Episode Transcript
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michael shermer it's time for the michael shermer show
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my guess today is doctor
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kevin mccaffrey he's a professor
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of sociology at the university of north texas
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and the other a coauthor of five books and
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co editor of theoretical sociology
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the future of a disciplinary
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foundation and series co editor with
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jonathan turner of evolutionary analysis
0:35
in the social sciences in
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addition to these works he's authored a coauthor numerous
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peer reviewed journal articles and handbook chapters
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on a variety of topics ranging from cultural
0:44
evolution the criminology to the sociology
0:47
of empathy the two books include
0:50
cultural evolution here it is the
0:52
empirical and theoretical landscape
0:54
love that cover and
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, dance of innovation infrastructure
0:59
social isolation and the evolution
1:01
of society's along with along non to say
1:03
he's one of the to see researchers of the skeptic
1:06
research center so you'll recognize his name
1:08
from that's and i had the honor of serving
1:10
on his dissertation committee for his phd
1:12
thesis on the rise of the nuns those
1:14
who hold no religious affiliation
1:17
have a nice to see how you doing
1:20
nice to see my on good
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yeah so we were
1:24
just talking off air and and you know that this conversation
1:26
numerous times as you've been through the job market's and
1:28
you work your way up to ten year and so forth
1:31
i was sociology changed over
1:33
the years and have you seen
1:35
that kind of influx of diversity equity
1:38
and inclusion a movement in
1:40
your own field
1:42
so
1:43
this is something that
1:45
there's to really rise of the world war two was
1:47
something called the frankfurt school at least in the social
1:49
sciences these guys were
1:52
about marxists and i need to exploit they
1:54
needed to explain why the revolution had come
1:57
and so they appeal to all kinds of subliminal
1:59
influences the media and from various
2:01
thought leaders and society and so people were
2:04
basically self oppressing because they
2:06
weren't awakened yet to the the
2:09
significance and ubiquity of oppression
2:11
okay so this so this and sociology
2:14
and part of their motivation is to understand why
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hitler was who he was and
2:18
and and a spare thought was that he was
2:20
just brainwashed by his own ideology and now
2:22
the american public there's brainwash not
2:25
by not using but by capital the
2:27
better sort of an exploitive and and a saxon
2:29
and cruelty in and oppression are are
2:31
not unlike the other so so there's
2:34
the academic influenced by you
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always would have realized michael is that you always need
2:39
a catalyst in the mainstream population
2:41
or this this this poison doesn't
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doesn't enforce the culture the the
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catalyst either was ah
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the election of barack obama the and
2:50
the media needing the to explain
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opposition to the obamas
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clearly brilliant i can accomplish
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lawyer very
3:00
open to compromise
3:02
and and with across the aisle he
3:05
was in many ways a fantastic present that
3:08
there was resistance to him
3:09
the from some democrats from a lot of republicans
3:12
and the media had an opportunity here they
3:15
could have tried to take seriously
3:17
some of his criticism and try it on
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a policy level but
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that wouldn't have made as much money it was much easier
3:24
to protect them as racists all
3:26
opposition to obama is racism or bigotry
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the simplified a the real
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issue which was that of course people can our policy
3:33
disagreements with a bomb like a job with anybody but
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instead of reporting honestly about the
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nature of have much of this disagreements
3:40
obama which i think had a lot to do with nationalism
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for school was an outlook on the world
3:45
a caricature to all mostly
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as racist the tea party came
3:50
to be the face of the republican party despite being
3:52
a minority of that party so
3:55
that was the catalyst and that goldberg who's
3:57
just got his political science phd as a fantastic
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com esse i'm about how the media
4:02
shifted how they talk about politics
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to be much more even that it was
4:06
before and i caught him as centralized
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black and white the republicans are these racist
4:11
bigots in the democrats are these forward
4:13
thinking on morally insightful
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beings so there was that finally
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michael washing i know someone answer but
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i there's history prongs is that there's the historical
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academic angle there's this media
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angle on trying to make money and a muslim
4:28
there's the rise of the university bureaucracy
4:30
though by some estimates on the number
4:33
of administrators and universities has grown by
4:35
over two hundred and fifty now
4:37
movies a on individuals
4:40
are mostly catering to student
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life and universities
4:44
have become something of a spot something
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of of resort you get your mental health
4:48
therapy you get your gym you get your
4:50
food you get your kanye concerts
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etc etc and this is all very wonderful
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but it turns out it has nothing to do with learning most
4:57
of the time the and
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and knowledge and and
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to seeking and and learning about statistics and
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all these so
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i'm students expect to come to the university
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and basically be pampered and flattered they
5:10
want to be able to pass classes by just talking
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about their personal experiences in their
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wishes in their desires the world and
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i'm so there's a three pronged approach and i think
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they've intersected in the sir pathological
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way
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yeah on a ladder
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a point see races
5:27
or at the ratio of administration
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the students to teachers or
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something like that way it was that the the ratios
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teachers to students hasn't changed that much
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but the ratio of administrators to students
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has changed is that the a major distinction
5:42
there the answer these people
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have to be paid amina they've they're paid pretty
5:47
well we know how this works you gotta get your health
5:49
care and and you know all that
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of it that the perks and benefits and
5:53
as staff and you know administrators
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citizen support the administrators that's
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pretty expensive is that's why tuition
6:01
is gonna more than pretty much any other
6:03
product or service in the country
6:06
why i should say that
6:09
if you look at the history of universities
6:11
they've always been retreats for the elite some
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people took it seriously but but you know there's always
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a little bit of a spot of the truth is is now it's become
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democratize it's become com ah to fight available
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to the masses so is is part
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of why to isn't going up yes to to on
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fund the bureaucracy the sort of rent seeking
6:28
but it's also just a matter of opening up the universe
6:30
is more and more and more people and there's obvious
6:32
financial incentives to doing this the
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next a university rankings in many cases are
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predicated in part on the amount
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of complications of our students
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and the and and how many students they graduate
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ranking is impervious on that those
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you can admit a lot of students not only do make money
6:48
but if you pass them through it looks
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like you're being very effective because of course there's no real
6:52
evaluation graduates once they graduate
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about what they actually learnt rarely is not available
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to the public's so yeah it is
6:58
a desire to make money and and now they have to fund this
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this huge bureaucracies well
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yeah
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it was writing electron valerie
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in one of my examples was is it is
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a college education worth it what
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the metric well the usually the metric
7:14
you run into is like like life long
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ernie the college students do
7:18
appear to make more money than non college
7:21
grads the course your to be a
7:23
dozen other variables in there that explain
7:25
that and that the education itself may
7:27
not affect that i don't know how much you know about
7:29
the up it's it's it's oh my word ask
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you you know when when you have kids and saw it would
7:34
you send him to a college educated get to get a college
7:36
educations two hundred fifty thousand bucks
7:38
the world
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the college degree earnings are usually aggregated
7:44
so if you're if you get a degree and petroleum
7:46
engineering does gonna bring the average of might have been the
7:48
enemy collapse or the majors in the sociology
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majors are riding along and the stem majors in terms
7:53
of of earnings
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so it hard i we have to desegregate
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i did i think the the returns investment of
8:00
a college degree for many majors like was an
8:02
english major humanities majors on
8:04
some social science majors at is is lower
8:07
than the public i think realizes i
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don't others native it would also make
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us because i'm i think i think it's really
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important that the public and this is a kind
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of a lot of bugaboo of mine has become
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i want to public to be not yet you know
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that a facebook page i fucking love science
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and we treated our science it
8:27
is it's deification it's a real occasion
8:29
of knowledge production and college
8:31
and university these places
8:34
are filled with confusions and ideologies
8:36
and and research programs that are going nowhere
8:39
but but but but are easy to advocate
8:41
for or or sound good and you know the
8:43
university has all kinds of strengths and weaknesses
8:45
with in it and it within its own knowledge production
8:48
mechanisms and so what i syndicate
8:50
a college what depends on what major he wants
8:53
and or she and and if she wants to get
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a would say it social sciences or humanities
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degrees i want her to go in there savvy
9:00
i don't want her to to confuse
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sloganeering for knowledge
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so smash capitalism d fun police
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are you know whiteness widespread you've
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gotta be able to tell the difference between sloganeering
9:13
and knowledge and another
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thing as you just quickly doing here there's
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the i jumped defecation a pirate there
9:19
are many many many people night known higher
9:22
and more than there are tenured faculty
9:24
who are working for very very low wages
9:27
as adjunct and whether
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or not you are resigned in your contract as an adjunct
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is highly predicated on your
9:33
student evaluations though they're incentive
9:35
is just to give students simple slogans
9:38
you know write essays the just talk about your personal
9:40
thoughts you know because they want
9:42
the soonest why consider they can keep their jobs
9:44
were treating too many phd is is not have jobs
9:46
for that's a whole separate technology so
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to answer your question my god i would send my kid to college
9:51
but i care about what major they got and
9:53
i would teach them to to be savvy
9:55
about professors and about the academy
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and agitated
9:59
the
9:59
the last appeal to authority for up
10:02
yeah
10:03
the cosmologist astronomer i know sabine
10:06
hassenfeld the coming on
10:08
the show with their her book on physics posted
10:10
on twitter few months ago us hurt her
10:12
grant to study black
10:15
holes and it's relationship to the origin
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the universe was sent back in
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which the grand in agency said you you
10:22
didn't include a statement about diversity equity
10:24
and inclusion and how this research is gonna
10:26
help people collar and minorities as on
10:29
the posted this on twitter and say what the fuck
10:31
do i say and he was my research
10:33
has nothing to do with this what's the what's
10:35
what's the words i need to plug in there
10:38
this is outrageous
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it is ridiculous michael it is stupid
10:43
and it often doesn't apply the many
10:45
projects too many research projects but
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here's here's what i do to keep myself automatic i
10:50
look at this as a a
10:53
a next step in the loosening
10:55
an opening of institutions in society
10:58
we're trying to appeal to the largest
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possible audience and now to is a
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global audience and
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it's only going to become larger in the short so
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i see this as a a a kind of
11:10
a mass appeal to can have ridiculous consequences
11:13
a desperate attempt at a masterpiece
11:15
no try
11:18
to i tried to be optimistic about it because really it it it
11:20
does seem to me like ideology and it it does
11:22
seem to be having a more negative effect on outgrowth
11:25
something positive but the upside to this
11:27
is i think this is is desperate appeal to the
11:29
try to market your work to everybody try
11:31
to make it a relevant to everybody and of something basically
11:33
getting this has been akin to
11:36
ideologically extreme places
11:38
yeah
11:40
well we desire to the dean of diversity
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equity and inclusion a job in university and
11:44
this this must do colleague liberal
11:47
open friendly nice to pretty
11:49
white or in i i
11:52
don't have never even heard of any well
11:54
somebody painted a swastika somewhere
11:56
on some building a few years ago was like the only one
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of her i'm just one what what
12:00
did these dean's do because
12:02
it seems like college colleges
12:05
universities are amongst the most
12:07
liberal progressive the least likely
12:10
where you're going to encounter neighborhood
12:12
kkk or the proud boys are going to show
12:14
up or anything like that
12:16
so i mean is it
12:18
kind of a virtue signaling look
12:20
we're totally on board with
12:22
the moral progress and we want to do our part
12:24
so we're gonna hire this person to
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show
12:27
are they are other really does incidences
12:29
i don't know about and there's there's bad things
12:31
that happen and we still have a long ways to go
12:35
i think it's easy to forget that
12:38
the intends to our the of human nature
12:41
though we we'd be a foragers trade with
12:43
others but they also raid others and
12:45
there's a lot of violence in forging society the
12:47
very tribalism i think i think
12:49
voices become extremely stable
12:51
and secure and i'm so grateful for these things
12:54
and and i would appeal to work like years of the moral art
12:56
work by pinker hans rosling many
12:58
people several people don't sort not enough i would
13:00
even said what life is
13:02
different now it's stable would secure and
13:05
i think that people nevertheless have that part of their
13:07
their primate heritage that tribalism they
13:10
want to be for the underdog they
13:12
want to fight it
13:14
speaks to something deep it's not just
13:16
mental illness and you know i don't
13:19
forget to this but the the whole trans being is it a social
13:21
contagion you know is what what is it has as it's
13:23
just more accepting environment on
13:25
part of it's citizen more accepting environment part
13:27
is it as it as political identity it's underdog
13:29
i done it's a war
13:32
worth fighting for trans people's
13:34
inclusion you know so so what these
13:36
you ask me where these deals doing your
13:38
help we can further underdog identity which
13:41
is giving people a deep sense of meaning and it's
13:43
giving them a tribal warfare two wage
13:46
the right though
13:48
humans have a moral ah
13:50
sense an outrage over injustice
13:52
and so on and we all feel like we want that
13:55
is a paid but most of the big prizes
13:57
have been nabbed right civil rights women's
13:59
the day right same sex marriage
14:02
the animal rights and so we made so much progress
14:04
that i may be young people coming up
14:06
the pipeline's a while i wanna do something up
14:09
whereas my seventeen seventy six moment
14:11
like the people it's and january sixth
14:13
insurrection said or or i
14:15
want to be like martin luther king jr get out
14:17
there and marts ah ,
14:20
but you know that like the pride
14:22
like the this is pride month and read the pride parade
14:24
was last weekend it no longer
14:27
really a big thing to be gay or lesbian
14:29
anymore as i love that so old school
14:31
now you know that dot wow
14:33
what a i gotta be and where we get a march for
14:35
about tramp though
14:38
maybe that impart explain some of that
14:40
it's always been like this to so marx was
14:43
not i have this is all basically
14:45
it's a your dividing the world into the oppressed in the oppressor
14:48
and and and a reason for people's life circumstances
14:50
because of our external oppression of so
14:52
this is this is just marxism just remain
14:55
reimagine it was always
14:57
like this remarks the outta hell of a time convincing
14:59
the working class and is pissed him off
15:01
and angered him it was the parisian coffee
15:03
houses you know you know the where where the people
15:05
had time to sit back and talk about ideas
15:08
a loved it's it's always
15:11
this this view of the world this this some
15:13
essential is good versus evil view of the world
15:15
highly politicized highly obstructed
15:18
it's very it's always appealed to people
15:20
who i think the hadn't
15:22
had not enough of daily struggle and
15:25
maybe we're looking for some more cosmic more existential
15:27
struggle i don't think this applies to all cases
15:29
but i think this is real important
15:32
thread
15:34
right so well yes
15:38
but there's some point if you're infringing
15:40
on other rights in early one this is part
15:42
of the unit that push back against my trans movement
15:44
that people like abigail schreier and
15:46
i just recorded episode yesterday with helen
15:48
joyce wrote this book contract and
15:51
she's a feminist years ago but now she's
15:53
a turf i guess sense but she's a british
15:55
economist or a mathematician
15:58
that works for the economist she's
16:00
a smart cookie and really did a lot of
16:02
research on this books that are main thesis
16:04
is that you know this is kind of taking
16:07
away he a women's rights would
16:09
have been a women's rights you know this idea that men
16:11
can identify as women and walk into a changing
16:14
room with naked women or a
16:16
spot like the we saw incident here
16:18
in los angeles or prisons
16:20
worse we you know where that you know rape culture
16:22
goes on and you know of course
16:25
than sports you know that so at
16:27
some point you just end up with conflicting rights
16:29
there's the rights of trans yes trans rights
16:31
are human rights yes of course he
16:33
should be fired from your job because you're trans
16:35
yeah okay he of as protests
16:38
but what happens if it's conflict he
16:40
was some other right that was already hard won the
16:42
case women's rights then what are you
16:46
there there is a in a suit
16:48
strain of conservatism in marxism that
16:50
nobody ever talks about they are only
16:53
out manifests here yes i think
16:55
a lot of this what
16:57
you're talking about to be a thomas' there's a
16:59
lot of internalized homophobia
17:01
though if i have a son there can see
17:03
what we would cox having a traditionally conservative
17:06
gender role attitude i have a son
17:08
and my son was play with dolls or were address
17:10
or wear make up the
17:13
that because he's a human who's
17:15
curious about the world any theories
17:17
about expressing some degree that probably
17:19
means he's smart if i have a girl
17:21
that's more of a tomboy that's okay
17:23
girls very and how what
17:26
what sort of activities they like how much the overlap
17:28
with was just doesn't not been my daughter
17:30
is a boy it does not mean my boy
17:32
is a girl it means that there is variance
17:34
in human beings and he
17:36
so i think it's fascinating and this
17:39
ostensibly woke progressive ideology
17:41
you actually have this ordinarily
17:43
rigid view of gender and you'll see the same thing with
17:46
race of six same thing with a lot of their concerns
17:50
i'm but i can get sir you
17:52
know they don't deserve the mantle of liberalism they're not liberals
17:55
they're not the i wouldn't call them progressive there
17:58
they're an inning and
17:59
food i have this pet theory which i have no data
18:02
for although i can begin to an electric
18:04
said the last survey we did
18:06
the
18:07
the question that pertain to the spot the
18:09
going to look at the relationship between
18:11
very vocal than out
18:13
rather extreme ideological leftists
18:16
and the degree to which they were raised religious
18:19
but became the feast or
18:21
became secular they have
18:23
the sort of religious way of looking at the world
18:25
as a centralized good versus evil dichotomy
18:27
sort of way of looking at the world but
18:29
it's soren over the religious cosmology
18:34
religious dogma the supernatural police christianity
18:37
percent they maintained the surest
18:39
way of looking at the world
18:41
and they're pissed off because their parents
18:43
try to shove religion down their throat and so they feel
18:46
that powers oppressive and they have all these intuitions
18:48
about how the world it's really just
18:50
a function of secular nation it's people coming
18:52
out of strict religious traditions
18:54
and trying to interpret the world and doing it and
18:56
pseudo religious way
18:58
almost components
19:00
that thirty years because it's buried
19:02
the rise of the nuns we
19:04
were all hope hopefully i'm hoping they would
19:06
join the skeptic society and subscribe discover
19:08
magazine and and support richard dawkins foundation
19:11
and and so forth but it looks like maybe
19:13
their efforts and i thought well some of them are go to
19:15
deepak chopra becomes western buddhist
19:17
or something like that now looks like to go into
19:19
the you know the blm anti racism
19:22
religion as john mcwhorter cause it's or
19:24
as you to said the kind of woke progressive religion
19:27
it is kind of a religion right the mean without the
19:29
supernatural
19:31
yeah this is another thing like over this is
19:33
changed so that you know as
19:35
technology changes as as as transportation
19:38
technology changes in communication technology so
19:40
the to three or more decentralized there
19:42
isn't going to be a localized her to that everybody goes
19:45
through it's gonna be decentralized it's can be and
19:47
know across university campuses are across media
19:49
outlets or something like that
19:51
it's not going to be supernatural anymore it's
19:54
it's impossible to growth and twenty twenty two
19:56
and go to the doctor when you get sick
19:58
our our
19:59
the have an i phone that has the world at your fingertips
20:02
it's impossible to live in this world is technocratic
20:04
world the and be intensely
20:06
supernatural day today will still find it
20:08
but the rates are gonna be going down my
20:11
my argument is that we have to look at religion and
20:13
i and and every and out a deep historical
20:15
sense and and op and how is it changes
20:17
eighteen hundreds them because it
20:19
course it will have there's no reasonably the the religion
20:21
today will look like the religion or five hundred years
20:24
though i do get a lot of pushback when
20:26
i when i characterize i'm political ideologies
20:28
in general is potentially religious left or right but
20:31
to push back is always credit if they're always assuming
20:33
that religion as to stay static are
20:36
we going to be a church and i was going to be supernatural that
20:38
this is like you know that's how religion was
20:41
does not have religion isn't that when will be
20:43
it's more like
20:45
maybe a political aid ideology or a
20:47
kind of a tribal the collective
20:50
that has a core set of the
20:53
leave this is what we believe in
20:55
of the here's the twelve things if you take ten
20:57
of i'm you're you're you're in our try the
20:59
you don't need that outside supernatural imploded
21:02
so and then what does that mean
21:04
it means what it social capital makes me feel
21:06
like i'm part of a movement that's
21:09
gonna affect change that's good for
21:11
society and i get to be part of it it
21:14
is something like that
21:16
him and i think it has what to do with identity verification
21:18
i think we have ideal self i
21:21
think it's hard to think of our ideal selves without
21:23
going beyond who we actually are to
21:26
be the real more moral than we probably are more
21:28
honest and we really are said
21:29
the
21:30
and it can be covered with religious garden you have with
21:32
political guard it
21:35
is it becomes a problem when when it
21:37
gets tied it is our group for nice to be defeated
21:39
and and demolished and overwhelmed that
21:42
that's good work it's bad but i think we all have
21:44
a deal as cells are there it's just not all religious
21:46
or politico the almighty yourself of
21:48
we would have to do with my family my kids are taken
21:51
care of my parents in all i
21:53
would have to consciously do that because i can get all politically round
21:55
up to an and feel superior are you know but
21:58
it's it's a
22:00
this isn't good for you
22:02
yeah
22:03
the i am worried about the extreme
22:06
polarization of the last few years it does seem
22:08
like it's worse is that is or sociological
22:10
date on that i'm it's the i'm old enough
22:12
to remember watergate and nineteen sixty eight
22:14
and boy was contentious back then and
22:16
then you read about the president just the jefferson
22:19
thomas jefferson and john adams they hated
22:21
each other you i said to the third sept eighteen
22:23
hundred was horrible is it really worse
22:25
now is that recent see a fact we have dated
22:28
it really quantify that
22:31
the elite polarization he's
22:33
getting is most obviously worse
22:35
you can find study is wear a mask polarization
22:37
so by oh he would i mean i me now i
22:41
mean people who work in media and
22:43
politicians for the most part what what
22:45
we mean by least day and and an
22:48
education education media and
22:50
politicians it seems that people in those
22:53
running those institutions were i love isn't those
22:55
instructions are becoming more polarized because
22:58
their job to well
23:00
let's say it's not their job or it's become their
23:02
job unfortunately to
23:04
monetize v or
23:07
character and bad intentions of
23:09
their adversaries
23:11
the
23:13
but nasa it's it's it's not it's not
23:15
most people's job to do that it's most people's jobs
23:17
show up and put in a good eight hours
23:19
whatever that is filling in excel sheet or digging
23:22
it did it doesn't matter but event a to go
23:24
home to their kids and i'm it's
23:26
and their job isn't to monetize
23:29
the these soak the apparent
23:31
sinfulness of the other a political
23:33
tribe and so i read polarization
23:35
seems to be ah increasing more than
23:38
mass polarization in fact we have some data on
23:40
that from a skeptic research center which we can talk
23:42
about that were we so that the our
23:44
our we have tolerance measures you know so
23:46
we as democrats what's the
23:48
up party opposite you and they say okay
23:50
republicans are the party opposite of
23:52
i would you feel if a republican was dating
23:55
and a family member of yours how would you feel of a
23:57
republican moved in next door to you how would you
23:59
feel for republicans
23:59
elected official and the
24:02
level of intolerance is very low most people
24:04
are taller
24:05
and this is a representative sample of the population
24:08
we can't find high levels of
24:10
to start chopping them up by how extreme left
24:12
the or how extreme expertise look at a representative
24:14
sample they're not at all if other things to care about
24:17
and frankly
24:18
you know
24:19
you have to be able to interact at all kinds of people
24:22
in life i think the ability to to occupy
24:24
specialized nieces and good specialize restaurants
24:26
and that is that the decision to be correlated with
24:29
incomes and be correlated class this elite
24:31
class it's keep coming so polarized
24:33
i think i think everyday people have a hard time
24:35
avoiding those that they disagree with you gotta get
24:37
along with it so i so i would
24:39
have would have question into
24:42
the as if he has the same questions of
24:44
let's say the fox news journalists said the
24:46
cnn journalists or people at the
24:48
wall street journal who are journalists at the new
24:50
york times or you as members
24:53
of congress the how you feel if
24:55
your son or daughter were dating somebody in the other
24:57
party i guess as you probably would then
24:59
find more polarization right that those
25:01
daily
25:04
the and a get a good article on
25:06
a sculpture listen dehumanization
25:08
there is some evidence of dehumanization you
25:11
can find it in the masses you can find on that leads by
25:14
it's there is a concern i didn't
25:16
get much more concern among the weeds and it's just going slow
25:18
down our political process but it's because mean
25:22
yeah
25:23
they talked about the the hatred of obama
25:26
and the mean that it was race related wealth
25:28
where exactly h is that it was an
25:30
easy trick in the bag to call all of the
25:32
opposition to obama race it was a cheater
25:35
it was a money grab and it was wrong because
25:38
humans are more complicated than that the
25:40
even the so called conservatives the
25:43
so called you nine redneck conservatives they're
25:45
not all races they look at the world
25:48
in a different way to live a different life there
25:50
was a responsibility to describe that in the pub
25:53
yeah
25:54
well journalism used to be kind of a
25:56
are working class job in the thirties
25:58
and forties and then it became
26:00
an elite job as india
26:03
to have a degree from ajay school and
26:05
elite j schools and and and
26:07
that land you in the new york times or for
26:10
a c b s or whatever yeah
26:12
so that's that's a different kind of problem
26:14
on the trans issue okay so here's the
26:16
debate is it really a social contagion
26:19
or is it that the
26:21
society's becoming much more open
26:23
in and liberal and therefore these
26:25
people are now able to come out in the real
26:27
number really is not one
26:29
tenth of one percent but more like three
26:32
percent or whatever and
26:34
yet how do we know what what it is
26:36
or what combination it could be
26:39
that's a good question somebody
26:41
like abigail shire has done a good job documenting
26:43
the socialization influences
26:46
the kid
26:47
regarding this issue so
26:50
i think it's it's the any know
26:52
the vatican of research you want you
26:54
also want longitudinal research on a track these
26:56
kids over time you know that's the easiest way to show
26:58
if this is a this
27:01
is a genuine difference in sexual
27:03
expression which i'm open to actually i actually
27:05
think that the parties are becoming
27:07
more impersonal more anonymous
27:10
as they grow larger the and
27:12
maybe one adaptation to that is becoming more bisexual
27:14
become more food sexual you know it
27:16
even harder to establish strong bonds
27:18
with people there now one way to
27:20
do it more acutely is to sexuality
27:23
than and i think this is something that evolutionary
27:26
sociologists you know the two of them that exist should
27:28
think about evolutionary psychologists
27:30
to sexuality is a potent
27:32
way to establish to establish it's a way to establish
27:34
upon quick and fast and
27:36
and meaningful
27:37
so it's bisexuality
27:40
might be a means of social cohesion
27:42
and an increasingly large an anonymous and despair
27:44
society toronto canada possible
27:46
the i think i think honestly you need wanted to know research
27:49
he to look at the socialization influences
27:52
then you need to look at you know what kids getting
27:55
from this you know good and bad on
27:57
are they able to make friends easier when they say there
28:00
stuff like that you know
28:02
it it's not about their self identification
28:04
so much as the consequences of identification on their
28:06
social that
28:07
the morning what right now we're just focusing basically ornamental
28:10
help us
28:12
right he if you you identify
28:15
if you're by yourself in your room you
28:17
don't tell anybody then
28:19
that cuts you off from the social glue
28:22
that you get from interacting
28:24
so so much of the superior to happen online
28:26
and the social media communities where
28:29
it be no point in coming out as whatever
28:31
if no one knows me kind of the whole point
28:33
it seems to me is that i get to tell other
28:35
people about it then you get love bombed yeah
28:38
i'll use a courageous and and you know
28:40
you're so wonderful and open
28:42
and in and week a week to encourage this so that
28:45
encouraged and other people can see that the
28:47
how to social contagion think that it takes off
28:50
and damn yeah so i ever
28:53
have friend and colleague who's
28:55
the that be couple have
28:58
it's with the see a nineteen year old and twenty
29:00
three year old both of whom were two women two
29:02
girls one
29:05
is decided she's gay and the other ones decided she's
29:07
trans and of course that of
29:09
down wanted to talk to the of course we love
29:11
you except it whatever you are what
29:14
are you know you sure and beyond so i'm just
29:16
as a few questions and that was like oh mom
29:18
years than everybody in the class the
29:20
something it's like it feel to be a standard
29:23
straight person would be yes thought
29:25
that is so boring men who wants
29:27
to do that the that
29:29
would you that that kind of a you know data
29:31
point in the social contagion explanation
29:34
rather than biology
29:36
yeah and i think
29:39
there might be another issue here which is that we're not
29:41
really teaching people very much in school and
29:43
college or or passing people through and
29:45
those people become teachers and
29:48
maybe even at k to twelve it becomes easier
29:50
to be a a slogan here the
29:52
a purveyor slogans and a purveyor of causes
29:55
been a purveyor of knowledge
29:56
though i mean i see i'm a professor with as people
29:58
through all the time it was
30:00
the tsunami universe ever seen
30:02
this is it it's called credential inflation
30:05
it's a it's some something happening robots
30:07
the consequence of that is is that our kids will
30:09
suffer there are going to get less rigorous education
30:11
and i i've learned that were education
30:14
is less rigorous you get a lot of slogans on a causes
30:16
of said come up all over the place where interesting
30:18
how they compensate for another though
30:20
there there's nothing in a guy i think there's just a lot going
30:23
on i i think the rubber meets
30:25
the road when you have read
30:27
also with right the is a women's
30:29
sports i think that's a clear where
30:33
something that might be an expression of greater
30:35
love of humanity and mean we get the declaration
30:37
of human rights relatively recently the
30:39
idea bubbling up an eighteen hundreds you
30:41
know how is it so different for little kid to say
30:43
i love everybody god this idea that
30:46
they can be romantic and everybody is a girl it's almost like
30:48
it the dissemination
30:50
of that basic philosophical concept so that's the nice
30:52
side that the good side but if
30:55
we become too
30:57
the
30:58
so do we on the phobic about this and we believe
31:00
that any boy who expresses any
31:02
trait that we would call feminine is therefore a girl
31:04
instead of just
31:06
boy different from what other girls different
31:09
we start infringing on people's rights
31:11
doesn't it becomes a problem and
31:13
i think you're gonna get out i started you exactly
31:16
i'm saying like or i just think of the larger mainstream
31:18
media has been a terrible job a perfect
31:21
yeah
31:23
yeah especially since you get called up the
31:25
transfer but you don't completely support
31:27
whatever the ideology
31:29
is address on it makes his point he can he can
31:31
make a better because he's a gay guys you know
31:33
that he's worried about these young men
31:35
that usa in their thirteen fourteen year old
31:38
thirteen year old and they find themselves attracted other
31:40
boys then he's worried
31:42
that teachers are telling them or school nurses
31:44
or whatever you know you're not that homosexual
31:47
you you might be you know as gender dysphoric
31:49
you might deepest secrets of he owed a girl inside
31:52
the hand in i undressed point as a
31:54
look we spent a staff a century fighting
31:56
for gay rights and now it's okay you
31:59
can be gays really okay with
32:01
this and a so you know that suits
32:03
that that's is by what happened the gays and lesbians
32:05
you know that the lesbians even more
32:08
i guess sir kind of disappearing
32:11
the people that are really pushing gender stereotypes
32:13
are now our liberal journalist
32:16
academics that boys are this and girls
32:18
are this anybody who knows the data there's
32:20
a spectrum there there's if there's different means
32:22
the around a variety of traits but
32:25
better so much overlap and so
32:27
a and in a classroom full of boys you're
32:30
going to get an incredible spectrum of behavior an interest
32:32
in a classroom full of girls in england credible spectrum
32:34
that doesn't mean the one is the boys or girls
32:36
and girls or boys it doesn't mean that we don't have to impose
32:38
those categories i
32:41
think you i think most people to notice intuitively
32:43
it's it's academic jargon that that pushes us
32:45
toward the possibility that were wrong
32:49
this idea that genders whatever
32:51
you wanted to be is you know he does
32:53
there's this movie map else is movie i've seen
32:55
it yet what is a woman regarded as
32:58
a milion apple is kind of thing we're in a puts
33:00
the camera on people and he does a little bit
33:02
of a gotcha where these these academics
33:04
and in an activist can't answer
33:07
the question what is a woman's
33:09
rights so if it is whatever it is you
33:11
say it is then if you're up
33:14
a male and you want to transition
33:16
to be in be female what is it you're transitioning
33:18
to if
33:21
you if you just said there is no definition
33:23
then why bother with the point
33:26
there's a social construction isn't that salafism
33:28
has it's it's incredible sought history that's been
33:30
allowed a person this
33:33
in academia it's incredible it is
33:35
it not allowed to have some else could
33:37
survive no i haven't seen that was
33:39
is a documentary i've heard about it the
33:41
previews i
33:43
read or not is that he is
33:46
not quite like a my lover a seems to be a more serious
33:48
person and and more earnest personal having milo
33:50
is kind of and it for the for the true for the trolling
33:53
and yet it's an important topic and and
33:55
and really liked his idea of going to tribes
33:57
forger groups and are
33:59
just more the cultural society society
34:01
the give us a little bit of a snapshot of what
34:03
life might have like until recently and
34:05
you see that are this ideology makes no
34:07
sense
34:09
here
34:10
the
34:11
imagine jokes half jokingly the two of
34:13
you who apply evolutionary theory
34:15
that sociological problems
34:18
and theories why is that why
34:20
why is darwin not penetrated or
34:22
evolutionary psychology evolutionary sociobiology
34:24
into sociology
34:28
for the same reason that it hasn't penetrated a evangel
34:30
christianity or any fundamentalists faith a
34:33
the more important is to you to
34:35
change the world tomorrow right now
34:37
because otherwise rafa
34:39
the less you want to believe that
34:42
there are structures and strictures
34:44
and limitations and weaknesses
34:47
and faults and cracks
34:50
and deep problems and human nature
34:53
that makes such the immediate
34:55
progress unlikely or possibly
34:58
not
34:59
realistic it depends
35:01
on what your causes it depends on
35:03
depends
35:04
how fast you want to to happen
35:06
it depends on what sort of
35:09
this is how radical you're willing to be i
35:11
but i think having said that you
35:13
know
35:15
the
35:15
this we also shows us that despite being
35:17
so tribal despite being so
35:20
i'm office and our social organization
35:23
the
35:23
we are capable of seeing humanity and people
35:26
that are maximum distant from us
35:28
that's an incredible trade mark moffett
35:30
who who i hispanics you cent of the
35:32
smith you know him he got he
35:34
is your college
35:36
market point out that it's impossible
35:38
for a chimpanzee to go into a
35:40
room with unknown chimpanzees so
35:42
there will be chimpanzee starbucks or shims,
35:44
come in and out and they don't each and there were
35:49
able to fundamentally understand a
35:51
deep sense of shared this, a
35:53
deep sense of wenis and and
35:55
it's so deep that it can be kind of subtle consciously,
35:57
you know, i don't walk into starbucks and think all these raw humans
35:59
what am i i just i just know i
36:02
and isn't part of that can do ya i'm
36:04
in my society or whatever but ill
36:06
people saw the time that they can take up and moved to other
36:09
societies and within a couple months
36:11
or maybe a couple years they have that same
36:13
feeling a wiener so on
36:15
yeah i think
36:16
our nature is flexible
36:18
what we have a nature then we had linux
36:21
and we are biases we have tendencies and
36:24
the more you want to change the world tomorrow the more active
36:26
as you are unless you want to believe that
36:28
unfortunately evolutionary theory
36:31
implies all kinds of faults and weaknesses
36:33
and biases that would make immediate change difficult
36:36
are unlikely your maybe even wrongheaded
36:38
on our and like maybe we don't really
36:40
understand what makes people happy
36:42
and our political ideologies are not a good insight
36:45
into that and we're actually you know there's a straight saying
36:47
of course the road to hell is paved with good intentions
36:49
this is the most in get from the bible
36:51
if i'm not mistaken something like that but
36:53
but it's it's it's it's it's is a lot of true today
36:57
yeah right so you know picker
36:59
makes the point that there can't be a blank
37:01
slate because the environment as to operate
37:03
on some structure that you
37:05
have the brain is does the physical that
37:08
being that i'm his fist physical oregon made
37:10
of stuff and in and we know house built
37:12
who jeans and son there has to be a genetic component
37:15
i guess what you're saying is that the fear by
37:17
let's say social activists is that if there's
37:19
any added component and
37:22
genes take too long to change we're not going to get
37:24
our as social change we want next
37:26
week if it's gonna take ten years
37:28
or twenty years to get their through slower
37:31
me
37:32
in not his jeans which is biases
37:34
cognitive distortions select confirmation bias
37:37
is going to make it harder to be right about
37:39
what policy be should have that's gonna be to for
37:41
liberals gonna make them harder to be right
37:43
to for conservatives to make them harder to be right so
37:46
if i may passionate conservative are passionate liberal
37:48
i'm sure about what policies we need to do and i'm all
37:50
riled up
37:51
i need to account for all of these and there's
37:53
a sweet advice users hundreds of by seasonal
37:55
depending on how much we want to parse
37:57
the you gotta come for all that shit
37:59
the for
37:59
you should be as confident
38:02
as you are imposing this policy on society
38:04
the better be damn sure the you know what you're talking about and
38:07
and i think evolutionary theory is
38:09
is what's causing us to focus
38:11
on the importance of these biases and how they distort
38:13
us because social construction as much as say
38:16
the products
38:17
the of i just read the right media and
38:19
i read the right writers been i know true
38:21
it's a very subtly flattering believed
38:24
to be a social construction is but it's not sure
38:28
right so this is the point conservatives
38:30
make that i the tend to
38:32
agree with that kind of bercy and edgar burke
38:35
and conservativism sorry ah that
38:38
you know we spent centuries or
38:40
even millennia developing these social
38:43
institutions and structures which you are
38:45
books feel lot with before
38:47
we just burn the whole system down and from
38:49
away list let's look at what work
38:52
keep the ones that work and then lightly
38:55
legally slowly gradually change
38:57
as it's the ones that need fixing abolish
39:00
slavery and torture and so on and
39:02
so forth and will get there but be
39:04
careful
39:06
i can i can put a fine point on your point michael
39:09
during the summer twenty twenty riot
39:12
the amount or defended least was
39:14
everywhere are you had democrat
39:16
congress people
39:18
hurting at yad academics parenting and
39:21
on twitter
39:22
an actual survey of african americans so
39:24
that eighty one percent why did nothing
39:26
it in the right actually several surveys show something similar
39:29
and want nothing to do it definitely doesn't make
39:31
sense right what why would you take way because they
39:33
want incremental reform obviously and
39:35
they wanted to be dated her obviously so
39:38
you know this the about now
39:40
incremental reform data driven incremental
39:42
reform and and and arms out
39:45
across partisan debate so
39:47
much was energizing there's so much less emotional
39:49
energy than d from the police smash those motherfuckers
39:52
right so you know it's not be virtuous
39:55
to have that feeling of we're going to chase is right
39:57
now and i estimate virtuous it's dangerous
40:00
and and the people who have who stand the most
40:02
to lose will tell you that
40:06
yeah my line of that is it you know
40:09
it in activists slogan you know what are we want
40:11
slow gradual legal teams when do we wanted
40:13
eventually says no one's going to get
40:15
out of their chair and good evidence to city hall the
40:17
march for that but
40:20
but us reality in on this that's that's the reality
40:22
of yeah yeah
40:24
yeah oh , well
40:26
yeah no task you may that point the know that defined
40:29
the police just handed it over to toots
40:31
fox news and hannity and carlson
40:33
uses gave away to the
40:35
far right you know
40:37
their what yeah that's what really needs to be
40:39
done right them in so other me discover
40:42
that since you you are a top before you got into
40:44
academia right i forget how many years
40:46
you
40:47
you did that is it is a job i should
40:49
clarify our to clarify so i've i
40:51
was a police cadet at a at a police department
40:53
and then i went to a police academy so from that
40:55
experience i was a not a sworn officer
40:58
i thought it was a new cspan so i went to a police
41:00
academy in monterey graduated from please carry
41:02
on went back to that department for about three
41:04
months
41:05
and i got accepted to college in northern
41:07
california nowhere
41:09
though a police officer and only the most surface
41:11
sense but yes i went through an academy award
41:13
it it apart and for short
41:16
in in quell it but then
41:18
you did study criminology and
41:20
and that you know why crimea insurgency allergy
41:22
of crime then you know in
41:25
other all other research on the decline
41:27
of crime since the early nineties
41:29
what ninety three or so on the sides
41:31
and and what and and rapes and and
41:34
of burglaries and science but now there's
41:36
been an uptick sense what twenty
41:38
nineteen twenty nineteen so
41:41
how do you think about that what's the cause of the septic
41:44
as it's just a temporary blip in
41:46
their overall downward trending
41:48
curves of the decline of violence or howdy
41:52
i think anytime we're looking at a trend like gun
41:54
violence rate of violence we always
41:56
need to take advil am a long
41:58
term view and by
41:59
term i mean maybe five ten years and i mean really
42:02
long term but many of these
42:04
sorts of distributions of behavior pretty
42:06
rare behavior like homicide they are
42:08
sought to to distributions so depending
42:10
on the year you look at it's going up and and going down
42:12
but if is zoom out you see this long term
42:14
decline even though it's it's sought to throughout
42:17
so on is this attack
42:20
or a substantial unlike what was on
42:22
the nineteen eighties maybe
42:24
i don't know i think that what
42:27
we should be doing a social scientists social
42:30
noting the increase on and
42:34
growing on our existing explanations for what might
42:36
be going on here and i'm looking
42:38
to historical
42:40
are examples of the so in
42:42
the nineteen sixties you had similar
42:44
i don't know for some i needed something to talk
42:46
about but you had riots the
42:48
and you also a rise in crime
42:51
i think you know economic recessions
42:53
tend to be associated with rises in crime and
42:56
inflation it inflationary
42:58
peers and to be associated with rising crime unemployment
43:00
has to be associated with rising crime
43:02
the disruption in people's routine
43:04
activities as
43:07
, they can cause all kinds of
43:09
fall out and in many different ways you know if
43:11
you as hard get along with your wife before him and
43:13
he got to spend all day with our analyses just
43:15
things the superficial things like this where maybe
43:18
a divorce happens when it wouldn't have otherwise and raises
43:20
the stress and economic stress
43:22
of the person of the think we we would we
43:25
just wanna
43:26
hold off on being too confident on whether network
43:28
i'm sure the journal or a d around
43:30
magazine articles will be you know try and
43:32
the spiking and has gone up forever and and is super
43:35
predators were probably get more of these narratives
43:37
the down
43:38
as when the ninety nineties taught us was
43:40
the crime can drop like iraq
43:42
the
43:43
we really we still live in
43:46
arguably
43:47
the most peaceful period in american history is not as peaceful
43:49
as five years ago but the most peaceful general eric
43:51
editor
43:52
our decades so crimes
43:54
to relatively low that's the first thing it is
43:57
going on but we have existing
43:59
explanations
43:59
try to grapple with that and it doesn't
44:02
mean that it can't start to go back down
44:04
the
44:05
the economy recovers and people
44:07
go back to work and day
44:09
start living there every eighteen months before
44:11
the pandemic
44:13
so yeah when i don't know the answer for you michael
44:16
yeah well i am not sure anybody
44:18
does but you know there might be and availability
44:20
heuristic affect their works you
44:22
know in certain cities chicago portland
44:25
seattle and a few others where there's a big
44:27
spike in crime in
44:29
homicides and gun shootings and
44:31
that's what makes the news of course we it's
44:33
but if you're walking around some quiet city
44:35
that doesn't have that it is you should
44:37
not be worried about getting shot as you're walking
44:39
down the sidewalk and so
44:42
it's it's it's it's maybe there's a power law
44:44
like you know ninety percent of the uptake can
44:46
be accounted for by ten percent of the places
44:48
where it happens and the other
44:50
ninety percent of the places there's no object
44:54
exactly and criminology research shows this
44:56
actually that in a place like chicago
44:58
in any given neighborhood in chicago it's it's
45:00
about five percent young males
45:03
who are causing eighty to ninety percent of so
45:06
yes it it it's of it's a rare event crime
45:08
is a rare event am committed by the
45:12
people
45:12
so when it does go up it's really hard to fit
45:14
to put your thumb on why it is because it's
45:17
so few people driving at relative to the population
45:20
the vpn
45:22
the have been writing about gun control
45:24
i believe there should be gun control i
45:26
think people should be licensed and so on so
45:29
forth and and but honestly
45:31
i have no idea of anything anybody's
45:33
proposing to do like
45:35
any difference at all and he another
45:38
step four hundred million guns in america
45:40
what it's hundred twenty gun per hundred people
45:42
so the way to have one hundred million guns
45:45
and you know did not never going to be a buyback
45:47
or attorney and like in australia just
45:50
not gonna happen here you'd have waco and
45:52
and ruby ridge every weekend at
45:54
least those people's it just go out and try
45:56
to come get my guns or it's it would be
45:59
catastrophic in in a most
46:01
people are law abiding they don't issue
46:03
people with their guns and they keep i'm locked up and saw
46:06
on it's only the criminals i know the argue i'm
46:08
curious know what you think is there any hope
46:11
to do anything maybe reduce the card
46:13
is a little bit odd are no is just to me i just some
46:15
place while taught my
46:17
the stuff
46:19
first about a gun buybacks in the cities
46:21
where this has been tried oakland
46:24
for example rich men they're different cities it
46:26
turns out the people turning their broken guns
46:28
they they they don't give you their guns because
46:30
the don't work i can to keep it has that worked out
46:33
of so up an owner of living
46:36
the
46:37
what do you do okay so your point about
46:39
the prevalence of guns in a population i think
46:41
is very very substantial
46:44
the it means that if we stop selling guns tomorrow
46:46
if somehow we banned the sale of guns and
46:48
and and we would be absolutely regulated
46:50
at to perfection you still have
46:53
more than one gun for every person and person
46:55
and and states so did
46:57
the dispersion of guns the diffusion of guns
46:59
that that is already in place is a huge
47:02
problem in terms of what we can do
47:04
i think if you're see if you look
47:06
at democrat and republican voters
47:08
they agree on a lot the actually agree on
47:10
quite a bit it's it's the elite
47:12
politicians who are magnified
47:14
disagreements
47:16
universal background checks
47:19
some kind of red flag law
47:21
these sorts of things on a regulating
47:24
the magazine size most americans
47:26
agree on the sex
47:27
the and
47:29
you know i isn't just a matter of some
47:32
sort of critical masses
47:33
shootings
47:35
we get serious about it
47:37
maybe
47:38
sometimes these things change when it's
47:40
a very salient person whose child was killed
47:42
like a celebrity symbol of celebratory
47:45
really want to say it but symbol
47:47
of celebrity as a child in there and they're shot
47:49
very visceral way in as caught on social media
47:51
it's caught on video that's the kind
47:53
of thing that i think would move the needle your unfortunately
47:55
it it takes something very emotionally salient culturally
47:58
so me to do
47:59
the why did
47:59
where'd you issue and and we also to be clear
48:02
that is very rare this is mass shootings are extremely
48:05
rare thank goodness
48:06
they're talked about a lot on media during
48:08
a recession devastating the absolutely
48:11
should be addressed legislatively but they're rare
48:13
they are they're rare we're talking about point zero
48:15
zero one percent of the male population is
48:17
doing this so there's that
48:19
to do we have to keep perspective
48:22
yeah there's been i've heard some arguments about you know show
48:25
the pictures of these children in
48:27
uvalde a because apparently it's just
48:29
horrible car to make you can't even recognize
48:31
who the kids are this is just you know
48:33
it's just a massive meet as the
48:35
horror than the argument is
48:37
that your m when emmett till was killed
48:40
his mother sell the the funeral
48:42
an open casket the people get
48:44
actually see what they did was body
48:47
works
48:48
the people were like oh my god had no idea
48:50
what this looks like you can't
48:52
find some pictures i i found some
48:54
in china they execute
48:56
people by firing squad where the head is just
48:58
like blown off the top is like
49:00
that they had is gone from a single rifle
49:03
shot like holy crap
49:05
actually included is in my gun control powerpoint
49:07
just in a room full of
49:09
guns firing conservatives of these debates i
49:11
was doing with john lots headlights
49:13
this is what it looks like are you sure you
49:16
want you know every tom dick and harry walking around
49:18
with that power to do that in order to this
49:20
is what it in it's very visceral and
49:23
you know i've shotguns i grew up with with a shotguns
49:25
my my stepdad was a hunter a
49:27
so we had twenty gauge shotgun and
49:29
twelve gay shotguns and it'll be begun and pellet
49:31
gun and all that stuff and you know shooting a gun
49:34
is very visceral i mean is that you know the kick
49:36
and the noise it's just incredible what
49:38
these things people were doing that
49:40
and the others it's so much of the debate is a ton
49:42
of an intellectual here's my six
49:45
arguments and you counter with your arguments and
49:47
that boy when you really get down to then
49:50
i was thinking about guns as a proxy for something
49:52
else so from your sociological priests
49:54
and psychological perspective since
49:56
i get in america anyway as that a
49:59
gun is far more then what it's been portrayed
50:01
as it represents freedom and liberty
50:03
autonomy and i don't know what people still
50:06
don't seem to think buy guns like they think about cars
50:08
each is licensed drivers course spend
50:11
on any should restrict people from flying
50:13
airplanes gotta have the trainee of course
50:16
the an honor that's something different
50:19
yeah i think i think there's a lot to be said for what
50:22
armed people give us heirlooms and
50:24
their cultures i think a culture
50:26
where guns are heirlooms tells you something deep
50:28
about with these things are and what they represent
50:31
and when people say they're using it for protection we gotta
50:33
think production for what
50:34
their families for their homes
50:37
for their properties
50:38
the thing that route them to their very been
50:41
the that's but the you're absolutely right
50:44
michael a as many of these things are their
50:46
their symbols for something else are place holders are
50:48
metaphors i think as absolutely happening
50:50
and i realizing the academy speaking economy
50:53
that
50:53
everybody generic sent me an
50:55
arab i am in most the people i talked to in there
50:57
had gotten guns as as airlines
51:00
and a grandfather from a father
51:03
yeah and and a been shown how to shoot it
51:05
by a family member the did this gun
51:07
as a as a the symbol
51:09
of connection and i'm that's
51:11
part of the liberals don't get id
51:13
departed that big concert is don't get and
51:16
that you know it's it's it's it's a matter
51:19
access
51:20
people are depressed and angry and hope
51:22
was an easy to access guns are just everywhere
51:24
you can have a lot more shootings a ministers transparently
51:27
obvious and and that's something you have to
51:29
deal with legislative we somehow
51:31
though it's i think actually liberals and conservatives
51:34
are talking passage as as they are
51:36
most often
51:38
yeah
51:39
yeah one of these debates i
51:42
got the impression from the audience it is
51:44
a figure forty five thousand people die by gun
51:46
homicide suicide accident more
51:49
than cars and saw and ah
51:51
it better getting pressure would amount exactly as
51:53
exactly person new whatever was four hundred thousand
51:55
the year like would matter what
51:58
if it with terrorists you know was a forty
52:00
thousand deaths from terrorists you know equivalent of overt
52:02
you know what eleven twelve nine eleven's
52:05
in one year conservatives would
52:07
lose their minds i mean they would be a triple
52:10
the budget for the homeland security this
52:12
is basically taught me to put the constitution
52:14
and all it's rights on on ice for a while
52:17
until we get to the bottom of this problem and
52:19
they you know basically cancel all the amendments except
52:21
the second one as i joked the
52:23
first it's to of excellence
52:26
but you know it is a good as a different problem
52:28
why is it that if if the three
52:30
hundred americans die from terrorism the
52:33
conservatives go crazy but if it's forty thousand
52:36
people from guns well as to
52:41
the question it's a it's just about their basic
52:44
fires in terms of what their prioritizing
52:46
i think damn it it's it's
52:48
not an easy problem solved by
52:50
you mention the media and on the pictures
52:52
of the carnage that these things can do
52:54
i think it helps you something as serious
52:56
the country is about dealing with problems
52:58
by how they talk about them happy to pick
53:01
i mean you you can't even swear
53:03
our news programs aren't
53:05
showing mutilated pictures of bodies
53:07
would be says now
53:08
like were children
53:11
a a big part of this debate will be visceral
53:13
it's not going to be i it's not going to be abstract and
53:15
about logical argument agents can be visceral then
53:18
it's gonna be about the ceiling and cultural figure that
53:20
suffers this that we can identify with doc so
53:23
i do think the media we should go for the shooter
53:26
but but we should be very very transparent
53:28
with the public about the consequences of this
53:31
and it's gonna it's gonna horrify
53:33
people one's gonna make them sick and need
53:36
yeah the thing about the
53:38
development of your through your the so bigger theory
53:41
about the development of human culture and institutions
53:43
and and , forth in your two books
53:46
books slit let's start with apes
53:48
and to mention you know where apes basically for
53:51
by people primates and we
53:53
evolved in the small bands of a couple
53:55
dozen individuals and
53:58
the and then he transitions it would see the
54:00
end of the iceman it was murdered
54:02
and and how chimps are very
54:04
violent and saw it's i do we go from there
54:06
to where we are now what kinds of institutions
54:10
and other social technologies evolved
54:13
and how did that happen
54:15
okay so
54:18
the answer to this question comes from a strange
54:20
place it's childrearing and childbirth
54:24
though humans on the gestational
54:26
cared for human beings something like
54:28
fifteen eighteen months it's hard to know for sure
54:30
because they have to come out at nine months because size of
54:32
the training
54:33
the large it's to watch the birkenau
54:35
though human beings are born premature
54:38
the canaries to have a while
54:40
and were in l a sense you know where they can get up
54:43
and stumble around basically you know human babies
54:45
can't even lift their own ads
54:48
so what that means is that in order for
54:50
a species survive
54:52
then we can talk about why that is what
54:54
what what why humans are
54:57
born so premature their lot he's going
54:59
on but
55:00
given that birds that
55:02
the
55:03
and i think this has been most interesting we made by stephanie
55:05
president has a student francois
55:08
she has done great work on this
55:09
but but the ideas is that would it with a child
55:12
that dependent you cannot have aggressive
55:14
selfish narcissistic males
55:16
parading around
55:18
the or impregnating a bunch of different
55:20
women becoming very impulsive we
55:22
violent it's just doesn't work you have
55:25
to prioritize that little creature
55:27
so what you get is a pride because it so so
55:30
pathetic physically right and
55:32
but but but but but ah harboring
55:34
so much cognitive potential which
55:37
is which is why it's so on are
55:41
vulnerable at young age so
55:43
yeah i mean that there was a process of
55:45
domestication
55:47
richard wrangham is dumb work on us
55:48
the you had to you had to domesticate
55:51
human beings humans had a soft domesticate we had
55:53
to kill or find a way
55:55
to dissuade on
55:58
ah aggressive awesome
55:59
they all types aggressive a type of
56:02
males were violent unselfish now
56:05
there are ways to do this biologically which is killing them
56:08
christopher bones work moral origins suggested
56:10
that
56:11
what we do
56:12
the other thing you can do is you you develop norms
56:14
that it is practical like one is called demand
56:17
share
56:18
though in forger societies if you
56:20
are really good hunter and you're pretty successful
56:22
and europe
56:23
physically formidable guy in all of that stuff
56:26
what you're gonna find if you have a successful hunt
56:28
is as you drag the carcass back you're going to have a lot
56:30
of people say i need food the elderly
56:32
people who need to they're sick people who needs if
56:34
there's little babies who needs it there's there's moms
56:37
were lactating which is very metabolic we demanding
56:39
etc cook who need food and and
56:41
you get a lot of demanding
56:43
the food and and status
56:45
becomes perform based on the degree
56:47
to which the
56:48
guy or disseminates that
56:50
food provides that food it's
56:52
a sort of benevolent reader
56:54
and and this is this is what confers
56:56
status to if you come back with a big ego
56:59
the you're going to be status in a girl
57:01
in fact foragers this is been documented
57:03
by anthropologist forges are very self deprecating
57:05
successful hunters very soft
57:07
they'll come back with this huge meet carcass
57:10
and they'll say oh you know i hope this is enough
57:12
to feed some of you it's not very good
57:14
i should have done better they're very self deprecating
57:16
and that's tied to their high status
57:19
there you have this biological selection killing
57:21
officer a particularly aggressive males
57:23
are abandoning them in a cave
57:25
are of of i'm sure you've seen this of the spears
57:28
and arrows in a person a person
57:30
ground right you know probably an aggressive
57:32
male on our but you also
57:34
have these look the emergence of just practical norms like
57:36
demand sharing and humility betide status
57:38
so that's a long answer your question they could be longer
57:42
that it but that is step one so like to
57:44
support a five year in on bombs research
57:47
you know what why are they doing as well because it
57:49
you know for a cohesive group to to
57:51
to be successful it's the of one
57:54
bully one guy that's just the his
57:56
these either mean any
57:58
any beats up on other people the steal
58:00
stuff stories to sell us
58:02
a slacker he just doesn't pose
58:04
wait there is a problem will
58:06
they start with gossip and talking about
58:09
him and trying to shame and make
58:11
, feel guilty and but there's some people
58:13
the know that one to three percent psychopaths they don't
58:15
give a shit when he thinks about of and
58:17
so at some point is precursory shows you
58:19
know you just take the guy out a lot to to come back
58:21
without him a similar to go well
58:24
who hits we did we're not going to talk about that he's
58:26
gone and also you and made the
58:28
point it's hard to kill somebody is a big
58:30
massive aggressive male it's
58:32
hard to kill him see it helps if you have if you
58:34
guys at pile up on are you shoot
58:37
him with arrows or whatever but it also distributes
58:39
the guilt also the
58:42
the moral culpability no one
58:44
of this of this blame like the firing squad were no
58:46
one theater no one knows who actually killed and rights
58:49
south then there can't be revenge by
58:51
that guy's family against the killers because everybody
58:53
was in on it something like that and
58:56
so the point would be that over let's say
58:58
one hundred thousand or couple hundred thousand years
59:00
of that kind of when we you're gonna
59:02
get mostly moderate
59:04
more moderate males and fewer the
59:07
psychopathic bullies but not one hundred
59:09
percent because the here's bombs argument
59:11
if i recall that for naturals
59:13
like natural selection doesn't need to put
59:15
all of its resources into getting
59:17
rid of every last ones because that would just
59:20
take too much time and energy south's
59:22
it's it's enough to society these groups
59:24
can succeed reasonably well at the
59:26
only have a couple of freeloaders or
59:29
bullies button not to miss
59:32
yeah and and the current every by the
59:34
way humans are more carnivorous than
59:36
in a meat and the fat
59:38
else congress be presented cortex
59:41
which confers impulse control so
59:43
there there's this co evolution of jeans and
59:45
and dietary
59:47
habits the other thing i say that i have not seen
59:50
anybody investigate but i would love to see more
59:53
when it comes to why humans are so impact
59:56
the
59:57
early or capable of of entity
59:59
is is effected endurance hundred
1:00:01
though the way that foragers the way that our
1:00:03
ancestors hundred animals was we
1:00:05
get like one spear and them are to
1:00:07
spears and them but these are
1:00:09
we're super athletic animals that
1:00:11
were hunting be catholic said and
1:00:14
and so they they take off
1:00:16
or or dears or some whatever and
1:00:18
so they run
1:00:19
and they're injured but weeks after
1:00:21
we are the one distance runners i'm i'm trying it
1:00:24
has to do with our diaphragm and are bipedality
1:00:26
and other things
1:00:27
they are we chase animals down
1:00:30
we watch them die we watch them get
1:00:32
tired and and there's some
1:00:34
accounts of forgers like thinking like
1:00:36
of like up giving some kind of appreciation of
1:00:38
his animals it's of limping along cisco spirit
1:00:40
them were were chasing down and it's getting tired
1:00:43
that's a very intense way to
1:00:45
not like a lion were to champion
1:00:48
of throw grab and that's that it's it's
1:00:50
it's slower
1:00:51
it's more emotional i think and
1:00:53
and there's a certain humility and and like with there's no
1:00:56
way we could have caught
1:00:57
you know we had to endure it and chase it down
1:01:00
though you know there's there's
1:01:01
the ways in which how we got food
1:01:05
the encouraged certain and pathak
1:01:07
responding or certain perspective taking
1:01:09
i think i'm could be more investigated
1:01:12
than it is or maybe someone has with that and i just don't know
1:01:14
that about i find out ideas as
1:01:17
yeah to article on skeptic i published
1:01:19
by louis
1:01:21
the
1:01:22
leiden bird maybe i'm just
1:01:24
they can is less things are pretty much he's
1:01:26
a long distance tracker anna story
1:01:28
of science so his argument that
1:01:31
will this kind of tracking involves
1:01:33
the tools of reason and
1:01:35
hypothesis testing like scientists
1:01:37
you see also to see the animal the
1:01:41
kind of the footprints the animal here
1:01:43
at this time a day in the sun is over there
1:01:45
and the shade is over there is water we can infer
1:01:48
that he probably slept here and then moved over there
1:01:50
are many went over that mountain range over there
1:01:52
were there's caves you cannot whatever and
1:01:54
their descendants of then they check in the they follow
1:01:56
a little bit and checked out hypothesis and then reach
1:01:58
as dense and the thera priors
1:02:01
to see you know if we get in a basie and tab
1:02:03
roberts is probably over there
1:02:05
probably not over there and that that's
1:02:07
kind of the basis for human reason
1:02:11
i think you're cute ellen case can be made i wouldn't
1:02:13
say that there was one basis for human reason but but
1:02:15
that sales one area yeah yeah
1:02:18
yeah yeah yeah
1:02:19
so how do we go from these tiny bands
1:02:21
to larger tribes the chieftains
1:02:23
and states and nations and so i metallic
1:02:25
institutions to update
1:02:28
mostly warfare there's
1:02:31
that the predominant there is conscription
1:02:33
so in the middle east or east lot of
1:02:36
the were early site an early cities
1:02:38
popped up there were
1:02:40
a lot of arab lands mountains where
1:02:43
that which is not easy places
1:02:45
live
1:02:46
so warlords still
1:02:48
to consolidate populations because land
1:02:50
was limited
1:02:52
and as a result resources are limited and
1:02:54
so there was a lot of warfare and or lot of reading
1:02:57
this is the this is a
1:02:59
simple explanation and undies
1:03:01
the conquerors establish the
1:03:03
photo bureaucracies pro governments to regulate
1:03:06
the grain in the agriculture in the irrigation
1:03:08
of that of that location and of course
1:03:10
you know they conferred a certain stability to that
1:03:12
to the area because they protected the farmers within
1:03:15
their territory
1:03:16
they were doing a set of love for the farmers they're doing this
1:03:18
because you can't accidentally though
1:03:21
so they had to keep the farmers in the agricultural
1:03:23
safe in the labour safe so that they
1:03:25
could taxman if not with money
1:03:27
than continue to use their labor onto
1:03:29
buildings so am i
1:03:31
think the the the early origins are states
1:03:33
i i don't disagree with that the mainstream
1:03:36
take that
1:03:37
it was a result of
1:03:38
very
1:03:40
life giving and a
1:03:43
usable rivers the tigris and euphrates
1:03:45
rivers in the middle east though this
1:03:47
drew people along the only credible settlements
1:03:50
but eventually they realize
1:03:53
that they couldn't keep expanding keep expanding or
1:03:55
our and this was an
1:03:57
incentive for a conquers and warlords
1:03:59
to track and solitaire towards and
1:04:02
establish bureaucracy
1:04:03
the
1:04:04
you know that the first signs of order and human societies
1:04:06
were probably driven by were in conquest i
1:04:09
self interest of leaders
1:04:11
but i would say michael that
1:04:14
the dominoes
1:04:15
the humanity that work
1:04:19
where are the argument is what was the author's
1:04:21
name i forget his first name of my here
1:04:23
have had arrived on of as dot of everything
1:04:26
don't have everything on sorry eerie
1:04:28
have a sister said yeah
1:04:30
yeah so i wanted to write real clear
1:04:33
that it it might sound like
1:04:35
he had a very up an interesting book and i and i would
1:04:37
recommend it and it's a challenge is how i think
1:04:39
about things
1:04:40
but i don't think they're right a
1:04:42
but but i'm
1:04:44
i don't think it was just as linear process of
1:04:46
of warlords conquering the territories
1:04:49
and establishing a bureaucratic hierarchies
1:04:51
and that's it and before that there was no such thing
1:04:53
as hierarchy there was no such thing as
1:04:56
extreme differences in leadership
1:04:58
and and on influence in society
1:05:01
i a decent cycle for society
1:05:03
so there there's a long term if we zoom out
1:05:05
far enough we can see a general trend over
1:05:08
the zoom in on anyone society the
1:05:10
amount of hierarchy the amount of concentration
1:05:12
of power berries
1:05:14
so in in there's the said
1:05:17
to complicated
1:05:18
who live in myanmar and they're
1:05:20
agricultural and
1:05:22
or admin reach a study
1:05:24
them anthropologists nineteen fifties
1:05:26
what he found was of the society cycled between
1:05:29
periods of strict hierarchy and lose
1:05:31
heart there is a power centralization
1:05:33
and her decentralization
1:05:35
the
1:05:36
the periods of myths that
1:05:38
justified discrimination then
1:05:41
and on the lower status as
1:05:43
some family lineages and periods where the
1:05:45
mythologies didn't do that so
1:05:47
so societies do very back
1:05:50
and forth into how hierarchical they are how centralized
1:05:52
their powers but it doesn't mean we can zoom
1:05:54
out and see general trends so i'm
1:05:56
not going to make a linear argument about the the
1:05:59
change of history of
1:06:00
it's complicated but but it is uma
1:06:02
foreign if you can see brother
1:06:05
yeah i i like the book i was knew it i had
1:06:08
a david graber on the show
1:06:10
i said and of this way i read i'm a
1:06:13
passage from one of my articles
1:06:15
in which i'm quoting jared diamond's then
1:06:17
his calculations from his studies or one hunter
1:06:20
gatherer people's a pop a new guinea a small
1:06:22
band of twenty people generates
1:06:24
one hundred ninety possible diodes or
1:06:26
to person interactions twenty times
1:06:29
nineteen divided by two small enough
1:06:31
for informal conflict resolution but
1:06:33
increase that twenty the two
1:06:35
thousand and you're facing one million nine
1:06:37
hundred ninety nine thousand and possible diet two thousand
1:06:39
times eighty ninety nine divided by
1:06:41
two you're a hundred fold population
1:06:44
increase produces a ten thousand fold
1:06:46
diavik rise scale that up to cities two
1:06:49
hundred thousand or two million as a potential for conflict
1:06:51
multiplies beyond comprehension and
1:06:53
along with it the laws and regulations needed to
1:06:55
ensure relative harmony and efficiency here's
1:06:57
diamonds and guns germs and steel once
1:07:00
the threshold of several hundred below
1:07:02
which everybody can know everyone else has
1:07:04
been crossed increasing numbers of dyads become
1:07:07
heres of unrelated strangers hence a large
1:07:09
society the continues to leave conflict resolution
1:07:12
all of it's members is guaranteed a blower right
1:07:14
i read that it to up gray
1:07:17
bernie's is basically that's basically bunch of bullshit
1:07:19
and that's the standard line that the everybody's
1:07:21
always believed but it's not true
1:07:23
because and then and then is
1:07:26
that includes from his book about all the different times
1:07:28
of archaeological sites that don't seem
1:07:30
to show that kind of a hierarchical structure
1:07:33
that somehow these groups found it kind
1:07:35
of egalitarian horizontal structure way
1:07:37
to solve human size weights and avast yeah
1:07:39
so okay let's think about it from eighteen
1:07:42
under to the present so the available
1:07:44
evidence indicates that people are becoming more individualistic
1:07:46
since eighty two hundred
1:07:48
rising energy capture access to technology
1:07:51
access to education they
1:07:53
becoming more individualistic hierarchy
1:07:55
is seen as less of an intrinsically good thing
1:07:58
yeah whatever he knows i'm as the norm
1:08:00
or that the ideal nor
1:08:03
that doesn't mean
1:08:05
eighteen hundred to present day
1:08:07
hierarchy hasn't become temporarily more
1:08:09
salient and society that nationalism
1:08:11
hasn't risen and fallen in
1:08:13
very societies so the i
1:08:16
societies to the point they're missing is
1:08:18
that it's possible for society's to very in
1:08:20
their organizational hierarchy
1:08:23
in their centralization of power in the
1:08:25
rights they conferred individuals
1:08:27
while still being a smaller component
1:08:30
of a larger long term historical trend
1:08:32
toward listening hierarchy greater
1:08:34
egalitarianism inside authorities
1:08:36
are of course not static there and are constantly
1:08:38
cycling back and forth
1:08:41
but you can still zu mountains the long term
1:08:43
trends so from eating hundred to present day people
1:08:45
and just becoming more individualistic the
1:08:48
only available in it's used to indicate that but
1:08:51
it doesn't mean you can have a rise of of of a nationalist
1:08:53
or a populist in your in your society in
1:08:55
any given several decades
1:08:57
though you know society heightened losing team
1:08:59
back and forth the
1:09:02
the my i think about
1:09:05
yeah the iraqi or
1:09:07
archaeologists maybe it's not fair but i guess the question
1:09:09
is is what what does the archaeological are deep
1:09:12
historical record show about
1:09:14
the human egalitarianism are we
1:09:16
really egalitarian by nature
1:09:19
or is it kind of been forced
1:09:22
the norms of these small groups
1:09:24
that you will redistribute you will be fair
1:09:26
or else like christopher bombs research
1:09:28
and there or is it a little bit of both you
1:09:30
know we we can be altruistic and prosocial
1:09:33
and cooperative and of the right conditions and it
1:09:35
is it's the wrong conditions that we're not
1:09:37
gonna be that
1:09:39
the in the context so under conditions
1:09:41
a threat or uncertainty where
1:09:43
where resources can be easily monopolize
1:09:46
you're gonna see stronger hierarchies you're
1:09:48
going to see more inequality and you mentioned archaeology
1:09:51
will
1:09:52
the findings they have are things like on how
1:09:54
size
1:09:55
though in pure during periods of famine
1:09:58
or and though war
1:10:00
it seems that how sizes become more unequal
1:10:02
you have very very large houses and
1:10:05
you've ever small houses as a as a measure of
1:10:07
inequality or you'll have on
1:10:09
you know at an exotic
1:10:12
oils and flowers and and
1:10:14
rocks and things put into children's
1:10:16
tunes children's gray is now
1:10:18
that child in other like six or seven years
1:10:20
old they couldn't have done anything to deserve all these riches
1:10:22
right so it's a that's an indication of like
1:10:25
inheritance that that wealth has been to
1:10:27
sort given down to certain southern banal to
1:10:29
others to archaeologists do have a read
1:10:31
on this on and it seems that
1:10:33
humans
1:10:34
fluctuate we can be very hierarchical
1:10:37
the and domineering and
1:10:39
and think that inequality is extra is
1:10:42
completely justified in other people do not deserve
1:10:44
opportunities and we can think the
1:10:46
exact opposite and the more threatened we're
1:10:48
the more worried we are the more
1:10:51
material security is threatened
1:10:53
more identities are threatened the more
1:10:55
we will think that iraq is a good idea and that some
1:10:57
people probably should be held
1:10:59
that some people probably don't deserve opportunities
1:11:01
though it's it's a very flexible nature
1:11:04
i think human nature is just it's it's
1:11:06
marked by it's flexible
1:11:09
yeah
1:11:09
nicholas christakis in is a book on
1:11:12
the blueprint humanity the
1:11:14
has that section
1:11:16
on the databases tracking
1:11:18
shipwrecks over like four
1:11:21
hundred years from like fifteen hundred
1:11:23
and eighteen where are these people
1:11:25
just end up on some island while the only
1:11:27
reason we know about it is cause some of them survived
1:11:29
to tell the still hurts and ah
1:11:31
you know it more or less and so
1:11:33
now the analysis shows that in
1:11:36
the case of that where it's very stressful yeah
1:11:38
we may not make it dot the horizontal
1:11:41
restructured group that were more
1:11:43
egalitarian were more likely to survive
1:11:45
the hierarchical where you know maybe one of the
1:11:47
officers from the ship then charge
1:11:50
and and he still acts like he's that
1:11:52
in charge and it's a hierarchical stores they don't do
1:11:54
as well that speakers
1:11:57
evidence to what you just said it was
1:11:59
very flat
1:11:59
the ball but
1:12:01
the twenty other conditions some prodigies
1:12:03
are really better than others if the goal is just
1:12:05
survive
1:12:07
yeah hierarchies will coordinate and
1:12:09
organize information
1:12:11
but they will also limit what
1:12:13
counts as information and what is considered
1:12:16
as relevant information yeah
1:12:18
i think hierarchies of strengths and weaknesses and certainly
1:12:20
an issue where you have just a few people that
1:12:22
you need
1:12:23
the
1:12:24
where was your
1:12:27
yeah and i were i wanted to assist articles a fantastic
1:12:29
sociologists with
1:12:30
here is he's great yeah well
1:12:33
this you know the lord of the flies in
1:12:35
the you know this is the way humanity really
1:12:37
is without that the nearest civilization
1:12:39
keep innocent track tax and annette
1:12:41
criticized say no no no and then they bring that
1:12:44
up that example of those boys that are trapped
1:12:46
on an island and i'm i'm back in the sixties
1:12:48
or something and they're still live now and they survived
1:12:50
and they were very gallant areas and
1:12:52
it's like this this false dichotomy
1:12:54
to see of the lord of the flies
1:12:56
thesis is wrong and this is the correct pieces
1:12:59
were really good as humans in this guy wrote a
1:13:01
book about it and like and touch
1:13:03
display to simple to mean sometimes
1:13:05
is the lord of the flies is how things turn out
1:13:07
and sometimes the other ways how they turn out
1:13:11
weaver
1:13:13
that that are posts about asian
1:13:15
fusion in primates and humans this
1:13:17
is a cook course a component
1:13:19
of what are your books here are what is his
1:13:22
infusion how's that working groups
1:13:25
so i'm throughout all
1:13:28
of sociology or the focus has been
1:13:30
on states of integration or states
1:13:33
of differentiate
1:13:34
and on the the thought i
1:13:36
had
1:13:37
so we're as as economies get larger
1:13:40
occupations become more specialized
1:13:42
in the east so there's a differentiation of
1:13:44
the economy as it grows this is durkheim
1:13:46
going back classless us else
1:13:48
what i what i realize looking at the animal research
1:13:51
on animals the which is one of my
1:13:53
resistance for dealing sociology i
1:13:56
i have a couple tricks or i can get good ideas
1:13:58
of like a shortcut one and
1:14:00
i did not be cynical
1:14:02
look at look at how things have improved over time
1:14:04
it gives you the screens
1:14:05
or another rosetta stone
1:14:07
is to look at other animals and how they
1:14:09
organize information and sheriff
1:14:11
the the way other animals do is they
1:14:14
have period of time with her together and
1:14:16
period of time with her apart now they don't
1:14:18
have these animals don't have a condom use were occupational
1:14:20
nieces are proliferating it's too
1:14:23
macro and
1:14:25
and it's it's very much a state you're in
1:14:27
a state of differences in or you're in a statement
1:14:29
is what animals are doing is are going back and
1:14:31
forth
1:14:32
there are swimming between president you states
1:14:35
chimpanzees a this in the context of their communities
1:14:38
and if you look at what it seems this is
1:14:40
due when the animals
1:14:42
are up for
1:14:43
there there roaming range is is
1:14:45
is less correlated with the roman reigns
1:14:47
of their of their on ah
1:14:50
a constant suffix constant they
1:14:52
have experiences that are less shared
1:14:55
with their com specific because they're because new areas of the roman
1:14:57
reigns
1:14:58
and so it's a wonder a part
1:15:00
they're gaining information about their environment or
1:15:02
about themselves or about what works what doesn't
1:15:05
and when they're together there's there's there's
1:15:07
a sharing or integration of this
1:15:09
information in various ways
1:15:11
so i simply a tried to play that a human
1:15:13
beings
1:15:14
what allows human beings to come
1:15:16
together and go apart the do so
1:15:18
fluid me to do so without consequence
1:15:20
from you because if you're to fuse
1:15:23
the out what counts as
1:15:25
a good idea or a good strategy it
1:15:28
will be limited to us to a strong close
1:15:30
group identity you want groups to be porous
1:15:33
but at the same time of people are two separate
1:15:35
the to spend too much time apart
1:15:37
they'll fail to grasp
1:15:40
how to treat one another how to relate when they
1:15:42
won't have enough shared understand
1:15:44
though using states
1:15:47
enable vision states when when we're too
1:15:49
close to one another we get kind of bored couldn't keep
1:15:51
her in the same thing over and over down and and there's
1:15:53
not enough new the son of novelty
1:15:55
it's too predictable with stale so
1:15:57
fusion state motivators instead
1:15:59
and when we're apart we feel kind of addressed
1:16:02
and am i on the right path
1:16:04
in my experience representative of something general
1:16:07
and sufficient states motivates using states
1:16:09
it's a you have this isolation
1:16:11
the occurring and and
1:16:13
i realized that data groups think
1:16:16
mattress individuals who think as much as individual
1:16:19
brains with hate groups think as
1:16:21
groups and the way they do that is by
1:16:23
dispersing and collecting information
1:16:26
and by coming together and integrating coordinating
1:16:28
them from it
1:16:29
groups think as good
1:16:31
and i'm and so i became interested in
1:16:33
what if if that's true
1:16:35
and groups can think more or less accurately
1:16:38
more or less rational
1:16:40
what influences a decision fusion
1:16:42
oscillation what what enables that increasing
1:16:45
the route accuracy
1:16:47
the
1:16:47
the and and i think it's it's it's infrastructure
1:16:50
it's it's access to the
1:16:52
increasing levels of energy capture the
1:16:54
simplest example is just irrigation
1:16:57
which was the most important from the for chef in each world
1:16:59
for early city
1:17:00
what you see as you see as soon as irrigation
1:17:03
canals get dugout you
1:17:05
see groups of people camps of people
1:17:07
settling on these these areas
1:17:10
and i'm cities can be maintained
1:17:12
because every individual person doesn't have the collector
1:17:14
on water now they can come to the city and just
1:17:16
hang out and talk views
1:17:18
and they'll have a stable source of water there
1:17:20
they don't have to individually cut it with their family
1:17:23
the
1:17:24
in the same time they can disperse
1:17:26
that make you come back and they can be sure
1:17:28
that that that supply of water will be there
1:17:31
so
1:17:32
i think what infrastructure is doing is it's
1:17:34
increasing the fluidity and openness
1:17:36
of ours isn't using honestly
1:17:38
and i know there's a lotta jargon there
1:17:40
but what i really mean is is that we are becoming
1:17:42
have been becoming resume our large enough
1:17:45
and it's and it's a nonlinear change historically
1:17:47
but if you zoom out front of you to see a pattern
1:17:50
where is becoming easier and easier to
1:17:52
come together
1:17:54
in a in a short term contracts
1:17:56
or long term context depending on the goals that behind
1:17:59
and to go
1:18:00
and to have individual experiences
1:18:03
suffer from other people that that speak to
1:18:05
our personal interests in i'm not spending all my day collecting
1:18:07
water hunting for food
1:18:10
i can i work at nighttime because we have electricity
1:18:13
these are all allowing me to have new experiences new
1:18:15
ideas new thought separate from my compatriot
1:18:17
that because we have
1:18:19
electricity and waste treatment and water
1:18:21
we can also create these little mini ecologies
1:18:23
called university departments where i can come together
1:18:25
and share my ah insights
1:18:27
that i had when i was separate
1:18:29
though
1:18:30
this is what infrastructures doing it increasing the
1:18:32
openness and the rapidity of
1:18:34
our fish infusion oscillation and i believe that it's making
1:18:36
us more accurate about each other
1:18:38
and about the war
1:18:41
the i think you're right you know infrastructures all
1:18:43
things you don't notice it until
1:18:45
the electricity goes out for example traits
1:18:48
which happens years in the area where i live
1:18:50
i live way up in the mountains above santa barbara in there
1:18:53
at southern california edison is replacing the pulls
1:18:55
up here it is there some like the nineteen forties and or
1:18:57
fire hazard rights of and i was like
1:18:59
your power will be out in between nine
1:19:01
and six and often it's like ninety
1:19:03
nine and it's astonishing like oh
1:19:05
my god i can't these are the water heaters at work
1:19:08
the plopped as i have a pump for a
1:19:10
well at night or have water
1:19:12
as oh my god i'm just gonna go down to the gym
1:19:14
just work there all day is lisa of water
1:19:18
and electricity and still hits and
1:19:20
that hits guess is the way you want the infrastructure
1:19:22
right where you don't notice it so that you can
1:19:24
just go about your day doing other stuff that
1:19:27
how yeah was happen
1:19:29
marshall mcluhan bird a great media theorists
1:19:31
said that media when an extension of our central nervous
1:19:34
i think you got a partially right
1:19:36
media is but but it's infrastructure that's
1:19:38
an extension of our central nervous system it allows
1:19:40
us to have new kinds of concerns are
1:19:43
relatively divorced from survival depending on
1:19:45
the quality of our infrastructure new
1:19:47
kinds of experiences it allows us
1:19:49
to experience more of the day it
1:19:52
literally just be keeping lights on it
1:19:54
allows us to live longer and from to longevity i
1:19:56
mean the
1:19:58
the benefits you are
1:19:59
rb moment to moment experience in our moments
1:20:02
moment physiological state
1:20:03
our are
1:20:05
there subtle and sociologist spend
1:20:07
all their time with norms and cultural debates
1:20:09
and i'm fascinated by all that stuff
1:20:11
they they fail to recognize that
1:20:14
if if we did not have functioning electricity
1:20:16
or or an electrical good or we had
1:20:18
broken water pipes or our refineries
1:20:20
all broken by the way america hasn't dealt in refinery
1:20:23
a fully equipped are finding a long time to fascinating
1:20:25
when it comes to the oil issue the
1:20:27
oil types are are rarely replace we
1:20:29
have water pipes and in one place in over eighty years
1:20:31
in the sky
1:20:32
so it it up the point is is
1:20:34
that
1:20:36
we don't appreciate even though
1:20:39
maslow made roughly the a similar
1:20:41
argument he didn't tie
1:20:42
go to be to infrastructure by
1:20:44
it opens up a new world of possibilities
1:20:46
for social organization and for think
1:20:49
the be able to take for granted
1:20:51
very basic things like our or life
1:20:53
or safety or hunger
1:20:56
the changes or outlook on things in a changes how we associate
1:21:01
it is a broader the article and colonizing
1:21:03
mars does he intend of free associating
1:21:06
to see what time it structure
1:21:08
we would need for a new martian colony
1:21:11
based on he lives in my ambitions which
1:21:13
i love right and it also maybe
1:21:15
start off with a couple astronauts than you have a couple
1:21:17
dozen the the of a couple hundred near he started
1:21:19
what we need to send a million people
1:21:22
in and paul krugman wrote an interesting up
1:21:24
at the other day the new york times about that
1:21:26
wouldn't be remotely and ask people to
1:21:28
have if you want to live like we live today
1:21:30
with a modern economy and all the goodies and
1:21:32
infrastructure not easy like a hundred million
1:21:34
people sniper oh my
1:21:37
god that's right because all the stuff that
1:21:39
i don't even think about and if you plop
1:21:41
down ten of us on mars it's like that
1:21:43
all goes away right and
1:21:45
way to spend all of our days does try to produce
1:21:48
oxygen and water and food
1:21:51
these are evolved structures a silly thing
1:21:54
if you look at it into structural system it
1:21:56
has components but it has district discreet
1:21:58
components precisely the nice components
1:22:01
and they've been developing for for long periods of time
1:22:03
with something like electricity or electrical grid is relatively
1:22:05
new the even or something like roads
1:22:08
wrote it in developing for for millennia and
1:22:10
terms of the the materials that we put in
1:22:12
them to make them keep them can't bouncy and
1:22:14
and resistant pressure or
1:22:16
roads are huge if you are pitted roads are
1:22:19
in ancient city you're not going to get goods you're
1:22:21
gonna carts overturned such simple things like
1:22:23
this you mentioned you must
1:22:25
the fact i think it's because of his
1:22:27
subtle but incredible fact
1:22:29
the put out a a he does is a lot
1:22:32
on twitter he he puts out like an ad for
1:22:34
unity want to come work for a tesla you want to come
1:22:36
work for nice and your resume
1:22:38
this is not possible without electricity
1:22:41
that's not possible for somebody in one part
1:22:43
of the world to say hey anyone in the world
1:22:45
who wants to come work for me to sort of open system
1:22:47
fusion
1:22:48
you can see it in the in the great scientists of history
1:22:51
the nikola tesla is that they they they'd
1:22:53
be did the equivalent they didn't have twitter so
1:22:55
it wasn't as open
1:22:56
the decision fusion oscillation wasn't is fluid
1:23:00
the now you know you on musk is open
1:23:02
to any competent engineer in the world com
1:23:04
worker
1:23:05
and he's not going to
1:23:07
ensure their family lineage loyalty
1:23:09
to him if they want to leave what
1:23:12
a what what does electricity is doing is it's
1:23:14
enabling this this oscillating it's
1:23:17
gonna make him a bit engineer and make better products
1:23:19
attitude as it did for tesla madison an early
1:23:21
in the past
1:23:23
your theory does
1:23:26
shed some light on light on
1:23:28
about diversity viewpoint diversity
1:23:31
how much do you need and also
1:23:33
and that's privately but politically
1:23:36
immigration what's in terms
1:23:38
of fusion vision fusion a
1:23:40
many new immigrants to we want we want some we
1:23:42
want those it would be engineers coming
1:23:44
over here and and people are your innovate
1:23:46
and were cardinal at stuff but
1:23:49
we don't want to many does any get that freeloaders
1:23:51
or whatever this kind of the conservative and
1:23:54
that there you know ten or
1:23:57
or the other conservative talking point is
1:23:59
america or france or germany
1:24:02
or whoever has canada but he
1:24:04
said of characteristics that we
1:24:06
call american or french or german
1:24:08
and that this that this we stand for where
1:24:10
we believe in western democracy civil rights
1:24:13
women's rights gave this is what we stand for
1:24:15
and if you're bringing in not
1:24:17
all your skills but also your cultural
1:24:20
values that don't gel with ours
1:24:22
that's not the kind of diversity we want as
1:24:24
the wrong kind of diverse of their it's may be efficient
1:24:27
use of thing speaks to the
1:24:30
it's a good question on i say haven't
1:24:32
thought about that but but i do think there's a couple
1:24:34
think so sufficient visions of fractal process
1:24:36
so we can look at immigration as a a
1:24:38
fusion between two countries
1:24:40
we can also look at it as a localized data data
1:24:43
though so what were we look at it from
1:24:45
a macro perspective
1:24:46
the society's ability to accommodate immigrants
1:24:48
is really important as the jobs
1:24:51
the amount of social welfare can offer you didn't
1:24:53
provide hard limits on on how
1:24:55
much immigration make sense economically
1:24:58
the other side of that is
1:24:59
you mention that people have very different view values
1:25:02
and world views and so on i
1:25:04
don't know they're very different that they are different and in
1:25:06
some significant ways
1:25:08
and the idea is is that it's always
1:25:10
been hard to coexist in in cosmopolitan
1:25:12
societies where people have different values and worldview
1:25:15
that because of the advanced infrastructure
1:25:17
that we see
1:25:18
n n much of the world and is becoming
1:25:20
global the
1:25:22
the ability for people to to vision
1:25:25
and views on absolutely
1:25:27
on a day to day basis to something like
1:25:29
public transportation
1:25:30
which is a result of fuel stations and
1:25:32
electricity
1:25:33
the
1:25:34
the a coffee shops which a result
1:25:36
of waste treatment or successful
1:25:39
what our water piping electricity these
1:25:41
are sites where people can come together temporarily
1:25:43
echo park and if the goal
1:25:46
is to dissolved be the hostility
1:25:48
and dehumanization
1:25:50
and rigid thinking that we sometimes develop
1:25:52
them were encountering someone who thinks differently from us
1:25:55
what would the primate but the with a human
1:25:57
being needs are these sites of coming
1:25:59
together
1:25:59
going a part where they're relatively few
1:26:02
costs for short term conversations the
1:26:04
you know you can have serendipitous encounters with people
1:26:07
i think that ultimately is are going to
1:26:09
be a conflict of world's user
1:26:11
but the way to blend
1:26:13
world views the way to find compromise is
1:26:15
the how societies the have
1:26:17
various sites various
1:26:20
locations various places where people
1:26:22
run into each other
1:26:23
and have short conversations
1:26:25
and then go apart and then think about it
1:26:27
mm maybe two weeks later they meet someone else
1:26:29
who was an immigrant for you know from a different country
1:26:32
but has similar views and they talk to them and and
1:26:34
it's just it's it's it's not a process
1:26:36
that happens overnight but it's one that can
1:26:38
dissolve the
1:26:40
moral superiority and moral certainty
1:26:42
of people
1:26:43
but you need you can have them to living
1:26:45
in little city little little rural villages
1:26:48
where they never encounter someone who thinks
1:26:50
differently you want this
1:26:52
infrastructure or contact the
1:26:55
enables people the communication technology
1:26:57
the transportation technology
1:26:59
the to to come together and
1:27:01
and go parts will agree
1:27:03
this is a way of them
1:27:05
it is it's a process every combination
1:27:08
we have ideas
1:27:09
the i interact with someone new who stinks
1:27:11
a little bit differently and i come away and i begin
1:27:13
to recombine mightiest i'm not going change my
1:27:15
mind necessarily but i'm suddenly changed
1:27:18
the more often and and and the more smoothly and
1:27:20
the more openly i can interact with
1:27:22
the various people
1:27:24
the more tolerant ethical become origin
1:27:26
that would be my why we get as sick as an immigrant
1:27:29
yeah yeah is this explain
1:27:31
why there's these catch basins of industries
1:27:33
like detroit for the automobile industry silicon
1:27:35
valley for computers and so forth
1:27:39
yeah yeah and a i realized
1:27:42
done
1:27:42
reading this book at that the origins
1:27:45
of electricity where exactly this
1:27:46
though the edison had his
1:27:50
the camp in menlo park calif and
1:27:52
it was apparently this is campus and
1:27:54
and it was open to everybody in the world and if you
1:27:56
were a physicist are you were
1:27:58
a tinkerer or
1:27:59
becoming work with him for a while and so yeah
1:28:02
you see the sights and and
1:28:04
there there's their site where people cycling
1:28:06
in an hour depending on their interest
1:28:08
depending on a certain project and they
1:28:10
are just absolute engines of innovation
1:28:13
you can see what and silicone valley now you can see
1:28:15
this all around the world these little pockets and
1:28:17
they are pocket of open poorest isn't fusion
1:28:19
oscillation and they're also in places
1:28:21
that are in for structurally sound often
1:28:26
right is that relate to year oscillation
1:28:28
infrastructure theory of cultural evolution
1:28:31
this we never were talking about
1:28:33
yeah yeah yeah justice is
1:28:35
that idea that the way the groups think
1:28:37
there's by oscillating between vision into states
1:28:40
that
1:28:42
the
1:28:43
that
1:28:44
the the extent that people can can
1:28:47
experience these vision abuse and states openly
1:28:49
and fluidly
1:28:50
the
1:28:51
they will become as groups more creative and more
1:28:53
inventive and that has
1:28:55
the and infrastructural evolution
1:28:58
the basic idea
1:29:00
yeah no i love that idea
1:29:02
the course groups who do good things are bad things
1:29:04
are you think of love nasa we put a man the moon that
1:29:07
was a good collective action or
1:29:09
the development of any these computer technologies
1:29:11
in the in phone these are collective action
1:29:14
the fusion groups within up diversity
1:29:16
to solve problems like that yeah
1:29:18
yeah i think i think is were very few
1:29:20
his group setting i think religions
1:29:23
or a way to fuse groups so if we look
1:29:25
at witchcraft police were going to see people
1:29:27
who share religious commitment we're going see people
1:29:29
who see one another quite a bit
1:29:31
we're going to see people who eat together see
1:29:34
people who have their kids playing with one
1:29:36
another
1:29:36
they're not always physically together
1:29:39
they sleep in separate beds i'm sure but but
1:29:41
they're spending a lot of their time together so that dirt
1:29:43
dirt relatively few screws
1:29:45
then it's it's hard for these groups
1:29:47
to accommodate new information a countervailing
1:29:50
information or counterfactual information
1:29:52
because they're always monitoring one another this
1:29:55
is one of the downsides of overly fi skirts
1:29:57
norms become very rigid hierarchy
1:29:59
seem
1:29:59
natural normal
1:30:01
the and and what
1:30:03
one ought to believe becomes more important
1:30:05
than what is true
1:30:07
and so i think you're looking at
1:30:09
overly few screws you you have a prom
1:30:11
an awesome they're not they're not susan dinner
1:30:14
they're getting enough time apart from one another
1:30:17
and so you get at all as yeah i think you get same problem
1:30:19
of of being overly says which
1:30:21
is the problem it earlier think i think we're
1:30:24
quite a bit separate from one another and
1:30:26
i think we have pathologies of vision was
1:30:28
say suspect the classical sociologist at that sort
1:30:30
of so that the who
1:30:32
ever group is overly fused you're going to feel
1:30:35
like you can express your individuality or creativity
1:30:37
a group is overly fish and you're gonna feel long and
1:30:40
so there there's aspects of human nature that motivates
1:30:44
the coming together and going apart which is which
1:30:46
is how we might explain like long term change
1:30:48
and morality
1:30:49
for an ethics you know that there are these
1:30:52
human motivations to keep the oscillation happening
1:30:56
in your theory how natural
1:30:58
is the nation state or
1:31:00
the nation you say
1:31:03
cities are going back to abandon
1:31:06
tribes tpm cities city
1:31:08
states then you know the
1:31:10
nation state is really not that old just a few
1:31:12
centuries maybe depending on what you want accounts
1:31:15
the nation state at the end of the
1:31:17
moral or can i played around the idea of what maybe
1:31:20
eventually we'll have no more national borders
1:31:22
and other just be open borders for trade and
1:31:24
this would be a good since i wrote
1:31:27
and twenty fifteen liberals kind of gone the opposite
1:31:29
direction you know or nationalism is
1:31:31
that he knows kind of back on the radar
1:31:33
i had this guy i your amazon he on the on
1:31:35
the podcast and we released that
1:31:37
when this book is conservativism
1:31:40
a rediscovery and his complaint is
1:31:42
that conservatives have been
1:31:44
corrupted by this enlightenment i
1:31:47
can can or wellness what i
1:31:49
call it is the eagles enlightenment liberalism
1:31:52
which is not crazy far left progressivism he
1:31:54
means just kind of main street like joe
1:31:56
biden planets a nanny not even
1:31:58
that more like out just right of center conservative
1:32:02
who believes in civil rights and women's rights
1:32:04
and so on and , kind of been tagged
1:32:06
along with the liberal movements
1:32:08
over the last fifty years he thinks
1:32:11
that's gone too far we need to get back
1:32:13
to the good old days you know what's more
1:32:15
hierarchical structure where people knew their place
1:32:18
and and that particularly the transmission
1:32:20
of values that through religion
1:32:23
family is super important he has nine
1:32:25
children's assets intense v lives
1:32:27
is he lives what he believes sprites is
1:32:30
in eastern orthodox jew live in in israel and
1:32:33
you know thought that the indus really help me understand
1:32:36
that i have misunderstood what conservativism
1:32:39
middle east that bring the when i say you
1:32:41
know and make fun of can service am in
1:32:43
favor of small government will what about the military
1:32:45
will accept that must of course you know
1:32:47
about prison zone accept that what about the border
1:32:49
will accept that units are in i
1:32:52
believe in people said have autonomy and
1:32:54
freedom and make their own choices you mean like
1:32:56
women's reproductive there's one on on on not that
1:32:58
are you not you guys are in love with them and they want to
1:33:00
have sex with each no no no not that sethi
1:33:02
some substance on reddit
1:33:04
basically he's same none
1:33:07
of that snacks and services conservatism
1:33:09
we should in a press back wish
1:33:11
we need big government big massive government
1:33:14
to protect our nation does it's like a fan
1:33:16
right now totally so no i do think
1:33:19
the nation is an abstract i think
1:33:21
human the the intuition for
1:33:23
humans the default intuition is a cada
1:33:25
alexander marry a psychotic a community
1:33:28
complex which is which and panties listen
1:33:30
to the community and i have to limited roaming range
1:33:33
tracking people cellphone some studies of tracks
1:33:35
human cell phone data
1:33:37
they find that humans have a pretty to limited roman
1:33:39
reigns
1:33:40
that's not very large innocent rand i
1:33:43
do think a nation as an extraction it's instruction
1:33:45
almost a necessity because we don't experience
1:33:48
of the nation we experience our neighborhood and our
1:33:50
neighbors answer i do think
1:33:52
it's an obstruction i think that's what makes it so
1:33:55
would agree intractable then i
1:33:57
also agree with you that
1:33:59
i think you're said
1:33:59
that the dividing line between democrats and republicans
1:34:02
right now
1:34:03
there's one between nationalism and globalist
1:34:05
we have a responsibility for
1:34:08
everybody in the world
1:34:09
is it is in america or lucky the west responsibility
1:34:12
to take care of everybody in the world
1:34:14
they did or government takes care of them or not is
1:34:16
it our job to take care of him to do everything we can either
1:34:18
invite them to our country or or help
1:34:21
them are build their own country
1:34:23
or is it our responsibility which
1:34:25
would be the globalist argument an internationalist argument
1:34:27
will be no it's it's it's it's our
1:34:29
responsibility the nation's responsibility care of
1:34:31
the people in the nation to maximize their well
1:34:34
it's a local versus a global outlook
1:34:37
and i do think this is the dividing
1:34:39
line with conservatives being more nationalistic
1:34:41
and democrats be more global
1:34:43
i don't think it's a matter of racism or ethnocentrism
1:34:46
i don't think it's said i think it's a it's a legitimate trade
1:34:48
off question because there's only so much money to go
1:34:50
around there's only so many resources so
1:34:53
you know when you're allocating them to allocate and primarily
1:34:55
to your own the listen the board you try
1:34:58
to improve the world and i think there's arguments
1:35:00
be made on both sides but i believe that is the dividing
1:35:02
line right now and then it's it's it's been lost in all
1:35:04
of this
1:35:05
mud slinging but that that really is the issue
1:35:07
and it's not a simple wanted
1:35:09
to adjudicate
1:35:11
yeah i agree with that although
1:35:14
i am concerned about the fact that the republicans
1:35:16
think democrats are not true americans
1:35:18
and vice versa this is nonsense
1:35:20
like that you even within the nation cause
1:35:23
people talk about civil war coming civil
1:35:25
war it think that will happen but it and
1:35:27
watching the to jerry
1:35:29
six hearings this week
1:35:32
spanish seen what the unit these
1:35:34
people were willing to do they seem
1:35:36
very and conservative to me but
1:35:39
again maybe i misunderstood that if if you
1:35:41
know see if your leader says they're
1:35:43
stealing your democracy go down
1:35:45
there and do something about it the i
1:35:47
guess that would be kind of a you know we
1:35:49
want to conserve and preserve our democracy
1:35:52
and day those people are stealing
1:35:54
from us i'm going down there to do some about the
1:35:57
boss told me too
1:35:59
yeah
1:36:00
it
1:36:01
we definitely have
1:36:03
that's where it weren't polarized political environment
1:36:05
is no doubt about it and and there's a lot of political gridlock
1:36:08
i think
1:36:10
and and is does have down to the facts are like
1:36:12
there's been studies on on facebook different
1:36:15
than liberals are more likely that conservatives
1:36:17
to unfriend people on facebook at the other on
1:36:19
politics although conservative
1:36:22
the
1:36:22
two ways to have it is to keep myself optimistic
1:36:25
an otherwise polarized times
1:36:27
what is that
1:36:28
the healthy systems can accommodate
1:36:30
extreme fluctuate
1:36:33
how a person can take an ice
1:36:35
bath in the morning can go for a long dog
1:36:37
in the afternoon
1:36:38
take a nap in the late afternoon and i can go
1:36:40
out dancing and eat
1:36:42
if you were just a look at their physiological profile
1:36:44
you'd be like oh my god look at this variation it's
1:36:46
it's for it's coming apart the systems kind of kind of part
1:36:48
of the seems know it's able to accommodate
1:36:50
a fluctuation precisely on account of itself so
1:36:53
i think if we look at how society to change over
1:36:55
time a case can be made that they becoming more
1:36:58
competent more energy efficient more
1:37:00
productive of energy in general more
1:37:02
are open to various people
1:37:04
under his market there's there's a sense in which
1:37:07
societies have become more healthy and are becoming
1:37:09
healthy and and one consequence
1:37:11
of that might be that they can accommodate more
1:37:13
extreme fluctuations the other thing
1:37:15
that that i that i think is important
1:37:17
the research shows that we are at
1:37:20
our best intellectually when we are
1:37:22
pitted with an adversary
1:37:24
we diametrically opposed everything that we've
1:37:26
made as long as we can converse and
1:37:28
as long as we can share
1:37:29
i will be made better intellectually if
1:37:31
i'm faced with an adversary who disagrees
1:37:34
with me iron sharpens iron
1:37:36
though i'm inclined to think that that perhaps
1:37:39
societies are becoming healthy in ways that we have
1:37:41
our time appreciating because we're so focused on the works
1:37:43
i think fairly because we want to improve things
1:37:45
always
1:37:46
but we forget that the help your the system
1:37:48
the more syrians and fluctuation
1:37:50
and instability it can accommodate and
1:37:53
at in fact it might be making us
1:37:55
smarter there might be making us
1:37:57
more concerned with the logic
1:37:59
unrest
1:37:59
saudi of are are good
1:38:01
so there may be short term
1:38:03
bruises but long term benefits to the sort
1:38:06
of casualties
1:38:07
there's a certain
1:38:09
the
1:38:11
openness in seeing people on
1:38:13
twitter arguing with each other even though it's gonna
1:38:15
be a cesspool and it's gonna be ad hominem
1:38:17
and it's something you know for talking about people
1:38:20
but
1:38:20
they care about politics and and they care about making
1:38:23
sense and they've never had greater access
1:38:25
to data
1:38:26
the the internet i mean just the internet as a piece
1:38:28
of infrastructure undersea cables
1:38:30
this is an incredible transformative ability
1:38:32
to defuse of people temporarily on
1:38:34
twitter and come away
1:38:36
the have an argument get a response go away think
1:38:38
about it comeback
1:38:40
the i was yelling about it is becoming more
1:38:42
open will become better thinkers
1:38:45
the social media is largely positive
1:38:47
i don't i'm not on the bandwagon and that
1:38:50
had seen the apocalypse is coming government
1:38:52
needs to break up the companies and
1:38:54
and regulate the i don't i don't think silence
1:38:57
it maybe i'm just too old and i will do that much
1:38:59
except for twitter but i don't know i did
1:39:01
it seems to me it's to this too much of a
1:39:03
recent see effect in ten years could be twitters
1:39:06
there's no one to and twitter anymore they're doing x
1:39:08
whatever that is and and we'll have
1:39:10
moved on and dab in a fiddle
1:39:12
most part that cats and i interactions
1:39:15
good yeah was going to mention our latest issue just came
1:39:17
out this week on the abortion issue and which
1:39:19
i to missions a pro life
1:39:22
argument with most of our readers of agencies
1:39:24
don't know what the arguments are they just dismiss
1:39:26
them outta hand i commissioned and in
1:39:28
his diseases daughter danielle the
1:39:30
issues the guild the sousa to
1:39:33
write it and she wrote in long thoughtful
1:39:35
articulated i here's what half of americans
1:39:38
think if you say i don't know
1:39:40
any good pro life arguments will you haven't dot
1:39:42
given spoken any pro lifers them because they have
1:39:44
argued a in the their
1:39:46
argument is not we hate women right that's not
1:39:48
the right and
1:39:53
likewise pcs you say i don't know anybody
1:39:55
who voted for trump well then
1:39:57
you know you you're not getting out enough
1:40:00
right because half the country voted for
1:40:02
trump almost earthquake in up
1:40:04
to seventy five million that's a lot of people so
1:40:06
he can't say they're all in a cult
1:40:08
or there are delusional earth is
1:40:11
they're all racist is is is not possible
1:40:13
for their ignorance or an educator was
1:40:15
not possible for seventy five million americans
1:40:18
to to be characterized that way
1:40:21
yeah i think it says more about that person's on
1:40:23
subtlety of thought it does
1:40:25
about their understanding of the other side
1:40:28
yeah
1:40:29
it
1:40:30
so your take on lesson is a get
1:40:33
out and talk to other people took
1:40:35
the decision and then fusion
1:40:37
you don't have to worry about out
1:40:39
food and safety and security the way that
1:40:41
our ancestors
1:40:43
that enables a certain
1:40:44
lessing and this aggregating that
1:40:46
is exciting for people it's
1:40:48
it's satisfy their desire for novelty
1:40:51
and and and it can grow our minds
1:40:53
i think the good thing about social media though
1:40:55
is i think john height might be onto something
1:40:57
with the effects on young teenage girls
1:41:00
no reason to be a concentrated
1:41:02
there yeah
1:41:03
there there might be you know what i think social
1:41:05
media is on balance a positive
1:41:07
definitely of i don't have any doubt about it i think it's
1:41:09
improving our everything even though it looks like a cesspool
1:41:12
it it is the had is having subtle benefits
1:41:14
that are hard to see
1:41:15
but it might on targeted populations it
1:41:17
might really really be
1:41:19
imaging and
1:41:21
i thought he probably are so
1:41:24
the
1:41:25
yeah right like with a trance thing it's not were
1:41:27
in a sexually reproducing mammalian species
1:41:30
like ours it's not possible that's half
1:41:32
of a high school class is
1:41:34
not straight says it's
1:41:36
etc are trans or by the
1:41:39
this is not possible so there's obviously something
1:41:41
else going on there personally driven by so
1:41:44
alright let's wrap up here kevin
1:41:47
and give us he he he just talk about the last ten
1:41:49
thousand years or more perks actually even more
1:41:51
ah listen to the big picture next ten
1:41:54
thousand years next hundred thousand years yeah i
1:41:56
love these stories in as we colonize the that
1:41:58
the solar system and move out into the it he
1:42:00
and and bifurcated in into
1:42:02
new species and saw an article apartments
1:42:05
in a hurry petty see that the teacher in terms
1:42:07
of your model in theory the
1:42:09
infrastructure in society
1:42:12
well i hope future intellectual historians
1:42:14
plant a flag with works like
1:42:16
acres with with worse i go to force
1:42:19
like hand roslyn
1:42:20
that have their and really started to reorient
1:42:22
how we think about
1:42:24
a three the progress
1:42:26
narrative was taboo for so long because
1:42:28
it was kind of stupidly and
1:42:30
finley euro centric but it's
1:42:32
not anymore he in morris is another
1:42:34
great articulate
1:42:36
are out of historical park there's also a book
1:42:39
called the evolution of more moral progress
1:42:41
by buchanan in power fantastic
1:42:43
book so we have to really take
1:42:45
seriously or how life is
1:42:47
different from the past and frankly on
1:42:49
balance it's just undeniable that
1:42:51
improvements on have have have
1:42:54
touched every front of our lives
1:42:56
so when i look to the future
1:42:59
i actually see a future in which
1:43:03
we
1:43:04
increasingly appreciate the impact
1:43:06
of different points of view
1:43:09
the we increasingly appreciate the
1:43:11
role of debate we don't see it as just
1:43:13
are be mean or being a jerk but we see
1:43:15
it as a form of
1:43:17
caring about another person
1:43:18
i'm being with another person
1:43:21
i think that frankly michael when i go to the future
1:43:23
i see that a lot of the norms of science
1:43:26
the review debate test ability
1:43:29
the i think these are going to become more and more disseminated
1:43:31
the population i think kids are learning to code right now
1:43:33
that's great they will also
1:43:35
become statistically literate because data has
1:43:38
never been more saleable
1:43:39
so we're going to have bright kids
1:43:41
that are great statisticians and datasets you
1:43:44
know they're going to be scraping websites and and running
1:43:46
big data and analyses as you can algorithms
1:43:48
and machine learning the future
1:43:50
is is wonderfully
1:43:52
mathematically statistically litter i know the scent
1:43:54
of sir to say this but i guess you may be something of an optimist
1:43:57
it's going to be a technical
1:43:59
the queen capable
1:44:01
statistically literate data driven
1:44:04
ah and
1:44:06
open minded and cosmopolitan world
1:44:09
our infrastructure only become more efficient
1:44:11
it's not going to be linear but it's going to become more efficient
1:44:14
we're gonna probably switch to nuclear because the benefits
1:44:16
of just undeniable on lot of the downsides riverside
1:44:18
to do it
1:44:20
i i see very bright future my
1:44:22
i see an incredibly bright future if you wanted to
1:44:24
be negative
1:44:25
i think that a downside is one of the
1:44:27
loneliness i think that the the
1:44:30
emotional challenge of past societies
1:44:32
was created stifling and
1:44:34
a feeling like we couldn't express ourselves i
1:44:36
think the emotional challenge a future societies will
1:44:38
be intense loneliness and and we have to keep in
1:44:40
mind what loneliness looks like what
1:44:42
loneliness looks like is making hostile
1:44:45
attribution to others what loneliness looks
1:44:47
like is impulsive anger what
1:44:49
loneliness looks like is avoidance of
1:44:51
people you think oh you're lonely weren't you try to be
1:44:53
around people know you start to avoid people because you're
1:44:55
pure a good intentions to that to explain why are wireless
1:44:58
so loneliness doesn't always
1:45:00
look
1:45:01
like loneliness it a can look
1:45:03
like anger it can look like this trust
1:45:06
i think we need to be very sensitive to that that
1:45:09
is going to be the future challenge of humanity but,
1:45:11
but
1:45:11
on balance, michael we are in store for
1:45:13
the greatest human societies that
1:45:15
have ever existed as we are looking today
1:45:19
yeah,
1:45:19
perfect
1:45:20
place and i would a a great statement
1:45:22
yeah, i agree i hope your rights up
1:45:24
alright thank you kevin thanks for your books
1:45:27
in your work, and your friendship and thanks for
1:45:29
talking to be on the shelves
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