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0:04
Listen to supported WNYC
0:06
studios. Too
0:10
many elderly men to choose
0:12
from this week in Washington folks.
0:15
Okay. This place is lousy with
0:17
them. Are we allowed to swear on our program by
0:19
the way? Yes. Just out of
0:21
curiosity. I mean it's not a family. I think
0:23
Susan's got the word shit in her comm. I've
0:26
repeatedly been allowed to use that before.
0:29
Bring me envelope. No, and I
0:31
think I've published in the print
0:33
New Yorker. Well done. I
0:35
have two actually. For a while I tried to get it into every story because
0:37
I thought it just... It was so delightful. ...
0:39
edgy street. You know that most famous, one of
0:41
the most famous New Yorker pieces ever, and if
0:43
you haven't read it, go back and find it.
0:46
An entire piece translated
0:49
from the Russian about the
0:51
elaborate language of swearing in
0:54
Russian. Oh, that's nice. And
0:56
I'm telling you, you got to read this piece. It is, first of all, it
0:58
is an important cultural piece. As
1:01
much as I think the Russians are probably great
1:03
swears, they have nothing on Pashto swears, which I
1:05
wrote a piece about, which is, you
1:07
know, the most vibrant. Everybody
1:10
is constantly being smashed into a million pieces
1:12
and shoved up each other's things. It's
1:14
not a good situation. Yeah, no. And
1:16
the thing about Russia, right, which makes it
1:18
a sort of a cultural piece too, and
1:20
not just about swearing, is that it's all
1:22
prison slang because of the Gulag era. Oh,
1:24
that's right. Basically every family in Russia is...
1:26
It's a prison-face. It's fluent. Oh,
1:29
that's great. Well, things have fallen a lot since
1:31
my days at the Wall Street Journal when you
1:33
were not even allowed to use the word
1:35
crotch. I had to describe
1:37
tights at some point, and I had
1:39
to describe that there was a knit
1:42
area where the legs came together. Oh,
1:44
that is amazing. You know, Ed Peter
1:46
Baker in the New York Times just
1:48
a few years ago was so stodgy.
1:50
Remember when Dick Cheney swore at, I
1:52
believe it was Pat Leahy in the
1:54
Senate? There was like a huge thing
1:56
about could you publish it? And he was only
1:58
allowed to do it once, as I recall. In there was
2:00
a whole me my twitter like free Peter
2:02
Baker let him swear in previous you know
2:04
them the trump or came and everybody was
2:07
allowed to swear because of the president says
2:09
of them said no the worst thing you.
2:11
Can say is an innocent
2:13
elderly gentlemen. Welcome
2:19
to the political scene from the New,
2:22
Really discussion about the big questions in
2:24
American politics. I'm Susan Glasser and I'm
2:26
joined by my colleague Evan Osnos and
2:28
Gene their. What?
2:39
A week on Thursday, the Special
2:41
Counsel investigating President Biden, handling of
2:43
classified documents with report that shook
2:45
the White House and Politics and
2:47
Twenty Twenty Four the big take
2:49
away Of course with that it
2:51
clear Joe Biden. unlike Donald Trump,
2:54
he won't stand trial for his
2:56
possession of classified documents. But wow
2:58
It might have cleared presses and
3:00
fine but it did so in.
3:02
Potentially a highly damaging.
3:04
Way the report called him quote
3:06
a well meaning elderly man with
3:09
a poor memory and said that
3:11
was one of the main reasons
3:13
they couldn't imagine him being put
3:15
in front of a jury that
3:18
one sentence has recent heard his
3:20
age at the heart of our
3:22
campaign in a potentially devastating well
3:24
And speaking of bad weeks for
3:27
artist scenario and it with a
3:29
political crisis of a very different
3:31
sort this week for another one
3:33
of Washington's. Leaders Mitch Mcconnell up
3:36
on Capitol Hill. the legislative failure
3:38
to fund aid to Ukraine has
3:40
mart what might be the beginning
3:43
of the end of the very
3:45
long Mcconnell era. Both. Of
3:47
these leaders are clearly entering a new
3:50
phase in this twenty twenty four election
3:52
year and will talk about both of
3:54
them to date. But Evans, We've gotta
3:56
start back with Biden of course, and
3:59
those he were. Sympathetic,
4:01
well meaning elderly man
4:03
with a poor. Memory.
4:07
Of in Is this going to Be Written
4:09
in Joe Biden epitaph. I think
4:11
what's brutal about that line is
4:13
that the worst thing you can
4:15
do in politics is reinforce and
4:17
existing story line and the story
4:20
line is something that everybody turns
4:22
on their tv series which is
4:24
that he is what was it
4:26
as as say well many elderly
4:28
man and with our way I'm
4:30
is what about that memory. What?
4:33
About that memory, That's right. A
4:35
There's no arguing that Joe Biden
4:37
is old saying, but the question
4:39
is, is he old and a
4:41
way that matters? That's where the
4:43
memory comes from. Of course we're
4:45
talking about the Special Counsel Robert
4:47
Hers Reports. Ah, the big news
4:49
I think from the Biden White
4:51
House's perspective is that he was
4:54
cleared. He will not face charges
4:56
from this year long investigation into
4:58
his possession of classified documents at
5:00
his home and office after ah,
5:02
leaving. The White House when he
5:04
was vice Presidents so cleared but at
5:06
the same time they said he didn't
5:09
remember things including. And
5:11
this really seem to have set the
5:13
President's including the date of his beloved
5:15
son bows death, for it certainly didn't
5:17
help that then he was so angry,
5:19
rushed out gave. A press conference last
5:22
night that is Thursday. Nights and
5:24
promptly confused which countries
5:26
Lcc as the. Head
5:29
of suggested it was Mexico,
5:31
not Egypt as you know,
5:34
Initially frozen Mexico cc the
5:36
not one open up again
5:38
to allow you know turn
5:40
to have to do I
5:42
talk to I convinced him
5:44
so he blundered his way
5:47
through the press conference and
5:49
press looked awful to but
5:51
honestly the things incredibly damaging
5:53
the think it's thirty. Raises some
5:55
real questions to me about what was going
5:57
on. At the Justice Department's I mean.
6:00
This is a report that the White
6:02
House knew was coming and presumably
6:04
the Attorney General had reviewed in
6:06
advance and people are saying that
6:08
the Independent Counsel was way beyond
6:10
his remit in making these personal
6:12
asides about Biden and why
6:15
was it they were allowed to stay
6:17
in? I mean that's not to say
6:19
though, I mean listen, the damage is
6:21
done, people recognize it as potentially true
6:23
and potentially a gigantic campaign issue. Well,
6:25
one thing that's interesting, you know the White House,
6:27
or I should say Biden's lawyers did push back.
6:29
There was this exchange of... Yeah, I read it.
6:32
...a formal exchange in which they're saying this is
6:34
gratuitous, this is out of line, in a sense
6:36
saying, look, this is a prosecutor who was originally
6:38
appointed by Donald Trump, the implication being that he
6:41
is seeking to score political points here. Now, Merrick
6:43
Garland is the one after all who made him
6:45
a special prosecutor. I think there will be a
6:47
question about why did Democrats tend to do this?
6:50
They sort of imagine that this is going to
6:52
project a sense of high-minded equanimity, but it seems
6:54
to sort of blow back on them every time. I think...
6:57
Let the record show when he was appointed, I
6:59
said, I see trouble. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Absolutely right,
7:01
yeah. But then what? But
7:03
really, I mean, Eric Holder, who was
7:05
the Attorney General under Obama, came
7:08
out and said, you know, there's a
7:10
process, that the Justice Department should have
7:12
reviewed this report and if
7:14
this was inappropriate, said something and stopped
7:16
it. I mean, of course, there would then be charges
7:19
of a cover-up and all that kind of
7:21
thing. Exactly. James Comey
7:24
was absolutely blistered in an IG's
7:26
report for going beyond his remit
7:28
when he described Hillary Clinton as
7:31
careless. And there is an
7:33
argument that's sort of germinating today that
7:36
her has exposed himself to that kind of
7:38
criticism. Yeah, there was a big Comey
7:40
flashback that a lot of people were having
7:42
when this came out yesterday. But in
7:44
the end, we can all say
7:46
with confidence, we may not know
7:48
what's going to happen in 2024, but
7:51
we do know that voters are much more
7:53
likely to care about the question about whether
7:55
the president is in fact compromised
7:57
in any way by his age. and
8:00
potential loss of memory far
8:02
more than they're gonna care
8:05
about the process issues that
8:07
consume us. I mean it's hard to
8:09
tell at this moment because everything seems
8:11
so huge in the moment but at
8:14
the moment this seems like a crisis.
8:16
I'm getting emails from people saying we
8:19
have to do something. Can't they do
8:21
something about that? Meaning there needs
8:23
to be another nominee. I
8:26
do think that's the immediate kind
8:28
of clutch in the gut
8:30
for many Democrats as they look at this
8:32
and I think that's our
8:34
big macro theme this week is a sort of
8:36
a everyone understands there's
8:38
a crisis in
8:41
a way of American leadership and we
8:43
are going to talk more about the
8:45
crisis of leadership on Capitol Hill where
8:47
both Mitch McConnell and the Senate and
8:50
Mike Johnson in the House are compromised
8:52
and weakened figures but before we get
8:54
to that Evan we are
8:56
also talking about a president who is
8:59
going into an election year with some
9:01
of the lowest if not the lowest
9:03
approval ratings of a president since the
9:05
history of modern polling began. He's obviously
9:08
not in a position to be muscling
9:10
through big and urgently
9:12
needed pieces of legislation like aid
9:14
to Ukraine through Congress at
9:16
this moment in time but more importantly what
9:19
is the reason for those low approval
9:22
ratings? It's not because of Republicans who
9:24
didn't already didn't like Joe
9:26
Biden. It's because Democrats and independents are
9:28
very concerned. It's not because they don't
9:30
like Joe Biden. Probably everybody in the
9:33
country more or less of goodwill agrees
9:35
with the idea that he's a sympathetic
9:38
well-meaning elderly man. It's because of the
9:40
elderly part. It's because of the memory
9:42
part that those numbers are where they are.
9:45
Don't you think? I think there are a variety of
9:47
factors but there's just no way to say it any
9:49
other way than you did which is that the foremost
9:51
fact is that people think that he's
9:53
too old and not up for the job.
9:55
There is this question and this is a
9:57
question that people are actively discussing now is
10:00
is sort of how did this get
10:02
to this point, meaning that he was
10:04
the unchallenged nominee. And I
10:06
think in some ways, the critical moment,
10:08
the period was before the midterms, there
10:10
was this feeling among Democrats that, all
10:13
right, the Democrats are going to get
10:15
their clocks cleaned in the 2022 midterms.
10:17
And at that point, there will be
10:19
this big discussion about who the nominee
10:21
should be, and Biden will be sort
10:23
of graciously ushered off the stage. But
10:25
it didn't happen because Democrats outperformed all
10:27
of a sudden, he had this in
10:29
a sense, he had a
10:31
stronger leg to stand on. And that muted this,
10:34
what would have been a natural discussion within
10:36
the party about, well, who is best served?
10:38
And so all of a sudden, you went from that period.
10:41
And here we are. Jane, I
10:43
want to ask you, because you're, I so
10:46
agree, you know, immediately getting the messages and
10:48
that feeling in the pit of the stomach,
10:50
like, you know, it's only
10:52
February of the election year. Tell me a
10:54
little bit more about what you think the
10:56
conversation here in Washington is, is
10:59
it just fantasy that needs to be discarded
11:01
that there's any option other than Biden? I
11:03
mean, it's been a loop, a
11:05
conversation, a loop that's been going on since
11:08
last summer, nonstop. I mean, and
11:10
one part of it is that
11:12
because his vice president is someone
11:14
who people don't see as a
11:17
strong alternative, there's not an obvious
11:19
alternative. And I think that's been part
11:21
of the issue here. There was somebody who
11:24
said to me just last night when Biden
11:26
called the press conference, and it was unclear
11:28
what he was going to say, someone
11:30
said to me, you know, this is what LBJ did,
11:33
and no one knew he was going to step down.
11:35
And he said, I'm not running for reelection. Maybe that's
11:37
what No, I gotta tell you, that person does not
11:39
know Joe Biden. And it was not what happened. No,
11:44
it's interesting. People's minds immediately went to
11:46
that. You know, I was
11:48
earlier this week at a dinner where
11:51
there was a very senior Democratic member
11:53
of Congress. And that person
11:55
was absolutely bombarded by questions for
11:57
everybody at the dinner. who
12:00
included senior European
12:02
types, included well-known
12:05
Washington analysts, independent analysts,
12:08
journalists, and bombarding this
12:11
Democratic member of Congress. What happens?
12:14
Tell us about, you know, if Biden
12:16
leaves—and this was before the report—what if
12:18
Biden steps down
12:20
or is forced to step off the
12:22
ticket before the convention? What happens after
12:24
the convention? These are the kinds of
12:27
conversations that people continue to have inside
12:29
Washington, never mind at the level
12:31
of everyday voters. Evan, you've done a
12:33
lot of reporting, of course,
12:35
inside Biden's White House. Do you
12:37
think that, you know, behind closed
12:39
doors without any of us, pesky,
12:41
you know, journalist president said
12:43
that was their version of
12:46
it? No, I think they—you know, you sort of
12:48
put yourself in their shoes for a second. The
12:50
short answer to your question, Susan, is no. They
12:52
are not secretly strategizing about how to usher him
12:54
off the stage, at least not
12:56
at this point. The effort were it to
12:58
happen would not be from within
13:00
the White House. Look, there is an
13:02
inherent dynamic, which is that the people
13:04
that are surrounding a president that are
13:07
most loyal and devoted to that person
13:09
are, on some level, constrained.
13:11
It's impossible for them to
13:15
come out and tell Susan Glasser or Jane
13:17
Mayer or me, you know, hey, I really
13:19
think that this is untenable. So
13:22
everything that I've been getting from people who are
13:25
in the White House and close to Biden is
13:28
that they actually think that in
13:30
the end, they are
13:33
probably able to ride out
13:35
this quite demonstrable unhappiness
13:37
among the public about his age. And
13:39
the reason partly is that they look
13:42
at Trump—and this is not just a
13:44
general Trump is bad and orange argument.
13:46
It's that Trump called Orban
13:49
the president of Turkey. It's
13:51
that Trump confused Nikki Haley with Nancy Pelosi. Blah,
13:53
blah, blah. I don't know all of these, but
13:55
that that is part of how ordinary Americans who
13:57
are not sitting in Washington talking about this. in
13:59
the way we talk about it, that's how they,
14:02
to some degree, put these two things side by
14:04
side in their minds. I mean, I have to
14:06
say, I covered Reagan when he was beginning
14:10
to lose his marvels a
14:12
little bit, and his own
14:14
aides timed him out a bit. This
14:16
is a great revelation, by the way,
14:18
folks, I can tell you, in Jane's
14:20
terrific book. I think his landslide on
14:24
Reagan's reelection and his
14:26
second term in office. They considered invoking
14:28
the 25th Amendment, but
14:31
in what you're saying, Evan, is that the
14:33
people around Biden are not saying that.
14:35
That's right. They are not saying that.
14:38
What I keep hearing is that Jill,
14:40
his wife, would be the person who was
14:42
most important in having urged him to run
14:44
for a second term. Is that really true?
14:47
Well, I think, I mean, intuitively, yes. I don't
14:49
think there's anybody that argues against that. There's
14:52
an excerpt out today of a
14:54
book about Jill that has a moment in 2022 where he
14:56
was giving this
14:58
lengthy press conference that went on and on and
15:00
on. Finally, she came down and stood in the
15:02
doorway and looked around at his aides and said,
15:05
like, who's letting him stay
15:07
out there so long? This isn't helping anybody, not
15:09
helping him. In a way, she's in
15:11
this position of being both his guardian, but then also,
15:14
if she's not the person saying don't run, then who
15:16
is? Jane, why
15:19
is it, do you think, that Trump,
15:21
as of right now with voters, is
15:23
not being judged as harshly on this
15:25
question of age and capacity due office?
15:27
Back in 2020, interestingly enough, in surveys
15:29
in the fall, Biden had the advantage on
15:31
this, that he was seen as more
15:33
capable to do the job of president,
15:35
more fit for office. There were more
15:37
people worried about Trump's lack of fitness
15:39
for office. Donald Trump, not only 77
15:42
years old, you guys pointed out already,
15:44
he is capable, as Biden is,
15:47
of making a gap at any given moment. He
15:49
thinks he doesn't know. You can't even tell whether it's
15:52
that he doesn't know them or he forgot them. Well,
15:54
I think it comes down to two things. One is
15:57
the physical appearance of the
15:59
two. Biden does seem weakened because
16:01
his, you know, I have, my
16:03
voice has gone recently. I understand
16:05
it makes somebody seem weaker and
16:08
his, you know, his diction is not
16:10
as clear as it was. And
16:13
so you can see that Trump seems, you
16:15
know, still more powerful in his physical
16:17
presentation. But really, I think equally
16:20
important, maybe even more important, is
16:22
that the two ecosystems of the press
16:25
that these two men exist in. You
16:27
have on the right, you have full-time
16:30
pro-Trump propaganda machine
16:33
delivering coverage of Trump to
16:36
his base. They are not
16:38
talking about his flip-ups. On
16:41
the Democratic side, you have mainstream
16:44
press, which focuses on,
16:47
among other things, Biden slips. You
16:49
don't see similar coverage. There's no
16:52
equal sort of fair coverage of Trump
16:54
on the right. They just promote him.
16:56
And that's not what you get surrounding
16:58
Biden. So there's
17:00
a real disequilibrium in the way these
17:02
two people are being covered. Yeah. I
17:05
think there's also probably a salience issue in the sense
17:07
that some of the things Trump
17:09
does are so
17:12
grandly, completely offensive that they sort of blot
17:14
out the son of everything else when he
17:16
talks about being a dictator, when he talks
17:19
about getting vengeance. All of this stuff becomes
17:21
more salient, to use the term that political
17:24
scientists would use when it comes to what
17:26
are you paying attention to. And
17:28
in a perverse way, as Jane says, it kind
17:31
of projects a sort of ghastly vigor. And
17:33
I think that that, in its own way...
17:35
Ghastly vigor. That is a phrase
17:37
I'm going to remember here. But you're right.
17:39
The hierarchy of crises
17:41
that Trump forces us to confront
17:43
in that hierarchy of crises, his
17:47
age and capacity is
17:49
often subsumed by his
17:51
dictatorial aspirations, if you will. Yeah,
17:53
and look at his record. He's never
17:55
told the truth. Right. Exactly.
17:58
So which part of it is... Facts are... not
18:00
his specialty. So,
18:02
I'll turn it into facts. Right. So,
18:05
who knows if he ever knew that Victor Orban was
18:07
not the same person? You know, it's interesting. I mean,
18:09
this is part of the... One of the things that's
18:11
been running through this is that ever since Biden came
18:13
out and confused the president
18:16
of Egypt for Mexico, that everybody's been posting
18:18
examples of this, I mean, on the other
18:20
side. I mean, as an example, in the
18:22
segment that followed on Fox News
18:24
immediately afterwards about this very topic,
18:27
the Fox News host called the governor of
18:29
South Dakota the governor of South Carolina. The
18:32
governor of South Carolina. And everybody, I mean, we all know, because
18:34
we're reporters, all public figures screw
18:36
up all the time. It just
18:38
becomes a matter of what you focus on.
18:40
Totally. Although I will say, and
18:42
I do think it's important, and maybe you guys disagree,
18:44
but Joe Biden
18:46
doesn't just have a communications problem
18:48
or a media problem or a
18:51
coverage problem. And he
18:53
got very prickly in his news conference with
18:55
reporters. In fact, he suggested that was somehow
18:57
all just a figment of their sort of
18:59
imagination. Joe
19:02
Biden actually does have an age problem.
19:04
He is the oldest president in American
19:06
history. He is asking the American people to send
19:08
him back to office until he is 86 years old.
19:12
And I think the concerns of the voters,
19:14
it would be a mistake politically to
19:17
dismiss them as some figment of
19:19
the media's imagination or as something
19:21
that is not legitimate. At
19:24
least that's my perspective. So the Democrats are going to
19:26
be stuck having to just embrace this. I
19:29
saw a potential lawn sign
19:31
that already said Biden, and
19:33
underneath it it said a
19:36
well-meaning elderly man. Already?
19:39
Wow. Well, thank God for the
19:41
internet. No, I think you're right. I mean, look,
19:43
this is going to be age equals wisdom. That's
19:45
the Democratic Party strategy. That's what they do. All
19:48
right. Well, listen, we'll take a quick
19:50
break. And when we come back, we're
19:53
going to talk about another 81-year-old who
19:55
had a really bad week in Washington.
20:08
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21:16
On this week's
21:18
On The Media, for years, Big
21:21
Tech has made promises to news
21:23
outlets of a more profitable business
21:25
model. For the
21:27
pivot to video, every news organization
21:29
is desperate for the next thing,
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anything that might provide future revenue
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streams. That's a serious danger, and
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I think it's returning with AI. Journalism
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in an AI world. On
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the next On The Media
21:42
from WNYC. Find
21:44
On The Media wherever you get your
21:46
podcasts. So
21:50
we've talked about President Biden and
21:53
a real challenge for
21:55
his re-election, but also for his leadership
21:57
here in Washington for the rest of
21:59
the day. the year. He is the president
22:01
right now. Up
22:03
on Capitol Hill, it was a
22:05
pretty tough week for both Republican
22:07
leaders, Mitch McConnell in the Senate.
22:10
Mike Johnson in the House is barely hanging
22:12
on since he became a very unlikely speaker.
22:14
But let's talk about Mitch McConnell.
22:17
The Mitch McConnell era in American politics has
22:19
had a very long run. He's the, in
22:22
fact, as of last
22:24
year, the longest-serving party leader
22:27
in Senate history. I
22:29
felt like this week was the week we watched
22:31
his kind of power and his
22:33
holdover Senate Republicans evaporate in
22:36
real time. What do you make
22:38
of that? Well, absolutely. I mean,
22:40
you've actually got people now in
22:43
his Republican caucus who are describing
22:45
his leadership as a disaster because
22:47
of what happened with a major
22:49
bill that was going to combine
22:52
aid for Israel, for Ukraine, and
22:54
the border. The Republicans maneuvered themselves
22:56
into a position where they were
22:58
voting against their own bill on this.
23:00
They're blaming McConnell, but actually it was not
23:03
his fault, basically, in this particular
23:05
case. But he is the leader, and
23:07
the leader gets the blame. He's got
23:09
a number of young bucks
23:15
in his caucus who are
23:17
to his right and calling for him
23:19
to step down or
23:21
be replaced. And they include people
23:23
like Mike Lee, Ted
23:26
Cruz, J.D. Vance.
23:28
I mean, these are people who ...
23:31
Josh Hawley. Josh Hawley. They see
23:34
their names in that leadership position.
23:37
So, Evan, is it about the far-right
23:39
challenging Mitch McConnell, or is it
23:42
about Donald Trump challenging McConnell and
23:44
using those ambitious sorts like
23:46
Josh Hawley as his proxies? Yeah.
23:49
I think on some level, if we're going to put this
23:51
in the sort of octave of Greek myth, you have these
23:53
two giant fatherly figures
23:55
competing for loyalty, and you have, for
23:57
a long time, Mitch McConnell. McConnell had
23:59
enough influence and clout that people would
24:02
kind of line up with him. And
24:04
now here is Trump coming along. And
24:06
the two of them, after all, let's
24:08
remember, have been essentially enemies.
24:11
There was the fateful moment
24:13
when Mitch McConnell did
24:16
not cast a vote for impeachment after
24:18
the January 6th insurrection,
24:21
but did heap criticism
24:23
on Trump called him practically and
24:27
morally responsible for
24:30
provoking the events of
24:32
the day. No question
24:35
about it. And said that this would be
24:37
something for the criminal justice system to sort
24:39
out. And for a long time, McConnell's own
24:42
record and clout within Congress
24:44
was able to keep his
24:46
view of things dominant.
24:48
And I think at this point, the truth is that
24:50
because of the things we're going to talk about, he
24:53
has just slipped away, sort
24:55
of ebbed away over the course of the
24:57
last two years. And it's now reaching
24:59
the point where it's still quite part out loud. Well,
25:01
so Jane, can I talk a little bit about
25:04
McConnell's sort of trajectory over the last couple of
25:06
years? I mean, one thing
25:08
is simply not just that he's his
25:10
age, but he really has, he's slipped
25:12
in an actual sense. He slipped in
25:15
Felly a year ago and he's been
25:17
visibly diminish since then. He had those
25:19
two moments of sort of public brain
25:21
freeze in the wake of his fall
25:24
and concussion. He just sort
25:26
of seems like a guy who's on the brink of
25:28
retirement. Well, he seems absolutely
25:30
impaired in front of full view.
25:33
And you have to wonder if the
25:35
camera caught him during these moments when he
25:38
was doing press conferences, were there other moments
25:40
like this? And what I hear is that
25:42
behind his back, there's a huge maneuvering to
25:44
take his place, basically. He
25:47
is seen as weak after having been
25:49
the master of the Senate in his
25:51
time and his time seems to be
25:53
passing by him. I mean, I just
25:56
think that it's been a fascinating
25:59
story. as you
26:01
say, Evan, of these two men,
26:03
Trump and McConnell. And
26:05
that McConnell has hoped to
26:07
be, he's trying to work on his legacy. He
26:09
wants to be seen as the
26:12
master of the Senate, and he wants to
26:14
be seen as the person who remade the
26:17
judiciary and the Supreme Court. But in fact,
26:19
I think what history will remember him for
26:21
is enabling Donald Trump because he
26:23
had the power to confront
26:25
him at any number of
26:28
times, and he failed
26:30
to do that. He may have made a
26:32
few speeches, but twice he voted to
26:34
acquit him in impeachment. And even more
26:36
than that, I think if you go back and
26:38
you look at the record, one of the most
26:40
interesting things is the single thing that
26:42
McConnell says the most important thing he did
26:45
in his career was hold open
26:47
the Supreme Court seat in 2016 that
26:49
by right and by law that
26:54
Obama should have been able to fail,
26:56
and he had nominated Merrick Garland. But
26:58
what McConnell did was he obstructed that
27:00
nomination, held open that seat,
27:03
which many people think is
27:05
the key thing that helped
27:08
elect Trump. And so he helped
27:10
get Trump into the White House
27:12
by the way that he basically
27:15
obstructed the normal process of government.
27:17
He likes to be seen as
27:20
an institutionalist. This was not an
27:22
institutionalist move, and that helped get Trump
27:24
elected. And so he kind of paved
27:26
the way for all of this. Absolutely
27:29
did. Look, Jane, I think you
27:31
put it perfectly that in a sense,
27:33
Mitch McConnell made the choice to enable Donald
27:36
Trump. That was his grand strategy. And the question
27:38
has always been sort of why would he do
27:40
that, considering how much he loathes this guy? And
27:42
the reason is that Mitch
27:44
McConnell's primary motive, his dominant calculus,
27:46
was always what is the best
27:48
for my party? Trump will
27:50
deliver partisan power, raw partisan
27:53
power. And if that means putting Donald Trump in power
27:55
and enabling him to stay there and do everything he
27:57
wants, then I will do that. seeing
28:00
now is that he's running up against
28:02
a cohort within his party who does
28:04
not have the same theory, which is
28:06
to say they are more than happy
28:08
to be cannibalistic. They will go after
28:10
their own. They will go after other
28:12
fellow Republicans. You saw this first on
28:14
the House side, but now also within
28:16
the Senate Republicans that the people we've
28:18
been talking about, like Ted Cruz, like
28:20
Josh Hawley, that they really come from
28:22
a generation in which they are Republican
28:24
second and they are for themselves and
28:26
their cohort first. I would say I think
28:28
there's a lot of themes to pick up on here
28:31
and certainly the sort of you might call it the
28:33
House GOPization of the
28:35
Senate. GOP is an aspect
28:37
of that, the Trumpification overall
28:40
of the Republican Party is an aspect of
28:42
it. But also to Jane's point, it's
28:44
about this man and it's about a
28:46
generational change that is taking place. Mitch
28:49
McConnell, in defining himself as
28:51
a master of the Senate, of course,
28:53
that's the title of Robert Caro's amazing
28:55
book about Lyndon Johnson, a previous era's
28:57
master of the Senate. McConnell wanted
29:00
power, but he wanted power towards
29:02
certain ends. McConnell wanted to get
29:05
things passed, it seems
29:07
to me, and take credit for
29:09
them and have power and remake
29:11
America in the conservative image that
29:13
he wanted. Whereas this new generation,
29:16
it's about performative politics, it's about
29:18
taking votes that benefit them politically
29:20
but don't necessarily produce legislation. What
29:22
takes us back to this disaster
29:24
actually of this week, where they
29:27
demanded a deal on
29:29
the border as the price for
29:31
Ukraine aid. Ukraine aid was the
29:33
primary goal of Mitch McConnell in
29:36
this final kind of months or
29:38
years of his term. And
29:40
yet when the deal was then on
29:42
offer by Democrats, they made a deal,
29:44
they said, no, we don't want that.
29:46
They'd rather have an issue for television,
29:48
for the voters, for the ballot box.
29:50
To me, that's an important part of
29:52
the transition and why Mitch McConnell doesn't
29:55
feel like the man of
29:57
the moment anymore. I'm
30:00
not sure that I completely
30:02
agree that he is about
30:04
things that are larger than
30:06
his own power and the party's power. I
30:09
mean if you listen to people who've known
30:11
him for a long time, John Yarmouth
30:13
for instance, who was congressman from Louisville and
30:16
who's known McConnell from
30:18
the start, he will say, you
30:20
know, McConnell never wanted to
30:23
do anything, he just wanted
30:25
to be someone. There is
30:27
a very cynical aspect of
30:29
McConnell. I mean he uses these issues,
30:31
you're right, he passes legislation,
30:34
he passes things like the
30:36
huge tax bill for during
30:38
the Trump administration, but it's
30:40
instrumental. It's because that
30:43
then brings in the money from Wall
30:45
Street which helps the Republican Party get
30:47
reelected. It's about power with McConnell. Right,
30:49
but Jane, I think that's, I
30:52
agree with that. The point about the
30:54
generational change is that people like Joe
30:57
Biden and Mitch McConnell believed
30:59
you had to get something done in order to
31:01
obtain power, that that was what voters wanted
31:04
you to do. We've
31:06
reached a new era it seems to
31:08
me where they've just gotten rid of
31:10
that part of the deal altogether. So
31:12
it's about the change in power politics
31:15
in Washington that a new generation says,
31:17
screw it, it's too much trouble.
31:19
And in fact it might be a liability for us
31:21
to work at all ever with the
31:23
other party. In fact they would
31:26
say that obstruction is a far
31:28
greater virtue than passing conservative law.
31:31
Honestly though, nobody was a bigger
31:33
obstructor than McConnell for years, you
31:35
know, and so in a way what I think
31:37
is going on is that McConnell's
31:40
superpower for many years has been
31:43
his shamelessness. You could not
31:45
shame this man. He can
31:47
be as hypocritical as he
31:49
was about the Supreme Court nominees and,
31:51
you know, saying that it was too
31:53
close to an election in the case
31:56
of Merrick Garland and then jamming in
31:58
Amy Coney Barrett days before. the
32:00
next election. He didn't care. You
32:02
could not shame this man. And I
32:04
think that gave him a lot of
32:06
power. But what's happened, I think this
32:08
young generation you're talking about, they're even
32:10
more shameless than he is. And
32:14
so they're out, you know, synthesizing
32:16
it. I don't want to cut
32:19
to the end here, but I have to
32:21
say that is the core fact of what's
32:23
going on, is that Mitch McConnell innovated a
32:25
form of political technology, and now this young
32:27
generation has taken it from his hands and
32:30
now they are beating him with it. Well,
32:32
I think that's a very important insight.
32:34
It's also the other part, there's a
32:37
very interesting debate. We started with this
32:40
in the McConnell conversation. I think it's very important to
32:42
come back to this, this almost
32:44
iconic moment of
32:47
the party not letting go of Donald
32:50
Trump after January 6 and in
32:52
his second impeachment trial. And everything is
32:54
sort of teetering on the nice edge
32:57
there. What will McConnell do? Everyone
32:59
knows at this point, his relationship
33:02
is ruptured, is broken with Donald Trump, because
33:04
people forget they think, oh, well, he hasn't
33:06
talked to Donald Trump since January
33:08
6. He actually hasn't talked to Donald Trump
33:11
since December of
33:14
2020, when Mitch McConnell
33:16
went to the Senate floor after
33:18
December 14. That was the date
33:20
by which the electoral college, each
33:22
state had to certify its results.
33:24
They all did that as per
33:26
the law, and as per our
33:28
history, Mitch McConnell went to the
33:30
Senate floor and he congratulated Joe
33:32
Biden. He said he's the winner.
33:35
The electoral college has
33:37
spoken. So
33:40
today I want to congratulate President-elect Joe
33:42
Biden. The president-elect is
33:44
no stranger to the Senate. He's
33:47
devoted himself to public service for many
33:49
years. And Donald Trump went
33:52
ripshit about that. I think I can say
33:54
that on our air per our opening conversation.
33:56
And that's the last time that they spoke.
33:58
So I think that's it. important to remind
34:01
people, but had the Senate convicted Donald
34:03
Trump after he left office for
34:06
his role in seeking to overturn the
34:08
2020 election, a conviction also would have
34:10
made this whole 2024 nightmare. It
34:14
would not have happened. You know,
34:16
there's reliable reporting that we did for
34:18
the divider that others have done this,
34:20
it suggests that Mitch McConnell certainly was
34:22
open to doing that. The
34:25
key is that he couldn't bring along,
34:27
he didn't believe he could. And that's
34:29
the really interesting debate. He didn't believe
34:31
he could have brought along enough of
34:33
his Senate Republicans. That would
34:35
have exposed him for no longer being
34:37
the leader. It would have evaporated his
34:39
power. And Jane, I think it actually
34:42
proves the reliability of your thesis that
34:44
Mitch McConnell was always about Mitch
34:47
McConnell's power. He chose to stay
34:49
in power with his Senate
34:51
Republicans, not to defy them and
34:54
go for Trump's conviction. That's
34:56
what he chose. This was his profiles
34:58
encourage moment and he failed
35:01
it. He could have stood up.
35:03
He could have said, I am going to do
35:05
the right thing. He could have pushed his caucus
35:07
to the wall. Even if he'd
35:09
lost, that would have been a moral
35:11
and a political stand. And Trump could
35:13
not, you know, he
35:15
may have moved his caucus ahead,
35:17
but he's always afraid to
35:20
be in some way out of step with
35:22
his caucus because the caucus is how he
35:24
has his power. And
35:26
so he failed. John, where do you... You've
35:28
done as much work as anybody in trying
35:31
to understand the link between biography
35:34
and strategy in somebody like
35:36
McConnell. Where do you think that comes from?
35:38
I mean, I think we
35:40
all accept the point. Where do you think it
35:42
originates from? You know, I mean, he comes from
35:44
a poor background
35:46
in Kentucky and he had
35:49
polio as a child. He
35:52
believes in perseverance, but
35:54
he also has believed from the start
35:56
that you can't do anything unless you
35:59
can win. And
36:01
if you don't win, you can't make change.
36:03
And so winning is the most important thing
36:05
to him. And I interviewed so many people,
36:07
people who loved him, people who hated him.
36:10
I read his speeches, I read his, you
36:12
know, as told
36:14
to autobiography. And there's just
36:16
no principle that comes through.
36:18
There's no core conviction beyond
36:20
you have to win. And
36:23
that's what he lives for. So in
36:25
a practical sense, Evan, can
36:27
he keep on winning if Donald Trump is
36:30
once again the nominee of his party? What
36:32
does that mean in a practical sense for
36:34
Mitch McConnell? You know, I was just thinking
36:36
as Jane was talking about that, that it really is,
36:38
he was a
36:40
forerunner to everything that Trump represents, this kind
36:43
of desiccated form of victory in which it
36:45
just doesn't matter how or why, but simply
36:47
the fact that you win. There was once
36:49
a moment I remember early on when McConnell
36:52
people, people may not remember, but he started
36:54
out his career, as you guys know. He
36:57
was in favor of collective bargaining and
36:59
minimum wage. He was sort of pro
37:02
environment. He was sort of center leaning.
37:04
He was put joy. Campaign finance reform.
37:06
Yes, right? And all
37:08
of those things he abandoned along the way.
37:10
And once he was asked sort of, how could you do
37:12
this? This was supposed to be the great moment of revelation.
37:14
How could you give up these things? And he says, well,
37:17
because I wanted to win. And
37:19
in a way that there is baked
37:21
into that philosophy, a poison pill, because
37:23
at a certain point if somebody else
37:25
is willing to do even more to
37:27
win, then you're on
37:29
the challenge. So Jane, that does beg
37:31
the question, what do we think an
37:34
end game scenario for McConnell looks like
37:36
here? When they had a vote, we
37:39
should point out earlier inside the conference,
37:41
these rebels against McConnell, there were only
37:43
10 of them who actually were willing
37:45
to stand up and actually
37:48
seek to oust him as the leader. There was
37:50
a press conference by a number of them this
37:52
week after the embarrassing takedown
37:55
of the border bill compromise
37:57
that McConnell had supported until
38:00
He was forced to be against his own compromise. A
38:02
number of them, Ted Cruz, said, yeah, we
38:04
still want to get rid of McConnell. They
38:06
clearly don't have the votes yet. Do you
38:08
think in the end he will be toppled
38:10
by his conference or he will choose to
38:12
retire or step aside? Well, there's one thing
38:14
we haven't really touched on that makes
38:17
McConnell incredibly powerful and that
38:19
is money. He
38:21
sits atop a machine that
38:23
is unparalleled in pouring money
38:25
into these Senate races and
38:28
other state races. It uses
38:30
several dark money groups that
38:32
pour money into each other and
38:35
fund the Senate campaigns on
38:37
the Republican side. And
38:39
it's run by his former aides, by
38:41
Stephen Law and some of the other
38:43
people who have worked for him who
38:45
really act as his lieutenants. It's
38:48
an astonishingly powerful and well-funded
38:51
machine. So the Republican senators,
38:53
they know they need his money.
38:56
And that gives him an awful lot
38:58
of power. And it
39:00
seems impossible to me that said
39:03
that if Trump were elected president,
39:06
that McConnell would be able to stay on
39:08
as majority leader if they had the majority
39:10
in the Senate, if the Republicans did. It's
39:13
very hard for me to imagine or as
39:15
minority leader either. I mean, he's
39:18
now at such loggerheads with Trump. It's
39:20
kind of untenable. Danielle
39:23
Pletka Untenable, Evan. And yet nonetheless, might continue a
39:25
little bit longer. What do you think? Evan
39:27
Brand You know, I sort of am thinking
39:29
about what I've been picking up in terms
39:32
of his relationship with the Biden
39:34
administration, which has been kind of a... In
39:37
some ways, there's a natural way
39:39
in which that whole form
39:42
of interaction of dealmaking
39:44
is dying right now. Truth
39:47
is that McConnell and Biden, in the
39:49
end, for all of their policy disagreements,
39:51
which are profound, do
39:53
basically trust each other. And there's this
39:56
moment when Biden was leaving the vice
39:58
presidency when McConnell gave this kind of
40:01
speech, this ode to this idea of
40:03
a guy who would do
40:05
what he says. Obviously, I don't always
40:07
agree with him, but I do trust him implicitly.
40:11
He doesn't break his word. He
40:13
doesn't waste time telling me why I'm wrong. He
40:16
gets down to brass tacks, and
40:19
he keeps in sight the
40:21
stakes. And even up until the very present
40:24
day, McConnell would call over
40:26
to the White House and the two of
40:29
these old, what was it, well-meaning, I'm not
40:31
sure I'm willing to apply that all together,
40:33
but... Right. Elderly men.
40:35
Elderly gentlemen. Elderly men. The
40:38
two of them would kind of hash things
40:40
out. And in a way, that whole concept
40:42
has just sunk
40:45
and disappeared into the swamp. I think they
40:47
have... You know, I have to say, I
40:49
once heard Biden
40:52
tell a story about McConnell and
40:54
about their negotiations together, and there's a sort
40:57
of a humorous appreciation.
40:59
But nonetheless, what Biden said
41:01
was that after hashing things
41:03
out with McConnell, McConnell turned to him
41:05
and said, you must be mistaking me
41:08
for someone who gives a shit. And...
41:11
Well, listen, practical politicians of the
41:13
old school don't get stuck on
41:15
sentimentality. And I think, you
41:18
know, this brings this conversation full circle.
41:20
This is a story about two
41:23
octogenarians and how long they'll
41:25
be with us in our
41:27
politics. What a week. Some
41:29
weeks are slow. Some weeks are a whole
41:32
year's worth of news. This was definitely one
41:35
of them. Evan, Shane, thank you so much.
41:37
Great to be with you, Burt. Always a pleasure. Great
41:40
to be with you. This
41:46
has been the political scene from The New
41:48
Yorker. I'm Susan Glasser. We
41:50
have production assistants today from Alex
41:52
Delia, Dan Richards and Stephanie Karaoke.
41:55
Stephen Valentino is our executive producer and
41:57
Conde Nast, head of global audio. is
42:00
Chris Bannon. Our theme music is by
42:02
Alison Leighton Brown. We'll be back next
42:04
week. Thank you so much for listening. Award-winning
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