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What happened in New Hampshire and what does it mean?

What happened in New Hampshire and what does it mean?

Released Wednesday, 24th January 2024
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What happened in New Hampshire and what does it mean?

What happened in New Hampshire and what does it mean?

What happened in New Hampshire and what does it mean?

What happened in New Hampshire and what does it mean?

Wednesday, 24th January 2024
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Episode Transcript

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0:02

This is a Global Player

0:04

original podcast. Now

0:06

you've all heard the chatter among

0:08

the political class. They're

0:11

falling all over themselves saying this

0:13

race is over. Well

0:22

I have news for all of them. New

0:26

Hampshire is first in

0:28

the nation. It is not the last

0:30

in the nation. This

0:38

race is far from over. There

0:40

are dozens of states left to

0:42

go. Yes

0:45

technically, technically she's right.

0:48

This race has still got a long way to go.

0:51

There are a lot of states but

0:53

show me a viable path by

0:57

which Nikki Haley wins

0:59

the Republican nomination after

1:01

Trump has triumphed in

1:04

Iowa and last night in New

1:06

Hampshire. She has to say

1:08

she's carrying on and for a

1:10

while she will carry on

1:12

but for how long? Last night

1:15

I predicted that if she lost by a

1:17

margin of five points she was definitely in

1:19

the race. If she lost by a margin of

1:21

15 points she was definitely

1:23

out. She lost by around 10 and

1:25

a half 11 so you choose. Welcome

1:30

to the News Agents USA. Is

1:38

John? Is Emily? And how

1:40

much sleep have we had between us? Probably not a huge amount. Not between

1:42

us, that sounds very very bad. John

1:46

was having... In separate properties miles

1:48

apart. I'm quite flattered that

1:50

John's night was full of dreams of

1:52

me and us getting lost looking for

1:55

the Pwning Piths in New Hampshire.

1:57

Exactly and I was also looking for

1:59

the recurrent nightmare. dream that I have. It's

2:01

turning into a therapy session where I can't find the

2:03

studio I'm meant to be broadcasting from and I can't

2:05

get there and I'm lost and I can't find and

2:07

I'm due on air. It's only a recurring nightmare because

2:09

it has happened to both of us so many times

2:12

with so many deadlines looming. But

2:14

it was, the result was

2:16

kind of really interesting last night

2:18

in that it wasn't the astonishing

2:20

shocker of Nikki Haley winning

2:23

which we had all both discounted

2:25

as really being possible or

2:27

probable. But it wasn't the

2:29

total slam dunk for Donald

2:31

Trump either. And it left

2:33

it in a grey area

2:36

where Nikki Haley was able to come up on stage

2:38

and said look I was polling about 2% at

2:41

the start of this. I'm now polling around 40%. You

2:43

know what things

2:45

aren't going so bad. Yeah, look in

2:47

perspective if Nikki wasn't going to win

2:50

New Hampshire she's honestly not going to

2:52

win anywhere. This is the state that is

2:54

the most Nikki Haley shaped of anywhere that

2:56

we will see in these early

2:58

races. Much more independent, much

3:00

more affluent. I mean she did a lot

3:03

of her campaign stops in sort of country

3:05

clubs and universities. It's that kind of place.

3:07

It's not Iowa and it's not even the

3:09

state she's got to approach next her

3:11

own one, South Carolina. And

3:13

what do we mean by that? There was a less

3:16

MAGA Republican crowd. One of the most

3:18

interesting sort of exit

3:21

poll numbers of the night was

3:23

the number of people who were

3:25

coming out to vote who said they were part

3:27

of the MAGA movement. 32% said yes, 64% said

3:29

no. So that was Nikki Haley's

3:34

crowd. And yes she didn't do

3:36

terribly but look realistically there's

3:38

an 11% gap between

3:41

her and Trump in the place that

3:43

she would have done the best of

3:45

anywhere. I would also say

3:47

that this was a win primarily

3:51

for the Democratic Party, actually for Biden.

3:53

Because if you look at all the

3:56

what they call registered undeclared or independents,

3:58

47% Now,

4:00

I know you're not a big fan of this argument,

4:02

but actually if Donald Trump is

4:04

only getting Republicans and

4:06

he's getting 49% Republicans

4:09

and she's getting all those underclared

4:12

or independents who hate Trump, then

4:14

where do they go come the general

4:17

election? If I was now a Democrat

4:19

thinking, well, I think New Hampshire is

4:21

very much a swing state because there's a

4:23

lot of people there that don't like

4:25

him. Remember, he had 97% of the

4:28

Republican Party last time round and he's still

4:30

lost to Biden by 7 million votes. Okay,

4:32

popular votes. This time he's got kind

4:34

of half of it. So what does that

4:36

look like in a general election? Okay, let me just

4:39

deal with that argument because I do sort of

4:41

disagree with you. For one simple

4:43

reason. Yeah, there are an awful lot of Republicans

4:45

who don't like Trump and who don't want Trump.

4:48

Are they going to vote for Joe Biden? That's the

4:51

question. I mean, that is the key question because it

4:53

seems to me that if you look

4:55

at the rock solid support of people who

4:57

would die in the last ditch for Donald

4:59

Trump and rock solid support of

5:02

people who would die in the last ditch

5:04

for Joe Biden, there are many

5:06

more Trump loyalists who would be those

5:08

people in the last ditch. Whereas

5:10

Biden's problem is going to be to

5:12

get people to turn out. And

5:15

I think you said it really eloquently if

5:17

I may say so, Miss Makelist the other

5:19

day. Thank you very much. Was

5:22

when you said the battle is not between Biden and

5:24

Trump, it's between Biden and the sofa. And you know,

5:26

just people who think, you know what, I can't be

5:28

asked. I don't trust any of them. I don't like

5:30

either of them. We know the polls

5:32

that say 70% of Americans don't want either

5:35

of them as president. I think turnout is going

5:37

to be the critical issue. I think that's right.

5:39

And I think if you look amongst the

5:42

Republican Party goes back to that very first

5:44

stat that we were talking about ahead of

5:46

the Iowa caucus, which is the enthusiasm for

5:48

Donald Trump is 49% right. Massive.

5:51

You know, they're really enthusiastic for him. Enthusiasm

5:54

at the time for Nikki Haley was about 9%. In

5:57

Other words, if it was snowy and cold, were

5:59

you the. Leave your say certain go out

6:01

for Nikki Haley's I think know. It.

6:03

Actually turns around. Because

6:05

I think the democrats can use

6:08

this. To focus mines. The

6:10

have to say right there was no Haley There was

6:12

never on the census. This a middle. Ground Republican:

6:14

It's Trump or it's Bidens.

6:16

And yes, I think Trump

6:18

supporters run towards Trump. In.

6:21

A way that Biden supporters don't run

6:23

towards Biden. And I think there's a

6:25

lot of people who also run away

6:27

from Trump's and those are the people

6:29

that will be energized now my bike

6:31

and will act as the key constituency

6:34

in November which was telling the story

6:36

of last night because Nikki Haley she

6:38

came up and said I'm a fighter

6:40

on on a scrappy She basically said

6:42

the Peter Mandelson like the how about

6:44

the bikes are not a quitter but

6:46

she also I think caught on to

6:49

Donald Trump skin with some of the

6:51

remarks. That she made and they

6:53

were well targeted. The Us

6:55

has a son also accused me

6:57

of not providing security at the

6:59

top. Or

7:07

Mental Competency Test politicians over the

7:09

age of seventy five. Shots.

7:18

At our. In. One of those

7:21

hey. Maisie, Why?

7:23

Maybe. He won. But.

7:26

As he sat. Then

7:28

he should have no problem

7:30

standing on a debate stage.

7:32

For most Americans do not

7:34

want a rematch between Biden

7:36

and Trump. First

7:41

party to retire. It's eighty year old.

7:43

It is going to be the Parties

7:45

at Windsor. So let's say that is

7:47

how Nikki Haley is trying to forge

7:50

a path. She doesn't call him out

7:52

for any the things that seemed glaringly.

7:54

Obvious like being as election deny,

7:56

like being a sexual abuse us

7:59

like standing in four major trials

8:01

in the coming. Guess. What she

8:03

does is say he's lost his

8:05

cognitive ability to govern, and this

8:07

refers to a speech that he

8:09

made where he seems to confuse

8:11

her with Nancy. Pelosi to the

8:14

old. Earth Democrat the former.

8:16

Leader of the House who was also

8:18

not responsible for what happens on the

8:20

sixth of January. But that

8:23

was a moment that Trump

8:25

seems to have found unforgivable

8:27

because there was no nice,

8:29

nice, nice, Of the his victory

8:31

of Nikki Haley in New Hampshire, he

8:33

was horrid. We need to play up,

8:35

isn't that? Because if you remember what

8:37

you and I were talking about off

8:39

the Iowa was Mister Unity Mister. Come

8:41

together. Let's will hold hands and love

8:43

each other. It's of respect each other.

8:45

There was none of that last night

8:48

and I think Nikki Haley had got

8:50

completely under a my skin with that

8:52

attack. Who the hell was the imposter

8:54

said went up on the stage before

8:56

and like claimed a victory. She did

8:58

very poorly actually. She. Had to win.

9:00

The governor said sister when she's going to

9:02

when she's going to win fancy she failed

9:05

to badly. Now I have here if if

9:07

he promises to do to do with it

9:09

a minute or less. But.

9:11

The only person more angry. Than

9:14

let's say me but I don't get too. Angry

9:16

I get even. Donald

9:21

some to remind us that isolates.

9:23

That vindictive. Streak is really strong

9:26

and he comes across as a bit

9:28

of applause. Bully They're. Essentially, he

9:30

cannot bear the site that even

9:32

though she's lost this race, she's

9:34

not bowing out. And I think

9:37

that's important when you talk about.

9:39

Unity in own His sort of. Pretense.

9:41

that unity the other place with heard

9:43

a cool. For unity from. His

9:46

the Republican National Committee that

9:48

share has called for unity

9:50

and thus is. Also.

9:52

A slightly veiled threats I think

9:54

to Nikki Haley and what it

9:57

means is oh colony, just get.

9:59

Out. The Race Now. How do you? just for the

10:01

sake of your. Own political future colony just

10:03

out. Now we'll want to get behind

10:05

Donald Trump's so. In Nikki

10:07

Haley's next moves and it looks as

10:09

if from what's he saying, she doesn't

10:12

want. To continue, can see really go

10:14

on to South Carolina her own a

10:16

home state and lose in a big

10:18

way. They're that's embarrassing but is she

10:20

also weighing up the slightly coded message

10:22

from the are and see which is

10:24

saying get Help. Was. It was

10:27

really interesting. is that? just going

10:29

back to. What? She said

10:31

about from being old and

10:33

getting confused what trump said

10:35

himself. Where he got

10:38

confused him last night.

10:41

Trump is vindictive. We know

10:43

that. What? People under

10:45

appreciate. His vulnerability and

10:47

he is vulnerable to an attack

10:49

like that. uneasy. Makes a couple

10:52

more hours where he gets name's

10:54

confused and he gets people of

10:56

the issue becomes his cognitive decline

10:59

rather. The Joe Biden on is

11:01

fascinating That the Biden campaign. Have

11:04

already put out of a talk had

11:06

saying that the problem is the person

11:08

whose dog off is not me. Is

11:10

that bloke Donald Trump see the nutty

11:12

one on I think that that is

11:14

a vulnerability and that explains the question

11:16

you just need Wise Nikki Haley staying

11:18

in the race is because that might

11:20

be to more of those a which

11:22

case people are going to say. The

11:25

phone from refitted off on so I

11:27

think she's prepared to weather the storm

11:30

for the Rnc. The Rnc can go

11:32

whistle Dixie as far as she says

11:34

said she's going to stay in it

11:37

because she believes that Trump is still

11:39

vulnerable is still a week transit. And

11:42

yes, for all the meant to be

11:44

scored couple more cops he could be

11:46

televised. very different. figure out. My son's

11:48

would call it an early and extinction

11:50

level event. Nice and I got. You.

11:52

Assad's have great have a similar get

11:54

Ribeiro Erica discussing extinction level event six

11:56

level events. And the idea I think

11:59

is that she's sort of hovering now,

12:01

right? She's sort of circling like a

12:03

plane above he throws that can actually

12:05

learn she can't find a landing strips

12:07

but she sort of way six Like,

12:09

is he going to have the heart

12:11

attack? Is he gonna lose his marbles?

12:13

Is he can get a risk? That

12:15

is. he going to get convicted? Is

12:18

he going to be forceful up for

12:20

another reason and she wants to be

12:22

the person that is just waiting for

12:24

any of those events to happen. Such

12:26

a me with who to ridiculous kind

12:28

of hypotheses. Know what is the chance

12:30

of any that we just don't know,

12:32

but none of them seem. Thus,

12:34

unlikely old. That's impossible when.

12:37

You put trump I'm biden to get on. I

12:39

think it's goes back to your. Question.

12:41

Like. Isn't as extraordinary that we're

12:44

talking about? Two. Candidates that

12:46

a both calling each other seen all.

12:48

I mean honestly that's the best he

12:50

got to offer and as we know

12:52

seventy percent of the voters well think

12:54

it isn't good. As. Well as

12:56

just play the attacks Biden

12:58

campaign has put out about

13:01

Trump. Nine Percent

13:03

of you know Nikki

13:05

Haley. Regularly Nikki Haley.

13:08

Going on and I'm asking me more.

13:11

Why didn't hang on January Second?

13:13

that this is usually the judge

13:16

of security will for ten thousand

13:18

people. Didn't want to talk about

13:20

this. Our. Young

13:25

voter Id to buy a loaf of bread Yes,

13:27

you have idea. To buy a loaf of bread

13:29

was. For

13:32

this I'm driving over road was almost

13:35

all pay for the new know you

13:37

can see paper. I know paper. I

13:39

know Chance for all the time. Now

13:41

we see wells washing up on shore

13:43

because of the window. Or veterans don't

13:45

have cell phones do they. Got

13:49

confused. And

13:53

we did With Obama. We won

13:56

election that everyone said couldn't be

13:58

one Obama wants. to

14:00

talk about it. Well, you mean President Biden.

14:02

So, uh... Don't put our country at risk

14:04

like this. I'm Joe Biden,

14:06

and I approve this message. I

14:09

mean, what is extraordinary is the Democrats

14:11

weaponizing Nikki Haley, literally using

14:14

all her words to

14:17

point out his deficiencies that is

14:19

not going to make her popular

14:21

in the Trump team. And I

14:23

think they've been wickedly clever on that one, actually.

14:25

I mean, will it affect? I don't know. Do

14:27

these things have an effect? I

14:29

think it's interesting that they've given up talking

14:31

about, you know, democracy, particularly, they've given up

14:33

talking about him as a danger, and they're

14:35

just now trying to point to him as

14:38

a foolish old man. You

14:40

know, it's a kind of tables turn thing. I've

14:43

said before that I think if Biden has

14:45

one more slip, literally, then

14:47

that could be his campaign over because it

14:49

just plays to the sense that he's doddery.

14:52

I think Trump is in a very similar

14:54

position or could be very soon if

14:57

there is more of this kind of

14:59

linguistic word salad where you can't make

15:01

a single sense out of what he's

15:04

trying to say, where he clearly got

15:06

Nikki Haley totally confused repeatedly

15:09

with Nancy Pelosi as drawn

15:11

attention to in that

15:13

attack ad. And that is what is so bloody

15:16

terrifying for the American people. On

15:19

the UK episode of the news agents gave

15:22

us a wonderful history of the phrase,

15:24

two bald men fighting over a comb.

15:27

What we have in America now is two

15:29

very old men fighting over a Zimmer frame,

15:31

except it's a Zimmer frame that's got a

15:33

red button on it, which has could launch

15:35

nuclear off of a Geddon. And that is

15:38

just a frankly terrifying thought that it could

15:40

be a 78 year old versus an 81

15:43

year old at the election. These

15:45

guys have got that sort of

15:47

power at their fingertips. We'll

15:49

be back after the break. The

15:53

news agents USA with Emily Maitless

15:55

and John Sople. News

16:00

Agents USA. Now

16:02

we should also talk about the Democrats

16:05

and the primary last night

16:07

because although it is pretty

16:09

much uncontested in the sense that

16:11

they have the incumbent Joe Biden, there

16:13

are other candidates. Joe Biden wasn't on

16:15

the ballot last night, President Biden wasn't on

16:18

the ballot, but he still managed to secure 51%

16:21

of the votes as a write-in candidate. Now

16:23

when people sort of say that, you're thinking,

16:25

what would you mean a write-in? It literally

16:27

means you get your slipper paper and you

16:29

write the name, which is easy if it's

16:32

Joe Biden and everyone knows how to

16:34

spell it. It's hard if it's a complicated

16:36

name. I remember years ago, the

16:39

Alaska Senator, Lisa Murkowski, who

16:41

had to hand out little bracelets with

16:43

beads on which showed how her name

16:45

was spelled so that when people went

16:47

to the poll, they actually followed

16:50

the beads on the bracelet and wrote it in. Anyway,

16:53

with or without him turning up... Just add

16:55

to that that it's worth adding that Lisa

16:57

Murkowski did win. Oh, she did win. She

16:59

won a Senate seat even though she was

17:01

a complete outsider, which is extraordinary. Yeah.

17:04

So the write-in thing is quite interesting

17:07

because it sort of opens the way

17:09

for people who might not have been

17:11

registered early on. In this case, Joe

17:14

Biden deliberately eschewed New Hampshire. And

17:16

I think it's important to remember that four years

17:18

ago when he was standing, he didn't win in

17:20

Iowa, he didn't win in New Hampshire. By the

17:22

end of New Hampshire, we'd pretty much written off

17:25

Joe Biden as the candidate, right? We

17:27

were sitting there going, oh, I think it might be Bloomberg. It

17:29

was South Carolina that salvaged him. It was South Carolina

17:31

that saved him. So Joe Biden, anyway,

17:34

51% of the vote,

17:36

20% went to the Minnesota and

17:38

Dean Phillips, who from what I hear is

17:40

a very nice guy, a very charming, self-effacing

17:42

guy who doesn't at all want to take

17:44

on Biden, but he thinks that somebody has

17:46

to. He thinks that somebody should have stepped

17:48

up to sort of fill the, as it

17:51

were, the gap between

17:53

America and the octogenarian leader.

17:56

And so he's put himself forward. I think he got around 20% on the

17:58

ballot. The vote from

18:01

New Hampshire that his last. Night

18:03

and then those I williamson who

18:05

they are, self help kind of

18:07

group sort of persons. Ground Zero

18:09

Five percent I think. You know

18:11

that once caught he finished. I do

18:13

think is worth talking about a third

18:15

party candidates because we've seen the effect

18:17

that they can have in elections are

18:19

Hillary Clinton. One of the reasons she

18:21

thinks she didn't win in Twenty sixteen

18:23

was that Jill Stein to to as

18:25

a green card. that and took enough

18:27

votes from her in some of the

18:29

key swing states that could have pushed

18:31

rosa the lines we saw in earlier

18:33

elections the Ralph Nader's in the Ross

18:35

Parros trying to get. I think that

18:37

the Twenty Four and Action is the

18:39

rightist it has ever been. For

18:42

a third party candidate is

18:44

someone could emerge who could

18:46

build the ground game across

18:49

fifty states who would appeal

18:51

to disaffected democrats, liberal republicans,

18:54

Independence and all those people who just

18:56

can't go near Trump because they feel

18:58

allergic to him on his I suppose

19:00

since they can get some serious voting

19:02

number. And I think the site that there

19:04

isn't tells he just how hard it is.

19:06

Just so dominant that a Gemini of the

19:08

two party system isn't the U S buses.

19:10

We've heard this whole i Did the Lincoln

19:12

project which was, you know, never trump. These

19:15

was sort of disaffected republicans who really

19:17

wanted to kind. Of send out the

19:19

message to be anti Trump's I mean that

19:21

hasn't managed to sort of find a candidate

19:23

that was the no labels idea which we

19:26

thought Joe Manchin, the West Virginia set of

19:28

said might be getting behind but actually no

19:30

be set for would that's as I say

19:32

Dean Phillips and only stood either. He says

19:34

of a few democrats that he would argue

19:37

with any didn't up because that was a

19:39

gun. And of course is Rob F. Kennedy. This

19:41

Room F. Kennedy. Who is kind of want

19:43

to say this of the joke? Canada

19:45

is the anti vax candidates. He's the

19:47

one who thought decide really whether he's

19:49

republican or democrat. Even He comes from

19:52

this extraordinary sort of democrat Royal seats

19:54

family of the Kennedys and. I.

19:56

Think he'll probably end up

19:58

taking. votes

20:00

from the Republicans from Trump. Well because

20:02

I think the lane that he swims in

20:05

is conspiracy theories and much more maggery than

20:07

it is Democrats. Oh, talking about conspiracy theories.

20:09

Oh go on. You've got a new

20:11

one for me. I've got a new one. Shall we just bring

20:13

in our old friend, Marjorie Taylor

20:16

Greene, the Georgia congresswoman

20:18

who decided that Nikki

20:20

Haley, Nikki Haley is the

20:23

election denier this time around. Just have a listen to

20:25

her from last night. These are

20:27

fake numbers. Nikki Haley does not have

20:29

this much support. She's going to come

20:31

out and claim that she's rising in

20:33

the polls. All these fake

20:35

news media people up here on

20:37

this platform are going to claim that

20:40

Nikki Haley is rising in the

20:42

polls. It's a total complete lie. Absolute

20:44

lie. Tonight Nikki Haley was defeated.

20:46

The problem is she's going to be

20:48

dumb enough and she's going to be

20:51

a fake candidate and she's going

20:53

to keep going and we're going to

20:55

destroy her in South Carolina. It's

20:57

going to be a complete humiliation.

20:59

I can't wait to see it

21:01

happen. Marjorie Taylor Greene makes my ears

21:04

bleed. I mean, listening to that. They're just

21:06

so nasty to each other, aren't they? I

21:08

mean, honestly. But there is a

21:10

kind of weird subtext here as well. Donald

21:13

Trump has said that he

21:15

would favor having a

21:17

woman vice president. You

21:20

do sense that there is a

21:22

bit of an audition going on among

21:25

various women in the Republican Party who

21:27

want to be that person, whether

21:29

it's the New York Congresswoman, Elise Stefanik,

21:32

whether it's the Arizona governor, hopeful

21:34

Carrie Lake, former TV presenter, whether

21:36

it's Marjorie Taylor Greene, whether it's

21:38

Kristi Nirm, the South Dakota governor.

21:41

They're all doing their bit to be out there

21:44

super for Trump. And you just

21:46

sense, is this just some kind of horrible

21:49

beauty parade that Trump will be loving?

21:51

He'll be lapping every second of it

21:53

up. It's so funny you say that because

21:55

I was just thinking that basically his life

21:57

has carried On that twin trajectory. Of

22:00

the beauty pageant he's to own, miss

22:02

America, and the a princess that he's

22:04

to run. The show an M

22:07

B C and it feels like everyone

22:09

is constantly in this position. Of

22:11

auditioning for Trump whether it's. For

22:13

the V P, whether it's be a

22:15

side with, been at his cabinet and

22:18

I think that is basically how he

22:20

wants the world to be. this is

22:22

the centrifugal force and those are sort

22:24

of flying around the outside quite often

22:26

making the cell sound. Easy or

22:29

sick he is the T V direct

22:31

her party. Parcel. Know he

22:33

wants everything to be are some. He wants

22:35

it to be a show at their various

22:37

people who is some team to play the

22:39

part of. They know that they have to

22:41

play the part is they got to be

22:43

a Donald Trump's good graces you know? And

22:46

so he said of really sensitive the new

22:48

Congress or with the other day she's a

22:50

killer. What a compliment! There is no higher

22:52

praise in the Donald Trump book that she's

22:54

a killer of every what. It is fine

22:56

for Donald Trump's attached to that used to

22:58

humiliate smoke. Oh yeah and. Give you

23:01

this clip of the to Get

23:03

kinda thought to is the South

23:05

Carolina senator appointed previously by Nikki

23:07

Haley's Who Is No thrown his

23:10

endorsement. Behind Donald Trump's. And

23:12

old some takes inducement and at the

23:14

same time kind of rose it back

23:17

in his face. It's really humiliating. Together.

23:19

Think that. She

23:21

actually appointed shoots him. And.

23:25

Think of it appointed and you

23:28

the senator of his state and

23:30

she endorsed me. You

23:33

must really hate her. Now.

23:36

We don't understand that line. We think that

23:38

might be another cognitive. Little slip because

23:41

we don't remember Nikki Haley

23:43

Endorsing Trump. Except to

23:45

put her hands up on the

23:47

Tv debate stage. To say they

23:49

would continue to support the nominee

23:51

even is. Suitably. Be talking

23:54

about that person was convicted of

23:56

a crime. Now just to

23:58

go back to. some of

24:00

the exit polling that we had on that night

24:02

last night in New Hampshire, there

24:05

was one that said 51% of

24:07

Republican voters would

24:10

support Donald Trump even if he

24:12

were convicted. Right? And

24:15

I do think that's interesting

24:17

because if that's where the Republican voter

24:19

in New Hampshire is, then

24:22

all bets are off. That was the one thing that

24:25

I think the Democrats were kind of clinging

24:27

to saying, well, let's see where these court

24:29

cases go. Let's see where the indictments go.

24:31

Let's see if he's actually convicted. And a

24:33

lot of people that we've spoken to, you

24:35

know, informally on the ground have said, we

24:38

can support him for now. If he gets

24:40

convicted, I'm not sure. That would suggest that

24:42

the majority of his party of his party

24:44

could continue to support a man who is

24:46

a convicted criminal. I think with

24:48

Donald Trump, you are always looking at

24:50

the wrong end of the telescope because

24:53

you think that the things that would

24:55

magnify, you've been charged

24:57

with criminal offenses, would be the thing

24:59

that would destroy you. Donald

25:02

Trump a year ago, a little over a

25:04

year ago, was politically dead. I mean, he

25:06

was doing very badly in the polls. He

25:08

wasn't going up. There was that kind of

25:10

sense of January the 6th that then emgraved

25:12

damage. There was no political comeback. So what's

25:15

changed over the past year,

25:17

all the indictments, the charges, which

25:20

he has played brilliantly, he has

25:22

played them brilliantly to suggest that

25:24

it is Joe Biden's kind of

25:27

vendetta against him that the Justice

25:29

Department is acting as a political

25:31

hatchet on him. And

25:34

that if they could come after me, Donald Trump, think

25:36

of what they could do to you,

25:38

the ordinary American people. And that has

25:41

resonated. And so Donald Trump has turned

25:43

potentially the area of greatest weakness

25:46

into his political salvation. in

26:00

a vacuum. You need

26:02

to get support from people who

26:04

you have scared. And that's what's

26:06

happened. I mean, we've said it

26:09

before many times, I think that what

26:11

happened after January the sixth

26:13

suggested so many of the

26:15

old school Republicans were prepared to cut

26:17

ties with a man they now

26:19

deemed dangerous. And what

26:21

happened shortly after that, they all decided, well, we'll

26:24

give him another go. He looks powerful

26:27

still. He looks scary still. I

26:29

don't want my political career to be over. And

26:32

so they all came around. And that's basically the

26:34

story of Donald Trump. He has been enabled.

26:37

I don't want my political career to be

26:39

over is the key quote that they are

26:41

terrified of him and what he might do

26:43

to their political careers. And so if it

26:45

means you bend the knee, if it means

26:47

you turned a blind eye, if it means

26:50

you close your ears to some of the

26:52

egregious things that he says, you

26:54

do it, even if you know that

26:56

he's not a proven winner. I

26:58

mean, the story of Donald Trump is

27:00

he won once 2016 and hasn't won

27:02

since. So what is extraordinary just to

27:05

sort of end where we started is

27:07

that the race between Nikki Haley and

27:09

Biden would really scare the

27:11

Democrats. Yeah, if the Republican Party

27:13

wanted to win the presidency, they

27:15

would be backing Nikki Haley at

27:17

this point, not Donald Trump. The

27:19

fact that they consider Donald Trump

27:22

too serious or too scary to ignore

27:24

for their own political futures, I think

27:27

tells you a lot about what

27:29

they want to get from their party

27:31

right now. And where the

27:33

center of political gravity is in

27:36

the Republican Party, it is a

27:38

wholly owned subsidiary of Donald

27:40

Trump Enterprises. The

27:42

news agents USA with Emily Mateles

27:44

and John Sople. The

27:49

news agents USA. So

27:53

Before we go, what should we tell you

27:55

about the calendar, the election calendar ahead? The

27:57

Next race is the one that no one

27:59

talks about. And that is

28:01

what's happening in Nevada the week of

28:03

the sixth of February Eighth of February.

28:05

And that's because they basically have a

28:07

caucus and a primary together. but they

28:09

kind of slip outside. the real Race

28:11

said they do their own independent things.

28:13

nobody pays any attention to. Accept minute people

28:15

who think that they don't have come. Under Us

28:18

and the real race that you'll be

28:20

hearing about. Now it's the South Carolina.

28:22

Race which is a month from now. So

28:24

this time it really is true that what

28:26

happens in Vegas is going to say boat

28:28

specific no one will go to ban on

28:30

when whenever say they beat us out on

28:32

fast like yeah promises of a. Has

28:35

been a google player original on talked

28:37

and.

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