Episode Transcript
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you're listening to an air wave media
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this podcast because he crushes your dreams getting
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rich quick they actually i mean reading
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stats for anything you're tuned in to
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the investing for beginners podcast,
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learn
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by step for
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beginners your path to financial
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freedom darth malgus
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right folks welcome to investing
0:38
for beginners podcast tonight we have
0:40
episode two hundred and thirty three it's
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we're going to answer three great list
0:45
or questions without recently and
0:47
so without further ado i'll go ahead and
0:49
read first question in an error and i will
0:51
do our little usual given take for yes
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so he has he dies i'll be
0:55
taking on some extra summertime work
0:57
and i'm wondering what the best place to put
0:59
that is have already got about three
1:01
times monthly expenses and savings
1:03
are putting money automatically in my four
1:06
o one k i have credit card or
1:08
car loan and student loans i
1:10
opened my first brokerage account and invested
1:12
my first index funds should i
1:14
try to get to the max roth ira
1:16
amount for the years to invest or
1:18
work in paying off loans i
1:20
already have plans take part of each of my regular
1:22
daytime paychecks and put into
1:24
wrath of just not sure what to do with
1:26
some of the extra income for couple months thank
1:29
you i appreciate all your help and advice
1:31
for your podcast and postings
1:33
madison so eager what your thoughts on medicines
1:35
great question well first off congrats
1:38
sounds like you're kill it deserves every
1:40
promised or haven't sounds like working
1:42
hard and really
1:44
working to improve yourself so that's
1:46
fantastic ago you
1:49
know lot people have different
1:51
opinions on what do with how
1:53
you prioritize extra money
1:55
and the at certain point
1:57
was wonder if it's who
2:00
counterproductive to try to get to queue
2:02
with some of that stuff you know
2:04
for a summer job so as me
2:06
the now is back to my young rebellious
2:09
south i definitely wanna
2:11
enjoy some of that you know by are
2:13
obviously have some that you on the
2:16
way in and do responsibly with to
2:18
i know people will say oh yeah the pay off
2:20
all your that and i get that and there is
2:23
value in working
2:25
towards paying off debt but if it's really
2:27
i don't see somebody paying off a student loans
2:29
from summer job or unless
2:31
you like the best
2:34
still loan deal with ever seen so
2:37
you know i am always big proponent of
2:39
how's that investing have
2:42
it in place meetings are you paying
2:44
yourself first the whatever
2:46
that dollar amount means to you are
2:48
you committing to doing that every month
2:50
when i recommend for people who have
2:53
started their careers and are kind of work in their
2:55
everyday life is to start at one hundred
2:57
and fifty dollars a month and as
2:59
use that as a
3:02
nasty habits it so that you're in the
3:04
market and you have that
3:06
have it in place which you can keep for
3:08
a long period of time it's really the consistency
3:11
and it's really about your behavior more
3:13
so than it is about the numbers in
3:15
my opinion and and just based
3:17
on my own experience in way i cannot live my life
3:19
pretty mostly to sometimes smells younger
3:22
so i would do what is
3:24
best for your behavior whatever that
3:26
will be the i think that's more
3:28
important than the numbers especially
3:31
because we're talking about something us three
3:33
months and length and not like
3:35
your next five year plan kind of a thanks
3:37
yeah that's great advice and i would agree
3:39
that having a plan and
3:41
following their plan is great idea and
3:44
enters idea about setting behaviors
3:46
especially as you're on the younger
3:49
side and can start to
3:51
the set those for a long
3:53
period of time disagree foundation to
3:55
build front of that's fantastic
3:57
advice and that's something
3:59
that i my younger self had heard
4:01
for sure because it would put myself
4:04
in a better position as these are some
4:06
things that i are in the waiter on and why so
4:08
i would doesn't see what the some the things that
4:10
andor was saying if you want to look at
4:12
the numbers part of it something
4:14
that has always kind of stuff in
4:16
my head was when was working in
4:18
the bank world i had a mortgage
4:21
banker talk to be one time because
4:23
he heard a customer talking to be
4:25
about kind of the same kind idea i have
4:28
money i don't know whether i should
4:30
invest it or if or if pay off some
4:33
debt and something that he
4:35
recommended to me after hearing
4:37
this conversation was
4:39
something that he was taught by a
4:41
private bankers was that
4:43
the work out what kind
4:45
of return you can get versus
4:47
the interest , you're paying
4:50
on your debt so for mortgages generally
4:53
tend to be a lower interest rates so
4:55
it's a little bit easier to make a decision in
4:57
that circumstance because you can
4:59
earn without a lot of effort you
5:01
can earn decent returns in a
5:03
market buying indexes in the t
5:05
s yeah on consistent basis
5:07
but the flip side of that is
5:09
that if you're trying to pay off a credit
5:12
card at twenty percent than
5:14
trying to beat to that hurdle in market
5:16
is it's a lot bigger a challenge challenge
5:19
know the professionals struggle to do that and
5:21
so somebody that would just be starting
5:23
out would be challenge and so his advice
5:26
would be to if you had extra
5:28
money as you want to put a good use and
5:30
a short term would be to maybe
5:32
we'll get a paying down your credit card debt because
5:34
that would be would in
5:36
theory would be at the higher interest rate of the
5:38
three that you're talking about if you're
5:40
talking about a mortgage then
5:42
you're working at depending on what your rate is
5:44
to four percent you could make more
5:46
money by putting that extra money in the
5:48
market because you can earn a greater
5:50
return that would offset
5:53
paying offset the student or the mortgage faster
5:55
for example so those are just i
5:57
guess some generalities of somebody
6:00
is that some people have suggested
6:02
to me that's something that kind of like to keep
6:04
in mind as well and if
6:06
you are looking at paying down debt says
6:09
as general rule i think it's better
6:11
to look at the ones that have higher interest
6:13
rates so say you have to credit cards and
6:15
one as twenty percent the other ones fifteen percent
6:18
past twenty percent faster than
6:20
fifteen percent because as can save your money
6:22
in long runs by sounds like mass
6:24
and has a good plan in his
6:27
got a great had on their shoulders and
6:29
has really started moving in right direction
6:31
as i would definitely suggest listening to what
6:33
andrew said and think you
6:35
know if you're younger have some fun i mean
6:37
life is short and you should have some
6:39
fun and easy to get little extra money take
6:42
trip or go someplace
6:44
or do something fun with cel friends
6:46
are significant other or family and
6:48
enjoy yourself because sometimes
6:50
focusing only on the money can we
6:52
do to not enjoying yourself
6:54
and we're all here to enjoy ourselves as
6:57
much as we can enjoy them that
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how know companies the and know companies
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is to stock text to if dynamics
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stitcher we ira capital google
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the text by defense affirm ira com how
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text for for move on the next
9:06
question then got nothing else really that
9:08
are , this one is from
9:12
nate he says i wonder
9:14
what guys think about the sand sector
9:16
and thus seen both with long haul
9:18
the and what's going on currently have
9:20
a subscriber to the safe the research a leather
9:22
which has previously bought some of that and
9:24
i'm holding some others like lockheed and
9:26
raytheon raytheon saw
9:28
basically everything about sector jump in
9:30
price the day after the latest hostels
9:33
hostels is that good sell
9:35
or are these companies just more valuable
9:38
as anything special we as investors
9:40
need consider when looking at defense company
9:42
thanks mate well that's a very interesting
9:45
question and as a defense sector
9:47
is something that i've briefly looked at
9:49
i know andrew as much better insights
9:51
as defense sector other than i do but
9:54
think overall i would say that
9:56
the defense sector is is
9:59
strong it
10:00
history it tends to be undervalued
10:03
, a general rule and
10:05
is something that is not going
10:07
away and i do remember
10:09
that these contracts that these companies
10:11
were generating were pretty
10:14
big and pretty substantial and we're gonna
10:16
only continue to increase
10:18
and as even though the country
10:21
politically baby encouraging
10:23
us to downsize some of what's
10:25
going on as his baby and not
10:27
having as many soldiers are footsoldiers
10:30
but technology is improving and
10:32
that's something that were deathly scene was going
10:34
on in the unfortunate situation in ukraine
10:37
is that the ability for
10:39
the footsoldiers to inflict
10:41
lot more damage based on the technology
10:43
that are using is far greater than
10:45
it was five ten fifteen years ago and
10:48
so it looks like it has to even out things and battlefield
10:50
self all that to say the
10:52
money this gonna be spent on defense is
10:55
as sick as only than increase and everything
10:57
that sometimes doesn't it we saw
10:59
something that i noticed was that
11:01
a lot of these defense contractors
11:03
are also involved in the space industries
11:06
and so it satellites for
11:08
example as we increase
11:10
more of the technology we're going to eat more satellite
11:12
and better satellites and as going just
11:14
continue to evolve and
11:17
then there's the whole issue of this air
11:19
quotes space race between the
11:21
a spacex and blue origin
11:23
and you're all the other players these companies
11:25
are directly involved in lot that stuff as well
11:28
have tried to go to moon trying go mars and
11:30
some the other projects with working on so
11:32
there's definitely a lot of moving
11:34
parts and lot of things going on and defenses
11:37
the streets kind of beyond just the
11:39
airplanes and battleships for example
11:41
so i would be more curious to hear what and restart
11:43
on the defense industry are sounds
11:45
like you read my letter se of us as
11:48
i sir oh he did did
11:51
yeah we bought northrop grumman back
11:53
and say very twenty twenty one and
11:56
i'm still holding and the reason why of so
11:58
holdings because of believe it's still the undervalued
12:01
potentially or potentially fairly valued
12:03
at one of the things i would the
12:06
highly recommend if you're kind skeptical
12:08
on investments in defense
12:10
is if you look at the long term
12:12
government spending trans on defense
12:15
you'll see it's cyclical which is very
12:18
similar though a lot of other things we see in economy
12:20
things cycle up and down and
12:22
, defense spending is the
12:24
same way and so what since
12:26
seen as historically over
12:28
decades it's been around
12:30
for percent year growth
12:32
for defense spending the last ten
12:34
years it's been less than one
12:36
percent than year and growth the
12:39
you have to ask yourself is the human race
12:41
just that much better and more
12:43
peaceful and more socially
12:46
and behave really advanced that
12:49
we don't the defense spending any more or
12:52
is this one of those down cycles
12:54
i could cycle back up so
12:57
you know obviously you can't just always
12:59
simplify it's a safe and industries growing
13:01
than the stocks in that industry are good
13:03
investments that these are very well
13:05
run companies particularly the one that
13:07
we own they buyback lot of stock
13:09
they're not trying to go aggressive
13:11
crazy and and try take over the world anything
13:14
like that so they're providing good
13:16
returns for investors and
13:18
until that changes don't
13:21
see it as a cell because there's a reason
13:23
to believe that the growth could be even greater
13:26
that has bad and even of where he had
13:29
been like if that defense spending
13:31
the had stayed the same it was still
13:33
a great value at that time so that's
13:35
why did try to look for these kind margin of safety
13:37
companies where they somewhere there
13:40
at know it's a good value
13:42
to buy the stocks but things
13:44
could improve and epic could become an even
13:46
greater value and you really wanna
13:48
hold through those periods to be
13:50
able to let those things play
13:52
out as a lot the things are are really long
13:54
term and so our something something
13:57
early on the site you can be right
13:59
but you could be so wrong if you sell too soon
14:01
because yeah you may have made sixty
14:03
percent on on the sox but was he
14:05
doesn't know how much you made and
14:08
it really hurts to be right on an idea
14:10
and wrong when you thought sixty
14:12
percent was a great return when
14:14
you can have earned two hundred percent or more that
14:16
hurts yeah that would hurt for sure so
14:19
i guess a couple questions i can i have about
14:21
defense industry just as the kind
14:23
of general rule the
14:26
kind of way that they generate revenue is
14:28
from these contracts that there givens
14:31
and those com from the appropriations
14:33
from congress correct supposed
14:38
get started and demanding download
14:40
andrea
14:42
at dot market d dot
14:44
com
14:47
a defensive the either
14:49
they're generally the longer
14:52
term contracts if i'm correct so
14:55
you can look at
14:57
one i guess it would be an accounting
14:59
term but it's something and than the company's financials
15:01
was called back log and
15:03
so not lot of businesses
15:05
necessarily deal with backlog but for something
15:08
that says contracts like the fence
15:10
they do a backlog so you can look and
15:12
you can kind of see how ,
15:14
revenue a defense company is going
15:16
to make and the next several years
15:18
based on what their backlog is because
15:21
even if they have they they don't
15:23
get out for court those revenues until they
15:25
actually perform the services rights
15:27
so as a backlog join our huge
15:30
the they're growing and
15:32
there's plenty of work to be done right so
15:34
so it is a very defensive
15:37
panels defensive in sense of like he said
15:39
the know what's gonna happen because
15:41
they'll muskets projected in the backlogs
15:45
yeah totally does so the thing that
15:47
took away from looking at the company's was
15:49
stay are gonna be the fastest growers in
15:51
world by any stretch his imagination but
15:54
you're also have a predictability
15:56
of the revenues over longer
15:58
period time because that back log and
16:00
as one of the things that makes them i
16:03
guess safer place you will and
16:05
it made me feel like if i was gonna
16:08
invest in these companies that that
16:10
these would be stable companies
16:12
as far as performance of the
16:14
business skills stock prices stock
16:16
prices that's going to do was gonna do
16:18
but still performance as a company yell
16:20
eventually in like it's the long run it
16:22
is going to impact the returned you make i
16:24
think another thing to point out is they
16:26
are very strong capital the
16:28
returners in the fact that
16:30
they pay strong dividends and they say they
16:33
do a lot buybacks as well correct cs
16:36
and yeah the are things i thought was kind of interesting
16:38
to was that the even no one
16:40
of the companies they all kind of they're
16:42
competing but they also are
16:45
working side by side so
16:47
because the f thirty five sets
16:50
the they have some one copy like
16:52
raytheon makes apart from the plane and
16:54
lockheed make supper for the plane and northrop
16:56
grumman mix our for the plane
16:58
so it's not just one company that's
17:01
making these a lot these weapons
17:03
is that correct
17:04
yeah so else for that three size
17:06
lockheeds plane the northrop's collaborating
17:09
with them on that raised in big way
17:11
and that's how the something as into
17:13
seem to about these companies
17:16
is that the government needs
17:18
a healthy market place to be able to has
17:20
fair bets on these contracts
17:22
right so sits highly
17:25
highly highly unlikely that was
17:27
companies it's a man and swallow
17:30
all the rest ray that us see
17:32
how that's ever gonna fly and
17:34
so you don't have to be number one
17:36
per se the have to be strong
17:38
and stay in in
17:40
your lane center that idea that
17:42
i've talked about several times over
17:44
the past several months so
17:47
yeah it is very interesting because
17:49
they'll have to worry about amazon coming in and and like
17:51
going cut through on their business because
17:54
there's not could be defense company that can stay
17:57
number one forever for act as
17:59
not in anybody's
18:00
that's interesting yeah yeah for
18:02
sure so there is one industry that has
18:04
appears that amazon's not gonna try to disrupt
18:06
this is a sister has access to that
18:09
, versus this one one
18:11
say never though right through a through
18:15
the i never say never suffer a major
18:18
phases did we the company so could do blue
18:20
origin so could guess he gets a seat he
18:23
did he decided he didn't want take that on
18:25
as amazon anyway breasts
18:27
are it's more move on to the
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eugenics dot com backslash turn hi
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thanks for the very helpful info on the site
19:43
i am struggling with how to assign a premium
19:45
for company growing at faster rate
19:48
than another but having the same margins
19:50
and for argument's sake similar risk characteristics
19:53
so take karbala cb
19:55
and a who's priced sales
19:57
is zero point four six with the
19:59
growth us fifty five percent versus
20:01
affirm a fr m whose
20:04
price to sales is five point for with
20:06
growth sixty percent how
20:08
would you assess the to from pricing
20:10
vantage point and this is from neal
20:12
is a interesting question would you like to
20:15
chat little bit about numbers or would you like
20:17
me to talk about affirm
20:19
and particular first on our love
20:22
to grab some popcorn and hear you
20:24
talk about affirm because know feel very strongly
20:26
very strongly real quick before and
20:28
it i'll just
20:30
quickly talk about price the sales so
20:32
that's just looking up the price of the stock
20:34
compared to how much sales it generates
20:37
purser so ,
20:40
i'm just going to make these numbers up if a from is
20:42
like three billion dollar company and
20:44
they make one billion dollars
20:46
in sales that would be a price to sales of
20:49
three because the market pricing
20:51
i'm at three billion they generate one billion
20:53
in sales that's what prices cells
20:55
does so you can does apples to apples
20:57
comparisons between different companies
21:00
regardless of how big or small they are by using
21:02
price to sales so the case
21:04
this question karbala at point four
21:06
six price to sales and
21:08
the from at five point four press the
21:10
sales implies that
21:13
the market is value in affirm much
21:16
much higher based on it sales
21:18
then they are valuing carbonic
21:22
now yeah how do you feel
21:24
about smith there's some he was eager probably
21:26
go with this but how you feel nervous
21:28
question
21:29
right so is a really interesting question
21:31
and for those of you unfamiliar with
21:34
price to sales it's an easy metric to calculate
21:36
and and gave great overview of kind
21:38
of how to calculate it's it
21:40
tends to be used a lot of
21:42
with companies that are unprofitable
21:45
and when we're talking about unprofitable that
21:48
means that the company is not
21:50
generating earnings either
21:52
on an operating bases are net
21:54
income base itself when you think about
21:56
the income statement as you work down
21:58
the income statements the top weiner
22:00
the revenue or the sales and that's what everybody
22:03
knows but you start getting into the costs
22:05
and expenses and the taxes and
22:07
all the different things that are
22:10
company has to undertake to generate
22:12
those sales their that all stars
22:14
detract from the sales in
22:17
new companies which both of these companies
22:19
very new to the market in general are
22:21
newer companies do or companies tend
22:23
did not make money coming
22:25
out the gates not always case but just
22:27
as general rule and so lot of people
22:30
will use metric like price
22:32
to sales to help them value
22:34
company or as andrew was pointing out
22:37
use relative numbers to work at
22:39
which one is more expensive than the other
22:41
according to what the market think south's
22:43
affirm is for those of you
22:45
and to speak more on affirmed i'm not as
22:47
familiar with curve on so i can't speak to that
22:49
specifically affirm is company
22:52
that offers a product called
22:54
by now pay later which is
22:57
a do or updated version of way
22:59
away so older folks like myself
23:01
know what layaway as as something that they used
23:03
have in the seventies and eighties and
23:05
basically what it is it used be that you could
23:08
take a product whatever it
23:10
was a game or something like
23:12
that and they
23:14
would set it aside for you and for you would make
23:16
monthly payments on it and know when you paid
23:18
it off he took the product now
23:20
you can actually take the product home you can buy
23:22
whatever does you want and
23:24
just about everything now is eligible for
23:27
a by now pay later with
23:29
companies like affirm after pay corner
23:31
in particular he could literally by almost
23:33
everything including a him parker says by
23:36
now pay later idea and so it's basically
23:38
the way that they're set up these companies difference
23:41
they offer the ability to
23:43
split up the payments into
23:45
three five different payments for example
23:48
as you would pay the interest like have used
23:50
it for your credit card so that's the allure
23:52
and the idea of the companies so
23:55
a from is a new company and
23:58
they are one of the leaders in this now
24:00
pay later space and this is really good gained
24:02
a lot of traction in last few years
24:05
and
24:06
the way that a from works is you
24:08
can go to on wine or
24:10
you can go into a store and
24:13
as one of your payment options you can choose
24:16
a company like a from to buy
24:18
your product it tends to work
24:20
better for a larger purchases it
24:22
gained as first claim to fame with
24:24
peloton so it was one the
24:26
ways that peloton allowed
24:28
people to buy the bikes
24:30
to to five thousand dollar bikes using
24:33
from and it got
24:35
a from a foothold into the retail
24:37
space and it allowed the
24:39
peloton to generate
24:41
lot of revenue quickly because the
24:43
way it works is that
24:46
a from basically guarantees the payment
24:48
so if you buy a three thousand dollar
24:50
bike with a from through peloton
24:52
peloton gets to three thousand dollars from
24:54
a from and then you pay from back
24:57
so now you you peloton is completely cut
24:59
out of the equation and peloton happy
25:01
because they've gotten money for the bike and
25:03
so works great for retailer a
25:05
from makes money from
25:08
the take rate which is the percentage that
25:10
they charge company like peloton
25:12
for the ability to get their money up
25:14
front and then affirmed deals with
25:16
collecting of from us so
25:19
the market i guess about two years
25:21
ago these buy now pay
25:23
later companies in particular from was
25:25
one of the hottest companies out there twitter
25:27
was all abuzz about from in
25:29
particular that was the hot stock
25:32
for awhile and everybody was all
25:34
a flutter are all a twitter no pun
25:36
intended about from and
25:38
it ran up in price huge
25:41
now both of these companies carve on into
25:43
from do have very very
25:45
nice revenue growth like there are
25:47
growing fast there's no question about it
25:49
you can't argue about that but what
25:51
is now happening in the markets
25:54
with both these companies in particular with the
25:56
from his they're getting hammered because
25:58
they're starting to see a lot of things
26:01
about both companies that
26:03
are unprofitable in it appears they
26:05
mean i'd ever get profitability so
26:08
as much as a best tesla in the
26:10
past the , are profitable
26:12
making money and that's the
26:14
whole goal of every business is to make money
26:16
because eventually it's the money's gonna
26:18
run out other words the money you could borrow from
26:20
other people weather's bank or private
26:23
investors is gonna run out and as you can't
26:25
produce enough money to pay your bills
26:27
you go out of business it's pretty simple business
26:30
economics and so what's happening
26:32
in a market now is that curve
26:34
on a particular as was ninety one percent
26:36
from it's high was trading three hundred seventy
26:38
dollars back in august of twenty
26:40
twenty one is now trading around twenty three
26:42
bucks and so is fallen off
26:45
cliff i would miss i don't know much about
26:47
the company at all other than the fact that it's
26:49
really the market sentiment
26:51
against company's very negative or
26:53
from his become more negative
26:56
for sir over the last six months
26:58
so one of the
27:00
issues with from in particular
27:03
is it it enables
27:05
people to buy stuff
27:08
they can't afford and
27:10
my biggest issue with it is
27:12
the credit checks so the
27:14
buy now pay later companies are not regulated
27:17
like credit card companies and banks
27:19
in particular and so that those two
27:22
entities have a lot of government
27:24
regulations that oversee
27:26
making sure they do not operate on a
27:28
predatory level in other words allowing
27:30
people to buy more than they can afford
27:33
and then they can't they get in lotta trouble
27:35
and it causes everybody a lot of pain
27:38
a from after pay karna pay lot
27:40
of these paypal apple
27:42
now these companies are not regulated
27:45
like american express's for example
27:47
for even capital one
27:49
and so they don't have the same regulatory
27:52
requirements regulatory offer a
27:54
credit checks for people so
27:57
one of the hindrances to
28:00
the credit cards is you have to have a
28:02
decent credit score to get the credit it's
28:04
not free money you gotta pay back in his interest
28:06
and and others in the by now
28:08
pay later companies are
28:10
offering in essence what
28:12
they were people think is free and
28:14
so my concern
28:17
from the get go after working at the
28:19
banking industry for a for else has see
28:21
how poorly people were managing credit and
28:23
these are people that have decent enough credit
28:25
they can get credit cards a lot of the people
28:27
that are qualifying for these i
28:29
know peter alone are people that are
28:31
don't have either don't have to the scores
28:33
or don't have good credit scores and because
28:36
these companies are basically allow
28:38
anybody to buy something they
28:41
can't afford it puts more
28:43
pressure on these people
28:45
to try to haley
28:47
thing back in the allure
28:50
is united guitars doing saying the
28:52
you're going to get charged interest like you will with credit
28:54
card and i guess that's but the
28:56
problem is is that now
28:59
these companies are accelerating their sales
29:01
and especially during christmas time
29:03
everything came with the opportunity to buy this buy
29:05
now pay later stuff and
29:07
what's happening now is people are signs default
29:10
and they're starting to this payments and
29:12
they're starting to get behind and
29:15
it's causing lot a hardship and a lot of pain
29:17
on people and you could argue
29:19
that it's not ethical and that is
29:21
where i started to have big
29:24
problem with these companies because
29:26
i don't think it's ethical and just because
29:28
it makes it easy to give people credit
29:30
doesn't mean that it's right now
29:32
there's some people to get managed to this in are some people
29:34
that gotten in trouble credit wise
29:37
in the past for making poor decisions and now
29:39
they're in a better place in are trying to build ourselves
29:41
out great know finds
29:44
but the majority of these people are not
29:46
in that position and in particular
29:49
young people that don't know how to manage
29:51
their money or bennett's the payments
29:54
they start getting in trouble and
29:56
i was reading something online yesterday
29:58
i that badawi to go off from the there is
30:00
go chronicle and it was
30:02
highlighting person did a blots five
30:05
different things from five different i
30:07
know pay waiters they couldn't afford
30:09
and there's no regulation
30:11
so other words would you buy something
30:13
on your credit card you get statement you know
30:15
how much it is you know how much money you
30:17
borrowed with these by now pay
30:19
waiters because are not connected you
30:22
can lose track of what you buy and
30:24
were and that's what happened to this person is
30:27
that the oh this young woman when i
30:29
bought shoes for three hundred dollars
30:31
and used by now pay later that she went
30:33
bought four hundred our dress and
30:35
as found some your jewelry that she
30:37
liked it because the way these companies
30:39
present their products with
30:41
his by now pay later if it's like
30:43
it's free money as like i don't need to pay
30:45
us back it's is zo interest it's easy
30:48
you know i'm only paying twenty dollars
30:50
now and my next team in his one hundred
30:53
hours i can afford that easily but
30:55
what happened is to her that she lost
30:57
track of track and the next thing know she
30:59
had two thousand dollars in debt and
31:01
she can't afford payments so
31:03
now she's defaulting on the the payments and
31:05
going to her credit and hurting her credit so
31:08
i guess aldous to say affirm
31:11
is i don't like sick of unethical
31:14
and i don't like the fact the of what
31:16
they're trying to do i'm worried that
31:18
it's as weeding people down path that
31:20
they can't manage and is gonna get a more
31:22
in trouble and so even
31:25
the market is really hammered them over the last
31:27
few months i think it's gonna hammer me even more because
31:30
corner which is the other really big
31:32
it's by now pay later companies their
31:34
losses are crippling
31:36
over the last two years because they're accelerating
31:39
marks and or try to get more people into
31:41
the system so the more people they bring into
31:43
the system the more people are defaulting and
31:45
it's gotten to the point now where of england's
31:47
is considering banning it because
31:50
it's become so harmful to people
31:52
and there's no regulation against that right now
31:55
and so on ios and of her from cystic
31:57
bravo weights probably tell
32:00
really couldn't tell that
32:03
itself safe to say like
32:06
least for the story of from there's
32:09
more to the story them whatever the numbers
32:11
show particularly because
32:14
it's not a traditional type of business
32:17
it's a new innovation
32:19
in finance and feel quote
32:22
unquote new innovation in finance
32:24
which he should always be skeptical as and
32:27
so maybe one those situations
32:29
where knowing about the
32:31
business model is more important than looking at
32:33
the numbers and see have that kind of tells
32:35
you more about how expenses you
32:37
consider the sock the yeah for sure there's
32:40
a line in the first drastic park movie
32:42
long long long time ago were
32:44
malcolm the guy that just go booms
32:47
character plays his discussing the
32:49
ethical illness of creating these dinosaurs
32:52
and when things he says in the movie is still
32:54
because we could do it doesn't mean we should and
32:57
, because we can offer you
32:59
know this kind of credit to people doesn't mean
33:01
we should an ios
33:03
just looking at the top line in
33:05
investing in companies you have to what
33:07
kind of the whole story and understand the
33:09
business model and also look at
33:12
the other parts of the finances of
33:14
company because it's not just about sales
33:16
it's about the what kinds of causes the
33:18
company running and whether they can
33:20
be profitable at some point that
33:22
you want to see and evolution towards
33:24
profitability and i'll give give you example
33:26
really quick crowd strike which is one the
33:28
companies that offers on wind
33:31
security it's just as a general rule
33:33
on not an expert in copy and all but
33:35
david growing very very fast but
33:37
as they've grown their losses
33:39
are sinking which means that
33:41
they're moving towards profitability and
33:43
probably the next year or two it's
33:45
going to be profitable company so
33:47
with from and with curve ana they're not
33:49
moving towards profitability if anything they're going
33:52
the other way and that's where the
33:54
market is starting to can hammer
33:56
these companies because they're not moving towards
33:58
profitability and that's ultimately
34:00
what you want see it as it or not
34:02
an expert carbonite i've just pulled
34:04
up some other filings because i was curious
34:07
so you can look and they owed
34:10
close to two billion dollars on
34:12
this that facility that
34:15
they had pay in next twelve
34:17
months otherwise they're gonna they're gonna so
34:20
as of april twenty eighth
34:22
they had a filing a said they did borrow
34:24
enough to pay that off the
34:27
ten percent ten point two five percent
34:30
interest rate do so
34:32
that can potentially her unprofitability
34:34
for while and it's
34:36
kind of goes to that idea of those
34:38
companies are raising capital
34:41
the you can safely say there's more risk
34:43
involved with those sapper companies it
34:46
also more reward so it's
34:48
kinda like that's you don't get
34:50
the reward without the higher risks so
34:52
is important to look at things like that in
34:54
my opinion if you'd be lucky that's super
34:57
fast rowers like that take
35:00
a look out what kind of deaths studio
35:02
in the next year two
35:04
years whether they oh in three years if
35:06
don't know how to look that up we
35:08
are posts on our blog about that feel
35:10
no had look that up probably wouldn't go
35:13
for those kana highly speculative
35:15
companies yep i agree so
35:17
neo i hope that we help the answer your question
35:20
hope that i did turn you off on investing
35:22
but did once you to know my guess my
35:24
thoughts on a from i'm not fan
35:26
of any those by now pay later things as six
35:28
probably don't i think he's as have to be careful
35:30
in general the know we talk about
35:33
the stock market returns about ten percent
35:35
year and , when you talk about companies
35:37
are growing like five times that
35:39
by city five percent sixty percent
35:41
like affirming or bother you
35:44
have to be really to be about
35:46
that because of all of the things that
35:48
we sat so as if thou is
35:50
all really overwhelming
35:53
as because as because lot nuance to these kind
35:55
as high growers so
35:57
you can the avoid lot
36:00
that risk by sticking to some other more
36:02
boring safe established
36:04
companies and
36:07
sometimes the you know depending on the company
36:09
you know after now nearly as much in order
36:11
to do well with it
36:13
at i totally agree its website all
36:15
, folks well with that will go ahead and
36:17
wrap up our conversation for this evening i
36:19
want thank everybody for taking the time to send us
36:21
those great questions those were lot fun to talk about
36:24
and hope you guys got some good information from all
36:26
that and if you have any
36:28
questions about anything that we talked about today
36:30
andrew mentioned it and all we mention it
36:32
again we do have website investing
36:34
for beginners dot com we this awesome
36:37
search by top have the page the follows you
36:39
wherever you go into website to answer
36:41
any questions the you might have about
36:43
price to sales or income statements
36:45
balance sheets that all those
36:47
kinds of things theres lots have great resources there
36:49
to help you learn more about what were
36:51
talking about and more you learn the more the compounds
36:54
will help you learn more so its
36:56
great resource for you so hope guys can
36:58
use it right without a further do
37:00
i go ahead sign us off you guys go out there invest
37:02
with the margin safety to sign the safety
37:05
apple great week will talk the hope
37:07
enjoy that
37:09
and that she won't be sending the stock market
37:12
shows you precisely how to break
37:14
down the numbers in an engaging
37:16
and see the surveys is real
37:18
nice example get
37:21
access today has stock
37:23
market pdf dot com
37:26
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37:29
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37:32
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37:37
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37:39
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37:41
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