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0:01
Hello everyone, I'm speaking today with Steve Templeton.
0:14
He
0:18
wrote a recent book, very
0:20
relevant to the times,
0:22
entitled Fear of a Microbial
0:24
Planet How a Germophobic
0:27
Safety Culture Makes Us
0:29
Less Safe. It
0:31
seems to me that a safety culture, all
0:33
things considered, probably makes us globally
0:36
less safe, but that seems particularly
0:38
the case in relationship,
0:41
let's say, to germophobic
0:44
safety culture, given what happened in the pandemic.
0:47
So what
0:50
specifically motivated
0:53
you to write this book, and when did you start writing
0:55
it? What did you see happening? Yeah,
0:57
so first of all, thank you for having me on your show,
1:00
on your podcast. I'm very grateful
1:03
to be here. I've been a fan since 12 Rules for Life,
1:05
so thanks so much for having me on. But
1:08
you know, what originally happened was, just with
1:10
anyone else, the pandemic took
1:13
me by shock, surprise. I
1:16
didn't anticipate how
1:18
we would respond to the pandemic,
1:21
and I didn't anticipate the
1:24
appetite of people
1:26
for
1:28
being able to have
1:30
their lives completely shut down and
1:33
controlled by politicians
1:36
and other people, public health experts.
1:39
So I was really floored by the type
1:41
of response and the way that people
1:43
were behaving, and it made me think,
1:46
you know, they don't really have an
1:48
idea of their
1:50
microbial environment. Because
1:53
you know, you're seeing things like people wearing masks outside,
1:56
you're seeing playgrounds being shut
1:59
down. hiking
2:01
trails, things like that,
2:03
that there was absolutely no evidence that there'd
2:05
be any sort of risk
2:08
to those activities. And
2:11
I was really floored by
2:13
how widespread that was.
2:15
I mean, and people really bought into it. I
2:19
saw a single child
2:21
at a playground that was shut down. I
2:23
mean, this was probably a teenager and someone came up
2:25
and berated him for
2:29
being on a playground by themselves after
2:31
it had been shut down. So this type
2:33
of behavior was really eye-opening
2:36
for me. It was something that I didn't expect. And
2:38
I really started to think, why is this happening?
2:42
I know as an immunologist,
2:45
there are going to be pandemics. This
2:48
one particularly seemed to be age-stratified
2:51
in terms of mortality. Children
2:53
weren't really affected. These were all things that we were known,
2:57
that we knew very early on. And
2:59
so I was really surprised by
3:02
that response. I started thinking about
3:04
how to explain
3:05
it
3:07
in a way that I
3:11
could understand. So I've
3:13
kind of been interested in writing a book and this
3:17
theme sort of kept popping into my head
3:20
of
3:21
all these things that weren't necessarily controversial
3:25
three years ago. Then
3:27
all of a sudden became controversial. And
3:30
so that was kind of the
3:32
impetus for writing a book. Well,
3:35
it's interesting because your
3:37
training is an immunology, but what you
3:40
said, what you're describing here is the fact
3:42
that you're actually struck by
3:44
the social and the political response,
3:47
psychological, social and political response.
3:49
And so I've got a couple of questions about that.
3:52
The first is psychologists
3:55
have started to outline
3:57
and I don't know if this is research
3:59
that... with what you study, the
4:02
operations of what's called, often
4:05
called, sometimes called the behavioral
4:07
immune system. And I suppose part
4:10
of the behavioral immune system is the disgust
4:12
response, right? And it has a physiological
4:14
basis. The
4:17
gag reflex, for example, is part of that. The
4:19
fact that poisons taste bitter to us, the
4:21
fact that we can be, that we sneeze,
4:25
the fact that disgust will
4:27
evoke a different kind of
4:30
defensive and avoidance reaction,
4:33
the fact that we'll regard things as contaminated, those
4:36
are all parts of the behavioral immune response.
4:39
And one way of conceptualizing what
4:41
happened
4:42
with regard to the pandemic was that
4:44
it was,
4:45
you can get an immune response
4:48
that goes out of control like a cytokine storm,
4:51
but this looked to me like it was the equivalent of a cytokine
4:53
storm on the behavioral immune
4:55
front.
4:57
What do you think of that line of theorizing?
5:00
Does that strike you as plausible? Yeah,
5:02
absolutely. So first
5:04
of all, I've written about the
5:07
connection, or at least the metaphor
5:09
of an immune response to our own pandemic
5:12
response because in an immune response, things
5:15
start out pretty nonspecific
5:17
at first. You have a lot of inflammation,
5:20
you have a lot of tissue damage. But
5:22
then as it progresses, you
5:24
get more of a specific or an adaptive response,
5:27
and that is more
5:29
antibody cells
5:31
that are more specific to any given pathogen,
5:34
and there's a lot less collateral damage because of
5:36
that specificity. And so
5:38
you would hope
5:41
that a pandemic response would be like that. I
5:43
mean, obviously in the first few weeks, you're not going
5:45
to know what you're dealing with, but
5:47
as the pandemic spread through different
5:49
populations, you got to see who
5:52
the vulnerable people were, who wasn't
5:54
affected, how transmissible
5:56
it was, which was very highly transmissible.
6:00
And you would hope the immune, the pandemic
6:02
response would kind of look like that, like
6:05
an immune response that was successful
6:08
in defeating a pathogen. But I thought it became
6:10
more like an autoimmune response
6:13
where we started attacking things that
6:15
didn't matter, like schools and
6:18
issuing mandates without
6:21
evidence that they were really going to make
6:24
a difference. And so I've
6:27
used that metaphor before. In
6:29
terms of the behavioral immune response, I
6:31
think that's a really interesting thing.
6:33
And I've thought about it and written about it as well.
6:37
Because obviously, if you're thinking about the fear
6:40
of this being an immunologist,
6:42
I had to delve into some psychology, which is another
6:45
reason I'm fascinated to talk to you about this.
6:48
But the political sort of tribal conflict
6:55
that we have here in the United
6:57
States seems to override some of the
7:00
studies on disgust, because you would think
7:02
that based on studies,
7:04
more people who are conservative
7:07
would tend to be more easily disgusted.
7:09
And that's been done in studies.
7:12
And early on in the pandemic, that was very
7:15
much covered in the press because
7:18
Donald Trump is a germaphobe,
7:21
and everyone wanted to kind of talk about that.
7:25
Media people covered that a lot.
7:28
But then
7:29
it turned out that people
7:32
who are more conservative tended to reject mandates
7:35
and coercive
7:37
public health measures, whereas
7:40
liberals were more likely to just buy into
7:43
all of it and enforce
7:45
it almost to the level of it being
7:48
a religion. And so
7:50
I think that's really interesting, that
7:53
the sort of political considerations overrode
7:55
that research.
7:56
Well, so, okay,
7:59
well, let's... Let's walk down that
8:01
road for a minute. So I did, my
8:03
lab did some of the research on disgust,
8:06
sensitivity and conservatism.
8:08
And we looked at it in relationship,
8:11
for example, to treat conscientiousness
8:13
because there's some indication that conscientious
8:15
people are more disgust sensitive. Now,
8:19
and it was striking that,
8:22
as you pointed out, that what you
8:24
might've predicted to begin with, and
8:27
there's also a fair bit of research. I
8:30
can't unfortunately remember the
8:33
researcher's name at the moment, but I had him on my podcast
8:36
who's documented quite clearly the relationship
8:39
between contamination, the
8:41
prevalence of contaminants, transmissible
8:43
contaminants, state by state
8:46
and country by country. And the
8:48
probability that especially
8:50
right-wing authoritarian beliefs will
8:53
arise culturally and
8:55
individually, and the relationship is
8:57
quite tight. But as you
9:00
said,
9:01
it looked like it was the left in particular
9:03
that was gung-ho about the
9:05
lockdowns, even
9:09
more so than the conservatives, although they were also
9:11
complicit. Now, but what seems
9:13
to have emerged recently, there's
9:15
another line of psychological research that
9:18
bears on this. And so for 70
9:20
years, psychologists denied the agreement of
9:24
the existence of left-wing authoritarianism.
9:27
And I'm going to lay that denial at the feet
9:29
of social psychologists, because I believe
9:32
that they turned a blind eye
9:34
to left-wing authoritarianism 100% for
9:37
political reasons, although it
9:39
might also be because some of them were also
9:41
left-wing authoritarianists. But there's
9:43
been a new line of research developed,
9:45
and there's probably only about 10 studies
9:48
in total. We did one in 2016
9:50
before my research career came
9:53
to an abrupt end. First
9:55
of all, establishing that left-wing authoritarianism
9:57
was identifiable on social
9:59
media. statistical grounds, but then second,
10:02
looking at the predictors. We found
10:04
low verbal intelligence and being
10:06
female and having a feminine temperament
10:09
were solid predictors of left,
10:12
radical left-wing beliefs
10:14
combined with the willingness to use compulsion
10:17
and force to enforce them.
10:19
But more recently, people have been
10:21
examining the role
10:23
played by dark tetrad traits.
10:26
So Machiavellianism, psychopathy,
10:29
narcissism, and
10:31
sadism, which is a
10:33
late addition to that horrible triad,
10:35
let's say.
10:38
I read one study last week showing
10:40
that the relationship between
10:42
the malignant narcissism
10:45
and left-wing authoritarianism
10:48
was so strong that
10:50
they're almost indistinguishable on the measurement
10:53
front. So I wonder if what
10:56
we saw wasn't so much a disgust
10:58
reaction of the sort that you would associate
11:01
with conservatives, but an opportunity
11:03
for malignant narcissists to use
11:06
fear to manipulate the population,
11:09
to put themselves in positions of power. Like
11:11
your book, you make that case to
11:14
a fair degree because you concentrate
11:17
not so much on disgust, but on fear,
11:19
and then on, well, on
11:22
the machinations that were used by people
11:24
who manipulated fear to
11:26
gain notoriety and political power.
11:29
In Canada, I'll give you one other example. So
11:32
in Canada, I know for
11:35
a fact, because I've been told by
11:37
the people who were involved,
11:39
even though they were embarrassed to have been
11:41
a part of it, that
11:43
virtually all the COVID lockdown
11:45
policies were implemented
11:49
on the basis of opinion polls
11:52
and then provided with
11:54
a post hoc justification with
11:57
the science. Right? So it was 100%
12:00
instrumental manipulation. So anyways,
12:03
that's a set
12:05
of ideas.
12:06
Yeah, I think that you
12:08
can reduce it maybe to instead
12:11
of left and right, authoritarian
12:14
versus non-authoritarian. And I think that that's
12:16
what you said is correct. I think the
12:20
level of authoritarianism has changed
12:23
between left and right in recent
12:26
years. And that's because
12:28
the amount of relative power I think
12:30
has changed. I mean, you
12:32
know, when I grew up in the 80s and
12:34
I remember, you know,
12:37
censorship drives and, you
12:39
know, music was being attacked and everyone was
12:41
joking about it. And because
12:43
conservatives wanted to censor things and,
12:47
you know, none of that really happens anymore. It's kind
12:49
of the other way around where people
12:51
can't joke about certain things
12:54
and they have to demonstrate
12:56
how virtuous they are
12:58
in sort of a left wing kind
13:00
of way. So I think that
13:02
you can reduce it to changes
13:06
in authoritarianism, definitely. Yeah,
13:09
well, it's still uncertain
13:13
the degree to which, let's say, we
13:15
could make the hypothesis that oversensitivity
13:19
to disgust
13:20
will drive an authoritarian response on
13:22
the right. You definitely saw that in the
13:24
Third Reich under the Nazis because
13:27
Hitler, for example, appeared to be extremely
13:29
disgust sensitive. And I
13:32
read a fair bit of his spontaneous
13:34
utterances about the Jews and all
13:37
the other people who persecuted. And he
13:39
used the language of purity and
13:42
contempt and disgust constantly. It wasn't
13:44
the language of fear. I mean, he
13:47
did, you
13:47
know, foster fear, let's say, in relationship
13:50
to the people he targeted. But more
13:52
specifically, he fostered disgust.
13:56
And so maybe, and no one
13:58
knows if this is the case, maybe a different way. a disgust
14:00
reaction that goes overboard, fosters
14:03
at least part of right-wing authoritarianism
14:06
and
14:07
the dark tetrad psychopathy,
14:09
Machiavellianism, narcissism and sadism
14:12
fosters something like radical left-wing
14:14
authoritarianism. No one's cleared that up
14:16
yet, but
14:18
it seems at least tentatively plausible.
14:20
I mean, I was struck by the recent research
14:24
in particular because the relationship
14:26
between malignant narcissism and left-wing authoritarianism
14:30
is unbelievably strong. I haven't
14:32
seen correlations. Correlations, I think we're 0.6, crazily
14:36
high correlations for two constructs
14:39
that can't be measured that accurately.
14:41
So, well, so
14:44
it'd be good to sort that all out
14:46
as rapidly as we possibly could, assuming
14:49
it would do some good. Yeah, I agree. It's pretty
14:51
complicated. The use
14:53
of fear was very, going
14:56
back to what you said a little bit earlier,
14:58
was definitely widespread. And I think at the beginning,
15:00
it's interesting to look at the contrasting
15:04
messages that were given by the
15:06
authorities. In the beginning, they really were
15:08
trying to prevent panic
15:10
and they were really trying to lessen
15:13
the fear of people because studies
15:16
have shown, if you are anticipating
15:19
a pandemic, actually the fear is higher
15:21
than when it has actually arrived.
15:23
So many of the messages
15:26
were calming. And then all
15:29
of a sudden there was this switch and
15:32
once there was community
15:34
spread, we knew that there was a lot of
15:36
virus around that
15:39
wasn't being detected. Then there
15:41
was this sort of mysterious switch to
15:44
basically the exact opposite, this fear-based
15:47
messaging. And yeah,
15:49
so that was really surprising
15:52
to me. And pretty
15:54
infuriating because I knew it wasn't going to work.
15:57
Yeah, well, maybe
15:59
what happened. is that maybe
16:01
that reversal took place when
16:04
the more narcissistic, psychopathic,
16:06
power mongers started
16:12
to understand that they could cement their
16:14
positions and broaden them with
16:16
the use of fear. You mentioned earlier,
16:18
I thought this was very interesting, you mentioned earlier
16:20
that
16:22
in an immune response that is
16:24
actually healthy, you get kind
16:26
of flailing about on the part of the
16:29
immune system to begin with as it attempts
16:31
to get a purchase on the virus or the bacteria.
16:34
And so you get an overgeneralized response
16:36
that's not very specific and
16:38
sophisticated, but as the system, immune
16:41
system learns, the response
16:43
gets more and more targeted and more specific
16:45
and that you saw the opposite happen
16:48
in the public response. And that begs
16:50
the question, right? What
16:52
drove the opposite
16:54
response, like the opposite of learning? And
16:57
the we want to accrue power
16:59
to ourselves narrative and we'll
17:01
use fear to do it does seem to
17:04
fit
17:06
the explanatory bill, let's say.
17:09
Yeah, that's the million dollar
17:11
question is how did that happen? And
17:13
my explanation of thinking
17:15
about this, because it happened
17:18
a lot in Western countries,
17:22
many, many Western countries, but it didn't happen
17:24
everywhere. And so what
17:27
I started to think about was, I'm
17:30
a parent of have a child
17:33
that's 11 and one that's seven. They were obviously
17:36
three years younger when the pandemic hit, but being
17:39
a parent, I've really noticed
17:41
since I was a child, this sort of emergence
17:44
of
17:46
safety is this sort of overriding virtue
17:48
of all the,
17:51
taking risks as
17:53
being something that's left
17:56
to reckless people. And
17:58
you can't. even use
18:02
sort of probability to assess
18:04
whether something is risky or not. If it's
18:07
determined to be risky, then it's hazardous. So
18:10
I think the distinctions that used to be sort
18:13
of surrounding child
18:16
rearing in terms of allowing
18:18
them to develop
18:21
on their own and take risks and
18:25
get injured if they make a mistake
18:27
or fail, a
18:30
lot of that has been removed.
18:33
And I feel like
18:34
this example
18:37
really leads us to the response
18:40
to the
18:41
pandemic. I feel like it's
18:43
a cultural problem
18:46
because if you look at places that
18:48
don't have this very strong safety culture,
18:52
Nordic countries are a great example. They
18:55
did not have the same type of authoritarian
18:58
response that we did in
19:01
Europe and other Western countries, specifically, you know, Anglosphere
19:04
countries, Canada, United States, UK, Australia,
19:07
New Zealand. They
19:10
didn't have that, and they actually don't have
19:12
a safety
19:15
culture that's the same. I mean, I heard
19:17
a story when I was in Denmark a few years ago, it
19:21
was covered widely at the time about
19:24
parents that went to New York City,
19:27
and these were Danish
19:29
parents, they brought their child in a stroller, and
19:32
in Denmark it was very common at
19:34
the time to leave their child
19:37
in a stroller outside the restaurant so
19:39
that they could watch people that are passing
19:42
by. And
19:45
they got arrested for doing that
19:47
in New York City. So that was
19:49
something brought up by my host in Denmark. It
19:52
was really interesting that their view
19:54
of raising children is different than a father.
19:59
they believe much more
20:02
in challenging
20:03
them, allowing them to
20:05
make their own decisions. And so I
20:07
really think that that explained a lot. And that's
20:10
how I get to the point of having
20:12
the safety culture in the title or in
20:14
the subtitle is
20:16
because of that explanation.
20:19
I mean, anyone who's been a parent
20:21
has had to deal with or had to deal with like public schools.
20:24
I mean, you know, the threshold
20:26
for canceling school even before the
20:28
pandemic got pretty low.
20:31
I mean, now they even predict
20:33
snow in Indiana here. They cancel
20:36
school. It could never actually
20:38
snow. So
20:40
these things are much different
20:42
than when I was a kid.
20:45
And I feel like that has, you
20:47
know, as children have been raised that way
20:49
and are now adults, now young adults, I
20:52
have a feeling that that is one way to
20:54
explain what happened.
20:57
Yeah, well, there is some psychological
20:59
research pertaining to that that's
21:02
associated with some of the things we've discussed
21:04
already, which is that mothers
21:07
who have cluster B personality
21:10
pathology. And so that would be associated
21:13
with what's called externalizing
21:16
behavior in women. And that's borderline
21:18
personality disorder, for example,
21:21
are much less likely to
21:23
foster independence in their children.
21:27
And so and that cluster B
21:29
is also associated with some of the
21:31
dark tetrad traits that we discussed
21:34
that malignant narcissism, that
21:36
psychopathy, Machiavellianism,
21:40
sadism, you know, perhaps is
21:42
pushing it, but perhaps not. Because
21:45
the
21:48
question, of course, is why does that
21:50
safety culture emerge? And you can
21:52
attribute some of that to neuroticism, to
21:54
fear, but you can also attribute it
21:56
to the
21:57
willingness of hyperpathy.
22:00
protective parents to use their
22:03
purported concern for
22:06
the security of their children to justify
22:09
their use of excessive power and control.
22:12
You know, and this is part of the reason why
22:14
your book and the title of your book
22:16
is interesting and the tack you're taking on
22:19
this, right? Because you are looking
22:21
at the nexus between the use
22:23
of fear and the justification for
22:25
power. And the safety culture,
22:28
it's got that virtue signaling element,
22:30
right, which is extremely dangerous.
22:32
It's like, well, listen, dear,
22:35
the reason I'm doing this for you is
22:37
because I care so much about you.
22:40
And all I really care is about
22:42
your, let's say short-term security.
22:45
And
22:46
it's hard to argue against that because
22:48
of course safety is a paramount concern
22:51
or an important concern when you're dealing with children.
22:54
But the problem is that it can be gamed
22:56
by people who want to
22:58
exert
22:59
power and who can use their putative
23:02
moral superiority as a justification.
23:05
And I do think this
23:07
is a kind of epidemic. I guess a
23:09
question I would have for you too is like,
23:13
I'm increasingly bothered
23:15
by the fact that we even refer to a pandemic.
23:18
You know, Jay Bhattacharyya, no, Iainides,
23:21
Iainides, who's a very good statistician
23:26
and researcher.
23:28
And I mean, he was the person who
23:30
initiated the so-called
23:33
replication crisis in psychology,
23:35
showing that so much of psychological
23:38
research actually didn't replicate, not
23:40
that it's necessarily worse in other disciplines.
23:42
But he just published
23:44
a paper or has published papers
23:46
showing that the
23:48
case fatality rate for COVID
23:51
is way lower than we had been led
23:53
to believe. In fact, it's so
23:55
low, I think that you could argue
23:57
that there wasn't a pandemic at all.
23:59
in some real sense. And you see this
24:02
echoed
24:03
in the Swedish data because if you, I
24:05
believe, if you average
24:07
out the death rate over a two year period,
24:09
there's no statistical blip in
24:12
deaths in Sweden during the so-called
24:14
COVID years. And so I
24:17
think our terminology for what happened
24:19
during that time might also be
24:22
deeply wrong. And that what we had
24:24
was,
24:25
we had an epidemic of tyrannical
24:28
lockdown
24:29
with a putative novel
24:32
illness, well, the illness was novel,
24:34
but a putative pandemic as
24:36
the excuse.
24:37
Now, maybe
24:39
that's too radical, but I'm not sure it is
24:42
too radical. It certainly was
24:44
a disease that I think the Israelis
24:47
recently announced, if I remember
24:49
correctly, that they didn't have
24:52
any deaths at all
24:54
for people under 50 who
24:56
had fewer than four comorbidities.
24:59
It's something like that. And so
25:01
like,
25:02
do you think it's completely preposterous
25:04
to proclaim that we didn't have a pandemic
25:07
at all
25:08
except one of tyranny?
25:10
Yeah, I would say
25:12
we had a pandemic, but the response was
25:16
something that we really, really
25:21
blew and didn't focus
25:24
on the people who were actually affected. I mean, if you have a
25:26
population of people who are average
25:29
of 81, of people who are dying,
25:32
that's gonna be actually pretty difficult to measure
25:34
in terms of excess deaths. And
25:36
because a lot of people in that age group
25:39
and with comorbidities, if
25:41
you have a pandemic that lasts two years, the
25:44
chances of many of those folks
25:46
living two years is much lower
25:48
than it is in populations
25:50
of, say, young people. So the
25:54
ability to measure that becomes
25:56
more difficult when you're dealing with
25:59
an old and poor person.
25:59
or frail or infirm population, I think.
26:02
Well, that's especially true too, if
26:05
you then purposefully confuse
26:07
dying with COVID, with
26:10
dying from COVID, which clearly
26:13
happened, right? And I mean, I talked to physicians
26:15
who said that they were instructed by their
26:18
other professional organizations.
26:20
They were encouraged by their professional
26:22
organizations to list any death with
26:24
COVID as a death from COVID.
26:27
And God only knows how that gerrymandered the
26:29
statistics. And I think it was the
26:31
London Times, even the Times now
26:34
reported
26:36
two days ago on the fact that
26:38
all the evidence in the UK suggests
26:41
that
26:42
the costs to the lockdown
26:44
were
26:45
orders of magnitude above the
26:47
costs that were actually associated with
26:49
the biological pathogen itself,
26:52
right? They're not even in the same league. It's not like
26:54
the lockdowns were a little worse than the
26:56
virus. They were stunningly
26:59
worse than the virus. And we haven't
27:01
even seen the accruing
27:03
catastrophe that's emerged from that
27:06
yet.
27:08
I mean, I don't know what to
27:10
make of the excess death statistics,
27:12
for example, that just
27:15
don't seem to go away. Do
27:17
you have any thoughts on that matter? Meaning,
27:19
in the
27:21
last few years, we have more excess deaths. Yeah,
27:24
yeah, yeah. Well, even
27:26
right now, it doesn't like the excess
27:29
deaths in Europe are between 15 and 20%, something like that,
27:33
10 and 20% above normal. And
27:35
that doesn't seem to be going away. And
27:38
I think the simplest explanation for that
27:41
is that
27:42
we hurt people very badly with
27:44
the lockdowns. But then the
27:46
other open question is,
27:48
is there some degree to which the actual
27:51
vaccines are contributing to this? And
27:54
that's an absolutely horrifying possibility,
27:56
but I don't think it's off the table statistically
27:59
at the moment.
28:00
Yeah, I mean, the vaccines
28:03
were very promising for people who were
28:06
in that vulnerable age group. But,
28:08
you know, what happened was politics
28:11
took over, especially here, and
28:14
mandates, in addition
28:16
to removing all liability
28:19
from the vaccines themselves,
28:22
which had been tested minimally
28:24
and not necessarily on the
28:26
population you'd want to test them on, that
28:28
is older and infirm people. They
28:31
were minimally tested. And so,
28:34
you know, for an emergency, you'd
28:36
want to focus on the vulnerable population,
28:39
because that would where the biggest benefit would
28:42
be obvious. But that didn't happen. I
28:45
believe that there was a lot of influence from
28:48
pharmaceutical companies acting
28:51
upon government agencies. Their
28:53
incentives were actually
28:55
not to promote actual public
28:58
health of people here in the United
29:00
States. And I'm sure in the UK
29:02
and Canada, it was exactly the same. There was outside
29:05
influences. The same is true for,
29:07
you know, just counting COVID deaths. If you provide
29:09
an incentive to overcount,
29:12
if you give hospitals more money for
29:15
COVID patients, whether
29:18
they're, and if they're on a ventilator or their
29:20
type of treatment, you're providing an incentive
29:23
for those hospitals
29:25
and health care providers to
29:29
increase those numbers so that they can increase
29:32
their profits. And these are
29:34
just, it's just a matter of incentives. Giving
29:36
people perverse incentives is going to
29:38
lead to perverse outcomes. And
29:41
I think that's exactly what happened.
29:44
When you started
29:46
writing this book, when you started observing
29:48
what was happening around you, how
29:51
would you characterize your political
29:54
stance? Because people who are listening are going to be wondering, and I think
29:56
it's a reasonable thing to wonder. how
30:01
your a priori political stance
30:03
might have formed the lens through
30:06
which you were viewing what was laying
30:08
itself out. How would
30:10
you have characterized your political views, let's
30:12
say five years ago, and how would you
30:14
characterize them now?
30:16
I've always been in academia
30:18
for a long time. I
30:22
was in graduate school for a
30:24
while and here in Indiana for about 12 years.
30:27
So being around other
30:29
scientists, being around other people in universities
30:32
and medical schools, I was
30:34
never the most, I
30:37
was not a liberal person in
30:41
relation to my peers in
30:43
that way. If you put me in
30:45
a room of people
30:48
who are hardcore, Trump supporters, I
30:51
wouldn't fit in with that group either.
30:53
So I
30:55
haven't actually voted
30:57
for someone who's won an election in a very long time.
31:00
So if that gives you an idea, I
31:04
would probably say I was a center right.
31:07
But one of the things that this really became associated
31:09
with anyone who's willing to speak up, there
31:12
was this fear that you'd be automatically
31:15
put into this camp of, well,
31:17
you're doing this for political reasons, you're doing this
31:20
because you support Trump or something like
31:22
that. And I really encountered
31:24
that both from friends
31:28
and acquaintances that were, and
31:30
even people just on social media that I didn't
31:32
know, but that
31:34
were liberal,
31:36
they would assume that I was hardcore
31:39
right wing
31:40
Trump supporter. And even Trump supporters
31:42
would assume that, which
31:45
when it comes to closing schools, this
31:47
became so politicized that
31:50
even wanting to open schools became
31:53
a sign that you didn't wanna necessarily agree
31:56
with Trump on something. And
31:59
that was, I was really unfortunate. I heard this
32:01
firsthand from people that
32:03
I talked to. And it's not something that I anticipated
32:06
really at all because I've
32:09
lived in a world where a lot of people
32:11
I know and like, you know, disagree
32:13
with me. My
32:15
wife and I disagree on a lot of things and
32:18
I'm used to that. But this is kind of the world
32:21
that we're in now where
32:23
those kind of disagreements are not allowed
32:26
and discussion and debate are shut
32:28
down.
32:29
Yeah, well, the question, I guess one of the questions
32:31
that we might want to address today is what do we
32:33
think we could do to make sure that
32:35
the next time this happens, assuming there is the next
32:38
time, we're not quite so insane about it.
32:40
And I would say also,
32:42
what can we learn so that
32:44
we don't respond the same way to other
32:47
hypothetical crises that confront us?
32:49
Because I feel that we
32:51
could do precisely the same thing and that there
32:53
are many people hoping this will happen in some
32:55
real sense that we could do exactly the same thing.
32:58
For example, on the climate doom front
33:00
and you know, the more paranoid conspiratorial
33:03
types
33:04
have presumed that this was just a warmup
33:06
for that. But I have a certain degree of sympathy
33:09
for their concerns given what happened. Now
33:11
you start your book out, part one
33:13
of your book is fear and germs. And one
33:16
of the things you do to begin with
33:18
is to lay out a little
33:19
bit of background for people about the
33:22
nature of the microbial environment that
33:24
we do find ourselves in, right?
33:26
So that you can, I suppose, you
33:28
can give people some sense of
33:31
how much the relative risk increased
33:34
because of the introduction of this new
33:36
pathogen. Do you wanna walk us through that a bit? Yeah,
33:39
so I use my oldest
33:42
sister as an example of a germaphobe because
33:45
she was a nurse in a cardiac
33:47
surgical team. And you know, obviously
33:49
her job was very much
33:52
involved in
33:54
being very diligent about preventing infections
33:56
in patients and so I think
33:58
that sort of. translated into,
34:01
you know, she brought that home and
34:03
became very diligent about avoiding infections
34:06
and sanitizing and,
34:08
you know, any sort of exposure to germs, she
34:11
became sort of interested in
34:14
and obsessed with
34:16
dealing with. And so I use her
34:18
as an example, and I talk about
34:20
how, you know, that
34:23
way of thinking is not helpful
34:26
because we're already in a microbial
34:28
world and we're exposed to
34:31
all sorts of things. We have, you know, at least 10
34:33
viruses latently infected
34:36
in our system, in our body,
34:38
at any given time, possibly
34:41
more. And that's not counting
34:44
viruses that infect the bacteria that inhabit
34:46
us, which are
34:48
astronomically high numbers. So
34:51
I kind of lay out just how much
34:55
exposure we have to
34:57
microbes that we don't realize. And,
35:02
you know, it's just everywhere
35:04
in the environment and it's not something
35:07
you can avoid. And then I talk
35:09
about, you know, although that's the case,
35:11
there are definitely instances where
35:13
we've become very clean and
35:16
our ability to avoid microbial
35:18
exposures has resulted in some
35:21
first world diseases like
35:24
increased autoimmunity, increased
35:26
allergy, asthma, those
35:29
type of things. These are all first
35:31
world diseases. You don't see them in developing
35:33
countries at nearly the same prevalence that
35:35
you see here and in Canada
35:37
and UK and other places. So
35:40
I talk about why that is. And mainly
35:43
it's because we're not exposed to the same level
35:45
of environmental
35:48
microbes or even pathogens that we
35:51
used to be because of obviously
35:54
huge gains that we had from sanitation
35:57
revolution. We don't want to go back
35:59
to that, but something. has definitely been lost. And
36:02
I give many examples of
36:05
that in terms of pandemics.
36:08
Polio is an example where polio was
36:11
endemic for a very long time until
36:15
sanitation improved to the point
36:17
where people weren't being exposed
36:19
to polio until they were older,
36:22
and then it became a lot more severe and
36:24
noticeable when
36:26
you're talking about older children as opposed to
36:28
a baby. Who's nursing, who
36:30
just has a mild infection and their mother
36:33
breastfeeds and helps them clear
36:35
the virus. So,
36:37
you know, that was an example of a trade-off. And
36:40
so I wanted to sort of highlight
36:42
that all of these things were trade-offs
36:45
and, you know, people have been, this
36:47
hasn't been controversial
36:50
at all for a long time.
36:54
There's no reason to aim
36:56
for something like zero microbial
36:58
exposure because that's completely preposterous.
37:01
And so I think if I remember correctly,
37:04
in terms of sheer cell number,
37:07
I think you have more bacteria in your
37:09
body than cells. Now they happen to
37:11
be very, very tiny, but it gives
37:13
you some, that gives the listeners
37:15
and watchers, let's say, some indication of
37:18
just exactly how
37:19
prevalent, as you said, the microbial load
37:21
is. And then do you have any sense
37:24
of what actually constitutes,
37:26
let's say,
37:28
reasonable precautions? You
37:30
don't want to sterilize everything in sight,
37:32
partly because maybe you make your immune system
37:34
hyper-responsive if you're over-protected,
37:37
but obviously we don't want to return to the filth
37:40
of the
37:41
centuries prior to the 20th century
37:43
where
37:44
people were dying of infectious
37:46
diseases at an incredible rate, especially
37:49
in hospitals, let's say. So
37:52
what, and I don't
37:54
imagine you made yourself particularly popular
37:56
with your older sister, by the way, using
37:59
her as
37:59
example. But so
38:02
what do you think of as a reasonable
38:04
response to cleanliness
38:08
given the necessity of minimizing
38:11
both kinds of error?
38:12
Yeah. So, you know,
38:14
certain
38:16
viruses
38:18
are pretty nasty and cause really
38:20
awful infections in people.
38:23
But it turns out that in
38:25
a general sense, the
38:27
nastier the virus, the harder it is
38:31
to transmit it. And so
38:33
there's sort of an association
38:35
between the ability to transmit something
38:37
and then the severity of the disease that it
38:40
transmits. And so if you take something
38:42
like
38:44
HIV, it's a nasty
38:47
infection. It has a very long
38:51
period where there's not a lot of
38:53
symptoms, but then becomes
38:56
very awful in terms of destruction
38:59
of the immune system leading to opportunistic
39:01
infections. However, you can avoid
39:04
getting HIV for the most
39:07
part, unless you have some sort of accidental
39:09
exposure directly to your blood,
39:11
which did happen, but
39:14
has been
39:16
greatly reduced. The same thing
39:18
is true about something like hepatitis. These are
39:21
nasty infections, but you don't necessarily
39:23
get them from
39:26
just being in contact with other people.
39:29
In terms of respiratory infections, those
39:32
are much more harder to avoid because
39:35
they are very
39:37
easily transmissible. They
39:39
have a lot of genetic variability.
39:42
And so
39:45
the immune system is able to, might
39:48
be able to prevent severe disease, but
39:51
not the actual infection itself.
39:53
So, you know, there are some
39:57
viruses that you want to avoid and some that you
39:59
really can't. and
40:02
people should kind of understand the
40:04
distinction between that. Yeah, well, the rationale
40:07
was,
40:08
I think once that became obvious,
40:10
that the rationale was, well,
40:13
if we slowed the rate at which
40:15
it spread, we wouldn't overwhelm the
40:17
hospital systems. And one of
40:20
the things I saw in Canada that was particularly
40:23
remarkably
40:24
dim and pathological was
40:27
that
40:29
the governments took almost no actions
40:31
whatsoever to increase the availability
40:34
of emergency, of intensive
40:36
care unit, intensive
40:38
care units, which was
40:40
seemed at least at the time, and maybe you
40:43
can correct me if I'm wrong, seemed like the
40:45
logical thing to do, especially after this extended
40:47
over a multi-year period. I
40:49
mean, we knew,
40:50
how early did we know that virtually everybody
40:53
was going to get COVID? You said, as you
40:55
pointed out, respiratory illnesses are transmissible
40:57
and there isn't really a damn thing you can do about
41:00
it. Yeah, I mean,
41:02
the response was very much like,
41:06
a behavioral modification was
41:09
absolutely necessary and everyone had to completely
41:11
change their behavior. And
41:15
that sort of did not consider the
41:18
length of time that was gonna be necessary. And
41:21
the fact that the whole
41:23
world doesn't operate that way, we're so
41:26
interconnected. You'd
41:28
read articles about how
41:31
I would read them and think people
41:33
would talk about, yeah, just get groceries
41:36
delivered and
41:39
you don't have to leave your house. But
41:41
somebody somewhere is gonna have to leave
41:43
their house in order to support that. And
41:47
these things weren't really thought out. And
41:51
as a result,
41:52
in some cases it could be delayed,
41:54
but not completely eliminated
41:57
by behavioral modifications. Yeah.
41:59
Well, when you say they're not completely
42:02
thought out, I mean, I think that's what
42:04
you might say, that's the understatement of the decade.
42:07
I watched recently a viral video
42:09
of the new CDC director
42:12
talking about how she made this decision
42:14
to lock down football.
42:18
And she
42:19
is giggling while she's saying this, which
42:21
is appalling beyond comprehension.
42:23
And it doesn't really seem to me to be a nervous
42:26
giggle. It's more like, well, isn't this cute?
42:28
It's so funny that this is the way it happened.
42:30
She talks about talking to one
42:32
of the health officials in Massachusetts
42:35
and just sort of bandying back and forth
42:37
ideas about who should be locked down next.
42:39
In this case, it was anybody who wanted to
42:42
go watch football game. And that
42:44
kind of random scattershot
42:47
approach to depriving
42:49
people of their civil liberties seemed to be
42:51
par for the course. And this particular
42:53
video is an incredibly egregious
42:55
example of that because it combines
42:57
an idiot cuteness with
42:59
this terrible
43:01
proclivity to, well, to really
43:03
deprive people of their fundamental mobility
43:06
rights, except for the expendable people,
43:08
let's say who were doing the grocery deliveries.
43:11
And there was a really nasty element to that
43:13
as well, is that the important
43:15
people could stay at home and lock themselves
43:18
up and protect themselves, but the expendable
43:20
working class could go about their business as usual.
43:23
Right, I mean, there are all sorts of exceptions
43:25
too, right? So, I mean, if there were
43:28
lots of videos of, you
43:30
know, where,
43:31
I don't know what the video version of a hot
43:33
mic is, but where, you know, officials
43:37
would know that they were off camera or think that
43:39
they were off camera, and you could see them immediately
43:41
take their masks off, you know, because they're
43:45
truly believing that this is something they have to
43:47
perform, to show for people. And
43:50
they don't necessarily believe
43:52
that it's gonna
43:55
be 100% effective in
43:58
reality. And so, So there were lots
44:01
of examples of that where people
44:03
didn't actually believe what
44:05
they were saying. I mean, when there were protests, there
44:09
were lots of public health people
44:12
that said, you know, protesting racism
44:14
is public health necessity or
44:16
something like that. And
44:18
a lot of people rightfully identified that as
44:22
just being completely based
44:25
on nonsense. I
44:27
mean, the idea that,
44:29
you know, the same thing happened with COP26 in the
44:31
UK, right?
44:32
So it
44:34
wasn't just like black lives matter
44:36
protests. It was also climate change
44:39
meetings. The UK government
44:41
completely inverted its rules to allow
44:43
the
44:44
delegates to the climate change
44:46
conference to proceed apace with no
44:49
restrictions, because apparently
44:51
that was what the important people got to do. Whereas
44:54
ordinary people who were going about their lives weren't
44:56
able to continue. And one of the things we did
44:59
see, and this is going to have extraordinary
45:01
long-term consequences, is that there
45:03
was a massive transfer of wealth from
45:07
the like essentially
45:09
working class and lower middle-class business
45:12
owners who got demolished by the pandemic
45:14
restrictions to
45:16
huge retailers like Amazon.
45:19
And once those little businesses
45:22
are gone, and many
45:24
of them disappeared, it's very hard to get them back.
45:27
And so, and
45:29
I don't know, you know, I don't know how you count
45:31
up that kind of collateral damage when you're
45:33
trying to derive the statistics about exactly
45:35
what the pandemic lockdowns cost us, because
45:38
the toll that took on families, well,
45:40
there is no one even interested in measuring that,
45:43
I suppose, in some fundamental sense.
45:46
Yeah, I mean, you could not put a
45:48
single number on it because there's so many areas
45:50
of life that are affected
45:53
by it. I mean, healthcare in a way of
45:56
treatment of cancer, treatment of heart attacks,
45:59
screening. that kind of diagnostic tests,
46:01
all of these things were completely
46:04
eliminated. People
46:06
who were dependent on
46:08
communities, Alcoholics
46:11
Anonymous, that kind of thing, all those things were shut down.
46:16
And some people needed that
46:18
to survive and were unable
46:21
to continue something that would have,
46:23
that kept them in a healthier
46:26
state than they would be otherwise. And
46:28
so this sort of singular COVID monomania
46:31
is so damaging
46:33
in so many areas. And
46:35
you see it every
46:38
day, there's some news that
46:40
comes out. BMI
46:43
has doubled and
46:46
retention rates are still low
46:49
in terms of kids staying in school, even
46:52
three years after the pandemic and
46:54
test scores. Right, right. And a huge
46:57
number of kids never returned
46:59
to school.
47:02
Yeah, absolutely. And so
47:06
there's studies that have shown that even
47:09
three months of disruption in a child's
47:11
education can affect their long-term
47:14
ability to earn
47:18
money and make a living and you
47:20
know, to have this happen on kind of a global
47:22
scale, people who are already in a poverty
47:26
type situation are going to
47:28
be forced further into that than
47:32
they would be otherwise. And so it's
47:34
going to be so pervasive that it's going to be
47:36
very difficult to measure.
47:39
But we're seeing so much of it in
47:41
terms of other healthcare costs,
47:44
inflation, all that stuff. This
47:46
is all very
47:47
related to what happened. Well,
47:51
there's another interesting political
47:53
issue here too that's, I guess, relevant
47:55
to the use of fear and also to some
47:57
of the topics we discussed earlier.
47:59
One of the things I found
48:02
that was virtually miraculous in terms
48:04
of its incomprehensibility was
48:06
the fact that people particularly on the
48:08
left lined up on the side of the
48:11
pharmaceutical companies. And
48:13
if you would have told me 10 years ago that
48:16
left-wing
48:18
politicos and believers would
48:21
have aligned themselves with pharmaceutical
48:23
companies, I would have thought you were completely
48:25
out of your mind because
48:27
the bug bearer of the left, the
48:29
bug bearers of the left on the corporate front for the last 60
48:32
years likely have been oil
48:35
companies and pharmaceutical companies.
48:38
And with some justification, especially
48:40
in the latter category. And yet
48:43
there was this unholy alliance between
48:45
the
48:46
left-wing authoritarians and the pharmaceutical
48:49
companies. And I can't help but think that that's
48:51
likely mediated by this
48:54
association, heretofore, unexamined
48:58
association between psychopathy,
49:00
narcissism, Machiavellianism, sadism,
49:03
and the desire for power. Because
49:05
one of the things that aligning
49:08
with the pharmaceutical companies did
49:10
for the power-mongering left
49:13
was,
49:15
what would you say, justify
49:18
their
49:18
willingness to use power to compel
49:21
and force people.
49:23
And I can't find another explanation because
49:25
it runs so counter to what you would
49:28
assume the leftist narrative would be. Because
49:30
of all the people who should be skeptical of gigantic
49:33
pharmaceutical corporations, you'd
49:35
think the leftists would be number one.
49:38
So I don't know if you've had any thoughts about that.
49:40
Yeah, absolutely. You would think that
49:43
with the sort of natural distrust
49:46
of big business and pharmaceutical
49:49
companies that has historically
49:51
been on the left, combined that
49:53
with the distrust of the
49:56
ability of government on
49:59
the right. to take over
50:02
massive projects, subsidize economies, regulate
50:08
all healthcare and things like that. You
50:11
think that there would be some bipartisan consensus
50:13
there, but that wasn't the case at all. And
50:17
I think for certain people, this
50:20
benefited them to
50:25
sort of push the,
50:27
they shared the same entrance interests
50:30
with pharmaceutical companies, people
50:33
who were in power. And even if that didn't
50:36
mesh with their political
50:38
beliefs in the past, the
50:42
promise of gaining power and influence
50:46
was simply too
50:47
much to, it basically overrode
50:52
that traditional stance. So
50:55
in the first part of your book, you talk
50:57
a fair bit about fear and germs,
51:01
and you try to make a case
51:04
for what the proper relationship might
51:07
be between a fear response
51:09
and the, say the overwhelming
51:12
prevalence of the microbial
51:14
biome around
51:16
us. In the second part of your book,
51:19
you concentrate more on a
51:21
pandemic in the time of safety. So
51:24
maybe we should delve into that a little bit more. I don't
51:26
feel that you've had the opportunity
51:28
to develop
51:29
your hypothesis about the
51:31
relationship between the safety culture and the
51:34
planning and pandemic planning
51:36
thoroughly. Do you want, one of your chapter
51:38
six is pandemic planning meets the safety
51:41
culture. Seven is all the doom
51:43
we need and the face badge of virtue. Do
51:45
you want to delve into that a little bit more and elaborate
51:47
that for everybody who's watching and
51:50
listening? Right, yeah. So the first part
51:52
of that is sort of the realization that
51:55
the safety culture has enabled
51:58
a lot of this to
52:00
happen. A lot of people like
52:03
to ascribe the
52:05
whole pandemic response and all the bad things
52:07
that happened to a select
52:10
few supervillains out
52:12
there. And while I am sure
52:15
that lots of people took advantage
52:18
of the situation in sort of odious ways,
52:21
I didn't feel like that's
52:23
just not my nature to
52:25
think in the sort of conspiratorial
52:28
terms and blame a small cabal
52:30
of supervillains
52:33
on
52:34
the whole pandemic response. But
52:37
instead, I feel like there
52:39
was a cultural problem that enabled
52:42
all of this. And I could see it in some of the things,
52:44
even on a local level. One
52:47
example I give is when
52:50
my daughter was probably about two years
52:52
old, she got what's called
52:54
hand, foot and mouth disease. And her daycare,
52:58
her hand, foot and mouth disease
53:00
is one of these things where if
53:02
it gets into like a daycare, it's not gonna
53:04
get out until everybody gets it and
53:07
gets over it and who's susceptible
53:09
at least. And adults, daycare
53:11
workers can get it and have very mild
53:14
or no symptoms and still be able to transmit
53:16
it to others. It's passed
53:19
through the stool. And so if
53:21
you're in a daycare and you've got toddlers and babies,
53:24
it's nearly impossible to keep that clean
53:27
and to prevent spread. Once it's there, it's gonna
53:29
spread. But it's very
53:32
sort of innocuous. This gives children,
53:35
it makes them very uncomfortable. They can't eat,
53:37
they have sores in their mouth.
53:39
They have sores in their body.
53:41
They have a fever for a few days. But then
53:43
it goes away.
53:45
And sometimes it takes a while for the
53:47
spots on their body to heal. And
53:50
what the daycare was telling us is that
53:53
my daughter had to stay home until she
53:56
was completely healed, which was...
54:00
of what
54:03
people had been told about hand,
54:05
foot, and mouth disease for a very long time. It
54:07
was generally what the American Academy
54:09
of Pediatrics said was that after
54:12
they've had fever, a day
54:14
later they can go back to school or
54:16
daycare or whatever. But
54:18
instead, we were told
54:20
to
54:23
keep our kid home and continue
54:26
to pay for daycare until
54:30
all of her lesions were completely healed. And
54:34
that wouldn't have made anyone safer. I
54:36
mean, obviously
54:38
she got the virus at the daycare, which means it
54:40
was in the daycare. It was going to
54:43
be spread. Lots of kids were going to get it. And
54:47
it's just going to blow through the daycare until
54:49
it was done. And
54:52
so keeping her home would have absolutely
54:54
had zero
54:56
effect on the spread
54:58
in the daycare. But at the same time,
55:01
the local health department backed
55:04
up
55:05
what the daycare owner said
55:09
and said that she should stay home for two
55:11
weeks, even though our pediatrician
55:14
agreed with us based on what the American
55:16
Academy of Pediatrics said. So
55:19
I mean, I went directly to the health department
55:21
and talked to
55:23
the head of the health department. And
55:25
she was basically unapologetic.
55:28
And
55:29
I really thought later
55:32
on that this way of
55:34
thinking
55:36
could be translated into how we thought about
55:39
the pandemic response. And it wasn't just
55:43
safety or keeping kids safe. It
55:46
was the appearance of it that
55:48
was important. And so I have a
55:51
chapter called Hurting Children
55:53
for the Appearance of Safety. And
55:55
that's one of the things that
55:58
really bothered me as a parent, not just for me. and
56:00
immunologists or infectious
56:02
disease scientists, the
56:06
ability of, you know, people
56:08
can remain ignorant about what their real
56:10
risks are and still
56:12
have a lot of control about
56:16
over these things just in the name
56:18
of safety, but not
56:21
real safety, just an illusion
56:23
of it.
56:23
It seems to me that, you know, you're chapter
56:26
nine hurting children for the appearance
56:28
of safety, part of the question
56:30
there is, well, why would people be concerned about the
56:32
appearance of safety? And
56:34
I think part of the reason for
56:36
that is that people like to use their
56:39
concern for children
56:42
and for other vulnerable people,
56:44
let's say, as a way of signaling just
56:47
exactly how morally virtuous they
56:49
are. It's a real demonstrative
56:51
performance of
56:54
look how much
56:55
I care. And it also
56:57
gives you the opportunity if you do that, not only
56:59
to elevate your moral virtue as a consequence
57:01
of doing that in an unearned way, but
57:04
to demonize anybody that would stand in the way,
57:07
which is also convenient if what you're trying to do
57:09
is to accrue power. You know,
57:11
you told the story about your daycare. When
57:14
you were in the midst of that,
57:18
what
57:20
was your personal reaction? I mean, how did
57:23
you find that out? How
57:26
did you find yourself responding to the
57:28
demands that the daycare was making
57:30
on you and your wife, your family,
57:33
given that you knew that
57:35
their actual factual concerns
57:38
were unwarranted? Yeah, well, I would
57:40
think that, you know, I had some
57:43
sort of relevant knowledge that
57:46
could affect
57:48
the outcome of this. It actually helped
57:50
other parents because this
57:53
was obviously gonna come up. Other kids were gonna
57:56
get the infection because
57:58
it's highly contagious. and
58:01
kids can transmit it for weeks after their
58:03
symptoms have resolved. So
58:06
even when
58:08
the spots had completely healed, she
58:10
could still give it to other kids. And so I wanted
58:14
the other parents to understand
58:17
that this had really no basis
58:19
in making their kids
58:22
safer. There was no
58:23
argument that could be made. And
58:25
I would think that that would have had an effect
58:29
on the owner of the daycare didn't
58:32
at all. In fact, we
58:34
ended up getting booted
58:36
from that daycare. But
58:39
that experience was, I think, really set up,
58:44
it helps set up the pandemic
58:47
response because there's something has changed in
58:50
the culture where we don't
58:52
accept any sort of risk. We
58:55
want risks to be completely minimized
58:57
away until there's none,
58:59
which in many cases is not possible.
59:03
And if that isn't possible, then
59:05
we wanna pretend that we can do that. And
59:08
the illusion
59:09
of control, the illusion of
59:11
being able to eliminate
59:13
any sort of risk, it
59:16
becomes very attractive
59:18
for people and any sort
59:20
of leader or official politician,
59:24
whatever. It becomes a very easy
59:26
sell
59:27
when people are afraid. And
59:30
that's kind of the way that I set up all
59:33
this safety culture explanation
59:36
for how we responded. So, Steve,
59:38
you said something
59:40
rather ruefully and interestingly
59:43
to me that you and
59:45
your child got the boot from that
59:48
particular daycare. And so, that
59:51
perked up my clinical years, let's say,
59:53
because that seems to me to be a perfectly
59:56
logical extension of exactly what happened
59:58
if we're using the power.
59:59
mongering theory here a bit. What
1:00:02
happened exactly there and what did that,
1:00:06
what did you derive from that? What
1:00:10
moral did you derive from that? Yeah,
1:00:13
I mean, I basically
1:00:15
contacted all the other parents in
1:00:18
an email chain and told them why
1:00:20
this was not
1:00:24
making any of their children safer. And
1:00:29
none of them really responded saying, thank
1:00:31
you or anything like that. It
1:00:34
was more the daycare owner saying, you don't
1:00:37
have a right to do that and we
1:00:39
don't want you to come back after your daughter
1:00:42
is better. So it was- On
1:00:45
what grounds? On what grounds exactly?
1:00:49
Well, I mean, that was kind of a personality
1:00:52
thing too that
1:00:55
we had discovered before with other
1:00:57
issues.
1:00:58
So I don't
1:01:01
think that's necessarily a cultural
1:01:04
thing. However, I do think what the health
1:01:06
department did and the way that they responded,
1:01:09
agreeing with the daycare owner, they would have
1:01:11
no other reason to support
1:01:14
her other than the fact
1:01:16
that they've sort
1:01:18
of been
1:01:19
conditioned to be over cautious
1:01:22
in ways that wouldn't actually make people safer.
1:01:25
And that was ultimately how
1:01:28
I made that connection once
1:01:30
people started behaving in a way, treating
1:01:33
children like they were disease vectors. I mean, the
1:01:35
way that my kids were treated at school, even
1:01:37
in a place like Indiana, which you wouldn't think would be
1:01:39
like Portland or
1:01:43
San Francisco, the
1:01:45
way that they were treated even in public schools
1:01:47
in my area
1:01:49
was just completely unnecessary and not
1:01:52
based on evidence at
1:01:54
all. And so
1:01:56
my futility of dealing
1:01:59
with-
1:01:59
the daycare situation was
1:02:02
kind of a
1:02:03
harbinger of my futility
1:02:05
to deal with anything in the local
1:02:09
area in terms of trying to quell panic
1:02:12
or irrational or non-evidence-based
1:02:16
responses and the way that children were
1:02:18
treated more specifically.
1:02:20
So let me throw a couple of hypotheses
1:02:23
at you with regards to the prevalence
1:02:25
of this safety culture.
1:02:28
So here's
1:02:31
five different reasons
1:02:34
perhaps why it's become more prevalent.
1:02:37
So one would be people
1:02:40
have children much later
1:02:43
than they used to. So instead
1:02:45
of having children in their early 20s,
1:02:47
they have their children in their early 30s. And
1:02:50
so that means that in some ways their grandparents by
1:02:52
the time they have children rather than
1:02:54
the
1:02:55
normal age for human beings to
1:02:57
have children. And I suspect that makes
1:02:59
them less risk
1:03:01
tolerant because younger
1:03:04
people are wilder and more
1:03:06
impulsive. And obviously there's a
1:03:08
downside to that, but God only knows what
1:03:10
the upside is. Then the next
1:03:12
problem, hypothetically, might be that,
1:03:15
well, you know, if you have six kids,
1:03:18
you're just not going to be able to exercise that much
1:03:21
control over them because they outnumber you
1:03:23
terribly and you're exhausted
1:03:25
and you're going to just let the tribe go out
1:03:27
and do like tribal things and
1:03:30
you're going to chase them the hell out of the house because,
1:03:32
you know, enough kids. But
1:03:35
if you have one,
1:03:36
well, then you have all your eggs in one basket,
1:03:38
so to speak. And so and
1:03:41
the child is also not being challenged
1:03:46
and provoked by his or her siblings
1:03:48
in that constant manner that might
1:03:51
have been the case more likely
1:03:53
when there were more siblings. And
1:03:56
then
1:03:58
also parents are rich.
1:03:59
now. And so that means
1:04:02
that they can
1:04:03
dote in a way that would have been
1:04:05
practically impossible before. And
1:04:08
then additionally, like we did find,
1:04:10
for example, in the study that I cited to you
1:04:12
at the beginning of our discussion, that one of the predictors
1:04:15
of left-wing authoritarianism was being female
1:04:18
and also having a female temperament. It was
1:04:20
quite a strong predictor and quite a surprising
1:04:22
predictor. And there are a lot
1:04:25
more
1:04:26
female-dominated families
1:04:28
and institutions now than there
1:04:30
were 40 years ago. I mean, there's
1:04:32
lots of single-mother families. And then
1:04:35
in schools, of course, the vast preponderance
1:04:37
of teachers are female.
1:04:39
And so,
1:04:42
well, there's five reasons why the safety
1:04:44
culture might have become
1:04:46
increasingly paramount.
1:04:48
So I don't know if you've, have
1:04:50
you, have you thought through at all
1:04:53
and, and written
1:04:56
about why
1:04:58
you think that culture has become more predominant?
1:05:00
I mean, we obviously have talked about its dangers.
1:05:03
Yeah. Well, to think about some of
1:05:05
the things that you said
1:05:08
with
1:05:09
the size of families, I mean, in the
1:05:11
age that people are having children, that
1:05:13
certainly might have something to do with it. If you look at places
1:05:17
like where I live, so in
1:05:19
the United States, there are a lot
1:05:21
of different areas where the average
1:05:24
age that someone, a family,
1:05:26
decides to have
1:05:27
children is different.
1:05:30
Here, it's probably much lower,
1:05:33
and I know it's much lower than it is on the coast. And
1:05:36
so there are lots of families here
1:05:39
where, you
1:05:41
know, they're having
1:05:43
three kids by the time they're, the
1:05:46
mother is 28 or something like that. I mean, that's
1:05:48
something that you wouldn't see
1:05:51
generally on a
1:05:54
major population, cosmopolitan city
1:05:56
on the coast. And
1:05:58
so you would. You would see differences, if
1:06:01
that were the main explanation,
1:06:03
you would see differences in safety culture. And
1:06:05
you see some of that, but I mean like
1:06:07
in the neighborhood I live in, there's a whole,
1:06:10
it's like a historic neighborhood, there's a whole degree
1:06:13
of socioeconomic levels in
1:06:15
the neighborhood. And there's just, it's
1:06:17
very difficult to find lots of children outside
1:06:21
playing.
1:06:22
And even
1:06:24
with those levels
1:06:26
there, and I think that, so
1:06:29
I think that's one possible contributing
1:06:31
factor, but it's
1:06:34
not,
1:06:35
it can't be the whole explanation,
1:06:39
because even here, I
1:06:40
try to get my kids to go outside, but
1:06:44
they don't want to, because there isn't an outdoor culture
1:06:46
like there used to be. I mean, I knew I would miss something.
1:06:49
I knew I was gonna miss something if I didn't go outside.
1:06:53
And they will miss something
1:06:55
if they go outside, because there's
1:06:58
computers and there's streaming,
1:07:02
and there's a whole lot of alternatives
1:07:05
that can keep them inside. So I think that's another
1:07:07
part of it, is that before
1:07:09
there wasn't any mechanism,
1:07:14
and you sort of alluded to that a
1:07:16
little bit in terms of being wealthy,
1:07:20
to dote on children to be helicopter
1:07:22
parents. The tools to do
1:07:24
that have become much
1:07:27
more available. And
1:07:30
so I think that's another
1:07:32
possibility, is in that, goes to
1:07:35
the whole explanation of, and
1:07:38
there's still this debate out there, did
1:07:40
Zoom enable
1:07:43
the pandemic response that we had? And
1:07:47
I think that there's a lot too that,
1:07:50
the technology became, matched
1:07:54
what the culture wanted to do, and
1:07:56
basically took it in that direction.
1:07:59
Whereas,
1:07:59
It wouldn't have been possible. So
1:08:02
Steve, you experienced on
1:08:04
a broader scale in the social world,
1:08:07
the same thing or something analogous to
1:08:09
what happened to you at your local daycare. And
1:08:11
you learned something about the opaqueness,
1:08:15
let's say of the general population
1:08:18
or maybe even of the human mind to
1:08:20
scientific research. I
1:08:22
mean, whatever we might be as human
1:08:24
beings,
1:08:26
it's not easy to make us into scientists.
1:08:28
And so what did you learn on that front? Yeah,
1:08:31
so it seemed to me like people really wanted to be
1:08:35
given certainty in things
1:08:38
that were not necessarily certain or fully
1:08:41
known. And they don't want
1:08:43
to leave
1:08:45
things up to chance. And like I said, they
1:08:47
want risks reduced to
1:08:50
zero, which
1:08:53
in any case can't
1:08:54
be done. I'd
1:08:56
see this with the
1:08:59
local schools. Sometimes
1:09:03
my children would come home and tell me even
1:09:06
things that weren't mandated by
1:09:08
the school, they were taking extra measures.
1:09:11
They
1:09:14
were
1:09:15
dousing them with hand sanitizer. Hand
1:09:18
sanitizer is not something that's
1:09:22
proven to be effective,
1:09:25
especially for respiratory viruses. It doesn't even actually
1:09:27
work that well for other types of viruses, like
1:09:30
GI viruses, which you would want it
1:09:32
to be more effective for that. Then hand
1:09:34
washing. So I mean, all these
1:09:36
measures, the other thing they
1:09:38
made them do was they could not
1:09:40
play with each other
1:09:42
unless they were in the same class.
1:09:45
So even when they were outside at recess, they
1:09:47
had to distance themselves from the other classes.
1:09:50
So if my daughter had friends in
1:09:52
another class, they couldn't interact
1:09:54
with each other. And outside-
1:09:56
For how long? For
1:09:58
how long was that?
1:09:59
for how long was that policy in place? Yeah,
1:10:02
probably a whole year. And
1:10:05
so I was asked at
1:10:07
some point to be on a
1:10:11
advisory board for the local
1:10:14
school district. And I think one
1:10:16
of the reasons I was asked is because I had
1:10:18
talked to the medical director of our
1:10:21
county health department and had become
1:10:23
kind of friendly with them. And even though we disagreed
1:10:26
with some things on,
1:10:28
in public,
1:10:31
there wasn't as much disagreement and we were, still
1:10:33
became fairly friendly with
1:10:36
one another discussing things that were happening.
1:10:39
But he recommended
1:10:42
to the superintendent that I be on this board because
1:10:44
a lot of the people, other
1:10:46
people were local physicians and
1:10:48
community people who would never really deviate
1:10:51
from what they were being told
1:10:54
by the CDC and other organizations. And
1:10:57
so they actually did want
1:10:59
somebody who was contrarian to kind
1:11:01
of challenge what
1:11:04
was being mandated and what was being done in
1:11:06
the school. So that was a pretty
1:11:09
good opportunity. Although, you
1:11:11
really encounter the cautiousness
1:11:13
of people, especially physicians,
1:11:16
I mean, they are used to being, avoiding
1:11:20
caution, and being very cautious
1:11:22
and avoiding any sort of risk in their
1:11:24
practices because they're afraid
1:11:26
of malpractice and they've been sort of conditioned
1:11:29
to think that way. And
1:11:31
so it was kind of a tall order
1:11:33
to be able to convince them that a lot
1:11:35
of these measures were hurting children and not actually
1:11:39
making them safer. And we're really only
1:11:41
there in sort of a theatrical
1:11:44
way to give people
1:11:46
this sort of illusion or appearance of safety.
1:11:49
And I started writing, I had been writing for
1:11:52
the local paper, on
1:11:54
some of these issues about, especially
1:11:57
how children were treated.
1:12:00
Obviously, those weren't going over well. But
1:12:03
then some of the writing started to get picked up on
1:12:06
a national level. One
1:12:08
of the reasons is I started really
1:12:11
putting together evidence
1:12:14
and compiling it for things like masks,
1:12:17
especially in a child
1:12:20
population, which there was really no
1:12:22
evidence that they would make a difference in
1:12:24
schools. There was no consensus
1:12:27
prior to the pandemic
1:12:29
that they would play an important
1:12:31
role in pandemic mitigation.
1:12:34
You could go back and read papers for 10
1:12:37
years before and really
1:12:40
see that just by looking at
1:12:43
the publications, even up until
1:12:46
the beginning of the pandemic. There was really no
1:12:48
consensus about whether
1:12:51
masks would work for the population, much less
1:12:53
for children. I put together a lot
1:12:55
of evidence and gave some presentations
1:12:58
to the physicians and
1:13:00
the other people. I
1:13:03
think it had an effect, but in the end,
1:13:05
the governor sort of overrode all
1:13:08
of the local district's power because
1:13:11
they had mandates for
1:13:13
masks
1:13:13
tied to things like the
1:13:15
ability
1:13:16
of classrooms
1:13:19
to operate with six
1:13:21
feet of separation between children,
1:13:23
which was impossible. Then
1:13:26
if they were masked, they would have... And arbitrary. ... completely
1:13:29
arbitrary. If
1:13:31
they were masked, then they could have three feet, which is
1:13:33
actually doable. Six
1:13:37
feet was something that schools didn't have
1:13:39
the space to do. That
1:13:41
was essentially a mask mandate without actually calling
1:13:44
it a mask mandate. But
1:13:46
anyway, because I put together these things,
1:13:49
it really became useful to
1:13:52
write about them and
1:13:55
it ended up getting some national
1:13:58
attention, getting picked up by certain...
1:13:59
in outlets like Brownstone Institute
1:14:02
and other outlets that a lot of people
1:14:05
read. And so that's how
1:14:07
I kind of got from the
1:14:09
local level to a little bit more national
1:14:12
exposure and
1:14:15
ultimately to the point where I had
1:14:18
enough to write a book. When
1:14:20
did your book come out? Yeah,
1:14:22
it came out in April. So it's been out less
1:14:24
than two months. And
1:14:27
how's it doing? It got a really good push.
1:14:30
And one of the reasons is because I have a lot of,
1:14:33
I've made a lot of friends. Jay
1:14:36
Bhattacharya talked with you about this.
1:14:38
The prevalence of social media
1:14:41
is a curse and a blessing
1:14:45
because it can
1:14:48
really put people together that would
1:14:50
normally not be able to define
1:14:52
each other. And so I've met a lot of people
1:14:55
through social media and through
1:14:57
my writing that
1:14:59
has really sort of formed a community
1:15:02
and given me a lot of other opportunities. I
1:15:05
was involved in writing
1:15:07
a document that you talked about with Jay,
1:15:10
which we call the Norfolk Group Document. Questions
1:15:14
for COVID-19 Commission that is being used
1:15:16
by people in Congress.
1:15:20
I was invited to be
1:15:21
on a public health integrity
1:15:24
committee for Florida, appointed
1:15:27
by the governor, DeSantis and the
1:15:30
surgeon general.
1:15:31
So because of all these connections,
1:15:34
when I released the book, I could
1:15:37
ask a lot of people to retweet
1:15:40
it and
1:15:41
write a little bit about it. And so I have a lot of connections
1:15:44
that way. So I think that really translated into a pretty
1:15:46
nice push at the beginning. Obviously
1:15:49
doing things like being on your podcast
1:15:53
will help tremendously as well.
1:15:55
So I haven't got the sales numbers yet,
1:15:57
but I think it's doing okay.
1:15:59
So there's some optimism
1:16:02
in what you just described. I mean, you
1:16:06
have attempted to
1:16:08
voice
1:16:10
a contrarian opinion, let's say, although
1:16:13
one that increasingly appears to be
1:16:15
in
1:16:15
accordance with anything,
1:16:18
with common sense
1:16:20
and with the facts on the ground.
1:16:23
I think that's got to the point now where
1:16:25
that's indisputable, unless you're
1:16:28
completely off your rocker. So
1:16:30
that's a positive thing. And here's another
1:16:33
mystery.
1:16:36
I think that
1:16:38
what we did during the pandemic was unforgivable.
1:16:42
However, we did stop doing it. And
1:16:45
it isn't exactly clear to me why. Given
1:16:50
everything we've talked about, given the
1:16:52
joy that people had, my
1:16:54
sense in Canada,
1:16:56
especially in Toronto, which is my home city,
1:16:58
was that 70% of people who
1:17:01
lived in Toronto would have been perfectly happy. They
1:17:03
would have worn a mask for the rest of their lives without
1:17:05
making a peep. And half of them would
1:17:07
have been happy about it just because it would have given
1:17:10
them an opportunity to
1:17:11
inform and spy on their neighbors. And
1:17:14
it was pretty appalling to see. But
1:17:17
in the final analysis,
1:17:19
we did back down, right? We backed
1:17:21
off this and we have lifted the
1:17:25
pandemic restrictions and requirements.
1:17:28
And we have returned to something approximating
1:17:31
whatever the hell the new normal is, right? I
1:17:33
mean, things are a lot
1:17:34
less bizarre than they were during
1:17:37
the lockdown. And why
1:17:39
do you think it is that we move back
1:17:41
from the brink, given all the
1:17:43
push there was to put us in this
1:17:45
authoritarian position to begin with? Well,
1:17:48
that's a really good question. I
1:17:50
mean, I think all of the
1:17:53
machinery of the
1:17:55
pandemic response is still
1:17:57
there. I
1:18:00
think
1:18:01
you have to have a
1:18:03
leadership class that
1:18:06
has learned a lesson
1:18:08
from what happened. And I'm not really sure
1:18:10
that
1:18:11
that's the case. Because
1:18:14
you can see it,
1:18:15
you know, there are some areas where
1:18:18
there is some concession of harms
1:18:20
of the pandemic response. You know, you see people running
1:18:23
away from the idea that we should have closed schools,
1:18:26
even to the point of pretending that they never advocated
1:18:29
for it, such as like Randy
1:18:31
Weingarten,
1:18:32
the American Federation of Teachers. You
1:18:35
know, you see that happening. It's sort of a tacit
1:18:38
admission that there are certain things that people
1:18:40
will actually understand
1:18:43
were very, very harmful. But
1:18:46
at the same time, it's still not enough
1:18:49
to have that sort of underlying
1:18:52
admission. There has to be a real accounting
1:18:55
of what happened and why it happened.
1:18:58
And I think, you know, some of that's happening on the
1:19:01
political level with COVID commissions
1:19:03
and
1:19:04
the US Congress and other countries.
1:19:08
But it's gonna be kind of a long haul because there's
1:19:10
a lot of people who will want
1:19:12
to sort of control how the history
1:19:14
is told in a way that
1:19:17
kind of whitewashes
1:19:19
the harms of what was done. So
1:19:23
has the fact that we did retreat
1:19:26
from the
1:19:27
authoritarian controls that were implemented,
1:19:29
has that restored a certain degree of
1:19:31
optimism to you? It doesn't exactly
1:19:34
sound like it. I mean, the argument that you just
1:19:36
made
1:19:37
seems to be, if I've got this right,
1:19:39
that you think that
1:19:42
it wouldn't take a lot of provocation for
1:19:44
the same kind of hammers to come down again. But
1:19:47
that does make the question, why
1:19:49
do you think it was lifted?
1:19:53
I mean, we kind of made an arbitrary decision
1:19:56
in some ways that the pandemic was over.
1:19:59
And...
1:19:59
I don't understand why we reverted
1:20:02
back to something approximating normality.
1:20:04
Well, I mean, was it finally that enough people
1:20:07
got tired of it, people like Jay
1:20:09
Bhattacharyya and started
1:20:12
to make enough noise so that there was some pushback?
1:20:14
It just took people a while to get organized? It was because
1:20:17
enough people got infected is what I think. You
1:20:20
know, you had these really highly transmissible variants
1:20:23
like Omicron that were actually quite
1:20:26
not as severe as
1:20:28
they're
1:20:29
not as severe as the earlier variants.
1:20:32
And they just spread like wildfire. And I mean, it's
1:20:34
been shown that if you're on the edge
1:20:36
of a pandemic and you haven't experienced
1:20:38
it, your anxiety and fear
1:20:41
levels are much, much higher in the population
1:20:43
because they're getting their information from
1:20:46
the news and they're getting their information from the
1:20:48
media in a way that's not
1:20:50
comforting because the media relies
1:20:53
on advertisements and clicks
1:20:55
and things like that. So
1:20:57
the fear level when you're not exposed
1:21:00
to the actual pathogen is quite
1:21:02
high. But then once it's actually burned
1:21:04
through the population and
1:21:07
people have gotten it, whether they were vaccinated
1:21:09
or not, they start
1:21:11
to see the reality of
1:21:14
what the actual risk was. It
1:21:16
burns through their entire family, their parents get
1:21:18
it. They might even have
1:21:21
some comorbidities. They might be 80 years
1:21:23
old or whatever, and they did fine. I
1:21:25
mean, so you have enough people
1:21:27
like that that even though they sort of bought
1:21:31
the story and the idea
1:21:33
of
1:21:35
sort of distorted risk that everybody had, the
1:21:39
reality of being infected and having that
1:21:41
direct exposure lessened
1:21:44
the fear and the willingness to go
1:21:46
along. But I
1:21:48
think, you know, so I mean, if some
1:21:50
pandemic happened right
1:21:53
now, I think there'd be a lot of pushback
1:21:56
because we're so close to what happened
1:21:59
with the.
1:21:59
the COVID-19 pandemic, but I do
1:22:02
think that there is gonna be, you know,
1:22:04
an official story that
1:22:06
has to be more correct than
1:22:08
incorrect, and I think that's gonna be
1:22:11
a fight that's gonna go on for a while.
1:22:12
So, well, so part of what you've concluded
1:22:15
actually is somewhat optimistic, because
1:22:17
your conclusion seems to be that
1:22:20
once the facts of the
1:22:22
severity of the illness were actually
1:22:25
thoroughly
1:22:27
and tangibly accessible,
1:22:30
because so many people ended up
1:22:32
with COVID, they weren't hypothesizing
1:22:35
it anymore, that we had enough
1:22:37
grounding in our civil rights
1:22:40
tradition
1:22:41
to return to normality,
1:22:45
right? So once the fear did decrease
1:22:48
to a
1:22:49
somewhat normal level,
1:22:51
we didn't find the attractions of the
1:22:54
authoritarian lockdown sufficient to
1:22:56
continue in that direction. So there is some
1:22:58
optimism in that,
1:23:00
right? We reverted back
1:23:02
to being a free society. There
1:23:05
is, I mean, but you still see hints of things
1:23:08
that are sort of leftover,
1:23:11
like drives to, you know,
1:23:13
I've
1:23:14
read articles about, you know, eliminating,
1:23:16
there's been several of them like this, eliminating
1:23:20
all respiratory
1:23:21
viruses from the air of
1:23:23
buildings based on their
1:23:25
ventilation and filtering and
1:23:27
building engineering, basically. And,
1:23:31
you know, I mean, one thing we
1:23:33
witnessed when kids had finally
1:23:35
been in
1:23:37
person schools is
1:23:39
that they were getting lots of viruses. I
1:23:41
mean, influenza, adenovirus,
1:23:45
RSV, these things spiked. And
1:23:47
sometimes it was even in the summer outside
1:23:49
of their normal seasons, because
1:23:52
these endemic viruses had been suppressed.
1:23:55
And it actually,
1:23:57
the separation and distancing worked better
1:23:59
for those.
1:23:59
those endemic viruses than
1:24:02
they did for the pandemic virus itself. And
1:24:05
so the idea of eliminating respiratory
1:24:08
viruses
1:24:09
from the
1:24:11
air that we breathe, I think is
1:24:13
not right. I think
1:24:15
it's a dangerous idea. And
1:24:19
much like people who fought when
1:24:21
antibiotics came out, that you could just give everybody
1:24:23
an antibiotic for anything,
1:24:25
that
1:24:28
there would be no downside to that. Now,
1:24:30
of course, we know that there is. So I think
1:24:33
there's a lot of sort
1:24:35
of hubris that's still out there about
1:24:38
eliminating
1:24:39
risk, even from sort
1:24:41
of everyday infections that
1:24:44
I think is gonna take a while to
1:24:46
go away. Yes,
1:24:48
well, the part of the hubris is that
1:24:51
we don't understand that the
1:24:53
demand to risk, to
1:24:55
reduce risk to zero is
1:24:58
as cardinal form of risk, right?
1:25:00
Because it requires a kind of impossible
1:25:02
totalitarian overreach. It's probably
1:25:04
the case when we're agitating for zero
1:25:07
anything, you know? Cause I think the same thing
1:25:10
with regard to the war on drugs,
1:25:12
I think the same thing with regards to net zero
1:25:14
on the climate front. It's like,
1:25:16
no, you're mitigating one
1:25:18
form of risk, but you're radically
1:25:21
increasing another form of risk. And
1:25:23
it's obvious that that's what we did with the pandemic.
1:25:26
Is there anything else you wanna bring to the attention
1:25:29
of our
1:25:30
viewers and listeners before we
1:25:32
close out? We've been talking, I'll
1:25:34
just let everybody know, we've been talking to
1:25:37
Steve Templeton today about his book, Fear of
1:25:39
a Microbial Planet, how a
1:25:41
germaphobic safety culture makes us
1:25:43
less safe. And so you can
1:25:46
obviously pick up that book and walk through
1:25:48
Steve's argument in more detail. Is there anything
1:25:50
else that you think people should
1:25:52
know that we haven't covered? Or are
1:25:55
we at a point where we can
1:25:56
reasonably
1:25:58
begin to bring this to a close?
1:25:59
Yeah, I mean,
1:26:02
I think, you know, just
1:26:04
when you ask something about how do you respond
1:26:07
to this, how do you fix things,
1:26:10
that's obviously a very difficult question. But
1:26:14
you know, some of the things that we've lost in
1:26:16
the previous three years,
1:26:20
you know, like our communities,
1:26:23
our education of our children, the
1:26:26
ability to sort of challenge them, which
1:26:28
has gone on for much longer in
1:26:30
terms of a safety culture. I
1:26:33
mean, it's important to
1:26:35
try to reverse some of that. And I think that
1:26:38
that could go a long way
1:26:40
to making things
1:26:43
better. Right.
1:26:44
Yeah. Well, it's difficult.
1:26:47
As we said earlier, we don't understand
1:26:49
the preconditions, all the preconditions
1:26:52
that were in place
1:26:53
to allow children to roam
1:26:56
and range more freely than they
1:26:58
do now.
1:26:59
And so it's very difficult to figure out what
1:27:01
we would have to
1:27:03
return to, let's say, or approach
1:27:05
in order for that to
1:27:08
occur again. I mean, to some degree,
1:27:10
encouraging parents to understand that
1:27:13
fostering independence in their kids is
1:27:15
the proper risk for you.
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