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The Polling Puzzle: Unveiling Trump's Lead, Biden's Struggle, and the Volatile American Electorate

The Polling Puzzle: Unveiling Trump's Lead, Biden's Struggle, and the Volatile American Electorate

Released Wednesday, 7th February 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
The Polling Puzzle: Unveiling Trump's Lead, Biden's Struggle, and the Volatile American Electorate

The Polling Puzzle: Unveiling Trump's Lead, Biden's Struggle, and the Volatile American Electorate

The Polling Puzzle: Unveiling Trump's Lead, Biden's Struggle, and the Volatile American Electorate

The Polling Puzzle: Unveiling Trump's Lead, Biden's Struggle, and the Volatile American Electorate

Wednesday, 7th February 2024
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0:46

Okay , kid , give it to

0:49

me .

1:01

Ryan Donald Trump Jr . Hong'sider

1:22

, united

1:26

States , where we have a healthy distrust for

1:28

government and mainstream media . The Ryan

1:30

Samuel show is a raw , unfiltered

1:32

look at American politics . Follow on

1:34

Facebook , twitter , youtube , rumble

1:37

and all podcast platforms . Here

1:39

is your host , ryan Samuels .

1:46

Hello patriots

1:48

, we are going to talk

1:50

about something today that

1:53

you cannot get too excited about . You cannot

1:56

be , you can never let

1:58

your guard down in this , in this game

2:00

of politics . Some new polls

2:02

were released and Joe Biden

2:04

is absolutely being

2:07

completely annihilated and

2:09

destroyed by Donald Trump

2:11

. It's not even funny , it's not even

2:13

fair . It is

2:16

completely in

2:19

Donald Trump's favor . Now there

2:21

are nine months left until

2:24

the election , so do not get

2:26

too excited and

2:29

don't ever let it . You know

2:31

when my feeling

2:34

is , when you

2:37

know the , the media outlets

2:39

are talking about a red wave or the

2:42

Republicans are going to dominate , dominate , dominate

2:44

, and then they never do . And the reason

2:46

that they never do is

2:49

because all the people who are ticked off and

2:51

are going to go vote , they sit home

2:53

and they say , oh well , the Republicans are going to win

2:55

anyway , so why would I

2:57

even bother to go vote ? I mean

2:59

, we got it , and then it doesn't

3:02

happen , and that's what they want . So

3:04

, no matter what you hear on the news , no matter

3:06

what you hear in read

3:09

in the paper , you have to go

3:12

out and vote . I mean , it's it's , it's your privilege

3:14

, it's your right as a citizen to

3:17

change the and

3:19

express your view of the country , if you're

3:21

happy of it or not , but

3:24

here is a Meet the Press review

3:27

of the polls , and the liberals

3:29

are just completely melting down .

3:32

Let's just start with the bottom line . When you ask folks

3:34

, hey , if it's the general election and it's Trump versus

3:36

Biden , our poll Donald Trump now

3:38

leads Joe Biden by five points

3:41

. Compare that to the last time we pulled back

3:43

in November . Trump was ahead then , but

3:45

it was only by two points . It's

3:47

even more significant when you look at it this

3:49

way . Over time , we have been testing for five

3:52

years now , going back to 2019

3:54

, a Biden-Trump matchup . Remember 2019

3:56

, 2020 , joe Biden led , he

3:58

led big , in every single one

4:00

of our polls . For the first time in November

4:03

, donald Trump pulled ahead in our poll , and now at five

4:05

points . This is the biggest lead NBC

4:08

has ever had in 16 polls for

4:10

Donald Trump over Joe Biden . And , of

4:12

course , undergirding all of this is

4:14

this question of he is the incumbent , joe Biden

4:16

?

4:18

This poll by this

4:20

liberal news media . 60%

4:24

of the country disapprove

4:27

of Joe Biden's

4:30

job as

4:32

president . His job approval is at 60%

4:34

. Only 37%

4:38

approve . The last

4:40

president to have

4:42

a 37% or 38%

4:45

approval rating going

4:48

into an election was Jimmy Carter and he

4:50

lost to Ronald Reagan

4:52

60% . We

4:54

ask voters what do you

4:56

?

4:56

think of the job he's doing

4:59

. And look at that Kristen 37%

5:01

approve and now 60% disapprove

5:04

. Let's just start with the bottom .

5:07

So if things are looking

5:09

good , it does not mean anything

5:12

. You got to remember that these are just polls . These

5:15

are just polls and

5:17

, yeah , sure , they give you kind of a good guideline

5:19

, but remember , the polls for Hillary

5:22

Clinton in 2016 showed

5:25

a massive win by Hillary Clinton

5:27

and then , when she lost , nobody could believe it . So

5:30

we're going to see some

5:33

very interesting things Now . This is a

5:35

major election , and I know

5:37

they say that every election , every

5:39

election , is a major election . This is a major election

5:41

. This is the most important election of your lifetime . I'm

5:44

not saying this is the most important election of your lifetime

5:46

, but it's pretty close to it . The

5:49

economy is just in the

5:52

dump . It's completely destroyed

5:54

. We have wars raging

5:56

all across the world . We

5:59

have Russia , Ukraine

6:01

, we have Hamas , israel

6:03

. Now we have , you know , yemen

6:06

and Hezbollah

6:08

and Iran , and it's an absolute

6:10

disaster . And the

6:12

American people are not stupid . So , no matter

6:15

how much Joe Biden gets

6:17

on the microphone and says the economy's great , nobody

6:20

buys it , because they see their grocery

6:22

bill . They're not listening

6:24

to what he has to say .

6:27

Iowa caucuses . New polling shows former

6:29

President Trump making larger inroads

6:31

with two key groups when

6:33

compared to 2016 . Evangelicals

6:37

and first-time caucus goers

6:39

. Nbc News National

6:41

Political Correspondent , steve Gornakius with

6:43

us from the big board . Steve , what are the latest polls

6:46

showing us about Trump's gain with

6:48

these two groups ? I'm just

6:50

. I have

6:53

no words for evangelical voters

6:55

at this point .

6:57

It's a just in terms of the numbers on this

6:59

I'll show you here in a second . It is a dramatic

7:02

pick your edge to dramatic

7:05

turnaround , I'll say , since 2016 , in terms

7:07

of where Trump stands with evangelicals

7:09

. We've seen this nationally and I think it's

7:11

the biggest story in Iowa . Just as

7:13

a refresher , eight years ago , iowa

7:15

caucuses first time in the 2016

7:18

, first contest of the 2016 process

7:20

. Remember , trump lost Iowa

7:22

. He came in second to Ted Cruz

7:24

. He barely held off Marco Rubio for third

7:26

place . Remember there were a couple days thereafter

7:28

, iowa in 2016, . People were saying , hey , maybe this

7:30

Trump thing will all fall apart . He ended

7:33

up winning New Hampshire , turning it around . But the reason

7:35

, the overriding reason that Donald Trump

7:37

lost Iowa in 2016 is right here . This

7:40

is the exit poll from the caucuses . This

7:42

is the evangelical vote . About

7:44

64% of

7:46

the Iowa Republican electorate in 2016

7:49

was evangelical . And look , ted Cruz

7:51

won it . He won it by double digits

7:53

, 34 to 22 over

7:56

Donald Trump . So Cruz with a double

7:58

digit win . Among evangelicals . There was a lot

8:00

of resistance , a lot of skepticism . Trump

8:02

had some support with evangelicals , but

8:04

Cruz was the candidate of evangelicals

8:06

in Iowa in 2016 and he won the state . So

8:09

that was 2016 . Our most

8:11

recent NBC News Des Moines Register poll

8:13

out of Iowa . This is about a month old

8:15

, but this is what we've been seeing all year Among evangelicals

8:18

. Look at the turnaround Trump

8:20

who was losing by ?

8:22

Trump is now at 51%

8:24

of evangelicals , more

8:27

than doubled what he was

8:29

at in 2016 . The

8:32

numbers you're seeing are staggering for

8:34

Donald Trump , and

8:36

there's two main reasons for that . Number

8:40

one every

8:42

indictment , every prosecution , every

8:44

attempt to go after

8:46

Trump is met with more support

8:49

. You are validating

8:51

every allegation he's ever made by

8:53

going after him with just completely

8:56

bogus , trumped up charges , and

8:58

his base is growing stronger

9:01

and they're pulling other people into

9:03

it because they're getting a C C

9:06

, c . What did I tell you about the government ? They're out to

9:08

get this man and people are being roped

9:10

into it , and

9:13

that is building Donald

9:15

Trump's street cred

9:17

. The

9:19

other thing you're seeing is just a complete

9:22

disaster of a

9:24

presidency . I mean Afghanistan

9:27

, like the

9:29

vaccine mandate . I mean Joe

9:31

Biden has been president for four years and

9:33

he has managed to just like utterly

9:36

destroy the United States of America . The

9:39

dollar is completely worthless , wages

9:41

have not gone up , everything's

9:44

more expensive , interest rates

9:46

are higher and Americans

9:48

feel it in your pocket . So

9:51

when you combine those two things

9:53

, you get a recipe for

9:55

disaster for the Biden administration . And

10:00

you know these polls are so far apart

10:02

that they're beyond the margin of error . The

10:05

margin of error is usually like 2% Like

10:07

, oh , this could be 2% off . It's

10:09

not even close . It's

10:12

way more than 2% leads on and

10:14

on all of it , just about by

10:16

12 to 10 crews .

10:18

Now with an outright majority 51%

10:21

of the evangelical vote , basically

10:23

two to one over his nearest foe , Ron

10:25

DeSantis , Nikki Haley barely in double digits

10:28

51% . That tracks

10:30

, by the way , with Trump in that poll , his

10:32

overall support in Iowa we also

10:34

had at 51% . And just the history

10:36

of this . We said Ted Cruz in 2016,

10:39

. He won the evangelical vote in Iowa . He

10:41

won the caucuses Rick Santorum 2012,

10:43

. Won the evangelical vote . Won the caucuses Mike

10:46

Huckabee 2008 , evangelical

10:48

vote , caucuses . That's why Donald Trump the

10:50

biggest reason Trump has been winning , and winning big

10:52

, in these Iowa polls . But we mentioned that other

10:55

group . This is always a wild card

10:57

group in caucuses . First time caucus

10:59

goers can often be about 40%

11:01

of the caucus electorate . Here is a group

11:03

that Trump won in 2016,

11:05

. Although it was close , he got 30% Cruz

11:07

Rubio , both in the 20s . So this

11:10

was a group that kept Trump in the game in 2016

11:12

. Wasn't enough to win the state for him . But look at

11:14

this when you look now in

11:16

our poll at first time caucus goers , Trump

11:19

with a 51 point

11:21

advantage over his nearest foe

11:23

here , Ron DeSantis . So he's had those two groups

11:25

not 63%

11:28

, of caucus goers 63

11:33

percent . Not

11:36

just change in terms of one

11:38

going for him . That wasn't before . They have both exploded

11:41

in terms of him now just winning outright majorities

11:43

, massive landslides with both groups . It's

11:45

why he's been so consistently ahead in Iowa

11:47

and it does set up . Obviously we are

11:49

six days away from the caucuses themselves

11:52

. Before that , I will say we will have

11:54

one final NBC

11:56

News Des Moines Register poll before the caucuses

11:58

and the whole political this

12:01

has been building ever since he

12:03

left office .

12:08

All of this has been building ever since

12:10

he left office .

12:12

This is our fourth poll this cycle , starting

12:15

. Last June we had Biden ahead by four

12:17

. It went to a tie in the fall , it went

12:20

to a slight Trump lead in November and now

12:22

, as you say , a Trump lead of five points . There's

12:24

a trend here that's developing in our poll

12:26

where the news is getting worse for Biden

12:29

. You

12:32

mentioned 37 percent , the lowest we've ever recorded

12:34

Biden at in our poll . The lowest any

12:36

president's clocked in it . This

12:39

is previous incumbents seeking reelection

12:42

. Here's Biden nine points underwear

12:44

. Trump was asked

12:47

folks what's the most important to them ? On the economy

12:49

, trump with a 22 point edge over

12:51

Biden . On securing the border , a 35

12:53

point edge . Then

12:56

there's this the necessary mental

12:58

and physical health to be president . Look at

13:00

this now 46 percent say Trump has

13:03

the necessary mental physical health . Only

13:05

half that number for Joe .

13:06

Biden 23 percent .

13:09

I think this may be the most concerning of all for Biden

13:11

which candidate has the competency

13:13

and effectiveness to be president ? This is what Biden

13:16

kind of ran on . He led Trump when we asked this question

13:18

in 2020 by almost 10 points . Now Trump

13:20

has an advantage in our poll of 16 points

13:22

. Just a complete reversal on

13:25

that basic question of competency .

13:32

The basic question of competency

13:34

, the basic

13:36

question of competency . So

13:44

things are looking good for Donald

13:47

Trump and they're looking very bad for Joe Biden

13:49

, and I mean , let's not

13:51

sugarcoat it . That's kind

13:53

of how it's been for

13:55

a little while now . Now here's

13:57

another poll . Let

14:00

me this is from the gateway . This

14:02

is an article from the gateway pundit . Let

14:06

me get this set up here Only

14:12

20 percent of the country

14:14

feels that

14:16

the

14:18

country's going in the right direction 20

14:21

percent . This is , by

14:23

polling standards . This is the most

14:25

important poll that

14:28

there is in

14:31

terms of presidencies and getting reelected

14:33

. Seventy-four

14:35

percent of this country , three-quarters

14:38

of this country , feels it's going

14:40

in the wrong direction . That's

14:43

not a surprise , because it is going in the wrong direction

14:45

. A new NBC News

14:47

poll spells trouble for Joe Biden . Just

14:49

34 percent of Americans approve of Joe

14:51

Biden's economy , dubbed the bonomics

14:54

. It's so bad that even the left-wing media

14:56

is calling for Joe Biden to step aside . The

14:59

American public is just not feeling

15:01

it . Just 34 percent of

15:03

Americans approve of Joe Biden's handling

15:05

of the economy and only 20 percent of

15:07

voters believe the nation is headed on

15:10

the right track .

15:12

The American public is not feeling it . Just

15:14

34 percent of Americans approve of Biden's handling

15:17

of the economy in a recent AP poll

15:19

that was released at the end of June , and only 20

15:21

percent of voters believe the nation is on the right track

15:24

, though . Voters have not felt good

15:26

about the direction of the country for over a decade , and

15:28

Biden is trying to persuade voters that

15:30

the economy is better than they think

15:32

it is .

15:34

But that's foolish . I

15:37

mean , that's how dumb he thinks that you are . These

15:43

are just some statistics on the economy

15:46

. The

15:48

average payment on a $400,000 mortgage

15:50

is $1,000 more per month than

15:52

it was two years ago . A 30-year

15:55

fixed mortgage rate has now risen 31

15:57

basis points in just the past week

15:59

. For a home buyer taken out a $400,000

16:02

mortgage , the monthly payment of principal

16:04

and interest rose to $2720

16:07

from $2637 in just

16:09

one week . Democrats

16:11

will use the same game plan they used for 2020

16:13

, nominate an unpopular candidate

16:16

campaign from the basement . Hold

16:18

few rallies with 20-30 people , mail

16:21

out millions of ballots , insert drop boxes

16:23

using voting machines , late night ballot

16:25

deliveries after the deadline , keep adding

16:27

votes to the totals for days after

16:29

the election of block GOP workers from countrooms

16:32

. Joe Biden is the worst

16:34

president in US history . The economy sucks . Inflation

16:36

is skyrocketing . Yeah , I mean , we all know

16:38

that . So

16:41

you know . This is the Gateway Pundit

16:43

. It's a right-wing

16:45

news outlet , okay , but

16:48

they're reporting on an actual NBC

16:50

news

16:52

poll , which is pretty funny

16:54

, so

17:03

it's astonishing to see Now

17:05

there are other polls . I'm

17:07

going to pull them up right now , all

17:17

right , so

17:23

let's look at this . Let me zoom in on these

17:25

. Okay

17:29

. Mclaughlin

17:32

and Associates Trump plus five . Mclaughlin

17:36

and Associates , trump plus eight plus four

17:38

. Here's one where Biden is plus

17:40

one . Even then they

17:42

have some Nikki Haley ones over Biden

17:45

is plus nine . Trump over Biden

17:47

plus five . Trump over Biden

17:49

plus four , haley over Biden

17:51

plus 13 . Trump over Biden plus

17:53

four , biden over Haley

17:55

plus one . Trump

17:58

, trump , trump , haley , trump

18:01

, trump , trump . So if you go up to

18:03

the top and you look how popular is Joe Biden

18:06

, this

18:08

is showing that 55% approve

18:12

, disapprove of Joe Biden and

18:14

only 38.8% approve

18:16

of Joe Biden . I mean , this

18:19

is an absolute disaster . And

18:22

this is how Biden compares the past presidents

18:24

he's

18:28

below Donald Trump

18:30

. He's below Barack Obama . He's

18:33

below George W Bush . He's

18:36

below Bill Clinton . He's below

18:38

George Herbert Walker Bush , who didn't

18:40

get reelected . He's below

18:42

Ronald Reagan not a surprise . He's

18:46

below Jimmy Carter , where

18:48

Jimmy Carter was before the election . He's below

18:51

Gerald Ford . He's below

18:53

Richard Nixon , john F Kennedy , dwight

18:55

D Eisenhower , harry Truman . He

18:59

is below . His approval rating is

19:01

below every president in

19:03

American history . When

19:05

we have polling , since

19:08

we started recording polling , this

19:14

is do Americans have a favorable

19:16

or unfavorable opinion

19:18

of Donald Trump ? 52%

19:21

of Americans have an unfavorable

19:23

opinion of Donald Trump , but

19:26

they have a 42% favorability

19:28

of Donald Trump . Yet he's

19:32

destroying , destroying

19:36

the polls . He's

19:41

absolutely annihilating and

19:46

it's it's

19:48

hilarious and I really

19:51

for all this stuff . Donald

19:53

Trump has a lot of faults but

19:57

I didn't really worry too much when he was president

19:59

, but life was pretty good . Life

20:02

was pretty good . He's a businessman . He's

20:05

not . He's not going to sugarcoat things , he's

20:07

not going to be nice about it . He's

20:10

a New Yorker and he he

20:12

doesn't have time for for nonsense

20:14

. But

20:16

if he

20:19

wins , people's heads are going to fricking

20:21

, implode , they're

20:24

going to implode . Here's

20:28

Rasmussen , the

20:30

laptop from hell . That's a weird disapprove

20:35

. Joe Biden approval 36%

20:39

approve . These are all

20:41

. So it sounds like I'm repeating these . Please

20:44

understand that I'm not repeating these . So

20:46

there's tons of polls and they all

20:48

measure the same thing . That's kind of how you keep them honest

20:51

, where you can make sure that they're all kind

20:53

of in the same range , where you can get

20:55

the , even if they're polling the same thing

20:57

. So , joe Biden approval . This

21:00

one says 40% . 58%

21:02

. Disapproved . President general

21:04

election out Arizona 45%

21:07

Trump . 41% Biden

21:09

Trump plus four . Generic

21:12

ballot Trump plus one Republican

21:15

. No , that's just Republican Democrat Kerry

21:17

Lake . I mean all this stuff's available

21:20

to kind of look at and you can see just

21:22

Democratic

21:25

primary 87% Biden . We

21:27

understand that . President

21:30

Republican primary 72% Trump

21:32

. 20% Haley 81%

21:34

Trump , 19% Haley . Generic

21:37

ballots 46% Republican

21:40

, 44% Democrat

21:42

. 45% Republican , 42%

21:45

Democrat . This

21:56

might be the biggest

21:58

political comeback in

22:00

American history . To

22:03

go from being president

22:05

to losing

22:07

president , to

22:12

getting indicted , to getting sued

22:14

, to getting feared , to

22:18

getting pulled

22:23

off of state ballots , to

22:26

being up in the polls and to winning would

22:28

be the most amazing victory

22:32

in the history of America . To come back

22:34

from that . It would be completely

22:37

unprecedented for a former

22:39

president to do that .

22:44

Some truly stunning poll numbers for President

22:46

Biden as Trump jumps ahead , scoring

22:49

his biggest lead yet . Nbc

22:51

polls show President Biden is losing

22:53

to Trump by five points . You see it there

22:55

. And Biden is getting smoked

22:57

in almost every major issue

23:00

. Concerning American voters On

23:02

the border , trump crushes Biden with a 35-point

23:06

lead , not surprised . Trump

23:09

also leads Biden by more than 20 points

23:11

on the economy and Trump has

23:13

had 21 points on dealing with

23:15

crime . And there's more . Registered

23:17

voters say they think Trump is twice

23:20

as physically and mentally capable

23:22

to serve as president over

23:24

Biden . And recall the Biden campaign's

23:26

trying to flip the script on that . One doesn't appear

23:29

to be working . Emily , the most

23:31

alarming number for me and

23:33

there's a lot of alarming numbers for Biden in

23:35

this poll , but it's this one and I had our team pull

23:37

it out . So let's take a look at this . Biden

23:39

voters were asked if you're a Biden voter

23:41

. Are you voting for Joe Biden

23:44

or against Trump ? What is animating

23:46

your vote ? 31% say for

23:48

Joe Biden . As you see , 62%

23:51

say they want Biden because they're voting against Trump . But

23:53

you flip that and among Trump

23:55

voters , 57% say

23:57

we're voting because we like Trump , whereas

23:59

35% say it's a vote against Joe Biden

24:01

. I would rather be the guy whose

24:03

base says I support you , I'm

24:06

coming for you , biden or shine . That

24:08

enthusiasm number would be worrying to me .

24:10

Absolutely , and it's the kind of number that you

24:12

can't manufacture , no matter what talking points

24:15

you put out there . The National

24:17

Review , I thought , had an apt article today

24:19

that said succinctly Joe

24:21

Biden's getting smoked in every category

24:23

and the posit was look , the

24:25

Democrats would be insane not to put someone else

24:28

in for him . And , frankly , voters are

24:30

begging that would happen . And they said all they're

24:32

relying on Democrats is hoping

24:34

that inflation keeps getting better , and

24:36

then the law fair war against Trump

24:38

, hoping that he will be disqualified in

24:41

some way , and clearly so .

24:43

That's . The only hope that they have is that he will

24:45

be disqualified . I don't think

24:47

that's going to happen . I

24:49

do not think that that's going to happen . I

24:52

don't think the Supreme Court's going to uphold

24:54

removing

24:56

him from ballots . I don't think he's going to be convicted

24:59

, especially before the election . If

25:01

he gets elected , it doesn't matter if he gets convicted

25:03

or not . He's just going to pardon himself . He's

25:06

going to pardon all of his friends and

25:08

everybody that they went after . He's going to pardon

25:10

everybody . So

25:12

and I think you can't add anybody into

25:15

the race now . There's too short

25:17

of a term . There's nine months

25:19

. You can't just say Joe Biden's not running . Camilla

25:21

Harris and her polls are worse than Joe Biden

25:24

is . The Democrats are

25:26

like trapped in a corner here and

25:28

they really don't have any other option but to run

25:30

Joe Biden . For a while , I thought Gavin

25:33

Newsom was going to make a surprise

25:35

appearance and it appears that he's

25:37

not . I don't think they

25:39

have the time to run another

25:41

elector for president

25:43

.

25:44

Supporting sort of a manufactured machine to do

25:46

so . But what I noted was a reader comment

25:48

that I thought was so fascinating . The

25:50

reader comment that said well , abortion

25:53

, abortion , abortion . They said when will the

25:55

Republicans learn they can't just put their heads in the sand and

25:57

pretend that the border or urban crime will be the

25:59

biggest issue in November for everyone

26:01

, they said on the Democrat campaign trail , the answer

26:03

to every question will be abortion , abortion

26:06

, abortion , crime , abortion , inflation

26:08

, abortion . White , progressive

26:11

, college educated , suburban women are

26:13

never giving up on their abortion . Look

26:15

for lots to talk about reproductive freedom

26:18

, abortion , care and women's health , freedom

26:21

, care and health . Who would be against ?

26:22

those things . That's definitely their argument

26:25

, as we've seen Kamala test out that messaging

26:27

. But look at this , molly . Also

26:29

, the historical comparison with this enthusiasm

26:31

number is interesting because the 31%

26:33

who say , yeah , we're voting for Joe because we like

26:36

Joe . Well , with Hillary , it was 49%

26:38

who said we're voting for Hillary because we like

26:41

her . What happened to her ? She lost the election . And

26:43

then , when you flip over to Obama and it's

26:45

a good comparison , because he was an incumbent president

26:48

72% said we're voting for

26:50

Obama because we like Obama . This

26:52

is alarm bells .

26:54

Right . It does seem like Trump has a much more positive

26:56

message . If you care about the country , if you want

26:58

the border taken care of , if you like having a good

27:00

economy , if you want to not have

27:02

a war breaking out all over the world

27:04

, then you vote for Trump , whereas

27:06

Biden has the more negative message of if you

27:09

hate , if you're obsessed with hatred

27:11

for one person irrationally

27:13

, so vote for me , and it just is a much harder

27:15

thing to do . But what's also interesting

27:18

is four years ago , joe

27:20

Biden was the opposite . He was kind of the one

27:22

where , if you were sad about how COVID was

27:24

going or you thought everything was really

27:26

chaotic and bad , you could vote for Joe Biden

27:28

, and his promise was that he would be competent

27:31

, that he would handle foreign policy brilliantly

27:33

, that he would get the economy back on

27:35

track . He was this unknown

27:38

figure . Well , now you've got four years where

27:40

you judge how Joe Biden's presidency has gone

27:42

. You judge what life was like under Donald

27:44

Trump , and it's not a favorable

27:47

comparison for Joe Biden , and

27:49

we really haven't had anything like this since

27:51

Grover Cleveland . He won office and

27:53

then he lost office and then he won again

27:55

by running against Benjamin Harrison . People

27:58

compared those two presidencies in shows Grover

28:00

Cleveland . But that is something we don't encounter

28:02

a lot , where you can compare side by side .

28:04

And President Trump . Everyone is fascinated

28:07

by who his vice presidential pick will be . He gave us some

28:09

clues Watch .

28:12

Mr President , when will you announce who your VP is ?

28:15

Not for a while . We have so many great

28:17

people in the Republican Party , but not for a

28:19

while .

28:20

We went over that on the show . I

28:23

don't think they really know that they have an official answer

28:25

. I think they have it

28:28

narrowed down to

28:31

a select few people and

28:33

they're still in the vetting process and they're going to wait . The

28:36

way that he is in the polls , he doesn't have

28:38

anything to worry about . I mean

28:40

, he's sprinting towards the touchdown and

28:43

Joe Biden is on the 30 , the 50 yard line

28:45

and

28:50

he's about he's 10 yards away from the end zone

28:52

. So

28:59

the vice president

29:01

is going to come out , typically

29:04

if he's behind in the polls . They would make a big deal

29:06

about the vice president and that's kind of what they

29:08

did with John McCain and Sarah Palin . They kind

29:10

of used her to pick up some of the vote

29:12

that they were missing . In this case , donald

29:14

Trump is so far ahead that

29:17

that's not part of the strategy and

29:19

it doesn't need to be part of the strategy . But

29:22

thank you guys for tuning in . Make

29:24

sure you , before you go , hit that

29:26

like , share and subscribe

29:29

button and we will see you

29:31

tomorrow night .

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