Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:00
Wood McKenzie's online future-facing commodities forum
0:02
is back for its third year.
0:05
Join us online on March 27th for
0:07
an open discussion with our experts on
0:10
renewables, EVs and advanced battery technology. There
0:12
will be two events on that date, one during the day
0:14
in the Asia Pacific region and one during the day in
0:17
Europe and the Americas. So you should be able to find
0:19
a time to suit you wherever you are in the world.
0:22
At either one you'll be able to get
0:24
insights from our unparalleled integrated coverage of
0:26
the renewables, battery and electric vehicles value
0:28
chains. You'll be able to
0:30
hear our industry leading analysts unpack
0:32
their forecasts for key future-facing commodities,
0:34
including lithium, nickel, copper, aluminium and
0:37
rare earths. Learn how
0:39
technology, geopolitics and regulation are transforming
0:41
the metals markets as we build
0:43
an electrified future. To register
0:46
go to go.woodmack.com/FFCF
0:48
2024. You can
0:50
find the details in today's show notes. Hello
0:58
and welcome to The Energy Gang. I'm
1:00
Ed Crooks. Today on the show
1:02
we're going to be talking about AI. We're going to
1:04
be talking about the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos. And
1:07
we're going to be talking about the brutal weather currently
1:09
hit in the US. You may even
1:11
be able to hear the icy wind howling around our
1:13
building right now as I'm talking to you. To
1:16
discuss those topics it's a pleasure to welcome
1:18
again Julio Friedman, who's the Chief Scientist at
1:20
the Carbon Management Company Carbon Direct. Hi, Julio,
1:22
how are you? Delighted to be
1:24
here. Thanks again for having me. Great
1:27
to have you. And from the snowy mountains
1:29
of Switzerland, we're joined by Melissa Lott, who's
1:31
the Research Director at Columbia University's Center on
1:33
Global Energy Policy and a Professor at Columbia's
1:35
Climate School. Hi, Melissa, how are you? Doing
1:38
great. Looking forward to the conversation. It has been
1:40
a week, but we'll get into that. It's been
1:43
an exciting week. Yeah, absolutely.
1:45
I want to talk about that some more. You're in
1:47
Davos for the World Economic Forum meeting, which we're keen
1:49
to talk about later in the show. But
1:51
before we do that, I want to start off
1:53
by talking about what you've been doing, Julio, recently,
1:56
which is you've been talking about a very interesting
1:59
report on... artificial intelligence for
2:01
climate mitigation. It was published
2:03
last month by an organization called Innovations for
2:05
Cool Earth Forum, which is backed by the
2:07
Japanese government, among other things. And
2:10
you were one of the co-authors of this report. So
2:12
perhaps just in case, I don't know if you
2:15
heard the show last year where we talked about
2:17
AI, but just for a bit of background, when
2:20
we talked about it before, essentially I was
2:22
a skeptic on some of
2:24
the claims being made about AI for energy. I took
2:26
the view that the latest iterations of
2:28
AI that we're seeing, chat GPT and so
2:30
on, they could have huge
2:33
implications for some of the knowledge industries,
2:35
for journalism, marketing, the law, software engineering,
2:37
teaching and so on. But
2:39
I was fundamentally skeptical that they'd make much of
2:41
a real difference to most
2:44
of the energy industries. So,
2:46
Julio, as I say, you've got this interesting
2:48
report out. It seems like you think
2:50
I'm wrong, and actually AI is gonna be
2:52
very significant for energy. Why do you think
2:54
that? So first let me agree
2:57
with you on one point. AI
2:59
is not moving molecules. I
3:01
know that this is part of your concern. We
3:03
are moving fuels, we're moving electrons, we're doing all
3:06
this actual work in the energy system, and AI
3:08
doesn't do any of that. So
3:10
as a consequence, I understand the skepticism.
3:13
But first of all, AI
3:15
has already delivered substantial benefits
3:18
in terms of energy applications
3:20
and decarbonization. It
3:22
has already delivered substantial insights into
3:25
climate science, and we've only
3:27
started scratching the surface. There's
3:30
two particular ways that I want you to think
3:32
about the application of AI in energy and climate.
3:35
One of them is a broad efficiency play. So
3:39
you can think about things like
3:41
optimizing manufacturing, optimizing traffic flows, integrating
3:44
electricity onto the grid, in particular
3:46
clean electricity. All of those
3:48
are actually very difficult, complicated optimization problems. AI
3:50
can do a great job with that. The
3:53
second way, which is less obvious, is
3:55
that AI can sort of jump the
3:57
curve on a bunch of energy applications.
4:01
So think, for example, about novel
4:03
materials for batteries or
4:05
novel building materials, novel materials for
4:07
carbon capture or hydrogen production. This
4:10
sort of material discovery aspect, again,
4:12
is a place where AI has real
4:15
strength. And just this
4:17
week, there was an announcement of a
4:19
discovery of a new battery material done
4:21
in a partnership between Microsoft and Pacific
4:23
Northwest National Lab that was discovered through
4:26
AI. Now, discovering a material is
4:28
not the same thing as putting it into practice. I
4:30
mean, you still have to manufacture it
4:32
and produce it and all these other things. But
4:34
this is the kind of opportunities that
4:37
we're seeing emerge. Right.
4:39
But it is still then kind of out
4:41
there in the, this is what could
4:43
happen. This is what we
4:45
expect we might be able to do with
4:47
AI, really, isn't it, rather than things
4:50
that are actually being delivered right now? I mean,
4:52
you said at the beginning some of these optimization
4:54
type problems are being solved by
4:56
AI already. Do you have any
4:58
examples of that? So I've actually got
5:00
something we've been diving into here in Switzerland this week,
5:02
and I will refrain from going into
5:04
the meeting in detail, Ed, so don't worry. But I'll say
5:06
AI is a hot topic. And it's
5:09
interesting because I'm meeting with a lot of energy folks and
5:11
a number of people, including in
5:13
more traditional energy production businesses, have
5:16
been talking about how AI has
5:18
been something they've used for a
5:20
while to optimize their processes for
5:22
finding reserves, for actually extracting those
5:25
reserves, thinking about predictive maintenance, for
5:27
optimizing all the different processes of turning into
5:29
the products we finally use. And it's
5:32
really interesting to hear, one,
5:35
people use AI very loosely in
5:37
conversation sometimes. So the definition of
5:39
what we mean is really important.
5:42
But also to hear different groups say, look, there's
5:44
different parts of AI that we should dive into.
5:46
You're saying this AI. You mean this. You're saying
5:48
this AI. And that's something I've actually used to
5:50
optimize my processes in the field for a long
5:53
time. And so that's just one
5:55
point I want to bring up, which I thought was
5:57
interesting. AI is being used really loosely in a lot
5:59
of conversations. Yeah,
6:01
so actually this is a good opportunity
6:03
for me to tell people we just did
6:05
a webinar on this with the Center on
6:07
Global Energy Policy at Columbia. That
6:09
will be broadcast very shortly. You can go to
6:12
the CJEP website at Columbia and find it there.
6:14
One of the things we do is we start at the beginning
6:16
by saying, what are we talking about with AI? And
6:19
they do mention sort of large language models, which
6:21
is how people get excited all
6:23
of a sudden with chat and tipteam stuff. But
6:25
there's many different kinds of AI. And
6:28
at their core, they're basically using learning
6:30
data sets to optimize around
6:32
an objective function. That's really
6:34
the core benefit of it. An example
6:36
of one that's being used right now into
6:38
carbonization that people don't automatically think of is
6:40
satellite monitoring of methane. And
6:43
in fact, a public called KAROES uses
6:45
AI today to find methane leaks
6:47
and detect them. Right.
6:50
Okay. And that's a
6:52
good one. I can see that some of
6:54
these innovations are interesting and useful. Going
6:57
back to your point, though, as you say, in terms of
7:00
what companies have been doing in the energy
7:02
industry for quite a while now, certainly probably
7:04
10 years, maybe a bit longer, people have
7:06
been talking about AI type
7:09
techniques, often calling them machine
7:11
learning. Right. I
7:13
think you mentioned this in your report, Julio, that a
7:15
lot of the time people have been using the
7:17
expression machine learning to mean what nowadays is being
7:19
called AI because AI is kind of hip and
7:21
fashionable and everyone wants to talk about it. It
7:24
seems to me that those machine learning
7:27
techniques, so for instance, this would be
7:29
something like optimizing the operation of a
7:31
power plant, making it run in the
7:33
most efficient way possible, going
7:35
beyond what human
7:37
operators are able to do in terms
7:39
of adjusting settings and so on
7:42
to make that run in the most efficient way possible,
7:45
letting the machines optimize that
7:47
and they can achieve better performance.
7:50
It's not transformational, though, right? I mean,
7:52
definitely people have been able to achieve,
7:55
you might get 5% better performance or
7:57
10% better performance from the companies who
7:59
sell these. of solutions talk about this a
8:01
lot and we'll be pitching to
8:03
their customers, hey, look, we can do
8:05
this much better for you than what
8:07
you've been doing before. And clearly,
8:10
if you're running one of these power plants, that's worth having.
8:12
That's not a bad thing. 5% or 10% is a significant
8:14
improvement for you. It
8:19
doesn't change the world, though. And that's, as I
8:21
say, when sometimes you hear AI
8:23
being talked about, and when I talk about
8:26
the fashionability of it, being a kind of
8:28
a vogue for AI excitement
8:30
right now, you get the
8:32
feeling that some people are saying, this is world
8:34
changing. And that's where I feel like
8:36
I'm still at the stage of, show me,
8:39
explain to me, tell me what is really
8:41
changing the world, as opposed to
8:43
making these kind of incremental improvements. I
8:46
wouldn't even just say the comment, this is going to change the
8:48
world. I run into
8:50
the conversation of this is going to change
8:52
the world tomorrow, it's going to fix it
8:54
all tomorrow. And so the timeframe is the
8:56
thing that I push back on in conversations.
8:58
It's like, is AI ready to, quote
9:01
unquote, solve all these problems? And we don't
9:03
need all these other actions anymore, because we
9:05
have AI. And so
9:07
I want to put that in there too, Julio, just to
9:09
get your responses to it on the timeline part of that
9:12
statement. So for the audience, AI is
9:14
not the mission. AI is
9:16
not the capsule. AI is not the
9:18
rocket. AI is the booster rocket.
9:20
We will be able to do all kinds
9:23
of things better, faster, and so forth. And
9:25
to your point about is it transformational?
9:28
There's sort of a canonical number out
9:30
there around the optimization stuff. And so if
9:32
we push all the optimization stuff out there
9:34
economy-wide, we can get 10%. That's
9:36
a heavy lift, but 10% is also a
9:38
big prize. That's five gigatons. That's really big
9:41
stuff. Second, the thing
9:43
that I would point to is the opportunity
9:45
to do things we haven't done yet that
9:47
could deliver bigger savings. So
9:49
for example, half of liquid fossil fuels
9:51
today for transportation are lost in
9:53
traffic. You can just optimize
9:56
traffic that's bigger than 10% benefit. And
9:58
same thing with grid integration. Right
10:00
now we're worried about reliability and stuff. If
10:02
we can load way more renewables onto the
10:05
grid and have more stability using AI, that
10:07
can be a larger and faster application. And
10:10
then last, those curve jumping applications that I've
10:12
talked about before. Things that
10:14
give us a real breakthrough on
10:17
manufacturing, on carbon
10:20
capture, on hydrogen production, on any number
10:22
of other things that can yield
10:24
larger than just 10% savings. That
10:27
is to be seen, and to Melissa's point, we'll
10:29
see how long it takes those things to happen.
10:32
We make very specific recommendations
10:34
in the report about what government should
10:37
do today. And
10:39
we really focus on workforce development,
10:42
not necessarily coders, but like everybody in the world
10:45
is gonna be using this stuff. You better have
10:47
some literacy. We
10:49
better train in an equitable way
10:51
so that everyone has access to this. We better
10:53
make sure people in the global south have access
10:55
to these tools and these capabilities, and that problems
10:57
are focused on their world. Bias
11:00
is a risk that we are
11:02
very concerned about. Last but not least,
11:04
every government agency that deals with climate should be
11:06
doing something where they are. They
11:08
should staff it, they should have an office, so
11:11
that they can start taking advantage of these things.
11:14
This is not gonna be one of those
11:16
deals where just industry itself delivers, primarily because
11:18
you need access to the data. If
11:21
you don't get access to the good data,
11:23
you can't make these transformational changes. And there's
11:25
real concerns about the propriety and the confidentiality
11:27
of data that needs to be managed. Those
11:30
are also government tasks. Okay,
11:32
so I think that's all very important, and I
11:34
do absolutely take your point on all of that.
11:37
Another issue I wanna raise, we've been
11:39
talking about the benefits,
11:42
the actual benefits and the potential benefits
11:44
of AI, but what
11:46
about the costs in terms of,
11:48
in particular, power consumption? There's now
11:50
a lot of interest in how
11:53
power demand, particularly in the United States, I think people
11:55
have been talking about this, but this is a conversation
11:57
that is starting to spread around the world. Power
12:00
demand in developed countries has been broadly flat
12:02
and was expected to stay flat for a
12:04
long time. Suddenly, it looks like it's on
12:06
an upward trend. There's a lot of companies,
12:09
grid operators, utilities talking about
12:12
much stronger expected demand growth in the
12:15
future because of various things
12:17
going on. But one of the key
12:19
things is data centers being built to
12:21
handle the increased demand for computing power.
12:24
And a big part of that is the massive
12:26
increased demand for AI services.
12:30
So how much of a concern is
12:32
that? I mean, as I say, if you're putting the negative
12:34
spin on it, you could say, well, look, we've got these
12:37
kind of modest benefits,
12:40
theoretical, putative, possible, larger benefits
12:42
set against very real costs
12:45
in terms of increased power
12:47
demand. Right. And people
12:49
have in their mind the recent experience
12:52
with Bitcoin, that Bitcoin suddenly led
12:54
to an explosion of dirty energy
12:56
and consumption and so forth. So
12:59
a couple of things. First of all, we
13:02
studied this in the report. And the answer that we
13:04
are key finding is we need better data. We
13:07
don't have all the answers of what we need. But
13:09
it looks like today, AI is
13:11
much less than 1% of demand globally.
13:15
It's just not as big an energy draw
13:17
as people think. And even with exponential
13:19
growth, we're seeing improvements in
13:21
the efficiency of servers, the efficiency of
13:23
chips. We're seeing the companies
13:25
that are building AI really focusing on
13:27
green power procurement for 24-7
13:29
applications. For the
13:32
low latency applications, you can put them in a
13:34
place like Iceland, where there's
13:36
an abundance of clean energy
13:38
supply. So these sorts of things are
13:40
out there. This is not likely
13:42
to be the big problem. Quite the
13:44
opposite. But the
13:46
conclusion is that the savings far outweigh the potential risks,
13:48
but we should have better data and keep an eye
13:51
on it. Melissa, where do you come down
13:53
on this? I mean, I think it's
13:55
interesting how I think about it. Yeah. So
13:57
need more data. We'll see how it grows. it.
14:00
Back when I was at the International Energy Agency
14:03
and Department of Energy and all of our models,
14:05
we had that category called other that, you know,
14:07
included a lot of widgets and things we did.
14:09
And we were like, Oh, streaming services. Um, anybody
14:12
else remember when the IEA put out a fact
14:14
checking piece on like what streaming was doing to
14:16
like Tracey demand? Do you
14:18
guys remember this? Um, yeah, yeah, yeah.
14:20
And it's one of those, Hey, when we
14:22
have the data to evaluate it, let's evaluate
14:24
it. In some cases, we might find that
14:26
this actually leads to those efficiency gains. And
14:29
so the net result is yet consumes electricity
14:31
to get electricity savings. So, or
14:33
energy equivalent savings. So maybe it all works
14:35
out. I don't know. We'll see how it
14:37
goes. It's still early days. Um, but
14:40
I can't wait to see the data is the bottom line on
14:42
this for me. And Julio, you
14:44
were just talking about what the world needs
14:47
to do, what governments need to do in
14:49
particular in policy terms, just
14:51
thinking about that balance between the
14:53
costs and the benefits of AI.
14:55
How do we maximize the benefits
14:58
and minimize the costs and the risks that are
15:01
associated with it? What more needs to happen? Yeah,
15:03
we really focus not so much on the cost
15:05
because we think in general, this will deliver cost
15:07
savings, but we do think about the benefits versus
15:09
the risks and there's
15:11
risks of misapplication. There's
15:14
risks of bias. There's
15:16
risks of data leakage and cyber
15:18
incidents. There's all kinds of risks.
15:21
Uh, the number one step is getting people smart. Spend
15:24
some time, learn about this, uh, really think
15:26
about it in your enterprise. The same way
15:28
that medicine is thinking about AI, the
15:31
same way that journalism is thinking about AI,
15:34
like the same way that lawyers are thinking about
15:36
AI, people involved in climate and energy need to
15:38
do that. We think there's a premium on
15:41
actually connecting people who do the computational work
15:43
with the climate people and the energy people.
15:46
They're not talking enough right now. They don't
15:48
really know what's possible. And we
15:50
really do think that governments need to
15:52
put some money into staffing, into human
15:54
capital development. And last but not
15:56
least, they can tackle the tough data problems. Um,
16:00
I think that, for example, grid is
16:02
a great application for AI, but
16:05
suddenly making all of the grid data
16:07
public is an incredible risk. It's
16:09
a risk to the companies, it's a risk to consumers, it's
16:11
a risk to the nation. You got to manage that for
16:14
real. So I don't want to be cavalier about the risks
16:16
either, but we see all of it as manageable. And
16:19
I'll say around AI period, back
16:21
to so many things that we
16:24
have been discussing here in Switzerland. See, I didn't
16:26
mention the meeting yet, Ed. We'll wait till we
16:28
get to that discussion. We've
16:30
been talking a lot about workforces and workforce development.
16:32
I go back to that thing we were discussing
16:35
months ago, which was just what
16:37
can AI do for us? And if it's a personalized
16:39
tutor that provides education for
16:42
someone's entire life, as they
16:44
maybe pivot between careers or gain skill sets where
16:46
you don't have as much local access to information
16:48
about those skill sets. Yeah,
16:51
it'll be really interesting to see where we
16:53
manage, but also where we look for new
16:55
opportunities with a tool. So,
16:58
yeah, let's come on to talking about Davos Malistra and
17:00
what you've been doing there. Just before we get off
17:02
the subject of AI, though, I want to
17:04
pick up on something you were saying, who
17:06
do you think is absolutely right, which is
17:08
it's important for everyone to be informed about
17:11
this, to think about it, to think about
17:13
how we're going to use these AI
17:15
tools, what the risks are, what the
17:17
potential benefits are. And I do think
17:19
reading your report actually is a great start. And so do
17:22
everyone go to the website and check that out. And
17:25
we'll put a link on social media and
17:27
things around this show so that people
17:29
can read that for themselves. So,
17:31
Melissa, as I was saying, you've been in Davos
17:34
meeting the World Economic Forum this week. AI,
17:36
you were saying, is one of the things you've
17:38
been talking about. What are
17:40
you doing there in general? What's the
17:43
purpose of your attending this event? And what have
17:45
you been talking about? One
17:47
comment before I entered into that, Ed, you remember
17:49
what you were talking about? Is this your first
17:51
COP? Is this your first COP? Is this your
17:54
first COP? This is my first Davos. I've never
17:56
been to the World Economic Forum events, even on
17:58
the outside of the Six Years' End. So
18:00
I've been absorbing a lot about what these
18:02
meetings look like when you're here in person versus reading
18:04
the headlines. So what I haven't been doing is reading
18:06
headlines because I have had absolutely no time to read
18:09
the headlines coming out of Davos in the past few
18:11
days because man, I've had
18:13
my run and shoes on. Because climate
18:15
and energy is hugely on the agenda.
18:18
There's an entire section about nuclear. There's
18:21
just all types of conversations
18:23
about finance and trade and
18:25
how we accelerate to reach
18:27
these different targets around nuclear
18:29
deployment, renewables deployment, grid improvements
18:32
down the line. Just so many, so many
18:34
conversations. So I'm
18:36
here moderating conversations between
18:39
different folks. Today I was moderating
18:41
one on green hydrogen. I
18:43
talked about the colors in the rainbow, Leo, from our
18:46
episode back in the day on the big switch. It
18:48
came up. I didn't bust into song
18:50
though with the ministers in the room and a
18:53
bunch of CEOs. I know I should have, but
18:55
there you go. I
18:58
am talking and helping educate and communicate around
19:00
what it means to have an equitable transition, the
19:02
speed and scale of the transition that we see as
19:04
needed when we look at the data and the analysis.
19:07
Breaking that down for people who, energy
19:10
and climate was something they thought about
19:13
in terms of price of the pump for
19:15
gasoline, especially in election years or other pieces
19:17
of it that used it, but it wasn't
19:19
top of mind and they're trying to dive
19:21
into it. I
19:23
think I'm up to, I don't know how
19:25
many talks. I'm not even going to try to count them at this point, but
19:28
it's been really, really interesting. And
19:30
so the people you're talking to, the
19:32
people, kind of people who go to
19:34
Davos is typically sort of CEOs, business
19:36
leaders, leaders from the financial industry, politicians
19:38
and so on. I mean, it's kind
19:41
of, I'm trying to avoid using the words
19:43
of global elite, but you know what I mean by this.
19:45
I mean, it's that those
19:47
are the people, leaders in
19:50
various different fields from all around
19:53
the world, right, who you're getting to talk to. Yeah.
19:55
So I mean, absolutely. You can, I
19:58
Do know about some of the headlines I Imagine. There
20:00
because I heard helicopter flying kinda draft.
20:02
Ask them some fancy people in Chino,
20:04
security got up in some areas and
20:06
all those things. So yeah it is
20:08
an elite group of people, but there
20:10
are more voices that I might have
20:12
expected. having only read headlines before says
20:14
one example. I spoke in the open
20:16
forum so they do events with in
20:18
the town so that. Anyone around
20:21
can just a tendon listen, engage
20:23
in your speakers like Jane Goodall
20:25
getting on the stage and others
20:27
and but we did a panel
20:29
on air pollution including climate solutions
20:31
When from the their place and
20:33
and sitting to my last was
20:35
this woman Hamelin from Mongolia who's
20:37
one of the Fifty West Global
20:39
Shapers and that they have in
20:41
addition to the Young Global Leaders
20:43
program who was at the annual
20:45
Meeting and who is speaking at
20:47
the annual meeting in the a
20:49
parrot as. You know, listening and
20:51
contributing to the conversations that are going on. And
20:53
so I know my way more about those programs
20:56
that they have now that I've been here and
20:58
been involved in these had that activities. but it
21:00
is a limit a group it's the same thing
21:02
is cop who gets a ticket to go in.
21:04
The blues on who gets badge. You know there's
21:07
only so many badges the go around. And
21:09
eight and in terms of don't abuse of
21:11
your time and a worthwhile it is for
21:14
you to go with what the crucial thing
21:16
the you're getting to talk to. Different
21:18
audiences. You're suggesting people who are
21:20
generally. Interested. In or
21:22
closely following. Climate. And energy
21:24
issues or is it about. You. Getting
21:26
to hear other people's perspectives or both of
21:29
those things? Was it worth your time? Still,
21:31
it is a few answers to that that
21:33
I could get. There's a lot of reasons
21:36
I think it's viable am adding valuable to
21:38
be in these conversations. You know. What?
21:40
The reality as of them. Because
21:42
being in the room and having his
21:44
conversations asking those questions and you're like
21:46
why it or is this what we're
21:48
going towards But also there's a hundred
21:50
and fifty. Experts here, so there.
21:52
was an expert's mock him dinner so i know
21:55
there are one hundred and fifty of us because
21:57
that's what we're told her brought in to baseline
21:59
conversations So I get into conversations
22:01
and in a conversation I was in today,
22:03
it's just one example. We were talking about
22:06
how you get big projects built and the
22:08
idea of stakeholder engagement versus
22:11
having communities be equity partners in
22:13
projects and all of that. And
22:16
I brought up, I said, hey, there's this
22:18
book that's literally titled How to Get Big
22:20
Things Done. There's this other book, Speed of
22:22
Trust. And in the first one, they have
22:24
a database of thousands of huge projects. And
22:27
they talk about what gets them done and
22:29
what doesn't. And they talk about this engagement,
22:31
community, inclusion, equity piece of it. And
22:34
so instead of a conversation not
22:36
having that foundation, I'm able to
22:38
help set the foundation based on
22:40
here's what the evidence tells us, here's what we know and what we don't
22:42
know. And that is a really,
22:45
I think, valuable piece to add to these
22:47
conversations. If they didn't have it, the conversations
22:49
would start in a very different place. The
22:52
second thing that I'll mention, and I won't go down the
22:54
whole list, is yeah, I'm learning
22:56
and learning from a lot of people that
22:59
I don't spend a ton of time with. Not
23:02
on the daily, because it's very, very
23:04
rare that you have this group of people in one
23:06
place. That's why people follow it
23:08
and track it. I'm just walking down
23:10
the hallways today and I see Paul
23:12
Ryan and the governor of Georgia and
23:15
other people and the equivalence in so
23:17
many countries. I met governors equivalence in
23:19
Korea, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera,
23:21
from different provinces and different countries all
23:23
over the world. How
23:26
often do you get that chance to have a
23:28
conversation and chat about a topic? Not
23:30
much. So what about you, Julio? Did you
23:32
have a view on the World Economic Forum? Do you have Go to
23:34
Davos? I have not yet gone
23:37
to Davos. So I
23:39
was like Melissa last year, still a bridesmaid. In
23:43
this regard, hot and cold on Davos,
23:45
it seems like some years are more consequential than
23:47
others, again, which is, I think,
23:49
a reasonable expectation. They
23:52
can't all be great. It is a
23:54
place, like Melissa says, where specific kinds
23:57
of conversations can happen that don't happen
23:59
elsewhere. So. As an example,
24:01
there was a story earlier this week. That.
24:03
Said that only three percent.
24:06
Of. Shareholder Movements on Climate this
24:09
year succeeded. Which. Means ninety
24:11
seven percent didn't. Haven't.
24:14
Governments and company leaders talking about
24:16
that is useful. Why?
24:19
Did they fail? What was the change?
24:21
Is it economic headwinds? Is it a
24:23
change in history stance? Are there ways
24:25
to work together to have more consequential
24:28
outcomes? Are. Things were that
24:30
shareholder movements can support government options or
24:32
the opposite. Like both kinds of conversations
24:34
are very infrequent and rare in Davos
24:36
is a good platform for them. I
24:39
will also say that a lot of criticism
24:41
around Davos Ethic is bill focus like that.
24:44
The. Jet planes for people flying their i'm like.
24:47
Come on, that's like not even one sporting
24:49
event. Get over it like this. Sick. If
24:51
it's are, they will be talked about this
24:54
before. but the a weekend at Wembley Stadium
24:56
is gonna have a larger emissions footprint than
24:58
dollars. But I also think that it is
25:00
an echo chamber. People who
25:02
are there. Really know
25:04
what manufacturing is? Don't actually
25:07
know what energy systems are?
25:09
Having. Experts in the room to baseline is a great
25:11
way to counter that. But. A lot
25:13
of the stuff needs to be sorted, anchored in
25:15
the reality. Of Energy Systems.
25:18
And. So I would see.again as an
25:20
opportunity to build it the World Economic
25:22
Forum. To. Think about not just
25:24
haven't gone global. Leaders come in. But.
25:27
Also thinking about. Maybe. Some study
25:29
tours where people who are important in Davos
25:31
we will apartment in the circles. Visit.
25:33
Facilities talk to experts more frequently.
25:36
So. That that means can become more consequent.
25:39
Cannot say some of the discussions are
25:41
having. I gave a talk on this
25:43
means a zillion area that. It's
25:45
it's. big, lots people come by and all that,
25:47
and there's only so many chairs I gave I.
25:50
When I say energy, what am I mean talk
25:52
like, what am I mean I want to talk
25:54
about Internet Zero. One. Of the bucket the
25:56
things we do and I had Ceos sitting
25:58
on these that I called. Mushroom chairs to
26:00
be little pod soft things in of kind
26:03
of like eclectic area just like listening and
26:05
than asking me questions after and i was
26:07
really. Glad. For that. but as
26:09
you say like the education piece of this is
26:12
actually come up in a ton of discussion that
26:14
than apart as witches I talk to these people
26:16
and they had no idea what I do and
26:18
then I'm talking to them this is come up
26:20
to and I'm talking to them and obviously have
26:23
an agenda because I run a company so like
26:25
how do we get more students educated no matter
26:27
where they go just haven't be educated and how
26:29
these different pieces energy system works to they can
26:31
have that awareness and whatever application they're. Doing with
26:33
their career and is a good question to
26:35
the asking into it and put a you
26:37
was just mentioning some of his criticism of
26:39
doubles from the World Economic Forum. As I'm
26:42
sure you know it has quite a weird
26:44
reputation in some of the. Other. Corners
26:46
of the internet was assholes. That of. Conspiracy
26:49
theory thing about how. This.
26:51
Is very sinister with it's sort of. The.
26:54
Instrument Of Global Control and all the rest
26:56
of it. Which. I
26:59
think fundamentally is very city a to some
27:01
of it's quite sinister as well as a.
27:03
Believer. That if this I don't think
27:05
everyone needs to give. A too
27:08
much attention to this stuff. But. There
27:10
is an interesting. Fundamental. Issue
27:12
I think it raises which is the question
27:14
or. As you say,
27:17
Melissa sort of exclusivity, inclusivity. And
27:19
in a when you get all these
27:21
leaders from. These different. Fields.
27:24
From all around the world, getting together,
27:27
And talking to each other and
27:29
the great majority of the population
27:31
of the world is excluded. And
27:34
people can exchange ideas and have
27:36
conversations, some of which are able
27:38
to the public in some ways.
27:40
But Ludwig Jones. Naturally, that kind
27:42
of raises suspicions and inevitably some
27:44
people I got out of rubber
27:46
those suspicions and David much too
27:48
far. And can greatly
27:50
exaggerated be. Influence.
27:52
An impact that some like World
27:54
Economic Forum can have. as
27:57
as a present there's a real issue there is a you
27:59
mention this because you about groupthink and everyone basically
28:01
getting together in a room and agreeing with each
28:03
other and coming out with a certain set of
28:05
ideas that don't reflect
28:07
enough diversity viewpoints, don't
28:11
reflect really the spread
28:13
of opinions that there are in the
28:15
world. And that
28:18
then creates tensions and
28:20
problems in terms of when
28:23
people leave Davos and go and try to actually
28:25
make change in the world, it
28:27
makes it harder for them to do that. Who
28:29
do you think? So for starters, I
28:31
think it's adorable that people believe that there
28:33
will be some like conclave
28:36
of Illuminati who govern
28:38
things like, like,
28:40
like, if you see these people for
28:42
real, you'd immediately realize how
28:45
silly that notion is. Although
28:47
it is exactly why Kim Stanley Robinson made
28:49
like a point in his book, Mystery of
28:51
the Future of like rounding up these people
28:53
to Davos and giving them a five day
28:55
socialist teach in like, that's
28:57
part of like why these things happen. It's
29:00
always hard to find the right balance. I don't want to
29:02
make it sound like this is sort of easy to do.
29:05
Let's be clear, most of the world doesn't
29:07
actually have an opinion about sustainable aviation fuels
29:09
and wouldn't necessarily know how to make them
29:11
real. Right? So there are
29:13
aspects of the conversation where you want
29:16
business leaders, government leaders, and experts working
29:18
on corners of the problem that they
29:21
can make progress on. I
29:23
do think though that it's
29:25
not so much about groupthink, but that the echo
29:27
chamber, it is easy to think that ideas that
29:29
are hatched in that place
29:31
are automatically born good. And as
29:33
we've seen, that's not always true.
29:36
If ideas are going to come out of Davos and
29:39
they should, they need to be proved against
29:41
the real world in real ways. And
29:43
that should include more inclusion of voices from the
29:45
global south. That should include more
29:47
perspectives from civil society of all
29:50
kinds. But even then, I
29:52
hope that the people who come to those
29:54
conversations have a workman like sensibility about it, but
29:56
they don't just appear to vent, they appear
29:59
to to assist. I
30:01
feel like we've raised a generation of inquisitors. Everybody
30:03
wants to hold people's feet to the fire I'm
30:05
like hold everybody's feet to the fire. Nobody
30:07
walks very far. We got to figure out how to get
30:09
to yes and to get things going to Melissa,
30:12
what do you think so I'm here with
30:14
two members of the Center on global
30:16
energy policy team and so Jason Bordoff
30:18
our director and Jocelyn on his team
30:20
who has been incredible support
30:22
all week and My
30:25
goodness couldn't have done stuff without her. She's amazing
30:27
But I find it
30:29
very interesting and valuable that Jason and
30:31
I have both been in a full-out
30:33
run going between meetings because he's a
30:35
geopolitics and national security expert around energy
30:37
and climate stuff and I'm engineer policy
30:39
some economics You know, it's like I'm
30:41
the other end of the pie or
30:43
other slice of the pie Whatever I'm
30:46
we complement each other in our backgrounds
30:48
And this is one of the few
30:50
places where both of those voices that
30:53
are quite different really In
30:55
terms of our approaches and the ones we apply to it are in
30:57
the room And that's just an
30:59
interesting reflection. I've been kind of ruminating on in
31:01
the last few days So now
31:04
look you have been in the
31:06
snow in devil's But you haven't
31:08
needed to go to Switzerland to
31:10
get snow this week What
31:13
I want to move on to talk about now
31:15
is the snow we've had across the US absolutely
31:18
brutally cold conditions I think at one point there
31:20
were a hundred million people in the
31:22
US under Alerts weather
31:24
alerts for extreme cold. There
31:26
was snow falling as far south
31:28
as Mississippi and Louisiana And
31:31
I want to just think about some of the implications
31:33
of that for energy one of the things in particular
31:36
But there's been a lot of focus on has been
31:38
Texas, of course, obviously Note this
31:40
very well, but winter storm hurry in 2021 There
31:43
were blackouts that lasted for days and hundreds
31:45
of people died But over
31:47
the past few days as of time for recording and
31:50
touch wood on this Hopefully this will remain the case
31:52
but things seem to have gone a lot
31:54
better They've been so far no major power
31:56
failures in Texas and I saw Greg
31:59
Abbott The state. They're gonna talk about this.
32:01
He said that the great performed flawlessly,
32:03
never failing. Sir.
32:05
Who. Question. Interested
32:08
in your takes on what happened
32:10
in Texas? I mean. I. Think
32:12
Greg Abbott has been saying that over
32:14
the grids perform better now because the
32:17
changes we introduced and then more power
32:19
generation on the great and winter Ization
32:21
protections against cold weather have been better
32:24
and occult as more tools to help
32:26
keep the great stable. What's.
32:28
Your. Take on this melissa
32:31
of the he lives in Texas. You
32:33
follow this very closely. What? Do
32:35
you think's been happening? How man thou.
32:37
And first thing I'm gonna say
32:39
is I love my home state.
32:42
In a proud tax and
32:44
many generations deep. I did
32:46
live in a lot of places going
32:49
out but I am proud and I
32:51
they're great people on the state and
32:53
so I lived to organise how
32:55
many major blackouts like all your favorite
32:58
sub he finished up paton the past
33:00
while I when I was a graduate
33:02
student interested texas at Austin and
33:04
and trying to anyone during and uncovered
33:07
we were living in Austin and actually
33:09
and mention the pack I do three
33:11
Columbia that expect that clear resigned and
33:14
talk about hydrogen that season one. And
33:16
that entire. Show. It's
33:18
like him a hobby to com has electricity, but it's
33:20
actually done against the backdrop as. Much.
33:23
As Army or a where we lost our
33:25
for a week for the A we were
33:27
recording a podcast. You remember I was like
33:29
on a hot spot in my car cause
33:32
that was the only place and I had
33:34
a beanie on and a huge jacket because
33:36
I was like trying to minimize someone feel
33:39
I use because we didn't know what was
33:41
going to happen and is pretty crazy so
33:43
I think we've gotten pretty lucky. I think
33:45
if you read their work done by an
33:48
ally great taxes based researchers at University taxes
33:50
not just make letters group that including my
33:52
quivers. Grew up there on but other
33:54
universities around the state and outside the
33:56
state of looked into it and. I'm
33:59
glad. Powers on for the
34:01
most part because it. Is.
34:04
Keeping people safe. I'm and that's great.
34:06
There have been some blips but yeah
34:08
it's been pretty lucky and that's that's
34:10
great and I hope it continues. I
34:12
really do. I am absolutely not confident
34:14
that we have solve the underlying issues
34:16
that have led to some really dangerous
34:18
situations in the past. Amla, That's just
34:20
looking at the evidence of like what
34:22
we will mean. Look at not just
34:24
the one that happened a few years
34:26
ago with one apple as a grad
34:28
student. my chest is a few more
34:30
years than that. Go on M. We
34:32
had the same kind of findings. Are. Big
34:34
for portals, other stuff and. Those
34:37
investments haven't happened yet and as we look to
34:39
electrify more and more things and were depending on
34:41
it more and more. I think about it now
34:43
that I'm an electric car and I was sitting
34:45
in the diesel car during the blackout and that
34:48
tank of fuel had a lot of ways to
34:50
give on literally. In some cases where a gay
34:52
gay people heat and say spot so. So
34:55
much weight on these conversations, man. But far
34:57
the evidence goes, I don't see that the
34:59
investments have been made in both the technical
35:01
parts of the system but also the market
35:03
structures. The race, racism, etc. encourage the things
35:05
that we need. To actually have that
35:08
be the stronger, flexible backbone that we need,
35:10
I am very curious with both of you.
35:12
Think about it as non Texans who don't
35:14
have the. The. Ties Mass
35:17
Effect. To. This day where you know you
35:19
proud of the state man that power grid is
35:21
not doing yes not doing well. So.
35:25
Let me start by talking about the fact that
35:27
we don't say the words bombs I Clone anymore.
35:29
Thank God for that! But. Certainly.
35:32
I'd forgotten that and all right now that
35:34
we called it a bomb site called idea
35:37
right? I'd I'd blocks that went out and
35:39
the sorry. Please continue to our but these
35:41
kinds of events are both predictable and predict.
35:43
When we start talking about calamities twenty years
35:45
ago, these kinds of events will predict. saw
35:47
it on what people think this is some.
35:50
perverse anomaly the will ever happen again quite
35:52
the opposite happened twenty twenty one episode three
35:54
to have twenty two three happened twenty four
35:56
it's more so i do think that we
35:58
have managed to dodge bullet again.
36:01
We're getting better at paper
36:03
oiling these things, but we haven't made the
36:05
big investments in infrastructure we need to to
36:08
really solve the problem. In
36:10
fact, quite the opposite. What we've
36:12
seen coming out of this storm is
36:14
in fact a real spike in electricity
36:16
demand for
36:19
heating, for heat
36:21
pumps, for electric vehicles, for all these
36:24
things. People are actually using way more
36:26
electricity during these times. In
36:29
the past, we have ramped up coal. We
36:31
have ramped up other kinds of things to
36:33
make up that shortfall. It's harder to
36:36
do that these days because the coal plants
36:38
are shutting down. We've actually just decommissioned a
36:40
whole bunch of plants this year. The
36:42
reliability is going to continue to be an
36:44
issue. We haven't built out the transmission that
36:46
we need to. Air cot
36:48
remains separated from the rest of the grid, so it's still
36:50
more vulnerable than the rest of the grid, but the rest
36:53
of the grid needs help too. Maybe
36:56
AI can help at some point. We'll find out.
36:58
I do want to draw
37:01
one other story
37:03
recently about how the UK is
37:06
really falling down on transmission build-out
37:08
and how that's jeopardizing their economic
37:11
growth. A number of people were saying, watch
37:13
this space. That's going to be the story
37:15
this year in the US. As electricity
37:17
demand is growing, as these shocks
37:19
are coming, we're going to need
37:21
to put more money into the
37:23
grid. Every week is infrastructure week,
37:25
my friends, for the next 30
37:27
years. The Texas situation
37:30
today, again, I think we've
37:32
dodged a bullet, but we haven't solved the fundamental problems.
37:35
One way that I describe it, and then Ed, I really
37:37
want to hear what you think about this, especially
37:39
because Julio just brought in the UK as well.
37:42
Around this, it's like the
37:44
house has a foundation issue. We're
37:46
redoing the kitchen and we're adding a bedroom, but
37:49
the foundation needs some shoring up. It's not that
37:51
it's not fixable. It's absolutely fixable. We know how
37:53
to do it. We got the contractor on speed
37:55
out. We can get it done next week. In
37:58
this case, it would take longer than that because this is huge. infrastructure
38:00
projects. But it's
38:03
the Achilles heel. It doesn't matter how pretty the
38:05
paint is or how great the tile is. If
38:07
you don't fix that foundation, you're going to have
38:09
cracks and they're going to come at very inconvenient
38:11
times. But I'm really curious for your
38:13
thoughts. So I 100% agree
38:16
with what Houdya has been saying about
38:18
transmission and the absolutely vital importance of
38:20
getting more transmission built. Actually,
38:22
there were a few encouraging steps
38:24
that were made last year. Projects
38:27
getting final investment decisions, projects getting
38:29
approved and so on in several parts of the
38:31
US. So it looks like there's
38:34
some activity going on clearly not
38:36
enough though. And definitely more need to happen
38:38
as you say more need to happen around
38:40
Texas in particular to help Texas. I do
38:43
think that's part of the solution, although not
38:45
the whole solution. One of
38:47
the things I'm interested in your thoughts
38:50
on is the question of the measure
38:52
the Texas adopted last year. Substantial
38:55
public vote in favor of this, which was
38:57
essentially a scheme to subsidize
38:59
gas fired power generation to
39:01
encourage more gas fired power generation to be put on
39:03
the grid, which people have said is this
39:05
is going to be the answer. And this is the
39:07
thing which will make the
39:09
grid more reliable and enable
39:11
us to cope with these kinds
39:14
of extreme conditions. And if
39:16
we have a shortfall in renewable
39:18
generation in particular, do
39:20
you think that measure makes sense? Melissa, what
39:22
do you think? I'm
39:25
actually curious what Julio thinks first on this. I've
39:27
got such an insider's view in Texas. I have
39:29
very strong opinions, but Julio, what do
39:31
you think? Okay, yeah, you go first. I
39:34
think that virtue signaling through this kind of
39:36
stuff is just nuts. You know,
39:38
natural gas can help, but they haven't
39:40
weatherized. They haven't weatherized natural gas plants
39:42
enough. They haven't added the balance of
39:45
system that you need to make sure that those things are doing. So
39:47
adding gas doesn't solve the problem. It is
39:49
a kind of political posturing and it drives
39:51
me crazy. The Same could be said if
39:53
they pass something, but we're going to have all
39:56
renewables. The Fact that these are complicated, nuanced issues
39:58
that are being exploited for political. The aim
40:00
and in the short term is. Really?
40:02
Awful. The. Core
40:04
problems remain the core problems.
40:06
Saying we should subsidize natural gas.
40:09
Maligned. Some pockets will add some plants,
40:11
but once solve the problems and we know
40:13
what the problems are. There's no mystery about
40:15
that and the reason. That
40:18
we built the system fifty years ago.
40:20
Or hundred years ago. That first phase
40:22
and bout ruff numbers fifty years Elite.the
40:24
second life. we can't be building or
40:26
goods for the past which is what
40:28
we have. Done. We need to
40:30
build it for not just the future.
40:32
we need to go there for the
40:34
reality we're seeing today, but we should
40:36
build it for the features that it's
40:38
able to supply us with. reliable, affordable,
40:40
and clean power moving forward and. We.
40:42
Have the technologies to do it. It.
40:45
Is a process that? That's the thing is,
40:48
it's not a headline tomorrow it's a thoughtful
40:50
and pension all process of building thing that's
40:52
really encouraged by and say it is the
40:54
first. Time. I've written Energy and
40:56
Taxes. That during the crash don't
40:58
build outs and that was like some
41:01
Kevin Costner builder. they will come type
41:03
situation things and so I'm incursion. I
41:05
think that the state can do it
41:07
again, but it's about practical conversations. On.
41:10
The evidence. Yet. And they're gonna
41:12
have to spend some money for real to in
41:14
the hard stuff shoring up a foundation. I.
41:16
Love that analogy. Melissa and. Of
41:19
the problem is like people to live in
41:21
the foundation, People live in kitchens, People living.
41:24
In look at the paint. The you
41:26
have to spend this unglamorous money on
41:28
this unglamorous thing. right? Yeah,
41:30
no that's a great point on. Certainly
41:32
an issue with to the buzzer was
41:34
over the past on the show when
41:36
I know will be returning to because
41:38
it is just so important and in
41:40
the meantime we'll be watching Texas very
41:42
closely to hope that conditions remain good.
41:44
I'm of the power amyloid stay on
41:46
for everybody. Over the next few
41:49
days will the so brutal weather continues. To.
41:52
Avoid you. we do have to live with a video
41:54
and or you've gotta run just before a let's go
41:56
very quickly. Becomes. you are free electrons
41:58
these posts no items that brought in.
42:00
I have one, Melissa, especially
42:02
for you, which I'm very pleased to share with
42:04
you. Houdo, do you
42:06
want to do yours first? What's your free electron? My
42:09
free electron is, my
42:12
parents need additional attention these
42:14
days. I was visiting
42:17
my dad, and among other things, saw
42:19
an incredibly good-looking recipe for braised lamb
42:21
shanks, which is what I'm making this
42:23
weekend. For real, it's going
42:25
to be fantastic. But the
42:27
reason I bring this up is that there
42:30
is a real risk in my parents'
42:32
home about them forgetting and leaving the
42:34
stove on. That is a real challenge
42:36
that needs to be managed. A friend suggested,
42:38
well, maybe you should throw in an induction
42:40
stove. Maybe that would solve the problem and
42:42
it would avoid the fire risk. I'm like,
42:45
yeah, I don't think that's the core problem, but sure,
42:48
maybe. We'll see if that's the thing. Very
42:51
interesting. Presumably, with an induction stove and electric appliance,
42:53
it ought to be easier to make it smart
42:55
as well, so you could see from your phone
42:57
whether it's switched on or not. Man, I never
43:00
want to be watching my phone to figure out
43:02
if my folks are cooking suits. That's just not
43:04
talking to spend my days. I
43:06
don't know. I think some people could find that useful. I
43:09
see your point. Melissa, what's yours? Oh,
43:11
man. I don't know where to start, but
43:14
the cooking comment actually has me thinking about
43:16
the incredible... I know it's
43:18
not going to sound exciting, guys, but the
43:20
boulogne, the broths that I've been having here
43:22
in Switzerland have been amazing. I don't know
43:24
how much of it is like, food's amazing
43:26
when you get it because you were running
43:28
too long. It's cold and
43:30
it's this warm, salty thing and you're
43:32
also probably a little dehydrated because you've been
43:34
just running through the
43:36
Alps. Not to evoke
43:39
the sound of music, but I keep enjoying
43:42
those meals and now Julio has me thinking about it. My
43:45
serious free electron is
43:47
actually a request if I can. Do you remember
43:49
how I was telling you about my books that
43:51
I was going to be reading in
43:54
the next little bit? Okay, I
43:56
had February planned out because Ernie
43:58
Scheider's book... was coming out and
44:01
then I was going to get Michael Weber's book
44:03
midway through February. And so I was reading Michael
44:05
Mann's book. Well, I don't,
44:08
I know they listened to the episode because they
44:10
reached out, but I actually, between the time we
44:12
recorded and then the time they heard the episode.
44:14
So they tell me, I got
44:17
copies of my two February books. So now
44:20
I have a problem because I definitely started
44:22
reading them, which is what am
44:24
I going to do? Probably like the second
44:26
week of February. What book should be next?
44:28
I've got a lot of contenders, but I
44:30
actually want to ask for
44:32
help to pick one. And I'm not going to
44:34
give a list. Like what's the favorite energy and
44:36
climate book you've really enjoyed lately? It can be
44:39
fiction or nonfiction. Anna
44:41
Unrutko and reached out on Twitter with
44:44
one of hers or whatever, X with
44:46
one of her favorites, but I want suggestions. And if you have
44:48
one, I want to know. I need to know. Yeah.
44:50
And I do funny. You should say that.
44:53
Because there's a climate book, but I've literally just been
44:55
looking at that. I was going to mention it as
44:57
a free life for myself, but I thought I couldn't
44:59
do that really until I read it. It's
45:01
a book called Not the End of the World by Hannah Ritchie.
45:04
Have you heard of this? I've heard of Hannah Ritchie, Not the
45:06
End of the World. Let me look at that. Yeah.
45:08
Yeah. So she's quite a well-known
45:10
data scientist and just
45:12
reading the review of it here. So she's
45:14
lead researcher at the groundbreaking, Our World in
45:16
Data website run out of Oxford University. And
45:19
essentially it's a book about,
45:21
I guess you might call climate
45:24
realism and against climate doomism
45:27
and saying, yes,
45:29
climate change is a very serious problem. Yes,
45:32
it's something we need to address and tackle,
45:34
but you shouldn't think
45:36
that we're all doomed. You shouldn't
45:38
think that there's nothing people can
45:40
do to avert the
45:43
most catastrophic futures. You shouldn't think
45:45
that we've made no progress at
45:47
all. It looks like
45:49
a really interesting and well-argued book,
45:51
well worth checking out. That is
45:53
Not the End of the World by Hannah Ritchie. So
45:56
I would say that's definitely what I recommend.
45:59
I'm looking at it. Right now add an and
46:01
this looks perfect. Thank you for that.
46:03
Still asking for more suggestions? Please reach
46:05
out And since men on whatever platform
46:08
you like the dislikes, this looks really
46:10
cool. I'm I'm excited to see how
46:12
and and huckster it like I'm sorry
46:14
I'm I'm reading that this. Is I
46:16
got a close the tab? yeah I've
46:18
to The classroom result is a city
46:20
of let let's move on to the
46:23
internet points a game does a mugger?
46:25
a really interesting argument definitely will with
46:27
as a good thing concerned with I'm
46:29
looking forward to reading. So. Other
46:32
missing my free electron, then Melissa,
46:34
something I've thought about specifically for
46:36
you. Because. It's something
46:39
I've read this week, which really kind
46:41
of some took me aback a little
46:43
bit which is a story about Cop
46:45
Twenty Nine was reading in the Guardian.
46:47
So. You know I'm top. Twenty Nine can
46:49
be held later this year in November. In
46:52
Azerbaijan. And the story
46:55
the Garden was pointing out that was an
46:57
organizing committee for Cook Twenty Nine. Which.
46:59
Has twenty eight men on it
47:01
and not a single woman. And
47:04
I thought, Melissa: in light of some
47:06
of the things you've been talking about
47:08
in terms of representation of women, In
47:11
climate policy, the importance of gender balance,
47:13
and so on. This. Is
47:15
something which is. Well.
47:18
It kind of shocked me. presumably.
47:22
This is something that you will have
47:24
views on. Yeah. Yes,
47:26
and totally. Which is when you
47:29
have a good opens salts and
47:31
you know that as a world.
47:33
Yeah, there's something that. Is
47:36
perhaps common with roughly fifty percent of us
47:38
as members and none of that isn't around.
47:40
I should go back to the point you
47:43
made about diverse. It's like you're missing perspectives
47:45
and the outcome will be affected by and
47:47
we'd have so often about how you get
47:49
solution said, have problems and by having a
47:52
diversity of opinions as site you actually get
47:54
a more robust solutions like you get to
47:56
more workable solutions and. That's
47:59
nice. disappointing, I guess I'll say
48:01
in short. And I
48:04
wish I could be a fly on the walls, the
48:06
second thing I'll see behind the
48:08
discussions that led to that group. I'd
48:11
really like to understand kind of how they chose the
48:13
group and it led to a certain mix
48:15
of folks and you know, what was the reasoning behind that?
48:18
You know, how did it end up going that way?
48:20
I'd really love to understand that. That would be an interesting
48:22
one. I don't know if they'll ever publish that in a
48:24
newspaper, but if I could be a fly on the
48:26
wall and some kind of, that would
48:28
be, I would like to understand that. Yeah,
48:32
absolutely. I think one thing I think
48:34
about this is that I wonder if that'll
48:36
last given that it's now become
48:39
public, it's attracting a bit of international
48:41
scrutiny, people are talking about it. That
48:44
feels like an unsustainable position. That
48:46
feels like something that you
48:48
can't continue with really having
48:51
that kind of all male
48:53
committee making all those key decisions for
48:55
the COP. So we'll see, but I
48:57
suspect it'll change. So
49:00
hello, this is Ed again, speaking from
49:02
a couple of days later in the
49:04
time between we recorded that show, we
49:07
were talking about this free
49:09
electron of mine, the government of Azerbaijan
49:11
actually announced that they were adding 12
49:13
women to that organizing committee for COP
49:15
29. So I was saying at the
49:17
time, I thought it was unlikely to
49:19
stand that they would be having this
49:22
all male committee, so it is proved. And
49:25
I think certainly in terms of
49:27
what we've just been talking about,
49:29
the points Melissa has been making about
49:31
viewpoint diversity and so on, we
49:33
can definitely say that's a good thing that
49:36
they have decided to widen the
49:38
group in that way. Now back to
49:40
the show. And my hope on that
49:42
is that they took a look at who else isn't
49:44
in the room. Because I can't imagine
49:46
it's just a gender dynamic that maybe wasn't
49:48
considered. Because that's one that is maybe the
49:50
first one people think about in many cases.
49:52
So it's like, what else isn't in the
49:55
room? Because again, you want to get to
49:57
the richest possible outcomes as different perspectives are
49:59
really helpful. to make sure you're
50:01
not having these massive blind spots that
50:03
you could avoid by just having a diverse set of voices
50:06
in a room and making sure that each one of them has
50:08
a space at the table, as it were. So
50:10
I hope they not just consider the gender
50:13
dynamics but take a hard look at the
50:15
diversity of the group as a whole, but
50:18
we'll see, we'll see how it goes. I hadn't seen
50:20
the headline, as I told you, Ed, I've been just
50:22
running, I have not read much news this week. Yeah,
50:25
so I have to catch up on the plane back, but
50:27
I've got these books in my bag that I wanna finish
50:30
because I got halfway through and now I gotta finish
50:33
them. So we'll see. Indeed, indeed. Now we
50:35
ought to wrap it up in just a
50:37
moment before we do that, just on
50:39
your point about viewpoint diversity and the importance
50:42
of that, I have, I think, a fantastic
50:44
anecdote from my own household. So
50:46
my wife is completely addicted to the spelling bee in the New
50:48
York Times, you know, the thing where you get a kind of
50:50
a, you get sort of like a hexagon pattern of
50:52
letters and you have to make as many words as you can
50:54
out of it. And she's really
50:57
great at it and, you know, it gets
50:59
to kind of genius level, whatever, every time.
51:02
But just occasionally she
51:04
will say, I'm kind of stuck on this, can you take a
51:06
look and help me out on it? And
51:08
I take a look and then maybe I'll
51:10
find one or two words that she hasn't seen.
51:12
And so kind of between us, we can get
51:14
to genius level when she couldn't do that on
51:16
her own. If I ever have to do it
51:18
on my own, I'm absolutely terrible. And I don't
51:20
get, I get kind of extremely poor
51:23
level. So it's not that
51:25
I'm better at it than her, but
51:28
the pair of us combined with
51:30
our different perspectives and
51:32
ideas and backgrounds of knowledge and
51:34
so on are better than
51:36
either of us doing it on their own. And
51:40
I thought that was a really neat little parabola about, as
51:42
you say, the value of diversity and
51:45
why it's important to bring together different perspectives because
51:47
you'll get to a better outcome that way. Prepare
51:50
for it, y'all. I'm about to bring in a
51:52
high school antidote in a second. So today we
51:54
say teamwork makes the dream work, right? I mean,
51:56
seriously, you could lift heavier loads and there's multiple
51:58
out of hands. All those things. So here's
52:00
the high school thing. My
52:03
coach, when I was growing up,
52:05
my water polo coach, he said,
52:07
together everyone achieves more. And
52:10
so that's a team. And I know
52:12
I'm terrible at that. At the spelling bee, I'm
52:14
absolutely terrible at it. I'm never close to genius.
52:17
I don't even know if phoning a friend would
52:19
help. I need a genius friend to help me
52:21
out. But yeah, when it comes to
52:23
all of these things, it's just a continuous thing. Having
52:26
a team and having a diverse team, you
52:28
can accomplish more for sure. Very
52:30
true. So we do have to make it there. Many
52:33
thanks Melissa for joining us. Thanks Ed.
52:35
Julio, this has been fun again. Really enjoyed
52:37
it. It has indeed. Many thanks to you, Julio.
52:40
What a great pleasure. I look forward to hearing this log.
52:43
Absolutely. See you again soon. Thanks to
52:45
our producers, Sam Nash and Toby Biggin-Skilchrist.
52:47
And above all, many thanks to all
52:49
of you for listening. Please do keep
52:51
your feedback coming on whatever social
52:53
media platform makes sense to you. I
52:56
just want to give a quick mention to
52:58
Rod Adams of Atomic Insights who left a
53:00
long and very thoughtful comment
53:03
the other day on X slash
53:05
Twitter, platform formerly known as Twitter,
53:07
raised a lot of interesting issues
53:10
about our coverage of nuclear
53:12
power on the Energy Gang with
53:14
some suggestions for things we should be talking
53:16
about. All those points are well
53:18
made. And we hear what
53:20
you're saying and certainly we will be coming
53:23
to some of those issues in
53:25
the future and thinking about them further in
53:28
the weeks and months to come. Same
53:30
goes for everybody else. Please do get
53:33
your points in. Tell us what we're
53:35
doing wrong, what we're doing right, what you'd
53:37
like to hear more of and so on. And
53:40
we'll be back in two weeks with all the
53:42
latest news and views from the Energy Transition. Until
53:45
then, goodbye. you
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More