Episode Transcript
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0:05
Millions of voters across 16 states
0:07
and American Samoa cast their ballots
0:09
in the Super Tuesday primary yesterday.
0:12
The results were pretty much what we expected.
0:15
But as New Yorker staff writer Ben Wallace-Wells points
0:17
out, there are a few important things
0:19
to watch as primary season wraps up. First
0:22
I'll talk to him, and then to Antonia Hitchens,
0:24
who had a front row seat to Mar-a-Lago's election
0:26
night watch party. You're
0:29
listening to The Political Scene. I'm
0:31
Tyler Foggett and I'm a senior editor at The New Yorker.
0:41
So Ben, there was a lot of talk
0:43
going into the primaries last night about how
0:45
this year's Super Tuesday wasn't actually that super.
0:48
There were some interesting down-ballot races, but
0:50
if anything, when it came to the
0:53
presidential primaries, it seemed like this was
0:55
just going to be confirming some inevitabilities.
0:58
And so I'm wondering, what were the most significant
1:00
things that happened last night? I
1:03
think the most significant thing is we
1:05
can now see the next eight months
1:07
of presidential race clearly. Donald
1:10
Trump is going to be the Republican nominee. Nikki
1:13
Haley has now suspended her campaign.
1:16
And Joe Biden will be the Democratic
1:18
nominee. And Donald Trump
1:20
is leading Joe Biden. Just
1:23
about every poll that you look at
1:26
has the Republican slightly
1:28
ahead. So
1:31
there are other races
1:33
to discuss and other dynamics, but
1:36
I think the top line coming
1:38
out of Super Tuesdays,
1:40
we can see what the next eight months are
1:42
going to look like. And it is, I
1:45
think, going to be a pretty tense
1:47
run-up to the election. So
1:49
let's talk briefly about Haley real quick. As
1:52
you mentioned, as of this recording, it looks
1:54
like Nikki Haley is going to be suspending
1:57
her campaign. Trump Basically trounced
1:59
her last... Right. Oh there she did when
2:01
the Vermont Republican primary. How.
2:03
Would you characterize the effective he leaves
2:05
primary race on Donald Trump's campaign? Like
2:07
did her saying in the race for
2:09
so long have any kind of impact?
2:11
I think a lot of people had
2:13
hoped that would. I had hoped to
2:15
that there would be a you know
2:17
a kind of. Biggest. Group
2:19
of republicans who are skeptical of Trump
2:22
cuckoo. Maybe it's geared to can have
2:24
an older version of the party, but
2:26
I think when we look back it's
2:28
It's hard to see of a big
2:30
effect in. Oh hell, He was not
2:32
a bad candidate. But. Her.
2:35
Line against Donald Trump was with us
2:37
and meet she said you know he's
2:39
chaotic again and again at which is
2:42
certainly true but she didn't really go
2:44
after him on on January six and
2:46
to go have a sharply critical line
2:48
up against him see like a lot
2:50
of the other Oh candidates who who
2:52
dropped out before her I think was
2:54
difference to the polls and and looking
2:56
at a party where you know the
2:58
bulk of the electorate in a was
3:00
enthusiastic about Donald Trump thought the Twenty
3:02
Twenty election had been stolen. One of
3:04
the country to move in. In a
3:06
deeply concerned this direction and was
3:08
fundamentally kind of unwilling to go
3:10
up against. That vision of
3:12
the republican base or present a sort
3:15
of strongly contrasting vision and in I
3:17
think she sort of fits in with
3:19
a lot of other republican. So the
3:22
last five years you know Mitch Mcconnell,
3:24
I'm in or on down of who
3:26
have suitors, you know, Understood
3:29
some of what was dangerous about Trump
3:31
and even at times sort of stood
3:33
up to him but to sort of
3:36
fundamentally been unable or unwilling or some
3:38
overlap of the to to make a
3:40
really strong anti Trump case. So I
3:42
think we can take from how his
3:44
campaign that there is some part of
3:47
the republican foul electorate that is still
3:49
ah uncomfortable what Trump? But I think
3:51
we can also take that. You know
3:53
maybe it's a little smaller than than
3:55
than we might have thought and you
3:57
know maybe it's a little. Bit. The
4:00
last antagonistic towards drunk then and we
4:02
might have assumed so era is. She
4:04
has said that she's only suspending her
4:06
campaign stuck in a endorse Trump Am.
4:09
Presumably that just sort of means that
4:11
she's trying to weed out at some
4:13
of the trials, though I think that's
4:15
that's a little bit of a fool's
4:17
errand and see a fair. His candidacy
4:19
sort of collapses on it's own by,
4:22
and you know it, I don't think
4:24
in the end this is a very
4:26
impactful campaign. Cel. Moving
4:29
to the Democrats. Would. You say
4:31
that Biden had a good night? I know
4:33
that he's running unopposed. basically cel. Maybe it's
4:35
a weird question, but it's also starting to
4:37
seem like things might not be that straightforward.
4:39
For him as definitely. definitely beginning
4:41
to see my things might not
4:43
be there. Sea Ford for him
4:45
and I don't think last night
4:47
was was terrible for him. You
4:50
know there was a did the
4:52
kind of alternative to Biden basically
4:54
a voters voting uncommitted and which
4:56
is something that does often happen
4:58
in campaigns you know Barack Obama
5:00
had some uncommitted votes against him
5:02
in Twenty Twelve and in in
5:04
Michigan which was something that in
5:06
an era as the think a
5:08
lot. Of people have been I've been
5:10
watching. A week ago, there was a
5:12
sizable uncommitted vote. I think it ended
5:14
up over ten percent below twenty. One
5:17
hundred thousand primary. Years ago not
5:20
not a small number of people am
5:22
of is a very large Arab American
5:24
community and in in Michigan of to
5:27
the Palestinian America and and you know
5:29
and that that book was spears a
5:31
lot of sad organization to to try
5:33
to vote on committed against by as
5:36
a protest against Israel Gaza war of
5:38
an anti in support of Israel in
5:40
that were am in Minnesota last night
5:43
the results are such similarly sizable though
5:45
I do think that that is a
5:47
narrow issue for Biden. That you know
5:49
he will have to deal with to be
5:52
sexy months. How do you think
5:54
he's actually gonna deal with that because he sees
5:56
uncommitted delegates go to the convention? But they're. Only
5:58
gonna be a handful of them. compared to
6:00
all of the delegates who were
6:03
for Biden. And so how do
6:05
you see the uncommitted movement actually
6:08
affecting his campaign and his messaging going forward? Like
6:10
how much does he actually need to pay attention
6:12
to it? I don't know
6:14
that the uncommitted movement is
6:17
something that will cause him
6:19
big practical problems at the convention.
6:22
I do think the fact that many voters who
6:24
in 2020 were in his
6:26
base on a number of issues across
6:29
a range of demographic categories now
6:32
view him skeptically or negatively as a
6:34
huge issue for him. He eked down
6:36
a win over Trump in 2020 with
6:39
an approval rating in the mid-50s. Now
6:42
his approval rating is in the high 30s. It's
6:44
an extraordinary number of Americans who
6:47
used to say they thought highly of President
6:49
Biden and now say they don't, not
6:51
to throw a ton of polling data at
6:53
you here, but among voters under
6:55
30, which I think is correctly
6:57
seen as being one place where there's
7:00
some sympathy for the Palestinian
7:03
sort of position. Biden
7:05
won last time in 2020 by something like 25
7:07
points. Big Fox
7:09
News poll a couple days ago had
7:12
him trailing Trump among voters under 30.
7:15
That's not because a ton of 26-year-olds have said, you
7:19
know what, I'm done with liberalism. I'm all
7:21
in for Trump. It's because a lot
7:23
of those voters who a few years
7:25
ago would have said Biden's my guy are now
7:27
saying, pretty
7:30
disinterested in this whole thing. I don't see
7:32
anybody who's speaking to me. I may just
7:34
sit this one out, not to
7:36
layer too much on here, but, you know, among
7:38
women, you know, he won by 10 points
7:40
last time. Now it's about even. Among Latino
7:43
voters, same deal. The women thing
7:45
seems impossible to me. Like, I saw that. Was that the
7:47
New York Times poll? Yeah. I was just, I saw that
7:49
and was kind of like, really? I
7:52
guess that's a larger question about all the different polls
7:54
and what they show and whether we can trust them.
7:56
I mean, I think we all still have PTSD over
7:58
the New York Times election needle. From
8:00
Honey Sixteen. Only the you
8:02
know good questions and in a will
8:04
see what happens going forward. but I'm.
8:07
Every poll we've seen ah
8:09
for many months now has
8:11
picked up just a general
8:13
decay in biden support and
8:15
that you know I thirties
8:17
approval rating is really bad
8:19
and and that is going
8:22
that and not just come
8:24
from like a whole lot
8:26
of white men pretty against
8:28
him. It's gonna come from
8:30
you know, people in voting
8:32
groups that he used to
8:34
win comfortably. Sayings: Perino.
8:37
Said that I'd like to talk more about the
8:40
general election and also dive into some political issues
8:42
that you been tracking. That's first organic a quick
8:44
break. Your
8:48
him of a political scene and a New Yorker and
8:50
just a moment. If
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you been enjoying the show please us a rating
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9:03
Three. Two One political break down
9:05
as a daily politics podcast from
9:07
Cake You Medium San Francisco the
9:09
goes deep into the issues you
9:11
care about. I'm sketch shape and.
9:13
Emirates, Alive as flipped. Twenty's plenty for
9:15
is gonna get. We are. and who
9:17
decides when there's been an insurrection or
9:19
not, we're still under innovation face of
9:21
Ai. And that is what you see.
9:23
that they're not actually being equitable and
9:25
try to build a utopia where we
9:27
can all use drugs happily together. But
9:29
whatever happens this election year, the Kid
9:31
Cudi Politics Team is in this with
9:33
you. Political breakdown. Find it wherever you
9:35
listen to podcasts. So.
9:39
Then we've talked a bit on the
9:41
shell about the potential impact it's third
9:43
party candidates on as primarily Trump vs.
9:45
Biden general Election. It looks like He
9:47
Lee has ruled out a third party
9:49
run, but I'm wondering if there's anyone
9:51
else, so you could see complicating the
9:53
race in some kind of significant way.
9:57
That the margins are so small, so
9:59
tight. between how voters think
10:01
about Democrats and Republicans, and even between
10:03
Trump and Biden right now, that
10:06
almost any third party run
10:08
might complicate things. So,
10:11
there are polls right now that have Robert Kennedy
10:13
up over 10%, 14%. Do
10:17
I think that that will hold through
10:19
November? I'd be really surprised, but if
10:21
he's able to get on the ballot
10:23
in enough places, Ralph
10:25
Nader plausibly through the election to George
10:27
Bush in 2000, we're
10:29
in a place where it doesn't take a lot. I
10:33
have not heard, I do not see any
10:36
major political figure stepping in
10:39
as a third party candidate right now. There's
10:42
a lot of talk for a while about Joe
10:44
Manchin. He also recently rolled out a third party
10:47
run with Cheney who had been discussed earlier, has
10:49
not emerged as a presidential
10:51
candidate. It just doesn't take much.
10:53
We're like right on the line here. And
10:56
there's a huge amount of discontent with
10:58
both candidates. Does this
11:01
feel like a place where protest
11:03
votes, low voter turnout? Might
11:05
drive the outcome of the election, absolutely. For
11:09
reasons that are sometimes hard to
11:11
fully comprehend, it seems a very
11:13
cynical electorate and a very close
11:16
race and so short of third
11:18
party candidate could absolutely make a difference. But
11:20
I don't think it's like, I
11:23
don't think there's somebody out there who's gonna win the
11:25
election, who's gonna step into the ring.
11:27
I think it's more a question of do 50,000 votes
11:30
and in a couple of really pivotal states go
11:33
to somebody who's not Biden or Trump. And I think
11:35
there's absolutely a possibility in that. So
11:38
primary voters cast their ballots in
11:40
Texas yesterday, which has obviously become
11:42
the center of a larger political
11:45
debate over immigration. Both
11:47
Trump and Biden recently visited border towns
11:49
there after Congress failed to pass immigration
11:51
reform. Where do you think that the Biden
11:53
campaign needs to go in order to go toe
11:56
to toe with Republicans on immigration? And
11:58
do they even wanna go toe to toe on
12:00
immigration. Yeah, I mean, I think
12:02
it's, you know, it's still primarily a base
12:04
issue for Republicans. I think that it's something
12:06
that, you know, Biden would, would primarily not
12:08
want to talk about. But I think
12:10
the reason it's been effective in this campaign is that the
12:13
Republicans have been able to say, you know,
12:15
look, this is chaos in the same
12:17
way that they were able to look
12:20
at is to draw people's attention to
12:22
the pullout from Afghanistan and say, look,
12:24
there's chaos here. You know,
12:26
Biden is, you know, very old. The vast
12:28
majority of Americans think he's too old to
12:30
be president. And you know,
12:33
the Republican line has not just been, we've
12:36
got to change policy, build
12:38
more fencing and walls and deploy
12:40
more, more military, though they have
12:42
said that, you know, it's
12:44
been that Biden can't handle this. And
12:47
so, you know, there is an element of
12:49
Biden sort of trying to run to the
12:51
center, the immigration package he was pushing
12:53
towards before Trump encouraged Republicans to
12:56
torpedo it was much
12:58
more pro enforcement than the administration's
13:01
policy had been earlier. But
13:04
I think the deeper problem for him is
13:06
just being able to reassure Americans
13:08
that things are not out of
13:10
control, that he has a handle
13:12
on what is happening, that if
13:14
he says we want fewer people
13:16
coming across the border, he can
13:19
actually achieve that. I see. I
13:21
mean, that actually explains things a bit, like that
13:23
it's more a show of competency than anything, just
13:26
because I feel like, you know, we were talking
13:28
about the uncommitted voters earlier, and obviously,
13:30
a lot of them are progressive and
13:32
they are voting uncommitted because they're concerned
13:35
about Israel. And it
13:37
seems like going hard on
13:39
immigration would risk further alienating
13:41
the same people who are
13:43
concerned about US support for Israel
13:45
and its war against Hamas. Yeah, I think
13:48
that's right. I mean, there's another element here,
13:50
which is through his whole presidency,
13:52
it seems like Biden is fighting
13:54
through a kind of reputational sludge,
13:56
you know, like you can look
13:59
at the And you can say
14:01
like this is like like working pretty
14:03
well like inequalities down, you know, the
14:05
economy is booming and yet You know
14:07
over the last few months the economy
14:09
has has really looks quite strong In
14:12
a very encouraging way and yet it
14:14
hasn't budged by these poll numbers
14:16
upwards a bit In fact, they're kind
14:18
of getting worse And so
14:20
you look at that and you say like what
14:22
is in the background here? And the thing that
14:25
voters keep saying and this is people who are
14:27
attentive to politics and people who are totally inattentive
14:29
to politics Is the guys
14:31
too old and to me when I
14:33
talk to voters what I really
14:35
hear them Saying is like I
14:37
don't choose them to solve problems if
14:40
the data says, you know,
14:42
the economy is getting better I don't
14:44
believe that that's Biden who's responsible when
14:46
I look at Images from
14:49
the border and I I think that
14:51
looks out of control I think
14:53
that must have something to do with the fact that
14:55
the guy at the top is over 80 years old
14:58
And so I do think that
15:00
there are obvious sort of policy
15:02
or ideological dimensions to the immigration
15:05
issue as there are to all of these issues
15:07
a Fundamental thing
15:09
that I think Biden has really struggled
15:11
to impress upon voters Is
15:13
that when good things are happening in
15:16
the country? He's responsible for them and
15:18
when bad things are happening in the
15:20
country. He's not responsible for them Well,
15:23
that's a great segue into this next question
15:25
So the State of the Union is tomorrow and
15:28
I'm wondering what you think Biden
15:30
needs to do in that address aside from
15:32
put on a Ronald Reagan like, you know
15:34
performance and show of charisma and vitality
15:37
despite being old That
15:39
would be quite a turn, you know Look, I
15:41
think that things are shifting a little bit in
15:44
the presidential race The Trump
15:46
campaign has been very effective at keeping
15:48
Trump basically off stage, you know for
15:50
most of this election He didn't participate
15:52
in any of the debates. He hasn't
15:54
done a ton of big events. He
15:56
is on Truth Social which like nobody
15:59
can read. The you know rather
16:01
than twitter right way where the audience would
16:03
be bigger. And you know. People
16:05
don't like Trump any more than they
16:07
did before the Twenty Twenty elections. It
16:10
just like Biden a lot less last
16:12
night of Mara Lago Trump. Guess up
16:14
there and give you know. The kind
16:16
of species been giving to small audiences
16:19
for the last year was is to
16:21
say it sounds kind of crazy. You
16:23
know he says America's becoming a third
16:25
world country. He rants about the cases
16:28
against him. You know it's pretty meandering.
16:30
He goes home sister reminder that you
16:32
know there is another bad candidate in
16:35
this race. For biden to draw
16:37
people's attention to the so you know
16:39
I think that what the Biden White
16:41
House would love to do is brag
16:44
about the economic success of to me
16:46
you know people either see the economy
16:48
as working for them or they won't
16:50
What he's really gotta do in this
16:53
in this in this address and in
16:55
this next season container thing is remind
16:57
people you know what a threat Donald
17:00
Trump poses why he would be worse
17:02
president them by and just given a
17:04
like clear sense. Of the contest and
17:06
the steaks and this a lesson and
17:08
you can say man that that sounds
17:10
a lot like what Hillary Clinton tried
17:12
to do. and twenty sixteen sounds like
17:15
what Biden did. and Twenty twenty but
17:17
it's probably the best play that the
17:19
democrats have. It's a thing this work
17:21
for them and in in mid term
17:23
elections and last time around and you
17:25
know people still really don't like Donald
17:27
Trump and you know many of them
17:29
are pretty scared of him. And to
17:31
remind voters who am I think Biden
17:33
has gone into hard for Israel. and
17:35
the war but also is really worried
17:38
about you know reproductive rights exactly what
17:40
is it at at seek in in
17:42
the celestial act exactly the way that
17:45
republicans wanna take the country to maybe
17:47
incur some like loud booing from republicans
17:49
i don't think would be a bad
17:52
thing for for by so you know
17:54
i think what he needs to do
17:56
is be be sharpened be prickly and
17:59
not try to can being a consensus,
18:01
but point out why his version
18:03
of the Union is better than
18:06
Trump's. I wanted to ask
18:08
you about this tweet that I saw from
18:10
Kamala Harris yesterday, maybe you saw it too,
18:12
for listeners who didn't get the pleasure of coming
18:14
across it on their feeds. It
18:16
was a photo of Kamala walking across the
18:18
Edmund Pettus Bridge with texts that said, "'History
18:21
is a relay race. Generations
18:23
before us carried the baton. Now they have passed
18:25
it to us.'" As you can
18:27
imagine, this prompted a bunch of speculation that Harris
18:29
will be replacing Biden at the convention. You know,
18:32
it was the combination of the quote and the
18:34
timing of the tweet. Do you have any reason
18:36
to think that this is going to happen? I mean,
18:38
was last night that bad for Biden? No.
18:42
No, I don't. I
18:44
don't think there's any reason to think
18:46
that Harris or even really another
18:49
Democrat is so much more popular
18:51
than Biden that it is worth
18:54
for Democrats risking losing the advantage
18:56
of incumbency and risking
18:58
just the general impression of
19:00
chaos and failure that
19:02
necessarily accompanies sort of yanking
19:04
the existing president and somehow
19:06
replacing him with a different
19:09
candidate. I also think just basically
19:11
because there's been a lot of speculation about
19:13
this, politicians are,
19:16
you know, they're kind
19:18
of bent people off. You
19:20
know, they're generally pretty narcissistic.
19:24
You know, it's a weird thing to stand up in front of
19:26
a crowd of people and say, you know, I am the person
19:28
to lead you. It takes
19:30
a particular personality. Most
19:32
of them think that what they have to
19:34
offer is really unique and really
19:36
different from anybody else who might vote with
19:38
them, you know, 100 percent of the time.
19:41
And listening to their thumb speeches, and it's
19:43
often, and this is especially true with Biden,
19:45
you know, it's often very personal. It's
19:47
about how they came to their politics through childhood
19:50
experiences and, you know, differences
19:52
in young adulthood. And
19:54
you know, Ruth Bader Ginsburg,
19:56
for the good of the Democratic Party,
19:58
probably should resigned when Obama
20:00
was president. She didn't, Biden might've done
20:03
the Democrats some good if he had
20:05
said at the outset, you know,
20:07
I'm not going to run for a second
20:09
term and, you know, here's the person, whether
20:11
a terrorist or somebody else who will, there's
20:13
a case being made that Sonia Sotomayor should
20:16
step aside now and, you know, uh, wouldn't
20:18
be a bad thing for Democrats to have
20:20
a big fight over, you know, reproductive rights
20:22
in the Supreme court in the middle of
20:25
an election year. Those are probably issues that
20:27
they benefit, but they don't do it.
20:29
You know, and I think it's maybe a little
20:31
naive and somewhat against the character
20:33
of politicians to expect
20:36
them to. And, you know, in
20:38
this case in particular, every time
20:40
I've heard from a democratic operative
20:42
or elected official who's worrying over
20:44
the election says, my God,
20:46
you know, it's just, if he just wouldn't run, you know,
20:49
the question I tend to ask
20:51
them is like, well, how will that happen?
20:53
You know, who is, if he wants to
20:55
run, who is going to convince him not
20:57
to? You know, I just
20:59
think that that, that vision of like
21:01
a set of party elders who
21:04
have the power and influence to
21:06
just instruct the president of the United States what
21:08
to do, that just doesn't exist. Well,
21:13
thank you so much, Ben. I really appreciate you taking the time.
21:15
Yeah, yeah. Take care. After
21:18
the break, Antonia hitchens on what it's like
21:21
to be at Mar-a-Lago on election night. World
21:34
peace might feel kind of like a pipe dream, but
21:37
what if I told you it's not? 2024
21:40
will see more than 50 elections around the world.
21:42
And in some places, peace is actually
21:44
on the ballot. One reason is
21:46
because countries in Europe and Latin America have
21:49
been experimenting with this thing called feminist foreign
21:51
policy, because right now the way that we
21:53
wage war in peace is kind of a
21:55
boys club. The new season of
21:57
Things That Go Boom from Ink Stick Media and PRX.
22:00
is coming March 18th. Find it wherever
22:02
you get your partner. Hi,
22:06
Antonia. Thanks so much for joining me. Thanks
22:09
for having me. So you were
22:11
at Mar-a-Lago last night for Trump's victory party,
22:13
and I honestly don't know whether I envy you
22:15
or whether I pity you. I think I envy
22:18
you, honestly. But what
22:20
was the reaction to Nikki Haley winning
22:22
Vermont? Like, among the crowd there? I
22:24
don't know if the crowd even registered that, I would
22:27
say, in the ballroom at
22:29
Mar-a-Lago. It was sort of
22:31
a sanctuary where it was
22:33
almost as though Trump had
22:35
become president again already. I don't
22:37
think much attention was paid to
22:40
that small symbolic victory, even
22:43
though she sent out an email about
22:45
the historic significance of being the first
22:47
female Republican to win the state. That
22:49
was not being noted at Mar-a-Lago, for
22:52
better or worse. So what was being noted? I
22:54
mean, can you just tell me more about what you saw
22:56
and heard throughout the night, just like kind of paint
22:58
a picture? Sure. I
23:01
think in the
23:04
ballroom starting at about 4 p.m., Trump
23:06
had invited local people who support him,
23:08
and they were bused in from a
23:11
hotel nearby. And then there were also
23:13
kind of mainstays you see always at
23:15
Trump events. Marjorie Taylor Green was circulating
23:18
and taking photos and doing TV hits. We
23:20
had members of the Trump campaign kind of
23:22
senior officials coming out and talking to the
23:24
press, and the mood was sort of that
23:27
of a coronation. They
23:30
didn't want anybody to be thinking about
23:32
something that wasn't a victory for
23:34
them. And in the ballroom, for
23:36
the most part, since people were pretty sure
23:39
Trump was going to win every state, as
23:41
he won states when they were announced, there
23:43
was applause and there was cheering. But there
23:46
wasn't a lot of tension or suspense. There was
23:49
a feeling that it was kind of already in the
23:51
bag, and they were just there to
23:53
unite the party and move on and just
23:55
focus on, in their words, beating
23:57
Joe Biden in November. Did you talk to
23:59
any... anyone especially interesting?
24:03
There was a real mix. There
24:06
was Moms for Liberty, there were Bikers for Trump.
24:09
There were some, you know,
24:11
pretty unidentifiable volunteers and just
24:13
incredible Palm Beach nurses who
24:15
were drinking cocktails and eating
24:17
coconut shrimp. So it was a very,
24:21
there was a nice ambiance to the event all in all.
24:23
There's something kind of funny about an
24:26
election results party that presumably
24:28
has a decent amount of election deniers in
24:30
the room. You know, to what
24:32
extent were people talking about the idea that the
24:34
polls are rigged and even though Trump is going
24:37
to be the Republican candidate for president that he's
24:39
probably not going to win because even if he
24:41
does get more votes than Biden in the general,
24:43
those votes won't be counted. I mean, is that
24:45
something that people were talking about? Was that in
24:48
the air at all? In my
24:50
experience last night, that didn't seem to be
24:52
a concern just yet. For those who were there
24:55
who did believe in the election
24:57
results, I think there was a feeling of the
25:00
science that they wanted to move
25:02
on from 2020 and just focus
25:04
on kind of winning this
25:06
fall against Joe Biden. There wasn't yet a feeling
25:08
that was kind of conspiratorial. It's going to be
25:10
taken from us. Nothing's going to be fair. The
25:13
mood was actually, I think, one
25:16
of optimism in the former president
25:18
being able to win. It was
25:20
more when Trump himself came out to make
25:22
remarks that I think he focused much more
25:24
on the past and how it
25:26
hadn't been fair and nobody gave him
25:28
credit. It was sort of a much
25:30
darker view than perhaps there was in the
25:32
ballroom in the hours leading up to his
25:34
arrival. To what
25:37
extent were people talking about Trump's
25:39
trials and his general legal troubles
25:41
last night? Did people seem
25:43
worried about the legal cases against Trump?
25:46
No. I think the fact that it
25:48
seems unlikely any of those will be resolved by
25:51
November for them is another
25:53
thing to celebrate. They were
25:55
celebrating on Monday that
25:58
Colorado has to keep on
26:00
the ballot and there was a feeling on
26:03
Tuesday that the legal cases are something that
26:05
the left is preoccupied with but that don't
26:07
really have any meaningful impact on
26:09
what's going to happen to him. Going
26:11
back to Trump's victory speech, I mean it seems
26:14
like it was pretty somber.
26:16
I'm wondering what you think that was about. This
26:18
was an amazing, an
26:21
amazing night, an amazing day. It's
26:23
been an incredible period of time
26:25
in our country's history. I was
26:27
very surprised by the tone of
26:30
his speech. I've most recently seen him at
26:32
rallies in Iowa for example.
26:34
He did what he calls a two-hour beauty
26:37
where he just sort of risks
26:39
for two hours or more and he's smiling
26:41
and he's imitating Joe Biden not being able
26:43
to find the stairs and he really
26:45
can capture a crowd's attention in a way
26:48
that is pretty unique. It was
26:50
very different in Mar-a-Lago. It felt a
26:52
little bit more formal and stuffy
26:55
and he barely mentioned the victories
26:57
of the evening. He focused much
27:00
more on, you know, the country's
27:02
destroyed by Biden. He spoke
27:04
a lot about immigration but there wasn't
27:06
really a sense of unification and excitement
27:08
about the future that I heard from
27:11
people attending the party and, you know,
27:13
people were filtering out because they
27:15
were bored, because they were kind of
27:17
these scripted political remarks that went
27:19
on for not more than 15 minutes.
27:22
And I don't think it was the show that people
27:24
generally wait 700 hours to
27:26
see from Trump. Many people got
27:28
there at 4 p.m. and they
27:31
were waiting until 10 p.m. because they said, you
27:33
know, Trump is such an incredible presence in person
27:35
and I think last night that was a bit
27:37
of a letdown even to reporters. You
27:40
know, people were yawning and not
27:42
as captivated as they sometimes can
27:44
be. I know you're not
27:47
a psychiatrist but why
27:49
do you think Trump was acting like that last night? I mean,
27:52
do you think it has something to do with the Stormy
27:54
Daniels trials coming up later this month? I mean, what is
27:56
it that resulted in that mood from him? I
27:59
definitely wouldn't. want to psychoanalyze
28:01
Trump. We speak often about Biden's
28:03
frailty in the sense that, you
28:05
know, for example, leading up to
28:07
the State of the Union, he
28:09
has very few things on his
28:11
schedule because he's preparing for that
28:13
large event. Trump has been flying
28:15
to court, to rallies, to Mar-a-Lago.
28:18
He was over the weekend at a
28:20
puppy auction. Laura Trump was doing.
28:22
There's just a sense that you
28:24
saw him at a moment where
28:26
it felt like the road had sort of
28:28
run out. I don't think it is speaking
28:30
to a broader sense of he's become disillusioned.
28:32
I think it just, it was a mood
28:34
that perhaps was, he was saying,
28:36
I'm at home, I'm among friends, I
28:38
can speak this way. It's a rally where
28:40
he has to kind of rile people up
28:43
to feel as though, you know, we have
28:45
to take the country back. He knew he
28:47
was among supporters who perhaps he felt a
28:49
bit more comfortable with. That's fascinating that
28:51
you're able to get a front row seat to that.
28:53
You were able to see the real Trump sounds like.
28:56
Yeah, yeah. No, he walked
28:58
out and he generally likes to come over
29:00
to the press and engage
29:03
in whatever way. He feels
29:05
like, and last night he just walked
29:07
out a couple of waves, a smile
29:10
that I saw it leave his face
29:12
when he was done doing it for the camera.
29:14
And he was off
29:16
up the stairs by 10 45. And that
29:19
was that the buses were filled
29:21
with people going back home. The
29:23
event was over. I actually drove
29:25
home just behind Chris LaSivita
29:28
and Jason Miller who had told
29:30
reporters they were just totally exhausted.
29:32
So it was
29:34
a sort of poignant moment of honesty from
29:37
the campaign about we've worked really hard and
29:39
you know, we have to keep
29:41
fighting because November is a long
29:43
time away. Well,
29:47
on that inspiring note, I think we can we
29:49
can close. Thank you so
29:51
much, Antonia. I really appreciate you coming on. Thank you
29:53
so much for having me. Benjamin
29:58
Wallace Wells and Antonia. both report
30:00
on politics for the New Yorker. You
30:03
can read their latest pieces at New yorker.com. This
30:06
has been the political scene. I'm Tyler Sargett.
30:08
The show is produced by Julia Nutter with
30:11
editing from Stephanie Karauki and mixing by Mike
30:13
Kuchman. Our executive producer is
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Steven Valentino. Chris Bannon is conning
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us, head of global audio. Our theme
30:19
music is by Alison Leighton Brown. Enjoy
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your week and we'll see you next Wednesday. With
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