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0:00
This. Week Enviro a g
0:02
the podcast about viruses the
0:04
kind that make you sick.
0:10
From microbe T V this is to
0:12
with. This. Weekend Virology.
0:16
Episode. Eleven Await Recorded
0:18
on April. Twenty Four Twenty
0:20
Twenty Four. I'm Vincent. Rak
0:23
and yellow. And. You're listening
0:25
to the podcast All About Viruses.
0:28
Are joining me today? Not from New
0:30
York? Then. You're Griffin from
0:33
Yosemite Valley. Actually, I in Yosemite
0:35
and I using my phone is
0:37
a hotspot so there might be
0:39
a little glitches why not? No
0:42
advance in is saying and hopefully
0:44
it all come together at the
0:46
end. But let me I jumped
0:48
in. Hello everyone I have a
0:50
quotation as that John Muir. When.
0:53
We try to pick out anything by
0:55
itself. We find it hitched. Everything else
0:58
in the universe. That's
1:02
pretty. Serious, right?
1:04
The it is actually and it's just
1:07
stab you know it's It's really great
1:09
to some here with my wife and
1:11
Jessica and my son Barnaby and it's
1:13
just great to am. I think you
1:15
go learn so much coming to a
1:17
place like this and just seeing how
1:20
everything is connected. Iraq Today we were
1:22
up at the Am at the Grove
1:24
for they've got those Amp has massive
1:26
trees and and you know early on
1:28
they're trying to manage them but then
1:30
they realized by stopping the fires they're
1:33
they're not letting the cigarette trees grow.
1:35
Because you know the fire as part of
1:37
the whole cycle. So just amazing to see
1:39
how interconnected everything else and all these cycles.
1:43
But are at it will jump
1:45
and now interconnected we are are
1:47
all our when it comes to
1:49
infectious disease. With an update on
1:51
Measles as of April: Eighteen, Twenty
1:53
Twenty Four A total of a
1:55
hundred and twenty five Measles cases
1:57
are recorded from eighteen jurisdictions. And
2:00
you know events and I was get
2:02
know I was getting all these questions.
2:04
Those even has to be on the
2:06
Doctor Phil show right now and seven
2:08
now with you. But I would never
2:10
miss an opportunity to hang out with
2:12
you and and and Doctor Phil instead.
2:14
But I figured if everyone's asking why
2:16
should jump that So so what is
2:19
happening with H Five n One avian
2:21
flu and apps and certainly going as
2:23
Vincent A jump in on this on.
2:25
But. April. Twenty first
2:27
right are just few days before
2:29
recording this in a few days
2:32
before it drops the U S
2:34
T A published two hundred and
2:36
thirty nine objects sequences from the
2:38
U S H Five N One
2:40
played two point three point four
2:42
point four be Influenza virus recently
2:44
sand in samples of associated with
2:47
the ongoing highly pathogenic he the
2:49
and influenza outbreak in paltry wild
2:51
birds the and the reset each
2:53
five and one of that in
2:55
dairy cattle. I'm. Sequences posted
2:57
are from Cattle Cats, chicken skunk, raccoon
3:00
grackle and what a Crack a list.
3:02
Blackbird and goose were sticks and when
3:04
you need i'm you could look at
3:06
our for since and. Now.
3:10
He p H I S routinely
3:12
publishes an influenza genetic and sequence
3:15
on. T set so
3:17
that global initiative on sharing a
3:20
the and influence at data. However,
3:22
we hear that in the interest
3:24
of public public transparency and ensuring
3:27
the scientific community has access to
3:29
information as quickly as possible to
3:31
encourage disease research and development to
3:34
benefit the U S dairy industry.
3:36
A P H I S is
3:38
also rapidly sharing raw sequence data
3:41
to the National Institute of Health,
3:43
National Library of Medicine, National Center
3:46
for Biotechnology. Information and I'm
3:48
gonna leave of Lincoln to
3:50
that I'm announcement. So. What
3:53
are what are we now and on?
3:55
Her number of our folks who are
3:57
are making comments about this so. We
4:00
hear from Michael war be on
4:02
the doctor philosophy had as ecology
4:05
and Evolutionary Biology at the Department
4:07
of University of Arizona Tucson on
4:09
tells us that the virus was
4:12
confirmed in another dairy herd in
4:14
eye to racing the a number
4:16
of each five and one to
4:19
Texas to thirty three and Michael
4:21
tells us analysis of the hemoglobin
4:24
and neuraminidase an internal genes. it's.
4:26
That. Dinners has cheat since it changed
4:29
much from it's introduction into cattle
4:31
in late Twenty Twenty Three or
4:33
Twenty Twenty Four. The virus
4:35
could jump to cat once, but
4:37
the information from the sequences cap
4:39
rule out multiple introductions us on
4:41
the states. There's a strong possibility
4:43
that the virus has been circulating
4:45
undetected for months. Even.
4:47
Before a mysterious illness began
4:50
affecting Gary Cows inch viewers
4:52
we hear from Sam Scar
4:54
P. Know Phd Director of
4:56
I Love This Artificial Intelligence
4:58
and Life Sciences at Northeastern
5:00
University. He tells us the
5:02
genome data strengthen the evidence
5:04
for cow to cow transmission.
5:07
The. Early analysis shows no obvious changes
5:09
that would increase the human to human
5:11
transmission risk but he added that will
5:14
take time to fully analyze all the
5:16
all the genus. am I going to
5:18
leave that article into a said rabbits
5:20
to? The thing that tends to be
5:23
getting lot of gives the been senate
5:25
and hopefully we can weigh in on
5:27
this is that they are finding evidence
5:29
of the the genetic material in milk.
5:34
When when lots of lots of calls from
5:36
are followers to do a plaque assets on
5:38
the milk samples. Where. They they
5:40
should look for infectious virus records
5:42
are doing Pcr? Yeah, but let's
5:44
assume. It is in fact as far as
5:46
milk is passed her. right? For
5:49
most people young, if you drink
5:51
raw milk you're taking risks. Folks
5:53
the some do it. but if
5:55
it's fast your eyes is going
5:57
to inactivity. Avian. Influenza.
5:59
Viruses. I. Don't think that's. A.
6:01
Risk. What is? the real question is whether
6:04
this will. Become. A human virus or
6:06
not. right? Because now many animals are
6:08
infected. Many cows. But I just got
6:10
back from Ohio. Where.
6:12
Cows are infected In humans are
6:14
getting infected from the cows, but.
6:16
Is. Very interesting. The.
6:19
Getting conjunctivitis. Yeah.
6:22
Success Instead Rights Yes, the I has
6:25
Alpha Two, Three Selleck acid receptors for
6:27
a V H Five N One virus.
6:30
And the rest of this. Up or Track
6:32
does not. It's only deeper down in the long, so.
6:35
This. Is good and away. And
6:38
those virtues of in mild and human
6:40
so far so that the say it
6:42
won't change his nose evidence for human
6:44
to human transmission that could change as
6:46
well. But. The
6:49
thing is that don't worry about the milk,
6:51
even the beef. That. I'm
6:53
probably going to cook it. This. Not the issue.
6:55
The. Issue is human to human community.
6:57
Transmission of a respiratory virus is that
7:00
should ever happen and nobody can predict
7:02
it. Weather. Will happen or
7:04
not I think we should be ready to
7:06
let seat. We have a couple of anti
7:08
virus we have tamiflu, relenza and the lock
7:11
severe. Yeah. Some experimental H
7:13
Five and one anti vaccines. I think
7:15
we're better prepared than we were for
7:17
Kovac, don't you? Yeah, no. I really
7:19
think we are. I mean, I think
7:21
that is. It's great that people are
7:24
into said I think it's great if
7:26
we continue to. I'm straight than our
7:28
surveillance systems are. But yet this. how
7:30
do I keep myself safe? I keep
7:32
my family safe. You know, don't drink
7:35
on pasteurized milk. drink past rests on
7:37
the other. As our Twitter followers of
7:39
Common Wheat. We don't have enough. It's
7:41
infectious. Virus in their of there's picking up
7:44
I'd next purchase that that isn't lot of
7:46
thing com unit for those of you that
7:48
to drink your milk rocks. But.
7:52
So moving into Code Red, you know it.
7:55
We really are apt to say we are
7:57
moving in. I continue to move in a
7:59
positive, direct. Then and the percentage of
8:01
provisional damn something as at serve
8:03
Talk to people. The following really
8:05
is less than two percent are
8:07
in in much of the country,
8:10
really less than less than one
8:12
percent in most of the country.
8:14
So we're really moving into eight
8:16
and number hopefully a number of
8:18
better months and the waste water
8:20
is really tracking down to add
8:22
to the love of where it
8:24
was on the I say ah
8:26
this time last year. So.
8:29
National trends going in the right direction.
8:32
Or it so. Ah, children
8:34
and other vulnerable populations just
8:36
a little time, money and
8:38
then wr durability of original
8:40
monovalent and marnie vaccine effectiveness
8:42
against Kobe Nineteen, I'm Chronos.
8:44
Oh shit. hostile. They should
8:46
have children. Adolescents. United States,
8:48
Twenty Twenty One. Twenty Twenty
8:50
Three. So despite the fact
8:52
that Coven Nineteen Nation was
8:54
shown to be effective against
8:56
pediatric club at night teams hospitalization
8:58
during the person said the
9:00
Omnicom variant. There has
9:03
not been great uptake that
9:05
yeah trick populations. I'm here.
9:07
We get on vaccine efficacy
9:09
of greater than or equal
9:11
to two original monovalent cover
9:13
Nike vaccine doses against covered
9:15
nineteen related hospitalizations across thirty
9:17
four. Overcoming. Cove
9:20
in nineteen. Network. Sites on
9:22
yet see value Waited using
9:24
a case control design. Ah
9:26
the case patients were children,
9:28
adolescents five eighteen who are
9:30
hospitalized for cute covered nineteen
9:32
received a positive Sars Toby
9:34
to test results control patients
9:36
hospitalized for coven a team
9:38
like illness were mass to
9:40
case patients by side age
9:42
group mission date but had
9:44
a negative Sars could be
9:46
to test a critical covered
9:48
nineteen Related illness was defined
9:51
as. Receipt of noninvasive or
9:53
invasive mechanical ventilation are
9:55
they so acted infusions,
9:57
extra corporal member and
9:59
auction. And I'm and illness
10:01
result think. That
10:04
seen as a sea of
10:06
original monovalent Mrt coveted nineteen
10:08
vaccines against Kobe nineteen related
10:10
hospitalizations was fifty two percent.
10:13
When. The most recent vaccine dose
10:15
was received am seven two hundred
10:17
and eighteen days before hospitalization. I'm
10:19
missing and dropped a nineteen percent
10:22
when it was received. more than
10:24
one hundred and twenty out to
10:26
three hundred sixty four days before
10:28
hospitalization. I'm and thirty one percent
10:30
of he just kind of grouped
10:33
everything together in the previous year.
10:35
Vaccine efficacy that's critical covered next,
10:37
you related illness was fifty seven
10:39
percent when it does was seven
10:41
two hundred eighty days before hospitalization.
10:44
But not significant when you got vr
10:47
two hundred twenty to three hundred sixty
10:49
four days, thirty eight percent when the
10:51
most recent does was see that any
10:53
points than the previous year. So really
10:55
really seeing you know that there is
10:58
Africa see here but there seems to
11:00
be this this last that see as
11:02
time goes out. Than do
11:04
they tracked death at all. I'm
11:07
so they They do mention that they were
11:09
looking at that, but it's it's really sort
11:11
of in the nice combines points. When.
11:14
You think about this is I'm surprised to
11:16
this age group felt so low. Amazon says
11:19
surprise that is waning right? Ah yes yep
11:21
that numbers are because I would think that
11:23
at that age you make a good T
11:25
So response right? and that's going to be.
11:28
And conserve. So. I'm some
11:30
very surprised that these numbers and and also
11:32
it think that we're going to have five
11:34
or there's just so much coveted is sort
11:36
of these you know repeated exposure think there
11:38
be some kind of as escape from that
11:41
to get out of it but suppressed. My.
11:44
right? Now this
11:46
this is the controversial parked a
11:49
little excitement in the ventilation transmission
11:51
area this week. Vincent ah but
11:53
his sex get get ready for
11:55
are lots of the most and
11:57
on the let let's walk through.
12:00
In the news release, waiting
12:02
health agencies outline updated terminology
12:04
for pathogens that transmit through
12:07
the air. So the Wh
12:09
out. Said. The terminology challenge
12:12
stemmed from a lack of
12:14
common terminology across several scientific
12:16
disciplines, a problem that became
12:18
more cute when experts across
12:20
disciplines were tucked away in
12:22
with guidance and recommendations. So
12:24
from the six hundred, ninety
12:26
two or three minute read
12:28
news release, let me ask.
12:30
Call. This an the extensive
12:32
consultation resulted in the introduction
12:35
of the following common to
12:37
scriptures to characterize the transmission
12:39
of pathogens through the air
12:42
under typical circumstances. So
12:44
individuals infected with a respiratory
12:47
pathogen can generate or expel
12:49
and senses verticals containing the
12:51
pathogen to their mouth. Or.
12:53
Nose by breathing, talking, singing,
12:56
spitting, coughing or sneezing. These
12:58
particles should be described with
13:00
the term ready for this
13:02
infectious respiratory particles for I
13:05
are peace, And.
13:07
Arms use exist on a
13:09
continuous spectrum of sizes and
13:11
no single task points should
13:14
be applied to distinguish smaller
13:16
from larger particles. This facilitates
13:18
moving away from the dichotomy
13:21
of previously used terms care
13:23
Sauce previously small particles and
13:25
droplets generally larger purpose. The
13:28
descriptive through the air can be
13:30
used in general way to characterize
13:32
infectious disease where them mean mode
13:35
of transmission involves the pathogen traveling
13:37
through the air are being suspended
13:39
in the air under the umbrella
13:41
of through the air transmission. I
13:45
see I see nodding your head so we take a
13:47
little break your were what what he is a good
13:49
read said what's going on. My
13:51
for. And why
13:54
infectious respiratory particles. It's.
13:56
A droplet right. Infectious
14:00
respect to droplets. Why? a particle
14:02
that's so confusing? As
14:04
big the problems that are, it's
14:07
is that people since nineteen nineteen
14:09
twice as early part an eighteen
14:11
hundreds. Thanks to a chaplain and
14:14
his efforts to fight against the
14:16
concept miasma I'm actually traded the
14:18
concepts of a droplet as he
14:21
says that call particle that would
14:23
hit you would strike you in
14:25
the eyeball, strike you in the
14:28
mouth and then you would get
14:30
a direct germ theory contacts. So
14:32
in the early description. Contact
14:35
me touching something that was
14:37
infectious Are getting punched sprayed
14:39
by I physical chirps. Of
14:45
fact, that's weird. Sorry, I don't,
14:47
That Particles works. This has a
14:49
Grecian dumb. I
14:52
think we should. To.
14:54
School at droplets and know that droplets are not
14:56
the smallest ones, but I think we could homogenize
14:58
it. And of yeah, I
15:00
think I think the chance you're trying to
15:03
get away from was that that hundred and
15:05
ten year old idea that only certain things
15:07
could make you sick when you got more
15:09
than six feet away. and and I still
15:12
remember when I was in medical school out
15:14
soon. research on to perky Less in the
15:16
history there was, You know we had moved
15:18
from the idea of you know that them
15:21
now air getting people sex and even when
15:23
they did these experiments with a had guinea
15:25
pigs acquiesced guinea pigs on the other end
15:28
of this air shaft rights they had the
15:30
person. Costing with tuberculosis in the one
15:32
rooms and the the instead she was
15:34
spreading in effect guinea pigs like much
15:36
more than six feet away and separate
15:38
room he could only have gotten their
15:40
of. Somehow things floated through the air
15:42
to where the guinea pigs works do
15:45
so out of resistance. And.
15:47
The interesting issue a lot of the resistance
15:49
I have to say is on. Financial.
15:52
right because for a hospital for a
15:55
medical center to happy quip people with
15:57
and magnifies for them to have to
15:59
have the air exchanges, that's
16:02
actually quite costly. So,
16:06
yeah, so anyway, so they do
16:08
go on to basically give us
16:10
this updated terminology where the IRPs
16:14
fall under the number one
16:16
airborne transmission or inhalation, but
16:18
not the old fashioned airborne
16:21
aerosol, but this transmitted through the
16:23
air versus direct deposition.
16:25
And this is where these IRPs
16:27
are expelled into the air from
16:30
an infectious person and then directly
16:32
deposited on the mouth, nose, or
16:34
eye. So I
16:36
feel like they started so strong with this
16:39
concept of let's just say transmission of pathogens
16:41
through the air as
16:43
we do its transmission of pathogens
16:45
through food or through water. And
16:47
then this one and two almost
16:50
seem like they're just reframing the
16:52
airborne versus direct droplet deposition. Yeah.
16:56
I see a quote here of someone who said, the
16:59
old categories were more straightforward.
17:02
Well, I love this. So Carl Zimmer
17:04
has an article in the New York
17:06
Times. They should
17:09
have certain New York Times articles that just get
17:11
tagged as it should be open for everyone. So
17:13
unfortunately, but here we
17:15
have Dr. Walter Zing, an infectious disease
17:17
expert at the University of Zurich and
17:19
a member of the advisory group, said
17:22
the old categories offered more straightforward guidance,
17:24
staying a few feet from someone coughing
17:26
and sneezing was once thought to be
17:28
an effective way to
17:30
avoid droplet
17:33
transmission. It was simplistic and probably
17:36
not true, but it served a
17:38
purpose. Yeah. I
17:41
love the way he brings it together. It
17:43
was simple. It probably wasn't true. Now,
17:48
if it wasn't true, it's
17:50
not useful, right? I think that was the problem
17:52
is this was simple. It was straightforward. It's what
17:55
we all were taught, but now, in
17:58
the words of the father. in,
18:00
you know, in that famous Mary Poppins
18:02
and how we are confusing things with
18:04
the truth. Yeah. So,
18:08
let's go back to simpler times when it
18:10
wasn't necessarily good guidance, didn't necessarily keep everyone
18:12
safe, but it was simple, it was easy
18:14
to understand. All
18:16
right. With that aside, COVID
18:20
active vaccination immunity. Remember,
18:23
there's that recommendation from the end
18:25
of February for that additional monovalent
18:27
dose for folks 65 and
18:29
older. And we did
18:32
hear on March 22nd about PEMGARDA,
18:34
which is going to be the
18:36
pre-exposure prophylaxis. I'm still
18:38
waiting for more on that. All right. Let's
18:41
move into COVID early viral phase.
18:44
Now, I'm going to keep believing links
18:46
to the NIH treatment guidelines, the IDSA
18:48
guidelines. But then I'm also going to
18:50
talk about an article about guidelines. Comparison
18:53
of WHO versus national
18:55
COVID-19 therapeutic guidelines across the
18:57
world, not exactly a perfect
18:59
match published in the BMJ
19:01
Global Health. The
19:03
authors were able to obtain COVID-19 therapeutic
19:05
national guidelines from 109 of
19:08
the 194 WHO member states. They
19:12
report that therapeutic recommendations
19:14
in many national
19:17
guidelines differed substantially from the
19:19
WHO guidelines. Overall,
19:21
in late 2022, 93%
19:26
of the national guidelines were recommending
19:28
at least one treatment which had
19:30
proved to be ineffective in large
19:32
random mouse trails and were not
19:34
recommended by the WHO. Corticose
19:37
steroids were not recommended in severe
19:39
disease in nearly 10% of the
19:42
national guidelines, despite this being not
19:44
only inexpensive but overwhelming evidence for
19:46
their benefits. Now,
19:48
the national guidelines from countries with
19:51
low resource settings showed the greatest
19:53
divergence. Now, I feel
19:55
confident that most of our listeners can
19:57
guess many of the recommended therapies. that
20:00
just don't work. There were many
20:02
of these guidelines such as vitamin
20:04
C, zinc, ibramectin.
20:08
So I have a couple comments. One is
20:10
when you mix science and politics, you get
20:13
politics. But perhaps a less cynical view
20:15
is that some of the effective therapeutics
20:18
are expensive. So there's a motivation to
20:20
avoid including them in areas where they
20:22
might be cost prohibitive. And as we've
20:24
seen with some therapies, if it's difficult,
20:26
if it's challenging, if the doctor has
20:29
to look through drug-drug interactions and make
20:31
adjustments, they would prefer if that
20:33
wasn't in the guidelines as well. All
20:37
right. So I
20:39
had sort of a standing on a
20:41
soapbox thing here, Vincent, which I feel
20:43
like I've vented enough already. So
20:46
we will move into what is recommended. So
20:50
one, taxilovit, two,
20:52
remdesivir, three, molympirivir, four,
20:54
convalescent plasma. And
20:56
we have the updated isolizin guidance. We'll
20:59
see how they kind of incorporate this
21:01
new terminology of the particles. And
21:04
then we have the early
21:06
inflammatory week, steroids with the right time and
21:08
the right patient, anticoagulation
21:10
guidelines, pulmonary support.
21:13
And what about remdesivir? We
21:15
have the article, remdesivir is
21:17
associated with reduced mortality in
21:19
patients hospitalized for COVID-19, not
21:22
requiring supplemental oxygen, publishing open
21:24
form infectious disease. So here,
21:26
the investigators used a large,
21:28
multi-center US hospital database to
21:30
look at in-hospital mortality among
21:33
patients hospitalized for COVID-19, not
21:35
requiring supplemental oxygen and admission between
21:38
December 2020 and April 2022, receiving
21:42
or not receiving remdesivir. So it's
21:44
going to be matched one to
21:46
one. They're going to
21:48
use propensity score matching. They're going
21:50
to look at 14 and 28 day
21:53
in-hospital mortality or discharge to hospice Among
21:56
the 121,336 eligible patients. The.
22:01
Thousand Hundred and Eighty eight Ram
22:03
disappear treated patients were matched with
22:05
seventeen thousand Five Hundred Seventy Four.
22:07
It's neat, non rem disappear patients.
22:11
Over off five percent of
22:13
Rammed Us to be treated
22:15
and seven point three percent
22:17
of non rem disappear patients
22:19
died within forty days, while
22:21
eight percent of industry treated
22:23
and nine point eight percent
22:25
of non Rem this year
22:27
patients died within twenty days.
22:29
I'm so actually seeing this
22:31
statistically significant reduction in a
22:33
hospital mortality with the introduction
22:35
us up Ramdev Severe. And
22:38
eat. The interesting thing is a really
22:40
nice figure. We get to look at
22:42
all the different very enough concern periods
22:44
and the significant mortality benefit endured across
22:46
all the different via secrets. Guy I
22:49
mentioned he then and se most striking
22:51
a the figure during the Ahmed Rock
22:53
period. Gay.
22:55
And moving into Kobe delayed face
22:57
fast cove. Onto this section we
22:59
have the mm of you are
23:01
Nurse in the Field Long covert
23:03
prevalence among Adults United States Twenty
23:05
Twenty One. Frantic
23:08
Song Public that says they tossed
23:11
number to pin down as we
23:13
have discussed before and hear the
23:15
Cdc analyze data from non. It's
23:17
to size us adults aged eighteen
23:19
all day for speeding in the
23:22
twenty Twenty Two Behavioral risk factor
23:24
surveillance systems, a population base cross
23:26
sectional survey. Respondents. Were
23:28
sampled using random digit dialing
23:30
a both landline and cellular
23:32
telephones. It sounds like fun!
23:34
I'm self reported age, sex
23:36
previous covered nineteen, Diagnosis and
23:38
ever having experienced are covered
23:40
were ascertained via telephone interview.
23:44
Long Cove It was defined as the
23:46
self reported Any symptoms lasting greater than
23:48
three months that were not present before
23:50
haven't covered eighteen. Are you
23:52
see some potential biases right? And been a
23:54
lot of folks upon co then says joking
23:56
aside art at home that able to work
23:59
public answering that. Landline and they
24:01
report that six point four
24:03
percent of non institutionalized Us
24:05
adults reported ever having spirits
24:08
long cooked. Some. The
24:10
waited age and sex year as
24:12
problems range from one point nine
24:14
percent for the Us Virgin Islands
24:16
to ten point six percent for
24:18
West Virginia and exceeded a point
24:20
eight percent the highest prevalence cut
24:22
off it's seven states prevalence tended
24:25
to be lowered england and Pacific
24:27
higher in the south, midwest, and.
24:30
An essay: Have a nice nap.
24:32
We can see these dark areas
24:34
where you have to the highest
24:36
inserts and kind of amazing right.
24:38
Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota. I'm
24:41
Oklahoma. Can
24:43
see West Virginia. That's
24:45
Alabama hours at Mississippi. Hard to tell
24:48
us to apart am one of those
24:50
down there. Why? Do you
24:52
think this is state by state
24:54
variation? You
24:56
know one are the things that has
24:59
come up over time and was the
25:01
the protection that vaccines offered so I
25:03
don't know. In on we we don't
25:05
really get the granularity look at this.
25:07
were speculating on the was it areas
25:10
that were able to get vaccines and
25:12
then the sexes raft organ see a
25:14
significant reduction. I'm. An know I
25:16
don't know. Be great to do some pilot
25:18
analysis to see. You know why Is this
25:21
prevalent so different? And.
25:24
I don't. I. Mean a
25:26
lot of reasons, right? Unearthing incidents is
25:28
one of them, right? Because that's pretty
25:30
even stay knows what did spend yes,
25:32
really been all the sorry I mean
25:34
it could be used. To. Help
25:36
the health status of. People. In
25:39
certain states could vary based on health
25:41
care systems and other issues as well.
25:43
right? That's an attractive right? Yeah, But.
25:46
You know, none of the northeast. Really?
25:49
Have. The. Highest rates. California.
25:52
Does not. Know. States with really
25:54
good health care systems. Cat.
25:56
New England voice like it did really well. I'm
25:58
up in the as a person. Civic northwest
26:00
of the doing quite well as well. As.
26:04
I will this. We also have
26:06
a another rather on contentious article
26:08
we will talk about I'm and
26:10
it's really the topic seems to
26:13
be fraught with lots of binged
26:15
misinterpretation. So the article the persistence
26:17
of source code to in tissues
26:19
and it's association with bomb code
26:21
symptoms A cross sectional covert study
26:23
in China published in The Lancet
26:25
Infectious Diseases. So
26:27
my first word of caution as
26:29
we discussed this article is the
26:31
important distinction between. Persistence.
26:34
Of replication confident Virus.
26:37
versus. The persistence of viral
26:39
runs. So. When people
26:41
talk about barrel persistence, the To: usually
26:43
not just talking about the skeletal remains,
26:46
the virus in the form of Arnie
26:48
or protein am. So let's be clear
26:50
full here as we review this article.
26:53
For. These results of a
26:56
single center cross sectional cord study
26:58
done at the China Japan Friendship
27:00
Hospital in Beijing. Time calling the
27:02
I'm A Crime wave of covert
27:04
nineteen December. Twenty Twenty Two. Individuals
27:07
with mild coburn nineteen confirmed
27:10
by Pcr war a lateral
27:12
slow Tests scheduled to undergo
27:14
Gazprom to be surgery or
27:16
chemotherapy or schedule for treatment
27:19
in hospital for other reasons
27:21
at one month to month
27:23
for months after infection were
27:25
rolled in. Studies: residual surgical
27:27
samples. Gastroscope. He samples
27:30
blood samples were collected these time points
27:32
at one month to month and four
27:34
months I'm after exception. Telephone.
27:37
Follow was done it for months
27:39
post infection To assess the association
27:41
between the persistence a source to
27:43
are in a and long Cove
27:45
It's anthems. Between January
27:47
third and he pulled twenty twenty
27:49
twenty three, three hundred and seventeen
27:52
tissue samples were collected from two
27:54
hundred twenty five patients, including two
27:57
hundred one residual surgical. Specimens.
27:59
To. In I guess basket be
28:01
samples fifty seven blood components samples
28:04
viral on a was detected in
28:06
thirty percent of the fifty three
28:09
solid tissue samples collected at one
28:11
month. Twenty Seven percent
28:13
in two months. Eleven percent
28:16
for months. Viral Army was
28:18
distributed across ten different types of
28:20
solid tissues including liver, kidneys and
28:22
make in tested brain blood vessel
28:24
on breast, skin and pirate. I'm
28:26
now This can get a bit
28:28
more interesting as we read. Some.
28:31
To no mic irony was detected
28:33
in forty three percent of sixty
28:35
one solid tissue samples for to
28:37
gnomic or nay that also tested
28:39
positive for firearm. And. We're
28:41
getting. Get back to that. What? What?
28:43
What Exactly Does that mean? Hundreds, So
28:46
much. Two hundred thirty patients who completed
28:48
the telephone crush near. Thirty. Four
28:50
percent reported at least one long
28:52
covert sentiment to T V. The
28:54
most frequent detection of viral Arnie
28:56
and recovered patients was significant associate
28:59
with the development of Long Cove
29:01
It's symptoms. Patients with higher virus
29:03
copy numbers had a higher likelihood
29:05
is helping long of it's symptoms
29:08
help the like the next heart
29:10
attack. It's interesting in an attempt
29:12
to investigate the potential mechanisms underlying
29:14
the association between this persist in
29:17
a bar remnants and Long Cove
29:19
It symptoms. They did transcript
29:21
tom sequencing of eleven blood vessels
29:23
and twenty four long issues. So
29:26
in that and that. Long.
29:28
Tissues they observed down relay,
29:30
get down regulation of several
29:32
genes involved in the need
29:34
an adaptive immune our defense
29:36
against pathogens in the viral
29:38
persistence group. They. Also noted
29:41
is significant down really regulation of
29:43
zinc finger protein late teens in
29:45
that persistence of viral remnant group
29:47
arm which they say may play
29:49
a role in defense in Sars
29:51
could be to have any interpret
29:54
these findings as suggesting that dysfunction
29:56
and most immune defense my contribute
29:58
to poor. Virus. I'm.
30:01
In a blood vessel samples with
30:03
persistence of arrow remnants of the
30:06
Nfl this regulation of teens related
30:08
to the compliment and cry glacial
30:10
cascade of the also observed is
30:13
rather see teens had Baltic cholesterol
30:15
metallic wasn't pathways so they they
30:17
go on to conclude that these
30:20
findings suggest that persistence of viral
30:22
remnants might affect who sell functions
30:24
which could be another contributing factor
30:26
to the occurrence of long covets.
30:31
So then I I don't know. The.
30:33
Details but. To. The
30:35
have people without. Long. Covered.
30:37
That. They get comfortable time points of tissues
30:40
to look at exactly exactly and and so
30:42
what they're doing is they've got. They've got
30:44
these groups so it's basically the whole group
30:46
and they get the samples and then they're
30:48
going to ask the people say who's got
30:50
long coveted who does it so they can
30:53
divide up the people I guess. A Okay,
30:55
so we've got people that. Have
30:57
want of it? Got people that don't
30:59
and then boy that people aren't Oh
31:01
they'd hire percent of the time are
31:04
We can end up with a positive
31:06
on Pcr. For. Picking up but
31:08
not. it's not black and white. Supply
31:10
com sat back and white. Coat.
31:13
Attorney. And. I don't know any this
31:15
means because I think if you did this for
31:17
any infectious disease you would find you would find
31:19
reactor material and multiple tissues. We just never looked.
31:21
To. This extent and with such sensitive
31:24
essays before. And actually that's
31:26
interesting because that was one of the
31:28
for there is a couple leave a
31:30
couple nice discussions on this is so
31:32
one was a nice discussion by the
31:34
Nello I'm. Blonde. Send so
31:36
and kill and and to Siro
31:38
long covered and sars coby to
31:40
persistence new, answer more questions and.
31:43
A lot of what they bring up this is this
31:45
so unique for is this something that goes on in
31:48
other in such a threat because we talk about local
31:50
that that is also a long. Slow.
31:53
and there's other posts an
31:55
acute quell i am not
31:57
just cove it's and served
31:59
this girl literature that there
32:01
might be persistence of certain
32:04
genetic material, certain proteins, and certain body
32:06
tissues and cells that might be associated
32:08
with those ongoing symptoms. So sort of
32:10
nice in that but I think a
32:12
couple, what I think is sort of
32:14
critical as this gets all
32:16
heated up and emotional is that
32:19
we're not sure and I'm
32:21
not saying anything here tells
32:23
us either way whether this
32:25
is ongoing replication-competent virus.
32:28
I mean that's I wish it was
32:30
right because then we could just throw
32:32
antivirals at it. We could put people
32:34
on long courses of remdish or Paxilovid
32:37
and I mean those trials are ongoing and we're not
32:39
even hearing any sort of you know whispers
32:42
of good news. So
32:45
is there you know is this
32:47
that these viral remnants are triggering
32:49
ongoing issues or are they evidence that
32:51
something was wrong with the host immune function
32:54
upfront that allows these to be in all
32:56
these tissues? Yeah that's
32:58
what it is exactly and I think
33:00
the antiviral
33:02
effect is going to be important
33:04
because I agree I don't
33:06
think this is continuing replication and
33:09
if there's no effect of remdesivir,
33:12
extended remdesivir, then that
33:14
will confirm it something else going on and maybe
33:16
as you say there's something wrong with the host
33:18
and therefore they can't clear virus. It doesn't mean
33:20
it's the other way around right? Yeah
33:22
and we don't we don't know. And
33:26
it will be difficult to know because we don't have
33:28
an animal model where you could do the right kinds
33:30
of experiments. So yeah that's very tough. Alright
33:34
so low and middle income countries you
33:37
know I just always like to wrap up here
33:39
as I have for the last four years no one
33:41
is safe until everyone is safe. I'm
33:43
going to encourage everyone to pause the recording
33:45
right here we're coming towards the end of
33:48
April and we're still not there in our
33:50
American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene Fundraiser.
33:53
We're trying to get up to a potential
33:55
maximum donation of $20,000 so you know even
33:58
a small amount helps we're going to be doubling your
34:00
money to get up to that goal.
34:02
And a portion of these funds will
34:04
go to providing travel awards for two
34:06
female qualified students, early career investigators. It's
34:10
time for your questions for Daniel. You can
34:12
send them to daniel at microbe.tv. Alan
34:15
writes, if you've never seen it, this
34:17
XKCD should bring a smile. Thank you
34:19
for your lucid, informative, and
34:21
engaging contributions to Twiv. And if
34:23
you don't know, XKCD is a
34:26
comic strip. Okay. Here
34:29
is one. The first
34:31
panel, we have someone at a lectern. An
34:34
apple a day keeps a doctor away, or
34:36
at least it used to. In panel two,
34:38
the guy's pointing to a chart.
34:41
Over time, some doctors have developed a
34:43
resistance to apples. Keeping them
34:45
away takes two or three apples instead
34:47
of just one. And there are worrying signs
34:50
that a few doctors may have become
34:52
completely immune. Third panel.
34:54
So we must stockpile our finest apples
34:57
in reserve using them to fend off
34:59
only the very worst doctors. Honey crisps
35:01
still work on most of them, but
35:03
we don't know for how long. I
35:05
love that. It's funny. A
35:08
good parody of antimicrobial
35:10
resistance, right? Yes, exactly.
35:13
Right, thank you, Alan. Mary Ann writes, I
35:15
was just reading in the New York Times today about
35:17
dead H5N1 viral particles
35:20
found in milk would
35:22
ingesting these dead particles and abre
35:24
our immune systems to recognize and
35:26
help kill the live H5N1 virus
35:29
if we were to become infected. I
35:31
don't know enough about virology or immunology,
35:33
but I know enough to ask you
35:35
and Vincent. Thank you for continuing clinical
35:37
updates on Twiv. No, thank
35:40
you. No, Daniel, it's always important
35:42
to know who to ask, right? I
35:44
think that's one of the things. Since
35:46
our knowledge is by definition finite, it's always
35:49
important to be able to reach out
35:51
and ask the right people. And
35:53
boy, are we the right people here? I hope
35:55
so, Vincent. Well,
35:58
I like the fact that you're... to
36:00
these as dead H5N1. Yeah,
36:03
we have no evidence to date that this is
36:06
replicating, replication competent or some
36:08
people would say live virus
36:10
in the milk samples. And
36:12
as mentioned by the time it's pasteurized, you're going to be
36:14
in good shape. Now, pasteurization, so
36:16
that heating is going to do a
36:18
few things. One thing is
36:20
actually going to modify the protein. So I'm
36:23
not really sure that you want to be rushing
36:25
out there thinking that if you drink enough of
36:28
this contaminated milk, you're going to develop some sort
36:30
of immunology, some sort of immunity. Vincent,
36:32
what do you think? I
36:35
don't think there's enough. So I
36:37
don't think there's enough antigen in
36:39
the milk to immunize a mucosal
36:41
surface, right? And you
36:44
know, we don't have any infectious
36:46
viruses can do that, right? Like poliovirus
36:48
and norovirus and rotavirus, they can get
36:50
into your gut and infect the
36:52
gut and get an immune response. But these are not going
36:54
to do that. And so I don't
36:56
think there's enough antigen to do that whatsoever.
36:59
Yeah. All right. But
37:01
thanks for asking. Janet
37:04
writes, we are planning a 99th birthday party for
37:06
the matriarch of the family. The first week in
37:08
July in Seattle, family members from all over the
37:11
country will be attending. One of
37:13
those will be the newest addition, our now five month
37:15
old grandson, who will be seven at
37:17
the time, he'll be flying with his parents
37:19
and healthy vaccinated two year old and 13
37:21
year old sisters. I'm concerned about the recent
37:23
rise in measles cases in the US you've
37:25
been discussing on Twiv in recent
37:28
months. And the fact that standard vaccination protocol
37:30
is that a child received their first MMR
37:32
between 12 and 15 months of age. A
37:35
quick Google search reveals that for people
37:37
traveling with infants internationally to areas with
37:39
known measles outbreaks, babies six to 11
37:41
months old should receive their first MMR
37:44
vaccine dose at least two weeks before traveling.
37:47
I understand they will still need the two dose
37:49
series if they receive a dose before age 12
37:51
months. Would you think it prudent
37:53
that my grandson get vaccinated about two
37:55
to four weeks prior to traveling to
37:57
Seattle when he will be just six
37:59
months old or am I. by being
38:01
overly worried grandmother. Are there any significant
38:03
downsides to getting vaccinated early? Other
38:06
than the fact that he would need to
38:08
be react, be vaccinated and thus would be
38:10
getting an extra shot. If he were to
38:13
get vaccinated early, is there a separate measles
38:15
vaccine or only the combination MMR formulation? Okay.
38:18
So I'm going to sort of be doing this
38:20
backwards. So the first question you had is, so
38:23
is there any, is there any downside, right? Because
38:25
we are making this recommendation in certain context. If
38:28
a baby was going to be six to 11
38:30
months, they're going to be traveling internationally, particularly
38:33
to international destinations where there
38:36
is significant ongoing measles
38:38
transmission. Really
38:41
a very safe thing to be recommending.
38:44
But then the other comes is, is this really
38:46
high risk? Is this an experience
38:48
that warrants that? A lot
38:50
of, you know, as we keep people updated, we
38:52
talk about where the outbreaks are, what's going on.
38:55
They're occurring in different contexts.
38:57
Traveling in the US out
38:59
to the great Northwest is really a
39:02
pretty low risk activity. So
39:04
this really wouldn't be a part where
39:06
we would be generally recommending
39:08
vaccines for this kind of a context.
39:12
Sue writes, a letter to
39:14
you in clinical update 1106 made
39:17
me realize I've had a question for you all
39:19
along. What have you learned
39:21
today, Dorothy? My husband's
39:23
three, count him three types of arthritis, have
39:25
gradually made a near complete comeback, especially the
39:28
worst of them for psoradic. Psoradic,
39:30
how do you say that, Daniel? Psoradic? Psoradic,
39:35
in the four years since the COVID-19 pandemic
39:37
made him reluctant to suppress his immune systems
39:39
to any degree with methotrexate, plus the danger
39:41
then of visiting his rheumatologist in a high-rise
39:43
office deep in New Orleans when we were
39:45
a hotspot. He now suffers frank pain
39:47
in his hands, left knee, and right hip. Risky,
39:50
discomforting flare of skin psoriasis on his lower legs
39:52
is resolved by his old drug regimen, keep him
39:54
in long pants all summer, and this climate now
39:56
harder than ever. He
39:59
used to take methotrexate. humira, biweekly
40:02
injections, supplement folate in D3, and
40:04
colchicine is needed for thankfully infrequent
40:06
bounce of acute gout. Maybe
40:09
something else I don't recall. Osteo
40:11
ticks along in the background. It's too vastly
40:13
improved by that regimen. If that makes sense,
40:15
what do I know? I'm just a biochemist
40:18
who became a radiographer for better job security
40:20
and a lot less sexual harassment. Back in
40:22
the day, lucked into meeting this wonderful partner.
40:26
Oh, my question. Does
40:29
being on any immunosuppressant always decrease the efficacy
40:31
of any vaccines or boosters? Can you go
40:33
off the meds for a time, get your
40:36
booster, wait for a while to build
40:38
up your arsenal of programmed immune cells, and then
40:40
go back on, say methotrexate, and maintain your level
40:42
of immunity with a
40:44
normal rate of diminution of immunity if that's
40:46
why we get boosters apart from new variants?
40:49
Oh, God. She has another question. Going
40:52
back on these meds, erase any of the
40:54
immunity he's gotten in three years of vaccine
40:56
testing and boosting is recommended. If this sort
40:58
of strategy is a thing, can you all
41:00
point me to timing guidance out there where
41:03
I suggest a program yourself is
41:05
overworked, GP doesn't even want to talk about
41:07
it. Oh, okay. Well, I'm happy to talk
41:09
about it. So
41:11
the nice thing is we started thinking about
41:13
this early on because there are millions of
41:16
others in the same situation as your
41:18
husband here. So what to do? Well,
41:21
one of the things we've realized, so
41:23
we'll take certain medications, certain of the
41:25
immunosuppressive medications like methotrexate, and this has
41:27
been studied. If you stop them for
41:29
two weeks and then get vaccinated, you're
41:31
going to get a better response than
41:34
getting vaccinated while staying on this. But
41:37
then the other issue that you bring up
41:39
is once you get back on those, you're
41:41
going to have that immunosuppressive issue associated with
41:43
that. So what do we recommend? You
41:46
know, if you could get off these for two
41:48
or three weeks, do that. That's the timing. So
41:50
you get your vaccine, and then when you need
41:52
to get back on them, then you just realize
41:55
they continue to have that immunosuppressed issue. And
41:58
that's why we're hoping something like Pemgarta. can
42:00
actually get out there and give us another option for
42:02
these drugs. And
42:04
Will writes, in yesterday's clinical update, you
42:06
talked about active and passive vaccination.
42:10
I understand that a baby can have passive immunity
42:12
from the mother for a few months after birth,
42:14
but what is passive vaccination? I've not
42:17
come across the term before. Yeah,
42:20
so this is great. This is actually a distinction
42:22
we've talked about for a while, and I think
42:24
during the days of COVID, this is sort of
42:26
down to the main screen. So
42:30
the active vaccination is we're expecting
42:32
your immune system to be active
42:34
in the process. You got to
42:36
do some work. So you're exposed
42:38
to the antigen in some way,
42:40
and then you mount a T
42:42
and a B cell response. The
42:44
passive vaccination is we give you
42:46
the immunity in the form of
42:49
preformed, preestablished, pre-generated antibodies
42:51
in most cases. And
42:54
this is something that we've done when
42:56
someone gets exposed to certain things, like
42:58
with rabies with the immunoglobulins, we're actually
43:00
using this passive strategy.
43:02
And now we're actually starting to use
43:04
it for COVID-19. That's
43:07
Twiv weekly clinical update with Dr.
43:09
Daniel Grissom. Thank you, Daniel. Thank
43:12
you. And everyone, be safe.
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