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0:00
Marshall and Soccer here! Welcome back
0:02
to the it. Realignments,
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Ask me Anything It Discussion Series: Sorry
0:06
for the pause last week and Cyrus
0:08
on the road and I was moving
0:10
to my new house so it was
0:13
the definition of not at high and
0:15
a the was gonna come together, but
0:17
we're to make up for it with
0:19
a great conversation here. Quick reminder: If
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you'd like to get access to the
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full version of this conversation, you go
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to Realignment.super cast.com or clicked the link
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The topic show notes: Five a month,
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fifty year, or five hundred for a
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lifetime membership. So let's jump into the.
0:33
Free section. This was originally a question
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for see was gassed Subscribers only by
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know ever wants to hear this Once
0:40
you start year soccer, your app or
0:42
vision Rao review I got a bunch
0:44
of emails about this. People want a
0:46
failure? Give us Yes People were like
0:48
the second they saw your tweets. They
0:50
are like makes soccer. Towers.
0:52
His perspective: it's your show. Go for.
0:54
Give us the for scope. That's why
0:57
I did a video with Crystal. I
0:59
actually it's funny. Ah, because today at
1:01
Friday's my day off. I probably war
1:03
it for four hours this morning. So.
1:06
You can probably even still see the the
1:08
mark on my forehead. I'm from wearing it
1:10
all got I will guys. I'm leaning and
1:13
we don't publish video. I can see the
1:15
markers or that sorry sir, it's the seal.
1:17
Ah I Friday. My thing lately has been
1:19
waking up in watching Masters of the Air
1:22
because it gets released on Fridays which is
1:24
an Apple Tv. I will tell you guys
1:26
watching Apple Tv specifically. I wish they had
1:29
been or content inside. Vision Pro is so
1:31
incredible because they have something called cinema mode
1:33
where you literally feel like you are in
1:35
the. Cinema you the you can even select
1:37
the seat they are sitting in and I
1:40
had it set as middle row and I
1:42
was sitting in my living room. Everything is
1:44
completely blacked out on watching this World War
1:46
Two you know. highly produced show. I was
1:48
absolutely incredible. Ah I see it was able
1:50
to watch Netflix or just use the browser.
1:52
Been catching up on that. It was awesome.
1:54
I can actually singed a video of you
1:56
Want Arm. of this morning us
1:58
into one of our mutual friends of me just
2:01
like watching television catching up on email I
2:03
had a calendar which I have some meetings
2:05
that are after this as well and then
2:07
I was also monitoring Twitter at the same
2:09
time so I really really enjoy it. I
2:11
know there have been some people who have been
2:14
returning it for pain reasons but honestly like here's
2:16
the thing if you were expecting to wear this
2:18
thing 12 hours a day like I don't know
2:20
who's told you this is gonna be a phone
2:22
I don't know who did not notify you that
2:25
this is not a first generation
2:27
product I use it fully aware
2:29
of that I've had 100x
2:31
experience it with
2:33
it especially on the plane I love
2:36
love wearing it on the plane but actually what I
2:38
found is I don't love it I love it a
2:41
ton on the plane I love it even more in
2:43
the airport preparing for stuff in
2:45
the airport you know this when you're just you
2:47
know on your laptop you know like hunched over
2:49
also people are looking at you and like looking
2:51
at you no no no like I'm sitting there
2:53
fully immersed I'm on a hundred and screen I
2:55
will say dude we were looking at you where
2:57
I sit in a corner I said I know
2:59
my look I'm not the guy looking to get
3:01
a video of me taking I go into a
3:03
corner and I turn my back to everyone else
3:05
and then I put it on so if they
3:07
you do happen to glance me I'm
3:10
not I'm not doing it openly in front of
3:12
everyone else I also if
3:14
any flight attendants listen to the show I
3:16
have been putting the vision Pro
3:19
on after takeoff because I'm afraid
3:21
that vision Pro qualifies like a
3:23
laptop and not a handheld device
3:26
so if any flight attendant could tell me
3:29
whether I it's like a
3:31
cell phone and you're allowed to still use it during
3:33
takeoff or not that would be very helpful because I'm
3:36
also afraid of getting told off being like Sir you
3:38
need to take that off which should just be embarrassing
3:40
so that's what I've been holding on to for now
3:43
overall I love it I absolutely love it I'm
3:45
not returning it I know there's a lot of
3:47
people who are returning it frankly those people are
3:49
just trolling for clicks or they never intended on
3:51
actually buying it in the first place I'm
3:54
not returning it especially because there's no way we're gonna
3:56
another one of these things for like two or three
3:58
years there were three years between in
4:00
Quest 3, it's gonna be a long time. And I
4:02
can tell you already, I think
4:05
V2 is gonna be insane.
4:08
My major prediction, I'm borrowing this
4:10
from Marquise Brownlee, is shared spatial
4:12
computing marshal where you
4:14
and I, not even metaverse per se, but
4:17
I mean, for example, it's a kind of
4:19
a bummer because you want to watch TV
4:21
with your partner, you're sitting there, you're watching
4:23
your television and that's fine. But you know,
4:25
you own a device, which is the greatest
4:27
TV machine literally ever invented and you can't
4:29
share it with somebody else. So if they
4:31
can drive the price down, and then you
4:34
and your share partner in the same space,
4:36
can watch something where you can physically interact
4:38
with each other, like in the real world
4:40
and in the virtual world in the same,
4:42
you know, actual place as opposed to like
4:44
a metaverse type of situation, that's going to
4:46
be just absolute insanity. And that's what
4:48
that's where I think things are heading. That's what I
4:50
do. Very interesting. So
4:53
one follow up from to the next topic.
4:55
I'm sure a lot of folks saw Mark
4:57
Zuckerberg's very well done
4:59
response video, put aside the
5:01
claims like, whoever gave Mark
5:04
Zuckerberg, not just media training, but
5:07
presentation, affect
5:10
conceptualization training to really push
5:12
back against the social network,
5:14
Eric caricature of him, remarkable
5:16
job, really well performed very hard to do it the
5:18
way he did it. His central
5:20
claim here was end of the day
5:23
for the vast majority of people, even
5:26
including some of the productivity use cases,
5:28
the quest, I
5:30
think the quest for is the one he
5:32
was talking about question three is
5:34
still a better product for much cheaper. I
5:37
think the main response I had to it
5:39
though, and I said this to you in a
5:41
group chat with our friends was look, end of the day,
5:43
the quest, the Oculus before
5:45
these have been out for years. I'm
5:48
waiting a few months before I get
5:50
a vision pro, but there's never been one
5:53
single time I've seen a quest
5:55
or an Oculus devices that are myself
5:57
man, like I'm experiencing FOMO. I'm
5:59
clearly experienced. experiencing FOMO from the Apple
6:01
Vision Pro. So like that's a basic
6:04
like execution and then like company marketing
6:06
issue that comes down
6:08
there. But then too, I think Zuck spent
6:10
too much time focusing on the video games
6:12
in terms of the difference and saying like,
6:14
look, we have all these games. They barely
6:16
have games. You could play Xbox on it.
6:19
I just don't, I think the market of
6:21
people who are looking to play games
6:23
in that style, they're already well-served,
6:25
but that's not who was actually
6:27
choosing between the Vision Pro and
6:30
the Quest 3. What's your take on the
6:32
response? Yeah, it's tough because I'm not the
6:34
bright customer to even ask. I
6:36
don't game. I don't even consider the Vision Pro. That's what I was
6:38
touching. I hear things we say, like I was shocked at how, the
6:41
only thing that I saw was being totally better
6:44
was that gaming center of experience. And I'm like,
6:46
I don't give a shit. I don't care about
6:48
gaming. That's why, by the way, I never even
6:50
considered Quest 3 because everybody I know has a
6:52
Quest 3 is a gamer. They're like, oh, you
6:54
gotta play this game and that game and the
6:57
metaverse. I'm like, I'm literally not interested in that.
6:59
I'm interested in television and productivity apps. So, you
7:01
know, if you can fix that, great. Yeah,
7:04
theoretically he's right. I mean, you can use
7:06
Quest 3 with a PC. I don't have
7:08
a PC or you have a Mac. I
7:10
don't even know if that has the integration,
7:12
but look, what do people always say about
7:15
Mac? It just works. And
7:17
the most awesome thing is you
7:20
open up your MacBook with the
7:22
Vision Pro on, then a floating
7:24
button says connect, and you hit
7:26
it with your fingers. And now
7:28
you have a fully functional screen
7:31
that you can place where you want, make as
7:33
big as you want, which is completely integrated with
7:35
your keyboard and with your
7:38
trackpad. And I'm not kidding, guys.
7:40
It takes one second after you
7:42
hit connect. It just works. It just works. What
7:44
else can I say about it? So I don't
7:47
know. I probably have to download some like mirroring
7:49
thing and all this, it's just like, it's too
7:51
complicated. And that's kind of what my response to
7:54
Zuck was is Quest
7:56
3 is priced appropriately. It's a gaming device. It's
7:58
what is it like? 500 bucks, 550. How
8:01
much is the PS5? See, again, I don't game. It's 400 to 500.
8:05
There you go. Sounds reasonable. But
8:07
how much is a high-end MacBook Pro? 2500?
8:11
Okay. Now, well, I have
8:13
a high-end MacBook Pro with glasses. You
8:15
add on a thousand plus a little bit
8:18
more, you know, for the, for like taxes
8:20
or whatever, for first-generation tech and a
8:22
brand new factory and Shenzhen seems reasonable
8:24
to me. But you have
8:26
to put it that way. You have to
8:28
like compare things and the difference. That's the
8:30
other thing, man. When you hold the hardware
8:33
and you look and you see how small
8:35
the actual headset itself is outside of many
8:37
of the things that are around it, the
8:39
actual computer, it's incredible. I mean, again, all
8:41
I can see when I use this thing
8:43
is I can't imagine what it's
8:45
gonna be like five years from now. I
8:47
actually can't. Just seeing the iPhone 1 to
8:50
iPhone 4, which I lived through. It wasn't even that
8:52
– how long was that? Four years? Yeah.
8:55
Yeah, I think three or four years. That's
8:57
all it took and it's complete revolution. So
8:59
it's coming. It's a great piece
9:01
of tech. I really enjoy it. Good
9:04
take. You probably sold a few to folks
9:06
who were on the bubble there. So the
9:08
next open question is
9:10
your reaction, our reaction
9:12
to OpenAI's new Sora
9:16
video tech. I mean, my instant reaction
9:18
here is there's a lot of
9:20
folks who are saying, oh, Hollywood's finished.
9:22
Creative workers, you should be really
9:25
screwed. There's this really dramatic tweet
9:27
about this is a real F you to
9:29
people who are going into creative work at
9:31
the start of their careers. My reaction, though,
9:33
is to actually go, though, to the problem
9:36
we're all experiencing with streaming services. This isn't
9:38
the problem of, hey, I have to pay
9:40
five different subscriptions or something that needs to
9:42
be one bundle. It's actually just there's too
9:44
much content out there already and there's just
9:46
too much choice. I think back in the
9:48
90s and early 2000s when you go to
9:51
Blockbuster or Hollywood Video and it was just
9:53
easier to pick something you didn't want to
9:55
watch. If there is just gonna be near
9:57
infinite amounts of content that's just generated that
9:59
quickly. via video that looks like very,
10:01
very, very good. That's actually going to
10:04
make it not easier. But I think
10:06
it's just going to put more of
10:08
a premium on like actually good, curated,
10:10
shareable content. I mean, like my wife and I,
10:13
Olivia, we've been just moving for the past most
10:15
really stressed. We're really tired at the end of
10:17
the day. And what we've just been doing is
10:19
we've just been rewatching off and
10:21
on the office in parks and
10:23
rec. We've both seen each of these episodes, not
10:26
not the office in 30 Rock, not parks and
10:28
rec. He's in a big parks and rec fan.
10:30
We have seen the episodes we've watched like
10:32
five or six times each at a minimum
10:35
that's being generous towards the
10:37
low end. We also like have talked about
10:39
them. Like we'll listen to the office ladies
10:41
podcast discussing them. We have this shared experience
10:43
that like dates back to the 2000s. People
10:45
say things like, well, with like chat, GPT,
10:48
Sora, you could have a word where you
10:50
could say like, what if the office didn't
10:52
get bad? What if Michael Scott had stayed
10:54
and create all these different permutations? And that
10:56
could be great. And that could be entertaining.
10:58
If you're like, like to your point, sorry,
11:01
in an airport, you want a plan, you
11:03
want something new, but if you actually want
11:05
to share something with someone where there's once
11:07
again, not just like a shared experience of
11:09
you and your partner, but there's also other
11:11
people in the community have listened or the
11:13
means that get shared, there just has to
11:15
be some shared universe we're operating in together.
11:17
So it's not to say that there won't
11:19
be cool opportunities for AI to create new
11:21
content and expand universes. Like I'd love a
11:23
version of Star Wars from Disney that wasn't
11:26
terrible after 2015. Like what a Star Wars
11:28
was much more like Rogue One than like
11:30
episodes, you know, seven, eight and nine. That'd be
11:32
super cool. I'd be down for that. But I still
11:34
love the fact that I could show up in Texas,
11:36
meet new people and talk about the Star Wars that
11:38
we've actually seen together. So I think it's just going
11:41
to put a premium on curation and
11:43
that premium shared products we could have together. I
11:45
just think AI is a tool and this
11:47
will continue to be a tool. So for
11:49
example, if people want to know for breaking
11:52
point thumbnails, we use mid journey sometimes to
11:54
try and create good thumbnails, but we have
11:56
to come up with the content ourselves and
11:58
everyone's like, yeah, but that's actually That's
12:01
only a few years away. See, this is where I
12:03
totally disagree. I don't think that's a few years away
12:05
at all because what you're talking about is actual, not
12:07
only like AGI but genuine creativity. There's
12:09
something I think about a lot is Noam
12:12
Chomsky, and let's all remember, outside
12:15
of his lib takes, he is a genuinely – He's
12:18
a serious linguist. I think
12:20
he wrote a phenomenal op-ed
12:22
like over a year ago
12:24
in the New York Times
12:26
where he was like, LLMs
12:28
actually aren't language at all,
12:30
and they totally misunderstand how
12:32
the language, connection, and everything
12:34
else exists. They're being built
12:36
from a database perspective as opposed to the
12:39
millions of years of human
12:41
evolution that led to spoken
12:44
word, and that just stuck with me for
12:46
a really long time. And
12:48
I just think that we have a lot of
12:50
hubris that you think you can recreate all
12:53
of that and change it. And
12:55
I kind of think of it in the same way as
12:57
the medical system where the
12:59
medical system and medicine itself
13:02
is really, really good at a couple of things. And this is
13:04
why when people are like, oh, are you anti-modern medicine? It's like,
13:06
well, it depends what you're saying. Like
13:10
in terms of treating infection, awesome. In
13:12
terms of fixing a broken bone, we
13:14
have that down to a literal science
13:16
in terms of cutting something out of
13:18
you and stitching you back up. I
13:20
think that's great. And
13:22
even things even more advanced like heart
13:25
transplants or whatever. But then
13:27
something like depression, and
13:30
people have no idea. The chemical imbalance theory,
13:32
what about this? What about that? I
13:35
think that's because we're dealing with a deeply complex system. I
13:37
think of the same thing about ozmpic. It's
13:39
like, yeah, it makes people lose weight. Oh,
13:42
but when they come off of it, then they gain
13:44
it all back, and there's all kinds of trade-off. Yeah,
13:46
it takes your muscle down, and it slows down your
13:48
gut, and everyone's like, oh, it's fine. I'm like, is
13:50
it fine though? I'm pretty sure the gut would just
13:52
evolve to work a certain way. How do you know
13:55
what's going to happen 35, 40 years from now? That's
13:58
just kind of my thing is I think there's a lot of
14:00
hubris. Like you said, to
14:02
the idea that we're just gonna accelerate
14:04
five years from now, Hollywood will be
14:06
over. I mean, the great Hollywood movies
14:08
are, like again, this is
14:11
a tool in which it's probably
14:13
easier to storyboard now if you
14:15
are a Hollywood creator.
14:17
Yeah, storyboarding and kind of getting a
14:19
conceptual idea of what you're going for,
14:21
definitely. That's gonna be a lot easier.
14:23
But that's a tool. That's not something
14:25
that's gonna replace you, per se. Again,
14:27
the tech people would say I'm totally
14:30
wrong. And I always
14:32
just throw full self-driving back in their face. Again,
14:36
I've used full self-driving. Sorry, guys. It's
14:38
not even close. It sucks. Like, it
14:40
sucks all the time. It's actually super
14:42
annoying, probably 25, 30% of the time.
14:46
And yeah, it's great for some of it, but
14:48
like sometimes, like I said, brakes,
14:53
things are getting into an accident for no reason.
14:55
I mean, you have to be fully aware and
14:57
ready whenever you're using it. So until
14:59
I see evidence that it can make that full jump,
15:03
I'm not that worried about it. I think it's cool. That's
15:05
my only, it's like Vision Pro. I think it's cool. That
15:07
doesn't mean I think it's gonna change the world or
15:09
whatever. I think it's an enhancing tool for
15:12
preexisting things that we already do. Yeah,
15:15
and I think that's a good way to put it.
15:18
Okay, so now we're gonna go to the paid section.
15:20
If you want to get access to this
15:23
part of the conversation once again, go to
15:25
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15:27
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