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Can Joe Biden Squash Concerns About His Age?

Can Joe Biden Squash Concerns About His Age?

Released Saturday, 10th February 2024
 1 person rated this episode
Can Joe Biden Squash Concerns About His Age?

Can Joe Biden Squash Concerns About His Age?

Can Joe Biden Squash Concerns About His Age?

Can Joe Biden Squash Concerns About His Age?

Saturday, 10th February 2024
 1 person rated this episode
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

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0:04

Listen to supported WNYC

0:06

studios. Too

0:10

many elderly men to choose

0:12

from this week in Washington folks.

0:15

Okay. This place is lousy with

0:17

them. Are we allowed to swear on our program by

0:19

the way? Yes. Just out of

0:21

curiosity. I mean it's not a family. I think

0:23

Susan's got the word shit in her comm. I've

0:26

repeatedly been allowed to use that before.

0:29

Bring me envelope. No, and I

0:31

think I've published in the print

0:33

New Yorker. Well done. I

0:35

have two actually. For a while I tried to get it into every story because

0:37

I thought it just... It was so delightful. ...

0:39

edgy street. You know that most famous, one of

0:41

the most famous New Yorker pieces ever, and if

0:43

you haven't read it, go back and find it.

0:46

An entire piece translated

0:49

from the Russian about the

0:51

elaborate language of swearing in

0:54

Russian. Oh, that's nice. And

0:56

I'm telling you, you got to read this piece. It is, first of all, it

0:58

is an important cultural piece. As

1:01

much as I think the Russians are probably great

1:03

swears, they have nothing on Pashto swears, which I

1:05

wrote a piece about, which is, you

1:07

know, the most vibrant. Everybody

1:10

is constantly being smashed into a million pieces

1:12

and shoved up each other's things. It's

1:14

not a good situation. Yeah, no. And

1:16

the thing about Russia, right, which makes it

1:18

a sort of a cultural piece too, and

1:20

not just about swearing, is that it's all

1:22

prison slang because of the Gulag era. Oh,

1:24

that's right. Basically every family in Russia is...

1:26

It's a prison-face. It's fluent. Oh,

1:29

that's great. Well, things have fallen a lot since

1:31

my days at the Wall Street Journal when you

1:33

were not even allowed to use the word

1:35

crotch. I had to describe

1:37

tights at some point, and I had

1:39

to describe that there was a knit

1:42

area where the legs came together. Oh,

1:44

that is amazing. You know, Ed Peter

1:46

Baker in the New York Times just

1:48

a few years ago was so stodgy.

1:50

Remember when Dick Cheney swore at, I

1:52

believe it was Pat Leahy in the

1:54

Senate? There was like a huge thing

1:56

about could you publish it? And he was only

1:58

allowed to do it once, as I recall. In there was

2:00

a whole me my twitter like free Peter

2:02

Baker let him swear in previous you know

2:04

them the trump or came and everybody was

2:07

allowed to swear because of the president says

2:09

of them said no the worst thing you.

2:11

Can say is an innocent

2:13

elderly gentlemen. Welcome

2:19

to the political scene from the New,

2:22

Really discussion about the big questions in

2:24

American politics. I'm Susan Glasser and I'm

2:26

joined by my colleague Evan Osnos and

2:28

Gene their. What?

2:39

A week on Thursday, the Special

2:41

Counsel investigating President Biden, handling of

2:43

classified documents with report that shook

2:45

the White House and Politics and

2:47

Twenty Twenty Four the big take

2:49

away Of course with that it

2:51

clear Joe Biden. unlike Donald Trump,

2:54

he won't stand trial for his

2:56

possession of classified documents. But wow

2:58

It might have cleared presses and

3:00

fine but it did so in.

3:02

Potentially a highly damaging.

3:04

Way the report called him quote

3:06

a well meaning elderly man with

3:09

a poor memory and said that

3:11

was one of the main reasons

3:13

they couldn't imagine him being put

3:15

in front of a jury that

3:18

one sentence has recent heard his

3:20

age at the heart of our

3:22

campaign in a potentially devastating well

3:24

And speaking of bad weeks for

3:27

artist scenario and it with a

3:29

political crisis of a very different

3:31

sort this week for another one

3:33

of Washington's. Leaders Mitch Mcconnell up

3:36

on Capitol Hill. the legislative failure

3:38

to fund aid to Ukraine has

3:40

mart what might be the beginning

3:43

of the end of the very

3:45

long Mcconnell era. Both. Of

3:47

these leaders are clearly entering a new

3:50

phase in this twenty twenty four election

3:52

year and will talk about both of

3:54

them to date. But Evans, We've gotta

3:56

start back with Biden of course, and

3:59

those he were. Sympathetic,

4:01

well meaning elderly man

4:03

with a poor. Memory.

4:07

Of in Is this going to Be Written

4:09

in Joe Biden epitaph. I think

4:11

what's brutal about that line is

4:13

that the worst thing you can

4:15

do in politics is reinforce and

4:17

existing story line and the story

4:20

line is something that everybody turns

4:22

on their tv series which is

4:24

that he is what was it

4:26

as as say well many elderly

4:28

man and with our way I'm

4:30

is what about that memory. What?

4:33

About that memory, That's right. A

4:35

There's no arguing that Joe Biden

4:37

is old saying, but the question

4:39

is, is he old and a

4:41

way that matters? That's where the

4:43

memory comes from. Of course we're

4:45

talking about the Special Counsel Robert

4:47

Hers Reports. Ah, the big news

4:49

I think from the Biden White

4:51

House's perspective is that he was

4:54

cleared. He will not face charges

4:56

from this year long investigation into

4:58

his possession of classified documents at

5:00

his home and office after ah,

5:02

leaving. The White House when he

5:04

was vice Presidents so cleared but at

5:06

the same time they said he didn't

5:09

remember things including. And

5:11

this really seem to have set the

5:13

President's including the date of his beloved

5:15

son bows death, for it certainly didn't

5:17

help that then he was so angry,

5:19

rushed out gave. A press conference last

5:22

night that is Thursday. Nights and

5:24

promptly confused which countries

5:26

Lcc as the. Head

5:29

of suggested it was Mexico,

5:31

not Egypt as you know,

5:34

Initially frozen Mexico cc the

5:36

not one open up again

5:38

to allow you know turn

5:40

to have to do I

5:42

talk to I convinced him

5:44

so he blundered his way

5:47

through the press conference and

5:49

press looked awful to but

5:51

honestly the things incredibly damaging

5:53

the think it's thirty. Raises some

5:55

real questions to me about what was going

5:57

on. At the Justice Department's I mean.

6:00

This is a report that the White

6:02

House knew was coming and presumably

6:04

the Attorney General had reviewed in

6:06

advance and people are saying that

6:08

the Independent Counsel was way beyond

6:10

his remit in making these personal

6:12

asides about Biden and why

6:15

was it they were allowed to stay

6:17

in? I mean that's not to say

6:19

though, I mean listen, the damage is

6:21

done, people recognize it as potentially true

6:23

and potentially a gigantic campaign issue. Well,

6:25

one thing that's interesting, you know the White House,

6:27

or I should say Biden's lawyers did push back.

6:29

There was this exchange of... Yeah, I read it.

6:32

...a formal exchange in which they're saying this is

6:34

gratuitous, this is out of line, in a sense

6:36

saying, look, this is a prosecutor who was originally

6:38

appointed by Donald Trump, the implication being that he

6:41

is seeking to score political points here. Now, Merrick

6:43

Garland is the one after all who made him

6:45

a special prosecutor. I think there will be a

6:47

question about why did Democrats tend to do this?

6:50

They sort of imagine that this is going to

6:52

project a sense of high-minded equanimity, but it seems

6:54

to sort of blow back on them every time. I think...

6:57

Let the record show when he was appointed, I

6:59

said, I see trouble. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Absolutely right,

7:01

yeah. But then what? But

7:03

really, I mean, Eric Holder, who was

7:05

the Attorney General under Obama, came

7:08

out and said, you know, there's a

7:10

process, that the Justice Department should have

7:12

reviewed this report and if

7:14

this was inappropriate, said something and stopped

7:16

it. I mean, of course, there would then be charges

7:19

of a cover-up and all that kind of

7:21

thing. Exactly. James Comey

7:24

was absolutely blistered in an IG's

7:26

report for going beyond his remit

7:28

when he described Hillary Clinton as

7:31

careless. And there is an

7:33

argument that's sort of germinating today that

7:36

her has exposed himself to that kind of

7:38

criticism. Yeah, there was a big Comey

7:40

flashback that a lot of people were having

7:42

when this came out yesterday. But in

7:44

the end, we can all say

7:46

with confidence, we may not know

7:48

what's going to happen in 2024, but

7:51

we do know that voters are much more

7:53

likely to care about the question about whether

7:55

the president is in fact compromised

7:57

in any way by his age. and

8:00

potential loss of memory far

8:02

more than they're gonna care

8:05

about the process issues that

8:07

consume us. I mean it's hard to

8:09

tell at this moment because everything seems

8:11

so huge in the moment but at

8:14

the moment this seems like a crisis.

8:16

I'm getting emails from people saying we

8:19

have to do something. Can't they do

8:21

something about that? Meaning there needs

8:23

to be another nominee. I

8:26

do think that's the immediate kind

8:28

of clutch in the gut

8:30

for many Democrats as they look at this

8:32

and I think that's our

8:34

big macro theme this week is a sort of

8:36

a everyone understands there's

8:38

a crisis in

8:41

a way of American leadership and we

8:43

are going to talk more about the

8:45

crisis of leadership on Capitol Hill where

8:47

both Mitch McConnell and the Senate and

8:50

Mike Johnson in the House are compromised

8:52

and weakened figures but before we get

8:54

to that Evan we are

8:56

also talking about a president who is

8:59

going into an election year with some

9:01

of the lowest if not the lowest

9:03

approval ratings of a president since the

9:05

history of modern polling began. He's obviously

9:08

not in a position to be muscling

9:10

through big and urgently

9:12

needed pieces of legislation like aid

9:14

to Ukraine through Congress at

9:16

this moment in time but more importantly what

9:19

is the reason for those low approval

9:22

ratings? It's not because of Republicans who

9:24

didn't already didn't like Joe

9:26

Biden. It's because Democrats and independents are

9:28

very concerned. It's not because they don't

9:30

like Joe Biden. Probably everybody in the

9:33

country more or less of goodwill agrees

9:35

with the idea that he's a sympathetic

9:38

well-meaning elderly man. It's because of the

9:40

elderly part. It's because of the memory

9:42

part that those numbers are where they are.

9:45

Don't you think? I think there are a variety of

9:47

factors but there's just no way to say it any

9:49

other way than you did which is that the foremost

9:51

fact is that people think that he's

9:53

too old and not up for the job.

9:55

There is this question and this is a

9:57

question that people are actively discussing now is

10:00

is sort of how did this get

10:02

to this point, meaning that he was

10:04

the unchallenged nominee. And I

10:06

think in some ways, the critical moment,

10:08

the period was before the midterms, there

10:10

was this feeling among Democrats that, all

10:13

right, the Democrats are going to get

10:15

their clocks cleaned in the 2022 midterms.

10:17

And at that point, there will be

10:19

this big discussion about who the nominee

10:21

should be, and Biden will be sort

10:23

of graciously ushered off the stage. But

10:25

it didn't happen because Democrats outperformed all

10:27

of a sudden, he had this in

10:29

a sense, he had a

10:31

stronger leg to stand on. And that muted this,

10:34

what would have been a natural discussion within

10:36

the party about, well, who is best served?

10:38

And so all of a sudden, you went from that period.

10:41

And here we are. Jane, I

10:43

want to ask you, because you're, I so

10:46

agree, you know, immediately getting the messages and

10:48

that feeling in the pit of the stomach,

10:50

like, you know, it's only

10:52

February of the election year. Tell me a

10:54

little bit more about what you think the

10:56

conversation here in Washington is, is

10:59

it just fantasy that needs to be discarded

11:01

that there's any option other than Biden? I

11:03

mean, it's been a loop, a

11:05

conversation, a loop that's been going on since

11:08

last summer, nonstop. I mean, and

11:10

one part of it is that

11:12

because his vice president is someone

11:14

who people don't see as a

11:17

strong alternative, there's not an obvious

11:19

alternative. And I think that's been part

11:21

of the issue here. There was somebody who

11:24

said to me just last night when Biden

11:26

called the press conference, and it was unclear

11:28

what he was going to say, someone

11:30

said to me, you know, this is what LBJ did,

11:33

and no one knew he was going to step down.

11:35

And he said, I'm not running for reelection. Maybe that's

11:37

what No, I gotta tell you, that person does not

11:39

know Joe Biden. And it was not what happened. No,

11:44

it's interesting. People's minds immediately went to

11:46

that. You know, I was

11:48

earlier this week at a dinner where

11:51

there was a very senior Democratic member

11:53

of Congress. And that person

11:55

was absolutely bombarded by questions for

11:57

everybody at the dinner. who

12:00

included senior European

12:02

types, included well-known

12:05

Washington analysts, independent analysts,

12:08

journalists, and bombarding this

12:11

Democratic member of Congress. What happens?

12:14

Tell us about, you know, if Biden

12:16

leaves—and this was before the report—what if

12:18

Biden steps down

12:20

or is forced to step off the

12:22

ticket before the convention? What happens after

12:24

the convention? These are the kinds of

12:27

conversations that people continue to have inside

12:29

Washington, never mind at the level

12:31

of everyday voters. Evan, you've done a

12:33

lot of reporting, of course,

12:35

inside Biden's White House. Do you

12:37

think that, you know, behind closed

12:39

doors without any of us, pesky,

12:41

you know, journalist president said

12:43

that was their version of

12:46

it? No, I think they—you know, you sort of

12:48

put yourself in their shoes for a second. The

12:50

short answer to your question, Susan, is no. They

12:52

are not secretly strategizing about how to usher him

12:54

off the stage, at least not

12:56

at this point. The effort were it to

12:58

happen would not be from within

13:00

the White House. Look, there is an

13:02

inherent dynamic, which is that the people

13:04

that are surrounding a president that are

13:07

most loyal and devoted to that person

13:09

are, on some level, constrained.

13:11

It's impossible for them to

13:15

come out and tell Susan Glasser or Jane

13:17

Mayer or me, you know, hey, I really

13:19

think that this is untenable. So

13:22

everything that I've been getting from people who are

13:25

in the White House and close to Biden is

13:28

that they actually think that in

13:30

the end, they are

13:33

probably able to ride out

13:35

this quite demonstrable unhappiness

13:37

among the public about his age. And

13:39

the reason partly is that they look

13:42

at Trump—and this is not just a

13:44

general Trump is bad and orange argument.

13:46

It's that Trump called Orban

13:49

the president of Turkey. It's

13:51

that Trump confused Nikki Haley with Nancy Pelosi. Blah,

13:53

blah, blah. I don't know all of these, but

13:55

that that is part of how ordinary Americans who

13:57

are not sitting in Washington talking about this. in

13:59

the way we talk about it, that's how they,

14:02

to some degree, put these two things side by

14:04

side in their minds. I mean, I have to

14:06

say, I covered Reagan when he was beginning

14:10

to lose his marvels a

14:12

little bit, and his own

14:14

aides timed him out a bit. This

14:16

is a great revelation, by the way,

14:18

folks, I can tell you, in Jane's

14:20

terrific book. I think his landslide on

14:24

Reagan's reelection and his

14:26

second term in office. They considered invoking

14:28

the 25th Amendment, but

14:31

in what you're saying, Evan, is that the

14:33

people around Biden are not saying that.

14:35

That's right. They are not saying that.

14:38

What I keep hearing is that Jill,

14:40

his wife, would be the person who was

14:42

most important in having urged him to run

14:44

for a second term. Is that really true?

14:47

Well, I think, I mean, intuitively, yes. I don't

14:49

think there's anybody that argues against that. There's

14:52

an excerpt out today of a

14:54

book about Jill that has a moment in 2022 where he

14:56

was giving this

14:58

lengthy press conference that went on and on and

15:00

on. Finally, she came down and stood in the

15:02

doorway and looked around at his aides and said,

15:05

like, who's letting him stay

15:07

out there so long? This isn't helping anybody, not

15:09

helping him. In a way, she's in

15:11

this position of being both his guardian, but then also,

15:14

if she's not the person saying don't run, then who

15:16

is? Jane, why

15:19

is it, do you think, that Trump,

15:21

as of right now with voters, is

15:23

not being judged as harshly on this

15:25

question of age and capacity due office?

15:27

Back in 2020, interestingly enough, in surveys

15:29

in the fall, Biden had the advantage on

15:31

this, that he was seen as more

15:33

capable to do the job of president,

15:35

more fit for office. There were more

15:37

people worried about Trump's lack of fitness

15:39

for office. Donald Trump, not only 77

15:42

years old, you guys pointed out already,

15:44

he is capable, as Biden is,

15:47

of making a gap at any given moment. He

15:49

thinks he doesn't know. You can't even tell whether it's

15:52

that he doesn't know them or he forgot them. Well,

15:54

I think it comes down to two things. One is

15:57

the physical appearance of the

15:59

two. Biden does seem weakened because

16:01

his, you know, I have, my

16:03

voice has gone recently. I understand

16:05

it makes somebody seem weaker and

16:08

his, you know, his diction is not

16:10

as clear as it was. And

16:13

so you can see that Trump seems, you

16:15

know, still more powerful in his physical

16:17

presentation. But really, I think equally

16:20

important, maybe even more important, is

16:22

that the two ecosystems of the press

16:25

that these two men exist in. You

16:27

have on the right, you have full-time

16:30

pro-Trump propaganda machine

16:33

delivering coverage of Trump to

16:36

his base. They are not

16:38

talking about his flip-ups. On

16:41

the Democratic side, you have mainstream

16:44

press, which focuses on,

16:47

among other things, Biden slips. You

16:49

don't see similar coverage. There's no

16:52

equal sort of fair coverage of Trump

16:54

on the right. They just promote him.

16:56

And that's not what you get surrounding

16:58

Biden. So there's

17:00

a real disequilibrium in the way these

17:02

two people are being covered. Yeah. I

17:05

think there's also probably a salience issue in the sense

17:07

that some of the things Trump

17:09

does are so

17:12

grandly, completely offensive that they sort of blot

17:14

out the son of everything else when he

17:16

talks about being a dictator, when he talks

17:19

about getting vengeance. All of this stuff becomes

17:21

more salient, to use the term that political

17:24

scientists would use when it comes to what

17:26

are you paying attention to. And

17:28

in a perverse way, as Jane says, it kind

17:31

of projects a sort of ghastly vigor. And

17:33

I think that that, in its own way...

17:35

Ghastly vigor. That is a phrase

17:37

I'm going to remember here. But you're right.

17:39

The hierarchy of crises

17:41

that Trump forces us to confront

17:43

in that hierarchy of crises, his

17:47

age and capacity is

17:49

often subsumed by his

17:51

dictatorial aspirations, if you will. Yeah,

17:53

and look at his record. He's never

17:55

told the truth. Right. Exactly.

17:58

So which part of it is... Facts are... not

18:00

his specialty. So,

18:02

I'll turn it into facts. Right. So,

18:05

who knows if he ever knew that Victor Orban was

18:07

not the same person? You know, it's interesting. I mean,

18:09

this is part of the... One of the things that's

18:11

been running through this is that ever since Biden came

18:13

out and confused the president

18:16

of Egypt for Mexico, that everybody's been posting

18:18

examples of this, I mean, on the other

18:20

side. I mean, as an example, in the

18:22

segment that followed on Fox News

18:24

immediately afterwards about this very topic,

18:27

the Fox News host called the governor of

18:29

South Dakota the governor of South Carolina. The

18:32

governor of South Carolina. And everybody, I mean, we all know, because

18:34

we're reporters, all public figures screw

18:36

up all the time. It just

18:38

becomes a matter of what you focus on.

18:40

Totally. Although I will say, and

18:42

I do think it's important, and maybe you guys disagree,

18:44

but Joe Biden

18:46

doesn't just have a communications problem

18:48

or a media problem or a

18:51

coverage problem. And he

18:53

got very prickly in his news conference with

18:55

reporters. In fact, he suggested that was somehow

18:57

all just a figment of their sort of

18:59

imagination. Joe

19:02

Biden actually does have an age problem.

19:04

He is the oldest president in American

19:06

history. He is asking the American people to send

19:08

him back to office until he is 86 years old.

19:12

And I think the concerns of the voters,

19:14

it would be a mistake politically to

19:17

dismiss them as some figment of

19:19

the media's imagination or as something

19:21

that is not legitimate. At

19:24

least that's my perspective. So the Democrats are going to

19:26

be stuck having to just embrace this. I

19:29

saw a potential lawn sign

19:31

that already said Biden, and

19:33

underneath it it said a

19:36

well-meaning elderly man. Already?

19:39

Wow. Well, thank God for the

19:41

internet. No, I think you're right. I mean, look,

19:43

this is going to be age equals wisdom. That's

19:45

the Democratic Party strategy. That's what they do. All

19:48

right. Well, listen, we'll take a quick

19:50

break. And when we come back, we're

19:53

going to talk about another 81-year-old who

19:55

had a really bad week in Washington.

20:08

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podcasts. So

21:50

we've talked about President Biden and

21:53

a real challenge for

21:55

his re-election, but also for his leadership

21:57

here in Washington for the rest of

21:59

the day. the year. He is the president

22:01

right now. Up

22:03

on Capitol Hill, it was a

22:05

pretty tough week for both Republican

22:07

leaders, Mitch McConnell in the Senate.

22:10

Mike Johnson in the House is barely hanging

22:12

on since he became a very unlikely speaker.

22:14

But let's talk about Mitch McConnell.

22:17

The Mitch McConnell era in American politics has

22:19

had a very long run. He's the, in

22:22

fact, as of last

22:24

year, the longest-serving party leader

22:27

in Senate history. I

22:29

felt like this week was the week we watched

22:31

his kind of power and his

22:33

holdover Senate Republicans evaporate in

22:36

real time. What do you make

22:38

of that? Well, absolutely. I mean,

22:40

you've actually got people now in

22:43

his Republican caucus who are describing

22:45

his leadership as a disaster because

22:47

of what happened with a major

22:49

bill that was going to combine

22:52

aid for Israel, for Ukraine, and

22:54

the border. The Republicans maneuvered themselves

22:56

into a position where they were

22:58

voting against their own bill on this.

23:00

They're blaming McConnell, but actually it was not

23:03

his fault, basically, in this particular

23:05

case. But he is the leader, and

23:07

the leader gets the blame. He's got

23:09

a number of young bucks

23:15

in his caucus who are

23:17

to his right and calling for him

23:19

to step down or

23:21

be replaced. And they include people

23:23

like Mike Lee, Ted

23:26

Cruz, J.D. Vance.

23:28

I mean, these are people who ...

23:31

Josh Hawley. Josh Hawley. They see

23:34

their names in that leadership position.

23:37

So, Evan, is it about the far-right

23:39

challenging Mitch McConnell, or is it

23:42

about Donald Trump challenging McConnell and

23:44

using those ambitious sorts like

23:46

Josh Hawley as his proxies? Yeah.

23:49

I think on some level, if we're going to put this

23:51

in the sort of octave of Greek myth, you have these

23:53

two giant fatherly figures

23:55

competing for loyalty, and you have, for

23:57

a long time, Mitch McConnell. McConnell had

23:59

enough influence and clout that people would

24:02

kind of line up with him. And

24:04

now here is Trump coming along. And

24:06

the two of them, after all, let's

24:08

remember, have been essentially enemies.

24:11

There was the fateful moment

24:13

when Mitch McConnell did

24:16

not cast a vote for impeachment after

24:18

the January 6th insurrection,

24:21

but did heap criticism

24:23

on Trump called him practically and

24:27

morally responsible for

24:30

provoking the events of

24:32

the day. No question

24:35

about it. And said that this would be

24:37

something for the criminal justice system to sort

24:39

out. And for a long time, McConnell's own

24:42

record and clout within Congress

24:44

was able to keep his

24:46

view of things dominant.

24:48

And I think at this point, the truth is that

24:50

because of the things we're going to talk about, he

24:53

has just slipped away, sort

24:55

of ebbed away over the course of the

24:57

last two years. And it's now reaching

24:59

the point where it's still quite part out loud. Well,

25:01

so Jane, can I talk a little bit about

25:04

McConnell's sort of trajectory over the last couple of

25:06

years? I mean, one thing

25:08

is simply not just that he's his

25:10

age, but he really has, he's slipped

25:12

in an actual sense. He slipped in

25:15

Felly a year ago and he's been

25:17

visibly diminish since then. He had those

25:19

two moments of sort of public brain

25:21

freeze in the wake of his fall

25:24

and concussion. He just sort

25:26

of seems like a guy who's on the brink of

25:28

retirement. Well, he seems absolutely

25:30

impaired in front of full view.

25:33

And you have to wonder if the

25:35

camera caught him during these moments when he

25:38

was doing press conferences, were there other moments

25:40

like this? And what I hear is that

25:42

behind his back, there's a huge maneuvering to

25:44

take his place, basically. He

25:47

is seen as weak after having been

25:49

the master of the Senate in his

25:51

time and his time seems to be

25:53

passing by him. I mean, I just

25:56

think that it's been a fascinating

25:59

story. as you

26:01

say, Evan, of these two men,

26:03

Trump and McConnell. And

26:05

that McConnell has hoped to

26:07

be, he's trying to work on his legacy. He

26:09

wants to be seen as the

26:12

master of the Senate, and he wants to

26:14

be seen as the person who remade the

26:17

judiciary and the Supreme Court. But in fact,

26:19

I think what history will remember him for

26:21

is enabling Donald Trump because he

26:23

had the power to confront

26:25

him at any number of

26:28

times, and he failed

26:30

to do that. He may have made a

26:32

few speeches, but twice he voted to

26:34

acquit him in impeachment. And even more

26:36

than that, I think if you go back and

26:38

you look at the record, one of the most

26:40

interesting things is the single thing that

26:42

McConnell says the most important thing he did

26:45

in his career was hold open

26:47

the Supreme Court seat in 2016 that

26:49

by right and by law that

26:54

Obama should have been able to fail,

26:56

and he had nominated Merrick Garland. But

26:58

what McConnell did was he obstructed that

27:00

nomination, held open that seat,

27:03

which many people think is

27:05

the key thing that helped

27:08

elect Trump. And so he helped

27:10

get Trump into the White House

27:12

by the way that he basically

27:15

obstructed the normal process of government.

27:17

He likes to be seen as

27:20

an institutionalist. This was not an

27:22

institutionalist move, and that helped get Trump

27:24

elected. And so he kind of paved

27:26

the way for all of this. Absolutely

27:29

did. Look, Jane, I think you

27:31

put it perfectly that in a sense,

27:33

Mitch McConnell made the choice to enable Donald

27:36

Trump. That was his grand strategy. And the question

27:38

has always been sort of why would he do

27:40

that, considering how much he loathes this guy? And

27:42

the reason is that Mitch

27:44

McConnell's primary motive, his dominant calculus,

27:46

was always what is the best

27:48

for my party? Trump will

27:50

deliver partisan power, raw partisan

27:53

power. And if that means putting Donald Trump in power

27:55

and enabling him to stay there and do everything he

27:57

wants, then I will do that. seeing

28:00

now is that he's running up against

28:02

a cohort within his party who does

28:04

not have the same theory, which is

28:06

to say they are more than happy

28:08

to be cannibalistic. They will go after

28:10

their own. They will go after other

28:12

fellow Republicans. You saw this first on

28:14

the House side, but now also within

28:16

the Senate Republicans that the people we've

28:18

been talking about, like Ted Cruz, like

28:20

Josh Hawley, that they really come from

28:22

a generation in which they are Republican

28:24

second and they are for themselves and

28:26

their cohort first. I would say I think

28:28

there's a lot of themes to pick up on here

28:31

and certainly the sort of you might call it the

28:33

House GOPization of the

28:35

Senate. GOP is an aspect

28:37

of that, the Trumpification overall

28:40

of the Republican Party is an aspect of

28:42

it. But also to Jane's point, it's

28:44

about this man and it's about a

28:46

generational change that is taking place. Mitch

28:49

McConnell, in defining himself as

28:51

a master of the Senate, of course,

28:53

that's the title of Robert Caro's amazing

28:55

book about Lyndon Johnson, a previous era's

28:57

master of the Senate. McConnell wanted

29:00

power, but he wanted power towards

29:02

certain ends. McConnell wanted to get

29:05

things passed, it seems

29:07

to me, and take credit for

29:09

them and have power and remake

29:11

America in the conservative image that

29:13

he wanted. Whereas this new generation,

29:16

it's about performative politics, it's about

29:18

taking votes that benefit them politically

29:20

but don't necessarily produce legislation. What

29:22

takes us back to this disaster

29:24

actually of this week, where they

29:27

demanded a deal on

29:29

the border as the price for

29:31

Ukraine aid. Ukraine aid was the

29:33

primary goal of Mitch McConnell in

29:36

this final kind of months or

29:38

years of his term. And

29:40

yet when the deal was then on

29:42

offer by Democrats, they made a deal,

29:44

they said, no, we don't want that.

29:46

They'd rather have an issue for television,

29:48

for the voters, for the ballot box.

29:50

To me, that's an important part of

29:52

the transition and why Mitch McConnell doesn't

29:55

feel like the man of

29:57

the moment anymore. I'm

30:00

not sure that I completely

30:02

agree that he is about

30:04

things that are larger than

30:06

his own power and the party's power. I

30:09

mean if you listen to people who've known

30:11

him for a long time, John Yarmouth

30:13

for instance, who was congressman from Louisville and

30:16

who's known McConnell from

30:18

the start, he will say, you

30:20

know, McConnell never wanted to

30:23

do anything, he just wanted

30:25

to be someone. There is

30:27

a very cynical aspect of

30:29

McConnell. I mean he uses these issues,

30:31

you're right, he passes legislation,

30:34

he passes things like the

30:36

huge tax bill for during

30:38

the Trump administration, but it's

30:40

instrumental. It's because that

30:43

then brings in the money from Wall

30:45

Street which helps the Republican Party get

30:47

reelected. It's about power with McConnell. Right,

30:49

but Jane, I think that's, I

30:52

agree with that. The point about the

30:54

generational change is that people like Joe

30:57

Biden and Mitch McConnell believed

30:59

you had to get something done in order to

31:01

obtain power, that that was what voters wanted

31:04

you to do. We've

31:06

reached a new era it seems to

31:08

me where they've just gotten rid of

31:10

that part of the deal altogether. So

31:12

it's about the change in power politics

31:15

in Washington that a new generation says,

31:17

screw it, it's too much trouble.

31:19

And in fact it might be a liability for us

31:21

to work at all ever with the

31:23

other party. In fact they would

31:26

say that obstruction is a far

31:28

greater virtue than passing conservative law.

31:31

Honestly though, nobody was a bigger

31:33

obstructor than McConnell for years, you

31:35

know, and so in a way what I think

31:37

is going on is that McConnell's

31:40

superpower for many years has been

31:43

his shamelessness. You could not

31:45

shame this man. He can

31:47

be as hypocritical as he

31:49

was about the Supreme Court nominees and,

31:51

you know, saying that it was too

31:53

close to an election in the case

31:56

of Merrick Garland and then jamming in

31:58

Amy Coney Barrett days before. the

32:00

next election. He didn't care. You

32:02

could not shame this man. And I

32:04

think that gave him a lot of

32:06

power. But what's happened, I think this

32:08

young generation you're talking about, they're even

32:10

more shameless than he is. And

32:14

so they're out, you know, synthesizing

32:16

it. I don't want to cut

32:19

to the end here, but I have to

32:21

say that is the core fact of what's

32:23

going on, is that Mitch McConnell innovated a

32:25

form of political technology, and now this young

32:27

generation has taken it from his hands and

32:30

now they are beating him with it. Well,

32:32

I think that's a very important insight.

32:34

It's also the other part, there's a

32:37

very interesting debate. We started with this

32:40

in the McConnell conversation. I think it's very important to

32:42

come back to this, this almost

32:44

iconic moment of

32:47

the party not letting go of Donald

32:50

Trump after January 6 and in

32:52

his second impeachment trial. And everything is

32:54

sort of teetering on the nice edge

32:57

there. What will McConnell do? Everyone

32:59

knows at this point, his relationship

33:02

is ruptured, is broken with Donald Trump, because

33:04

people forget they think, oh, well, he hasn't

33:06

talked to Donald Trump since January

33:08

6. He actually hasn't talked to Donald Trump

33:11

since December of

33:14

2020, when Mitch McConnell

33:16

went to the Senate floor after

33:18

December 14. That was the date

33:20

by which the electoral college, each

33:22

state had to certify its results.

33:24

They all did that as per

33:26

the law, and as per our

33:28

history, Mitch McConnell went to the

33:30

Senate floor and he congratulated Joe

33:32

Biden. He said he's the winner.

33:35

The electoral college has

33:37

spoken. So

33:40

today I want to congratulate President-elect Joe

33:42

Biden. The president-elect is

33:44

no stranger to the Senate. He's

33:47

devoted himself to public service for many

33:49

years. And Donald Trump went

33:52

ripshit about that. I think I can say

33:54

that on our air per our opening conversation.

33:56

And that's the last time that they spoke.

33:58

So I think that's it. important to remind

34:01

people, but had the Senate convicted Donald

34:03

Trump after he left office for

34:06

his role in seeking to overturn the

34:08

2020 election, a conviction also would have

34:10

made this whole 2024 nightmare. It

34:14

would not have happened. You know,

34:16

there's reliable reporting that we did for

34:18

the divider that others have done this,

34:20

it suggests that Mitch McConnell certainly was

34:22

open to doing that. The

34:25

key is that he couldn't bring along,

34:27

he didn't believe he could. And that's

34:29

the really interesting debate. He didn't believe

34:31

he could have brought along enough of

34:33

his Senate Republicans. That would

34:35

have exposed him for no longer being

34:37

the leader. It would have evaporated his

34:39

power. And Jane, I think it actually

34:42

proves the reliability of your thesis that

34:44

Mitch McConnell was always about Mitch

34:47

McConnell's power. He chose to stay

34:49

in power with his Senate

34:51

Republicans, not to defy them and

34:54

go for Trump's conviction. That's

34:56

what he chose. This was his profiles

34:58

encourage moment and he failed

35:01

it. He could have stood up.

35:03

He could have said, I am going to do

35:05

the right thing. He could have pushed his caucus

35:07

to the wall. Even if he'd

35:09

lost, that would have been a moral

35:11

and a political stand. And Trump could

35:13

not, you know, he

35:15

may have moved his caucus ahead,

35:17

but he's always afraid to

35:20

be in some way out of step with

35:22

his caucus because the caucus is how he

35:24

has his power. And

35:26

so he failed. John, where do you... You've

35:28

done as much work as anybody in trying

35:31

to understand the link between biography

35:34

and strategy in somebody like

35:36

McConnell. Where do you think that comes from?

35:38

I mean, I think we

35:40

all accept the point. Where do you think it

35:42

originates from? You know, I mean, he comes from

35:44

a poor background

35:46

in Kentucky and he had

35:49

polio as a child. He

35:52

believes in perseverance, but

35:54

he also has believed from the start

35:56

that you can't do anything unless you

35:59

can win. And

36:01

if you don't win, you can't make change.

36:03

And so winning is the most important thing

36:05

to him. And I interviewed so many people,

36:07

people who loved him, people who hated him.

36:10

I read his speeches, I read his, you

36:12

know, as told

36:14

to autobiography. And there's just

36:16

no principle that comes through.

36:18

There's no core conviction beyond

36:20

you have to win. And

36:23

that's what he lives for. So in

36:25

a practical sense, Evan, can

36:27

he keep on winning if Donald Trump is

36:30

once again the nominee of his party? What

36:32

does that mean in a practical sense for

36:34

Mitch McConnell? You know, I was just thinking

36:36

as Jane was talking about that, that it really is,

36:38

he was a

36:40

forerunner to everything that Trump represents, this kind

36:43

of desiccated form of victory in which it

36:45

just doesn't matter how or why, but simply

36:47

the fact that you win. There was once

36:49

a moment I remember early on when McConnell

36:52

people, people may not remember, but he started

36:54

out his career, as you guys know. He

36:57

was in favor of collective bargaining and

36:59

minimum wage. He was sort of pro

37:02

environment. He was sort of center leaning.

37:04

He was put joy. Campaign finance reform.

37:06

Yes, right? And all

37:08

of those things he abandoned along the way.

37:10

And once he was asked sort of, how could you do

37:12

this? This was supposed to be the great moment of revelation.

37:14

How could you give up these things? And he says, well,

37:17

because I wanted to win. And

37:19

in a way that there is baked

37:21

into that philosophy, a poison pill, because

37:23

at a certain point if somebody else

37:25

is willing to do even more to

37:27

win, then you're on

37:29

the challenge. So Jane, that does beg

37:31

the question, what do we think an

37:34

end game scenario for McConnell looks like

37:36

here? When they had a vote, we

37:39

should point out earlier inside the conference,

37:41

these rebels against McConnell, there were only

37:43

10 of them who actually were willing

37:45

to stand up and actually

37:48

seek to oust him as the leader. There was

37:50

a press conference by a number of them this

37:52

week after the embarrassing takedown

37:55

of the border bill compromise

37:57

that McConnell had supported until

38:00

He was forced to be against his own compromise. A

38:02

number of them, Ted Cruz, said, yeah, we

38:04

still want to get rid of McConnell. They

38:06

clearly don't have the votes yet. Do you

38:08

think in the end he will be toppled

38:10

by his conference or he will choose to

38:12

retire or step aside? Well, there's one thing

38:14

we haven't really touched on that makes

38:17

McConnell incredibly powerful and that

38:19

is money. He

38:21

sits atop a machine that

38:23

is unparalleled in pouring money

38:25

into these Senate races and

38:28

other state races. It uses

38:30

several dark money groups that

38:32

pour money into each other and

38:35

fund the Senate campaigns on

38:37

the Republican side. And

38:39

it's run by his former aides, by

38:41

Stephen Law and some of the other

38:43

people who have worked for him who

38:45

really act as his lieutenants. It's

38:48

an astonishingly powerful and well-funded

38:51

machine. So the Republican senators,

38:53

they know they need his money.

38:56

And that gives him an awful lot

38:58

of power. And it

39:00

seems impossible to me that said

39:03

that if Trump were elected president,

39:06

that McConnell would be able to stay on

39:08

as majority leader if they had the majority

39:10

in the Senate, if the Republicans did. It's

39:13

very hard for me to imagine or as

39:15

minority leader either. I mean, he's

39:18

now at such loggerheads with Trump. It's

39:20

kind of untenable. Danielle

39:23

Pletka Untenable, Evan. And yet nonetheless, might continue a

39:25

little bit longer. What do you think? Evan

39:27

Brand You know, I sort of am thinking

39:29

about what I've been picking up in terms

39:32

of his relationship with the Biden

39:34

administration, which has been kind of a... In

39:37

some ways, there's a natural way

39:39

in which that whole form

39:42

of interaction of dealmaking

39:44

is dying right now. Truth

39:47

is that McConnell and Biden, in the

39:49

end, for all of their policy disagreements,

39:51

which are profound, do

39:53

basically trust each other. And there's this

39:56

moment when Biden was leaving the vice

39:58

presidency when McConnell gave this kind of

40:01

speech, this ode to this idea of

40:03

a guy who would do

40:05

what he says. Obviously, I don't always

40:07

agree with him, but I do trust him implicitly.

40:11

He doesn't break his word. He

40:13

doesn't waste time telling me why I'm wrong. He

40:16

gets down to brass tacks, and

40:19

he keeps in sight the

40:21

stakes. And even up until the very present

40:24

day, McConnell would call over

40:26

to the White House and the two of

40:29

these old, what was it, well-meaning, I'm not

40:31

sure I'm willing to apply that all together,

40:33

but... Right. Elderly men.

40:35

Elderly gentlemen. Elderly men. The

40:38

two of them would kind of hash things

40:40

out. And in a way, that whole concept

40:42

has just sunk

40:45

and disappeared into the swamp. I think they

40:47

have... You know, I have to say, I

40:49

once heard Biden

40:52

tell a story about McConnell and

40:54

about their negotiations together, and there's a sort

40:57

of a humorous appreciation.

40:59

But nonetheless, what Biden said

41:01

was that after hashing things

41:03

out with McConnell, McConnell turned to him

41:05

and said, you must be mistaking me

41:08

for someone who gives a shit. And...

41:11

Well, listen, practical politicians of the

41:13

old school don't get stuck on

41:15

sentimentality. And I think, you

41:18

know, this brings this conversation full circle.

41:20

This is a story about two

41:23

octogenarians and how long they'll

41:25

be with us in our

41:27

politics. What a week. Some

41:29

weeks are slow. Some weeks are a whole

41:32

year's worth of news. This was definitely one

41:35

of them. Evan, Shane, thank you so much.

41:37

Great to be with you, Burt. Always a pleasure. Great

41:40

to be with you. This

41:46

has been the political scene from The New

41:48

Yorker. I'm Susan Glasser. We

41:50

have production assistants today from Alex

41:52

Delia, Dan Richards and Stephanie Karaoke.

41:55

Stephen Valentino is our executive producer and

41:57

Conde Nast, head of global audio. is

42:00

Chris Bannon. Our theme music is by

42:02

Alison Leighton Brown. We'll be back next

42:04

week. Thank you so much for listening. Award-winning

42:18

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42:20

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42:29

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