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1:42
Hello, everybody. I'm
1:51
Lou Dobbs, and welcome to The Great America
1:53
Show. Thanks for joining us. We
1:55
have a big week ahead of us. Congress
1:57
is finally back to work, or maybe I
1:59
should. whether
3:32
it's legal constitutional or not
6:00
again and happy new year. I'm always glad
6:02
to be here on the
6:04
Great America Show. I think you're
6:06
absolutely right the the
6:08
never Trump wing of the Republican
6:10
Party which still exists
6:13
not so much at the
6:15
voter level particularly the primary
6:17
voter level but exists at
6:19
the leadership levels of the
6:21
party are really flogging the
6:23
candidacy of Nikki Haley. She
6:26
is taking in 70 million dollars
6:29
from special interests in just the last couple
6:31
weeks. She may or may not
6:34
pass Governor DeSantis in Iowa
6:37
and if she does here's my prediction headline
6:41
Haley beats DeSantis in Iowa
6:44
in upset subhead Trump comes
6:46
in first as expected. You
6:51
can't make this stuff up I mean even
6:53
if Nikki Haley does manage to
6:56
get by Governor Ron
6:58
DeSantis for second place it'll
7:00
be a distant second. I mean it could
7:02
be a gap of as many as 30
7:04
points. Nobody's ever won the
7:06
Iowa caucuses by more than 20. Trump
7:10
in 2016 had
7:12
a very ragtag pasted
7:15
together operation on the
7:17
ground but he was
7:19
a phenomena. He came
7:21
in a very strong second considering that
7:23
he really wasn't organized.
7:26
Caucuses are different than primaries. Primary you
7:29
walk in you vote you leave
7:31
at least that's the way it's supposed to be. A
7:34
caucus is a meeting you have to show up
7:36
and stick around for a while. A
7:39
very cold night January 15th you could
7:41
be there 45 minutes
7:43
to cast your vote. If there's a
7:45
lot of people you're going to be
7:47
there longer to cast your vote. So
7:49
in this case having a structure having
7:51
a well oiled machine to turn
7:54
out your supporters is
7:57
crucial. So this is kind of two steps. One you
7:59
have to have to reach
8:01
and identify enough supporters to win,
8:03
Trump has done that in spades.
8:06
I think he's sitting on a data bank of
8:08
90,000, close to 100,000 people who have affirmed recently
8:13
that they will, without any question,
8:16
vote for Donald Trump. And
8:19
I have a high regard for
8:21
Chris LaCivita, who's his co-camp pain
8:24
manager. He's probably a great strategist.
8:26
He's also a great technician, a
8:28
great political mechanic. He knows
8:30
what he's doing. I think the Trump
8:32
campaign is superbly well organized. Ron
8:35
DeSantis has spent tens
8:37
of millions of dollars, remains to be
8:39
seen yet, whether he's reached enough
8:42
people, is there a pool large
8:45
enough to even bring him in
8:47
second? And of course, Nikki Haley's
8:49
depending on broadcast television, wall-to-wall
8:52
cable news advertising, digital
8:55
advertising. She has no
8:57
structure on the ground that I
8:59
can see. So the real contest
9:01
for the media will be not
9:04
for a huge victory by President Trump,
9:06
because I do think he's going to win. Winning
9:09
is defined as coming in first, by
9:11
the way, but who comes in
9:13
second and how that impacts
9:15
New Hampshire. Yeah,
9:18
that's quite a rundown. And
9:20
I think that everybody is
9:23
benefiting from your analysis of
9:25
it and the layout. How
9:28
important is it,
9:30
in your opinion, now,
9:34
because of the caucuses, how important
9:36
is New Hampshire? We're sitting
9:38
here getting very close to that as well. I
9:42
think it's very important, as it
9:44
was in 1980, for example,
9:46
when George Bush won the caucuses but
9:49
lost the New Hampshire primary, or
9:51
in 2016 when Ted Cruz very
9:54
narrowly won the Iowa caucuses, perhaps
9:56
as the result of a dirty trick
9:58
because somebody put out a blast
10:01
text message to every registered Republican primary voter
10:03
telling him that Dr. Ben Carson had dropped
10:05
out of the race when Ben Carson, in
10:07
fact, had not dropped out of the race.
10:10
No one ever learned who actually was
10:12
responsible for that act of chicanery. But
10:15
New Hampshire is going to be important. It's a little
10:17
different in that independence
10:20
can vote in the Republican
10:22
primary. And there is
10:24
no democratic primary because they wouldn't
10:26
let Robert Kennedy Jr. compete there.
10:28
He bolted the party
10:31
to perhaps draw independence. Now,
10:34
how many? Independence are
10:37
going to cross over into the Republican
10:39
party to vote for Nikki Haley that
10:41
remains to be seen. But if,
10:44
as I expect, DeSantis falls
10:46
short in Iowa, I
10:49
guess, when Iowa, when his defines his
10:51
coming in first, it's interesting as
10:53
his candidacy collapses, whatever vote she does
10:56
have, Trump gets eight out of 10
10:58
of them. So
11:00
his actually losing Iowa,
11:03
folding his tent before New Hampshire
11:05
would be beneficial for Trump, although
11:08
most of his votes would leave
11:10
whether he's still competing or not.
11:13
And Nikki Haley, who'd be in her
11:15
interest if Chris Christie would drop out,
11:18
it's only three percent of the vote, but those votes, I can
11:20
tell you, are more likely to go to Haley. I
11:23
don't think that's likely to happen either.
11:25
So I think Trump will win both
11:27
contests. Then I think he will roll
11:29
through South Carolina if he dispatches Nikki
11:31
Haley in her home state, which he
11:34
most definitely can do. But then I
11:36
think it's the end of the line
11:38
for her. We're
11:40
talking with Roger Stone. We're going to talk
11:42
some more. And if we may, Roger, I'd
11:44
like to talk a little more about New
11:46
Hampshire because there's some fascinating issues there. And
11:50
we've got it coming at us very
11:53
quickly as 2024 is
11:55
underway. Roger Stone
11:57
will be right back. Stay with us. We're
12:05
back now with Roger Stone and Roger, you were
12:09
analyzing New Hampshire. My
12:12
interest in New Hampshire has
12:14
been heightened because I watch
12:17
Governor Sununu hawking
12:19
Nikki Haley every day and every
12:22
way a straightforward
12:24
push by the establishment. I don't
12:26
know how much it's costing the
12:29
donors to have Sununu being
12:31
a 24-7 cheerleader for Nikki
12:34
Haley. I've never
12:37
seen a governor go quite to the
12:39
extent he has in attacking an opponent,
12:41
in this case President Trump
12:44
and belly-hoing what
12:46
to me is obviously a
12:48
second-rate candidate. Well,
12:51
I must tell you, I had a
12:54
bad experience with Governor Chris Sununu's father,
12:56
John Sununu. He was also
12:58
governor of New Hampshire. I
13:00
was working at that point for Congressman Jack
13:02
Kemp, but I also had served on the
13:04
Senate staff of Senator Bob Dole with whom
13:06
I was also still quite friendly. John
13:10
Sununu lied to both Bob Dole and
13:12
Jack Kemp for almost 12 months insisting
13:14
that he had no antecedent commitment to
13:17
Vice President George Bush when in fact
13:19
he did. So I
13:21
think that this kind of political chicanery
13:24
runs in the family. I'm not
13:26
much of a fan of Chris
13:29
Sununu. I
13:31
think he is his effort. First
13:33
of all, he's a never-Trumper, but
13:35
secondarily, I think his major effort
13:37
is to pull independence into
13:40
the primary. That's
13:44
generally speaking, my 45 years
13:46
of experience in American politics with
13:48
one exception, endorsements
13:50
don't mean that much unless
13:52
it's Donald Trump doing the endorsing.
13:55
This is a phenomenon I've never seen before. Support
13:59
is not transformative. People don't say, well, I'm
14:01
for Smith because Jones is supporting them. They
14:03
say I'm for Smith because I like Smith.
14:06
The one exception to that rule is Donald Trump.
14:09
We saw in Florida in 2018 when
14:12
he lifted an obscure and
14:14
unknown congressman named Ron DeSantis
14:16
out of obscurity, catapulted him
14:19
to the Republican nomination for
14:21
governor of Florida, then
14:23
changed his own schedule to return to Florida
14:25
three times in the last two weeks of
14:28
the 2018 campaign to literally
14:30
drag DeSantis over the finish line,
14:32
also dragged in Senator Rick Scott.
14:35
They won by razor-thin
14:37
margins. The
14:40
Trump endorsement, I've seen it in poll after
14:42
poll after poll. I've seen it in real
14:44
time. Wax a wallop,
14:46
a real wallop. I don't
14:48
think the governor of Sununu can
14:51
deliver victory over Donald Trump for
14:53
Nikki Haley. And then her missteps,
14:55
Lou, have been extraordinary. No,
14:58
the Civil War was about slavery. What
15:01
part of this do you not understand? In
15:04
New Hampshire, of all places. It's
15:08
amazing. And
15:10
to think that someone said
15:13
the other day that Nikki Haley
15:15
is exactly who she appears to
15:17
be each time she's before a
15:19
different audience. She conforms
15:21
to them absolutely. Now,
15:24
as we look at the president's numbers,
15:27
he's just dominating. Have you ever
15:29
seen this level of domination for
15:33
a man who, I mean,
15:35
we know he's the strongest and best candidate,
15:38
but there's something going on here.
15:40
The power of these numbers is
15:42
extraordinary. Well, yes. Let
15:45
me address it. First let me say this about Nikki
15:48
Haley. I really honestly believe that the
15:50
main reason that President Trump appointed Nikki Haley
15:52
to the UN was so
15:54
that the Lieutenant Governor Henry McMaster could
15:56
become governor because and McMaster's not only
15:58
a good man. who I've known back
16:01
to the Reagan days, but a
16:03
very solid early Trump supporter, where
16:05
Nicki Hailey was not. In
16:07
fact, when the Republican leadership chose
16:10
a spokesperson to answer Donald Trump early
16:12
in the campaign, they put Nicki Hailey
16:14
on the air. So I
16:17
remember Trump specifically saying, I'd like to give Nicki Hailey
16:19
a job. I want to send her someplace where she
16:21
can do the least damage. Where can
16:23
we send her where nothing whatsoever really happens? I
16:25
said, how about the UN? That
16:27
would be perfect. So maybe it's my fault. I
16:30
don't know. Look,
16:33
I've studied a lot of polling. Lou, I try
16:35
to be dispassionate. I like you, I'm
16:38
a Trump supporter, but I'm also a realist. I
16:41
can spot a trend or an uptick or
16:43
an anomaly in the polling. It's
16:45
not just that Trump
16:47
continues to gain. It's the
16:50
level of intensity of his support,
16:52
meaning his voters
16:54
are rock solid, meaning almost
16:56
nine out of 10, eight and a half out of 10 will
16:59
tell you, I'm not changing
17:01
my mind. I'm definitely voting for Trump. There's
17:03
nobody else I would vote for. These
17:06
same people, I really believe in a general
17:08
election, if Trump were not the nominee, they
17:12
would not vote Republican, particularly
17:14
since many of them do see
17:16
the DeSantis-Kinn disease in active
17:19
treachery, given Trump's role in
17:21
catapulting the career of
17:24
DeSantis to the governorship. So those
17:26
who try to tell me that
17:28
Trump can't win, I would
17:30
argue that he's the only Republican that can
17:32
win. There's a subset
17:35
of voters out there. They're
17:37
in Milwaukee, they're in Detroit,
17:41
they're in Atlanta, they're most definitely
17:43
in Arizona. They're
17:50
not Republicans, they're Trump
17:53
supporters. That's
17:55
why, For example,
17:57
Trump wins Michigan and Wisconsin.
18:00
The and Pennsylvania ah when
18:02
Mitt Romney does not endorse
18:04
we should call them. Reagan
18:07
Democrats. Before that we call them
18:09
Nips and Democrats. Ah, they're not
18:11
comfortable in the Country Club Republican
18:14
party each other. Only Trump can
18:16
reach for those voters. When you
18:18
add those people to his party
18:21
base, he is a stronger than
18:23
he's been in Twenty sixteen stronger.
18:25
the wasn't for hims when it's
18:28
his political science. At this moment,
18:31
Has never been matched. and then I must
18:33
tell you I was within. A
18:35
New Year's Eve? Ah, and
18:37
or he looks great and
18:39
he's lost a little weight
18:41
or he's in this really
18:43
in fighting for him. his
18:45
mood is extraordinary For a
18:48
man carrying around the burdens
18:50
amanda trying to lock up
18:52
for six hundred years, a
18:54
man who's very successful presidential
18:56
campaign their intent in interfering
18:58
in he remains a resolute
19:00
see remains undetermined above all
19:02
who remains extraordinarily confident of
19:04
victory he was he was
19:06
in a great mood or
19:08
New Jersey. Now
19:10
as he should be an answer
19:12
the country or he is grateful
19:14
for that day he he's issue
19:17
is you alluded no one has
19:19
ever taken this kind of our
19:21
incoming fire as as he has.
19:23
I mean the man strength is
19:26
extraordinary spot where with the extraordinary
19:28
Roger Stone A were coming right
19:30
back in just one moment will
19:32
find out about an expanding a
19:34
map for the Trump's candidacy and
19:37
will also be talking about a
19:39
unique. Plan to deal with
19:41
the illegal immigrant crisis in this
19:43
country. Stay with this. will be
19:45
right back. of
19:53
roger stone and rogers is
19:55
laid out the that the
19:57
year the president's effective effective
19:59
appeal to voters across the
20:01
country. And I really, I
20:04
think you said it just correctly, these
20:06
are without question Trump
20:10
Republicans and unfortunately many of the
20:12
Rhino Republicans don't quite understand the
20:14
party to which they belong is
20:17
led by Donald Trump. President
20:19
Trump now planning, I was
20:21
shocked to hear today, an expanded
20:24
map looking to blue states
20:27
like New York, New Jersey, Virginia,
20:31
Minnesota, New
20:33
Mexico. These are unusual
20:37
states for any Republican and for
20:39
this this America
20:41
first icon who is right
20:44
now the likely president on Election
20:46
Day 2024. I'm amazed by this
20:51
Roger. Well, Lew would
20:54
have to tell you it's all data-based so
20:56
I mean obviously Donald Trump would love to
20:58
carry his native state of New York. Realistically
21:01
in the last two elections there
21:03
was no polling that showed that it
21:06
was within his grasp and therefore to
21:08
spend time and resources there instead of
21:10
spending it in the swing state like
21:12
say Pennsylvania or Michigan or Wisconsin would
21:15
not have been a good use of
21:17
resources or time. Now my one of
21:20
my concerns of course is that the
21:22
tsunami of lawfare that is being
21:24
waged against Donald Trump is designed to
21:27
relegate him to a courtroom where
21:29
in a criminal case he must be present
21:31
if there's a court proceeding when
21:34
he should be out campaigning in swing states
21:36
or in target states. I
21:38
think it becomes less likely but not still not
21:40
out of the question that there may be a
21:42
trial before the 2024 election.
21:45
I think that's actually the idea. When
21:47
CNN and the New York Times both
21:50
report that Jack Smith is politically
21:52
motivated in His efforts
21:54
to get the Supreme Court to expedite the
21:56
proceedings so he can have a trial. That's.
22:00
In an enormous amount, but. If
22:03
you study the polling and
22:05
I do and you never
22:07
looked at any one poll,
22:09
you go look at a
22:11
series of posts taken within
22:13
the same time period with
22:15
a comparable size sample. A.
22:19
New truly worthy questions the proper
22:22
order of the question so there's
22:24
no order bias and they also
22:26
the same since or then. it's
22:28
a pretty good bet that use
22:31
modern trend and the trend we
22:33
have seen a is the.dance Company
22:35
making inroads into Normally it's a
22:38
big silly and previously democratic voter
22:40
groups such as African Americans and
22:42
Hispanics Americans and younger voters that
22:45
is reflected in the state Poland
22:47
in New York, New Jersey, Virginia.
22:50
And New Mexico A Minnesota.
22:52
Now that could change. But
22:54
as of this moments, all
22:57
of them, or at least
22:59
theoretically within his grasp, thought
23:01
oh, now in the end,
23:04
I still think that the
23:06
presidency will come down to
23:08
of Arizona, Oh, Wisconsin and
23:11
Pennsylvania, Georgia. In
23:13
Michigan. And you actually
23:15
come down to a painful of
23:18
counties within those states is as
23:20
you know, balances. In
23:23
Change in a lifetime a week skill
23:25
I saw it can be a lifetime's
23:27
but as of today I sincerely he
23:29
to justify it's based on the data
23:32
for a an expansion of the electoral
23:34
map. dollars and via very
23:36
exciting to watch in this is gonna
23:38
be some year spare as you well
23:41
know i think everybody in this country
23:43
knows it's going to be quite a
23:45
quite a year or politically and perhaps
23:48
in all sorts of other ways as
23:50
well as president trump making an important
23:52
announcement and and op ed or he
23:54
is going to deal straight up straightforwardly
23:57
with the illegal or immigration crisis that
23:59
president Biden has
24:01
created using a 200-plus
24:04
year law
24:06
that FDR used to remove thousands
24:08
of Japanese and Germans during the
24:10
Second War. And
24:13
he vows to cancel every single
24:15
Biden policy that has contributed to
24:17
what has been a, as he
24:20
put it, a catastrophe of historic
24:22
proportions. And I don't see any
24:25
hyperbole at all in that statement
24:27
about a catastrophe of historic proportions.
24:30
Your thoughts on his plan?
24:33
Well, first of all, President Dwight Eisenhower
24:35
used the exact same law to justify
24:37
the deportation of 1.3 million
24:39
illegals during his presidency. So it
24:42
can be done. You
24:46
see this phenomena in our cities
24:48
and in our states and in our counties where
24:51
the requirement to provide social
24:53
services for illegal
24:55
migrants, in many cases over
24:58
the needs of American citizens, is
25:01
bursting the budgets, bankrupting
25:04
the cities and the counties. The
25:06
mayor of Chicago, he's a real piece
25:08
of work anyway, he came out the
25:10
other day and said, this is
25:12
just not sustainable. We're going to be broke
25:14
almost immediately. The answer, he
25:17
said, is to give these people citizenship. Well,
25:19
I don't see how that's the answer. That's
25:21
the answer for you because you'd like to
25:24
be able to vote perhaps. That
25:26
is not the answer. When
25:28
Anthony Blinken, the Secretary of State, met with
25:30
the President of Mexico a week ago to
25:33
discuss the crisis on our border, they
25:36
didn't have much to say in their
25:38
joint statement other than hinting that maybe
25:40
the answer is to give all these
25:42
illegals citizenship. So don't blame
25:44
me if I see a political
25:46
agenda here because I do. Why
25:48
would Secretary Mayorkas continue to
25:51
insist that the border is secure?
25:54
When Carrie Lake tells me that there's 318
25:56
gates on the Arizona Mexico
26:00
border that are welded
26:02
open allegedly so some
26:05
rare species of antelope can
26:08
roam back and forth. It's
26:11
an invasion. It's purposeful. It
26:14
is bringing us a fentanyl
26:17
epidemic, a crime epidemic,
26:20
an economic ruin where even
26:22
mayors like New York City Mayor
26:24
Eric Adams, who while running
26:26
for mayor, said he was proud that New
26:28
York City was a sanctuary city,
26:30
but now says, folks, it's going
26:32
to break us. We're on the verge
26:35
of bankruptcy. He
26:37
is trying to stop Texas Governor
26:39
Greg Abbott from busing
26:41
or flying illegals
26:43
from Texas to New York, but
26:46
I think the governor has every right
26:49
to do that. Why should Texas absorb
26:51
all these people? His
26:53
answer has been powerful, almost 100,000 illegal
26:57
immigrants shipped to various cities
26:59
and states. One
27:01
other development, Roger, and that is an absolute
27:05
statement of solidarity, the entire
27:08
House Republican leadership agreeing
27:10
on one thing, that
27:12
President Trump should be president in
27:15
2025. I
27:18
take that as a remarkable endorsement.
27:21
Your thoughts? I think it
27:23
is a recognition that
27:25
the grassroots of the Republican Party, this is
27:27
no longer the country club party of the
27:29
Bushes. This is now the America
27:32
first party of working Americans as
27:34
exemplified by Donald Trump. He is the
27:36
only candidate who can bring the Republicans
27:39
victory next fall. I
27:41
think it's a recognition of that fact. Some
27:44
of those folks who have endorsed him, we
27:46
know, Lou, they don't particularly like him. They
27:48
like his policies, but they
27:51
are facing reality. And
27:53
reality is coming at us fast here in 2024. As
27:57
many have said, I think this
27:59
election... is existential for the republic
28:02
and it's critical
28:05
that President Trump win it. Roger
28:07
Stone, thanks so much for being with
28:09
us. Always enjoy our conversations and my
28:11
tutorial. I appreciate it,
28:14
Professor. Thanks so much for being with us.
28:16
Roger Stone. Great to be with you, Lou.
28:18
God bless you and happy New Year. Thanks,
28:20
Roger Stone, and thanks, everybody, for
28:22
being with us today. Join us
28:25
tomorrow for The Great America Show.
28:27
Our guest is former CIA analyst
28:29
Dr. John Gentry on the
28:31
CIA and its runaway abuse of
28:33
power and influence in
28:35
our national politics. And please join
28:37
us for that and much more.
28:39
Join us each and every day
28:41
for The Great America Show. Follow
28:44
me on Twitter and Truth Social
28:46
at Lou Dobbs on Facebook and
28:48
Instagram at Lou Dobbs Tonight. And
28:50
join me every night, Monday through
28:52
Friday, for Lou Dobbs Tonight on
28:54
LyndellTV and frankspeech.com. Thanks, everybody.
28:57
God bless you, and may God
28:59
bless America.
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