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and get wild! Welcome
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in to the PFF NFL Podcast,
1:35
just Steve Pelzola with you so
1:37
far. Here on this Monday morning,
1:39
that's right, Sam's out on vacation,
1:41
but I've got a very special
1:43
guest here today. It's former Minnesota
1:45
Vikings general manager, Rick Spielman, returning
1:47
to the show. Before we get
1:49
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health questions. I
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to as I mentioned Rick Spielman. Gonna. Join
2:48
the show here! We had him on last year. And
2:51
a lot of people liked our discussion. Hope will have.
2:53
And. Other similar one. So let's do it
2:56
Right now. it's get to a Rick Spielman
2:58
currently of Cbs Sports and former Minnesota Vikings
3:00
General Manager. I
3:02
told the story of Tic last year when
3:04
we had ya Michelle yelled at me the
3:06
first time that we have met at a
3:08
com nine hundred and by.our relationship has drowned
3:11
senate and self esteem at Baby Steps here.
3:13
Are. You. Is a you're
3:16
like you're fresh off this Washington Commanders
3:18
Coaching search right? You got. this site
3:20
is consulting gigs which is our which
3:22
is pretty solid. Can. You can
3:24
you talk broadly about the the search and.
3:27
Ah one of the things that when people ask me
3:29
about hey, is this a good coaching candidate I cop
3:31
out I say i don't know. Because.
3:33
It feels like there's so much that we don't see.
3:36
That makes a good coach. So can you speak
3:38
broadly to the the search and what you might
3:40
be looking for helping out with. Yeah.
3:42
Gosh Harris and Are Bob Myers who
3:44
was a former and be a Gm
3:46
with the Golden State Warriors asked me
3:48
to join a group and the first
3:51
tests we had. ah and
3:53
hand was a higher the gm so we
3:55
spent a lot of time i did a
3:57
lot of research i knew a lot of
4:00
the people that were going to be
4:02
candidates for the next GM of the
4:04
Washington commanders. We went through
4:06
that process first because Josh Harris wanted
4:08
to get the general manager in place
4:11
and then from there we would hire the head
4:13
coach. So went through
4:15
five candidates as a general manager
4:17
and they're all very qualified. I
4:20
think all those general manager candidates
4:22
that we did interview were eventually
4:24
B candidates, but for the Washington
4:26
commanders and what fit best with
4:29
Josh Harris was in
4:31
our minds, no doubt that it was
4:33
Adam Peters. Not only his background from
4:35
New England to Denver to San Francisco,
4:38
but his knowledge of personnel, but his
4:40
ability to communicate across all departments
4:46
under the football operations, which he will be
4:48
head of. Once we got
4:50
through that process, the next one was
4:52
the head coaching search. And
4:55
this one was very
4:57
interesting. And
5:00
I could just tell you on the
5:02
Bob Myers situation, he wasn't
5:04
brought in to get into specifics
5:06
on X's and O's, but he
5:08
was a great resource on leadership
5:11
and on relationship with coaches and
5:13
GM and talking about
5:15
his relationship he had with Steve Kerr
5:18
and how they won all those championships.
5:20
So that gave a different perspective. In
5:22
fact, I learned a lot being
5:25
very fortunate to be a prior to this process.
5:28
But we started that process, we did a
5:30
lot of Zooms first. The
5:32
NFL rules for hiring a head coach
5:34
are different than hiring a
5:36
general manager. You couldn't meet
5:39
with them in person until I
5:41
believe January 22nd. So
5:44
once that time came, we did the
5:46
initial interviews by Zoom, those usually lasted
5:49
about two and a half hours. And
5:51
then the in-person interviews lasted about six
5:53
hours. And we broke it up at
5:56
different segments where Josh
5:58
and Bob and and Adam
6:01
wouldn't be for a segment. Myself, Mark
6:03
Mayhew and Josh would, or Adam would
6:05
do another segment. We got
6:07
more into the football specifics. I think
6:09
the biggest thing that the
6:11
owner and Adam wanted to know
6:13
was the relationship going forward. So
6:15
a lot of qualified candidates, everybody
6:17
that we interviewed, I was thoroughly
6:20
impressed with. Some of those guys did
6:22
get jobs, some didn't, but I think
6:24
they're gonna be future head coaches in
6:27
the NFL, but we would
6:30
come back after we each did
6:32
our respective areas that we were going
6:34
to interview these candidates and come
6:36
and come back and give our opinions
6:38
on strengths and weaknesses. The
6:41
most important part of the process
6:43
was, and especially me with my
6:45
background, was, okay, I'm
6:47
not hiring a head coach. I
6:49
will give you the positives and
6:52
negatives that I believe he
6:54
has and why he would be a great
6:57
leader for the Washington commanders.
6:59
But Josh and Adam
7:02
Peters had to ultimately make that decision because that's
7:04
the guy that they're gonna be working with directly.
7:06
I don't have to work with them. So
7:08
my role was there just to tell
7:10
them my thoughts and feelings on each
7:13
of the candidates as we went through.
7:15
But I loved the process,
7:17
loved the GM process. I learned a
7:19
lot on how different teams do different
7:21
things and it made me even
7:24
more educated than I was before it became
7:26
part of this search. You
7:29
mentioned Bob Myers coming from the
7:32
Golden State Warriors and coming from the NBA. I
7:35
think people initially hear that. They're like, oh, he
7:37
doesn't know football, but as you clarified it, it's
7:39
the relationship aspect. It's also just learning how other
7:42
organizations operate. I
7:45
think that might be underused, right? I
7:47
mean, I've watched Bob on
7:49
Sloan analytics panels because I'm gonna
7:51
be at the Sloan conference again
7:54
this year. And I remember
7:56
before I was on the panel last year, I'd
7:58
watch all these old panels. from
8:01
other sports. I'd watch baseball and I'd watch basketball
8:03
and I thought I learned a lot
8:05
just listening to little snippets of how they solved
8:08
problems, how they operated. It's
8:10
not about so much the on field
8:13
or the X's and O's but the process. So
8:16
I imagine that was a great asset
8:18
for Washington in the search here. Yeah,
8:20
that's what it was. It was having
8:22
different viewpoints and not just all football
8:24
or all this or all that but
8:29
I guess the best way just crossing
8:31
over from sport to sport. But in essence,
8:33
we're all looking for a leader.
8:37
We're all looking for someone who
8:39
could communicate, someone
8:41
who's going to be able to relate with the
8:44
players to develop talent. Now they
8:46
do a different leaning in NBA, but then
8:48
the NFL, but you still gotta do it.
8:50
It's just different ways. So it's great to
8:52
listen to different ideas and maybe you pick
8:54
up the thing or two that they do
8:56
in the NBA that's not
8:58
being done in the NFL and vice
9:01
versa. So that to me was besides
9:04
listening and interviewing
9:06
these candidates, the
9:08
most fun I've had on
9:10
learning different things that I didn't know before
9:13
I was, like I said, fortunate to
9:15
be a part of this search. Do
9:18
you think there's some anything missing? Do
9:21
you think Dan Campbell's success
9:23
in Detroit has changed the way teams will
9:25
do coaching searches in the future or the
9:27
people that they're looking for because historically
9:30
it's been who are the
9:32
best offensive coordinators, the people that they've worked their way
9:34
up through the organization. Now they're good play callers, they
9:36
have a good scheme, they have a good system. Now
9:39
they're the head coaching candidates. But
9:41
Dan Campbell didn't necessarily have that, but he's
9:43
come in and been awesome for the Lions
9:45
as you know. Does
9:47
that change anything? Is that an anomaly?
9:50
How do you see maybe
9:52
Dan Campbell's a sense? Yeah, well,
9:54
it's the same thing, D'Amico Ryan's. Look what
9:56
he did when he got his opportunity. Again,
9:58
now he was... a coordinator,
10:00
I understand that, but another former player
10:02
that was a good football player, but
10:05
a leader of the team. So
10:07
as you see these coaches
10:10
that are coming up that were former players
10:12
that were also great leaders, I
10:14
think that's what people are looking for.
10:16
And you can't go
10:19
into these searches just saying, hey, we
10:21
want the brightest mind offensive
10:24
coordinator, because he may
10:26
be a great offensive coordinator, but can
10:28
he run an organization? Can he oversee
10:31
the defense of special teams and everything
10:33
else that comes across his desk? So
10:36
there are guys that end up being great
10:38
coordinators, but not great head coaches. But I
10:40
think the traits, it doesn't
10:42
matter whether your offense, defense, special
10:44
teams, whatever, its leadership,
10:47
its ability to communicate across
10:49
platforms and its ability to
10:52
develop talent and its
10:54
ability to put a staff together that will be
10:56
able to do that. The
10:58
staffing thing, I think, is
11:00
extremely underrated. Again, that's why as an analyst, when somebody
11:02
asks me, how do you like this head coaching candidate?
11:05
I say, I don't know. I'm not in the interviews.
11:07
I don't know who they're going
11:09
to hire, what their philosophy is. I also
11:11
think that's probably why there's a challenge with
11:13
interim head coaches, right? I mean, they're an
11:16
interim head coach. They fill in for a while. Even
11:18
if their team goes on a run, it's not really
11:20
the full job, right? They're just keeping
11:22
the ship afloat for a year, but the job
11:24
is putting everything else into place and
11:26
being that CEO. So it feels like that's just
11:29
a big part of the challenge when trying to predict who
11:31
the next great leader is going to be for an organization.
11:34
Yeah. And I could just mention
11:36
what really stuck out about Dan
11:38
Quinn and why
11:41
I think Josh and Adam made
11:44
a great choice was that Dan
11:46
Quinn, people forget, got Atlanta to
11:48
a Super Bowl. Now, I know
11:50
they ended up having that
11:52
collapse in the second half, but they got
11:54
there and Dan Quinn
11:56
is maybe the most person
12:00
that I've met but yet has a presence
12:02
to him. And
12:04
when he goes back and he's talked
12:06
about how he reassessed himself on
12:09
the mistakes that he made or his blind
12:11
spots and how he took
12:13
his own initiative to go
12:16
out and seek help in
12:18
those blind spots to make it better
12:20
if he did get another opportunity from
12:22
experts in those areas. And I
12:24
thought that, you know, what more do you
12:26
want from a leader that's someone that is
12:29
humble, that knows he doesn't know everything and
12:31
is willing to go out and seek help
12:33
to get better. We all have our own
12:35
faults. I have my own faults. You I
12:37
don't know, Steve, you don't have any faults
12:39
apparently. But it's
12:42
great when someone has that. The other
12:44
thing that I thought was really critical
12:47
in the coaching search is you
12:49
can get a feel for someone
12:51
on the Zoom. But
12:54
the in-person is not
12:56
replaceable. It is when you
12:59
have that person in the room, you can
13:01
feel that energy. You can feel whatever
13:03
that it factor is, whether they have that
13:05
or not. I mean, they can do the
13:07
presentation and you go through all the questions
13:10
that you have to go through. But you
13:12
can really feel that person, whether you're like
13:14
Adam is going to connect with that person
13:16
or not. And I don't think you get
13:18
that same sense, even though you get a
13:21
feel, but not like it is
13:23
when you sit there across from
13:25
somebody across the table and interview
13:27
them. Yeah, again,
13:30
I can only see what I see, but
13:32
Dan Quinn coming from that Seattle defensive scheme
13:35
from early of the last decade, a
13:37
lot of the defensive coordinators from that scheme
13:39
kind of kept the scheme intact and everything
13:41
for a while. And I think Dan Quinn
13:43
did in Atlanta. But I was most impressed
13:45
with what he did in Dallas by adjusting
13:47
his system to personnel. And it feels like
13:49
that's a little bit of what
13:52
you're saying is that Quinn's shown
13:54
the ability to adjust and continue
13:57
to improve. You have to. that's
14:00
what's the difference in today's NFL is
14:03
that you can have your base schemes, but
14:05
there's some, whether it's offense or defense,
14:08
but the opposing coaches are pretty skewed
14:10
too. Eventually they get a
14:12
beat on what you're doing. So how,
14:14
what do you do to adjust your scheme?
14:16
And I think the most important thing now
14:18
is that these successful
14:21
coaches are taking players
14:23
that can do multiple things, either
14:25
on the offense or defensive side,
14:28
a la Kyle Shanahan
14:30
in San Francisco, what he does with
14:32
Christian McCaffrey, what he does with Deebo.
14:35
And even, you know, you watch what
14:38
Spags has done as the defensive coordinator
14:40
out in Kansas City, he
14:42
uses those guys in multiple ways. And
14:45
how do you keep evolving your system?
14:47
Because if you stay stagnant to me,
14:49
that's when you get passed up. All
14:52
right, we're gonna talk a little draft today and some
14:54
of the evaluations, and you've been grinding
14:56
the film, I think, right? Lead them up
14:58
to the combine here in a couple of
15:00
weeks. Like you know, PFF, I have the
15:02
ability to do that. So always happy to
15:05
take care of you, Rick. I
15:08
have one more broad question and it reminds me
15:10
of the NBA a little bit, since
15:12
we were talking about that earlier. And I may
15:14
have asked this to you last year, you may have hated
15:16
the question. So we'll try it again. The
15:19
NBA feels, it feels
15:21
like they spend all of
15:23
their decisions around finding superstars, right?
15:25
So they're either trying to be
15:29
drafting at the top so they could draft a
15:31
superstar or they're building an ecosystem
15:33
where a free agent superstar wants to join
15:35
the roster because the impact of one player
15:38
is massive. In
15:40
the NFL, the quarterback might be similar as
15:42
far as impact, right, if not greater. And
15:45
so obviously Mahomes wins another Super Bowl, Mahomes and Brady
15:47
have won like 90% of the last, you
15:50
know, 15 Super Bowls, whatever it is. Should
15:53
the, is there a way that
15:55
the NFL should be approaching the
15:57
quarterback position almost like the NBA
15:59
approaches superstars? And
16:01
so everything is not it's not
16:03
just finding a starting caliber quarterback
16:05
of which many exist but
16:07
finding a top five the
16:09
top eight quarterback is there a way that
16:11
the NFL should be kind of adopting what
16:13
the What the NBA would
16:15
do around superstars if that makes sense.
16:17
Yeah, I don't know how you do
16:19
that There's so many different variables in
16:21
the NFL injuries the number of people
16:24
you have you can't you know The
16:26
NBA and I'm not an NBA expert
16:28
But if you hook up
16:30
two or three guys that are superstars
16:33
And then have two other guys in
16:35
a pretty decent bench, you know, then
16:37
you're yeah, yeah Yeah, but
16:39
you have 22 guys. Yeah, 53
16:42
guys and you can't from
16:44
a salary cap standpoint Have
16:46
okay, we're gonna have 11 guys.
16:48
We're gonna play top dollar to and build
16:51
around them to me The
16:54
NFL is so much different because
16:56
you're hoping to get your superstars
16:58
in my opinion if you're
17:00
drafting well And then those
17:02
are the guys that you're going to
17:04
build your roster, you know Like I
17:06
believe at homestead in Detroit when
17:08
they hit it out of the park last year Those
17:11
guys are from an economic standpoint
17:13
great value because then you can
17:15
have some guys around look with San Francisco's
17:18
Able to do adding a piece here or
17:20
there because of Brock Purdy's contract
17:22
right now They can't touch that for
17:24
another year, but to say that
17:27
that model would work in the NFL. I think
17:29
there's way Too many
17:31
variables in the NFL compared to what
17:33
they're dealing with in the NBA Yeah,
17:36
I guess the way I was thinking about it Then
17:38
that makes a ton of sense, right? Because if it
17:40
does look the rookie contract quarterback or the superstar quarterback,
17:42
right? Like those are your two Right
17:44
bandages. So the way this would
17:47
potentially work is you're just Continuing
17:49
to take shots at quarterbacks because you don't you
17:51
might not know when when one is gonna hit
17:55
Or and I always use the
17:57
word middle middle class quarterback, right? Very isn't
18:00
it, you know, that's a an endearing term. Those are
18:02
some of the best quarterbacks in the world. But those are the
18:04
guys that you're sitting there like you're legitimately in the middle. Is
18:06
this guy going to take me to a championship or do I
18:08
need to move on? Should teams
18:11
move on quicker and
18:13
take the wings, I guess. I guess
18:15
the question I'm going to ask you, taking
18:17
bigger swing at who? Someone has Patrick, you
18:19
think Kansas City is going to put Patrick
18:21
Mahomes on the market and trade him? Oh,
18:24
no, until you I said until you have
18:26
no, obviously not. I'm saying I'm saying through
18:28
the draft. Just
18:31
if you went crazy drafting because you
18:33
couldn't necessarily predict Brock Purdy, not that
18:35
he's a top four guy
18:37
or anything, but it's a it's a hit right for
18:40
San Francisco. You're
18:42
just going to keep going until you find that
18:44
one, because if you don't have one, then you
18:47
you probably don't have a chance at a championship.
18:49
No, but how many of
18:51
them? I mean, that's like,
18:53
you know, a little bit of a needle in
18:56
a haystack. Hopefully you eventually hit one of those. But,
18:58
you know, are you going to still be in a
19:00
job while you're still trying to hit one of those
19:02
three, four or five years later? It's
19:04
such a tough place to be. I got
19:06
asked about the Steelers quarterback situation yesterday on the radio
19:08
and I was given like nine scenarios. You know, you
19:11
could keep Kenny Pickett. You could trade for the fields.
19:13
You could trade for this guy. And I'm like, I
19:15
don't love I don't love
19:17
any of them necessarily. Yeah, as
19:19
far as trying to build a championship team, it's a tough
19:21
spot to be in. All
19:24
right. Let's talk. Let's talk about the draft in these
19:26
quarterbacks. I saw an interview with you where
19:29
you were you love Caleb Williams. Is that is
19:31
that still the case? Yeah, I
19:33
do. I think he had he is
19:35
a special talent watching
19:37
him. I understand some of his
19:39
flaws, but the guy is extremely
19:42
athletic. He makes
19:44
incredible throws, especially off platform.
19:48
He has tremendous arm talent. I think he
19:50
tries to do too much at times like
19:52
a lot of these guys force
19:55
it in this situations where it probably should
19:57
have thrown the ball. I think that's all
19:59
correctable. coaching, everybody goes back, well,
20:01
did you watch the Notre Dame game?
20:03
Well, I watched the first half of
20:05
the Notre Dame game and he wasn't
20:08
very good, made poor decisions. But
20:10
also what really stuck out to
20:12
me is when he came out the second half,
20:15
he actually played really well in the
20:17
second half. So that told me, hey,
20:19
okay, I had a cracked first half,
20:22
but it didn't linger into the second half.
20:24
He regrouped himself, regathered, and came out. They
20:27
didn't win the game, but
20:29
he played much better in the second
20:31
half. So he can overcome
20:33
adversity. The rest will be, you
20:35
know, once you get through all
20:37
this pre-draft process. But I think
20:40
from a talent standpoint, athletically,
20:42
from a natural gifted
20:44
playmaker, I
20:47
think that he is one of the best I've seen
20:49
coming out of college. I
20:51
love that you mentioned the adversity because every one
20:53
of the top quarterbacks had something that they had
20:56
to overcome, right? All the elite guys over the
20:58
last few years. And then even
21:00
a CJ Stroud had a game against Northwestern
21:02
last year, we had what, nine completions and
21:04
60 yards. And it was terrible weather. But
21:06
I mean, you can't
21:08
go back through every everyone's college
21:11
games and be like, oh, they were all perfect. So
21:13
I get that. And the one
21:16
thing that was always interesting was if
21:18
they played poorly, how
21:20
did they respond the next week,
21:22
especially with all these kids now
21:24
on whatever social media and all
21:27
the exposure they have out there and fans,
21:29
you know, a lot of the kids when
21:31
we interview them at the combo, oh, yeah,
21:33
I just turned off my social media. Well,
21:35
you may, but your girlfriend, your, your friends,
21:37
your, your mom, your dad, are reading all
21:39
that crap. They're writing about it. How
21:42
does he respond? Does it linger? Or
21:45
does he come back and have maybe his
21:47
best game after played a
21:49
crappy game? So
21:51
I think Caleb Williams will be the,
21:54
I think most will have him go
21:56
in number one to the bears. I expect the bears to
21:58
take him at number one. It seems like there's
22:00
a lot more debate than I had anticipated
22:03
between Drake May, Jayden Daniels, maybe
22:05
even some others in the top 15. Where
22:08
do you stand on the second best quarterback
22:10
in the league, in the draft? Yeah,
22:13
I like Drake May a lot. I
22:16
had the ability to
22:18
watch him play live down in Miami
22:20
last year. And his
22:24
size, I think he is very athletic.
22:27
I think he has arm talent. He's
22:29
another one. He did not have the same
22:31
talent around him this year. He
22:33
made some poor decisions, turning the ball
22:36
over or forcing the ball where he
22:38
probably could have kept it. And
22:41
then Jayden Daniels is an incredible
22:43
story coming from where he started
22:45
at at ASU, Arizona
22:47
State, where
22:49
he was still developing. You can say, God, this
22:52
guy will never be a first-round pick. But
22:54
when he transferred into LSU and the
22:56
strides he made from last
22:59
year to this year and how
23:01
much better he has improved. So I
23:03
think all three of these are
23:05
going to be very successful quarterbacks
23:08
in the league. I think there's a
23:10
drop-off into that next tier. And
23:12
it'll be interesting to see how many
23:15
actually do go in a first round. And,
23:17
Steve, if I can ask you a question
23:19
respectfully. I
23:22
think there are – how many – there's two
23:24
parts to this question. How
23:27
many quarterbacks do you think are
23:29
actually first-round talent? And
23:32
then the second part of it, how many will actually
23:34
get drafted in the first round? Oh,
23:36
good. I like what – because it's just you and
23:39
I, you have to be able to ask me questions.
23:41
So that's good. I am open for questions. I'm
23:44
with you on who the top three is. I
23:46
think a Bo Nix is
23:49
probably – I'd say first-round talent.
23:51
I'm not – I don't love Bo
23:53
Nix. I
23:56
think four or five probably still end up going in
23:59
the first. So let's say four, four
24:01
first round talents and five go
24:04
in the first round. What I, what
24:06
I don't know is that that pivot
24:09
point of Vikings, Broncos,
24:11
Raiders, three teams
24:13
who need quarterbacks, are they
24:15
taking one there or are they going to try to wait
24:17
till the second? Are they going to try to trade up?
24:20
So I think that's, that's kind of the pivot
24:22
point for number of quarterbacks. Yeah.
24:26
And I'm not as big a Bo Nicks fan
24:28
as you are, apparently. I don't love, I don't,
24:30
I don't love them. You have as your fourth
24:32
quarterback. It's not the fourth quarterback in
24:34
his draft. Who's who's fourth? J.J.
24:37
McCarthy. Maybe
24:40
it's the small sample size on J.J. but it's
24:42
hard for me to project what I haven't seen.
24:44
I know that's the job, but it's hard. It's
24:47
hard to project. It's seeing him in a high
24:49
volume system. Only thing I
24:51
would say is where you seen it, uh,
24:53
and he played very well, even though they lost
24:56
the game is when they played TCU in a
24:58
semi final game two years ago and
25:00
he had to air it out and got into a
25:02
shootout and you seen all the
25:04
throws and everything he is capable of
25:07
doing. Now, I understand he's athletic and
25:09
people want to maybe label him a
25:11
game manager because of what Michigan
25:14
asked him to do this year, uh, in
25:17
the system that he ran. But that
25:19
was a glimpse of, if you let him
25:21
go, uh, I thought
25:23
he played excellent in that TCU game and
25:25
just threw the ball all over the yard.
25:28
Now, does he need time to develop? Yes.
25:31
Uh, does he, is he more than a
25:33
game manager? Maybe your point. I don't know
25:35
that, uh, cause you didn't see that
25:37
this year. I know the one game couldn't
25:40
believe the poor decisions he made was against
25:42
boiling green. I think he threw three
25:45
interceptions that game and
25:47
I was watching the tape and I
25:50
said, boy, this is unfalcon believable. Get
25:52
it? Bully brief Falcons. I like it.
25:54
Most evaluators just, you know, they
25:58
pick six to eight games and it's all the best. best teams.
26:00
That's good. You watch the Bowling Green game. You
26:02
can learn from learning. Well I wanted to see
26:04
it because he threw three interceptions that game. Why
26:06
do you throw in three interceptions against Bowling Green?
26:10
Listen Rick, I can be swayed off
26:12
of QB takes. I think I know
26:16
I've been around a lot of evaluators
26:18
and everybody's very confident in their evaluations
26:20
and their process and everything. I am
26:23
least confident in quarterback because I think
26:26
the what constitutes
26:28
success I think is just a higher standard than
26:30
other positions. Again we're not just trying to fight.
26:32
Is this guy an NFL starter? I don't know
26:34
if I care that much if he's just a
26:36
starter. I want a guy that's a game changer
26:38
and I think it's
26:41
been challenging to predict that over the last few years.
26:44
If you do find the formula you will
26:46
make a billion dollars. I know. I thought
26:48
you've been working on that your secret lab
26:50
back there with all the numbers. I think
26:52
I've got it. I got it for non-quarterbacks
26:57
here. The models looking
26:59
good for non QBs. Figuring out the
27:02
top eight quarterbacks in the NFL, man, that is challenging.
27:05
I can be swayed. My note
27:07
on Bo Nix, I'm going
27:09
to repeat this for our podcast listeners throughout
27:11
the season here, was something to
27:14
the effect of he could be good but I don't want
27:16
to be the team that finds out. I'm
27:20
okay if I miss on him but I don't
27:22
know if I want to be the team that
27:25
has to make that investment
27:27
to see it. I get it. I don't
27:29
feel strongly either way. You do,
27:31
JJ McCarthy. Do you think he's going top
27:33
15? That seems to be
27:36
the hype. Take it with a grain
27:38
of thought because I'm sitting here doing
27:40
this podcast with you. We're at equal
27:42
footing now. Although
27:44
I will be very opinionated. I may
27:47
not be right but at least you
27:49
know where I stand on players. As
27:51
I said, the evaluators I know are
27:53
extremely confident even if not
27:55
you per se but others who maybe don't Have
27:59
the best track record. Record or whatever you know, maybe haven't
28:01
won the most games in there like I know
28:03
what exactly would have doing. so. Or
28:06
any of any other Qbs baby. the have
28:08
caught your eye or that and. They.
28:11
Have strong opinions on it. Either way,
28:13
It out. The guy that see ah
28:15
it out with talked about Michael panics
28:17
junior unethical come down to the medical
28:19
and it out right now. He did
28:21
shop in play in a senior bowl
28:23
but shown up a practice down. There
28:25
are the see slide into the first
28:27
round. The guy
28:29
that is a mystery to me
28:31
and I. Is. Spencer rapper.
28:34
Because. Is not overly bag
28:36
but he's got very good are. Very.
28:39
Easy throwing motion. Ah,
28:42
Looked very get down at
28:44
the senior bowl. But.
28:46
The Question: I have some of his
28:48
decision making and it was an issue
28:50
when he was it. Oklahoma actually got
28:53
beat out by Caleb Williams and then
28:55
he was at South Carolina, but he
28:57
never took them any farther than without
28:59
them. To. Set up very after
29:01
I can say very. Good.
29:03
Average to did. Fancy. C
29:05
T, but nothing that would succumb to
29:08
the next level foul. And.
29:10
A thing I had issues with him
29:12
was this decision making and critical situations
29:14
during the game. So. And
29:16
he's had some talent down or like
29:18
gets coming out the receiver. ah good.
29:21
Other had the tight and the valve
29:23
for out the case for to Florida
29:25
State. Ah, So he's had some
29:27
players the throw the ball to. It just
29:29
seems like. whenever. That
29:32
is and I wish I had the answer
29:34
to that because you're gonna fall in love
29:36
with his army. Going to fall in love
29:38
with the the where the ball comes out
29:41
you want to eat out. He's more than
29:43
capable of making plays with his athletic skill
29:45
set is just the decision making. Process.
29:48
Part. A Critical Situations And
29:50
again. Yeah, we
29:52
talked a lot about Rattler. Had a lot of
29:54
people bring Rattler up as up. Your.
29:56
guys if he isn't it if he's around in the
29:58
third round or whatever my that teams might say,
30:01
okay, that's worth a shot.
30:03
Let's see if we can develop him. Because he
30:05
looks like he was going to be the next
30:07
great Oklahoma quarterback before Caleb Williams did beat him
30:09
out, right? There was that run of Kyle Amari, Jalen
30:12
Hurts. Yeah,
30:15
and it was,
30:18
yeah, it was Spencer
30:20
and then Caleb, right after Jalen
30:22
Hurts. Yeah. Yep. Yeah, so, and
30:25
it just, for whatever reason, it didn't work
30:27
out there, but he didn't make very good
30:29
decisions at Oklahoma either, some
30:31
of the turnovers that he created. So, if
30:34
that's fixable or not, that's what
30:36
teams are going to have to figure out. All
30:38
right, let's go to some of the other position groups.
30:40
How about receiver? We just did a lot on receiver
30:43
last week here on the show. I think people
30:45
have raved about Marvin Harrison
30:47
Jr., but not just him, Malik Nabors, Roma
30:50
Dunsey. Do you have a favorite at
30:52
receiver? Do you have any, who
30:55
are your favorites at receiver at the top? Okay,
30:58
I would agree with those three. I think Marvin
31:00
Harrison Jr. is going to be a Hall of
31:02
Samer. I really think he's unique.
31:05
And then Nabors, whoever he ends up,
31:07
is going to bring an explosive playmaker.
31:10
I think he's the most explosive player
31:12
down the field. Dunsey really
31:14
took a big leap from last year to
31:17
this year, and, you know,
31:19
maybe not as fast or as fluid
31:23
as Nabors, but
31:25
big physical body can go up and get the
31:27
ball, contested catches. And I mentioned he's going to
31:30
be a beast in the red
31:32
zone for some teams as he continues to develop.
31:34
And then he gets murky after you go
31:37
down through after that. And the guy that
31:39
I really, really think has a chance to
31:41
be special is
31:44
Michael Thomas Jr. because he
31:46
is big. He can run. He
31:48
doesn't run a lot of in
31:50
the route three. Sorry,
31:53
Brian, Brian. Brian, yeah, yeah, yeah, I got
31:55
you. Sorry, Brian Thomas. I was
31:57
looking at my list. I was like, I missed
31:59
a sleeper. That probably wouldn't be the first one. Sorry,
32:03
go on. Talk to him, Brian. Yeah, Brian.
32:06
Yeah, but his speed after
32:08
the catch for his size and
32:10
his athleticism, you
32:12
know, everybody talked about he's the
32:14
guy that was kind of left behind.
32:17
I mean, that talked about as much, but the
32:19
more and more tape you watch out of him, he
32:22
just continues to make fake plays. And
32:24
he just grew on me the more tape that I
32:26
watched out of him. And I think he
32:28
has a chance to know that a bunch
32:31
of second tier receivers may
32:34
have the biggest upside of
32:36
developing. Yeah,
32:39
there's a, it feels like there's a lot of
32:41
vertical type receivers in this draft. You know, guys
32:43
that can stretch the field might not be the
32:45
best. It felt
32:47
like last year there was some shorter, shiftier
32:50
types of receivers, the tanked out as
32:52
life flowers of the, yes. And
32:54
this year you've got some big vertical threats. I
32:56
don't know if they're, but a guy like Brian
32:58
Thomas probably has to, you know, polish up parts
33:00
of his game, isn't as well rounded, but has
33:02
some big playability. I'm seeing more of that, I
33:05
think in the receiver class here. Yeah.
33:07
A lot of big outside guys. They're
33:09
not the smaller slack guys. I
33:13
want to do you have a sleeper?
33:15
Do you have a sleeper at receiver? I
33:18
don't know if he's a sleeper, but all my, I think
33:21
all the, I called him a data darling
33:24
yesterday. I think when you start, when you
33:26
just start looking at pure numbers, this guy's
33:28
going to pop at the top and that's
33:30
Troy Franklin from Oregon. And then
33:33
I also like, you know, from what I've seen on film
33:35
so far, he's a little, he's slight,
33:37
absolutely. But I think he has a chance to
33:39
be good. Troy Franklin from
33:42
Oregon. I think with,
33:44
with receivers, there's a lot of like
33:47
flavor and what you like and where you're
33:49
going to play a guy, right? So from
33:53
a, from a drafting standpoint,
33:55
how do you, how
33:57
do you weigh a position like receiver where
33:59
there's. there's always a plethora of them because you
34:01
can view them through, well, he's just gonna be
34:03
a Z, or he's just gonna be
34:05
a slot, or he's just gonna be in this
34:08
certain role. Therefore, I think he's, he
34:11
could have more weaknesses, basically, versus
34:13
like a tackle, right? If a
34:15
tackle has a weakness, that gets exposed because he's
34:17
gotta play every snap. How do
34:20
you weigh that as far as scarcity
34:22
goes when you're thinking about draft board
34:24
and how draft strategy comes together? Yeah,
34:26
because there's always, it seems
34:28
to be that's the position
34:31
that there is always a abundance
34:34
of, if that makes sense, especially to
34:36
get down through Saturday. And
34:38
you'll be very appreciative of this.
34:40
We really relied on some of
34:42
the analytics to help us. We
34:45
could see what we see on tape. The one thing
34:47
is they have to be able to catch the ball.
34:50
And down at the senior bowl this year,
34:52
Ted Walker, who I think can maybe the
34:55
fastest guy in his draft,
34:57
you know, missed half the season because of
35:00
the NCAA at North Carolina, but he
35:02
couldn't catch the ball at the senior
35:04
ball. Is that mental? Is that something? It
35:07
was a rough week for him down
35:09
there. And I think he's dropped out,
35:11
I mean, dropped down some boards, but
35:13
there are specific areas, I
35:16
think, in analytics that you can help
35:18
you maybe sift
35:20
through this like stack of four or
35:22
five guys, which ones
35:24
potentially are gonna be the cream of the
35:26
crop out of that and stacking wherever that
35:28
is in your board to help
35:31
you try to decipher
35:33
through some of that stuff. Would
35:35
you ever say, because I know last year we talked
35:37
a little bit about the horizontal board and you might
35:40
have guys with similar grades or whatever it is, would
35:43
scarcity of a position ever be a tiebreaker?
35:45
In other words, you have a tackle and
35:47
a receiver? Yeah, so let's say
35:49
you're taking, you know, if
35:52
you look across your horizontal board and
35:54
you have, you
35:56
know, you're in the fourth round or fifth round
35:58
and you have 15 more, Receivers on
36:00
a board that you think are draft
36:02
a bone you'll have to orders laughed.
36:05
And. Are Acorn a believe I take the corner
36:07
because you know he got a lot of swings
36:09
at the. At. These receivers cel
36:11
lot of it has to do with the
36:13
depth of the position. Ah,
36:15
In the direction you will go at times with
36:17
your draft picks. Are
36:19
let's move to offensive tackles. Ah.
36:23
I think of I think most people might
36:25
have. You'll also have Notre Dame as the
36:27
number one tackle. There was a point where
36:29
they go lose. The shadow from Penn State
36:31
was gonna challenge him People like a Marius
36:33
Memes from Georgia to have a favorite tackle.
36:36
In this class ah I will go with
36:38
the shadow. Of. Really Okay, Yeah,
36:40
I don't. I don't hate that because there's a
36:42
guide tell me about for shouted. Why do you
36:45
love them. Because. I say
36:47
he has the most upside I
36:49
think he has yet more consists
36:51
in in Iran but a very
36:53
good pass protection. Ah. He's.
36:56
Just such a fluid move
36:58
or long arms. Everything you
37:00
want in a potential pro
37:02
Bowl tackle. Ah, But
37:04
he still has to develop. so
37:06
I think his. Ceiling.
37:09
Floor to ceiling is higher than old. I
37:11
think all is gonna be a day one
37:13
starter when he walks in the doors while.
37:16
He'll. Be a very good. Player:
37:18
In the Nfl by I think for
37:20
China has a higher ceiling. Or
37:23
then all possible be starters day was
37:25
just one has a higher ceiling to
37:27
be so I'm up with us. Maybe
37:29
not as polish but higher ceiling guy.
37:32
Okay, so say the same thing. you're in
37:34
the General Manager seat again. And.
37:37
So how do you balance? The
37:40
court. save the quote unquote safer pack of a
37:42
jolt versus the higher ceiling of Shot. It does
37:44
that depend on where you are from a roster
37:46
building standpoint. If you feel like you're closer to
37:48
contending, you're going to take a safer pick. If
37:50
you feel like you're further away, you going to
37:52
to choose the ceiling. And now
37:54
how does not affect anything? Now I
37:57
think that's where yeah what we would
37:59
do it. is, let's say everything's
38:01
equal, medical's equal, SMARTs
38:04
are, all the intangibles are check,
38:06
check, check, they're equal. So
38:09
that is where we would
38:11
have our group studies. So
38:13
our coaches would sit in with our scouts. And
38:16
if there was a discrepancy during the first
38:19
round of draft meetings, then
38:22
I know I would write those two names down. And
38:24
I said, let's watch the tape on both of these
38:26
and come up with what is the best
38:30
option for us if
38:32
we're on the clock and we have an opportunity and both
38:34
of those guys are staring at us. So
38:36
you go through all those scenarios, you go
38:38
through the group study and
38:41
come up with a consensus in the room of which
38:43
one that you want to go with. I
38:46
like it. So there's nothing about the
38:49
type of player or the style or when
38:51
you think they're gonna match that meshes. But
38:55
yeah, okay, I understand
38:58
this guy may struggle, Fachanu
39:01
may struggle a little
39:03
bit more, but in six weeks into
39:05
the season, he's gonna be better than
39:07
Joe Walt. So it's like- You
39:10
think it might even be that quick. When
39:12
we talk developmental, we're not talking necessarily two
39:14
years, like you think it could be. Yeah,
39:16
I think it could be just because he's
39:18
so gifted. Look how some of these guys
39:20
show up down at the senior boards why
39:22
I love going to the senior bowl. You
39:25
go down with questions on the guy and you
39:27
watch him Tuesday and by Thursday, he's
39:30
a better player. They're better, yeah. Fachanu
39:33
looked like one of the best past
39:35
protecting tackles I've seen in college. Again,
39:38
a long time, just pure past
39:40
protection as far as what
39:43
he can do, footwork, everything. Yeah,
39:45
he's just a naturally gifted
39:47
athlete that has, and
39:49
you ask yourself, are the flaws in
39:52
these guys correctable with coaching? Or are
39:54
you seeing what you see? And
39:56
that's what it's going to be. And I
39:58
think a lot of- Shire News flaws
40:00
will be able to get corrected with
40:03
coaching. All right, one
40:05
of the other positions that's going to be tough
40:07
to sort out at the top is cornerback. There's
40:09
probably five guys who all have first-round
40:11
potential. Not sure if there's others who end up
40:13
in there, but how are
40:16
you breaking down the cornerback position? Another
40:18
one that is, you know, what type of corner are you looking
40:20
for, depending on your team, your scheme, and what you need? Yeah,
40:23
this is, as I was kind
40:25
of looking through it, this stack of
40:28
five corners, I think there will be
40:30
a different order on every team's draft board.
40:32
Who's one, who's two, who's three, who's four,
40:34
who's five, because they're all different
40:37
in a way, you know. Terry
40:40
Arnold, for example, from Alabama, when you
40:42
watch the first half of the season,
40:44
you see his athleticism,
40:46
you see his ability to
40:48
play man coverage, but he's
40:50
just too inconsistent. So
40:53
I'm like, why is this guy even coming out? And
40:55
then the back half of the
40:58
season, I think he has four or
41:00
five interceptions, all sudden something clicked, and
41:02
you see this corner that has this
41:04
size and this natural
41:06
athletic ability, and he still needs to
41:08
get polished up a little bit here.
41:12
But he is such a smooth mover, and
41:14
he's more than willing and run support. And
41:17
then Quinnyon Mitchell from Toledo,
41:20
who, while he played in the Mac, you
41:23
know, and he has unique ball skills, in
41:25
my opinion. I watched the San
41:27
Jose State game, I think he had five
41:29
PBUs that game, but he can play
41:31
zone. I questioned a little bit
41:34
is if he had to play press man
41:36
or mirror receivers and coverage when
41:38
I was watching the college tape, although I think
41:40
he could do it. But that
41:43
box got checked down at the senior ball,
41:45
because I thought he was by far the best
41:47
corner. So those guys, and
41:50
then you got McKinstry, you got the
41:52
Jean, you
41:54
know, you have Wiggins, they all have
41:56
their strengths and weaknesses. So
41:58
I think it a lot depends. depend on how
42:01
they're stacked on draft boards will depend on
42:03
the scheme. And the one guy
42:05
that maybe is just below
42:08
there, but I was thoroughly impressed
42:10
with his tape, his
42:12
man Cambridge skills, but he is
42:14
a tone setter on defense. And
42:17
that's Ray Shaw, the corner
42:20
from Missouri. He was fun to watch
42:22
on tape because of his physicality. Yeah,
42:25
some good reps against the league neighbors when they played
42:27
LSU. I
42:29
mean, the other interesting thing about
42:31
corner is if you look over the last
42:33
few years, the success rate on first rounders
42:36
versus second rounders has been pretty
42:38
drastic. You're getting, the NFL
42:41
is generally pretty good at saying this guy's first
42:43
round corner and he's gonna play in the league
42:45
and have success. I mean, so the fact that
42:47
there's the five, maybe six, as you mentioned, with
42:49
the break straw that are going feels
42:52
like a strong position group. And I'm with you, I
42:54
think every year it's
42:56
scheme based, right? Are we gonna play a little bit more press
42:58
man? Are we gonna play more zone? Which
43:01
of these corners is gonna fit what we
43:03
do defensively? I'm also with you
43:05
on Quinn, you on Mitchell, man. I think he
43:07
only had 20 or 30 press snaps last year
43:09
at Toledo anyway, right? So the senior ball was
43:12
huge for him. I
43:14
don't think he took any reps on day three of the
43:16
senior ball because he had a
43:18
great first couple of days and he did take
43:20
some of those boxes, especially in press coverage. Yeah,
43:23
so it'll be interesting to see
43:25
and just because they
43:27
fly off, a
43:29
certain way, it doesn't mean that they
43:31
may fly off according to what the
43:34
team needs at that position and what fits. It's
43:36
not, well, this guy's better than this
43:38
guy. Well, maybe the guy that went ahead of him
43:41
is better in the scheme that that team is going
43:43
to run. No, I completely
43:45
agree. I think that's huge.
43:47
I don't know if you have any
43:49
linebacker takes, but I was gonna say
43:51
generally, do you
43:53
feel like the linebacker position goes back
43:55
and forth between seemingly
43:58
being overvalued and undervalued? As
44:00
soon as it's under there's fewer first round picks
44:02
or there's not as much money going to linebacker
44:04
Sometimes that reverts back then you see
44:07
a lot of the successful defenses Having
44:09
guys like Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen in the
44:11
middle having Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw in the
44:13
middle in San Francisco Do you
44:15
think the linebacker position where do you
44:17
stand on the linebacker position overvalued undervalued
44:19
perfectly valued? I think
44:21
everybody's going to want cover guys and
44:23
rushers and but these guys
44:25
I mean look what Roquan Smith did
44:27
for Baltimore and all sudden
44:30
that defense elevated so I don't think
44:32
you can undervalue that It's
44:35
almost like I'd hate to say this
44:37
because I don't believe in it, but
44:39
you know our running backs undervalued now
44:42
so or is it the line of what side
44:44
on the defense because Look
44:46
at what you like ask that believe
44:49
me There is no Gibbs or Robinson
44:51
coming out in this year's draft at
44:53
the running back position But
44:55
look at where Greenlaw was drafted
44:57
what round look at where Warner
44:59
was drafted You
45:01
know we drafted Anthony Barr in
45:04
the first round but
45:06
he had a Unique
45:08
skill set because them would put him in different
45:10
spots to get him on the linebacker to rush
45:12
the passer But he also was 6-4 half-ling But
45:16
there's so many guys that are that
45:18
5-11 the 6-1 range that are real
45:20
athletic But I
45:22
don't want to call Dye-and-but-dozen,
45:25
but there are a lot of those that hey
45:27
I could go at a more
45:30
premium Position
45:32
and then pick
45:34
up my linebackers on Friday Yeah,
45:36
what I it's funny because when I use the
45:39
word value a lot And I think of it
45:41
through a couple different lenses It's like would
45:43
you like to have a really good one or how
45:45
how important is it to have a really good one? And
45:48
you mentioned Roquan Smith. I mean The
45:50
change in Baltimore's defense after
45:53
Roquan Smith was traded for in 2022 was massive So
45:56
I think the the value of having a great
45:58
one or a guy that fits well within the
46:00
system is huge, but
46:02
then it comes down to where, you know, do you want,
46:04
do you have to take swings at that in the first
46:06
round versus free agency versus later
46:08
in the draft, right? So that's kind of the
46:12
question there. It doesn't, I don't know if you've
46:14
gotten into the linebackers or not. They're always like
46:16
the last guys I watch along with running backs,
46:18
because I'm biased. So,
46:21
do you have any linebacker takes in this group
46:23
before we get into edges? Yeah, you know, I looked
46:26
at a couple of them. I still got some work
46:28
to do. I watched Trotter, who I think is a
46:30
very good football player, but not a first round
46:32
foul. And I think he's undervalued a little bit
46:34
about what he does in pass
46:36
protection, in-person coverage, make
46:39
some plays there. But very
46:42
instinctive. I think he got his
46:44
dad's gains from an instinctual standpoint.
46:48
You know, there's guys, but,
46:50
you know, Peyton Wilson, who
46:52
is ideal size, runs
46:54
around like his hair is on fire, needs to
46:57
learn how to take out blocks. And
47:00
his biggest thing will be the medical, he's
47:02
an older guy. So there's
47:04
some athletic guys, I think, in
47:06
this draft class. But
47:08
it'll be Cooper, as the kid
47:11
at Texas A&M, another very athletic
47:13
guy. Colson at
47:15
Michigan will probably go on Friday.
47:18
But I don't know if those guys, what's
47:21
the most politically correct way to say this?
47:24
They will be good football players, but are they
47:26
going to be, and maybe one of these guys
47:29
are, are they going to be game changers for
47:31
you on the defensive side of the ball? You
47:34
don't have to be politically correct here. That's perfectly fine.
47:37
Just be- Well, I know how
47:39
sensitive you are. We've had a lot
47:41
of thoughts. Very sensitive. Very sensitive. I
47:44
always feel for linebackers, I feel like
47:46
everything that offensive coordinators are trying to
47:48
do is trying to make them
47:51
wrong and make them look bad. All the
47:53
misdirection, all the QB run game, all the zone
47:55
coverage that teams are playing right now, challenging on
47:57
linebackers. Well, let me ask you this, how important-
48:00
the linebacker is when Greenlaw went
48:02
down with the unfortunate Achilles running
48:04
on the field. Kelsey had
48:06
one catch in the first half of the
48:08
Super Bowl. I think he ended up with
48:10
nine catches because they were all of a
48:12
sudden Greenlaw wasn't in there and
48:14
the middle of the field became wide open
48:16
and it was like a pitching catch between
48:18
Mahomes and Kelsey because Greenlaw wasn't in there
48:20
compared to what they were able to do
48:23
in the first half. Completely agree.
48:25
I mean it was just
48:27
it was very easy for Kansas City to
48:29
just manipulate leverage to just you know get
48:31
the ball to the outside when they want
48:33
it and then counter off of it. I
48:35
mean again I think I
48:37
think offenses and you know and Andy Reid and
48:40
great play callers do a great job of making
48:42
linebackers look bad and so when you do have
48:44
a good one it's one of
48:46
the ways to slow down some of those great offenses. How
48:49
about edge defender? I feel like that's got some you
48:52
know this you know your pure pass rusher's
48:54
I feel like that's got some questions at
48:56
the top. You know Dallas Turner from Alabama,
48:58
Jared Verus from Florida State, Latu from UCLA.
49:00
Do you have any favorites of that class?
49:03
Yeah you know Dallas
49:05
Turner to me is the most athletic.
49:08
You know at times I don't you know
49:10
I'd like to see him play a little
49:12
harder not that I'd say that he's a
49:14
slack by any means but to me he's
49:16
the most naturally gifted edge rusher even though
49:18
he's not you know 6'5 and
49:20
270 pounds and and
49:23
but when he turns it on
49:25
you know a lot of people thought
49:27
that he was better than Will Anderson
49:29
when Will Anderson came out Will Anderson
49:32
ended up being defensive rookie of the
49:34
year this year. And
49:36
verse I mean that's a great
49:38
success story of not being recruited
49:40
transferring from Albany to Florida State.
49:43
First game he plays I can't remember it
49:45
was in the opener. LSU I believe.
49:47
LSU and just
49:49
like who in the heck where did this
49:51
they get this guy from. And then
49:53
he's more of a power rusher to me
49:56
they can counter off his power but
49:58
now he plays with his hair on fire. He
50:00
is a going Jesse down in and
50:02
down out and then lot to You
50:05
know what all be about his medical because
50:08
he is probably the best Technician
50:11
in my opinion, especially using
50:13
his hands You
50:15
know, he can play a little stouter at the point,
50:18
but he's not a liability versus the run but
50:20
his natural movement skills and
50:22
his technique with his hands
50:25
are far superior for anyone
50:27
else coming out in this draft and Almost
50:30
veteran like like he's been playing for three or
50:32
five years have been coached for three or four
50:34
years on how he uses his
50:36
hands And then you get to
50:39
that, you know the second tier guys Guy
50:42
that kind of stuck out to me The
50:45
most was down at the senior
50:48
ball and I liked him on tape. I
50:50
didn't love him was Darius Robinson from,
50:52
Missouri Now there's a guy that looks to me
50:55
when I saw him. He looked like built like the
50:57
Neil Hunter When you
50:59
get him off the bus and when
51:01
he showed the ability to come
51:04
off the edge To use that
51:06
one-arm power move to
51:08
counter off that but also how Effective
51:11
he was when they slid him inside and
51:14
some nickel rush situations during the one-on-ones over
51:16
guards and centers and it was a mismatch
51:19
So I thought he was a Friday guy all
51:21
the way But
51:23
when teams go back and evaluate the
51:25
one-on-one pass rushes at the senior ball
51:28
Don't be surprised if you don't hear his name sneak
51:30
in at the bottom of the first round I mean
51:33
chopped Robinson's another kid to place very hard.
51:35
It's just the size may be a concern
51:39
Is another guy that I thought played very hard
51:42
He may not have had the sack
51:44
numbers, but he disrupts the quarterback And
51:47
when you watch him in the Texas game, he
51:49
brushed from the left side from the right side He
51:52
had an effect on yours in that game
51:55
and probably helped them win that game because
51:57
of the way he played So there's a
51:59
lot of a lot of, I think, good
52:01
pass rushers. Is there an elite pass rusher
52:03
like a Miles Garrett? I don't
52:05
know if I've seen one of those guys. But
52:08
I don't know, and I'm asking you this,
52:10
did you think Will Anderson was an elite
52:13
player coming out of Alabama last year? I
52:17
did think Will Anderson was an elite overall
52:19
prospect. I didn't, and maybe not
52:21
the pure pass rusher, the Garrett
52:23
or TJ Watt
52:26
or a one of the Boses, but I thought Anderson
52:28
was one of the best all around. I
52:31
thought he was clearly above Tyree
52:33
Will. I know there was some Tyree Wilson discussion last
52:35
year because of the traits of Wilson, but I thought
52:37
it was clearly Anderson. So
52:39
he looked pretty good as
52:41
a rookie. I don't know if any of these
52:43
guys are as good as Will Anderson overall as a
52:46
prospect, in my opinion, but I agree with your
52:48
list there. Like that's a bunch of, I think, good
52:50
potential players there. The one thing is
52:52
when you're watching these guys, it was like
52:54
Will Anderson, they reduced him down a lot.
52:57
And so he was head up over a
52:59
tight end. And so
53:01
you didn't get to see what, you know, and then
53:03
he goes out to or get
53:06
drafted by Houston. Now they pay him in
53:08
that wide nine and let him pay your
53:10
ears back and go get the guy with
53:12
the opposite color jersey that's trying to throw
53:15
the ball. And you talk
53:17
about a guy that plays hard, snap in
53:19
and snap out. I don't
53:21
think you're seeing a lot of that in college,
53:23
but you also got to look at where they
53:26
were lining him up and then
53:28
how, and that's a great example of when you're
53:30
in these draft meetings. Well, we're
53:32
not going to put him in that head up
53:34
over a tight end. We're going to put him
53:36
in a wide nine or outside and just pin
53:38
his ears back and go. That's how we're going
53:40
to utilize him. I think that's
53:43
where the personnel and
53:45
the coaching, when they get together, they
53:47
have to be on the same page.
53:50
And I always relied on the
53:52
coaching staff is we could
53:54
tell you the strengths and weaknesses of this player,
53:56
but how are you going to use him
53:59
to make him. be the best
54:01
player he could be in our system. So
54:03
the coaches will go into, well, I
54:05
see him doing this or this or
54:07
this, or we wouldn't put him there,
54:09
we would put him there. And so
54:11
that's to me, and Kansas City does
54:13
a phenomenal job with Brett Veech and
54:15
Andy Reed and Spaggs
54:19
on all the hits they've hit on the
54:21
defensive side of the ball, are
54:23
really married up to
54:26
the personnel they're watching and how they'll be
54:28
utilized in the scheme. Yeah,
54:31
I wanted to talk a little bit about process
54:33
stuff because you're hinting at a little bit here.
54:35
What does that process look like? So what does
54:37
a draft meeting look
54:39
like? Are you looking at several
54:42
players in a row? And
54:44
when you're breaking down a player, is it
54:46
personnel plus coaching? And you're just saying, here's
54:48
the guy, let's watch him together, let's talk
54:51
about him. What does a draft meeting look
54:53
like for you? Well, most of the time
54:55
right now, it's just the personnel getting the
54:57
initial board set before they go to the
54:59
combine. Coaches are not involved
55:01
because they haven't had time to look at any of
55:04
the college tape. So what
55:06
you're hoping is that you're stacking the
55:10
board according to league
55:12
value, but your scouts
55:14
because they've been with the coaches,
55:16
hey, I know this
55:18
34 nose tackle,
55:20
Trevondre, okay,
55:24
will not fit in our scheme, but someone's going to
55:26
take a swing on us kid because he's going to
55:28
be a really good two
55:30
down, run-stopping nose tackle.
55:34
Our defensive tackles have to penetrate. We
55:36
will give him that value of
55:39
where he's probably going to get drafted,
55:41
but he may not be identified as
55:43
a team fit for us. So
55:46
the scouts and
55:48
personnel go through, stack the
55:50
initial board. We always gave
55:52
the coaches the list then too, they
55:55
usually got 25 to 30 guys at their position. They
55:58
spent the month of... you know,
56:01
getting back from the combine and probably
56:03
started right before the combine, starting
56:05
to look at these guys and had a whole
56:08
month to get through that until we came together
56:10
in April. Then the coaches and scouts
56:12
get together. We go through
56:14
each position. After the coaches leave,
56:16
we start weaving the horizontal piece
56:18
of it. But then I
56:21
would give the coaches clusters. Listen, we
56:23
were a little, there was some discrepancy
56:25
here. So
56:27
it was great because the offensive defensive
56:30
staff would then do a group
56:32
study together. We would do
56:34
a group study together separately.
56:36
So even the quarterback coach and
56:38
the receiver coach are looking at some
56:40
of these offensive tackles. So
56:42
come back with your staff's rankings
56:44
of these guys. And
56:47
the same thing on the defensive side. And then
56:49
we'd come and marry it all together. And
56:52
if there was still discrepancies, then we would
56:54
watch the tape. And the
56:56
coaches would really, coaches were
56:58
more, they don't care about how they
57:00
get graded for the leg. They're more worried about this
57:02
guy is going to fit us or not fit us.
57:05
And if he does fit us, this is how we're
57:07
going to use them. Love
57:09
it. Yeah, it's so much
57:12
to the process, Rick. I love it. That's great. I've
57:15
heard other GMs even this early
57:17
in the process have
57:19
like a broad idea of
57:22
a player and a round and
57:24
the potential that you might get them. Is
57:26
it two or like, I know every process
57:28
is different. Would you, are you in that
57:30
mindset as early as February or are you
57:32
in April? No, no, I put,
57:35
you know, now I know I have a pretty good,
57:37
you know, where most of these guys are going to
57:39
go. Not so much where they're going to go, but
57:41
like who you might actually pick, right? Like, oh, yeah,
57:43
fourth, we might actually have this receiver available and this
57:45
could be our pick as early as February. Those
57:48
are how you may dictate on
57:51
who your formal interviews are going
57:53
to be at the combine. Yeah.
57:55
So because we had
57:57
December meetings and most of them
57:59
were backboard. maybe the initial list. As
58:02
a GM, you're reading all the grades coming in and
58:04
then you're trying to get caught up on the tape
58:07
as much as you can. So
58:10
when you get ready to go to the
58:12
combine, then you're gonna have, hey,
58:14
we gotta make sure we
58:16
get in front of these 60 guys. I
58:18
think it's a 60, you get 60
58:20
formal interviews, but that's not
58:22
60 or the top 60 in the draft. They're
58:26
spread out where I think these four guys
58:28
are gonna be where we're picking in the
58:30
first round. These eight
58:32
guys may be second round, so
58:35
you spread it out, so you
58:38
get in front of guys, not only that you're gonna
58:40
potentially pick in the first round, but also
58:42
guys that you're going to be looking at on Saturday
58:44
as well. I think there's 321 invites to the combine
58:46
this year. Most
58:51
teams have about 150 on their draft board on
58:55
who they would consider draftable. All
58:59
right, man, it's been awesome talking ball
59:01
again. I'm sure you didn't learn anything
59:03
again. I apologize, one of these days
59:05
we'll... I keep learning about this basketball
59:07
theory you have. I
59:11
still, two years later, I still can't get it.
59:13
I can't put it together in my head. If
59:15
you're stuck without a top quarterback, you gotta
59:18
do everything. Uncover every
59:20
rock. Okay, boy,
59:22
that's a new revelation. I never heard of
59:24
that. I know, right? That's a one
59:26
way to... Yeah, one of my old bosses
59:28
said, you have to stick
59:31
your hand up a lot of ghost arses
59:33
to find a diamond. I
59:36
think that's what I'm getting at. That's
59:38
well said. But you did it more politically correct than
59:41
me. Yeah, as we said, we have
59:43
to be here. I did
59:45
have some kind of follow up, but I don't even remember
59:47
what it was, which is great. I
59:49
don't know. Anything else you wanna talk about while
59:51
we're here? No, but hopefully you'll have me
59:54
out again. I kinda enjoy sitting here talking
59:56
ball with you for an hour.
59:58
I'm shocked. Well, at least you got that on. but I'm
1:00:00
shocked you do. No, that's good. Our
1:00:02
listeners loved our conversation last year. I
1:00:04
think the process stuff, I
1:00:07
think is fantastic, given some insight as to what it's
1:00:09
like in the seat and where you're
1:00:11
going through all the process. Even, I was gonna ask about
1:00:13
how you set the interviews with the
1:00:15
combine to answer that on your own. So that was
1:00:17
great. So I'll see you, maybe I'll see you in
1:00:19
Indy then. I will be there. Are you gonna have
1:00:21
your little booth or your little rooms?
1:00:23
We've got our rooms set up. Any
1:00:26
free giveaways this year? Usually I come by just
1:00:28
to get something free. Probably
1:00:30
have like a nice pen or something for you. Not great.
1:00:33
Notebook. I mean, this takes probably
1:00:35
the leftovers from last year. Here,
1:00:37
Rick, here's a pile for you. We
1:00:40
will have our little corner in the
1:00:42
JW Marriott again. Most teams will roll
1:00:44
through there and media members
1:00:46
like yourself will also walk
1:00:48
through there as well. Just to get my free
1:00:50
pen for the year. Great.
1:00:53
Well, let's hang out in Indy for at least
1:00:55
a few minutes. I'll get you your free swag
1:00:57
and that's your appreciation for being on the podcast
1:00:59
here today. No,
1:01:02
it's serious that you guys do a phenomenal job
1:01:04
and to be honest with you, with
1:01:06
your product, it makes my job as
1:01:08
an analyst now on the media side
1:01:10
a hundred times easier. We used it
1:01:13
at the team level and I
1:01:15
used to ruffle your feathers
1:01:17
just to see how you would respond sometimes,
1:01:20
but it's an awesome product. And to be
1:01:22
honest with you, I couldn't do what I
1:01:24
do now without your product and everything you
1:01:26
guys do at PFF. Well,
1:01:29
we appreciate it, Rick, always. And- Two
1:01:31
pairs of style? Yes, you get, I'll
1:01:33
get you the good swag because of
1:01:35
the testimonial, you'll get whatever you want.
1:01:39
So we'll have you back again, maybe
1:01:41
even before the draft, we'll do it
1:01:43
again. So. All right, sounds
1:01:46
great. Yeah, thanks, Steve. Yeah. All
1:01:48
right, great having Rick Spielman on the
1:01:50
show. Appreciate always having him. Hit
1:01:53
us up with any more questions. If I missed
1:01:55
anything with Rick, as he said, he
1:01:57
likes doing the show. He likes doing this, likes talking balls.
1:01:59
So we can have- him back on if you've got any
1:02:01
other questions we could fire them his
1:02:03
way. So you know
1:02:05
it's combine time coming up soon and
1:02:08
there's a whole level to
1:02:10
the process. Love hearing that from Rick
1:02:12
where the scouts are, how they get
1:02:14
the coaches involved, how they have to prepare
1:02:17
for all their combine interviews and
1:02:19
it's just the beginning of the draft process. And
1:02:22
you know there's still there's still so much more to
1:02:24
do post combine and you know getting the
1:02:26
whole organization on board. So always love hearing those
1:02:29
types of stories from a
1:02:31
former general manager. All right,
1:02:33
taking care of your health isn't always easy but it
1:02:35
should at least be simple. That's why for the last
1:02:37
couple years we've been drinking AG1
1:02:39
every single day here on the PFF NFL
1:02:41
podcast. No exceptions. Just one scoop mix it
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with water once a day every day makes
1:02:46
me feel great ready to go ready to take
1:02:48
on the day. That's because each serving of AG1
1:02:50
delivers my daily dose of vitamins, minerals,
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powerfully healthy habit that's also
1:02:57
powerfully simple. I like to
1:02:59
drink my AG1 first thing in the morning which
1:03:01
is recommended for optimal nutrition absorption,
1:03:05
nutrients absorption even. Fill up
1:03:07
my shaker with extra cold water, add one scoop of
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AG1, shake it up ready to go. If
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I'm running short on time I can mix my AG1
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before heading out. I'll grab a travel pack. Each
1:03:18
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1:03:23
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1:03:25
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1:03:27
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1:03:30
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1:03:32
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1:03:34
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1:03:39
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1:03:46
drinkag1.com/pff. Go check it
1:03:48
out right now. Alright
1:03:53
man I usually talk to Sam
1:03:55
like that but Sam's not here I got nobody to talk
1:03:57
to sitting here talking to myself. This is the dream Sam's
1:03:59
gone. I can just
1:04:01
monologue by myself. That's
1:04:04
it for today. That's our Monday show. Appreciate Rick
1:04:06
Spielman joining. Sam will
1:04:08
be back on Wednesday. And
1:04:11
I think Thursday we'll probably get
1:04:13
into some wide receiver rankings. Wednesday
1:04:15
though, mail back. NFLpodcast at pff.com.
1:04:18
Send us your questions. It's draft
1:04:20
season. It's free agent season. It's offseason
1:04:22
season. It's time to talk all
1:04:24
about team building. So we got a lot of
1:04:26
fun stuff coming up here. So we want to
1:04:29
hear from you in the email
1:04:31
room. Email room? The
1:04:33
mail bag. Man, I'm lost. I'm by
1:04:36
myself. All right. Thanks everybody for tuning in. We'll see
1:04:38
you again on Wednesday with more PFF, NFL podcast.
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