is classed as extremely
5:41
vulnerable to climate change. And
5:44
yet, as we've heard, it's
5:46
a country made rich because of
5:48
oil. In fact, the
5:50
UAE is among the world's top 10
5:53
largest oil producers. And
5:56
oil, when burnt, is one of the biggest
5:58
drivers of global warming. Zaina
6:01
says the UAE has been waking up
6:03
to that fact. If
6:05
I want to compare UAE within
6:07
their own kind of peers in
6:10
the Gulf region, they're definitely the
6:12
most progressive in terms of really
6:15
realizing that we need to
6:17
shift our economy from being
6:19
entirely dependent on export of
6:21
fossil fuel. So
6:24
the UAE has been on
6:26
a journey for many, many
6:28
years to shift that, starting
6:30
to build a market economy,
6:32
a tourism economy. So,
6:34
Zaina, in a word, how would
6:36
you describe their
6:39
climate policy and their climate ambition?
6:42
Baby steps. They have
6:44
started investing in shifting
6:47
their own access
6:49
to energy, to renewable
6:51
energies. It's still
6:53
very, very small. So for me,
6:55
that's why I'm calling it baby steps. Indeed,
6:58
they're investing billions in
7:01
renewables, and that's, of course, a very positive
7:03
move. But if you look at
7:05
the numbers, they pale in
7:07
comparison to the amount that is
7:09
invested in fossil fuels. This
7:12
is Mia Moisio from the New
7:14
Climate Institute, a climate policy think
7:16
tank based in Europe. Just
7:18
recently, the UAE announced that they would
7:21
be investing over US$50 billion
7:23
in renewables
7:25
over the next decade.
7:28
But at the same time last year, they
7:31
announced that they would be investing 150 billion,
7:34
so three times more to expand
7:36
their oil and gas business in
7:38
the next few years. This
7:42
is just one of a few
7:44
issues Mia says she's spotted in
7:46
the UAE's climate policies. Before
7:49
we get to them, I want to
7:51
give you a bit more detail on
7:53
Mia's job because it's pretty interesting. She
7:55
ranks countries on their climate policies for
7:57
a website called Climate Action Tracker, bit
8:00
like an independent global warming watchdog.
8:03
She judges whether nations are on
8:05
track for meeting that big international
8:08
climate goal of limiting climate change
8:10
to 1.5 degrees Celsius
8:12
as agreed at the big Paris
8:15
summit back in 2015, or
8:17
whether countries are failing miserably.
8:20
Though Mia has somewhat more diplomatic
8:23
language on that than me. So
8:25
we have this simple classification system ranging
8:28
from critically insufficient to 1.5 degree
8:31
compatible. Unfortunately, we have no
8:33
country in the world in the 1.5 Paris
8:36
Agreement compatible category. So most
8:39
of them range from critically
8:41
insufficient to insufficient. Okay.
8:43
And how does the UAE rank?
8:45
The UAE at the moment ranks
8:47
insufficient. If you look
8:50
at the policies it has put
8:52
in place, those are all completely
8:54
inadequate. So under their policies, the
8:57
UAE's emissions would be significantly increasing
8:59
by 2030 when in order to
9:01
meet their target, they should be already
9:03
reducing. And it is very
9:05
clear from climate science, there
9:08
should be no new investments in
9:10
new oil and gas production before
9:12
to meet the 1.5 temperature
9:15
limits. But they have signed up
9:17
to be net zero by 2050. And
9:19
that is notified as legally binding.
9:23
And that is a target that is compatible with
9:25
1.5, isn't it? So
9:27
you can announce what you want. But
9:29
if you're not actually taking action
9:31
to get there, then it's
9:33
quite meaningless. So yes, the
9:35
UAE has a target to
9:37
meet net zero emissions by 2050, which indeed,
9:41
as you say, would be 1.5 degree
9:43
compatible. But if you look
9:45
at their policies, they still have a
9:48
policy to have 50% of fossil
9:50
gas in their electricity system by 2050.
9:53
So, you know, there is clearly a mismatch. Gas,
9:57
though, less polluting than coal.
10:00
or oil still produces lots
10:02
of carbon dioxide when burnt
10:04
and causes the world to
10:06
warm. To counter that
10:08
gas-burning effect, the UAE talks
10:11
about something called CCS in
10:13
their climate plans that
10:15
show for carbon capture and
10:17
storage. carbon capture
10:20
utilization and storage plays a
10:22
significant role in achieving our net zero
10:24
targets. Admoc is doubling its
10:26
current 2030 target for carbon capture from
10:28
five million tonnes to ten million tonnes
10:31
per year. The
10:33
idea is that they'd filter out
10:35
CO2 directly from the smoke sacks
10:38
of power plants. So
10:40
this planet warming gas would never reach
10:42
the atmosphere and never cause the planet
10:45
to warm. Now the problem
10:47
is that we don't have any
10:50
scalable projects of carbon capture
10:52
and storage that have worked at the
10:54
scale needed to actually produce emissions at
10:57
that scale by 2050. It's
11:00
a completely unproven technology as of
11:02
yet and science clearly shows if
11:04
you look at the
11:06
IPCC studies or other scientific
11:08
reports, you see that
11:10
CCS has a place in meeting the
11:13
1.5 degrees temperature limit
11:15
but it should be limited to industrial
11:17
applications where there are no other
11:19
mitigation alternatives so no other ways
11:22
to reduce emissions. So
11:29
the expansion of oil and gas in
11:31
the next few years, the heavy reliance
11:33
on gas and carbon capture and storage
11:36
in 2050, those three things
11:38
make the UAE's climate policies
11:41
insufficient, according to Mia. We
11:44
put this to the UAE's Ministry
11:46
of Climate Change and Environment and
11:48
a spokesperson told us that the
11:50
UAE was quote fully committed
11:52
to the Paris Agreement and driving
11:54
down emissions domestically and globally. They
11:57
said they've just announced 25 new in
12:00
areas from energy to agriculture
12:03
and construction, and they
12:05
would go further and faster. Like
12:08
every country, the UAE's performance on the
12:10
Paris Gols will be reviewed at this
12:12
year's COP conference. The
12:14
spokesperson told the climate question
12:17
it may subsequently revise its
12:19
plans. The
12:21
fact that the UAE is such a
12:23
big producer of oil and
12:25
indeed expanding its production, do
12:28
you think it's problematic that it's
12:30
hosting the world's climate talks? That
12:33
is indeed problematic because, you
12:35
know, we know that the
12:37
UAE has a clear and strong
12:39
interest to maintain fossil
12:42
fuels as part of the picture.
12:44
So I think there there
12:46
is a clear conflict of interest. Curiously,
12:49
here's where Mia and our climate
12:51
activist Zaina have a
12:53
different perspective. Zaina sees
12:55
a clear benefit. Hosting
12:57
an event like UAE in a country
13:00
does contribute to changing
13:02
the narrative in that country and
13:04
the awareness of its own society
13:08
about what is climate change and
13:10
what is happening. From that
13:12
context, I actually think we
13:15
need to do more of these meetings in
13:18
countries where we need to change that narrative,
13:21
i.e. more in oil-producing countries, because
13:24
this is where we can start opening the
13:27
debate more within their
13:29
own society. By the
13:31
way, it's also worth noting that other countries with
13:34
the same ranking as the
13:36
UAE, insufficient, have hosted COP
13:38
before, including South Africa, the
13:40
UK, the EU and Japan.
13:43
Where Zaina and Mia both agree
13:46
is on COP's president, that
13:48
hugely important person charged with
13:50
leading the climate summit
13:52
and driving climate action. Dr Sultan
13:54
Al-Jaba. We
14:00
approach this role with humility,
14:03
a deep sense of
14:05
responsibility and a great sense
14:08
of urgency. Over
14:10
to Zeynia. My current concern
14:12
is Sultan Jabbar, who is
14:15
not only sharing the
14:17
conference and the meeting, but he is
14:20
currently the CEO of
14:22
Adnok. Adnok is the
14:24
all-producing company of FURITE of Arab
14:26
Emirates. When he was assigned, I
14:28
was like, this is like putting
14:31
the chair of the company, Marlborough,
14:33
of a conference talking about cancer.
14:36
It doesn't match. And
14:39
it's not just activists who've been
14:41
vocal about what they say is
14:43
a conflict of interest. Earlier
14:45
this year, more than 130 US senators
14:48
and European lawmakers signed an
14:50
open letter to the US
14:52
President Joe Biden and EU
14:54
Commission President Ursula von der
14:56
Leyen, demanding that Sultan Al-Jabbar
14:58
be replaced. This is
15:01
my BBC World Service colleague, Sam
15:03
Fenwick. She's been profiling Al-Jabbar
15:05
for the Business Daily programme. She is
15:07
going to take us through exactly who
15:09
he is and how he got the
15:11
top job at COP. Well, we've
15:14
been looking at Dr. Sultan Al-Jabbar's
15:16
CV and it's pretty extensive. He
15:18
served as a Minister of State
15:20
for the UAE for 10 years.
15:24
He's got a PhD in Business
15:26
and Economics from Coventry University in
15:28
the UK. Before that,
15:30
though, he studied chemical engineering at the
15:32
University of Southern California. He graduated from
15:34
that in 1997. And
15:38
just under a decade later,
15:40
he founded Mazda, that renewable
15:42
energy company. So the heart of the
15:44
UAE for all of humanity,
15:47
Mazda are pioneering energy.
15:51
It builds solar and wind projects in
15:53
40 countries. From
15:55
Indonesia to the UK to
15:57
Oman and Egypt, it's invested. invested
16:00
around $20 billion in
16:02
renewable technologies. And
16:04
then in 2016, Dr. Al-Jaba was
16:06
appointed the CEO of Adnok. For
16:09
this is a united
16:11
Arab Emirates. And
16:13
we are Adnok. In
16:23
2020, he was appointed the U.E.'s Special
16:25
Climate Envoy and then head of COP
16:27
in January of this year. Some
16:30
are saying that it's precisely because
16:32
Al-Jaba works in oil that he's
16:34
perfect for the COP job, bringing
16:36
together oil and gas producers and
16:38
making them listen to him in
16:40
a way that they wouldn't have
16:42
done at previous COP. Back
16:45
to Sam. John Kerry, the
16:47
United States Special Presidential Envoy
16:49
for Climate Change, he said
16:52
that he thinks Dr. Sultan Al-Jaba
16:54
is a terrific choice. And
16:57
Franz Kimmemans, who is the former
16:59
vice president of the European Commission,
17:01
thinks that Dr. Al-Jaba is extremely
17:03
well placed to lead us into
17:06
a successful COP because of his
17:08
involvement in renewable energies. And
17:10
that's something that Stephen Geiger, who
17:13
is the founding member of Mazda
17:15
alongside Dr. Sultan, Al-Jaba agrees with.
17:18
The reason I think that both
17:20
the country and Dr. Sultan on
17:22
a personal basis are legitimate host
17:24
and president is because they do
17:26
represent the broadest possible constituencies. They
17:28
understand and work with the industrialized
17:30
North. They are Muslim country, Middle
17:32
Eastern country. They work actively with
17:34
China and Asia and Russia and
17:36
the other petrostates, Saudi and Iraq.
17:39
That's a skill set I think that they're uniquely bringing
17:41
to the table here. And it's absolutely critical if we're
17:43
going to try to get any progress at COP. The
17:51
BBC reached out for an interview with
17:54
Dr. Sultan Al-Jaba, but he declined. A
17:57
COP28 spokesperson did tell us that,
17:59
quote, His experience uniquely positions
18:01
him to be able to convene
18:03
both the public and private sectors
18:05
to bring about pragmatic solutions
18:07
to keep the 1.5 degrees
18:10
Celsius climate goal within reach.
18:18
As we've heard, Al-Jaba's position to
18:20
lead a climate conference is one
18:23
issue of contention, but
18:25
another is how his firm, Adnok,
18:27
is increasing oil and gas capacity,
18:29
which I think is something worth
18:32
unpacking in a bit more detail.
18:35
The perfect person to do that is Fiona
18:37
Harvey. She's an environment editor
18:39
at the Guardian newspaper in the
18:41
UK, and she's one of the
18:44
few journalists who's interviewed Al-Jaba. I've
18:47
met him several times now, and
18:49
he's really interesting. He's very
18:51
charming. He's brilliant. He's
18:54
always cracking jokes, and
18:56
he's prepared to have robust discussions.
18:59
I mean, I wasn't holding back on
19:01
asking him questions, because it is a
19:04
very odd thing to have the head
19:06
of an oil company, an oil company
19:08
that's expanding its operations, as
19:10
the head of the discussions that are supposed
19:13
to try and solve the world's climate crisis.
19:16
And his answers were clear,
19:18
very concise, but at
19:20
the same time, the contradiction remains. I
19:23
mean, and he seems to suggest in your
19:25
article that you can continue extracting and expanding
19:28
the amount of oil and gas and fossil
19:30
fuels you take from the ground and
19:32
fight climate change somehow, which, as you say,
19:35
seem quite contradictory. Yeah, well, he
19:37
says that some can. I'm
19:39
not sure whether he thinks that
19:42
every oil company should continue its
19:44
operations, but he did argue strongly
19:46
that Adnok, his company, has a
19:49
better record than other companies on the
19:52
high tech way in which it extracts
19:55
oil that reduces the greenhouse
19:58
gas emissions associated with that. So
20:01
he was trying to say that if you
20:03
had a choice between different oil and gas
20:05
products, you should choose ad mocs. It's
20:07
better. What Aljaba also said,
20:10
and he has a point, is
20:12
that demand is a problem. People
20:15
still use fossil fuels. People still have
20:17
demand for fossil fuels. So
20:19
that's an argument, but it's a bit
20:21
chicken and egg, you know. And as
20:23
I pointed out, blaming the consumer, it's
20:26
not really sufficient that the producer has
20:28
to take responsibility too. So
20:30
all of the things that Aljaba
20:33
said to me are correct. It's
20:36
just that they don't add
20:38
up enough to solve the
20:40
world's climate crisis. We
20:43
also asked ad mocs for comment,
20:45
and a spokesperson told us that
20:47
Dr Aljaba's company planned to reduce
20:49
the, quote, carbon intensity of its
20:51
oil and gas by a quarter
20:53
by 2030. The
20:56
spokesperson added that, quote, with
20:59
a growing global population seeking
21:01
universal access to energy, all
21:04
current energy transition scenarios, including
21:06
by the IEA, acknowledge that
21:08
oil and gas will be
21:11
needed to meet future energy
21:13
demand. The IEA,
21:15
by the way, are the
21:17
Independent International Energy Agency. More
21:20
about them in a minute. Fiona
21:27
has been to and reported on 16 COPs.
21:30
So how does she think this one is going
21:33
to play out? They are extraordinary
21:35
occasions because you've got 198 countries there,
21:37
and you've got world leaders
21:41
there, you've got ministers there, you've got,
21:43
of course, you've got businesses, you've always
21:46
had businesses there, but you've got lots
21:48
of civil society activists and so on.
21:51
And there's a sort of alchemy
21:53
about that. So I
21:55
think it would be wrong to
21:58
pass judgment on. These
22:02
are sentiments
22:04
he himself has echoed before at
22:07
a pre-COC summit late last month.
22:29
He's putting his credibility on the line. You know, if you
22:31
go out there and you say, I'm
22:41
the person, I'm uniquely well pleased to
22:43
do this, well then you've got to
22:46
front up, haven't you? You've got to
22:48
show that you can do what you've
22:50
promised you were going to do. But
22:53
the presidency is not the only factor
22:55
here. There are a lot
22:57
of oil producing countries that will be
23:00
present at COP that would
23:02
really like to see an agreement
23:04
that leaves an awful lot of
23:06
room for them to keep expanding
23:09
their operations. So we'll see
23:11
what comes out of them. You
23:13
just can't prejudge COPs. Since
23:20
we made that programme, the BBC's
23:22
climate editor, Justin Rollat has been
23:24
investigating the UAE and Dr Sultan
23:26
Al-Jaba. Justin, can you tell us
23:28
what you've been uncovering? So
23:31
what we've gathered is evidence that
23:33
shows that the UAE used
23:36
meetings arranged under the auspices of the
23:38
UN and COP28 to talk about planning
23:40
deals on oil and gas. So we've
23:43
got a whole sheath of documents that
23:45
show they were planning to meet, for
23:47
example, I don't know, the Brazilian Environment
23:50
Minister, the Environment Minister of China, loads
23:52
of Environment Ministers, more than 25. They
23:54
prepared talking points, they call them, from
23:57
their oil company Adnok and from the
23:59
Renewable company that Mazda are talking about
24:01
what business opportunities might be able to be
24:03
raised in them. Now we know on at
24:05
least one occasion those were raised.
24:07
We've obviously taken these allegations to the
24:09
COP28 team and Dr. Sultan Al Jabbar.
24:11
They say we never made any secret
24:13
of the fact that he was the
24:15
CEO of the oil company and of
24:17
Mazda and they say private meetings are
24:19
private and we're not going to comment
24:21
on it. So it's quite hard to
24:23
say how often they were used. We
24:25
approached 27 countries that they drew up
24:27
these talking points for. We approached them
24:29
all for comment. 27. 10
24:32
of them have said there were no commercial
24:34
discussions in them. The UK, Germany, France, Netherlands,
24:36
European Union, loads of countries they had business
24:38
that they wanted to discuss but we are
24:40
told they did not raise it and then
24:43
obviously the 17 for whom we didn't get
24:45
answers. Right, okay so do we know
24:47
if any of these talking points were successful?
24:49
Did they drum up business in oil and
24:51
gas from these COP meetings? We know that
24:53
on one occasion the foreign
24:55
government got back to pursue the
24:58
inquiry. We know for example with
25:00
Brazil they were very keen to
25:02
raise with the Brazilian Environment Minister
25:05
Adnot plans to buy the largest
25:07
petro-kinicals company in Latin America, a
25:09
Brazilian company called Braschem, a
25:11
multi-billion pound bid. We know that
25:14
earlier this month, earlier in November, they
25:17
made a bid for a portion of it so
25:19
we know that the bid did progress. So we
25:21
can't say that it's associated with COP28 meetings but
25:23
we know that they plan to discuss it. The
25:26
other ones are obviously really opaque. He's
25:28
supposed to be independent. When he's acting for
25:30
COP he's supposed to be acting
25:32
on behalf, Grae, let's not forget,
25:34
of the world, right? So he's
25:36
entrusted with this process which is
25:38
designed to reduce carbon emissions and
25:40
carbon dioxide emissions generally on behalf
25:43
of the world and what
25:45
we've seen is evidence they plan to
25:47
use the meeting set up for that
25:49
purpose to pursue their own interest
25:51
in selling oil and gas. What
25:54
do you think that means for this COP then?
25:56
What are the implications? I think
25:58
it calls into question the extent which
26:01
it can be seen as a trustworthy chair,
26:03
the president is the chair of COP. But
26:05
I don't want, I really really don't want
26:07
to say that I think this is gonna
26:09
kind of massively interfere with the process. In
26:11
the online article I wrote I said you
26:13
know ultimately they'll be judged on the outcomes
26:15
right and let's leave it open-ended, let's see
26:17
what the outcomes are. They've got some really
26:20
ambitious, they've got an ambitious agenda, they say
26:22
they're committed to the science. Now as I
26:24
say I think we should judge them on
26:27
on how successful an outcome there is. That's
26:37
all for this edition of The Climate
26:39
Question. Ben Cooper was
26:41
my producer this week with help
26:43
from researchers Sharuk El-Kabrosy and Octavia
26:45
Woodward. Simon Weltz is the
26:47
series producer and China Collins is
26:49
the editor. Tom Brickmill is our
26:52
logistical mixer. Food
27:04
is incredibly important in the world. It's
27:07
about survival, culinary heritage,
27:09
culture and tradition, different
27:11
relationships across the world. The food
27:14
chain from the BBC World Service
27:16
examines the business, science and cultural
27:18
significance of food. This
27:20
kind of food is lost, our community
27:22
will lose it I bet. And
27:25
what it takes to put food on
27:27
your plate. This is an incredible journey.
27:29
Search for the food chain wherever you
27:31
get your BBC broadcast.
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