Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:00
Mass General Brigham is a leading healthcare
0:02
system with five nationally ranked hospitals,
0:05
including two world-renowned academic medical
0:07
centers. Located in Boston,
0:09
where biotech innovates daily, with
0:12
doctors who teach at Harvard Medical School,
0:14
and where the people doing the world-changing research
0:17
are the ones providing care.
0:19
When you need some of the brightest minds in medicine,
0:22
there's only one. Mass General
0:24
Brigham. Learn more at massgeneralbrigham.org.
0:32
From New York Times Opinion, this is
0:34
the Ezra Klein Show. Welcome
0:51
to the Ask Me Anything episode. I'm
0:54
here with my revered editor,
0:56
the bringer of gravitas, Aaron Reddicka.
0:59
We've got tons of questions from the hundreds
1:01
that you all sent in, which I'm always grateful for that
1:04
I'm about to get peppered with. Aaron, it's good
1:06
to actually see you in person. I know, we're
1:09
live in New York. This
1:11
is not Saturday night, however. Let's
1:13
just get rolling. There's so many questions, let's not waste time.
1:16
So you're going on book leave, and
1:18
many of your listeners were curious what
1:20
the book
1:21
is about. I don't
1:23
think this will surprise anybody listening to the show. So I'm co-writing
1:25
a book with Derek Thompson of The Atlantic, who,
1:28
if you don't read him, he's great. And it's
1:30
a book about what I often call supply-side
1:32
progressivism or liberalism that builds,
1:34
what Derek calls abundance or the abundance
1:37
agenda. But at its core,
1:39
where do we have problems where
1:42
the fundamental problem is scarcity? We don't have enough
1:44
of something we need. And when
1:46
that problem is located, how do
1:48
we fix it? Sometimes
1:50
the necessity here is for the government
1:53
to create more of something we need, to
1:55
do clean energy tax credits
1:57
or a warp speed for vaccines. And
2:00
sometimes the government is actually making it impossible
2:03
or very difficult to create the thing we need, say housing
2:05
in California. And so those
2:07
are the sort of layers of the project. And I think
2:09
the other layer of it is
2:12
how did liberalism
2:13
and particularly places where liberals govern become
2:16
so bad at building? How did
2:18
the coalition that imagines
2:20
itself as behind
2:22
a strong and effective government actually
2:25
become often unable to run
2:27
governments that are strong and effective? And so
2:29
some of the project is unearthing the secondary
2:31
history of sort of post 20th century
2:34
liberalism, sort of the rise of the
2:36
new left, the rise of nadirite
2:39
and so on movements that
2:41
created a lot of ways
2:44
in which liberals both want
2:46
an activist government and then want a lot of ways
2:49
for people to stand in front of that government and say,
2:51
stop, you're not listening to my needs, you're
2:53
gonna hurt the environment, et cetera. And
2:56
the point is not that one of these sides is right and one of them
2:58
is wrong, that you have to understand the way they've collided
3:00
in governance to understand a bunch of the problems we
3:03
have now and to maybe say, okay, the
3:05
balance on this is off given what we're facing.
3:08
So that's the project of the book. I'm gonna be off for about three
3:10
months. Hopefully I'll get the book done or
3:12
finished in that time. We'll see, but I'm
3:15
excited about it.
3:16
I'm gonna push into the content there in a second,
3:18
but I wanted to ask you one question about collaborating
3:20
with Derek. So you are a person who
3:23
is at the center of the process, both
3:25
for your show and your column. How
3:28
are you envisioning doing it, a book with someone?
3:30
I'm just very curious about that. And there are a lot of process questions
3:33
from your listeners, so I thought I'd ask that.
3:35
He's been on Bookly first due to his schedule
3:37
and then I'm going on. One of the
3:39
reasons I wanted to co-write this book is
3:42
I found writing my first book, Why We're Polarized, to be an incredibly
3:45
lonely experience. Almost every
3:48
creative project I've done in my life that I've
3:50
really enjoyed has had somebody else at the center
3:52
of it with me. In my column, it's you. On
3:55
the podcast, it's the team and particularly
3:57
Rojai, who's been with the show for so long, Rojai
3:59
Carmel. I was a senior editor. When I launched
4:02
Vox, I did that with Melissa Bell and Matthew Iglesias.
4:04
When I did Why Were Polarized, it was really just
4:07
me. It's not that I didn't have an editor, Ben Lane,
4:09
and who's great, but for months it was just
4:11
me struggling with the page. And
4:14
a lot of my best thinking is done when I talk. A
4:16
lot of my best thinking is done in relationship
4:19
to other people. And I
4:21
just think it makes me
4:24
smarter to be working with other people, and I think
4:26
that it also helps me actually get things done.
4:29
And I just wanted it to be a less lonely
4:32
process. There's obviously advantages
4:35
to doing projects on your own because you have full
4:37
creative control over them. But there are real
4:39
disadvantages to it, too. So this was an experiment
4:41
that I wanted to at least attempt. Yeah,
4:43
we spend a lot of time on the phone. It's like an
4:46
old school communist editor relationship.
4:49
All right, let's dig into the actual material, though, because you and
4:51
I have worked a lot on
4:51
this, and there's been a ton on the show as well. So
4:54
Josh Appear, the governor of Pennsylvania, faced
4:56
a sharp crisis very recently
4:58
where a section of the I-95 collapsed.
5:02
And Joel Dee has written in asking
5:04
us whether the fact that they were actually able
5:06
to get the section
5:08
of I-95 that fell open 12 days
5:11
after it collapsed, what the implications
5:14
are for a liberalism that builds in
5:16
that
5:17
sequence.
5:18
So I think this has been a really interesting
5:20
model because Appear is bragging about it. The Biden
5:23
administration likes to tell me about the role they played
5:25
in it. And I think it's also important to say
5:27
they did this with union labor. That's actually been a
5:29
big part of how they intended it and also
5:31
how they've narrativized it. It wasn't just that they
5:34
got this portion built, which was estimated
5:36
to take months. It's not at all unusual
5:39
for a government project, infrastructure project,
5:41
estimated to take months to take years, and
5:44
instead it took days. They were going around
5:46
the clock. They had a live stream on it. But
5:50
you have to take seriously what he did. So
5:52
the Pennsylvania governor has emergency powers
5:55
during a disaster. And Shapiro signed
5:57
a proclamation that reads, quote,
6:00
I hereby suspend the provisions of
6:02
any other regulatory statute prescribing
6:05
the procedures for conduct of Commonwealth
6:07
business or the orders, rules, or regulations
6:10
of any Commonwealth agency. If
6:13
strict compliance with the provisions
6:15
of any statute, order, rules, or regulations
6:18
would in any way prevent,
6:20
hinder, or delay necessary
6:23
action in coping with this emergency event." So
6:25
I did a piece with you a couple months back called
6:28
Everything Bagel Liberalism. And
6:30
the point of that is that liberals often
6:32
put a huge number of secondary
6:35
objectives into a single project. So they
6:37
want to restore American dominance in
6:39
semiconductor manufacturing. But then there
6:41
are also these rules in there for onsite
6:44
childcare and how to break the contracting
6:48
into small tasks so you can have
6:50
a more diverse set of subcontractors. And
6:54
what sort of community investments you need to make and
6:56
your climate action mitigation plan and so
6:58
on. And one of the
7:00
points of that piece was you can choose some.
7:02
Here they chose unions, but you can't
7:05
choose all of them. And what they did here,
7:07
what Shapiro was able to do in Pennsylvania, was he wiped
7:09
out functionally everything else. You could
7:11
not sue and stop this project
7:13
using, say, environmental litigation, which
7:16
happens on a lot of different projects. They just went too fast
7:18
and they wiped a lot of things out. If you listen
7:20
to the Jen Paulka episode, all these
7:22
different states and of course the federal government
7:25
have very complicated procurement and contracting
7:27
rules meant to make sure things are fair,
7:30
that people who aren't chosen can challenge,
7:32
all that was out the window. So
7:34
I think it's relevant what they did, but
7:37
it is also relevant that usually you cannot do
7:39
this, right? What they did
7:41
was
7:42
radically alter the process by which building
7:44
happens. And I'll make
7:46
one other point about it that I think is a good
7:49
way to think about it conceptually. What
7:51
Shapiro ultimately said here
7:53
is that I, Josh Shapiro,
7:55
who won election with a majority
7:57
of the vote from the voters in Pennsylvania.
8:01
I should be trusted with acting
8:04
in a way that
8:05
ensures the electric gets what it wants. And
8:07
in his view, in that point, it was the quick
8:10
rebuilding of I-95. The processes
8:12
we have are a way of saying, we
8:15
think that the elected representatives cannot
8:17
be trusted on this. And so we're going to hamstring
8:19
them or tie them up with
8:22
a lot of other processes meant to allow more voice,
8:24
meant to allow more opposition, meant to allow more
8:26
litigation. And you
8:29
can think that's right or wrong. But what's, I think,
8:31
valuable about seeing what happened in Pennsylvania
8:33
is that there's nothing about government doing
8:35
projects.
8:35
It means they can't be done fast. There's
8:37
nothing about unions doing projects. It means they can't be
8:39
done fast. But you have to
8:41
make some choices. So
8:44
you could just
8:45
give more governors and give the president more
8:47
emergency powers and wipe out a lot of procurement
8:49
rules. But that would upset a lot of people. And
8:52
so what Pennsylvania shows is it is possible.
8:54
But what the invoking of these emergency
8:56
powers also shows is it cannot be done
8:59
under the normal policies
9:01
that the governors use. And
9:03
the obvious thrill that everybody
9:05
involved in it now feels should make
9:08
us wonder if we're not missing something
9:10
in our normal processes. Emergency
9:12
processes shouldn't make you feel so much happier
9:14
than
9:15
normal processes. That's not normally how that
9:17
goes. Right. But okay, virtually no
9:19
one would say, well, we really would
9:21
like to have I-95 be collapsed. No
9:24
one wants that. So the emergency is going
9:27
to override very happily
9:30
the conditions that normally
9:32
would obtain. Right. But
9:34
how are you going to transfer that kind of emergency process
9:36
to an ordinary process where
9:39
people are going to have objections, some of which are going to be reasonable,
9:41
many of which are going to be unreasonable? I mean,
9:44
it's easy to say, okay, great, they did it in 12 days, but
9:46
it was an emergency. And so they acted like
9:49
it was an emergency. I think first there's a question
9:51
of what in our minds should be
9:53
an emergency. Right. I mean, my interest
9:55
in this topic is driven more than anything
9:57
else by decarbonization.
9:59
I believe that climate is an emergency, and
10:02
I do believe it's an emergency. Now it's an emergency playing
10:04
out over years and decades, not
10:06
days. The summer seems to agree with
10:08
you. The summer seems to agree with me. Then
10:11
I think you need to, and this is the big argument
10:14
inside I think this whole area, then
10:16
I think you need to begin saying our processes don't
10:18
work for this kind of emergency. This is a point now I've
10:20
made in podcasts and columns, but
10:23
the largest solar farm
10:25
in America is something on the order of 585 megawatts.
10:29
And you need to build two 400 megawatts solar
10:32
power facilities a week for 30 years
10:35
to hit a middle of the road renewables
10:38
pathway. We do not have the capacity
10:41
to do that.
10:42
That should be understood as an emergency, not
10:45
something we can approach with business as normal. This
10:47
is a point, as you know, I'm making a column that will probably be up by
10:49
the time this show comes, but to not choose
10:52
to change processes is to choose right now.
10:54
It is to choose to absorb the problems of
10:57
climate change at a higher level. Now look, everything
10:59
is about where you put the dial and
11:01
you're not gonna go to full, wipe out all the
11:03
procurement rules and nor should you. You're not
11:05
gonna go to full, wipe out all the environmental
11:08
litigation nor should you, but there is
11:10
space between here and there. And
11:14
if we want to do a bunch of things that I
11:16
think we should wanna do, then
11:18
we're gonna have to move in that direction. And if we don't
11:20
wanna do it, then we're just gonna have to say, okay, we're
11:22
okay with the housing markets looking
11:25
like they do in superstar cities. We're
11:27
okay with missing our Paris
11:29
climate accord targets by a lot, not by
11:31
a little. We're okay with a
11:33
lot of things that we could fix and we're okay with
11:35
liberal government having the accurate
11:38
reputation, at least in America, that
11:40
it cannot build the projects it promises to build.
11:43
You can't have high speed rail in California. You
11:45
can't get the big dig done at the
11:47
cost and time. You said it would, the second Avenue
11:49
subway is gonna be a total cost disaster.
11:52
Maybe if you try to build a bunch of miles of bike lanes
11:55
in San Francisco, it's gonna take you a decade.
11:58
That is also a choice to say that.
11:59
that's okay. And we prefer
12:02
the outcome of these processes
12:04
because we think there's enough voice and we think that preventing
12:07
the bad projects is worth it. You can also
12:09
hopefully make things quicker
12:11
for good projects and slower for bad ones.
12:13
I mean, it doesn't have to be a process. It cannot make any
12:16
distinctions between what you're building. Adamus
12:18
Okay. So that brings us to Joel's follow-up
12:20
question. Joel is the star at the beginning
12:22
of the show here. So is there a version of permitting
12:25
reform that
12:26
would actually be a win-win for environmental justice,
12:29
community input and for building faster?
12:31
Or do you see the values as
12:34
inherently zero sum? Joel I think it depends
12:36
a little bit on which values we're talking
12:38
about. But let's take environmental justice and
12:40
building faster before we take on community input.
12:43
And there I think it's pretty straightforward. People
12:45
sometimes talk about this as a quote, green pass.
12:49
I think we know which projects
12:51
are meant to be environmentally more
12:54
sustainable. And I think
12:56
those should have a streamlined way forward.
12:58
So there's a good paper that
13:00
I mentioned in the podcast with Robinson
13:02
Meyer called The Green Dilemma. And
13:04
the law professors who wrote that paper, they talk
13:06
about a number of examples
13:09
within government. A very famous one is base closing
13:11
commissions that basically
13:13
identifies questions around military base
13:15
closing. And it has a streamlined,
13:18
fast-tracked, up or down vote way of doing that.
13:21
And you can imagine a certain set of processes that would be
13:23
fast-tracked into that. If you're
13:26
working on decarbonization, for instance, renewable
13:29
energy, not fossil fuel energy, maybe
13:31
you have a quicker path through environmental review. Now,
13:34
there are a lot of things that aren't just environmental review here.
13:36
So it does depend on what you're talking about. But we're
13:38
seeing this begin to happen. Affordable housing in
13:40
California has been sped past
13:43
a bunch of points in the process that you have to go through,
13:45
whereas market rate housing doesn't always get that. So
13:48
you can make decisions about what
13:50
it is you're trying to speed up. Community
13:53
input is just tough because I think
13:55
a lot gets hidden in that term. Which
13:58
community, having what? kind of input.
14:01
There are times when the processes
14:04
we have allow communities, you know,
14:06
and particularly affected communities to
14:08
come to the table, for instance, or come
14:10
into the process and be heard in a way
14:13
they wouldn't otherwise. There are also a lot of ways
14:15
in which these processes often create
14:17
space for the status quo to take something over. You
14:20
know, very famously, I think all over the country,
14:23
wealthy homeowners are very good at manipulating
14:27
the planning process. You can't build
14:29
below market rate homes and you can't build many homes at
14:32
all in very, very desirable and very,
14:34
very economically important areas. So
14:36
which community is getting input? The community that
14:38
lives there now, the community that would like to live
14:40
there, the community that has time to show
14:43
up to all these meetings that most people don't even know are going
14:45
on. There's a huge amount of power that
14:48
is wielded in meetings around
14:50
the regulatory process for basically any
14:52
major bill you can think of. Most people never know those
14:55
meetings happen, but every lobbyist knows
14:57
when those meetings happen and moneyed
14:59
interests spend a lot of money making sure their
15:01
interests are heard and their thinking is heard at
15:04
these meetings. So this is a very
15:06
tough thing to get right, but a critique that many
15:08
in this area make drew some demsis at
15:10
the Atlantic, because I think we're in great pieces on this, and
15:13
that I agree with is that there is a difference
15:15
between input and representative input. Processes
15:18
get captured. And so there is often
15:20
a question of what level and layer
15:23
you're having people get engaged at. The
15:25
fact that there wasn't meeting and some people showed up
15:28
does not mean that what got heard at that meeting was
15:30
the sentiment of the community. Like I've sat
15:33
in SF City Council meetings and
15:35
one thing that came up was whether or not a 5G tower
15:37
was going to get built. And person after
15:39
person after person after person there
15:42
attacked the 5G tower.
15:44
The only people who showed up at the 5G tower
15:46
part of this planning meeting were people who think
15:48
5G towers potentially give you cancer. Now
15:51
most people don't care that much about 5G towers and
15:53
to the extent they had to make a choice they would have, you know, they want
15:55
to have fast internet and so in the end the 5G
15:58
tower won. But whatever was happening... that
16:00
meeting, it was community input, but it wasn't representative
16:03
of the community. And this is a
16:05
place where we do have representative government. And
16:07
to my point about Shapiro, a minute
16:09
ago, oftentimes I think a good way to have
16:11
broader community input is to actually give power to
16:14
elected representatives. I mean, there should be
16:16
checks on that, but they shouldn't be
16:18
completely unable to do the things that they just got
16:20
elected by, you know, most of the voters
16:22
in a much higher turnout kind of political participation
16:25
domain to do. So
16:27
again, it's all about where you hit the dial here,
16:30
right? You can go too far in any direction, but I
16:32
think community input is complicated. Oftentimes
16:34
we are not hearing from the community. We are
16:37
hearing from a subset of affected interests
16:39
who know how to manipulate the levers
16:41
of power. And we should be careful
16:43
about analogizing those.
16:45
This goes right to what Tony C wants
16:48
to know about, which is how should
16:50
a climate conscious member of society
16:52
think about the Biden administration
16:55
in the context of climate change? Do
16:57
you think of Biden as a net positive
16:59
or a net negative for our environment?
17:02
And he's thinking of course about
17:03
permitting fossil fuel
17:06
extraction and so on.
17:08
I just put this on, and this
17:10
is meant as no critique of Tony. I
17:12
just put this on because if
17:15
you're in an information loop where this
17:17
question feels really
17:19
possibly like it could come out either way to you, right?
17:22
Is Joe Biden, who has presided over
17:24
the single largest set of climate investments
17:26
ever and created a whole new structure
17:28
in which climate infrastructure will be built.
17:31
The IRA alone at this point is
17:33
judged at something like 380 billion over 10 years.
17:36
But as we talked about in the Robinson Meyer episode,
17:39
maybe it's really going to be 500 billion, maybe a trillion
17:41
dollars in climate investments. And on
17:44
the other side, they've permitted some near
17:46
term drilling and made it a little bit easier
17:48
during an energy crunch to build more. These
17:50
things are so out of proportion to each other
17:52
that I think the way
17:55
in which people get upset about the
17:57
places Biden diverges from them, say
17:59
on social media.
17:59
It's hard sometimes to keep
18:01
things in perspective, but Biden is
18:04
the most successful pro-climate
18:06
president there has ever
18:09
been in this country, right? I mean, climate is a relatively
18:11
new issue, but obviously Trump was a disaster.
18:14
He's done far more than Obama just because
18:16
of where the issue is and where the political coalitions
18:18
are, far more than Clinton, certainly
18:21
far more than George W. Bush. And
18:23
he's given us a shot at
18:25
building this stuff. We may fail,
18:28
but Biden has completely changed
18:30
the game. For so long, the
18:33
whole of the environmental fight on climate was, can
18:35
we just figure out some way to get the money to do what we
18:37
need to do? Now to everything we're
18:39
talking about, the conversation has actually changed
18:42
to the money is there. Can we actually
18:44
build it? Can we actually translate all this legislation
18:47
into the decarbonization infrastructure we need
18:49
in the real world? That is an astonishing
18:51
achievement. And it actually
18:53
slightly saddens me that anybody would look at
18:55
the Biden administration and what they've done at this point,
18:58
where they really, they got this over the line. Maybe
19:00
it's not everything everybody wanted because they had a 50-50
19:03
Senate, but they got
19:05
it over the line and now the work can really happen.
19:08
We'll see what happens. We'll see if it all works out.
19:11
Implementation is really tough. This all has to happen in
19:13
the real world. It's not just sending checks out from the
19:15
government, but
19:17
they have
19:18
been extraordinarily successful
19:20
on a pretty hard issue. That is not an easy
19:22
political issue. It's not one where you
19:24
have naturally very large constituencies,
19:27
people who will be immediately benefited by it.
19:30
They prioritized it. They figured it out. They
19:32
passed it. They deserve to be applauded. And now
19:34
they deserve to be watched over and scrutinized
19:37
as the real work has to happen. But the
19:39
stuff they did on the margin to keep energy costs
19:41
down, to not completely destroy
19:44
their power in the midterms, that's just politics.
19:47
But the bulk of their legislation, it's
19:49
been an extraordinary climate presidency,
19:52
given what is actually possible in American politics,
19:54
not just possible in people's minds. They
19:57
deserve the credit on that one.
19:59
a really interesting
20:01
question. This was brought up a lot before
20:03
Biden actually took office. But
20:05
let me ask you now, are comparisons between Joe
20:07
Biden and FDR justified?
20:10
Have their presidencies been
20:12
broadly similar?
20:14
They're not justified. I take it. Yeah,
20:16
you're right that before Biden came in and
20:18
as his agenda expanded and
20:21
as also Democrats began in 2020 to think
20:23
they might get huge congressional majorities, you
20:25
had this moment of
20:28
maybe it'll be an FDR-sized presidency. And
20:30
this happened with Obama too. There was like maybe Obama
20:32
is an extra FDR. And I
20:34
just have a bugaboo about this, that FDR
20:37
was only FDR because of
20:40
the size of the congressional majority he got
20:43
in 32 because of Great Depression and
20:45
the anger at Hoover destroyed
20:48
the Republican Party. So FDR
20:50
when he comes in, he has 58 Democratic
20:53
senators to 36 Republican
20:55
senators in a much less polarized time. So he could
20:57
actually get more from those 36 Republicans, but still 58
21:01
to 36.
21:02
Biden has a 50-50 Senate where
21:05
Vice President Kamala Harris is a tie breaking vote.
21:08
When he first comes in. When he first comes in, right. And
21:11
in the House, FDR had 311 Democrats
21:13
to 117 Republicans. And
21:18
for Biden when he first comes in, Democrats
21:20
have a majority in the single digits. You
21:23
can't have an FDR-sized presidency in
21:25
a polarized political time in a closely
21:27
divided Congress. And I think this is what people
21:30
just often miss when they're trying to
21:32
judge other presidents against FDR. How
21:35
much legislation
21:35
a president can pass is dependent on what
21:38
Congress does. Congress writes legislation
21:40
and passes it. President can only veto it. And
21:42
so what FDR said
21:44
was a destroyed Republican Party.
21:47
And that wasn't true for Biden. It wasn't true for Obama.
21:49
Probably will not be true for the next Democratic president.
21:52
And that just makes the possibilities
21:55
more narrow. I think it is really remarkable
21:58
how much policy Biden Democrats passed
22:00
with a 50-50 Senate. If you had told me
22:03
in January 2020 that Democrats
22:06
are going to have a 50-50 Senate, what are they
22:08
going to get done? I would have said a lot less than they did.
22:11
A 50-50 Senate is never going to get you a New
22:14
Deal-sized presidency. It just
22:16
can't.
22:17
You mentioned Obama. Michelle
22:19
Oh wants to know why you think
22:22
U.S. healthcare reform is not
22:24
much of a hot political item
22:26
right now. My first love. My
22:29
first love in policy. So yeah,
22:31
so I covered for people who have not followed my work in
22:34
the past healthcare reform for years. That
22:36
was my first kind of major policy issue. And
22:38
then there's a couple reasons. I mean, one is Obama and
22:41
how successful he actually was. So they passed
22:43
the Affordable Care Act. If you look
22:45
at current levels of
22:47
uninsured non-elderly Americans, because
22:49
the elderly have Medicare, you have about 27.5
22:52
million are uninsured. That's
22:54
down from about 50 million or almost 50 million
22:57
before the Affordable Care Act passed. And
22:59
if you look at who that is, you have a
23:01
bunch of people in the 10 states that have an expanded
23:04
Medicaid. You do have a lot of people who
23:06
still can't afford it. They maybe
23:08
don't get employer insurance, but they make enough money
23:11
that they're not really eligible for subsidies.
23:14
So that's some of the people too. You do have a kind
23:16
of big issue among non-citizens
23:19
who, if they're newly non-citizens, are not eligible
23:21
for some of the subsidies or Medicaid
23:23
in the program. And of course, undocumented
23:26
immigrants often are usually ineligible.
23:30
To mop up the end of the uninsured population,
23:33
it's pretty tricky and you're dealing with a
23:35
lot of sort of random issues, the Medicaid issue
23:37
in states that are fighting Medicaid and so on. So
23:40
I think that
23:41
the Affordable Care Act was successful enough that
23:44
it has drained a lot of the energy from healthcare
23:46
reform. That's one thing. So then
23:48
there's another thing, which is that one
23:50
reason that healthcare reform had so much energy for
23:53
so long was that healthcare cost growth year
23:55
after year was growing so much faster than
23:57
inflation, so much faster than GDP.
23:59
growth.
24:01
There's been a pretty big slowdown in that over
24:03
the past 10-ish years. The
24:05
reasons for it are debated, but the huge
24:08
cost growth problem we had that led
24:10
to all this bending the cost curve talk in the Obama
24:12
administration that made this a huge problem for employers,
24:15
it's not that it is entirely gone, but
24:17
it is not really the fundamental problem
24:19
anymore. So that doesn't
24:21
mean there aren't ways you can imagine healthcare being
24:24
way better, right? I mean, during the 2020
24:26
primaries, we had a lot of debates over single payer
24:28
in the Democratic Party. There's a new interesting
24:31
book by Laurent Inev,
24:33
and I might be mispronouncing that, and Amy Finkelstein,
24:36
who are both great health economists, called
24:38
We've Got You Covered, Rebooting American Healthcare.
24:41
You can definitely come up with root and branch reforms
24:43
of the system that would make something
24:45
more efficient, more fair, that would cover
24:47
something closer to everybody. But
24:50
the system is working well enough for enough people
24:52
that it is hard to imagine that getting prioritized in the near
24:54
future. When I think of what
24:56
I would want, any kind of Congress,
24:59
any kind of unified Congress and
25:01
presidency, to make their top priority,
25:03
it is hard for me to say further
25:06
health reform. I'd be much more interested
25:08
in universal baby bonds, as
25:11
with the episode we did recently with Derek Hamilton.
25:13
I'd be much more interested in universal pre-K.
25:15
It's not that healthcare is great
25:17
in this country, it's not. But political
25:20
capital is so limited, and enough
25:23
people here are doing well enough, and
25:25
the sort of moving it that last couple of miles
25:27
would be so difficult, that I think when you
25:29
imagine what are the
25:32
single bills you could pass that would lead to the largest
25:34
well-being improvements, it's hard for me now to say
25:36
that it's healthcare reform, both because its
25:39
status as an economic problem has abated somewhat,
25:41
and its status as such, like we have this huge
25:43
uninsured population, has
25:46
abated somewhat. So I think it's just
25:48
become more of one issue among many, rather
25:50
than the central issue that is causing both
25:53
employers and budget
25:55
wonks and normal people
25:57
incredible amounts of pain.
25:59
Hello. It hasn't solved the
26:01
problem of
26:03
drug addiction that's leading to more than 100,000 people dying
26:05
every year, right? So. But that's a
26:07
big thing, right? I mean, when we talk about health care reform, we're typically talking
26:10
about financial insulation
26:12
from health care costs. So when you think about
26:14
what would do the most to improve health now, I
26:16
think it's often not health care reform. I
26:18
think things like an expanded child tax credit
26:21
would do a lot for people's health. I
26:23
mean, we know giving people money is good for
26:25
their health. And baby bonds, I
26:27
think, have that quality, too. I could think of a
26:29
lot of things that would be really good for the health
26:31
of the American population that
26:33
would probably
26:35
have a bigger per dollar payout than
26:38
health insurance reform, which is what we are really talking
26:40
about when we talk about health care reform.
26:56
Hello, this is Ywande Kamalathia from New
26:59
York Times Cooking, and I'm sitting on a blanket
27:01
with Melissa Clark. And we're having a picnic using
27:03
recipes that feature some of our favorite summer
27:06
produce. Ywande, what'd you bring? So this
27:08
is a cucumber agua fresca. It's
27:10
made with fresh cucumbers, ginger,
27:12
and lime. How did you get it
27:15
so green? I kept the cucumber skins
27:17
on and pureed the entire
27:19
thing. It's really easy
27:21
to put together, and it's something that you can do
27:23
in advance. Oh, it is so refreshing. What'd
27:26
you bring, Melissa?
27:26
Well, strawberries are extra delicious
27:29
this time of year, so I brought my little strawberry
27:31
almond cakes. Oh, yum. I roast
27:33
the strawberries before I mix them into the batter. It
27:35
helps condense the berries' juices and stops
27:38
them from leaking all over and getting the crumb too
27:40
soft. You get little
27:42
pockets of concentrated strawberry flavor.
27:44
It tastes amazing. Oh, thanks. New
27:47
York Times Cooking has so many easy recipes
27:49
to fit your summer plans. Find
27:51
them all at NYTCooking.com. I
27:53
have sticky strawberry juice all over my fingers.
28:05
Shifting Gary's a little dug, A wants to
28:07
know what your view on the
28:10
popular goal of imposing term limits
28:12
on Congress is, whether you thought
28:14
about it much either way, and obviously would require
28:16
probably a constitutional
28:18
amendment to do it. Maybe not necessarily,
28:20
but probably. So what are your thoughts on that?
28:23
I would say look at a couple things. For instance, look
28:26
at California where you have term limits for the legislature.
28:29
I don't think in California or other states where you have
28:31
that the legislatures are dramatically
28:33
better or more effective. I
28:36
think if you look at Congress, a lot of really great
28:38
legislators would have been term limited
28:41
out in a way I don't think we should think
28:43
of as a good thing. It takes time
28:45
to become good at being a member of
28:47
the House or being a member of the Senate. I
28:50
don't think the country would have been better off if Senator
28:53
Ron Wyden
28:53
had had to retire after two terms
28:56
or if Senator Dick
28:58
Durbin had to do the same. There is
29:00
a return
29:02
on experience here and on connections
29:05
and on skills. Joe Biden was
29:07
in part a good legislator over time because he
29:09
learned things that he didn't know in his first term
29:11
or two. He got much more effective over time. So
29:14
I don't think when I look at the House,
29:16
say, and I look at people there,
29:18
a lot of the legislators I
29:20
think are the worst are the newest.
29:23
They're there. They're just trying to get booked on Fox
29:25
News or social media. A lot
29:27
of legislators who are pretty solid there have been
29:29
there a long time. So even if you take away
29:31
the sort of political science argument, the term limits
29:33
end up giving a lot of power to the unelected,
29:37
lobbyist, staffer class. I
29:40
just think if you look at it, it
29:42
doesn't look great. I think that most
29:44
people would come to the conclusion that the better
29:46
members of both the House and Senate are
29:49
the ones who have had time to be there longer. Now
29:51
there is a problem that incumbency can
29:53
just feed on itself and people can be there too long.
29:56
Look at Dianne Feinstein in California for a very extreme
29:58
example. I think
30:00
it's hard to know what to do about that exactly.
30:02
I will say the place where I strongly support term limits
30:05
is for the Supreme Court, where I think you should
30:07
have 12 or 18-year term
30:09
limits so that the vacancies that come up
30:11
are fairly reliable, so that different
30:14
presidents get roughly the same amount per term,
30:16
so that you don't have this incentive to
30:19
name very young people to the Supreme Court, so
30:21
that things aren't just tricks of when people
30:23
die or when they become too incapacitated.
30:26
I think that lifetime appointments are
30:29
a dumb idea, just in general. And
30:32
partly when you don't have something like elections, it do at least
30:34
suppose some level of accountability. You want to think
30:36
about term limits. Or you do have elections
30:38
imposing some degree of accountability. Yeah, the incumbency
30:40
advantage is a real thing.
30:42
It is also a real thing that voters are
30:44
participating in. So I think
30:47
that it is a little bit weird to
30:50
say that we abstractly know voters are wrong,
30:52
to give the person representing them a third
30:54
term, and we sitting here should tell
30:57
them they can't. So yeah, I've never
30:59
been a term limits fan. Yeah, I mean, that's exactly
31:01
what you're saying, right? It devalues elections in both
31:03
ways. The lifetime appointments for Supreme
31:06
Court justices and term limits,
31:08
yeah, it robs the people of their power.
31:12
Tom C has a hard
31:14
question for you. He says,
31:16
I seem to be the only liberal alarm by the real
31:18
scandal involving Hunter Biden,
31:20
but perhaps you feel the same.
31:23
It seems to have amassed between 10 and $20 million
31:26
in investments from a coalition of very sketchy Chinese,
31:29
Ukrainian, Romanian sources, none
31:32
of which seem to have produced any work product
31:34
anyone can point to. And it sounds
31:37
like Hunter and maybe his
31:39
Uncle Jim as well were
31:41
trafficking in Joe Biden's name, as Tom C
31:43
puts it, by applying to
31:45
their marks that the marks would somehow gain access
31:47
to Joe Biden with their investments. Biden himself
31:50
simply says
31:50
that he didn't involve himself in the sudden business
31:52
affairs, but are we really just going to let it go at that?
31:56
And would we if these
31:58
were Republicans?
31:59
I think in some ways that last bit
32:02
is too easy in and out. We did
32:04
when it was Republicans.
32:05
I mean, I actually think in many ways what Jared Kushner
32:08
did, raising billions for
32:10
an investment fund with Saudi Arabia, the
32:12
amount of direct influence, pendling Donald
32:14
Trump did in office, the way people would
32:16
try to get access to him by being
32:19
part of Trump
32:20
company investments and staying at Trump hotels
32:22
and everything. I mean, it was more direct, it was much
32:25
worse, it was much more serious.
32:28
I think the Hunter Biden scandal
32:31
is real in the sense of Hunter Biden,
32:34
the things he's done are really unsavory. And
32:37
the thing that has made it not yet a political scandal
32:40
that is consequential for Joe Biden, except
32:42
on the right where I think people want to believe something
32:44
went wrong, is that nobody can quite point
32:46
to anything that came out of it from
32:49
Joe Biden's governance. No
32:52
work seems to have come out of this influence peddling. And
32:54
also not much influence seems to have gotten peddled
32:57
out of the influence peddling. Now I'm not against
33:00
something coming out that shows this was different,
33:02
right? If I mean, if it turns out
33:04
that President Biden
33:06
colluded with Hunter and
33:08
there was some kind of email exchange or some kind
33:11
of handshake where if they would give
33:13
Hunter this job, they would get this amendment put on the
33:15
bill or this thing they wanted
33:17
done, I think that would be a real problem. Correctly
33:20
so, like that would be a real problem.
33:23
The thing where Biden has
33:25
had a somewhat laissez-faire attitude
33:28
towards the activities
33:30
of his absolute mess of
33:33
an adult son, I think
33:36
there's a kind of sympathy that
33:38
emerges for people in that towards
33:40
Biden. I mean, what was Biden to do exactly?
33:43
He probably didn't actually know about a lot of this. A
33:46
lot of the details coming out with Hunter Biden,
33:49
the seventh granddaughter, I mean, it's
33:51
very sad. It's incredibly
33:53
sad. It's incredibly sad. You're watching
33:55
somebody who was never able to get his life back
33:57
on track or on track. He definitely,
33:59
influence peddled. He has hurt a
34:02
lot of people. He's clearly hurt himself. He's
34:04
clearly hurt his father. And
34:06
if you read Biden's book that
34:09
he wrote some years back when running for
34:11
president and I think it is an OA, it actually, I mean,
34:13
the love he has for Beau and Hunter, his belief
34:16
that Hunter Biden will become part of Beau Biden's
34:18
kind of kitchen cabinet and they would protect each
34:20
other. And then you see how it turns
34:22
out. I mean, the tragedy of it is immense, but
34:26
it's not a scandal for somebody's son or
34:28
one of their sons to be a fuckup. It's
34:31
a scandal for that to become
34:33
part of how the federal government wields power.
34:37
I don't think the fact that Trump did much worse
34:39
than this in a very obvious and direct way absolves
34:41
Biden. What absolves Biden so far
34:44
is that he doesn't seem to have done it. And
34:47
if it comes out that he did it, right, if it comes
34:49
out that the way Hunter was getting these deals
34:52
was that he wasn't just kind of wink, wink, nod, nodding,
34:55
that he could get some access to Joe Biden, but
34:57
you were actually getting the access to Joe Biden, like that
34:59
would be worse. There was a part of this question
35:01
that we didn't just to make it shorter that we didn't bring up,
35:04
but Thomas brought up the old idea of the
35:06
real scandals, what's legal. And
35:08
one thing I would say is that the thing that
35:10
Hunter Biden here is accused of doing actually
35:13
does happen all the time in a much more efficacious
35:16
way. So in Congress
35:18
and in administrations, people
35:20
who are very high up aides to
35:23
senators and chairs
35:25
in the House and of course, the presidents do become
35:28
lobbyists. And then they do work on
35:30
behalf of other governments and other companies.
35:33
And they do use their preexisting relationship
35:35
with people in power to try
35:38
to push forward those ideas.
35:40
Now, Biden wasn't correctly registered to be a lobbyist
35:42
and all this different stuff. But
35:44
the thing being described here happens all the time,
35:47
not from idiot adult
35:50
kids who don't know what they're actually doing and can't
35:52
deliver. But, you know, Bob Dole, the
35:54
late Bob Dole was lobbying on behalf of Taiwan,
35:57
right, and was able to get Trump to sort of break
35:59
with President Trump. and talk to the leader
36:01
of Taiwan on the phone very quickly after being elected. These
36:04
things actually do occur, and they're
36:07
in a kind of much broader world of more efficacious
36:09
influence peddling. The Hunter Biden
36:11
case is sort of a weird
36:14
version of that turned into an absurdity
36:16
that looks worse because it's Biden's son,
36:18
but is probably less bad
36:21
because it doesn't appear to have worked. But
36:23
again, evidence could come out that it worked in
36:25
some consequential way, and that would somewhat change my
36:27
opinion of it. I will say that
36:30
if Republicans want to make hay of this,
36:32
they're going to have to nominate not Donald Trump,
36:35
right? If this becomes a fight over
36:37
where was the influence peddling
36:40
in family-oriented business happening
36:42
in an administration, and it's
36:45
Trump running against Joe Biden, and
36:47
the scrutiny is now on Jared Kushner's Saudi-backed
36:50
venture fund, that's not gonna
36:52
work out. So in a lot of ways, and
36:54
it's been a kind of theme on the show recently, Republicans
36:57
are gonna have to decide, do they want to choose a
36:59
candidate who is strategically positioned
37:02
to take advantage of Joe Biden's weaknesses
37:04
or not? So far, it seems
37:06
not, but that's gonna be consequential here
37:08
too.
37:09
All right, there are just so many good questions here, but
37:11
I plunge into another one. This one's coming from
37:14
Colton L. What kind of work do you
37:16
think is the most undervalued and contemporary
37:19
American society based on the pay,
37:21
the social prestige, and everything
37:23
else that comes with work that the work requires? Anything
37:25
and everything with children.
37:27
Anything and everything with children being
37:29
a social worker who works with children,
37:32
being a teacher, being somebody
37:34
who's a guardian in the foster care system. Given
37:37
how important that work is, it is badly
37:39
compensated. It doesn't have terrible
37:41
prestige compared to, I mean, some other things,
37:43
but it doesn't have nearly the prestige it should. It
37:46
doesn't have the rungs as high in
37:48
the ladder as it should, right? There isn't a
37:50
kind of elite teacher designation
37:52
that is sort of like being a partner at a very big law firm
37:55
where everybody knows you've really made it and
37:57
you're one of the best at one of the most important things.
38:00
happens in American or human life,
38:03
we just really undervalue things
38:06
with children. We talk about how the children are
38:08
our future and we treat them in many ways
38:10
like an afterthought. We certainly treat the
38:12
people who are in charge
38:14
of helping them as an afterthought. The pay
38:17
and benefits and prestige in child
38:19
care work for young children are just terrible.
38:22
It's a total disaster of an industry.
38:25
This is a place where money really matters.
38:28
And I've said this before on the show that I think in American
38:30
life, for the most part, prestige
38:33
follows money. We give the most prestige
38:35
to things that make the most money. And
38:37
there's some, you know, counter examples. Academia
38:40
has a little bit more prestige and it has money oftentimes.
38:43
But prestige typically follows money and in
38:46
not paying well for this stuff, we
38:48
rob it of prestige. We rob it to some degree,
38:50
though, of course, there are amazing people in these industries of
38:52
talent. And it's
38:54
just not the right societal structure.
38:58
And not something I think we should leave up to the market. Yeah, children
39:00
can't pay a lot. And the children
39:02
who need the most help really can't pay the most.
39:05
I think the kids who are in highly
39:08
selective colleges, who tell their parents they're going to
39:10
law school, that is much more
39:12
comfortable for their parents than I'm going to become a social
39:14
worker working with children or I'm going to work in early
39:17
childhood education because
39:19
you're ensuring, ensuring yourself a higher salary
39:21
in the future. And that's a problem,
39:23
right? It should be that when you say to somebody, I'm
39:25
going to go become a teacher. What they
39:28
hear from that is both you're going to be doing great work and
39:30
you're going to be really well off because we've decided to
39:32
compensate that really well because we want
39:34
the best people becoming teachers. And
39:37
yeah, it's just a place where I think we're failing.
39:39
Yeah, I mean, it's just an incredible thing
39:42
that in other countries, actually, teachers do
39:44
you know, you might be deciding I'm going to be an engineer,
39:46
I'm going to be a lawyer, or I'm going to be a teacher, right? And
39:48
you rarely hear that here,
39:51
which I do think is a critical part of it.
39:54
So I can imagine hearing from, you
39:56
know, a graduate from UC Berkeley, right?
39:58
I'm going into dermatology.
39:59
right, what that calls up versus
40:02
I'm going into, I'm going to work in a preschool.
40:05
Right.
40:05
There's nothing wrong with dermatologists. They do great work,
40:08
but we know what is being said when
40:10
you say I'm going to work in preschools. And
40:12
that's, that sounds great, but you're not going to make
40:14
much money.
40:15
Yeah, no, and then the social prestige thing is
40:17
more important even than I think you made it
40:19
sound, actually. I gather that the
40:21
prestige follows from the money, but it's still a critical
40:24
part of it. And you're married to a teacher.
40:26
I am married to a teacher. I was going to accuse you of pandering
40:29
on those graphs. I am married to
40:31
someone who works in early childhood and
40:33
did face that
40:34
where you have people
40:37
who are like, well, why aren't you a lawyer? Why aren't you
40:39
a professor? Why are you a teacher? And
40:42
meanwhile, she's doing all this incredible work with
40:45
public school second graders. I'm curious
40:47
if you see it in the world, right? When you tell people that you
40:49
babysit New York Times calmness who act like
40:51
children, and your wife says she works with children, right?
40:55
I was going to make a different version of that joke earlier.
40:57
I was going to ask whether you believe in lifetime tenure
40:59
for New York Times calmness and podcasters.
41:01
Absolutely not. Are you kidding
41:04
me? No, I know you don't. Okay,
41:06
we're going to switch gears here into
41:08
psychedelics to bring a little California
41:11
into our New York studio. Joe
41:14
F. is asking
41:15
whether you've been following the
41:17
scientific developments and media hype surrounding psychedelics
41:19
in the last year. So I will
41:21
answer that part and say, I know you have, because we've written about
41:23
it. But from critical trials to microdosing
41:27
to legalization processes in Colorado,
41:29
Australia, he doesn't mention Oregon,
41:32
but also Oregon, indigenous communities, like
41:34
what do you make of all this? What do you think about it?
41:36
I have a lot of contrasting
41:38
thoughts on where psychedelic therapy
41:41
and help is right now. So one
41:43
is that the work I'm most interested in, I
41:45
did a piece on this a while back, and I'd like to check in on
41:47
it next year sometime, is in
41:49
Oregon where they are trying to create
41:54
a legal, although it will not be federally legal,
41:56
but a legal pathway and structure
41:58
for... supported
42:00
psychedelic experiences, which notably
42:02
it's not just psychedelic therapy. You don't need a diagnosis
42:04
to do it, right? You can just go. They're
42:07
trying to figure out how to do the licensing. They're trying to figure
42:09
out how to do the support. It looks like it'll be fairly expensive.
42:12
That's going to be really important
42:14
because it's not just about whether or not you can legalize
42:16
them, but whether or not you can create
42:18
a structure in which they can
42:20
be well used. When
42:23
I look at the research, I think the research
42:25
on them at this point is quite extraordinary. I
42:27
would expect them in the real world to underperform the
42:29
research because the research is being so carefully done.
42:32
But we're seeing studies that are suggesting
42:34
really profound effects on treatment-resistant
42:37
major depression, profound effects
42:39
on different kinds of addictions, profound
42:42
effects
42:42
just on people's lives. Putting
42:44
aside the question of what recognized
42:47
illnesses and maladies you can help people fix,
42:51
we have these
42:53
substances that
42:55
cost functionally nothing,
42:57
I mean, in terms of how much it costs
42:59
to grow psilocybin-containing mushrooms
43:02
or synthesize LSD. And
43:05
we can routinely induce
43:07
experiences that people count as
43:10
among the most meaningful of their entire
43:12
lives. And
43:14
that's a pretty remarkable thing to keep
43:17
locked up. I find it
43:19
kind of astonishing, and it's not that there aren't risks,
43:21
but you can go base-jumping legally,
43:24
you can legally be a base-jumper, but
43:26
you cannot legally take a tab of acid
43:28
and sit in your room and listen
43:30
to music and have a sublime musical experience.
43:34
It just actually strikes me as a very strange
43:36
way. We let people take all kinds
43:38
of risks in society. Now the
43:40
thing that worries me a lot is
43:43
the financial land
43:45
rush here. The number of companies
43:47
trying to patent it, the number of companies trying
43:50
to distill these into
43:52
even more potent and powerful
43:55
and usable, maybe even appealing forms.
43:58
And we're going to see where that goes.
43:59
it has not yet been legalized enough that you
44:02
can do that. There's all this money and investment
44:04
that is sort of jockeying for the
44:06
day of legalization, whether that legalization be
44:08
medical, which is probably going to be at
44:11
least nationally the first step, right? It seems
44:13
very plausible that you're going to get FDA approval
44:15
for certain kinds of MDMA and psilocybin treatments
44:17
in the coming years. But eventually,
44:19
if it does become legalized right the way say
44:22
cannabis is in a number of states,
44:25
the effects of commercialized cannabis,
44:29
though some of them have been specifically to my benefit,
44:32
are not in my view an unalloyed
44:35
good. The amount of money going into
44:38
very potent edibles
44:40
and much more potent strains and packaging
44:43
and formats that are much friendlier to kids
44:46
and any kind of user, it's fine if you're somebody
44:48
who has a fair amount of self-control around
44:50
these things, but people do get addicted. I mean, people
44:52
say pot isn't physiologically addicting,
44:55
but people very much get addicted and
44:57
the most money is made on the people who buy
44:59
the most of them. There
45:01
are certain breaks in psychedelics
45:03
that make it a little less
45:06
likely to go down the same route, but
45:08
I worry about the amount of money being spent on trying to
45:10
figure out ways to basically get around the
45:13
fact that it's actually really hard on the body and
45:15
the mind and you develop tolerance to trip a lot,
45:17
right? If you get into a situation down the road
45:20
where the money is made by people who have an out
45:22
of control relationship, that could be very
45:24
psychologically damaging to people. So
45:26
I think
45:27
there's a lot of promise here and I think there's a lot of peril
45:30
here, but I'm
45:32
overall optimistic.
45:35
I do think these are really powerful compounds
45:37
that can create experiences
45:39
in people's lives and both help them get over terrible
45:41
problems, but also help them live a
45:43
kind of deeper life and relationship to themselves
45:46
and to the world and to nature. And
45:48
I think getting that right is going to require
45:50
though not just a question of how do
45:53
you legalize psychedelic compounds, but
45:55
how do you create structures for their productive
45:58
use? How do you create good God? How
46:00
do you make integration possible?
46:03
That kind of period after you've had an experience, and now
46:05
you have to sort of figure out what that means for your life. How
46:07
do you make that affordable to people? That
46:10
I think is where a lot of the rubber is gonna hit the
46:12
road, which is again, why I think what Oregon is doing is
46:14
really interesting, but it's not been untroubled
46:17
there. But if in 10 years
46:19
you told me this did not go well, I
46:21
would not be surprised by that. I'd be saddened
46:23
by it, but not surprised.
46:25
We're gonna shift gears again into
46:28
the heartland of the Ezra Klein
46:30
Show recently, which is AI. And Joseph
46:33
C. is wondering how much, if any
46:35
credence you give to the simulation
46:38
hypothesis first discussed about 20 years
46:40
ago by Nick Bostrom. And obviously
46:42
you'll have to tell us what that is, because
46:44
many people will not know.
46:46
I don't, just for the record, I really don't.
46:49
So the simulation hypothesis is basically the idea
46:51
that, look, imagine we became a society
46:54
capable of running, sufficiently
46:57
technologically advanced, and we're capable of running simulations
47:00
of whole societies. We're not just running SimCity
47:03
or playing video games, but we can just fire
47:05
up on the computer and fire up as many of them
47:07
as we want, whole universes. Obviously
47:10
in Bostrom's view, we would want to do that.
47:13
And obviously the simulants within those
47:15
universes would outnumber the
47:18
people in base reality. And
47:20
so if you just assume those two things are true,
47:23
then you come to the conclusion that, well,
47:26
probably we're a simulation, because there's gonna
47:28
be more simulated people than real
47:30
people. And so why should you think you're one of the
47:32
real people? Here's
47:35
what I will say about it.
47:36
And I've said this, I think probably in AMA's before, I
47:39
think this has a quality of watching
47:43
a very crude form of monotheism
47:45
get reinvented by computer programmers, which
47:48
is why it's very popular in Silicon Valley. If you take
47:50
the very crude form of monotheism as God
47:53
is like us,
47:54
like bigger, big throne,
47:56
long white beard, more powers. This
47:59
is God is like us.
47:59
like us, but bigger
48:01
computer programmer with more powerful
48:04
computers, player of simulation
48:06
video games, but with a stronger video
48:08
game system. And the reason I just don't
48:11
buy it and you know, maybe this is not
48:13
a good reason, right? I'm not a credentialed philosopher.
48:17
I think it is such an extraordinary lack
48:19
of imagination about how weird
48:22
ultimate reality probably is. Just
48:25
the idea that like the true answer to
48:27
what's going on here is so unbelievably
48:30
simplistic. Just like not what is
48:32
going on here is exactly what we are already
48:34
doing just with more
48:37
GPUs underneath the system. I
48:40
just think it's so unlikely that
48:42
that is like the full effect here. I
48:45
think it's a kind of a lack of humility about
48:47
what we do, what we almost certainly don't know.
48:50
Why in the simulation have we created all these other
48:53
planets? Why have we created a physics
48:55
with such weird rules as to
48:57
the world as possibly constantly expanding?
48:59
Why are there not more
49:02
life on nearby planets? Is that really how
49:04
we would create a simulation, a gigantic,
49:07
unimaginably large system of space
49:10
in which
49:10
at least so far we only know this one planet
49:13
with life. Like the whole thing just
49:15
strikes me as so incurious
49:17
in a way that I just don't buy it. I've
49:19
always had a negative reaction to it, but it's because
49:22
I think it basically takes our reality,
49:25
holds what we know about it steady,
49:28
and then asks a toy question within
49:30
that. We don't know
49:32
anything. We don't understand how quantum physics works yet.
49:35
Reality is going to be so much weirder, so
49:37
much more astonishing
49:39
than it's just
49:42
like us but bigger, just like us but
49:44
more power. I just don't buy it.
49:46
So, talking about power of generative
49:49
models overall, Jordan A
49:51
is wondering, given the power of the
49:53
AI models, we already
49:56
know about it and of course there's lots of development as
49:58
well to produce, convince and
49:59
human text at
50:02
virtually no cost. It seems like we're
50:04
likely to see a huge proliferation of
50:07
AI astroturfing in the run-up to the 2024
50:10
election, which is already
50:13
upon us. In recent years we've already seen
50:15
misinformation and disinformation be big
50:18
issues, both generally and with regard to elections. And
50:20
so what Jordan A. is asking is
50:22
what your thoughts are on if
50:24
there is anything we can do to get ahead of this problem.
50:27
I personally go back and forth on this problem. So
50:29
there's no doubt that in AI
50:32
we are creating really powerful
50:34
machines for creating the raw materials of disinformation,
50:37
deepfakes and endless
50:39
amounts of auto-generated textual content
50:42
and images and videos
50:44
and sound that sound like they came from a person
50:47
you're trying to smear. And
50:49
the various
50:52
solutions I'm hearing from within the AI
50:54
world strike me as very unconvincing.
50:56
The main one you typically hear is that they're going to try to figure
50:58
out a way to do digital watermarking such
51:01
that something came out from an
51:03
AI or maybe something comes out from something
51:05
real. It gets a watermark of a certain
51:07
kind such it can be digitally read to
51:09
verify its authenticity. The
51:12
issue, I think, with the solution is also
51:14
why I'm becoming a little bit somehow less worried about
51:17
the problem, which is that the people who
51:19
you're worried about picking this stuff up, they don't care
51:21
about your digital watermark.
51:22
That's actually misunderstanding, I think quite
51:25
profoundly the fake news problem. Fake
51:27
news works when you're giving
51:30
people
51:31
something they already want to believe that they
51:33
do not want to check.
51:34
That is like the main way fake news works.
51:37
It's not like people can't go
51:39
to the New York Times to check something.
51:41
They don't want to. They don't want to be
51:43
told this isn't true or they don't trust the New York
51:46
Times or whatever. The reason people believed
51:48
in QAnon isn't because
51:50
nobody had said to them 4chan
51:53
is not a reliable source of information.
51:55
And so we actually also
51:57
already have so much capacity to alter
51:59
photographs. photographs, to spread misinformation,
52:02
to send around email forwards full of bullshit.
52:05
I'm not sure what the delta is. I'm not sure what
52:08
the open space is in terms of people who
52:10
are the market for this kind of disinformation and don't
52:13
have enough of it to work with. Another way of putting
52:16
it is, is the boundary on disinformation
52:18
and misinformation at this point in human history
52:21
really that it is too hard to produce?
52:24
I don't really think it is.
52:26
And I think it's much more likely that
52:28
you enter into a kind of cynical collapse
52:30
of trust than an
52:33
era of rampant disinformation. If
52:35
you don't believe that you can trust these videos
52:37
coming around, and you often can't already.
52:40
There are all these edited videos made to make it look like
52:42
Joe Biden is having much more trouble speaking than he
52:44
actually is. This stuff is already around
52:46
if you want it. We're perfectly good at creating it now. It
52:49
becomes easier, but I think the issue is actually
52:51
the audience. And maybe better stuff increases
52:53
the audience a little bit, although also the knowledge
52:56
that there's better disinformation floating around
52:58
might make the audience a little bit more skeptical. But
53:01
I think the issue is an audience
53:03
problem, like a demand problem, not a supply
53:05
problem. And worrying too much about the AI
53:07
side of it frames it as a supply
53:10
problem and not a demand problem. So that's
53:12
kind of my slightly more optimistic take. I
53:14
think that the demand for this is already being fairly
53:16
well met. And I'm a little skeptical,
53:19
at least in the near term, that shifting
53:21
the supply on it is going to radically change
53:24
the equilibrium.
53:25
I just saw this really interesting documentary about Humberto
53:28
Eco, and he talks in there about all
53:30
these fake documents that have profoundly affected
53:32
real history. Right. Protocols
53:35
of the Elders of Zion. That's the example that he gives, yeah. I always
53:37
say this about fake news. Fake news is
53:39
not worse today than it has been at other points
53:41
in history.
54:02
So, I mentioned earlier that we were going to, that there were a lot of questions
54:04
about the show and your process and how you
54:07
think about things, and we're going to go into a sequence
54:09
of those now. Let's start with Audrey
54:11
C. A big chunk of what I seem to take
54:13
out of listening to the podcast is an understanding of
54:15
what it is to have a good conversation.
54:18
So, for example, you push back
54:20
on something a guest argues in an elaborate
54:22
and a gentle way. In response,
54:25
the guest doesn't always really address
54:27
your point, but instead reformulates something
54:29
that the guest has already said before, my brain
54:31
goes, this person should get a second pushback, he's not
54:34
answering. But then you don't go for it, which
54:36
I come to appreciate very much as the guest is smart
54:39
and honest enough. If they didn't
54:41
answer, there has to be a reason, maybe, that there
54:43
just is no answer. So, the question
54:45
that Audrey actually wants to ask is, while
54:48
making the show, what is it that you're learning
54:50
about what makes a good conversation?
54:52
I just so enjoyed this question because it answers itself
54:54
so well. That's exactly true.
54:58
There are certain kinds of conversations where
55:01
pinning somebody down and making it unbelievably
55:03
clear that they're not answering a question
55:05
is important. The Meet the Press approach. Yeah, the Meet the
55:07
Press approach.
55:09
When you're trying to understand how somebody thinks,
55:12
if they're not answering a question, they often have a reason.
55:15
Sometimes their non-answer is the answer. It's
55:17
what they know on the topic. It's how
55:19
far their thinking goes. Like, if they don't have a great answer
55:21
for it, that's where
55:24
their thinking is at that point. They kind
55:26
of have a, personally, and I think this is
55:28
like how conversations work between people.
55:32
If I've asked somebody a question twice
55:34
and I
55:35
find the answer unsatisfying, but I think that's the
55:37
answer they have to give me, I'm
55:40
not asking
55:41
them three or four or five times just
55:43
to show that I can embarrass
55:46
them. I don't want to say there's never a time
55:48
for that. There is, right? If I had the
55:50
president on, right, that requires a different
55:53
kind of interviewing. But
55:55
I
55:56
do think there is a problem in
55:58
a lot of interviewing around politics.
55:59
it becomes performative.
56:02
I think the audience is smart, right? Like, it's
56:04
why I love this question. Audrey
56:06
understands exactly what's happening here. The audience
56:09
is a full-engaged intellectual participant
56:11
in the conversation. They're not talking, but they are evaluating.
56:15
Oftentimes, I will get emails that are really
56:17
like, why didn't you throw the final punch? And
56:20
the answer is like, that's not what we're doing here. I'm
56:23
not trying to embarrass a person in front of you. So
56:25
then I just say, in terms of what makes a good conversation,
56:29
I think that's a very big
56:31
question.
56:32
And I don't have any one answer to it, but sometimes
56:34
I think it's knowing what you want out of a conversation. And
56:37
I think people are tuned to expect
56:40
in politics that what makes a good conversation is some kind
56:42
of persuasion. People really want
56:44
to see somebody persuaded to something they
56:46
don't believe, or see an argument torn down,
56:48
or, and I don't think that's mostly what
56:51
makes for good conversations, and I also don't think that typically
56:53
works or even makes for good persuasion. I
56:56
think a lot of the persuasion that has happened as a
56:58
result of the show happens after
57:00
it ends, as people think about what they've said
57:02
or what they haven't said, or people reflect
57:04
on it. Certainly it's true for me. And
57:07
I
57:07
think a good conversation is often people
57:10
showing up in the same spirit
57:12
of openness and exchange. And
57:15
if you don't model that as a host, they're not gonna bring
57:17
that to you as a guest.
57:19
When we were talking about the midterms last year, we talked a
57:21
little bit about this, right? And you just alluded to it at the
57:23
beginning of the show, about how so
57:25
many public conversations, as you were
57:27
talking about community board meetings, or as we call them
57:29
here in New York, are so performative
57:32
and non real. And I think one of the things that's
57:34
interesting about the show, and not
57:37
just your show, but just the whole podcast
57:40
revolution is that you have these semi
57:43
private conversations that are happening
57:45
in public, right? Which is much more interesting
57:47
than the conversations that are
57:49
happening in public, and I think that's a big part of
57:51
what's interesting as
57:53
well. Which actually leads us interestingly
57:56
to the next question from Chris M. Could
57:58
you share details around
57:59
around your process for digesting
58:02
and retaining information around
58:04
such a broad array, wide array of topics.
58:07
Or you would have a note taker, and if so,
58:09
what if you found works best?
58:12
This is a question I think we get basically every AMA,
58:14
and the reason I'm doing it this time is something in my process
58:16
changed. So we'll talk about this
58:18
more in a minute, but I moved to New York, and I work out of
58:20
the New York Times office in beautiful
58:23
Times Square. And there
58:25
are some advantages of coming into the office
58:27
and some disadvantages that commute is a lot
58:30
of time. I get to work
58:32
near you was a more positive thing.
58:35
But the unexpected advantage is the access
58:37
to an industrial strength printer. And
58:41
Aaron's probably laughing because just my desk is
58:43
just covered in paper now. And
58:46
I had a laser jet at home, and I would print
58:48
things out, but it felt wasteful somehow
58:50
to print out every article I'm reading for
58:53
a podcast. But I think
58:55
I get 50% more, 100% more out of my
58:57
prep, doing
59:00
it on paper, particularly when it's articles
59:03
and shorter things as opposed to books, doing
59:05
it on paper than doing it on the screen, doing any prep
59:07
on my actual computer where I have that many distractions.
59:11
I can do it and I get something out of it, but
59:13
it is much worse. And so I don't
59:16
have a extremely structured process in
59:18
the sense of, this is how I take notes, or
59:20
here's my system of markings or whatever. But
59:23
at this point, my process is I print everything.
59:26
I have this huge pile of paper, and
59:28
I sit at a small table with a pen, and
59:30
I go through it. And the
59:33
focus that that has offered has actually been
59:36
a really big step forward
59:38
for me, and perhaps from a very simple
59:40
thing. So that's been nice and been a change.
59:42
And obviously something that connects to things like the Marianne-Wolf
59:45
conversation, if people wanna go back to that, which
59:47
is very much about the way reading in different mediums
59:50
will change the way you read, absorb, and
59:52
engage with information. But I've been
59:54
surprised how true I've been finding that.
59:57
Yeah, that episode is a favorite of mine. And the
59:59
person who squared her book.
59:59
focus also are incredible on that subject.
1:00:03
Okay, so let's talk about diminishing focus.
1:00:05
Sam M. asks, well
1:00:08
says, I used Twitter for a long time. I talked about
1:00:10
how it was great for three things. I
1:00:12
like to stay up with news, politics, and
1:00:14
sports. The latter of which I will
1:00:16
just inform the Ezra Klein audience.
1:00:19
Ezra Klein has no interest in. So
1:00:22
we'll focus on- That's interesting. It's a lack of knowledge
1:00:25
and interest. Yeah,
1:00:27
exactly. I know
1:00:29
Ezra logged
1:00:29
off long ago and that's why I'm writing. Since
1:00:32
leaving, I found a much better attention span for reading
1:00:34
articles, right? So that gets to what you were just
1:00:36
talking about. With all that, I still feel like I'm missing
1:00:38
things that I did get from Twitter. I'm
1:00:40
missing people's thoughts and issues they don't write articles
1:00:42
or podcasts about. I'm missing
1:00:45
that collective feeling when it seems like everyone on
1:00:47
Twitter is reacting to the same thing. So
1:00:50
Sam wants to know what your thoughts are and how
1:00:52
you handled leaving Twitter. Is there anything
1:00:54
about it that you missed? What did you
1:00:57
do to compensate for what you missed?
1:00:59
And how do you stay up to date on current
1:01:02
events?
1:01:03
I did leave Twitter. And I'll note that I've
1:01:06
been playing around with threads a bit and I want to come back
1:01:08
to that. And one reason
1:01:10
I left Twitter, which is sort of before
1:01:14
Musk completed his purchase of it, but when
1:01:16
that was in the offing. But the problems with Twitter for
1:01:18
me predated Elon Musk. I
1:01:20
did a piece about
1:01:22
Musk buying Twitter called,
1:01:24
Elon Musk will get Twitter because he gets Twitter
1:01:26
or something like that. People can search it. I think it
1:01:29
has proven like my most prescient
1:01:31
piece of that year. And
1:01:33
the point was that he was gonna take what was worst
1:01:35
about Twitter. Because he was somebody who likes
1:01:37
what was worst about Twitter. Accelerate
1:01:40
that and so heighten the contradictions
1:01:43
of an already troubled platform that
1:01:46
it would just slowly drive lots of people
1:01:48
off of it. Not everybody, but it
1:01:50
was just gonna turn the balance enough that
1:01:52
people are gonna leave something or want to leave something they
1:01:54
already didn't like. But
1:01:56
I will die on this hill. Twitter is a bad
1:01:59
way to be informed about the world.
1:01:59
world.
1:02:00
It's just a bad way to do it. And
1:02:03
it's to the point I was making a minute ago about
1:02:05
printing out your articles. It's
1:02:07
about what you're not doing when you're on Twitter. And
1:02:10
the best way I've found to articulate this is I think
1:02:12
there's a really profound difference between
1:02:14
feeling informed and being informed.
1:02:17
And I think Twitter and frankly a lot of things in social
1:02:19
media specialize in giving people particularly
1:02:22
jittery,
1:02:24
info-hungry journalistic types the
1:02:26
feeling of being informed.
1:02:29
But the people who I think of as most informed
1:02:31
are the ones who seem the best at not doing things on
1:02:33
Twitter. There's almost nobody whose
1:02:36
knowledge of things is really Twitter-based knowledge
1:02:38
or communicated primarily through Twitter who
1:02:40
I find like that is where I get my information
1:02:43
and really value it.
1:02:45
Like for instance, Sam misses a feeling
1:02:47
when it seems like everyone on Twitter is reacting to the same
1:02:50
thing. And I would say, typically
1:02:52
what they are reacting to is the wrong thing to be reacting
1:02:55
to. So I have a burner account on Twitter
1:02:57
for when I need to read something that's on there. And
1:02:59
I happen to have to use it on the day there was
1:03:01
a huge amount of debate about
1:03:03
Joe Rogan demanding
1:03:06
or challenging or offering money for this
1:03:09
vaccine specialist to debate
1:03:12
RFK Jr. on Rogan's
1:03:14
show. And I mean everybody in
1:03:16
my feed, you know like Nate Silver, everybody
1:03:19
was commenting on this. And
1:03:22
they're all on the same thing. And in
1:03:24
a way being there made me feel like I
1:03:26
was informed, right? I knew what the zeitgeist
1:03:28
was that day. Like I was seeing the conversation
1:03:31
and it was an extraordinarily dumb conversation.
1:03:33
It
1:03:34
was just a bad thing to allow into your mental
1:03:37
space for that whole day. You would have just been better off
1:03:39
reading a report about homelessness or whatever. And
1:03:42
so to me in terms of being informed about
1:03:44
the world, actually one of the really
1:03:46
difficult disciplines is
1:03:48
not letting the
1:03:50
wrong mediums or the wrong people
1:03:52
decide what you're thinking about. Not
1:03:54
being too plugged into a conversation if you think that
1:03:56
conversation has turned toxic or you
1:03:58
think that conversation is turned. are you
1:04:00
thinking that conversation is being driven by
1:04:03
algorithmic dynamics that do not serve
1:04:05
you? That's my view on Twitter.
1:04:08
I've been playing around with threads, which I enjoy
1:04:10
at this moment in time and may not
1:04:12
continue to. We'll see how it evolves.
1:04:15
But
1:04:15
I don't fool myself into thinking what
1:04:17
I'm doing there is informing myself. I
1:04:19
would be much better off reading the paper New York
1:04:22
Times than screwing around
1:04:24
on threads. Threads is a fun way for me to
1:04:26
sometimes screw around when I have a couple of
1:04:28
minutes. The reason I
1:04:30
answer this with some passion is I think this has
1:04:33
become a really bad meme inside journalism
1:04:35
that has been bad in particular
1:04:37
for young journalists who their
1:04:39
colleagues are on Twitter, their future
1:04:42
and current bosses are often on Twitter. It
1:04:44
feels like you're supposed to be there or threads or whatever.
1:04:47
And that is time. You know, when you're spending
1:04:49
a lot of time on Twitter that, you know, you may not be spending
1:04:51
doing the reading, doing
1:04:52
the reporting, seeing things that other
1:04:54
people aren't seeing because they're inside the newspaper,
1:04:56
the magazine, in many ways reading an
1:04:58
issue of The Economist
1:05:00
doesn't give me the same feeling
1:05:02
of being informed that being on social media
1:05:05
does because I don't feel like I know what all the people who
1:05:08
I'm supposed to know are thinking or
1:05:10
thinking about. But I think it leads
1:05:12
me to be much more informed, like actually informed.
1:05:15
I'm reading about things I didn't already
1:05:17
know about. I'm getting ideas for
1:05:19
things I didn't have ideas on before. So I don't
1:05:22
want to say you can't learn anything on Twitter. I mean,
1:05:24
it does give you some good links and this and that. But
1:05:27
there are better places to find that stuff in my view. And
1:05:29
I would
1:05:30
say the same thing about threads, by the way, and the
1:05:32
same thing about Blue Sky and Mastodon and Facebook and all the rest
1:05:34
of it. I
1:05:36
don't think if you just
1:05:38
look at the evolution of the news media and like information, I don't,
1:05:40
I just don't
1:05:41
think you can
1:05:43
look at us today and look at us like 10 or 15 years ago
1:05:46
and say, this has definitely gotten
1:05:48
better. Like we're
1:05:50
just more informed, we're focusing on more of the right things. The
1:05:54
public has a better sense of what's going on. There's
1:05:56
more agreement on the fundamental questions being
1:05:59
debated. And if things aren't
1:06:02
getting better, then I think it should lead you to
1:06:04
really be skeptical of claims that the
1:06:07
platforms on which people are operating are
1:06:09
improving things.
1:06:10
So besides getting to hang out with
1:06:12
me, which you mentioned earlier, a
1:06:15
small part of your move, Laura C is wondering
1:06:18
why you moved to New York, where I will
1:06:20
just say you have not lived before. And she's
1:06:23
saying, I may have missed it, but haven't heard
1:06:25
you explain it. So can you tell
1:06:27
your listeners why you're here? Yeah,
1:06:29
I think this is probably our most popular question
1:06:31
on this route. There were a lot of these. And there were
1:06:33
some that were sort of offended, that had
1:06:36
this quality of, how dare you move to
1:06:38
New York and not explain why? And the answer is largely
1:06:40
that it's personal,
1:06:40
that we moved to be closer
1:06:42
to my wife's family. There
1:06:45
were relevant considerations around both of
1:06:47
our offices. And so New York
1:06:49
just made a lot of sense, right? We had
1:06:51
more, we have and had more family support.
1:06:54
We have a good community here, and
1:06:56
we have offices here. And that
1:06:58
kind
1:07:00
of explains all of it.
1:07:01
So
1:07:02
Nolan M is wondering about something that you
1:07:04
and I talked about the last time we did this actually.
1:07:06
At the end of last year, you talked about a
1:07:08
goal of incorporating a Sabbath or a day of rest
1:07:10
into your life for 2023. And
1:07:13
Nolan is wondering if you have
1:07:15
routinely incorporated a kind of Sabbath into your
1:07:17
life, and what the challenges have
1:07:20
been that have prevented you from doing so.
1:07:22
So you and I talk about this constantly, right? Because we
1:07:24
tried to leave Saturday sacrosanct without
1:07:27
being particularly religious about it. But we have sometimes
1:07:29
failed because your column, of course, appears
1:07:32
digitally on Sunday morning, although we're
1:07:34
pretty good about it. But you feel very
1:07:36
deeply about stopping time. So
1:07:38
could you talk about that? Yeah, I put this
1:07:40
mainly in to be accountable, having done
1:07:43
this Sabbath episode. And the answer is
1:07:45
I have tried a lot of
1:07:47
things that have not yet worked. And
1:07:50
the issue is that what I would like
1:07:53
is a day of rest, a cathedral in time,
1:07:55
a space to slow down, and what
1:07:57
my children would like is not that.
1:07:59
And so we've done some, you know, touch-a-bots
1:08:02
and this and that kind of thing. And
1:08:04
I try pretty hard, as you say, not to work on the
1:08:07
Saturday. But
1:08:09
I've definitely found that there is
1:08:11
a tension between the thing that I'm often
1:08:14
seeking to feel personally, like
1:08:16
as an individual, individuated
1:08:18
human for my children, and the
1:08:21
thing that just being a parent of a four-year-old
1:08:24
and a 22-month-old demands,
1:08:26
which is, you know, my Saturdays are spent. I mean, I've
1:08:28
taken them to touch-a-bots and things, but they just run
1:08:31
around the whole time, which is what a touch-a-bot is. And
1:08:33
that's really beautiful. And I try to have Saturday
1:08:36
be more of a family day. And
1:08:38
all that works out pretty well.
1:08:39
And it's really still just
1:08:41
a lot of going to playgrounds and
1:08:44
managing nap times. And all the other kids
1:08:46
have their birthdays on Saturdays. You got to take your kid
1:08:48
to the birthdays. And it's not bad.
1:08:51
But I have found the difficulty
1:08:53
of actually getting over the hump as a young family
1:08:55
to kind of finding a little bit more of that quieter,
1:08:59
out-of-time feeling. Like
1:09:02
the kids still need their routine. And I've taken
1:09:04
a fair amount of comfort
1:09:07
from Judith Sholovitz, who was my guest
1:09:09
on the Sabbath episode, saying that, you
1:09:11
know, until her kids were about five, it was kind
1:09:14
of catch-as-catch-can. And they were working
1:09:16
at it. So I, you know, I hope that I
1:09:18
am building some foundations and intentions that
1:09:21
are a good base on which to
1:09:23
work in the future. What
1:09:25
do you want from not working? Like, what is it you're
1:09:28
trying to get? It's not the not working. I
1:09:30
would like to have a day where I have a
1:09:32
different experience
1:09:33
and relationship to time and productivity.
1:09:36
And I don't mean productivity just
1:09:38
in what I create for the New York Times. I mean it in just the constant
1:09:41
getting things done, the constant feeling
1:09:43
that the sand of my
1:09:46
hourglass is slipping into Google
1:09:48
calendar blocks endlessly. And
1:09:52
that my time is almost always spoken
1:09:54
for. What am I doing today? Yeah,
1:09:56
look at the calendar. I have
1:09:58
a real, I mean.
1:09:59
real discomfort with modern
1:10:02
Google Calendar culture. I think the fact
1:10:04
that anybody can just put anything on your calendar,
1:10:07
just that this has become the way we act. There's
1:10:09
a killer there, right? They say, I'm gonna put some time
1:10:11
on your calendar. And I always think, well, actually, you're
1:10:14
doing the exact option that
1:10:16
you are taking time away
1:10:18
from me. It'd be a little bit to me. Like
1:10:20
if everybody had sort of access in a way to
1:10:23
your
1:10:23
bank account, and they could
1:10:25
say, like, you're gonna spend, I'd like you to spend $80
1:10:27
on this. And you could go and say,
1:10:30
no, I'm not going to. But then anybody
1:10:32
could allocate your money however they wanted,
1:10:34
if they had access. And then you had
1:10:36
to go in and affirmatively take it back. It's
1:10:38
not a problem exactly. I mean, I understand why
1:10:41
modern organizations have to work like
1:10:43
this. But I would like a different relationship
1:10:45
to time. I'm really moved by the Heschel
1:10:48
kind of cathedral and time kind of thing. But
1:10:51
it does require a certain amount of autonomy.
1:10:53
And I think the nature of being a parent
1:10:55
even kids is that it's just not much autonomy. And
1:10:58
weekends are really for them. I mean, during
1:11:00
the week, we have to work, or both
1:11:02
my partner and I work full time, or even more than
1:11:04
that. And so it does have to be
1:11:07
kind of oriented around their needs. So
1:11:09
I think the fundamental tension between
1:11:11
what I wanted out of Shabbat and what I've been able
1:11:13
to get with it, is that I think what I want is about what
1:11:15
I want and what is possible is what my family
1:11:17
needs. And that's totally okay. That is a phase
1:11:20
of life.
1:11:21
Something you and I talk about a lot, and that
1:11:23
we both, this is also another way of stopping
1:11:25
or experiencing time that we don't get to talk
1:11:27
about really in the column is music. I
1:11:30
have failed so far in my
1:11:32
attempts to get you interested in earlier
1:11:35
classical music and jazz. And I've
1:11:37
been trying to get as you're interested in Keith Jarrett
1:11:39
without success.
1:11:41
But I did wanna ask you for
1:11:44
three music recommendations for
1:11:46
your listeners, because I know you're always
1:11:50
pushing that thinking in
1:11:52
that kind of way.
1:11:54
Always my favorite question. So
1:11:58
yeah, so I came prepared.
1:11:59
So somebody we both quite like, my first
1:12:02
recommendation, which is probably the deepest music experience
1:12:04
I've had, you know, over the past six months, I'm
1:12:07
a big Caroline Shaw fan. And she
1:12:10
did an album with the Attica Quartet,
1:12:12
who are also amazing, called Orange. It won
1:12:14
a Grammy a year or two ago. And
1:12:17
there are a sequence of songs on that
1:12:19
album called Plan an Elevation. But
1:12:21
I really like this one called the Herbaceous Border.
1:12:25
And it's all strings.
1:12:27
And I think I'm gonna try to sell
1:12:29
it because I'm worried if I don't sell it, people won't try to listen
1:12:31
to it.
1:12:32
But one reason it actually unites the conversation
1:12:34
we were just having, is somehow it's
1:12:37
become a song for me very associated
1:12:39
with my children. So Shaw has talked about
1:12:41
summer for music as being motivated by, you
1:12:44
know, what would
1:12:46
it be like to be an ant going through the forest? And
1:12:48
I can kind of hear that in this sequence of songs.
1:12:50
And in this one in particular, there's this moment in which
1:12:53
it ends up in frenzy.
1:12:55
And then
1:12:56
it's like, it stops.
1:12:59
And it starts to come back very slowly
1:13:01
and almost playfully and curiously.
1:13:04
And for some reason, I'm
1:13:05
very moved by it. It always makes me think of
1:13:07
my children waking up in the morning, right? You
1:13:10
have these days and oftentimes
1:13:12
to me the day feels like it ends in a kind of frenzy
1:13:14
between dinner and bedtime and you're exhausted
1:13:17
and everybody needs a bath and somebody's crying. And
1:13:20
then it's like every day with them, not with me, right?
1:13:22
Me, I wake up, I'm like, what's on the calendar? What's happening,
1:13:25
you know, in the news? Like, what do I have to do today? I
1:13:28
hold everything of the day before with me. And
1:13:31
they wake up and it's like, what's today's adventure?
1:13:34
What are we doing today? They wake up fresh
1:13:36
in this way that to me is really beautiful. And
1:13:39
somehow this particular song has become very
1:13:42
moving to me in wanting to sort of meet them
1:13:45
in that. So you'll know, I think what I mean
1:13:47
or what part I mean when you listen to
1:13:49
it, which I hope you do. So
1:13:52
then the other, probably the thing I've listened to most this
1:13:54
year, and this was a recommendation from our engineer,
1:13:56
Jeff Geld, but Fred again,
1:13:59
who is...
1:13:59
kind of known for sample of the dance
1:14:02
music. He's a protege of Brian Eno, but
1:14:04
he did, if you ever follow NPR's
1:14:06
Tiny Desk series, he did
1:14:09
the best Tiny Desk I've ever
1:14:11
seen. And he live
1:14:14
loops his music built entirely
1:14:16
out of instruments he can play there. They're vocal
1:14:18
samples, but the instruments are things he can play in that little
1:14:21
room. So it's functionally analog. And
1:14:24
it's just virtuosic. It's amazing to watch
1:14:26
on YouTube. It's great to listen to. A friend
1:14:28
of mine made the point that it sounds in
1:14:31
ways like Steve Reich, which I think is absolutely
1:14:33
true, which I didn't notice until he said
1:14:35
it. But people on
1:14:37
the show know I love Steve Reich. And I just
1:14:40
think it's awesome. I kind of can't imagine the person
1:14:42
who would watch it and not think it's cool. So check out
1:14:44
Fred again's Tiny Desk on YouTube.
1:14:47
I'll save you on something much danceier and a little harder.
1:14:49
His album, USB, kind of didn't connect
1:14:51
for me initially, but lately it's been very
1:14:54
much living in my head. And then the final one,
1:14:56
which is just a little easier than the other two, is
1:14:59
Marabu State. I find I go back to them a lot
1:15:01
for music that is instrumentally
1:15:04
interesting, but also very warm and very
1:15:06
inviting, something you don't really
1:15:08
put on carol and shaw
1:15:09
when you're cooking dinner with your friends, but this really
1:15:12
works for that. But I figure the song
1:15:14
I'll go with here is Midas. Okay,
1:15:16
great. Well, on behalf
1:15:18
of everyone here and all your listeners,
1:15:21
we wish you a very merry book leave and hope
1:15:23
you get a lot done. So
1:15:25
time stops for you in just the right ways
1:15:28
so that you can dig down
1:15:31
deep, which is, as we've been talking about
1:15:33
in a million different ways today, really the hardest
1:15:35
problem of all, right? How to focus, how
1:15:37
to concentrate, and how to really drill
1:15:39
down into the things
1:15:41
that actually make the world what they are. I
1:15:44
appreciate that. I appreciate you and being
1:15:46
here and all the questions. I'll be gone for about three
1:15:48
months. We're gonna have a great sequence
1:15:50
of guest hosts who are gonna do, we
1:15:53
were sort of working with them on the guests and my
1:15:55
team is working with them on the questions. So we've done this
1:15:57
before. I think the shows are gonna be great. eye
1:16:00
on it. We're going to be going down to one a week for
1:16:02
this period so it'll be a little bit easier for everybody
1:16:04
to manage but I hope you enjoy
1:16:06
it.
1:16:17
This episode of The Essek Rancho is produced by Annie
1:16:19
Galvin. Back checking by Michelle Harris, Kate
1:16:21
Sinclair and Nari March Locker. Our
1:16:23
senior engineer is Jeff Geld. Our senior editor
1:16:26
is Roshik Karma. The show's production team also
1:16:28
includes Emma Fagau, Roland Hu and
1:16:30
Kristen Lin. Original music is by
1:16:32
Isaac Jones, Audience Strategy by Christina
1:16:34
Samuluski and Shannon Busta. The
1:16:36
executive producer of New York Times opinion audio
1:16:38
is Annie Rose Strasser. And special thanks
1:16:41
on this one to Sonia Herrera.
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More